Sports
Maxwell Week 1 Projections
(AJC)
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.
Aug 20
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.33 | AAA | Central (Carrollton) | 73.6% | 10 | Bowdon | AA |
| 42.45 | A | Savannah Christian | 69.5% | 8 | Jenkins | AAA |
| 19.14 | AAAAA | Columbus | 62.9% | 6 | Jordan | AAA |
Aug 21
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78.59 | AAAAA | Northside (Warner Robins) | 56.0% | 3 | North Cobb | AAAAAA |
| 77.65 | AAAAAA | Dacula | 63.8% | 6 | Collins Hill | AAAAAA |
| 73.17 | AA | Benedictine | 56.6% | 3 | Greater Atlanta Christian | AA |
| 69.11 | AAAAAA | Lowndes | 80.4% | 14 | Roswell | AAAAAA |
| 68.71 | AAAAAA | Walton | 52.3% | 1 | South Gwinnett | AAAAAA |
| 68.14 | AAAAAA | Etowah | 70.7% | 9 | Marietta | AAAAAA |
| 66.57 | AAAAA | Allatoona | 73.9% | 11 | East Paulding | AAAAA |
| 65.80 | AAAAAA | Archer | 89.8% | 22 | North Paulding | AAAAAA |
| 65.53 | AAAAA | Ware County | 76.9% | 12 | Brooks County | AA |
| 65.10 | AAAAA | Coffee | 72.8% | 10 | North Oconee | AAAA |
| 63.79 | AAAAAA | Hillgrove | 85.5% | 18 | Lassiter | AAAAAA |
| 59.70 | AAAAA | Glynn Academy | 54.6% | 2 | Wayne County | AAAA |
| 58.94 | AAAAA | Creekside | 80.8% | 15 | South Cobb | AAAAAA |
| 56.71 | AAAAA | Lanier | 50.1% | 0 | Lambert | AAAAAA |
| 55.87 | AAAAA | New Manchester | 51.2% | 1 | Douglas County | AAAAAA |
| 55.52 | AAAA | Sandy Creek | 93.5% | 26 | Creekview | AAAAA |
| 55.32 | AAA | Cedar Grove | 67.4% | 8 | Southwest DeKalb | AAAAA |
| 54.97 | AAAA | Columbia | 53.9% | 2 | M. L. King | AAAAA |
| 54.29 | AAAAA | South Paulding | 80.3% | 14 | Sprayberry | AAAAA |
| 53.74 | AAAAAA | Lee County | 89.3% | 21 | Westover | AAAA |
| 53.71 | AA | Thomasville | 56.5% | 3 | West Laurens | AAAA |
| 53.00 | AAAAAA | Harrison | 74.5% | 11 | Pope | AAAAAA |
| 51.84 | AAAAA | Villa Rica | 59.6% | 4 | Rome | AAAAA |
| 51.61 | AAAAAA | Newton | 82.1% | 15 | Berkmar | AAAAAA |
| 50.97 | AAA | Callaway | 67.5% | 8 | LaGrange | AAAAA |
| 49.80 | AA | Fitzgerald | 83.3% | 16 | Worth County | AAAA |
| 49.72 | AAAAAA | South Forsyth | 61.1% | 5 | Mountain View | AAAAAA |
| 49.22 | AAAAA | Stephenson | 88.8% | 21 | Arabia Mountain | AAAA |
| 47.64 | AAAAAA | Rockdale County | 60.4% | 5 | Heritage (Conyers) | AAAAA |
| 46.92 | AAAAAA | Wheeler | 82.7% | 16 | Duluth | AAAAAA |
| 46.85 | AAAAAA | Cherokee | 86.9% | 19 | Chattahoochee | AAAAAA |
| 46.01 | AAA | Dodge County | 63.8% | 6 | Bleckley County | AA |
| 45.98 | A | Irwin County | 59.7% | 4 | Early County | AA |
| 45.73 | AA | Jefferson County | 53.7% | 2 | Thomson | AAAA |
| 45.19 | AAAA | Fayette County | 53.5% | 2 | McIntosh | AAAAA |
| 42.80 | AAAAA | Effingham County | 65.5% | 7 | Liberty County | AAAA |
| 42.24 | AAAAA | Luella | 66.3% | 7 | Shaw | AAAAA |
| 41.97 | AAA | Jefferson | 94.9% | 29 | Rabun County | AA |
| 41.84 | AAAA | Monroe | 68.2% | 8 | Perry | AAAA |
| 40.53 | AAA | Adairsville | 78.2% | 13 | Ridgeland | AAAA |
| 40.17 | AA | Lovett | 95.3% | 29 | Pace Academy | AA |
| 39.37 | AAA | Laney | 84.0% | 17 | Dublin | AA |
| 36.24 | A | Mount Pisgah Christian | 75.3% | 11 | Brookstone | A |
| 35.83 | AAAAA | Riverwood | 79.2% | 14 | Coosa | AA |
| 35.42 | AA | Vidalia | 95.0% | 29 | Swainsboro | AA |
| 33.60 | AAAAA | Evans | 85.4% | 18 | Westside (Augusta) | AAA |
| 33.40 | AA | Model | 58.5% | 4 | Lumpkin County | AAA |
| 32.67 | AAAAA | Miller Grove | 83.7% | 16 | Towers | AAA |
| 32.39 | AAAAAA | Woodstock | 96.0% | 31 | River Ridge | AAAAA |
| 31.21 | AA | Bryan County | 64.2% | 6 | Metter | AA |
| 30.44 | AA | Lamar County | 94.4% | 28 | Howard | AAAA |
| 30.16 | AAAAAA | Tift County | 98.9% | 39 | Henry County | AAAA |
| 26.65 | AAAAA | Dutchtown | 91.5% | 24 | Osborne | AAAAAA |
| 24.33 | AAAAAA | Lakeside (Atlanta) | 63.9% | 6 | Redan | AAAA |
| 24.04 | AAAAA | Woodland (Stockbridge) | 90.5% | 22 | North Springs | AAAAA |
| 23.84 | AAAA | Jonesboro | 89.9% | 22 | Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | AAAA |
| 22.97 | AAA | Brantley County | 70.8% | 9 | Atkinson County | A |
| 22.28 | AAAA | Madison County | 82.6% | 16 | Johnson (Gainesville) | AAAA |
| 22.17 | AAAAA | Brunswick | 97.7% | 35 | McIntosh County Academy | AA |
| 21.36 | A | Clinch County | 88.5% | 20 | Calhoun County | A |
| 21.25 | AA | Wesleyan | 87.6% | 20 | Walker | A |
| 19.32 | A | Trion | 75.1% | 11 | Gordon Lee | AA |
| 17.89 | A | Turner County | 77.6% | 13 | Terrell County | A |
| 15.70 | A | Aquinas | 97.8% | 36 | Glenn Hills | AAA |
| 15.37 | AAAAAA | Campbell | 93.1% | 26 | South Atlanta | AAA |
| 12.94 | AAA | Beach | 58.5% | 4 | Savannah | AAA |
| 12.75 | A | Athens Christian | 88.7% | 21 | Strong Rock Christian | A |
| 11.86 | A | Jenkins County | 74.7% | 11 | Montgomery County | A |
| 10.07 | A | Lanier County | 57.4% | 3 | Randolph-Clay | A |
| 7.94 | AAA | East Jackson | 56.4% | 3 | Hebron Christian Academy | A |
| 7.93 | AAAAA | Greenbrier | 90.8% | 23 | Harlem | AA |
| 4.75 | AA | Putnam County | 82.0% | 15 | Warren County | A |
| 3.49 | A | Mount Zion (Carroll) | 95.4% | 30 | Temple | AA |
| 2.03 | A | Fellowship Christian | 88.3% | 20 | Armuchee | AA |
| -1.87 | A | Calvary Day | 99.5% | 41 | New Hampstead | AAAA |
| -5.78 | AAAAA | Dunwoody | 98.0% | 36 | Clarkston | AAAAA |
| -8.91 | AAAA | Southeast Whitfield | 98.5% | 38 | Coahulla Creek | AAA |
| -9.83 | A | Central (Talbotton) | 82.6% | 16 | Baconton | A |
| -10.97 | A | Athens Academy | 97.0% | 33 | Glascock County | A |
| -19.40 | AAA | Kendrick | 99.3% | 40 | Stewart County | A |
Aug 22
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.66 | AAAAAA | Colquitt County | 73.5% | 10 | North Gwinnett | AAAAAA |
| 84.96 | AAAAAA | McEachern | 54.6% | 2 | Tucker | AAAAAA |
| 81.87 | AAAAAA | Norcross | 63.1% | 6 | Valdosta | AAAAAA |
| 71.94 | AAAAAA | Hughes | 67.7% | 8 | Mays | AAAAA |
| 70.07 | AAAAAA | Mill Creek | 81.8% | 15 | Brookwood | AAAAAA |
| 68.67 | AAAAA | Kell | 65.5% | 7 | Carrollton | AAAA |
| 59.55 | AAAAA | Carver (Columbus) | 62.5% | 5 | Carver (Atlanta) | AAAAA |
| 52.04 | AAAA | Burke County | 77.9% | 13 | Statesboro | AAAAA |
| 47.37 | AAA | Ringgold | 61.6% | 5 | Northwest Whitfield | AAAA |
| 45.55 | AAAA | Grady | 66.3% | 7 | Washington | AAA |
| 36.12 | AAAAA | Cambridge | 74.0% | 11 | Holy Innocents | AA |
| 32.24 | A | Landmark Christian | 82.9% | 16 | Christian Heritage | A |
| 22.61 | AAAAA | Tri-Cities | 95.9% | 31 | Hardaway | AAAAA |
| -2.74 | AA | Crawford County | 62.8% | 5 | Mount Vernon Presbyterian | A |
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