Sports

Maxwell Week Eight Summary: Colquitt extends lead in ratings and playoff odds, Allatoona new favorite in AAAAA

By Todd Holcomb
Oct 14, 2014

The Maxwell Ratings will rank Georgia's 417 teams throughout the 2014 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Interesting results after Week Eight:

- Colquitt County continues to outpace the remainder of Class AAAAAA, pushing to a rating of 104.64. If the packers were to play every Class AAAAAA team in an infinite round robin competition, the ratings project they would have a 96.7% winning percentage. By comparison, Grayson, the second highest rated Class AAAAAA team, would have an 87.3% winning percentage in the hypothetical tournament. Colquitt also pushed ahead in Maxwell's playoff projections, winning more than 2 out of every 3 simulations. That's nearly 10 championships for every one of Grayson's in the model.

- Allatoona used a 21-point victory over New Manchester combined with a Creekside loss to take over the top rating in Class AAAAA. Allatoona also jumped to the favorite in the playoff projections, edging Ware County.

- The Class A-Private bracket appears wide open as five teams have a better than 10% chance of winning the title. Class AA also have five teams over 10%, although the field is slightly tilted toward GAC.

- Eagle's Landing Christian plays the unusual role of underdog as they earned their first win of the season this past Friday. However, Maxwell still gives then a 0.6% chance of winning the title.

Maxwell's Playoff Projections

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2014 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons and teams with 1,000 or more championship wins in the simulation are shown.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by using recursive head-to-head records with all ties being broken randomly.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

AAAAAA
Team Region Rating Finals Champion Odds
Colquitt County 1-AAAAAA 104.64 767,070 673,288 0.49
Grayson 8-AAAAAA 89.07 221,763 67,527 13.81
Lowndes 1-AAAAAA 87.20 199,559 51,399 18.46
McEachern 4-AAAAAA 85.02 178,210 46,222 20.63
North Gwinnett 7-AAAAAA 85.67 85,199 33,551 28.81
Milton 5-AAAAAA 83.88 89,884 30,300 32.00
Norcross 7-AAAAAA 84.76 123,427 28,201 34.46
Dacula 8-AAAAAA 83.32 46,510 13,620 72.42
Tucker 2-AAAAAA 81.87 41,219 13,526 72.93
Hughes 3-AAAAAA 79.79 73,288 12,083 81.76
Valdosta 1-AAAAAA 81.01 61,069 10,528 93.98
Hillgrove 4-AAAAAA 77.89 42,622 8,786 112.82
Archer 8-AAAAAA 77.52 9,377 2,273 438.95
Alpharetta 6-AAAAAA 73.81 9,850 1,757 568.15
Lovejoy 2-AAAAAA 74.78 9,180 1,320 756.58
Peachtree Ridge 7-AAAAAA 77.19 6,465 1,126 887.10
AAAAA
Team Region Rating Finals Champion Odds
Allatoona 5-AAAAA 81.21 410,620 285,599 2.50
Ware County 3-AAAAA 78.97 443,273 270,380 2.70
Northside (Warner Robins) 2-AAAAA 71.72 182,114 86,223 10.60
Coffee 3-AAAAA 71.93 116,412 56,254 16.78
Dalton 7-AAAAA 69.01 115,452 45,455 21.00
Creekside 6-AAAAA 72.72 86,175 42,132 22.73
Gainesville 8-AAAAA 68.98 91,242 37,533 25.64
Lanier 8-AAAAA 66.91 100,175 33,615 28.75
South Paulding 5-AAAAA 69.04 71,953 27,317 35.61
Kell 7-AAAAA 66.59 68,645 23,199 42.11
Carver (Columbus) 1-AAAAA 67.29 59,133 21,461 45.60
Mays 6-AAAAA 69.40 44,639 18,023 54.48
Stephenson 6-AAAAA 65.21 39,714 12,605 78.33
Carver (Atlanta) 6-AAAAA 63.40 24,789 7,182 138.24
Alexander 5-AAAAA 64.01 23,304 6,527 152.21
Harris County 1-AAAAA 62.07 20,691 5,222 190.50
Glynn Academy 3-AAAAA 60.04 13,669 3,106 320.96
Drew 4-AAAAA 61.07 12,853 3,010 331.23
East Paulding 5-AAAAA 63.01 10,852 2,938 339.37
Jones County 2-AAAAA 59.24 13,021 2,620 380.68
Brunswick 3-AAAAA 59.10 10,136 2,009 496.76
Houston County 2-AAAAA 59.48 8,204 1,729 577.37
New Manchester 5-AAAAA 60.93 6,021 1,429 698.79
Lakeside (Evans) 2-AAAAA 57.67 6,670 1,165 857.37
AAAA
Team Region Rating Finals Champion Odds
Buford 8-AAAA 94.39 753,450 602,140 0.66
Sandy Creek 5-AAAA 85.36 660,890 279,618 2.58
Griffin 4-AAAA 78.14 127,908 51,687 18.35
Cartersville 7-AAAA 71.19 73,946 22,654 43.14
St. Pius X 6-AAAA 66.52 110,880 12,575 78.52
Woodward Academy 5-AAAA 68.49 74,530 11,073 89.31
Thomas County Central 1-AAAA 66.89 53,978 6,635 149.72
Cairo 1-AAAA 65.36 36,489 3,949 252.23
Marist 6-AAAA 68.13 14,463 3,369 295.82
Mary Persons 2-AAAA 62.75 25,931 2,400 415.67
AAA
Team Region Rating Finals Champion Odds
Washington County 3-AAA 81.08 551,072 375,457 1.66
Calhoun 6-AAA 78.19 537,853 287,311 2.48
Blessed Trinity 4-AAA 74.72 221,884 115,619 7.65
Jefferson 8-AAA 71.81 187,405 82,236 11.16
Westside (Macon) 2-AAA 69.59 135,853 48,483 19.63
Peach County 2-AAA 67.31 88,644 27,837 34.92
Hart County 8-AAA 64.17 101,130 24,571 39.70
Westminster (Atlanta) 4-AAA 66.48 56,051 18,580 0.49
Central (Carrollton) 5-AAA 61.10 62,552 11,866 83.27
Cedar Grove 4-AAA 58.42 16,101 2,718 366.92
Adairsville 6-AAA 58.20 9,519 1,889 528.38
Dodge County 1-AAA 55.17 13,747 1,739 574.04
AA
Team Region Rating Finals Champion Odds
Greater Atlanta Christian 6-AA 68.85 485,134 337,511 1.96
Brooks County 1-AA 62.78 303,763 156,282 5.40
Lovett 6-AA 62.92 297,671 136,975 6.30
Benedictine 2-AA 63.66 245,277 129,216 6.74
Vidalia 2-AA 62.51 214,903 104,155 8.60
Thomasville 1-AA 56.35 179,851 60,899 15.42
Fitzgerald 1-AA 58.18 113,422 42,415 22.58
Lamar County 4-AA 55.10 58,139 17,250 56.97
Bowdon 5-AA 47.02 21,433 4,071 244.64
Screven County 3-AA 45.10 23,112 3,333 299.03
Darlington 7-AA 45.42 18,905 2,825 352.98
Macon County 4-AA 45.59 8,426 1,446 690.56
A-Public
Team Region Rating Finals Champion Odds
Hawkinsville 4-A 57.43 605,778 426,206 1.35
Irwin County 2-A 52.57 503,588 245,661 3.07
Marion County 4-A 51.69 354,865 183,832 4.44
Charlton County 2-A 45.31 122,510 42,166 22.72
Dooly County 4-A 44.74 130,341 41,370 23.17
Emanuel County Institute 3-A 40.42 84,942 21,808 44.85
Clinch County 2-A 42.35 76,512 21,775 44.92
Greenville 4-A 36.75 28,263 5,159 192.84
Wilcox County 2-A 36.35 21,109 3,836 259.69
Claxton 3-A 33.34 20,295 2,860 348.65
Calhoun County 1-A 31.16 20,075 2,313 431.34
Commerce 8-A 29.99 13,348 1,343 743.60
A-Private
Team Region Rating Finals Champion Odds
Aquinas 7-A 50.01 418,464 260,494 2.84
Mount Paran Christian 6-A 50.21 399,921 251,227 2.98
Landmark Christian 5-A 46.06 255,331 126,135 6.93
Tattnall Square 7-A 45.84 233,144 114,344 7.75
Calvary Day 3-A 45.20 242,529 112,114 7.92
Pacelli 4-A 41.84 103,437 40,023 23.99
Savannah Christian 3-A 41.33 99,333 36,630 26.30
Mount Pisgah Christian 6-A 36.33 39,150 10,449 94.70
Pinecrest Academy 6-A 34.13 38,901 8,759 113.17
Prince Avenue Christian 8-A 34.03 39,362 8,506 116.56
Our Lady of Mercy 5-A 35.13 32,672 7,883 125.86
Stratford Academy 7-A 37.01 25,083 7,075 140.34
Eagle's Landing Christian 5-A 37.09 24,300 6,428 154.57
First Presbyterian 7-A 33.78 19,690 4,357 228.52
Brookstone 4-A 35.08 16,031 3,931 253.39

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 9.39%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,202 of 1,291 total games including 4 ties (93.26%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 11.99 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Home Advantage: 0.91

By Class

AAAAAA AAAAA
Rank Team Record Rating Rank Team Record Rating
1 Colquitt County 7-0 104.64 1 Allatoona 7-0 81.21
2 Grayson 7-0 89.07 2 Ware County 6-0 78.97
3 Lowndes 6-1 87.20 3 Creekside 5-2 72.72
4 North Gwinnett 5-2 85.67 4 Coffee 6-1 71.93
5 McEachern 4-2 85.02 5 Northside (Warner Robins) 5-1 71.72
6 Norcross 6-1 84.76 6 Mays 4-2 69.40
7 Milton 5-1 83.88 7 South Paulding 5-1 69.04
8 Dacula 6-0 83.32 8 Dalton 6-1 69.01
9 Tucker 5-2 81.87 9 Gainesville 4-2 68.98
10 Valdosta 7-0 81.01 10 Carver (Columbus) 5-1 67.29
11 Hughes 5-1 79.79 11 Lanier 6-0 66.91
12 Hillgrove 5-2 77.89 12 Kell 6-0 66.59
13 Archer 3-3 77.52 13 Stephenson 4-2 65.21
14 Peachtree Ridge 5-2 77.19 14 Alexander 5-1 64.01
15 Camden County 5-2 77.14 15 Carver (Atlanta) 6-1 63.40
AAAA AAA
Rank Team Record Rating Rank Team Record Rating
1 Buford 6-0 94.39 1 Washington County 6-0 81.08
2 Sandy Creek 6-0 85.36 2 Calhoun 7-0 78.19
3 Griffin 6-0 78.14 3 Blessed Trinity 6-0 74.72
4 Cartersville 5-1 71.19 4 Jefferson 7-0 71.81
5 Woodward Academy 5-1 68.49 5 Westside (Macon) 7-0 69.59
6 Marist 6-1 68.13 6 Peach County 7-0 67.31
7 Thomas County Central 5-1 66.89 7 Westminster (Atlanta) 6-0 66.48
8 St. Pius X 4-2 66.52 8 Hart County 6-0 64.17
9 Cairo 5-1 65.36 9 Central (Carrollton) 6-0 61.10
10 Mary Persons 5-1 62.75 10 Cedar Grove 5-1 58.42
11 Whitewater 4-2 59.69 11 Adairsville 5-1 58.20
12 Columbia 5-2 59.56 12 Dodge County 7-0 55.17
13 Burke County 4-3 58.16 13 Elbert County 4-3 55.13
14 West Laurens 5-2 57.84 14 Ringgold 4-2 50.05
15 Troup 3-3 57.62 15 Pierce County 5-1 48.27
AA A
Rank Team Record Rating Rank Team Record Rating
1 Greater Atlanta Christian 7-0 68.85 1 Hawkinsville 7-0 57.43
2 Benedictine 5-1 63.66 2 Irwin County 4-1-1 52.57
3 Lovett 5-2 62.92 3 Marion County 6-0 51.69
4 Brooks County 5-2 62.78 4 Mount Paran Christian 6-0 50.21
5 Vidalia 6-0 62.51 5 Aquinas 7-0 50.01
6 Fitzgerald 5-1 58.18 6 Landmark Christian 5-1 46.06
7 Thomasville 4-3 56.35 7 Tattnall Square 6-0 45.84
8 Lamar County 4-1-1 55.10 8 Charlton County 5-1 45.31
9 Bowdon 4-2 47.02 9 Calvary Day 6-0 45.20
10 Macon County 4-2 45.59 10 Dooly County 4-2 44.74
11 Darlington 6-1 45.42 11 Clinch County 3-3 42.35
12 Screven County 7-0 45.10 12 Pacelli 5-2 41.84
13 Bleckley County 2-4 44.63 13 Savannah Christian 5-1 41.33
14 Union County 7-0 43.37 14 Emanuel County Institute 5-1 40.42
15 Model 6-1 42.38 15 Eagle's Landing Christian 1-6 37.09

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. Please submit errors or omissions through their forums.

Rank Team Region Record Rating Sch Str Rank
1 [1] Colquitt County 1-AAAAAA 7-0 104.64 61.49 36 [32]
2 [1] Buford 8-AAAA 6-0 94.39 41.47 202 [45]
3 [2] Grayson 8-AAAAAA 7-0 89.07 65.73 20 [20]
4 [3] Lowndes 1-AAAAAA 6-1 87.20 67.57 13 [13]
5 [4] North Gwinnett 7-AAAAAA 5-2 85.67 78.07 1 [1]
6 [2] Sandy Creek 5-AAAA 6-0 85.36 49.21 107 [18]
7 [5] McEachern 4-AAAAAA 4-2 85.02 77.89 2 [2]
8 [6] Norcross 7-AAAAAA 6-1 84.76 62.47 29 [27]
9 [7] Milton 5-AAAAAA 5-1 83.88 70.21 10 [10]
10 [8] Dacula 8-AAAAAA 6-0 83.32 64.57 23 [23]
11 [9] Tucker 2-AAAAAA 5-2 81.87 44.50 170 [58]
12 [1] Allatoona 5-AAAAA 7-0 81.21 57.79 51 [9]
13 [1] Washington County 3-AAA 6-0 81.08 46.20 142 [3]
14 [10] Valdosta 1-AAAAAA 7-0 81.01 57.26 55 [42]
15 [11] Hughes 3-AAAAAA 5-1 79.79 65.97 18 [18]
16 [2] Ware County 3-AAAAA 6-0 78.97 54.25 67 [15]
17 [2] Calhoun 6-AAA 7-0 78.19 41.82 198 [12]
18 [3] Griffin 4-Div B-AAAA 6-0 78.14 35.92 257 [56]
19 [12] Hillgrove 4-AAAAAA 5-2 77.89 66.38 16 [16]
20 [13] Archer 8-AAAAAA 3-3 77.52 72.27 6 [6]
21 [14] Peachtree Ridge 7-AAAAAA 5-2 77.19 64.39 24 [24]
22 [15] Camden County 1-AAAAAA 5-2 77.14 62.42 30 [28]
23 [16] Mill Creek 7-AAAAAA 4-3 75.59 62.36 31 [29]
24 [17] Lovejoy 2-AAAAAA 5-2 74.78 60.63 41 [35]
25 [3] Blessed Trinity 4-Div B-AAA 6-0 74.72 40.20 213 [17]
26 [18] Alpharetta 6-AAAAAA 5-1 73.81 49.70 101 [51]
27 [19] Collins Hill 7-AAAAAA 5-2 73.59 62.29 33 [30]
28 [3] Creekside 6-Div B-AAAAA 5-2 72.72 63.93 25 [1]
29 [20] North Cobb 4-AAAAAA 4-3 72.55 71.27 7 [7]
30 [4] Coffee 3-AAAAA 6-1 71.93 50.25 99 [30]
31 [4] Jefferson 8-AAA 7-0 71.81 36.78 244 [24]
32 [5] Northside (Warner Robins) 2-AAAAA 5-1 71.72 51.25 89 [25]
33 [21] Etowah 5-AAAAAA 5-2 71.22 61.30 37 [33]
34 [22] Central Gwinnett 8-AAAAAA 4-2 71.21 64.90 22 [22]
35 [4] Cartersville 7-AAAA 5-1 71.19 50.79 93 [12]
36 [23] Roswell 5-AAAAAA 4-2 70.32 65.99 17 [17]
37 [5] Westside (Macon) 2-AAA 7-0 69.59 37.08 241 [23]
38 [6] Mays 6-Div B-AAAAA 4-2 69.40 60.25 43 [5]
39 [7] South Paulding 5-AAAAA 5-1 69.04 59.57 46 [7]
40 [8] Dalton 7-Div A-AAAAA 6-1 69.01 45.01 162 [59]
41 [9] Gainesville 8-AAAAA 4-2 68.98 53.52 71 [17]
42 [1] Greater Atlanta Christian 6-AA 7-0 68.85 38.36 228 [16]
43 [24] Lee County 1-AAAAAA 5-1 68.62 44.09 174 [59]
44 [5] Woodward Academy 5-AAAA 5-1 68.49 47.55 128 [26]
45 [25] Cherokee 5-AAAAAA 5-2 68.28 58.16 49 [38]
46 [6] Marist 6-AAAA 6-1 68.13 42.15 195 [44]
47 [6] Peach County 2-AAA 7-0 67.31 31.85 292 [42]
48 [10] Carver (Columbus) 1-AAAAA 5-1 67.29 48.96 108 [33]
49 [26] Walton 5-AAAAAA 5-2 67.12 60.46 42 [36]
50 [27] Parkview 8-AAAAAA 3-3 66.91 65.76 19 [19]
51 [11] Lanier 8-AAAAA 6-0 66.91 48.90 109 [34]
52 [7] Thomas County Central 1-Div A-AAAA 5-1 66.89 40.54 209 [47]
53 [12] Kell 7-Div B-AAAAA 6-0 66.59 45.50 152 [53]
54 [8] St. Pius X 6-AAAA 4-2 66.52 61.27 38 [2]
55 [7] Westminster (Atlanta) 4-Div B-AAA 6-0 66.48 43.15 184 [10]
56 [28] Tift County 1-AAAAAA 5-2 65.73 48.49 115 [53]
57 [9] Cairo 1-Div A-AAAA 5-1 65.36 49.30 106 [17]
58 [13] Stephenson 6-Div A-AAAAA 4-2 65.21 45.38 158 [56]
59 [29] Westlake 3-AAAAAA 4-1 64.31 47.24 132 [55]
60 [8] Hart County 8-AAA 6-0 64.17 30.40 304 [49]
61 [30] Woodstock 5-AAAAAA 5-2 64.02 56.09 59 [44]
62 [14] Alexander 5-AAAAA 5-1 64.01 52.45 81 [21]
63 [2] Benedictine 2-AA 5-1 63.66 37.68 234 [18]
64 [15] Carver (Atlanta) 6-Div B-AAAAA 6-1 63.40 51.49 87 [24]
65 [31] South Gwinnett 8-AAAAAA 1-6 63.36 74.13 4 [4]
66 [32] East Coweta 3-AAAAAA 4-2 63.23 57.60 52 [39]
67 [16] East Paulding 5-AAAAA 3-3 63.01 59.78 44 [6]
68 [3] Lovett 6-AA 5-2 62.92 44.70 167 [7]
69 [33] Marietta 4-AAAAAA 2-4 62.78 67.65 11 [11]
70 [4] Brooks County 1-AA 5-2 62.78 41.48 201 [9]
71 [10] Mary Persons 2-AAAA 5-1 62.75 48.21 118 [22]
72 [5] Vidalia 2-AA 6-0 62.51 26.55 332 [39]
73 [17] Harris County 1-AAAAA 4-2 62.07 46.34 137 [46]
74 [34] South Forsyth 6-AAAAAA 5-1 61.64 45.40 155 [57]
75 [9] Central (Carrollton) 5-AAA 6-0 61.10 35.75 260 [31]
76 [18] Drew 4-Div A-AAAAA 5-1 61.07 38.53 225 [78]
77 [19] New Manchester 5-AAAAA 3-3 60.93 62.32 32 [3]
78 [20] Glynn Academy 3-AAAAA 4-3 60.04 58.23 48 [8]
79 [11] Whitewater 5-AAAA 4-2 59.69 45.41 154 [34]
80 [35] Newton 2-AAAAAA 3-2 59.63 46.21 141 [56]
81 [12] Columbia 6-AAAA 5-2 59.56 46.23 140 [30]
82 [36] North Paulding 4-AAAAAA 3-4 59.50 63.92 26 [25]
83 [21] Houston County 2-AAAAA 5-1 59.48 40.95 206 [72]
84 [22] Jones County 2-AAAAA 5-1 59.24 37.92 231 [79]
85 [23] Brunswick 3-AAAAA 4-2 59.10 48.19 119 [39]
86 [37] Douglas County 3-AAAAAA 3-3 59.09 59.64 45 [37]
87 [10] Cedar Grove 4-Div A-AAA 5-1 58.42 40.26 211 [16]
88 [11] Adairsville 6-AAA 5-1 58.20 38.51 227 [19]
89 [6] Fitzgerald 1-AA 5-1 58.18 46.13 143 [5]
90 [13] Burke County 3-AAAA 4-3 58.16 50.92 92 [11]
91 [38] Wheeler 5-AAAAAA 2-4 58.03 62.59 28 [26]
92 [39] Brookwood 8-AAAAAA 2-5 58.01 67.62 12 [12]
93 [24] Stockbridge 4-Div B-AAAAA 4-2 57.99 42.68 189 [68]
94 [14] West Laurens 2-AAAA 5-2 57.84 51.87 84 [10]
95 [40] Shiloh 8-AAAAAA 1-5 57.76 74.04 5 [5]
96 [25] Lakeside (Evans) 2-AAAAA 3-3 57.67 55.73 62 [12]
97 [15] Troup 5-AAAA 3-3 57.62 56.29 58 [5]
98 [16] North Oconee 8-AAAA 4-2 57.54 44.89 164 [35]
99 [41] Harrison 4-AAAAAA 4-3 57.49 55.64 63 [46]
100 [42] Northview 6-AAAAAA 5-1 57.48 41.88 196 [61]
101 [1] Hawkinsville 4-A 7-0 57.43 33.27 281 [11]
102 [26] Mundy's Mill 4-Div A-AAAAA 5-2 57.15 44.35 172 [62]
103 [27] Southwest DeKalb 6-Div A-AAAAA 4-2 56.63 54.87 66 [14]
104 [7] Thomasville 1-AA 4-3 56.35 53.68 69 [1]
105 [28] Hiram 5-AAAAA 4-2 56.32 46.30 138 [47]
106 [17] Gilmer 7-AAAA 5-1 56.04 40.62 207 [46]
107 [29] Warner Robins 2-AAAAA 4-2 55.38 42.79 188 [67]
108 [43] South Cobb 3-AAAAAA 3-3 55.29 55.26 64 [47]
109 [12] Dodge County 1-Div A-AAA 7-0 55.17 29.54 310 [52]
110 [13] Elbert County 8-AAA 4-3 55.13 52.86 78 [1]
111 [8] Lamar County 4-AA 4-1-1 55.10 39.73 216 [12]
112 [30] Sprayberry 7-Div B-AAAAA 5-2 54.87 39.98 214 [74]
113 [31] Paulding County 5-AAAAA 3-3 53.93 55.88 61 [11]
114 [32] Tri-Cities 6-Div B-AAAAA 4-2 53.64 43.75 178 [65]
115 [44] Mountain View 7-AAAAAA 1-6 53.41 70.50 9 [9]
116 [45] Lambert 6-AAAAAA 3-3 53.22 47.82 124 [54]
117 [46] West Forsyth 6-AAAAAA 3-3 53.17 51.75 86 [49]
118 [47] Centennial 6-AAAAAA 3-3 52.84 57.42 54 [41]
119 [2] Irwin County 2-A 4-1-1 52.57 42.91 186 [2]
120 [48] Lassiter 5-AAAAAA 0-6 52.56 71.25 8 [8]
121 [33] Salem 8-AAAAA 4-2 52.52 49.55 103 [31]
122 [34] Evans 2-AAAAA 4-2 52.34 45.86 147 [50]
123 [18] Grady 6-AAAA 3-3 52.18 50.39 97 [13]
124 [19] Upson-Lee 2-AAAA 5-1 51.86 38.61 223 [49]
125 [49] Rockdale County 2-AAAAAA 3-4 51.70 61.54 35 [31]
126 [3] Marion County 4-A 6-0 51.69 31.83 293 [13]
127 [20] Westover 1-Div B-AAAA 3-3 51.55 48.28 117 [21]
128 [50] Kennesaw Mountain 4-AAAAAA 3-3 51.52 53.11 75 [48]
129 [21] Stephens County 8-AAAA 5-1 51.38 36.41 248 [52]
130 [35] Sequoyah 7-Div A-AAAAA 2-4 51.31 60.83 40 [4]
131 [36] Clarke Central 8-AAAAA 3-3 51.31 48.13 121 [41]
132 [22] Eastside 4-Div A-AAAA 4-2 51.27 44.37 171 [37]
133 [37] Effingham County 3-AAAAA 5-2 50.96 45.49 153 [54]
134 [51] Pope 5-AAAAAA 1-5 50.72 65.08 21 [21]
135 [23] Bainbridge 1-Div B-AAAA 4-3 50.57 47.90 122 [23]
136 [4] Mount Paran Christian 6-Div A-A 6-0 50.21 22.14 366 [44]
137 [24] Worth County 1-Div B-AAAA 3-2 50.19 46.74 135 [28]
138 [14] Ringgold 6-AAA 4-2 50.05 34.30 275 [34]
139 [5] Aquinas 7-Div B-A 7-0 50.01 25.54 342 [32]
140 [25] Eagle's Landing 4-Div A-AAAA 5-1 49.95 37.87 232 [50]
141 [26] Pickens 7-AAAA 5-1 49.74 36.26 252 [53]
142 [52] Newnan 3-AAAAAA 1-5 49.33 61.15 39 [34]
144 [39] Luella 4-Div B-AAAAA 4-2 48.94 43.97 175 [63]
143 [38] Cambridge 7-Div B-AAAAA 4-2 48.94 38.61 222 [77]
145 [40] Winder-Barrow 8-AAAAA 3-3 48.64 51.80 85 [23]
146 [27] Fayette County 5-AAAA 3-3 48.55 47.83 123 [24]
147 [41] Villa Rica 5-AAAAA 3-4 48.33 53.17 73 [18]
148 [15] Pierce County 1-Div A-AAA 5-1 48.27 33.95 276 [35]
149 [42] Starr's Mill 4-Div A-AAAAA 3-3 48.17 47.34 130 [43]
150 [16] West Hall 7-AAA 5-1 48.03 30.96 300 [46]
151 [28] Ridgeland 7-AAAA 3-3 47.89 48.49 116 [20]
152 [17] Callaway 5-AAA 3-3 47.86 44.71 166 [6]
153 [43] Dutchtown 4-Div B-AAAAA 2-4 47.80 55.15 65 [13]
154 [18] Laney 3-AAA 3-3 47.67 45.04 161 [5]
155 [44] Miller Grove 6-Div A-AAAAA 3-3 47.63 45.98 145 [49]
156 [19] Appling County 1-Div A-AAA 4-2 47.35 35.80 259 [30]
157 [29] Baldwin 2-AAAA 3-3 47.27 44.69 168 [36]
158 [9] Bowdon 5-AA 4-2 47.02 36.51 246 [21]
159 [20] Cook 1-Div A-AAA 5-2 46.86 33.57 279 [36]
160 [30] Carrollton 5-AAAA 2-4 46.77 50.06 100 [15]
161 [45] Woodland (Stockbridge) 4-Div B-AAAAA 5-1 46.70 36.34 251 [82]
162 [31] Wayne County 3-AAAA 3-5 46.61 48.89 110 [19]
163 [46] Loganville 8-AAAAA 4-2 46.46 42.52 192 [70]
164 [32] Monroe 1-Div A-AAAA 3-3 46.16 42.21 194 [43]
165 [6] Landmark Christian 5-A 5-1 46.06 30.23 307 [15]
166 [53] Chattahoochee 6-AAAAAA 2-4 45.99 51.48 88 [50]
167 [7] Tattnall Square 7-Div A-A 6-0 45.84 17.68 385 [58]
168 [47] LaGrange 1-AAAAA 3-4 45.71 48.15 120 [40]
169 [10] Macon County 4-AA 4-2 45.59 37.76 233 [17]
170 [48] Heritage (Conyers) 8-AAAAA 2-4 45.44 48.57 114 [38]
171 [11] Darlington 7-AA 6-1 45.42 27.98 323 [37]
172 [49] Northgate 4-Div A-AAAAA 3-3 45.32 43.93 176 [64]
173 [8] Charlton County 2-A 5-1 45.31 32.12 290 [12]
174 [9] Calvary Day 3-Div A-A 6-0 45.20 19.00 377 [51]
175 [50] Druid Hills 6-Div A-AAAAA 4-2 45.11 39.79 215 [75]
176 [12] Screven County 3-AA 7-0 45.10 17.40 388 [51]
177 [33] Thomson 3-AAAA 2-4 45.03 49.52 105 [16]
178 [34] White County 8-AAAA 3-3 44.75 45.61 151 [33]
179 [10] Dooly County 4-A 4-2 44.74 37.66 235 [5]
180 [13] Bleckley County 4-AA 2-4 44.63 50.94 90 [2]
181 [35] Arabia Mountain 6-AAAA 3-3 44.56 43.80 177 [38]
182 [51] Creekview 7-Div A-AAAAA 3-4 44.45 49.53 104 [32]
183 [21] Jackson 2-AAA 4-2 44.40 36.22 254 [27]
184 [36] Spalding 4-Div B-AAAA 4-2 44.29 36.94 242 [51]
185 [52] Union Grove 4-Div B-AAAAA 2-4 43.42 48.64 113 [37]
186 [14] Union County 8-AA 7-0 43.37 11.25 404 [54]
187 [54] Duluth 7-AAAAAA 1-6 43.19 67.33 14 [14]
188 [22] Jenkins 1-Div B-AAA 4-2 43.15 35.87 258 [29]
189 [53] South Effingham 3-AAAAA 2-4 43.14 48.66 112 [36]
190 [23] Washington 4-Div B-AAA 3-3 42.99 38.22 229 [20]
191 [54] Rome 7-Div A-AAAAA 1-4 42.97 47.62 126 [42]
192 [37] Northwest Whitfield 7-AAAA 3-3 42.81 39.56 218 [48]
193 [55] Richmond Hill 3-AAAAA 2-4 42.48 45.77 149 [51]
194 [15] Model 7-AA 6-1 42.38 28.72 319 [36]
195 [11] Clinch County 2-A 3-3 42.35 41.54 199 [3]
196 [16] Berrien 1-AA 3-3 42.28 47.78 125 [3]
197 [17] Jefferson County 3-AA 4-3 42.13 37.53 238 [19]
198 [38] Locust Grove 4-Div A-AAAA 4-2 42.09 36.20 255 [55]
199 [12] Pacelli 4-A 5-2 41.84 31.72 294 [14]
200 [56] Ola 4-Div B-AAAAA 3-3 41.79 41.86 197 [71]
201 [57] Forsyth Central 7-Div B-AAAAA 4-2 41.53 34.38 272 [85]
202 [55] Berkmar 8-AAAAAA 0-7 41.36 75.66 3 [3]
203 [58] M. L. King 6-Div A-AAAAA 0-6 41.34 63.05 27 [2]
204 [13] Savannah Christian 3-Div A-A 5-1 41.33 21.68 369 [47]
205 [39] Jonesboro 4-Div B-AAAA 1-5 41.23 57.96 50 [4]
206 [59] Statesboro 3-AAAAA 1-5 40.72 52.73 80 [20]
207 [60] Flowery Branch 8-AAAAA 2-4 40.65 45.32 159 [57]
208 [40] Lithonia 6-AAAA 3-4 40.53 46.35 136 [29]
209 [14] Emanuel County Institute 3-Div B-A 5-1 40.42 26.51 333 [24]
210 [61] Cass 7-Div A-AAAAA 3-4 40.41 47.12 133 [44]
211 [41] Howard 2-AAAA 3-3-1 40.37 43.17 183 [40]
212 [62] Riverwood 7-Div B-AAAAA 4-3 40.31 35.43 263 [83]
213 [42] Madison County 8-AAAA 4-2 40.17 34.31 274 [60]
214 [56] Campbell 3-AAAAAA 3-3 39.65 35.01 265 [64]
215 [43] Veterans 2-AAAA 0-6 39.63 61.68 34 [1]
216 [24] Decatur 4-Div B-AAA 3-3 39.62 43.24 182 [9]
217 [18] Early County 1-AA 2-4-1 39.39 41.29 203 [10]
218 [63] Shaw 1-AAAAA 4-3 38.94 34.49 271 [84]
219 [25] Oconee County 8-AAA 6-0 38.70 16.54 391 [65]
220 [19] B.E.S.T. Academy 6-AA 3-4 38.38 47.27 131 [4]
221 [20] Wesleyan 6-AA 5-2 38.10 27.06 329 [38]
222 [64] McIntosh 4-Div A-AAAAA 2-5 38.00 45.71 150 [52]
223 [44] Maynard Jackson 4-Div A-AAA 2-3 37.74 47.43 129 [27]
224 [15] Eagle's Landing Christian 5-A 1-6 37.09 53.15 74 [1]
225 [57] Johns Creek 6-AAAAAA 0-6 37.08 57.58 53 [40]
226 [16] Stratford Academy 7-Div A-A 3-3 37.01 33.91 277 [9]
227 [21] Washington-Wilkes 8-AA 4-2 36.92 29.41 312 [34]
228 [17] Greenville 4-A 3-3 36.75 36.87 243 [7]
229 [65] Grovetown 2-AAAAA 3-3 36.37 36.49 247 [81]
230 [18] Wilcox County 2-A 3-3 36.35 36.35 250 [8]
231 [19] Mount Pisgah Christian 6-Div B-A 4-2 36.33 29.08 315 [18]
232 [66] Dunwoody 6-Div A-AAAAA 3-3 36.32 39.71 217 [76]
233 [45] Perry 2-AAAA 1-6 36.31 53.62 70 [6]
234 [67] Lithia Springs 5-AAAAA 1-5 36.13 53.69 68 [16]
235 [46] Walnut Grove 4-Div A-AAAA 4-2 35.96 35.36 264 [57]
236 [22] Dublin 3-AA 4-3 35.95 29.62 309 [32]
237 [23] Bacon County 2-AA 3-3 35.78 34.33 273 [24]
238 [47] Crisp County 1-Div A-AAAA 2-5 35.67 53.04 77 [9]
239 [68] Richmond Academy 2-AAAAA 1-4-1 35.44 50.93 91 [26]
240 [48] Americus-Sumter 1-Div B-AAAA 2-5 35.24 46.03 144 [31]
241 [20] Our Lady of Mercy 5-A 5-2 35.13 18.87 380 [54]
242 [21] Brookstone 4-A 3-3 35.08 37.61 236 [6]
243 [69] Northside (Columbus) 1-AAAAA 2-4 34.84 42.62 190 [69]
244 [58] North Forsyth 6-AAAAAA 0-6 34.83 56.56 56 [43]
245 [26] Cedartown 5-AAA 1-5 34.83 45.86 148 [4]
246 [24] Pace Academy 6-AA 2-5 34.71 45.39 157 [6]
247 [25] Pelham 1-AA 3-3 34.57 39.09 219 [13]
248 [59] Pebblebrook 3-AAAAAA 2-4 34.31 42.97 185 [60]
249 [22] Pinecrest Academy 6-Div B-A 5-1 34.13 25.16 346 [34]
250 [49] Liberty County 3-AAAA 2-5 34.05 45.88 146 [32]
251 [23] Prince Avenue Christian 8-A 5-2 34.03 22.40 365 [43]
252 [70] Cedar Shoals 8-AAAAA 0-6 33.98 50.60 96 [29]
253 [24] First Presbyterian 7-Div A-A 4-2 33.78 28.45 321 [21]
254 [50] Henry County 4-Div A-AAAA 3-3 33.71 34.97 266 [58]
255 [26] Swainsboro 3-AA 3-3 33.59 32.80 284 [25]
256 [25] Claxton 3-Div A-A 5-1 33.34 21.75 368 [46]
257 [71] Banneker 6-Div B-AAAAA 0-6 33.21 56.52 57 [10]
258 [27] Coosa 7-AA 4-2 33.07 25.40 344 [41]
259 [28] Rabun County 8-AA 5-2 33.02 21.37 371 [46]
260 [29] Bremen 5-AA 4-2 32.96 24.08 356 [44]
261 [30] Seminole County 1-AA 2-4 32.90 40.26 212 [11]
262 [27] Sonoraville 6-AAA 4-3 32.87 29.75 308 [51]
263 [28] Morgan County 8-AAA 3-3 32.75 30.57 303 [48]
264 [51] Monroe Area 8-AAAA 0-6 32.71 50.28 98 [14]
265 [72] Apalachee 8-AAAAA 0-6 32.48 52.34 83 [22]
266 [29] Lumpkin County 7-AAA 4-3 32.36 30.77 301 [47]
267 [73] River Ridge 7-Div A-AAAAA 3-3 32.35 37.53 237 [80]
268 [52] Southeast Whitfield 7-AAAA 5-1 31.68 9.93 406 [68]
269 [60] Lakeside (Atlanta) 2-AAAAAA 3-4 31.47 35.71 261 [63]
270 [31] Northeast 4-AA 3-3 31.39 30.63 302 [31]
271 [53] North Hall 8-AAAA 0-6 31.36 59.30 47 [3]
272 [26] Calhoun County 1-A 5-2 31.16 25.10 348 [36]
273 [32] Monticello 4-AA 3-4 30.68 31.36 295 [29]
274 [30] Westside (Augusta) 3-AAA 3-3-1 30.43 28.64 320 [53]
275 [33] Heard County 5-AA 2-4 30.41 37.12 240 [20]
276 [27] Lincoln County 7-Div B-A 4-2 30.22 22.06 367 [45]
277 [28] Commerce 8-A 4-2 29.99 25.90 337 [27]
278 [31] Jackson County 8-AAA 1-6 29.86 43.34 180 [8]
279 [32] Tattnall County 1-Div A-AAA 3-4 29.65 35.93 256 [28]
280 [29] Johnson County 3-Div B-A 3-4 29.58 27.34 327 [23]
281 [30] Telfair County 2-A 4-2 29.41 24.81 351 [38]
282 [54] Riverdale 4-Div B-AAAA 3-3 29.35 28.17 322 [63]
283 [33] Southwest 2-AAA 3-3 29.34 36.40 249 [26]
284 [34] East Hall 7-AAA 2-4 29.30 37.42 239 [22]
286 [74] North Springs 7-Div B-AAAAA 1-5 28.97 45.20 160 [58]
285 [31] Hancock Central 7-Div B-A 4-3 28.97 25.26 345 [33]
287 [55] Chestatee 8-AAAA 1-5 28.51 47.62 127 [25]
288 [75] Columbus 1-AAAAA 2-5 28.36 40.59 208 [73]
289 [35] Central (Macon) 2-AAA 2-4 28.31 38.20 230 [21]
290 [34] Metter 3-AA 2-4 28.10 32.72 285 [26]
291 [76] Bradwell Institute 3-AAAAA 0-6 27.92 50.68 94 [27]
292 [36] Rutland 2-AAA 2-5 27.84 38.53 226 [18]
293 [35] Hapeville 6-AA 3-4 27.73 35.51 262 [22]
294 [32] Athens Christian 8-A 4-3 27.67 18.95 379 [53]
295 [33] Atkinson County 2-A 4-2 27.65 23.55 359 [40]
296 [34] Mount Zion (Carroll) 6-Div A-A 5-2 27.58 15.33 397 [64]
297 [77] Chapel Hill 5-AAAAA 0-6 27.26 52.76 79 [19]
298 [35] St. Francis 6-Div B-A 4-2 27.25 16.04 393 [61]
299 [56] Pike County 4-Div B-AAAA 1-5 27.14 42.80 187 [41]
300 [37] Towers 4-Div A-AAA 1-4 27.08 41.49 200 [13]
301 [38] Kendrick 2-AAA 2-4 26.84 41.21 204 [14]
302 [57] Chamblee 6-AAAA 1-5 26.74 34.86 268 [59]
303 [39] Toombs County 1-Div A-AAA 2-4 26.64 42.54 191 [11]
304 [40] North Clayton 4-Div A-AAA 2-4 26.45 34.73 270 [33]
305 [36] Dade County 7-AA 1-5 26.36 44.62 169 [8]
306 [58] Heritage (Ringgold) 7-AAAA 3-3 25.97 30.32 306 [62]
307 [78] Morrow 4-Div A-AAAAA 1-6 25.88 47.00 134 [45]
308 [41] Dawson County 7-AAA 1-5 25.83 36.64 245 [25]
309 [37] Holy Innocents 6-AA 2-5 25.69 32.52 287 [27]
310 [38] Greene County 8-AA 3-4 25.54 29.45 311 [33]
311 [39] Manchester 5-AA 2-4 25.49 31.27 296 [30]
312 [42] Southeast Bulloch 1-Div B-AAA 2-4 25.38 33.46 280 [37]
313 [61] Osborne 4-AAAAAA† 1-5 25.31 41.02 205 [62]
314 [43] Spencer 2-AAA 1-5 25.27 44.09 173 [7]
315 [40] Bryan County 2-AA 2-4 25.05 32.32 288 [28]
316 [44] Rockmart 5-AAA 2-4 25.01 31.20 297 [43]
317 [79] Woodland (Cartersville) 7-Div A-AAAAA 0-6 24.97 44.90 163 [60]
318 [62] Alcovy 2-AAAAAA 0-7 24.80 49.57 102 [52]
319 [45] Therrell 4-Div B-AAA 2-4 24.68 40.34 210 [15]
320 [46] Jordan 2-AAA 2-5 24.46 32.14 289 [40]
321 [36] Mount de Sales 7-Div A-A 3-3 24.13 25.16 347 [35]
322 [37] George Walton Academy 8-A 4-2 24.05 9.73 407 [68]
323 [47] Brantley County 1-Div A-AAA 2-4 23.84 34.89 267 [32]
324 [38] Christian Heritage 6-Div A-A 3-4 23.30 28.90 317 [20]
325 [48] North Murray 6-AAA 3-3 23.22 20.50 373 [64]
326 [39] Trion 6-Div A-A 4-2 23.14 14.49 399 [66]
327 [41] Jeff Davis 2-AA 4-2 22.78 17.56 387 [50]
328 [40] Turner County 2-A 3-3 22.75 23.74 358 [39]
329 [59] Johnson (Gainesville) 8-AAAA† 2-5 22.68 32.67 286 [61]
330 [63] Habersham Central 6-AAAAAA 0-6 22.65 56.02 60 [45]
331 [41] Schley County 4-A 3-3 22.59 26.20 335 [26]
332 [80] Cross Creek 2-AAAAA 1-5 22.42 48.74 111 [35]
333 [60] Redan 6-AAAA 1-6 22.39 43.30 181 [39]
334 [42] Savannah Country Day 3-Div A-A 2-4 22.31 29.04 316 [19]
335 [49] Fannin County 7-AAA 3-3 21.95 23.23 363 [62]
336 [50] Pepperell 5-AAA 1-5 21.74 33.26 282 [38]
337 [43] Mitchell County 1-A 2-4 21.36 27.79 325 [22]
338 [61] Dougherty 1-Div B-AAAA 2-3 21.16 27.96 324 [64]
339 [81] Forest Park 4-Div A-AAAAA 0-6 20.67 50.62 95 [28]
340 [51] Franklin County 7-AAA 2-4 20.35 31.08 299 [45]
341 [82] Greenbrier 2-AAAAA 1-5 19.84 45.39 156 [55]
342 [64] Meadowcreek 7-AAAAAA 1-6 19.62 66.49 15 [15]
343 [44] Whitefield Academy 6-Div B-A 3-3 19.42 18.99 378 [52]
344 [83] North Atlanta 7-Div B-AAAAA 1-6 19.19 43.47 179 [66]
345 [42] Groves 2-AA 4-2 19.18 11.15 405 [55]
346 [45] Athens Academy 8-A 2-3 19.09 16.65 390 [59]
347 [52] Johnson (Savannah) 1-Div B-AAA 1-4 18.97 23.89 357 [61]
348 [46] Wilkinson County 7-Div A-A 2-4 18.73 24.83 350 [37]
349 [43] Long County 2-AA 2-4 18.66 28.86 318 [35]
350 [47] Strong Rock Christian 5-A 3-3 18.51 25.74 339 [29]
351 [53] Butler 3-AAA 2-3 18.49 25.51 343 [57]
352 [48] Taylor County 4-A 1-4-1 18.42 25.68 340 [30]
353 [54] McNair 4-Div A-AAA 1-5 18.01 30.36 305 [50]
354 [44] Chattahoochee County 5-AA 4-2 17.98 13.07 402 [53]
355 [49] Jenkins County 3-Div A-A 4-2 17.95 16.07 392 [60]
356 [62] Mount Zion (Jonesboro) 4-Div B-AAAA 0-6 17.48 42.41 193 [42]
357 [55] Banks County 7-AAA 3-3 17.34 15.53 396 [66]
358 [45] East Laurens 3-AA 2-3-1 17.17 18.11 383 [48]
359 [50] Miller County 1-A 2-4 16.45 29.37 313 [16]
360 [56] Beach 1-Div B-AAA 2-5 16.42 26.94 331 [56]
361 [63] Stone Mountain 6-AAAA 0-6 16.22 53.06 76 [8]
362 [51] Fellowship Christian 6-Div B-A 3-3 16.22 14.78 398 [65]
363 [46] Riverside Military Academy 8-AA 1-5 16.21 26.10 336 [40]
364 [57] Douglass 4-Div B-AAA 2-4 15.87 32.07 291 [41]
365 [47] Chattooga 7-AA 2-4 15.32 23.33 362 [45]
366 [64] LaFayette 7-AAAA 2-4 15.04 23.46 361 [66]
368 [84] Hardaway 1-AAAAA 0-7 14.80 44.88 165 [61]
367 [65] Albany 1-Div A-AAAA 0-6 14.80 36.24 253 [54]
369 [58] Hephzibah 3-AAA 4-2 13.71 2.06 414 [69]
370 [48] McIntosh County Academy 2-AA 0-6 13.31 38.94 220 [14]
371 [52] Portal 3-Div A-A 2-4 12.96 23.47 360 [41]
372 [49] Putnam County 4-AA 2-5 12.85 24.53 353 [43]
373 [59] South Atlanta 4-Div A-AAA 1-5 12.65 27.30 328 [55]
374 [60] Haralson County 5-AAA 1-5 12.25 33.20 283 [39]
375 [50] Gordon Lee 7-AA 2-5 11.22 20.45 374 [47]
376 [53] Terrell County 1-A 0-5 10.89 38.55 224 [4]
377 [61] Savannah 1-Div B-AAA 1-5 9.59 31.16 298 [44]
378 [54] Walker 6-Div A-A 1-6 9.23 29.10 314 [17]
379 [55] Lanier County 2-A 1-5 9.23 22.54 364 [42]
380 [56] Central (Talbotton) 4-A 2-5 8.75 26.44 334 [25]
381 [57] Montgomery County 3-Div B-A 2-5 8.68 20.31 375 [49]
382 [58] Randolph-Clay 1-A 2-5 8.40 19.50 376 [50]
383 [59] Hebron Christian Academy 8-A 4-3 8.25 0.93 416 [73]
384 [62] Glenn Hills 3-AAA 0-6 8.17 52.44 82 [2]
385 [85] Clarkston 6-Div A-AAAAA† 0-7 8.13 46.29 139 [48]
386 [66] Hampton 4-Div A-AAAA 0-5 7.01 53.18 72 [7]
387 [63] Josey 3-AAA 1-5 6.04 24.22 354 [59]
388 [60] King's Ridge Christian 6-Div B-A 0-6 5.97 25.60 341 [31]
389 [51] K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate 6-AA 1-6 5.46 34.77 269 [23]
390 [64] Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe 6-AAA 3-4 5.37 12.15 403 [67]
391 [61] Georgia Military College 7-Div B-A 1-5 4.99 33.63 278 [10]
392 [62] Treutlen 3-Div B-A 1-6 4.56 20.52 372 [48]
393 [52] Crawford County 4-AA† 4-4 3.84 3.85 412 [57]
394 [67] Windsor Forest 3-AAAA 0-6 3.29 27.06 330 [65]
395 [65] Gordon Central 6-AAA 1-6 3.11 27.40 326 [54]
396 [53] Oglethorpe County 8-AA 0-6 2.21 38.89 221 [15]
397 [63] Twiggs County 7-Div A-A 0-6 1.79 25.83 338 [28]
398 [54] Temple 5-AA 2-4 0.18 9.25 408 [56]
399 [64] Warren County 7-Div B-A 2-5 0.15 17.96 384 [57]
400 [65] Wheeler County 3-Div B-A 1-5 -0.10 15.79 395 [63]
401 [66] East Jackson 8-AAA 1-6 -0.95 24.16 355 [60]
402 [66] Lakeview Academy 8-A 2-4 -2.20 5.07 410 [69]
403 [67] Islands 1-Div B-AAA 1-5 -3.10 24.98 349 [58]
404 [55] Armuchee 7-AA 1-6 -3.29 17.00 389 [52]
405 [67] Baconton 1-A 1-6 -5.09 18.44 381 [55]
406 [68] Murray County 6-AAA 1-5 -5.23 21.40 370 [63]
407 [68] Towns County 8-A 1-6 -6.61 15.99 394 [62]
408 [56] Harlem 3-AA 1-6 -7.08 24.81 352 [42]
409 [69] Mount Vernon Presbyterian 5-A 2-4 -7.20 2.07 413 [71]
410 [68] New Hampstead 3-AAAA† 1-6 -8.66 13.27 401 [67]
411 [70] Stewart County 1-A† 0-7 -10.16 13.66 400 [67]
412 [71] North Cobb Christian 6-Div A-A† 2-4 -10.31 4.02 411 [70]
413 [57] Social Circle 8-AA 0-6 -11.02 17.67 386 [49]
414 [69] Coahulla Creek 6-AAA 0-6 -16.95 9.23 409 [68]
415 [72] Glascock County 7-Div B-A† 0-7 -20.68 1.54 415 [72]
416 [69] Cross Keys 6-AAAA† 0-3 -25.23 -0.94 417 [69]
417 [73] Providence Christian 8-A 0-6 -30.51 18.36 382 [56]
†-Plays non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the rating required to win 80% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition, and its “Average Rating”, which is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Competitive Average
1 1 - AAAAAA 98.94 79.87
2 7 - AAAAAA 87.75 68.02
3 8 - AAAAAA 86.37 67.83
4 4 - AAAAAA 82.05 66.35
5 5 - AAAAAA 81.53 65.04
6 5 - AAAA 79.41 60.10
7 2 - AAAAAA 78.51 54.74
8 5 - AAAAA 75.15 56.78
9 3 - AAAAAA 74.15 55.65
10 3 - AAAAA 72.75 52.33
11 6 - AAAAA 70.22 53.16
6 - Div B - AAAAA 77.26 59.94
6 - Div A - AAAAA 62.92 48.38
12 6 - AAAAAA 67.89 49.68
13 2 - AAAAA 67.51 48.16
14 8 - AAA 66.91 42.92
15 8 - AAAAA 66.19 48.32
16 8 - AAAA 64.72 44.21
17 6 - AAAA 64.44 44.65
18 2 - AAAA 64.32 47.83
19 1 - AA 64.20 46.42
20 1 - AAAA 64.09 44.52
1 - Div A - AAAA 68.82 47.05
1 - Div B - AAAA 59.32 42.70
21 1 - AAAAA 63.14 41.25
22 7 - AAAA 63.09 42.72
23 7 - AAAAA 61.99 43.00
7 - Div B - AAAAA 62.24 43.02
7 - Div A - AAAAA 61.73 42.97
24 4 - AAAAA 61.90 45.41
4 - Div B - AAAAA 62.42 47.67
4 - Div A - AAAAA 61.37 42.80
25 6 - AA 60.41 36.72
26 4 - AAA 60.29 34.87
4 - Div B - AAA 69.21 42.86
4 - Div A - AAA 49.46 28.60
27 2 - AAA 59.84 35.12
28 6 - AAA 58.23 22.75
29 4 - AAAA 57.68 37.63
4 - Div B - AAAA 61.29 36.76
4 - Div A - AAAA 55.52 38.41
30 2 - AA 55.95 29.45
31 3 - AAAA 55.89 40.28
32 4 - A 54.87 35.88
33 5 - AAA 54.85 32.70
34 3 - AAA 54.82 24.08
35 4 - AA 53.03 37.33
36 2 - A 51.44 33.55
37 1 - AAA 50.78 30.09
1 - Div A - AAA 57.34 39.94
1 - Div B - AAA 37.29 17.96
38 3 - AA 47.74 30.14
39 5 - A 47.59 28.65
40 7 - AA 45.03 24.94
41 5 - AA 44.58 26.31
42 7 - AAA 44.15 27.28
43 7 - A 44.10 25.71
7 - Div A - A 45.83 27.66
7 - Div B - A 41.67 22.85
44 3 - A 43.23 23.33
3 - Div A - A 46.78 28.73
3 - Div B - A 37.43 15.34
45 8 - AA 42.61 22.62
46 6 - A 40.93 24.47
6 - Div A - A 41.88 25.76
6 - Div B - A 40.18 23.43
47 8 - A 34.15 14.12
48 1 - A 28.98 14.00

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct Likelihood
10/10 Mount Pisgah Christian Fellowship Christian 28 - 33 19.21 87.2% 0.201
10/03 Walton Pope 36 - 44 17.31 85.0% 0.213
10/03 Roswell Wheeler 14 - 28 13.20 78.9% 0.255
08/29 North Gwinnett North Cobb 29 - 36 14.03 80.3% 0.266
09/19 Milton Roswell 31 - 33 14.47 80.9% 0.282
10/03 Washington-Wilkes Greene County 7 - 16 12.29 77.4% 0.286
09/19 Northside (Warner Robins) Jones County 37 - 45 11.56 76.1% 0.302
08/23 Monroe Perry 14 - 21 10.76 74.6% 0.319
09/19 Eastside Jonesboro 21 - 27 10.94 74.9% 0.320
08/22 Fayette County McIntosh 25 - 28 11.46 75.9% 0.325
10/10 Riverwood North Springs 17 - 24 10.43 73.9% 0.325
10/03 Wesleyan Hapeville 9 - 12 11.28 75.6% 0.327
09/05 Butler Josey 20 - 22 11.54 76.0% 0.328
09/26 Westside (Augusta) Butler 27 - 29 11.04 75.1% 0.336
08/29 Wesleyan East Hall 13 - 20 9.71 72.5% 0.337

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct
88.89 10/03 Colquitt County Lowndes 45 - 27 18.35 86.2%
87.20 09/05 Buford McEachern 27 - 20 10.27 73.6%
85.61 10/24 Grayson Dacula - 4.84 61.9%
85.34 08/23 North Gwinnett McEachern 52 - 49 0.64 51.6%
85.13 10/03 North Gwinnett Norcross 10 - 17 1.82 54.5%
84.32 09/05 Milton Norcross 26 - 0 0.02 50.1%
83.42 10/31 Lowndes Valdosta - 5.28 62.9%
83.11 08/23 Norcross Tucker 32 - 29 2.89 57.2%
83.09 10/17 Colquitt County Valdosta - 22.72 90.7%
82.73 09/05 Grayson Hughes 26 - 16 8.37 69.8%
80.63 09/05 North Gwinnett Hillgrove 28 - 21 6.87 66.5%
80.61 09/12 Grayson Archer 14 - 10 10.64 74.3%
80.51 11/07 McEachern Hillgrove - 6.22 65.1%
80.03 10/10 North Gwinnett Peachtree Ridge 51 - 24 7.57 68.1%
79.95 08/22 Sandy Creek Archer 21 - 13 7.83 68.6%

About the Author

Todd Holcomb

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