Sports

Maxwell Round 1 Playoff Projections

By Todd Holcomb
Nov 12, 2014

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a simulation of the 2014 playoff brackets.  The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the playoff brackets.

Class AAAAAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth 2nd Qtr Semi Finals Champion Odds
Colquitt County R1-1 1 10-0 108.51 72.65 4.51 998,353 949,541 907,765 860,597 794,140 0.26
Valdosta R1-2 2 9-1 87.93 78.54 2.57 966,366 656,928 522,835 355,436 65,846 14.19
Lee County R1-3 3 7-2 86.18 81.44 2.22 825,922 600,533 481,890 265,562 43,799 21.83
North Gwinnett R7-1 6 8-2 81.50 77.82 1.52 835,895 320,971 222,440 121,773 15,902 61.88
Mill Creek R7-2 4 7-3 82.87 84.99 1.12 547,358 320,563 217,216 24,725 12,039 82.06
Milton R5-1 9 9-1 79.85 77.56 1.70 955,084 656,580 50,762 26,345 11,361 87.02
McEachern R4-2 10 7-3 79.42 80.49 1.77 811,533 631,391 292,097 26,148 10,649 92.91
Grayson R8-3 5 9-1 81.85 85.80 0.89 452,642 253,815 162,881 17,148 7,710 128.70
Archer R8-1 12 7-3 77.75 82.08 1.15 658,136 255,012 168,869 65,988 6,702 148.20
Tift County R1-4 8 7-3 80.95 85.56 0.98 559,467 247,197 153,288 15,109 6,395 155.38
Westlake R3-1 15 8-1 75.72 74.92 1.60 841,975 533,128 155,810 64,993 5,721 173.79
Dacula R8-2 7 9-1 81.30 84.99 0.73 651,128 37,995 22,116 11,945 5,379 184.91
Hillgrove R4-1 16 7-3 74.27 77.96 1.71 836,443 601,274 205,533 65,242 5,168 192.49
Tucker R2-1 13 8-2 77.68 84.80 0.73 440,533 178,425 103,930 8,720 3,335 298.89
Etowah R5-2 19 8-2 72.13 78.07 1.48 931,884 422,130 89,614 29,772 1,898 525.85
North Cobb R4-3 17 7-3 73.67 84.82 0.72 521,736 186,234 7,985 2,766 765 1,306.69
Peachtree Ridge R7-3 14 7-3 75.94 86.71 0.37 348,872 12,414 5,549 2,205 707 1,413.63
Norcross R7-4 20 7-3 72.08 84.49 0.48 341,864 83,531 42,291 10,613 650 1,537.75
Roswell R5-3 23 7-3 67.84 79.38 1.21 810,920 317,101 66,119 12,193 536 1,863.56
Hughes R3-2 21 8-2 71.92 84.57 0.64 478,264 153,283 5,803 1,866 474 2,107.80
Lovejoy R2-2 22 7-3 69.73 84.20 0.27 174,078 60,924 28,397 6,238 329 3,035.86
Alpharetta R6-1 24 9-1 67.58 80.63 0.80 577,373 179,238 38,858 1,492 289 3,456.03
East Coweta R3-3 26 8-2 65.70 83.81 0.29 188,467 89,239 15,481 465 71 14,034.75
Cherokee R5-4 27 7-3 65.34 83.00 0.54 422,627 100,132 16,249 469 69 14,583.92
Central Gwinnett R8-4 25 6-4 66.10 85.33 0.19 164,105 18,870 5,837 1,221 46 21,862.20
Douglas County R3-4 33 5-5 58.83 84.63 0.23 163,557 55,604 5,366 471 9 108,054.33
North Paulding R4-4 31 4-6 59.87 83.40 0.20 158,025 39,492 2,904 374 8 123,614.18
Lambert R6-2 42 7-3 52.40 81.87 0.22 189,080 26,021 1,536 79 1 1,115,630.18
Newton R2-3 37 5-3 55.23 85.63 0.04 33,634 3,231 443 40 1 1,747,529.20
Northview R6-4 44 7-3 50.16 86.54 0.05 44,916 3,903 19 1 27,595,628.28
South Forsyth R6-3 48 6-4 46.85 83.71 0.07 68,116 5,250 117 5 31,427,673.92
Rockdale County R2-4 50 5-5 45.32 87.23 0.00 1,647 50 2 679,946,259.28

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
1-AAAAAA 910,180 0.10
7-AAAAAA 29,298 33.13
5-AAAAAA 13,864 71.13
4-AAAAAA 16,590 59.28
8-AAAAAA 19,837 49.41
3-AAAAAA 6,276 158.34
2-AAAAAA 3,664 271.90
6-AAAAAA 290 3,444.55

Region versus Region

Matchup Projection 4-0 3-1 2-2 1-3 0-4
1-AAAAAA versus 2-AAAAAA 3.35 - 0.65 44.6% 46.1% 9.0% 0.3% 0.0%
3-AAAAAA versus 4-AAAAAA 1.67 - 2.33 1.2% 13.3% 42.5% 37.3% 5.6%
5-AAAAAA versus 6-AAAAAA 3.12 - 0.88 30.5% 52.4% 15.7% 1.3% 0.0%
7-AAAAAA versus 8-AAAAAA 2.07 - 1.93 5.5% 26.3% 41.7% 23.4% 3.2%

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.

Class AAAAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth 2nd Qtr Semi Finals Champion Odds
Allatoona R5-1 1 10-0 88.57 63.83 3.88 964,974 863,731 812,797 682,570 557,829 0.79
Ware County R3-1 2 10-0 78.49 67.44 2.57 947,549 636,565 491,865 353,804 139,302 6.18
Northside (Warner Robins) R2-1 3 9-1 75.63 60.82 2.51 985,036 716,397 539,451 169,967 96,021 9.41
Alexander R5-3 5 8-2 72.74 69.15 1.99 789,680 621,022 366,782 165,333 44,775 21.33
Houston County R2-2 6 8-2 71.09 65.89 2.24 943,214 686,917 399,365 167,856 41,302 23.21
South Paulding R5-2 4 8-2 74.24 72.63 1.32 695,720 280,518 190,673 117,776 35,082 27.50
Kell R7-1 12 10-0 67.40 67.33 1.67 898,348 526,211 159,791 74,932 15,303 64.35
Coffee R3-2 7 9-1 69.65 69.94 1.07 813,361 118,181 82,292 36,767 15,068 65.37
Dalton R7-2 10 8-2 67.75 68.47 1.40 916,215 278,610 161,187 30,508 11,209 88.22
Jones County R2-3 11 8-2 67.46 70.83 1.28 733,020 382,741 107,898 47,562 9,144 108.36
New Manchester R5-4 8 6-4 67.95 71.55 1.07 517,743 383,198 135,169 25,461 9,065 109.31
Creekside R6-1 14 8-2 66.36 70.58 0.99 482,257 358,505 123,124 22,473 7,899 125.60
Lanier R8-1 17 10-0 62.73 66.23 1.09 708,477 250,004 99,818 26,193 3,848 258.89
Mays R6-3 13 8-2 66.85 74.70 0.44 304,280 77,666 38,676 16,499 3,041 327.83
Stockbridge R4-1 22 8-2 61.00 68.37 1.12 767,099 246,540 87,257 20,255 2,614 381.59
Harris County R1-1 19 8-2 61.85 68.91 0.84 498,000 296,452 31,786 9,357 2,445 407.99
Warner Robins R2-4 15 6-4 62.81 70.11 0.83 502,000 289,476 30,515 8,904 2,258 441.93
Gainesville R8-2 21 8-2 61.15 68.86 1.15 749,885 352,885 33,592 8,992 2,135 467.40
Stephenson R6-2 24 7-3 58.63 71.42 0.35 210,320 103,046 29,766 5,496 554 1,803.97
Glynn Academy R3-3 25 7-3 57.02 71.45 0.66 499,000 132,912 21,229 1,875 312 3,201.50
Drew R4-2 28 7-3 56.18 71.11 0.65 501,000 125,385 19,254 1,632 265 3,774.86
Carver (Columbus) R1-2 26 8-2 56.48 72.46 0.36 266,980 76,670 9,536 2,180 185 5,415.88
Sequoyah R7-4 31 5-5 54.73 71.06 0.36 291,523 53,714 11,824 1,522 109 9,201.54
Mundy's Mill R4-3 29 7-3 55.81 73.26 0.20 186,639 9,357 3,384 602 91 11,001.95
Carver (Atlanta) R6-4 27 8-2 56.29 73.62 0.05 35,026 8,731 3,192 580 89 11,180.40
Creekview R7-3 34 6-4 51.05 71.38 0.31 250,115 61,187 2,443 295 30 33,564.28
Brunswick R3-4 36 6-4 49.96 71.82 0.27 232,901 29,392 4,284 365 17 58,176.16
Starr's Mill R4-4 35 6-4 50.43 75.08 0.06 52,451 5,252 864 114 6 178,127.98
Winder-Barrow R8-4 41 6-4 46.49 73.66 0.12 101,652 14,378 697 66 2 441,480.28
LaGrange R1-3 46 5-5 43.87 71.89 0.07 56,786 9,365 904 45 1 812,593.49
Salem R8-3 44 6-4 44.71 73.59 0.09 83,785 4,235 548 17 1 1,010,769.11
Northside (Columbus) R1-4 63 4-6 34.64 73.86 0.02 14,964 758 38 100,431,381.65

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
5-AAAAA 646,751 0.55
3-AAAAA 154,699 5.46
2-AAAAA 148,725 5.72
7-AAAAA 26,650 36.52
6-AAAAA 11,583 85.33
8-AAAAA 5,986 166.06
4-AAAAA 2,975 335.13
1-AAAAA 2,631 379.10

Region versus Region

Matchup Projection 4-0 3-1 2-2 1-3 0-4
1-AAAAA versus 2-AAAAA 0.84 - 3.16 0.0% 1.0% 15.9% 48.9% 34.2%
3-AAAAA versus 4-AAAAA 2.49 - 1.51 9.0% 41.0% 40.7% 8.9% 0.4%
5-AAAAA versus 6-AAAAA 2.97 - 1.03 27.4% 45.9% 22.8% 3.7% 0.1%
7-AAAAA versus 8-AAAAA 2.36 - 1.64 6.0% 33.8% 50.5% 9.3% 0.5%

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.

Class AAAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth 2nd Qtr Semi Finals Champion Odds
Buford R8-1 1 10-0 91.07 58.23 4.33 995,517 943,523 882,318 779,151 727,862 0.37
Cartersville R7-1 2 9-1 73.29 62.11 2.49 952,438 799,845 538,409 113,705 80,936 11.36
Woodward Academy R5-1 4 8-2 67.57 55.42 2.83 965,710 873,817 545,074 382,558 63,143 14.84
Sandy Creek R5-2 3 9-1 69.80 64.28 2.14 876,749 792,681 371,963 59,261 36,650 26.29
Cairo R1-1 5 8-2 65.67 61.45 1.97 849,156 592,982 300,977 199,325 28,778 33.75
St. Pius X R6-1 11 8-2 61.40 57.91 1.99 742,882 665,314 400,328 161,949 17,014 57.77
West Laurens R2-1 10 7-3 61.49 61.55 1.72 732,237 524,709 317,296 129,018 13,649 72.27
Griffin R4-1 6 10-0 65.53 63.04 1.62 970,316 555,686 55,673 21,748 11,718 84.34
North Oconee R8-2 12 7-3 60.27 64.96 1.25 755,470 310,558 114,934 59,953 5,386 184.68
Mary Persons R2-2 8 8-2 64.66 68.78 0.87 785,161 51,212 25,171 8,880 4,418 225.35
Marist R6-2 7 9-1 64.70 70.39 0.92 597,486 282,316 24,814 8,775 4,374 227.62
Worth County R1-2 13 6-3 59.28 68.88 0.85 654,753 140,682 50,543 3,787 1,410 708.28
Pickens R7-2 15 8-2 54.35 64.00 0.96 603,244 229,226 99,334 24,086 1,325 753.74
Whitewater R5-3 9 7-3 61.63 71.46 0.58 402,514 160,911 10,925 3,092 1,310 762.21
Fayette County R5-4 20 4-6 51.67 63.45 0.52 257,118 188,606 65,773 12,878 547 1,827.87
Bainbridge R1-4 18 6-4 52.31 65.81 0.45 267,763 123,209 47,289 9,722 437 2,287.93
Stephens County R8-3 22 7-3 51.04 65.08 0.57 396,756 122,855 44,544 8,329 335 2,984.51
Baldwin R2-3 16 6-4 53.76 70.52 0.41 345,247 49,948 12,564 590 152 6,574.55
Burke County R3-2 28 6-4 47.56 63.57 0.76 653,849 87,322 16,652 4,154 125 7,998.53
Gilmer R7-3 23 8-2 49.87 67.45 0.31 244,530 52,757 10,156 2,929 106 9,428.74
Columbia R6-3 21 7-3 51.06 68.45 0.21 123,251 73,471 10,336 385 81 12,277.95
Veterans R2-4 25 3-7 49.27 67.85 0.20 150,844 43,703 8,043 2,200 75 13,283.22
Wayne County R3-1 27 5-5 48.30 64.97 0.72 609,688 94,372 11,661 375 69 14,468.35
Eastside R4-2 32 6-4 42.54 61.12 0.81 675,682 114,154 21,954 2,078 39 25,489.86
Westover R1-3 17 6-4 52.58 71.72 0.22 214,839 4,887 1,071 156 37 27,061.73
Locust Grove R4-3 33 8-2 42.08 65.12 0.38 346,151 30,490 3,633 592 10 96,101.47
Eagle's Landing R4-4 30 8-2 44.72 67.58 0.43 390,312 39,476 3,281 69 9 114,882.57
White County R8-4 31 6-4 44.20 71.46 0.06 47,562 9,524 1,243 25 3 332,586.34
Thomson R3-3 44 4-6 36.08 62.87 0.36 324,318 31,926 3,482 181 2 557,515.23
Lithonia R6-4 47 6-4 35.07 66.49 0.04 34,290 8,371 530 47 2,380,915.67
Southeast Whitfield R7-4 39 6-4 37.92 72.07 0.00 4,483 377 23 1 15,362,595.37
Liberty County R3-4 51 4-6 31.54 72.15 0.03 29,684 1,087 5 234,851,364.49

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
8-AAAA 733,585 0.36
5-AAAA 101,650 8.84
7-AAAA 82,367 11.14
1-AAAA 30,662 31.61
6-AAAA 21,470 45.58
2-AAAA 18,294 53.66
4-AAAA 11,776 83.92
3-AAAA 196 5,103.20

Region versus Region

Matchup Projection 4-0 3-1 2-2 1-3 0-4
1-AAAA versus 2-AAAA 1.99 - 2.01 3.2% 22.7% 46.7% 24.4% 3.0%
3-AAAA versus 4-AAAA 1.62 - 2.38 0.4% 13.8% 41.9% 35.1% 8.9%
5-AAAA versus 6-AAAA 2.50 - 1.50 8.8% 39.9% 44.4% 6.8% 0.2%
7-AAAA versus 8-AAAA 1.80 - 2.20 0.1% 14.2% 53.2% 31.0% 1.4%

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.

Class AAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth 2nd Qtr Semi Finals Champion Odds
Peach County R2-1 1 10-0 85.25 62.62 3.49 986,494 945,894 623,380 563,742 371,384 1.69
Washington County R3-1 2 10-0 81.05 56.26 3.80 989,260 958,024 925,091 620,999 309,708 2.23
Calhoun R6-1 3 10-0 79.53 54.77 2.78 997,230 938,918 367,574 309,706 162,858 5.14
Blessed Trinity R4-1 4 10-0 76.09 55.81 2.64 997,569 839,869 507,458 213,563 83,110 11.03
Jefferson R8-1 5 10-0 73.43 61.58 2.08 994,541 627,801 308,877 112,404 37,643 25.57
Westside (Macon) R2-2 6 9-1 70.15 71.18 1.48 912,376 366,044 145,675 41,582 10,813 91.48
Central (Carrollton) R5-1 7 9-0 64.52 62.57 1.94 961,948 568,383 352,073 50,500 10,494 94.29
Hart County R8-2 9 9-1 63.03 61.73 2.09 959,379 729,708 347,806 41,011 7,102 139.80
Westminster (Atlanta) R4-3 8 9-1 63.88 67.03 1.51 838,214 403,584 229,877 29,085 5,357 185.67
Adairsville R6-2 10 9-1 60.66 67.71 1.17 962,203 159,699 37,532 5,885 784 1,275.26
Cook R1-1 13 8-2 52.41 59.78 1.15 837,263 250,139 63,365 3,148 239 4,189.02
Elbert County R8-3 11 7-3 55.33 67.33 0.99 929,759 50,245 5,188 1,590 144 6,965.70
West Hall R7-1 17 9-1 48.61 63.41 1.12 723,122 375,071 22,177 1,779 93 10,721.21
Cedar Grove R4-2 12 8-2 53.51 67.52 0.97 907,207 60,038 3,714 1,041 81 12,399.31
Ringgold R6-3 14 8-2 49.60 66.03 0.68 636,221 29,384 15,444 1,226 64 15,558.32
Pierce County R1-2 16 7-2 48.65 66.19 0.82 517,743 283,300 15,932 1,187 58 17,138.73
Jackson R2-3 15 7-3 48.80 66.55 0.76 482,257 265,588 14,884 1,098 54 18,639.20
Laney R3-2 19 7-3 46.57 70.01 0.19 161,786 25,558 5,574 149 6 162,496.64
Callaway R5-2 21 6-3 43.15 66.84 0.38 363,779 9,949 3,792 170 5 197,440.84
Oconee County R8-4 22 7-3 39.87 67.91 0.36 276,878 76,041 2,065 66 1 714,345.19
Dodge County R1-3 18 8-2 47.58 76.09 0.09 87,624 6,085 453 29 1 784,971.61
Appling County R1-4 20 7-3 43.20 76.10 0.02 13,506 3,448 130 15 2,193,537.19
Maynard Jackson R4-4 24 7-3 36.68 69.38 0.01 10,740 2,644 614 14 4,434,318.28
Central (Macon) R2-4 23 5-5 36.89 67.84 0.18 162,737 13,751 862 9 6,824,525.97
East Hall R7-3 29 6-4 32.27 68.31 0.05 40,621 6,402 271 2 53,030,448.16
Sonoraville R6-4 28 6-4 33.08 71.23 0.04 38,052 2,475 174 1 71,134,419.42
Westside (Augusta) R3-3 32 4-5-1 31.57 72.37 0.09 92,793 889 8 296,150,914.39
Lumpkin County R7-2 36 5-5 28.64 72.20 0.07 70,241 413 4 955,862,271.27
Cedartown R5-3 34 3-7 29.15 74.44 0.04 37,797 386 5 1,819,725,248.08
Rockmart R5-4 48 3-7 21.53 72.77 0.00 2,770 155 1 32,982,007,377.24
Franklin County R7-4 45 4-6 22.24 76.22 0.01 5,459 70 76,037,202,486.96
Hephzibah R3-4 53 6-4 16.78 74.56 0.00 2,431 46 591,332,204,453.15

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
2-AAA 382,251 1.62
3-AAA 309,714 2.23
6-AAA 163,705 5.11
4-AAA 88,548 10.29
8-AAA 44,890 21.28
5-AAA 10,499 94.25
1-AAA 299 3,346.44
7-AAA 93 10,718.92

Region versus Region

Matchup Projection 4-0 3-1 2-2 1-3 0-4
1-AAA versus 2-AAA 1.48 - 2.52 0.1% 4.5% 44.9% 44.1% 6.4%
3-AAA versus 4-AAA 1.25 - 2.75 0.0% 1.6% 22.5% 75.1% 0.8%
5-AAA versus 6-AAA 1.38 - 2.62 0.0% 1.5% 37.2% 58.6% 2.7%
7-AAA versus 8-AAA 0.83 - 3.17 0.0% 0.2% 7.7% 66.5% 25.6%

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.

Class AA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rank Record Rating Draw Depth 2nd Qtr Semi Finals Champion Odds
Vidalia R2-1 1 10-0 74.38 49.43 3.20 966,333 950,050 579,870 392,787 314,881 2.18
Fitzgerald R1-1 3 9-1 68.65 46.55 3.41 984,947 947,519 881,524 351,278 244,924 3.08
Greater Atlanta Christian R6-1 2 10-0 71.09 49.41 2.76 994,785 919,234 409,786 248,408 185,115 4.40
Brooks County R1-2 5 7-3 62.44 49.32 3.05 921,362 819,996 761,896 427,895 118,397 7.45
Benedictine R2-2 4 8-2 64.08 57.12 1.90 634,136 571,469 379,030 239,075 74,075 12.50
Lovett R6-2 7 7-3 57.73 53.87 1.87 962,094 531,424 235,135 116,847 22,743 42.97
Thomasville R1-3 6 6-4 59.46 58.64 0.95 365,864 311,862 169,292 87,442 19,447 50.42
Macon County R4-1 8 8-2 56.29 50.82 1.66 904,651 455,797 192,861 93,449 17,402 56.47
Darlington R7-1 11 9-1 42.56 49.44 1.02 787,178 132,502 87,210 14,639 831 1,201.99
Bowdon R5-1 10 8-2 45.74 54.40 1.28 737,110 478,724 60,024 4,006 813 1,229.41
Lamar County R4-2 9 7-2-1 48.44 60.82 0.92 837,943 76,537 7,482 1,277 299 3,347.97
Rabun County R8-1 13 8-2 42.07 53.47 1.05 906,616 115,394 22,682 5,285 287 3,484.46
Screven County R3-1 18 9-1 38.33 50.89 1.11 656,334 391,248 59,571 7,034 270 3,705.67
Wesleyan R6-3 19 6-4 37.75 51.95 1.06 663,962 348,764 46,070 4,606 154 6,497.37
Bleckley County R4-3 14 5-5 41.74 57.25 0.82 551,319 249,176 21,865 933 123 8,159.88
Bacon County R2-3 17 6-4 38.71 54.64 0.14 78,638 35,742 19,610 2,131 78 12,830.48
Jefferson County R3-2 16 7-3 38.80 57.32 0.63 448,681 172,633 12,366 403 44 22,718.43
Union County R8-2 21 9-1 37.23 56.44 0.56 522,734 25,404 9,413 265 25 39,511.45
Berrien R1-4 15 4-6 41.69 62.83 0.06 33,667 22,271 1,554 165 21 46,806.68
Model R7-3 22 8-2 37.20 57.03 0.51 477,266 23,139 8,350 233 21 47,812.99
Monticello R4-4 29 4-6 32.74 54.53 0.50 343,666 144,355 12,875 811 17 59,555.41
Pace Academy R6-4 24 5-5 36.31 59.14 0.37 262,890 99,466 5,756 148 12 82,343.88
Heard County R5-2 31 5-5 30.06 52.84 0.46 336,038 115,633 8,766 462 7 134,690.86
Coosa R7-2 25 7-3 36.18 58.67 0.83 801,548 25,671 1,154 83 7 138,303.73
Washington-Wilkes R8-4 30 6-4 30.36 54.57 0.23 212,822 11,761 4,001 202 3 300,262.58
Dublin R3-4 26 6-4 34.67 60.70 0.11 95,349 10,128 858 112 3 358,531.89
Swainsboro R3-3 28 5-5 32.89 64.45 0.17 162,057 3,856 124 7 2,413,639.74
Bryan County R2-4 32 5-5 27.72 59.19 0.02 15,053 3,938 702 8 3,333,057.68
Bremen R5-3 33 6-4 26.27 60.81 0.04 37,906 2,650 111 8 11,714,098.24
Greene County R8-3 36 5-5 23.10 61.81 0.20 198,452 2,007 27 1 64,011,282.41
Chattooga R7-4 40 4-6 20.22 58.67 0.09 93,384 1,275 32 1 126,201,813.91
Chattahoochee County R5-4 42 6-4 19.46 65.01 0.01 5,215 373 4 911,104,949.93

Playoff Projections by Region

Each region is shown with the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Region Champion Odds
2-AA 389,035 1.57
1-AA 382,789 1.61
6-AA 208,025 3.81
4-AA 17,840 55.06
7-AA 859 1,162.58
5-AA 820 1,218.14
3-AA 317 3,153.55
8-AA 316 3,167.96

Region versus Region

Each region is shown with the most likely region seeding orders and odds of each team making the playoffs.

Matchup Projection 4-0 3-1 2-2 1-3 0-4
1-AA versus 2-AA 2.31 - 1.69 1.1% 34.1% 59.0% 5.6% 0.1%
3-AA versus 4-AA 1.36 - 2.64 0.5% 7.5% 34.3% 43.4% 14.4%
5-AA versus 6-AA 1.12 - 2.88 0.0% 1.1% 26.2% 56.0% 16.7%
7-AA versus 8-AA 2.16 - 1.84 2.8% 31.8% 45.8% 17.5% 2.0%

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.

About the Author

Todd Holcomb

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