Maxwell playoff projections for the Quarterfinals
Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.
The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2016 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.
While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.
Class AAAAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Seed | Record | Rating | Draw | Avg Wins | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson | 8 - AAAAAAA | 1 | 11-1 | 103.03 | 87.61 | 4.04 | 826,496.80 | 664,316.90 | 551,585.11 | 0.81 |
| Roswell | 4 - AAAAAAA | 1 | 12-0 | 90.11 | 85.73 | 3.64 | 816,677.89 | 619,835.19 | 204,223.41 | 3.90 |
| Mill Creek | 6 - AAAAAAA | 1 | 12-0 | 90.17 | 92.19 | 2.83 | 576,885.26 | 160,124.43 | 94,098.04 | 9.63 |
| Lowndes | 1 - AAAAAAA | 2 | 10-2 | 82.06 | 88.24 | 3.13 | 803,134.27 | 276,081.22 | 53,441.65 | 17.71 |
| McEachern | 3 - AAAAAAA | 1 | 11-1 | 85.62 | 92.01 | 2.56 | 423,114.74 | 95,003.03 | 45,770.18 | 20.85 |
| Colquitt County | 1 - AAAAAAA | 1 | 8-4 | 85.97 | 93.11 | 2.29 | 173,503.20 | 80,555.64 | 39,468.32 | 24.34 |
| North Cobb | 3 - AAAAAAA | 2 | 10-2 | 76.62 | 90.92 | 2.27 | 183,322.11 | 79,446.15 | 10,106.50 | 97.95 |
| Westlake | 2 - AAAAAAA | 1 | 9-3 | 66.55 | 89.66 | 2.22 | 196,865.73 | 24,637.45 | 1,306.79 | 764.23 |
Class AAAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Seed | Record | Rating | Draw | Avg Wins | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valdosta | 1 - AAAAAA | 1 | 11-1 | 85.99 | 71.01 | 4.20 | 943,959.04 | 743,765.70 | 517,164.25 | 0.93 |
| Tucker | 4 - AAAAAA | 1 | 11-1 | 79.08 | 78.22 | 3.04 | 557,741.24 | 341,736.76 | 140,979.00 | 6.09 |
| Mays | 5 - AAAAAA | 1 | 11-1 | 78.21 | 79.68 | 2.80 | 442,258.76 | 255,505.13 | 100,493.34 | 8.95 |
| Northside (Warner Robins) | 1 - AAAAAA | 2 | 10-2 | 77.75 | 79.48 | 2.92 | 571,996.13 | 251,924.73 | 96,559.45 | 9.36 |
| Dalton | 6 - AAAAAA | 1 | 12-0 | 74.98 | 77.58 | 2.99 | 700,986.52 | 198,462.60 | 86,055.47 | 10.62 |
| Glynn Academy | 2 - AAAAAA | 1 | 11-1 | 73.40 | 79.66 | 2.62 | 428,003.87 | 150,833.38 | 44,415.57 | 21.51 |
| Coffee | 1 - AAAAAA | 4 | 7-5 | 67.91 | 80.53 | 2.36 | 299,013.48 | 46,356.76 | 12,759.64 | 77.37 |
| Stephenson | 4 - AAAAAA | 3 | 8-4 | 59.20 | 80.48 | 2.07 | 56,040.96 | 11,414.94 | 1,573.28 | 634.61 |
Class AAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Seed | Record | Rating | Draw | Avg Wins | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockbridge | 4 - AAAAA | 1 | 12-0 | 77.25 | 67.16 | 3.86 | 888,350.31 | 592,946.90 | 375,259.70 | 1.66 |
| Buford | 8 - AAAAA | 1 | 11-1 | 75.34 | 69.45 | 3.44 | 687,831.33 | 492,738.32 | 259,949.88 | 2.85 |
| Rome | 7 - AAAAA | 1 | 10-2 | 72.20 | 71.39 | 3.05 | 637,608.65 | 272,100.16 | 139,859.14 | 6.15 |
| Woodland (Stockbridge) | 4 - AAAAA | 2 | 10-2 | 68.05 | 71.66 | 2.84 | 566,601.84 | 199,469.79 | 71,494.05 | 12.99 |
| Carrollton | 7 - AAAAA | 2 | 11-1 | 68.89 | 73.05 | 2.55 | 312,168.67 | 171,580.92 | 64,672.13 | 14.46 |
| Kell | 7 - AAAAA | 3 | 10-2 | 66.82 | 72.93 | 2.61 | 433,398.16 | 136,210.97 | 45,235.11 | 21.11 |
| Ware County | 2 - AAAAA | 1 | 8-3 | 65.10 | 72.14 | 2.51 | 362,391.35 | 110,643.85 | 38,429.17 | 25.02 |
| Griffin | 3 - AAAAA | 2 | 11-1 | 57.96 | 74.16 | 2.14 | 111,649.69 | 24,309.10 | 5,100.82 | 195.05 |
Class AAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Seed | Record | Rating | Draw | Avg Wins | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cartersville | 5 - AAAA | 1 | 12-0 | 84.38 | 67.51 | 4.08 | 782,960.01 | 721,036.14 | 576,739.56 | 0.73 |
| Thomson | 3 - AAAA | 1 | 12-0 | 73.80 | 66.85 | 3.80 | 868,413.09 | 680,144.17 | 255,364.03 | 2.92 |
| Woodward Academy | 4 - AAAA | 1 | 11-1 | 70.10 | 72.86 | 2.47 | 217,039.99 | 165,754.99 | 85,325.30 | 10.72 |
| Jefferson | 8 - AAAA | 1 | 11-1 | 60.65 | 70.63 | 2.76 | 569,055.83 | 164,913.26 | 27,762.85 | 35.02 |
| Mary Persons | 2 - AAAA | 1 | 10-2 | 60.64 | 71.92 | 2.63 | 546,366.40 | 66,252.66 | 20,695.75 | 47.32 |
| Cairo | 1 - AAAA | 1 | 11-1 | 59.32 | 71.94 | 2.55 | 430,944.17 | 105,699.78 | 16,195.99 | 60.74 |
| Blessed Trinity | 7 - AAAA | 1 | 10-2 | 57.33 | 71.25 | 2.51 | 453,633.60 | 46,956.21 | 11,839.78 | 83.46 |
| Spalding | 2 - AAAA | 3 | 8-4 | 56.38 | 73.23 | 2.19 | 131,586.91 | 49,242.79 | 6,076.73 | 163.56 |
Class AAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Seed | Record | Rating | Draw | Avg Wins | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greater Atlanta Christian | 7 - AAA | 1 | 11-1 | 69.76 | 59.26 | 3.75 | 801,866.33 | 540,927.14 | 402,573.39 | 1.48 |
| Crisp County | 1 - AAA | 1 | 12-0 | 58.40 | 58.01 | 3.35 | 824,624.68 | 393,427.30 | 131,613.59 | 6.60 |
| Westminster (Atlanta) | 5 - AAA | 1 | 10-2 | 63.10 | 62.81 | 2.88 | 534,196.53 | 216,849.85 | 130,214.09 | 6.68 |
| Calhoun | 6 - AAA | 1 | 10-2 | 60.05 | 60.41 | 2.98 | 539,666.47 | 321,011.69 | 118,792.95 | 7.42 |
| Cedar Grove | 5 - AAA | 2 | 10-2 | 59.91 | 61.80 | 2.81 | 460,333.53 | 257,013.40 | 94,319.65 | 9.60 |
| Peach County | 4 - AAA | 1 | 11-1 | 60.28 | 62.23 | 2.73 | 465,803.47 | 175,041.57 | 93,139.97 | 9.74 |
| Liberty County | 2 - AAA | 1 | 11-1 | 54.33 | 63.18 | 2.29 | 198,133.67 | 67,181.44 | 26,028.92 | 37.42 |
| Pierce County | 2 - AAA | 2 | 9-3 | 44.37 | 62.19 | 2.21 | 175,375.32 | 28,547.60 | 3,317.45 | 300.44 |
Class AA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Seed | Record | Rating | Draw | Avg Wins | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benedictine | 2 - AA | 1 | 12-0 | 75.45 | 59.87 | 4.13 | 867,955.33 | 720,263.39 | 542,428.23 | 0.84 |
| Fitzgerald | 1 - AA | 1 | 11-1 | 67.00 | 62.70 | 3.27 | 555,767.01 | 507,277.81 | 205,988.21 | 3.85 |
| Rabun County | 8 - AA | 1 | 11-0 | 63.31 | 62.95 | 2.97 | 444,232.99 | 394,576.45 | 130,733.82 | 6.65 |
| Callaway | 5 - AA | 1 | 12-0 | 61.14 | 63.45 | 3.15 | 850,814.04 | 211,138.24 | 92,965.44 | 9.76 |
| Pepperell | 7 - AA | 1 | 10-1 | 55.17 | 66.38 | 2.21 | 132,044.67 | 59,133.25 | 18,555.21 | 52.89 |
| Hapeville Charter | 6 - AA | 1 | 9-3 | 44.88 | 63.04 | 2.66 | 589,524.49 | 63,879.78 | 5,619.57 | 176.95 |
| Chattooga | 7 - AA | 3 | 8-4 | 42.71 | 63.89 | 2.45 | 410,475.51 | 34,265.96 | 2,507.48 | 397.81 |
| Screven County | 4 - AA | 1 | 11-1 | 42.28 | 65.56 | 2.16 | 149,185.96 | 9,465.12 | 1,202.04 | 830.92 |
Class A-Public
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Seed | Record | Rating | Draw | Avg Wins | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macon County | 4 - A | 1 | 9-2 | 60.99 | 42.31 | 3.90 | 793,146.97 | 645,181.81 | 465,876.20 | 1.15 |
| Clinch County | 2 - A | 2 | 10-1 | 55.12 | 42.68 | 3.68 | 759,145.42 | 626,405.36 | 292,659.03 | 2.42 |
| Emanuel County Institute | 3 - A | 4 | 10-0 | 48.53 | 46.29 | 2.81 | 586,617.58 | 156,347.33 | 70,348.41 | 13.21 |
| Manchester | 4 - A | 8 | 10-1 | 49.00 | 48.15 | 2.37 | 206,853.03 | 108,833.04 | 50,129.16 | 18.95 |
| McIntosh County Academy | 3 - A | 6 | 8-2 | 42.91 | 46.07 | 2.98 | 736,721.98 | 199,167.46 | 44,395.16 | 21.52 |
| Commerce | 8 - A | 7 | 9-2 | 45.09 | 48.19 | 2.42 | 240,854.58 | 141,215.29 | 36,682.48 | 26.26 |
| Irwin County | 2 - A | 21 | 8-4 | 46.48 | 48.16 | 2.54 | 413,382.42 | 89,637.81 | 36,229.42 | 26.60 |
| Greene County | 7 - A | 14 | 9-3 | 34.07 | 48.32 | 2.30 | 263,278.02 | 33,211.90 | 3,680.13 | 270.73 |
Class A-Private
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Seed | Record | Rating | Draw | Avg Wins | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagle's Landing Christian | 5 - A | 1 | 11-0 | 66.07 | 42.31 | 4.11 | 839,296.10 | 719,563.44 | 552,665.12 | 0.81 |
| Fellowship Christian | 6 - A | 3 | 11-0 | 56.31 | 44.85 | 3.29 | 717,683.52 | 415,584.25 | 157,693.00 | 5.34 |
| Prince Avenue Christian | 8 - A | 2 | 11-0 | 54.30 | 42.68 | 3.15 | 665,076.52 | 358,761.78 | 121,597.06 | 7.22 |
| Tattnall Square | 7 - A | 5 | 11-0 | 50.94 | 45.99 | 2.71 | 542,397.94 | 119,479.70 | 51,189.30 | 18.54 |
| Wesleyan | 5 - A | 8 | 9-2 | 50.99 | 48.15 | 2.28 | 160,703.90 | 80,515.25 | 34,592.07 | 27.91 |
| Calvary Day | 3 - A | 4 | 10-0 | 47.79 | 46.29 | 2.57 | 457,602.06 | 80,441.60 | 28,567.47 | 34.00 |
| Landmark Christian | 5 - A | 7 | 10-1 | 48.89 | 48.19 | 2.48 | 334,923.48 | 115,061.60 | 27,796.70 | 34.98 |
| Mount Paran Christian | 6 - A | 6 | 10-1 | 48.43 | 46.07 | 2.42 | 282,316.48 | 110,592.38 | 25,899.26 | 37.61 |
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