High School Sports Blog

Maxwell playoff projections after Week 3

North Gwinnett football players run onto the Mercedes-Benz Stadium field ahead of their Corky Kell matchup against Brookwood Saturday, Aug. 18, 2018, in Atlanta.
North Gwinnett football players run onto the Mercedes-Benz Stadium field ahead of their Corky Kell matchup against Brookwood Saturday, Aug. 18, 2018, in Atlanta.
By Loren Maxwell
Sept 4, 2018

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2017 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA3-095.22999,9554.38904,381643,544516,461343,5701.91
Grayson8 - AAAAAAA1-194.27999,9904.43845,249705,078551,696341,5611.93
North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA1-189.41999,8513.50774,630416,276262,096130,7746.65
Walton4 - AAAAAAA3-083.08999,3662.90595,447349,795116,49241,20923.27
Parkview7 - AAAAAAA2-082.27999,4532.63439,667263,47891,26729,85932.49
McEachern3 - AAAAAAA1-181.16988,0182.84536,025286,74393,22528,30734.33
Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA2-181.36998,7592.55474,920232,09985,42025,20538.67
Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA2-179.48975,4652.55543,893172,30270,99817,62355.74
Archer8 - AAAAAAA1-178.09998,6202.48393,591185,06350,84911,77283.95
Milton5 - AAAAAAA3-077.41999,7342.37340,370157,75043,67410,07298.29
Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA2-176.68993,0972.01247,083114,91929,7086,516152.47
Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA3-073.43950,1442.04257,49779,80515,9672,804355.63
Tift County1 - AAAAAAA2-173.87866,1731.74271,09271,42716,9242,801356.02
Norcross7 - AAAAAAA1-173.80985,1671.75172,82968,37914,5332,594384.51
North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA3-072.74922,6161.95237,81469,84413,3342,144465.42
Roswell4 - AAAAAAA2-070.86977,5071.62177,49947,8507,7331,040960.54
South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA2-170.23992,8701.83153,43942,0277,3839761,023.59
Marietta3 - AAAAAAA1-269.05813,6681.53136,52327,4464,2834932,027.40
Westlake2 - AAAAAAA2-066.01975,2081.4998,19511,6882,3222194,565.21
Camden County1 - AAAAAAA2-166.55604,4690.9277,47012,9731,5701446,943.44
Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA2-166.56952,7901.2754,93212,4331,6211407,141.86
North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA3-065.00602,7260.9961,0318,2959727912,657.23
Etowah4 - AAAAAAA1-261.48784,5050.9331,8923,3493082835,713.29
South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA1-161.64947,4071.2533,3434,5443692737,036.04
Newton8 - AAAAAAA1-160.40948,2061.2227,2293,2642191566,665.67
Newnan2 - AAAAAAA2-158.41844,4391.0420,1611,6411278124,999.00
West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA0-258.74904,3361.0918,6112,1261237142,856.14
Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA1-258.65679,5540.7716,6361,276917142,856.14
Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA1-157.65725,6980.7910,274865613333,332.33
Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-253.96472,6260.504,531224112499,999.00
Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA3-055.19750,5360.8710,159634301999,999.00
Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA0-258.97826,9040.9413,3301,70187--
East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA0-255.64732,8810.8610,74472434--
Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA1-150.26441,9480.482,4261214--
Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA2-053.62151,9280.192,7871273--
North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA2-147.08465,5380.48709382--
Lambert5 - AAAAAAA2-149.57553,2740.581,471851--
Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA2-048.73348,5220.36983341--
Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA0-244.77196,3510.2026791--
Campbell2 - AAAAAAA1-246.15279,5830.3069520---
Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA1-243.60105,8760.111122---
Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA2-037.5997,7640.10252---
Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA1-235.7770,0460.0727----
Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA1-233.2839,0120.047----
Discovery6 - AAAAAAA1-231.2120,4060.023----
Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA1-126.066,4330.011----
Duluth6 - AAAAAAA1-228.9410,5770.01-----
Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA1-1-5.7140.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAAAAAAColquitt County814,839154,45624,703-5,95745
1 - AAAAAAALowndes119,371532,906255,073-68,11524,535
1 - AAAAAAATift County53,898224,418425,277-162,580133,827
1 - AAAAAAACamden County11,89288,220294,947-209,410395,531
2 - AAAAAAAWestlake591,593227,709104,47446,6524,78024,792
2 - AAAAAAANewnan160,636256,635239,446178,7908,932155,561
2 - AAAAAAAWheeler97,974193,186230,488220,5238,365249,464
2 - AAAAAAAEast Coweta104,178204,589220,281203,517316267,119
2 - AAAAAAAPebblebrook32,96778,672128,466200,0961,747558,052
2 - AAAAAAACampbell12,65239,20976,845150,422455720,417
3 - AAAAAAAMcEachern528,007261,616128,89357,43112,07111,982
3 - AAAAAAAHillgrove185,967248,173240,398180,10395,50349,856
3 - AAAAAAANorth Cobb178,211240,121238,401188,92276,96177,384
3 - AAAAAAAMarietta76,108159,796230,079272,05175,634186,332
3 - AAAAAAANorth Paulding30,50183,614140,983236,753110,875397,274
3 - AAAAAAAKennesaw Mountain1,2066,68021,24664,74058,056848,072
4 - AAAAAAAWalton784,878175,95630,9097,035588634
4 - AAAAAAARoswell159,882505,616227,82576,4547,73022,493
4 - AAAAAAAEtowah30,204171,330311,113270,7141,144215,495
4 - AAAAAAAWoodstock19,80998,189252,989303,3355,232320,446
4 - AAAAAAALassiter4,94645,052152,104266,0084,516527,374
4 - AAAAAAACherokee2813,85725,06076,454224894,124
5 - AAAAAAAMilton629,821306,04054,6008,1891,084266
5 - AAAAAAASouth Forsyth324,477482,962150,16433,0672,2007,130
5 - AAAAAAAWest Forsyth37,450152,974505,711206,8761,32595,664
5 - AAAAAAALambert5,06435,133151,992355,6435,442446,726
5 - AAAAAAANorth Forsyth3,05420,624116,038324,921901534,462
5 - AAAAAAAForsyth Central1342,26721,49571,3042,564902,236
6 - AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett713,793241,18738,7226,023126149
6 - AAAAAAAMill Creek246,571572,207155,26324,2704481,241
6 - AAAAAAAMountain View33,215145,910500,607268,1504,90847,210
6 - AAAAAAACollins Hill6,29938,336270,669511,52080173,096
6 - AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge1212,30332,245161,60676803,649
6 - AAAAAAADiscovery1361,76218,607-979,594
6 - AAAAAAADuluth-217329,824-989,423
7 - AAAAAAAParkview537,263300,131134,99825,4721,589547
7 - AAAAAAABrookwood278,502344,439299,73668,4701,9506,903
7 - AAAAAAANorcross174,254318,288399,39390,3552,87714,833
7 - AAAAAAACentral Gwinnett9,31831,598131,249539,66313,870274,302
7 - AAAAAAAMeadowcreek6625,53234,336270,01937,973651,478
7 - AAAAAAALakeside (Atlanta)1122886,017115993,567
7 - AAAAAAABerkmar---4-999,996
8 - AAAAAAAGrayson857,089132,8068,7781,3051210
8 - AAAAAAAArcher128,991707,776133,83227,8541671,380
8 - AAAAAAANewton5,41577,147434,677429,0811,88651,794
8 - AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett8,49681,442409,178447,0881,20352,593
8 - AAAAAAAShiloh75448,53060,95312929,954
8 - AAAAAAARockdale County22855,00533,7191960,988

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Lee County1 - AAAAAA3-081.43997,0824.49830,907706,707568,289428,2811.33
Coffee1 - AAAAAA3-074.89984,9293.54673,110509,412330,576163,8005.11
Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA2-172.38998,7793.16484,999369,939229,199102,7718.73
Tucker4 - AAAAAA1-272.03999,8822.99577,578446,049201,26696,2169.39
Harrison6 - AAAAAA3-069.76955,0563.00666,065298,750149,81261,15215.35
Creekview6 - AAAAAA3-067.17969,1522.86623,644247,056109,48438,09225.25
Valdosta1 - AAAAAA2-167.45928,3922.43448,537265,434101,39633,77028.61
Mays5 - AAAAAA0-264.76979,0702.54440,618183,54066,28519,58850.05
Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA1-265.49891,8292.08361,729198,18765,76019,42350.49
Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA1-161.47996,6882.07368,496127,05932,0307,815126.96
Dalton6 - AAAAAA2-061.69760,9021.78334,91898,62428,4646,901143.91
Allatoona6 - AAAAAA0-262.19750,6071.73323,91497,90327,7246,832145.37
Douglas County5 - AAAAAA1-159.46933,4692.02277,26678,54119,8624,192237.55
Brunswick2 - AAAAAA1-258.84961,3182.11185,67974,88317,1063,286303.32
Dacula8 - AAAAAA1-257.95986,1721.94267,29359,90615,6492,788357.68
Effingham County2 - AAAAAA2-155.98949,6251.98152,24950,9368,8161,330750.88
Northgate5 - AAAAAA1-155.60835,4771.57168,11534,6486,2468971,113.83
Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA2-056.40500,0100.95136,15628,6465,2838531,171.33
Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA1-154.36934,1601.90133,78840,1396,1338511,174.09
Stephenson4 - AAAAAA1-153.43972,4701.2789,34624,9423,7044482,231.14
Hughes5 - AAAAAA0-252.62716,7061.22100,66715,4622,1872893,459.21
Lanier8 - AAAAAA1-251.30943,2091.4398,36514,4781,9181895,290.01
Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-250.88928,3441.2584,45911,5571,5631745,746.13
Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA1-146.34844,1501.1036,3273,7243211952,630.58
Alexander5 - AAAAAA0-247.67383,0710.5627,7842,7312711471,427.57
Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA1-146.17922,8121.0118,1572,9772641283,332.33
Houston County1 - AAAAAA2-147.23197,7680.249,8391,7861039111,110.11
Gainesville8 - AAAAAA0-341.88661,1580.7811,863847562499,999.00
Cambridge7 - AAAAAA0-242.25648,7830.7211,664810552499,999.00
Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA0-238.64842,8070.987,373719252499,999.00
Evans3 - AAAAAA0-340.48889,8011.0712,2241,311591999,999.00
Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA2-137.30376,4430.388454911999,999.00
Grovetown3 - AAAAAA1-238.49855,4130.997,69071428--
Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA1-140.20525,5340.576,23433815--
Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA2-139.10546,9460.625,67336114--
Pope7 - AAAAAA0-238.96408,4790.443,82118510--
Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA1-241.9555,6490.072,3881678--
Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA0-334.81156,1180.222,3571264--
Northview7 - AAAAAA1-135.70238,8870.251,145513--
Alcovy3 - AAAAAA1-233.67683,0580.741,824912--
Creekside5 - AAAAAA0-239.2478,8730.101,560702--
Drew4 - AAAAAA0-236.74370,1290.38970682--
New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-137.6253,1970.06795292--
Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA0-227.64316,5260.33201122--
River Ridge6 - AAAAAA0-335.616,4890.018741--
Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA0-233.19158,0550.164339---
Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA2-128.82412,3950.433489---
M.L. King4 - AAAAAA0-231.81167,3720.171667---
North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA2-030.2275,0920.081035---
South Paulding5 - AAAAAA0-232.7514,1130.02981---
Morrow4 - AAAAAA1-228.4088,9880.09491---
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA0-228.75101,5130.1035----
Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-230.076,0240.0120----
South Cobb6 - AAAAAA0-334.302,1350.0017----
Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA1-125.2920,1380.0211----
Apalachee8 - AAAAAA0-317.8218,3650.021----
Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-312.913910.00-----
Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-33.82-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAALee County569,676288,45899,92939,0192,918
1 - AAAAAACoffee278,385349,136231,762125,64615,071
1 - AAAAAAValdosta84,820209,684353,992279,89671,608
1 - AAAAAANorthside (Warner Robins)66,544146,583286,986391,716108,171
1 - AAAAAAHouston County5756,13927,331163,723802,232
2 - AAAAAAGlynn Academy739,793197,15845,43116,3971,221
2 - AAAAAABrunswick130,683342,869291,557196,20938,682
2 - AAAAAAEffingham County74,184252,033320,653302,75550,375
2 - AAAAAARichmond Hill54,807201,488322,692355,17365,840
2 - AAAAAABradwell Institute5336,45219,667129,466843,882
3 - AAAAAAEvans336,497251,012184,475117,817110,199
3 - AAAAAAGrovetown260,808239,719208,074146,812144,587
3 - AAAAAAHeritage (Conyers)241,801236,263208,483156,260157,193
3 - AAAAAAAlcovy101,197150,530199,879231,452316,942
3 - AAAAAALakeside (Evans)36,11571,546113,690191,044587,605
3 - AAAAAAGreenbrier23,58250,93085,399156,615683,474
4 - AAAAAATucker853,784131,39213,5071,199118
4 - AAAAAAStephenson117,737558,933229,13666,66427,530
4 - AAAAAALovejoy25,675248,532507,546141,05977,188
4 - AAAAAADrew1,81331,094104,629232,593629,871
4 - AAAAAAMundy's Mill65215,91364,433295,445623,557
4 - AAAAAAM.L. King1997,54939,288120,336832,628
4 - AAAAAAMount Zion (Jonesboro)833,45122,92575,054898,487
4 - AAAAAAMorrow573,13418,50267,295911,012
4 - AAAAAAForest Park-234355999,609
5 - AAAAAAMays507,203277,709137,53556,62320,930
5 - AAAAAADouglas County289,698319,438209,485114,84866,531
5 - AAAAAANorthgate126,997208,386274,195225,899164,523
5 - AAAAAAHughes60,314138,755236,541281,096283,294
5 - AAAAAAAlexander14,09146,538107,564214,878616,929
5 - AAAAAACreekside9605,22418,63454,055921,127
5 - AAAAAANew Manchester6433,23412,34636,974946,803
5 - AAAAAASouth Paulding795532,70410,777985,887
5 - AAAAAATri-Cities151639964,850993,976
6 - AAAAAACreekview416,127322,553162,04668,42630,848
6 - AAAAAAHarrison390,840296,261176,86991,08644,944
6 - AAAAAADalton117,960171,546223,330248,066239,098
6 - AAAAAAAllatoona40,972129,674281,280298,681249,393
6 - AAAAAASequoyah33,52576,933143,012246,540499,990
6 - AAAAAASprayberry5652,86712,17840,039944,351
6 - AAAAAARiver Ridge61281,0125,343993,511
6 - AAAAAASouth Cobb5382731,819997,865
6 - AAAAAAOsborne----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAAlpharetta776,575174,08036,6909,3433,312
7 - AAAAAACentennial161,629460,609209,42596,68171,656
7 - AAAAAACambridge29,159155,934257,469206,221351,217
7 - AAAAAAJohns Creek16,08099,944194,678214,832474,466
7 - AAAAAAPope10,92560,385144,817192,352591,521
7 - AAAAAANorthview3,80027,24680,399127,442761,113
7 - AAAAAAChattahoochee1,36115,74649,35891,590841,945
7 - AAAAAANorth Atlanta4195,23722,12347,313924,908
7 - AAAAAADunwoody528195,04114,226979,862
8 - AAAAAADacula605,568244,97795,43640,19113,828
8 - AAAAAALanier222,135351,574247,840121,66056,791
8 - AAAAAAWinder-Barrow102,068222,398292,408227,276155,850
8 - AAAAAAGainesville46,188111,341208,005295,624338,842
8 - AAAAAAHabersham Central24,00369,307152,972300,664453,054
8 - AAAAAAApalachee384033,33914,585981,635

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Rome7 - AAAAA2-087.93999,9634.80912,812784,603669,300438,1901.28
Buford8 - AAAAA2-186.18999,9954.70862,792772,031683,767388,9601.57
Warner Robins1 - AAAAA2-074.79999,5983.54750,502632,490205,81770,75813.13
Stockbridge4 - AAAAA2-074.62995,8773.28799,528364,053160,61153,22417.79
Jones County4 - AAAAA3-069.52983,6072.84650,795286,87685,94220,22548.44
Kell7 - AAAAA2-065.43968,6982.48422,647188,41442,6787,267136.61
Ware County2 - AAAAA2-165.44997,9832.52448,613131,97039,9677,011141.63
Carrollton7 - AAAAA2-064.73973,9962.41380,924165,35936,3805,885168.92
Dutchtown4 - AAAAA3-064.18943,2712.13394,212136,38527,8474,529219.80
Wayne County2 - AAAAA2-058.84988,8122.09240,71674,70310,4551,083922.36
Griffin3 - AAAAA1-157.59986,4932.05215,68787,4639,6019201,085.96
Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA3-055.37998,5272.33402,624106,4368,6697231,382.13
Bainbridge1 - AAAAA2-156.65965,3471.47142,66139,4204,4843592,784.52
Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA2-151.67995,5462.11324,23661,3923,5712354,254.32
Clarke Central8 - AAAAA2-153.92986,1441.90113,04921,8982,8602004,999.00
Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA1-153.79964,1641.73124,32834,6212,8991995,024.13
Banneker6 - AAAAA2-150.25983,5591.60190,38431,7801,6258212,194.12
Veterans1 - AAAAA3-051.60918,5281.1764,45013,6761,0214820,832.33
Jonesboro3 - AAAAA2-145.71790,6411.0626,4494,3501871855,554.56
Locust Grove4 - AAAAA1-250.23399,9510.5124,9976,2753541471,427.57
Riverwood6 - AAAAA2-145.07943,3641.2165,5857,6872681471,427.57
Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA1-147.75799,8570.9330,8604,6642911283,332.33
Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA0-344.75934,5041.1859,6316,8042479111,110.11
Hiram7 - AAAAA1-147.13341,0790.5657,8506,4952479111,110.11
East Paulding7 - AAAAA0-246.72384,7930.6363,1076,8632255199,999.00
Statesboro2 - AAAAA2-044.75846,5681.1526,5413,8321455199,999.00
New Hampstead2 - AAAAA2-143.31793,1031.0519,9032,711875199,999.00
Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA1-247.76316,6030.3812,0722,9551363333,332.33
Ola4 - AAAAA1-247.10242,2160.298,8521,965673333,332.33
Loganville8 - AAAAA2-140.71856,1971.1541,8212,945712499,999.00
Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA1-142.52891,3201.0327,6062,687681999,999.00
Villa Rica7 - AAAAA1-141.56147,6530.2112,969905121999,999.00
Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA1-241.4991,0490.101,29323741999,999.00
Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA2-139.60851,9281.1236,6592,25545--
Riverdale3 - AAAAA2-139.96570,4050.676,95567016--
Whitewater3 - AAAAA0-240.05524,7130.626,74262615--
Paulding County7 - AAAAA0-241.56122,1660.1710,71775713--
Harris County1 - AAAAA0-336.53316,6700.331,632915--
Columbia5 - AAAAA1-233.36811,9610.926,8652561--
South Effingham2 - AAAAA1-134.10373,5340.421,8421431--
Lithonia5 - AAAAA3-030.58711,7720.772,791871--
Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA2-036.3639,0940.051,69863---
Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA1-129.08303,1870.341,90643---
Cass7 - AAAAA1-133.8322,5580.0367422---
Union Grove4 - AAAAA2-035.8027,4260.0313618---
Miller Grove5 - AAAAA1-125.45442,8410.4650110---
McIntosh3 - AAAAA1-229.92115,0810.1219810---
Decatur6 - AAAAA1-127.21149,2280.151364---
Fayette County3 - AAAAA0-325.7048,5030.0536----
Grady6 - AAAAA0-321.2245,1380.0512----
Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA1-118.1721,5430.022----
Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-37.9639,3530.041----
North Springs6 - AAAAA1-219.7531,3440.031----
Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA2-10.522,5490.00-----
Clarkston5 - AAAAA0-3-19.58-------
Cross Keys5 - AAAAA0-3-53.65-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAWarner Robins852,139125,69916,9524,808402
1 - AAAAABainbridge87,951468,216281,060128,12034,653
1 - AAAAAVeterans35,824244,960388,982248,76281,472
1 - AAAAAThomas County Central22,757142,996254,025380,079200,143
1 - AAAAAHarris County1,32918,12958,981238,231683,330
2 - AAAAAWare County620,606311,46053,69312,2242,017
2 - AAAAAWayne County325,336448,418162,20552,85311,188
2 - AAAAAStatesboro28,949118,361361,407337,851153,432
2 - AAAAANew Hampstead22,611104,061330,962335,469206,897
2 - AAAAASouth Effingham2,49817,70091,733261,603626,466
3 - AAAAAGriffin577,965274,080100,76733,68113,507
3 - AAAAAStarr's Mill305,411397,665186,63674,45235,836
3 - AAAAAJonesboro67,593165,811312,553244,684209,359
3 - AAAAARiverdale21,29975,114194,145279,847429,595
3 - AAAAAWhitewater26,37278,469166,695253,177475,287
3 - AAAAAMcIntosh1,0816,65628,20479,140884,919
3 - AAAAAFayette County2792,20511,00035,019951,497
4 - AAAAAStockbridge549,621312,820114,20919,2274,123
4 - AAAAAJones County333,020389,083210,63750,86716,393
4 - AAAAADutchtown107,887245,911451,357138,11656,729
4 - AAAAALocust Grove5,71027,55298,924267,765600,049
4 - AAAAAEagle's Landing1,74811,84260,787242,226683,397
4 - AAAAAOla1,81110,61147,463182,331757,784
4 - AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)1901,97413,89674,989908,951
4 - AAAAAUnion Grove132072,72724,479972,574
5 - AAAAASouthwest DeKalb583,554350,02555,6959,2531,473
5 - AAAAAArabia Mountain386,160495,45095,41918,5174,454
5 - AAAAAColumbia19,37783,053406,794302,737188,039
5 - AAAAALithonia8,58051,288291,836360,068288,228
5 - AAAAAMiller Grove2,31419,797141,757278,973557,159
5 - AAAAAChamblee153878,49930,452960,647
5 - AAAAAClarkston----1,000,000
5 - AAAAACross Keys----1,000,000
6 - AAAAABanneker467,701275,207158,88181,77016,441
6 - AAAAARiverwood223,129260,539261,836197,86056,636
6 - AAAAACarver (Atlanta)199,915270,306263,145201,13865,496
6 - AAAAAMaynard Jackson106,195180,107269,768335,250108,680
6 - AAAAADecatur2,58010,56030,749105,339850,772
6 - AAAAAGrady2661,7277,68635,459954,862
6 - AAAAANorth Springs1439794,86225,360968,656
6 - AAAAALithia Springs715753,07317,824978,457
7 - AAAAARome883,869102,89412,57063037
7 - AAAAACarrollton50,187459,706384,94979,15426,004
7 - AAAAAKell64,793399,057410,57194,27731,302
7 - AAAAAEast Paulding41316,35475,317292,709615,207
7 - AAAAAHiram61415,21269,197256,056658,921
7 - AAAAAVilla Rica602,88620,823123,884852,347
7 - AAAAAPaulding County573,30020,31498,495877,834
7 - AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)54214,23534,433960,906
7 - AAAAACass21702,02420,362977,442
8 - AAAAABuford967,35831,7268021095
8 - AAAAAClarke Central26,834724,458189,24545,60713,856
8 - AAAAALoganville3,003114,170365,277373,747143,803
8 - AAAAACedar Shoals2,694111,325378,107359,802148,072
8 - AAAAAWalnut Grove11118,31466,155218,607696,813
8 - AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)-74142,128997,451

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Cartersville5 - AAAA2-085.95999,4785.02928,057867,987706,335523,2830.91
Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA3-081.43999,9684.57870,002782,873606,774321,9822.11
Marist7 - AAAA2-073.60999,6303.54684,226539,219262,31487,60510.41
Mary Persons2 - AAAA3-064.72990,4743.07776,633321,19974,02316,58459.30
St. Pius X8 - AAAA2-165.78999,7372.17248,928164,34345,30110,83491.30
Thomson3 - AAAA1-163.46999,6542.61590,188122,76051,0999,579103.40
Sandy Creek5 - AAAA2-061.57832,2821.95292,811197,05846,9756,214159.93
Troup5 - AAAA2-061.43854,0861.98289,942194,84345,5696,102162.88
Burke County3 - AAAA0-260.96999,2922.44502,31499,32737,6025,546179.31
Eastside4 - AAAA3-060.28999,3182.46465,43579,13235,7704,724210.69
Chapel Hill5 - AAAA2-058.19745,8031.47170,837102,41419,2591,968507.13
Woodward Academy4 - AAAA1-256.85998,2112.26367,31249,39717,0701,724579.05
Flowery Branch7 - AAAA2-058.21984,2582.00145,25170,01213,4791,661601.05
Cairo1 - AAAA0-250.43921,9041.99299,65489,3189,5395401,850.85
Cedartown5 - AAAA1-154.88541,9400.9279,38641,7465,9594962,015.13
West Laurens2 - AAAA2-150.74773,5501.40203,24946,0184,5863033,299.33
Oconee County8 - AAAA2-152.80990,8311.4363,98428,6424,2882843,520.13
Ridgeland6 - AAAA0-248.36993,0491.64107,80349,6414,5912154,650.16
Perry2 - AAAA3-048.77723,8041.20146,75630,3892,6291427,041.25
Spalding2 - AAAA1-246.79597,6140.9085,79815,1591,1094820,832.33
Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA2-043.92678,8591.0777,42212,1717673033,332.33
Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA1-144.37733,9281.1996,29515,9569982737,036.04
Pickens6 - AAAA2-043.23975,4721.3241,61514,1977802343,477.26
Upson-Lee2 - AAAA2-145.18516,3330.7462,1799,5706392049,999.00
Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA1-141.96970,3021.2734,72010,9265551471,427.57
Howard2 - AAAA2-143.40398,2250.5332,7444,5202521283,332.33
Richmond Academy3 - AAAA3-042.22961,0051.3086,19711,6785411190,908.09
Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA2-042.21582,7150.8651,3666,9063641190,908.09
Stephens County8 - AAAA2-141.75929,9181.0624,4826,5543036166,665.67
Salem4 - AAAA1-139.87907,5651.2953,1253,9551365199,999.00
Hardaway1 - AAAA2-040.67498,7180.7033,5523,9311984249,999.00
Baldwin3 - AAAA0-337.29899,8031.0633,7762,634642499,999.00
Hampton4 - AAAA1-132.07637,4880.7713,172783171999,999.00
West Hall7 - AAAA1-236.27544,1590.7010,7761,98850--
Westover1 - AAAA1-137.38283,5830.3610,54193529--
Columbus1 - AAAA1-137.18294,2980.3810,64286025--
White County7 - AAAA1-133.38325,6140.404,1286174--
North Oconee8 - AAAA2-130.12649,7990.661,4821542--
Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA1-227.76640,4910.65439382--
LaGrange5 - AAAA0-235.1819,8760.02142312--
Chestatee7 - AAAA0-225.7291,7510.10293221--
Madison County8 - AAAA1-227.91429,7150.4456655---
North Clayton4 - AAAA0-322.79188,7190.2076420---
Luella4 - AAAA0-221.86165,5480.1860315---
Henry County4 - AAAA0-218.4699,1720.101792---
Denmark7 - AAAA2-021.1154,6200.06792---
Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA2-120.16260,2370.26262---
Cross Creek3 - AAAA2-116.15140,2460.14961---
Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA1-229.696,5350.0116----
LaFayette6 - AAAA3-017.10160,3350.169----
Shaw1 - AAAA1-122.833,4160.004----
Dougherty1 - AAAA0-221.122,5790.003----
Druid Hills4 - AAAA1-15.723,9790.001----
Gilmer6 - AAAA0-3-18.851140.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAACairo488,247228,439128,82676,39278,096
1 - AAAAAmericus-Sumter165,830216,517191,390160,191266,072
1 - AAAACarver (Columbus)131,937186,260189,343171,319321,141
1 - AAAANorthside (Columbus)97,185142,535166,198176,797417,285
1 - AAAAHardaway65,786116,401148,479168,052501,282
1 - AAAAColumbus25,44656,98689,682122,184705,702
1 - AAAAWestover25,50952,60284,898120,574716,417
1 - AAAAShaw371636982,518996,584
1 - AAAADougherty23974861,973997,421
2 - AAAAMary Persons732,309180,18358,08719,8959,526
2 - AAAAWest Laurens110,660254,681231,259176,950226,450
2 - AAAAPerry68,284225,554229,802200,164276,196
2 - AAAASpalding38,696147,328194,499217,091402,386
2 - AAAAUpson-Lee34,497117,394163,068201,374483,667
2 - AAAAHoward15,55474,860123,285184,526601,775
3 - AAAAThomson589,572343,96156,4309,691346
3 - AAAABurke County377,790513,64089,60818,254708
3 - AAAARichmond Academy24,77899,640548,724287,86338,995
3 - AAAABaldwin7,83241,834289,417560,720100,197
3 - AAAACross Creek2892515,821123,472859,754
4 - AAAAEastside541,335395,55855,8016,624682
4 - AAAAWoodward Academy432,931466,77285,90512,6031,789
4 - AAAASalem20,838101,992565,173219,56292,435
4 - AAAAHampton4,53129,558195,066408,333362,512
4 - AAAANorth Clayton2333,34039,088146,058811,281
4 - AAAALuella991,99738,717124,735834,452
4 - AAAAHenry County3377619,88978,474900,828
4 - AAAADruid Hills-73613,611996,021
5 - AAAACartersville881,360101,14913,2953,674522
5 - AAAATroup35,874306,704297,386214,122145,914
5 - AAAASandy Creek47,597301,697268,106214,882167,718
5 - AAAAChapel Hill24,793190,110252,016278,884254,197
5 - AAAACedartown10,36599,457163,941268,177458,060
5 - AAAALaGrange107304,11515,021980,124
5 - AAAACentral (Carrollton)11531,1415,240993,465
6 - AAAARidgeland463,866313,012180,45435,7176,951
6 - AAAAPickens267,770318,518305,03084,15424,528
6 - AAAANorthwest Whitfield253,062309,579305,066102,59529,698
6 - AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)12,69243,648142,400441,751359,509
6 - AAAASoutheast Whitfield1,88410,15642,727205,470739,763
6 - AAAALaFayette7265,08724,321130,201839,665
6 - AAAAGilmer--2112999,886
7 - AAAABlessed Trinity709,801251,20738,05990132
7 - AAAAMarist263,419608,353122,9054,953370
7 - AAAAFlowery Branch26,573135,651718,186103,84815,742
7 - AAAAWest Hall1432,79873,420467,798455,841
7 - AAAAWhite County611,80939,281284,463674,386
7 - AAAAChestatee31515,89285,705908,249
7 - AAAADenmark-312,25752,332945,380
8 - AAAASt. Pius X760,809211,44924,6332,846263
8 - AAAAOconee County206,097544,525203,82136,3889,169
8 - AAAAStephens County29,101197,486510,327193,00470,082
8 - AAAANorth Oconee2,44927,954171,764447,632350,201
8 - AAAAMadison County1,54418,58689,455320,130570,285

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Benedictine3 - AAA1-076.06999,9994.55928,884657,930581,091393,2531.54
Calhoun6 - AAA2-071.20999,9993.98716,644663,310418,180197,2124.07
Cedar Grove5 - AAA3-072.27999,9783.67775,066425,352319,108182,5174.48
Peach County4 - AAA1-168.76999,9693.82846,771574,530300,833124,8397.01
Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA1-164.54999,9903.14653,265347,409133,24545,15821.14
Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA2-162.71999,0572.61439,913224,85391,46528,13834.54
Jefferson8 - AAA1-157.05999,2572.07301,447200,65036,1328,319119.21
Monroe Area8 - AAA3-057.21999,7872.03286,779180,56433,5307,605130.49
Lovett5 - AAA1-256.57993,2201.99252,549130,29826,2835,484181.35
Pace Academy5 - AAA2-155.10998,0061.91235,943120,30221,2554,006248.63
Crisp County1 - AAA1-247.30983,6552.22444,18567,5957,8727361,357.70
Dawson County7 - AAA2-047.50998,7672.00162,13766,8855,5956121,632.99
Liberty County2 - AAA1-145.99994,7962.20384,78184,8686,5305741,741.16
North Hall7 - AAA3-046.84998,4201.93140,69850,6634,5994612,168.20
Westside (Macon)4 - AAA2-146.82971,5401.93214,29645,0484,5574502,221.22
Pierce County2 - AAA3-044.25994,5632.10339,55865,9884,4553313,020.15
Pike County4 - AAA3-042.33942,9971.67157,55823,2841,3649610,415.67
Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA2-041.96994,6311.67140,55212,2911,0906615,150.52
Jenkins3 - AAA1-141.43988,7441.65126,22710,9729316116,392.44
Cook1 - AAA2-139.74945,9211.59163,91820,0238743727,026.03
Appling County2 - AAA1-138.02968,1161.53127,85213,8885563033,332.33
Ringgold6 - AAA1-137.04959,9971.2219,0363,1201577142,856.14
Jackson4 - AAA0-235.76775,0921.1466,0094,9041543333,332.33
Monroe1 - AAA2-130.87781,0460.9925,4361,665352499,999.00
North Murray6 - AAA1-132.74892,3431.018,054891352499,999.00
Sonoraville6 - AAA1-128.62786,7540.853,57229261999,999.00
Adairsville6 - AAA1-133.92904,0271.0610,1171,43149--
Central (Macon)4 - AAA0-228.27334,9590.419,9753415--
Jackson County8 - AAA2-129.69623,5900.641,7911074--
Hart County8 - AAA0-328.87576,2600.591,358903--
Tattnall County2 - AAA0-224.91736,9320.794,5461402--
Morgan County8 - AAA1-228.96539,7650.561,269712--
Worth County1 - AAA0-322.74301,6180.341,896511--
East Hall7 - AAA0-322.16640,0670.66517291--
Savannah3 - AAA0-216.79273,2450.291,084231--
Windsor Forest3 - AAA1-121.57505,2700.554,412108---
Beach3 - AAA0-217.92253,1530.271,18220---
Franklin County8 - AAA1-123.89325,3580.333317---
Brantley County2 - AAA0-216.15257,1780.261942---
Islands3 - AAA0-29.5562,3370.06602---
Lumpkin County7 - AAA1-213.33271,8650.27312---
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA1-114.73111,6280.11491---
Haralson County6 - AAA2-013.31124,2220.1334----
Towers5 - AAA0-315.0611,4510.018----
Redan5 - AAA0-316.1311,8100.015----
Long County2 - AAA0-36.3255,3600.064----
Rutland4 - AAA0-26.236,3740.014----
Kendrick4 - AAA0-35.054,7220.002----
Fannin County7 - AAA1-17.1093,9060.091----
Murray County6 - AAA0-23.674,1020.00-----
Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA0-3-11.412,4110.00-----
East Jackson8 - AAA1-1-5.201,0040.00-----
Groves3 - AAA0-2-9.424630.00-----
Stone Mountain5 - AAA0-3-5.481760.00-----
Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA0-2-12.79870.00-----
Coahulla Creek6 - AAA0-2-12.75160.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAACrisp County687,495239,98555,749-42616,345
1 - AAACook228,407475,056231,818-10,64054,079
1 - AAAMonroe67,994232,728479,175-1,149218,954
1 - AAAWorth County16,10452,231233,258-25698,382
2 - AAALiberty County411,119341,874197,03544,6061625,204
2 - AAAPierce County396,172340,663210,15445,4902,0845,437
2 - AAAAppling County177,766264,862378,218142,8204,45031,884
2 - AAATattnall County13,78944,338170,607508,055143263,068
2 - AAABrantley County1,1287,74538,313209,886106742,822
2 - AAALong County265185,67349,143-944,640
3 - AAABenedictine961,24336,9791,72453-1
3 - AAAJenkins23,029503,149393,10366,0273,43611,256
3 - AAASoutheast Bulloch15,520433,750456,74377,42711,1915,369
3 - AAAWindsor Forest13414,64673,123373,33244,035494,730
3 - AAASavannah306,00337,730222,6226,860726,755
3 - AAABeach435,15933,001205,4769,474746,847
3 - AAAIslands13144,57054,5332,919937,663
3 - AAAGroves--64489999,537
3 - AAAJohnson (Savannah)---825999,913
4 - AAAPeach County889,43897,49210,6492,3117931
4 - AAAWestside (Macon)58,332446,719317,062139,6729,75528,460
4 - AAAPike County39,650302,857355,383223,45721,65057,003
4 - AAAJackson11,691130,976245,751382,9123,762224,908
4 - AAACentral (Macon)88921,88969,988241,786407665,041
4 - AAARutland-366905,648-993,626
4 - AAAKendrick-314774,214-995,278
5 - AAACedar Grove628,884262,60376,73931,55020222
5 - AAAWestminster (Atlanta)232,356378,389239,442146,8172,053943
5 - AAALovett68,203194,571374,935354,5389736,780
5 - AAAPace Academy70,557164,339308,101444,54210,4671,994
5 - AAARedan-5340811,3481988,190
5 - AAATowers-4537311,0312988,549
5 - AAAStone Mountain--2174-999,824
6 - AAACalhoun960,53237,2321,905315151
6 - AAARinggold20,871421,381270,076166,24181,42840,003
6 - AAAAdairsville9,510235,244277,791242,978138,50495,973
6 - AAANorth Murray6,923179,007241,739278,152186,522107,657
6 - AAASonoraville2,146121,030185,199243,486234,893213,246
6 - AAAHaralson County62,5939,73329,65182,239875,778
6 - AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe123,45113,02136,46058,684888,372
6 - AAAMurray County-625362,711793995,898
6 - AAACoahulla Creek---610999,984
7 - AAAGreater Atlanta Christian801,776161,35535,4441,3882710
7 - AAADawson County97,696460,979396,77241,1272,1931,233
7 - AAANorth Hall99,855365,828479,21251,2192,3061,580
7 - AAAEast Hall61010,56471,783556,810300359,933
7 - AAALumpkin County591,06712,740257,762237728,135
7 - AAAFannin County42074,02589,307363906,094
7 - AAACherokee Bluff--242,387-997,589
8 - AAAJefferson538,277407,38146,4916,141967743
8 - AAAMonroe Area450,980495,42847,0505,1631,166213
8 - AAAJackson County3,73931,322274,254266,69947,576376,410
8 - AAAHart County3,18929,095263,817275,6204,539423,740
8 - AAAMorgan County3,06627,070245,965260,5963,068460,235
8 - AAAFranklin County7499,702122,346184,8567,705674,642
8 - AAAEast Jackson-277925-998,996

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Hapeville Charter6 - AA2-075.47999,9965.10919,013805,119737,222649,3590.54
Thomasville1 - AA2-160.83994,4383.29738,806317,414205,06288,37610.32
Callaway5 - AA2-059.09998,9173.30619,877405,577257,35875,79112.19
Dodge County3 - AA2-056.86989,3733.08631,223346,535163,05847,25120.16
Rockmart7 - AA2-054.33999,7953.07621,612395,22584,75832,98629.32
Rabun County8 - AA1-152.28999,8192.89606,627318,995124,23023,26941.98
Brooks County1 - AA1-153.46963,8642.60493,719201,97286,30120,13148.67
Fitzgerald1 - AA2-152.23963,4862.45430,743177,70768,67114,17769.54
Vidalia2 - AA2-051.23997,2622.33345,863178,87671,17112,18981.04
Heard County5 - AA1-150.80990,6602.28315,287146,30650,62210,15097.52
Dublin3 - AA3-050.84946,4422.30394,816156,92444,3909,467104.63
Washington County3 - AA2-049.42945,4572.19356,174131,29031,3966,514152.52
Bremen5 - AA2-048.35984,1982.05244,845100,32626,5944,746209.70
Screven County4 - AA1-145.22993,3381.81210,58873,9749,9961,845541.01
Elbert County8 - AA2-044.07998,0351.81224,83777,68013,9981,631612.12
Douglass6 - AA3-042.96988,1651.94167,95644,47811,4481,051950.47
Swainsboro2 - AA1-141.82966,6751.50102,00322,5714,1223772,651.52
Jefferson County4 - AA0-240.01972,8981.4498,01923,9202,5902753,635.36
Chattooga7 - AA2-137.35983,5631.63113,64922,5572,5671556,450.61
Early County1 - AA2-139.15687,6481.0874,62015,1831,5481218,263.46
Pepperell7 - AA0-233.25964,2601.4161,7028,8757874124,389.24
Southwest3 - AA1-137.12528,1370.7535,9906,6226443925,640.03
Bleckley County3 - AA2-135.44442,3750.6022,7373,7933392049,999.00
Berrien1 - AA2-134.80390,5640.5523,9353,5532031190,908.09
Union County8 - AA2-033.45973,6401.1725,7543,9023311099,999.00
Washington6 - AA1-231.09664,0390.8624,2822,6311789111,110.11
Spencer5 - AA0-330.33562,5380.6620,1632,0221225199,999.00
B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA1-228.72644,2810.8116,9491,471762499,999.00
Coosa7 - AA0-323.98776,8900.855,112340111999,999.00
Laney4 - AA1-124.23463,1910.492,13713031999,999.00
Harlem4 - AA1-130.00765,4060.8611,0361,19085--
Toombs County2 - AA2-128.87601,5880.688,59573040--
Jeff Davis2 - AA3-029.26661,4720.7410,19090735--
Lamar County5 - AA2-124.24240,6080.263,47517915--
South Atlanta6 - AA2-124.51351,8110.414,25427011--
Northeast3 - AA0-228.31145,8280.172,2872239--
McNair6 - AA2-021.59176,1390.201,211614--
Jordan5 - AA1-122.11186,8480.201,915922--
Metter2 - AA2-024.12379,7540.412,1631271--
Hephzibah4 - AA1-123.58476,4080.501,874991--
Butler4 - AA2-020.63303,8320.31689261--
Bacon County2 - AA0-323.66315,0790.341,69584---
Therrell6 - AA1-218.90123,6160.1353329---
Banks County8 - AA0-213.38297,6190.302414---
Monticello8 - AA1-112.68358,3530.362394---
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA1-217.2251,9530.061484---
Temple5 - AA1-113.8136,2310.04852---
Putnam County8 - AA1-211.49269,7020.271281---
Bryan County2 - AA1-115.3978,1700.0895----
Model7 - AA0-311.67198,5340.2081----
Social Circle8 - AA2-05.47102,6130.1020----
Armuchee7 - AA1-13.3236,0660.043----
Dade County7 - AA0-32.8235,6520.042----
Glenn Hills4 - AA0-28.1621,5100.022----
East Laurens3 - AA0-38.882,3880.001----
Gordon Central7 - AA1-2-5.805,2400.01-----
Westside (Augusta)4 - AA0-10.972,8170.00-----
Josey4 - AA0-2-3.366000.00-----
Oglethorpe County8 - AA0-3-19.132190.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAThomasville568,190284,266113,74528,2375,562
1 - AABrooks County253,533337,795267,671104,86536,136
1 - AAFitzgerald158,379302,844380,380121,88336,514
1 - AAEarly County14,54351,651162,439459,015312,352
1 - AABerrien5,35523,44475,765286,000609,436
2 - AAVidalia742,579205,87440,1628,6472,738
2 - AASwainsboro207,409514,282180,74064,24433,325
2 - AAJeff Davis18,697103,710286,372252,693338,528
2 - AAToombs County21,695101,707230,468247,718398,412
2 - AAMetter4,43736,377132,908206,032620,246
2 - AABacon County4,93034,648108,060167,441684,921
2 - AABryan County2533,40221,29053,225921,830
3 - AADodge County537,306281,360133,44137,26610,627
3 - AADublin240,865299,906285,113120,55853,558
3 - AAWashington County194,263319,562312,021119,61154,543
3 - AASouthwest17,31154,924134,579321,323471,863
3 - AABleckley County9,21837,494106,682288,981557,625
3 - AANortheast1,0376,74527,989110,057854,172
3 - AAEast Laurens-91752,204997,612
4 - AAScreven County582,627308,15682,04320,5126,662
4 - AAJefferson County338,532400,119173,81460,43327,102
4 - AAHarlem51,109161,673323,552229,072234,594
4 - AAHephzibah13,56555,715155,755251,373523,592
4 - AALaney10,20649,747163,296239,942536,809
4 - AAButler3,92624,06796,560179,279696,168
4 - AAGlenn Hills345034,50316,470978,490
4 - AAWestside (Augusta)1184132,385997,183
4 - AAJosey-264534999,400
5 - AACallaway614,027272,343102,8369,7111,083
5 - AAHeard County233,026364,969340,19752,4689,340
5 - AABremen149,667339,622418,76476,14515,802
5 - AASpencer2,51315,65884,747459,620437,462
5 - AALamar County5334,67330,740204,662759,392
5 - AAJordan2272,55920,296163,766813,152
5 - AATemple71762,42033,628963,769
6 - AAHapeville Charter958,88840,262805414
6 - AADouglass38,529796,980123,25929,39711,835
6 - AAWashington1,21325,591359,424277,811335,961
6 - AAB.E.S.T. Academy1,07191,092282,800269,318355,719
6 - AASouth Atlanta22329,890128,484193,214648,189
6 - AAMcNair549,17856,787110,120823,861
6 - AATherrell165,63737,39880,565876,384
6 - AAKIPP Atlanta Collegiate61,37011,04339,534948,047
7 - AARockmart824,608145,44125,3764,370205
7 - AAChattooga93,718436,122336,660117,06316,437
7 - AAPepperell71,530337,348396,415158,96735,740
7 - AACoosa9,85974,555201,765490,711223,110
7 - AAModel2715,75831,998160,507801,466
7 - AAArmuchee103593,88631,811963,934
7 - AADade County44033,58531,660964,348
7 - AAGordon Central-143154,911994,760
8 - AARabun County718,400236,86142,2372,321181
8 - AAElbert County240,169566,110177,20114,5551,965
8 - AAUnion County40,685185,473637,848109,63426,360
8 - AAMonticello2584,08457,473296,538641,647
8 - AABanks County3154,51142,605250,188702,381
8 - AAPutnam County1562,47133,494233,581730,298
8 - AASocial Circle174909,13692,970897,387
8 - AAOglethorpe County--6213999,781

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Irwin County2 - A3-058.451,000,000937,203820,003550,074414,9071.41
Clinch County2 - A2-057.961,000,000933,502814,984534,394395,0121.53
Manchester4 - A2-046.06978,824641,326357,472175,55852,49018.05
Commerce8 - A3-043.69999,991736,427351,648178,81343,32622.08
Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A2-043.40999,877689,894316,734154,00437,02326.01
Emanuel County Institute3 - A0-241.03997,538576,468290,400122,22923,80441.01
Pelham1 - A3-034.821,000,000613,039267,77885,6299,711101.98
Dooly County4 - A1-137.86821,192309,209116,39737,6346,206160.13
Turner County2 - A2-135.64994,033338,576109,46031,7504,296231.77
Marion County4 - A2-036.24967,909277,057101,67830,4024,196237.32
Charlton County2 - A2-133.86994,667312,77591,87124,4682,751362.50
Lincoln County7 - A1-132.72976,464269,11578,49719,2921,914521.47
Mitchell County1 - A1-129.67999,982433,591113,84925,3351,779561.11
Trion6 - A2-032.47994,998248,46066,71016,0651,642608.01
Macon County4 - A0-231.52270,36567,41515,9943,5073572,800.12
Telfair County2 - A1-128.48840,258100,32421,5153,7102683,730.34
Claxton3 - A2-026.07852,59984,83315,6742,2461267,935.51
Miller County1 - A1-018.90998,917148,82515,9671,4694721,275.60
Washington-Wilkes7 - A0-223.61646,75745,0607,1248134323,254.81
Taylor County4 - A0-226.02168,50921,4113,4234963429,410.76
McIntosh County Academy3 - A0-223.96532,61635,3765,4666732441,665.67
Atkinson County2 - A2-121.08740,74132,6974,1103881758,822.53
Wilcox County2 - A2-021.52721,24437,1014,7204611283,332.33
Greene County7 - A1-119.59657,53627,2923,0232596166,665.67
Chattahoochee County1 - A1-212.23992,61530,2461,699924249,999.00
Johnson County3 - A2-019.88449,18518,9262,0141512499,999.00
Schley County4 - A1-119.4283,3564,077372362499,999.00
Hancock Central7 - A1-113.27192,6693,03615461999,999.00
Seminole County1 - A1-19.60979,32417,12575526--
Jenkins County3 - A0-214.65169,3303,69924110--
Bowdon6 - A0-314.59167,3783,3011897--
Towns County8 - A1-19.7375,562671311--
Montgomery County3 - A1-29.9060,789629231--
Warren County7 - A1-16.1382,299423111--
Wilkinson County7 - A0-29.8414,9861766---
Terrell County1 - A0-3-1.97303,5143732---
Calhoun County1 - A0-2-4.91229,1941642---
Hawkinsville4 - A1-211.152,228612---
Gordon Lee6 - A1-24.5118,061711---
Lanier County2 - A0-2-1.738,980211---
Wheeler County3 - A1-14.3688814----
Portal3 - A1-13.064,29111----
Stewart County1 - A2-0-17.473,913-----
Baconton Charter1 - A1-1-16.463,407-----
Randolph-Clay1 - A0-2-21.362,790-----
Greenville4 - A0-2-2.36171-----
Treutlen3 - A2-1-2.5053-----
Crawford County4 - A1-1-9.55------
Twiggs County7 - A0-2-16.18------
Central (Talbotton)4 - A0-2-16.42------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
1 - APelham633,931976,40323,597-
1 - AMitchell County302,641749,831250,15118
1 - AMiller County51,077461,866537,0511,083
1 - AChattahoochee County6,13489,148903,4677,385
1 - ASeminole County6,19558,789920,53520,676
1 - ATerrell County1116303,498696,486
1 - ACalhoun County1139229,155770,806
1 - AStewart County--3,913996,087
1 - ABaconton Charter--3,407996,593
1 - ARandolph-Clay--2,790997,210
2 - AClinch County522,809995,6854,315-
2 - AIrwin County454,583999,006994-
2 - ATurner County13,132193,287800,7465,967
2 - ACharlton County7,790198,609796,0585,333
2 - ATelfair County1,46816,392823,866159,742
2 - AAtkinson County772,744737,997259,259
2 - AWilcox County1416,232715,012278,756
2 - ALanier County--8,980991,020
3 - AEmanuel County Institute449,269481,418516,1202,462
3 - AClaxton5,52024,010828,589147,401
3 - AMcIntosh County Academy3,1693,983528,633467,384
3 - AJohnson County9,8129,851439,334550,815
3 - AJenkins County2,1252,125167,205830,670
3 - AMontgomery County42142160,368939,211
3 - APortal224,289995,709
3 - AWheeler County7979809999,112
3 - ATreutlen4449999,947
4 - AManchester505,116505,134473,69021,176
4 - AMarion County148,869149,945817,96432,091
4 - ADooly County251,204251,246569,946178,808
4 - AMacon County68,97968,979201,386729,635
4 - ATaylor County21,69221,692146,817831,491
4 - ASchley County3,2763,27680,080916,644
4 - AHawkinsville2262262,002997,772
4 - AGreenville77164999,829
4 - ACentral (Talbotton)---1,000,000
4 - ACrawford County---1,000,000
6 - AMount Zion (Carroll)150,996620,063379,814123
6 - ATrion13,107127,055867,9435,002
6 - ABowdon6174167,304832,622
6 - AGordon Lee--18,061981,939
7 - ALincoln County143,254187,498788,96623,536
7 - AWashington-Wilkes19,76221,295625,462353,243
7 - AGreene County6,8679,493648,043342,464
7 - AHancock Central642690191,979807,331
7 - AWarren County495282,247917,701
7 - AWilkinson County44744714,539985,014
7 - ATwiggs County---1,000,000
8 - ACommerce195,849762,797237,1949
8 - ATowns County909175,471924,438

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A2-164.401,000,000968,159871,220763,393615,7430.62
Athens Academy8 - A2-054.221,000,000885,934627,899394,748156,5375.39
Prince Avenue Christian8 - A3-052.781,000,000845,475518,099305,499111,2867.99
Mount Paran Christian6 - A1-147.79999,847697,457412,117136,16141,15123.30
Darlington6 - A3-045.581,000,000750,710390,756133,92631,37830.87
Calvary Day3 - A2-043.72999,993646,927288,39687,75918,68852.51
Aquinas7 - A3-040.21999,999615,521240,19959,7189,518104.06
Savannah Christian3 - A2-138.60999,959454,731138,95230,2834,438224.33
George Walton Academy8 - A2-039.22999,956394,730114,35327,1914,281232.59
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A3-037.58999,920438,507121,19724,7313,292302.77
Wesleyan5 - A0-335.46980,508177,21847,2317,8649201,085.96
Savannah Country Day3 - A2-034.17996,220230,36855,5628,2538341,198.04
Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A2-134.09998,892237,02051,3927,7288311,202.37
Fellowship Christian6 - A2-033.29997,132197,71844,4356,0356191,614.51
Tattnall Square7 - A1-230.31903,602118,77925,4212,3571905,262.16
Hebron Christian Academy8 - A1-130.05982,89691,44917,4661,8491466,848.32
Stratford Academy7 - A0-229.04839,82796,53418,7561,5901039,707.74
Holy Innocents5 - A1-125.08888,36933,6074,1262951855,554.56
Athens Christian8 - A2-122.99916,66821,4022,3811418124,999.00
First Presbyterian7 - A0-224.28607,07730,0073,9912086166,665.67
Whitefield Academy6 - A1-122.43821,08418,7371,9251015199,999.00
Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A1-222.73596,99713,0781,272555199,999.00
Mount de Sales7 - A3-021.20880,44021,9582,138922499,999.00
Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-317.23336,2482,52614661999,999.00
North Cobb Christian6 - A2-016.03782,4676,30435311--
Christian Heritage6 - A2-012.71679,6642,8711185--
Strong Rock Christian5 - A1-115.12250,7351,453781--
Brookstone4 - A0-213.1472,3343188---
Riverside Military Academy8 - A1-14.38219,4851836---
Walker6 - A0-210.7960,5601343---
Landmark Christian5 - A1-27.7054,866802---
Pinecrest Academy6 - A0-27.8257,374702---
St. Francis6 - A0-27.1621,07321----
Providence Christian8 - A2-0-2.5037,2578----
Lakeview Academy8 - A0-20.7018,3926----
Georgia Military College7 - A2-0-2.44116-----
King's Ridge Christian6 - A0-2-7.6343-----
Pacelli4 - A1-1-9.88------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
3 - ACalvary Day346,644678,908321,0857
3 - ASavannah Christian131,597504,918495,04141
3 - ASavannah Country Day51,358185,562810,6583,780
4 - ABrookstone63163171,703927,666
4 - APacelli---1,000,000
5 - AEagle's Landing Christian929,359997,6432,357-
5 - ATrinity Christian (Sharpsburg)29,363557,674442,24680
5 - AMount Vernon Presbyterian12,917191,260807,6321,108
5 - AWesleyan27,21145,508935,00019,492
5 - AHoly Innocents1,0265,330883,039111,631
5 - AOur Lady of Mercy7797336,151663,752
5 - AStrong Rock Christian4776250,659749,265
5 - ALandmark Christian-154,865945,134
6 - ADarlington261,997911,08388,917-
6 - AMount Paran Christian529,092571,017428,830153
6 - AFellowship Christian39,447116,782880,3502,868
6 - AWhitefield Academy2,6653,632817,452178,916
6 - ANorth Cobb Christian961,198781,269217,533
6 - AChristian Heritage21798678,866320,336
6 - AMount Pisgah Christian2,4902,493594,504403,003
6 - AWalker212160,539939,440
6 - APinecrest Academy7757,367942,626
6 - ASt. Francis--21,073978,927
6 - AKing's Ridge Christian--43999,957
7 - AAquinas493,992776,418223,5811
7 - ATattnall Square140,580140,971762,63196,398
7 - AStratford Academy129,165129,602710,225160,173
7 - AMount de Sales16,84419,968860,472119,560
7 - AFirst Presbyterian48,39848,399558,678392,923
7 - AGeorgia Military College--116999,884
8 - AAthens Academy435,460935,88464,116-
8 - APrince Avenue Christian319,073831,960168,040-
8 - AGeorge Walton Academy31,068308,845691,11144
8 - AHebron Christian Academy17,96232,115950,78117,104
8 - AAthens Christian4811,181915,48783,332
8 - ARiverside Military Academy1415219,470780,515
8 - AProvidence Christian--37,257962,743
8 - ALakeview Academy3318,389981,608

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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