Maxwell playoff projections after Week 6

By Loren Maxwell

Updated Sept 26, 2018

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2018 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	AvgDepth	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion	Odds
Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	6-0	99.75	1,000,000	5.03	939,235	817,708	695,424	587,748	0.70
Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	3-2	86.26	999,889	3.50	708,733	474,530	265,372	95,727	9.45
Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	4-1	86.55	999,935	3.46	701,665	467,344	248,023	94,817	9.55
North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	3-2	83.97	999,719	3.07	729,586	258,373	130,926	49,843	19.06
Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	5-0	84.47	999,816	2.86	584,163	330,604	107,653	46,948	20.30
McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	4-1	82.00	989,817	2.92	530,720	321,557	132,985	35,804	26.93
Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	4-0	82.46	999,867	2.61	410,006	235,278	79,001	27,723	35.07
Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	5-1	80.51	977,374	2.72	560,681	241,790	117,435	25,513	38.20
Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	5-0	78.18	990,892	2.49	388,824	188,729	61,218	13,043	75.67
Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	3-2	76.61	998,352	2.34	431,884	146,646	47,518	9,310	106.41
Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	3-2	73.48	998,545	2.33	358,214	121,269	33,562	4,731	210.37
Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	3-2	72.21	802,164	1.46	180,609	54,200	13,350	1,668	598.52
Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	4-1	71.64	982,991	1.75	161,090	52,333	11,967	1,524	655.17
Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	4-1	71.28	898,112	1.56	176,248	49,626	11,041	1,333	749.19
Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	4-1	70.34	986,713	1.59	146,438	46,277	9,104	1,001	998.00
Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	2-3	69.09	994,023	1.63	125,911	35,022	6,794	667	1,498.25
South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	3-2	67.65	989,865	1.88	190,123	38,679	6,951	628	1,591.36
Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	1-4	69.22	744,085	1.37	107,498	25,350	4,925	528	1,892.94
Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	3-2	68.18	985,366	1.59	116,587	22,493	5,825	518	1,929.50
North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	5-0	68.57	774,431	1.35	100,949	22,680	4,054	406	2,462.05
North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	5-0	67.77	732,023	1.25	85,897	17,441	2,855	275	3,635.36
Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	4-1	65.46	989,266	1.41	81,393	14,776	2,243	148	6,755.76
Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	5-0	63.55	960,957	1.32	44,547	6,415	1,015	62	16,128.03
Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	2-3	57.99	941,910	1.22	31,271	2,140	161	11	90,908.09
West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	1-4	58.69	933,582	1.17	30,244	2,721	207	10	99,999.00
Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	0-4	58.73	898,620	1.06	17,318	1,898	131	8	124,999.00
Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	2-3	58.63	814,488	0.92	17,791	1,881	161	3	333,332.33
Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	2-3	54.74	652,872	0.70	6,254	438	30	1	999,999.00
South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	2-3	52.70	828,934	0.97	11,435	601	26	1	999,999.00
Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	1-4	51.42	444,571	0.47	4,295	111	4	1	999,999.00
East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	0-5	52.36	624,415	0.69	3,912	273	13	-	-
Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	2-3	52.44	643,877	0.71	4,084	275	11	-	-
Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	2-3	51.47	570,440	0.62	3,128	215	6	-	-
Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	5-0	50.83	605,926	0.65	5,249	174	4	-	-
Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	3-2	47.07	533,273	0.56	1,325	51	3	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	4-1	50.30	53,245	0.06	529	23	2	-	-
Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	2-3	48.04	353,169	0.36	825	33	-	-	-
North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	2-3	44.79	462,273	0.48	651	23	-	-	-
Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	1-4	43.30	220,211	0.23	252	13	-	-	-
Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	1-4	44.27	196,401	0.20	227	7	-	-	-
Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	2-3	37.37	171,812	0.18	155	3	-	-	-
Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	1-4	32.08	57,604	0.06	18	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	4-1	34.61	83,402	0.08	17	-	-	-	-
Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	0-5	38.52	68,313	0.07	17	-	-	-	-
Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	1-4	31.67	28,112	0.03	1	-	-	-	-
Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	2-3	30.41	18,023	0.02	1	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	1-4	21.66	318	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	2-3	-7.04	7	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

		Seed
Region	Team	1	2	3	4	At large	Out
1 - AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	870,698	113,736	11,992	-	3,574	-
1 - AAAAAAA	Lowndes	88,102	569,341	239,236	-	80,695	22,626
1 - AAAAAAA	Camden County	16,829	160,831	390,215	-	330,237	101,888
1 - AAAAAAA	Tift County	24,371	156,092	358,557	-	263,144	197,836
2 - AAAAAAA	Westlake	598,991	263,824	91,532	30,937	82	14,634
2 - AAAAAAA	Wheeler	290,766	400,233	188,464	76,344	5,150	39,043
2 - AAAAAAA	Newnan	34,882	107,495	235,809	265,657	34	356,123
2 - AAAAAAA	East Coweta	38,608	117,212	222,230	246,365	-	375,585
2 - AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	32,697	91,805	198,685	247,253	-	429,560
2 - AAAAAAA	Campbell	4,056	19,431	63,280	133,444	-	779,789
3 - AAAAAAA	McEachern	499,425	296,680	127,006	53,964	12,742	10,183
3 - AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	328,403	317,710	190,457	102,445	51,877	9,108
3 - AAAAAAA	Marietta	63,198	143,796	262,140	271,740	3,211	255,915
3 - AAAAAAA	North Cobb	62,084	126,343	206,742	264,520	114,742	225,569
3 - AAAAAAA	North Paulding	46,540	113,212	203,183	271,862	97,226	267,977
3 - AAAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	350	2,259	10,472	35,469	4,695	946,755
4 - AAAAAAA	Walton	825,807	152,899	18,024	2,886	200	184
4 - AAAAAAA	Roswell	144,555	585,869	203,146	50,105	3,038	13,287
4 - AAAAAAA	Etowah	18,839	161,008	369,264	265,370	7	185,512
4 - AAAAAAA	Woodstock	8,931	71,886	253,322	318,723	10	347,128
4 - AAAAAAA	Cherokee	1,525	20,084	100,383	230,973	204	646,831
4 - AAAAAAA	Lassiter	343	8,254	55,861	131,943	-	803,599
5 - AAAAAAA	Milton	585,458	318,355	80,870	13,096	766	1,455
5 - AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	342,311	436,209	172,909	38,268	168	10,135
5 - AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	63,294	194,217	505,022	171,049	-	66,418
5 - AAAAAAA	Lambert	5,469	30,605	127,124	370,069	6	466,727
5 - AAAAAAA	North Forsyth	3,342	18,960	98,586	341,385	-	537,727
5 - AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	126	1,654	15,489	66,133	-	916,598
6 - AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	673,872	251,336	60,056	14,439	16	281
6 - AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	250,269	498,188	201,463	48,403	29	1,648
6 - AAAAAAA	Mountain View	61,491	189,845	457,837	279,733	360	10,734
6 - AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	14,355	60,267	275,313	548,685	-	101,380
6 - AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	12	275	2,274	65,752	-	931,687
6 - AAAAAAA	Discovery	1	79	2,095	25,937	-	971,888
6 - AAAAAAA	Duluth	-	10	962	17,051	-	981,977
7 - AAAAAAA	Parkview	678,981	236,608	73,402	9,892	984	133
7 - AAAAAAA	Brookwood	190,016	372,707	351,516	68,295	457	17,009
7 - AAAAAAA	Norcross	126,662	364,935	437,037	65,347	42	5,977
7 - AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	2,826	20,169	92,205	464,556	26,170	394,074
7 - AAAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	1,515	5,579	45,754	391,673	50	555,429
7 - AAAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	2	86	230	-	999,682
7 - AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	-	7	-	999,993
8 - AAAAAAA	Grayson	537,997	431,697	27,611	2,567	17	111
8 - AAAAAAA	Archer	456,341	512,863	28,651	2,033	47	65
8 - AAAAAAA	Newton	4,097	39,173	616,679	281,942	19	58,090
8 - AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	1,552	15,406	286,011	525,964	1	171,066
8 - AAAAAAA	Shiloh	12	667	30,129	141,004	-	828,188
8 - AAAAAAA	Rockdale County	1	194	10,919	46,490	-	942,396

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	AvgDepth	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion	Odds
Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	5-0	79.48	997,453	4.78	903,124	767,899	653,191	498,591	1.01
Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	6-0	73.78	988,879	4.02	810,468	623,395	455,334	232,516	3.30
Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	6-0	66.53	999,053	2.94	604,621	279,405	141,404	55,014	17.18
Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	5-0	65.35	994,471	2.87	589,069	248,448	124,419	45,416	21.02
Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	3-2	62.63	999,601	2.34	443,807	263,719	79,587	25,224	38.64
Mays	5 - AAAAAA	2-2	62.83	993,558	2.60	437,297	197,726	81,125	24,670	39.54
Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	2-3	62.60	895,151	2.29	465,784	241,594	77,560	21,965	44.53
Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	3-3	62.56	884,789	2.25	452,983	236,497	74,837	21,392	45.75
Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	4-0	61.59	959,500	2.30	416,613	165,128	55,222	15,630	62.98
Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	3-2	60.16	994,570	2.40	407,555	154,252	53,197	13,488	73.14
Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	3-2	60.66	893,208	2.00	343,765	137,530	39,887	10,693	92.52
Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	3-1	59.88	998,387	2.03	331,438	154,463	39,896	10,531	93.96
Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	2-3	59.02	986,051	2.32	250,237	117,959	41,246	9,418	105.18
Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	4-1	59.01	996,867	2.31	330,604	118,910	39,514	9,232	107.32
Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	3-2	53.58	973,946	1.80	194,306	56,847	10,109	1,695	588.97
Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	3-1	53.42	986,838	1.47	166,094	54,709	9,545	1,507	662.57
Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	2-3	52.65	931,688	1.92	151,758	47,448	8,974	1,404	711.25
Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	2-2	50.36	982,700	1.30	78,890	18,106	2,660	360	2,776.78
Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	4-2	48.66	880,403	1.68	107,000	24,565	2,953	318	3,143.65
Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	4-1	49.63	989,900	1.29	74,709	16,170	2,222	257	3,890.05
Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	1-3	47.66	863,589	1.62	96,733	20,650	2,301	232	4,309.34
Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	2-2	47.27	677,570	0.99	50,118	9,052	937	92	10,868.57
Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	1-4	48.30	576,572	0.83	44,415	9,077	838	88	11,362.64
Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	2-3	51.52	111,048	0.17	16,664	4,743	549	86	11,626.91
Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	3-2	45.60	983,722	1.13	41,235	7,423	726	58	17,240.38
Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	2-3	45.48	233,728	0.31	21,248	3,955	312	33	30,302.03
Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	2-3	44.37	823,915	1.07	32,762	4,953	413	31	32,257.06
Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	2-3	41.42	923,806	1.27	34,826	4,828	383	22	45,453.55
Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	2-3	45.11	335,351	0.45	15,896	2,436	202	13	76,922.08
Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	2-3	43.30	253,611	0.33	9,201	1,119	71	8	124,999.00
Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	4-2	41.81	838,777	0.88	9,217	931	97	4	249,999.00
Evans	3 - AAAAAA	0-5	37.31	822,379	1.03	14,394	1,402	66	4	249,999.00
Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	2-2	37.06	836,437	1.04	13,410	1,306	57	2	499,999.00
Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	2-3	36.76	338,269	0.50	9,933	836	34	2	499,999.00
South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	1-4	40.30	162,703	0.20	3,294	324	20	2	499,999.00
Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	1-4	43.46	38,751	0.05	2,063	312	17	1	999,999.00
Pope	7 - AAAAAA	1-4	37.48	433,721	0.46	2,709	121	9	1	999,999.00
Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	0-5	38.88	578,975	0.66	7,219	718	37	-	-
Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	3-2	37.09	528,244	0.59	4,504	407	24	-	-
Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	1-4	34.09	730,467	0.85	6,202	477	16	-	-
Northview	7 - AAAAAA	3-2	35.26	341,876	0.36	1,569	79	7	-	-
Drew	4 - AAAAAA	1-4	31.71	111,722	0.11	213	12	1	-	-
Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	1-4	30.82	67,585	0.07	126	4	1	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	2-2	28.14	415,065	0.45	893	32	-	-	-
North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	3-1	32.19	184,129	0.19	472	10	-	-	-
Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	0-4	25.48	271,846	0.29	321	7	-	-	-
M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	1-3	30.10	51,250	0.05	100	7	-	-	-
Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	2-3	25.71	100,350	0.10	68	5	-	-	-
South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	1-5	35.69	1,592	0.00	16	3	-	-	-
River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	1-4	33.69	2,377	0.00	26	1	-	-	-
Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	1-5	30.45	15,517	0.02	18	-	-	-	-
New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	1-4	29.94	2,009	0.00	4	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	0-4	29.01	1,759	0.00	4	-	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	0-5	24.59	1,129	0.00	3	-	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	1-4	23.20	12,560	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	1-4	20.80	573	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	0-5	13.43	13	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-6	2.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

		Seed
Region	Team	1	2	3	4	Out
1 - AAAAAA	Lee County	569,103	307,400	90,976	29,974	2,547
1 - AAAAAA	Coffee	318,634	386,067	196,459	87,719	11,121
1 - AAAAAA	Valdosta	53,074	156,974	359,070	326,033	104,849
1 - AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	58,454	142,198	315,057	369,080	115,211
1 - AAAAAA	Houston County	735	7,361	38,438	187,194	766,272
2 - AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	561,083	265,656	109,428	49,884	13,949
2 - AAAAAA	Brunswick	225,254	303,594	244,541	158,299	68,312
2 - AAAAAA	Effingham County	112,714	210,013	282,897	274,779	119,597
2 - AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	91,851	188,303	288,780	294,655	136,411
2 - AAAAAA	Bradwell Institute	9,098	32,434	74,354	222,383	661,731
3 - AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	388,702	257,374	175,691	102,039	76,194
3 - AAAAAA	Alcovy	211,180	226,523	222,133	176,601	163,563
3 - AAAAAA	Evans	224,854	228,364	205,884	163,277	177,621
3 - AAAAAA	Grovetown	125,973	179,256	210,608	214,630	269,533
3 - AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	34,589	70,227	113,313	196,936	584,935
3 - AAAAAA	Greenbrier	14,702	38,256	72,371	146,517	728,154
4 - AAAAAA	Tucker	679,398	262,630	55,136	2,437	399
4 - AAAAAA	Stephenson	253,033	445,906	214,697	73,202	13,162
4 - AAAAAA	Lovejoy	67,246	249,594	595,924	70,958	16,278
4 - AAAAAA	Mundy's Mill	140	37,996	111,876	688,765	161,223
4 - AAAAAA	Drew	-	1,011	8,660	102,051	888,278
4 - AAAAAA	M.L. King	182	2,841	12,184	36,043	948,750
4 - AAAAAA	Morrow	-	3	294	15,220	984,483
4 - AAAAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	1	19	1,227	11,313	987,440
4 - AAAAAA	Forest Park	-	-	2	11	999,987
5 - AAAAAA	Mays	530,254	379,784	67,791	15,729	6,442
5 - AAAAAA	Douglas County	439,317	461,880	81,531	14,139	3,133
5 - AAAAAA	Alexander	26,049	99,530	299,680	252,311	322,430
5 - AAAAAA	Hughes	190	16,993	295,537	263,852	423,428
5 - AAAAAA	Northgate	592	17,019	132,469	185,271	664,649
5 - AAAAAA	Creekside	3,457	19,911	80,898	149,345	746,389
5 - AAAAAA	South Paulding	140	4,850	41,588	116,125	837,297
5 - AAAAAA	New Manchester	-	8	225	1,776	997,991
5 - AAAAAA	Tri-Cities	1	25	281	1,452	998,241
6 - AAAAAA	Creekview	454,263	336,891	156,899	46,418	5,529
6 - AAAAAA	Harrison	352,728	310,298	220,684	115,343	947
6 - AAAAAA	Sequoyah	151,471	209,296	293,141	305,592	40,500
6 - AAAAAA	Allatoona	41,470	142,350	319,032	390,356	106,792
6 - AAAAAA	Dalton	-	14	6,012	105,022	888,952
6 - AAAAAA	Sprayberry	67	1,125	4,020	33,539	961,249
6 - AAAAAA	River Ridge	1	18	135	2,223	997,623
6 - AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	8	77	1,507	998,408
6 - AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7 - AAAAAA	Alpharetta	672,417	232,898	83,204	9,868	1,613
7 - AAAAAA	Johns Creek	166,457	391,389	366,920	65,134	10,100
7 - AAAAAA	Centennial	159,009	354,486	401,598	67,607	17,300
7 - AAAAAA	Pope	68	10,735	66,795	356,123	566,279
7 - AAAAAA	Northview	1,605	7,423	51,089	281,759	658,124
7 - AAAAAA	North Atlanta	409	2,691	22,887	158,142	815,871
7 - AAAAAA	Cambridge	35	366	7,352	59,832	932,415
7 - AAAAAA	Chattahoochee	-	7	87	1,035	998,871
7 - AAAAAA	Dunwoody	-	5	68	500	999,427
8 - AAAAAA	Dacula	655,689	248,643	70,382	19,856	5,430
8 - AAAAAA	Lanier	254,717	442,108	209,364	67,757	26,054
8 - AAAAAA	Winder-Barrow	58,018	184,508	343,165	238,224	176,085
8 - AAAAAA	Gainesville	18,773	69,842	194,443	295,917	421,025
8 - AAAAAA	Habersham Central	12,452	51,062	159,005	305,725	471,756
8 - AAAAAA	Apalachee	351	3,837	23,641	72,521	899,650

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	AvgDepth	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion	Odds
Rome	7 - AAAAA	5-0	84.21	999,989	4.87	946,431	794,815	654,366	481,086	1.08
Buford	8 - AAAAA	3-2	78.79	999,996	4.27	829,126	653,027	540,589	256,657	2.90
Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	4-1	74.35	999,315	3.35	650,695	550,150	202,679	101,298	8.87
Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	5-0	71.90	998,573	3.23	763,100	353,977	172,327	64,813	14.43
Jones County	4 - AAAAA	5-0	67.55	993,103	2.74	586,679	269,949	99,109	26,845	36.25
Ware County	2 - AAAAA	4-1	66.55	999,108	2.72	462,130	224,761	75,750	20,318	48.22
Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	5-0	65.68	998,963	2.67	447,032	202,172	68,060	16,896	58.19
Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	5-0	65.65	982,759	2.38	449,412	205,064	65,423	15,137	65.06
Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	4-1	64.04	977,516	2.31	274,171	116,197	43,920	8,576	115.60
Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	5-0	56.67	999,510	2.59	534,544	180,709	28,432	3,214	310.14
Veterans	1 - AAAAA	6-0	58.68	969,170	1.56	157,855	60,544	11,121	1,622	615.52
Kell	7 - AAAAA	2-2	57.01	605,938	1.33	232,734	55,273	6,782	876	1,140.55
Griffin	3 - AAAAA	3-2	53.48	996,893	2.02	184,092	77,637	10,011	803	1,244.33
East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	1-3	53.18	787,227	1.63	256,349	56,916	5,883	509	1,963.64
Banneker	6 - AAAAA	4-1	52.01	999,272	1.89	320,683	57,844	4,079	420	2,379.95
Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	3-2	52.72	988,318	1.94	123,957	22,255	3,036	310	3,224.81
Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-3	54.17	771,518	1.05	61,644	23,231	2,333	253	3,951.57
Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	4-1	52.85	895,099	1.18	77,184	22,633	2,519	210	4,760.90
Hiram	7 - AAAAA	3-1	49.18	481,891	0.86	107,023	15,454	1,020	68	14,704.88
Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	2-3	44.35	985,274	1.68	153,622	16,896	716	29	34,481.76
Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	2-3	45.00	969,852	1.51	54,463	8,927	589	21	47,618.05
Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	2-3	47.31	785,621	0.91	32,576	4,972	345	15	66,665.67
Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	3-2	42.18	929,880	1.40	72,032	5,434	177	7	142,856.14
Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	2-3	42.40	977,398	1.27	66,261	7,071	267	4	249,999.00
Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	2-3	42.02	874,932	1.21	24,669	2,948	114	4	249,999.00
New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	2-2	41.71	857,574	1.18	23,593	2,656	110	4	249,999.00
Loganville	8 - AAAAA	2-3	39.07	865,709	1.17	41,568	2,787	69	3	333,332.33
Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	2-3	40.56	721,849	0.83	7,503	906	29	1	999,999.00
Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	2-3	42.54	182,469	0.20	1,900	433	11	1	999,999.00
Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	3-2	40.08	831,191	0.94	16,025	1,633	54	-	-
Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	3-2	41.51	115,950	0.17	11,602	893	26	-	-
Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	4-1	38.47	800,618	0.95	8,850	782	21	-	-
Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	2-3	37.95	644,456	0.68	2,828	216	14	-	-
Harris County	1 - AAAAA	1-4	39.06	350,795	0.37	4,193	269	8	-	-
Columbia	5 - AAAAA	1-4	31.20	807,670	0.91	5,314	176	5	-	-
Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	1-4	39.95	32,736	0.03	217	41	2	-	-
Ola	4 - AAAAA	1-4	41.36	18,036	0.02	156	31	2	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	4-1	38.18	31,249	0.04	1,918	118	1	-	-
Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	0-5	33.29	395,405	0.43	1,322	74	1	-	-
South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	1-4	27.93	269,423	0.30	654	31	-	-	-
Decatur	6 - AAAAA	2-2	29.51	359,102	0.37	862	28	-	-	-
Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	3-2	26.51	620,508	0.66	1,194	27	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	1-4	24.88	201,775	0.22	894	23	-	-	-
Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	1-3	25.31	550,364	0.58	732	13	-	-	-
Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-2	35.06	20,806	0.02	51	4	-	-	-
Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	0-4	22.43	68,698	0.07	20	2	-	-	-
North Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-3	28.14	156,290	0.16	114	1	-	-	-
McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	1-4	23.20	46,685	0.05	10	-	-	-	-
Grady	6 - AAAAA	1-4	21.62	31,707	0.03	9	-	-	-	-
Cass	7 - AAAAA	1-4	27.50	131	0.00	3	-	-	-	-
Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	0-5	32.75	109	0.00	3	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	4-1	8.69	14,322	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-5	5.50	36,674	0.04	-	-	-	-	-
Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	2-3	9.77	584	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5 - AAAAA	0-6	-22.17	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA	0-6	-53.92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

		Seed
Region	Team	1	2	3	4	Out
1 - AAAAA	Warner Robins	813,997	153,548	25,617	6,153	685
1 - AAAAA	Veterans	116,445	482,523	264,540	105,662	30,830
1 - AAAAA	Thomas County Central	52,529	227,407	383,246	231,917	104,901
1 - AAAAA	Bainbridge	14,806	112,778	248,873	409,164	214,379
1 - AAAAA	Harris County	2,223	23,744	77,724	247,104	649,205
2 - AAAAA	Wayne County	503,668	418,489	64,464	12,342	1,037
2 - AAAAA	Ware County	475,360	465,129	51,025	7,594	892
2 - AAAAA	Statesboro	10,179	54,341	400,404	410,008	125,068
2 - AAAAA	New Hampstead	10,520	57,398	426,517	363,139	142,426
2 - AAAAA	South Effingham	273	4,643	57,590	206,917	730,577
3 - AAAAA	Griffin	684,354	229,692	64,680	18,167	3,107
3 - AAAAA	Starr's Mill	236,019	491,590	185,170	57,073	30,148
3 - AAAAA	Riverdale	52,159	159,514	310,459	278,486	199,382
3 - AAAAA	Jonesboro	24,023	62,291	293,972	341,563	278,151
3 - AAAAA	Whitewater	2,740	50,981	120,737	220,947	604,595
3 - AAAAA	Fayette County	497	4,171	16,920	47,110	931,302
3 - AAAAA	McIntosh	208	1,761	8,062	36,654	953,315
4 - AAAAA	Stockbridge	515,019	328,028	144,936	10,590	1,427
4 - AAAAA	Jones County	310,087	338,353	257,322	87,341	6,897
4 - AAAAA	Dutchtown	168,195	279,580	387,337	147,647	17,241
4 - AAAAA	Locust Grove	6,487	51,752	187,558	525,721	228,482
4 - AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	183	1,878	17,787	162,621	817,531
4 - AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	2	198	3,081	29,455	967,264
4 - AAAAA	Union Grove	-	10	344	20,452	979,194
4 - AAAAA	Ola	27	201	1,635	16,173	981,964
5 - AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	769,177	201,872	24,413	4,048	490
5 - AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	199,541	577,692	165,866	42,175	14,726
5 - AAAAA	Columbia	21,170	116,455	388,895	281,150	192,330
5 - AAAAA	Lithonia	5,872	57,714	225,210	331,712	379,492
5 - AAAAA	Miller Grove	4,231	45,727	187,656	312,750	449,636
5 - AAAAA	Chamblee	9	540	7,960	28,165	963,326
5 - AAAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5 - AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6 - AAAAA	Banneker	786,601	190,338	19,070	3,263	728
6 - AAAAA	Carver (Atlanta)	190,963	498,462	227,372	60,601	22,602
6 - AAAAA	Riverwood	13,153	228,785	357,649	231,604	168,809
6 - AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	126	32,050	245,425	366,855	355,544
6 - AAAAA	Decatur	8,343	43,731	101,671	205,357	640,898
6 - AAAAA	North Springs	702	5,100	41,055	109,433	843,710
6 - AAAAA	Grady	112	1,530	7,716	22,349	968,293
6 - AAAAA	Lithia Springs	-	4	42	538	999,416
7 - AAAAA	Rome	985,569	12,488	1,687	245	11
7 - AAAAA	Carrollton	2,362	773,964	138,320	62,870	22,484
7 - AAAAA	East Paulding	8,856	46,543	507,017	224,811	212,773
7 - AAAAA	Kell	6	112,448	141,410	352,074	394,062
7 - AAAAA	Hiram	3,166	52,276	169,142	257,307	518,109
7 - AAAAA	Villa Rica	27	1,001	34,266	80,656	884,050
7 - AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	14	1,280	8,112	21,843	968,751
7 - AAAAA	Cass	-	-	29	102	999,869
7 - AAAAA	Paulding County	-	-	17	92	999,891
8 - AAAAA	Buford	937,128	59,192	3,159	517	4
8 - AAAAA	Clarke Central	48,562	671,084	211,641	57,031	11,682
8 - AAAAA	Cedar Shoals	9,599	169,872	452,817	297,592	70,120
8 - AAAAA	Loganville	4,632	91,740	296,819	472,518	134,291
8 - AAAAA	Walnut Grove	79	8,027	33,422	160,247	798,225
8 - AAAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	85	2,142	12,095	985,678

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	AvgDepth	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion	Odds
Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	5-0	85.28	999,997	5.01	904,921	846,572	714,759	550,388	0.82
Cartersville	5 - AAAA	5-0	77.99	998,566	4.22	841,397	753,485	443,452	212,669	3.70
Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	5-0	72.25	998,189	3.61	883,533	478,912	228,319	73,929	12.53
Troup	5 - AAAA	5-0	70.64	992,538	3.42	688,093	562,701	196,861	63,741	14.69
St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	5-1	72.76	999,936	2.93	521,532	327,987	171,223	54,775	17.26
Marist	7 - AAAA	4-1	68.70	999,205	2.80	443,604	260,809	115,297	28,159	34.51
Burke County	3 - AAAA	3-2	61.02	999,572	2.48	538,492	124,755	33,546	5,224	190.42
Eastside	4 - AAAA	4-0	58.17	999,595	2.51	528,354	77,391	21,304	3,044	327.52
Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	2-2	55.87	999,773	2.06	189,274	111,826	13,912	1,684	592.82
Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	4-0	57.75	978,201	1.97	148,337	67,234	12,772	1,499	666.11
Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	2-2	55.43	998,853	2.35	444,835	55,441	12,047	1,353	738.10
Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	3-1	56.99	704,052	1.20	90,601	47,474	7,376	936	1,067.38
West Laurens	2 - AAAA	4-1	54.56	858,327	1.78	312,934	58,810	7,776	840	1,189.48
Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	4-1	56.22	699,669	1.07	48,031	21,423	3,649	471	2,122.14
Cairo	1 - AAAA	3-2	49.52	995,037	2.15	290,994	52,180	4,181	318	3,143.65
Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	3-2	51.46	766,579	1.40	199,048	28,883	2,943	220	4,544.45
Cedartown	5 - AAAA	2-3	54.13	575,499	0.85	39,649	16,969	2,198	214	4,671.90
Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	5-0	48.42	989,052	2.02	226,887	35,645	2,703	185	5,404.41
Thomson	3 - AAAA	2-3	49.55	990,432	1.63	183,105	19,037	2,030	154	6,492.51
Oconee County	8 - AAAA	4-2	50.20	972,347	1.27	31,946	11,272	1,195	73	13,697.63
Perry	2 - AAAA	4-1	48.04	639,102	1.02	104,745	11,163	853	56	17,856.14
Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	5-0	45.85	981,159	1.41	110,830	9,750	713	34	29,410.76
Pickens	6 - AAAA	5-0	41.93	980,187	1.23	17,320	4,261	199	7	142,856.14
Stephens County	8 - AAAA	4-2	43.98	931,675	1.05	14,003	3,534	166	7	142,856.14
Spalding	2 - AAAA	3-2	43.84	400,107	0.55	34,436	2,447	143	6	166,665.67
Howard	2 - AAAA	3-2	43.28	337,696	0.46	26,987	1,847	100	6	166,665.67
Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	2-3	40.05	522,250	0.69	23,939	1,254	58	3	333,332.33
Denmark	7 - AAAA	4-1	37.96	574,049	0.71	6,505	1,134	31	2	499,999.00
Baldwin	3 - AAAA	1-5	38.22	918,231	1.04	24,518	1,148	40	1	999,999.00
Hardaway	1 - AAAA	3-2	39.51	656,509	0.79	19,925	669	33	1	999,999.00
Salem	4 - AAAA	2-2	36.72	934,844	1.19	23,631	887	25	1	999,999.00
North Oconee	8 - AAAA	5-1	38.96	855,569	0.91	5,445	989	32	-	-
Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	3-1	37.73	951,259	1.08	6,739	1,128	31	-	-
Columbus	1 - AAAA	2-2	37.99	594,381	0.72	16,272	592	25	-	-
West Hall	7 - AAAA	1-4	33.99	293,308	0.34	1,833	221	3	-	-
Luella	4 - AAAA	2-2	26.48	491,551	0.54	2,361	41	2	-	-
Hampton	4 - AAAA	1-3	25.66	278,245	0.30	1,322	24	1	-	-
Madison County	8 - AAAA	2-4	26.47	240,473	0.24	136	1	1	-	-
Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	1-4	22.48	522,578	0.53	44	1	1	-	-
White County	7 - AAAA	1-4	30.72	151,783	0.17	500	60	-	-	-
Westover	1 - AAAA	2-3	33.11	136,728	0.15	1,534	19	-	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	2-3	31.81	101,972	0.11	873	17	-	-	-
North Clayton	4 - AAAA	0-4	21.56	202,113	0.21	352	5	-	-	-
Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	2-3	32.25	23,457	0.02	38	2	-	-	-
Henry County	4 - AAAA	0-4	16.40	89,325	0.09	61	-	-	-	-
LaFayette	6 - AAAA	4-1	19.92	471,088	0.47	45	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	2-2	14.87	110,606	0.11	25	-	-	-	-
Shaw	1 - AAAA	2-2	21.79	3,926	0.00	7	-	-	-	-
LaGrange	5 - AAAA	1-3	31.51	6,219	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	2-3	14.22	74,670	0.07	2	-	-	-	-
Chestatee	7 - AAAA	1-4	17.78	3,457	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	2-2	9.35	5,474	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Gilmer	6 - AAAA	0-5	-15.17	445	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-5	13.24	145	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

		Seed
Region	Team	1	2	3	4	Out
1 - AAAA	Cairo	556,920	345,406	76,964	15,747	4,963
1 - AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	401,039	470,742	87,675	29,596	10,948
1 - AAAA	Hardaway	220	24,469	362,166	269,654	343,491
1 - AAAA	Columbus	10,959	53,955	252,078	277,389	405,619
1 - AAAA	Americus-Sumter	30,329	93,131	148,586	250,204	477,750
1 - AAAA	Westover	423	7,742	39,512	89,051	863,272
1 - AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	104	4,472	32,222	65,174	898,028
1 - AAAA	Shaw	6	81	780	3,059	996,074
1 - AAAA	Dougherty	-	2	17	126	999,855
2 - AAAA	Mary Persons	814,205	147,531	29,265	7,188	1,811
2 - AAAA	West Laurens	96,033	333,276	265,112	163,906	141,673
2 - AAAA	Upson-Lee	55,974	244,169	260,683	205,753	233,421
2 - AAAA	Perry	22,164	160,353	216,811	239,774	360,898
2 - AAAA	Spalding	6,330	61,381	124,039	208,357	599,893
2 - AAAA	Howard	5,294	53,290	104,090	175,022	662,304
3 - AAAA	Burke County	687,395	230,956	61,671	19,550	428
3 - AAAA	Thomson	191,147	385,619	296,327	117,339	9,568
3 - AAAA	Richmond Academy	96,619	301,497	395,622	187,421	18,841
3 - AAAA	Baldwin	24,783	80,203	238,210	575,035	81,769
3 - AAAA	Cross Creek	56	1,725	8,170	100,655	889,394
4 - AAAA	Eastside	528,089	418,785	49,039	3,682	405
4 - AAAA	Woodward Academy	452,848	467,938	70,583	7,484	1,147
4 - AAAA	Salem	17,541	94,623	630,523	192,157	65,156
4 - AAAA	Luella	1,106	12,047	159,704	318,694	508,449
4 - AAAA	Hampton	377	4,408	26,833	246,627	721,755
4 - AAAA	North Clayton	30	1,901	44,948	155,234	797,887
4 - AAAA	Henry County	9	286	17,743	71,287	910,675
4 - AAAA	Druid Hills	-	12	627	4,835	994,526
5 - AAAA	Cartersville	688,064	251,114	47,661	11,727	1,434
5 - AAAA	Troup	273,342	565,884	130,856	22,456	7,462
5 - AAAA	Sandy Creek	26,208	102,986	282,434	292,424	295,948
5 - AAAA	Chapel Hill	8,565	30,693	322,089	338,322	300,331
5 - AAAA	Cedartown	3,805	48,963	211,618	311,113	424,501
5 - AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	16	342	4,813	18,286	976,543
5 - AAAA	LaGrange	-	18	529	5,672	993,781
6 - AAAA	Ridgeland	743,005	208,680	45,592	2,496	227
6 - AAAA	Pickens	163,912	430,520	316,502	69,253	19,813
6 - AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	90,789	310,947	414,550	134,973	48,741
6 - AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	488	24,289	114,757	383,044	477,422
6 - AAAA	LaFayette	1,746	24,147	96,151	349,044	528,912
6 - AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	60	1,417	12,439	60,754	925,330
6 - AAAA	Gilmer	-	-	9	436	999,555
7 - AAAA	Blessed Trinity	853,324	131,691	14,551	431	3
7 - AAAA	Marist	123,570	671,704	193,308	10,623	795
7 - AAAA	Flowery Branch	22,838	187,791	663,578	103,994	21,799
7 - AAAA	Denmark	259	6,276	73,235	494,279	425,951
7 - AAAA	West Hall	8	2,448	38,025	252,827	706,692
7 - AAAA	White County	1	86	17,127	134,569	848,217
7 - AAAA	Chestatee	-	4	176	3,277	996,543
8 - AAAA	St. Pius X	889,694	100,733	8,010	1,499	64
8 - AAAA	Oconee County	80,417	508,246	278,012	105,672	27,653
8 - AAAA	Stephens County	21,686	259,875	384,545	265,569	68,325
8 - AAAA	North Oconee	7,801	118,558	290,167	439,043	144,431
8 - AAAA	Madison County	402	12,588	39,266	188,217	759,527

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	AvgDepth	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion	Odds
Benedictine	3 - AAA	3-1	72.11	1,000,000	4.17	905,151	535,540	458,157	283,569	2.53
Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	4-1	72.82	999,999	4.02	828,750	507,766	424,124	273,886	2.65
Calhoun	6 - AAA	5-0	70.79	1,000,000	4.10	744,088	662,985	470,504	243,304	3.11
Peach County	4 - AAA	3-2	64.20	999,805	3.51	777,444	471,620	205,646	76,553	12.06
Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	3-2	63.48	999,998	3.31	679,120	426,603	163,404	60,097	15.64
Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	3-2	60.65	999,373	2.49	371,720	189,645	81,632	24,739	39.42
Monroe Area	8 - AAA	5-0	56.71	999,965	2.18	319,559	202,359	42,683	10,836	91.28
Jefferson	8 - AAA	4-1	55.58	999,532	2.10	298,672	187,139	35,785	8,420	117.76
Crisp County	1 - AAA	3-3	53.53	998,808	2.56	593,124	125,448	35,401	6,495	152.96
Pace Academy	5 - AAA	3-2	52.83	997,875	1.80	185,443	84,347	15,359	2,856	349.14
Liberty County	2 - AAA	3-1	49.69	998,748	2.48	470,368	146,721	18,422	2,818	353.86
Dawson County	7 - AAA	5-0	50.12	999,850	2.23	247,864	115,102	14,335	2,255	442.46
Lovett	5 - AAA	1-4	51.96	990,620	1.67	145,631	72,659	10,504	1,791	557.35
Pierce County	2 - AAA	5-0	45.51	997,129	2.15	322,888	70,703	6,454	694	1,439.92
North Hall	7 - AAA	5-0	47.15	998,962	1.98	155,348	55,674	5,992	689	1,450.38
Jackson	4 - AAA	3-2	45.27	992,645	1.99	215,532	44,385	4,558	455	2,196.80
Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	3-2	43.61	899,397	1.65	169,121	29,980	2,461	237	4,218.41
Appling County	2 - AAA	2-3	41.68	992,432	1.86	199,607	31,628	2,168	153	6,534.95
Pike County	4 - AAA	4-0	41.32	919,724	1.56	136,298	20,166	1,334	99	10,100.01
Jenkins	3 - AAA	3-1	38.62	998,284	1.49	72,397	6,408	580	33	30,302.03
Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	4-0	35.04	991,103	1.31	45,813	3,008	161	9	111,110.11
Cook	1 - AAA	2-4	34.46	947,485	1.31	63,475	6,605	192	8	124,999.00
North Murray	6 - AAA	3-2	36.06	996,471	1.27	15,042	1,642	116	3	333,332.33
Hart County	8 - AAA	2-3	32.54	925,562	0.98	3,378	339	13	1	999,999.00
Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	1-4	31.47	256,140	0.32	9,164	481	6	-	-
Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	2-2	24.54	716,236	0.79	7,477	268	3	-	-
Sonoraville	6 - AAA	2-2	26.76	758,915	0.82	2,781	158	3	-	-
Monroe	1 - AAA	3-3	23.19	748,955	0.83	4,223	154	1	-	-
Ringgold	6 - AAA	1-4	26.50	480,581	0.50	1,983	76	1	-	-
Morgan County	8 - AAA	1-4	26.38	548,465	0.56	793	23	1	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	4-1	25.40	940,625	1.01	2,587	222	-	-	-
East Hall	7 - AAA	1-4	25.92	806,065	0.85	1,245	74	-	-	-
Tattnall County	2 - AAA	0-4	19.92	615,397	0.63	1,013	18	-	-	-
Savannah	3 - AAA	0-4	17.44	282,273	0.30	932	17	-	-	-
Adairsville	6 - AAA	2-3	22.58	181,922	0.19	349	17	-	-	-
Haralson County	6 - AAA	3-1	18.04	427,906	0.44	437	7	-	-	-
Worth County	1 - AAA	1-4	16.26	305,675	0.32	395	5	-	-	-
Brantley County	2 - AAA	0-4	15.53	341,949	0.35	237	2	-	-	-
Franklin County	8 - AAA	1-3	21.88	360,976	0.37	234	2	-	-	-
Islands	3 - AAA	1-3	13.53	115,572	0.12	165	2	-	-	-
Jackson County	8 - AAA	2-3	21.18	174,527	0.18	124	1	-	-	-
Redan	5 - AAA	0-5	12.98	9,444	0.01	4	1	-	-	-
Beach	3 - AAA	0-4	11.39	15,589	0.02	13	-	-	-	-
Long County	2 - AAA	0-5	3.83	60,705	0.06	6	-	-	-	-
Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	2-3	8.17	110,851	0.11	3	-	-	-	-
Fannin County	7 - AAA	1-3	6.80	82,282	0.08	1	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-4	4.36	2,241	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	0-5	-7.02	5,206	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Towers	5 - AAA	0-5	6.78	4,515	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Rutland	4 - AAA	0-5	2.95	1,033	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
East Jackson	8 - AAA	1-4	-9.14	863	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-3	-2.94	577	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	1-2	-9.23	454	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	0-4	-7.88	288	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	6 - AAA	0-5	-7.55	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3 - AAA	0-5	-18.22	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

		Seed
Region	Team	1	2	3	4	At large	Out
1 - AAA	Crisp County	889,684	101,568	7,253	-	303	1,192
1 - AAA	Cook	89,903	635,794	221,179	-	609	52,515
1 - AAA	Monroe	15,600	211,475	521,869	-	11	251,045
1 - AAA	Worth County	4,813	51,163	249,699	-	-	694,325
2 - AAA	Liberty County	466,464	323,926	189,625	18,480	253	1,252
2 - AAA	Pierce County	320,426	353,179	289,991	32,103	1,430	2,871
2 - AAA	Appling County	209,832	306,013	402,352	69,559	4,676	7,568
2 - AAA	Tattnall County	2,617	11,841	79,853	521,085	1	384,603
2 - AAA	Brantley County	652	4,865	34,756	301,676	-	658,051
2 - AAA	Long County	9	176	3,423	57,097	-	939,295
3 - AAA	Benedictine	960,129	38,360	1,416	93	2	-
3 - AAA	Jenkins	30,693	631,389	306,125	29,065	1,012	1,716
3 - AAA	Southeast Bulloch	8,748	307,791	481,447	164,044	29,073	8,897
3 - AAA	Windsor Forest	424	19,947	153,006	483,897	58,962	283,764
3 - AAA	Savannah	-	1,159	46,652	217,506	16,956	717,727
3 - AAA	Islands	6	1,339	10,173	93,978	10,076	884,428
3 - AAA	Beach	-	15	1,170	11,021	3,383	984,411
3 - AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	-	11	393	50	999,546
3 - AAA	Groves	-	-	-	3	-	999,997
4 - AAA	Peach County	803,211	158,727	28,411	8,888	568	195
4 - AAA	Jackson	109,127	409,554	304,618	164,526	4,820	7,355
4 - AAA	Westside (Macon)	45,158	232,826	321,800	294,298	5,315	100,603
4 - AAA	Pike County	41,755	191,011	298,497	328,199	60,262	80,276
4 - AAA	Central (Macon)	749	7,867	46,361	201,143	20	743,860
4 - AAA	Kendrick	-	11	248	1,982	-	997,759
4 - AAA	Rutland	-	4	65	964	-	998,967
5 - AAA	Cedar Grove	748,579	218,382	28,611	4,393	34	1
5 - AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	189,797	452,701	234,517	121,306	1,052	627
5 - AAA	Pace Academy	57,019	185,229	344,375	410,298	954	2,125
5 - AAA	Lovett	4,605	143,659	392,113	450,169	74	9,380
5 - AAA	Redan	-	24	282	9,138	-	990,556
5 - AAA	Towers	-	5	99	4,411	-	995,485
5 - AAA	Stone Mountain	-	-	3	285	-	999,712
6 - AAA	Calhoun	997,303	2,586	108	3	-	-
6 - AAA	North Murray	192	688,698	225,099	69,018	13,464	3,529
6 - AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	2,467	171,267	444,732	273,594	48,565	59,375
6 - AAA	Sonoraville	8	128,247	226,377	245,340	158,943	241,085
6 - AAA	Ringgold	-	570	37,611	201,816	240,584	519,419
6 - AAA	Haralson County	30	7,464	31,036	140,834	248,542	572,094
6 - AAA	Adairsville	-	1,164	34,983	69,041	76,734	818,078
6 - AAA	Coahulla Creek	-	4	54	351	168	999,423
6 - AAA	Murray County	-	-	-	3	-	999,997
7 - AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	755,168	194,627	49,763	429	11	2
7 - AAA	Dawson County	143,774	476,627	336,269	42,431	749	150
7 - AAA	North Hall	100,767	313,617	503,625	78,991	1,962	1,038
7 - AAA	East Hall	284	14,933	105,029	685,333	486	193,935
7 - AAA	Lumpkin County	2	69	2,548	108,228	4	889,149
7 - AAA	Fannin County	5	126	2,749	79,400	2	917,718
7 - AAA	Cherokee Bluff	-	1	17	5,188	-	994,794
8 - AAA	Jefferson	508,606	430,925	52,356	6,649	996	468
8 - AAA	Monroe Area	476,891	470,785	49,720	2,287	282	35
8 - AAA	Hart County	13,275	77,905	595,267	237,460	1,655	74,438
8 - AAA	Morgan County	536	11,001	184,706	352,164	58	451,535
8 - AAA	Franklin County	580	7,410	103,051	249,192	743	639,024
8 - AAA	Jackson County	112	1,974	14,862	151,423	6,156	825,473
8 - AAA	East Jackson	-	-	38	825	-	999,137

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	AvgDepth	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion	Odds
Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	4-0	72.68	999,995	4.77	888,639	734,289	627,569	522,678	0.91
Thomasville	1 - AA	4-1	62.01	996,397	3.44	790,608	351,068	226,194	116,523	7.58
Dodge County	3 - AA	5-0	60.07	998,805	3.59	768,650	478,382	277,769	105,101	8.51
Rockmart	7 - AA	5-0	58.15	999,970	3.41	708,053	517,098	155,759	77,196	11.95
Rabun County	8 - AA	4-1	55.54	999,996	3.36	726,882	461,821	212,155	56,373	16.74
Callaway	5 - AA	4-1	56.32	999,101	2.84	488,389	261,555	134,825	40,237	23.85
Bremen	5 - AA	4-0	55.81	998,652	2.73	444,153	233,591	115,404	33,973	28.44
Fitzgerald	1 - AA	3-2	51.44	960,307	2.44	428,878	161,484	56,168	12,133	81.42
Washington County	3 - AA	4-0	50.67	964,181	2.47	479,399	172,067	43,715	10,640	92.98
Brooks County	1 - AA	3-2	50.42	939,205	2.32	401,138	139,330	44,888	9,125	108.59
Vidalia	2 - AA	5-0	49.48	997,397	2.27	344,153	143,417	47,772	8,365	118.55
Heard County	5 - AA	3-2	46.57	995,538	1.97	196,668	73,363	14,616	2,593	384.65
Douglass	6 - AA	5-0	44.67	999,306	2.11	211,289	55,253	15,131	1,763	566.21
Dublin	3 - AA	4-1	45.38	884,873	1.77	237,584	58,390	10,812	1,757	568.15
Jefferson County	4 - AA	3-2	40.99	998,099	1.65	150,167	32,403	3,327	483	2,069.39
Elbert County	8 - AA	4-1	39.23	994,000	1.42	86,205	23,951	3,002	253	3,951.57
Swainsboro	2 - AA	2-2	39.99	961,535	1.48	98,014	16,997	2,575	243	4,114.23
Washington	6 - AA	4-2	38.22	977,380	1.69	115,570	24,270	3,093	184	5,433.78
Early County	1 - AA	4-1	39.02	698,736	1.18	92,355	15,521	1,613	173	5,779.35
Southwest	3 - AA	2-3	38.67	658,853	1.00	66,122	10,613	1,143	95	10,525.32
Union County	8 - AA	5-0	35.75	998,193	1.26	39,249	8,365	799	48	20,832.33
Berrien	1 - AA	4-1	34.61	405,355	0.61	31,719	3,873	237	15	66,665.67
Screven County	4 - AA	3-2	33.44	909,298	1.07	25,910	3,015	253	13	76,922.08
Chattooga	7 - AA	4-1	32.59	991,808	1.35	42,732	6,448	465	11	90,908.09
Hephzibah	4 - AA	4-1	32.17	980,771	1.23	34,377	3,918	230	10	99,999.00
Pepperell	7 - AA	3-2	30.45	994,153	1.29	30,878	3,935	245	6	166,665.67
Northeast	3 - AA	2-3	31.00	364,167	0.47	12,894	1,159	60	5	199,999.00
Harlem	4 - AA	3-2	30.75	852,015	0.96	14,183	1,285	76	1	999,999.00
South Atlanta	6 - AA	3-2	27.50	742,183	0.81	6,825	690	23	1	999,999.00
Metter	2 - AA	4-1	27.47	417,704	0.46	4,887	323	15	1	999,999.00
Toombs County	2 - AA	3-2	25.64	713,517	0.79	8,035	427	8	1	999,999.00
Spencer	5 - AA	0-5	26.68	615,401	0.67	10,091	864	32	-	-
Bleckley County	3 - AA	2-3	30.63	126,071	0.16	3,856	348	12	-	-
Jeff Davis	2 - AA	4-1	25.53	335,561	0.36	3,010	176	5	-	-
Lamar County	5 - AA	3-2	21.90	314,361	0.33	2,455	123	5	-	-
Bacon County	2 - AA	1-4	22.96	523,919	0.56	3,335	118	3	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	1-4	20.62	79,735	0.09	468	19	1	-	-
Temple	5 - AA	1-4	12.32	75,105	0.08	110	1	1	-	-
Butler	4 - AA	2-2	21.73	223,188	0.23	645	16	-	-	-
Model	7 - AA	2-3	14.05	523,091	0.53	266	10	-	-	-
Therrell	6 - AA	1-4	17.17	107,392	0.11	247	9	-	-	-
Coosa	7 - AA	0-5	17.43	421,471	0.43	122	5	-	-	-
Monticello	8 - AA	1-4	14.59	427,023	0.43	334	4	-	-	-
Banks County	8 - AA	3-2	12.30	325,412	0.33	171	2	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-4	16.02	63,909	0.07	64	2	-	-	-
McNair	6 - AA	2-3	14.83	30,100	0.03	34	2	-	-	-
Putnam County	8 - AA	1-4	11.44	243,030	0.25	103	-	-	-	-
Laney	4 - AA	2-3	18.14	32,652	0.03	46	-	-	-	-
Bryan County	2 - AA	1-3	12.09	50,367	0.05	34	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7 - AA	1-4	2.83	55,305	0.06	1	-	-	-	-
Social Circle	8 - AA	2-2	0.58	12,295	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Armuchee	7 - AA	1-4	-0.49	7,476	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
East Laurens	3 - AA	1-4	10.27	3,050	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Dade County	7 - AA	0-5	-0.48	6,726	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4 - AA	0-4	6.40	2,982	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	5 - AA	0-5	-3.41	1,842	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	1-3	2.35	932	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4 - AA	0-4	-5.23	63	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	0-5	-19.80	51	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

		Seed
Region	Team	1	2	3	4	Out
1 - AA	Thomasville	658,218	241,698	77,025	19,456	3,603
1 - AA	Fitzgerald	150,707	342,208	344,727	122,665	39,693
1 - AA	Brooks County	169,487	320,689	305,730	143,299	60,795
1 - AA	Early County	15,729	66,128	185,312	431,567	301,264
1 - AA	Berrien	5,859	29,277	87,206	283,013	594,645
2 - AA	Vidalia	749,484	200,449	39,245	8,219	2,603
2 - AA	Swainsboro	204,120	507,714	183,543	66,158	38,465
2 - AA	Toombs County	26,026	139,056	326,284	222,151	286,483
2 - AA	Bacon County	11,164	73,639	201,763	237,353	476,081
2 - AA	Metter	5,488	42,325	120,701	249,190	582,296
2 - AA	Jeff Davis	3,697	34,830	114,246	182,788	664,439
2 - AA	Bryan County	21	1,987	14,218	34,141	949,633
3 - AA	Dodge County	714,706	223,340	54,315	6,444	1,195
3 - AA	Washington County	191,761	447,238	241,790	83,392	35,819
3 - AA	Dublin	86,313	218,572	362,698	217,290	115,127
3 - AA	Southwest	3,564	76,539	218,952	359,798	341,147
3 - AA	Northeast	3,123	27,571	86,860	246,613	635,833
3 - AA	Bleckley County	533	6,725	35,243	83,570	873,929
3 - AA	East Laurens	-	15	142	2,893	996,950
4 - AA	Jefferson County	629,277	265,036	85,471	18,315	1,901
4 - AA	Hephzibah	278,892	395,223	225,169	81,487	19,229
4 - AA	Screven County	64,906	128,929	375,468	339,995	90,702
4 - AA	Harlem	26,696	204,987	258,155	362,177	147,985
4 - AA	Butler	12	4,743	51,753	166,680	776,812
4 - AA	Laney	217	1,059	3,733	27,643	967,348
4 - AA	Glenn Hills	-	11	183	2,788	997,018
4 - AA	Westside (Augusta)	-	12	65	855	999,068
4 - AA	Josey	-	-	3	60	999,937
5 - AA	Callaway	470,244	340,144	175,293	13,420	899
5 - AA	Bremen	407,646	393,779	181,981	15,246	1,348
5 - AA	Heard County	121,179	259,619	582,579	32,161	4,462
5 - AA	Spencer	507	3,111	26,374	585,409	384,599
5 - AA	Lamar County	422	3,223	28,982	281,734	685,639
5 - AA	Temple	2	124	4,747	70,232	924,895
5 - AA	Jordan	-	-	44	1,798	998,158
6 - AA	Hapeville Charter	925,205	70,356	4,275	159	5
6 - AA	Douglass	65,787	844,100	73,583	15,836	694
6 - AA	Washington	8,397	66,768	841,160	61,055	22,620
6 - AA	South Atlanta	609	18,515	32,371	690,688	257,817
6 - AA	Therrell	-	42	17,293	90,057	892,608
6 - AA	B.E.S.T. Academy	1	40	27,231	52,463	920,265
6 - AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	1	39	950	62,919	936,091
6 - AA	McNair	-	140	3,137	26,823	969,900
7 - AA	Rockmart	915,912	75,616	7,723	719	30
7 - AA	Chattooga	41,290	470,117	429,318	51,083	8,192
7 - AA	Pepperell	41,884	429,881	446,688	75,700	5,847
7 - AA	Model	909	24,043	100,328	397,811	476,909
7 - AA	Coosa	5	251	13,610	407,605	578,529
7 - AA	Gordon Central	-	2	787	54,516	944,695
7 - AA	Armuchee	-	37	709	6,730	992,524
7 - AA	Dade County	-	53	837	5,836	993,274
8 - AA	Rabun County	835,933	139,605	23,974	484	4
8 - AA	Elbert County	105,841	519,380	330,812	37,967	6,000
8 - AA	Union County	57,958	334,048	577,445	28,742	1,807
8 - AA	Monticello	-	1,895	20,393	404,735	572,977
8 - AA	Banks County	268	4,696	38,174	282,274	674,588
8 - AA	Putnam County	-	374	8,739	233,917	756,970
8 - AA	Social Circle	-	2	463	11,830	987,705
8 - AA	Oglethorpe County	-	-	-	51	999,949

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion	Odds
Irwin County	2 - A	5-0	61.46	1,000,000	976,165	898,925	736,100	637,007	0.57
Clinch County	2 - A	4-1	52.68	1,000,000	928,712	757,566	314,976	193,370	4.17
Commerce	8 - A	5-0	44.72	999,999	822,864	441,215	256,578	61,560	15.24
Marion County	4 - A	5-0	42.46	999,999	751,008	426,827	207,658	42,679	22.43
Pelham	1 - A	5-0	38.22	1,000,000	792,385	410,631	174,233	23,856	40.92
Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	4-1	39.54	999,957	636,352	240,096	98,458	17,004	57.81
Charlton County	2 - A	4-1	38.23	1,000,000	626,725	213,050	77,552	12,399	79.65
Mitchell County	1 - A	4-1	31.72	1,000,000	618,051	189,347	52,447	4,191	237.61
Schley County	4 - A	4-1	33.03	941,415	286,385	98,161	24,728	2,656	375.51
Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	2-3	31.86	961,801	296,753	84,395	15,132	1,740	573.71
Macon County	4 - A	2-2	34.01	426,784	158,486	55,581	14,833	1,679	594.59
Turner County	2 - A	3-2	30.37	991,789	198,805	53,469	10,898	916	1,090.70
Manchester	4 - A	2-2	30.46	400,719	69,884	16,259	3,352	276	3,622.19
Telfair County	2 - A	2-3	27.00	728,439	80,036	17,075	2,771	189	5,290.01
Dooly County	4 - A	1-3	29.23	237,639	39,391	9,336	1,714	141	7,091.20
Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	2-3	24.13	807,301	95,255	17,266	1,913	98	10,203.08
Lincoln County	7 - A	2-3	23.37	749,618	54,457	8,615	1,013	51	19,606.84
Trion	6 - A	4-1	22.86	861,718	63,924	10,398	1,215	46	21,738.13
Atkinson County	2 - A	3-2	22.07	812,840	55,770	8,419	883	37	27,026.03
Wilcox County	2 - A	3-2	22.28	733,121	50,569	7,507	839	28	35,713.29
Claxton	3 - A	3-1	20.98	797,454	46,309	6,415	649	26	38,460.54
Johnson County	3 - A	3-1	21.02	437,197	31,891	4,371	345	16	62,499.00
Miller County	1 - A	2-2	14.77	999,618	112,803	8,231	521	12	83,332.33
Chattahoochee County	1 - A	3-2	14.51	999,983	104,006	6,674	426	6	166,665.67
Greene County	7 - A	2-2	18.54	629,569	29,895	3,482	284	5	199,999.00
Montgomery County	3 - A	2-2	16.51	305,867	11,061	942	61	5	199,999.00
Jenkins County	3 - A	2-3	19.15	512,202	23,086	2,579	225	4	249,999.00
Warren County	7 - A	3-2	13.83	497,383	11,443	834	47	1	999,999.00
Seminole County	1 - A	3-2	5.51	912,158	5,107	198	8	1	999,999.00
Taylor County	4 - A	1-3	17.83	2,275	409	63	3	1	999,999.00
Hancock Central	7 - A	3-2	17.54	481,366	18,020	1,935	132	-	-
McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	0-4	14.13	55,134	1,369	72	5	-	-
Bowdon	6 - A	0-4	14.31	17,000	447	23	1	-	-
Terrell County	1 - A	1-4	-0.08	529,062	1,235	27	-	-	-
Towns County	8 - A	2-3	6.55	89,921	671	13	-	-	-
Wilkinson County	7 - A	0-4	7.20	4,493	163	2	-	-	-
Gordon Lee	6 - A	1-4	6.97	4,869	41	1	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1 - A	1-4	-7.67	67,686	46	-	-	-	-
Portal	3 - A	1-3	2.57	1,345	9	-	-	-	-
Greenville	4 - A	1-3	2.68	363	5	-	-	-	-
Hawkinsville	4 - A	2-3	9.03	92	4	-	-	-	-
Wheeler County	3 - A	1-3	-1.13	22	3	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1 - A	1-3	-17.42	1,105	-	-	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-4	-24.72	595	-	-	-	-	-
Stewart County	1 - A	2-3	-21.08	56	-	-	-	-	-
Lanier County	2 - A	0-5	-3.04	45	-	-	-	-	-
Treutlen	3 - A	2-3	-5.75	1	-	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	4 - A	2-2	-9.86	-	-	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	7 - A	0-5	-19.78	-	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	0-4	-20.21	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

			Seed
Region	Team	Rgn Champ	1 to 8	9 to 24	Out
1 - A	Pelham	681,168	996,666	3,334	-
1 - A	Mitchell County	313,467	927,738	72,262	-
1 - A	Miller County	2	343,329	656,289	382
1 - A	Chattahoochee County	4,850	305,035	694,948	17
1 - A	Seminole County	513	2,928	909,230	87,842
1 - A	Terrell County	-	-	529,062	470,938
1 - A	Calhoun County	-	-	67,686	932,314
1 - A	Baconton Charter	-	-	1,105	998,895
1 - A	Randolph-Clay	-	-	595	999,405
1 - A	Stewart County	-	-	56	999,944
2 - A	Irwin County	959,346	999,985	15	-
2 - A	Clinch County	11,825	991,156	8,844	-
2 - A	Charlton County	26,688	614,459	385,541	-
2 - A	Turner County	2,005	18,143	973,646	8,211
2 - A	Atkinson County	37	1,892	810,948	187,160
2 - A	Wilcox County	96	2,250	730,871	266,879
2 - A	Telfair County	3	732	727,707	271,561
2 - A	Lanier County	-	-	45	999,955
3 - A	Emanuel County Institute	239,548	239,571	722,230	38,199
3 - A	Claxton	3,405	4,993	792,461	202,546
3 - A	Jenkins County	2,462	2,462	509,740	487,798
3 - A	Johnson County	23,382	23,382	413,815	562,803
3 - A	Montgomery County	5,703	5,703	300,164	694,133
3 - A	McIntosh County Academy	91	91	55,043	944,866
3 - A	Portal	4	4	1,341	998,655
3 - A	Wheeler County	20	20	2	999,978
3 - A	Treutlen	1	1	-	999,999
4 - A	Marion County	637,449	686,285	313,714	1
4 - A	Schley County	192,356	192,372	749,043	58,585
4 - A	Macon County	139,444	139,444	287,340	573,216
4 - A	Manchester	3,582	3,582	397,137	599,281
4 - A	Dooly County	10,278	10,278	227,361	762,361
4 - A	Taylor County	946	946	1,329	997,725
4 - A	Greenville	24	24	339	999,637
4 - A	Hawkinsville	12	12	80	999,908
4 - A	Crawford County	-	-	-	1,000,000
4 - A	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	-	1,000,000
6 - A	Mount Zion (Carroll)	100,805	545,503	454,454	43
6 - A	Trion	614	3,283	858,435	138,282
6 - A	Bowdon	24	24	16,976	983,000
6 - A	Gordon Lee	-	-	4,869	995,131
7 - A	Washington-Wilkes	70,707	70,899	736,402	192,699
7 - A	Lincoln County	1,104	1,111	748,507	250,382
7 - A	Greene County	10,418	11,340	618,229	370,431
7 - A	Warren County	1,810	1,818	495,565	502,617
7 - A	Hancock Central	2,007	2,021	479,345	518,634
7 - A	Wilkinson County	662	662	3,831	995,507
7 - A	Twiggs County	-	-	-	1,000,000
8 - A	Commerce	226,651	849,815	150,184	1
8 - A	Towns County	41	41	89,880	910,079

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtrfinals	Semifinals	Finals	Champion	Odds
Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	4-1	62.33	1,000,000	947,952	853,005	739,816	576,654	0.73
Athens Academy	8 - A	4-0	53.20	1,000,000	865,604	621,008	382,587	160,664	5.22
Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	5-0	53.29	1,000,000	858,542	586,376	369,901	155,572	5.43
Fellowship Christian	6 - A	5-0	46.58	1,000,000	750,384	456,372	172,867	50,129	18.95
Calvary Day	3 - A	4-0	42.17	1,000,000	605,320	272,651	80,661	17,481	56.20
Aquinas	7 - A	4-0	37.94	1,000,000	560,239	217,188	50,366	7,794	127.30
George Walton Academy	8 - A	5-0	39.65	1,000,000	418,866	153,807	37,229	7,093	139.98
Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	2-2	41.59	994,263	253,492	117,822	33,943	7,040	141.05
Darlington	6 - A	4-1	37.67	1,000,000	435,162	137,489	32,145	4,809	206.94
Savannah Christian	3 - A	3-1	36.99	999,986	373,715	116,707	24,090	3,725	267.46
Savannah Country Day	3 - A	4-0	35.33	999,976	309,604	88,623	16,044	2,201	453.34
Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	4-1	35.24	999,985	307,092	77,317	15,212	1,999	499.25
Christian Heritage	6 - A	4-0	33.34	999,991	350,154	88,349	14,798	1,582	631.11
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	3-2	33.86	999,931	255,204	62,063	11,149	1,292	772.99
Wesleyan	5 - A	2-3	34.16	998,762	154,144	41,667	7,747	909	1,099.11
Whitefield Academy	6 - A	4-1	32.58	999,454	115,073	32,198	4,661	541	1,847.43
Mount de Sales	7 - A	5-0	28.90	999,960	189,191	40,488	3,818	333	3,002.00
Hebron Christian Academy	8 - A	2-2	28.83	992,906	60,391	12,498	1,301	81	12,344.68
North Cobb Christian	6 - A	5-0	25.45	999,989	54,165	7,539	667	41	24,389.24
Stratford Academy	7 - A	1-4	25.75	854,543	43,127	6,737	438	33	30,302.03
Holy Innocents	5 - A	2-3	22.64	874,841	20,425	2,281	129	11	90,908.09
Brookstone	4 - A	3-1	24.27	739,949	26,557	3,278	217	7	142,856.14
Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	2-3	23.35	865,896	22,318	2,669	149	4	249,999.00
Tattnall Square	7 - A	2-3	20.07	294,122	11,211	1,119	45	3	333,332.33
Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	3-2	18.20	625,847	7,026	546	15	1	999,999.00
Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	2-3	16.88	175,406	1,505	71	2	1	999,999.00
First Presbyterian	7 - A	0-4	13.39	38,719	888	52	2	-	-
Athens Christian	8 - A	2-3	15.39	355,199	2,490	78	1	-	-
Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	1-3	2.21	110,027	71	1	-	-	-
St. Francis	6 - A	1-3	10.13	15,886	42	1	-	-	-
Landmark Christian	5 - A	1-4	4.61	14,763	15	-	-	-	-
Walker	6 - A	0-4	9.63	4,872	15	-	-	-	-
Providence Christian	8 - A	2-2	-2.70	38,913	9	-	-	-	-
Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-5	4.75	4,707	7	-	-	-	-
Lakeview Academy	8 - A	0-4	-3.35	1,103	-	-	-	-	-
Pacelli	4 - A	3-2	-6.39	4	-	-	-	-	-
Georgia Military College	7 - A	3-2	-3.88	-	-	-	-	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	0-4	-6.67	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

			Seed
Region	Team	Rgn Champ	1 to 8	9 to 24	Out
3 - A	Calvary Day	417,955	622,036	377,964	-
3 - A	Savannah Christian	174,870	334,083	665,903	14
3 - A	Savannah Country Day	132,559	290,520	709,456	24
4 - A	Brookstone	15,909	15,909	724,040	260,051
4 - A	Pacelli	-	-	4	999,996
5 - A	Eagle's Landing Christian	927,687	998,708	1,292	-
5 - A	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	35,548	274,726	725,259	15
5 - A	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5	225,725	774,206	69
5 - A	Wesleyan	36,456	50,332	948,430	1,238
5 - A	Holy Innocents	1	2	874,839	125,159
5 - A	Strong Rock Christian	303	320	625,527	374,153
5 - A	Landmark Christian	-	-	14,763	985,237
5 - A	Our Lady of Mercy	-	-	4,707	995,293
6 - A	Fellowship Christian	636,137	829,310	170,690	-
6 - A	Christian Heritage	100,667	529,786	470,205	9
6 - A	Darlington	54,205	448,443	551,557	-
6 - A	Whitefield Academy	61,370	66,952	932,502	546
6 - A	Mount Paran Christian	39,721	39,722	954,541	5,737
6 - A	North Cobb Christian	6,411	41,352	958,637	11
6 - A	Pinecrest Academy	-	-	865,896	134,104
6 - A	Mount Pisgah Christian	46	46	175,360	824,594
6 - A	St. Francis	-	-	15,886	984,114
6 - A	Walker	-	-	4,872	995,128
6 - A	King's Ridge Christian	-	-	-	1,000,000
7 - A	Aquinas	549,190	793,470	206,530	-
7 - A	Mount de Sales	291,994	313,936	686,024	40
7 - A	Stratford Academy	32,762	32,762	821,781	145,457
7 - A	Tattnall Square	33,882	33,882	260,240	705,878
7 - A	First Presbyterian	5,464	5,464	33,255	961,281
7 - A	Georgia Military College	-	-	-	1,000,000
8 - A	Athens Academy	380,869	919,422	80,578	-
8 - A	Prince Avenue Christian	346,246	858,787	141,213	-
8 - A	George Walton Academy	32,245	260,059	739,941	-
8 - A	Hebron Christian Academy	13,888	14,186	978,720	7,094
8 - A	Athens Christian	50	50	355,149	644,801
8 - A	Riverside Military Academy	9	9	110,018	889,973
8 - A	Providence Christian	-	-	38,913	961,087
8 - A	Lakeview Academy	1	1	1,102	998,897

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAAA

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAAAAA

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAAAA

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAAA

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAA

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AA

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Playoff Projections by Team

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Class A-Public

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class A-Private

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

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