Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.
The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2015 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.
While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.
All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class A GHSA teams were treated as an average Class A team).
Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) classification record, and 4) random tie breaker.
Class A - Public
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
Class A - Private
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
Most Likely Region Champions
Each region is shown with the most likely region champions and odds of each team making the playoffs.
Class A - Public
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket for Class A is seeded from the modal season, which assumes every favorite wins.
Credit: Loren Maxwell
Credit: Loren Maxwell
Class A - Private
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket for Class A is seeded from the modal season, which assumes every favorite wins.
Credit: Loren Maxwell
Credit: Loren Maxwell
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