Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2015 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) classification record, and 4) random tie breaker.

Class AAA

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rating	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champion	Odds
Washington County	3 - AAA	82.35	961,195	798,642	668,114	412,488	1.42
Calhoun	6 - AAA	81.77	919,524	832,468	658,309	390,793	1.56
Blessed Trinity	4 - AAA	74.43	711,987	568,541	234,820	97,865	9.22
Jefferson	8 - AAA	70.78	660,943	280,288	137,744	44,979	21.23
Westminster (Atlanta)	4 - AAA	67.09	547,384	352,373	89,670	23,332	41.86
Peach County	2 - AAA	61.19	518,328	233,704	44,898	7,647	129.77
Hart County	8 - AAA	61.56	401,030	139,440	36,476	6,432	154.47
Elbert County	8 - AAA	60.05	357,411	103,741	24,663	4,000	249.00
Cedar Grove	4 - AAA	60.25	270,968	81,983	21,195	3,322	300.02
Westside (Macon)	2 - AAA	57.80	373,074	139,485	23,082	3,101	321.48
Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAA	56.96	257,632	87,721	12,806	1,572	635.13
Callaway	5 - AAA	55.94	230,354	66,125	9,725	1,145	872.36
Laney	3 - AAA	52.99	522,012	103,605	12,221	1,038	962.39
Cook	1 - AAA	56.40	181,553	36,912	7,321	852	1,172.71
Pierce County	1 - AAA	54.23	151,741	32,884	5,778	581	1,720.17
Adairsville	6 - AAA	51.30	179,809	41,730	4,258	284	3,520.13
Appling County	1 - AAA	52.18	101,152	21,422	3,135	267	3,744.32
Ringgold	6 - AAA	49.68	151,965	31,118	2,774	168	5,951.38
West Hall	7 - AAA	45.00	208,011	23,657	1,498	59	16,948.15
Dodge County	1 - AAA	49.02	49,776	8,732	900	57	17,542.86
Jackson	2 - AAA	40.68	76,291	5,908	237	10	99,999.00
Cedartown	5 - AAA	39.95	13,556	1,494	69	3	333,332.33
Washington	4 - AAA	43.28	17,292	1,329	87	2	499,999.00
Decatur	4 - AAA	43.13	16,855	1,190	64	2	499,999.00
Jenkins	1 - AAA	39.97	7,381	778	30	1	999,999.00
East Hall	7 - AAA	34.40	24,646	1,183	33	-	-
Morgan County	8 - AAA	38.64	7,793	693	23	-	-
Oconee County	8 - AAA	38.10	5,694	491	19	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	3 - AAA	30.77	11,610	405	10	-	-
Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	31.37	10,270	377	8	-	-
Maynard Jackson	4 - AAA	37.71	4,273	172	8	-	-
Dawson County	7 - AAA	31.41	9,548	351	6	-	-
Sonoraville	6 - AAA	29.09	14,438	347	6	-	-
Rutland	2 - AAA	30.94	5,299	165	4	-	-
Jackson County	8 - AAA	34.05	1,897	136	4	-	-
Kendrick	2 - AAA	30.72	5,143	140	2	-	-
Central (Macon)	2 - AAA	28.79	2,568	56	1	-	-
Southeast Bulloch	1 - AAA	31.13	629	43	1	-	-
Brantley County	1 - AAA	28.69	61	4	1	-	-
North Murray	6 - AAA	24.42	3,751	48	-	-	-
Rockmart	5 - AAA	28.96	885	29	-	-	-
Franklin County	7 - AAA	24.43	950	22	-	-	-
Pepperell	5 - AAA	29.33	811	22	-	-	-
North Clayton	4 - AAA	30.44	364	10	-	-	-
Tattnall County	1 - AAA	29.36	99	10	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	1 - AAA	25.87	139	8	-	-	-
Fannin County	7 - AAA	22.16	443	6	-	-	-
Towers	4 - AAA	30.31	325	4	-	-	-
Banks County	7 - AAA	21.04	273	3	-	-	-
Hephzibah	3 - AAA	17.08	317	2	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	3 - AAA	15.88	205	2	-	-	-
Butler	3 - AAA	14.03	145	1	-	-	-
Spencer	2 - AAA	19.54	86	-	-	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	9.91	40	-	-	-	-
Southwest	2 - AAA	18.14	35	-	-	-	-
Jordan	2 - AAA	17.19	18	-	-	-	-
Josey	3 - AAA	5.95	6	-	-	-	-
McNair	4 - AAA	21.99	5	-	-	-	-
Haralson County	5 - AAA	13.35	5	-	-	-	-
Beach	1 - AAA	14.94	3	-	-	-	-
Toombs County	1 - AAA	22.60	1	-	-	-	-
South Atlanta	4 - AAA	14.11	1	-	-	-	-
Therrell	4 - AAA	18.65	-	-	-	-	-
Douglass	4 - AAA	14.03	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	1 - AAA	11.52	-	-	-	-	-
East Jackson	8 - AAA	9.99	-	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	6 - AAA	-1.18	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	6 - AAA	-4.09	-	-	-	-	-
Islands	1 - AAA	-5.77	-	-	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	-9.81	-	-	-	-	-

Most Likely Region Seeding

Each region is shown with the most likely region seeding orders and odds of each team making the playoffs.

1-AAA
Seed Orders
Pct	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
3.9%	Cook	Pierce County	Appling County	Dodge County
3.8%	Pierce County	Cook	Appling County	Dodge County
3.6%	Cook	Pierce County	Dodge County	Appling County
3.3%	Pierce County	Appling County	Cook	Dodge County

Each Team's Odds
Team	Avg Fin	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	In	Odds
Div A
Cook	2.22	35.2%	26.6%	21.8%	14.0%	92.0%	0.09
Pierce County	2.34	30.8%	27.8%	22.3%	15.9%	89.6%	0.12
Appling County	2.69	20.8%	24.4%	26.3%	22.9%	85.1%	0.18
Dodge County	3.06	13.1%	20.3%	26.1%	31.1%	77.7%	0.29
Tattnall County	5.62	0.1%	0.5%	1.7%	7.5%	4.0%	23.78
Brantley County	5.74	0.1%	0.4%	1.4%	6.5%	3.3%	29.60
Toombs County	6.33	0.0%	0.0%	0.3%	2.0%	0.6%	163.04
Div B
Jenkins	1.52	62.1%	26.5%	9.2%	1.9%	26.3%	2.80
Southeast Bulloch	2.22	24.4%	40.9%	25.3%	7.4%	12.1%	7.24
Johnson (Savannah)	2.80	12.1%	25.6%	40.0%	15.8%	7.0%	13.28
Beach	4.19	1.0%	4.4%	15.5%	40.4%	1.5%	66.93
Savannah	4.52	0.4%	2.5%	9.7%	32.1%	0.8%	131.21
Islands	5.76	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	2.4%	0.0%	11,234.96

2-AAA
Seed Orders
Pct	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
9.7%	Peach County	Westside (Macon)	Jackson	Rutland
9.4%	Peach County	Westside (Macon)	Jackson	Kendrick
7.0%	Peach County	Westside (Macon)	Jackson	Central (Macon)
6.9%	Westside (Macon)	Peach County	Jackson	Rutland

Each Team's Odds
Team	Avg Fin	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	In	Odds
Peach County	1.50	57.9%	35.3%	6.1%	0.7%	99.9%	0.00
Westside (Macon)	1.76	38.6%	49.1%	10.5%	1.5%	99.7%	0.00
Jackson	3.38	3.2%	12.0%	50.0%	20.4%	85.6%	0.17
Rutland	5.10	0.1%	1.4%	11.8%	25.6%	38.9%	1.57
Kendrick	5.12	0.1%	1.4%	11.9%	24.8%	38.3%	1.61
Central (Macon)	5.52	0.1%	0.8%	8.1%	19.1%	28.1%	2.56
Spencer	7.30	0.0%	0.0%	0.9%	3.6%	4.5%	21.42
Southwest	7.58	0.0%	0.0%	0.5%	2.4%	2.9%	33.74
Jordan	7.74	0.0%	0.0%	0.3%	1.8%	2.2%	44.52

3-AAA
Seed Orders
Pct	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
20.4%	Washington County	Laney	Westside (Augusta)	Hephzibah
18.9%	Washington County	Laney	Westside (Augusta)	Butler
14.9%	Washington County	Laney	Westside (Augusta)	Glenn Hills
6.4%	Washington County	Laney	Hephzibah	Westside (Augusta)

Each Team's Odds
Team	Avg Fin	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	In	Odds
Washington County	1.04	95.6%	4.3%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	-
Laney	2.08	4.1%	84.9%	9.5%	1.3%	99.9%	0.00
Westside (Augusta)	3.34	0.3%	9.1%	61.0%	19.5%	89.8%	0.11
Hephzibah	4.90	0.0%	0.7%	10.5%	27.7%	38.9%	1.57
Glenn Hills	5.11	0.0%	0.5%	9.1%	21.2%	30.9%	2.24
Butler	5.12	0.0%	0.5%	9.0%	25.4%	34.9%	1.87
Josey	6.41	-	0.0%	0.9%	4.8%	5.7%	16.59

4-AAA
Seed Orders
Pct	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
15.2%	Blessed Trinity	Cedar Grove	Westminster (Atlanta)	Decatur
15.1%	Blessed Trinity	Cedar Grove	Westminster (Atlanta)	Washington
7.4%	Blessed Trinity	Cedar Grove	Westminster (Atlanta)	Maynard Jackson
7.2%	Westminster (Atlanta)	Cedar Grove	Blessed Trinity	Decatur

Each Team's Odds
Team	Avg Fin	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	In	Odds
Div A
Cedar Grove	1.11	90.2%	8.9%	0.7%	0.2%	97.3%	0.03
Maynard Jackson	2.65	6.4%	47.8%	27.6%	12.3%	22.9%	3.37
North Clayton	3.54	1.7%	20.0%	28.8%	27.7%	6.3%	14.80
Towers	3.68	1.5%	17.6%	25.5%	29.0%	5.6%	17.01
McNair	4.59	0.2%	4.9%	13.7%	21.9%	0.9%	116.23
South Atlanta	5.43	0.0%	0.8%	3.7%	9.0%	0.1%	1,230.53
Div B
Blessed Trinity	1.39	64.4%	32.3%	2.9%	0.4%	99.1%	0.01
Westminster (Atlanta)	1.76	33.8%	57.4%	7.4%	1.4%	96.6%	0.03
Decatur	3.48	0.9%	5.2%	44.5%	44.8%	35.7%	1.80
Washington	3.49	0.9%	5.1%	44.1%	45.0%	35.4%	1.83
Therrell	5.29	0.0%	0.0%	0.9%	6.0%	0.2%	565.57
Douglass	5.59	-	0.0%	0.3%	2.4%	0.0%	2,282.11

5-AAA
Seed Orders
Pct	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
13.4%	Central (Carrollton)	Callaway	Cedartown	Rockmart
10.6%	Central (Carrollton)	Callaway	Cedartown	Pepperell
10.5%	Callaway	Central (Carrollton)	Cedartown	Rockmart
8.3%	Callaway	Central (Carrollton)	Cedartown	Pepperell

Each Team's Odds
Team	Avg Fin	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	In	Odds
Central (Carrollton)	1.59	53.5%	35.9%	8.7%	1.6%	99.7%	0.00
Callaway	1.77	41.0%	44.6%	11.7%	2.2%	99.5%	0.00
Cedartown	3.25	4.6%	13.9%	46.9%	23.0%	88.5%	0.13
Rockmart	4.30	0.5%	2.6%	17.7%	36.2%	57.0%	0.75
Pepperell	4.42	0.5%	2.9%	13.9%	32.5%	49.7%	1.01
Haralson County	5.67	0.0%	0.1%	1.0%	4.5%	5.6%	16.90

6-AAA
Seed Orders
Pct	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
24.5%	Calhoun	Adairsville	Ringgold	Sonoraville
23.2%	Calhoun	Ringgold	Adairsville	Sonoraville
13.4%	Calhoun	Adairsville	Ringgold	North Murray
12.7%	Calhoun	Ringgold	Adairsville	North Murray

Each Team's Odds
Team	Avg Fin	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	In	Odds
Calhoun	1.08	93.5%	5.4%	1.1%	0.0%	100.0%	0.00
Adairsville	2.56	3.7%	46.3%	41.7%	7.1%	98.8%	0.01
Ringgold	2.60	2.7%	44.4%	44.5%	7.2%	98.8%	0.01
Sonoraville	4.31	0.1%	2.9%	8.5%	52.0%	63.5%	0.58
North Murray	4.80	0.0%	0.9%	4.0%	29.2%	34.2%	1.93
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6.15	-	0.0%	0.2%	4.0%	4.2%	22.64
Gordon Central	7.37	-	0.0%	0.0%	0.3%	0.3%	291.65
Murray County	7.93	-	-	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	917.27
Coahulla Creek	8.22	-	-	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	4,346.83

7-AAA
Seed Orders
Pct	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
4.3%	West Hall	East Hall	Dawson County	Lumpkin County
3.8%	West Hall	East Hall	Lumpkin County	Dawson County
3.2%	West Hall	Lumpkin County	East Hall	Dawson County
3.0%	West Hall	Dawson County	Lumpkin County	East Hall

Each Team's Odds
Team	Avg Fin	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	In	Odds
West Hall	1.55	65.2%	21.5%	8.4%	3.2%	98.3%	0.02
East Hall	2.99	16.2%	28.4%	22.4%	15.8%	82.8%	0.21
Dawson County	3.63	7.6%	19.7%	22.9%	20.8%	71.0%	0.41
Lumpkin County	3.68	8.3%	19.0%	21.5%	20.5%	69.2%	0.44
Franklin County	5.06	1.3%	5.4%	10.2%	16.4%	33.3%	2.00
Fannin County	5.42	0.9%	3.5%	8.3%	12.8%	25.5%	2.92
Banks County	5.66	0.5%	2.5%	6.3%	10.6%	19.8%	4.04

8-AAA
Seed Orders
Pct	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
10.9%	Jefferson	Hart County	Elbert County	Morgan County
8.5%	Jefferson	Elbert County	Hart County	Morgan County
8.5%	Jefferson	Hart County	Elbert County	Oconee County
7.3%	Hart County	Jefferson	Elbert County	Morgan County

Each Team's Odds
Team	Avg Fin	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	In	Odds
Jefferson	1.53	59.0%	30.1%	9.7%	1.1%	99.9%	0.00
Hart County	2.19	24.7%	39.2%	29.9%	5.0%	98.8%	0.01
Elbert County	2.54	16.0%	28.1%	44.3%	9.1%	97.6%	0.03
Morgan County	4.71	0.2%	1.2%	7.2%	35.5%	44.1%	1.27
Oconee County	4.89	0.1%	1.0%	5.9%	28.0%	35.0%	1.86
Jackson County	5.24	0.0%	0.5%	3.0%	20.9%	24.5%	3.09
East Jackson	6.88	-	0.0%	0.0%	0.3%	0.3%	365.84

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket is seeded from the most likely region seeds and assumes every favorite wins.