Sports

Analytics: Falcons have 44.9 percent chance to make the playoffs

Falcons head coach Dan Quinn can only watch from the sidelines as the Vikings run out the clock for a 14-9 victory over the Falcons in a NFL football game on Sunday, December 3, 2017, in Atlanta. Curtis Compton/ccompton@ajc.com
Falcons head coach Dan Quinn can only watch from the sidelines as the Vikings run out the clock for a 14-9 victory over the Falcons in a NFL football game on Sunday, December 3, 2017, in Atlanta. Curtis Compton/ccompton@ajc.com
Dec 5, 2017

FLOWERY BRANCH  -- Did someone say playoffs?

The Falcons have a 44.9 percent chance to make the playoffs and need to win all four of their remaining games to clinch the berth, according to makeNFLplayoffs.com.

The playoff race is still wide open in the NFC. No teams have clinched and only three have been eliminated.

The Vikings (99.86 percent chance of making the playoffs; 76.6 percent of earning a first-round bye) and Eagles  (99.81 percent chance of making the playoffs; 64.9 percent chance of earning a first-round bye) are almost certain to make the postseason.

Either team could lose all four of their remaining games and still have at least a 96.9 percent chance of earning a playoff berth, according to the website.

The Saints (94.7 percent) and Rams (93.6 percent) will clinch a playoff berth with two wins in their final four games.

The Seahawks (71.2 percent) will clinch a playoff berth with three wins in their remaining four games.

The Panthers (63.9 percent) and Falcons (44.9 percent) each control their own fates and will make the playoffs if they win their final four games.

                                  ----Win-Division----  -Wildcard            Record to
                         TOTAL    1st Round  1st Round  1st Round     Make   Clinch a
    NFC Team Name       W--L--T      BYE        HOME       ROAD     Playoffs  Berth

--------------------   -- -- --   ---------  ---------  ---------   -------- ---------

   Minnesota Vikings   10  2  0    0.76637    0.22210    0.01018    0.99865     1-3
 Philadelphia Eagles   10  2  0    0.64866    0.34364    0.00577    0.99807     1-3
  New Orleans Saints    9  3  0    0.20519    0.54783    0.19406    0.94708     2-2
    Los Angeles Rams    9  3  0    0.27361    0.34515    0.31750    0.93626     2-2
    Seattle Seahawks    8  4  0    0.05510    0.32614    0.33134    0.71258     3-1
   Carolina Panthers    8  4  0    0.03389    0.09631    0.50909    0.63929     4-0
     Atlanta Falcons    7  5  0    0.01710    0.09968    0.33240    0.44919     4-0
   Green Bay Packers    6  6  0    0.00007    0.00762    0.11653    0.12422
      Dallas Cowboys    6  6  0    0.00001    0.00769    0.08551    0.09322
       Detroit Lions    6  6  0    0.00001    0.00383    0.09045    0.09429
 Washington Redskins    5  7  0    0.00000    0.00000    0.00435    0.00435
   Arizona Cardinals    5  7  0    0.00000    0.00000    0.00264    0.00264
Tampa Bay Buccaneers    4  8  0    0.00000    0.00000    0.00017    0.00017

About the Author

Honored by the Pro Football Hall of Fame in recognition of his "long and distinguished reporting in the field of pro football," D. Orlando Ledbetter, Esq. has covered the NFL 28 seasons. A graduate of Howard University, he's a winner of Georgia Sportswriter of the Year and three Associated Press Sports Editor awards.

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