Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 7

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Sept 29, 2021

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2021 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAAA	5-0	106.30	1,000,000	4.67	963,220	892,740	822,404	498,202	1.01
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAAA	5-0	105.30	999,996	4.63	957,512	878,366	801,728	437,249	1.29
North Cobb	3-AAAAAAA	4-1	91.38	992,226	2.97	684,222	358,152	90,783	20,900	46.85
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	2-2	88.72	999,216	3.03	676,645	397,648	63,089	12,106	81.60
Walton	3-AAAAAAA	3-1	88.48	982,747	2.65	585,710	256,628	54,051	10,082	98.19
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAAA	5-1	87.97	1,000,000	2.41	569,066	144,730	41,668	7,472	132.83
Roswell	5-AAAAAAA	4-1	86.17	999,872	2.65	513,742	107,405	33,093	4,959	200.65
Brookwood	4-AAAAAAA	3-2	82.98	990,627	2.55	435,311	213,910	22,202	2,430	410.52
Grayson	4-AAAAAAA	4-2	82.73	989,746	2.53	426,381	207,466	21,112	2,259	441.67
North Paulding	3-AAAAAAA	3-1	82.17	915,226	1.90	354,589	106,232	12,523	1,293	772.40
Marietta	3-AAAAAAA	3-2	81.88	905,950	1.85	340,060	98,191	11,412	1,206	828.19
East Coweta	2-AAAAAAA	5-1	81.72	999,846	1.87	60,119	23,450	7,753	724	1,380.22
Lowndes	1-AAAAAAA	3-2	79.13	1,000,000	1.61	214,816	56,484	4,927	391	2,556.54
Milton	5-AAAAAAA	4-1	77.56	997,197	2.24	256,292	50,281	3,824	263	3,801.28
North Gwinnett	8-AAAAAAA	3-3	77.17	989,948	1.79	201,851	71,465	3,853	238	4,200.68
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	3-1	74.81	968,164	1.46	117,513	33,543	1,526	82	12,194.12
Archer	7-AAAAAAA	1-4	72.80	999,991	1.95	166,732	35,807	1,411	57	17,542.86
Newton	4-AAAAAAA	3-1	72.96	881,014	1.45	59,847	14,013	685	29	34,481.76
Tift County	1-AAAAAAA	5-1	73.55	1,000,000	1.26	74,150	13,112	590	24	41,665.67
Camden County	1-AAAAAAA	4-2	73.57	1,000,000	1.26	73,954	12,933	576	21	47,618.05
Parkview	4-AAAAAAA	3-3	69.07	754,563	1.07	19,759	3,252	130	4	249,999.00
Norcross	7-AAAAAAA	4-2	68.20	999,958	1.68	81,397	7,791	210	3	333,332.33
Cherokee	5-AAAAAAA	2-3	67.98	967,839	1.57	64,654	4,653	131	3	333,332.33
Pebblebrook	2-AAAAAAA	4-0-1	68.22	985,510	1.31	16,753	2,287	78	1	999,999.00
Denmark	6-AAAAAAA	3-1	67.17	800,557	0.88	12,267	1,861	59	1	999,999.00
McEachern	2-AAAAAAA	2-4	66.42	977,737	1.23	14,469	1,617	43	1	999,999.00
Gainesville	6-AAAAAAA	4-1	68.82	767,987	0.87	17,885	3,034	96	-	-
Harrison	3-AAAAAAA	2-3	67.72	198,947	0.24	11,618	611	20	-	-
Mountain View	8-AAAAAAA	3-2	64.84	874,193	1.00	16,825	1,680	17	-	-
Alpharetta	5-AAAAAAA	1-4	59.21	798,965	0.99	8,687	432	3	-	-
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAAA	3-2	62.47	384,050	0.46	1,827	144	3	-	-
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	3-2	62.15	214,639	0.22	491	35	-	-	-
Lambert	6-AAAAAAA	4-1	61.24	246,021	0.25	313	25	-	-	-
Campbell	2-AAAAAAA	3-2	51.21	567,988	0.58	616	15	-	-	-
Newnan	2-AAAAAAA	1-3	49.37	468,919	0.48	284	6	-	-	-
Peachtree Ridge	8-AAAAAAA	3-2	50.40	135,863	0.14	112	1	-	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAAA	0-4	49.29	202,268	0.22	230	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAAA	2-4	42.62	896,495	0.91	61	-	-	-	-
Discovery	7-AAAAAAA	2-3	37.95	574,520	0.58	9	-	-	-	-
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAAA	1-4	51.50	4,904	0.01	7	-	-	-	-
Dunwoody	7-AAAAAAA	1-4	34.78	361,086	0.36	2	-	-	-	-
Woodstock	5-AAAAAAA	0-5	40.60	33,859	0.03	2	-	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAAA	1-3	32.57	167,940	0.17	-	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAAA	1-3	45.14	3,416	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAAA	0-5	0.74	10	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	674,571	237,553	61,781	26,095	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Lowndes	191,967	379,013	259,728	169,292	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Camden County	68,033	188,013	334,598	409,356	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Tift County	65,429	195,421	343,893	395,257	1,000,000	-
2-AAAAAAA	East Coweta	807,406	159,396	30,205	2,839	999,846	154
2-AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	113,226	452,527	356,608	63,149	985,510	14,490
2-AAAAAAA	McEachern	76,730	353,781	456,653	90,573	977,737	22,263
2-AAAAAAA	Campbell	1,759	21,160	92,516	452,553	567,988	432,012
2-AAAAAAA	Newnan	879	13,136	64,018	390,886	468,919	531,081
3-AAAAAAA	North Cobb	478,049	302,831	144,082	67,264	992,226	7,774
3-AAAAAAA	Walton	326,724	334,165	210,265	111,593	982,747	17,253
3-AAAAAAA	North Paulding	103,610	186,857	311,613	313,146	915,226	84,774
3-AAAAAAA	Marietta	90,335	167,226	302,323	346,066	905,950	94,050
3-AAAAAAA	Harrison	1,282	8,891	31,279	157,495	198,947	801,053
3-AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	-	30	438	4,436	4,904	995,096
4-AAAAAAA	Brookwood	445,927	365,549	135,904	43,247	990,627	9,373
4-AAAAAAA	Grayson	444,107	358,586	140,913	46,140	989,746	10,254
4-AAAAAAA	Newton	74,898	168,576	379,513	258,027	881,014	118,986
4-AAAAAAA	Parkview	31,052	86,404	254,603	382,504	754,563	245,437
4-AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	4,016	20,885	89,067	270,082	384,050	615,950
5-AAAAAAA	Roswell	734,691	226,661	34,563	3,957	999,872	128
5-AAAAAAA	Milton	224,763	563,361	180,780	28,293	997,197	2,803
5-AAAAAAA	Cherokee	36,720	177,169	560,010	193,940	967,839	32,161
5-AAAAAAA	Alpharetta	3,751	30,189	194,986	570,039	798,965	201,035
5-AAAAAAA	Etowah	72	2,534	26,402	173,260	202,268	797,732
5-AAAAAAA	Woodstock	3	86	3,259	30,511	33,859	966,141
6-AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	823,839	148,236	22,478	4,663	999,216	784
6-AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	125,432	488,095	254,991	99,646	968,164	31,836
6-AAAAAAA	Gainesville	26,455	183,601	296,213	261,718	767,987	232,013
6-AAAAAAA	Denmark	22,479	156,747	302,564	318,767	800,557	199,443
6-AAAAAAA	North Forsyth	1,049	16,023	53,685	143,882	214,639	785,361
6-AAAAAAA	Lambert	746	7,265	69,788	168,222	246,021	753,979
6-AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	-	33	281	3,102	3,416	996,584
7-AAAAAAA	Archer	645,086	346,237	8,461	207	999,991	9
7-AAAAAAA	Norcross	354,005	637,378	8,178	397	999,958	42
7-AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	694	8,322	600,267	287,212	896,495	103,505
7-AAAAAAA	Discovery	210	7,375	236,438	330,497	574,520	425,480
7-AAAAAAA	Duluth	5	671	18,912	148,352	167,940	832,060
7-AAAAAAA	Dunwoody	-	17	127,744	233,325	361,086	638,914
7-AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	-	10	10	999,990
8-AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	518,251	468,837	12,710	202	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	480,150	505,410	14,172	264	999,996	4
8-AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	1,550	24,513	805,712	158,173	989,948	10,052
8-AAAAAAA	Mountain View	49	1,216	159,044	713,884	874,193	125,807
8-AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	-	24	8,362	127,477	135,863	864,137

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAA	4-1	95.94	999,999	4.53	951,248	832,387	751,880	610,790	0.64
Westlake	4-AAAAAA	4-1	87.91	999,988	4.11	903,573	723,681	507,096	207,179	3.83
Lee County	1-AAAAAA	5-1	83.17	1,000,000	3.05	710,090	210,469	135,016	51,441	18.44
Rome	5-AAAAAA	3-2	81.06	974,317	2.83	600,573	359,503	126,991	35,952	26.81
Brunswick	2-AAAAAA	5-0	79.45	999,713	3.29	751,399	447,517	173,934	35,394	27.25
Carrollton	5-AAAAAA	4-1	79.99	961,679	2.52	509,765	266,603	81,083	23,525	41.51
Northside (Warner Robins)	1-AAAAAA	3-2	74.80	1,000,000	2.62	464,862	133,663	46,399	6,834	145.33
Hughes	4-AAAAAA	4-1	74.42	998,522	2.47	430,686	199,838	35,902	6,621	150.03
Johns Creek	7-AAAAAA	4-1	76.24	994,664	1.98	302,323	100,247	31,889	6,137	161.95
Douglas County	5-AAAAAA	5-0	74.83	983,610	2.08	350,509	144,986	27,553	5,417	183.60
Cambridge	7-AAAAAA	3-0	74.54	975,130	1.79	237,799	68,703	19,549	3,316	300.57
Kennesaw Mountain	6-AAAAAA	6-0	71.64	1,000,000	2.39	355,433	142,099	15,670	2,568	388.41
Creekview	7-AAAAAA	3-1	72.33	854,027	1.47	204,753	82,424	10,657	1,787	558.60
Houston County	1-AAAAAA	3-3	69.54	1,000,000	2.36	309,836	81,564	15,703	1,300	768.23
South Paulding	5-AAAAAA	4-1	69.66	875,077	1.50	180,142	55,444	7,379	797	1,253.71
Lovejoy	4-AAAAAA	2-1	68.09	991,488	1.76	137,795	40,372	4,414	438	2,282.11
Pope	6-AAAAAA	4-1	65.17	988,341	1.82	128,956	30,527	2,895	197	5,075.14
Effingham County	2-AAAAAA	3-1	64.85	952,102	1.41	89,324	19,754	1,913	124	8,063.52
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	2-3	62.75	950,080	1.52	78,627	14,457	1,327	57	17,542.86
Riverwood	7-AAAAAA	4-1	64.42	498,711	0.64	40,043	9,882	638	38	26,314.79
Glynn Academy	2-AAAAAA	1-3-1	62.96	875,263	1.14	41,866	8,142	534	37	27,026.03
Allatoona	6-AAAAAA	2-3	62.08	879,329	1.34	54,431	9,124	842	29	34,481.76
River Ridge	7-AAAAAA	4-0	62.31	395,676	0.48	23,107	4,849	256	16	62,499.00
Sequoyah	7-AAAAAA	2-2	61.01	279,089	0.33	12,857	2,431	106	4	249,999.00
Alexander	5-AAAAAA	3-1	63.12	198,158	0.25	10,384	1,597	129	1	999,999.00
Shiloh	8-AAAAAA	0-4	56.17	604,240	0.77	13,370	1,333	51	1	999,999.00
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAAA	3-2	56.15	734,668	0.94	16,482	1,598	57	-	-
Kell	6-AAAAAA	2-3	56.89	596,688	0.70	9,725	914	55	-	-
Richmond Hill	2-AAAAAA	1-3	55.48	537,953	0.59	7,087	647	22	-	-
North Atlanta	4-AAAAAA	4-1	53.42	819,062	0.90	12,090	786	18	-	-
Evans	3-AAAAAA	4-1	51.57	986,470	1.05	33,414	2,852	16	-	-
Sprayberry	6-AAAAAA	2-1	53.23	447,278	0.51	3,909	226	10	-	-
Statesboro	2-AAAAAA	2-2	54.92	505,691	0.55	5,917	507	9	-	-
Lanier	8-AAAAAA	1-3	54.66	412,943	0.49	5,839	468	7	-	-
Grovetown	3-AAAAAA	1-3	44.39	900,639	0.92	4,151	146	-	-	-
Alcovy	3-AAAAAA	1-2	43.34	947,077	0.97	3,479	98	-	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAAA	2-3	50.41	131,590	0.15	834	50	-	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	3-AAAAAA	1-4	42.00	825,771	0.84	1,870	49	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	1-4	48.52	166,480	0.18	749	42	-	-	-
South Effingham	2-AAAAAA	1-3	48.46	129,170	0.13	338	14	-	-	-
Tucker	4-AAAAAA	0-5	42.10	184,339	0.19	253	3	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAAA	2-4	44.84	88,244	0.09	69	3	-	-	-
Dalton	5-AAAAAA	1-4	51.09	3,995	0.00	11	1	-	-	-
Rockdale County	3-AAAAAA	1-3	33.06	208,239	0.21	16	-	-	-	-
Centennial	7-AAAAAA	1-4	45.38	2,701	0.00	6	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	3-AAAAAA	0-4	28.70	131,804	0.13	4	-	-	-	-
East Paulding	5-AAAAAA	1-3	46.93	1,720	0.00	4	-	-	-	-
Paulding County	5-AAAAAA	2-2	48.31	1,444	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Morrow	4-AAAAAA	1-3	26.26	6,601	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	2-AAAAAA	0-3	24.68	108	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Osborne	6-AAAAAA	1-2	28.50	59	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Wheeler	6-AAAAAA	0-5	36.33	58	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	6-AAAAAA	1-5	34.34	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAAA	1-4	32.98	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	1-3	71.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAAA	1-4	11.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Lee County	701,839	227,811	70,350	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	210,970	482,080	306,950	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Houston County	87,191	290,109	622,700	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-AAAAAA	Brunswick	868,339	112,489	16,201	2,684	999,713	287
2-AAAAAA	Effingham County	103,823	435,658	291,703	120,918	952,102	47,898
2-AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	13,896	308,207	353,226	199,934	875,263	124,737
2-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	7,388	77,140	163,653	289,772	537,953	462,047
2-AAAAAA	Statesboro	6,398	63,893	148,193	287,207	505,691	494,309
2-AAAAAA	South Effingham	156	2,613	27,020	99,381	129,170	870,830
2-AAAAAA	Bradwell Institute	-	-	4	104	108	999,892
3-AAAAAA	Evans	573,499	251,922	112,424	48,625	986,470	13,530
3-AAAAAA	Grovetown	164,424	265,845	267,108	203,262	900,639	99,361
3-AAAAAA	Alcovy	157,825	263,881	298,135	227,236	947,077	52,923
3-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	99,929	196,769	254,849	274,224	825,771	174,229
3-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	2,597	12,402	39,319	153,921	208,239	791,761
3-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	1,726	9,181	28,165	92,732	131,804	868,196
4-AAAAAA	Westlake	833,745	145,721	19,436	1,086	999,988	12
4-AAAAAA	Hughes	129,236	581,824	261,493	25,969	998,522	1,478
4-AAAAAA	Lovejoy	36,035	256,698	590,563	108,192	991,488	8,512
4-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	970	14,946	118,354	684,792	819,062	180,938
4-AAAAAA	Tucker	14	809	9,972	173,544	184,339	815,661
4-AAAAAA	Morrow	-	2	182	6,417	6,601	993,399
4-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAAA	Rome	460,958	261,037	140,301	112,021	974,317	25,683
5-AAAAAA	South Paulding	194,898	149,576	220,539	310,064	875,077	124,923
5-AAAAAA	Carrollton	190,357	300,587	276,955	193,780	961,679	38,321
5-AAAAAA	Douglas County	151,388	276,919	336,375	218,928	983,610	16,390
5-AAAAAA	Alexander	2,389	11,819	25,245	158,705	198,158	801,842
5-AAAAAA	Paulding County	6	26	255	1,157	1,444	998,556
5-AAAAAA	Dalton	3	27	236	3,729	3,995	996,005
5-AAAAAA	East Paulding	1	9	94	1,616	1,720	998,280
6-AAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	729,111	244,150	26,724	15	1,000,000	-
6-AAAAAA	Pope	242,159	441,747	247,468	56,967	988,341	11,659
6-AAAAAA	Allatoona	28,642	252,310	376,400	221,977	879,329	120,671
6-AAAAAA	Sprayberry	88	38,580	131,988	276,622	447,278	552,722
6-AAAAAA	Kell	-	22,854	200,962	372,872	596,688	403,312
6-AAAAAA	Lassiter	-	359	16,452	71,433	88,244	911,756
6-AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	4	55	59	999,941
6-AAAAAA	Wheeler	-	-	2	56	58	999,942
6-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	-	-	3	3	999,997
7-AAAAAA	Johns Creek	492,435	317,222	153,524	31,483	994,664	5,336
7-AAAAAA	Cambridge	417,736	388,548	125,713	43,133	975,130	24,870
7-AAAAAA	Creekview	67,213	179,012	391,925	215,877	854,027	145,973
7-AAAAAA	River Ridge	13,259	44,696	110,202	227,519	395,676	604,324
7-AAAAAA	Riverwood	7,659	52,562	148,126	290,364	498,711	501,289
7-AAAAAA	Sequoyah	1,696	17,930	70,218	189,245	279,089	720,911
7-AAAAAA	Centennial	2	30	292	2,377	2,701	997,299
7-AAAAAA	Chattahoochee	-	-	-	2	2	999,998
8-AAAAAA	Buford	986,468	13,361	160	10	999,999	1
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	10,557	597,104	246,694	95,725	950,080	49,920
8-AAAAAA	Winder-Barrow	1,601	188,724	282,888	261,455	734,668	265,332
8-AAAAAA	Shiloh	1,082	146,144	225,158	231,856	604,240	395,760
8-AAAAAA	Lanier	267	26,244	158,539	227,893	412,943	587,057
8-AAAAAA	Habersham Central	24	11,304	34,420	85,842	131,590	868,410
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	1	17,119	52,141	97,219	166,480	833,520

Class AAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Warner Robins	1-AAAAA	5-0	100.08	1,000,000	4.30	832,519	824,897	652,303	463,166	1.16
Cartersville	7-AAAAA	4-0	96.72	999,999	4.04	728,510	711,885	598,161	310,691	2.22
Creekside	3-AAAAA	4-1	92.12	999,999	4.06	899,592	869,568	345,310	156,156	5.40
Coffee	1-AAAAA	5-0	85.91	999,734	2.83	414,463	385,363	172,438	37,744	25.49
Calhoun	7-AAAAA	4-1	83.03	999,938	2.44	210,977	190,626	75,422	14,241	69.22
Ware County	1-AAAAA	4-1	81.39	999,205	2.51	388,754	347,177	85,167	12,578	78.50
Woodward Academy	3-AAAAA	5-0	77.34	999,974	2.07	326,662	273,863	40,855	4,298	231.67
Jones County	4-AAAAA	3-2	70.01	999,548	2.71	758,056	62,840	10,728	514	1,944.53
Dutchtown	4-AAAAA	3-2	67.33	998,663	2.51	657,184	46,811	4,816	171	5,846.95
Whitewater	2-AAAAA	4-1	66.36	998,083	2.42	587,684	72,229	4,359	128	7,811.50
Griffin	2-AAAAA	2-2	65.69	993,193	2.31	542,172	57,023	3,280	104	9,614.38
St. Pius X	5-AAAAA	3-2	66.46	999,747	1.77	75,087	45,455	2,478	84	11,903.76
Decatur	5-AAAAA	5-0	66.21	999,903	1.77	73,541	44,241	2,362	73	13,697.63
Blessed Trinity	7-AAAAA	3-2	65.96	992,825	1.60	37,613	20,652	992	35	28,570.43
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	2-2	61.20	996,426	2.24	386,581	13,162	654	8	124,999.00
Jonesboro	3-AAAAA	3-1	60.38	980,377	1.03	4,167	1,779	75	4	249,999.00
New Manchester	6-AAAAA	2-3	57.01	996,870	1.91	190,417	5,938	154	2	499,999.00
Stockbridge	4-AAAAA	3-2	56.58	687,885	1.01	107,875	3,669	59	2	499,999.00
Starr's Mill	2-AAAAA	3-2	55.55	944,880	1.33	126,538	3,203	65	1	999,999.00
Villa Rica	6-AAAAA	2-2	55.85	987,150	1.80	159,308	5,102	103	-	-
Lithia Springs	6-AAAAA	1-4	54.54	970,827	1.67	128,629	4,182	71	-	-
Union Grove	4-AAAAA	2-3	55.66	586,796	0.81	72,205	2,460	38	-	-
Eastside	8-AAAAA	3-2	53.77	778,309	1.26	85,044	2,055	37	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	3-2	51.65	912,627	1.44	84,650	1,745	24	-	-
Veterans	1-AAAAA	1-4	57.09	808,107	0.83	4,597	1,408	21	-	-
Ola	4-AAAAA	2-3	53.16	581,259	0.76	51,806	1,370	17	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	2-AAAAA	3-1	50.23	606,769	0.70	24,336	209	4	-	-
Cass	7-AAAAA	3-2	50.37	834,557	0.95	2,049	443	3	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAAA	2-3	52.11	995,191	1.07	1,248	310	3	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	1-4	53.40	687,211	0.69	133	38	1	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	1-4	45.40	690,269	0.88	16,151	174	-	-	-
Greenbrier	8-AAAAA	2-3	44.09	417,267	0.51	6,538	39	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	4-AAAAA	3-2	45.67	69,982	0.08	1,638	28	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	6-AAAAA	1-4	38.97	610,147	0.68	3,660	11	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	4-AAAAA	2-3	44.57	75,854	0.08	1,440	9	-	-	-
Maynard Jackson	6-AAAAA	1-3	37.84	430,825	0.47	2,018	7	-	-	-
Northgate	2-AAAAA	1-3	42.80	196,040	0.21	1,736	7	-	-	-
Harris County	2-AAAAA	1-3	45.19	215,479	0.23	2,906	6	-	-	-
Wayne County	1-AAAAA	0-5	45.26	192,954	0.19	58	6	-	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	2-3	41.47	108,657	0.13	968	4	-	-	-
Hiram	7-AAAAA	0-5	38.47	170,115	0.18	21	3	-	-	-
Drew	3-AAAAA	1-2	43.79	187,019	0.19	4	2	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAAA	2-3	37.81	96,445	0.11	376	1	-	-	-
McIntosh	2-AAAAA	1-4	36.52	45,556	0.05	84	-	-	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAAA	0-4	37.86	502,941	0.50	3	-	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAAA	0-3	41.04	105,590	0.11	2	-	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	5-AAAAA	4-1	34.93	384,110	0.38	-	-	-	-	-
M.L. King	5-AAAAA	0-4	28.02	110,636	0.11	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	3-AAAAA	2-1	36.59	37,943	0.04	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAAA	0-4	16.22	7,472	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	6-AAAAA	1-5	24.14	4,181	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAAA	1-4	19.30	2,566	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	3-AAAAA	1-3	26.50	1,887	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	4-AAAAA	0-5	24.05	13	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	5-AAAAA	4-1	38.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Midtown	6-AAAAA	0-1	29.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAAA	1-1	9.77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8-AAAAA	0-4	2.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAAA	1-3	-13.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Warner Robins	827,335	146,592	25,748	325	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAA	Coffee	123,853	541,889	323,460	10,532	999,734	266
1-AAAAA	Ware County	48,708	309,198	610,086	31,213	999,205	795
1-AAAAA	Veterans	101	2,247	38,519	767,240	808,107	191,893
1-AAAAA	Wayne County	3	74	2,187	190,690	192,954	807,046
2-AAAAA	Whitewater	510,468	375,704	102,402	9,509	998,083	1,917
2-AAAAA	Griffin	419,372	401,753	141,572	30,496	993,193	6,807
2-AAAAA	Starr's Mill	65,878	180,254	497,280	201,468	944,880	55,120
2-AAAAA	Northside (Columbus)	2,684	30,341	187,823	385,921	606,769	393,231
2-AAAAA	Northgate	872	6,632	43,173	145,363	196,040	803,960
2-AAAAA	Harris County	712	5,032	21,061	188,674	215,479	784,521
2-AAAAA	McIntosh	14	284	6,689	38,569	45,556	954,444
3-AAAAA	Creekside	859,011	137,128	3,763	97	999,999	1
3-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	137,917	769,505	91,967	585	999,974	26
3-AAAAA	Jonesboro	3,069	92,329	825,504	59,475	980,377	19,623
3-AAAAA	Drew	2	845	31,802	154,370	187,019	812,981
3-AAAAA	Mundy's Mill	1	17	14,637	90,935	105,590	894,410
3-AAAAA	Banneker	-	141	28,618	658,452	687,211	312,789
3-AAAAA	Forest Park	-	35	3,642	34,266	37,943	962,057
3-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	-	-	67	1,820	1,887	998,113
4-AAAAA	Jones County	600,792	371,046	25,201	2,509	999,548	452
4-AAAAA	Dutchtown	392,234	519,293	79,584	7,552	998,663	1,337
4-AAAAA	Stockbridge	3,934	76,202	331,903	275,846	687,885	312,115
4-AAAAA	Ola	2,786	23,253	242,017	313,203	581,259	418,741
4-AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	144	2,165	18,902	54,643	75,854	924,146
4-AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	100	1,415	15,889	52,578	69,982	930,018
4-AAAAA	Union Grove	10	6,626	286,504	293,656	586,796	413,204
4-AAAAA	Locust Grove	-	-	-	13	13	999,987
5-AAAAA	Decatur	484,960	420,969	91,113	2,861	999,903	97
5-AAAAA	St. Pius X	478,054	424,959	92,634	4,100	999,747	253
5-AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	36,753	151,256	754,566	52,616	995,191	4,809
5-AAAAA	Lithonia	192	1,362	8,247	493,140	502,941	497,059
5-AAAAA	Stone Mountain	38	1,260	44,333	338,479	384,110	615,890
5-AAAAA	M.L. King	3	193	8,929	101,511	110,636	889,364
5-AAAAA	Northview	-	1	178	7,293	7,472	992,528
5-AAAAA	Chamblee	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAA	New Manchester	577,998	298,757	99,490	20,625	996,870	3,130
6-AAAAA	Villa Rica	317,067	334,174	276,884	59,025	987,150	12,850
6-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	94,564	323,500	443,287	109,476	970,827	29,173
6-AAAAA	Chapel Hill	6,564	26,322	106,752	470,509	610,147	389,853
6-AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	3,804	17,177	72,689	337,155	430,825	569,175
6-AAAAA	North Springs	3	70	898	3,210	4,181	995,819
6-AAAAA	Midtown	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAAA	Cartersville	854,291	141,082	4,572	54	999,999	1
7-AAAAA	Calhoun	141,543	761,262	94,609	2,524	999,938	62
7-AAAAA	Blessed Trinity	4,110	94,645	780,597	113,473	992,825	7,175
7-AAAAA	Cass	56	2,880	111,504	720,117	834,557	165,443
7-AAAAA	Hiram	-	131	8,647	161,337	170,115	829,885
7-AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	-	-	71	2,495	2,566	997,434
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	729,538	201,108	52,734	13,046	996,426	3,574
8-AAAAA	Loganville	155,785	354,571	251,166	151,105	912,627	87,373
8-AAAAA	Eastside	93,994	196,067	240,116	248,132	778,309	221,691
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	12,345	189,541	258,457	229,926	690,269	309,731
8-AAAAA	Greenbrier	7,030	38,308	129,690	242,239	417,267	582,733
8-AAAAA	Walnut Grove	982	9,380	30,599	55,484	96,445	903,555
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	326	11,025	37,238	60,068	108,657	891,343
8-AAAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Benedictine	3-AAAA	3-2	88.69	1,000,000	4.32	960,970	823,737	567,451	479,486	1.09
Jefferson	8-AAAA	5-0	84.87	999,976	4.17	928,586	841,147	408,835	309,006	2.24
Perry	4-AAAA	4-0	77.23	999,636	3.39	712,427	415,638	298,411	81,256	11.31
Cedartown	7-AAAA	3-1	74.72	999,988	3.42	753,974	402,978	276,528	57,996	16.24
Marist	6-AAAA	3-1	76.26	999,727	2.86	699,554	178,740	74,332	32,861	29.43
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	3-2	68.54	982,503	2.42	394,748	198,969	74,101	8,452	117.32
Thomas County Central	1-AAAA	3-2	68.53	982,527	2.54	555,567	146,853	42,359	6,545	151.79
North Oconee	8-AAAA	2-3	67.32	993,872	2.44	397,975	196,550	62,130	6,239	159.28
Carver (Columbus)	2-AAAA	4-1	66.69	999,888	2.29	318,976	168,606	47,936	4,598	216.49
Dougherty	1-AAAA	4-0	67.25	975,917	2.40	493,304	122,583	32,816	4,378	227.41
Riverdale	5-AAAA	3-0-1	65.38	999,852	2.64	449,489	203,449	53,898	4,377	227.47
New Hampstead	3-AAAA	3-1	64.01	1,000,000	1.95	282,130	111,784	25,307	1,796	555.79
Baldwin	4-AAAA	2-2	65.39	983,023	2.02	216,117	52,460	14,348	1,511	660.81
Bainbridge	1-AAAA	0-3	63.06	926,330	1.80	271,475	57,318	11,400	927	1,077.75
Spalding	4-AAAA	4-1	61.10	982,464	1.75	107,059	20,170	3,092	273	3,662.00
Cairo	1-AAAA	2-2	59.25	830,457	1.27	123,960	20,372	2,883	144	6,943.44
Stephenson	6-AAAA	5-0	58.64	948,927	1.30	69,910	12,929	2,216	98	10,203.08
West Laurens	4-AAAA	2-3	55.21	746,406	1.03	38,864	8,472	776	25	39,999.00
LaGrange	2-AAAA	4-0	55.54	987,684	1.33	36,124	6,210	570	18	55,554.56
Troup	2-AAAA	4-1	53.48	998,996	1.29	25,527	3,389	228	4	249,999.00
Madison County	8-AAAA	2-2	54.76	640,799	0.76	20,715	1,226	112	3	333,332.33
Miller Grove	6-AAAA	4-0	49.20	683,521	0.75	7,501	751	44	3	333,332.33
Mays	6-AAAA	1-4	50.97	841,266	0.93	13,002	1,653	104	2	499,999.00
Monroe	1-AAAA	2-3	48.19	202,934	0.22	3,608	243	16	1	999,999.00
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	1-2	48.05	259,347	0.29	2,716	112	6	1	999,999.00
Pickens	7-AAAA	3-1	46.28	818,773	1.20	22,323	678	22	-	-
Luella	5-AAAA	4-1	46.58	976,878	1.53	21,680	908	19	-	-
Hapeville Charter	6-AAAA	1-4	49.34	314,863	0.33	2,265	258	11	-	-
Central (Carrollton)	7-AAAA	2-3	45.53	792,018	1.13	17,597	516	10	-	-
Howard	4-AAAA	2-1	46.19	261,936	0.30	2,565	231	10	-	-
Hardaway	2-AAAA	2-2	46.73	878,852	0.93	4,205	178	10	-	-
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAAA	2-2	44.37	755,336	1.04	12,789	320	6	-	-
Islands	3-AAAA	3-2	40.43	1,000,000	1.05	4,563	63	5	-	-
Fayette County	5-AAAA	3-2	42.63	953,378	1.26	11,795	217	4	-	-
McDonough	5-AAAA	3-2	42.20	790,074	0.95	8,218	126	3	-	-
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAAA	2-1	40.83	543,047	0.68	4,137	98	1	-	-
Arabia Mountain	6-AAAA	2-3	44.50	211,696	0.22	515	43	-	-	-
Chestatee	8-AAAA	2-2	44.24	123,479	0.13	614	9	-	-	-
Westover	1-AAAA	1-2	43.96	81,835	0.09	521	9	-	-	-
Jenkins	3-AAAA	2-2	31.79	1,000,000	1.01	1,493	5	-	-	-
Hampton	5-AAAA	0-3	34.17	277,708	0.30	354	1	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAAA	1-4	30.43	90,838	0.10	53	1	-	-	-
Spencer	2-AAAA	1-4	35.60	41,501	0.04	11	-	-	-	-
Columbus	2-AAAA	1-4	32.24	56,493	0.06	10	-	-	-	-
Westside (Macon)	4-AAAA	1-3	34.54	19,141	0.02	10	-	-	-	-
Rutland	4-AAAA	1-4	30.31	7,394	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
Shaw	2-AAAA	0-3	29.41	35,365	0.04	1	-	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAAA	0-4	10.99	1,944	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	2-AAAA	0-4	18.95	1,221	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAAA	0-5	5.59	166	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAAA	1-4	14.39	24	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	1-5	11.79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	2-AAAA	0-3	7.54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	6-AAAA	0-5	-6.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Thomas County Central	407,732	304,131	184,200	86,464	982,527	17,473
1-AAAA	Dougherty	351,564	310,812	209,668	103,873	975,917	24,083
1-AAAA	Bainbridge	166,117	234,283	302,452	223,478	926,330	73,670
1-AAAA	Cairo	71,823	136,339	252,458	369,837	830,457	169,543
1-AAAA	Monroe	2,333	11,692	38,541	150,368	202,934	797,066
1-AAAA	Westover	431	2,743	12,681	65,980	81,835	918,165
2-AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	735,320	200,943	52,589	11,036	999,888	112
2-AAAA	LaGrange	136,574	382,954	331,358	136,798	987,684	12,316
2-AAAA	Troup	119,820	383,514	450,999	44,663	998,996	1,004
2-AAAA	Hardaway	8,284	32,299	157,215	681,054	878,852	121,148
2-AAAA	Shaw	2	273	2,971	32,119	35,365	964,635
2-AAAA	Columbus	-	14	475	56,004	56,493	943,507
2-AAAA	Spencer	-	2	4,373	37,126	41,501	958,499
2-AAAA	Kendrick	-	1	20	1,200	1,221	998,779
2-AAAA	Jordan	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-AAAA	Benedictine	960,283	39,629	87	1	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	New Hampstead	39,569	914,322	44,287	1,822	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Islands	138	40,682	716,037	243,143	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Jenkins	10	5,367	239,589	755,034	1,000,000	-
4-AAAA	Perry	772,725	183,081	36,889	6,941	999,636	364
4-AAAA	Baldwin	147,299	442,106	294,854	98,764	983,023	16,977
4-AAAA	Spalding	72,975	341,445	503,563	64,481	982,464	17,536
4-AAAA	West Laurens	6,397	23,722	118,309	597,978	746,406	253,594
4-AAAA	Howard	601	9,593	44,427	207,315	261,936	738,064
4-AAAA	Westside (Macon)	3	30	1,496	17,612	19,141	980,859
4-AAAA	Rutland	-	23	462	6,909	7,394	992,606
5-AAAA	Riverdale	884,876	101,450	10,806	2,720	999,852	148
5-AAAA	Luella	76,323	594,681	265,284	40,590	976,878	23,122
5-AAAA	Fayette County	28,800	254,153	375,867	294,558	953,378	46,622
5-AAAA	McDonough	9,350	33,622	294,538	452,564	790,074	209,926
5-AAAA	Hampton	651	16,093	53,336	207,628	277,708	722,292
5-AAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	1	161	1,782	1,944	998,056
5-AAAA	North Clayton	-	-	8	158	166	999,834
6-AAAA	Marist	888,288	98,546	10,801	2,092	999,727	273
6-AAAA	Stephenson	79,796	509,779	254,973	104,379	948,927	51,073
6-AAAA	Mays	15,276	192,013	337,047	296,930	841,266	158,734
6-AAAA	Miller Grove	13,948	158,407	273,534	237,632	683,521	316,479
6-AAAA	Hapeville Charter	2,326	35,008	65,866	211,663	314,863	685,137
6-AAAA	Arabia Mountain	366	6,247	57,779	147,304	211,696	788,304
6-AAAA	Druid Hills	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAA	Cedartown	964,488	33,820	1,370	310	999,988	12
7-AAAA	Pickens	13,770	320,972	273,428	210,603	818,773	181,227
7-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	11,303	277,777	272,034	230,904	792,018	207,982
7-AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	7,820	244,539	258,688	244,289	755,336	244,664
7-AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	2,586	115,660	170,027	254,774	543,047	456,953
7-AAAA	Ridgeland	33	7,232	24,453	59,120	90,838	909,162
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	Jefferson	932,690	64,605	2,121	560	999,976	24
8-AAAA	North Oconee	63,120	472,712	429,343	28,697	993,872	6,128
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	3,023	448,398	444,847	86,235	982,503	17,497
8-AAAA	Madison County	981	6,516	76,420	556,882	640,799	359,201
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	162	6,013	33,255	219,917	259,347	740,653
8-AAAA	Chestatee	24	1,756	14,014	107,685	123,479	876,521
8-AAAA	East Hall	-	-	-	24	24	999,976

Class AAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Appling County	1-AAA	6-0	84.54	1,000,000	4.36	952,643	769,344	643,479	481,765	1.08
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	3-1	77.95	999,948	4.06	948,307	731,754	397,482	184,906	4.41
Oconee County	8-AAA	5-0	78.84	999,837	3.46	830,489	400,396	284,123	147,423	5.78
Pierce County	1-AAA	4-1	75.70	999,980	3.84	877,858	624,450	350,441	122,056	7.19
Sandy Creek	5-AAA	5-0	68.49	996,190	3.02	665,059	377,662	91,737	21,236	46.09
Stephens County	8-AAA	5-0	67.71	994,778	2.37	459,034	152,876	42,211	9,012	109.96
Hart County	8-AAA	4-0	67.29	993,866	2.33	444,015	146,444	38,354	7,868	126.10
Thomson	4-AAA	4-0	65.98	999,911	2.49	435,891	145,792	32,157	5,828	170.59
Peach County	2-AAA	2-2	66.31	999,210	2.43	381,346	97,711	30,045	5,513	180.39
Rockmart	6-AAA	3-1	66.22	999,431	1.93	302,086	131,512	24,557	4,911	202.62
Monroe Area	8-AAA	4-0	65.78	990,847	2.17	382,578	122,851	26,500	4,798	207.42
Burke County	4-AAA	3-0	61.86	999,083	2.16	289,152	88,194	11,470	1,559	640.44
Crisp County	2-AAA	2-3	62.55	998,337	2.16	249,653	44,509	10,533	1,414	706.21
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AAA	2-2	61.51	891,652	1.79	178,447	64,589	8,547	1,059	943.29
Ringgold	6-AAA	5-0	59.91	966,448	1.38	116,887	26,560	3,180	330	3,029.30
Cherokee Bluff	7-AAA	5-0	58.46	997,858	1.61	72,663	21,110	2,651	204	4,900.96
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	4-0	51.41	997,460	1.80	98,861	16,281	645	35	28,570.43
North Hall	7-AAA	3-2	53.65	983,038	1.34	44,596	8,557	521	27	37,036.04
North Murray	6-AAA	3-1	54.36	951,618	1.11	32,067	3,193	287	20	49,999.00
Greater Atlanta Christian	5-AAA	1-4	52.98	774,861	1.16	35,762	6,424	384	16	62,499.00
Adairsville	6-AAA	4-0	53.08	765,094	0.87	20,632	1,889	141	5	199,999.00
Jackson	2-AAA	2-3	50.31	858,394	1.07	23,157	3,000	88	4	249,999.00
Tattnall County	1-AAA	3-1	47.49	967,248	1.49	28,513	2,664	91	3	333,332.33
Mary Persons	2-AAA	3-2	49.01	734,529	0.90	15,002	1,551	59	3	333,332.33
Dawson County	7-AAA	2-3	48.94	959,356	1.16	28,205	3,391	110	2	499,999.00
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	2-1	47.19	998,096	1.53	40,047	3,946	105	2	499,999.00
Harlem	4-AAA	3-2	47.56	971,027	1.17	13,488	981	36	1	999,999.00
Westminster (Atlanta)	5-AAA	2-3	51.91	182,960	0.26	4,087	640	38	-	-
White County	7-AAA	1-4	45.98	760,651	0.82	11,369	963	16	-	-
Salem	5-AAA	4-1	45.22	154,121	0.19	1,545	120	5	-	-
Liberty County	3-AAA	1-2	40.92	970,912	1.16	7,862	373	3	-	-
Sonoraville	6-AAA	2-2	48.47	222,042	0.23	1,901	63	3	-	-
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	2-3	44.62	164,561	0.18	1,210	71	1	-	-
Brantley County	1-AAA	2-3	35.29	675,862	0.80	3,005	76	-	-	-
Pike County	2-AAA	1-3	40.70	206,250	0.22	627	27	-	-	-
Gilmer	7-AAA	2-2	35.71	206,478	0.21	366	14	-	-	-
Long County	1-AAA	3-3	30.46	356,910	0.39	537	6	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6-AAA	3-2	43.55	83,287	0.09	235	5	-	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	2-2	35.54	417,031	0.43	258	4	-	-	-
Morgan County	4-AAA	1-4	33.88	303,126	0.31	138	2	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	0-3	26.89	331,579	0.33	11	2	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	1-4	33.24	694,534	0.71	197	1	-	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-4	34.31	267,732	0.27	94	1	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-AAA	0-4	35.50	22,586	0.02	23	1	-	-	-
West Hall	7-AAA	2-2	32.02	89,985	0.09	60	-	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AAA	3-1	34.30	16,146	0.02	23	-	-	-	-
LaFayette	6-AAA	3-2	35.48	12,070	0.01	8	-	-	-	-
Sumter County	2-AAA	0-3	31.64	16,133	0.02	4	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-4	24.46	42,090	0.04	2	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-AAA	2-2	7.91	7,324	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
East Jackson	8-AAA	2-3	29.16	4,526	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lumpkin County	7-AAA	1-3	17.75	2,634	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Douglass	5-AAA	0-5	25.61	220	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-2	-4.65	95	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Redan	5-AAA	2-3	22.36	48	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	6-AAA	1-4	19.95	9	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6-AAA	0-4	13.93	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
East Forsyth	7-AAA	1-4	19.43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAA	Appling County	740,679	257,027	2,280	14	1,000,000	-
1-AAA	Pierce County	258,843	722,375	18,562	200	999,980	20
1-AAA	Tattnall County	461	19,233	788,582	158,972	967,248	32,752
1-AAA	Brantley County	15	998	137,918	536,931	675,862	324,138
1-AAA	Long County	2	367	52,658	303,883	356,910	643,090
2-AAA	Peach County	614,534	342,404	38,467	3,805	999,210	790
2-AAA	Crisp County	375,942	553,288	63,353	5,754	998,337	1,663
2-AAA	Jackson	5,721	37,923	466,533	348,217	858,394	141,606
2-AAA	Mary Persons	3,354	57,893	328,330	344,952	734,529	265,471
2-AAA	Pike County	403	5,804	35,777	164,266	206,250	793,750
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	35	2,374	61,489	100,663	164,561	835,439
2-AAA	Central (Macon)	11	234	3,331	19,010	22,586	977,414
2-AAA	Sumter County	-	80	2,720	13,333	16,133	983,867
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	566,829	294,481	113,913	22,237	997,460	2,540
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	311,180	414,122	225,263	47,531	998,096	1,904
3-AAA	Liberty County	115,407	257,121	508,712	89,672	970,912	29,088
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	6,089	30,089	103,842	554,514	694,534	305,466
3-AAA	Beach	495	4,177	47,809	279,098	331,579	668,421
3-AAA	Savannah	-	10	460	6,854	7,324	992,676
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	1	94	95	999,905
4-AAA	Thomson	623,817	329,325	45,011	1,758	999,911	89
4-AAA	Burke County	351,436	537,212	103,367	7,068	999,083	917
4-AAA	Harlem	24,225	123,455	681,795	141,552	971,027	28,973
4-AAA	Hephzibah	417	5,917	95,883	314,814	417,031	582,969
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	68	1,321	10,012	256,331	267,732	732,268
4-AAA	Morgan County	36	2,741	59,799	240,550	303,126	696,874
4-AAA	Cross Creek	1	29	4,133	37,927	42,090	957,910
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	788,566	206,254	4,984	144	999,948	52
5-AAA	Sandy Creek	207,349	541,987	203,399	43,455	996,190	3,810
5-AAA	Carver (Atlanta)	3,571	195,645	481,372	211,064	891,652	108,348
5-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	332	50,752	234,266	489,511	774,861	225,139
5-AAA	Salem	161	4,058	32,696	117,206	154,121	845,879
5-AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	21	1,304	43,276	138,359	182,960	817,040
5-AAA	Douglass	-	-	7	213	220	999,780
5-AAA	Redan	-	-	-	48	48	999,952
6-AAA	Rockmart	635,899	263,801	77,656	22,075	999,431	569
6-AAA	Ringgold	270,459	461,562	167,649	66,778	966,448	33,552
6-AAA	North Murray	47,954	123,669	440,466	339,529	951,618	48,382
6-AAA	Adairsville	45,504	133,134	269,406	317,050	765,094	234,906
6-AAA	Sonoraville	134	14,783	35,590	171,535	222,042	777,958
6-AAA	Coahulla Creek	37	2,863	7,724	72,663	83,287	916,713
6-AAA	LaFayette	13	188	1,509	10,360	12,070	987,930
6-AAA	Murray County	-	-	-	9	9	999,991
6-AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
7-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	559,255	285,630	115,185	37,788	997,858	2,142
7-AAA	North Hall	275,467	354,564	248,548	104,459	983,038	16,962
7-AAA	Dawson County	142,397	288,461	414,788	113,710	959,356	40,644
7-AAA	White County	22,291	61,704	169,032	507,624	760,651	239,349
7-AAA	Gilmer	468	8,382	39,712	157,916	206,478	793,522
7-AAA	West Hall	121	1,252	12,603	76,009	89,985	910,015
7-AAA	Lumpkin County	1	7	132	2,494	2,634	997,366
7-AAA	East Forsyth	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAA	Oconee County	673,761	227,167	67,734	31,175	999,837	163
8-AAA	Stephens County	126,960	286,594	306,973	274,251	994,778	5,222
8-AAA	Hart County	117,926	270,552	309,944	295,444	993,866	6,134
8-AAA	Monroe Area	81,353	215,578	314,731	379,185	990,847	9,153
8-AAA	Franklin County	-	100	499	15,547	16,146	983,854
8-AAA	East Jackson	-	9	119	4,398	4,526	995,474

Class AA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Thomasville	1-AA	4-1	73.70	999,439	3.55	736,602	573,533	458,081	307,391	2.25
Fitzgerald	1-AA	4-1	71.38	998,748	3.29	668,781	514,196	384,874	215,069	3.65
Rabun County	8-AA	4-1	70.28	1,000,000	3.58	844,485	449,505	322,872	185,605	4.39
Northeast	3-AA	3-1	66.42	956,802	2.64	493,355	388,525	178,568	79,638	11.56
Bleckley County	3-AA	5-0	65.53	975,074	2.74	517,773	407,881	171,655	72,112	12.87
Washington County	3-AA	3-0	64.75	991,824	2.49	445,063	333,245	138,617	54,280	17.42
Callaway	5-AA	4-1	61.76	996,884	2.72	399,097	268,183	91,021	28,391	34.22
Dodge County	3-AA	3-2	62.56	860,732	1.64	239,779	149,561	61,220	20,589	47.57
Swainsboro	2-AA	3-2	59.89	995,024	2.59	495,535	190,988	62,182	16,345	60.18
Putnam County	4-AA	5-0	55.53	999,989	2.40	491,777	109,633	29,425	5,258	189.19
Jeff Davis	2-AA	4-0	56.29	984,353	2.21	343,965	98,084	24,207	4,822	206.38
Heard County	5-AA	4-2	54.38	973,073	2.13	175,517	82,645	15,331	2,700	369.37
South Atlanta	6-AA	3-1	52.32	998,769	2.50	482,756	103,597	14,236	2,045	488.00
Lovett	6-AA	3-2	51.84	990,993	2.08	323,416	57,103	10,236	1,293	772.40
Cook	1-AA	3-2	54.29	870,318	1.18	84,803	41,643	7,371	1,207	827.50
Haralson County	5-AA	4-1	52.05	956,362	1.97	121,787	47,672	7,534	1,019	980.35
Columbia	6-AA	4-1	50.24	991,818	2.10	321,859	53,006	6,905	777	1,286.00
Elbert County	8-AA	2-2	50.74	999,945	1.80	201,468	36,251	5,886	611	1,635.66
Laney	4-AA	3-2	49.84	975,233	1.54	133,635	23,156	2,362	243	4,114.23
Bremen	5-AA	4-1	48.13	891,072	1.69	61,683	18,763	2,413	205	4,877.05
Jefferson County	4-AA	3-2	47.73	992,440	1.58	141,347	17,440	1,914	158	6,328.11
Worth County	1-AA	3-2	48.80	647,585	0.76	25,594	9,544	906	78	12,819.51
Lamar County	3-AA	3-2	51.07	215,139	0.25	10,015	2,642	501	64	15,624.00
Vidalia	2-AA	1-3	45.86	821,788	1.23	88,957	9,332	767	51	19,606.84
Toombs County	2-AA	2-3	45.49	817,739	1.21	83,804	8,533	681	40	24,999.00
Berrien	1-AA	2-2	43.24	309,217	0.33	4,119	980	52	2	499,999.00
Fannin County	7-AA	4-1	39.20	933,408	1.13	5,900	874	45	2	499,999.00
Westside (Augusta)	4-AA	3-2	39.69	930,524	1.09	19,941	1,221	43	2	499,999.00
Chattooga	7-AA	2-2	35.04	936,694	1.05	2,278	207	9	2	499,999.00
East Laurens	2-AA	4-1	37.99	371,004	0.44	9,674	414	12	1	999,999.00
Pace Academy	6-AA	0-4	40.89	540,900	0.60	9,173	447	29	-	-
Pepperell	7-AA	1-4	37.08	813,480	0.92	2,975	357	15	-	-
Washington	6-AA	2-1	38.46	405,094	0.44	5,323	234	14	-	-
Dade County	7-AA	3-1	35.58	926,129	1.06	2,545	250	10	-	-
Early County	1-AA	2-2	40.00	174,693	0.18	1,234	243	5	-	-
Temple	5-AA	1-3	33.84	182,609	0.26	986	79	1	-	-
Union County	8-AA	0-4	26.87	969,520	1.01	2,217	23	-	-	-
Model	7-AA	1-4	28.49	281,738	0.29	101	7	-	-	-
Banks County	8-AA	1-4	22.16	916,592	0.94	615	3	-	-	-
Therrell	6-AA	0-4	29.10	56,238	0.06	33	-	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	4-AA	1-3	19.95	58,281	0.06	14	-	-	-	-
Coosa	7-AA	0-4	21.24	108,489	0.11	13	-	-	-	-
Bacon County	2-AA	0-4	20.57	10,092	0.01	4	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-3	15.41	42,282	0.04	1	-	-	-	-
Towers	6-AA	1-3	23.12	16,167	0.02	1	-	-	-	-
Riverside Military Academy	8-AA	1-3	4.59	113,943	0.11	-	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-3	12.49	1,216	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest	3-AA	1-2	23.55	424	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-AA	0-5	-3.01	62	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	0-5	-0.23	35	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6-AA	1-2	8.48	21	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jasper County	3-AA	0-5	12.83	5	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
McNair	6-AA	0-3	-2.88	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AA	Thomasville	552,632	395,936	46,450	4,421	999,439	561
1-AA	Fitzgerald	428,826	489,038	72,357	8,527	998,748	1,252
1-AA	Cook	15,357	83,628	514,726	256,607	870,318	129,682
1-AA	Worth County	2,740	23,835	233,848	387,162	647,585	352,415
1-AA	Berrien	348	5,468	88,575	214,826	309,217	690,783
1-AA	Early County	97	2,095	44,044	128,457	174,693	825,307
2-AA	Swainsboro	563,232	318,862	87,207	25,723	995,024	4,976
2-AA	Jeff Davis	351,013	412,138	163,220	57,982	984,353	15,647
2-AA	Vidalia	41,071	121,680	327,474	331,563	821,788	178,212
2-AA	Toombs County	40,330	122,559	325,440	329,410	817,739	182,261
2-AA	East Laurens	4,348	24,690	95,125	246,841	371,004	628,996
2-AA	Bacon County	6	71	1,534	8,481	10,092	989,908
3-AA	Bleckley County	371,976	302,652	214,419	86,027	975,074	24,926
3-AA	Northeast	297,403	271,462	230,658	157,279	956,802	43,198
3-AA	Washington County	266,809	266,266	260,844	197,905	991,824	8,176
3-AA	Dodge County	61,963	149,592	262,565	386,612	860,732	139,268
3-AA	Lamar County	1,849	10,028	31,484	171,778	215,139	784,861
3-AA	Southwest	-	-	30	394	424	999,576
3-AA	Jasper County	-	-	-	5	5	999,995
4-AA	Putnam County	766,094	230,340	3,392	163	999,989	11
4-AA	Jefferson County	231,738	309,004	313,969	137,729	992,440	7,560
4-AA	Westside (Augusta)	1,430	124,263	291,326	513,505	930,524	69,476
4-AA	Laney	717	335,440	381,395	257,681	975,233	24,767
4-AA	Oglethorpe County	19	879	6,072	51,311	58,281	941,719
4-AA	Josey	2	74	3,766	38,440	42,282	957,718
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	80	1,136	1,216	998,784
4-AA	Butler	-	-	-	35	35	999,965
5-AA	Callaway	602,321	260,978	95,172	38,413	996,884	3,116
5-AA	Heard County	208,473	333,779	271,711	159,110	973,073	26,927
5-AA	Haralson County	130,030	257,133	333,258	235,941	956,362	43,638
5-AA	Bremen	58,495	141,531	276,356	414,690	891,072	108,928
5-AA	Temple	681	6,579	23,503	151,846	182,609	817,391
6-AA	South Atlanta	590,064	274,085	118,457	16,163	998,769	1,231
6-AA	Columbia	276,192	316,213	336,300	63,113	991,818	8,182
6-AA	Lovett	128,757	384,012	385,437	92,787	990,993	9,007
6-AA	Washington	4,908	11,276	60,993	327,917	405,094	594,906
6-AA	Pace Academy	78	14,254	97,102	429,466	540,900	459,100
6-AA	Towers	1	56	698	15,412	16,167	983,833
6-AA	Therrell	-	104	1,013	55,121	56,238	943,762
6-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	-	-	21	21	999,979
6-AA	McNair	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AA	Fannin County	374,545	257,948	181,113	119,802	933,408	66,592
7-AA	Dade County	304,352	278,669	215,096	128,012	926,129	73,871
7-AA	Chattooga	211,316	244,019	261,519	219,840	936,694	63,306
7-AA	Pepperell	97,382	180,732	256,454	278,912	813,480	186,520
7-AA	Model	9,764	29,627	62,190	180,157	281,738	718,262
7-AA	Coosa	2,641	9,005	23,625	73,218	108,489	891,511
7-AA	Gordon Central	-	-	3	59	62	999,938
8-AA	Rabun County	923,420	76,212	356	12	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Elbert County	76,242	878,981	42,170	2,552	999,945	55
8-AA	Union County	257	32,491	618,937	317,835	969,520	30,480
8-AA	Banks County	81	12,129	325,969	578,413	916,592	83,408
8-AA	Riverside Military Academy	-	187	12,568	101,188	113,943	886,057

Class A Public

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A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Irwin County	2-A Public	3-2	67.95	999,214	3.90	883,366	612,029	464,589	288,779	2.46
Metter	3-A Public	5-0	67.11	1,000,000	3.41	653,611	458,705	305,660	180,213	4.55
Brooks County	2-A Public	2-2	65.78	992,482	3.56	797,400	552,182	323,185	176,250	4.67
Macon County	5-A Public	4-0	64.51	997,323	3.32	693,420	388,355	250,634	125,628	6.96
Schley County	5-A Public	5-0	63.80	999,341	3.26	676,941	366,151	229,183	109,614	8.12
Charlton County	2-A Public	5-0	60.79	991,835	3.01	683,592	352,564	156,299	59,163	15.90
Clinch County	2-A Public	1-4	57.09	918,110	2.41	494,936	300,656	85,644	24,615	39.63
Chattahoochee County	5-A Public	4-0	54.52	986,820	2.67	526,796	173,302	44,594	10,902	90.73
Wilcox County	4-A Public	3-2	53.96	996,492	1.91	300,760	186,639	41,002	9,018	109.89
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Public	2-2-1	52.17	999,360	2.13	270,806	90,957	21,667	3,958	251.65
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Public	4-1	52.19	994,126	2.16	205,733	86,056	18,905	3,630	274.48
Bowdon	6-A Public	4-1	51.67	999,299	2.16	248,331	59,454	13,673	2,503	398.52
Pelham	1-A Public	3-2	49.96	999,899	2.27	347,366	93,048	14,355	2,315	430.97
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Public	4-1	47.66	993,292	1.87	230,802	63,500	7,952	944	1,058.32
Mitchell County	1-A Public	2-2	47.33	998,760	1.77	215,505	57,077	6,741	800	1,249.00
Manchester	5-A Public	2-2	46.40	619,670	1.41	216,609	55,169	5,431	591	1,691.05
Montgomery County	4-A Public	4-1	49.08	916,952	1.19	87,259	20,699	3,494	515	1,940.75
Lincoln County	8-A Public	3-2	45.76	958,891	1.75	94,884	26,098	3,122	302	3,310.26
Dublin	4-A Public	1-3	45.20	681,291	0.79	32,499	6,959	936	88	11,362.64
Dooly County	4-A Public	3-2	44.09	836,986	0.95	33,652	7,605	758	57	17,542.86
Terrell County	1-A Public	3-0	40.83	990,174	1.35	56,218	7,508	481	33	30,302.03
Greenville	5-A Public	3-1	39.96	301,418	0.57	54,002	7,608	360	23	43,477.26
Commerce	8-A Public	2-2	40.04	840,014	1.28	36,635	7,151	421	16	62,499.00
Trion	6-A Public	4-1	39.27	901,790	1.27	28,839	6,015	323	15	66,665.67
Johnson County	4-A Public	2-1	41.82	463,339	0.50	10,363	1,322	137	12	83,332.33
Armuchee	6-A Public	4-0	37.94	893,901	1.23	23,370	3,860	149	7	142,856.14
Mount Zion (Carroll)	6-A Public	4-1	36.84	859,594	1.14	16,593	2,419	109	3	333,332.33
Social Circle	8-A Public	3-2	35.87	658,655	0.87	12,289	1,544	47	3	333,332.33
Warren County	7-A Public	3-2	34.55	997,822	1.20	28,054	2,350	72	1	999,999.00
Georgia Military College	7-A Public	5-0	33.07	998,565	1.16	20,724	1,491	33	1	999,999.00
Wheeler County	4-A Public	3-2	39.29	86,367	0.09	1,153	108	9	1	999,999.00
Atkinson County	2-A Public	3-1	34.82	51,038	0.06	1,688	293	13	-	-
Turner County	2-A Public	1-4	37.41	22,128	0.03	1,179	224	9	-	-
Towns County	8-A Public	4-1	32.65	450,007	0.55	4,067	367	7	-	-
Marion County	5-A Public	1-5	30.63	95,210	0.14	3,868	234	2	-	-
Lanier County	2-A Public	2-2	34.46	25,193	0.03	774	132	2	-	-
Jenkins County	3-A Public	1-2	29.59	528,837	0.58	3,910	123	2	-	-
Gordon Lee	6-A Public	3-2	26.92	302,656	0.33	488	21	-	-	-
Bryan County	3-A Public	2-3	25.62	327,286	0.35	886	18	-	-	-
Greene County	8-A Public	3-2	24.13	98,307	0.11	122	4	-	-	-
ACE Charter	7-A Public	1-2	18.94	848,392	0.85	117	2	-	-	-
Screven County	3-A Public	0-4	25.46	79,706	0.08	200	1	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Public	0-5	22.88	37,097	0.04	63	-	-	-	-
Hancock Central	7-A Public	0-3	18.77	743,152	0.75	52	-	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Public	1-3	20.25	510,365	0.51	27	-	-	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Public	2-2	28.05	8,957	0.01	12	-	-	-	-
Miller County	1-A Public	0-3	17.78	356,240	0.36	10	-	-	-	-
Telfair County	4-A Public	1-3	29.33	9,558	0.01	9	-	-	-	-
Portal	3-A Public	0-5	18.37	34,422	0.04	8	-	-	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	6-A Public	1-3	17.56	42,760	0.04	7	-	-	-	-
Seminole County	1-A Public	1-3	12.02	144,562	0.14	2	-	-	-	-
Taylor County	5-A Public	1-3	23.48	217	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	7-A Public	0-4	7.26	137,828	0.14	1	-	-	-	-
Wilkinson County	7-A Public	1-3	9.47	263,314	0.26	-	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	7-A Public	1-4	0.83	10,927	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Hawkinsville	4-A Public	1-4	21.09	58	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	5-A Public	0-4	3.00	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Public	2-2	7.10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Public	0-4	0.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Glascock County	7-A Public	0-4	-16.54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
GSIC	7-A Public	0-1	-30.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Public	Pelham	740,096	249,116	7,356	3,331	999,899	101
1-A Public	Mitchell County	132,187	545,502	309,392	11,679	998,760	1,240
1-A Public	Terrell County	127,339	203,734	623,012	36,089	990,174	9,826
1-A Public	Randolph-Clay	237	862	29,499	479,767	510,365	489,635
1-A Public	Miller County	129	613	23,460	332,038	356,240	643,760
1-A Public	Seminole County	12	173	7,281	137,096	144,562	855,438
1-A Public	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Public	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Public	Irwin County	706,522	201,150	63,429	28,113	999,214	786
2-A Public	Charlton County	187,250	285,252	421,894	97,439	991,835	8,165
2-A Public	Brooks County	79,124	436,973	323,742	152,643	992,482	7,518
2-A Public	Clinch County	27,044	75,839	183,262	631,965	918,110	81,890
2-A Public	Atkinson County	36	477	3,735	46,790	51,038	948,962
2-A Public	Turner County	14	111	2,083	19,920	22,128	977,872
2-A Public	Lanier County	10	198	1,855	23,130	25,193	974,807
3-A Public	Metter	855,107	127,359	17,419	115	1,000,000	-
3-A Public	McIntosh County Academy	104,569	557,496	318,705	18,590	999,360	640
3-A Public	Emanuel County Institute	40,281	308,301	579,790	64,920	993,292	6,708
3-A Public	Bryan County	27	332	19,620	307,307	327,286	672,714
3-A Public	Jenkins County	16	6,485	60,390	461,946	528,837	471,163
3-A Public	Screven County	-	19	1,569	78,118	79,706	920,294
3-A Public	Portal	-	6	372	34,044	34,422	965,578
3-A Public	Claxton	-	2	2,135	34,960	37,097	962,903
4-A Public	Wilcox County	803,973	131,025	44,438	17,056	996,492	3,508
4-A Public	Dooly County	72,335	122,550	383,135	258,966	836,986	163,014
4-A Public	Montgomery County	67,476	543,585	200,032	105,859	916,952	83,048
4-A Public	Dublin	51,303	116,236	189,651	324,101	681,291	318,709
4-A Public	Johnson County	3,943	80,022	161,640	217,734	463,339	536,661
4-A Public	Wheeler County	957	6,132	17,822	61,456	86,367	913,633
4-A Public	Treutlen	10	85	1,513	7,349	8,957	991,043
4-A Public	Telfair County	3	365	1,764	7,426	9,558	990,442
4-A Public	Hawkinsville	-	-	5	53	58	999,942
5-A Public	Macon County	454,330	368,978	149,824	24,191	997,323	2,677
5-A Public	Schley County	446,063	380,481	149,566	23,231	999,341	659
5-A Public	Chattahoochee County	95,647	234,551	586,157	70,465	986,820	13,180
5-A Public	Manchester	3,691	12,377	63,646	539,956	619,670	380,330
5-A Public	Greenville	269	3,607	48,340	249,202	301,418	698,582
5-A Public	Marion County	-	6	2,461	92,743	95,210	904,790
5-A Public	Taylor County	-	-	6	211	217	999,783
5-A Public	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
6-A Public	Bowdon	854,506	123,298	16,342	5,153	999,299	701
6-A Public	Armuchee	76,406	285,196	293,347	238,952	893,901	106,099
6-A Public	Mount Zion (Carroll)	56,824	224,142	284,614	294,014	859,594	140,406
6-A Public	Trion	8,998	336,444	326,197	230,151	901,790	98,210
6-A Public	Gordon Lee	3,190	29,410	71,479	198,577	302,656	697,344
6-A Public	B.E.S.T. Academy	76	1,510	8,021	33,153	42,760	957,240
7-A Public	Warren County	503,495	393,681	83,432	17,214	997,822	2,178
7-A Public	Georgia Military College	464,814	454,004	72,146	7,601	998,565	1,435
7-A Public	ACE Charter	26,132	100,277	397,744	324,239	848,392	151,608
7-A Public	Hancock Central	5,018	43,527	344,462	350,145	743,152	256,848
7-A Public	Wilkinson County	480	6,554	64,636	191,644	263,314	736,686
7-A Public	Crawford County	60	1,934	36,438	99,396	137,828	862,172
7-A Public	Twiggs County	1	23	1,142	9,761	10,927	989,073
7-A Public	Glascock County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-A Public	GSIC	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-A Public	Washington-Wilkes	642,054	251,499	77,852	22,721	994,126	5,874
8-A Public	Lincoln County	242,209	400,898	224,204	91,580	958,891	41,109
8-A Public	Commerce	78,605	198,920	331,586	230,903	840,014	159,986
8-A Public	Social Circle	26,222	96,508	214,827	321,098	658,655	341,345
8-A Public	Towns County	10,495	47,629	129,481	262,402	450,007	549,993
8-A Public	Greene County	415	4,546	22,050	71,296	98,307	901,693

Class A Private

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A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-A Private	5-0	72.22	1,000,000	3.59	966,674	867,402	664,562	525,742	0.90
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-A Private	1-3	65.98	1,000,000	3.61	735,791	620,238	274,228	159,416	5.27
Prince Avenue Christian	8-A Private	4-1	64.41	999,999	3.66	729,772	582,495	356,224	140,872	6.10
Calvary Day	3-A Private	6-0	62.52	1,000,000	3.56	804,798	542,301	294,837	99,941	9.01
Tattnall Square	1-A Private	4-0	57.07	999,663	2.59	567,184	182,228	76,752	17,945	54.73
Stratford Academy	1-A Private	4-0	55.36	999,096	2.40	497,537	136,818	50,042	10,494	94.29
Fellowship Christian	6-A Private	4-1	53.88	999,999	2.71	476,371	195,143	65,687	9,917	99.84
St. Anne-Pacelli	4-A Private	4-0	54.24	1,000,000	2.39	432,759	187,541	63,248	9,901	100.00
Athens Academy	8-A Private	4-1	54.16	999,937	2.46	302,975	172,696	44,775	8,747	113.32
Darlington	7-A Private	4-1	54.80	999,968	2.43	473,847	88,375	29,886	7,360	134.87
Wesleyan	5-A Private	3-2	52.13	992,467	2.39	410,553	112,770	23,830	3,963	251.33
Whitefield Academy	2-A Private	4-1	51.80	1,000,000	1.99	197,683	92,634	23,965	3,142	317.27
Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5-A Private	3-2	46.87	966,479	1.91	215,054	40,751	6,525	547	1,827.15
Aquinas	3-A Private	3-2	47.43	1,000,000	1.65	200,766	34,840	5,695	520	1,922.08
Savannah Country Day	3-A Private	2-3	47.26	1,000,000	1.63	193,554	32,771	5,381	510	1,959.78
Holy Innocents	5-A Private	4-1	45.23	947,770	1.75	166,325	27,090	4,001	292	3,423.66
First Presbyterian	1-A Private	2-2	46.11	987,183	1.57	170,726	22,651	2,803	266	3,758.40
Savannah Christian	3-A Private	3-2	45.36	1,000,000	1.48	139,447	19,092	2,723	192	5,207.33
Brookstone	4-A Private	4-1	44.67	1,000,000	1.46	76,276	18,527	2,796	162	6,171.84
King's Ridge Christian	6-A Private	2-2	40.56	998,192	1.76	49,475	8,163	753	31	32,257.06
North Cobb Christian	7-A Private	2-3	40.92	996,213	1.47	74,377	7,072	772	28	35,713.29
Landmark Christian	2-A Private	2-4	37.79	1,000,000	1.20	25,057	2,990	225	6	166,665.67
Hebron Christian	5-A Private	3-2	37.75	771,162	1.04	32,911	2,027	140	3	333,332.33
Mount de Sales	1-A Private	2-2	35.50	849,268	0.94	17,119	1,366	75	1	999,999.00
Mount Paran Christian	7-A Private	2-3	34.47	982,382	1.19	19,555	1,048	54	1	999,999.00
Christian Heritage	7-A Private	1-4	32.75	976,340	1.14	13,560	513	11	1	999,999.00
Mount Pisgah Christian	6-A Private	2-3	31.58	981,602	1.19	4,834	316	7	-	-
Providence Christian	5-A Private	1-3	30.32	322,122	0.37	2,604	59	3	-	-
Athens Christian	8-A Private	3-2	27.20	926,683	1.08	1,621	61	-	-	-
Heritage (Newnan)	4-A Private	0-4	24.26	1,000,000	1.01	353	14	-	-	-
George Walton Academy	8-A Private	1-4	18.87	700,552	0.73	269	5	-	-	-
Loganville Christian	8-A Private	0-4	13.84	372,829	0.38	47	1	-	-	-
Lakeview Academy	6-A Private	1-3	17.06	667,630	0.67	43	1	-	-	-
Deerfield-Windsor	1-A Private	1-4	18.70	60,575	0.06	24	1	-	-	-
Strong Rock Christian	1-A Private	0-4	20.81	104,215	0.11	59	-	-	-	-
St. Francis	6-A Private	0-5	11.62	352,577	0.35	-	-	-	-	-
Walker	7-A Private	1-4	6.95	45,097	0.05	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Private	Tattnall Square	505,030	366,323	112,937	15,373	999,663	337
1-A Private	Stratford Academy	414,289	410,362	149,936	24,509	999,096	904
1-A Private	First Presbyterian	74,696	197,278	555,590	159,619	987,183	12,817
1-A Private	Mount de Sales	5,961	25,475	170,287	647,545	849,268	150,732
1-A Private	Strong Rock Christian	22	444	7,490	96,259	104,215	895,785
1-A Private	Deerfield-Windsor	2	118	3,760	56,695	60,575	939,425
2-A Private	Eagle's Landing Christian	853,089	139,737	7,174	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Whitefield Academy	139,856	718,108	142,036	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Landmark Christian	7,055	142,155	850,790	-	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Calvary Day	782,123	171,333	32,871	13,673	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Aquinas	85,361	312,057	319,050	283,532	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Country Day	81,354	296,786	324,564	297,296	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Christian	51,162	219,824	323,515	405,499	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	908,713	85,921	5,280	86	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	St. Anne-Pacelli	80,453	702,324	209,495	7,728	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Brookstone	10,763	208,738	720,612	59,887	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Heritage (Newnan)	71	3,017	64,613	932,299	1,000,000	-
5-A Private	Wesleyan	540,264	284,634	125,564	42,005	992,467	7,533
5-A Private	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	245,741	324,368	272,299	124,071	966,479	33,521
5-A Private	Holy Innocents	176,325	283,809	326,145	161,491	947,770	52,230
5-A Private	Hebron Christian	34,049	88,705	217,090	431,318	771,162	228,838
5-A Private	Providence Christian	3,621	18,484	58,902	241,115	322,122	677,878
6-A Private	Fellowship Christian	838,664	146,195	14,595	545	999,999	1
6-A Private	King's Ridge Christian	137,520	636,502	208,452	15,718	998,192	1,808
6-A Private	Mount Pisgah Christian	23,328	204,542	647,283	106,449	981,602	18,398
6-A Private	Lakeview Academy	482	10,110	97,326	559,712	667,630	332,370
6-A Private	St. Francis	6	2,651	32,344	317,576	352,577	647,423
7-A Private	Darlington	819,939	154,239	20,112	5,678	999,968	32
7-A Private	North Cobb Christian	124,997	494,269	255,356	121,591	996,213	3,787
7-A Private	Mount Paran Christian	33,869	203,588	377,977	366,948	982,382	17,618
7-A Private	Christian Heritage	21,190	147,529	344,659	462,962	976,340	23,660
7-A Private	Walker	5	375	1,896	42,821	45,097	954,903
8-A Private	Prince Avenue Christian	773,162	224,621	2,185	31	999,999	1
8-A Private	Athens Academy	226,255	747,991	25,122	569	999,937	63
8-A Private	Athens Christian	548	23,191	667,202	235,742	926,683	73,317
8-A Private	George Walton Academy	28	3,204	220,686	476,634	700,552	299,448
8-A Private	Loganville Christian	7	993	84,805	287,024	372,829	627,171

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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