Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 3

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Aug 30, 2023

Updated Aug 31

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2023 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAAA	2-0	103.65	999,919	4.31	898,042	828,201	589,730	431,225	1.32
Walton	5-AAAAAAA	2-0	100.03	999,997	3.74	856,628	607,935	326,322	196,987	4.08
Buford	8-AAAAAAA	2-0	97.41	999,305	3.70	754,677	620,018	369,614	151,121	5.62
Westlake	2-AAAAAAA	2-0	97.07	999,883	3.37	792,202	421,716	203,903	99,605	9.04
Milton	6-AAAAAAA	1-1	93.29	999,733	3.25	646,349	423,626	200,503	61,546	15.25
Carrollton	2-AAAAAAA	1-1	89.04	997,940	2.63	532,379	191,318	63,717	14,351	68.68
Parkview	4-AAAAAAA	2-0	88.41	943,148	2.32	484,309	137,411	48,789	10,726	92.23
Norcross	7-AAAAAAA	1-1	88.03	999,822	2.29	214,542	132,462	46,941	9,546	103.76
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAAA	2-0	88.14	988,977	2.19	353,032	122,842	39,939	8,264	120.01
Grayson	4-AAAAAAA	1-1	86.05	895,752	1.96	357,903	81,928	23,416	4,269	233.25
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAAA	1-1	85.44	999,511	2.10	150,087	81,382	22,038	3,801	262.09
North Cobb	5-AAAAAAA	0-1	85.31	998,415	2.04	258,041	100,185	23,729	3,666	271.78
Newton	4-AAAAAAA	2-0	84.23	842,132	1.67	264,809	51,478	12,470	1,971	506.36
Lowndes	1-AAAAAAA	2-0	83.23	955,168	1.70	205,364	40,418	8,107	1,105	903.98
Valdosta	1-AAAAAAA	1-1	80.92	922,145	1.50	155,088	22,442	3,622	429	2,330.00
East Coweta	2-AAAAAAA	2-0	79.30	974,176	1.74	187,774	25,860	3,905	320	3,124.00
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAAA	0-1	80.16	932,538	1.31	79,063	22,649	3,272	305	3,277.69
Harrison	3-AAAAAAA	2-0	78.40	953,499	1.61	167,100	17,244	2,154	169	5,916.16
Marietta	3-AAAAAAA	1-1	78.02	948,733	1.57	154,685	15,757	1,944	166	6,023.10
Brookwood	4-AAAAAAA	1-1	79.38	606,015	0.95	87,686	11,362	1,643	153	6,534.95
Lambert	6-AAAAAAA	2-0	77.45	954,642	1.61	71,040	14,495	1,626	127	7,873.02
North Paulding	3-AAAAAAA	2-0	76.26	922,295	1.39	104,746	9,011	959	74	13,512.51
Mountain View	8-AAAAAAA	1-1	75.80	835,372	1.00	31,240	5,521	486	25	39,999.00
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	1-1	73.50	888,924	1.26	25,969	3,849	324	17	58,822.53
Archer	4-AAAAAAA	1-1	76.40	411,098	0.58	34,905	3,398	354	15	66,665.67
McEachern	3-AAAAAAA	0-2	72.88	838,625	1.08	42,392	2,648	179	7	142,856.14
Camden County	1-AAAAAAA	1-1	71.07	532,076	0.63	18,711	839	56	4	249,999.00
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAAA	2-0	74.45	301,855	0.40	17,837	1,463	134	3	333,332.33
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAAA	1-1	72.19	601,634	0.73	25,882	1,411	95	3	333,332.33
Denmark	6-AAAAAAA	0-2	66.92	621,996	0.72	3,397	278	10	-	-
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAAA	2-0	66.44	920,466	1.11	6,245	355	7	-	-
Pebblebrook	2-AAAAAAA	1-1	65.08	623,691	0.74	8,949	155	5	-	-
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAAA	0-2	63.87	336,848	0.36	1,548	43	3	-	-
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	0-2	64.80	481,779	0.54	1,504	113	1	-	-
Wheeler	5-AAAAAAA	2-0	63.02	663,474	0.68	883	65	1	-	-
Cherokee	5-AAAAAAA	0-2	62.96	659,386	0.67	832	61	1	-	-
Campbell	2-AAAAAAA	1-1	61.57	404,310	0.45	2,699	31	1	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAAAA	0-2	60.13	486,025	0.49	284	10	-	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAAA	0-2	61.86	114,585	0.12	254	8	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAAA	2-0	62.00	118,281	0.12	281	6	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAAA	0-2	56.47	531,239	0.55	340	5	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAAA	2-0	56.23	516,438	0.53	277	1	-	-	-
Osborne	5-AAAAAAA	2-0	54.27	192,703	0.19	21	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAAA	1-1	52.93	52,926	0.05	4	-	-	-	-
Discovery	7-AAAAAAA	0-2	41.33	32,340	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAAA	1-1	22.02	184	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	540,475	283,364	123,936	41,202	988,977	11,023
1-AAAAAAA	Lowndes	255,566	331,309	258,456	109,837	955,168	44,832
1-AAAAAAA	Valdosta	167,472	268,986	322,542	163,145	922,145	77,855
1-AAAAAAA	Richmond Hill	21,061	64,728	160,909	354,936	601,634	398,366
1-AAAAAAA	Camden County	15,426	51,613	134,157	330,880	532,076	467,924
2-AAAAAAA	Westlake	715,899	243,730	38,021	2,233	999,883	117
2-AAAAAAA	Carrollton	244,909	554,535	182,975	15,521	997,940	2,060
2-AAAAAAA	East Coweta	38,036	187,131	629,747	119,262	974,176	25,824
2-AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	908	10,173	99,778	512,832	623,691	376,309
2-AAAAAAA	Campbell	248	4,431	49,479	350,152	404,310	595,690
3-AAAAAAA	Harrison	333,706	277,156	209,089	133,548	953,499	46,501
3-AAAAAAA	Marietta	311,010	275,341	218,958	143,424	948,733	51,267
3-AAAAAAA	North Paulding	229,483	248,688	252,174	191,950	922,295	77,705
3-AAAAAAA	McEachern	115,744	167,832	248,326	306,723	838,625	161,375
3-AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	10,057	30,983	71,453	224,355	336,848	663,152
4-AAAAAAA	Parkview	419,620	269,483	169,318	84,727	943,148	56,852
4-AAAAAAA	Grayson	279,223	271,282	215,982	129,265	895,752	104,248
4-AAAAAAA	Newton	196,373	237,805	239,749	168,205	842,132	157,868
4-AAAAAAA	Brookwood	63,070	117,534	179,426	245,985	606,015	393,985
4-AAAAAAA	Archer	26,821	63,622	114,960	205,695	411,098	588,902
4-AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	14,893	40,274	80,565	166,123	301,855	698,145
5-AAAAAAA	Walton	861,908	136,035	1,977	77	999,997	3
5-AAAAAAA	North Cobb	136,584	788,377	67,427	6,027	998,415	1,585
5-AAAAAAA	Wheeler	653	29,495	331,667	301,659	663,474	336,526
5-AAAAAAA	Cherokee	617	29,067	328,071	301,631	659,386	340,614
5-AAAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	221	14,369	204,748	266,687	486,025	513,975
5-AAAAAAA	Osborne	17	2,657	66,110	123,919	192,703	807,297
6-AAAAAAA	Milton	858,980	123,100	14,925	2,728	999,733	267
6-AAAAAAA	Lambert	91,903	471,184	283,665	107,890	954,642	45,358
6-AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	39,047	273,031	370,126	206,720	888,924	111,076
6-AAAAAAA	Denmark	6,693	81,080	188,377	345,846	621,996	378,004
6-AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	3,356	50,177	132,637	295,609	481,779	518,221
6-AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	21	1,428	10,270	41,207	52,926	947,074
7-AAAAAAA	Norcross	576,397	389,882	31,720	1,823	999,822	178
7-AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	412,789	527,384	55,680	3,658	999,511	489
7-AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	9,919	68,858	623,534	218,155	920,466	79,534
7-AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	476	7,075	144,810	378,878	531,239	468,761
7-AAAAAAA	Duluth	418	6,754	139,372	369,894	516,438	483,562
7-AAAAAAA	Discovery	1	47	4,881	27,411	32,340	967,660
7-AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	3	181	184	999,816
8-AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	681,227	295,735	21,005	1,952	999,919	81
8-AAAAAAA	Buford	306,558	602,052	80,743	9,952	999,305	695
8-AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	9,393	72,434	544,833	305,878	932,538	67,462
8-AAAAAAA	Mountain View	2,796	28,449	310,557	493,570	835,372	164,628
8-AAAAAAA	Dacula	14	646	21,130	92,795	114,585	885,415
8-AAAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	12	684	21,732	95,853	118,281	881,719

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Hughes	5-AAAAAA	2-0	96.63	999,980	4.10	866,050	712,246	535,760	388,436	1.57
Lee County	1-AAAAAA	2-0	91.19	992,384	3.61	845,910	517,206	306,360	150,995	5.62
Roswell	7-AAAAAA	2-0	90.87	999,683	3.49	725,412	538,550	297,427	142,197	6.03
Blessed Trinity	7-AAAAAA	2-0	89.03	999,464	3.19	639,692	438,289	214,487	90,368	10.07
Thomas County Central	1-AAAAAA	2-0	87.64	978,564	3.08	713,850	335,838	159,755	61,590	15.24
Woodward Academy	3-AAAAAA	1-1	87.32	999,978	3.11	679,782	332,124	117,365	52,534	18.04
Gainesville	8-AAAAAA	2-0	87.77	999,932	2.83	500,851	286,226	105,315	48,434	19.65
Rome	6-AAAAAA	2-0	84.88	992,182	2.65	501,619	224,512	94,204	28,250	34.40
Creekview	6-AAAAAA	2-0	83.13	986,609	2.39	398,686	161,199	58,992	15,578	63.19
Marist	4-AAAAAA	1-1	80.30	999,773	2.09	408,316	117,763	36,035	7,050	140.84
Northside (Warner Robins)	1-AAAAAA	2-0	80.93	890,101	2.07	396,239	111,494	30,973	6,909	143.74
Houston County	1-AAAAAA	2-0	80.13	869,904	1.96	364,443	96,176	24,881	5,139	193.59
Brunswick	2-AAAAAA	1-0	77.02	998,196	2.23	272,424	44,591	9,763	1,829	545.75
Douglas County	5-AAAAAA	2-0	73.42	912,314	1.71	137,113	27,990	4,348	466	2,144.92
Glynn Academy	2-AAAAAA	2-0	67.73	960,769	1.68	74,798	8,179	720	43	23,254.81
North Atlanta	4-AAAAAA	2-0	68.79	990,092	1.21	53,297	4,947	467	30	33,332.33
South Paulding	5-AAAAAA	0-2	67.18	668,350	0.97	28,760	3,861	307	22	45,453.55
River Ridge	6-AAAAAA	2-0	68.66	604,454	0.72	18,727	3,008	277	22	45,453.55
Alexander	5-AAAAAA	2-0	67.31	677,374	0.99	30,139	4,096	350	16	62,499.00
Veterans	1-AAAAAA	2-0	68.64	234,652	0.34	32,065	2,934	293	14	71,427.57
Alpharetta	7-AAAAAA	0-1	68.69	842,638	1.04	29,435	3,644	306	13	76,922.08
St. Pius X	4-AAAAAA	1-1	67.32	985,459	1.16	38,754	3,133	236	13	76,922.08
Sprayberry	7-AAAAAA	2-0	67.42	798,191	0.95	23,840	2,537	200	12	83,332.33
Etowah	6-AAAAAA	2-0	67.38	526,231	0.61	12,752	1,979	166	11	90,908.09
North Forsyth	8-AAAAAA	1-1	65.49	892,171	1.22	25,750	3,203	192	7	142,856.14
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAAAA	2-0	63.32	966,266	1.59	64,444	4,221	222	6	166,665.67
Sequoyah	6-AAAAAA	0-2	66.26	454,253	0.51	8,786	1,283	96	6	166,665.67
Lanier	8-AAAAAA	1-1	65.37	889,525	1.21	25,062	3,096	210	5	199,999.00
Lovejoy	3-AAAAAA	1-1	63.67	884,051	1.23	23,677	1,916	112	2	499,999.00
Allatoona	6-AAAAAA	0-2	65.98	435,713	0.49	8,044	1,191	89	2	499,999.00
Effingham County	2-AAAAAA	0-2	58.94	693,164	0.89	11,611	502	19	1	999,999.00
East Paulding	5-AAAAAA	1-1	62.93	389,955	0.50	6,557	601	26	-	-
Newnan	5-AAAAAA	0-2	61.66	313,433	0.39	3,967	335	13	-	-
Shiloh	8-AAAAAA	0-2	60.52	702,248	0.82	6,297	412	12	-	-
Evans	2-AAAAAA	0-1	57.47	605,214	0.75	7,048	248	7	-	-
Jonesboro	3-AAAAAA	1-1	56.97	718,852	0.88	6,866	213	7	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAAA	0-1	57.19	206,379	0.22	1,001	32	2	-	-
South Effingham	2-AAAAAA	1-0	54.12	382,599	0.44	2,028	59	1	-	-
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	0-2	59.54	34,395	0.04	1,218	39	1	-	-
Alcovy	3-AAAAAA	1-1	52.17	406,424	0.46	1,174	36	1	-	-
Riverwood	4-AAAAAA	0-2	53.00	690,604	0.70	1,205	35	1	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAAA	1-1	55.43	370,259	0.40	939	31	1	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	2-AAAAAA	1-0	49.01	141,363	0.15	201	3	1	-	-
Grovetown	2-AAAAAA	1-1	51.05	218,695	0.24	561	12	-	-	-
Pope	7-AAAAAA	0-1	54.92	131,357	0.14	405	6	-	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAAA	0-2	49.75	123,071	0.13	75	2	-	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAAA	1-0	45.89	250,692	0.25	78	1	-	-	-
Paulding County	5-AAAAAA	0-2	51.72	28,001	0.03	21	1	-	-	-
Lassiter	7-AAAAAA	0-2	47.28	22,288	0.02	14	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	4-AAAAAA	0-2	40.05	83,380	0.08	8	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAAA	0-2	42.98	22,794	0.02	4	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAAA	1-1	37.65	20,724	0.02	3	-	-	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAAA	1-1	48.64	10,593	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	3-AAAAAA	1-1	32.34	3,325	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAAA	0-2	39.05	558	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	3-AAAAAA	0-1	29.04	380	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAAA	2-0	35.47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Lee County	527,370	296,076	120,801	48,137	992,384	7,616
1-AAAAAA	Thomas County Central	311,889	357,253	208,808	100,614	978,564	21,436
1-AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	86,150	177,591	318,354	308,006	890,101	109,899
1-AAAAAA	Houston County	72,245	155,375	300,294	341,990	869,904	130,096
1-AAAAAA	Veterans	2,294	13,034	46,804	172,520	234,652	765,348
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	52	671	4,939	28,733	34,395	965,605
2-AAAAAA	Brunswick	753,731	201,789	35,594	7,082	998,196	1,804
2-AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	198,016	495,011	194,346	73,396	960,769	39,231
2-AAAAAA	Effingham County	25,063	134,893	287,701	245,507	693,164	306,836
2-AAAAAA	Evans	16,031	97,774	237,247	254,162	605,214	394,786
2-AAAAAA	South Effingham	5,017	43,536	133,048	200,998	382,599	617,401
2-AAAAAA	Grovetown	1,479	17,852	69,816	129,548	218,695	781,305
2-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	663	9,145	42,248	89,307	141,363	858,637
3-AAAAAA	Woodward Academy	937,661	57,750	3,923	644	999,978	22
3-AAAAAA	Mundy's Mill	42,400	674,497	185,343	64,026	966,266	33,734
3-AAAAAA	Lovejoy	13,750	95,625	490,723	283,953	884,051	115,949
3-AAAAAA	Jonesboro	5,221	128,264	215,388	369,979	718,852	281,148
3-AAAAAA	Alcovy	968	43,480	101,064	260,912	406,424	593,576
3-AAAAAA	Morrow	-	363	3,185	17,176	20,724	979,276
3-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	-	17	365	2,943	3,325	996,675
3-AAAAAA	Forest Park	-	4	9	367	380	999,620
4-AAAAAA	Marist	746,070	199,385	49,823	4,495	999,773	227
4-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	142,681	417,711	363,101	66,599	990,092	9,908
4-AAAAAA	St. Pius X	107,963	353,073	434,216	90,207	985,459	14,541
4-AAAAAA	Riverwood	3,102	25,482	119,374	542,646	690,604	309,396
4-AAAAAA	Dunwoody	173	3,827	26,912	219,780	250,692	749,308
4-AAAAAA	South Cobb	11	522	6,574	76,273	83,380	916,620
4-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAAA	Hughes	951,709	45,534	2,418	319	999,980	20
5-AAAAAA	Douglas County	34,163	503,666	247,967	126,518	912,314	87,686
5-AAAAAA	Alexander	6,148	175,065	255,140	241,021	677,374	322,626
5-AAAAAA	South Paulding	6,013	169,427	250,308	242,602	668,350	331,650
5-AAAAAA	East Paulding	1,254	61,298	132,123	195,280	389,955	610,045
5-AAAAAA	Newnan	709	43,420	103,605	165,699	313,433	686,567
5-AAAAAA	Paulding County	3	1,263	6,399	20,336	28,001	971,999
5-AAAAAA	New Manchester	1	327	2,040	8,225	10,593	989,407
6-AAAAAA	Rome	533,153	357,624	82,322	19,083	992,182	7,818
6-AAAAAA	Creekview	419,003	424,753	113,490	29,363	986,609	13,391
6-AAAAAA	River Ridge	18,414	75,482	256,660	253,898	604,454	395,546
6-AAAAAA	Etowah	12,665	57,459	210,176	245,931	526,231	473,769
6-AAAAAA	Sequoyah	8,801	44,164	173,040	228,248	454,253	545,747
6-AAAAAA	Allatoona	7,964	40,518	164,288	222,943	435,713	564,287
6-AAAAAA	Woodstock	-	-	24	534	558	999,442
7-AAAAAA	Roswell	552,142	408,092	35,903	3,546	999,683	317
7-AAAAAA	Blessed Trinity	436,301	504,059	52,958	6,146	999,464	536
7-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	6,773	47,985	446,893	340,987	842,638	157,362
7-AAAAAA	Sprayberry	4,679	36,710	374,329	382,473	798,191	201,809
7-AAAAAA	Johns Creek	72	2,172	54,865	149,270	206,379	793,621
7-AAAAAA	Pope	32	949	31,837	98,539	131,357	868,643
7-AAAAAA	Lassiter	1	33	3,215	19,039	22,288	977,712
8-AAAAAA	Gainesville	925,410	67,833	5,705	984	999,932	68
8-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	32,656	365,085	308,013	186,417	892,171	107,829
8-AAAAAA	Lanier	31,855	358,706	309,797	189,167	889,525	110,475
8-AAAAAA	Shiloh	8,458	151,865	234,781	307,144	702,248	297,752
8-AAAAAA	Jackson County	1,491	47,146	106,547	215,075	370,259	629,741
8-AAAAAA	Habersham Central	126	8,640	31,047	83,258	123,071	876,929
8-AAAAAA	Apalachee	4	725	4,110	17,955	22,794	977,206

Class AAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Ware County	1-AAAAA	2-0	88.17	999,947	3.93	770,496	660,561	506,868	348,800	1.87
Coffee	1-AAAAA	2-0	84.65	999,840	3.51	657,510	516,001	353,461	183,791	4.44
Warner Robins	2-AAAAA	0-1	83.73	998,906	3.07	492,472	365,206	236,826	122,727	7.15
Calhoun	7-AAAAA	1-1	82.32	997,122	3.31	643,693	511,410	242,969	121,793	7.21
Jefferson	8-AAAAA	2-0	80.74	986,785	3.11	574,894	424,817	193,065	84,926	10.77
Cartersville	7-AAAAA	2-0	78.79	990,830	2.79	492,583	344,939	132,493	50,079	18.97
Creekside	5-AAAAA	2-0	76.17	998,272	2.45	494,622	145,095	69,207	21,289	45.97
Dutchtown	2-AAAAA	1-1	75.96	986,168	2.52	399,505	175,967	60,507	18,746	52.34
Flowery Branch	8-AAAAA	2-0	75.34	939,176	2.36	378,367	185,707	58,313	17,043	57.68
Kell	6-AAAAA	1-1	73.45	998,889	2.14	357,022	86,947	30,078	7,794	127.30
Jones County	2-AAAAA	1-1	72.57	965,663	2.34	410,455	129,750	30,359	7,130	139.25
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	2-0	72.92	890,005	2.01	297,901	109,517	28,833	6,829	145.43
Cambridge	6-AAAAA	1-1	72.01	998,181	1.98	292,975	66,634	20,185	4,426	224.94
Northgate	3-AAAAA	2-0	66.69	998,865	1.86	322,875	68,886	9,989	1,274	783.93
Tucker	4-AAAAA	2-0	66.35	997,537	2.16	325,039	62,475	8,375	1,063	939.73
Ola	2-AAAAA	2-0	66.50	867,870	1.78	300,320	52,849	6,462	818	1,221.49
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAAAA	2-0	67.39	992,888	1.53	128,495	25,911	4,635	668	1,496.01
Dalton	7-AAAAA	1-0	67.00	838,558	1.29	101,247	19,880	3,170	422	2,368.67
Eastside	8-AAAAA	1-0	65.27	533,331	0.85	66,738	9,390	1,414	177	5,648.72
Loganville	8-AAAAA	1-1	64.90	506,861	0.80	59,942	8,163	1,124	119	8,402.36
Hiram	7-AAAAA	2-0	61.75	599,591	0.77	31,313	2,891	285	23	43,477.26
Cass	7-AAAAA	0-2	61.07	555,653	0.70	25,395	2,136	224	17	58,822.53
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	1-1	58.31	817,512	1.29	88,572	6,797	349	13	76,922.08
Mays	5-AAAAA	0-2	59.66	746,259	0.91	23,788	2,009	155	12	83,332.33
Decatur	4-AAAAA	1-1	56.21	944,276	1.34	68,173	4,602	204	7	142,856.14
Jenkins	1-AAAAA	1-1	56.95	766,310	1.15	64,867	4,194	177	7	142,856.14
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAAA	1-1	55.74	970,043	1.12	32,334	2,146	88	4	249,999.00
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	2-0	54.51	960,002	1.08	22,208	1,254	46	1	999,999.00
Chapel Hill	5-AAAAA	2-0	56.24	535,607	0.60	6,923	583	26	1	999,999.00
Centennial	6-AAAAA	0-2	52.38	797,796	0.83	2,397	247	6	1	999,999.00
Banneker	5-AAAAA	2-0	55.97	516,101	0.58	6,363	500	25	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	0-2	55.88	510,201	0.57	6,102	445	21	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	2-0	57.60	141,880	0.18	4,762	241	21	-	-
Harris County	3-AAAAA	1-1	52.00	930,729	1.00	9,656	402	12	-	-
Union Grove	2-AAAAA	0-2	52.97	133,516	0.18	9,690	380	9	-	-
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	0-1	54.43	412,924	0.45	3,276	246	9	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	2-0	49.68	766,715	0.85	8,569	271	6	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	1-1	49.98	348,984	0.43	7,714	221	2	-	-
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	1-1	49.19	744,749	0.82	7,166	208	1	-	-
Maynard Jackson	5-AAAAA	1-1	52.20	276,845	0.30	1,143	78	1	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAAA	0-2	48.15	46,951	0.06	1,428	32	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAAA	0-2	43.25	382,749	0.39	655	7	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	0-2	41.22	67,407	0.07	231	3	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	6-AAAAA	0-2	41.82	185,970	0.19	34	2	-	-	-
Lithonia	4-AAAAA	0-2	38.47	163,974	0.17	62	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAAA	1-1	43.28	18,246	0.02	22	-	-	-	-
Drew	3-AAAAA	0-1	34.76	140,361	0.14	2	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	8-AAAAA	1-1	41.72	1,962	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	5-AAAAA	1-1	37.46	3,791	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	2-AAAAA	0-1	33.25	926	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
North Springs	6-AAAAA	0-1	32.10	25,145	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	6-AAAAA	0-2	19.58	1,131	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Midtown	5-AAAAA	1-1	34.62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	4-AAAAA	0-2	-15.70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Ware County	607,420	380,445	11,480	602	999,947	53
1-AAAAA	Coffee	390,327	581,303	26,661	1,549	999,840	160
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	1,322	20,545	455,048	340,597	817,512	182,488
1-AAAAA	Jenkins	877	15,001	375,664	374,768	766,310	233,690
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	53	2,550	113,841	232,540	348,984	651,016
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	1	156	17,306	49,944	67,407	932,593
2-AAAAA	Warner Robins	652,425	248,385	76,655	21,441	998,906	1,094
2-AAAAA	Dutchtown	208,687	387,266	273,828	116,387	986,168	13,832
2-AAAAA	Jones County	110,798	263,543	377,152	214,170	965,663	34,337
2-AAAAA	Ola	27,808	96,891	249,816	493,355	867,870	132,130
2-AAAAA	Union Grove	254	3,320	17,680	112,262	133,516	866,484
2-AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	28	595	4,846	41,482	46,951	953,049
2-AAAAA	Locust Grove	-	-	23	903	926	999,074
3-AAAAA	Northgate	699,178	216,534	59,494	23,659	998,865	1,135
3-AAAAA	Northside (Columbus)	133,814	320,054	302,117	214,058	970,043	29,957
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	104,555	272,489	320,457	262,501	960,002	39,998
3-AAAAA	Harris County	62,189	186,407	302,662	379,471	930,729	69,271
3-AAAAA	Drew	264	4,516	15,270	120,311	140,361	859,639
4-AAAAA	Tucker	747,260	196,021	43,022	11,234	997,537	2,463
4-AAAAA	Decatur	169,776	426,551	239,217	108,732	944,276	55,724
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	40,680	168,289	287,931	269,815	766,715	233,285
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	35,412	154,673	274,402	280,262	744,749	255,251
4-AAAAA	M.L. King	5,867	42,981	112,976	220,925	382,749	617,251
4-AAAAA	Lithonia	1,005	11,485	42,452	109,032	163,974	836,026
4-AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Creekside	881,245	95,021	17,710	4,296	998,272	1,728
5-AAAAA	Mays	52,220	306,544	222,573	164,922	746,259	253,741
5-AAAAA	Chapel Hill	18,755	155,063	180,685	181,104	535,607	464,393
5-AAAAA	Banneker	17,172	144,773	174,653	179,503	516,101	483,899
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	16,410	142,663	171,979	179,149	510,201	489,799
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	10,102	100,604	139,486	162,732	412,924	587,076
5-AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	4,091	55,174	92,104	125,476	276,845	723,155
5-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	5	158	810	2,818	3,791	996,209
5-AAAAA	Midtown	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAA	Kell	455,439	335,519	184,151	23,780	998,889	1,111
6-AAAAA	Cambridge	367,974	361,757	235,603	32,847	998,181	1,819
6-AAAAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	171,503	282,801	451,564	87,020	992,888	7,112
6-AAAAA	Centennial	4,980	18,828	117,150	656,838	797,796	202,204
6-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	101	1,074	10,782	174,013	185,970	814,030
6-AAAAA	North Springs	3	21	747	24,374	25,145	974,855
6-AAAAA	Northview	-	-	3	1,128	1,131	998,869
7-AAAAA	Calhoun	584,144	330,037	68,650	14,291	997,122	2,878
7-AAAAA	Cartersville	364,069	460,403	133,887	32,471	990,830	9,170
7-AAAAA	Dalton	36,144	126,465	410,276	265,673	838,558	161,442
7-AAAAA	Hiram	8,762	44,563	203,144	343,122	599,591	400,409
7-AAAAA	Cass	6,877	38,406	180,740	329,630	555,653	444,347
7-AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	4	126	3,303	14,813	18,246	981,754
8-AAAAA	Jefferson	564,462	267,551	117,064	37,708	986,785	13,215
8-AAAAA	Flowery Branch	241,729	330,680	250,935	115,832	939,176	60,824
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	151,132	259,803	305,780	173,290	890,005	109,995
8-AAAAA	Eastside	21,778	69,453	151,750	290,350	533,331	466,669
8-AAAAA	Loganville	19,460	63,681	142,721	280,999	506,861	493,139
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	1,438	8,818	31,603	100,021	141,880	858,120
8-AAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	1	14	147	1,800	1,962	998,038

Class AAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Benedictine	3-AAAA	2-0	87.34	999,857	4.20	888,177	711,893	629,741	523,382	0.91
North Oconee	8-AAAA	1-0	79.04	999,886	3.39	822,308	340,791	254,221	142,326	6.03
Bainbridge	1-AAAA	1-1	78.62	999,980	3.33	634,543	515,741	330,823	139,182	6.18
Cedartown	7-AAAA	1-1	71.82	990,556	2.59	507,095	240,463	106,811	27,429	35.46
Burke County	3-AAAA	2-0	72.54	981,073	2.29	352,906	210,692	95,696	24,764	39.38
Baldwin	2-AAAA	2-0	71.93	985,690	2.28	353,994	234,522	72,832	23,067	42.35
Perry	2-AAAA	0-1	71.88	985,294	2.27	351,169	231,571	71,647	22,523	43.40
Troup	4-AAAA	2-0	71.85	954,475	2.37	335,274	199,688	84,156	22,512	43.42
Holy Innocents	6-AAAA	2-0	70.18	947,790	2.37	467,117	190,190	66,480	16,309	60.32
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-AAAA	1-1	70.53	934,716	2.17	279,960	156,417	59,159	14,405	68.42
Stephenson	6-AAAA	2-0	69.74	941,095	2.30	444,067	175,907	58,919	13,821	71.35
Wayne County	3-AAAA	2-0	70.32	967,389	1.98	258,951	142,074	53,251	11,823	83.58
Stockbridge	5-AAAA	0-2	66.86	995,471	2.48	445,813	170,316	32,501	7,146	138.94
Cairo	1-AAAA	1-1	64.62	996,642	1.70	149,748	66,450	9,970	1,780	560.80
Central (Carrollton)	7-AAAA	2-0	64.05	919,196	1.60	186,205	48,181	10,265	1,494	668.34
Spalding	2-AAAA	2-0	64.95	895,964	1.34	100,729	44,612	9,466	1,431	697.81
Whitewater	4-AAAA	1-1	64.27	728,701	1.22	88,060	34,560	7,165	1,051	950.47
Pace Academy	5-AAAA	1-1	61.82	975,747	1.96	247,485	56,793	8,694	1,049	952.29
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAAA	2-0	62.79	892,898	1.47	153,435	35,702	6,423	856	1,167.22
Madison County	8-AAAA	2-0	61.56	947,184	1.84	213,793	42,214	8,373	853	1,171.33
LaGrange	4-AAAA	1-1	63.46	682,573	1.10	71,124	26,523	5,098	737	1,355.85
Starr's Mill	4-AAAA	0-2	63.41	680,487	1.09	70,656	26,202	4,979	684	1,460.99
Hapeville Charter	6-AAAA	0-2	62.47	701,508	1.17	126,422	28,378	4,915	571	1,750.31
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	1-1	61.68	655,151	1.05	104,648	21,880	3,628	425	2,351.94
New Hampstead	3-AAAA	1-0	60.65	767,419	1.01	45,889	14,398	1,536	181	5,523.86
Southwest DeKalb	6-AAAA	1-1	59.38	512,342	0.75	58,077	9,815	1,246	105	9,522.81
Sonoraville	7-AAAA	1-1	57.48	702,324	0.94	54,061	7,091	796	45	22,221.22
North Hall	8-AAAA	1-0	54.25	703,680	0.99	43,867	4,291	346	11	90,908.09
Lovett	5-AAAA	0-2	53.54	794,948	1.08	43,093	3,924	306	11	90,908.09
Miller Grove	6-AAAA	1-1	54.60	242,114	0.30	12,131	1,234	94	9	111,110.11
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAAA	1-1	54.04	494,717	0.60	21,214	1,826	145	6	166,665.67
Howard	2-AAAA	2-0	55.62	421,721	0.46	5,075	898	77	4	249,999.00
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-2	52.36	585,304	0.77	24,606	1,969	120	3	333,332.33
Westside (Macon)	2-AAAA	2-0	53.07	266,668	0.28	1,813	266	20	2	499,999.00
Westover	1-AAAA	1-1	50.54	911,105	1.00	4,535	485	15	1	999,999.00
Hampton	5-AAAA	1-1	47.01	407,130	0.46	4,223	172	12	1	999,999.00
West Laurens	2-AAAA	0-1	51.24	184,791	0.19	800	90	3	1	999,999.00
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAAA	0-2	49.85	411,534	0.51	10,229	584	24	-	-
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAAA	1-1	52.46	267,484	0.30	3,074	437	14	-	-
Griffin	2-AAAA	0-2	52.92	259,872	0.27	1,700	221	12	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	0-1	47.47	266,446	0.31	3,925	174	7	-	-
McDonough	5-AAAA	1-0	47.09	414,957	0.47	4,342	173	7	-	-
Hardaway	1-AAAA	0-2	46.91	822,801	0.87	1,761	146	5	-	-
Luella	5-AAAA	0-2	43.70	222,977	0.24	943	29	1	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	5-AAAA	0-2	42.90	188,750	0.20	618	7	1	-	-
Chestatee	8-AAAA	0-1	41.96	69,589	0.08	270	9	-	-	-
Shaw	1-AAAA	1-1	36.81	269,472	0.27	40	1	-	-	-
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	1-0	36.70	13,075	0.01	12	-	-	-	-
Riverdale	4-AAAA	0-2	45.07	4,595	0.00	9	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	4-AAAA	0-2	43.26	7,832	0.01	7	-	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAAA	0-2	39.08	16,778	0.02	6	-	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAAA	1-0	33.06	3,302	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	4-AAAA	2-0	40.77	6,621	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	1-1	21.90	309	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAAA	0-2	16.26	20	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	6-AAAA	2-0	34.30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	6-AAAA	0-2	27.42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8-AAAA	0-2	12.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	6-AAAA	0-1	-6.11	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Bainbridge	850,752	142,195	6,353	680	999,980	20
1-AAAA	Cairo	139,833	699,085	134,831	22,893	996,642	3,358
1-AAAA	Westover	6,727	103,297	495,412	305,669	911,105	88,895
1-AAAA	Hardaway	2,606	50,291	311,177	458,727	822,801	177,199
1-AAAA	Shaw	82	5,132	52,227	212,031	269,472	730,528
2-AAAA	Baldwin	434,083	346,564	164,571	40,472	985,690	14,310
2-AAAA	Perry	429,657	348,098	166,103	41,436	985,294	14,706
2-AAAA	Spalding	120,008	229,399	380,922	165,635	895,964	104,036
2-AAAA	Howard	8,351	34,408	115,188	263,774	421,721	578,279
2-AAAA	Westside (Macon)	3,285	16,606	66,258	180,519	266,668	733,332
2-AAAA	Griffin	3,091	15,752	64,385	176,644	259,872	740,128
2-AAAA	West Laurens	1,525	9,173	42,573	131,520	184,791	815,209
3-AAAA	Benedictine	828,633	145,046	22,889	3,289	999,857	143
3-AAAA	Burke County	100,655	446,231	334,340	99,847	981,073	18,927
3-AAAA	Wayne County	64,379	338,408	415,165	149,437	967,389	32,611
3-AAAA	New Hampstead	5,995	61,284	187,152	512,988	767,419	232,581
3-AAAA	Southeast Bulloch	337	8,946	39,051	219,150	267,484	732,516
3-AAAA	Islands	1	85	1,403	15,289	16,778	983,222
4-AAAA	Troup	419,987	281,444	163,803	89,241	954,475	45,525
4-AAAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	337,541	290,507	191,617	115,051	934,716	65,284
4-AAAA	Whitewater	92,860	155,845	225,241	254,755	728,701	271,299
4-AAAA	LaGrange	74,981	136,052	209,143	262,397	682,573	317,427
4-AAAA	Starr's Mill	74,591	135,712	207,147	263,037	680,487	319,513
4-AAAA	Fayette County	22	192	1,310	6,308	7,832	992,168
4-AAAA	North Clayton	10	135	1,055	5,421	6,621	993,379
4-AAAA	Riverdale	8	113	684	3,790	4,595	995,405
5-AAAA	Stockbridge	627,322	282,065	71,473	14,611	995,471	4,529
5-AAAA	Pace Academy	302,537	446,066	173,338	53,806	975,747	24,253
5-AAAA	Lovett	52,732	166,576	359,337	216,303	794,948	205,052
5-AAAA	McDonough	7,231	40,439	138,289	228,998	414,957	585,043
5-AAAA	Hampton	6,953	38,884	135,856	225,437	407,130	592,870
5-AAAA	Luella	1,879	14,804	66,745	139,549	222,977	777,023
5-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	1,346	11,166	54,959	121,279	188,750	811,250
5-AAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	-	3	17	20	999,980
6-AAAA	Holy Innocents	411,694	293,048	164,670	78,378	947,790	52,210
6-AAAA	Stephenson	382,069	299,830	173,116	86,080	941,095	58,905
6-AAAA	Hapeville Charter	87,709	155,389	228,637	229,773	701,508	298,492
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	71,674	135,361	210,061	238,055	655,151	344,849
6-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	38,130	88,382	156,695	229,135	512,342	487,658
6-AAAA	Miller Grove	8,724	27,990	66,821	138,579	242,114	757,886
6-AAAA	Druid Hills	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Stone Mountain	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAA	Cedartown	613,895	250,446	91,439	34,776	990,556	9,444
7-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	183,379	307,965	270,228	157,624	919,196	80,804
7-AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	143,818	265,844	291,937	191,299	892,898	107,102
7-AAAA	Sonoraville	42,489	116,578	215,488	327,769	702,324	297,676
7-AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	16,419	59,167	130,872	288,259	494,717	505,283
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	36	273	309	999,691
8-AAAA	North Oconee	905,845	86,453	6,738	850	999,886	114
8-AAAA	Madison County	75,146	558,157	220,619	93,262	947,184	52,816
8-AAAA	North Hall	10,583	162,349	292,912	237,836	703,680	296,320
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	5,571	105,483	225,096	249,154	585,304	414,696
8-AAAA	Cherokee Bluff	2,091	55,726	145,632	208,085	411,534	588,466
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	719	27,771	87,240	150,716	266,446	733,554
8-AAAA	Chestatee	44	3,687	18,425	47,433	69,589	930,411
8-AAAA	East Hall	1	42	575	2,684	3,302	996,698
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	-	332	2,763	9,980	13,075	986,925
8-AAAA	Seckinger	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	1-1	86.22	1,000,000	4.31	895,831	808,442	689,431	552,610	0.81
Sandy Creek	5-AAA	2-0	78.66	1,000,000	3.38	704,625	543,327	373,221	157,257	5.36
Stephens County	8-AAA	2-0	75.06	981,141	2.80	579,461	422,748	178,172	69,912	13.30
Monroe Area	8-AAA	2-0	74.75	979,207	2.73	562,632	405,862	168,036	64,355	14.54
Thomasville	1-AAA	1-1	72.90	988,312	3.10	730,123	293,424	141,502	46,146	20.67
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AAA	1-1	72.11	1,000,000	2.35	443,579	285,787	108,779	30,293	32.01
Carver (Columbus)	1-AAA	2-0	71.12	980,406	2.91	664,725	239,833	99,250	28,713	33.83
Calvary Day	3-AAA	1-0	69.43	997,625	2.61	513,356	224,132	61,919	16,584	59.30
Oconee County	8-AAA	0-2	69.37	918,246	1.73	275,374	157,148	48,488	11,989	82.41
Crisp County	1-AAA	1-1	67.96	955,703	2.55	530,493	161,044	48,121	10,936	90.44
Savannah Christian	3-AAA	2-0	63.97	985,654	2.04	306,189	88,400	17,368	2,639	377.93
Peach County	2-AAA	0-2	64.35	997,347	2.05	279,251	56,362	15,463	2,546	391.77
Dougherty	1-AAA	2-0	63.10	871,220	1.96	320,034	71,969	12,996	1,893	527.26
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	2-0	62.77	995,769	1.91	228,493	42,677	9,781	1,431	697.81
Adairsville	6-AAA	1-0	61.14	985,492	1.86	104,573	32,109	6,323	749	1,334.11
Mary Persons	2-AAA	1-1	60.26	991,575	1.70	161,815	26,692	4,630	491	2,035.66
Ringgold	6-AAA	1-0	59.67	977,347	1.77	84,915	23,374	3,790	402	2,486.56
Hebron Christian	8-AAA	2-0	61.55	640,384	0.78	46,371	15,836	2,895	345	2,897.55
Bremen	6-AAA	2-0	58.03	963,057	1.67	67,783	16,584	2,176	190	5,262.16
Savannah Country Day	3-AAA	2-0	56.46	901,385	1.31	74,173	9,843	1,013	90	11,110.11
Dawson County	7-AAA	0-2	56.20	881,150	1.44	54,956	14,551	1,507	88	11,362.64
Hart County	8-AAA	0-1	59.04	478,237	0.54	20,788	5,758	808	82	12,194.12
Harlem	4-AAA	2-0	55.93	991,781	1.36	85,494	12,970	1,339	80	12,499.00
Douglass	5-AAA	2-0	56.92	1,000,000	1.17	52,738	11,435	859	72	13,887.89
White County	7-AAA	1-1	55.11	846,544	1.33	42,039	10,059	888	46	21,738.13
Pickens	7-AAA	1-1	54.39	819,504	1.25	34,688	7,621	612	39	25,640.03
Jackson	2-AAA	0-1	52.27	945,093	1.17	33,805	3,129	180	11	90,908.09
Wesleyan	7-AAA	0-2	51.58	683,587	0.95	15,455	2,519	157	4	249,999.00
Long County	3-AAA	1-1	51.03	707,472	0.87	17,957	1,170	50	3	333,332.33
Monroe	1-AAA	1-1	50.83	194,438	0.29	14,189	1,028	43	2	499,999.00
Morgan County	4-AAA	1-1	49.85	952,058	1.09	20,157	1,484	88	1	999,999.00
Hephzibah	4-AAA	1-1	49.00	941,121	1.06	16,040	988	42	1	999,999.00
Lumpkin County	7-AAA	1-0	49.92	578,195	0.76	8,682	1,223	67	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6-AAA	1-1	44.82	422,903	0.52	2,429	184	4	-	-
LaFayette	6-AAA	1-1	44.30	387,125	0.47	1,979	148	1	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	1-1	41.90	738,691	0.76	1,897	46	1	-	-
Gordon Lee	6-AAA	1-1	41.45	225,683	0.26	597	31	-	-	-
Liberty County	3-AAA	0-2	43.83	254,705	0.28	1,205	26	-	-	-
Gilmer	7-AAA	1-1	43.04	187,886	0.21	496	26	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	0-1	41.13	151,511	0.16	409	8	-	-	-
Salem	4-AAA	1-1	35.60	337,439	0.34	140	1	-	-	-
Ridgeland	6-AAA	0-1	32.48	23,844	0.03	4	1	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AAA	1-1	34.87	2,785	0.00	1	1	-	-	-
Columbus	1-AAA	1-1	37.43	9,921	0.01	47	-	-	-	-
Pike County	2-AAA	0-2	31.36	70,216	0.07	7	-	-	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6-AAA	1-1	30.90	14,549	0.02	4	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	2-0	24.82	38,910	0.04	1	-	-	-	-
West Hall	7-AAA	1-1	28.43	3,134	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	0-2	23.93	1,553	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-1	16.49	95	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAA	Thomasville	425,122	301,682	177,447	84,061	988,312	11,688
1-AAA	Carver (Columbus)	321,429	312,444	226,824	119,709	980,406	19,594
1-AAA	Crisp County	185,326	250,815	309,357	210,205	955,703	44,297
1-AAA	Dougherty	66,614	126,562	256,207	421,837	871,220	128,780
1-AAA	Monroe	1,504	8,408	29,355	155,171	194,438	805,562
1-AAA	Columbus	5	89	810	9,017	9,921	990,079
2-AAA	Peach County	415,836	312,936	189,732	78,843	997,347	2,653
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	326,213	320,430	240,373	108,753	995,769	4,231
2-AAA	Mary Persons	215,609	279,197	323,649	173,120	991,575	8,425
2-AAA	Jackson	42,292	86,879	243,181	572,741	945,093	54,907
2-AAA	Pike County	50	558	3,065	66,543	70,216	929,784
3-AAA	Calvary Day	625,126	281,105	75,422	15,972	997,625	2,375
3-AAA	Savannah Christian	289,745	439,300	199,177	57,432	985,654	14,346
3-AAA	Savannah Country Day	66,922	193,221	411,504	229,738	901,385	98,615
3-AAA	Long County	16,380	70,108	224,843	396,141	707,472	292,528
3-AAA	Liberty County	1,383	11,412	57,959	183,951	254,705	745,295
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	444	4,851	31,008	115,208	151,511	848,489
3-AAA	Beach	-	3	84	1,466	1,553	998,447
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	3	92	95	999,905
4-AAA	Harlem	559,567	272,772	119,021	40,421	991,781	8,219
4-AAA	Morgan County	214,676	312,821	284,872	139,689	952,058	47,942
4-AAA	Hephzibah	183,303	289,995	306,582	161,241	941,121	58,879
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	36,933	98,839	212,021	390,898	738,691	261,309
4-AAA	Salem	5,442	24,742	71,920	235,335	337,439	662,561
4-AAA	Cross Creek	79	831	5,584	32,416	38,910	961,090
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	684,427	248,991	61,607	4,975	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Sandy Creek	240,590	489,518	241,190	28,702	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Carver (Atlanta)	72,944	248,389	570,197	108,470	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Douglass	2,039	13,102	127,006	857,853	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Adairsville	413,395	313,691	207,991	50,415	985,492	14,508
6-AAA	Ringgold	326,937	324,194	256,633	69,583	977,347	22,653
6-AAA	Bremen	243,819	300,098	320,166	98,974	963,057	36,943
6-AAA	Coahulla Creek	7,483	27,903	89,954	297,563	422,903	577,097
6-AAA	LaFayette	6,247	23,958	81,014	275,906	387,125	612,875
6-AAA	Gordon Lee	2,080	9,796	40,760	173,047	225,683	774,317
6-AAA	Ridgeland	29	255	2,221	21,339	23,844	976,156
6-AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	10	105	1,261	13,173	14,549	985,451
7-AAA	Dawson County	315,944	242,216	189,907	133,083	881,150	118,850
7-AAA	White County	256,452	232,460	202,090	155,542	846,544	153,456
7-AAA	Pickens	221,150	221,297	206,823	170,234	819,504	180,496
7-AAA	Wesleyan	118,939	158,671	189,945	216,032	683,587	316,413
7-AAA	Lumpkin County	78,130	121,040	161,938	217,087	578,195	421,805
7-AAA	Gilmer	9,375	24,214	48,784	105,513	187,886	812,114
7-AAA	West Hall	10	102	513	2,509	3,134	996,866
8-AAA	Stephens County	413,921	325,587	178,709	62,924	981,141	18,859
8-AAA	Monroe Area	395,853	328,947	187,176	67,231	979,207	20,793
8-AAA	Oconee County	153,994	240,532	344,516	179,204	918,246	81,754
8-AAA	Hebron Christian	24,707	66,164	174,298	375,215	640,384	359,616
8-AAA	Hart County	11,524	38,757	115,017	312,939	478,237	521,763
8-AAA	Franklin County	1	13	284	2,487	2,785	997,215

Class AA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Fitzgerald	1-AA	2-0	80.66	999,746	4.29	899,182	807,401	613,789	451,164	1.22
Pierce County	3-AA	1-0	75.61	999,395	3.68	759,674	581,656	348,220	174,484	4.73
Appling County	3-AA	1-1	74.48	999,052	3.53	719,792	531,755	296,371	136,787	6.31
Callaway	5-AA	1-0	72.47	999,985	3.65	841,731	580,742	295,510	112,544	7.89
Thomson	4-AA	1-1	70.91	999,649	2.61	401,452	260,488	99,367	41,314	23.20
Fellowship Christian	8-AA	1-1	68.21	997,297	2.91	673,387	241,911	111,038	31,055	31.20
Rockmart	7-AA	1-1	68.60	996,474	2.94	640,907	261,069	86,115	30,270	32.04
Eagle's Landing Christian	5-AA	0-2	62.39	999,313	2.30	456,118	126,738	30,853	5,708	174.19
Cook	1-AA	1-1	63.03	913,395	1.93	286,420	112,163	28,860	4,981	199.76
Athens Academy	8-AA	1-1	62.71	983,858	2.18	398,075	92,592	26,919	4,934	201.68
Northeast	2-AA	0-1	59.09	999,446	2.12	307,483	93,414	17,693	2,008	497.01
Dodge County	1-AA	1-1	60.56	847,198	1.54	171,630	57,213	11,899	1,560	640.03
Toombs County	3-AA	2-0	58.48	910,863	1.75	128,228	41,753	6,443	882	1,132.79
Columbia	5-AA	1-1	57.54	996,928	1.73	220,516	38,634	5,900	630	1,586.30
Putnam County	4-AA	0-1	57.94	976,152	1.49	96,140	26,782	4,458	455	2,196.80
North Murray	7-AA	1-1	56.36	883,825	1.71	163,146	26,927	3,973	340	2,940.18
North Cobb Christian	6-AA	2-0	55.36	994,830	1.77	164,037	25,614	3,449	314	3,183.71
South Atlanta	6-AA	0-2	53.38	990,208	1.63	114,740	16,733	1,716	102	9,802.92
Washington County	4-AA	0-1	54.17	940,589	1.23	54,867	11,241	1,150	87	11,493.25
Jeff Davis	1-AA	1-1	55.31	589,201	0.83	41,202	9,153	1,162	86	11,626.91
Union County	8-AA	1-1	53.48	840,581	1.17	92,248	10,291	1,169	82	12,194.12
Laney	4-AA	1-1	53.32	928,759	1.18	46,254	8,861	885	59	16,948.15
Model	7-AA	1-0	52.28	741,533	1.23	74,425	8,665	847	50	19,999.00
Fannin County	7-AA	1-1	52.37	744,696	1.24	75,717	8,888	874	43	23,254.81
Vidalia	3-AA	1-1	51.42	648,416	0.98	41,463	6,740	534	22	45,453.55
Worth County	1-AA	1-1	52.80	421,871	0.55	17,330	3,032	298	22	45,453.55
Haralson County	7-AA	0-2	50.21	631,865	0.98	45,705	4,339	282	12	83,332.33
Spencer	2-AA	1-1	45.29	948,852	1.12	11,698	1,239	51	2	499,999.00
East Jackson	8-AA	2-0	47.06	519,012	0.59	14,713	1,234	61	1	999,999.00
Brantley County	3-AA	2-0	45.79	288,029	0.38	7,437	686	30	1	999,999.00
Berrien	1-AA	0-1	48.45	191,274	0.22	2,986	347	22	1	999,999.00
Providence Christian	8-AA	1-0	45.22	402,796	0.44	7,457	557	29	-	-
Mount Paran Christian	6-AA	1-1	42.46	842,667	0.97	8,204	385	13	-	-
ACE Charter	2-AA	2-0	42.49	898,668	0.99	4,588	349	6	-	-
Banks County	8-AA	2-0	42.50	256,456	0.27	2,580	161	6	-	-
Washington	6-AA	0-2	40.64	774,756	0.86	4,523	131	5	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	1-1	41.49	125,736	0.15	1,381	70	2	-	-
Southwest	2-AA	0-2	35.45	598,730	0.61	338	6	1	-	-
Redan	5-AA	1-1	35.69	590,817	0.61	1,263	15	-	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	4-AA	0-2	37.50	144,405	0.15	191	8	-	-	-
Sumter County	1-AA	0-2	41.53	37,315	0.04	98	7	-	-	-
Therrell	6-AA	1-0	33.80	347,412	0.36	332	3	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-AA	0-2	32.77	416,822	0.42	88	2	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AA	0-2	35.02	28,509	0.03	77	2	-	-	-
Landmark Christian	5-AA	0-2	30.07	253,947	0.26	149	1	-	-	-
McNair	5-AA	1-1	26.84	141,964	0.14	26	1	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	1-1	26.66	133,092	0.13	1	1	-	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	6-AA	0-2	22.92	35,026	0.04	1	-	-	-	-
Towers	5-AA	0-2	17.08	17,046	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6-AA	0-2	19.69	15,101	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	0-1	24.74	5,992	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	1-0	23.62	4,353	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	2-AA	0-1	13.36	3,389	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	0-2	22.50	1,515	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	2-AA	0-2	9.90	1,001	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-2	12.95	101	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-AA	0-2	13.69	92	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Walker	6-AA	2-0	22.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AA	Fitzgerald	885,952	99,620	12,178	1,996	999,746	254
1-AA	Cook	65,667	424,822	281,613	141,293	913,395	86,605
1-AA	Dodge County	36,357	292,002	318,520	200,319	847,198	152,802
1-AA	Jeff Davis	8,158	106,016	195,767	279,260	589,201	410,799
1-AA	Worth County	3,268	59,058	130,788	228,757	421,871	578,129
1-AA	Berrien	579	16,976	53,272	120,447	191,274	808,726
1-AA	Sumter County	19	1,506	7,862	27,928	37,315	962,685
2-AA	Northeast	818,547	150,287	25,976	4,636	999,446	554
2-AA	Spencer	109,423	429,940	291,385	118,104	948,852	51,148
2-AA	ACE Charter	59,572	293,592	357,739	187,765	898,668	101,332
2-AA	Southwest	8,693	78,085	181,325	330,627	598,730	401,270
2-AA	Central (Macon)	3,489	41,337	113,598	258,398	416,822	583,178
2-AA	Rutland	276	6,728	29,596	96,492	133,092	866,908
2-AA	Jordan	-	26	319	3,044	3,389	996,611
2-AA	Kendrick	-	5	62	934	1,001	998,999
3-AA	Pierce County	524,043	410,010	59,492	5,850	999,395	605
3-AA	Appling County	452,005	463,395	75,616	8,036	999,052	948
3-AA	Toombs County	21,061	100,015	557,138	232,649	910,863	89,137
3-AA	Vidalia	2,553	21,030	209,929	414,904	648,416	351,584
3-AA	Brantley County	293	4,510	69,526	213,700	288,029	711,971
3-AA	Tattnall County	44	969	24,863	99,860	125,736	874,264
3-AA	Windsor Forest	1	71	3,436	25,001	28,509	971,491
4-AA	Thomson	783,361	172,599	33,175	10,514	999,649	351
4-AA	Putnam County	118,357	392,153	290,392	175,250	976,152	23,848
4-AA	Washington County	53,657	228,963	334,568	323,401	940,589	59,411
4-AA	Laney	44,368	200,825	320,128	363,438	928,759	71,241
4-AA	Westside (Augusta)	256	5,401	20,969	117,779	144,405	855,595
4-AA	Butler	1	37	472	5,482	5,992	994,008
4-AA	Josey	-	22	295	4,036	4,353	995,647
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	1	100	101	999,899
5-AA	Callaway	742,613	206,404	49,965	1,003	999,985	15
5-AA	Eagle's Landing Christian	182,773	494,474	308,539	13,527	999,313	687
5-AA	Columbia	74,387	295,570	584,949	42,022	996,928	3,072
5-AA	Redan	211	2,880	40,941	546,785	590,817	409,183
5-AA	Landmark Christian	13	513	10,816	242,605	253,947	746,053
5-AA	McNair	3	158	4,595	137,208	141,964	858,036
5-AA	Towers	-	1	195	16,850	17,046	982,954
6-AA	North Cobb Christian	523,583	342,825	101,127	27,295	994,830	5,170
6-AA	South Atlanta	396,254	405,982	144,124	43,848	990,208	9,792
6-AA	Mount Paran Christian	47,302	134,949	361,586	298,830	842,667	157,333
6-AA	Washington	29,497	95,742	292,513	357,004	774,756	225,244
6-AA	Therrell	3,327	19,922	92,660	231,503	347,412	652,588
6-AA	B.E.S.T. Academy	34	463	5,867	28,662	35,026	964,974
6-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	3	117	2,123	12,858	15,101	984,899
6-AA	Walker	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AA	Rockmart	761,558	179,461	40,649	14,806	996,474	3,526
7-AA	North Murray	117,283	334,214	260,817	171,511	883,825	116,175
7-AA	Fannin County	47,365	182,086	249,979	265,266	744,696	255,304
7-AA	Model	46,606	180,538	247,935	266,454	741,533	258,467
7-AA	Haralson County	27,188	123,686	200,373	280,618	631,865	368,135
7-AA	Murray County	-	15	239	1,261	1,515	998,485
7-AA	Gordon Central	-	-	8	84	92	999,908
8-AA	Fellowship Christian	640,726	282,410	62,913	11,248	997,297	2,703
8-AA	Athens Academy	298,851	469,621	172,437	42,949	983,858	16,142
8-AA	Union County	47,392	163,441	405,320	224,428	840,581	159,419
8-AA	East Jackson	7,562	43,812	168,444	299,194	519,012	480,988
8-AA	Providence Christian	4,009	27,608	120,838	250,341	402,796	597,204
8-AA	Banks County	1,460	13,108	70,048	171,840	256,456	743,544

Class A Division I

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Prince Avenue Christian	5-A Division I	2-0	80.24	1,000,000	4.25	974,589	682,143	600,242	478,546	1.09
Swainsboro	2-A Division I	2-0	76.94	999,872	3.61	807,795	442,450	368,709	243,584	3.11
Irwin County	1-A Division I	1-1	70.06	1,000,000	3.11	513,369	370,398	260,795	86,282	10.59
Rabun County	8-A Division I	1-1	67.55	1,000,000	3.56	835,664	578,856	170,961	66,242	14.10
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	2-0	67.54	996,933	3.08	566,048	360,900	210,538	55,991	16.86
Brooks County	1-A Division I	0-2	65.39	1,000,000	2.49	331,793	175,677	94,504	22,395	43.65
Dublin	2-A Division I	1-0	62.87	989,042	2.73	499,562	284,492	98,707	17,467	56.25
Metter	3-A Division I	1-1	62.10	999,989	2.77	611,355	300,507	44,025	13,207	74.72
Elbert County	8-A Division I	1-1	59.65	1,000,000	2.81	608,602	250,791	60,874	8,776	112.95
Trion	7-A Division I	2-0	56.55	994,591	2.08	256,691	101,219	19,206	2,012	496.02
Commerce	8-A Division I	2-0	54.59	1,000,000	2.29	422,279	94,646	17,868	1,341	744.71
Lamar County	4-A Division I	1-1	55.55	1,000,000	1.95	216,975	82,815	14,345	1,314	760.04
Darlington	7-A Division I	1-1	55.02	990,737	1.93	202,298	71,005	11,148	1,022	977.47
Mount Vernon	6-A Division I	2-0	53.75	1,000,000	1.95	211,744	37,692	8,878	653	1,530.39
Temple	4-A Division I	2-0	52.64	1,000,000	1.67	132,744	38,783	4,596	328	3,047.78
Heard County	4-A Division I	0-1	52.02	1,000,000	1.61	115,874	32,144	3,617	235	4,254.32
Whitefield Academy	6-A Division I	1-1	51.49	1,000,000	1.76	141,953	22,037	3,750	219	4,565.21
Mount Pisgah Christian	6-A Division I	1-1	51.12	1,000,000	1.73	132,836	20,272	3,317	216	4,628.63
Pelham	1-A Division I	1-1	50.97	1,000,000	1.52	91,291	19,029	1,257	87	11,493.25
Jasper County	5-A Division I	2-0	47.41	1,000,000	1.38	101,070	7,900	1,082	32	31,249.00
St. Francis	6-A Division I	1-1	46.62	1,000,000	1.43	56,132	6,742	562	22	45,453.55
Bryan County	3-A Division I	2-0	46.43	997,574	1.24	53,778	9,608	594	18	55,554.56
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-2	45.88	672,447	0.85	34,744	4,786	211	9	111,110.11
Pepperell	7-A Division I	0-2	43.73	821,719	1.07	22,143	1,475	73	2	499,999.00
Bacon County	1-A Division I	1-1	41.24	1,000,000	1.17	15,339	1,570	70	-	-
Social Circle	5-A Division I	0-2	38.96	1,000,000	1.09	12,952	650	33	-	-
Dade County	7-A Division I	0-2	41.29	713,443	0.88	14,209	600	30	-	-
East Laurens	2-A Division I	1-0	40.43	341,706	0.39	6,005	443	4	-	-
Screven County	3-A Division I	0-1	37.32	977,697	1.01	2,887	193	3	-	-
Oglethorpe County	5-A Division I	0-2	34.32	1,000,000	1.04	3,321	117	1	-	-
Chattooga	7-A Division I	0-1	35.22	317,869	0.35	2,033	30	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division I	0-2	32.47	938,724	0.95	440	16	-	-	-
Athens Christian	8-A Division I	0-1	31.85	1,000,000	1.01	1,207	12	-	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	1-1	29.65	103,915	0.11	218	2	-	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	1-1	27.19	57,726	0.06	59	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	4-A Division I	0-2	14.41	1,000,000	1.00	1	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division I	0-2	12.77	86,016	0.09	-	-	-	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	6-A Division I	1-1	23.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division I	Irwin County	630,791	326,422	38,980	3,807	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Brooks County	344,535	544,565	98,746	12,154	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Pelham	22,594	113,655	646,611	217,140	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Bacon County	2,080	15,358	215,663	766,899	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Swainsboro	723,742	219,316	53,711	3,103	999,872	128
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	193,550	478,693	296,838	27,852	996,933	3,067
2-A Division I	Dublin	81,446	288,815	544,117	74,664	989,042	10,958
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	1,108	10,522	80,270	580,547	672,447	327,553
2-A Division I	East Laurens	154	2,654	25,064	313,834	341,706	658,294
3-A Division I	Metter	870,128	119,614	8,857	1,390	999,989	11
3-A Division I	Bryan County	108,641	624,773	207,295	56,865	997,574	2,426
3-A Division I	Screven County	16,088	180,628	482,967	298,014	977,697	22,303
3-A Division I	Claxton	5,139	74,285	294,819	564,481	938,724	61,276
3-A Division I	Savannah	4	700	6,062	79,250	86,016	913,984
4-A Division I	Lamar County	450,208	320,505	227,400	1,887	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Temple	290,995	343,732	361,469	3,804	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Heard County	258,768	335,635	401,237	4,360	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Crawford County	29	128	9,894	989,949	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Prince Avenue Christian	986,503	13,366	106	25	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Jasper County	11,469	688,851	227,905	71,775	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Social Circle	1,539	207,937	468,927	321,597	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	489	89,846	303,062	606,603	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Mount Vernon	379,615	291,214	195,633	133,538	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	263,969	276,767	255,368	203,896	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	248,858	270,992	263,414	216,736	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	St. Francis	107,558	161,027	285,585	445,830	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-A Division I	Trion	515,259	353,641	100,610	25,081	994,591	5,409
7-A Division I	Darlington	414,528	407,323	132,635	36,251	990,737	9,263
7-A Division I	Pepperell	43,929	133,501	367,415	276,874	821,719	178,281
7-A Division I	Dade County	22,986	82,817	271,754	335,886	713,443	286,557
7-A Division I	Chattooga	2,923	18,524	91,748	204,674	317,869	682,131
7-A Division I	Armuchee	294	3,024	23,892	76,705	103,915	896,085
7-A Division I	Coosa	81	1,170	11,946	44,529	57,726	942,274
8-A Division I	Rabun County	684,172	242,361	71,284	2,183	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Elbert County	225,162	469,531	291,425	13,882	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Commerce	90,292	285,357	582,800	41,551	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Christian	374	2,751	54,491	942,384	1,000,000	-

Class A Division II

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Schley County	6-A Division II	1-0	61.02	994,858	3.60	796,501	561,500	417,996	553,592	0.81
Macon County	6-A Division II	2-0	59.16	990,769	3.36	730,532	482,399	332,954	382,124	1.62
Clinch County	2-A Division II	1-1	57.85	992,716	3.23	610,865	357,826	227,652	250,832	2.99
Early County	1-A Division II	2-0	56.33	999,974	3.03	562,395	258,651	166,304	170,906	4.85
Bowdon	7-A Division II	0-2	54.57	1,000,000	2.82	513,137	325,006	138,227	127,198	6.86
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	1-1	54.63	986,767	2.64	474,157	272,639	126,101	113,807	7.79
Turner County	2-A Division II	1-1	53.61	974,867	2.44	416,823	196,959	93,794	78,079	11.81
Manchester	6-A Division II	1-0	53.72	905,843	2.28	408,626	221,612	94,059	77,574	11.89
Aquinas	8-A Division II	2-0	52.15	951,234	2.65	418,193	227,120	88,934	66,960	13.93
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	0-2	50.35	981,654	2.43	370,820	171,634	56,484	38,283	25.12
Charlton County	2-A Division II	0-2	50.74	949,403	1.99	298,785	121,794	44,226	30,034	32.30
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	0-1	50.09	952,624	1.87	263,916	113,501	37,450	24,487	39.84
Johnson County	5-A Division II	0-1	48.52	999,860	1.95	196,431	77,520	30,687	16,980	57.89
Dooly County	4-A Division II	0-2	47.46	959,218	2.04	254,932	93,649	25,125	13,239	74.53
Greene County	8-A Division II	2-0	47.29	844,463	1.85	208,591	80,536	21,414	11,163	88.58
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	2-0	47.95	920,986	1.57	181,597	65,332	18,620	10,366	95.47
Telfair County	4-A Division II	0-0	46.64	949,831	1.93	224,735	77,023	19,671	9,439	104.94
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	0-1	46.36	811,725	1.70	175,681	62,904	15,603	7,487	132.56
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	1-1	45.62	780,872	1.58	150,597	50,758	11,631	5,255	189.29
Lanier County	2-A Division II	1-0	45.79	856,919	1.37	138,222	41,104	9,284	4,147	240.14
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	1-0	44.21	1,000,000	1.45	115,102	36,532	7,283	2,793	357.04
Christian Heritage	7-A Division II	0-2	43.95	1,000,000	1.43	108,663	33,586	6,643	2,570	388.11
Warren County	8-A Division II	2-0	42.39	609,304	1.07	69,638	18,028	3,148	1,027	972.71
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	0-1	42.10	560,354	0.78	54,022	13,270	1,856	585	1,708.40
Marion County	6-A Division II	2-0	41.02	487,235	0.66	38,935	8,548	1,070	310	3,224.81
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	0-2	39.79	857,545	1.21	52,178	8,727	1,279	293	3,411.97
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	1-1	38.74	732,091	1.00	36,885	5,501	764	151	6,621.52
Portal	3-A Division II	2-0	39.26	599,729	0.72	24,950	3,851	564	134	7,461.69
Terrell County	1-A Division II	0-0	36.83	743,568	0.95	24,835	3,274	328	62	16,128.03
Montgomery County	3-A Division II	0-1	38.32	539,894	0.63	18,652	2,629	322	50	19,999.00
Miller County	1-A Division II	0-1	36.61	717,111	0.90	21,599	2,837	270	37	27,026.03
Seminole County	1-A Division II	1-1	35.29	647,103	0.79	14,803	1,707	132	23	43,477.26
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	0-1	32.09	967,578	1.12	8,299	767	52	7	142,856.14
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	0-1	34.04	226,095	0.25	4,408	462	40	3	333,332.33
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	1-1	32.75	349,532	0.40	4,416	347	17	2	499,999.00
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	1-1	30.37	951,430	1.07	5,838	416	15	1	999,999.00
Taylor County	6-A Division II	1-1	29.10	49,377	0.05	334	24	1	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	0-2	22.92	769,079	0.80	808	26	-	-	-
Greenville	6-A Division II	0-2	27.08	11,561	0.01	45	1	-	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	0-2	14.17	240,988	0.24	25	-	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	0-1	19.14	34,483	0.04	16	-	-	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Division II	0-2	20.32	27,674	0.03	11	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	0-1	8.02	71,065	0.07	2	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	0-2	16.41	2,402	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	0-1	1.71	216	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	0-1	-4.42	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	2-0	15.15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	903,199	88,980	6,679	1,116	999,974	26
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	63,485	338,377	267,666	188,017	857,545	142,455
1-A Division II	Terrell County	30,555	209,374	251,139	252,500	743,568	256,432
1-A Division II	Miller County	1,779	202,817	249,123	263,392	717,111	282,889
1-A Division II	Seminole County	946	158,783	217,271	270,103	647,103	352,897
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	36	1,669	8,106	24,672	34,483	965,517
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	-	16	200	216	999,784
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Clinch County	514,034	289,040	134,275	55,367	992,716	7,284
2-A Division II	Turner County	268,378	326,958	250,235	129,296	974,867	25,133
2-A Division II	Charlton County	160,308	252,917	323,465	212,713	949,403	50,597
2-A Division II	Lanier County	55,749	121,300	258,373	421,497	856,919	143,081
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	1,531	9,785	33,652	181,127	226,095	773,905
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	523,236	286,272	131,059	46,200	986,767	13,233
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	259,321	323,883	256,091	113,329	952,624	47,376
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	177,077	269,244	313,223	161,442	920,986	79,014
3-A Division II	Portal	22,964	66,135	161,678	348,952	599,729	400,271
3-A Division II	Montgomery County	17,402	54,466	137,949	330,077	539,894	460,106
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	437,467	296,781	177,646	69,760	981,654	18,346
4-A Division II	Dooly County	274,581	299,307	260,843	124,487	959,218	40,782
4-A Division II	Telfair County	238,658	284,505	283,501	143,167	949,831	50,169
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	42,311	93,387	202,032	394,361	732,091	267,909
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	6,930	25,578	72,555	244,469	349,532	650,468
4-A Division II	Treutlen	53	442	3,423	23,756	27,674	972,326
5-A Division II	Johnson County	853,816	125,983	17,160	2,901	999,860	140
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	80,418	428,116	328,529	130,515	967,578	32,422
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	56,391	339,525	379,041	176,473	951,430	48,570
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	8,946	93,331	219,917	446,885	769,079	230,921
5-A Division II	Glascock County	402	11,444	44,857	184,285	240,988	759,012
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	27	1,601	10,496	58,941	71,065	928,935
6-A Division II	Schley County	515,069	333,155	122,559	24,075	994,858	5,142
6-A Division II	Macon County	399,646	384,027	169,531	37,565	990,769	9,231
6-A Division II	Manchester	71,837	208,890	431,227	193,889	905,843	94,157
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	7,908	41,380	147,261	363,805	560,354	439,646
6-A Division II	Marion County	5,521	31,875	121,072	328,767	487,235	512,765
6-A Division II	Taylor County	19	606	7,019	41,733	49,377	950,623
6-A Division II	Greenville	-	67	1,331	10,163	11,561	988,439
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	-	3	3	999,997
7-A Division II	Bowdon	700,799	219,442	79,759	-	1,000,000	-
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	153,661	395,925	450,414	-	1,000,000	-
7-A Division II	Christian Heritage	145,540	384,633	469,827	-	1,000,000	-
8-A Division II	Aquinas	451,587	258,197	150,615	90,835	951,234	48,766
8-A Division II	Greene County	192,169	231,034	226,224	195,036	844,463	155,537
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	158,918	208,191	226,807	217,809	811,725	188,275
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	135,040	188,247	223,698	233,887	780,872	219,128
8-A Division II	Warren County	62,281	114,304	172,269	260,450	609,304	390,696
8-A Division II	Towns County	5	27	387	1,983	2,402	997,598
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAAA

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