Maxwell playoff projections after Week 3

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Sept 7, 2022

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2022 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAAA	3-0	103.07	999,894	4.11	823,489	717,503	577,422	417,654	1.39
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAAA	3-0	98.45	999,560	3.66	722,874	569,213	393,394	204,747	3.88
Grayson	4-AAAAAAA	3-0	95.84	996,934	3.31	685,640	441,880	233,650	115,134	7.69
Valdosta	1-AAAAAAA	3-0	91.13	995,321	2.84	561,901	330,964	127,082	48,169	19.76
North Cobb	5-AAAAAAA	1-1	92.43	999,940	2.53	322,707	227,997	114,959	46,365	20.57
Lowndes	1-AAAAAAA	2-1	90.36	994,251	2.74	532,250	297,936	109,481	38,959	24.67
Milton	6-AAAAAAA	0-2	90.69	994,307	2.75	506,946	252,627	98,919	35,866	26.88
Carrollton	2-AAAAAAA	3-0	88.61	999,678	2.56	571,939	167,787	78,254	24,649	39.57
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAAA	2-0	89.09	994,321	2.62	467,290	226,832	77,875	24,200	40.32
Walton	5-AAAAAAA	1-1	88.58	999,753	2.23	230,440	139,134	57,888	18,249	53.80
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAAA	2-1	84.46	999,851	2.47	468,391	198,150	46,319	10,696	92.49
Westlake	2-AAAAAAA	1-2	83.99	998,696	2.05	371,799	82,922	26,620	6,048	164.34
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAAA	3-0	83.08	965,474	1.92	299,544	85,618	20,017	4,199	237.15
Lambert	6-AAAAAAA	3-0	80.16	916,176	1.66	176,109	53,492	9,409	1,561	639.61
Marietta	3-AAAAAAA	1-2	79.53	981,924	1.79	202,890	35,114	7,111	1,079	925.78
Parkview	4-AAAAAAA	2-0	78.39	760,471	1.43	147,941	31,789	5,193	727	1,374.52
Brookwood	4-AAAAAAA	1-2	78.09	749,490	1.39	139,949	28,848	4,554	612	1,632.99
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAAA	3-0	76.42	671,961	1.18	103,699	17,793	2,487	281	3,557.72
East Coweta	2-AAAAAAA	2-1	75.03	988,553	1.33	84,812	13,077	1,661	156	6,409.26
Denmark	6-AAAAAAA	1-1	74.77	770,773	1.09	55,029	11,691	1,268	128	7,811.50
McEachern	3-AAAAAAA	1-2	74.04	931,995	1.38	84,390	10,720	1,370	115	8,694.65
Newton	4-AAAAAAA	3-0	74.51	568,549	0.94	68,797	9,637	1,150	112	8,927.57
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	2-1	74.44	758,395	1.06	50,231	10,539	1,103	105	9,522.81
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAAAA	3-0	71.53	982,869	1.34	64,810	10,583	774	70	14,284.71
Norcross	7-AAAAAAA	0-2	71.78	992,092	1.27	57,632	9,532	804	54	18,517.52
North Paulding	3-AAAAAAA	2-1	70.72	867,833	1.15	41,688	4,429	365	26	38,460.54
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAAA	2-1	69.98	665,550	0.82	36,218	2,096	211	13	76,922.08
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	1-2	70.29	550,332	0.68	16,128	2,444	179	12	83,332.33
Pebblebrook	2-AAAAAAA	2-1	68.47	956,977	1.09	24,129	3,268	164	6	166,665.67
Harrison	3-AAAAAAA	1-2	67.67	776,092	0.94	19,015	1,735	107	4	249,999.00
Mountain View	8-AAAAAAA	1-2	66.73	602,411	0.75	23,801	2,523	114	2	499,999.00
Camden County	1-AAAAAAA	1-2	64.83	379,404	0.43	8,300	265	18	2	499,999.00
Archer	4-AAAAAAA	0-3	68.39	252,595	0.35	12,571	906	52	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAAA	0-3	61.77	319,538	0.37	5,534	363	7	-	-
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAAA	2-1	61.05	914,865	0.95	2,861	189	6	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAAA	2-1	60.01	896,894	0.92	2,013	123	6	-	-
Cherokee	5-AAAAAAA	1-2	58.99	804,033	0.86	3,418	141	4	-	-
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAAA	1-2	61.17	442,156	0.48	2,524	134	3	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAAA	3-0	53.35	84,276	0.09	271	5	-	-	-
Osborne	5-AAAAAAA	2-0	43.40	97,110	0.10	6	1	-	-	-
Wheeler	5-AAAAAAA	1-2	44.44	116,295	0.12	18	-	-	-	-
Campbell	2-AAAAAAA	0-3	43.07	56,096	0.06	4	-	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAAA	1-1	44.14	154,672	0.15	2	-	-	-	-
Discovery	7-AAAAAAA	1-2	37.29	40,614	0.04	-	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAAA	1-2	48.27	10,017	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAAA	2-1	21.76	1,012	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAAA	Valdosta	449,266	348,571	166,780	30,704	995,321	4,679
1-AAAAAAA	Lowndes	406,928	363,454	188,090	35,779	994,251	5,749
1-AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	134,029	247,745	452,199	131,501	965,474	34,526
1-AAAAAAA	Richmond Hill	8,079	29,997	137,209	490,265	665,550	334,450
1-AAAAAAA	Camden County	1,698	10,233	55,722	311,751	379,404	620,596
2-AAAAAAA	Carrollton	577,873	309,917	87,413	24,475	999,678	322
2-AAAAAAA	Westlake	324,609	429,531	183,761	60,795	998,696	1,304
2-AAAAAAA	East Coweta	76,813	192,831	452,789	266,120	988,553	11,447
2-AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	20,701	67,467	273,697	595,112	956,977	43,023
2-AAAAAAA	Campbell	4	254	2,340	53,498	56,096	943,904
3-AAAAAAA	Marietta	527,853	272,457	123,974	57,640	981,924	18,076
3-AAAAAAA	McEachern	243,933	304,317	239,368	144,377	931,995	68,005
3-AAAAAAA	North Paulding	137,329	223,590	280,901	226,013	867,833	132,167
3-AAAAAAA	Harrison	75,306	149,301	244,373	307,112	776,092	223,908
3-AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	15,579	50,335	111,384	264,858	442,156	557,844
4-AAAAAAA	Grayson	816,139	139,095	32,089	9,611	996,934	3,066
4-AAAAAAA	Parkview	60,462	254,810	244,158	201,041	760,471	239,529
4-AAAAAAA	Brookwood	56,878	245,203	242,472	204,937	749,490	250,510
4-AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	38,748	188,055	221,511	223,647	671,961	328,039
4-AAAAAAA	Newton	23,831	135,337	184,825	224,556	568,549	431,451
4-AAAAAAA	Archer	3,942	37,500	74,945	136,208	252,595	747,405
5-AAAAAAA	North Cobb	596,203	356,650	44,463	2,624	999,940	60
5-AAAAAAA	Walton	381,365	522,811	89,201	6,376	999,753	247
5-AAAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	21,298	110,641	681,291	169,639	982,869	17,131
5-AAAAAAA	Cherokee	1,126	9,486	165,759	627,662	804,033	195,967
5-AAAAAAA	Wheeler	4	252	10,661	105,378	116,295	883,705
5-AAAAAAA	Osborne	4	160	8,625	88,321	97,110	902,890
6-AAAAAAA	Milton	698,308	214,551	59,562	21,886	994,307	5,693
6-AAAAAAA	Lambert	167,910	351,437	250,567	146,262	916,176	83,824
6-AAAAAAA	Denmark	58,813	179,051	264,600	268,309	770,773	229,227
6-AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	54,832	169,847	258,394	275,322	758,395	241,605
6-AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	20,129	84,930	165,021	280,252	550,332	449,668
6-AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	8	184	1,856	7,969	10,017	989,983
7-AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	789,748	182,548	22,711	4,844	999,851	149
7-AAAAAAA	Norcross	169,746	544,783	207,790	69,773	992,092	7,908
7-AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	22,456	145,683	385,779	360,947	914,865	85,135
7-AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	17,926	122,579	351,108	405,281	896,894	103,106
7-AAAAAAA	Duluth	122	3,946	26,975	123,629	154,672	845,328
7-AAAAAAA	Discovery	2	461	5,594	34,557	40,614	959,386
7-AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	43	969	1,012	998,988
8-AAAAAAA	Buford	588,474	314,760	93,703	2,957	999,894	106
8-AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	335,858	457,935	197,421	8,346	999,560	440
8-AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	75,238	223,398	637,115	58,570	994,321	5,679
8-AAAAAAA	Mountain View	375	2,959	50,288	548,789	602,411	397,589
8-AAAAAAA	Dacula	55	894	18,542	300,047	319,538	680,462
8-AAAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	-	54	2,931	81,291	84,276	915,724

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Lee County	1-AAAAAA	3-0	98.89	999,511	4.38	949,554	769,771	671,459	542,572	0.84
Roswell	7-AAAAAA	3-0	89.88	999,805	3.46	836,599	388,600	277,374	133,066	6.52
Thomas County Central	1-AAAAAA	3-0	87.48	986,902	3.49	776,687	506,041	281,561	100,540	8.95
Houston County	1-AAAAAA	3-0	86.34	982,503	3.36	745,093	474,321	236,971	79,149	11.63
Blessed Trinity	7-AAAAAA	2-0	85.23	999,025	3.11	725,159	297,132	174,019	57,969	16.25
Gainesville	8-AAAAAA	3-0	82.64	998,907	3.09	650,798	433,529	118,993	39,223	24.50
Woodward Academy	3-AAAAAA	1-1	77.49	999,170	3.98	841,783	361,678	96,334	17,433	56.36
Hughes	5-AAAAAA	3-0	87.35	999,461	1.40	114,705	84,484	29,644	13,609	72.48
Rome	6-AAAAAA	2-1	77.34	985,768	2.12	262,178	81,075	28,340	5,150	193.17
Northside (Warner Robins)	1-AAAAAA	1-2	74.24	806,365	1.83	327,563	124,265	18,456	2,922	341.23
Marist	4-AAAAAA	2-1	73.67	999,767	2.09	168,352	51,511	12,852	1,708	584.48
South Paulding	5-AAAAAA	1-1	73.43	959,852	1.74	162,390	65,554	8,576	1,413	706.71
North Atlanta	4-AAAAAA	3-0	72.86	999,731	2.05	156,061	44,935	10,300	1,339	745.83
North Forsyth	8-AAAAAA	2-1	71.93	973,931	1.83	240,963	79,018	10,862	1,304	765.87
Brunswick	2-AAAAAA	2-0	71.74	996,390	1.70	229,452	78,222	8,759	1,260	792.65
Alpharetta	7-AAAAAA	1-1	69.47	933,683	1.56	164,040	35,543	4,502	390	2,563.10
River Ridge	6-AAAAAA	3-0	70.16	912,682	1.50	95,032	20,650	3,245	350	2,856.14
Lovejoy	3-AAAAAA	2-1	65.86	991,420	2.05	210,486	48,755	3,956	287	3,483.32
Douglas County	5-AAAAAA	2-1	69.03	887,802	1.42	83,662	21,778	2,157	233	4,290.85
Etowah	6-AAAAAA	3-0	64.49	736,510	0.98	29,280	5,388	380	34	29,410.76
St. Pius X	4-AAAAAA	1-2	61.94	993,811	1.55	70,780	10,398	521	25	39,999.00
Veterans	1-AAAAAA	2-0	61.40	156,239	0.23	17,034	2,470	100	6	166,665.67
Shiloh	8-AAAAAA	0-2	60.25	702,638	0.81	18,587	1,936	105	4	249,999.00
Habersham Central	8-AAAAAA	1-1	59.99	689,528	0.79	17,391	1,699	101	4	249,999.00
Allatoona	6-AAAAAA	0-3	61.68	593,992	0.72	12,994	2,091	94	4	249,999.00
Newnan	5-AAAAAA	0-2	59.95	477,732	0.60	9,980	952	57	2	499,999.00
Effingham County	2-AAAAAA	1-2	58.80	879,588	0.95	13,862	1,801	71	1	999,999.00
Evans	2-AAAAAA	2-0	57.46	840,831	0.90	9,422	1,037	47	1	999,999.00
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	0-3	56.90	68,480	0.09	4,043	410	15	1	999,999.00
Creekview	6-AAAAAA	0-3	58.12	390,814	0.44	4,092	488	13	1	999,999.00
Jonesboro	3-AAAAAA	1-2	55.32	763,586	0.94	11,563	1,070	52	-	-
Glynn Academy	2-AAAAAA	2-1	56.07	792,504	0.83	6,191	624	18	-	-
Paulding County	5-AAAAAA	2-1	57.82	349,103	0.42	4,820	371	16	-	-
Sequoyah	6-AAAAAA	0-3	57.91	379,716	0.43	3,887	456	11	-	-
Sprayberry	7-AAAAAA	1-2	55.27	362,844	0.41	5,190	556	9	-	-
Lanier	8-AAAAAA	1-2	55.91	457,452	0.49	4,774	270	9	-	-
East Paulding	5-AAAAAA	2-1	55.00	213,221	0.25	1,804	110	9	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAAAA	2-1	54.27	670,250	0.77	3,736	271	7	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAAA	0-3	54.66	332,518	0.37	4,261	421	3	-	-
Alcovy	3-AAAAAA	1-1	50.08	482,646	0.54	2,015	111	1	-	-
Lassiter	7-AAAAAA	1-1	50.48	165,268	0.18	900	64	1	-	-
Pope	7-AAAAAA	0-2	51.78	206,857	0.22	1,477	119	-	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAAA	1-2	51.43	103,017	0.11	392	13	-	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAAA	1-2	48.81	143,776	0.15	297	5	-	-	-
Grovetown	2-AAAAAA	2-1	44.24	171,577	0.17	64	2	-	-	-
South Effingham	2-AAAAAA	1-1	44.24	171,372	0.17	47	2	-	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAAA	1-1	36.97	424,347	0.44	259	1	-	-	-
Riverwood	4-AAAAAA	0-3	34.20	284,022	0.29	114	1	-	-	-
South Cobb	4-AAAAAA	0-3	34.48	298,322	0.31	105	1	-	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	2-AAAAAA	1-1	43.49	147,738	0.15	43	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAAA	2-1	39.48	88,465	0.09	24	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAAA	0-3	42.09	33,768	0.03	8	-	-	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAAA	0-3	42.39	9,812	0.01	6	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	3-AAAAAA	1-2	27.60	3,845	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	3-AAAAAA	0-2	24.73	618	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAAA	0-3	29.65	518	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAAA	3-0	36.52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Lee County	704,547	222,302	62,095	10,567	999,511	489
1-AAAAAA	Thomas County Central	156,141	380,609	345,338	104,814	986,902	13,098
1-AAAAAA	Houston County	128,706	340,323	387,093	126,381	982,503	17,497
1-AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	10,449	53,410	182,130	560,376	806,365	193,635
1-AAAAAA	Veterans	126	2,713	17,178	136,222	156,239	843,761
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	31	643	6,166	61,640	68,480	931,520
2-AAAAAA	Brunswick	738,506	187,125	54,546	16,213	996,390	3,610
2-AAAAAA	Effingham County	110,842	304,652	273,261	190,833	879,588	120,412
2-AAAAAA	Evans	83,758	254,494	277,394	225,185	840,831	159,169
2-AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	61,942	208,218	264,352	257,992	792,504	207,496
2-AAAAAA	South Effingham	1,820	16,299	45,716	107,537	171,372	828,628
2-AAAAAA	Grovetown	1,790	16,147	45,954	107,686	171,577	828,423
2-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	1,342	13,065	38,777	94,554	147,738	852,262
3-AAAAAA	Woodward Academy	762,348	202,715	28,889	5,218	999,170	830
3-AAAAAA	Lovejoy	206,998	603,921	153,928	26,573	991,420	8,580
3-AAAAAA	Jonesboro	20,345	124,543	337,508	281,190	763,586	236,414
3-AAAAAA	Mundy's Mill	5,442	21,230	292,735	350,843	670,250	329,750
3-AAAAAA	Alcovy	4,769	44,929	164,346	268,602	482,646	517,354
3-AAAAAA	Morrow	98	2,643	22,079	63,645	88,465	911,535
3-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	-	16	478	3,351	3,845	996,155
3-AAAAAA	Forest Park	-	3	37	578	618	999,382
4-AAAAAA	Marist	480,339	377,452	138,224	3,752	999,767	233
4-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	437,404	402,267	155,437	4,623	999,731	269
4-AAAAAA	St. Pius X	82,012	217,586	641,911	52,302	993,811	6,189
4-AAAAAA	Dunwoody	142	1,391	30,046	392,768	424,347	575,653
4-AAAAAA	South Cobb	53	644	17,715	279,910	298,322	701,678
4-AAAAAA	Riverwood	50	660	16,667	266,645	284,022	715,978
4-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAAA	Hughes	806,147	161,323	28,305	3,686	999,461	539
5-AAAAAA	South Paulding	131,327	468,764	268,746	91,015	959,852	40,148
5-AAAAAA	Douglas County	54,772	273,373	382,821	176,836	887,802	112,198
5-AAAAAA	Newnan	4,696	49,614	144,004	279,418	477,732	522,268
5-AAAAAA	Paulding County	2,192	29,276	97,732	219,903	349,103	650,897
5-AAAAAA	East Paulding	706	13,356	54,494	144,665	213,221	786,779
5-AAAAAA	Alexander	157	4,169	22,547	76,144	103,017	896,983
5-AAAAAA	New Manchester	3	125	1,351	8,333	9,812	990,188
6-AAAAAA	Rome	626,716	240,304	88,509	30,239	985,768	14,232
6-AAAAAA	River Ridge	228,707	349,614	220,675	113,686	912,682	87,318
6-AAAAAA	Etowah	76,539	182,922	257,995	219,054	736,510	263,490
6-AAAAAA	Allatoona	39,065	115,367	196,517	243,043	593,992	406,008
6-AAAAAA	Creekview	15,067	57,443	119,996	198,308	390,814	609,186
6-AAAAAA	Sequoyah	13,906	54,348	116,266	195,196	379,716	620,284
6-AAAAAA	Woodstock	-	2	42	474	518	999,482
7-AAAAAA	Roswell	617,456	336,552	43,693	2,104	999,805	195
7-AAAAAA	Blessed Trinity	358,847	531,618	101,473	7,087	999,025	975
7-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	22,967	119,053	624,227	167,436	933,683	66,317
7-AAAAAA	Sprayberry	328	5,369	84,604	272,543	362,844	637,156
7-AAAAAA	Johns Creek	270	4,422	75,687	252,139	332,518	667,482
7-AAAAAA	Pope	80	1,812	40,342	164,623	206,857	793,143
7-AAAAAA	Lassiter	52	1,174	29,974	134,068	165,268	834,732
8-AAAAAA	Gainesville	758,736	203,936	30,594	5,641	998,907	1,093
8-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	200,645	521,831	188,760	62,695	973,931	26,069
8-AAAAAA	Shiloh	18,149	112,338	291,239	280,912	702,638	297,362
8-AAAAAA	Habersham Central	16,847	107,567	282,294	282,820	689,528	310,472
8-AAAAAA	Lanier	5,216	46,586	159,348	246,302	457,452	542,548
8-AAAAAA	Jackson County	393	7,045	40,514	95,824	143,776	856,224
8-AAAAAA	Apalachee	14	697	7,251	25,806	33,768	966,232

Class AAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Warner Robins	2-AAAAA	1-1	86.16	999,247	4.32	945,636	831,558	575,498	426,689	1.34
Ware County	1-AAAAA	2-0	83.40	999,982	3.62	824,821	576,521	346,704	217,457	3.60
Cartersville	7-AAAAA	3-0	81.07	999,744	3.15	674,800	389,647	217,075	118,455	7.44
Dutchtown	2-AAAAA	3-0	75.16	981,999	2.95	641,841	420,859	196,701	60,814	15.44
Coffee	1-AAAAA	1-1	74.70	999,563	2.56	526,759	273,265	124,458	39,094	24.58
Jones County	2-AAAAA	2-1	73.43	972,852	2.62	548,797	331,413	137,971	37,870	25.41
Cambridge	6-AAAAA	2-1	73.22	999,641	2.56	429,884	183,260	79,688	23,541	41.48
Calhoun	7-AAAAA	2-1	72.99	996,214	2.37	415,629	176,735	75,686	21,192	46.19
Kell	6-AAAAA	3-0	71.63	999,433	2.42	379,441	143,240	55,320	14,771	66.70
Jefferson	8-AAAAA	2-1	71.05	918,170	2.23	453,573	146,217	49,617	13,319	74.08
Creekside	5-AAAAA	0-2	69.43	990,507	2.51	473,204	169,986	59,198	12,449	79.33
Loganville	8-AAAAA	3-0	69.57	886,711	2.00	377,334	113,761	35,537	8,294	119.57
Tucker	4-AAAAA	2-0	65.87	999,145	2.22	225,357	74,007	22,117	3,345	297.95
Flowery Branch	8-AAAAA	2-1	64.67	710,834	1.24	160,138	36,691	8,199	1,277	782.09
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	1-1	62.88	617,619	0.99	106,393	21,817	4,279	544	1,837.24
Mays	5-AAAAA	1-2	59.63	875,124	1.43	123,501	18,732	2,683	253	3,951.57
Ola	2-AAAAA	2-1	59.37	635,584	0.80	56,316	12,221	1,771	146	6,848.32
Eastside	8-AAAAA	1-1	60.17	461,314	0.66	51,520	8,787	1,321	122	8,195.72
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	3-0	59.15	404,697	0.56	38,191	6,141	900	85	11,763.71
Cass	7-AAAAA	1-2	57.04	873,207	1.17	72,972	9,608	1,045	74	13,512.51
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	1-1	56.58	768,178	1.09	59,534	7,042	733	57	17,542.86
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAAA	2-1	53.15	957,522	1.61	49,707	9,264	797	30	33,332.33
Decatur	4-AAAAA	1-2	53.16	965,584	1.62	41,339	5,474	413	23	43,477.26
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	1-2	54.75	680,803	0.91	35,816	3,545	312	23	43,477.26
Harris County	3-AAAAA	1-2	52.44	949,901	1.56	43,321	7,572	607	22	45,453.55
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAAAA	1-2	53.37	934,802	1.27	53,391	4,642	313	15	66,665.67
Dalton	7-AAAAA	1-1	53.22	757,499	0.93	37,266	3,256	234	10	99,999.00
Union Grove	2-AAAAA	2-1	54.40	341,002	0.39	14,351	1,980	164	9	111,110.11
Banneker	5-AAAAA	2-1	51.93	509,124	0.63	14,829	1,179	120	5	199,999.00
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	1-2	49.48	849,034	0.91	17,200	2,334	108	5	199,999.00
Northgate	3-AAAAA	0-3	47.87	869,235	1.25	16,682	1,745	84	3	333,332.33
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	2-0	47.86	893,844	1.32	16,920	1,592	77	3	333,332.33
Centennial	6-AAAAA	1-1	51.49	904,741	1.17	37,102	2,847	148	2	499,999.00
Jenkins	1-AAAAA	1-2	48.65	825,836	0.87	14,148	1,754	83	1	999,999.00
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	1-2	44.27	754,433	0.97	6,545	477	12	1	999,999.00
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	1-2	43.56	769,481	1.03	7,733	522	19	-	-
Hiram	7-AAAAA	1-2	45.63	344,525	0.38	4,765	203	8	-	-
Drew	3-AAAAA	0-2	38.81	468,909	0.54	1,161	38	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAAA	0-3	45.04	68,703	0.07	494	29	-	-	-
Maynard Jackson	5-AAAAA	1-1	43.83	124,953	0.13	547	17	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	0-3	35.71	191,431	0.19	260	7	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAAA	1-2	33.81	245,439	0.28	398	6	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	5-AAAAA	1-1	38.85	37,124	0.04	40	4	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	0-3	33.63	134,154	0.13	99	3	-	-	-
Lithonia	4-AAAAA	0-3	29.98	126,507	0.14	115	1	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	6-AAAAA	0-2	31.85	72,310	0.07	63	1	-	-	-
North Springs	6-AAAAA	1-1	31.75	71,106	0.07	37	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAAA	1-2	31.78	28,811	0.03	18	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	5-AAAAA	1-2	35.49	14,187	0.01	10	-	-	-	-
Northview	6-AAAAA	1-1	25.28	17,967	0.02	2	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	8-AAAAA	2-1	32.22	655	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	2-AAAAA	0-2	24.30	613	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Midtown	5-AAAAA	1-1	23.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	4-AAAAA	0-2	-36.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Ware County	723,921	267,402	8,113	546	999,982	18
1-AAAAA	Coffee	272,652	671,956	50,730	4,225	999,563	437
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	1,856	31,691	451,094	364,393	849,034	150,966
1-AAAAA	Jenkins	1,540	26,964	405,918	391,414	825,836	174,164
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	16	1,279	50,548	139,588	191,431	808,569
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	15	708	33,597	99,834	134,154	865,846
2-AAAAA	Warner Robins	703,686	223,560	63,687	8,314	999,247	753
2-AAAAA	Dutchtown	165,935	396,309	339,584	80,171	981,999	18,001
2-AAAAA	Jones County	123,985	334,078	405,589	109,200	972,852	27,148
2-AAAAA	Ola	5,316	34,164	130,812	465,292	635,584	364,416
2-AAAAA	Union Grove	1,057	11,183	53,389	275,373	341,002	658,998
2-AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	21	706	6,932	61,044	68,703	931,297
2-AAAAA	Locust Grove	-	-	7	606	613	999,387
3-AAAAA	Northside (Columbus)	383,627	290,403	182,651	100,841	957,522	42,478
3-AAAAA	Harris County	347,357	292,737	197,252	112,555	949,901	50,099
3-AAAAA	Northgate	165,099	219,400	269,735	215,001	869,235	130,765
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	81,579	140,635	230,346	301,873	754,433	245,567
3-AAAAA	Drew	22,338	56,825	120,016	269,730	468,909	531,091
4-AAAAA	Tucker	769,793	185,464	35,609	8,279	999,145	855
4-AAAAA	Decatur	151,305	440,654	263,862	109,763	965,584	34,416
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	56,103	234,006	360,554	243,181	893,844	106,156
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	21,373	119,300	257,986	370,822	769,481	230,519
4-AAAAA	M.L. King	1,124	15,363	56,010	172,942	245,439	754,561
4-AAAAA	Lithonia	302	5,213	25,979	95,013	126,507	873,493
4-AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Creekside	679,724	210,463	74,157	26,163	990,507	9,493
5-AAAAA	Mays	156,539	314,378	243,820	160,387	875,124	124,876
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	82,604	210,806	253,557	221,211	768,178	231,822
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	53,645	157,261	222,972	246,925	680,803	319,197
5-AAAAA	Banneker	25,577	92,917	160,211	230,419	509,124	490,876
5-AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	1,691	11,544	34,016	77,702	124,953	875,047
5-AAAAA	Chapel Hill	190	2,045	8,486	26,403	37,124	962,876
5-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	30	586	2,781	10,790	14,187	985,813
5-AAAAA	Midtown	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAA	Cambridge	529,851	396,945	61,486	11,359	999,641	359
6-AAAAA	Kell	439,620	461,472	82,338	16,003	999,433	567
6-AAAAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	18,648	82,240	458,863	375,051	934,802	65,198
6-AAAAA	Centennial	11,854	58,555	374,954	459,378	904,741	95,259
6-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	18	381	10,498	61,413	72,310	927,690
6-AAAAA	North Springs	9	379	10,194	60,524	71,106	928,894
6-AAAAA	Northview	-	28	1,667	16,272	17,967	982,033
7-AAAAA	Cartersville	703,498	266,665	26,151	3,430	999,744	256
7-AAAAA	Calhoun	275,429	581,162	118,536	21,087	996,214	3,786
7-AAAAA	Cass	14,817	95,244	463,394	299,752	873,207	126,793
7-AAAAA	Dalton	5,700	47,396	295,982	408,421	757,499	242,501
7-AAAAA	Hiram	554	9,395	90,612	243,964	344,525	655,475
7-AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	2	138	5,325	23,346	28,811	971,189
8-AAAAA	Jefferson	396,785	260,485	166,557	94,343	918,170	81,830
8-AAAAA	Loganville	313,920	264,952	189,601	118,238	886,711	113,289
8-AAAAA	Flowery Branch	126,487	177,947	209,181	197,219	710,834	289,166
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	85,249	137,979	183,179	211,212	617,619	382,381
8-AAAAA	Eastside	43,871	86,885	134,873	195,685	461,314	538,686
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	33,688	71,742	116,540	182,727	404,697	595,303
8-AAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	-	10	69	576	655	999,345

Class AAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Cedartown	7-AAAA	3-0	84.20	999,915	4.12	931,829	714,689	484,376	349,154	1.86
Benedictine	3-AAAA	2-1	80.28	999,717	3.45	683,085	546,391	385,232	198,133	4.05
Perry	2-AAAA	1-1	78.91	999,435	3.30	689,472	423,971	202,887	114,626	7.72
North Oconee	8-AAAA	2-0	78.25	999,945	3.41	820,232	452,497	202,001	114,224	7.75
Starr's Mill	4-AAAA	3-0	76.13	981,027	2.99	574,495	419,873	229,710	91,035	9.98
Bainbridge	1-AAAA	1-2	75.97	999,937	2.96	629,292	269,541	130,301	61,341	15.30
Pace Academy	5-AAAA	3-0	69.00	990,857	2.55	513,654	191,872	89,644	20,725	47.25
Burke County	3-AAAA	2-0	70.56	994,699	2.07	286,367	144,505	60,917	16,743	58.73
Troup	4-AAAA	3-0	69.84	911,455	1.94	283,185	154,110	60,867	15,612	63.05
Whitewater	4-AAAA	3-0	66.04	811,470	1.41	154,282	71,829	23,278	4,280	232.64
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-AAAA	1-2	64.75	762,059	1.25	122,105	54,465	16,726	2,736	364.50
Wayne County	3-AAAA	2-1	63.78	974,647	1.52	126,169	46,239	12,325	1,982	503.54
Cairo	1-AAAA	1-2	60.81	991,329	1.92	174,314	80,251	18,285	1,922	519.29
Hapeville Charter	6-AAAA	0-3	61.00	799,758	1.52	186,770	49,521	11,546	1,303	766.46
West Laurens	2-AAAA	1-1	60.04	863,852	1.58	113,668	45,933	11,398	1,205	828.88
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	1-2	60.14	764,987	1.41	161,130	39,344	8,706	938	1,065.10
Holy Innocents	6-AAAA	2-1	60.19	767,367	1.41	162,103	39,838	8,903	900	1,110.11
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAAA	3-0	57.08	815,078	1.46	175,193	33,699	6,190	444	2,251.25
Central (Carrollton)	7-AAAA	2-1	56.87	809,008	1.43	168,260	31,371	5,506	419	2,385.63
Stephenson	6-AAAA	1-1	58.48	689,533	1.18	117,423	24,769	4,883	410	2,438.02
Stockbridge	5-AAAA	1-2	58.10	849,579	1.40	115,829	22,086	4,252	371	2,694.42
LaGrange	4-AAAA	2-0	59.45	468,837	0.63	36,258	12,788	2,904	317	3,153.57
Southwest DeKalb	6-AAAA	1-2	57.45	634,694	1.05	94,076	17,932	3,254	255	3,920.57
Hampton	5-AAAA	3-0	57.26	821,581	1.31	101,098	18,274	3,259	252	3,967.25
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAAA	3-0	55.35	755,965	1.25	123,912	20,387	3,265	220	4,544.45
New Hampstead	3-AAAA	3-0	55.63	877,137	1.08	41,087	13,993	2,019	112	8,927.57
Westside (Macon)	2-AAAA	3-0	54.52	631,914	0.93	34,715	10,501	1,655	91	10,988.01
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAAA	0-2	52.56	821,372	1.19	77,691	9,794	1,284	55	18,180.82
Woodland (Stockbridge)	5-AAAA	2-1	53.28	637,738	0.91	51,282	7,095	887	51	19,606.84
Sonoraville	7-AAAA	2-1	52.37	619,179	0.90	60,931	7,509	920	49	20,407.16
Spalding	2-AAAA	2-1	52.62	523,614	0.73	20,685	5,507	726	38	26,314.79
Miller Grove	6-AAAA	2-1	52.19	343,661	0.48	24,842	2,910	386	12	83,332.33
Madison County	8-AAAA	1-1	49.78	697,384	0.91	40,674	4,205	429	11	90,908.09
Lovett	5-AAAA	0-2	50.40	461,220	0.61	26,549	3,054	292	11	90,908.09
North Hall	8-AAAA	0-2	47.50	564,856	0.69	20,960	1,726	128	6	166,665.67
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	2-0	46.89	526,147	0.63	17,306	1,418	106	6	166,665.67
Howard	2-AAAA	2-0	50.27	384,494	0.50	9,858	2,194	245	5	199,999.00
Griffin	2-AAAA	0-3	49.26	327,011	0.41	6,823	1,439	141	3	333,332.33
Baldwin	2-AAAA	0-3	48.05	269,680	0.33	4,435	837	69	1	999,999.00
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	2-0	41.50	294,092	0.32	3,108	137	6	1	999,999.00
McDonough	5-AAAA	1-1	40.36	70,866	0.08	880	44	4	1	999,999.00
Westover	1-AAAA	1-2	44.22	774,746	0.89	5,055	712	48	-	-
Luella	5-AAAA	0-3	44.34	168,040	0.20	3,978	241	15	-	-
Hardaway	1-AAAA	0-3	41.91	680,859	0.75	2,489	250	11	-	-
Riverdale	4-AAAA	1-2	47.95	63,772	0.07	737	128	10	-	-
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAAA	0-2	39.92	134,593	0.14	378	45	3	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-3	37.50	43,225	0.05	170	4	1	-	-
Shaw	1-AAAA	2-1	39.37	553,129	0.59	1,040	81	-	-	-
Chestatee	8-AAAA	0-2	35.13	48,437	0.05	120	1	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAAA	0-3	29.90	19,207	0.02	6	-	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAAA	2-0	27.88	4,542	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	4-AAAA	0-3	33.37	1,380	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	2-1	18.79	855	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAAA	0-2	19.75	119	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	6-AAAA	0-3	18.24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	6-AAAA	1-1	15.86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8-AAAA	0-3	11.44	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	6-AAAA	0-2	4.52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	4-AAAA	1-2	2.71	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Bainbridge	843,626	148,513	6,933	865	999,937	63
1-AAAA	Cairo	146,663	680,831	138,437	25,398	991,329	8,671
1-AAAA	Westover	5,403	82,989	378,003	308,351	774,746	225,254
1-AAAA	Hardaway	2,915	54,140	280,291	343,513	680,859	319,141
1-AAAA	Shaw	1,393	33,527	196,336	321,873	553,129	446,871
2-AAAA	Perry	896,102	89,560	11,735	2,038	999,435	565
2-AAAA	West Laurens	66,709	428,951	233,707	134,485	863,852	136,148
2-AAAA	Westside (Macon)	17,298	180,276	230,262	204,078	631,914	368,086
2-AAAA	Spalding	9,944	124,575	187,551	201,544	523,614	476,386
2-AAAA	Howard	4,584	74,810	133,822	171,278	384,494	615,506
2-AAAA	Griffin	3,323	58,321	112,298	153,069	327,011	672,989
2-AAAA	Baldwin	2,040	43,507	90,625	133,508	269,680	730,320
3-AAAA	Benedictine	710,494	230,454	48,965	9,804	999,717	283
3-AAAA	Burke County	211,172	472,706	241,180	69,641	994,699	5,301
3-AAAA	Wayne County	66,355	232,610	459,195	216,487	974,647	25,353
3-AAAA	New Hampstead	11,912	62,259	235,260	567,706	877,137	122,863
3-AAAA	Southeast Bulloch	66	1,899	13,954	118,674	134,593	865,407
3-AAAA	Islands	1	72	1,446	17,688	19,207	980,793
4-AAAA	Starr's Mill	558,059	257,008	115,604	50,356	981,027	18,973
4-AAAA	Troup	223,881	301,481	236,713	149,380	911,455	88,545
4-AAAA	Whitewater	110,116	201,746	259,848	239,760	811,470	188,530
4-AAAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	84,054	168,274	242,421	267,310	762,059	237,941
4-AAAA	LaGrange	23,311	67,952	131,686	245,888	468,837	531,163
4-AAAA	Riverdale	578	3,519	13,580	46,095	63,772	936,228
4-AAAA	Fayette County	1	20	148	1,211	1,380	998,620
4-AAAA	North Clayton	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Pace Academy	689,403	205,404	71,927	24,123	990,857	9,143
5-AAAA	Stockbridge	131,573	290,421	252,665	174,920	849,579	150,421
5-AAAA	Hampton	110,984	260,247	259,347	191,003	821,581	178,419
5-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	44,363	140,457	206,053	246,865	637,738	362,262
5-AAAA	Lovett	20,385	80,139	144,332	216,364	461,220	538,780
5-AAAA	Luella	2,684	17,999	47,523	99,834	168,040	831,960
5-AAAA	McDonough	608	5,333	18,141	46,784	70,866	929,134
5-AAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	-	12	107	119	999,881
6-AAAA	Hapeville Charter	252,500	212,675	184,396	150,187	799,758	200,242
6-AAAA	Holy Innocents	217,091	201,085	186,752	162,439	767,367	232,633
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	214,539	201,113	185,762	163,573	764,987	235,013
6-AAAA	Stephenson	155,674	170,872	180,012	182,975	689,533	310,467
6-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	125,136	151,401	169,640	188,517	634,694	365,306
6-AAAA	Miller Grove	35,060	62,854	93,438	152,309	343,661	656,339
6-AAAA	Druid Hills	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Stone Mountain	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAA	Cedartown	932,168	62,299	4,238	1,210	999,915	85
7-AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	22,818	292,242	274,374	225,644	815,078	184,922
7-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	22,062	282,691	272,506	231,749	809,008	190,992
7-AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	15,502	225,271	254,526	260,666	755,965	244,035
7-AAAA	Sonoraville	7,450	137,492	194,172	280,065	619,179	380,821
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	5	184	666	855	999,145
8-AAAA	North Oconee	953,083	43,096	3,297	469	999,945	55
8-AAAA	Cherokee Bluff	24,502	380,428	251,383	165,059	821,372	178,628
8-AAAA	Madison County	11,512	236,569	244,987	204,316	697,384	302,616
8-AAAA	North Hall	5,525	151,320	197,113	210,898	564,856	435,144
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	4,527	132,837	182,774	206,009	526,147	473,853
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	812	47,842	95,267	150,171	294,092	705,908
8-AAAA	Chestatee	21	3,942	12,900	31,574	48,437	951,563
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	18	3,802	11,374	28,031	43,225	956,775
8-AAAA	East Hall	-	164	905	3,473	4,542	995,458
8-AAAA	Seckinger	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	2-0	94.09	1,000,000	4.70	937,742	902,011	861,009	796,735	0.26
Sandy Creek	5-AAA	3-0	74.20	1,000,000	3.33	611,541	453,884	300,594	52,793	17.94
Oconee County	8-AAA	2-1	74.35	990,866	2.83	425,806	322,155	178,748	41,377	23.17
Carver (Columbus)	1-AAA	2-0	70.71	983,238	3.03	692,787	397,362	141,549	27,593	35.24
Stephens County	8-AAA	2-1	71.79	981,690	2.59	371,108	256,196	112,361	23,969	40.72
Crisp County	1-AAA	2-1	70.08	980,280	2.94	668,351	370,018	125,563	23,606	41.36
Thomasville	1-AAA	1-2	66.55	955,082	2.43	517,155	219,985	58,988	9,002	110.09
Calvary Day	3-AAA	2-0	66.25	997,802	2.51	498,586	78,186	35,398	6,744	147.28
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AAA	2-0	64.17	1,000,000	2.58	465,180	211,256	59,156	5,194	191.53
Peach County	2-AAA	1-1	64.70	998,993	2.04	377,617	106,378	36,448	3,983	250.07
Monroe Area	8-AAA	1-2	64.57	909,274	2.07	307,264	149,370	26,809	3,979	250.32
Adairsville	6-AAA	1-1	58.73	995,612	2.12	298,972	111,222	8,147	1,043	957.77
Dougherty	1-AAA	3-0	60.23	846,316	1.61	262,963	63,469	12,635	1,012	987.14
Mary Persons	2-AAA	2-1	59.97	996,121	1.64	222,826	52,628	9,633	836	1,195.17
Dawson County	7-AAA	2-1	59.78	960,786	1.63	176,651	64,905	10,467	830	1,203.82
Jackson	2-AAA	1-1	57.97	993,821	1.51	173,188	40,549	5,364	380	2,630.58
Hart County	8-AAA	1-1	57.25	685,859	1.23	131,627	40,093	4,330	289	3,459.21
Morgan County	4-AAA	3-0	54.79	998,731	1.82	149,370	42,965	3,195	198	5,049.51
White County	7-AAA	2-1	55.82	901,530	1.28	88,405	25,931	2,524	158	6,328.11
Savannah Christian	3-AAA	2-0	53.68	932,893	1.70	141,129	21,569	2,731	119	8,402.36
Hebron Christian	8-AAA	3-0	52.72	428,331	0.66	48,244	10,367	814	42	23,808.52
Wesleyan	7-AAA	1-2	51.70	778,812	0.96	32,713	7,158	496	31	32,257.06
Liberty County	3-AAA	2-0	49.20	831,968	1.32	62,833	8,713	569	23	43,477.26
Savannah Country Day	3-AAA	2-1	50.18	860,086	1.40	75,846	10,768	847	20	49,999.00
Harlem	4-AAA	2-1	48.39	993,035	1.45	56,149	7,872	458	16	62,499.00
Lumpkin County	7-AAA	3-0	51.01	751,440	0.91	27,135	5,660	338	13	76,922.08
Ringgold	6-AAA	0-2	46.23	862,490	1.02	23,228	3,265	137	6	166,665.67
Gilmer	7-AAA	3-0	47.23	547,334	0.61	8,550	1,351	52	3	333,332.33
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	0-3	45.53	920,418	1.01	22,583	2,870	130	2	499,999.00
Monroe	1-AAA	2-1	48.10	227,595	0.29	15,289	1,086	97	2	499,999.00
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	2-1	46.38	989,039	1.35	38,349	3,954	186	1	999,999.00
Bremen	6-AAA	1-2	46.34	865,814	1.03	23,742	3,349	139	1	999,999.00
Hephzibah	4-AAA	2-1	43.52	979,571	1.23	21,176	1,391	66	-	-
Douglass	5-AAA	1-2	41.19	1,000,000	1.21	19,465	1,640	14	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6-AAA	1-1	38.70	490,091	0.51	1,458	115	4	-	-
Long County	3-AAA	2-1	38.98	279,836	0.35	3,417	234	3	-	-
LaFayette	6-AAA	1-1	37.77	430,338	0.44	955	54	1	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	0-1	33.04	91,565	0.10	328	12	-	-	-
Ridgeland	6-AAA	0-2	33.78	217,811	0.22	170	6	-	-	-
Pike County	2-AAA	1-2	24.95	90,647	0.09	33	1	-	-	-
Columbus	1-AAA	1-2	30.92	7,489	0.01	25	1	-	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6-AAA	1-2	28.24	62,999	0.06	7	1	-	-	-
Pickens	7-AAA	0-3	34.06	58,711	0.06	28	-	-	-	-
Gordon Lee	6-AAA	1-2	28.95	74,845	0.08	9	-	-	-	-
Salem	4-AAA	0-3	14.35	38,894	0.04	-	-	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	0-3	21.50	4,736	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AAA	0-3	28.21	3,980	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
West Hall	7-AAA	1-2	19.89	1,387	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	1-1	16.98	1,114	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	0-2	-3.26	730	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAA	Carver (Columbus)	381,735	304,822	200,580	96,101	983,238	16,762
1-AAA	Crisp County	350,455	307,168	215,557	107,100	980,280	19,720
1-AAA	Thomasville	203,425	259,426	302,939	189,292	955,082	44,918
1-AAA	Dougherty	62,155	117,597	243,840	422,724	846,316	153,684
1-AAA	Monroe	2,225	10,947	36,438	177,985	227,595	772,405
1-AAA	Columbus	5	40	646	6,798	7,489	992,511
2-AAA	Peach County	511,053	301,796	147,744	38,400	998,993	1,007
2-AAA	Mary Persons	271,850	345,015	287,320	91,936	996,121	3,879
2-AAA	Jackson	198,186	302,248	363,141	130,246	993,821	6,179
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	18,889	50,478	198,135	652,916	920,418	79,582
2-AAA	Pike County	22	463	3,660	86,502	90,647	909,353
3-AAA	Calvary Day	743,077	190,773	49,138	14,814	997,802	2,198
3-AAA	Savannah Christian	133,223	354,997	276,041	168,632	932,893	67,107
3-AAA	Savannah Country Day	66,374	227,335	299,238	267,139	860,086	139,914
3-AAA	Liberty County	53,909	196,161	284,875	297,023	831,968	168,032
3-AAA	Long County	3,084	25,918	70,406	180,428	279,836	720,164
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	332	4,745	19,650	66,838	91,565	908,435
3-AAA	Beach	1	62	552	4,121	4,736	995,264
3-AAA	Groves	-	9	100	1,005	1,114	998,886
4-AAA	Morgan County	526,425	279,140	125,265	67,901	998,731	1,269
4-AAA	Harlem	219,568	298,283	270,442	204,742	993,035	6,965
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	158,093	247,879	304,676	278,391	989,039	10,961
4-AAA	Hephzibah	95,903	174,338	297,949	411,381	979,571	20,429
4-AAA	Salem	11	360	1,653	36,870	38,894	961,106
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	15	715	730	999,270
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	904,213	89,808	5,864	115	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Sandy Creek	83,657	680,887	227,291	8,165	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Carver (Atlanta)	12,071	226,218	701,995	59,716	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Douglass	59	3,087	64,850	932,004	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Adairsville	742,168	186,041	53,725	13,678	995,612	4,388
6-AAA	Bremen	114,378	316,343	275,982	159,111	865,814	134,186
6-AAA	Ringgold	111,003	312,136	277,424	161,927	862,490	137,510
6-AAA	Coahulla Creek	16,572	84,049	158,211	231,259	490,091	509,909
6-AAA	LaFayette	12,125	67,847	136,591	213,775	430,338	569,662
6-AAA	Ridgeland	3,060	24,388	63,755	126,608	217,811	782,189
6-AAA	Gordon Lee	404	5,130	18,805	50,506	74,845	925,155
6-AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	290	4,066	15,507	43,136	62,999	937,001
7-AAA	Dawson County	470,074	265,313	148,111	77,288	960,786	39,214
7-AAA	White County	259,022	277,234	218,209	147,065	901,530	98,470
7-AAA	Wesleyan	121,274	187,691	234,906	234,941	778,812	221,188
7-AAA	Lumpkin County	104,717	171,734	227,651	247,338	751,440	248,560
7-AAA	Gilmer	44,188	94,551	158,042	250,553	547,334	452,666
7-AAA	Pickens	723	3,464	12,905	41,619	58,711	941,289
7-AAA	West Hall	2	13	176	1,196	1,387	998,613
8-AAA	Oconee County	499,843	319,821	131,285	39,917	990,866	9,134
8-AAA	Stephens County	359,142	367,622	190,525	64,401	981,690	18,310
8-AAA	Monroe Area	111,221	214,444	378,020	205,589	909,274	90,726
8-AAA	Hart County	23,147	69,370	200,261	393,081	685,859	314,141
8-AAA	Hebron Christian	6,646	28,725	99,502	293,458	428,331	571,669
8-AAA	Franklin County	1	18	407	3,554	3,980	996,020

Class AA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Pierce County	3-AA	2-0	76.11	999,705	3.95	829,562	694,507	470,184	313,074	2.19
Fitzgerald	1-AA	3-0	75.59	997,504	3.95	820,685	660,351	477,984	300,158	2.33
Cook	1-AA	2-1	71.76	991,477	3.55	711,924	543,170	329,238	160,108	5.25
Rockmart	7-AA	1-1	68.43	999,327	3.17	727,966	306,601	182,812	74,543	12.42
Thomson	4-AA	2-1	66.67	999,689	2.57	355,189	260,780	109,964	43,128	22.19
Fellowship Christian	8-AA	1-1	63.80	999,757	2.74	514,879	266,921	89,717	26,664	36.50
Eagle's Landing Christian	5-AA	1-2	63.66	999,308	2.78	571,022	223,489	82,200	25,094	38.85
Appling County	3-AA	1-1	62.73	982,013	2.43	415,835	218,404	69,751	18,236	53.84
Callaway	5-AA	0-3	61.34	998,601	2.56	475,373	166,146	52,491	13,563	72.73
Columbia	5-AA	3-0	60.49	998,288	2.48	442,630	147,459	44,011	10,773	91.82
Northeast	2-AA	0-2	58.10	999,894	2.07	284,376	119,256	25,397	4,818	206.56
Dodge County	1-AA	1-2	56.29	703,694	1.42	138,074	54,136	10,595	1,823	547.55
Haralson County	7-AA	1-1	54.85	964,717	1.99	308,257	56,477	11,164	1,803	553.63
North Cobb Christian	6-AA	3-0	54.11	996,362	2.01	306,749	55,836	10,044	1,598	624.78
Worth County	1-AA	3-0	55.38	656,464	1.29	117,302	43,283	7,646	1,245	802.21
Athens Academy	8-AA	2-1	53.85	993,887	1.88	215,729	45,334	7,554	1,100	908.09
Vidalia	3-AA	3-0	54.23	874,277	1.42	97,354	31,015	5,462	748	1,335.90
Putnam County	4-AA	1-1	53.87	986,616	1.52	86,107	27,987	4,973	692	1,444.09
South Atlanta	6-AA	2-0	51.46	992,280	1.74	204,670	29,989	4,345	489	2,043.99
Washington County	4-AA	0-2	49.47	963,013	1.26	45,912	10,549	1,205	100	9,999.00
North Murray	7-AA	2-1	48.18	867,118	1.32	97,441	10,902	1,148	98	10,203.08
Toombs County	3-AA	2-0	48.13	638,257	0.83	21,398	4,846	475	28	35,713.29
Berrien	1-AA	2-1	47.82	238,848	0.37	16,897	3,507	284	25	39,999.00
Laney	4-AA	2-0	46.33	928,519	1.10	24,837	4,151	372	21	47,618.05
Union County	8-AA	2-1	43.94	941,618	1.26	59,420	4,307	288	21	47,618.05
Fannin County	7-AA	1-2	44.38	746,995	0.99	39,566	3,512	217	18	55,554.56
Jeff Davis	1-AA	0-3	47.07	210,494	0.32	13,240	2,451	212	18	55,554.56
Sumter County	1-AA	1-1	46.83	201,519	0.31	12,597	2,380	203	12	83,332.33
Brantley County	3-AA	3-0	43.13	339,477	0.40	4,170	702	28	2	499,999.00
Model	7-AA	1-2	38.22	416,123	0.48	6,471	321	13	-	-
Mount Paran Christian	6-AA	0-2	35.83	761,958	0.82	6,306	258	6	-	-
Landmark Christian	5-AA	2-1	33.82	600,719	0.68	8,648	205	6	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-AA	0-2	35.72	917,704	0.99	3,106	241	5	-	-
Banks County	8-AA	2-0	34.13	672,600	0.72	4,600	121	3	-	-
Washington	6-AA	0-3	36.00	767,497	0.83	6,712	256	2	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	1-1	36.27	99,995	0.11	270	32	1	-	-
Redan	5-AA	1-2	29.54	353,513	0.38	2,274	33	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	2-0	29.57	738,492	0.76	448	26	-	-	-
ACE Charter	2-AA	3-0	27.88	655,405	0.67	316	15	-	-	-
Spencer	2-AA	1-2	27.40	630,204	0.64	210	14	-	-	-
Therrell	6-AA	2-0	29.30	410,607	0.42	698	13	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AA	0-2	34.33	66,276	0.07	127	10	-	-	-
East Jackson	8-AA	1-2	27.95	316,979	0.33	546	6	-	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	4-AA	0-3	27.72	97,403	0.10	61	1	-	-	-
Providence Christian	8-AA	0-3	19.46	75,159	0.08	14	-	-	-	-
Towers	5-AA	0-2-1	15.78	32,978	0.03	14	-	-	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	6-AA	0-1-1	18.94	70,806	0.07	10	-	-	-	-
McNair	5-AA	1-2	12.47	16,593	0.02	4	-	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	1-1	20.23	18,711	0.02	3	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	0-3	15.98	5,426	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Southwest	2-AA	0-3	12.43	51,116	0.05	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	2-AA	0-3	4.39	6,226	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	1-1	14.72	4,284	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	1-2	11.70	1,765	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	2-AA	0-2	-1.61	959	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6-AA	0-2	-1.40	490	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-AA	0-3	4.92	294	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Walker	6-AA	1-1	-1.89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AA	Fitzgerald	592,735	335,427	58,770	10,572	997,504	2,496
1-AA	Cook	371,651	479,262	113,733	26,831	991,477	8,523
1-AA	Dodge County	18,500	85,381	326,762	273,051	703,694	296,306
1-AA	Worth County	14,322	71,443	290,017	280,682	656,464	343,536
1-AA	Berrien	1,146	11,094	78,965	147,643	238,848	761,152
1-AA	Jeff Davis	867	8,906	67,730	132,991	210,494	789,506
1-AA	Sumter County	779	8,487	64,023	128,230	201,519	798,481
2-AA	Northeast	919,057	73,857	5,843	1,137	999,894	106
2-AA	Central (Macon)	52,306	462,655	263,806	138,937	917,704	82,296
2-AA	Rutland	12,969	189,707	272,606	263,210	738,492	261,508
2-AA	ACE Charter	8,351	141,732	228,154	277,168	655,405	344,595
2-AA	Spencer	7,286	129,436	216,180	277,302	630,204	369,796
2-AA	Southwest	31	2,471	12,340	36,274	51,116	948,884
2-AA	Kendrick	-	134	980	5,112	6,226	993,774
2-AA	Jordan	-	8	91	860	959	999,041
3-AA	Pierce County	805,414	170,072	21,363	2,856	999,705	295
3-AA	Appling County	156,880	545,050	218,682	61,401	982,013	17,987
3-AA	Vidalia	30,167	195,202	417,503	231,405	874,277	125,723
3-AA	Toombs County	6,179	64,797	214,686	352,595	638,257	361,743
3-AA	Brantley County	1,238	20,707	93,433	224,099	339,477	660,523
3-AA	Tattnall County	91	2,710	21,467	75,727	99,995	900,005
3-AA	Windsor Forest	31	1,462	12,866	51,917	66,276	933,724
4-AA	Thomson	755,599	191,941	39,974	12,175	999,689	311
4-AA	Putnam County	144,902	410,917	280,983	149,814	986,616	13,384
4-AA	Washington County	65,078	241,973	361,140	294,822	963,013	36,987
4-AA	Laney	34,324	152,721	303,747	437,727	928,519	71,481
4-AA	Westside (Augusta)	94	2,288	12,266	82,755	97,403	902,597
4-AA	Butler	3	146	1,587	16,975	18,711	981,289
4-AA	Josey	-	11	228	4,045	4,284	995,716
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	3	75	1,687	1,765	998,235
5-AA	Eagle's Landing Christian	421,242	325,301	240,414	12,351	999,308	692
5-AA	Callaway	305,063	338,850	333,992	20,696	998,601	1,399
5-AA	Columbia	272,819	330,897	369,929	24,643	998,288	1,712
5-AA	Landmark Christian	716	3,706	39,608	556,689	600,719	399,281
5-AA	Redan	160	1,235	15,471	336,647	353,513	646,487
5-AA	Towers	-	11	455	32,512	32,978	967,022
5-AA	McNair	-	-	131	16,462	16,593	983,407
6-AA	North Cobb Christian	550,340	351,667	77,002	17,353	996,362	3,638
6-AA	South Atlanta	398,731	442,493	120,633	30,423	992,280	7,720
6-AA	Washington	23,937	91,443	331,955	320,162	767,497	232,503
6-AA	Mount Paran Christian	23,201	88,999	326,691	323,067	761,958	238,042
6-AA	Therrell	3,690	24,151	127,735	255,031	410,607	589,393
6-AA	B.E.S.T. Academy	101	1,247	15,966	53,492	70,806	929,194
6-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	-	18	472	490	999,510
6-AA	Walker	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AA	Rockmart	793,898	172,130	26,838	6,461	999,327	673
7-AA	Haralson County	144,237	471,701	250,060	98,719	964,717	35,283
7-AA	North Murray	41,313	207,795	360,100	257,910	867,118	132,882
7-AA	Fannin County	17,420	112,910	255,588	361,077	746,995	253,005
7-AA	Model	3,132	35,427	106,673	270,891	416,123	583,877
7-AA	Murray County	-	36	729	4,661	5,426	994,574
7-AA	Gordon Central	-	1	12	281	294	999,706
8-AA	Fellowship Christian	735,070	226,302	34,576	3,809	999,757	243
8-AA	Athens Academy	221,821	542,674	195,578	33,814	993,887	6,113
8-AA	Union County	38,992	188,860	520,938	192,828	941,618	58,382
8-AA	Banks County	3,604	33,190	177,112	458,694	672,600	327,400
8-AA	East Jackson	498	8,287	61,252	246,942	316,979	683,021
8-AA	Providence Christian	15	687	10,544	63,913	75,159	924,841

Class A Division I

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Rabun County	8-A Division I	3-0	78.04	1,000,000	4.08	911,920	692,377	489,331	313,630	2.19
Prince Avenue Christian	5-A Division I	2-0	76.03	1,000,000	3.89	820,051	634,241	457,448	248,384	3.03
Brooks County	1-A Division I	2-1	74.55	1,000,000	3.85	843,061	723,783	371,171	203,335	3.92
Irwin County	1-A Division I	1-1	70.52	1,000,000	3.44	741,467	595,230	249,257	100,524	8.95
Swainsboro	2-A Division I	3-0	69.84	999,639	3.16	786,589	305,482	158,178	64,227	14.57
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	2-0	67.97	999,306	2.95	716,482	253,525	119,773	42,331	22.62
Darlington	7-A Division I	3-0	62.20	999,591	2.79	653,113	205,815	47,229	11,342	87.17
Elbert County	8-A Division I	3-0	60.09	1,000,000	2.21	256,567	88,810	26,044	4,672	213.04
Metter	3-A Division I	1-2	59.56	999,998	2.43	362,986	69,930	23,736	4,111	242.25
Lamar County	4-A Division I	3-0	57.26	1,000,000	2.28	210,903	114,178	19,334	2,784	358.20
Whitefield Academy	6-A Division I	3-0	55.77	1,000,000	2.46	453,469	102,643	14,961	1,982	503.54
Mount Pisgah Christian	6-A Division I	3-0	55.68	1,000,000	2.46	451,277	101,324	14,610	1,973	505.84
Dublin	2-A Division I	1-1	53.14	976,437	1.33	107,254	27,850	3,441	358	2,792.30
Heard County	4-A Division I	1-1	49.20	1,000,000	1.90	83,948	23,410	1,768	126	7,935.51
Trion	7-A Division I	2-0	48.75	976,741	1.63	159,632	20,931	1,552	115	8,694.65
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-2	48.24	939,693	1.09	41,789	8,825	622	47	21,275.60
Pelham	1-A Division I	1-1	47.45	1,000,000	1.19	42,508	4,985	406	20	49,999.00
Commerce	8-A Division I	1-2	44.44	1,000,000	1.42	81,945	7,255	345	14	71,427.57
Pepperell	7-A Division I	1-1	44.55	938,376	1.28	62,419	5,765	298	10	99,999.00
Mount Vernon	6-A Division I	2-1	43.47	1,000,000	1.52	58,678	4,807	206	7	142,856.14
Screven County	3-A Division I	3-0	39.84	998,224	1.40	19,951	1,182	63	3	333,332.33
Temple	4-A Division I	2-1	39.99	1,000,000	1.52	22,997	1,772	65	1	999,999.00
Social Circle	5-A Division I	2-1	40.77	1,000,000	1.38	22,304	1,475	53	1	999,999.00
St. Francis	6-A Division I	2-0	39.75	1,000,000	1.30	23,427	1,399	39	1	999,999.00
Bryan County	3-A Division I	2-1	39.57	998,175	1.39	18,964	1,145	38	1	999,999.00
Athens Christian	8-A Division I	1-1	38.68	1,000,000	1.20	30,888	1,505	27	1	999,999.00
Dade County	7-A Division I	1-1	34.42	615,459	0.65	3,631	133	4	-	-
Bacon County	1-A Division I	0-3	24.11	1,000,000	1.01	675	7	1	-	-
Jasper County	5-A Division I	1-2	29.70	1,000,000	1.09	5,489	103	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	5-A Division I	1-1	28.80	1,000,000	1.08	4,658	88	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division I	2-1	24.15	955,174	1.00	377	13	-	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	2-0	28.33	270,053	0.28	395	8	-	-	-
Chattooga	7-A Division I	0-2	26.25	188,232	0.19	137	3	-	-	-
East Laurens	2-A Division I	0-2	26.16	84,925	0.09	43	1	-	-	-
Crawford County	4-A Division I	0-3	7.26	1,000,000	1.01	6	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division I	0-3	-1.94	48,429	0.05	-	-	-	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	1-2	12.95	11,548	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	6-A Division I	0-2	11.99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division I	Brooks County	609,051	368,852	21,906	191	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Irwin County	384,287	566,911	48,248	554	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Pelham	6,635	63,818	863,894	65,653	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Bacon County	27	419	65,952	933,602	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Swainsboro	526,797	378,484	77,059	17,299	999,639	361
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	422,807	445,206	106,065	25,228	999,306	694
2-A Division I	Dublin	37,047	123,234	498,017	318,139	976,437	23,563
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	13,339	52,615	312,800	560,939	939,693	60,307
2-A Division I	East Laurens	10	461	6,059	78,395	84,925	915,075
3-A Division I	Metter	865,325	116,192	16,714	1,767	999,998	2
3-A Division I	Screven County	67,916	431,476	402,505	96,327	998,224	1,776
3-A Division I	Bryan County	64,074	415,753	416,606	101,742	998,175	1,825
3-A Division I	Claxton	2,685	36,479	163,364	752,646	955,174	44,826
3-A Division I	Savannah	-	100	811	47,518	48,429	951,571
4-A Division I	Lamar County	688,863	252,330	58,330	477	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Heard County	254,760	517,623	224,830	2,787	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Temple	56,352	229,766	695,138	18,744	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Crawford County	25	281	21,702	977,992	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Prince Avenue Christian	983,612	16,192	165	31	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Social Circle	13,895	684,803	220,596	80,706	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Jasper County	1,335	160,806	404,207	433,652	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	1,158	138,199	375,032	485,611	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	452,144	377,781	124,037	46,038	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	449,838	379,407	125,154	45,601	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Mount Vernon	66,109	156,329	425,646	351,916	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	St. Francis	31,909	86,483	325,163	556,445	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-A Division I	Darlington	785,372	177,028	32,832	4,359	999,591	409
7-A Division I	Trion	142,055	464,635	288,998	81,053	976,741	23,259
7-A Division I	Pepperell	65,519	287,561	422,166	163,130	938,376	61,624
7-A Division I	Dade County	5,967	51,775	163,730	393,987	615,459	384,541
7-A Division I	Armuchee	769	12,330	55,579	201,375	270,053	729,947
7-A Division I	Chattooga	318	6,617	35,739	145,558	188,232	811,768
7-A Division I	Coosa	-	54	956	10,538	11,548	988,452
8-A Division I	Rabun County	882,880	113,006	3,706	408	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Elbert County	110,445	738,359	127,865	23,331	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Commerce	5,218	109,448	556,414	328,920	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Christian	1,457	39,187	312,015	647,341	1,000,000	-

Class A Division II

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Clinch County	2-A Division II	3-0	57.28	996,967	3.40	714,734	470,165	305,237	193,921	4.16
Aquinas	8-A Division II	3-0	56.40	993,263	2.65	687,555	425,276	263,459	161,480	5.19
Early County	1-A Division II	3-0	55.84	999,954	3.05	597,589	392,318	223,755	133,555	6.49
Bowdon	7-A Division II	2-1	54.45	1,000,000	2.86	560,559	324,653	175,920	97,547	9.25
Charlton County	2-A Division II	3-0	53.02	989,692	2.88	564,454	317,328	173,048	82,908	11.06
Johnson County	5-A Division II	2-0	51.99	999,986	2.64	472,180	262,108	142,484	62,963	14.88
Schley County	6-A Division II	1-1	51.71	987,412	2.84	527,035	276,835	137,130	62,092	15.11
Dooly County	4-A Division II	1-2	51.76	999,243	2.48	404,446	229,270	113,306	51,490	18.42
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	0-2	49.19	998,330	2.19	312,510	154,203	64,734	25,323	38.49
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	2-0	48.81	949,394	1.96	356,381	157,172	66,556	24,696	39.49
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	1-1	48.44	976,002	2.19	304,530	136,822	57,383	21,084	46.43
Turner County	2-A Division II	1-2	47.30	961,687	2.11	323,592	138,315	51,273	16,792	58.55
Macon County	6-A Division II	0-3	46.46	952,181	2.20	321,602	121,561	42,293	13,661	72.20
Christian Heritage	7-A Division II	1-2	46.51	1,000,000	2.00	272,045	107,479	38,742	12,297	80.32
Manchester	6-A Division II	1-1	45.97	946,414	2.14	302,073	110,248	37,384	11,648	84.85
Montgomery County	3-A Division II	2-0	46.28	959,789	1.94	232,020	91,725	32,812	10,520	94.06
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	1-1	45.46	951,850	1.85	207,082	77,875	26,159	7,825	126.80
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	2-1	43.78	855,828	1.42	170,619	54,849	16,144	4,102	242.78
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	0-2	42.15	969,767	1.53	132,818	42,115	11,188	2,473	403.37
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	0-2	40.53	835,510	1.47	129,226	31,506	6,942	1,363	732.68
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	2-1	40.37	867,036	1.34	90,120	23,743	5,289	989	1,010.12
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	3-0	38.60	1,000,000	1.43	84,052	19,100	3,828	591	1,691.05
Warren County	8-A Division II	0-2	37.75	610,819	0.82	47,955	9,386	1,615	281	3,557.72
Greene County	8-A Division II	2-1	36.70	551,028	0.71	35,932	6,465	1,042	147	6,801.72
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	1-2	35.73	708,750	0.91	34,293	6,306	907	109	9,173.31
Terrell County	1-A Division II	1-1	34.13	836,930	1.00	28,002	4,411	590	74	13,512.51
Telfair County	4-A Division II	1-1	33.09	919,606	1.13	24,378	3,289	358	39	25,640.03
Miller County	1-A Division II	1-2	30.67	698,692	0.78	11,332	1,229	124	12	83,332.33
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	1-2	28.92	978,906	1.14	14,391	1,205	90	6	166,665.67
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	1-1	28.61	977,387	1.13	13,156	1,153	89	4	249,999.00
Lanier County	2-A Division II	2-1	29.01	342,904	0.38	4,439	427	32	4	249,999.00
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	1-2	28.51	816,441	0.93	9,266	812	49	2	499,999.00
Taylor County	6-A Division II	1-2	27.89	173,527	0.21	3,180	240	19	2	499,999.00
Portal	3-A Division II	3-0	27.40	245,323	0.27	2,553	213	9	-	-
Seminole County	1-A Division II	1-2	24.12	334,203	0.35	1,367	89	6	-	-
Marion County	6-A Division II	0-2	25.10	102,805	0.12	1,090	71	3	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	0-3	16.61	781,031	0.81	799	17	1	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	1-2	20.97	39,668	0.04	146	9	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	0-2	19.49	160,453	0.16	254	7	-	-	-
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	0-3	16.51	200,134	0.21	204	5	-	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	0-2	6.21	223,428	0.23	22	-	-	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Division II	0-3	10.46	66,246	0.07	17	-	-	-	-
Greenville	6-A Division II	0-3	9.46	2,112	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	1-1	-3.38	39,262	0.04	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	0-1	-1.19	39	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	0-2	-24.08	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	2-1	2.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
GSIC	8-A Division II	0-3	-49.52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	826,738	158,674	13,722	820	999,954	46
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	142,639	517,915	230,448	78,765	969,767	30,233
1-A Division II	Terrell County	29,259	188,793	364,357	254,521	836,930	163,070
1-A Division II	Miller County	927	100,833	256,921	340,011	698,692	301,308
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	296	8,050	40,205	111,902	160,453	839,547
1-A Division II	Seminole County	141	25,735	94,347	213,980	334,203	665,797
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Clinch County	545,382	307,508	120,009	24,068	996,967	3,033
2-A Division II	Charlton County	315,241	388,386	231,416	54,649	989,692	10,308
2-A Division II	Turner County	126,762	253,726	434,813	146,386	961,687	38,313
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	11,084	40,198	163,030	494,438	708,750	291,250
2-A Division II	Lanier County	1,531	10,182	50,732	280,459	342,904	657,096
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	378,874	287,289	196,121	113,718	976,002	23,998
3-A Division II	Montgomery County	276,655	278,647	244,099	160,388	959,789	40,211
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	242,692	265,009	261,026	183,123	951,850	48,150
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	98,284	154,220	257,499	357,033	867,036	132,964
3-A Division II	Portal	3,495	14,835	41,255	185,738	245,323	754,677
4-A Division II	Dooly County	554,929	372,151	62,095	10,068	999,243	757
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	410,288	471,792	98,452	17,798	998,330	1,670
4-A Division II	Telfair County	25,891	106,117	491,281	296,317	919,606	80,394
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	8,724	46,411	297,415	463,891	816,441	183,559
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	154	3,113	39,721	157,146	200,134	799,866
4-A Division II	Treutlen	14	416	11,036	54,780	66,246	933,754
5-A Division II	Johnson County	906,668	84,631	7,768	919	999,986	14
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	46,485	430,298	381,253	120,870	978,906	21,094
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	43,699	414,682	392,855	126,151	977,387	22,613
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	3,048	63,581	184,387	530,015	781,031	218,969
5-A Division II	Glascock County	96	6,481	29,950	186,901	223,428	776,572
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	4	327	3,787	35,144	39,262	960,738
6-A Division II	Schley County	488,421	281,342	150,316	67,333	987,412	12,588
6-A Division II	Macon County	226,312	285,485	270,249	170,135	952,181	47,819
6-A Division II	Manchester	208,485	274,349	280,034	183,546	946,414	53,586
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	73,957	144,274	249,138	368,141	835,510	164,490
6-A Division II	Taylor County	2,103	10,107	32,476	128,841	173,527	826,473
6-A Division II	Marion County	722	4,434	17,622	80,027	102,805	897,195
6-A Division II	Greenville	-	9	165	1,938	2,112	997,888
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	-	39	39	999,961
7-A Division II	Bowdon	678,265	251,783	69,952	-	1,000,000	-
7-A Division II	Christian Heritage	251,245	494,250	254,505	-	1,000,000	-
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	70,490	253,967	675,543	-	1,000,000	-
8-A Division II	Aquinas	635,269	250,651	81,307	26,036	993,263	6,737
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	229,262	373,110	238,805	108,217	949,394	50,606
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	93,394	220,354	321,602	220,478	855,828	144,172
8-A Division II	Warren County	23,980	84,622	188,006	314,211	610,819	389,181
8-A Division II	Greene County	17,999	70,150	162,865	300,014	551,028	448,972
8-A Division II	Towns County	96	1,113	7,415	31,044	39,668	960,332
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-A Division II	GSIC	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAAA

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Class A Division II

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