Maxwell GHSA playoff projections heading into championship week
Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.
The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2025 season. The simulation completed 1 million iterations.
While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments and playoff brackets.
Class 6A
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship, along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Draw | Depth | Qtr | Semi | Finals | Champ | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrollton | #1 (2-AAAAAA) | 14-0 | 110.55 | 102.79 | 4.72 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 722,056.25 | 0.38 |
| Buford | #1 (8-AAAAAA) | 14-0 | 102.79 | 110.55 | 4.28 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 277,943.75 | 2.60 |
Class 5A
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Playoffs | Qtr | Semi | Finals | Champ | Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas County Central | #1 (2-AAAAA) | 14-0 | 98.48 | 93.25 | 4.66 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 655,806.18 | 0.52 |
| Gainesville | #2 (7-AAAAA) | 12-2 | 93.25 | 98.48 | 4.34 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 344,193.82 | 1.91 |
Class 4A
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Playoffs | Qtr | Semi | Finals | Champ | Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creekside | #1 (4-AAAA) | 14-0 | 98.34 | 82.49 | 4.88 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 875,584.82 | 0.14 |
| Benedictine | #1 (1-AAAA) | 11-2 | 82.49 | 98.34 | 4.12 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 124,415.18 | 7.04 |
Class 3A Public
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Playoffs | Qtr | Semi | Finals | Champ | Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandy Creek | #3 (2-AAA) | 14-0 | 85.87 | 75.17 | 4.79 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 788,759.50 | 0.27 |
| Jefferson | #1 (8-AAA) | 13-1 | 75.17 | 85.87 | 4.21 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 211,240.50 | 3.73 |
Class 2A Public
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Playoffs | Qtr | Semi | Finals | Champ | Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carver (Columbus) | #3 (1-AA) | 14-0 | 77.32 | 64.64 | 4.83 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 826,554.62 | 0.21 |
| Hapeville Charter | #12 (5-AA) | 10-4 | 64.64 | 77.32 | 4.17 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 173,445.38 | 4.77 |
Class A Division I Public
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Playoffs | Qtr | Semi | Finals | Champ | Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toombs County | #4 (3-A Division I) | 13-1 | 71.64 | 62.81 | 4.75 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 747,853.43 | 0.34 |
| Worth County | #3 (1-A Division I) | 14-0 | 62.81 | 71.64 | 4.25 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 252,146.57 | 2.97 |
Class A Division II
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Playoffs | Qtr | Semi | Finals | Champ | Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln County | #1 (8-A Division II) | 14-0 | 61.28 | 56.06 | 4.66 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 655,358.00 | 0.53 |
| Bowdon | #1 (7-A Division II) | 12-2 | 56.06 | 61.28 | 4.34 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 344,642.00 | 1.90 |
Smaller Private
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rec | Rating | Playoffs | Qtr | Semi | Finals | Champ | Odds | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hebron Christian | #2 (8-AA) | 11-1 | 78.50 | 73.06 | 4.66 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 661,450.29 | 0.51 |
| Calvary Day | #4 (3-AAA) | 12-1 | 73.06 | 78.50 | 4.34 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 1,000,000.00 | 338,549.71 | 1.95 |
