Maxwell Week 1 summary: Packers pound Indians to push pass Rams

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association's 422 teams throughout the 2018 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Interesting results:

- Colquitt County punished McEachern 41-7 in one of the season’s highest rated matchups to raise Rush Propst’s record against the Indians to 3-0 and hand them their worst defeat of the last decade aside from the 2014 semifinal game where the Packers also dismantled McEachern, that time 57-20.  The victory was impressive enough to elevate Colquitt County past idle Grayson into the number one spot in the state.

- Rome played a relatively close game with Marietta, downing the Blue Devils in a 51-41 shootout.  Rome dropped into second place in Class AAAAA behind Buford, who’s rating improved following a 40-14 winner over perennial power Tucker.

- Clinch County limped to a lackluster 24-17 victory over heavy underdog Hebron Christian Academy, making room for Irwin County to move past them from third to first in the Class A Public ratings.  Previously second ranked Macon County was shocked in a 41-0 loss to 23-point underdog Pelham.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 100.00%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 0 of 0 total games including 0 tie(s) (--.--%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within --.-- points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 0.77

By Class

AAAAAAA AAAAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Colquitt County1-095.601Lee County1-078.19
2Grayson0-093.522Coffee1-075.03
3North Gwinnett1-088.743Northside (Warner Robins)1-074.59
4Lowndes1-086.674Tucker0-174.43
5Walton1-084.645Harrison1-072.17
6McEachern0-181.646Valdosta1-072.15
7Norcross1-079.377Glynn Academy0-171.75
8Mill Creek0-178.108Mays0-169.82
9Parkview1-077.529Allatoona0-166.29
10Milton1-076.5810Dalton1-061.83
11Archer0-176.2711Alpharetta0-060.52
12North Cobb1-073.7612Brunswick0-160.06
13Hillgrove1-073.5913Alexander0-060.01
14Brookwood0-173.5114Dacula1-059.77
15Tift County0-171.6615Stephenson1-059.38
AAAAA AAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Buford1-089.381Cartersville1-087.30
2Rome1-087.552Blessed Trinity1-075.92
3Stockbridge0-076.333Marist0-072.21
4Warner Robins1-076.324Mary Persons1-066.07
5Ware County1-064.765Burke County0-164.87
6Jones County1-064.166Thomson0-161.00
7Carrollton0-063.767Sandy Creek0-059.67
8Kell1-063.448St. Pius X0-158.35
9Dutchtown1-063.259Woodward Academy0-157.33
10Starr's Mill0-061.8210Troup0-056.00
11Bainbridge1-059.0711Ridgeland0-154.47
12Griffin1-058.3612Oconee County1-053.54
13Wayne County0-056.5913Flowery Branch1-053.50
14Eagle's Landing1-054.5014Eastside1-053.14
15Arabia Mountain1-052.9515Cairo0-152.14
AAA AA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Benedictine1-077.561Hapeville Charter0-072.39
2Calhoun1-073.032Brooks County1-062.51
3Greater Atlanta Christian1-071.463Fitzgerald1-060.06
4Peach County0-068.974Thomasville1-058.68
5Cedar Grove1-068.845Callaway0-057.32
6Westminster (Atlanta)1-063.936Screven County1-054.21
7Lovett0-158.777Rabun County0-153.68
8Jefferson0-155.378Dodge County1-052.71
9Crisp County1-055.029Heard County1-051.90
10Liberty County0-051.3210Rockmart1-051.48
11Westside (Macon)1-048.6411Bremen1-049.76
12Dawson County1-044.3212Vidalia0-048.52
13Cook1-044.0013Dublin1-047.40
14Pace Academy0-143.5814Swainsboro1-046.26
15Pierce County1-042.5415Washington County1-046.15
A-Public A-Private
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Irwin County1-051.591Eagle's Landing Christian1-074.86
2Clinch County1-050.982Mount Paran Christian0-050.90
3Manchester1-047.173Prince Avenue Christian1-050.72
4Mount Zion (Carroll)1-043.804Athens Academy1-049.48
5Commerce1-043.555Darlington1-046.79
6Emanuel County Institute0-141.016Calvary Day0-045.85
7Charlton County1-038.197Wesleyan0-144.40
8Pelham1-038.048Stratford Academy0-042.77
9Macon County0-136.999Aquinas1-040.50
10Marion County1-036.6410Tattnall Square1-039.00
11Dooly County0-035.8211Fellowship Christian1-037.57
12Turner County1-034.6412Savannah Christian0-134.77
13Trion1-033.7213Holy Innocents1-032.19
14Lincoln County0-133.1814First Presbyterian0-032.05
15Washington-Wilkes0-032.6715Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)1-029.41

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank Team Region Rec Rating SchStr Rank
1 [1]Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA1-095.6081.648
2 [2]Grayson8 - AAAAAAA0-093.52  
3 [1]Buford8 - AAAAA1-089.3874.4321
4 [3]North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA1-088.7473.5124
5 [2]Rome7 - AAAAA1-087.5565.2539
6 [1]Cartersville5 - AAAA1-087.3065.5338
7 [4]Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA1-086.6741.87143
8 [5]Walton4 - AAAAAAA1-084.6478.1012
9 [6]McEachern3 - AAAAAAA0-181.6495.601
10 [7]Norcross7 - AAAAAAA1-079.3770.5831
11 [1]Lee County1 - AAAAAA1-078.1922.46248
12 [8]Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA0-178.1084.647
13 [1]Benedictine3 - AAA1-077.5664.8740
14 [9]Parkview7 - AAAAAAA1-077.5262.0648
15 [10]Milton5 - AAAAAAA1-076.5876.2716
16 [3]Stockbridge4 - AAAAA0-076.33  
17 [4]Warner Robins1 - AAAAA1-076.3270.9030
18 [11]Archer8 - AAAAAAA0-176.2776.5815
19 [2]Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA1-075.9259.1058
20 [2]Coffee1 - AAAAAA1-075.0359.3056
21 [1]Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A1-074.8627.54229
22 [3]Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA1-074.5954.3073
23 [4]Tucker4 - AAAAAA0-174.4389.382
24 [12]North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA1-073.7661.5849
25 [13]Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA1-073.5956.9664
26 [14]Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA0-173.5188.743
27 [2]Calhoun6 - AAA1-073.0354.4772
28 [1]Hapeville Charter6 - AA0-072.39  
29 [3]Marist7 - AAAA0-072.21  
30 [5]Harrison6 - AAAAAA1-072.1759.9352
31 [6]Valdosta1 - AAAAAA1-072.1540.20157
32 [7]Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA0-171.75  
33 [15]Tift County1 - AAAAAAA0-171.6677.0814
34 [16]Roswell4 - AAAAAAA0-071.49  
35 [3]Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA1-071.4658.0162
36 [17]North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA1-070.1846.30118
37 [18]South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA1-070.0743.27140
38 [8]Mays5 - AAAAAA0-169.8278.619
39 [4]Peach County4 - AAA0-068.97  
40 [5]Cedar Grove5 - AAA1-068.84  
41 [19]Newton8 - AAAAAAA1-067.7527.97227
42 [20]Westlake2 - AAAAAAA1-066.4336.42176
43 [9]Allatoona6 - AAAAAA0-166.2988.064
44 [21]Etowah4 - AAAAAAA1-066.2335.76180
45 [22]Camden County1 - AAAAAAA1-066.1460.2751
46 [4]Mary Persons2 - AAAA1-066.0746.94111
47 [23]Marietta3 - AAAAAAA0-165.2587.555
48 [5]Burke County3 - AAAA0-164.8777.5613
49 [5]Ware County2 - AAAAA1-064.76  
50 [6]Jones County4 - AAAAA1-064.1641.01149
51 [6]Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA1-063.9356.5865
52 [7]Carrollton7 - AAAAA0-063.76  
53 [8]Kell7 - AAAAA1-063.4456.1367
54 [24]South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA1-063.2855.5069
55 [9]Dutchtown4 - AAAAA1-063.2554.7970
56 [25]Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA0-162.8178.2810
57 [2]Brooks County1 - AA1-062.5128.76222
58 [26]Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA0-162.3374.5220
59 [10]Dalton6 - AAAAAA1-061.8332.20203
60 [10]Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA0-061.82  
61 [27]West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA0-161.0266.9036
62 [6]Thomson3 - AAAA0-161.00  
63 [28]Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA0-060.57  
64 [11]Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA0-060.52  
65 [3]Fitzgerald1 - AA1-060.0635.29185
66 [12]Brunswick2 - AAAAAA0-160.0675.7917
67 [13]Alexander5 - AAAAAA0-060.01  
68 [14]Dacula8 - AAAAAA1-059.7721.72254
69 [7]Sandy Creek5 - AAAA0-059.67  
70 [15]Stephenson4 - AAAAAA1-059.3831.59207
71 [29]Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA0-159.1771.4228
72 [16]Effingham County2 - AAAAAA1-059.1649.9097
73 [11]Bainbridge1 - AAAAA1-059.0712.48274
74 [7]Lovett5 - AAA0-158.7772.2127
75 [4]Thomasville1 - AA1-058.6852.8980
76 [17]Lanier8 - AAAAAA1-058.6646.70113
77 [12]Griffin3 - AAAAA1-058.3647.96108
78 [8]St. Pius X8 - AAAA0-158.3575.1619
79 [18]Northgate5 - AAAAAA0-058.15  
80 [19]Creekview6 - AAAAAA1-057.9141.71145
81 [20]Douglas County5 - AAAAAA0-157.7174.3522
82 [9]Woodward Academy4 - AAAA0-157.3364.6941
83 [5]Callaway5 - AA0-057.32  
84 [21]Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA1-056.9341.48147
85 [13]Wayne County2 - AAAAA0-056.59  
86 [30]East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA0-156.1363.4442
87 [10]Troup5 - AAAA0-056.00  
88 [8]Jefferson8 - AAA0-155.3754.3074
89 [9]Crisp County1 - AAA1-055.0245.92121
90 [31]Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA0-154.7462.5246
91 [14]Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA1-054.5034.83187
92 [22]Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA0-054.49  
93 [11]Ridgeland6 - AAAA0-154.4773.0325
94 [6]Screven County4 - AA1-054.21  
95 [23]Hughes5 - AAAAAA0-154.0462.5047
96 [32]Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA1-053.8747.73110
97 [7]Rabun County8 - AA0-153.6849.7699
98 [24]Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-153.5473.8423
99 [12]Oconee County8 - AAAA1-053.5454.6171
100 [13]Flowery Branch7 - AAAA1-053.5031.26209
101 [14]Eastside4 - AAAA1-053.1444.92128
102 [15]Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA1-052.9549.28102
103 [8]Dodge County3 - AA1-052.7139.70158
104 [33]Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA1-052.5843.65137
105 [16]East Paulding7 - AAAAA0-052.14  
106 [15]Cairo1 - AAAA0-152.1457.9263
107 [9]Heard County5 - AA1-051.9034.44190
108 [17]Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA1-051.6546.66115
109 [1]Irwin County2 - A1-051.5927.58228
110 [10]Rockmart7 - AA1-051.4847.96109
111 [18]Locust Grove4 - AAAAA1-051.4735.53182
112 [10]Liberty County2 - AAA0-051.32  
113 [16]West Laurens2 - AAAA1-051.318.32289
114 [19]Clarke Central8 - AAAAA1-051.2544.08136
115 [34]Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA1-051.1835.46183
116 [17]Chapel Hill5 - AAAA1-051.1748.86104
117 [35]Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA1-051.0546.67114
118 [2]Clinch County2 - A1-050.9824.30239
119 [2]Mount Paran Christian6 - A0-050.90  
120 [3]Prince Avenue Christian8 - A1-050.7223.76243
121 [20]Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA0-150.0353.7176
122 [11]Bremen5 - AA1-049.7653.6877
123 [25]New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-049.6844.33133
124 [21]Whitewater3 - AAAAA0-049.51  
125 [4]Athens Academy8 - A1-049.4834.02194
126 [26]Evans3 - AAAAAA0-149.1458.4060
127 [22]Banneker6 - AAAAA1-049.0844.16135
128 [27]Houston County1 - AAAAAA0-148.7246.47116
129 [18]Cedartown5 - AAAA0-148.7252.2484
130 [11]Westside (Macon)4 - AAA1-048.6433.23198
131 [12]Vidalia2 - AA0-048.52  
132 [36]Newnan2 - AAAAAAA0-148.1150.4193
133 [19]Spalding2 - AAAA0-147.9658.3661
134 [28]Gainesville8 - AAAAAA0-147.7066.8237
135 [37]Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA0-047.58  
136 [38]Campbell2 - AAAAAAA1-047.5740.41153
137 [39]Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA0-147.4659.4254
138 [13]Dublin3 - AA1-047.4040.25155
139 [23]Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA1-047.2423.12246
140 [20]Perry2 - AAAA1-047.2349.48100
141 [3]Manchester4 - A1-047.1731.88205
142 [24]Paulding County7 - AAAAA0-147.0570.9429
143 [40]Lambert5 - AAAAAAA0-146.9753.1179
144 [5]Darlington6 - A1-046.7938.71163
145 [21]Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA0-146.6755.7868
146 [25]Veterans1 - AAAAA1-046.3338.64164
147 [14]Swainsboro2 - AA1-046.2645.91122
148 [41]Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA1-046.1628.56224
149 [15]Washington County3 - AA1-046.1537.21171
150 [22]Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA1-046.0537.66169
151 [42]North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA0-145.9150.2994
152 [26]Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA0-145.9050.8990
153 [6]Calvary Day3 - A0-045.85  
154 [27]Hiram7 - AAAAA0-045.62  
155 [16]Elbert County8 - AA1-045.5328.52225
156 [23]Stephens County8 - AAAA1-045.3124.03240
157 [17]Jefferson County4 - AA0-145.1645.50125
158 [28]Loganville8 - AAAAA1-045.0535.69181
159 [29]Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA0-144.9249.8498
160 [7]Wesleyan5 - A0-144.4053.3378
161 [12]Dawson County7 - AAA1-044.3233.78196
162 [29]Ola4 - AAAAA0-144.1752.3882
163 [13]Cook1 - AAA1-044.0033.98195
164 [4]Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A1-043.8025.22234
165 [18]Toombs County2 - AA1-043.70-8.12308
166 [30]Riverwood6 - AAAAA1-043.5935.23186
167 [14]Pace Academy5 - AAA0-143.5848.93103
168 [5]Commerce8 - A1-043.5537.32170
169 [24]White County7 - AAAA0-043.47  
170 [31]New Hampstead2 - AAAAA1-043.3238.77162
171 [30]Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA0-143.3250.4992
172 [8]Stratford Academy7 - A0-042.77  
173 [31]Drew4 - AAAAAA0-142.6387.436
174 [15]Pierce County2 - AAA1-042.5425.02235
175 [32]Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA0-142.5169.3132
176 [33]Cambridge7 - AAAAAA0-142.4758.6759
177 [25]Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA0-042.28  
178 [26]Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA1-041.8210.56277
179 [27]Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA1-041.68-16.11312
180 [32]Villa Rica7 - AAAAA0-141.1648.33105
181 [6]Emanuel County Institute3 - A0-141.0148.16106
182 [33]Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA0-140.9672.9126
183 [16]Pike County4 - AAA1-040.88-9.84310
184 [34]Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA1-040.72  
185 [35]Grovetown3 - AAAAAA0-140.7256.1866
186 [9]Aquinas7 - A1-040.5022.01251
187 [17]Monroe Area8 - AAA1-040.3818.55261
188 [36]Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-040.33  
189 [28]Howard2 - AAAA0-140.2563.4043
190 [29]Salem4 - AAAA1-040.0538.80160
191 [30]Pickens6 - AAAA1-039.69-1.13301
192 [34]South Effingham2 - AAAAA1-039.578.95285
193 [37]Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA0-139.5640.81151
194 [18]North Hall7 - AAA1-039.4624.49236
195 [35]Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA1-039.2728.84221
196 [10]Tattnall Square7 - A1-039.0021.95252
197 [38]Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA0-138.9451.9586
198 [19]Jenkins3 - AAA0-138.7743.32139
199 [36]Harris County1 - AAAAA0-138.4246.80112
200 [7]Charlton County2 - A1-038.19  
201 [31]West Hall7 - AAAA0-138.0844.31134
202 [8]Pelham1 - A1-038.0436.23177
203 [19]Pepperell7 - AA0-137.9646.04120
204 [32]Upson-Lee2 - AAAA0-137.8845.57124
205 [39]Pope7 - AAAAAA0-037.73  
206 [33]Columbus1 - AAAA1-037.7129.33219
207 [11]Fellowship Christian6 - A1-037.5729.47217
208 [40]Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA1-037.44  
209 [41]Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA1-037.2831.08210
210 [42]Creekside5 - AAAAAA0-137.1867.1934
211 [9]Macon County4 - A0-136.9938.79161
212 [34]Hardaway1 - AAAA0-036.72  
213 [10]Marion County4 - A1-036.6421.27256
214 [20]Douglass6 - AA1-036.5523.99241
215 [43]River Ridge6 - AAAAAA0-136.5266.9935
216 [35]Baldwin3 - AAAA0-136.4545.39127
217 [20]Morgan County8 - AAA0-136.4445.80123
218 [21]Jackson4 - AAA0-136.2952.2385
219 [44]South Cobb6 - AAAAAA0-136.2251.9387
220 [22]Monroe1 - AAA1-036.1316.75267
221 [37]Riverdale3 - AAAAA1-035.9222.36249
222 [23]Adairsville6 - AAA1-035.8228.43226
223 [11]Dooly County4 - A0-035.82  
224 [24]Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA0-035.26  
225 [38]Union Grove4 - AAAAA0-035.18  
226 [39]Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA1-034.9525.51233
227 [40]Statesboro2 - AAAAA0-034.85  
228 [36]Hampton4 - AAAA1-034.8332.19204
229 [12]Savannah Christian3 - A0-134.7750.2495
230 [37]Westover1 - AAAA0-134.7444.76129
231 [12]Turner County2 - A1-034.6422.28250
232 [21]Bacon County2 - AA0-134.5459.3057
233 [45]Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA0-134.4742.83141
234 [38]LaGrange5 - AAAA0-134.4451.9088
235 [46]South Paulding5 - AAAAAA0-034.24  
236 [47]M.L. King4 - AAAAAA0-034.09  
237 [43]Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA0-134.0753.7475
238 [22]Bleckley County3 - AA1-034.049.70283
239 [41]Jonesboro3 - AAAAA0-134.0332.46201
240 [23]Southwest3 - AA0-133.9949.40101
241 [39]Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA1-033.8123.68245
242 [24]Jeff Davis2 - AA1-033.7813.74271
243 [13]Trion6 - A1-033.7226.40231
244 [44]Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA1-033.697.67290
245 [48]Northview7 - AAAAAA0-033.56  
246 [14]Lincoln County7 - A0-133.18  
247 [49]Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA0-133.0243.56138
248 [42]Cass7 - AAAAA0-032.98  
249 [25]Ringgold6 - AAA0-132.9662.5845
250 [15]Washington-Wilkes7 - A0-032.67  
251 [26]Appling County2 - AAA0-032.51  
252 [50]Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA1-032.4634.03193
253 [51]Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA0-032.39  
254 [52]North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA1-032.3728.69223
255 [13]Holy Innocents5 - A1-032.1929.59214
256 [14]First Presbyterian7 - A0-032.05  
257 [43]McIntosh3 - AAAAA0-131.8438.04167
258 [25]B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA1-031.8319.85259
259 [27]Sonoraville6 - AAA0-031.80  
260 [44]Columbia5 - AAAAA0-131.5959.3855
261 [45]Fayette County3 - AAAAA0-131.4334.08192
262 [46]Miller Grove5 - AAAAA1-031.2323.72244
263 [16]Taylor County4 - A0-131.1246.41117
264 [17]Telfair County2 - A0-030.58  
265 [28]East Hall7 - AAA0-130.5152.7481
266 [40]North Oconee8 - AAAA1-030.256.74292
267 [29]North Murray6 - AAA0-030.23  
268 [30]Jackson County8 - AAA1-029.7116.55268
269 [18]Mitchell County1 - A0-129.5263.2744
270 [47]Lithonia5 - AAAAA1-029.4213.54273
271 [15]Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A1-029.4123.88242
272 [26]Spencer5 - AA0-129.3337.71168
273 [45]Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA1-029.3124.34238
274 [31]Hart County8 - AAA0-129.2746.29119
275 [27]Chattooga7 - AA0-129.1936.58174
276 [16]Savannah Country Day3 - A0-029.13  
277 [28]Union County8 - AA0-028.90  
278 [17]Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A0-128.8431.43208
279 [41]Richmond Academy3 - AAAA1-028.789.73282
280 [48]North Springs6 - AAAAA0-128.7136.81173
281 [49]Grady6 - AAAAA0-128.6932.37202
282 [29]Berrien1 - AA0-128.3352.3483
283 [53]Morrow4 - AAAAAA0-128.2975.6218
284 [32]Central (Macon)4 - AAA0-028.17  
285 [42]Madison County8 - AAAA0-128.0938.51165
286 [18]Athens Christian8 - A1-028.0517.95265
287 [54]Alcovy3 - AAAAAA0-127.9767.7533
288 [46]Duluth6 - AAAAAAA0-127.8045.40126
289 [33]Savannah3 - AAA0-126.81  
290 [19]George Walton Academy8 - A0-026.50  
291 [43]Shaw1 - AAAA1-026.3410.51278
292 [50]Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA0-026.24  
293 [30]Lamar County5 - AA0-125.9744.56130
294 [31]Coosa7 - AA0-125.6432.97200
295 [44]Chestatee7 - AAAA0-125.2540.22156
296 [51]Decatur6 - AAAAA0-125.0930.07213
297 [32]Metter2 - AA0-024.99  
298 [45]Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA0-124.7534.20191
299 [33]Northeast3 - AA0-124.6430.17212
300 [46]Luella4 - AAAA0-024.63  
301 [20]Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A0-124.5251.4889
302 [34]South Atlanta6 - AA0-124.4434.56188
303 [55]Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA0-024.40  
304 [19]McIntosh County Academy3 - A0-124.2641.78144
305 [35]Washington6 - AA0-123.9936.55175
306 [36]Early County1 - AA0-123.8748.00107
307 [20]Claxton3 - A1-023.6722.47247
308 [21]Hebron Christian Academy8 - A0-123.5450.2296
309 [34]Brantley County2 - AAA0-023.40  
310 [35]Franklin County8 - AAA0-123.2844.55131
311 [36]Tattnall County2 - AAA0-123.2324.43237
312 [37]Worth County1 - AAA0-123.0435.39184
313 [38]Redan5 - AAA0-122.9630.47211
314 [37]Laney4 - AA0-122.7741.26148
315 [22]Whitefield Academy6 - A1-022.68-5.66306
316 [47]Discovery6 - AAAAAAA0-122.4860.5350
317 [47]Dougherty1 - AAAA0-122.4678.1911
318 [48]North Clayton4 - AAAA0-122.3635.92178
319 [39]Windsor Forest3 - AAA1-022.0416.86266
320 [23]Brookstone4 - A0-021.29  
321 [24]Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-121.2038.24166
322 [38]Temple5 - AA0-021.13  
323 [39]McNair6 - AA1-020.8618.01263
324 [40]Therrell6 - AA1-020.786.05294
325 [21]Atkinson County2 - A1-020.5311.43275
326 [22]Schley County4 - A0-120.5135.89179
327 [41]KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA0-119.8531.83206
328 [42]Harlem4 - AA0-019.57  
329 [23]Bowdon6 - A0-119.52  
330 [49]Henry County4 - AAAA0-019.26  
331 [40]Lumpkin County7 - AAA1-019.18-1.78303
332 [52]Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA0-018.79  
333 [41]Towers5 - AAA0-118.0120.86257
334 [56]Apalachee8 - AAAAAA0-117.7939.62159
335 [43]Jordan5 - AA0-117.5136.89172
336 [42]Beach3 - AAA0-017.34  
337 [24]Johnson County3 - A0-017.31  
338 [25]Mount de Sales7 - A1-017.236.44293
339 [26]Walker6 - A0-117.1927.29230
340 [50]Cross Creek3 - AAAA1-017.110.29300
341 [25]Miller County1 - A0-016.72  
342 [44]Bryan County2 - AA0-016.32  
343 [26]Jenkins County3 - A0-116.1021.28255
344 [45]Banks County8 - AA0-115.7928.95220
345 [27]Gordon Lee6 - A1-015.289.15284
346 [27]Strong Rock Christian5 - A0-014.89  
347 [28]Wilkinson County7 - A0-014.80  
348 [29]Chattahoochee County1 - A1-014.311.56298
349 [30]Greene County7 - A0-013.58  
350 [57]Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-113.5429.42218
351 [31]Seminole County1 - A0-113.2459.8253
352 [43]Rutland4 - AAA0-013.12  
353 [46]Glenn Hills4 - AA0-112.9833.02199
354 [47]Butler4 - AA0-012.68  
355 [32]Wilcox County2 - A0-011.75  
356 [33]Towns County8 - A1-011.35  
357 [44]Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA0-111.3142.57142
358 [45]Fannin County7 - AAA1-010.99-10.00311
359 [34]Montgomery County3 - A0-110.6719.77260
360 [46]Kendrick4 - AAA0-110.5126.34232
361 [48]Hephzibah4 - AA0-110.4929.54215
362 [51]LaFayette6 - AAAA1-010.376.77291
363 [49]Dade County7 - AA0-19.9116.04270
364 [47]Long County2 - AAA0-19.7140.33154
365 [35]Hancock Central7 - A0-09.60  
366 [48]Haralson County6 - AAA1-09.56-9.67309
367 [28]St. Francis6 - A0-09.46  
368 [29]Christian Heritage6 - A1-09.251.02299
369 [36]Hawkinsville4 - A0-18.9433.28197
370 [52]Druid Hills4 - AAAA1-08.67-18.60315
371 [53]Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-18.4334.45189
372 [37]Warren County7 - A1-07.92-1.57302
373 [50]Armuchee7 - AA1-07.723.57297
374 [49]Islands3 - AAA0-07.69  
375 [51]East Laurens3 - AA0-17.5650.5591
376 [52]Model7 - AA0-17.5211.13276
377 [53]Denmark7 - AAAA0-07.35  
378 [53]Monticello8 - AA0-17.2017.98264
379 [30]North Cobb Christian6 - A0-06.50  
380 [54]Putnam County8 - AA0-15.9829.49216
381 [38]Wheeler County3 - A0-05.94  
382 [31]Landmark Christian5 - A1-05.37-26.30316
383 [58]Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-15.2920.03258
384 [50]Murray County6 - AAA0-14.328.47288
385 [32]Lakeview Academy8 - A0-03.93  
386 [39]Treutlen3 - A1-03.04-59.74320
387 [40]Lanier County2 - A0-02.55  
388 [33]Riverside Military Academy8 - A0-11.7810.01281
389 [55]Social Circle8 - AA0-01.41  
390 [34]King's Ridge Christian6 - A0-01.30  
391 [56]Westside (Augusta)4 - AA0-01.11  
392 [41]Terrell County1 - A0-10.8013.55272
393 [35]Pinecrest Academy6 - A0-0-0.26  
394 [51]Stone Mountain5 - AAA0-1-0.3840.45152
395 [57]Josey4 - AA0-1-0.4616.35269
396 [42]Portal3 - A0-1-0.818.68286
397 [54]Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA1-0-1.97-17.59314
398 [43]Randolph-Clay1 - A0-0-2.47  
399 [52]East Jackson8 - AAA0-1-2.5318.42262
400 [36]Georgia Military College7 - A1-0-3.66-30.03317
401 [44]Greenville4 - A0-0-3.70  
402 [48]Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA0-0-4.87  
403 [53]Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA0-1-6.4221.92253
404 [37]Providence Christian8 - A1-0-6.88-54.30319
405 [45]Twiggs County7 - A0-1-7.3644.46132
406 [46]Crawford County4 - A0-0-7.49  
407 [47]Calhoun County1 - A0-0-7.75  
408 [58]Gordon Central7 - AA0-1-8.9110.32279
409 [54]Groves3 - AAA0-0-9.01  
410 [48]Central (Talbotton)4 - A0-1-9.0841.64146
411 [54]Gilmer6 - AAAA0-1-10.7510.23280
412 [55]Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA0-0-13.13  
413 [49]Baconton Charter1 - A1-0-15.95-47.69318
414 [56]Coahulla Creek6 - AAA0-1-16.8640.92150
415 [59]Oglethorpe County8 - AA0-1-18.35-2.72304
416 [55]Clarkston5 - AAAAA†0-1-18.608.67287
417 [50]Stewart County1 - A0-0-26.63  
418 [38]Pacelli4 - A0-1-27.064.61295
419 [1]Glascock County7 - A†0-1-30.79-4.41305
420 [2]Pataula Charter1 - A†0-1-48.45-16.71313
421 [56]Cross Keys5 - AAAAA†0-1-53.54-6.13307
422 [3]ACE Charter7 - A†0-1-58.983.80296
† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Comp Rating Avg Rating
11 - AAAAAAA91.4679.87
28 - AAAAAAA84.3063.89
33 - AAAAAAA81.5069.42
41 - AAAAAA81.1270.87
56 - AAAAAAA80.6256.34
64 - AAAAAAA79.4165.45
77 - AAAAAAA78.1557.28
87 - AAAAA75.2150.44
95 - AAAA74.4851.49
108 - AAAAA73.7740.82
115 - AAAAAAA72.4355.65
124 - AAAAA71.3854.10
137 - AAAA70.4145.39
146 - AAAAAA69.8950.29
152 - AAAAAA69.1357.82
161 - AAAAA68.1852.42
175 - AAAAAA67.9451.40
185 - AAA65.2041.24
192 - AAAAAAA65.0353.69
204 - AAAAAA63.8239.62
211 - AA62.8948.41
222 - AAAA61.2148.02
232 - AAAAA60.5747.40
243 - AAAA60.5240.95
253 - AAAAA59.3342.64
268 - AAAAAA59.1344.32
273 - AAA58.9821.19
285 - A58.7628.17
294 - AAA57.8534.58
307 - AAA57.7029.30
317 - AAAAAA56.7439.48
328 - AAAA56.2343.26
336 - AA56.0428.38
346 - AAA55.7822.86
355 - AA54.5835.55
361 - AAAA53.5738.51
374 - AAAA52.8631.90
383 - AA51.7736.26
396 - AAAAA51.3835.65
401 - AAA50.7539.69
412 - A50.0030.70
426 - AAAA49.9531.83
432 - AA49.8835.84
445 - AAAAA49.1034.52
453 - AAAAAA49.0537.83
466 - A48.7122.10
 6-Div A - A43.6324.27
 6-Div B - A42.3520.17
478 - AAA48.5431.36
488 - A48.4223.05
 8-Div A - A48.4432.09
 8-Div B - A33.7915.18
492 - AAA46.2530.26
508 - AA45.2215.89
514 - AA44.7817.52
527 - A43.7521.42
 7-Div A - A39.7624.42
 7-Div B - A36.5818.90
534 - A43.7118.06
 4-Div A - A39.0010.40
 4-Div B - A37.4622.57
543 - A42.8920.61
 3-Div A - A41.4327.13
 3-Div B - A31.4314.40
557 - AA42.7719.48
561 - A30.446.00

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct Likelihood
08/17TreutlenACE Charter35 - 2162.7899.8%0.403
08/18Rabun CountyBremen10 - 133.9259.7%0.446
08/17Houston CountyPerry17 - 232.2555.6%0.467
08/17JonesboroMount Zion (Jonesboro)13 - 141.5753.9%0.482
08/17JeffersonOconee County13 - 201.0752.7%0.484
08/17MiltonArcher21 - 190.3150.8%0.503
08/17SwainsboroJefferson County14 - 120.3450.9%0.504
08/17SalemHeritage (Conyers)22 - 161.2553.1%0.517
08/17ClaxtonTattnall County14 - 61.2053.0%0.517
08/17Chapel HillNewnan10 - 72.3055.7%0.525
08/17Clinch CountyHebron Christian Academy24 - 1726.6893.5%0.531
08/17HamptonFayette County15 - 72.6556.6%0.536
08/17LaFayetteModel28 - 253.6058.9%0.537
08/17LithoniaForest Park26 - 2415.8783.0%0.539
08/17Lakeside (Atlanta)Decatur21 - 204.9762.2%0.540

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct
94.5109/21Colquitt CountyGrayson - 1.3253.3%
88.8910/26Colquitt CountyLowndes - 9.6872.5%
86.4109/14North GwinnettWalton - 3.3458.3%
84.2108/18Colquitt CountyMcEachern41 - 713.9680.2%
81.6109/07North GwinnettNorcross - 10.1373.4%
80.3908/31LowndesParkview - 8.4069.8%
80.3710/05North GwinnettMill Creek - 11.4075.8%
80.3208/18WaltonMill Creek45 - 276.5465.8%
79.2909/21BufordArcher - 12.3577.5%
78.8309/14Colquitt CountyWarner Robins - 18.5286.4%
78.6308/31NorcrossMill Creek - 2.0355.1%
78.4109/28NorcrossParkview - 1.0952.7%
78.0810/12GraysonArcher - 18.0085.8%
77.4509/14NorcrossArcher - 3.8659.5%
77.1609/07Mill CreekArcher - 1.0752.7%