Sports

Maxwell Week 8 Projections

By Loren Maxwell
Oct 15, 2015

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Oct 15

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
22.29 AA McIntosh County Academy 67.6% 8 Bryan County AA
11.22 AAAAA Northside (Columbus) 93.7% 27 Hardaway AAAAA
-0.39 AAA Beach 87.6% 20 Islands AAA
-1.88 A Terrell County 80.0% 14 Baconton A

Oct 16

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
75.21 AAAAAA Lowndes 52.9% 2 Lee County AAAAAA
69.84 AAAAAA Colquitt County 96.0% 31 Valdosta AAAAAA
66.07 AAAAAA Camden County 86.7% 19 Tift County AAAAAA
65.33 AAAAAA Grayson 94.7% 28 Central Gwinnett AAAAAA
63.93 AAAAAA Dacula 58.7% 4 Brookwood AAAAAA
63.82 AAAAA Houston County 59.7% 4 Jones County AAAAA
63.03 AAAAAA Etowah 73.4% 10 Lassiter AAAAAA
59.60 AAAAA Ware County 73.7% 11 Effingham County AAAAA
59.46 AAAAAA Parkview 78.3% 13 South Gwinnett AAAAAA
59.26 AAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 84.2% 17 Warner Robins AAAAA
57.16 AAAAAA South Forsyth 66.4% 7 West Forsyth AAAAAA
55.06 AAAAAA Walton 91.8% 24 Woodstock AAAAAA
54.79 AAAAAA Cherokee 56.4% 3 Milton AAAAAA
54.62 AAAA Liberty County 56.4% 3 Thomson AAAA
52.81 AAAAA Kell 63.7% 6 Riverwood AAAAA
51.97 AAAAA Creekview 62.1% 5 Sequoyah AAAAA
51.90 AAAAA Mundy's Mill 58.2% 4 Drew AAAAA
51.55 AAAAA Paulding County 62.3% 5 New Manchester AAAAA
50.52 AAAAAA McEachern 96.5% 32 North Paulding AAAAAA
50.23 AAAAAA North Cobb 85.7% 18 Marietta AAAAAA
50.05 AAAA Locust Grove 66.1% 7 Eagle's Landing AAAA
49.75 AAAA Mary Persons 78.1% 13 Upson-Lee AAAA
49.50 AAAA Thomas County Central 68.9% 8 Cairo AAAA
49.12 AAAAAA Archer 98.0% 36 Shiloh AAAAAA
47.15 AAAAA Loganville 70.1% 9 Salem AAAAA
45.76 AA Fitzgerald 89.7% 22 Brooks County AA
45.35 AAAAA Coffee 91.4% 23 Brunswick AAAAA
45.32 A Turner County 65.2% 7 Clinch County A
44.69 AAA Peach County 67.7% 8 Jackson AAA
44.48 AAA Central (Carrollton) 65.5% 7 Pepperell AAA
44.27 AAA Blessed Trinity 93.9% 27 Westminster (Atlanta) AAA
44.06 AAAAA South Effingham 81.9% 15 Richmond Hill AAAAA
43.72 AAAAAA Westlake 89.6% 22 Douglas County AAAAAA
43.05 AAAA Marist 88.5% 20 Grady AAAA
42.83 AAAAAA Hillgrove 84.0% 17 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAA
42.81 AAAAA Miller Grove 70.6% 9 M. L. King AAAAA
42.80 AAAAAA Lambert 86.8% 19 Northview AAAAAA
42.80 AAAA Carrollton 78.9% 13 Whitewater AAAA
42.23 AAAA Worth County 81.2% 15 Westover AAAA
42.14 AAAAAA Hughes 92.9% 26 South Cobb AAAAAA
41.36 AAAAA South Paulding 87.2% 19 Chapel Hill AAAAA
40.92 AAAAA Lakeside (Evans) 69.2% 8 Grovetown AAAAA
40.37 AAAA West Laurens 78.8% 13 Baldwin AAAA
40.36 AAA Cook 53.9% 2 Appling County AAA
40.33 AAAAA Gainesville 90.0% 22 Clarke Central AAAAA
39.13 AAAAA Allatoona 96.0% 31 Hiram AAAAA
38.97 AAAAA Creekside 96.2% 31 Tri-Cities AAAAA
38.17 AAAAA Stockbridge 95.1% 29 Ola AAAAA
38.12 AAA Hart County 61.1% 5 Jackson County AAA
38.02 AAAAA Sprayberry 67.0% 7 Forsyth Central AAAAA
37.73 AAAA Veterans 77.0% 12 Perry AAAA
36.76 AA Benedictine 97.1% 34 Vidalia AA
36.55 AAAAA Columbus 73.3% 10 Harris County AAAAA
36.53 AAAAA Alexander 92.7% 25 Villa Rica AAAAA
36.24 AAAA Eastside 83.3% 16 Henry County AAAA
35.76 AAAAA Dutchtown 82.8% 16 Luella AAAAA
35.51 AAA Oconee County 61.8% 5 Morgan County AAA
35.41 AAAAAA Johns Creek 79.2% 14 North Forsyth AAAAAA
35.33 AAAAA Woodland (Stockbridge) 84.1% 17 Union Grove AAAAA
35.24 AAAAAA East Coweta 95.8% 30 Pebblebrook AAAAAA
34.99 AA Rabun County 86.4% 19 Union County AA
34.33 AAAA North Oconee 72.2% 10 White County AAAA
33.54 AAAA Cartersville 98.1% 36 Northwest Whitfield AAAA
33.47 AA Early County 80.8% 14 Pelham AA
33.29 AAAA Heritage (Ringgold) 53.4% 2 Ridgeland AAAA
32.90 AAAAA Winder-Barrow 82.8% 16 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
32.29 A Mount Paran Christian 90.4% 22 Christian Heritage A
32.10 AAAAAA Roswell 99.7% 41 Pope AAAAAA
32.07 AA Heard County 55.1% 2 Manchester AA
31.29 AAA Ringgold 60.3% 4 Sonoraville AAA
31.22 AAAA Woodward Academy 97.9% 36 Fayette County AAAA
30.64 AAAAAA Alpharetta 91.5% 24 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
30.17 AA Screven County 61.2% 5 Swainsboro AA
30.10 A Pinecrest Academy 72.4% 10 Mount Pisgah Christian A
29.29 AAA Decatur 74.7% 11 Douglass AAA
29.16 AAAA Buford 99.4% 40 Monroe Area AAAA
29.11 AA Macon County 83.5% 16 Bleckley County AA
29.02 AAA Brantley County 52.2% 1 Tattnall County AAA
28.77 AAAAA Statesboro 79.9% 14 Bradwell Institute AAAAA
28.69 AAAAA Stephenson 99.3% 40 Druid Hills AAAAA
28.57 AA Thomasville 52.9% 1 Berrien AA
28.09 A Trion 72.6% 10 Mount Zion (Carroll) A
27.88 AA Bacon County 62.0% 5 Jeff Davis AA
27.49 A Stratford Academy 72.8% 10 Twiggs County A
26.76 AAAA Jonesboro 97.5% 34 Riverdale AAAA
26.48 AAAA Sandy Creek 99.0% 39 Troup AAAA
25.55 AAAAA Mays 99.5% 41 Banneker AAAAA
25.55 AA Lovett 88.2% 20 Holy Innocents AA
25.30 A Marion County 89.9% 22 Hawkinsville A
24.94 AA Chattooga 79.8% 14 Gordon Lee AA
24.77 AAA Maynard Jackson 52.6% 1 North Clayton AAA
24.56 AAAAA Rome 94.4% 28 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
24.15 AAA Central (Macon) 86.9% 19 Southwest AAA
23.98 AA Model 83.4% 16 Coosa AA
23.84 AAA Franklin County 54.4% 2 West Hall AAA
23.68 A Lincoln County 87.3% 19 Hancock Central A
23.00 AAAAAA Newnan 97.6% 35 Campbell AAAAAA
22.71 AAAAAA Centennial 95.6% 30 Habersham Central AAAAAA
22.69 AAAAA Evans 79.8% 14 Richmond Academy AAAAA
22.60 AAA Dawson County 75.1% 11 Fannin County AAA
21.73 AAAA St. Pius X 98.4% 37 Chamblee AAAA
21.18 AA Dublin 87.2% 19 East Laurens AA
20.92 A Telfair County 63.0% 6 Atkinson County A
20.87 AAAA Gilmer 53.5% 2 Southeast Whitfield AAAA
20.34 AAAAA Cambridge 96.5% 32 North Springs AAAAA
20.33 AAAAA East Paulding 98.7% 38 Lithia Springs AAAAA
20.27 AAAAA Cross Creek 56.9% 3 Greenbrier AAAAA
20.15 AAAAA Southwest DeKalb 89.9% 22 Dunwoody AAAAA
19.73 AAAAA Flowery Branch 93.5% 26 Apalachee AAAAA
19.72 AAAA Bainbridge 99.1% 40 Dougherty AAAA
19.68 AAAAA Lanier 99.2% 40 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAA
19.52 AAA Callaway 92.6% 25 Rockmart AAA
18.75 A Emanuel County Institute 91.5% 24 Treutlen A
17.71 AAA Banks County 69.1% 8 Lumpkin County AAA
17.48 AAAA North Hall 92.4% 25 Madison County AAAA
16.82 AAAA Mount Zion (Jonesboro) 63.8% 6 Pike County AAAA
16.81 A First Presbyterian 64.8% 6 Tattnall Square A
16.72 AAAAA Dalton 98.5% 38 River Ridge AAAAA
16.69 A Miller County 69.3% 8 Mitchell County A
16.67 A Greenville 57.0% 3 Taylor County A
16.25 A Wilkinson County 81.0% 15 Mount de Sales A
15.98 A Athens Christian 67.5% 8 George Walton Academy A
15.91 AA Metter 84.2% 17 Harlem AA
15.76 AAA Pierce County 95.7% 30 Toombs County AAA
15.42 AAA East Hall 79.0% 13 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAA
14.64 AAA Jenkins 93.9% 27 Savannah AAA
14.02 AAAAA Northgate 99.5% 41 Forest Park AAAAA
13.39 A Charlton County 96.1% 31 Wilcox County A
13.39 AAA Washington County 92.2% 25 Butler AAA
12.95 AAA Spencer 93.9% 27 Rutland AAA
10.97 AA Lamar County 95.9% 31 Northeast AA
10.50 AAAA New Hampstead 60.9% 5 North Cobb Christian A
10.38 A Savannah Christian 96.3% 32 Jenkins County A
9.82 AAA Cedartown 77.0% 12 Haralson County AAA
9.70 AAAAA Starr's Mill 99.1% 40 Morrow AAAAA
8.11 A Calvary Day 96.8% 33 Portal A
8.04 A Fellowship Christian 87.2% 19 Whitefield Academy A
7.74 AAA McNair 71.0% 9 South Atlanta AAA
6.89 A Savannah Country Day 81.9% 15 Claxton A
6.29 AA Bowdon 92.8% 25 Temple AA
5.23 AA Washington-Wilkes 92.9% 25 Social Circle AA
5.15 A Brookstone 93.3% 26 Central (Talbotton) A
4.79 AAA Southeast Bulloch 95.2% 29 Johnson (Savannah) AAA
4.65 AAAA Monroe 98.8% 39 Albany AAAA
4.43 A Our Lady of Mercy 69.3% 8 Strong Rock Christian A
3.48 AAAA Redan 95.1% 29 Stone Mountain AAAA
3.20 AAAA Pickens 97.6% 35 LaFayette AAAA
3.06 AA Bremen 91.2% 23 Chattahoochee County AA
2.90 A Irwin County 98.2% 37 Lanier County A
2.79 AAAA Stephens County 99.1% 40 Chestatee AAAA
1.90 AA Riverside Military Academy 69.2% 8 Oglethorpe County AA
1.50 AAA Jefferson 99.8% 41 East Jackson AAA
0.68 A King's Ridge Christian 79.0% 13 St. Francis A
0.44 A Warren County 72.4% 10 Georgia Military College A
0.30 AAAA Walnut Grove 95.2% 29 Hampton AAAA
0.12 AA Dade County 95.0% 29 Armuchee AA
0.09 AAA Hephzibah 69.1% 8 Glenn Hills AAA
-1.90 AAAA Burke County 99.6% 41 Windsor Forest AAAA
-4.39 A Wheeler County 72.1% 10 Montgomery County A
-5.41 AA Long County 94.2% 27 Groves AA
-6.93 AAA North Murray 91.6% 24 Coahulla Creek AAA
-8.30 A Athens Academy 98.8% 39 Lakeview Academy A
-9.26 A Dooly County 97.5% 35 Schley County A
-10.90 A Prince Avenue Christian 99.9% 42 Towns County A
-14.83 AAA Murray County 93.0% 26 Gordon Central AAA
-21.93 AA Crawford County 96.5% 32 Glascock County A
-23.49 A Commerce 99.7% 41 Providence Christian A
-24.77 AAA Adairsville 99.9% 42 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
-27.75 AAAAA Clarkston 91.2% 23 Cross Keys AAAA
-28.50 AA Seminole County 99.4% 40 Stewart County A

Oct 17

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
37.60 AAAA Arabia Mountain 75.3% 11 Lithonia AAAA
35.11 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 93.6% 26 Shaw AAAAA
21.92 AAA Washington 53.9% 2 Therrell AAA
20.64 AAA Laney 92.1% 24 Josey AAA
19.93 AAA Kendrick 52.6% 1 Jordan AAA
17.34 AAA Cedar Grove 98.8% 39 Towers AAA
-4.46 A Landmark Christian 98.8% 39 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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