Sports

Maxwell Week 11 Projections

By Todd Holcomb
Oct 29, 2014

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Oct 30

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
22.98 AAA Towers 59.4% 4 North Clayton AAA
22.48 AAAA Spalding 90.3% 22 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAA
22.09 AAAA Jonesboro 85.2% 18 Pike County AAAA
14.64 AAAAA Columbus 79.6% 14 Hardaway AAAAA

Oct 31

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
81.97 AAAAAA Valdosta 51.2% 1 Lowndes AAAAAA
79.79 AAAAAA Dacula 71.8% 10 Archer AAAAAA
77.56 AAAAAA Mill Creek 55.3% 2 Norcross AAAAAA
76.60 AAAAAA Colquitt County 96.4% 32 Tift County AAAAAA
75.02 AAAAAA Lee County 77.4% 12 Camden County AAAAAA
74.55 AAAAAA Tucker 55.6% 3 Lovejoy AAAAAA
72.95 AAA Peach County 53.2% 2 Westside (Macon) AAA
72.21 AAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 72.5% 10 Collins Hill AAAAAA
72.17 AAAAA South Paulding 60.5% 5 Alexander AAAAA
70.97 AAAAAA Roswell 55.0% 2 Etowah AAAAAA
65.82 AAAAAA Central Gwinnett 56.4% 3 Parkview AAAAAA
65.31 AAAAAA Walton 50.2% 0 Cherokee AAAAAA
64.66 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 61.8% 5 Lovett AA
64.08 AAAAAA North Cobb 76.3% 12 North Paulding AAAAAA
63.00 AAAAAA McEachern 91.6% 24 Harrison AAAAAA
61.42 AAAAA Kell 64.1% 6 Sprayberry AAAAA
59.97 AAAAA East Paulding 70.6% 9 Hiram AAAAA
59.37 AA Thomasville 51.4% 1 Brooks County AA
58.88 AAAA Thomas County Central 58.4% 4 Worth County AAAA
58.07 AAAA Mary Persons 77.0% 12 Baldwin AAAA
57.10 AAAA Woodward Academy 88.6% 21 Whitewater AAAA
56.67 AAAAA Stephenson 64.1% 6 Southwest DeKalb AAAAA
56.23 AAAAAA Grayson 95.1% 29 Brookwood AAAAAA
55.96 AAAAAA Alpharetta 85.4% 18 Northview AAAAAA
55.29 AAAAAA Marietta 59.4% 4 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAA
54.74 AAAAAA Westlake 90.5% 22 South Cobb AAAAAA
54.50 AAAA Sandy Creek 86.8% 19 Carrollton AAAA
54.15 AAAA North Oconee 62.1% 5 Stephens County AAAA
51.21 AAAA Gilmer 59.4% 4 Pickens AAAA
51.19 AAAAA Mays 87.6% 20 Tri-Cities AAAAA
51.09 AAAA Bainbridge 54.4% 2 Westover AAAA
50.53 AAAAAA East Coweta 85.5% 18 Newnan AAAAAA
50.43 AAAAAA Milton 96.3% 31 Pope AAAAAA
50.15 AAAAA Houston County 87.2% 19 Evans AAAAA
50.10 AAAAA Lanier 86.6% 19 Winder-Barrow AAAAA
49.83 A Hawkinsville 70.6% 9 Pacelli A
49.83 AAAA Troup 67.0% 7 Fayette County AAAA
49.25 AAAAAA Wheeler 74.5% 11 Lassiter AAAAAA
49.24 AAAAAA West Forsyth 52.8% 1 Centennial AAAAAA
47.47 AAA Dodge County 58.1% 4 Pierce County AAA
47.29 AAAAA Woodland (Stockbridge) 50.0% 0 Luella AAAAA
47.14 AAAAA Cambridge 71.4% 9 Forsyth Central AAAAA
46.95 AAAAA Harris County 89.6% 21 LaGrange AAAAA
46.91 AAAAA Northgate 53.1% 2 Starr's Mill AAAAA
46.88 AAAA Burke County 71.1% 9 Wayne County AAAA
46.79 AAAAA Jones County 83.6% 16 Richmond Academy AAAAA
44.57 A Charlton County 68.9% 8 Clinch County A
42.97 AAAA Veterans 62.3% 5 Howard AAAA
42.56 AAAAA Cass 54.7% 2 Rome AAAAA
41.96 AAAAA Clarke Central 63.6% 6 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAA
41.47 AAAAA Salem 77.8% 13 Flowery Branch AAAAA
41.46 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 94.1% 27 Washington AAA
41.43 AAAAA Dutchtown 78.3% 13 Ola AAAAA
41.12 AAAAAA Mountain View 79.9% 14 Duluth AAAAAA
40.83 AAAAA Ware County 97.8% 36 South Effingham AAAAA
40.77 AA Fitzgerald 93.8% 27 Berrien AA
40.65 AAAAA Miller Grove 55.4% 2 Druid Hills AAAAA
40.32 AAA Jefferson 97.0% 33 Oconee County AAA
39.89 AAAAA Stockbridge 89.8% 22 Union Grove AAAAA
39.88 AAAAAA Lambert 85.2% 18 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
39.77 AAAA Eagle's Landing 66.8% 7 Henry County AAAA
39.62 AA Darlington 64.0% 6 Coosa AA
39.42 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 90.3% 22 Northside (Columbus) AAAAA
39.39 AAAAA Warner Robins 89.9% 22 Grovetown AAAAA
39.38 AAAAA Gainesville 94.0% 27 Loganville AAAAA
39.30 AAAA Monroe 79.2% 13 Crisp County AAAA
39.21 AAAAAA Shiloh 83.4% 16 Berkmar AAAAAA
38.99 AAA Blessed Trinity 98.5% 38 Decatur AAA
38.85 AAAAA Drew 87.9% 20 McIntosh AAAAA
38.09 AAAAA New Manchester 95.1% 29 Lithia Springs AAAAA
37.53 A Dooly County 67.8% 8 Brookstone A
37.49 AAAA Buford 99.7% 41 Madison County AAAA
37.07 AAAA West Laurens 91.1% 23 Perry AAAA
37.06 A Eagle's Landing Christian 67.5% 8 Our Lady of Mercy A
36.81 AAAAA Glynn Academy 91.0% 23 Statesboro AAAAA
36.38 AAAAA Coffee 96.9% 33 Richmond Hill AAAAA
35.15 AA Screven County 78.6% 13 Dublin AA
35.10 AAAA Grady 83.9% 17 Arabia Mountain AAAA
34.94 AAAA Ridgeland 51.8% 1 Southeast Whitfield AAAA
34.64 A Savannah Christian 63.5% 6 Claxton A
34.55 AA Bowdon 79.8% 14 Bremen AA
34.39 AAAAA Creekview 82.8% 16 River Ridge AAAAA
34.39 AA Seminole County 67.0% 7 Pelham AA
34.36 AAA Appling County 75.1% 11 Brantley County AAA
34.23 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 74.4% 11 Heritage (Ringgold) AAAA
32.49 A Aquinas 83.6% 16 Lincoln County A
31.97 AA Lamar County 89.5% 21 Monticello AA
31.95 AAAAAA South Forsyth 91.6% 24 Johns Creek AAAAAA
31.30 A Mount Paran Christian 91.6% 24 Mount Zion (Carroll) A
31.11 AAA Central (Macon) 59.7% 4 Rutland AAA
30.66 A Irwin County 94.7% 28 Atkinson County A
30.57 AAAAA M. L. King 75.3% 11 Dunwoody AAAAA
30.52 AA Bleckley County 77.5% 13 Northeast AA
30.39 AAA Hart County 97.2% 34 Morgan County AAA
30.35 AA Swainsboro 72.3% 10 Metter AA
29.77 AAAAAA Douglas County 95.4% 30 Campbell AAAAAA
29.38 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 95.1% 29 Banneker AAAAA
28.27 AAAAA Lakeside (Evans) 96.0% 31 Greenbrier AAAAA
27.63 AAAAA Cedar Shoals 56.8% 3 Apalachee AAAAA
27.04 AA B.E.S.T. Academy 78.4% 13 Hapeville AA
26.80 AAAAA Paulding County 96.4% 32 Chapel Hill AAAAA
26.74 AAAAAA Hughes 99.1% 40 Pebblebrook AAAAAA
26.40 AAA East Hall 61.5% 5 Fannin County AAA
26.26 AAA Jackson 91.0% 23 Southwest AAA
26.09 AAAA White County 86.0% 18 Monroe Area AAAA
25.87 AA Wesleyan 82.0% 15 Holy Innocents AA
25.51 AAAAAA Newton 95.4% 30 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAA
25.17 AAA West Hall 90.9% 23 Banks County AAA
24.91 AAAA Griffin 99.1% 40 Riverdale AAAA
24.76 AAA Kendrick 76.7% 12 Spencer AAA
24.67 AAAAAA North Forsyth 67.1% 7 Habersham Central AAAAAA
24.49 AAAA Americus-Sumter 78.2% 13 Dougherty AAAA
24.41 A Calhoun County 76.3% 12 Mitchell County A
24.22 AAAA North Hall 51.7% 1 Chestatee AAAA
23.87 AAA Central (Carrollton) 98.0% 36 Rockmart AAA
23.75 A Wilcox County 81.0% 15 Turner County A
23.61 AAAAA North Springs 68.5% 8 North Atlanta AAAAA
22.67 AAAAA Sequoyah 95.0% 29 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
22.22 AAA Lumpkin County 70.6% 9 Dawson County AAA
22.03 AAAA Upson-Lee 96.1% 31 Osborne AAAAAA
22.00 A Stratford Academy 83.9% 17 Wilkinson County A
21.62 AAA Cedartown 80.0% 14 Pepperell AAA
21.58 AA Bacon County 86.0% 18 Groves AA
21.30 AAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 99.3% 40 Cross Creek AAAAA
21.14 AAAAA Brunswick 96.3% 32 Bradwell Institute AAAAA
20.94 AAA Tattnall County 61.5% 5 Toombs County AAA
20.82 A Tattnall Square 92.3% 25 Mount de Sales A
20.03 A Calvary Day 93.3% 26 Savannah Country Day A
19.91 A Commerce 72.4% 10 George Walton Academy A
19.73 A Mount Pisgah Christian 90.9% 23 Whitefield Academy A
19.60 AA Vidalia 99.4% 41 Jeff Davis AA
19.48 A Landmark Christian 91.4% 23 Strong Rock Christian A
19.44 AA Chattahoochee County 50.8% 1 Manchester AA
19.33 AAA Jenkins 87.2% 19 Johnson (Savannah) AAA
18.79 AAAA Johnson (Gainesville) 57.7% 3 Franklin County AAA
18.55 A Marion County 98.6% 38 Taylor County A
18.55 AAAAA Morrow 71.2% 9 Forest Park AAAAA
18.44 AAAAAA Rockdale County 96.0% 31 Alcovy AAAAAA
17.70 AA Dade County 67.1% 7 Chattooga AA
17.07 AA Bryan County 77.0% 12 Long County AA
16.12 A St. Francis 84.1% 17 Fellowship Christian A
16.07 AA Union County 90.3% 22 Riverside Military Academy AA
16.01 AAAA Lithonia 92.0% 24 Redan AAAA
15.85 AAAA Columbia 98.4% 37 Chamblee AAAA
15.65 AAA Maynard Jackson 90.9% 23 McNair AAA
15.31 AA Jefferson County 92.0% 24 East Laurens AA
14.04 AAAA Cairo 99.4% 41 Albany AAAA
13.98 A Jenkins County 68.3% 8 Portal A
13.12 AAA Washington County 99.9% 42 Hephzibah AAA
12.73 AAAA Cartersville 99.7% 41 LaFayette AAAA
11.30 A Schley County 91.9% 24 Miller County A
11.28 A Greenville 94.7% 28 Central (Talbotton) A
10.89 AA Macon County 98.4% 37 Putnam County AA
10.09 A Emanuel County Institute 95.6% 30 Montgomery County A
9.56 A Telfair County 91.7% 24 Lanier County A
8.66 A Trion 78.2% 13 Walker A
8.65 AA Pace Academy 94.1% 27 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA
8.32 A Randolph-Clay 51.7% 1 Terrell County A
7.06 A Hebron Christian Academy 55.0% 2 Athens Academy A
5.84 AAA Callaway 98.2% 37 Haralson County AAA
5.72 AA Model 96.6% 32 Gordon Lee AA
5.60 A Hancock Central 88.8% 21 Georgia Military College A
4.13 AAA Butler 85.4% 18 Josey AAA
3.62 AAAA Locust Grove 98.0% 36 Hampton AAAA
3.35 A First Presbyterian 95.0% 29 Twiggs County A
2.70 AAA Calhoun 100.0% 42 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
2.50 A Pinecrest Academy 96.3% 32 King's Ridge Christian A
1.93 AA Benedictine 99.7% 41 McIntosh County Academy AA
1.87 A Prince Avenue Christian 94.1% 27 Lakeview Academy A
-0.38 AAA Ringgold 99.3% 40 Murray County AAA
-0.94 AAA Elbert County 99.7% 41 East Jackson AAA
-2.16 AAAA Thomson 98.0% 36 Windsor Forest AAAA
-2.97 AA Heard County 96.5% 32 Temple AA
-3.18 AA Washington-Wilkes 97.0% 33 Oglethorpe County AA
-3.41 AAA North Murray 94.3% 28 Gordon Central AAA
-4.45 A Johnson County 96.8% 33 Wheeler County A
-5.01 AAAA St. Pius X 99.9% 42 Stone Mountain AAAA
-8.13 AAAAAA North Gwinnett 100.0% 42 Meadowcreek AAAAAA
-11.51 AA Greene County 97.4% 34 Social Circle AA
-13.89 AAA Southeast Bulloch 98.7% 38 Islands AAA
-22.47 AAA Adairsville 100.0% 42 Coahulla Creek AAA
-22.66 A Stewart County 78.7% 13 Glascock County A
-24.22 A Towns County 84.4% 17 Providence Christian A

Nov 1

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
37.91 AAAA Eastside 69.5% 8 Walnut Grove AAAA
34.06 AAA Laney 81.5% 15 Westside (Augusta) AAA
15.94 AAA Therrell 71.5% 9 Douglass AAA
8.91 AAA Cedar Grove 99.1% 40 South Atlanta AAA
-7.95 A North Cobb Christian 55.0% 2 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A

About the Author

Todd Holcomb

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