Sports

Maxwell Week 10 Projections

By Loren Maxwell
Oct 22, 2015

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Oct 22

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
56.46 AAAAA Northgate 77.8% 13 Drew AAAAA
36.51 AAAAA LaGrange 67.7% 8 Shaw AAAAA
23.34 AAAA Carrollton 93.5% 26 Troup AAAA
11.79 AAA Southwest 78.6% 13 Kendrick AAA
-2.97 AAAA Liberty County 99.5% 41 Windsor Forest AAAA

Oct 23

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
77.22 AAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 61.9% 5 Norcross AAAAAA
66.96 AAAA Woodward Academy 54.2% 2 Sandy Creek AAAA
62.95 AAAAAA Grayson 96.6% 32 Dacula AAAAAA
61.11 AAAAAA Hughes 50.2% 0 Westlake AAAAAA
59.49 AAAAAA Archer 95.7% 30 Central Gwinnett AAAAAA
59.38 AAAAAA Mill Creek 92.5% 25 Collins Hill AAAAAA
59.34 AAAAA Glynn Academy 67.8% 8 Effingham County AAAAA
57.17 AAAAA East Paulding 68.2% 8 Alexander AAAAA
56.77 AAAAAA Walton 88.4% 20 Milton AAAAAA
56.24 AAAAAA Lambert 59.7% 4 West Forsyth AAAAAA
56.24 AAAAAA Harrison 51.8% 1 Hillgrove AAAAAA
56.15 AAAAA Stockbridge 69.1% 8 Woodland (Stockbridge) AAAAA
55.77 AAAAA Allatoona 75.9% 12 Paulding County AAAAA
52.42 AAAAAA Roswell 98.2% 37 Woodstock AAAAAA
52.00 AAAAAA Newton 86.4% 19 Lovejoy AAAAAA
51.23 AAAAA Starr's Mill 75.9% 12 Mundy's Mill AAAAA
50.87 AAAAAA Lassiter 76.5% 12 Cherokee AAAAAA
50.68 AAAAAA South Forsyth 74.2% 11 Alpharetta AAAAAA
50.18 AAAA Mary Persons 71.0% 9 Veterans AAAA
48.30 AAAAA Cambridge 57.8% 3 Riverwood AAAAA
46.90 AAAAA Warner Robins 56.8% 3 Lakeside (Evans) AAAAA
46.78 AAAAA Rome 53.8% 2 Sequoyah AAAAA
46.77 AAAA Thomson 83.2% 16 Wayne County AAAA
45.14 AAAA St. Pius X 84.9% 17 Arabia Mountain AAAA
44.73 AA Brooks County 70.1% 9 Early County AA
44.45 AAAA Cairo 68.1% 8 Monroe AAAA
44.36 AAA Cook 52.0% 1 Dodge County AAA
44.17 AAAAA Stephenson 96.6% 32 M. L. King AAAAA
44.11 AAAAAA Marietta 53.7% 2 North Paulding AAAAAA
43.60 AA Wesleyan 61.3% 5 Lovett AA
43.55 AAAAAA Parkview 94.4% 28 Shiloh AAAAAA
42.89 AAAAA Lanier 89.1% 21 Salem AAAAA
42.35 AAAAA Winder-Barrow 61.1% 5 Clarke Central AAAAA
41.83 AAAA Upson-Lee 65.9% 7 Howard AAAA
41.10 AAA Jackson 53.6% 2 Central (Macon) AAA
40.22 AAA Hart County 65.9% 7 Oconee County AAA
40.09 AAAAAA East Coweta 90.1% 22 Douglas County AAAAAA
39.91 AAAAA Richmond Hill 58.7% 4 Brunswick AAAAA
38.40 A Eagle's Landing Christian 85.9% 18 Landmark Christian A
38.24 AAAA Marist 86.7% 19 Columbia AAAA
37.44 AAA Callaway 67.1% 7 Pepperell AAA
37.05 AAAA Thomas County Central 74.2% 11 Crisp County AAAA
36.96 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 50.9% 1 Douglass AAA
36.92 AAAAA New Manchester 77.7% 13 Chapel Hill AAAAA
36.74 AAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 97.9% 36 Grovetown AAAAA
36.56 AAAAA Columbus 62.2% 5 Northside (Columbus) AAAAA
36.27 AAAAA Ware County 94.4% 28 Statesboro AAAAA
36.19 AAAA Locust Grove 88.1% 20 Henry County AAAA
35.82 AAAAAA South Gwinnett 85.3% 18 Berkmar AAAAAA
35.31 AAAA Buford 98.0% 36 North Oconee AAAA
34.99 AAA Jenkins 64.3% 6 Southeast Bulloch AAA
34.26 AAAAAA Newnan 89.1% 21 Pebblebrook AAAAAA
34.21 AAAAA Villa Rica 50.6% 1 Hiram AAAAA
34.19 AA Pace Academy 77.4% 13 Hapeville AA
33.45 AA Model 66.9% 7 Chattooga AA
33.41 AAAAAA Centennial 86.2% 18 North Forsyth AAAAAA
33.31 AAA Pierce County 83.2% 16 Appling County AAA
33.02 AAAAAA McEachern 99.3% 40 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAA
32.97 AAAA Worth County 88.3% 20 Americus-Sumter AAAA
32.69 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 92.0% 24 Harris County AAAAA
32.56 A Mount Paran Christian 85.6% 18 Trion A
32.00 AAAAAA Mountain View 82.9% 16 Meadowcreek AAAAAA
31.51 AAAAAA North Gwinnett 95.1% 29 Duluth AAAAAA
31.47 AAAA Baldwin 61.1% 5 Perry AAAA
31.23 AAAAA Ola 72.6% 10 Luella AAAAA
30.53 AAAA Ridgeland 53.5% 2 Northwest Whitfield AAAA
30.39 AAAA Whitewater 59.6% 4 Fayette County AAAA
30.29 AAAAA Jones County 97.4% 34 Evans AAAAA
30.26 AA Bacon County 61.1% 5 Vidalia AA
30.06 AA Lamar County 79.3% 14 Putnam County AA
29.91 AAAA North Hall 73.0% 10 Monroe Area AAAA
29.69 AAAAAA Northview 79.5% 14 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
29.43 AAAAA Gainesville 90.3% 22 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
29.42 AA Fitzgerald 93.7% 27 Pelham AA
29.20 AAAAAA Wheeler 93.6% 27 Pope AAAAAA
28.85 AAAAAA Johns Creek 82.3% 15 Habersham Central AAAAAA
28.77 AAAAA Dutchtown 90.9% 23 Union Grove AAAAA
28.66 AAAAA South Effingham 94.0% 27 Bradwell Institute AAAAA
28.06 AAA Elbert County 93.5% 26 Morgan County AAA
27.52 AAAA Spalding 92.2% 24 Riverdale AAAA
27.07 A Charlton County 86.9% 19 Telfair County A
26.88 AAAA Eagle's Landing 90.8% 23 Walnut Grove AAAA
26.22 AA Heard County 71.3% 9 Bowdon AA
25.57 AA Rabun County 94.5% 28 Washington-Wilkes AA
24.85 AAAAA Kell 95.5% 30 North Atlanta AAAAA
24.68 A Brookstone 50.1% 0 Pacelli A
24.57 AAAA Pickens 78.4% 13 Heritage (Ringgold) AAAA
23.52 AAA Dawson County 56.6% 3 Banks County AAA
23.23 AA Dublin 86.0% 18 Swainsboro AA
22.83 AAAAA Creekside 98.8% 39 Banneker AAAAA
22.67 AAAAAA South Cobb 82.4% 16 Campbell AAAAAA
22.40 AAA Franklin County 62.6% 5 East Hall AAA
22.15 AAAAAA Lakeside (Atlanta) 50.8% 1 Rockdale County AAAAAA
22.05 AAA Peach County 92.6% 25 Jordan AAA
21.85 A Pinecrest Academy 82.0% 15 Fellowship Christian A
21.43 AAA Blessed Trinity 99.1% 40 Washington AAA
21.35 AA Bryan County 58.1% 4 Jeff Davis AA
21.27 AA Manchester 68.1% 8 Bremen AA
20.60 AAAAAA Tucker 98.3% 37 Alcovy AAAAAA
19.82 A Wilkinson County 75.5% 11 First Presbyterian A
19.81 AAA Cedar Grove 98.0% 36 North Clayton AAA
19.30 AAA Decatur 83.0% 16 Therrell AAA
18.98 AAAAA Dalton 98.0% 36 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
18.81 A Treutlen 51.9% 1 Johnson County A
18.57 AA Berrien 76.0% 12 Seminole County AA
18.19 AAAA Westover 89.1% 21 Dougherty AAAA
18.00 AA McIntosh County Academy 60.7% 5 Long County AA
17.89 AAAA Grady 92.4% 25 Chamblee AAAA
17.79 AAAAA Forsyth Central 81.2% 15 North Springs AAAAA
17.57 AA Metter 83.0% 16 East Laurens AA
16.96 AA Dade County 81.0% 15 Coosa AA
16.23 AAAAA McIntosh 74.3% 11 Forest Park AAAAA
16.20 AAAAA Apalachee 55.5% 3 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAA
16.17 AAAAA Miller Grove 92.3% 25 Dunwoody AAAAA
15.57 AAAAA Houston County 99.1% 40 Greenbrier AAAAA
15.57 AAA Washington County 90.1% 22 Josey AAA
15.37 A Dooly County 74.4% 11 Taylor County A
15.24 AAA Fannin County 71.5% 9 West Hall AAA
14.59 AAA Central (Carrollton) 97.7% 35 Cedartown AAA
13.78 AAAA Cartersville 99.6% 41 Southeast Whitfield AAAA
13.26 AAAAA South Paulding 98.8% 39 Lithia Springs AAAAA
13.13 AAA Adairsville 95.7% 30 North Murray AAA
12.65 A Twiggs County 75.4% 11 Tattnall Square A
12.58 AAAAA Cross Creek 67.0% 7 Richmond Academy AAAAA
12.52 AAAAA Cass 95.9% 31 River Ridge AAAAA
12.45 A Turner County 96.8% 33 Atkinson County A
12.14 AA Bleckley County 75.9% 12 Monticello AA
11.83 A Christian Heritage 88.1% 20 Walker A
11.06 AA Jefferson County 97.8% 36 Harlem AA
11.01 AAA Brantley County 91.0% 23 Toombs County AAA
10.77 A Marion County 96.4% 32 Greenville A
10.51 A Stratford Academy 91.0% 23 Mount de Sales A
10.19 AAA Calhoun 99.7% 41 Murray County AAA
9.31 A Calvary Day 94.5% 28 Claxton A
9.09 A North Cobb Christian 67.8% 8 Crawford County AA
8.68 A George Walton Academy 63.1% 6 Hebron Christian Academy A
8.24 A Savannah Country Day 61.3% 5 Jenkins County A
7.43 A Savannah Christian 96.3% 32 Portal A
7.37 A Irwin County 97.5% 35 Wilcox County A
7.34 AAAA Griffin 97.1% 34 Pike County AAAA
7.15 AAA Rockmart 65.8% 7 Haralson County AAA
7.00 AAAA Stephens County 98.0% 36 Madison County AAAA
6.24 AAAA New Hampstead 54.4% 2 Butler AAA
4.63 AAA Maynard Jackson 87.2% 19 South Atlanta AAA
4.60 A Emanuel County Institute 96.1% 31 Wheeler County A
3.74 AA Oglethorpe County 56.0% 3 Social Circle AA
3.49 AA Macon County 98.3% 37 Northeast AA
2.74 A Aquinas 98.1% 36 Warren County A
2.00 AA Chattahoochee County 51.3% 1 Temple AA
1.21 AAA Laney 98.6% 38 Hephzibah AAA
1.21 A St. Francis 63.1% 6 Whitefield Academy A
0.75 AAAA Eastside 99.1% 40 Hampton AAAA
-0.58 A Clinch County 99.1% 40 Lanier County A
-0.81 AA Greene County 92.3% 25 Riverside Military Academy AA
-0.89 A Mount Pisgah Christian 94.4% 28 King's Ridge Christian A
-1.20 AAA Jackson County 96.7% 32 East Jackson AAA
-1.41 AAAA Gilmer 88.1% 20 LaFayette AAAA
-3.04 AA B.E.S.T. Academy 97.3% 34 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA
-3.18 AAAA White County 94.5% 28 Chestatee AAAA
-3.50 A Lincoln County 98.6% 38 Georgia Military College A
-5.22 AAA Westside (Augusta) 63.9% 6 Glenn Hills AAA
-5.46 AA Darlington 99.3% 40 Armuchee AA
-5.58 A Strong Rock Christian 60.5% 5 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A
-5.69 A Athens Christian 91.7% 24 Lakeview Academy A
-6.82 AAA Savannah 87.2% 19 Islands AAA
-7.42 AAAAA Tri-Cities 98.8% 39 Clarkston AAAAA
-7.92 A Randolph-Clay 87.3% 19 Baconton A
-9.69 A Commerce 98.7% 38 Towns County A
-9.73 AAA Ringgold 96.1% 31 Coahulla Creek AAA
-10.42 AA Benedictine 100.0% 42 Groves AA
-11.32 A Miller County 92.1% 24 Calhoun County A
-14.39 A Hawkinsville 96.2% 31 Schley County A
-20.97 A Athens Academy 99.6% 41 Providence Christian A
-30.20 AAAAAA Osborne 98.8% 39 Cross Keys AAAA
-30.86 AAA Sonoraville 99.8% 41 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA

Oct 24

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
58.34 AAAAA Mays 87.3% 19 Carver (Atlanta) AAAAA
42.35 AAA Westside (Macon) 65.7% 7 Spencer AAA
28.85 AAAAA Southwest DeKalb 78.6% 13 Druid Hills AAAAA
18.86 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 98.9% 39 Holy Innocents AA
13.54 AAA McNair 50.4% 1 Towers AAA
10.54 A Mitchell County 69.9% 9 Terrell County A
1.48 AAA Beach 84.8% 17 Johnson (Savannah) AAA
-4.20 AAAA Lithonia 97.8% 36 Stone Mountain AAAA

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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