Maxwell Week 4 projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50 percent of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Sep 6

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
38.46	AAAAAA	Lovejoy	75.5%	11	Drew	AAAAAA
37.28	AAAA	Westover	50.5%	1	Columbus	AAAA
21.66	AAAA	Shaw	58.8%	4	Dougherty	AAAA
19.00	AAA	Windsor Forest	63.4%	6	Beach	AAA

Sep 7

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
79.68	AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	53.6%	2	Archer	AAAAAAA
77.47	AAAA	Blessed Trinity	67.3%	7	Benedictine	AAA
75.13	AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	85.1%	18	Norcross	AAAAAAA
73.99	AAAAAAA	McEachern	74.5%	11	Cedar Grove	AAA
71.52	AAAAAAA	Grayson	91.2%	23	Marietta	AAAAAAA
68.22	AAAAA	Rome	88.8%	21	Kell	AAAAA
67.45	AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	95.1%	29	Valdosta	AAAAAA
66.19	AAAA	Marist	71.2%	9	Westminster (Atlanta)	AAA
63.35	AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	74.0%	11	South Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
62.30	AAAAAAA	Brookwood	83.0%	16	Collins Hill	AAAAAAA
62.29	AAAAAAA	Roswell	73.7%	10	West Forsyth	AAAAAAA
60.89	AAAAAAA	Mountain View	67.0%	7	Central Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
58.75	AAAAAA	Dalton	58.5%	4	Sequoyah	AAAAAA
58.26	AAAA	Mary Persons	73.1%	10	Lovett	AAA
57.91	AAAAAAA	Camden County	73.8%	11	Richmond Hill	AAAAAA
57.83	AAAAAAA	Newnan	56.6%	3	Griffin	AAAAA
57.25	AAAA	Thomson	68.3%	8	Clarke Central	AAAAA
56.73	AAAAAA	Douglas County	63.9%	6	Northgate	AAAAAA
56.01	AAAAAAA	Lowndes	92.9%	25	East Coweta	AAAAAAA
55.03	AAAA	Chapel Hill	65.1%	6	Starr's Mill	AAAAA
55.01	AAAAA	Bainbridge	53.4%	2	Brooks County	AA
54.27	AAAAAA	Mays	80.2%	14	Hughes	AAAAAA
53.76	AAAAAAA	Etowah	71.9%	10	Pebblebrook	AAAAAAA
53.38	AAAAAAA	Newton	74.2%	11	Arabia Mountain	AAAAA
52.79	AAAAA	Stockbridge	90.5%	22	Locust Grove	AAAAA
51.85	AA	Rockmart	63.1%	6	Heard County	AA
49.92	AAAA	Sandy Creek	81.8%	15	Ridgeland	AAAA
49.92	AAAA	Cedartown	69.8%	9	Bremen	AA
48.26	AAAAA	Dutchtown	86.9%	19	Ola	AAAAA
48.00	AAAA	Flowery Branch	79.8%	14	Winder-Barrow	AAAAAA
47.85	AAA	Peach County	91.2%	23	Houston County	AAAAAA
47.40	AAAAAAA	Tift County	94.5%	28	Crisp County	AAA
46.99	AAAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	69.4%	8	Cherokee	AAAAAAA
46.95	AAAAAAA	Lambert	57.3%	3	Peachtree Ridge	AAAAAAA
46.80	AA	Fitzgerald	70.9%	9	Upson-Lee	AAAA
46.54	AAAAA	Ware County	89.6%	22	Jonesboro	AAAAA
46.35	AAAAA	Veterans	70.5%	9	Statesboro	AAAAA
45.85	AAAAAA	Lee County	97.1%	34	Americus-Sumter	AAAA
45.32	AAAA	Cairo	65.4%	7	Northside (Columbus)	AAAA
44.82	AAA	Westside (Macon)	58.5%	4	Howard	AAAA
44.00	AAAAA	Hiram	59.2%	4	Paulding County	AAAAA
43.46	AA	Rabun County	77.5%	13	Stephens County	AAAA
43.03	AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	69.2%	8	Woodland (Stockbridge)	AAAAA
42.81	AAAAA	Thomas County Central	64.9%	6	Cook	AAA
42.03	AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	58.1%	4	Hardaway	AAAA
42.00	AAAAA	Carrollton	92.4%	25	Villa Rica	AAAAA
41.91	AAA	Liberty County	67.6%	8	Evans	AAAAAA
40.61	AAAAAA	Centennial	79.8%	14	Pope	AAAAAA
40.27	AAAA	Richmond Academy	54.7%	2	Grovetown	AAAAAA
40.25	AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	93.9%	27	Whitewater	AAAAA
39.03	AAAA	Troup	90.9%	23	Harris County	AAAAA
38.96	AA	Dodge County	88.8%	21	Appling County	AAA
38.74	AAAAA	Warner Robins	97.2%	34	Baldwin	AAAA
38.65	A	Clinch County	90.0%	22	Dooly County	A
38.13	AAAAAA	Creekside	58.6%	4	New Manchester	AAAAAA
37.96	AAA	Dawson County	78.7%	13	West Hall	AAAA
35.72	AAAAAA	Allatoona	94.5%	28	River Ridge	AAAAAA
35.42	AAAAA	Jones County	97.2%	34	Union Grove	AAAAA
35.20	AAAA	Salem	69.1%	8	Alcovy	AAAAAA
35.11	AAAA	Pickens	76.3%	12	White County	AAAA
35.08	AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	51.7%	1	Cass	AAAAA
34.69	AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	67.3%	7	Rockdale County	AAAAAAA
34.68	AAAAAA	Effingham County	91.5%	24	South Effingham	AAAAA
34.56	AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	82.7%	16	Discovery	AAAAAAA
34.43	AAAAAA	Northview	51.7%	1	Chattahoochee	AAAAAA
34.19	AAAA	Perry	83.3%	16	Monroe	AAA
34.15	AAAAAA	Alexander	84.2%	17	South Paulding	AAAAAA
33.97	AAA	Ringgold	64.9%	6	North Murray	AAA
33.83	AAAAAA	Harrison	97.7%	35	South Cobb	AAAAAA
33.69	AA	Elbert County	77.0%	12	North Oconee	AAAA
33.61	AAAAAA	Johns Creek	69.3%	8	North Atlanta	AAAAAA
33.58	AAAA	LaGrange	53.2%	2	Hampton	AAAA
31.77	A	George Walton Academy	75.1%	11	Hebron Christian Academy	A
31.51	A	Lincoln County	51.4%	1	Tattnall Square	A
31.23	AAA	Monroe Area	93.3%	26	Walnut Grove	AAAAA
30.81	AA	Southwest	70.8%	9	Central (Macon)	AAA
30.18	AA	Pepperell	59.0%	4	Heritage (Ringgold)	AAAA
30.12	AAAAAA	Mundy's Mill	74.6%	11	Morrow	AAAAAA
29.39	A	Manchester	87.6%	20	Northeast	AA
29.32	AAAA	Oconee County	92.9%	25	Morgan County	AAA
29.03	AAAAAA	Stephenson	93.4%	26	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	AAAAAA
28.69	AAAAAA	Cambridge	81.9%	15	Dunwoody	AAAAAA
28.62	AAAA	St. Pius X	97.5%	35	Decatur	AAAAA
28.23	AA	Washington County	91.4%	24	Greenbrier	AAAAAA
28.20	AAA	Hart County	57.0%	3	Madison County	AAAA
27.98	AAAAA	Riverdale	81.0%	15	Miller Grove	AAAAA
27.93	AAA	Calhoun	98.8%	39	Sonoraville	AAA
26.95	AAAAAAA	Duluth	61.6%	5	Lakeside (Atlanta)	AAAAAAA
26.93	AA	Toombs County	61.4%	5	Claxton	A
26.48	AA	Screven County	87.9%	20	Hephzibah	AA
25.29	A	Emanuel County Institute	86.7%	19	Metter	AA
25.26	AAAAAA	Habersham Central	84.6%	17	Franklin County	AAA
25.03	AA	Vidalia	94.4%	28	Tattnall County	AAA
25.03	A	Stratford Academy	67.4%	8	Washington-Wilkes	A
24.98	A	Telfair County	66.1%	7	Bacon County	AA
23.98	AA	Early County	86.1%	18	Worth County	AAA
23.54	AAAAA	McIntosh	72.9%	10	Luella	AAAA
23.22	AAAA	Chestatee	63.2%	6	East Hall	AAA
23.08	AA	Berrien	81.9%	15	Wilcox County	A
22.89	AA	Spencer	71.2%	9	Schley County	A
22.47	A	Mount Pisgah Christian	55.3%	2	Whitefield Academy	A
22.36	A	Mitchell County	70.9%	9	Miller County	A
22.33	AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	86.2%	18	Denmark	AAAA
21.50	AA	Jefferson County	89.3%	21	Butler	AA
20.69	AAAA	Cartersville	99.9%	41	McNair	AA
19.48	AAA	Jackson County	79.8%	14	Apalachee	AAAAAA
18.62	A	Savannah Country Day	84.5%	17	Bryan County	AA
18.56	AA	Swainsboro	91.6%	24	Cross Creek	AAAA
18.55	AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	92.6%	25	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	AA
18.42	AAAA	Spalding	95.3%	30	Henry County	AAAA
18.19	AAA	Jenkins	92.2%	24	Savannah	AAA
18.13	AAA	Jackson	86.8%	19	Strong Rock Christian	A
17.72	AA	Jeff Davis	81.7%	15	Brantley County	AAA
16.51	AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	98.1%	36	Redan	AAA
15.82	A	Mount Zion (Carroll)	94.1%	27	Temple	AA
14.96	A	First Presbyterian	78.3%	13	Hancock Central	A
14.30	A	North Cobb Christian	53.8%	2	Monticello	AA
13.95	AAAA	LaFayette	65.1%	6	Christian Heritage	A
11.30	A	Fellowship Christian	91.9%	24	Walker	A
11.03	AA	Harlem	88.1%	20	Glenn Hills	AA
9.24	AAA	Southeast Bulloch	96.8%	33	Islands	AAA
9.20	A	Athens Christian	84.6%	17	Pinecrest Academy	A
9.02	AAA	Towers	67.9%	8	Druid Hills	AAAA
9.02	AAAA	Burke County	99.5%	41	Wilkinson County	A
7.34	AA	Jordan	84.6%	17	Kendrick	AAA
7.22	AA	Union County	94.4%	28	Fannin County	AAA
7.17	A	Holy Innocents	88.8%	21	Rutland	AAA
7.15	AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	71.5%	9	Murray County	AAA
6.44	AA	East Laurens	56.6%	3	Wheeler County	A
5.37	A	Trion	93.9%	27	Armuchee	AA
4.73	A	Jenkins County	79.3%	14	Portal	A
3.41	A	St. Francis	61.3%	5	Lakeview Academy	A
2.93	AAAAAA	Creekview	99.9%	41	Osborne	AAAAAA
1.65	A	Riverside Military Academy	63.9%	6	Johnson (Gainesville)	AAAAA
1.40	AA	Laney	92.5%	25	Westside (Augusta)	AA
-3.36	A	Prince Avenue Christian	99.7%	41	Providence Christian	A
-4.22	AA	Banks County	88.5%	20	East Jackson	AAA
-6.23	AA	Washington	97.9%	36	Berkmar	AAAAAAA
-6.26	AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	99.3%	40	Stone Mountain	AAA
-8.73	A	Marion County	98.8%	39	Pacelli	A
-10.46	A	Athens Academy	99.8%	41	Cherokee Bluff	AAA
-11.77	AAA	Groves	62.7%	5	Johnson (Savannah)	AAA
-13.37	A	Warren County	88.6%	20	Twiggs County	A
-13.52	AAA	Adairsville	99.2%	40	Coahulla Creek	AAA
-14.09	A	Seminole County	91.8%	24	Baconton Charter	A
-15.86	A	Calhoun County	80.9%	15	Stewart County	A
-17.06	AAA	Lumpkin County	95.4%	30	Gilmer	AAAA
-17.11	A	Taylor County	98.8%	39	Central (Talbotton)	A
-20.13	AAAAA	Lithia Springs	98.1%	36	Clarkston	AAAAA
-22.26	AAA	Pierce County	99.9%	42	Randolph-Clay	A
-30.60	A	Crawford County	91.3%	23	Glascock County	A
-51.35	A	Georgia Military College	99.2%	40	ACE Charter	A
-53.65	AA	Callaway	100.0%	42	Cross Keys	AAAAA

Alerts

Maxwell Week 4 projections

Sep 6

Sep 7

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