Sports

Maxwell Week 10 Projections

By Todd Holcomb
Oct 22, 2014

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Oct 23

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
59.82 AAAAAA Lovejoy 83.2% 16 Newton AAAAAA
43.94 AAAA Cairo 94.0% 27 Monroe AAAA
41.65 AAA Blessed Trinity 97.4% 34 Washington AAA
21.48 AAA Peach County 99.3% 40 Jordan AAA
20.05 AAA Westside (Macon) 99.2% 40 Spencer AAA
-7.71 AAA Savannah 81.4% 15 Islands AAA

Oct 24

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
84.34 AAAAAA Grayson 65.5% 7 Dacula AAAAAA
77.77 AAAAAA Norcross 67.8% 8 Peachtree Ridge AAAAAA
73.13 AAAAAA Mill Creek 56.6% 3 Collins Hill AAAAAA
72.53 AAAAAA Archer 62.4% 5 Central Gwinnett AAAAAA
70.51 AAAA Sandy Creek 78.1% 13 Woodward Academy AAAA
68.77 AAAAAA Hughes 76.0% 12 Westlake AAAAAA
67.20 AAAAAA Roswell 63.4% 6 Cherokee AAAAAA
64.78 AAAAA Alexander 58.0% 4 East Paulding AAAAA
63.72 AAAAAA Milton 88.3% 20 Woodstock AAAAAA
63.57 AAAAA Mays 66.9% 7 Carver (Atlanta) AAAAA
62.74 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 59.6% 4 Harris County AAAAA
60.44 AAAAAA Etowah 73.5% 10 Wheeler AAAAAA
59.73 AAAA Marist 74.2% 11 Columbia AAAA
58.93 AAAAAA North Paulding 51.8% 1 Marietta AAAAAA
58.65 AAAAAA Parkview 63.2% 6 Shiloh AAAAAA
58.42 AAAAAA East Coweta 59.1% 4 Douglas County AAAAAA
58.32 AAAAAA Hillgrove 87.7% 20 Harrison AAAAAA
57.07 AAAA Buford 97.3% 34 North Oconee AAAA
57.05 AAAAA Lakeside (Evans) 53.5% 2 Warner Robins AAAAA
55.95 AAAAAA Alpharetta 87.6% 20 South Forsyth AAAAAA
55.34 AAAAA Allatoona 94.8% 28 Paulding County AAAAA
53.48 AAAAAA West Forsyth 53.4% 2 Lambert AAAAAA
53.24 AAAAA Lanier 84.0% 17 Salem AAAAA
51.89 AAAAAA McEachern 96.1% 31 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAA
50.21 AAAAA Jones County 67.4% 7 Evans AAAAA
50.20 AAAA Troup 71.1% 9 Carrollton AAAA
50.13 AAAAA Hiram 76.5% 12 Villa Rica AAAAA
50.02 AAAAA Glynn Academy 68.4% 8 Effingham County AAAAA
49.98 AAAA Whitewater 58.4% 4 Fayette County AAAA
49.91 AAAAA Mundy's Mill 64.9% 6 Starr's Mill AAAAA
49.69 AAA Dodge County 54.2% 2 Cook AAA
49.09 AAAAA Stockbridge 74.3% 11 Woodland (Stockbridge) AAAAA
48.46 AAAAAA Lassiter 53.9% 2 Pope AAAAAA
47.08 AAAAA Clarke Central 56.6% 3 Winder-Barrow AAAAA
46.19 AAAAA Drew 88.1% 20 Northgate AAAAA
45.28 AAAA Mary Persons 89.5% 21 Veterans AAAA
44.39 AAAAA Sequoyah 58.1% 4 Rome AAAAA
44.11 AAAAAA Northview 74.4% 11 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
43.35 AAA Pierce County 65.5% 7 Appling County AAA
43.09 AAAAA Stephenson 89.0% 21 M. L. King AAAAA
42.81 AA Brooks County 81.1% 15 Early County AA
42.37 AAAAA Dutchtown 71.3% 9 Union Grove AAAAA
42.34 AAAAA Cambridge 75.9% 12 Riverwood AAAAA
41.87 AAAAA Luella 64.3% 6 Ola AAAAA
41.85 AAAA Upson-Lee 75.3% 11 Howard AAAA
41.36 AAAA Locust Grove 55.2% 2 Henry County AAAA
41.33 AAAA Stephens County 72.7% 10 Madison County AAAA
41.13 AAAAAA North Gwinnett 98.6% 38 Duluth AAAAAA
40.99 AAAA Wayne County 53.1% 2 Thomson AAAA
40.36 AAA Hart County 91.6% 24 Oconee County AAA
40.18 AAAAA Loganville 59.6% 4 Flowery Branch AAAAA
40.00 AAAAAA South Gwinnett 92.9% 25 Berkmar AAAAAA
39.52 AAAAA LaGrange 66.7% 7 Shaw AAAAA
39.38 AAAA Eagle's Landing 61.9% 5 Walnut Grove AAAA
39.04 A Marion County 84.6% 17 Greenville A
38.56 A Landmark Christian 71.7% 9 Eagle's Landing Christian A
38.42 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 51.0% 1 Ridgeland AAAA
37.84 AA Lovett 91.7% 24 Wesleyan AA
37.44 A Pacelli 62.2% 5 Brookstone A
37.39 AAAAA Brunswick 87.1% 19 Richmond Hill AAAAA
36.93 AAAA Thomas County Central 92.9% 26 Crisp County AAAA
36.75 AAAAA South Paulding 96.8% 33 Lithia Springs AAAAA
36.42 AAAAA Ware County 98.2% 37 Statesboro AAAAA
36.40 AAAA St. Pius X 95.2% 29 Arabia Mountain AAAA
36.17 AA Vidalia 96.1% 31 Bacon County AA
35.87 AA Rabun County 60.2% 4 Washington-Wilkes AA
35.51 AAAA Baldwin 87.0% 19 Perry AAAA
35.37 AAAA Worth County 89.9% 22 Americus-Sumter AAAA
35.36 A Irwin County 88.7% 21 Wilcox County A
35.35 AAAA Pickens 79.2% 14 Heritage (Ringgold) AAAA
35.29 AAAAAA Centennial 81.7% 15 North Forsyth AAAAAA
35.11 AAAAA Miller Grove 71.1% 9 Dunwoody AAAAA
34.63 AAA Central (Carrollton) 94.0% 27 Cedartown AAA
34.23 A Calvary Day 77.8% 13 Claxton A
33.33 AAAAA Cass 71.2% 9 River Ridge AAAAA
33.32 AA Dublin 51.4% 1 Swainsboro AA
33.25 AAAAAA South Cobb 90.3% 22 Campbell AAAAAA
33.13 A Charlton County 82.7% 16 Telfair County A
32.97 AAA Jackson 81.7% 15 Central (Macon) AAA
32.68 AAAA Cartersville 97.9% 36 Southeast Whitfield AAAA
32.68 AA Berrien 77.3% 12 Seminole County AA
32.56 AA Bowdon 81.7% 15 Heard County AA
32.33 AAAAA Gainesville 97.1% 34 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
32.12 AA Bleckley County 74.9% 11 Monticello AA
31.72 AAA Elbert County 90.8% 23 Morgan County AAA
31.65 AAAAA Forsyth Central 74.4% 11 North Springs AAAAA
31.08 A Hawkinsville 90.8% 23 Schley County A
30.42 AAAAAA Newnan 88.2% 20 Pebblebrook AAAAAA
30.40 AA Macon County 89.1% 21 Northeast AA
29.69 AAAA Spalding 81.2% 15 Riverdale AAAA
29.51 AA Fitzgerald 97.1% 34 Pelham AA
29.00 AAAAA Northside (Columbus) 67.7% 8 Columbus AAAAA
28.64 AAAAA Heritage (Conyers) 83.7% 16 Apalachee AAAAA
28.59 AAAAAA Rockdale County 90.9% 23 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAA
28.27 AAAAAA Johns Creek 59.3% 4 Habersham Central AAAAAA
27.89 AAAAA Creekside 98.7% 38 Banneker AAAAA
27.07 AA Pace Academy 67.2% 7 Hapeville AA
26.70 AAA Decatur 78.9% 13 Therrell AAA
26.22 AAAAA New Manchester 97.6% 35 Chapel Hill AAAAA
26.22 AAAA White County 85.1% 18 Chestatee AAAA
26.02 AAAA Jonesboro 78.6% 13 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAA
25.68 AAAAA Houston County 97.9% 36 Greenbrier AAAAA
25.19 AAA West Hall 89.5% 21 Fannin County AAA
24.45 AAA Brantley County 58.1% 4 Toombs County AAA
24.30 AA Bremen 65.4% 7 Manchester AA
23.87 AA Coosa 81.3% 15 Dade County AA
23.60 AAA Cedar Grove 96.4% 32 North Clayton AAA
23.01 AAAAA South Effingham 88.4% 20 Bradwell Institute AAAAA
22.70 AAAA Monroe Area 72.6% 10 North Hall AAAA
22.64 A First Presbyterian 77.0% 12 Wilkinson County A
22.63 AAAA Griffin 99.4% 40 Pike County AAAA
22.60 A Atkinson County 66.2% 7 Turner County A
22.35 A St. Francis 68.2% 8 Whitefield Academy A
22.24 AAAAA Dalton 98.9% 39 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
22.16 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 98.8% 39 Holy Innocents AA
22.04 AAA Adairsville 97.2% 34 North Murray AAA
21.48 AAA East Hall 71.5% 9 Franklin County AAA
21.47 AAA Callaway 92.8% 25 Pepperell AAA
21.47 AAA Dawson County 50.9% 1 Banks County AAA
21.34 A Dooly County 86.6% 19 Taylor County A
21.34 AA Bryan County 58.6% 4 Jeff Davis AA
21.12 AAAA Grady 95.0% 29 Chamblee AAAA
21.00 AAAAAA Tucker 99.7% 41 Alcovy AAAAAA
20.78 AAAA Westover 94.6% 28 Dougherty AAAA
20.69 A Stratford Academy 84.5% 17 Mount de Sales A
19.50 AAAAA Richmond Academy 92.1% 24 Cross Creek AAAAA
19.19 AA Benedictine 98.1% 36 Groves AA
18.96 AAAAA McIntosh 88.1% 20 Forest Park AAAAA
18.89 AAA Towers 68.2% 8 McNair AAA
18.84 AAAAA Kell 98.9% 39 North Atlanta AAAAA
18.21 A Savannah Country Day 60.4% 4 Jenkins County A
18.18 A Mount Paran Christian 96.9% 33 Trion A
18.11 AA Metter 72.1% 10 East Laurens AA
18.00 AA Model 87.7% 20 Chattooga AA
17.33 AA Greene County 64.4% 6 Riverside Military Academy AA
16.42 A Pinecrest Academy 86.1% 18 Fellowship Christian A
13.98 AAA Laney 95.9% 31 Hephzibah AAA
13.57 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 99.4% 41 Douglass AAA
13.44 AAA Johnson (Savannah) 56.2% 3 Beach AAA
12.73 A Mitchell County 72.1% 10 Terrell County A
12.10 A Calhoun County 87.2% 19 Miller County A
11.76 AAAA Gilmer 98.5% 38 LaFayette AAAA
11.75 A Christian Heritage 75.5% 11 Walker A
11.28 A Savannah Christian 95.4% 30 Portal A
10.93 AA Lamar County 98.3% 37 Putnam County AA
10.84 AAA Rockmart 81.4% 15 Haralson County AAA
10.73 A George Walton Academy 68.9% 8 Hebron Christian Academy A
9.76 AAAA Maynard Jackson 94.8% 29 South Atlanta AAA
8.99 AA Long County 64.1% 6 McIntosh County Academy AA
6.40 A Clinch County 97.1% 34 Lanier County A
6.34 AA B.E.S.T. Academy 95.6% 30 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA
6.22 AAA Westside (Augusta) 93.0% 26 Glenn Hills AAA
5.82 AAAAAA Mountain View 98.8% 39 Meadowcreek AAAAAA
4.83 A Mount Pisgah Christian 96.7% 32 King's Ridge Christian A
4.27 A Lincoln County 93.7% 27 Georgia Military College A
4.21 AAAA Eastside 98.3% 37 Hampton AAAA
2.86 AAA Sonoraville 94.9% 29 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
2.47 A Johnson County 94.3% 28 Treutlen A
2.15 AAA Washington County 100.0% 42 Josey AAA
1.81 A Athens Christian 93.0% 26 Lakeview Academy A
1.17 AA Chattahoochee County 84.9% 17 Temple AA
0.64 A Tattnall Square 98.8% 39 Twiggs County A
0.59 AAA Jackson County 95.0% 29 East Jackson AAA
-0.22 AAAA Liberty County 95.5% 30 Windsor Forest AAAA
-2.24 AAA Calhoun 100.0% 42 Murray County AAA
-3.72 A Randolph-Clay 75.8% 12 Baconton A
-3.89 AA Crawford County 73.9% 11 North Cobb Christian A
-4.41 A Aquinas 99.4% 41 Warren County A
-5.29 A Emanuel County Institute 98.9% 39 Wheeler County A
-6.78 AA Darlington 99.2% 40 Armuchee AA
-8.26 A Commerce 97.4% 34 Towns County A
-9.18 AA Oglethorpe County 70.2% 9 Social Circle AA
-11.05 AA Jefferson County 99.4% 40 Harlem AA
-17.99 AAA Butler 97.4% 34 New Hampstead AAAA
-21.86 AAA Ringgold 99.9% 42 Coahulla Creek AAA
-22.16 AAAAAA Osborne 98.9% 39 Cross Keys AAAA
-24.62 AAAAA Tri-Cities 99.9% 42 Clarkston AAAAA
-28.14 A Athens Academy 97.6% 35 Providence Christian A

Oct 25

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
45.36 AAAAA Southwest DeKalb 76.0% 12 Druid Hills AAAAA
35.38 AAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 96.8% 33 Grovetown AAAAA
25.85 AAA Kendrick 64.0% 6 Southwest AAA
25.56 AAA Jenkins 85.9% 18 Southeast Bulloch AAA
3.07 AAAA Lithonia 97.6% 35 Stone Mountain AAAA
-6.75 A Strong Rock Christian 91.5% 24 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A

About the Author

Todd Holcomb

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