Sports

Maxwell Week 12 Projections

By Loren Maxwell
Nov 5, 2015

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Nov 5

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
55.14 AAAAA Jones County 63.4% 6 Warner Robins AAAAA
21.93 AA Pace Academy 87.8% 20 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
12.15 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 98.7% 38 Hardaway AAAAA
-2.32 AAA Tattnall County 91.6% 24 Johnson (Savannah) AAA
-8.21 AAAA Grady 99.1% 40 Stone Mountain AAAA

Nov 6

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
85.57 AAAAAA Mill Creek 61.3% 5 Peachtree Ridge AAAAAA
84.84 AAAAAA Colquitt County 70.5% 9 Camden County AAAAAA
77.39 AAAAA Mays 55.2% 2 Stephenson AAAAA
70.39 AAAAA Northgate 69.7% 9 Stockbridge AAAAA
67.65 AAAAAA Valdosta 61.7% 5 Lee County AAAAAA
66.06 AAAAAA Roswell 94.7% 28 Etowah AAAAAA
64.07 AAAAAA Lowndes 68.0% 8 Tift County AAAAAA
60.94 AAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 79.6% 14 Houston County AAAAA
59.20 AAAAAA Dacula 58.4% 4 Parkview AAAAAA
58.11 AAAAAA South Forsyth 62.8% 5 Lambert AAAAAA
57.72 AAAA Jonesboro 57.3% 3 Locust Grove AAAA
57.32 AAAAAA Norcross 83.0% 16 Collins Hill AAAAAA
56.52 AAAAA Glynn Academy 79.0% 13 South Effingham AAAAA
55.94 AAAAAA McEachern 93.2% 26 Hillgrove AAAAAA
55.89 AAAAA Woodland (Stockbridge) 50.1% 0 Drew AAAAA
55.52 AAAAAA Archer 97.7% 35 Brookwood AAAAAA
54.81 AAAAA Starr's Mill 79.0% 13 Dutchtown AAAAA
54.45 AAA Blessed Trinity 74.6% 11 Cedar Grove AAA
53.82 AAAA Thomson 72.9% 10 Burke County AAAA
53.54 AAAAAA Hughes 50.6% 1 Newnan AAAAAA
52.92 AAAAAA Lassiter 61.1% 5 Wheeler AAAAAA
52.81 AAAAA Dalton 58.1% 4 Kell AAAAA
52.42 AAAA Mary Persons 73.6% 10 West Laurens AAAA
49.22 AAAA Spalding 67.1% 7 Eagle's Landing AAAA
48.69 AAAAAA South Gwinnett 55.1% 2 Shiloh AAAAAA
48.61 AAAAAA North Gwinnett 71.9% 10 Mountain View AAAAAA
48.60 AAAAA Rome 58.6% 4 Riverwood AAAAA
47.97 AAAAA Creekview 64.7% 6 Cambridge AAAAA
47.12 AAAA Bainbridge 87.0% 19 Cairo AAAA
46.85 AAAAA Alexander 71.1% 9 New Manchester AAAAA
46.76 AAAA Woodward Academy 93.2% 26 Carrollton AAAA
45.57 AAA Jefferson 77.8% 13 Hart County AAA
45.21 AAAAAA Walton 96.0% 31 Cherokee AAAAAA
44.83 AAAA Upson-Lee 58.1% 4 Veterans AAAA
44.64 AAA Elbert County 61.7% 5 Oconee County AAA
44.24 AAAAAA Centennial 53.6% 2 Northview AAAAAA
42.97 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 91.5% 24 Wesleyan AA
42.58 A Turner County 57.9% 3 Irwin County A
42.52 AAAA Eastside 73.2% 10 Griffin AAAA
42.43 AAAAA Ware County 92.5% 25 Brunswick AAAAA
42.37 AAAAAA Harrison 73.3% 10 Marietta AAAAAA
41.85 AAAA Buford 92.0% 24 Stephens County AAAA
41.58 AAAA Liberty County 75.1% 11 Richmond Hill AAAAA
41.56 AAAAA Gainesville 71.6% 9 Flowery Branch AAAAA
41.15 AAA Central (Carrollton) 58.6% 4 Callaway AAA
40.82 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 79.0% 13 Miller Grove AAAAA
40.46 AAAA Worth County 81.4% 15 Crisp County AAAA
39.58 AAAAA Loganville 67.6% 8 Clarke Central AAAAA
39.44 AA Lamar County 58.5% 4 Macon County AA
38.48 A Aquinas 71.4% 9 Stratford Academy A
38.05 AAAAA Sequoyah 61.0% 5 Sprayberry AAAAA
37.77 AAAAAA West Forsyth 88.3% 20 Johns Creek AAAAAA
37.22 AAAAA Mundy's Mill 83.8% 17 Ola AAAAA
36.97 AAAA Thomas County Central 74.2% 11 Westover AAAA
36.46 A Savannah Christian 52.1% 1 Emanuel County Institute A
35.96 AAAAAA Alpharetta 67.0% 7 North Forsyth AAAAAA
35.80 AAA Cook 57.7% 3 Jenkins AAA
35.25 AAAAA Allatoona 95.7% 30 Chapel Hill AAAAA
35.21 AAAAA Effingham County 92.4% 25 Statesboro AAAAA
34.63 A Mount Paran Christian 75.1% 11 Pinecrest Academy A
34.34 AAAAA East Paulding 92.4% 25 Villa Rica AAAAA
34.17 AAAA Cartersville 96.3% 32 Pickens AAAA
34.14 AAA Southeast Bulloch 56.6% 3 Appling County AAA
33.56 AAAAA Creekside 96.7% 32 Southwest DeKalb AAAAA
31.95 AAAAAA East Coweta 91.7% 24 South Cobb AAAAAA
31.90 AAAA Monroe 79.4% 14 Americus-Sumter AAAA
31.84 AAAAA South Paulding 94.0% 27 Hiram AAAAA
31.82 AAAAA Shaw 57.7% 3 Harris County AAAAA
30.73 AA Jefferson County 88.1% 20 Swainsboro AA
30.56 AA Darlington 82.6% 16 Chattooga AA
30.10 AAAAAA North Cobb 94.1% 27 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAA
29.90 AA Screven County 78.9% 13 Metter AA
29.89 AAAA Howard 83.6% 16 Baldwin AAAA
29.78 AAA Morgan County 50.6% 1 Jackson County AAA
28.88 AAAAAA Douglas County 67.7% 8 Pebblebrook AAAAAA
28.48 AAAA Sandy Creek 96.8% 33 Fayette County AAAA
27.94 AAAAAA Habersham Central 56.9% 3 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
26.55 AAAA North Hall 71.8% 10 White County AAAA
26.53 AAAAAA Duluth 56.9% 3 Meadowcreek AAAAAA
26.19 AAAAA Cass 83.8% 17 North Atlanta AAAAA
26.10 AA Vidalia 72.6% 10 Bryan County AA
26.09 A Clinch County 91.3% 23 Telfair County A
26.01 AAAAA Salem 75.0% 11 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
25.68 AAAAA Coffee 98.4% 37 Bradwell Institute AAAAA
25.42 AAAA Henry County 73.7% 10 Riverdale AAAA
25.23 AAAAA Union Grove 58.3% 4 McIntosh AAAAA
24.92 AAAA St. Pius X 96.4% 32 Redan AAAA
24.89 AA Union County 60.3% 4 Washington-Wilkes AA
23.59 A Christian Heritage 60.3% 4 Mount Pisgah Christian A
23.17 AA Rabun County 92.9% 25 Greene County AA
22.71 AAA Westside (Macon) 92.8% 25 Southwest AAA
21.41 AA Bacon County 67.0% 7 McIntosh County Academy AA
20.57 A Lincoln County 82.3% 16 Twiggs County A
20.16 A Mount Zion (Carroll) 61.8% 5 Fellowship Christian A
20.14 AAAAA Forsyth Central 72.1% 10 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
20.08 AAAA Walnut Grove 65.1% 6 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAA
20.07 AAAAAA Tucker 97.6% 35 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAA
19.93 AAA Central (Macon) 91.9% 24 Kendrick AAA
19.91 AAAAAA Milton 95.6% 30 Pope AAAAAA
19.89 AA Dade County 71.8% 10 Gordon Lee AA
19.72 AA Pelham 69.6% 8 Berrien AA
19.66 AAA Douglass 70.5% 9 Maynard Jackson AAA
19.54 AAAA Whitewater 66.1% 7 Troup AAAA
19.32 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 86.5% 19 North Clayton AAA
18.88 AA Heard County 81.0% 15 Bremen AA
18.23 AAAAAA Central Gwinnett 98.6% 38 Berkmar AAAAAA
17.58 AAAA Marist 97.3% 34 Chamblee AAAA
16.86 AAA East Hall 72.8% 10 Banks County AAA
16.85 AAAAA Evans 80.0% 14 Greenbrier AAAAA
16.76 AAA Franklin County 58.8% 4 Fannin County AAA
15.94 A First Presbyterian 74.6% 11 Hancock Central A
15.82 AAAA Heritage (Ringgold) 57.9% 3 Gilmer AAAA
15.63 AA Early County 92.3% 25 Thomasville AA
15.12 AAAAAA Newton 99.1% 40 Rockdale County AAAAAA
15.02 A Athens Christian 52.4% 1 Hebron Christian Academy A
14.85 AAAAA Paulding County 97.2% 34 Lithia Springs AAAAA
14.19 AAA Pierce County 92.2% 24 Beach AAA
13.99 AAAAA Winder-Barrow 93.2% 26 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAA
13.73 A Calvary Day 90.8% 23 Treutlen A
13.54 AAA Decatur 80.6% 14 Towers AAA
13.03 AAAAA Grovetown 89.7% 22 Richmond Academy AAAAA
12.98 AAA Cedartown 64.2% 6 Rockmart AAA
12.93 AA Fitzgerald 98.5% 38 Seminole County AA
12.84 AA Benedictine 99.6% 41 Long County AA
12.60 A Pacelli 66.2% 7 Taylor County A
11.93 AA East Laurens 53.1% 2 Harlem AA
11.92 AA Northeast 56.0% 3 Monticello AA
11.57 AAA Jackson 98.2% 37 Rutland AAA
11.50 AAAAA Lakeside (Evans) 94.4% 28 Cross Creek AAAAA
11.28 AAA West Hall 62.4% 5 Lumpkin County AAA
11.06 A Dooly County 76.2% 12 Greenville A
10.84 AAAAAA Lovejoy 98.6% 38 Alcovy AAAAAA
10.56 AAAAAA Westlake 99.2% 40 Campbell AAAAAA
10.49 AAA Ringgold 79.8% 14 North Murray AAA
10.48 A Randolph-Clay 62.5% 5 Mitchell County A
9.51 A Johnson County 77.3% 12 Savannah Country Day A
9.42 A Athens Academy 94.2% 27 George Walton Academy A
9.12 A Miller County 55.7% 3 Terrell County A
8.37 AAAAA North Springs 55.4% 2 River Ridge AAAAA
7.54 AA Putnam County 92.3% 25 Bleckley County AA
7.48 AA Bowdon 82.5% 16 Chattahoochee County AA
7.47 A Landmark Christian 94.5% 28 Our Lady of Mercy A
7.30 AAA Sonoraville 91.7% 24 Murray County AAA
7.17 A Atkinson County 56.5% 3 Wilcox County A
6.71 AAA Dawson County 86.3% 18 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAA
6.21 AAAAA Luella 94.5% 28 Morrow AAAAA
6.00 AAA Dodge County 98.8% 39 Savannah AAA
5.41 AAA Washington 73.8% 11 McNair AAA
4.96 AAAA North Oconee 92.1% 24 Madison County AAAA
4.89 AAA Toombs County 58.4% 4 Claxton A
3.38 AAAA Pike County 59.9% 4 Hampton AAAA
3.34 AA Hapeville 95.7% 30 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA
3.04 AAA Pepperell 94.2% 28 Haralson County AAA
2.97 A Wilkinson County 87.9% 20 Warren County A
2.36 AA Manchester 93.8% 27 Temple AA
1.61 A Trion 94.3% 28 St. Francis A
0.69 A Wheeler County 57.6% 3 Portal A
-0.74 AAA Therrell 75.7% 12 South Atlanta AAA
-2.23 A Marion County 98.2% 37 Central (Talbotton) A
-2.62 AA Social Circle 69.7% 9 Riverside Military Academy AA
-2.68 AAAA New Hampstead 65.8% 7 Windsor Forest AAAA
-2.92 AAAAA Lanier 99.9% 41 Apalachee AAAAA
-2.95 A Walker 72.4% 10 King's Ridge Christian A
-2.97 AAAA Ridgeland 93.7% 27 LaFayette AAAA
-3.16 AA Coosa 84.4% 17 Armuchee AA
-3.94 AAA Butler 61.1% 5 Hephzibah AAA
-4.00 A Charlton County 99.1% 39 Lanier County A
-4.17 AAAAAA Osborne 88.7% 21 Forest Park AAAAA
-6.26 AAA Washington County 97.6% 35 Westside (Augusta) AAA
-7.60 A Commerce 98.2% 37 Lakeview Academy A
-7.95 AAAAA Dunwoody 88.9% 21 Clarkston AAAAA
-8.14 AAAA Monroe Area 92.6% 25 Chestatee AAAA
-8.42 A Whitefield Academy 64.5% 6 Strong Rock Christian A
-11.73 AAA Brantley County 98.2% 37 Islands AAA
-13.42 A Jenkins County 88.5% 20 Montgomery County A
-13.90 AAA Calhoun 100.0% 42 Coahulla Creek AAA
-13.99 A Mount de Sales 89.3% 21 Georgia Military College A
-14.08 A Baconton 54.1% 2 Calhoun County A
-16.86 AA Jeff Davis 96.9% 33 Groves AA
-20.70 A Prince Avenue Christian 100.0% 42 Providence Christian A
-22.60 AAA Laney 99.8% 41 Glenn Hills AAA
-23.99 A Brookstone 99.0% 39 Schley County A
-26.77 A Tattnall Square 94.9% 29 Glascock County A
-28.31 AAA Adairsville 99.9% 42 Gordon Central AAA
-42.82 A North Cobb Christian 99.1% 40 Stewart County A

Nov 7

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
42.13 AAAAA LaGrange 53.0% 2 Northside (Columbus) AAAAA
32.54 AAAAA M. L. King 69.9% 9 Tri-Cities AAAAA
28.55 AAAA Arabia Mountain 72.2% 10 Columbia AAAA
28.45 AAA Spencer 87.3% 19 Jordan AAA
16.44 AAAAA Druid Hills 69.5% 8 Banneker AAAAA
3.63 A Eagle's Landing Christian 99.3% 40 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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