The eight high school football state championship games will be played at Georgia State Stadium Dec. 13-14. Here’s a look at the complete schedule.

Maxwell Second Round summary

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association’s 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

» MORE: GHSA football playoff schedule, brackets

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team’s historical performance is 0.07%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 2,067 of 2,233 total games including 1 tie(s) (92.59%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 13.62 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. 

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 0.96

By Class

AAAAAAA AAAAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Lowndes12-098.961Valdosta10-280.26
2Colquitt County9-384.272Lee County11-177.55
3McEachern12-084.223Dacula12-076.04
4North Gwinnett11-183.614Harrison12-072.67
5Parkview11-182.405Coffee9-369.68
6Grayson11-180.136Allatoona9-2-163.74
7Marietta10-280.117Johns Creek10-263.17
8Mill Creek10-276.118Houston County7-560.19
9Archer9-372.949Mays10-254.69
10Camden County7-368.3810Lanier10-254.48
11Milton8-466.4711Richmond Hill8-353.22
12Collins Hill6-563.7812Glynn Academy6-552.77
13North Cobb7-461.2013Dalton7-451.74
14Hillgrove7-460.7814Northside (Warner Robins)3-750.29
15Newton7-460.6615Stephenson10-250.16
AAAAA AAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Warner Robins11-173.371Cartersville12-071.66
2Buford11-172.362Woodward Academy12-071.58
3Carrollton12-071.123Marist11-168.54
4Ware County8-463.524Blessed Trinity11-167.87
5Dutchtown11-163.245Sandy Creek11-167.45
6Rome9-361.346Oconee County11-162.16
7Griffin11-159.717West Laurens11-161.89
8Jones County11-159.358Denmark7-357.76
9Veterans9-358.259Flowery Branch7-456.40
10Bainbridge7-457.2310Carver (Columbus)10-252.56
11Clarke Central9-356.0611North Oconee10-249.53
12Wayne County8-354.7112Cairo8-349.25
13Kell9-352.6013Burke County8-348.50
14Starr's Mill9-352.0114Troup6-548.09
15Statesboro5-550.5015Cedartown5-646.71
AAA AA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Peach County11-170.241Rabun County12-064.36
2Cedar Grove10-268.942Hapeville Charter10-1-161.53
3Jefferson10-162.473Callaway11-156.44
4Crisp County9-357.604Dublin11-153.71
5Jenkins11-156.525Brooks County8-451.22
6Greater Atlanta Christian11-155.806Rockmart11-147.59
7Pierce County11-155.707Thomasville8-446.25
8North Murray11-153.038Fitzgerald8-444.25
9Hart County10-252.069Washington County7-442.03
10Appling County9-347.7510Douglass11-141.97
11Westminster (Atlanta)6-546.3411Swainsboro8-439.61
12Calhoun10-245.5312Bleckley County7-438.71
13Dawson County8-444.3313Metter10-238.47
14North Hall8-443.1314Bremen8-437.65
15Benedictine8-443.0815Union County10-236.36
A - Public A - Private
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Irwin County10-064.171Holy Innocents11-069.15
2Clinch County10-154.652Athens Academy11-067.30
3Mitchell County10-145.913Eagle's Landing Christian10-164.94
4Pelham10-141.154Fellowship Christian11-054.41
5Wilcox County9-337.545Wesleyan10-249.92
6Lincoln County9-235.256Prince Avenue Christian9-347.40
7Commerce9-334.997Hebron Christian8-445.35
8Manchester10-230.868Darlington9-239.65
9Marion County9-230.249Christian Heritage9-237.12
10Bowdon8-328.5310Savannah Christian8-335.42
11Johnson County8-325.9611Savannah Country Day10-134.19
12Turner County7-523.3912Mount de Sales10-132.58
13Warren County8-423.0713Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)7-431.33
14Schley County7-520.8014Whitefield Academy7-431.06
15McIntosh County Academy5-620.7615North Cobb Christian8-430.67

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank Team Region Rec Rating SchStr Rank
1 [1]Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA12-098.9664.523 [3]
2 [2]Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA9-384.2770.611 [1]
3 [3]McEachern3 - AAAAAAA12-084.2252.9316 [12]
4 [4]North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA11-183.6151.5023 [17]
5 [5]Parkview7 - AAAAAAA11-182.4047.2049 [32]
6 [1]Valdosta1 - AAAAAA10-280.2659.047 [2]
7 [6]Grayson8 - AAAAAAA11-180.1356.8511 [9]
8 [7]Marietta3 - AAAAAAA10-280.1163.704 [4]
9 [2]Lee County1 - AAAAAA11-177.5547.7544 [7]
10 [8]Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA10-276.1156.4912 [10]
11 [3]Dacula8 - AAAAAA12-076.0443.3979 [13]
12 [1]Warner Robins1 - AAAAA11-173.3751.2426 [4]
13 [9]Archer8 - AAAAAAA9-372.9458.478 [6]
14 [4]Harrison6 - AAAAAA12-072.6737.05142 [37]
15 [2]Buford8 - AAAAA11-172.3645.1866 [12]
16 [1]Cartersville5 - AAAA12-071.6643.5077 [14]
17 [2]Woodward Academy4 - AAAA12-071.5821.05301 [47]
18 [3]Carrollton7 - AAAAA12-071.1236.63145 [30]
19 [1]Peach County4 - AAA11-170.2432.50188 [13]
20 [5]Coffee1 - AAAAAA9-369.6851.0529 [5]
21 [1]Holy Innocents5 - A11-069.1522.30288 [16]
22 [2]Cedar Grove5 - AAA10-268.9436.02149 [5]
23 [3]Marist7 - AAAA11-168.5445.2165 [10]
24 [10]Camden County1 - AAAAAAA7-368.3862.475 [5]
25 [4]Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA11-167.8746.5853 [4]
26 [5]Sandy Creek5 - AAAA11-167.4540.19113 [21]
27 [2]Athens Academy8 - A11-067.3024.72260 [10]
28 [11]Milton5 - AAAAAAA8-466.4749.1235 [24]
29 [3]Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A10-164.9431.31202 [3]
30 [1]Rabun County8 - AA12-064.3620.74306 [25]
31 [1]Irwin County2 - A10-064.1720.13318 [11]
32 [12]Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA6-563.7857.8710 [8]
33 [6]Allatoona6 - AAAAAA9-2-163.7445.0467 [10]
34 [4]Ware County2 - AAAAA8-463.5254.2315 [1]
35 [5]Dutchtown4 - AAAAA11-163.2442.8285 [18]
36 [7]Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA10-263.1733.81171 [44]
37 [3]Jefferson8 - AAA10-162.4731.86196 [16]
38 [6]Oconee County8 - AAAA11-162.1639.76115 [22]
39 [7]West Laurens2 - AAAA11-161.8937.56137 [26]
40 [2]Hapeville Charter6 - AA10-1-161.5322.92277 [21]
41 [6]Rome7 - AAAAA9-361.3434.37165 [33]
42 [13]North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA7-461.2051.2327 [20]
43 [14]Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA7-460.7849.8431 [21]
44 [15]Newton8 - AAAAAAA7-460.6652.2520 [16]
45 [8]Houston County1 - AAAAAA7-560.1955.5814 [3]
46 [7]Griffin3 - AAAAA11-159.7137.12140 [28]
47 [8]Jones County4 - AAAAA11-159.3542.9184 [17]
48 [9]Veterans1 - AAAAA9-358.2549.3434 [6]
49 [8]Denmark7 - AAAA7-357.7640.97104 [18]
50 [16]East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA6-657.6958.169 [7]
51 [4]Crisp County1 - AAA9-357.6041.7598 [2]
52 [17]Roswell4 - AAAAAAA8-357.5741.28100 [44]
53 [10]Bainbridge1 - AAAAA7-457.2351.9421 [2]
54 [18]Tift County1 - AAAAAAA3-756.6768.212 [2]
55 [5]Jenkins3 - AAA11-156.5224.68261 [41]
56 [3]Callaway5 - AA11-156.4420.52309 [26]
57 [9]Flowery Branch7 - AAAA7-456.4046.2858 [6]
58 [11]Clarke Central8 - AAAAA9-356.0643.2480 [15]
59 [19]Norcross7 - AAAAAAA6-655.9552.8517 [13]
60 [6]Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA11-155.8032.66183 [12]
61 [7]Pierce County2 - AAA11-155.7026.16248 [36]
62 [20]Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA7-454.8844.0471 [37]
63 [12]Wayne County2 - AAAAA8-354.7146.5754 [10]
64 [9]Mays5 - AAAAAA10-254.6939.04124 [28]
65 [2]Clinch County2 - A10-154.6524.51263 [3]
66 [10]Lanier8 - AAAAAA10-254.4841.22101 [17]
67 [4]Fellowship Christian6 - A11-054.4117.44348 [29]
68 [21]Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA8-454.1246.3956 [33]
69 [4]Dublin3 - AA11-153.7133.27176 [9]
70 [11]Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA8-353.2241.17102 [18]
71 [8]North Murray6 - AAA11-153.0324.13267 [43]
72 [12]Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA6-552.7747.8343 [6]
73 [22]Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA5-652.6256.2813 [11]
74 [13]Kell7 - AAAAA9-352.6036.06147 [31]
75 [10]Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA10-252.5630.12215 [35]
76 [9]Hart County8 - AAA10-252.0632.19193 [15]
77 [14]Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA9-352.0138.92125 [25]
78 [13]Dalton6 - AAAAAA7-451.7435.76153 [39]
79 [23]North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA6-551.6648.8937 [26]
80 [5]Brooks County1 - AA8-451.2242.4693 [1]
81 [24]Walton4 - AAAAAAA6-651.0851.4424 [18]
82 [15]Statesboro2 - AAAAA5-550.5050.2630 [5]
83 [14]Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA3-750.2961.686 [1]
84 [15]Stephenson4 - AAAAAA10-250.1632.05194 [51]
85 [5]Wesleyan5 - A10-249.9226.56243 [8]
86 [25]Westlake2 - AAAAAAA6-549.7948.3939 [27]
87 [11]North Oconee8 - AAAA10-249.5330.34211 [34]
88 [16]Stockbridge4 - AAAAA8-349.2538.46128 [26]
89 [12]Cairo1 - AAAA8-349.2535.11160 [30]
90 [26]South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA6-549.2148.9636 [25]
91 [17]South Effingham2 - AAAAA6-548.9447.6545 [8]
92 [13]Burke County3 - AAAA8-348.5036.10146 [28]
93 [16]Creekside5 - AAAAAA7-548.4342.4692 [16]
94 [18]Ola4 - AAAAA7-448.3542.0097 [20]
95 [17]South Paulding5 - AAAAAA9-348.2739.24122 [27]
96 [14]Troup5 - AAAA6-548.0945.3064 [9]
97 [10]Appling County2 - AAA9-347.7529.81219 [23]
98 [6]Rockmart7 - AA11-147.5918.06344 [37]
99 [19]Union Grove4 - AAAAA7-347.4529.85218 [41]
100 [6]Prince Avenue Christian8 - A9-347.4021.86291 [18]
101 [27]South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA4-647.3651.4125 [19]
102 [18]Brunswick2 - AAAAAA6-647.3244.4468 [11]
103 [15]Cedartown5 - AAAA5-646.7145.5462 [8]
104 [11]Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA6-546.3442.7287 [1]
105 [7]Thomasville1 - AA8-446.2540.75107 [2]
106 [28]Etowah4 - AAAAAAA5-645.9247.3447 [30]
107 [3]Mitchell County1 - A10-145.91-5.19415 [47]
108 [29]Newnan2 - AAAAAAA6-545.8443.7672 [38]
109 [20]Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA8-445.8236.75144 [29]
110 [19]Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA6-545.7642.9482 [14]
111 [12]Calhoun6 - AAA10-245.5322.40287 [48]
112 [30]North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA7-545.4842.4891 [42]
113 [31]West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA4-645.4147.9940 [28]
114 [7]Hebron Christian8 - A8-445.3531.91195 [2]
115 [16]Chapel Hill5 - AAAA5-545.1846.4055 [5]
116 [20]Alexander5 - AAAAAA6-544.9840.30111 [20]
117 [21]Gainesville8 - AAAAAA5-644.8546.9352 [8]
118 [17]Thomson3 - AAAA6-644.8342.8086 [15]
119 [13]Dawson County7 - AAA8-444.3331.83197 [17]
120 [8]Fitzgerald1 - AA8-444.2533.80172 [8]
121 [18]Baldwin3 - AAAA5-744.0447.1551 [3]
122 [21]Riverdale3 - AAAAA7-444.0331.61198 [38]
123 [22]Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA7-443.5937.28138 [35]
124 [19]Perry2 - AAAA7-543.5039.59119 [23]
125 [23]Creekview6 - AAAAAA6-443.3038.38130 [31]
126 [14]North Hall7 - AAA8-443.1333.35174 [9]
127 [15]Benedictine3 - AAA8-443.0827.44239 [31]
128 [16]Lovett5 - AAA7-442.9136.84143 [4]
129 [32]Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA5-642.6242.7288 [40]
130 [22]Hiram7 - AAAAA6-642.4043.6475 [14]
131 [9]Washington County3 - AA7-442.0335.90150 [4]
132 [10]Douglass6 - AA11-141.9711.00390 [54]
133 [23]Riverwood6 - AAAAA11-141.6722.49283 [48]
134 [24]Harris County1 - AAAAA5-641.5847.3746 [9]
135 [20]St. Pius X8 - AAAA6-641.4243.6874 [12]
136 [24]Tucker4 - AAAAAA6-541.3738.18131 [32]
137 [25]Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA5-541.2841.5099 [21]
138 [4]Pelham1 - A10-141.15-5.45416 [48]
139 [26]New Hampstead2 - AAAAA3-741.0151.8422 [3]
140 [27]Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA9-240.2219.45327 [53]
141 [21]Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA6-640.2241.02103 [17]
142 [25]Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA3-840.1151.1028 [4]
143 [26]Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA5-539.9639.32121 [26]
144 [17]Islands3 - AAA8-239.7620.27314 [52]
145 [8]Darlington6 - A9-239.6522.92276 [13]
146 [28]Jonesboro3 - AAAAA5-639.6343.0281 [16]
147 [11]Swainsboro2 - AA8-439.6130.13214 [14]
148 [22]Mary Persons2 - AAAA6-639.5440.95105 [19]
149 [33]Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA3-739.3947.3248 [31]
150 [34]Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA4-639.3849.5333 [23]
151 [18]Monroe Area8 - AAA7-439.3331.50199 [18]
152 [23]White County7 - AAAA5-539.1538.74126 [24]
153 [19]Liberty County2 - AAA6-339.1227.11241 [33]
154 [20]Jackson4 - AAA8-438.7827.90235 [29]
155 [35]Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA5-638.7142.6689 [41]
156 [12]Bleckley County3 - AA7-438.7132.42189 [11]
157 [27]Evans3 - AAAAAA7-338.7030.40209 [52]
158 [13]Metter2 - AA10-238.4720.77305 [24]
159 [28]Morrow4 - AAAAAA6-538.0935.45154 [40]
160 [24]Upson-Lee2 - AAAA4-737.9545.8860 [7]
161 [14]Bremen5 - AA8-437.6525.45251 [18]
162 [5]Wilcox County2 - A9-337.5414.61366 [22]
163 [29]Douglas County5 - AAAAAA5-537.4438.44129 [30]
164 [9]Christian Heritage6 - A9-237.1219.74323 [22]
165 [25]Howard2 - AAAA5-536.8737.16139 [27]
166 [15]Union County8 - AA10-236.3614.05371 [45]
167 [21]Pace Academy5 - AAA5-536.3537.84133 [3]
168 [26]Madison County8 - AAAA6-636.2137.70134 [25]
169 [16]Toombs County2 - AA8-336.0120.08320 [30]
170 [30]Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA6-435.9829.98216 [54]
171 [31]Northview7 - AAAAAA6-535.9032.77181 [47]
172 [22]Morgan County8 - AAA7-435.8130.24213 [22]
173 [17]Northeast3 - AA5-535.6734.00169 [7]
174 [32]North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA7-435.5829.36225 [56]
175 [18]Dodge County3 - AA4-735.4340.49110 [3]
176 [10]Savannah Christian3 - A8-335.4218.93333 [26]
177 [27]Westover1 - AAAA6-435.3329.10227 [36]
178 [6]Lincoln County7 - A9-235.2514.69365 [21]
179 [7]Commerce8 - A9-334.9914.54368 [23]
180 [19]Jefferson County4 - AA9-334.2917.28349 [39]
181 [20]Pepperell7 - AA9-334.2118.28341 [35]
182 [11]Savannah Country Day3 - A10-134.1916.90354 [31]
183 [33]M.L. King4 - AAAAAA7-434.1629.09228 [57]
184 [23]Westside (Macon)4 - AAA6-533.9731.45201 [19]
185 [28]Hardaway1 - AAAA7-433.7528.35233 [37]
186 [36]Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA3-733.4447.8542 [29]
187 [29]Loganville8 - AAAAA3-833.2240.91106 [22]
188 [29]Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA3-733.1342.1796 [16]
189 [30]Eastside4 - AAAA7-433.0421.46294 [44]
190 [37]Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA3-832.9149.6432 [22]
191 [34]Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA7-332.8328.58231 [58]
192 [30]Columbia5 - AAAAA5-632.7729.51221 [42]
193 [12]Mount de Sales7 - A10-132.5810.28395 [35]
194 [31]East Paulding7 - AAAAA4-632.4339.69117 [23]
195 [31]Shaw1 - AAAA6-432.3428.15234 [38]
196 [24]Haralson County6 - AAA8-331.6816.92352 [54]
197 [35]Cambridge7 - AAAAAA4-631.6234.44164 [43]
198 [36]Pope7 - AAAAAA5-531.4032.88179 [45]
199 [13]Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A7-431.3325.42252 [9]
200 [14]Whitefield Academy6 - A7-431.0622.45285 [15]
201 [32]Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA2-830.8743.6873 [13]
202 [8]Manchester4 - A10-230.8611.83383 [31]
203 [37]Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA5-630.8532.80180 [46]
204 [38]Northgate5 - AAAAAA3-730.8440.23112 [21]
205 [39]Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA3-730.8039.44120 [25]
206 [33]Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA7-430.7722.87278 [47]
207 [15]North Cobb Christian6 - A8-430.6722.29289 [17]
208 [16]Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A5-630.5630.48207 [4]
209 [9]Marion County4 - A9-230.2414.48369 [24]
210 [21]Vidalia2 - AA7-430.1823.27275 [20]
211 [38]Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA3-730.0642.4194 [43]
212 [40]Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA5-529.8830.37210 [53]
213 [41]Apalachee8 - AAAAAA3-729.4139.67118 [24]
214 [25]Fannin County7 - AAA6-529.1928.54232 [28]
215 [22]Elbert County8 - AA6-529.1923.83269 [19]
216 [23]Jeff Davis2 - AA7-329.0817.26350 [40]
217 [39]Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA4-528.8826.28245 [47]
218 [42]Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA3-728.7939.99114 [22]
219 [10]Bowdon6 - A8-328.5323.43273 [5]
220 [34]Locust Grove4 - AAAAA1-828.4648.4638 [7]
221 [24]Early County1 - AA5-628.3528.89230 [16]
222 [17]St. Francis6 - A7-528.2922.64281 [14]
223 [35]Decatur6 - AAAAA7-427.9620.18317 [52]
224 [36]Whitewater3 - AAAAA2-827.9445.3263 [11]
225 [43]Grovetown3 - AAAAAA4-627.9232.38190 [50]
226 [25]Southwest3 - AA4-627.7935.13159 [6]
227 [44]Effingham County2 - AAAAAA2-827.5543.4178 [12]
228 [45]Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA3-727.4534.82161 [42]
229 [18]George Walton Academy8 - A6-527.3119.03331 [24]
230 [32]Ridgeland6 - AAAA6-527.2625.32253 [39]
231 [46]Hughes5 - AAAAAA2-827.0842.5190 [15]
232 [37]Cass7 - AAAAA4-626.7034.00170 [35]
233 [40]Discovery6 - AAAAAAA2-826.4752.6918 [14]
234 [33]Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA8-326.2518.74336 [50]
235 [11]Johnson County3 - A8-325.9610.16397 [34]
236 [34]LaGrange5 - AAAA2-825.9144.3269 [11]
237 [35]Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA7-425.6820.47310 [49]
238 [26]Beach3 - AAA5-425.5922.59282 [47]
239 [36]Pickens6 - AAAA6-525.5021.85292 [43]
240 [37]Stephens County8 - AAAA1-925.4247.1950 [2]
241 [26]South Atlanta6 - AA7-425.0314.23370 [44]
242 [27]Sonoraville6 - AAA5-624.7525.13255 [38]
243 [47]Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA3-724.6832.52187 [49]
244 [27]Heard County5 - AA4-724.5830.61206 [13]
245 [28]Cook1 - AAA4-824.3633.02178 [10]
246 [48]River Ridge6 - AAAAAA3-724.2840.68108 [19]
247 [19]Mount Paran Christian6 - A7-423.9517.25351 [30]
248 [49]New Manchester5 - AAAAAA2-823.9435.78152 [38]
249 [38]Paulding County7 - AAAAA3-723.6337.64136 [27]
250 [28]Harlem4 - AA7-423.4312.91375 [47]
251 [12]Turner County2 - A7-523.3921.98290 [7]
252 [13]Warren County7 - A8-423.0712.24379 [29]
253 [20]Aquinas7 - A7-422.8814.60367 [33]
254 [38]Chestatee7 - AAAA2-822.6643.5476 [13]
255 [39]McIntosh3 - AAAAA3-722.4333.36173 [36]
256 [21]First Presbyterian7 - A5-622.4021.80293 [19]
257 [22]Brookstone4 - A7-522.3517.51345 [28]
258 [40]Lithonia5 - AAAAA6-521.6721.27298 [49]
259 [29]Monroe1 - AAA4-721.6631.17203 [20]
260 [30]Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA3-721.6135.78151 [6]
261 [31]Central (Macon)4 - AAA3-821.5534.48163 [7]
262 [41]Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA3-721.1436.04148 [45]
263 [42]Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-921.0046.3757 [34]
264 [14]Schley County4 - A7-520.8012.60376 [27]
265 [50]Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA3-720.7932.71182 [48]
266 [41]Banneker6 - AAAAA4-620.7925.15254 [45]
267 [15]McIntosh County Academy3 - A5-620.7620.62308 [9]
268 [23]Calvary Day3 - A6-520.6720.32312 [21]
269 [39]Richmond Academy3 - AAAA4-620.6233.25177 [33]
270 [42]Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA5-520.5220.72307 [50]
271 [29]Hephzibah4 - AA7-320.498.28400 [59]
272 [51]Alcovy3 - AAAAAA2-820.4835.32156 [41]
273 [32]Windsor Forest3 - AAA5-620.1520.04321 [53]
274 [16]Emanuel County Institute3 - A6-620.1218.06343 [16]
275 [52]Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA2-919.9337.84132 [33]
276 [30]Temple5 - AA6-519.3418.15342 [36]
277 [40]Dougherty1 - AAAA2-819.2935.18158 [29]
278 [33]Adairsville6 - AAA5-619.2523.94268 [44]
279 [43]Villa Rica7 - AAAAA2-818.9035.18157 [32]
280 [31]Screven County4 - AA7-418.4511.85382 [49]
281 [32]B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA4-718.4129.21226 [15]
282 [17]Washington-Wilkes7 - A6-518.0816.91353 [18]
283 [34]Jackson County8 - AAA3-717.4429.48222 [25]
284 [35]Brantley County2 - AAA5-617.4322.67280 [46]
285 [36]Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA4-617.3121.04303 [51]
286 [24]Stratford Academy7 - A4-717.1924.34264 [11]
287 [44]Fayette County3 - AAAAA2-817.0631.46200 [39]
288 [37]Stone Mountain5 - AAA3-716.9526.24246 [35]
289 [33]Model7 - AA5-616.7717.50347 [38]
290 [18]Telfair County2 - A4-616.7220.25315 [10]
291 [41]Hampton4 - AAAA5-616.4420.89304 [48]
292 [25]Tattnall Square7 - A5-516.1119.02332 [25]
293 [34]Chattooga7 - AA5-616.1020.28313 [27]
294 [38]Franklin County8 - AAA2-815.9832.66184 [12]
295 [45]Grady6 - AAAAA3-715.9426.04249 [44]
296 [35]Lamar County5 - AA6-415.6511.15389 [53]
297 [19]Claxton3 - A6-515.4213.77372 [25]
298 [42]Spalding2 - AAAA1-915.3640.63109 [20]
299 [43]Lambert5 - AAAAAAA0-1015.2842.9383 [39]
300 [44]Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA0-1015.1452.6819 [15]
301 [36]Washington6 - AA4-615.0019.11330 [34]
302 [39]Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA4-714.9921.28297 [49]
303 [20]Macon County4 - A6-514.9312.51377 [28]
304 [46]Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA1-914.5342.2795 [19]
305 [43]Luella4 - AAAA4-714.2824.19266 [41]
306 [26]Walker6 - A4-613.7921.05302 [20]
307 [21]Dooly County4 - A4-613.2918.36340 [15]
308 [44]LaFayette6 - AAAA3-713.0721.12300 [46]
309 [40]Worth County1 - AAA2-812.8930.45208 [21]
310 [47]Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA4-712.8020.42311 [51]
311 [22]Trion6 - A5-612.7517.50346 [17]
312 [23]Gordon Lee6 - A4-612.4218.36339 [15]
313 [24]Hancock Central7 - A5-512.4111.45387 [32]
314 [25]Chattahoochee County1 - A7-512.131.88409 [41]
315 [37]Putnam County8 - AA5-612.0720.24316 [28]
316 [48]Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA2-911.8134.15166 [34]
317 [38]Monticello8 - AA3-711.5722.46284 [23]
318 [39]Berrien1 - AA2-811.4932.64185 [10]
319 [40]Spencer5 - AA3-711.2722.70279 [22]
320 [26]Lanier County2 - A3-711.1824.26265 [4]
321 [41]Pike County4 - AAA4-611.0615.77360 [56]
322 [42]East Hall7 - AAA2-810.9432.34191 [14]
323 [27]Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A3-710.8423.66271 [12]
324 [27]Atkinson County2 - A3-710.8321.43295 [8]
325 [45]Campbell2 - AAAAAAA0-1010.5145.7261 [35]
326 [53]South Cobb6 - AAAAAA1-910.3745.9359 [9]
327 [45]Gilmer6 - AAAA4-610.2014.69364 [53]
328 [46]Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA1-99.9633.28175 [32]
329 [28]Terrell County1 - A7-49.89-3.86414 [46]
330 [41]Therrell6 - AA3-79.4419.50326 [32]
331 [28]Athens Christian8 - A4-69.2119.50325 [23]
332 [43]East Jackson8 - AAA3-79.1325.67250 [37]
333 [47]Columbus1 - AAAA1-99.1134.06168 [31]
334 [54]Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-108.6038.63127 [29]
335 [48]McDonough4 - AAAA4-68.2518.46338 [52]
336 [29]Taylor County4 - A5-68.1313.31374 [26]
337 [30]Montgomery County3 - A5-57.7510.01398 [35]
338 [55]Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-107.7539.73116 [23]
339 [44]Murray County6 - AAA4-67.5715.80359 [55]
340 [49]Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA1-97.3732.54186 [37]
341 [45]Redan5 - AAA3-76.6626.40244 [34]
342 [46]Duluth6 - AAAAAAA1-96.5744.1370 [36]
343 [29]Riverside Military Academy8 - A5-56.275.09405 [37]
344 [42]Gordon Central7 - AA3-75.5216.53355 [41]
345 [31]Wilkinson County7 - A2-85.2923.31274 [6]
346 [47]Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA4-64.6818.92334 [48]
347 [50]Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA4-64.6516.47356 [54]
348 [43]Laney4 - AA4-64.5712.37378 [48]
349 [56]Drew4 - AAAAAA1-94.5037.66135 [34]
350 [46]Rutland4 - AAA2-84.1128.91229 [27]
351 [44]Banks County8 - AA3-73.8215.30362 [42]
352 [30]Strong Rock Christian5 - A2-83.7034.54162 [1]
353 [45]East Laurens3 - AA1-93.6135.34155 [5]
354 [47]Lumpkin County7 - AAA1-93.5727.49238 [30]
355 [31]Pinecrest Academy6 - A2-83.3918.75335 [27]
356 [32]Pacelli4 - A5-53.125.23404 [36]
357 [46]Westside (Augusta)4 - AA3-72.9410.40394 [56]
358 [48]Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA2-82.7324.84258 [40]
359 [49]Salem4 - AAAA2-82.6321.35296 [45]
360 [33]Lakeview Academy8 - A2-72.5527.61237 [7]
361 [32]Greenville4 - A4-61.746.68402 [37]
362 [51]Chamblee5 - AAAAA1-81.7123.66270 [46]
363 [52]Miller Grove5 - AAAAA0-101.6030.77205 [40]
364 [47]Glenn Hills4 - AA4-61.5211.49385 [52]
365 [49]Tattnall County2 - AAA1-91.1729.73220 [24]
366 [33]Jenkins County3 - A3-71.1612.16380 [30]
367 [50]North Clayton4 - AAAA2-80.9122.40286 [42]
368 [53]Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA0-100.0639.22123 [24]
369 [50]Coahulla Creek6 - AAA2-8-0.3021.17299 [50]
370 [51]Cross Creek3 - AAAA2-8-0.5924.76259 [40]
371 [54]North Springs6 - AAAAA1-9-0.9926.68242 [43]
372 [34]Charlton County2 - A1-9-1.0829.94217 [1]
373 [48]Bacon County2 - AA1-9-1.2130.97204 [12]
374 [34]Landmark Christian5 - A2-8-1.4227.74236 [6]
375 [49]Butler4 - AA2-8-2.099.55399 [58]
376 [57]Forest Park4 - AAAAAA1-9-2.6029.37224 [55]
377 [50]KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA2-8-2.6319.96322 [31]
378 [35]Treutlen3 - A4-6-3.182.08408 [40]
379 [36]Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A1-9-3.2419.52324 [12]
380 [51]Ringgold6 - AAA0-10-4.0427.13240 [32]
381 [52]West Hall7 - AAAA0-10-4.5647.8941 [1]
382 [52]Kendrick4 - AAA1-9-5.6524.61262 [42]
383 [51]Dade County7 - AA2-8-5.8211.82384 [50]
384 [37]Greene County7 - A1-9-6.1719.41329 [13]
385 [53]Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA0-10-6.4918.59337 [51]
386 [53]Long County2 - AAA1-9-6.6034.12167 [8]
387 [52]Jordan5 - AA0-10-7.0320.13319 [29]
388 [54]Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-8-7.7110.86392 [54]
389 [38]Seminole County1 - A5-6-7.783.42406 [39]
390 [39]Hawkinsville4 - A2-8-8.8110.59393 [33]
391 [54]Savannah3 - AAA1-9-10.0523.51272 [45]
392 [58]Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-10-10.5937.06141 [36]
393 [53]Oglethorpe County8 - AA2-8-11.4711.49386 [52]
394 [48]Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA0-10-12.2032.34192 [46]
395 [40]Twiggs County7 - A1-9-12.7316.03358 [20]
396 [41]Miller County1 - A4-6-13.21-2.39413 [45]
397 [42]Central (Talbotton)4 - A2-8-13.386.20403 [38]
398 [43]Portal3 - A1-9-13.9716.29357 [19]
399 [44]Crawford County4 - A2-8-14.400.36411 [43]
400 [54]Coosa7 - AA1-9-15.0513.53373 [46]
401 [35]King's Ridge Christian6 - A1-9-17.6515.67361 [32]
402 [55]Towers5 - AAA1-9-18.0229.44223 [26]
403 [55]Josey4 - AA0-10-21.1510.92391 [55]
404 [56]Groves3 - AAA0-9-22.4325.07256 [39]
405 [36]Georgia Military College7 - A2-8-24.452.45407 [38]
406 [56]Social Circle8 - AA2-8-25.4610.18396 [57]
407 [37]Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-10-25.5030.26212 [5]
408 [38]Providence Christian8 - A2-8-25.5511.22388 [34]
409 [45]Baconton Charter1 - A4-6-25.94-12.61419 [50]
410 [57]Bryan County2 - AA0-9-29.5526.19247 [17]
411 [58]Armuchee7 - AA0-10-29.8014.98363 [43]
412 [55]Clarkston5 - AAAAA†0-10-33.1612.00381 [55]
413 [59]McNair6 - AA0-10-33.5819.42328 [33]
414 [46]Wheeler County3 - A1-9-35.697.00401 [36]
415 [47]Towns County8 - A0-10-38.0425.05257 [2]
416 [48]Calhoun County1 - A2-8-40.11-0.59412 [44]
417 [1]ACE Charter7 - A†3-5-44.52-14.72420 [1]
418 [2]Glascock County7 - A†2-7-54.13-37.00421 [2]
419 [49]Stewart County1 - A1-9-55.08-9.84417 [49]
420 [50]Randolph-Clay1 - A0-10-60.950.95410 [42]
421 [3]Pataula Charter1 - A†3-7-69.01-46.66422 [3]
422 [56]Cross Keys5 - AAAAA†0-10-87.97-10.34418 [56]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Comp Rating Avg Rating
11 - AAAAAAA91.9076.79
23 - AAAAAAA80.1161.81
31 - AAAAAA79.8367.96
46 - AAAAAAA76.9150.30
58 - AAAAAAA75.4158.95
67 - AAAA67.8348.68
71 - AAAAA67.6554.02
87 - AAAAAAA67.5932.01
95 - AAAA67.0747.76
106 - AAAAAA65.3540.74
118 - AAAAAA65.0744.25
127 - AAAAA63.1236.15
135 - A62.7929.88
148 - AAAAA62.5737.28
152 - AAAAA62.0351.67
164 - AAAAA61.4143.64
175 - AAAAAAA59.1942.40
184 - AAAAAAA58.5045.93
195 - AAA57.2930.80
208 - AAAA56.4642.72
213 - AAAAA55.2537.47
228 - A55.0419.67
 8-Div A - A56.3227.50
 8-Div B - A37.6512.39
238 - AAA54.9532.55
244 - AAA54.9322.48
252 - A54.8924.43
262 - AAAAAAA54.7540.10
272 - AAAA54.6839.34
282 - AAAAAA54.4042.34
295 - AAAAAA54.3136.71
307 - AAAAAA53.0632.22
314 - AAAA53.0412.87
321 - AAAA50.6931.84
331 - AA50.4537.74
347 - AAA50.0430.02
353 - AA50.0335.17
362 - AAA49.9926.79
378 - AA48.7913.66
383 - AAAA48.4334.37
396 - AA48.2417.33
404 - AAAAAA48.0730.77
413 - AAA47.7319.93
426 - A46.8120.97
 6-Div B - A42.6118.66
 6-Div A - A39.3923.44
431 - AAA46.5326.34
446 - AAA45.7520.80
455 - AA45.1521.53
462 - AA41.9726.45
473 - AAAAAA39.6128.45
486 - AAAAA37.5921.29
497 - AA37.188.63
501 - A35.91-10.22
513 - A35.1713.12
 3-Div A - A34.9420.78
 3-Div B - A21.875.07
527 - A34.6914.31
 7-Div B - A30.3114.12
 7-Div A - A27.9614.50
535 - AAAAA33.5217.83
546 - AAAA31.8018.34
554 - A31.139.44
 4-Div A - A30.1013.07
 4-Div B - A20.166.48
564 - AA29.369.49

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct Likelihood
10/11Clarke CentralLoganville21 - 3821.8789.9%0.132
10/18Dooly CountyCrawford County19 - 2026.7293.5%0.138
09/12StephensonMount Zion (Jonesboro)9 - 1422.7190.6%0.159
11/22DarlingtonMount Paran Christian13 - 1616.6784.1%0.245
09/27ThomsonGrovetown12 - 1615.9683.1%0.250
11/01Carver (Atlanta)Lithia Springs14 - 1517.0084.6%0.251
11/08BufordClarke Central28 - 3115.3482.3%0.264
09/06Turner CountyTaylor County7 - 1214.2980.7%0.270
10/03HamptonNorth Clayton7 - 815.5282.5%0.272
09/27Richmond HillLiberty County23 - 3113.1478.8%0.276
09/20Richmond HillNew Hampstead14 - 2113.1878.9%0.279
09/27Starr's MillJonesboro14 - 2112.3877.5%0.292
09/20Lincoln CountyAquinas7 - 1013.3379.1%0.295
09/20West LaurensSouth Effingham30 - 3113.9280.1%0.296
10/11Warren CountyGeorgia Military College37 - 3348.4899.2%0.300

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct
86.2211/01LowndesColquitt County28 - 1715.6582.7%
84.1609/06LowndesParkview38 - 717.5285.2%
83.9308/24Colquitt CountyNorth Gwinnett17 - 60.6651.6%
83.8511/29McEachernNorth Gwinnett - 1.5753.9%
83.3111/22Colquitt CountyParkview21 - 400.9152.3%
82.0409/13Colquitt CountyValdosta49 - 503.0457.5%
81.9110/18McEachernMarietta14 - 123.1557.8%
81.7709/27LowndesValdosta24 - 019.6587.7%
81.6211/29LowndesGrayson - 19.7987.9%
81.5609/27Colquitt CountyGrayson31 - 75.1062.5%
80.0909/13GraysonMarietta28 - 140.9952.5%
78.8110/11North GwinnettMill Creek45 - 36.5465.8%
78.5710/25ValdostaLee County50 - 533.6859.1%
77.5011/29MariettaMill Creek - 4.9662.2%
76.6411/29Lee CountyDacula - 2.4756.1%

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