Sports

Georgia Tech bowl projections, computer rankings for week 6

October 1, 2016 Atlanta - Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets running back Dedrick Mills (26) celebrates after he scored a touch in the first half at Bobby Dodd Stadium on Saturday, October 1, 2016. HYOSUB SHIN / HSHIN@AJC.COM
October 1, 2016 Atlanta - Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets running back Dedrick Mills (26) celebrates after he scored a touch in the first half at Bobby Dodd Stadium on Saturday, October 1, 2016. HYOSUB SHIN / HSHIN@AJC.COM
Oct 12, 2016

The good news for Georgia Tech is that its probability of winning out, according to ESPN, increased from zero to 1 percent.

Based on projections from ESPN’s power index and bowl prognosticators, the Yellow Jackets, who fell to 3-3 after their loss to Pittsburgh Saturday, are cast to finish at the six- or seven-win mark, with wins expected against Georgia Southern, Duke and Virginia and losses to North Carolina, Virginia Tech and Georgia.

Bowl projections

Week 1 2 3 4 5 6
David Hale, ESPN Ind. Ind. Ind. Ind. St. Petersburg St. Petersburg
Mark Schlabach, ESPN Military Military Ind. Ind. St. Petersburg Quick Lane
Brett McMurphy, ESPN Military Military Ind. Ind. St. Petersburg St. Petersburg
Jerry Palm, CBS Sports N/A Ind. Ind. Military Ind. Military
Bill Bender, Sporting News N/A Pinstripe Pinstripe Pinstripe Quick Lane Quick Lane
Week Pre. 1 2 3 4 5 6
Rank 46 46 56 59 51 53 50
Projected win-loss 5.7-6.3 6.4-5.7 6.3-5.7 7.1-4.9 6.6-5.4 6.2-5.8 6.1-5.9
% chance of winning out 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.0
% chance of winning ACC .3 .5 .4 .5 .3 .1 0
Remaining SOS 22 41 30 25 37 48 55

This week between: Toledo and Mississippi State

ACC champion probability leaders: Clemson, 74.1; Miami, 8.2; Louisville, 7.6; Virginia Tech, 7.3

Georgia Southern: 85

Week 2 3 4 5 6
Rank 42 39 43 44 45

This week between: Arizona State and Notre Dame

Georgia Southern: 88

Week 1 2 3 4 5 6
Rank 42 44 43 44 46 53

This week between: Georgia and Mississippi State

Georgia Southern: 65

Week Pre. 1 2 3 4 5 6
Rank 64 54 54 43 42 47 44

This week between: Penn State and Wake Forest

Georgia Southern: 78

Previous weeks

Week 2

Week 3

About the Author

Ken Sugiura is a sports columnist at the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Formerly the Georgia Tech beat reporter, Sugiura started at the AJC in 1998 and has covered a variety of beats, mostly within sports.

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