High schools

Maxwell Week 7 summary

McEachern running back Mekhi Crawley (21) is brought down by HillgroveÕs Jawon Garner (7) just yards from the end zone in the second half of their game at Hillgrove High School Friday, September 25, 2020. PHOTO/Daniel Varnado

By Loren Maxwell

Oct 19, 2020

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the 444 teams of the Georgia High School Association and the Georgia Independent School Association throughout the 2020 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

This off season, the Maxwell ratings underwent its most significant overall in its 35-year history. The ratings are not only more accurate, but also now offer offense and defense ratings for each team.

AJC football rankings: No. 1 teams stay put; Cherokee Bluff ranked for 1st time

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season’s results in combination with each team’s historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team’s historical performance diminishes as the team’s season progresses.

The ratings are scaled so that there is a 50% chance in any given year of at least one team eclipsing a rating of 100.00.

A hypothetical score at a neutral location can be calculated between two teams by adding their offensive and defensive ratings. To account for home advantage, adjust the hypothetical scores in favor of the home team by half of the home advantage.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1030 of 1089 total games including 0 tie(s) (94.58%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game scores within 9.58 points and all game margins within 12.19 points.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.73

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Lowndes	5-0	109.08	1	Lee County	5-1	96.78
2	Colquitt County	4-0	103.30	2	Valdosta	2-2	92.55
3	Grayson	6-0	99.47	3	Buford	4-1	82.78
4	Norcross	6-0	96.43	4	Lovejoy	6-0	82.58
5	North Gwinnett	5-2	87.90	5	Houston County	5-2	81.62
6	Brookwood	6-0	86.98	6	Richmond Hill	5-1	81.57
7	Archer	3-3	85.41	7	Dacula	3-2	77.50
8	Cherokee	6-0	85.35	8	Westlake	4-1	77.42
9	Hillgrove	3-1	84.85	9	Carrollton	3-1	77.37
10	Milton	4-1	82.53	10	Allatoona	5-0	75.23
11	North Cobb	4-1	82.18	11	Lanier	3-1	73.20
12	Collins Hill	5-2	81.72	12	Creekview	4-1	72.91
13	Newnan	6-0	81.45	13	Douglas County	5-1	72.43
14	East Coweta	5-1	80.99	14	Alexander	4-2	71.72
15	Parkview	5-1	80.80	15	Hughes	4-1	71.20

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Warner Robins	4-2	93.58	1	Jefferson	5-0	84.91
2	Ware County	5-0	87.47	2	Marist	4-0	83.00
3	Blessed Trinity	2-0	85.39	3	Benedictine	5-2	73.58
4	Cartersville	5-1	83.94	4	Bainbridge	2-3	73.57
5	Coffee	5-1	82.82	5	Flowery Branch	3-2	67.45
6	Veterans	4-2	79.52	6	Hapeville Charter	1-3	65.44
7	Calhoun	5-1	74.82	7	Cedartown	3-2	64.93
8	Jones County	2-3	72.18	8	Carver (Columbus)	4-0	64.49
9	Starr's Mill	5-1	72.13	9	Stephenson	2-0	64.10
10	Ola	5-0	69.84	10	West Laurens	3-2	63.97
11	St. Pius X	4-1	68.41	11	Perry	2-3	60.58
12	Wayne County	2-4	65.71	12	Hardaway	4-1	60.37
13	Harris County	3-2	65.47	13	Cairo	0-4	59.87
14	Dutchtown	2-3	65.39	14	Thomas County Central	2-3	58.88
15	Clarke Central	4-2	64.80	15	Baldwin	2-0	58.72

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Cedar Grove	3-0	87.85	1	Fitzgerald	6-0	77.83
2	Oconee County	6-0	84.11	2	Callaway	4-0	71.08
3	Crisp County	5-0	83.59	3	Rabun County	5-1	69.55
4	Greater Atlanta Christian	5-0	78.39	4	Thomasville	3-3	67.86
5	Appling County	5-0	77.10	5	Bleckley County	5-1	63.55
6	Pierce County	4-1	73.74	6	Cook	4-2	60.58
7	Peach County	4-1	72.08	7	Lovett	3-2	60.42
8	Rockmart	4-1	67.17	8	Haralson County	5-0	59.44
9	Sandy Creek	2-2	66.52	9	Toombs County	4-1	57.88
10	Carver (Atlanta)	1-4	66.04	10	Putnam County	6-0	55.71
11	Westminster (Atlanta)	2-2	64.94	11	Pace Academy	3-2	55.70
12	Burke County	1-2	63.37	12	Dodge County	1-3	55.55
13	Thomson	4-2	60.56	13	Early County	3-1	55.34
14	Dawson County	2-3	60.24	14	Fannin County	5-0	55.11
15	Monroe Area	5-1	59.93	15	Washington County	3-3	55.01

A Public				A Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Irwin County	4-2	73.08	1	Athens Academy	6-0	73.98
2	Brooks County	5-1	68.13	2	Eagle's Landing Christian	3-3	69.85
3	Metter	6-0	65.49	3	Prince Avenue Christian	5-1	68.91
4	Dublin	4-1	64.01	4	Fellowship Christian	5-0	68.07
5	Turner County	5-1	57.85	5	Christian Heritage	4-1	57.68
6	Commerce	5-1	57.48	6	Wesleyan	4-2	57.23
7	Wilcox County	5-1	57.27	7	North Cobb Christian	4-1	57.10
8	Washington-Wilkes	5-0	57.25	8	George Walton Academy	4-0	56.45
9	Clinch County	2-2	55.97	9	Savannah Christian	6-1	56.35
10	Macon County	4-1	55.61	10	Aquinas	7-0	54.94
11	Pelham	2-1	53.90	11	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-2	52.74
12	McIntosh County Academy	4-2	51.67	12	Hebron Christian	2-3	50.49
13	Chattahoochee County	5-0	48.58	13	Holy Innocents	2-4	50.03
14	Taylor County	4-1	47.85	14	Calvary Day	4-3	49.54
15	Mitchell County	1-3	46.79	15	Darlington	4-2	49.35

GISA AAA				GISA AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	John Milledge Academy	5-0	64.64	1	Brentwood School	4-1	38.79
2	Bulloch Academy	3-1	41.42	2	Gatewood School	4-1	38.37
3	Tiftarea Academy	3-1	41.23	3	Southwest Georgia Academy	5-1	33.59
4	Frederica Academy	3-2	38.70	4	Terrell Academy	4-2	26.79
5	Pinewood Christian	1-2	36.29	5	Piedmont Academy	4-1	24.34

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Offense	Defense
1 [1]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	5-0	109.08	46.88	-14.67
2 [2]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	4-0	103.30	38.88	-16.90
3 [3]	Grayson	4 - AAAAAAA	6-0	99.47	37.63	-14.31
4 [1]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	5-1	96.78	31.68	-17.58
5 [4]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	6-0	96.43	36.40	-12.50
6 [1]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	4-2	93.58	36.50	-9.55
7 [2]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	2-2	92.55	32.78	-12.24
8 [5]	North Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	5-2	87.90	29.20	-11.18
9 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	3-0	87.85	29.09	-11.24
10 [2]	Ware County	1 - AAAAA	5-0	87.47	33.94	-6.01
11 [6]	Brookwood	4 - AAAAAAA	6-0	86.98	35.70	-3.76
12 [7]	Archer	7 - AAAAAAA	3-3	85.41	27.89	-10.00
13 [3]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAAA	2-0	85.39	30.95	-6.91
14 [8]	Cherokee	5 - AAAAAAA	6-0	85.35	28.38	-9.44
15 [1]	Jefferson	8 - AAAA	5-0	84.91	28.60	-8.78
16 [9]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	3-1	84.85	31.39	-5.93
17 [2]	Oconee County	8 - AAA	6-0	84.11	27.88	-8.70
18 [4]	Cartersville	7 - AAAAA	5-1	83.94	28.61	-7.81
19 [3]	Crisp County	2 - AAA	5-0	83.59	25.79	-10.27
20 [2]	Marist	6 - AAAA	4-0	83.00	25.92	-9.56
21 [5]	Coffee	1 - AAAAA	5-1	82.82	29.45	-5.85
22 [3]	Buford	8 - AAAAAA	4-1	82.78	28.62	-6.63
23 [4]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	6-0	82.58	24.90	-10.15
24 [10]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	4-1	82.53	27.07	-7.94
25 [11]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	4-1	82.18	26.97	-7.68
26 [12]	Collins Hill	8 - AAAAAAA	5-2	81.72	27.19	-7.00
27 [5]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	5-2	81.62	24.67	-9.43
28 [6]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	5-1	81.57	29.38	-4.67
29 [13]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	6-0	81.45	29.89	-4.03
30 [14]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	5-1	80.99	29.88	-3.58
31 [15]	Parkview	4 - AAAAAAA	5-1	80.80	29.91	-3.37
32 [6]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	4-2	79.52	24.18	-7.81
33 [16]	Mill Creek	8 - AAAAAAA	2-3	78.71	23.32	-7.86
34 [17]	Roswell	5 - AAAAAAA	5-0	78.65	24.84	-6.29
35 [4]	Greater Atlanta Christian	5 - AAA	5-0	78.39	25.84	-5.02
36 [1]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	6-0	77.83	24.82	-5.49
37 [7]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	3-2	77.50	27.67	-2.31
38 [8]	Westlake	4 - AAAAAA	4-1	77.42	27.46	-2.43
39 [9]	Carrollton	5 - AAAAAA	3-1	77.37	29.02	-0.83
40 [5]	Appling County	1 - AAA	5-0	77.10	25.37	-4.20
41 [18]	McEachern	2 - AAAAAAA	2-4	75.25	25.15	-2.58
42 [10]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	5-0	75.23	21.95	-5.75
43 [7]	Calhoun	7 - AAAAA	5-1	74.82	24.78	-2.51
44 [19]	South Gwinnett	4 - AAAAAAA	4-2	74.79	21.81	-5.46
45 [20]	South Forsyth	6 - AAAAAAA	4-0	74.61	28.20	1.11
46 [21]	North Forsyth	6 - AAAAAAA	5-1	74.28	22.01	-4.74
47 [1]	Athens Academy	8 - A Private	6-0	73.98	21.83	-4.63
48 [6]	Pierce County	1 - AAA	4-1	73.74	23.11	-3.10
49 [3]	Benedictine	3 - AAAA	5-2	73.58	26.63	0.57
50 [4]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAA	2-3	73.57	22.92	-3.12
51 [11]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	3-1	73.20	24.71	-0.97
52 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A Public	4-2	73.08	22.46	-3.10
53 [12]	Creekview	7 - AAAAAA	4-1	72.91	18.99	-6.39
54 [22]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	1-3	72.49	23.44	-1.53
55 [13]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	5-1	72.43	20.67	-4.24
56 [8]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	2-3	72.18	24.95	0.29
57 [9]	Starr's Mill	2 - AAAAA	5-1	72.13	19.01	-5.59
58 [7]	Peach County	2 - AAA	4-1	72.08	22.71	-1.85
59 [14]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	4-2	71.72	22.18	-2.02
60 [15]	Hughes	4 - AAAAAA	4-1	71.20	21.34	-2.34
61 [2]	Callaway	5 - AA	4-0	71.08	21.54	-2.02
62 [16]	Rome	5 - AAAAAA	3-3	70.84	21.14	-2.18
63 [17]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	2-4	70.36	20.61	-2.23
64 [23]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	4-3	69.98	20.42	-2.03
65 [24]	Walton	3 - AAAAAAA	2-3	69.96	22.86	0.42
66 [2]	Eagle's Landing Christian	2 - A Private	3-3	69.85	21.77	-0.55
67 [10]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	5-0	69.84	23.27	0.96
68 [25]	West Forsyth	6 - AAAAAAA	2-3	69.59	21.79	-0.27
69 [3]	Rabun County	8 - AA	5-1	69.55	25.64	3.61
70 [26]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	1-4	69.48	24.87	2.92
71 [27]	Gainesville	6 - AAAAAAA	4-2	69.06	25.10	3.56
72 [28]	Harrison	3 - AAAAAAA	0-3	69.05	21.12	-0.41
73 [3]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A Private	5-1	68.91	25.22	3.83
74 [11]	St. Pius X	5 - AAAAA	4-1	68.41	23.29	2.40
75 [18]	Kell	6 - AAAAAA	2-2	68.15	24.41	3.78
76 [2]	Brooks County	2 - A Public	5-1	68.13	22.07	1.46
77 [4]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A Private	5-0	68.07	21.47	0.93
78 [4]	Thomasville	1 - AA	3-3	67.86	20.58	0.24
79 [19]	River Ridge	7 - AAAAAA	5-0	67.71	21.02	0.83
80 [5]	Flowery Branch	8 - AAAA	3-2	67.45	21.53	1.60
81 [8]	Rockmart	6 - AAA	4-1	67.17	22.74	3.09
82 [29]	Denmark	6 - AAAAAAA	2-3	66.91	18.08	-1.30
83 [9]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAA	2-2	66.52	18.93	-0.06
84 [20]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	3-2	66.45	24.30	5.38
85 [10]	Carver (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	1-4	66.04	21.12	2.60
86 [30]	Newton	4 - AAAAAAA	2-3	65.88	15.96	-2.40
87 [12]	Wayne County	1 - AAAAA	2-4	65.71	19.15	0.96
88 [31]	Mountain View	8 - AAAAAAA	1-5	65.52	19.64	1.64
89 [21]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	4-2	65.51	18.62	0.64
90 [3]	Metter	3 - A Public	6-0	65.49	17.79	-0.17
91 [13]	Harris County	2 - AAAAA	3-2	65.47	17.69	-0.26
92 [6]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AAAA	1-3	65.44	19.58	1.66
93 [22]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	2-1	65.40	19.80	1.92
94 [14]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	2-3	65.39	16.20	-1.67
95 [32]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	1-4	65.02	22.72	5.22
96 [11]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	2-2	64.94	17.55	0.13
97 [7]	Cedartown	7 - AAAA	3-2	64.93	17.40	-0.01
98 [23]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	3-2	64.85	18.29	0.96
99 [15]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	4-2	64.80	19.48	2.20
100 [24]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAA	2-3	64.79	19.64	2.37
101 [1]	John Milledge Academy	GISA 4 - AAA	5-0	64.64	19.16	2.05
102 [8]	Carver (Columbus)	2 - AAAA	4-0	64.49	21.62	4.65
103 [33]	Alpharetta	5 - AAAAAAA	1-3	64.46	18.42	1.48
104 [9]	Stephenson	6 - AAAA	2-0	64.10	17.15	0.58
105 [4]	Dublin	4 - A Public	4-1	64.01	20.35	3.86
106 [10]	West Laurens	4 - AAAA	3-2	63.97	17.48	1.03
107 [5]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	5-1	63.55	20.80	4.78
108 [12]	Burke County	4 - AAA	1-2	63.37	21.55	5.71
109 [16]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	5-1	63.18	16.67	1.01
110 [17]	Woodward Academy	3 - AAAAA	2-3	61.84	18.32	4.00
111 [34]	Woodstock	5 - AAAAAAA	2-4	61.09	18.92	5.36
112 [35]	Lambert	6 - AAAAAAA	4-2	61.04	17.16	3.65
113 [25]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	3-3	60.89	18.10	4.74
114 [11]	Perry	4 - AAAA	2-3	60.58	16.83	3.78
115 [6]	Cook	1 - AA	4-2	60.58	16.87	3.82
116 [13]	Thomson	4 - AAA	4-2	60.56	18.72	5.69
117 [7]	Lovett	6 - AA	3-2	60.42	16.58	3.68
118 [12]	Hardaway	2 - AAAA	4-1	60.37	15.84	2.99
119 [14]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	2-3	60.24	19.96	7.25
120 [18]	Creekside	3 - AAAAA	1-2	60.07	15.61	3.06
121 [15]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	5-1	59.93	16.67	4.27
122 [26]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	3-3	59.90	16.97	4.59
123 [19]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	2-3	59.89	17.42	5.06
124 [13]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	0-4	59.87	16.09	3.74
125 [20]	Griffin	2 - AAAAA	3-3	59.72	18.41	6.21
126 [16]	White County	7 - AAA	4-2	59.64	19.70	7.59
127 [36]	Forsyth Central	6 - AAAAAAA	2-2	59.55	16.19	4.16
128 [8]	Haralson County	5 - AA	5-0	59.44	16.78	4.87
129 [27]	Riverwood	7 - AAAAAA	3-2	59.21	16.88	5.20
130 [14]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAA	2-3	58.88	16.80	5.44
131 [15]	Baldwin	4 - AAAA	2-0	58.72	17.73	6.53
132 [17]	Hart County	8 - AAA	2-3	58.63	18.50	7.40
133 [16]	Central (Carrollton)	7 - AAAA	4-1	58.61	18.73	7.64
134 [28]	Dalton	5 - AAAAAA	1-4	58.21	16.06	5.38
135 [9]	Toombs County	2 - AA	4-1	57.88	15.04	4.69
136 [5]	Turner County	2 - A Public	5-1	57.85	17.39	7.07
137 [5]	Christian Heritage	7 - A Private	4-1	57.68	17.65	7.50
138 [37]	Etowah	5 - AAAAAAA	0-5	57.67	15.30	5.15
139 [21]	Northgate	2 - AAAAA	2-3	57.61	16.49	6.40
140 [6]	Commerce	8 - A Public	5-1	57.48	18.18	8.23
141 [18]	Central (Macon)	2 - AAA	4-1	57.28	15.53	5.77
142 [7]	Wilcox County	4 - A Public	5-1	57.27	14.96	5.22
143 [8]	Washington-Wilkes	8 - A Public	5-0	57.25	17.16	7.43
144 [6]	Wesleyan	5 - A Private	4-2	57.23	15.11	5.40
145 [19]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAA	4-2	57.21	17.68	7.99
146 [22]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-3	57.13	17.87	8.26
147 [7]	North Cobb Christian	7 - A Private	4-1	57.10	15.91	6.34
148 [29]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAAA	1-4	56.92	14.04	4.64
149 [30]	East Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	3-2	56.87	16.69	7.35
150 [38]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	5-1	56.83	16.35	7.04
151 [31]	Paulding County	5 - AAAAAA	3-2	56.81	14.85	5.56
152 [39]	Peachtree Ridge	8 - AAAAAAA	3-1	56.77	16.74	7.50
153 [8]	George Walton Academy	8 - A Private	4-0	56.45	14.93	6.00
154 [20]	Stephens County	8 - AAA	4-2	56.36	15.19	6.35
155 [9]	Savannah Christian	3 - A Private	6-1	56.35	15.74	6.91
156 [32]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	2-3	56.33	14.91	6.10
157 [23]	Eastside	8 - AAAAA	4-2	56.32	17.33	8.53
158 [17]	Howard	4 - AAAA	2-2	56.18	15.56	6.91
159 [9]	Clinch County	2 - A Public	2-2	55.97	15.43	6.98
160 [21]	Richmond Academy	4 - AAA	5-1	55.96	14.68	6.24
161 [18]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAA	1-3	55.92	12.17	3.77
162 [10]	Putnam County	4 - AA	6-0	55.71	13.93	5.74
163 [11]	Pace Academy	6 - AA	3-2	55.70	11.96	3.78
164 [10]	Macon County	5 - A Public	4-1	55.61	15.16	7.08
165 [12]	Dodge County	3 - AA	1-3	55.55	15.77	7.74
166 [13]	Early County	1 - AA	3-1	55.34	14.43	6.61
167 [33]	Central Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAA	1-5	55.16	16.61	8.97
168 [24]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	1-2	55.15	13.31	5.68
169 [14]	Fannin County	7 - AA	5-0	55.11	15.99	8.41
170 [19]	Northwest Whitfield	7 - AAAA	4-1	55.07	14.43	6.88
171 [15]	Washington County	3 - AA	3-3	55.01	13.67	6.18
172 [20]	Troup	2 - AAAA	3-3	54.97	15.99	8.54
173 [10]	Aquinas	3 - A Private	7-0	54.94	17.72	10.31
174 [40]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	2-5	54.61	19.37	12.29
175 [21]	Jenkins	3 - AAAA	1-2	54.56	13.64	6.60
176 [22]	New Hampstead	3 - AAAA	3-0	54.55	15.04	8.01
177 [25]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	3-0	54.42	11.34	4.44
178 [23]	Mays	6 - AAAA	3-3	54.41	15.52	8.63
179 [34]	Sequoyah	7 - AAAAAA	0-5	54.36	14.05	7.22
180 [24]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	2-4	54.25	17.43	10.71
181 [16]	Temple	5 - AA	4-2	53.92	12.23	5.84
182 [22]	North Murray	6 - AAA	2-2	53.90	15.52	9.14
183 [11]	Pelham	1 - A Public	2-1	53.90	15.15	8.78
184 [17]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	3-3	53.75	13.66	7.43
185 [26]	Chapel Hill	6 - AAAAA	4-2	53.75	14.83	8.60
186 [35]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	4-2	53.66	12.54	6.41
187 [18]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	5-0	53.41	13.78	7.90
188 [27]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	4-1	53.33	15.69	9.88
189 [19]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	2-2	53.22	12.93	7.23
190 [11]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4 - A Private	4-2	52.74	11.04	5.82
191 [20]	Heard County	5 - AA	4-2	52.67	14.84	9.70
192 [21]	Northeast	3 - AA	3-1	52.46	13.77	8.83
193 [25]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAAA	1-3	52.30	13.29	8.51
194 [26]	Islands	3 - AAAA	3-0	52.09	13.93	9.36
195 [22]	Bremen	5 - AA	4-2	52.07	14.50	9.96
196 [23]	Vidalia	2 - AA	2-2	51.95	11.50	7.08
197 [36]	Rockdale County	3 - AAAAAA †	0-0	51.95	12.96	8.54
198 [23]	Jackson	2 - AAA	2-2	51.92	14.52	10.13
199 [24]	Morgan County	4 - AAA	3-3	51.78	10.54	6.28
200 [25]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	6-0	51.77	12.89	8.64
201 [12]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A Public	4-2	51.67	12.56	8.41
202 [28]	New Manchester	6 - AAAAA	3-3	51.56	12.66	8.63
203 [29]	Greenbrier	8 - AAAAA	5-1	51.42	13.11	9.22
204 [30]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	2-3	51.37	11.36	7.51
205 [37]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	2-3	51.29	16.19	12.42
206 [27]	Westover	1 - AAAA	1-1	50.94	11.83	8.42
207 [26]	Douglass	5 - AAA	0-4	50.89	10.71	7.35
208 [27]	Mary Persons	2 - AAA	2-4	50.89	13.59	10.23
209 [31]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	3-2	50.64	13.09	9.98
210 [38]	North Atlanta	4 - AAAAAA	2-2	50.63	9.70	6.60
211 [12]	Hebron Christian	5 - A Private	2-3	50.49	11.86	8.89
212 [39]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	3-3	50.09	12.95	10.38
213 [40]	Pope	6 - AAAAAA	2-3	50.07	11.34	8.79
214 [32]	Tri-Cities	3 - AAAAA	4-0	50.06	10.36	7.83
215 [13]	Holy Innocents	5 - A Private	2-4	50.03	12.32	9.82
216 [28]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	5-1	49.56	11.01	8.97
217 [14]	Calvary Day	3 - A Private	4-3	49.54	12.33	10.32
218 [15]	Darlington	7 - A Private	4-2	49.35	11.08	9.25
219 [33]	M.L. King	5 - AAAAA	1-2	49.29	11.08	9.31
220 [34]	Decatur	5 - AAAAA	3-0	49.15	10.83	9.20
221 [24]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	3-3	49.15	11.09	9.47
222 [25]	Worth County	1 - AA	3-3	48.98	11.10	9.65
223 [29]	North Hall	7 - AAA	3-3	48.75	13.19	11.97
224 [35]	Whitewater	2 - AAAAA	1-4	48.66	10.08	8.95
225 [41]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA †	0-1	48.63	10.37	9.26
226 [13]	Chattahoochee County	5 - A Public	5-0	48.58	9.62	8.56
227 [28]	Riverdale	5 - AAAA	2-2	48.57	10.88	9.84
228 [16]	Stratford Academy	1 - A Private	3-1	48.49	10.34	9.37
229 [42]	Wheeler	6 - AAAAAA	2-4	48.37	8.60	7.75
230 [29]	LaGrange	2 - AAAA	4-2	48.29	12.40	11.64
231 [14]	Taylor County	5 - A Public	4-1	47.85	13.85	13.52
232 [30]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	3-2	47.80	10.84	10.56
233 [26]	Union County	8 - AA	2-2	47.79	11.34	11.07
234 [31]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	4-2	47.62	11.80	11.71
235 [27]	Pepperell	7 - AA	2-4	47.34	11.72	11.91
236 [32]	Liberty County	3 - AAA	2-2	47.26	10.04	10.30
237 [43]	Kennesaw Mountain	6 - AAAAAA	1-4	47.18	10.90	11.24
238 [33]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	2-1	47.03	8.99	9.49
239 [28]	Washington	6 - AA	3-2	46.86	10.88	11.54
240 [36]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-4	46.86	10.97	11.63
241 [17]	Whitefield Academy	2 - A Private	4-2	46.85	9.95	10.63
242 [15]	Mitchell County	1 - A Public	1-3	46.79	13.37	14.11
243 [41]	Duluth	7 - AAAAAAA	3-2	46.48	12.51	13.56
244 [30]	Luella	5 - AAAA	5-1	46.17	7.79	9.14
245 [37]	Banneker	3 - AAAAA	0-3	45.83	8.97	10.66
246 [31]	Heritage (Ringgold)	7 - AAAA	3-3	45.51	8.08	10.09
247 [38]	Jackson County	8 - AAAAA	2-3	45.30	8.05	10.28
248 [29]	Lamar County	3 - AA	3-3	45.19	10.66	13.00
249 [16]	Marion County	5 - A Public	3-3	44.99	7.73	10.27
250 [17]	Lanier County	2 - A Public	3-1	44.96	9.24	11.80
251 [44]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	1-4	44.84	8.89	11.57
252 [34]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	4-2	44.71	7.84	10.65
253 [42]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	2-4	44.28	7.95	11.20
254 [39]	Northview	5 - AAAAA	1-3	44.16	9.63	13.00
255 [40]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	0-6	44.13	11.07	14.47
256 [41]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	3-3	44.03	7.91	11.40
257 [32]	Arabia Mountain	6 - AAAA	1-2	44.01	7.07	10.58
258 [18]	Montgomery County	4 - A Public	4-1	43.68	9.54	13.39
259 [45]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	2-3	43.67	6.20	10.05
260 [35]	Americus-Sumter	2 - AAA	0-5	43.55	8.84	12.82
261 [42]	Northside (Columbus)	2 - AAAAA	4-1	43.34	10.73	14.91
262 [33]	Fayette County	5 - AAAA	4-1	43.34	6.85	11.04
263 [43]	Villa Rica	6 - AAAAA	2-4	43.25	9.32	13.60
264 [19]	Gordon Lee	6 - A Public	5-1	43.21	10.66	14.97
265 [20]	Schley County	5 - A Public	3-2	43.18	7.01	11.35
266 [21]	Bowdon	6 - A Public	3-3	42.85	7.16	11.83
267 [44]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	0-5	42.58	5.36	10.30
268 [46]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	1-4	42.46	7.14	12.20
269 [30]	Model	7 - AA	3-2	42.37	6.05	11.21
270 [36]	Harlem	4 - AAA	2-4	42.19	9.91	15.25
271 [47]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	0-4	42.14	8.14	13.53
272 [22]	Johnson County	4 - A Public	4-1	42.13	6.90	12.29
273 [31]	Columbia	6 - AA	2-1	42.12	6.87	12.28
274 [23]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A Public	2-3	42.10	7.28	12.71
275 [48]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAAA	0-5	42.09	8.02	13.45
276 [34]	Monroe	1 - AAAA	0-2	42.06	7.57	13.04
277 [24]	Lincoln County	8 - A Public	3-2	41.91	7.47	13.09
278 [25]	Charlton County	2 - A Public	3-3	41.75	7.93	13.71
279 [18]	First Presbyterian	1 - A Private	2-3	41.74	7.10	12.88
280 [26]	Atkinson County	2 - A Public	3-3	41.43	7.53	13.63
281 [2]	Bulloch Academy	GISA 2 - AAA	3-1	41.42	8.01	14.11
282 [35]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	1-5	41.41	5.98	12.10
283 [45]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	0-5	41.33	7.01	13.21
284 [3]	Tiftarea Academy	GISA 3 - AAA	3-1	41.23	9.17	15.47
285 [19]	Mount de Sales	1 - A Private	2-3	41.20	7.18	13.51
286 [36]	Ridgeland	7 - AAAA	1-5	41.12	8.09	14.50
287 [37]	Spalding	4 - AAAA	0-5	41.11	6.86	13.27
288 [32]	Elbert County	8 - AA	1-4	41.07	7.41	13.86
289 [20]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A Private	2-3	41.07	9.47	15.93
290 [46]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	0-3	40.71	7.30	14.11
291 [49]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	0-5	40.70	8.76	15.59
292 [27]	Hancock Central	7 - A Public	3-0	40.67	7.39	14.24
293 [28]	Wheeler County	4 - A Public	4-2	40.60	9.82	16.75
294 [43]	Discovery	7 - AAAAAAA	2-4	40.57	7.09	14.05
295 [50]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	1-3	40.51	6.46	13.47
296 [21]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A Private	3-3	40.46	10.35	17.42
297 [38]	East Hall	8 - AAAA	3-1	40.19	10.16	17.49
298 [47]	Mundy's Mill	3 - AAAAA	1-4	39.68	8.36	16.20
299 [37]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	2-3	39.60	9.58	17.51
300 [33]	Chattooga	7 - AA	1-3	39.53	8.08	16.07
301 [48]	Drew	3 - AAAAA	1-3	39.50	3.71	11.74
302 [29]	Dooly County	4 - A Public	0-2	39.40	6.71	14.83
303 [30]	Screven County	3 - A Public	2-3	39.38	7.10	15.24
304 [31]	Claxton	3 - A Public	2-3	39.34	7.07	15.26
305 [49]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	3-0	38.92	5.46	14.06
306 [1]	Brentwood School	GISA 1 - AA	4-1	38.79	7.25	15.98
307 [4]	Frederica Academy	GISA 2 - AAA	3-2	38.70	5.09	13.91
308 [32]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - A Public	2-2	38.50	8.11	17.13
309 [38]	Salem	5 - AAA †	0-1	38.43	6.79	15.88
310 [39]	Pickens	7 - AAAA	2-4	38.41	4.77	13.88
311 [2]	Gatewood School	GISA 1 - AA	4-1	38.37	4.25	13.40
312 [39]	Hephzibah	4 - AAA	1-2	38.34	6.65	15.84
313 [22]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A Private	2-3	38.16	8.17	17.53
314 [34]	Bacon County	2 - AA	4-2	38.13	6.76	16.15
315 [51]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-5	37.79	6.38	16.11
316 [52]	Lassiter	6 - AAAAAA	1-5	37.55	5.04	15.01
317 [40]	LaFayette	6 - AAA	2-3	37.54	7.95	17.94
318 [40]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-2	37.26	3.99	14.26
319 [33]	Manchester	5 - A Public	1-5	36.60	4.31	15.23
320 [5]	Pinewood Christian	GISA 2 - AAA	1-2	36.29	7.58	18.81
321 [23]	Pacelli	4 - A Private	4-0	36.12	4.09	15.49
322 [34]	Telfair County	4 - A Public	3-4	36.12	5.36	16.77
323 [41]	Gilmer	7 - AAA	3-2	35.73	2.94	14.74
324 [24]	Strong Rock Christian	1 - A Private	3-2	35.52	4.22	16.22
325 [41]	Shaw	2 - AAAA	1-4	35.38	4.19	16.34
326 [35]	Monticello	3 - AA	2-4	35.30	5.71	17.93
327 [42]	Miller Grove	6 - AAAA	1-2	34.78	0.76	13.50
328 [25]	Brookstone	4 - A Private	3-3	34.73	5.68	18.47
329 [42]	Pike County	2 - AAA	0-4	34.69	4.04	16.87
330 [53]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	1-5	33.78	2.63	16.37
331 [3]	Southwest Georgia Academy	GISA 2 - AA	5-1	33.59	10.32	24.25
332 [50]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAA	0-6	33.59	6.26	20.20
333 [26]	Tattnall Square	1 - A Private	3-3	33.46	2.43	16.50
334 [43]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5 - AAAA	0-4	33.26	2.98	17.24
335 [35]	Warren County	7 - A Public	4-2	33.24	2.47	16.76
336 [6]	Westfield School	GISA 4 - AAA	4-0	33.17	5.58	19.94
337 [43]	Redan	5 - AAA	2-1	32.95	4.54	19.11
338 [36]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A Public	6-0	32.75	4.16	18.94
339 [27]	Mount Paran Christian	7 - A Private	0-5	32.65	-0.50	14.37
340 [44]	Beach	3 - AAA	1-2	32.45	4.53	19.61
341 [36]	Laney	4 - AA	2-3	32.44	-0.33	14.76
342 [37]	Hawkinsville	4 - A Public	2-4	32.19	2.82	18.15
343 [45]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	1-4	32.07	2.95	18.40
344 [37]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	3-3	31.84	0.61	16.30
345 [7]	Valwood School	GISA 3 - AAA	2-3	31.64	4.57	20.46
346 [46]	West Hall	7 - AAA	2-4	31.42	1.23	17.33
347 [8]	Creekside Christian	GISA 4 - AAA	3-0	31.40	4.85	20.98
348 [38]	Coosa	7 - AA	3-2	31.30	2.79	19.02
349 [44]	Hampton	5 - AAAA	1-5	31.14	2.24	18.63
350 [39]	Therrell	6 - AA	1-4	31.14	3.96	20.34
351 [51]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA †	2-0	31.13	2.18	18.57
352 [9]	Brookwood School	GISA 3 - AAA	3-2	31.08	3.68	20.12
353 [40]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-1	31.00	4.47	21.00
354 [44]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAAA	0-3	30.80	1.22	17.94
355 [41]	Southwest	3 - AA	1-3	30.59	2.61	19.55
356 [45]	McDonough	5 - AAAA	1-4	30.57	1.46	18.41
357 [28]	Athens Christian	8 - A Private	4-2	30.57	2.28	19.23
358 [52]	McIntosh	2 - AAAAA	0-6	30.55	4.30	21.28
359 [46]	Rutland	4 - AAAA	1-4	30.49	4.38	21.42
360 [38]	Trion	6 - A Public	2-3	30.45	4.33	21.41
361 [47]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	2-1	30.09	3.50	20.93
362 [47]	Columbus	2 - AAAA	1-5	29.84	5.78	23.47
363 [48]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	1-4	29.82	5.69	23.39
364 [53]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAAAA	1-2	29.52	1.90	19.90
365 [54]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	1-5	29.11	0.97	19.39
366 [54]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	0-5	28.74	3.45	22.23
367 [39]	Miller County	1 - A Public	2-4	28.72	1.01	19.81
368 [42]	East Laurens	2 - AA	2-2	28.62	0.32	19.23
369 [29]	Lakeview Academy	6 - A Private	2-2	28.47	0.97	20.03
370 [48]	Chestatee	8 - AAAA	0-5	28.42	2.60	21.70
371 [30]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A Private	2-1	28.35	-0.45	18.73
372 [31]	Deerfield-Windsor	1 - A Private	2-4	28.26	2.16	21.43
373 [43]	Berrien	1 - AA	2-4	28.23	2.96	22.26
374 [40]	Social Circle	8 - A Public	2-4	28.19	2.41	21.75
375 [49]	Murray County	6 - AAA	2-4	26.85	1.65	22.33
376 [4]	Terrell Academy	GISA 2 - AA	4-2	26.79	-0.33	20.41
377 [41]	Terrell County	1 - A Public	2-2	25.24	-3.39	18.90
378 [42]	Seminole County	1 - A Public	2-3	24.95	-1.29	21.28
379 [5]	Piedmont Academy	GISA 1 - AA	4-1	24.34	0.26	23.44
380 [44]	Banks County	8 - AA	1-5	24.33	-1.86	21.34
381 [6]	Thomas Jefferson	GISA 4 - AA	5-1	24.06	-1.76	21.71
382 [45]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	1-4	23.24	-3.20	21.08
383 [45]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	0-5	22.78	0.49	25.23
384 [55]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	1-4	22.60	-0.02	24.91
385 [43]	Treutlen	4 - A Public	1-4	22.59	-2.20	22.73
386 [50]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-3	22.51	-4.83	20.19
387 [44]	Jenkins County	3 - A Public	1-5	22.15	-5.51	19.86
388 [45]	Greenville	5 - A Public	1-4	21.74	0.90	26.69
389 [51]	Brantley County	1 - AAA	0-6	21.41	-3.21	22.91
390 [46]	Towers	6 - AA	1-1	21.39	-3.98	22.16
391 [56]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	4 - AAAAAA †	0-3	21.37	-2.24	23.91
392 [52]	Tattnall County	1 - AAA	0-5	21.36	-1.46	24.70
393 [47]	Oglethorpe County	4 - AA	1-4	21.06	-4.16	22.31
394 [48]	Dade County	7 - AA	1-4	21.04	2.45	28.94
395 [32]	Landmark Christian	2 - A Private	0-7	19.85	-3.30	24.38
396 [49]	Butler	4 - AA	2-3	19.69	-5.50	22.34
397 [33]	Loganville Christian	8 - A Private	1-4	19.57	-4.67	23.28
398 [49]	Jordan	2 - AAAA	2-3	19.43	-3.05	25.05
399 [34]	Heritage School	4 - A Private	0-6	19.42	-5.01	23.10
400 [10]	Southland Academy	GISA 3 - AAA	0-5	18.93	-7.35	21.24
401 [7]	Briarwood Academy	GISA 4 - AA	2-3	17.93	-3.17	26.43
402 [46]	Georgia Military College	7 - A Public	3-3	16.99	-6.56	23.98
403 [53]	Savannah	3 - AAA	0-3	16.86	-4.67	26.00
404 [8]	Edmund Burke Academy	GISA 4 - AA	2-3	16.85	-3.39	27.28
405 [50]	North Clayton	5 - AAAA	0-6	16.29	-7.96	23.28
406 [35]	Walker	7 - A Private	1-5	15.17	-6.98	25.37
407 [36]	Providence Christian	5 - A Private	0-5	15.08	-2.15	30.29
408 [47]	Wilkinson County	7 - A Public	1-4	15.07	-8.20	24.25
409 [48]	Towns County	8 - A Public	2-3	14.57	-6.29	26.67
410 [50]	Josey	4 - AA	1-3	14.44	-4.95	28.14
411 [54]	Long County	1 - AAA	0-6	13.88	-5.96	27.68
412 [49]	Greene County	8 - A Public	0-5	13.14	-5.55	28.83
413 [50]	Portal	3 - A Public	0-6	12.88	-6.27	28.38
414 [51]	Spencer	2 - AAAA	0-6	12.42	-9.92	25.19
415 [51]	Armuchee	6 - A Public	2-3	12.32	-11.30	23.90
416 [9]	Memorial Day	GISA 2 - AA	2-3	11.43	-7.42	28.68
417 [55]	Forest Park	3 - AAAAA	0-5	11.32	-7.90	28.31
418 [52]	Southeast Whitfield	7 - AAAA	1-6	10.95	-5.63	30.94
419 [53]	Druid Hills	6 - AAAA	0-3	9.87	-7.40	30.26
420 [51]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	0-4	9.19	-7.90	30.44
421 [37]	St. Francis	6 - A Private	1-5	9.14	-6.20	32.18
422 [55]	Cross Creek	4 - AAA	0-6	8.55	-12.37	26.61
423 [52]	Calhoun County	1 - A Public	0-1	8.43	-9.55	29.54
424 [11]	Bethlehem Christian Academy	GISA 4 - AAA	1-3	8.12	-7.75	31.65
425 [56]	Groves	3 - AAA	0-3	8.09	-9.56	29.88
426 [56]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	0-5	6.70	-7.73	33.10
427 [57]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	0-6	6.55	-7.15	33.82
428 [52]	McNair	6 - AA	0-3	5.76	-12.34	29.43
429 [12]	St. Andrew's School	GISA 2 - AAA	1-2-1	5.52	-16.19	25.81
430 [53]	Baconton Charter	1 - A Public †	1-3	5.22	-11.18	31.13
431 [54]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A Public	0-5	5.15	-7.99	34.39
432 [54]	Kendrick	2 - AAAA	0-5	5.12	-8.27	34.13
433 [55]	ACE Charter	7 - A Public	2-4	4.42	-7.90	35.20
434 [56]	Bryan County	3 - A Public	0-4	3.69	-8.52	35.32
435 [13]	Trinity Christian (Dublin)	GISA 2 - AAA	0-4	3.60	-9.95	33.98
436 [57]	Glascock County	7 - A Public †	2-5	0.99	-12.00	34.54
437 [58]	Central (Talbotton)	5 - A Public	0-5	-2.93	-13.02	37.44
438 [57]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	0-5	-6.18	-15.95	37.76
439 [59]	Pataula Charter	1 - A Public †	3-4	-8.84	-24.47	31.89
440 [10]	Augusta Prep	GISA 4 - AA	3-3	-10.09	-16.20	41.41
441 [60]	Crawford County	7 - A Public	0-6	-10.33	-18.97	38.89
442 [11]	Robert Toombs Academy	GISA 2 - AA	0-4	-14.57	-13.02	49.08
443 [58]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA †	1-2	-40.61	-21.79	66.35
444 [61]	GSIC	7 - A Public †	0-3	-42.85	-35.65	54.73

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating,” which is the mode of the Extreme Value Type I Distribution (i.e., the Gumbel minimum distribution) applied to the ratings. This calculation favors regions with large numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Teams	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	4	97.92	88.71
2	1 - AAAAAA	4	90.46	85.33
3	4 - AAAAAAA	5	88.02	81.58
4	1 - AAAAA	5	86.68	81.82
5	8 - AAAAAAA	5	79.66	74.12
6	3 - AAAAAAA	6	77.59	73.42
7	5 - AAAAAAA	6	77.08	71.63
8	2 - AAAAAAA	5	74.69	67.76
9	7 - AAAAA	6	73.87	65.06
10	6 - AAAAAAA	7	71.57	67.86
11	8 - AAAAAA	7	70.73	64.05
12	5 - AAAAAA	8	69.97	65.52
13	5 - AAA	7	69.46	63.94
14	4 - AAAAAA	6	68.17	64.62
15	7 - AAAAAAA	7	67.37	53.87
16	8 - AAA	6	64.63	56.40
17	2 - AAA	8	64.17	56.40
18	4 - AAAAA	8	63.93	58.87
19	1 - AA	6	63.86	56.47
20	3 - AAAA	4	63.63	58.69
21	7 - AAAAAA	8	63.47	58.06
22	2 - AAAAAA	7	63.41	56.11
23	8 - AAAA	7	62.50	53.22
24	5 - AA	5	61.88	57.83
25	6 - AAAA	7	61.45	50.80
26	2 - A Public	7	60.82	54.74
27	2 - AAAAA	7	60.64	53.93
28	8 - A Private	5	60.45	49.90
29	1 - AAAA	6	59.91	53.76
30	6 - AAAAAA	9	58.24	49.37
31	4 - AAAA	7	57.01	51.91
32	1 - AAA	5	55.84	41.50
33	2 - A Private	3	55.56	45.52
34	8 - AA	4	54.21	45.69
35	4 - AAA	7	53.64	45.82
36	3 - AA	7	53.57	48.24
37	3 - A Private	4	53.26	49.75
38	7 - AAAA	7	52.61	44.94
39	3 - AAAAA	8	52.11	45.34
40	2 - AA	6	51.99	47.29
41	8 - AAAAA	8	51.57	44.17
42	7 - A Private	5	50.12	42.39
43	7 - AAA	7	49.66	40.19
44	5 - A Private	5	49.25	42.66
45	3 - AAAAAA	4	48.63	42.65
46	6 - AAA	9	48.61	41.67
47	4 - A Public	9	48.18	42.00
48	5 - AAAAA	7	48.09	48.06
49	2 - AAAA	9	46.86	36.70
50	6 - AA	9	46.09	38.17
51	6 - AAAAA	7	45.47	38.94
52	6 - A Private	5	45.24	35.02
53	5 - A Public	8	44.77	36.95
54	GISA 4 - AAA	4	44.71	34.33
55	8 - A Public	6	44.55	35.42
56	3 - A Public	8	44.10	34.59
57	7 - AA	7	43.16	37.13
58	4 - A Private	4	41.87	35.75
59	1 - A Private	6	41.42	38.11
60	5 - AAAA	7	40.66	35.62
61	3 - AAA	7	39.19	32.36
62	6 - A Public	6	38.28	33.35
63	4 - AA	8	38.17	29.70
64	GISA 1 - AA	3	37.23	33.83
65	GISA 3 - AAA	4	34.83	30.72
66	GISA 2 - AAA	5	33.39	25.11
67	1 - A Public	7	31.24	27.60
68	GISA 2 - AA	4	23.69	14.31
69	7 - A Public	6	18.86	16.68
70	GISA 4 - AA	4	18.00	12.19

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Favorite	Underdog	Score	Diff	Prob	Likelihood
09/18	Lovejoy	Eagle's Landing	12 - 6	41.73	99.2%	0.200
10/09	Clinch County	Charlton County	14 - 18	15.95	86.2%	0.280
09/25	Fitzgerald	Jefferson County	14 - 12	22.88	93.3%	0.291
10/02	Jefferson County	Butler	22 - 14	35.26	98.3%	0.310
09/25	Cartersville	Creekside	21 - 18	22.14	92.7%	0.323
10/02	North Forsyth	Denmark	10 - 20	9.10	74.0%	0.334
09/25	Peachtree Ridge	Centennial	35 - 32	20.70	91.5%	0.341
10/16	Douglas County	Paulding County	20 - 22	13.89	83.1%	0.342
10/16	White County	North Hall	31 - 34	12.62	81.0%	0.347
09/12	Lovejoy	Carver (Atlanta)	27 - 26	16.54	87.0%	0.355
09/18	Atkinson County	Terrell County	20 - 18	17.92	88.7%	0.356
09/25	Mount Zion (Carroll)	Towns County	21 - 20	16.45	86.9%	0.357
09/18	Jeff Davis	Brantley County	14 - 6	30.27	97.0%	0.360
09/18	Southeast Bulloch	Telfair County	7 - 20	6.86	68.7%	0.361
09/25	Houston County	Statesboro	23 - 18	22.96	93.3%	0.361

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Prob
106.60	11/06	Lowndes	Colquitt County	-	4.04	61.4%
99.11	09/25	Lowndes	Lee County	38 - 13	14.03	83.4%
96.56	10/09	Lowndes	Valdosta	33 - 21	14.80	84.6%
95.36	10/09	Lee County	Warner Robins	27 - 7	4.94	63.8%
94.95	09/25	Colquitt County	Valdosta	24 - 10	12.49	80.8%
94.55	11/13	Lee County	Valdosta	-	5.96	66.5%
93.91	09/04	Valdosta	Warner Robins	28 - 25	0.70	52.0%
91.14	11/06	Grayson	Brookwood	-	10.76	77.5%
89.73	10/30	Warner Robins	Ware County	-	7.84	71.1%
89.55	09/25	Grayson	Archer	26 - 7	12.33	80.5%
88.98	09/04	Norcross	Hillgrove	30 - 21	9.85	75.6%
88.78	09/05	Lowndes	Archer	35 - 21	21.93	92.6%
87.82	09/11	Warner Robins	Archer	42 - 7	9.89	75.7%
87.81	11/20	Norcross	Archer	-	12.74	81.2%
87.02	10/02	North Gwinnett	Archer	13 - 14	4.22	61.9%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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