High schools

Maxwell Week 6 summary

McEachern running back Mekhi Crawley (21) is brought down by HillgroveÕs Jawon Garner (7) just yards from the end zone in the second half of their game at Hillgrove High School Friday, September 25, 2020. PHOTO/Daniel Varnado

By Loren Maxwell

Oct 12, 2020

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the 444 teams of the Georgia High School Association and the Georgia Independent School Association throughout the 2020 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

This off season, the Maxwell ratings underwent its most significant overall in its 35-year history. The ratings are not only more accurate, but also now offer offense and defense ratings for each team.

AJC football rankings: Lowndes, Lee, Ware, Metter rise to No. 1

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season’s results in combination with each team’s historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team’s historical performance diminishes as the team’s season progresses.

The ratings are scaled so that there is a 50% chance in any given year of at least one team eclipsing a rating of 100.00.

A hypothetical score at a neutral location can be calculated between two teams by adding their offensive and defensive ratings. To account for home advantage, adjust the hypothetical scores in favor of the home team by half of the home advantage.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 870 of 911 total games including 0 tie(s) (95.50%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game scores within 9.56 points and all game margins within 12.13 points.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.79

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Lowndes	5-0	110.22	1	Lee County	4-1	98.70
2	Colquitt County	4-0	104.22	2	Valdosta	2-2	93.12
3	Grayson	5-0	99.65	3	Buford	3-1	83.07
4	Norcross	5-0	95.33	4	Richmond Hill	4-1	82.26
5	Brookwood	5-0	89.77	5	Dacula	2-2	80.19
6	Mill Creek	2-2	85.37	6	Douglas County	5-0	78.86
7	North Gwinnett	4-2	85.22	7	Houston County	4-2	78.32
8	Archer	2-3	85.07	8	Lovejoy	5-0	77.85
9	Hillgrove	3-1	84.30	9	Allatoona	4-0	77.81
10	Roswell	4-0	83.69	10	Carrollton	2-1	77.35
11	Milton	3-1	83.31	11	Westlake	3-1	75.49
12	Cherokee	5-0	81.70	12	Lanier	3-1	74.24
13	North Cobb	4-1	81.31	13	Northside (Warner Robins)	2-4	72.24
14	Collins Hill	4-2	80.81	14	Hughes	4-0	72.00
15	East Coweta	5-1	80.81	15	Kell	1-2	71.77

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Warner Robins	3-2	93.02	1	Jefferson	5-0	85.71
2	Ware County	5-0	89.60	2	Marist	3-0	82.73
3	Blessed Trinity	2-0	87.33	3	Benedictine	5-1	76.40
4	Veterans	4-1	82.64	4	Bainbridge	1-3	74.15
5	Coffee	4-1	82.51	5	Flowery Branch	3-2	68.75
6	Cartersville	4-1	81.83	6	Hapeville Charter	1-2	67.38
7	Calhoun	4-1	77.83	7	Cedartown	2-2	66.88
8	Jones County	2-3	73.64	8	Stephenson	2-0	66.12
9	Ola	5-0	72.52	9	Carver (Columbus)	3-0	64.05
10	Starr's Mill	4-1	72.48	10	West Laurens	2-2	63.15
11	St. Pius X	3-1	69.27	11	Cairo	0-3	62.08
12	Dutchtown	2-3	67.90	12	Jenkins	1-1	61.62
13	Clarke Central	3-2	66.84	13	Hardaway	3-1	61.30
14	Harris County	3-2	66.60	14	Baldwin	1-0	60.27
15	Cass	5-0	66.60	15	Perry	1-3	60.13

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Cedar Grove	2-0	87.25	1	Fitzgerald	5-0	77.39
2	Oconee County	5-0	85.59	2	Callaway	4-0	72.73
3	Crisp County	4-0	82.01	3	Rabun County	4-1	69.08
4	Greater Atlanta Christian	4-0	79.94	4	Thomasville	2-3	68.19
5	Peach County	3-1	74.32	5	Lovett	3-1	67.50
6	Pierce County	4-1	73.99	6	Bleckley County	4-1	63.72
7	Appling County	4-0	73.77	7	Haralson County	5-0	60.86
8	Westminster (Atlanta)	2-1	68.77	8	Washington County	3-2	60.23
9	Rockmart	3-1	68.42	9	Toombs County	4-1	58.35
10	Thomson	4-1	68.26	10	Cook	3-2	57.86
11	White County	4-1	67.72	11	Dodge County	1-3	57.22
12	Sandy Creek	2-2	67.64	12	Swainsboro	2-3	56.82
13	Burke County	1-2	65.32	13	Early County	3-0	56.59
14	Dawson County	2-3	63.36	14	Jefferson County	2-2	56.07
15	Stephens County	4-1	62.11	15	Temple	4-2	55.95

A Public				A Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Irwin County	3-2	72.79	1	Athens Academy	5-0	71.40
2	Brooks County	4-1	68.07	2	Fellowship Christian	5-0	70.67
3	Dublin	2-1	67.15	3	Eagle's Landing Christian	2-3	69.83
4	Metter	5-0	64.65	4	Prince Avenue Christian	4-1	69.59
5	Clinch County	1-2	61.20	5	Wesleyan	4-1	61.48
6	Commerce	4-1	58.12	6	Christian Heritage	4-1	60.75
7	Pelham	1-1	56.16	7	North Cobb Christian	4-1	60.13
8	Wilcox County	4-1	55.06	8	Savannah Christian	5-1	58.65
9	Macon County	3-1	54.92	9	Darlington	4-1	55.62
10	Washington-Wilkes	4-0	54.50	10	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-1	55.36
11	Turner County	4-1	54.38	11	Aquinas	6-0	55.35
12	McIntosh County Academy	3-2	51.04	12	Holy Innocents	2-3	54.90
13	Taylor County	4-0	49.80	13	Calvary Day	4-2	54.00
14	Chattahoochee County	4-0	48.67	14	Hebron Christian	2-2	53.56
15	Mitchell County	1-3	47.81	15	George Walton Academy	3-0	53.56

GISA AAA				GISA AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	John Milledge Academy	4-0	63.52	1	Gatewood School	3-1	40.98
2	Tiftarea Academy	3-1	43.52	2	Brentwood School	3-1	38.34
3	Bulloch Academy	2-1	42.50	3	Southwest Georgia Academy	4-1	32.16
4	Frederica Academy	3-2	41.85	4	Terrell Academy	4-1	29.54
5	Valwood School	2-2	36.11	5	Thomas Jefferson	5-1	25.13

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Offense	Defense
1 [1]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	5-0	110.22	46.39	-14.51
2 [2]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	4-0	104.22	38.53	-16.37
3 [3]	Grayson	4 - AAAAAAA	5-0	99.65	36.41	-13.92
4 [1]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	4-1	98.70	32.22	-17.17
5 [4]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	5-0	95.33	34.98	-11.03
6 [2]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	2-2	93.12	32.28	-11.52
7 [1]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	3-2	93.02	34.88	-8.83
8 [5]	Brookwood	4 - AAAAAAA	5-0	89.77	36.32	-4.13
9 [2]	Ware County	1 - AAAAA	5-0	89.60	33.92	-6.36
10 [3]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAAA	2-0	87.33	31.17	-6.84
11 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	2-0	87.25	28.38	-9.56
12 [1]	Jefferson	8 - AAAA	5-0	85.71	28.32	-8.07
13 [2]	Oconee County	8 - AAA	5-0	85.59	27.73	-8.55
14 [6]	Mill Creek	8 - AAAAAAA	2-2	85.37	24.92	-11.14
15 [7]	North Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	4-2	85.22	26.22	-9.68
16 [8]	Archer	7 - AAAAAAA	2-3	85.07	27.33	-8.42
17 [9]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	3-1	84.30	30.28	-4.70
18 [10]	Roswell	5 - AAAAAAA	4-0	83.69	27.26	-7.11
19 [11]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	3-1	83.31	25.54	-8.45
20 [3]	Buford	8 - AAAAAA	3-1	83.07	28.09	-5.66
21 [2]	Marist	6 - AAAA	3-0	82.73	25.68	-7.72
22 [4]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	4-1	82.64	24.72	-8.60
23 [5]	Coffee	1 - AAAAA	4-1	82.51	27.78	-5.42
24 [4]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	4-1	82.26	29.00	-3.93
25 [3]	Crisp County	2 - AAA	4-0	82.01	24.38	-8.32
26 [6]	Cartersville	7 - AAAAA	4-1	81.83	26.07	-6.44
27 [12]	Cherokee	5 - AAAAAAA	5-0	81.70	25.74	-6.64
28 [13]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	4-1	81.31	26.19	-5.80
29 [14]	Collins Hill	8 - AAAAAAA	4-2	80.81	26.39	-5.10
30 [15]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	5-1	80.81	28.25	-3.23
31 [5]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	2-2	80.19	28.27	-2.61
32 [16]	Parkview	4 - AAAAAAA	4-1	79.98	28.12	-2.54
33 [4]	Greater Atlanta Christian	5 - AAA	4-0	79.94	25.14	-5.48
34 [17]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	5-0	79.94	28.15	-2.47
35 [6]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	5-0	78.86	22.13	-7.41
36 [7]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	4-2	78.32	23.10	-5.90
37 [8]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	5-0	77.85	21.93	-6.61
38 [7]	Calhoun	7 - AAAAA	4-1	77.83	24.05	-4.46
39 [9]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	4-0	77.81	23.16	-5.32
40 [1]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	5-0	77.39	23.78	-4.29
41 [10]	Carrollton	5 - AAAAAA	2-1	77.35	27.03	-1.00
42 [18]	South Forsyth	6 - AAAAAAA	4-0	76.70	28.64	1.27
43 [3]	Benedictine	3 - AAAA	5-1	76.40	27.64	0.56
44 [19]	South Gwinnett	4 - AAAAAAA	4-1	76.20	21.90	-4.98
45 [20]	West Forsyth	6 - AAAAAAA	2-2	75.76	24.33	-2.11
46 [21]	McEachern	2 - AAAAAAA	2-4	75.75	24.80	-1.63
47 [11]	Westlake	4 - AAAAAA	3-1	75.49	25.79	-0.38
48 [5]	Peach County	2 - AAA	3-1	74.32	23.17	-1.83
49 [22]	Walton	3 - AAAAAAA	2-3	74.31	23.98	-1.02
50 [12]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	3-1	74.24	24.04	-0.88
51 [4]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAA	1-3	74.15	23.25	-1.58
52 [6]	Pierce County	1 - AAA	4-1	73.99	22.39	-2.28
53 [7]	Appling County	1 - AAA	4-0	73.77	23.29	-1.16
54 [8]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	2-3	73.64	25.11	0.79
55 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A Public	3-2	72.79	21.46	-2.01
56 [2]	Callaway	5 - AA	4-0	72.73	21.36	-2.05
57 [9]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	5-0	72.52	24.02	0.82
58 [10]	Starr's Mill	2 - AAAAA	4-1	72.48	19.92	-3.24
59 [13]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	2-4	72.24	20.64	-2.29
60 [14]	Hughes	4 - AAAAAA	4-0	72.00	20.94	-1.75
61 [23]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	1-2	71.90	21.96	-0.62
62 [15]	Kell	6 - AAAAAA	1-2	71.77	24.75	2.30
63 [1]	Athens Academy	8 - A Private	5-0	71.40	19.74	-2.33
64 [24]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	4-2	71.35	20.62	-1.41
65 [25]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	1-4	70.83	24.52	3.01
66 [2]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A Private	5-0	70.67	21.93	0.58
67 [16]	Creekview	7 - AAAAAA	3-1	70.66	17.75	-3.60
68 [17]	Rome	5 - AAAAAA	2-3	70.58	20.99	-0.27
69 [3]	Eagle's Landing Christian	2 - A Private	2-3	69.83	20.83	0.32
70 [26]	North Forsyth	6 - AAAAAAA	4-1	69.71	19.10	-1.29
71 [27]	Harrison	3 - AAAAAAA	0-3	69.69	20.38	0.01
72 [4]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A Private	4-1	69.59	24.84	4.56
73 [28]	Gainesville	6 - AAAAAAA	3-2	69.41	23.24	3.15
74 [11]	St. Pius X	5 - AAAAA	3-1	69.27	21.81	1.86
75 [18]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	3-2	69.14	20.57	0.74
76 [3]	Rabun County	8 - AA	4-1	69.08	23.88	4.12
77 [8]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	2-1	68.77	19.44	-0.01
78 [5]	Flowery Branch	8 - AAAA	3-2	68.75	21.75	2.33
79 [29]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	1-3	68.68	23.33	3.97
80 [30]	Newton	4 - AAAAAAA	2-2	68.66	17.11	-2.23
81 [9]	Rockmart	6 - AAA	3-1	68.42	21.12	2.02
82 [10]	Thomson	4 - AAA	4-1	68.26	20.06	1.13
83 [4]	Thomasville	1 - AA	2-3	68.19	19.52	0.65
84 [2]	Brooks County	2 - A Public	4-1	68.07	20.77	2.02
85 [12]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	2-3	67.90	16.54	-2.03
86 [11]	White County	7 - AAA	4-1	67.72	22.72	4.33
87 [12]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAA	2-2	67.64	18.16	-0.16
88 [5]	Lovett	6 - AA	3-1	67.50	19.23	1.05
89 [19]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	1-1	67.42	20.62	2.52
90 [6]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AAAA	1-2	67.38	19.85	1.79
91 [3]	Dublin	4 - A Public	2-1	67.15	20.90	3.08
92 [7]	Cedartown	7 - AAAA	2-2	66.88	17.41	-0.15
93 [13]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	3-2	66.84	18.55	1.03
94 [31]	Mountain View	8 - AAAAAAA	1-4	66.68	19.65	2.29
95 [14]	Harris County	2 - AAAAA	3-2	66.60	17.64	0.36
96 [15]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	5-0	66.60	16.37	-0.90
97 [20]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	2-2	66.51	17.53	0.34
98 [21]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	2-2	66.15	22.11	5.28
99 [16]	Wayne County	1 - AAAAA	2-4	66.15	18.46	1.64
100 [8]	Stephenson	6 - AAAA	2-0	66.12	17.24	0.44
101 [22]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	3-2	65.46	17.78	1.64
102 [13]	Burke County	4 - AAA	1-2	65.32	21.74	5.75
103 [4]	Metter	3 - A Public	5-0	64.65	16.71	1.38
104 [32]	Denmark	6 - AAAAAAA	1-3	64.22	16.83	1.92
105 [9]	Carver (Columbus)	2 - AAAA	3-0	64.05	21.05	6.32
106 [23]	River Ridge	7 - AAAAAA	4-0	64.01	19.31	4.62
107 [33]	Alpharetta	5 - AAAAAAA	1-2	63.99	16.52	1.84
108 [17]	Woodward Academy	3 - AAAAA	2-3	63.80	18.08	3.60
109 [6]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	4-1	63.72	19.57	5.17
110 [1]	John Milledge Academy	GISA 4 - AAA	4-0	63.52	17.44	3.24
111 [24]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAA	1-3	63.38	16.78	2.72
112 [14]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	2-3	63.36	20.80	6.77
113 [10]	West Laurens	4 - AAAA	2-2	63.15	16.38	2.55
114 [18]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	1-3	62.34	17.42	4.41
115 [25]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	2-3	62.32	17.43	4.43
116 [26]	Riverwood	7 - AAAAAA	3-1	62.28	18.28	5.32
117 [15]	Stephens County	8 - AAA	4-1	62.11	16.28	3.48
118 [11]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	0-3	62.08	17.11	4.36
119 [34]	Woodstock	5 - AAAAAAA	2-3	61.86	18.03	5.49
120 [35]	Lambert	6 - AAAAAAA	4-1	61.84	16.28	3.76
121 [12]	Jenkins	3 - AAAA	1-1	61.62	16.20	3.90
122 [19]	Griffin	2 - AAAAA	2-3	61.61	18.00	5.71
123 [5]	Wesleyan	5 - A Private	4-1	61.48	15.89	3.73
124 [27]	Dalton	5 - AAAAAA	1-3	61.46	17.42	5.27
125 [28]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	3-2	61.37	16.78	4.73
126 [13]	Hardaway	2 - AAAA	3-1	61.30	16.00	4.01
127 [5]	Clinch County	2 - A Public	1-2	61.20	16.79	4.90
128 [20]	Creekside	3 - AAAAA	1-2	61.15	15.36	3.54
129 [7]	Haralson County	5 - AA	5-0	60.86	16.57	5.02
130 [29]	East Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	3-1	60.85	18.17	6.63
131 [6]	Christian Heritage	7 - A Private	4-1	60.75	18.34	6.91
132 [14]	Baldwin	4 - AAAA	1-0	60.27	17.30	6.35
133 [8]	Washington County	3 - AA	3-2	60.23	15.60	4.68
134 [7]	North Cobb Christian	7 - A Private	4-1	60.13	16.64	5.83
135 [15]	Perry	4 - AAAA	1-3	60.13	15.15	4.34
136 [36]	Forsyth Central	6 - AAAAAAA	2-1	60.09	16.01	5.23
137 [30]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAAA	1-3	60.06	15.19	4.45
138 [16]	Howard	4 - AAAA	2-1	59.81	16.68	6.19
139 [16]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAA	3-2	59.55	16.18	5.95
140 [17]	Hart County	8 - AAA	1-3	59.39	17.47	7.40
141 [18]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	4-1	59.22	14.38	4.47
142 [21]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-3	59.19	17.66	7.79
143 [37]	Peachtree Ridge	8 - AAAAAAA	3-0	59.01	16.55	6.86
144 [38]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	5-1	58.99	16.08	6.40
145 [17]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAA	1-3	58.95	16.12	6.49
146 [8]	Savannah Christian	3 - A Private	5-1	58.65	16.45	7.12
147 [22]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	0-1	58.54	13.59	4.37
148 [23]	Northgate	2 - AAAAA	2-2	58.49	16.90	7.73
149 [18]	Northwest Whitfield	7 - AAAA	4-0	58.36	13.76	4.72
150 [9]	Toombs County	2 - AA	4-1	58.35	14.64	5.61
151 [19]	Carver (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	0-4	58.32	16.66	7.66
152 [24]	Eastside	8 - AAAAA	4-1	58.27	16.08	7.13
153 [31]	Central Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAA	1-4	58.14	15.85	7.03
154 [6]	Commerce	8 - A Public	4-1	58.12	17.26	8.46
155 [19]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAA	0-3	58.01	13.02	4.33
156 [20]	Mays	6 - AAAA	2-3	57.93	16.07	7.46
157 [21]	Troup	2 - AAAA	2-3	57.87	16.28	7.72
158 [10]	Cook	1 - AA	3-2	57.86	15.78	7.24
159 [22]	Central (Carrollton)	7 - AAAA	3-1	57.73	15.88	7.47
160 [32]	Sequoyah	7 - AAAAAA	0-4	57.70	15.32	6.93
161 [11]	Dodge County	3 - AA	1-3	57.22	15.77	7.87
162 [12]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	2-3	56.82	13.86	6.36
163 [25]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	3-0	56.74	11.61	4.19
164 [13]	Early County	1 - AA	3-0	56.59	13.54	6.27
165 [20]	Jackson	2 - AAA	2-1	56.57	15.04	7.79
166 [21]	Central (Macon)	2 - AAA	3-1	56.17	13.88	7.02
167 [7]	Pelham	1 - A Public	1-1	56.16	15.66	8.82
168 [14]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	2-2	56.07	13.92	7.17
169 [22]	Liberty County	3 - AAA	2-1	56.02	13.89	7.19
170 [15]	Temple	5 - AA	4-2	55.95	12.92	6.29
171 [26]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	4-1	55.91	15.84	9.24
172 [39]	Etowah	5 - AAAAAAA	0-4	55.90	13.64	7.06
173 [23]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	1-4	55.85	17.42	10.89
174 [23]	North Murray	6 - AAA	2-1	55.83	14.98	8.46
175 [9]	Darlington	7 - A Private	4-1	55.62	13.59	7.30
176 [33]	Pope	6 - AAAAAA	2-2	55.58	13.31	7.05
177 [10]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4 - A Private	4-1	55.36	11.67	5.63
178 [11]	Aquinas	3 - A Private	6-0	55.35	16.11	10.08
179 [16]	Putnam County	4 - AA	5-0	55.22	12.69	6.80
180 [17]	Heard County	5 - AA	4-2	55.08	15.55	9.79
181 [8]	Wilcox County	4 - A Public	4-1	55.06	13.35	7.61
182 [34]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	3-2	55.00	14.83	9.15
183 [40]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	2-4	54.98	18.66	13.00
184 [9]	Macon County	5 - A Public	3-1	54.92	13.08	7.48
185 [12]	Holy Innocents	5 - A Private	2-3	54.90	13.36	7.78
186 [35]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	1-3	54.83	13.17	7.66
187 [24]	New Hampstead	3 - AAAA	2-0	54.51	13.81	8.62
188 [10]	Washington-Wilkes	8 - A Public	4-0	54.50	14.48	9.30
189 [11]	Turner County	2 - A Public	4-1	54.38	14.23	9.18
190 [18]	Pace Academy	6 - AA	2-2	54.04	10.39	5.67
191 [13]	Calvary Day	3 - A Private	4-2	54.00	12.86	8.18
192 [25]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAAA	1-3	53.96	13.27	8.63
193 [24]	Morgan County	4 - AAA	2-3	53.70	11.45	7.07
194 [25]	Douglass	5 - AAA	0-3	53.62	11.51	7.21
195 [14]	Hebron Christian	5 - A Private	2-2	53.56	12.69	8.46
196 [15]	George Walton Academy	8 - A Private	3-0	53.56	12.13	7.89
197 [36]	Rockdale County	3 - AAAAAA †	0-0	53.53	12.74	8.53
198 [26]	Westover	1 - AAAA	0-1	53.31	12.87	8.88
199 [26]	Mary Persons	2 - AAA	2-3	53.28	13.71	9.75
200 [19]	Vidalia	2 - AA	1-2	53.24	11.25	7.33
201 [37]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	3-2	52.97	11.38	7.73
202 [27]	Chapel Hill	6 - AAAAA	3-2	52.76	12.91	9.47
203 [28]	New Manchester	6 - AAAAA	2-3	52.52	12.09	8.89
204 [27]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	5-0	52.50	10.62	7.45
205 [20]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	4-0	52.43	12.03	8.91
206 [29]	Greenbrier	8 - AAAAA	4-1	52.43	12.10	8.98
207 [30]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-2	52.37	12.68	9.62
208 [27]	LaGrange	2 - AAAA	4-1	52.17	14.15	11.31
209 [31]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	2-3	52.05	11.13	8.41
210 [28]	Islands	3 - AAAA	2-0	51.93	12.83	10.21
211 [21]	Bremen	5 - AA	3-2	51.79	13.94	11.47
212 [38]	Wheeler	6 - AAAAAA	2-3	51.43	10.31	8.19
213 [28]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	3-1	51.39	12.21	10.14
214 [29]	Richmond Academy	4 - AAA	4-1	51.37	10.25	8.20
215 [39]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA †	0-0	51.33	10.62	8.61
216 [22]	Pepperell	7 - AA	2-3	51.07	12.09	10.34
217 [40]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	2-2	51.06	13.72	11.97
218 [12]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A Public	3-2	51.04	12.17	10.45
219 [29]	Riverdale	5 - AAAA	2-2	51.01	11.40	9.71
220 [30]	Heritage (Ringgold)	7 - AAAA	3-2	50.82	10.14	8.64
221 [23]	Fannin County	7 - AA	4-0	50.77	12.27	10.83
222 [24]	Northeast	3 - AA	2-1	50.43	11.26	10.14
223 [41]	Paulding County	5 - AAAAAA	2-2	50.34	11.07	10.05
224 [42]	North Atlanta	4 - AAAAAA	2-1	50.31	10.38	9.39
225 [13]	Taylor County	5 - A Public	4-0	49.80	12.28	11.80
226 [25]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	2-3	49.72	9.60	9.19
227 [30]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	5-0	49.56	10.09	9.85
228 [32]	Decatur	5 - AAAAA	2-0	49.39	9.85	9.77
229 [16]	Whitefield Academy	2 - A Private	3-2	49.34	10.50	10.48
230 [43]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	0-3	49.31	10.62	10.62
231 [44]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	1-3	49.20	10.84	10.96
232 [33]	M.L. King	5 - AAAAA	0-2	49.16	9.78	9.95
233 [26]	Union County	8 - AA	2-2	48.96	11.25	11.61
234 [34]	Whitewater	2 - AAAAA	1-3	48.92	9.84	10.24
235 [27]	Worth County	1 - AA	3-2	48.91	11.15	11.56
236 [28]	Columbia	6 - AA	1-0	48.79	10.66	11.19
237 [14]	Chattahoochee County	5 - A Public	4-0	48.67	8.34	9.00
238 [35]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-4	48.59	11.05	11.77
239 [36]	Jackson County	8 - AAAAA	2-3	48.04	9.07	10.35
240 [31]	Luella	5 - AAAA	4-1	47.99	8.40	9.73
241 [37]	Banneker	3 - AAAAA	0-3	47.81	9.11	10.62
242 [15]	Mitchell County	1 - A Public	1-3	47.81	12.78	14.30
243 [16]	Marion County	5 - A Public	2-3	47.61	9.18	10.89
244 [41]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	2-4	47.17	8.58	10.73
245 [31]	North Hall	7 - AAA	2-3	47.00	10.94	13.26
246 [45]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	2-3	46.64	6.61	9.29
247 [17]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A Public	2-2	46.52	9.69	12.49
248 [46]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAAA	0-4	46.51	9.63	12.44
249 [38]	Northside (Columbus)	2 - AAAAA	3-1	46.30	11.01	14.03
250 [29]	Lamar County	3 - AA	2-3	46.28	10.42	13.46
251 [18]	Gordon Lee	6 - A Public	5-0	46.17	11.65	14.79
252 [32]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	2-2	46.14	10.61	13.79
253 [39]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	0-4	46.13	6.55	9.74
254 [17]	Stratford Academy	1 - A Private	2-1	45.99	8.02	11.36
255 [19]	Charlton County	2 - A Public	3-2	45.96	9.10	12.46
256 [40]	Mundy's Mill	3 - AAAAA	1-3	45.77	11.22	14.77
257 [41]	Tri-Cities	3 - AAAAA	3-0	45.76	9.46	13.02
258 [42]	Northview	5 - AAAAA	1-3	45.69	9.88	13.51
259 [47]	Lassiter	6 - AAAAAA	1-4	45.65	8.37	12.04
260 [48]	Kennesaw Mountain	6 - AAAAAA	0-4	45.49	9.46	13.29
261 [43]	Villa Rica	6 - AAAAA	2-3	45.33	9.16	13.15
262 [42]	Duluth	7 - AAAAAAA	2-2	45.30	9.92	13.93
263 [33]	Americus-Sumter	2 - AAA	0-4	45.27	7.42	11.47
264 [32]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	1-4	45.25	7.46	11.53
265 [33]	Arabia Mountain	6 - AAAA	0-2	45.19	7.17	11.30
266 [34]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	3-2	45.18	10.30	14.43
267 [49]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	1-2	45.05	7.95	12.22
268 [20]	Schley County	5 - A Public	3-2	45.02	7.47	11.76
269 [44]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	2-3	45.01	7.55	11.86
270 [18]	Mount de Sales	1 - A Private	2-2	45.00	8.37	12.69
271 [34]	Spalding	4 - AAAA	0-4	44.87	7.62	12.06
272 [45]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	0-1	44.67	8.06	12.71
273 [46]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	0-5	44.66	9.38	14.04
274 [35]	Monroe	1 - AAAA	0-1	44.32	8.21	13.21
275 [35]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	1-1	43.97	7.35	12.70
276 [21]	Dooly County	4 - A Public	0-1	43.96	8.72	14.08
277 [19]	First Presbyterian	1 - A Private	2-2	43.93	8.42	13.82
278 [43]	Discovery	7 - AAAAAAA	2-3	43.75	6.99	12.56
279 [36]	Fayette County	5 - AAAA	3-1	43.62	5.55	11.25
280 [20]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A Private	2-3	43.54	9.82	15.60
281 [2]	Tiftarea Academy	GISA 3 - AAA	3-1	43.52	9.31	15.11
282 [50]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-4	43.12	8.68	14.89
283 [30]	Chattooga	7 - AA	1-3	43.10	9.50	15.71
284 [51]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	1-4	43.10	6.86	13.08
285 [21]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A Private	2-3	43.02	10.34	16.64
286 [22]	Lanier County	2 - A Public	3-0	42.78	7.71	14.25
287 [37]	East Hall	8 - AAAA	3-1	42.64	10.93	17.61
288 [23]	Atkinson County	2 - A Public	3-2	42.53	7.09	13.87
289 [3]	Bulloch Academy	GISA 2 - AAA	2-1	42.50	8.04	14.86
290 [31]	Washington	6 - AA	2-2	42.43	8.35	15.24
291 [38]	Pickens	7 - AAAA	2-3	42.39	5.41	12.34
292 [24]	Lincoln County	8 - A Public	3-2	42.37	6.85	13.79
293 [25]	Screven County	3 - A Public	2-2	42.36	7.33	14.28
294 [36]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	3-2	42.35	6.68	13.65
295 [26]	Johnson County	4 - A Public	3-1	42.13	5.39	12.58
296 [32]	Elbert County	8 - AA	1-4	42.10	7.06	14.27
297 [37]	Harlem	4 - AAA	1-4	41.97	9.02	16.37
298 [47]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	3-0	41.94	6.12	13.51
299 [27]	Bowdon	6 - A Public	2-3	41.91	5.61	13.02
300 [48]	Drew	3 - AAAAA	1-3	41.88	4.23	11.67
301 [4]	Frederica Academy	GISA 2 - AAA	3-2	41.85	6.08	13.55
302 [44]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAAA	0-2	41.55	6.78	14.55
303 [33]	Model	7 - AA	2-2	41.46	4.37	12.23
304 [49]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	0-4	41.32	4.76	12.76
305 [52]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	0-5	41.25	8.90	16.96
306 [1]	Gatewood School	GISA 1 - AA	3-1	40.98	5.87	14.21
307 [28]	Claxton	3 - A Public	2-3	40.97	6.67	15.02
308 [22]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A Private	1-3	40.95	7.71	16.08
309 [34]	Bacon County	2 - AA	4-1	40.93	7.20	15.59
310 [38]	Hephzibah	4 - AAA	1-1	40.34	6.79	15.77
311 [39]	Salem	5 - AAA †	0-0	40.19	6.82	15.95
312 [29]	Manchester	5 - A Public	1-4	40.18	6.60	15.74
313 [23]	Pacelli	4 - A Private	4-0	39.89	5.23	14.66
314 [30]	Montgomery County	4 - A Public	3-1	39.73	7.39	16.98
315 [31]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - A Public	1-2	39.57	7.38	17.13
316 [32]	Wheeler County	4 - A Public	4-0	39.55	8.01	17.78
317 [40]	Beach	3 - AAA	1-1	39.30	7.03	17.05
318 [41]	Pike County	2 - AAA	0-3	39.03	5.54	15.83
319 [24]	Tattnall Square	1 - A Private	3-2	39.00	4.61	14.92
320 [35]	Southwest	3 - AA	1-2	38.88	5.97	16.41
321 [39]	Ridgeland	7 - AAAA	0-5	38.55	6.24	17.01
322 [36]	Monticello	3 - AA	2-3	38.51	5.74	16.55
323 [2]	Brentwood School	GISA 1 - AA	3-1	38.34	6.16	17.14
324 [25]	Strong Rock Christian	1 - A Private	3-2	38.17	4.92	16.07
325 [50]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAA	0-5	38.15	6.36	17.52
326 [33]	Warren County	7 - A Public	4-1	38.12	3.78	14.98
327 [40]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-1	38.09	4.12	15.35
328 [26]	Brookstone	4 - A Private	2-3	37.86	5.94	17.41
329 [42]	LaFayette	6 - AAA	2-3	37.68	7.48	19.12
330 [53]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	1-4	37.35	3.14	15.10
331 [34]	Hancock Central	7 - A Public	2-0	37.29	4.05	16.07
332 [27]	Athens Christian	8 - A Private	3-2	37.13	4.02	16.20
333 [41]	Shaw	2 - AAAA	0-4	37.09	3.99	16.22
334 [37]	Coosa	7 - AA	3-1	36.84	4.23	16.71
335 [42]	Miller Grove	6 - AAAA	1-1	36.78	1.26	13.80
336 [43]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5 - AAAA	0-4	36.43	3.40	16.28
337 [35]	Telfair County	4 - A Public	3-3	36.42	3.97	16.87
338 [36]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A Public	5-0	36.15	4.03	17.20
339 [5]	Valwood School	GISA 3 - AAA	2-2	36.11	5.46	18.68
340 [43]	Gilmer	7 - AAA	2-2	35.73	2.31	15.90
341 [54]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	0-4	35.32	5.52	19.52
342 [44]	West Hall	7 - AAA	2-3	35.07	1.98	16.23
343 [45]	Redan	5 - AAA	2-0	34.70	4.53	19.14
344 [6]	Pinewood Christian	GISA 2 - AAA	1-1	34.62	4.65	19.36
345 [44]	Columbus	2 - AAAA	1-4	34.53	6.93	21.71
346 [51]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAAAA	1-1	34.28	3.02	18.05
347 [37]	Terrell County	1 - A Public	2-1	34.28	1.91	16.95
348 [28]	Mount Paran Christian	7 - A Private	0-5	34.27	-0.22	14.84
349 [7]	Creekside Christian	GISA 4 - AAA	3-0	33.63	4.48	20.17
350 [38]	Laney	4 - AA	1-3	33.43	-0.45	15.45
351 [45]	Hampton	5 - AAAA	1-4	33.15	2.91	19.08
352 [46]	McDonough	5 - AAAA	1-4	33.08	2.13	18.37
353 [39]	Therrell	6 - AA	1-3	32.90	1.89	18.32
354 [52]	McIntosh	2 - AAAAA	0-5	32.79	4.26	20.79
355 [38]	Hawkinsville	4 - A Public	2-3	32.21	1.97	19.08
356 [40]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	2-3	32.21	-0.12	16.99
357 [3]	Southwest Georgia Academy	GISA 2 - AA	4-1	32.16	5.93	23.09
358 [39]	Trion	6 - A Public	1-3	32.08	4.77	22.01
359 [29]	Lakeview Academy	6 - A Private	2-2	31.92	1.93	19.33
360 [47]	Chestatee	8 - AAAA	0-4	31.77	4.18	21.73
361 [48]	Rutland	4 - AAAA	1-3	31.17	3.08	21.24
362 [46]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-2	31.02	1.21	19.51
363 [30]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A Private	2-1	30.99	-0.27	18.06
364 [41]	East Laurens	2 - AA	2-1	30.47	0.87	19.72
365 [47]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	1-3	30.43	4.49	23.39
366 [42]	Berrien	1 - AA	2-3	30.26	3.02	22.08
367 [53]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	0-5	30.16	0.94	20.10
368 [43]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	1-1	30.01	1.97	21.28
369 [31]	Deerfield-Windsor	1 - A Private	2-3	29.94	0.54	19.92
370 [40]	Social Circle	8 - A Public	2-3	29.77	3.15	22.70
371 [4]	Terrell Academy	GISA 2 - AA	4-1	29.54	-0.96	18.82
372 [48]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	0-4	29.13	-1.10	19.09
373 [8]	Westfield School	GISA 4 - AAA	3-0	28.97	1.23	21.58
374 [32]	St. Francis	6 - A Private	1-4	27.44	1.23	23.11
375 [49]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	1-1	27.21	-0.01	22.09
376 [44]	Banks County	8 - AA	1-5	26.90	-0.93	21.49
377 [9]	Brookwood School	GISA 3 - AAA	2-2	26.57	-0.02	22.74
378 [55]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	1-3	26.12	0.21	23.41
379 [49]	Jordan	2 - AAAA	2-2	26.09	-0.59	22.64
380 [41]	Miller County	1 - A Public	1-4	26.01	0.07	23.38
381 [45]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	1-4	25.90	-2.61	20.80
382 [56]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	4 - AAAAAA †	0-2	25.66	-1.12	22.54
383 [5]	Thomas Jefferson	GISA 4 - AA	5-1	25.13	-1.86	22.33
384 [45]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	0-4	25.01	0.66	24.97
385 [50]	Murray County	6 - AAA	1-4	24.85	0.25	24.72
386 [42]	Jenkins County	3 - A Public	0-5	24.81	-3.73	20.78
387 [51]	Tattnall County	1 - AAA	0-4	24.47	-1.31	23.54
388 [43]	Greenville	5 - A Public	1-4	24.44	1.04	25.91
389 [54]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA †	1-0	24.14	-1.49	23.69
390 [52]	Savannah	3 - AAA	0-2	24.00	-2.66	22.67
391 [53]	Brantley County	1 - AAA	0-6	23.87	-2.89	22.56
392 [46]	Oglethorpe County	4 - AA	1-3	23.76	-4.12	21.44
393 [6]	Piedmont Academy	GISA 1 - AA	4-1	23.66	-0.57	25.09
394 [47]	Dade County	7 - AA	1-4	23.58	3.15	28.88
395 [48]	Butler	4 - AA	2-2	23.12	-4.16	22.04
396 [33]	Heritage School	4 - A Private	0-5	22.28	-3.75	23.29
397 [34]	Landmark Christian	2 - A Private	0-6	22.08	-2.95	24.29
398 [44]	Treutlen	4 - A Public	1-4	21.95	-3.63	23.74
399 [35]	Loganville Christian	8 - A Private	1-3	21.81	-3.74	23.76
400 [10]	Southland Academy	GISA 3 - AAA	0-4	21.32	-5.91	22.09
401 [45]	Wilkinson County	7 - A Public	1-3	21.29	-4.83	23.20
402 [49]	Towers	6 - AA	0-0	21.29	-4.30	23.73
403 [46]	Seminole County	1 - A Public	1-3	20.76	-4.51	24.05
404 [50]	Josey	4 - AA	1-2	20.27	-2.89	26.16
405 [47]	Towns County	8 - A Public	2-3	19.38	-4.46	25.49
406 [50]	North Clayton	5 - AAAA	0-5	19.23	-8.28	21.81
407 [55]	Forest Park	3 - AAAAA	0-4	17.65	-5.45	26.21
408 [51]	Spencer	2 - AAAA	0-6	17.58	-7.84	23.90
409 [7]	Briarwood Academy	GISA 4 - AA	2-2	16.84	-3.73	28.75
410 [54]	Long County	1 - AAA	0-6	16.82	-5.64	26.86
411 [36]	Providence Christian	5 - A Private	0-4	16.76	-4.90	27.66
412 [56]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	0-4	16.71	-3.08	29.53
413 [8]	Edmund Burke Academy	GISA 4 - AA	1-3	16.24	-5.22	27.86
414 [48]	Armuchee	6 - A Public	2-2	16.21	-11.04	22.07
415 [52]	Southeast Whitfield	7 - AAAA	1-5	16.20	-3.81	29.31
416 [49]	Greene County	8 - A Public	0-4	15.85	-4.23	29.24
417 [53]	Druid Hills	6 - AAAA	0-2	14.61	-6.31	28.40
418 [55]	Cross Creek	4 - AAA	0-5	13.62	-11.17	24.53
419 [50]	Portal	3 - A Public	0-5	13.53	-5.87	29.92
420 [37]	Walker	7 - A Private	0-5	13.29	-9.62	26.41
421 [57]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	0-5	12.36	-6.04	30.92
422 [51]	Calhoun County	1 - A Public	0-0	12.26	-9.00	28.06
423 [52]	Georgia Military College	7 - A Public	2-3	12.08	-8.61	28.63
424 [54]	Kendrick	2 - AAAA	0-4	11.95	-6.31	31.05
425 [11]	Bethlehem Christian Academy	GISA 4 - AAA	1-3	11.95	-6.79	30.58
426 [53]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A Public	0-4	11.59	-6.37	31.36
427 [9]	Memorial Day	GISA 2 - AA	2-2	11.34	-8.49	29.49
428 [51]	McNair	6 - AA	0-2	11.20	-8.69	29.43
429 [52]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	0-4	10.56	-7.61	31.16
430 [56]	Groves	3 - AAA	0-2	8.56	-10.09	30.67
431 [54]	ACE Charter	7 - A Public	1-4	7.07	-7.35	34.91
432 [55]	Bryan County	3 - A Public	0-4	6.21	-8.66	34.45
433 [56]	Glascock County	7 - A Public †	2-4	5.76	-11.61	31.95
434 [57]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	0-4	5.47	-10.54	33.31
435 [57]	Crawford County	7 - A Public	0-5	5.32	-7.64	36.36
436 [58]	Baconton Charter	1 - A Public †	1-3	3.96	-12.41	32.95
437 [12]	Trinity Christian (Dublin)	GISA 2 - AAA	0-4	3.02	-11.21	35.09
438 [10]	Robert Toombs Academy	GISA 2 - AA	0-3	2.65	-10.38	36.29
439 [13]	St. Andrew's School	GISA 2 - AAA	0-2-1	1.92	-18.81	28.58
440 [59]	Central (Talbotton)	5 - A Public	0-4	-5.14	-15.99	38.47
441 [11]	Augusta Prep	GISA 4 - AA	3-2	-6.01	-14.47	40.86
442 [60]	Pataula Charter	1 - A Public †	2-4	-7.34	-23.74	32.92
443 [58]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA †	1-1	-12.28	-19.02	42.58
444 [61]	GSIC	7 - A Public †	0-3	-39.17	-34.92	53.57

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating,” which is the mode of the Extreme Value Type I Distribution (i.e., the Gumbel minimum distribution) applied to the ratings. This calculation favors regions with large numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Teams	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	4	98.74	89.42
2	1 - AAAAAA	4	91.06	85.60
3	4 - AAAAAAA	5	89.06	82.85
4	1 - AAAAA	5	87.53	82.79
5	8 - AAAAAAA	5	80.74	75.42
6	3 - AAAAAAA	6	78.24	74.85
7	5 - AAAAAAA	6	77.40	71.74
8	7 - AAAAA	6	75.26	66.70
9	2 - AAAAAAA	5	74.72	68.53
10	8 - AAAAAA	7	72.34	66.18
11	6 - AAAAAAA	7	72.04	68.25
12	5 - AAAAAA	8	71.07	66.24
13	5 - AAA	7	69.79	64.32
14	7 - AAAAAAA	7	68.28	55.86
15	4 - AAAAAA	6	67.59	64.69
16	3 - AAAA	4	66.48	61.12
17	8 - AAA	6	66.41	58.21
18	4 - AAAAA	8	66.22	61.25
19	2 - AAAAAA	7	65.43	58.94
20	2 - AAA	8	65.27	58.28
21	8 - AAAA	7	64.26	55.43
22	1 - AA	6	63.69	56.53
23	5 - AA	5	63.44	59.28
24	7 - AAAAAA	8	63.30	58.77
25	6 - AAAA	7	63.02	52.96
26	2 - AAAAA	7	61.58	55.31
27	2 - A Public	7	61.24	55.39
28	1 - AAAA	6	61.09	55.15
29	6 - AAAAAA	9	61.01	52.81
30	8 - A Private	5	60.20	50.70
31	4 - AAAA	7	58.05	53.34
32	2 - A Private	3	56.62	47.08
33	4 - AAA	7	55.87	47.80
34	1 - AAA	5	55.80	42.58
35	3 - AA	7	55.45	50.75
36	3 - A Private	4	55.39	52.24
37	8 - AA	4	54.66	46.76
38	7 - AAAA	7	54.52	47.28
39	3 - AAAAA	8	53.86	47.57
40	8 - AAAAA	8	53.46	46.64
41	7 - A Private	5	53.37	44.81
42	2 - AA	6	53.16	48.71
43	5 - A Private	5	52.94	45.94
44	7 - AAA	7	52.63	43.41
45	6 - AAA	9	50.19	43.29
46	5 - AAAAA	7	50.09	50.14
47	3 - AAAAAA	4	49.80	43.67
48	6 - A Private	5	49.65	40.91
49	2 - AAAA	9	49.42	40.29
50	4 - A Public	9	48.54	42.02
51	6 - AA	9	48.00	39.76
52	6 - AAAAA	7	46.59	41.06
53	5 - A Public	8	45.85	38.19
54	3 - A Public	8	45.30	36.26
55	8 - A Public	6	44.85	36.66
56	4 - A Private	4	44.82	38.84
57	GISA 4 - AAA	4	44.25	34.51
58	7 - AA	7	44.13	38.96
59	1 - A Private	6	42.90	40.34
60	5 - AAAA	7	42.68	37.79
61	3 - AAA	7	41.50	34.49
62	6 - A Public	6	40.06	35.35
63	4 - AA	8	39.90	31.83
64	GISA 1 - AA	3	37.93	34.33
65	GISA 3 - AAA	4	36.35	31.88
66	GISA 2 - AAA	5	33.72	24.78
67	1 - A Public	7	32.95	29.84
68	GISA 2 - AA	4	25.47	18.92
69	7 - A Public	6	21.43	20.20
70	GISA 4 - AA	4	18.36	13.05

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Favorite	Underdog	Score	Diff	Prob	Likelihood
10/09	Clinch County	Charlton County	14 - 18	17.04	87.6%	0.264
09/18	Lovejoy	Eagle's Landing	12 - 6	33.51	97.9%	0.271
10/02	Jenkins	Islands	8 - 26	9.69	75.2%	0.281
09/12	Lovejoy	Carver (Atlanta)	27 - 26	19.53	90.4%	0.314
10/02	Jefferson County	Butler	22 - 14	34.74	98.2%	0.315
09/25	North Gwinnett	Lovejoy	7 - 19	9.16	74.1%	0.320
09/11	Dublin	Dodge County	20 - 33	8.14	71.8%	0.335
09/25	Fitzgerald	Jefferson County	14 - 12	19.54	90.4%	0.335
09/25	Cartersville	Creekside	21 - 18	18.90	89.7%	0.365
09/18	Irwin County	Cook	20 - 21	13.15	81.9%	0.369
10/02	North Forsyth	Denmark	10 - 20	7.27	69.7%	0.370
09/25	Mount Zion (Carroll)	Towns County	21 - 20	14.98	84.8%	0.377
09/18	Richmond Hill	Wayne County	24 - 21	17.89	88.6%	0.378
09/25	Peachtree Ridge	Centennial	35 - 32	17.68	88.4%	0.381
10/09	Greenbrier	Walnut Grove	7 - 21	5.63	65.6%	0.383

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Prob
107.61	11/06	Lowndes	Colquitt County	-	4.21	61.8%
101.08	09/25	Lowndes	Lee County	38 - 13	13.30	82.1%
97.16	10/09	Lowndes	Valdosta	33 - 21	15.31	85.3%
95.51	09/25	Colquitt County	Valdosta	24 - 10	12.89	81.4%
95.33	11/13	Lee County	Valdosta	-	7.37	70.0%
95.25	10/09	Lee County	Warner Robins	27 - 7	7.47	70.2%
93.86	09/04	Valdosta	Warner Robins	28 - 25	1.88	55.4%
93.85	11/06	Grayson	Brookwood	-	8.10	71.7%
91.45	10/30	Warner Robins	Ware County	-	5.21	64.5%
89.25	09/25	Grayson	Archer	26 - 7	12.80	81.3%
88.46	09/04	Norcross	Hillgrove	30 - 21	9.25	74.3%
88.35	09/05	Lowndes	Archer	35 - 21	23.36	93.6%
87.80	10/23	Norcross	Mill Creek	-	11.75	79.4%
87.57	10/09	Grayson	Mill Creek	20 - 13	16.07	86.3%
87.48	11/20	Norcross	Archer	-	12.05	80.0%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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