High schools

Maxwell Week 3 summary

Brookwood head coach Philip Jones (middle) watches his player react to a touchdown in the second half of game Friday, Sept. 18, 2020, against Walton. (Daniel Varnado/Special to the AJC)

By Loren Maxwell

Sept 21, 2020

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the 440 teams of the Georgia High School Association and the Georgia Independent School Association throughout the 2020 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

AJC football rankings: Callaway is new No. 1 in 2A

This offseason, the Maxwell ratings underwent its most significant overall in its 35-year history. The ratings are not only more accurate, but also now offer offense and defense ratings for each team.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season’s results in combination with each team’s historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team’s historical performance diminishes as the team’s season progresses.

The ratings are scaled so that there is a 50% chance in any given year of at least one team eclipsing a rating of 100.00.

A hypothetical score at a neutral location can be calculated between two teams by adding their offensive and defensive ratings. To account for home advantage, adjust the hypothetical scores in favor of the home team by half of the home advantage.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 392 of 435 total games including 0 tie(s) (90.32%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game scores within 10.01 points and all game margins within 13.53 points.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.02

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Grayson	3-0	106.55	1	Valdosta	2-0	92.99
2	North Gwinnett	3-0	106.02	2	Lee County	2-0	89.67
3	Colquitt County	1-0	101.68	3	Buford	1-1	86.34
4	Lowndes	3-0	100.28	4	Allatoona	2-0	81.31
5	McEachern	1-2	92.15	5	Rome	1-1	80.50
6	Parkview	1-1	91.41	6	Dacula	0-2	80.43
7	Mill Creek	1-0	91.01	7	Northside (Warner Robins)	2-1	80.22
8	Milton	1-0	89.13	8	Carrollton	0-1	79.80
9	North Cobb	3-0	88.32	9	Richmond Hill	2-1	77.35
10	Collins Hill	2-1	86.56	10	Lanier	2-0	76.96
11	Norcross	2-0	85.51	11	Douglas County	3-0	76.56
12	Marietta	1-1	84.80	12	Westlake	1-0	76.50
13	Archer	0-2	83.73	13	Houston County	2-1	74.70
14	Hillgrove	0-1	82.17	14	Kell	1-1	73.70
15	Brookwood	2-0	81.18	15	Creekview	2-0	72.04

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Blessed Trinity	1-0	93.65	1	Marist	2-0	88.78
2	Cartersville	3-0	92.64	2	Jefferson	2-0	81.20
3	Warner Robins	1-1	91.24	3	Benedictine	3-0	77.59
4	Veterans	3-0	86.27	4	Bainbridge	0-2	73.27
5	Ware County	2-0	81.56	5	Hapeville Charter	0-1	72.52
6	Calhoun	2-1	77.82	6	Flowery Branch	2-1	71.14
7	Coffee	2-1	77.74	7	Stephenson	0-0	71.06
8	Jones County	0-3	76.62	8	Jenkins	0-0	69.16
9	Woodward Academy	0-2	75.32	9	Mays	2-1	68.31
10	Dutchtown	1-2	72.43	10	Carver (Columbus)	1-0	67.87
11	St. Pius X	1-0	71.64	11	West Laurens	0-2	67.24
12	Wayne County	1-2	71.06	12	Troup	0-2	67.22
13	Starr's Mill	2-1	70.26	13	Cedartown	0-2	66.96
14	Clarke Central	1-1	70.20	14	Cairo	0-3	66.63
15	Harris County	3-0	69.60	15	Baldwin	0-0	64.02

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Cedar Grove	0-0	88.67	1	Fitzgerald	3-0	76.04
2	Peach County	1-1	80.66	2	Callaway	2-0	75.77
3	Oconee County	3-0	79.99	3	Thomasville	2-1	74.07
4	Crisp County	2-0	78.95	4	Rabun County	2-1	74.01
5	Greater Atlanta Christian	2-0	78.38	5	Lovett	1-1	68.08
6	Pierce County	3-0	76.58	6	Dodge County	1-1	65.74
7	Sandy Creek	1-1	72.95	7	Pace Academy	1-0	65.17
8	Westminster (Atlanta)	0-0	72.21	8	Heard County	3-0	63.53
9	Rockmart	1-1	71.06	9	Swainsboro	2-1	62.79
10	White County	3-0	70.49	10	Washington County	0-2	62.33
11	Thomson	3-0	70.30	11	Bleckley County	2-1	61.32
12	Burke County	0-1	70.10	12	Jefferson County	0-1	60.01
13	Mary Persons	2-0	69.99	13	Haralson County	3-0	59.96
14	Appling County	1-0	64.45	14	Toombs County	2-0	59.33
15	Liberty County	0-0	63.55	15	Bremen	2-1	58.38

A Public				A Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Brooks County	2-0	76.82	1	Eagle's Landing Christian	2-1	83.29
2	Irwin County	0-2	71.78	2	Athens Academy	2-0	73.99
3	Clinch County	1-1	71.40	3	Wesleyan	3-0	68.95
4	Dublin	0-1	71.08	4	Prince Avenue Christian	2-1	68.95
5	Commerce	2-1	60.45	5	Fellowship Christian	2-0	63.58
6	Metter	2-0	60.10	6	Savannah Christian	3-0	63.32
7	Marion County	1-1	59.86	7	Holy Innocents	0-2	61.97
8	Pelham	1-1	59.39	8	Darlington	2-0	59.61
9	Mitchell County	0-2	55.46	9	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	2-1	58.99
10	Emanuel County Institute	1-1	54.29	10	Hebron Christian	1-1	57.98
11	Wilcox County	1-1	53.75	11	North Cobb Christian	3-0	57.48
12	Turner County	1-1	53.26	12	Calvary Day	2-1	56.82
13	Manchester	0-2	53.11	13	Christian Heritage	2-1	56.40
14	Schley County	2-0	52.48	14	George Walton Academy	2-0	53.34
15	Macon County	1-0	51.87	15	Aquinas	3-0	52.22

GISA AAA				GISA AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	John Milledge Academy	1-0	58.02	1	Gatewood School	2-0	44.94
2	Bulloch Academy	2-1	46.12	2	Brentwood School	1-1	35.46
3	Frederica Academy	1-1	42.16	3	Thomas Jefferson	3-0	33.56
4	Tiftarea Academy	1-1	40.79	4	Terrell Academy	2-0	29.24
5	Valwood School	1-2	40.77	5	Southwest Georgia Academy	1-1	27.51

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Offense	Defense
1 [1]	Grayson	4 - AAAAAAA	3-0	106.55	38.77	-14.95
2 [2]	North Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	3-0	106.02	35.87	-17.31
3 [3]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	1-0	101.68	35.62	-13.23
4 [4]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	3-0	100.28	36.74	-10.71
5 [1]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAAA	1-0	93.65	31.47	-9.34
6 [1]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	2-0	92.99	33.42	-6.74
7 [2]	Cartersville	7 - AAAAA	3-0	92.64	30.85	-8.96
8 [5]	McEachern	2 - AAAAAAA	1-2	92.15	33.24	-6.08
9 [6]	Parkview	4 - AAAAAAA	1-1	91.41	30.76	-7.82
10 [3]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	1-1	91.24	30.87	-7.54
11 [7]	Mill Creek	8 - AAAAAAA	1-0	91.01	29.18	-9.00
12 [2]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	2-0	89.67	30.21	-6.63
13 [8]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	1-0	89.13	27.61	-8.69
14 [1]	Marist	6 - AAAA	2-0	88.78	27.23	-8.72
15 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	0-0	88.67	28.18	-7.66
16 [9]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	3-0	88.32	29.78	-5.71
17 [10]	Collins Hill	8 - AAAAAAA	2-1	86.56	27.36	-6.38
18 [3]	Buford	8 - AAAAAA	1-1	86.34	27.72	-5.79
19 [4]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	3-0	86.27	25.68	-7.76
20 [11]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	2-0	85.51	26.79	-5.89
21 [12]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	1-1	84.80	28.54	-3.43
22 [13]	Archer	7 - AAAAAAA	0-2	83.73	26.78	-4.12
23 [1]	Eagle's Landing Christian	2 - A Private	2-1	83.29	26.21	-4.25
24 [14]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	0-1	82.17	26.40	-2.94
25 [5]	Ware County	1 - AAAAA	2-0	81.56	26.00	-2.73
26 [4]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	2-0	81.31	23.44	-5.04
27 [2]	Jefferson	8 - AAAA	2-0	81.20	24.96	-3.41
28 [15]	Brookwood	4 - AAAAAAA	2-0	81.18	28.57	0.23
29 [2]	Peach County	2 - AAA	1-1	80.66	25.21	-2.62
30 [5]	Rome	5 - AAAAAA	1-1	80.50	25.06	-2.61
31 [16]	Roswell	5 - AAAAAAA	1-0	80.48	25.09	-2.56
32 [6]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	0-2	80.43	24.33	-3.27
33 [7]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	2-1	80.22	21.97	-5.42
34 [3]	Oconee County	8 - AAA	3-0	79.99	22.72	-4.44
35 [8]	Carrollton	5 - AAAAAA	0-1	79.80	26.10	-0.87
36 [17]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	0-1	79.34	22.94	-3.56
37 [4]	Crisp County	2 - AAA	2-0	78.95	21.25	-4.87
38 [18]	Cherokee	5 - AAAAAAA	3-0	78.87	23.50	-2.54
39 [5]	Greater Atlanta Christian	5 - AAA	2-0	78.38	22.40	-3.14
40 [19]	South Gwinnett	4 - AAAAAAA	3-0	78.31	21.29	-4.19
41 [6]	Calhoun	7 - AAAAA	2-1	77.82	21.72	-3.26
42 [20]	Walton	3 - AAAAAAA	2-1	77.80	24.46	-0.51
43 [7]	Coffee	1 - AAAAA	2-1	77.74	23.01	-1.90
44 [3]	Benedictine	3 - AAAA	3-0	77.59	25.25	0.49
45 [9]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	2-1	77.35	24.34	-0.18
46 [21]	West Forsyth	6 - AAAAAAA	1-1	77.32	21.98	-2.50
47 [22]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	2-1	77.18	22.96	-1.39
48 [10]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	2-0	76.96	22.00	-2.13
49 [1]	Brooks County	2 - A Public	2-0	76.82	23.28	-0.71
50 [8]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	0-3	76.62	24.35	0.57
51 [6]	Pierce County	1 - AAA	3-0	76.58	22.89	-0.85
52 [11]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	3-0	76.56	21.43	-2.29
53 [12]	Westlake	4 - AAAAAA	1-0	76.50	23.32	-0.35
54 [1]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	3-0	76.04	22.75	-0.46
55 [2]	Callaway	5 - AA	2-0	75.77	23.29	0.35
56 [9]	Woodward Academy	3 - AAAAA	0-2	75.32	22.48	-0.01
57 [23]	Newton	4 - AAAAAAA	2-0	75.26	21.19	-1.24
58 [24]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	2-0	74.78	21.12	-0.83
59 [25]	North Forsyth	6 - AAAAAAA	3-0	74.72	21.32	-0.57
60 [13]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	2-1	74.70	20.08	-1.79
61 [3]	Thomasville	1 - AA	2-1	74.07	21.31	0.07
62 [4]	Rabun County	8 - AA	2-1	74.01	22.60	1.42
63 [2]	Athens Academy	8 - A Private	2-0	73.99	19.28	-1.88
64 [26]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	2-1	73.91	22.27	1.19
65 [14]	Kell	6 - AAAAAA	1-1	73.70	22.33	1.46
66 [27]	South Forsyth	6 - AAAAAAA	1-0	73.63	23.01	2.21
67 [28]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	1-1	73.57	23.54	2.80
68 [4]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAA	0-2	73.27	20.86	0.43
69 [7]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAA	1-1	72.95	21.60	1.48
70 [29]	Mountain View	8 - AAAAAAA	1-2	72.64	21.02	1.21
71 [5]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AAAA	0-1	72.52	21.00	1.31
72 [10]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	1-2	72.43	17.98	-1.62
73 [8]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	0-0	72.21	19.69	0.31
74 [15]	Creekview	7 - AAAAAA	2-0	72.04	19.19	-0.02
75 [2]	Irwin County	2 - A Public	0-2	71.78	18.86	-0.09
76 [11]	St. Pius X	5 - AAAAA	1-0	71.64	20.26	1.45
77 [3]	Clinch County	2 - A Public	1-1	71.40	20.74	2.18
78 [30]	Harrison	3 - AAAAAAA	0-3	71.30	19.17	0.70
79 [6]	Flowery Branch	8 - AAAA	2-1	71.14	21.67	3.36
80 [4]	Dublin	4 - A Public	0-1	71.08	21.12	2.87
81 [9]	Rockmart	6 - AAA	1-1	71.06	20.70	2.47
82 [12]	Wayne County	1 - AAAAA	1-2	71.06	18.58	0.35
83 [7]	Stephenson	6 - AAAA	0-0	71.06	19.06	0.84
84 [16]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	2-1	70.51	21.42	3.74
85 [10]	White County	7 - AAA	3-0	70.49	22.29	4.63
86 [17]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	2-1	70.44	19.42	1.82
87 [11]	Thomson	4 - AAA	3-0	70.30	19.44	1.97
88 [18]	Dalton	5 - AAAAAA	1-1	70.29	20.78	3.32
89 [13]	Starr's Mill	2 - AAAAA	2-1	70.26	19.70	2.28
90 [14]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	1-1	70.20	20.03	2.66
91 [12]	Burke County	4 - AAA	0-1	70.10	21.39	4.12
92 [19]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	1-2	70.01	20.89	3.71
93 [13]	Mary Persons	2 - AAA	2-0	69.99	20.38	3.22
94 [20]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	0-1	69.60	20.72	3.95
95 [15]	Harris County	2 - AAAAA	3-0	69.60	17.87	1.11
96 [8]	Jenkins	3 - AAAA	0-0	69.16	17.87	1.54
97 [3]	Wesleyan	5 - A Private	3-0	68.95	17.80	1.68
98 [4]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A Private	2-1	68.95	21.94	5.83
99 [21]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	0-0	68.85	18.79	2.78
100 [16]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	0-2	68.77	19.38	3.44
101 [17]	Griffin	2 - AAAAA	1-2	68.47	19.45	3.82
102 [9]	Mays	6 - AAAA	2-1	68.31	20.66	5.19
103 [18]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	3-0	68.17	21.34	6.01
104 [5]	Lovett	6 - AA	1-1	68.08	18.66	3.42
105 [10]	Carver (Columbus)	2 - AAAA	1-0	67.87	21.15	6.11
106 [11]	West Laurens	4 - AAAA	0-2	67.24	17.71	3.30
107 [12]	Troup	2 - AAAA	0-2	67.22	18.45	4.06
108 [13]	Cedartown	7 - AAAA	0-2	66.96	16.55	2.42
109 [14]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	0-3	66.63	17.67	3.88
110 [31]	Gainesville	6 - AAAAAAA	1-1	66.34	18.77	5.26
111 [22]	River Ridge	7 - AAAAAA	3-0	66.28	17.57	4.12
112 [6]	Dodge County	3 - AA	1-1	65.74	18.50	5.59
113 [32]	Alpharetta	5 - AAAAAAA	0-1	65.71	16.16	3.28
114 [7]	Pace Academy	6 - AA	1-0	65.17	15.50	3.16
115 [19]	Creekside	3 - AAAAA	0-1	65.17	17.50	5.17
116 [23]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAA	1-1	64.56	15.45	3.73
117 [14]	Appling County	1 - AAA	1-0	64.45	16.02	4.40
118 [24]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	1-2	64.14	15.61	4.30
119 [33]	Etowah	5 - AAAAAAA	0-2	64.10	16.84	5.57
120 [15]	Baldwin	4 - AAAA	0-0	64.02	17.37	6.17
121 [25]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	3-0	63.72	16.21	5.33
122 [5]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A Private	2-0	63.58	18.69	7.95
123 [20]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-1	63.57	16.43	5.70
124 [15]	Liberty County	3 - AAA	0-0	63.55	16.33	5.61
125 [8]	Heard County	5 - AA	3-0	63.53	17.04	6.35
126 [21]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	0-0	63.35	14.32	3.80
127 [6]	Savannah Christian	3 - A Private	3-0	63.32	15.87	5.38
128 [34]	Woodstock	5 - AAAAAAA	1-2	63.25	16.11	5.69
129 [22]	Eastside	8 - AAAAA	1-1	63.23	16.69	6.30
130 [23]	Chapel Hill	6 - AAAAA	1-1	63.09	16.44	6.18
131 [16]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAA	1-1	62.90	16.43	6.36
132 [9]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	2-1	62.79	14.37	4.41
133 [35]	Peachtree Ridge	8 - AAAAAAA	2-0	62.75	15.46	5.54
134 [24]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	3-0	62.69	12.88	3.02
135 [16]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAA	0-2	62.68	14.41	4.56
136 [10]	Washington County	3 - AA	0-2	62.33	16.02	6.52
137 [26]	East Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	2-0	62.33	15.94	6.44
138 [27]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	3-0	62.29	15.85	6.39
139 [17]	Hart County	8 - AAA	1-2	62.25	17.51	8.09
140 [17]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAA	0-2	62.24	16.39	6.98
141 [18]	Perry	4 - AAAA	0-2	62.24	15.08	5.67
142 [36]	Lambert	6 - AAAAAAA	3-0	62.14	16.17	6.86
143 [18]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	0-3	62.10	18.11	8.84
144 [28]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAAA	0-1	62.05	14.35	5.13
145 [7]	Holy Innocents	5 - A Private	0-2	61.97	15.43	6.29
146 [29]	Central Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAA	1-2	61.55	16.63	7.92
147 [25]	Northgate	2 - AAAAA	1-1	61.48	15.99	7.34
148 [11]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	2-1	61.32	16.15	7.66
149 [37]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	2-1	61.23	16.04	7.65
150 [30]	Riverwood	7 - AAAAAA	1-0	61.17	14.57	6.23
151 [31]	Hughes	4 - AAAAAA	1-0	61.06	14.43	6.20
152 [32]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	1-1	60.82	16.44	8.45
153 [19]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	2-1	60.80	14.10	6.13
154 [5]	Commerce	8 - A Public	2-1	60.45	15.08	7.47
155 [33]	Sequoyah	7 - AAAAAA	0-3	60.34	15.84	8.33
156 [6]	Metter	3 - A Public	2-0	60.10	12.38	5.10
157 [12]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	0-1	60.01	15.55	8.37
158 [13]	Haralson County	5 - AA	3-0	59.96	14.17	7.04
159 [7]	Marion County	5 - A Public	1-1	59.86	15.83	8.80
160 [19]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAAA	0-1	59.86	15.46	8.44
161 [20]	Stephens County	8 - AAA	2-1	59.80	14.29	7.32
162 [20]	Howard	4 - AAAA	0-1	59.72	14.71	7.83
163 [34]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	2-0	59.71	17.15	10.27
164 [8]	Darlington	7 - A Private	2-0	59.61	13.85	7.07
165 [26]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	1-2	59.60	14.02	7.26
166 [27]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	2-0	59.55	12.37	5.65
167 [21]	Hardaway	2 - AAAA	1-1	59.45	12.50	5.88
168 [21]	Jackson	2 - AAA	1-1	59.41	14.53	7.96
169 [8]	Pelham	1 - A Public	1-1	59.39	15.96	9.40
170 [14]	Toombs County	2 - AA	2-0	59.33	14.73	8.24
171 [38]	Denmark	6 - AAAAAAA	0-2	59.18	12.52	6.17
172 [22]	New Hampstead	3 - AAAA	0-0	59.13	15.03	8.74
173 [35]	Paulding County	5 - AAAAAA	2-1	59.09	14.80	8.54
174 [9]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4 - A Private	2-1	58.99	13.90	7.74
175 [22]	North Murray	6 - AAA	0-1	58.64	13.89	8.08
176 [23]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	0-3	58.39	14.55	9.00
177 [15]	Bremen	5 - AA	2-1	58.38	13.31	7.76
178 [23]	Douglass	5 - AAA	0-1	58.37	13.11	7.58
179 [36]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	1-2	58.31	14.26	8.78
180 [28]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-1	58.31	14.34	8.86
181 [29]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	1-1	58.27	12.36	6.91
182 [37]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	1-1	58.27	13.80	8.36
183 [38]	Wheeler	6 - AAAAAA	0-3	58.11	13.73	8.46
184 [1]	John Milledge Academy	GISA 4-AAA	1-0	58.02	12.75	7.57
185 [16]	Pepperell	7 - AA	1-2	57.98	13.82	8.68
186 [10]	Hebron Christian	5 - A Private	1-1	57.98	13.77	8.62
187 [17]	Early County	1 - AA	2-0	57.76	12.29	7.36
188 [18]	Vidalia	2 - AA	0-1	57.73	11.28	6.38
189 [39]	Forsyth Central	6 - AAAAAAA	1-0	57.71	12.39	7.51
190 [24]	Westover	1 - AAAA	0-0	57.66	13.48	8.64
191 [39]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	1-0	57.66	12.49	7.67
192 [25]	Northwest Whitfield	7 - AAAA	3-0	57.56	12.26	7.53
193 [11]	North Cobb Christian	7 - A Private	3-0	57.48	13.99	9.34
194 [24]	Carver (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	0-3	57.05	13.69	9.47
195 [26]	Riverdale	5 - AAAA	2-1	56.93	13.02	8.92
196 [40]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	0-0	56.84	13.89	9.88
197 [12]	Calvary Day	3 - A Private	2-1	56.82	12.41	8.43
198 [19]	Cook	1 - AA	1-1	56.47	12.53	8.89
199 [13]	Christian Heritage	7 - A Private	2-1	56.40	12.91	9.34
200 [27]	Heritage (Ringgold)	7 - AAAA	3-0	56.30	13.18	9.72
201 [20]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	3-0	56.22	12.48	9.09
202 [9]	Mitchell County	1 - A Public	0-2	55.46	13.16	10.53
203 [21]	Northeast	3 - AA	1-0	55.33	12.41	9.92
204 [22]	Elbert County	8 - AA	1-1	55.02	11.76	9.57
205 [28]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	1-1	54.50	10.42	8.75
206 [10]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A Public	1-1	54.29	13.42	11.97
207 [41]	Lassiter	6 - AAAAAA	1-2	54.04	11.55	10.34
208 [42]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAAA	0-2	53.92	13.20	12.10
209 [25]	North Hall	7 - AAA	0-3	53.83	11.38	10.38
210 [30]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	3-0	53.75	13.71	12.79
211 [11]	Wilcox County	4 - A Public	1-1	53.75	11.25	10.34
212 [43]	Pope	6 - AAAAAA	0-2	53.71	11.69	10.81
213 [31]	Banneker	3 - AAAAA	0-1	53.62	10.42	9.63
214 [32]	Northview	5 - AAAAA	0-1	53.48	12.26	11.61
215 [14]	George Walton Academy	8 - A Private	2-0	53.34	10.77	10.26
216 [29]	Central (Carrollton)	7 - AAAA	0-1	53.28	11.26	10.82
217 [12]	Turner County	2 - A Public	1-1	53.26	10.60	10.17
218 [26]	Americus-Sumter	2 - AAA	0-2	53.22	10.51	10.12
219 [40]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	1-2	53.21	13.66	13.28
220 [27]	Morgan County	4 - AAA	0-2	53.18	10.68	10.33
221 [30]	LaGrange	2 - AAAA	1-1	53.15	9.73	9.42
222 [13]	Manchester	5 - A Public	0-2	53.11	11.63	11.36
223 [23]	Southwest	3 - AA	0-0	53.05	10.69	10.47
224 [44]	North Atlanta	4 - AAAAAA	1-0	52.98	11.18	11.03
225 [45]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	1-1	52.91	11.08	11.01
226 [33]	M.L. King	5 - AAAAA	0-0	52.62	10.00	10.21
227 [14]	Schley County	5 - A Public	2-0	52.48	10.72	11.06
228 [24]	Columbia	6 - AA	0-0	52.42	11.14	11.55
229 [28]	Richmond Academy	4 - AAA	2-0	52.27	8.78	9.34
230 [15]	Aquinas	3 - A Private	3-0	52.22	11.31	11.92
231 [29]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	2-0	52.17	11.68	12.33
232 [25]	Worth County	1 - AA	2-1	52.12	11.69	12.40
233 [34]	Greenbrier	8 - AAAAA	2-0	51.99	9.78	10.61
234 [15]	Macon County	5 - A Public	1-0	51.87	10.73	11.70
235 [35]	Whitewater	2 - AAAAA	1-2	51.73	9.33	10.43
236 [46]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-1	51.68	13.00	14.15
237 [26]	Union County	8 - AA	1-2	51.57	11.05	12.31
238 [47]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	1-2	51.51	8.10	9.42
239 [30]	Central (Macon)	2 - AAA	1-0	51.14	10.10	11.79
240 [27]	Lamar County	3 - AA	2-1	50.90	10.40	12.34
241 [36]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	0-3	50.86	8.13	10.10
242 [31]	Pickens	7 - AAAA	1-2	50.69	9.80	11.94
243 [37]	Northside (Columbus)	2 - AAAAA	2-1	50.63	12.91	15.11
244 [16]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A Private	0-1	50.60	10.08	12.32
245 [16]	Lincoln County	8 - A Public	1-1	50.54	8.56	10.86
246 [38]	Villa Rica	6 - AAAAA	1-1	50.47	9.70	12.06
247 [48]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	1-0	50.14	12.26	14.95
248 [32]	Ridgeland	7 - AAAA	0-3	50.12	10.62	13.33
249 [39]	New Manchester	6 - AAAAA	1-2	50.09	10.41	13.15
250 [33]	Islands	3 - AAAA	0-0	50.00	10.23	13.06
251 [17]	Mount de Sales	1 - A Private	1-1	49.93	8.89	11.79
252 [18]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A Private	1-2	49.81	10.76	13.78
253 [19]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A Private	2-1	49.73	11.55	14.65
254 [31]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	3-0	49.66	8.40	11.57
255 [40]	Decatur	5 - AAAAA	0-0	49.64	8.57	11.77
256 [20]	Whitefield Academy	2 - A Private	1-2	49.58	8.77	12.02
257 [49]	Kennesaw Mountain	6 - AAAAAA	0-3	49.47	9.41	12.77
258 [34]	Arabia Mountain	6 - AAAA	0-0	49.44	8.54	11.93
259 [32]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	2-1	49.39	8.42	11.86
260 [41]	Mundy's Mill	3 - AAAAA	0-2	49.33	10.03	13.53
261 [33]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	1-1	49.31	9.38	12.90
262 [42]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	0-2	48.80	7.38	11.41
263 [17]	Telfair County	4 - A Public	2-1	48.66	8.51	12.69
264 [28]	Temple	5 - AA	2-1	48.56	6.68	10.95
265 [41]	Discovery	7 - AAAAAAA	1-2	48.55	7.57	11.84
266 [43]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	0-0	48.55	8.36	12.64
267 [50]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	0-2	48.48	6.96	11.32
268 [18]	Charlton County	2 - A Public	2-0	48.37	8.55	13.01
269 [35]	Monroe	1 - AAAA	0-0	48.26	9.06	13.62
270 [21]	First Presbyterian	1 - A Private	2-0	48.26	9.22	13.79
271 [19]	Dooly County	4 - A Public	0-0	48.03	9.26	14.06
272 [29]	Chattooga	7 - AA	1-2	47.94	9.49	14.37
273 [36]	Shaw	2 - AAAA	0-1	47.67	7.41	12.56
274 [42]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	1-2	47.62	8.91	14.13
275 [44]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAA	0-3	47.41	9.13	14.55
276 [20]	Johnson County	4 - A Public	2-0	47.36	7.61	13.08
277 [37]	Fayette County	5 - AAAA	2-1	47.28	5.85	11.40
278 [30]	Fannin County	7 - AA	1-0	47.17	8.35	14.01
279 [34]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	1-1	46.87	8.04	14.00
280 [31]	Washington	6 - AA	1-1	46.80	7.07	13.10
281 [22]	Brookstone	4 - A Private	2-1	46.79	7.01	13.06
282 [38]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5 - AAAA	0-2	46.69	5.95	12.09
283 [35]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	0-0	46.64	6.69	12.88
284 [36]	Pike County	2 - AAA	0-1	46.57	7.67	13.93
285 [21]	Screven County	3 - A Public	0-2	46.57	9.01	15.28
286 [23]	Stratford Academy	1 - A Private	0-1	46.19	5.98	12.62
287 [32]	Model	7 - AA	2-1	46.16	5.23	11.90
288 [39]	Spalding	4 - AAAA	0-3	46.15	8.38	15.06
289 [2]	Bulloch Academy	GISA 2-AAA	2-1	46.12	8.67	15.38
290 [24]	Mount Paran Christian	7 - A Private	0-3	45.88	5.45	12.41
291 [45]	Jackson County	8 - AAAAA	1-1	45.84	5.90	12.90
292 [37]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	2-0	45.77	6.77	13.84
293 [22]	Gordon Lee	6 - A Public	3-0	45.57	8.93	16.20
294 [40]	Luella	5 - AAAA	2-1	45.47	5.70	13.06
295 [23]	Chattahoochee County	5 - A Public	2-0	45.33	6.15	13.65
296 [24]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A Public	2-0	45.31	5.78	13.30
297 [33]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	0-2	45.16	5.87	13.54
298 [34]	Putnam County	4 - AA	2-0	45.04	6.08	13.87
299 [25]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A Public	0-2	45.02	5.66	13.48
300 [38]	Beach	3 - AAA	0-0	45.00	8.81	16.64
301 [1]	Gatewood School	GISA 1-AA	2-0	44.94	6.98	14.87
302 [46]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	2-0	44.86	6.13	14.11
303 [25]	Tattnall Square	1 - A Private	2-0	44.80	6.35	14.38
304 [43]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAAA	0-0	44.80	6.76	14.80
305 [26]	Washington-Wilkes	8 - A Public	1-0	44.75	6.64	14.72
306 [26]	Athens Christian	8 - A Private	3-0	44.74	5.94	14.03
307 [44]	Duluth	7 - AAAAAAA	1-0	44.61	8.80	17.02
308 [51]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	0-2	44.59	8.80	17.05
309 [27]	Atkinson County	2 - A Public	2-1	44.48	7.28	15.63
310 [47]	Tri-Cities	3 - AAAAA	1-0	44.02	7.71	16.52
311 [39]	Hephzibah	4 - AAA	0-1	43.95	6.91	15.80
312 [48]	Drew	3 - AAAAA	0-2	43.83	6.78	15.78
313 [28]	Claxton	3 - A Public	1-1	43.82	6.56	15.58
314 [29]	Bowdon	6 - A Public	0-3	43.70	5.64	14.77
315 [49]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	0-2	43.70	7.17	16.30
316 [30]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - A Public	1-0	43.62	7.07	16.27
317 [31]	Warren County	7 - A Public	2-0	43.55	6.75	16.04
318 [27]	Pacelli	4 - A Private	3-0	43.21	6.87	16.50
319 [28]	Strong Rock Christian	1 - A Private	3-0	43.10	6.07	15.80
320 [41]	East Hall	8 - AAAA	1-1	42.51	9.13	19.45
321 [40]	Harlem	4 - AAA	0-3	42.46	7.61	17.98
322 [32]	Taylor County	5 - A Public	1-0	42.35	6.63	17.11
323 [3]	Frederica Academy	GISA 2-AAA	1-1	42.16	5.72	16.40
324 [42]	Hampton	5 - AAAA	1-2	41.90	4.90	15.83
325 [41]	West Hall	7 - AAA	1-2	41.55	5.53	16.81
326 [33]	Montgomery County	4 - A Public	2-0	41.54	6.51	17.81
327 [43]	Columbus	2 - AAAA	0-2	41.46	6.17	17.55
328 [34]	Lanier County	2 - A Public	2-0	41.46	5.87	17.24
329 [44]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-0	41.44	3.74	15.13
330 [52]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	0-3	41.39	5.08	16.53
331 [4]	Tiftarea Academy	GISA 3-AAA	1-1	40.79	6.17	18.22
332 [5]	Valwood School	GISA 3-AAA	1-2	40.77	5.96	18.02
333 [35]	Bacon County	2 - AA	2-1	40.76	4.76	16.83
334 [45]	Chestatee	8 - AAAA	0-2	40.12	7.70	20.41
335 [42]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	0-2	40.09	4.21	16.95
336 [35]	Trion	6 - A Public	0-2	39.94	5.14	18.03
337 [50]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	0-2	39.28	4.22	17.77
338 [36]	Hancock Central	7 - A Public	0-0	39.22	3.37	16.98
339 [36]	Therrell	6 - AA	1-1	39.19	4.63	18.28
340 [37]	Wheeler County	4 - A Public	3-0	39.00	3.83	17.66
341 [51]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	1-2	38.90	3.60	17.53
342 [46]	Miller Grove	6 - AAAA	0-0	37.99	0.13	14.97
343 [37]	Coosa	7 - AA	2-0	37.91	5.58	20.50
344 [52]	McIntosh	2 - AAAAA	0-3	37.81	4.76	19.77
345 [53]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	0-1	37.57	4.83	20.09
346 [43]	Brantley County	1 - AAA	0-3	37.41	1.91	17.34
347 [44]	LaFayette	6 - AAA	0-2	37.39	5.79	21.24
348 [29]	Deerfield-Windsor	1 - A Private	2-1	37.29	2.10	17.64
349 [30]	St. Francis	6 - A Private	0-3	37.03	4.55	20.35
350 [38]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	1-2	36.97	-0.23	15.64
351 [54]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAAAA	0-0	36.81	3.20	19.22
352 [45]	Tattnall County	1 - AAA	0-2	36.80	2.31	18.35
353 [39]	Laney	4 - AA	0-1	36.17	0.33	16.99
354 [47]	McDonough	5 - AAAA	0-3	36.11	3.04	19.77
355 [46]	Gilmer	7 - AAA	1-1	36.00	1.67	18.50
356 [48]	Spencer	2 - AAAA	0-3	35.65	0.33	17.51
357 [2]	Brentwood School	GISA 1-AA	1-1	35.46	3.62	20.99
358 [38]	Terrell County	1 - A Public	0-1	35.42	1.67	19.08
359 [31]	Heritage School	4 - A Private	0-2	34.82	3.15	21.16
360 [47]	Redan	5 - AAA	0-0	34.58	3.10	21.35
361 [40]	Monticello	3 - AA	0-2	34.37	2.31	20.77
362 [41]	Butler	4 - AA	1-0	34.07	1.92	20.69
363 [6]	Pinewood Christian	GISA 2-AAA	0-0	34.05	2.69	21.47
364 [42]	Berrien	1 - AA	1-2	34.04	3.61	22.41
365 [7]	Brookwood School	GISA 3-AAA	1-0	33.97	1.86	20.72
366 [43]	East Laurens	2 - AA	1-1	33.77	3.83	22.89
367 [39]	Wilkinson County	7 - A Public	0-1	33.75	0.94	20.02
368 [40]	Jenkins County	3 - A Public	0-3	33.65	-1.29	17.90
369 [3]	Thomas Jefferson	GISA 4-AA	3-0	33.56	1.78	21.06
370 [8]	Southland Academy	GISA 3-AAA	0-2	33.35	-1.28	18.20
371 [44]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	1-2	32.97	-0.38	19.48
372 [32]	Lakeview Academy	6 - A Private	0-1	32.37	1.27	21.73
373 [48]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	1-0	32.35	1.19	21.68
374 [49]	Murray County	6 - AAA	1-1	32.04	1.66	22.45
375 [50]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-1	31.87	0.10	21.07
376 [41]	Greenville	5 - A Public	1-2	31.72	1.83	22.94
377 [33]	Landmark Christian	2 - A Private	0-3	31.48	0.82	22.16
378 [34]	Walker	7 - A Private	0-3	31.45	-0.60	20.78
379 [53]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	4 - AAAAAA	0-0	31.44	-0.08	21.31
380 [42]	Greene County	8 - A Public	0-2	31.16	3.19	24.87
381 [43]	Hawkinsville	4 - A Public	1-1	31.14	-1.11	20.59
382 [49]	Rutland	4 - AAAA	0-1	30.71	-0.17	21.95
383 [45]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	0-1	30.41	-2.08	20.34
384 [45]	Banks County	8 - AA	0-3	30.16	-0.31	22.36
385 [46]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	0-0	29.83	-1.55	21.45
386 [47]	Dade County	7 - AA	1-1	29.28	0.62	24.17
387 [4]	Terrell Academy	GISA 2-AA	2-0	29.24	-1.30	22.29
388 [54]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	1-1	28.94	-0.39	23.51
389 [44]	Miller County	1 - A Public	1-2	28.92	-1.40	22.51
390 [50]	Jordan	2 - AAAA	0-1	28.69	0.16	24.29
391 [55]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	0-2	28.43	-0.14	24.26
392 [9]	Creekside Christian	GISA 4-AAA	2-0	28.30	-0.93	23.61
393 [45]	Towns County	8 - A Public	2-1	28.23	-2.34	22.26
394 [56]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-0	28.14	-1.14	23.55
395 [51]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	0-0	27.80	-1.49	23.54
396 [52]	Savannah	3 - AAA	0-0	27.80	-2.67	22.36
397 [5]	Southwest Georgia Academy	GISA 2-AA	1-1	27.51	0.65	25.97
398 [48]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	0-2	27.42	-2.67	22.74
399 [51]	Kendrick	2 - AAAA	0-1	26.60	-1.86	24.37
400 [46]	Seminole County	1 - A Public	0-2	26.52	-2.52	23.79
401 [6]	Memorial Day	GISA 2-AA	1-0	26.12	-1.50	25.21
402 [49]	Towers	6 - AA	0-0	25.38	-3.87	23.59
403 [52]	Druid Hills	6 - AAAA	0-0	25.29	-3.28	24.26
404 [53]	North Clayton	5 - AAAA	0-3	25.02	-6.87	20.94
405 [53]	Cross Creek	4 - AAA	0-3	24.88	-3.28	24.67
406 [47]	Armuchee	6 - A Public	1-0	24.34	-4.64	23.86
407 [10]	Westfield School	GISA 4-AAA	1-0	24.27	-4.35	24.21
408 [48]	Treutlen	4 - A Public	0-2	23.62	-4.47	24.74
409 [54]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	0-2	23.56	-1.98	27.29
410 [7]	Briarwood Academy	GISA 4-AA	0-1	23.50	-3.40	25.93
411 [35]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A Private	0-0	23.48	-4.70	24.64
412 [8]	Edmund Burke Academy	GISA 4-AA	1-2	23.03	-4.29	25.51
413 [57]	Forest Park	3 - AAAAA	0-3	22.93	-4.91	25.00
414 [11]	St. Andrew's School	GISA 2-AAA	0-1-1	22.65	-5.07	25.12
415 [55]	Long County	1 - AAA	0-3	22.20	-4.32	26.32
416 [49]	Social Circle	8 - A Public	1-2	20.46	-1.96	30.41
417 [50]	McNair	6 - AA	0-0	20.32	-5.39	27.11
418 [36]	Loganville Christian	8 - A Private	1-1	20.30	-5.42	27.12
419 [54]	Southeast Whitfield	7 - AAAA	0-3	19.97	-3.32	29.54
420 [50]	Portal	3 - A Public	0-2	19.79	-4.65	28.39
421 [51]	Oglethorpe County	4 - AA	0-1	19.66	-7.40	25.78
422 [51]	Crawford County	7 - A Public	0-3	17.26	-4.52	31.05
423 [52]	Josey	4 - AA	0-0	17.22	-5.91	29.71
424 [9]	Piedmont Academy	GISA 1-AA	2-0	16.76	-8.32	27.75
425 [56]	Groves	3 - AAA	0-0	15.78	-8.44	28.62
426 [10]	Robert Toombs Academy	GISA 2-AA	0-1	15.66	-6.64	30.54
427 [52]	Bryan County	3 - A Public	0-2	14.79	-8.58	29.46
428 [53]	Georgia Military College	7 - A Public	1-1	14.15	-9.08	29.60
429 [37]	Providence Christian	5 - A Private	0-3	12.57	-9.74	30.53
430 [12]	Bethlehem Christian Academy	GISA 4-AAA	0-2	11.99	-8.87	31.97
431 [54]	ACE Charter	7 - A Public †	0-2	10.99	-7.68	34.17
432 [55]	Glascock County	7 - A Public †	2-1	10.34	-10.34	32.15
433 [56]	Baconton Charter	1 - A Public	1-1	9.51	-12.23	31.09
434 [13]	Trinity Christian (Dublin)	GISA 2-AAA	0-3	9.18	-10.44	33.21
435 [57]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A Public	0-1	8.54	-9.76	34.53
436 [11]	Augusta Prep	GISA 4-AA	2-1	2.21	-11.46	39.16
437 [58]	Central (Talbotton)	5 - A Public	0-2	-0.73	-15.99	37.57
438 [59]	Pataula Charter	1 - A Public †	0-3	-5.64	-20.41	38.06
439 [58]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA †	0-0	-29.44	-29.75	52.52
440 [60]	GSIC	7 - A Public †	0-2	-33.79	-33.92	52.70

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating,” which is the mode of the Extreme Value Type I Distribution (i.e., the Gumbel minimum distribution) applied to the ratings. This calculation favors regions with large numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Teams	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	4	95.38	89.62
2	4 - AAAAAAA	5	92.82	86.54
3	8 - AAAAAAA	5	91.31	83.80
4	1 - AAAAAA	4	88.48	84.39
5	1 - AAAAA	5	85.20	81.57
6	3 - AAAAAAA	6	82.72	79.66
7	7 - AAAAA	6	80.73	71.88
8	5 - AAAAAAA	6	78.66	73.59
9	2 - AAAAAAA	5	77.46	69.94
10	8 - AAAAAA	7	75.18	69.70
11	5 - AAAAAA	8	74.10	69.99
12	5 - AAA	7	73.75	66.03
13	6 - AAAAAAA	7	71.16	67.29
14	3 - AAAA	4	69.30	63.97
15	6 - AAAA	7	69.10	59.05
16	2 - AAA	8	69.07	62.86
17	4 - AAAAA	8	68.63	64.06
18	2 - AAAAAA	7	67.42	63.29
19	7 - AAAAAAA	7	66.03	55.83
20	5 - AA	5	65.85	61.24
21	2 - A Private	3	65.82	54.79
22	8 - AAAA	7	65.70	58.65
23	1 - AA	6	65.27	58.42
24	2 - A Public	7	65.13	58.22
25	7 - AAAAAA	8	65.01	61.11
26	6 - AAAAAA	9	64.67	57.10
27	8 - AAA	6	64.61	57.47
28	4 - AAAAAA	7	64.43	58.21
29	2 - AAAAA	7	64.03	58.57
30	1 - AAAA	6	63.50	58.25
31	8 - A Private	5	61.53	52.26
32	4 - AAAA	7	60.85	55.71
33	8 - AA	4	60.38	52.69
34	3 - AA	7	59.05	54.72
35	3 - AAAAA	8	58.97	51.72
36	5 - A Private	5	58.79	50.26
37	4 - AAA	7	58.41	51.02
38	3 - A Private	4	58.35	55.74
39	1 - AAA	5	57.68	47.49
40	8 - AAAAA	8	56.78	50.53
41	2 - AA	6	56.77	51.77
42	7 - AAAA	7	56.54	50.70
43	7 - AAA	7	55.11	47.61
44	2 - AAAA	9	55.04	47.53
45	3 - AAAAAA	4	54.95	50.92
46	7 - A Private	5	54.91	50.16
47	6 - AAA	9	53.04	46.60
48	5 - AAAAA	8	53.01	50.53
49	6 - AAAAA	7	51.83	47.57
50	4 - A Public	9	51.58	44.91
51	6 - AA	9	51.58	43.60
52	4 - A Private	4	50.46	45.95
53	5 - A Public	8	49.44	42.00
54	6 - A Private	5	48.55	41.24
55	7 - AA	7	47.56	42.77
56	5 - AAAA	7	47.33	42.77
57	3 - A Public	8	47.02	39.75
58	3 - AAA	7	46.98	39.42
59	1 - A Private	6	46.96	44.93
60	8 - A Public	6	46.39	39.26
61	6 - A Public	6	43.66	40.41
62	4 - AA	8	41.51	34.57
63	GISA 4-AAA	4	39.64	30.64
64	GISA 3-AAA	4	39.36	37.22
65	1 - A Public	7	38.08	31.97
66	GISA 1-AA	3	38.02	32.39
67	GISA 2-AAA	5	37.23	30.83
68	GISA 2-AA	4	27.27	24.63
69	7 - A Public	5	27.18	29.59
70	GISA 4-AA	4	25.87	20.57

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Prob	Likelihood
09/04	Clinch County	Macon County	19 - 21	19.53	89.9%	0.266
09/18	Irwin County	Cook	20 - 21	15.31	84.8%	0.342
09/18	Harrison	Hughes	7 - 14	10.24	75.9%	0.345
09/04	Telfair County	Wheeler County	19 - 26	9.66	74.7%	0.355
09/03	Savannah Country Day	Bulloch Academy	2 - 32	4.48	62.3%	0.383
09/18	Westside (Macon)	Central (Macon)	7 - 12	8.72	72.7%	0.390
09/11	Dublin	Dodge County	20 - 33	5.33	64.5%	0.397
09/18	Lincoln County	Westside (Augusta)	7 - 6	13.57	82.1%	0.400
09/04	West Laurens	Bleckley County	19 - 27	5.93	66.0%	0.412
09/18	Ridgeland	Ringgold	12 - 38	3.26	59.0%	0.417
09/05	Dodge County	Toombs County	20 - 26	6.41	67.3%	0.418
09/11	Morgan County	Putnam County	2 - 5	8.14	71.4%	0.419
09/18	Northview	Chattahoochee	39 - 56	3.34	59.3%	0.428
09/04	Swainsboro	Metter	0 - 28	2.69	57.5%	0.431
09/18	Grovetown	Laney	6 - 2	15.34	84.8%	0.434

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Prob
100.93	11/06	Colquitt County	Lowndes	-	1.40	53.9%
95.37	09/25	Colquitt County	Valdosta	-	8.69	72.6%
95.22	10/09	Lowndes	Valdosta	-	7.29	69.4%
94.57	09/03	North Gwinnett	McEachern	35 - 7	13.86	82.6%
94.54	09/11	Grayson	McEachern	55 - 21	14.40	83.4%
93.78	09/18	North Gwinnett	Parkview	21 - 0	14.61	83.7%
93.75	10/30	Grayson	Parkview	-	15.14	84.5%
93.36	10/16	North Gwinnett	Mill Creek	-	15.01	84.3%
93.32	10/09	Grayson	Mill Creek	-	15.54	85.1%
93.11	10/30	Blessed Trinity	Cartersville	-	1.01	52.8%
92.14	09/25	Lowndes	Lee County	-	10.62	76.7%
92.03	09/04	Valdosta	Warner Robins	28 - 25	1.75	54.9%
91.02	11/13	Valdosta	Lee County	-	3.32	59.2%
90.45	10/09	North Gwinnett	North Cobb	-	17.70	87.9%
90.39	10/09	McEachern	Milton	-	3.02	58.4%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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