High School Sports Blog

Maxwell summary after Week 3

Grayson running back Jayvian Allen (16, left) celebrates a rushing touchdown with wide receiver Jamal Haynes in the first half of the Class 7A state high school football final against Collins Hill Wednesday, Dec. 30, 2020, at Center Parc Stadium in Atlanta. (Jason Getz/For the AJC)
Grayson running back Jayvian Allen (16, left) celebrates a rushing touchdown with wide receiver Jamal Haynes in the first half of the Class 7A state high school football final against Collins Hill Wednesday, Dec. 30, 2020, at Center Parc Stadium in Atlanta. (Jason Getz/For the AJC)
By Loren Maxwell
Sept 2, 2024

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the 461 teams of the Georgia High School Association (GHSA), the Georgia Independent Athletic Association (GIAA), and the Georgia Association of Private & Parochial Schools (GAPPS) throughout the 2024 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season’s results in combination with each team’s historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team’s historical performance diminishes as the team’s season progresses.

A hypothetical score at a neutral location can be calculated between two teams by adding their offensive and defensive ratings. To account for home advantage, adjust the hypothetical scores in favor of the home team by half of the home advantage.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 534 of 585 total games including 0 tie(s) (91.44%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game scores within 11.42 points and all game margins within 14.46 points.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.25

By Class

AAAAAA AAAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Carrollton3-098.241Milton3-0100.42
2Mill Creek3-094.462Lee County3-095.53
3Buford1-194.283Coffee3-095.03
4Collins Hill3-093.304Gainesville3-094.50
5North Gwinnett2-091.635Hughes2-091.93
6Douglas County3-091.336Roswell2-090.38
7Walton2-188.267Rome0-187.40
8Grayson2-187.338Thomas County Central3-086.56
9North Cobb3-086.889Houston County3-085.66
10Colquitt County2-185.6010Woodward Academy0-381.15
11Camden County3-084.7611Sequoyah3-076.23
12Valdosta3-082.3912Brunswick1-173.89
13Norcross1-181.7313Creekview2-171.18
14West Forsyth2-179.7214Northside (Warner Robins)2-169.86
15South Gwinnett3-078.3315Lovejoy2-069.29



AAAA AAA Public
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Marist2-096.871Jefferson2-183.93
2Ware County2-190.372Cedar Grove0-280.80
3Benedictine1-288.063Sandy Creek3-076.70
4Cartersville3-087.234Calhoun1-173.08
5Blessed Trinity3-086.675Troup1-170.61
6Creekside0-283.276Peach County2-169.90
7Warner Robins2-182.847Bainbridge0-368.78
8North Oconee2-079.958Stephenson2-168.35
9Perry2-177.669Monroe Area2-067.37
10Cedartown3-077.2610Cairo0-266.18
11Cass3-076.0611Mary Persons2-065.88
12Cambridge3-075.7012LaGrange1-264.08
13Kell2-174.4713Oconee County0-363.46
14Eastside3-073.9514Spalding0-263.17
15Central (Carrollton)2-172.4415Northwest Whitfield3-061.39



AA Public A Divison I Public
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Pierce County2-076.571Thomasville3-076.13
2Appling County1-173.692Fitzgerald1-171.39
3Stephens County3-070.763Rabun County1-164.62
4Rockmart0-270.224Toombs County2-064.57
5Burke County2-169.015Dublin3-064.33
6Carver (Columbus)2-166.696Fannin County3-064.00
7Callaway0-265.817Swainsboro1-262.97
8Morgan County3-065.108Northeast2-162.47
9Cook2-164.239Worth County2-159.52
10Hapeville Charter0-263.5410Bleckley County2-159.06
11Thomson1-263.0911Jeff Davis3-058.27
12Sumter County3-060.3312Lamar County2-058.01
13Crisp County0-358.4413Elbert County1-257.96
14Columbia0-257.2814Dodge County2-055.01
15Carver (Atlanta)1-256.7315Commerce1-253.64



A Division II AAA to A Private
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Irwin County3-070.881Prince Avenue Christian1-281.56
2Brooks County1-170.162Calvary Day1-175.68
3Bowdon2-164.793Savannah Christian3-074.29
4Clinch County3-059.074Hebron Christian3-070.08
5Manchester1-158.425Fellowship Christian1-166.29
6Schley County1-257.696Holy Innocents1-164.85
7Metter1-157.397Athens Academy3-064.56
8Trion3-056.598Lovett3-064.41
9Lincoln County3-054.409Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)1-163.85
10Emanuel County Institute2-052.9110Wesleyan2-157.82
11Early County0-251.1611Greater Atlanta Christian0-257.03
12Greene County3-051.1312North Cobb Christian3-056.01
13Wilcox County1-249.5613Whitefield Academy1-154.39
14Pelham0-248.7314Aquinas1-151.80
15Charlton County2-148.6015Mount Vernon1-151.10



GIAA AAAA-AAA GIAA AA-A
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Valwood School3-053.271Brentwood School3-038.14
2John Milledge Academy1-251.492Edmund Burke Academy3-038.11
3First Presbyterian2-150.513Briarwood Academy2-036.02
4Stratford Academy3-050.324Flint River Academy3-032.84
5Tattnall Square2-149.225Robert Toombs Academy2-132.18



GAPPS
Rank Team Rec Rating
1Cherokee Christian0-221.60
2Skipstone Academy0-216.13
3Lanier Christian1-214.64
4Creekside Christian1-211.28



All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank Team Region Rec Rating Sch Str Rank Offense Defense
1 [1]Milton7-AAAAA3-0100.4277.1129 [5]33.48-17.74
2 [1]Carrollton2-AAAAAA3-098.2475.2835 [16]36.69-12.35
3 [1]Marist5-AAAA2-096.8782.5416 [1]32.20-15.48
4 [2]Lee County2-AAAAA3-095.5370.0662 [12]36.87-9.46
5 [3]Coffee2-AAAAA3-095.0379.5724 [3]31.47-14.36
6 [4]Gainesville7-AAAAA3-094.5072.8745 [8]32.81-12.50
7 [2]Mill Creek8-AAAAAA3-094.4673.2243 [19]33.69-11.58
8 [3]Buford8-AAAAAA1-194.2894.243 [1]31.05-14.03
9 [4]Collins Hill8-AAAAAA3-093.3083.0915 [7]30.16-13.94
10 [5]Hughes3-AAAAA2-091.9373.6642 [7]34.21-8.53
11 [5]North Gwinnett7-AAAAAA2-091.6380.9623 [11]29.20-13.23
12 [6]Douglas County2-AAAAAA3-091.3370.4757 [25]31.17-10.96
13 [6]Roswell7-AAAAA2-090.3878.5127 [4]31.82-9.36
14 [2]Ware County1-AAAA2-190.3779.1725 [3]30.59-10.59
15 [7]Walton5-AAAAAA2-188.2677.6128 [13]30.89-8.18
16 [3]Benedictine1-AAAA1-288.0681.6420 [2]31.42-7.45
17 [7]Rome5-AAAAA0-187.4098.241 [1]27.97-10.23
18 [8]Grayson4-AAAAAA2-187.3393.304 [2]28.50-9.64
19 [4]Cartersville7-AAAA3-087.2363.68102 [18]26.85-11.19
20 [9]North Cobb5-AAAAAA3-086.8871.1954 [24]31.29-6.40
21 [5]Blessed Trinity6-AAAA3-086.6769.7163 [8]25.48-12.00
22 [8]Thomas County Central2-AAAAA3-086.5659.98135 [33]30.09-7.27
23 [9]Houston County2-AAAAA3-085.6666.3082 [20]30.43-6.03
24 [10]Colquitt County1-AAAAAA2-185.6072.7046 [20]27.08-9.32
25 [11]Camden County1-AAAAAA3-084.7673.8940 [18]30.06-5.50
26 [1]Jefferson8-AAA2-183.9374.6837 [5]25.45-9.29
27 [6]Creekside4-AAAA0-283.2729.52-4.55
28 [7]Warner Robins1-AAAA2-182.8466.8077 [11]26.93-6.72
29 [12]Valdosta1-AAAAAA3-082.3954.90181 [44]28.76-4.43
30 [13]Norcross7-AAAAAA1-181.7379.0326 [12]24.43-8.11
31 [1]Prince Avenue Christian8-AA #1-281.5683.2014 [1]29.37-2.99
32 [10]Woodward Academy4-AAAAA0-381.1596.132 [2]24.41-7.55
33 [2]Cedar Grove5-AAA0-280.8092.316 [1]26.56-5.05
34 [8]North Oconee8-AAAA2-079.9560.43131 [26]24.42-6.33
35 [14]West Forsyth6-AAAAAA2-179.7274.2139 [17]24.80-5.73
36 [15]South Gwinnett4-AAAAAA3-078.3362.95108 [34]22.74-6.40
37 [16]Lowndes1-AAAAAA3-077.9349.25242 [51]27.48-1.25
38 [9]Perry1-AAAA2-177.6671.7151 [6]24.58-3.88
39 [10]Cedartown7-AAAA3-077.2653.63193 [35]22.40-5.66
40 [17]Westlake2-AAAAAA1-277.2081.7219 [9]23.55-4.46
41 [3]Sandy Creek2-AAA3-076.7062.13118 [17]22.45-5.06
42 [1]Pierce County3-AA2-076.5729.69388 [42]23.16-4.22
43 [18]McEachern3-AAAAAA1-276.3282.3517 [8]25.48-1.64
44 [11]Sequoyah6-AAAAA3-076.2368.4968 [14]24.51-2.54
45 [1]Thomasville1-A Division I3-076.1361.69123 [2]24.57-2.38
46 [11]Cass7-AAAA3-076.0657.64156 [30]22.33-4.53
47 [12]Cambridge6-AAAA3-075.7057.86155 [29]22.28-4.22
48 [2]Calvary Day3-AAA #1-175.6829.43391 [22]22.97-3.52
49 [19]Richmond Hill1-AAAAAA2-074.7263.36106 [33]21.06-4.47
50 [13]Kell6-AAAA2-174.4768.2072 [10]22.43-2.84
51 [3]Savannah Christian3-A Division I #3-074.2952.92202 [11]21.88-3.22
52 [14]Eastside8-AAAA3-073.9558.10153 [28]21.07-3.69
53 [12]Brunswick1-AAAAA1-173.8971.5553 [11]23.42-1.27
54 [2]Appling County3-AA1-173.6974.3638 [5]20.56-3.94
55 [20]North Paulding5-AAAAAA2-173.3170.3060 [26]21.61-2.50
56 [4]Calhoun7-AAA1-173.0867.1975 [11]21.70-2.19
57 [21]Lambert6-AAAAAA0-272.5791.368 [3]22.26-1.12
58 [22]Parkview7-AAAAAA0-272.5376.5130 [14]21.54-1.79
59 [15]Central (Carrollton)3-AAAA2-172.4461.45125 [23]22.47-0.78
60 [23]East Coweta2-AAAAAA1-271.8975.6634 [15]21.10-1.59
61 [24]Newton4-AAAAAA1-271.4269.4864 [27]20.61-1.62
62 [2]Fitzgerald1-A Division I1-171.3964.6694 [1]18.64-3.56
63 [13]Creekview6-AAAAA2-171.1872.0649 [9]18.68-3.31
64 [16]Starr's Mill3-AAAA3-071.1754.74183 [32]19.88-2.09
65 [17]Jones County2-AAAA3-071.0049.03245 [42]22.991.18
66 [1]Irwin County2-A Division II3-070.8862.87110 [4]21.24-0.44
67 [3]Stephens County8-AA3-070.7651.34219 [21]20.08-1.48
68 [5]Troup2-AAA1-170.6162.65113 [15]19.94-1.47
69 [4]Rockmart7-AA0-270.2282.2518 [3]20.38-0.64
70 [2]Brooks County2-A Division II1-170.1670.1861 [2]19.05-1.91
71 [18]Mays4-AAAA2-170.1273.0044 [5]19.62-1.30
72 [19]Ola2-AAAA3-070.1251.83214 [37]18.11-2.82
73 [4]Hebron Christian8-AA #3-070.0852.51206 [13]20.58-0.31
74 [6]Peach County1-AAA2-169.9059.61136 [18]22.221.51
75 [25]Brookwood7-AAAAAA1-269.8872.4048 [22]22.692.00
76 [14]Northside (Warner Robins)2-AAAAA2-169.8664.2198 [25]18.77-1.90
77 [26]Harrison3-AAAAAA2-169.3862.83111 [36]21.140.95
78 [15]Lovejoy3-AAAAA2-069.2959.32138 [34]18.89-1.20
79 [16]River Ridge6-AAAAA2-169.0363.46105 [27]19.53-0.31
80 [5]Burke County4-AA2-169.0149.97231 [22]20.080.26
81 [17]East Paulding5-AAAAA2-068.9961.78121 [29]20.100.30
82 [20]Harris County3-AAAA3-068.7965.2490 [13]17.79-1.80
83 [7]Bainbridge1-AAA0-368.7883.2113 [3]18.57-1.01
84 [27]Peachtree Ridge7-AAAAAA0-268.7590.389 [4]17.54-2.02
85 [28]Marietta5-AAAAAA0-368.5483.5112 [6]19.05-0.30
86 [29]North Atlanta6-AAAAAA2-168.4261.84120 [38]18.00-1.22
87 [18]Dutchtown3-AAAAA1-268.3871.6752 [10]18.71-0.47
88 [8]Stephenson5-AAA2-168.3563.53103 [14]19.250.09
89 [21]Stockbridge2-AAAA2-168.3353.79191 [34]21.802.67
90 [30]Cherokee5-AAAAAA2-167.7566.9476 [30]20.121.57
91 [19]Sprayberry6-AAAAA3-067.4851.96213 [47]18.840.55
92 [31]North Forsyth6-AAAAAA2-167.4167.3974 [29]18.420.20
93 [9]Monroe Area8-AAA2-067.3745.82273 [40]17.42-0.75
94 [6]Carver (Columbus)1-AA2-166.6958.14152 [12]15.83-1.66
95 [20]Clarke Central8-AAAAA2-166.5163.72101 [26]20.563.25
96 [5]Fellowship Christian5-A Division I #1-166.2967.4373 [2]19.011.91
97 [10]Cairo1-AAA0-266.1881.3521 [4]17.920.93
98 [32]Campbell3-AAAAAA3-065.9154.06187 [45]17.170.45
99 [11]Mary Persons2-AAA2-065.8847.78255 [35]16.47-0.21
100 [7]Callaway2-AA0-265.8176.0632 [4]17.761.15
101 [33]Hillgrove3-AAAAAA2-065.7753.22199 [47]16.26-0.31
102 [34]Archer4-AAAAAA0-365.3881.2622 [10]18.712.53
103 [8]Morgan County2-AA3-065.1052.08211 [18]18.282.37
104 [6]Holy Innocents5-AA #1-164.8558.97142 [7]16.620.96
105 [3]Bowdon7-A Division II2-164.7954.96178 [7]19.654.06
106 [3]Rabun County8-A Division I1-164.6256.97162 [6]17.071.65
107 [4]Toombs County3-A Division I2-064.5749.95232 [16]17.462.08
108 [7]Athens Academy8-A Division I #3-064.5645.71276 [15]18.683.31
109 [8]Lovett5-AA #3-064.4156.04169 [8]17.111.90
110 [5]Dublin2-A Division I3-064.3347.21260 [21]19.934.79
111 [9]Cook3-AA2-164.2358.54145 [11]17.112.07
112 [12]LaGrange2-AAA1-264.0862.20117 [16]16.331.44
113 [6]Fannin County7-A Division I3-064.0055.80171 [8]17.572.76
114 [22]New Hampstead1-AAAA2-163.9061.03128 [24]20.806.09
115 [9]Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)2-AAA #1-163.8552.58205 [12]17.172.52
116 [35]Tift County1-AAAAAA1-263.7971.9050 [23]16.131.53
117 [21]Lanier7-AAAAA1-263.6068.3970 [16]17.653.24
118 [10]Hapeville Charter5-AA0-263.5491.387 [2]14.720.36
119 [13]Oconee County8-AAA0-363.4670.5256 [8]15.961.69
120 [22]Newnan3-AAAAA2-163.3960.34132 [31]15.841.64
121 [23]Glynn Academy1-AAAAA1-163.3666.5479 [17]15.241.08
122 [36]Denmark6-AAAAAA0-263.2572.6347 [21]16.352.30
123 [23]Westminster (Atlanta)6-AAAA1-263.1964.4196 [16]15.111.12
124 [14]Spalding2-AAA0-263.1770.8655 [7]17.283.30
125 [11]Thomson4-AA1-263.0948.18249 [25]16.492.60
126 [7]Swainsboro3-A Division I1-262.9758.21151 [4]16.242.46
127 [24]St. Pius X5-AAAA1-162.7463.52104 [19]12.91-0.63
128 [8]Northeast2-A Division I2-162.4752.26209 [12]16.393.11
129 [24]Seckinger7-AAAAA3-062.4353.22198 [46]17.003.76
130 [15]Northwest Whitfield7-AAA3-061.3947.68256 [36]13.951.75
131 [25]Effingham County1-AAAAA0-261.3174.7836 [6]16.664.54
132 [37]Wheeler5-AAAAAA0-360.8068.9067 [28]14.893.28
133 [26]Jackson County8-AAAAA2-160.6664.9792 [23]16.525.06
134 [12]Sumter County1-AA3-060.3348.01251 [26]14.433.29
135 [38]Alpharetta6-AAAAAA0-359.9486.8510 [5]15.294.54
136 [25]Hiram7-AAAA1-259.7265.5587 [12]18.838.30
137 [16]Baldwin4-AAA0-259.5773.7641 [6]13.052.68
138 [9]Worth County1-A Division I2-159.5252.29208 [11]18.007.68
139 [26]Allatoona7-AAAA1-259.3761.64124 [22]15.655.47
140 [27]Jonesboro3-AAAA1-259.1964.1799 [17]15.195.20
141 [17]Whitewater2-AAA0-259.1368.9365 [10]14.134.19
142 [4]Clinch County2-A Division II3-059.0744.49283 [16]14.534.65
143 [10]Bleckley County2-A Division I2-159.0642.02308 [27]13.823.95
144 [18]Douglass5-AAA1-258.7370.4758 [9]11.301.77
145 [19]Cherokee Bluff8-AAA3-058.6446.17269 [38]13.614.17
146 [39]Duluth7-AAAAAA2-158.5654.99176 [42]15.345.97
147 [28]East Forsyth8-AAAA3-058.5351.44217 [39]15.436.10
148 [13]Crisp County3-AA0-358.4465.3888 [7]13.414.17
149 [5]Manchester7-A Division II1-158.4263.25107 [3]11.372.14
150 [27]Decatur4-AAAAA2-058.4156.88163 [39]15.215.99
151 [29]Wayne County1-AAAA0-358.3570.3159 [7]13.043.88
152 [11]Jeff Davis1-A Division I3-058.2742.62300 [25]11.932.86
153 [12]Lamar County4-A Division I2-058.0147.32259 [20]12.523.70
154 [28]South Paulding5-AAAAA0-257.9755.97170 [41]13.444.67
155 [13]Elbert County8-A Division I1-257.9661.44126 [3]15.356.58
156 [20]Adairsville7-AAA2-157.9258.60143 [19]15.186.46
157 [29]Evans1-AAAAA2-057.9249.27240 [51]13.554.83
158 [10]Wesleyan5-A Division I #2-157.8253.66192 [10]14.505.87
159 [21]Upson-Lee2-AAA1-157.7154.98177 [25]12.954.43
160 [6]Schley County6-A Division II1-257.6952.83204 [9]15.396.89
161 [30]Northside (Columbus)3-AAAA2-057.6542.95295 [49]13.134.68
162 [31]Dalton7-AAAA0-357.4065.1991 [14]12.584.38
163 [7]Metter3-A Division II1-157.3949.88234 [11]11.733.53
164 [32]Madison County8-AAAA2-057.3851.81215 [38]15.557.37
165 [33]Centennial6-AAAA3-057.3249.49238 [41]14.176.04
166 [14]Columbia6-AA0-257.2892.735 [1]11.963.87
167 [40]South Forsyth6-AAAAAA2-157.2745.86271 [53]13.915.84
168 [41]Dacula8-AAAAAA1-257.0554.91180 [43]12.965.11
169 [11]Greater Atlanta Christian6-AAA #0-257.0360.90129 [5]12.995.15
170 [30]Statesboro1-AAAAA1-156.8654.84182 [43]12.014.34
171 [34]Tucker5-AAAA1-156.8360.72130 [25]14.496.85
172 [15]Carver (Atlanta)5-AA1-256.7352.96200 [17]12.755.21
173 [8]Trion7-A Division II3-056.5941.69310 [24]14.767.36
174 [22]Jenkins3-AAA1-156.5444.92281 [41]12.114.76
175 [31]Villa Rica5-AAAAA1-156.5260.09133 [32]12.665.33
176 [42]Pebblebrook3-AAAAAA1-156.3545.71275 [54]12.225.06
177 [35]Maynard Jackson4-AAAA2-056.2142.41306 [50]12.575.55
178 [43]Mountain View8-AAAAAA0-356.0163.93100 [32]14.277.44
179 [12]North Cobb Christian7-AA #3-056.0140.02322 [17]9.342.53
180 [36]Pace Academy4-AAAA1-155.7651.12224 [40]11.094.52
181 [16]Hart County8-AA1-255.7556.68165 [13]12.265.70
182 [32]Pope6-AAAAA1-255.5565.3489 [22]16.049.69
183 [33]Veterans2-AAAAA0-355.5066.3481 [19]13.437.12
184 [37]Mundy's Mill3-AAAA0-255.4675.8433 [4]12.015.74
185 [44]Chapel Hill2-AAAAAA1-155.3857.13161 [39]11.054.86
186 [34]Woodstock6-AAAAA3-055.3340.84315 [54]12.236.09
187 [14]Dodge County2-A Division I2-055.0141.94309 [28]10.324.50
188 [23]Harlem4-AAA2-054.8243.19293 [44]12.616.98
189 [24]Lumpkin County6-AAA1-154.7157.19160 [24]13.788.27
190 [9]Lincoln County8-A Division II3-054.4045.83272 [15]11.306.09
191 [13]Whitefield Academy5-A Division I #1-154.3962.70112 [4]10.805.60
192 [35]Kennesaw Mountain5-AAAAA0-254.3768.4369 [15]12.337.15
193 [17]Ringgold7-AA3-054.3535.18357 [37]10.024.87
194 [45]Central Gwinnett8-AAAAAA2-154.2246.44267 [52]9.874.85
195 [18]North Murray7-AA1-154.2159.40137 [9]13.468.44
196 [25]Southeast Bulloch3-AAA2-054.1842.61301 [46]10.905.91
197 [36]Winder-Barrow8-AAAAA2-154.1550.16227 [48]13.628.67
198 [38]Flowery Branch8-AAAA1-253.9553.43196 [36]10.475.72
199 [26]Monroe1-AAA0-353.7886.0811 [2]11.276.69
200 [15]Commerce8-A Division I1-253.6450.22226 [14]11.436.99
201 [19]Westside (Macon)2-AA1-253.3152.02212 [19]13.389.26
202 [20]Laney4-AA2-153.2846.41268 [28]10.256.17
203 [1]Valwood SchoolGIAA District 3-AAAA-AAA3-053.2742.66299 [7]14.1510.07
204 [39]Hampton2-AAAA1-253.1462.53115 [20]10.166.21
205 [27]Gilmer7-AAA2-153.0953.80190 [27]12.858.95
206 [10]Emanuel County Institute3-A Division II2-052.9156.26167 [6]10.576.85
207 [28]Dawson County6-AAA1-152.8151.56216 [30]10.206.59
208 [37]Bradwell Institute1-AAAAA2-052.7549.31239 [50]11.387.82
209 [29]Westover1-AAA2-152.6452.41207 [29]11.968.52
210 [38]New Manchester5-AAAAA3-052.6228.09398 [61]11.147.71
211 [39]Dunwoody4-AAAAA1-152.5756.76164 [40]10.256.87
212 [30]Heritage (Ringgold)7-AAA2-152.4643.34292 [43]11.458.18
213 [31]Dougherty1-AAA1-252.4057.26159 [23]11.067.85
214 [40]Walnut Grove8-AAAA3-052.3737.42342 [53]10.076.89
215 [40]Habersham Central8-AAAAA1-252.2858.21150 [38]10.917.82
216 [32]Long County3-AAA2-052.2742.42305 [48]11.598.51
217 [41]Southwest DeKalb5-AAAA1-152.2247.90253 [44]11.418.38
218 [41]Arabia Mountain4-AAAAA1-252.1158.30148 [37]10.087.17
219 [42]Alexander5-AAAAA1-251.9762.64114 [28]10.267.49
220 [14]Aquinas4-AAA #1-151.8055.26175 [9]11.999.39
221 [42]Eagle's Landing Christian2-AAAA0-351.7957.39157 [31]9.266.67
222 [43]Banneker3-AAAAA2-051.6038.48332 [55]9.577.17
223 [44]Lithia Springs5-AAAAA1-151.5647.54258 [52]10.317.94
224 [43]Union Grove2-AAAA2-151.5547.95252 [43]9.727.36
225 [2]John Milledge AcademyGIAA District 6-AAAA-AAA1-251.4946.81264 [3]10.828.53
226 [16]Bremen6-A Division I1-151.4532.67379 [37]8.926.67
227 [33]Howard4-AAA1-151.4042.54302 [47]9.647.44
228 [11]Early County1-A Division II0-251.1658.36147 [5]10.138.16
229 [12]Greene County8-A Division II3-051.1332.19383 [41]8.866.92
230 [15]Mount Vernon5-A Division I #1-151.1051.28222 [14]12.3310.42
231 [17]Vidalia3-A Division I2-150.8742.42304 [26]9.587.90
232 [45]Shiloh4-AAAAA0-350.5968.9366 [13]9.458.05
233 [3]First PresbyterianGIAA District 6-AAAA-AAA2-150.5143.88289 [5]10.148.83
234 [18]Heard County6-A Division I2-150.4825.88410 [40]10.819.52
235 [46]McIntosh3-AAAAA1-250.4359.16140 [35]11.3210.09
236 [4]Stratford AcademyGIAA District 6-AAAA-AAA3-050.3229.62389 [15]9.498.37
237 [46]Paulding County3-AAAAAA0-350.2665.7185 [31]10.229.16
238 [44]Eagle's Landing2-AAAA2-150.2347.55257 [45]11.9810.94
239 [34]White County6-AAA0-249.9458.45146 [20]12.2311.48
240 [21]Union County7-AA0-249.6958.55144 [10]9.318.81
241 [47]Northgate3-AAAAA0-349.5861.78122 [30]8.888.50
242 [13]Wilcox County4-A Division II1-249.5644.26284 [17]8.868.50
243 [47]Etowah5-AAAAAA0-349.5462.91109 [35]8.748.40
244 [35]North Hall6-AAA0-249.3758.23149 [21]9.879.69
245 [36]West Laurens4-AAA2-049.2822.50421 [59]8.508.41
246 [5]Tattnall SquareGIAA District 6-AAAA-AAA2-149.2243.97288 [4]9.979.94
247 [19]Model6-A Division I2-149.2049.25241 [19]7.167.15
248 [16]Savannah Country Day3-A Division I #0-349.0064.5695 [3]7.898.08
249 [48]Chattahoochee7-AAAAA3-048.9435.82353 [56]11.0911.34
250 [20]Putnam County4-A Division I0-348.8256.50166 [7]10.9011.26
251 [14]Pelham1-A Division II0-248.7376.1331 [1]9.489.94
252 [15]Charlton County2-A Division II2-148.6044.00287 [19]9.099.69
253 [48]Osborne3-AAAAAA0-248.3553.49195 [46]7.608.44
254 [45]Griffin3-AAAA0-248.2762.06119 [21]8.609.53
255 [37]Luella5-AAA1-248.2654.51185 [26]6.907.83
256 [6]BrookstoneGIAA District 5-AAAA-AAA1-148.2651.25223 [1]8.689.62
257 [17]Darlington6-A Division I #1-248.1842.85298 [16]9.4110.43
258 [49]Lakeside (Evans)1-AAAAA2-048.1635.44356 [57]7.748.77
259 [38]Hephzibah4-AAA1-147.9447.89254 [34]9.9611.22
260 [50]Loganville8-AAAAA0-347.8759.04141 [36]9.7911.11
261 [22]Jackson2-AA1-247.7853.82189 [15]7.609.02
262 [39]Pickens6-AAA2-147.7046.71265 [37]11.2112.70
263 [21]Washington County2-A Division I1-247.5049.97230 [15]9.3211.01
264 [51]South Effingham1-AAAAA0-247.5064.2397 [24]8.7010.39
265 [49]Forsyth Central6-AAAAAA1-247.3655.54173 [41]7.098.92
266 [7]Bethlehem Christian AcademyGIAA District 4-AAAA-AAA3-047.2443.37291 [6]7.459.41
267 [16]Macon County6-A Division II1-247.1548.17250 [13]8.5610.60
268 [8]St. Anne-PacelliGIAA District 5-AAAA-AAA1-247.1150.01228 [2]5.897.98
269 [17]Telfair County4-A Division II1-246.8646.96262 [14]7.9610.29
270 [52]Johns Creek7-AAAAA0-246.8566.5180 [18]6.719.06
271 [23]Sonoraville7-AA0-246.6448.45247 [23]8.6711.22
272 [24]South Atlanta6-AA1-246.5948.38248 [24]7.279.88
273 [25]Spencer1-AA1-246.5065.5586 [6]7.5810.28
274 [9]Tiftarea AcademyGIAA District 3-AAAA-AAA3-046.3739.39328 [9]9.7912.61
275 [22]Bacon County1-A Division I2-146.1845.12279 [23]9.3112.32
276 [40]Liberty County3-AAA1-145.9944.56282 [42]6.629.82
277 [18]Bryan County3-A Division II1-145.9542.88297 [21]6.9510.19
278 [19]Dooly County4-A Division II0-345.9452.14210 [10]7.0810.33
279 [20]Jenkins County3-A Division II1-145.8339.20329 [30]7.2710.63
280 [50]Meadowcreek7-AAAAAA0-245.5155.63172 [40]8.9512.63
281 [46]Drew4-AAAA3-045.0532.25382 [57]6.0910.24
282 [21]Seminole County1-A Division II3-045.0042.53303 [22]5.189.37
283 [23]ACE Charter2-A Division I2-044.8227.00406 [39]8.6813.05
284 [22]Mitchell County1-A Division II2-044.7742.30307 [23]7.5011.93
285 [26]East Jackson8-AA1-244.5953.53194 [16]7.1511.76
286 [23]McIntosh County Academy3-A Division II1-144.0438.48333 [31]3.818.96
287 [24]Warren County8-A Division II2-143.9549.59236 [12]7.2312.48
288 [24]Dade County7-A Division I1-243.9045.76274 [22]6.7412.03
289 [53]Greenbrier1-AAAAA1-143.8845.13278 [53]6.2611.58
290 [47]Cedar Shoals8-AAAA0-343.7868.2171 [9]6.3811.80
291 [18]Christian Heritage7-A Division I #2-143.4138.15336 [18]7.0612.84
292 [54]Lassiter6-AAAAA2-143.1733.87368 [60]6.2812.30
293 [55]Alcovy8-AAAAA0-343.1765.8384 [21]8.7014.72
294 [56]Riverwood6-AAAAA0-343.0654.51184 [44]5.9612.09
295 [10]Bulloch AcademyGIAA District 2-AAAA-AAA3-043.0230.95387 [14]5.8111.99
296 [25]Johnson County5-A Division II1-242.8137.64340 [33]4.5210.90
297 [25]Temple6-A Division I2-142.7032.78378 [36]6.4512.95
298 [26]Hawkinsville4-A Division II2-142.6043.04294 [20]6.8313.42
299 [27]Washington-Wilkes8-A Division II1-242.5044.08286 [18]5.7612.45
300 [41]Westside (Augusta)4-AAA2-042.4828.73396 [57]2.439.15
301 [51]Heritage (Conyers)4-AAAAAA2-042.0828.09399 [55]5.4112.52
302 [48]Woodland (Cartersville)7-AAAA1-141.7246.89263 [46]5.9913.46
303 [26]Social Circle4-A Division I2-140.8434.11366 [33]4.7013.05
304 [27]Miller Grove6-AA1-240.5736.46349 [36]2.6511.28
305 [19]Providence Christian8-A Division I #0-340.4659.18139 [6]6.0114.74
306 [27]Pepperell6-A Division I0-340.3849.68235 [18]4.0612.87
307 [57]Lakeside (Atlanta)4-AAAAA1-240.3649.53237 [49]2.9011.73
308 [28]Turner County2-A Division II0-240.0552.95201 [8]5.1014.24
309 [49]Locust Grove2-AAAA0-339.8664.9393 [15]6.8616.19
310 [28]Southwest2-A Division I0-339.3757.98154 [5]6.6316.45
311 [11]Deerfield-WindsorGIAA District 3-AAAA-AAA3-039.3627.71402 [19]5.5015.33
312 [29]Lake Oconee Academy8-A Division II3-039.3433.79369 [39]5.1414.99
313 [29]East Laurens2-A Division I1-239.2955.40174 [9]5.3115.21
314 [42]East Hall8-AAA3-039.0924.84415 [58]4.7714.87
315 [58]Chamblee4-AAAAA0-339.0654.93179 [42]3.8814.01
316 [12]Westfield SchoolGIAA District 5-AAAA-AAA2-138.9328.91393 [17]5.9916.25
317 [50]Lithonia5-AAAA2-038.7341.23314 [51]3.5814.04
318 [52]Rockdale County4-AAAAAA3-038.7324.90414 [56]3.4713.94
319 [28]Therrell5-AA1-238.7247.18261 [27]2.7213.19
320 [53]Berkmar7-AAAAAA1-238.7062.51116 [37]1.6812.17
321 [30]Lanier County2-A Division II1-238.6641.35313 [25]6.0216.55
322 [30]Haralson County6-A Division I1-238.6240.61318 [31]2.1412.71
323 [31]Gordon Lee7-A Division I1-138.4741.47311 [29]3.5914.31
324 [43]Richmond Academy4-AAA0-238.4566.0583 [13]0.7211.46
325 [51]Woodland (Stockbridge)2-AAAA0-338.4554.32186 [33]5.8316.58
326 [29]Washington5-AA1-238.4445.60277 [29]2.5213.27
327 [44]West Hall8-AAA2-138.2738.17335 [51]4.3115.23
328 [59]Morrow3-AAAAA1-138.2434.58363 [59]3.0113.96
329 [32]Jasper County4-A Division I2-138.1932.81377 [35]1.8712.87
330 [31]Screven County3-A Division II1-138.1940.03321 [27]1.5312.53
331 [32]Mount Zion (Carroll)7-A Division II2-138.1637.31344 [35]3.2514.28
332 [1]Brentwood SchoolGIAA District 4-AA-A3-038.1422.18424 [10]5.5416.59
333 [2]Edmund Burke AcademyGIAA District 4-AA-A3-038.1125.24413 [6]3.0014.08
334 [33]Wilkinson County5-A Division II2-138.1134.74362 [37]3.3114.39
335 [34]Portal3-A Division II1-137.9026.08408 [49]2.8914.19
336 [35]Miller County1-A Division II1-137.7440.18320 [26]2.2413.70
337 [60]Tri-Cities4-AAAAA1-037.6734.99358 [58]1.9213.45
338 [30]Hardaway1-AA1-237.5839.48326 [32]3.5815.19
339 [20]Mount Paran Christian5-A Division I #2-137.5232.95375 [20]0.8612.54
340 [31]Pike County2-AA2-137.3341.44312 [31]4.3916.25
341 [13]Frederica AcademyGIAA District 2-AAAA-AAA1-237.0727.89401 [18]3.6615.79
342 [45]Mount Zion (Jonesboro)5-AAA1-237.0057.39158 [22]2.5714.76
343 [32]Tattnall County3-AA1-236.7944.09285 [30]2.6415.04
344 [33]Chattooga7-A Division I2-036.7228.88394 [38]2.3214.79
345 [34]Berrien1-A Division I0-336.6849.91233 [17]5.3417.85
346 [36]Wheeler County4-A Division II1-136.6035.56354 [36]2.4615.05
347 [35]McNair4-A Division I2-136.5834.00367 [34]1.5514.16
348 [14]George Walton AcademyGIAA District 4-AAAA-AAA1-236.5338.23334 [10]1.0113.67
349 [46]Windsor Forest3-AAA1-136.3737.84337 [52]1.4914.31
350 [33]Shaw1-AA1-236.3261.10127 [8]2.0914.96
351 [3]Briarwood AcademyGIAA District 4-AA-A2-036.0225.31412 [5]1.8415.02
352 [54]Grovetown4-AAAAAA0-335.4449.99229 [50]3.0116.76
353 [47]Riverdale5-AAA0-335.0548.63246 [33]1.2315.37
354 [48]Fayette County2-AAA0-235.0066.6378 [12]0.6414.84
355 [52]M.L. King4-AAAA1-234.9933.64370 [56]1.3515.55
356 [21]King's Ridge Christian5-A Division I #3-034.8419.25434 [23]1.1615.51
357 [36]B.E.S.T. Academy5-A Division I3-034.466.82453 [46]3.4118.15
358 [61]Apalachee8-AAAAA0-334.4353.32197 [45]3.1517.91
359 [53]McDonough2-AAAA0-334.3444.96280 [48]2.9217.77
360 [37]Banks County8-A Division I0-233.9636.34351 [32]-1.0914.14
361 [49]Johnson (Savannah)3-AAA0-233.9649.11243 [31]0.1115.34
362 [34]Franklin County8-AA2-133.5925.97409 [43]1.2116.81
363 [22]Mount Pisgah Christian5-A Division I #0-333.3636.87348 [19]2.3518.19
364 [50]North Clayton5-AAA1-233.0942.89296 [45]4.3620.47
365 [37]Taylor County6-A Division II1-133.0037.39343 [34]-1.1115.08
366 [51]Chestatee6-AAA1-132.8635.93352 [55]2.3618.69
367 [4]Flint River AcademyGIAA District 1-AA-A3-032.8422.20423 [9]-1.1115.24
368 [38]Marion County6-A Division II1-232.7637.76338 [32]1.2717.70
369 [35]Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe7-AA1-132.2636.94347 [35]1.4118.34
370 [39]Greenville7-A Division II2-132.2228.21397 [45]-1.0215.95
371 [5]Robert Toombs AcademyGIAA District 3-AA-A2-132.1825.58411 [4]1.7418.76
372 [38]Armuchee7-A Division I2-032.1121.51425 [42]0.4317.51
373 [54]Druid Hills5-AAAA1-131.9435.49355 [55]-0.9816.28
374 [36]Rutland2-AA0-331.7656.24168 [14]1.1818.61
375 [37]Coahulla Creek7-AA0-331.4251.37218 [20]0.3318.11
376 [55]North Springs5-AAAA0-231.2660.09134 [27]-0.1817.75
377 [15]Lakeview AcademyGIAA District 4-AAAA-AAA3-031.1314.05444 [25]-0.0717.99
378 [16]Terrell AcademyGIAA District 3-AAAA-AAA1-130.9828.97392 [16]-0.4317.78
379 [38]Redan6-AA1-230.9031.11386 [41]-1.0617.23
380 [6]Southwest Georgia AcademyGIAA District 3-AA-A2-030.757.13451 [14]0.5018.94
381 [17]Pinewood ChristianGIAA District 2-AAAA-AAA0-330.4840.21319 [8]3.1821.89
382 [56]Midtown4-AAAA1-230.4137.23345 [54]1.2220.01
383 [55]Discovery8-AAAAAA0-329.9551.31220 [48]-0.6218.62
384 [40]Randolph-Clay1-A Division II1-129.9221.29426 [51]-2.1517.12
385 [41]Montgomery County4-A Division II2-129.6923.34418 [50]0.1219.62
386 [39]Brantley County1-A Division I0-329.6953.85188 [10]-1.1918.31
387 [18]Strong Rock ChristianGIAA District 5-AAAA-AAA2-129.5314.86443 [24]-2.3817.28
388 [40]Oglethorpe County8-A Division I0-329.4740.81316 [30]0.4320.16
389 [52]Beach3-AAA1-129.4339.10330 [50]-1.4518.31
390 [42]Treutlen4-A Division II1-229.4331.14385 [42]-1.0918.68
391 [41]Jefferson County2-A Division I0-329.1843.50290 [24]-1.3618.65
392 [39]KIPP Atlanta Collegiate5-AA1-228.9034.44364 [39]-4.8915.40
393 [56]South Cobb3-AAAAAA0-328.6251.30221 [49]0.7521.33
394 [53]Islands3-AAA0-228.3649.11244 [32]-2.7818.05
395 [7]Gatewood SchoolGIAA District 4-AA-A1-228.2723.22419 [8]-2.6118.31
396 [43]Chattahoochee County6-A Division II1-227.3727.90400 [46]-1.6020.22
397 [44]Hancock Central5-A Division II1-227.3127.24405 [47]0.0821.96
398 [19]Brookwood SchoolGIAA District 3-AAAA-AAA0-327.1934.95359 [11]1.7323.73
399 [40]Butler4-AA1-026.6618.02435 [46]-3.1319.41
400 [8]Central Fellowship ChristianGIAA District 1-AA-A1-226.6233.32372 [3]-1.9120.66
401 [54]LaFayette7-AAA0-326.3439.70324 [49]-2.0420.81
402 [23]St. Francis5-A Division I #0-326.1432.64380 [21]-0.7422.31
403 [9]Trinity Christian (Dublin)GIAA District 3-AA-A1-225.9734.84361 [2]0.4023.62
404 [24]Landmark Christian5-A Division I #2-125.907.72450 [24]-1.7321.57
405 [45]Calhoun County1-A Division II †2-125.7617.72436 [53]0.5223.96
406 [46]Crawford County6-A Division II2-125.3620.06429 [52]-0.3423.49
407 [42]Coosa7-A Division I1-125.0722.69420 [41]-4.1919.94
408 [47]Atkinson County2-A Division II †2-125.0413.98445 [55]-1.0723.09
409 [43]Central (Macon)2-A Division I0-324.8250.74225 [13]-3.5220.86
410 [20]Mount de SalesGIAA District 6-AAAA-AAA2-124.0420.49428 [22]-3.0722.08
411 [48]Glascock County5-A Division II1-223.9934.29365 [38]-0.9624.24
412 [49]Claxton3-A Division II0-223.9939.91323 [28]-3.2221.98
413 [21]King's AcademyGIAA District 4-AAAA-AAA2-123.8724.09416 [21]-4.2621.06
414 [22]Piedmont AcademyGIAA District 4-AAAA-AAA2-023.535.16454 [27]-3.5322.14
415 [55]Cross Creek4-AAA1-123.4133.45371 [56]-4.4421.35
416 [1]Cherokee ChristianGAPPS Region 1-AA0-221.6037.76339 [1]-3.5224.08
417 [56]Ridgeland7-AAA0-321.4337.52341 [53]-7.4720.30
418 [41]Columbus1-AA0-321.2933.29373 [40]-2.9224.99
419 [42]Salem6-AA0-321.1838.60331 [34]-6.9321.09
420 [10]Augusta PrepGIAA District 4-AA-A2-121.0219.40433 [12]-4.5323.64
421 [50]Terrell County1-A Division II1-220.8028.86395 [44]-6.2522.15
422 [44]Towers4-A Division I1-120.3816.77439 [43]-4.7924.02
423 [11]Southland AcademyGIAA District 3-AA-A0-320.1837.02346 [1]-7.7421.27
424 [57]Northview5-AAAA0-219.2340.72317 [52]-5.6824.28
425 [23]Athens ChristianGIAA District 4-AAAA-AAA1-218.8819.40432 [23]-4.8025.51
426 [45]Gordon Central7-A Division I2-118.026.92452 [45]-6.0925.08
427 [24]St. Andrew's SchoolGIAA District 2-AAAA-AAA0-317.5732.37381 [12]-6.2125.41
428 [51]Towns County8-A Division II †2-116.2210.86448 [56]-7.6425.34
429 [2]Skipstone AcademyGAPPS Region 1-AA0-216.1332.84376 [2]-7.3825.68
430 [57]Stone Mountain5-AAA †0-315.8845.91270 [39]-7.4325.89
431 [12]Windsor AcademyGIAA District 1-AA-A2-115.3310.79449 [13]-5.1728.69
432 [3]Lanier ChristianGAPPS Region 1-AA1-214.6419.41431 [4]-7.8926.66
433 [58]Forest Park4-AAAA1-212.9417.10438 [59]-10.1626.10
434 [43]Kendrick1-AA1-212.7715.27442 [47]-13.7022.73
435 [58]Groves3-AAA0-211.9152.91203 [28]-11.2226.06
436 [4]Creekside ChristianGAPPS Region 1-AA1-211.2827.50403 [3]-8.6129.30
437 [25]Calvary ChristianGIAA District 5-AAAA-AAA0-311.2631.72384 [13]-13.2924.65
438 [59]Johnson (Gainesville)6-AAA0-211.0736.34351 [54]-9.7028.42
439 [26]Loganville ChristianGIAA District 4-AAAA-AAA0-310.8427.28404 [20]-5.4832.87
440 [52]Georgia Military Prep5-A Division II0-310.1029.51390 [43]-11.1527.94
441 [44]Murray County7-AA1-29.1822.25422 [44]-8.3631.65
442 [53]Twiggs County5-A Division II0-39.1339.49325 [29]-8.8631.20
443 [13]Thomas JeffersonGIAA District 4-AA-A0-38.1523.68417 [7]-11.7829.27
444 [14]Heritage (Newnan)GIAA District 1-AA-A0-27.6519.63430 [11]-11.1030.44
445 [15]Rock Springs ChristianGIAA District 1-AA-A3-06.18-28.74459 [15]-11.6831.33
446 [59]Clarkston5-AAAA0-25.1846.59266 [47]-13.1230.89
447 [45]Glenn Hills4-AA0-24.1934.90360 [38]-13.3731.64
448 [54]Pataula Charter1-A Division II †1-23.2115.33441 [54]-16.3529.64
449 [55]Savannah3-A Division II0-22.5133.25374 [40]-13.9132.77
450 [56]Baconton Charter1-A Division II †0-32.1626.09407 [48]-13.6533.38
451 [46]Mount Bethel Christian5-A Division I †1-01.77-10.1837.24
452 [46]Jordan1-AA0-20.5539.41327 [33]-12.2936.35
453 [57]Central (Talbotton)6-A Division II1-10.144.53455 [57]-20.4428.61
454 [47]Josey4-AA0-2-2.1120.71427 [45]-16.6134.69
455 [60]Southeast Whitfield7-AAAA †0-3-3.8117.42437 [58]-17.6435.36
456 [27]Riverside PrepGIAA District 4-AAAA-AAA0-3-7.7412.35446 [26]-25.3731.56
457 [25]Walker5-A Division I #1-2-14.00-6.45457 [25]-19.3143.88
458 [58]Southwest Georgia STEM1-A Division II †1-2-16.71-7.16458 [59]-12.5353.37
459 [47]Utopian Academy4-A Division I0-3-25.6611.13447 [44]-38.7036.15
460 [61]Cross Keys5-AAAA †0-2-26.1316.04440 [60]-27.4047.92
461 [59]Spring Creek1-A Division II †0-2-52.36-5.26456 [58]-47.4554.11

† - Plays a non-region schedule / # - Qualifies for Class AAA to A Private school playoffs

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating,” which is the mode of the Extreme Value Type I Distribution (i.e., the Gumbel minimum distribution) applied to the ratings. This calculation favors regions with large numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Teams Comp Rating Avg Rating
12-AAAAA688.2581.35
22-AAAAAA586.2578.81
37-AAAAA782.8872.45
41-AAAA682.6276.86
51-AAAAAA682.0878.20
68-AAAAAA780.1668.47
75-AAAAAA777.1970.73
86-AAAA576.7971.47
97-AAAAAA874.1565.91
104-AAAAAA769.4359.82
116-AAAAAA869.0964.49
123-AAAAA868.7860.35
137-AAAA768.5065.54
143-AA568.3961.94
158-AA467.5851.17
165-AAAAA866.7160.18
172-AAA866.5761.54
188-AAA666.5058.46
198-AAAA766.1959.99
203-AAAA766.1261.85
216-AAAAA866.0860.13
223-A Division I365.0759.47
231-AAA664.6860.61
243-AAAAAA864.3757.62
251-A Division I762.1253.98
261-AAAAA960.9356.18
272-AAAA1059.5652.88
284-AAAA859.2948.59
294-AAAAA858.7851.49
302-A Division II658.2754.57
317-AAA757.6549.39
325-AA557.5145.27
335-AAA757.3851.61
342-AA656.5650.18
357-A Division II556.4650.04
368-AAAAA756.2651.30
378-A Division I555.8547.93
382-A Division I1053.1146.59
397-AA852.9343.50
405-AAAA952.8043.89
414-AAA851.3045.92
423-AAA951.2438.78
436-AAA750.5042.64
444-AA649.2935.69
45GIAA District 6-AAAA-AAA549.2945.11
466-A Division I648.4945.47
478-A Division II546.6946.26
481-AA845.9135.25
493-A Division II945.6338.75
506-AA545.5239.30
517-A Division I744.5336.90
525-A Division I144.4834.46
53GIAA District 3-AAAA-AAA544.4039.43
544-A Division II743.8040.10
554-A Division I741.8931.02
56GIAA District 5-AAAA-AAA541.4835.02
576-A Division II740.2331.92
58GIAA District 2-AAAA-AAA436.7232.03
59GIAA District 4-AA-A633.3828.29
601-A Division II733.3339.73
615-A Division II631.7625.24
62GIAA District 4-AAAA-AAA830.7023.04
63GIAA District 3-AA-A429.8127.27
64GIAA District 1-AA-A523.3417.73
65GAPPS Region 1-AA417.9115.91

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Favorite Underdog Score Diff Prob Likelihood
08/16Schley CountySeminole County14 - 3211.4477.6%0.261
08/23Houston CountyEffingham County44 - 4125.5994.1%0.294
08/16Miller GroveDruid Hills6 - 218.6371.9%0.328
08/17Lithia SpringsLithonia28 - 3114.0882.2%0.338
08/16Pace AcademyChamblee10 - 916.7086.0%0.365
08/30StockbridgeLocust Grove49 - 4227.2295.0%0.371
08/23Strong Rock ChristianLoganville Christian28 - 2617.4486.9%0.374
08/23North PauldingEast Paulding23 - 435.5664.7%0.376
08/15South PauldingDunwoody7 - 245.4064.2%0.387
08/14LaGrangeDouglass3 - 185.3564.1%0.395
08/16John Milledge AcademyBethlehem Christian Academy14 - 285.4964.5%0.395
08/16LaneyWestside (Augusta)6 - 712.0578.7%0.395
08/23Carver (Atlanta)Luella13 - 188.4771.5%0.400
08/16South GwinnettShiloh20 - 1226.4994.7%0.405
08/30John Milledge AcademyTiftarea Academy21 - 463.8760.3%0.407

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Prob
97.5010/11MiltonGainesville - 4.6762.4%
96.5708/16MiltonBuford13 - 107.3869.0%
96.3409/13CarrolltonGainesville - 4.9863.2%
95.8210/04Lee CountyCoffee - 1.7454.7%
94.9411/01Mill CreekBuford - 1.4353.9%
94.5611/01CarrolltonDouglas County - 5.6664.9%
94.5010/11Collins HillMill Creek - 0.0850.2%
94.2810/04BufordCollins Hill - 2.2356.0%
93.3509/13BufordDouglas County - 1.7054.6%
93.2209/06Mill CreekNorth Gwinnett - 4.0860.9%
92.9411/01MiltonRoswell - 11.2977.3%
92.8410/25GainesvilleRoswell - 2.8857.8%
92.7609/06BufordRoswell - 2.6657.2%
92.4108/23CoffeeWare County20 - 165.9165.5%
92.2409/06Douglas CountyHughes - 0.6551.8%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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