Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 4

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Sept 8, 2021

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2021 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAAA	3-0	98.72	999,944	4.10	840,990	708,569	578,554	388,890	1.57
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAAA	2-0	97.16	999,900	3.93	802,621	653,831	510,630	297,557	2.36
Grayson	4-AAAAAAA	2-1	90.79	992,997	3.19	666,412	446,984	186,295	77,648	11.88
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAAA	2-1	90.63	1,000,000	2.63	566,107	242,154	125,963	52,117	18.19
Walton	3-AAAAAAA	2-0	90.50	970,495	2.60	532,115	298,935	126,439	52,107	18.19
North Cobb	3-AAAAAAA	1-1	89.32	952,811	2.37	469,330	235,534	94,246	35,363	27.28
Newton	4-AAAAAAA	2-0	87.03	974,734	2.55	461,317	255,964	81,216	25,292	38.54
East Coweta	2-AAAAAAA	3-0	87.43	999,572	2.11	210,294	120,860	56,172	17,865	54.98
Brookwood	4-AAAAAAA	1-1	84.88	959,711	2.18	330,927	160,522	43,346	11,332	87.25
Roswell	5-AAAAAAA	2-0	83.75	993,729	2.44	379,833	115,867	33,583	7,912	125.39
Lowndes	1-AAAAAAA	2-1	84.65	1,000,000	1.88	293,424	96,577	28,559	7,290	136.17
Camden County	1-AAAAAAA	3-0	84.00	1,000,000	1.82	271,469	85,938	23,720	5,745	173.06
Marietta	3-AAAAAAA	1-1	84.42	832,228	1.56	242,768	79,985	22,187	5,550	179.18
Archer	7-AAAAAAA	0-2	82.04	999,972	2.17	294,476	92,048	21,159	4,177	238.41
Milton	5-AAAAAAA	2-1	81.03	984,925	2.19	276,904	74,874	15,694	2,945	338.56
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	1-1	80.38	973,724	1.88	216,259	75,829	12,141	2,097	475.87
North Paulding	3-AAAAAAA	2-0	81.86	733,807	1.21	152,063	38,546	8,795	1,738	574.37
Tift County	1-AAAAAAA	3-0	81.26	1,000,000	1.56	174,041	47,799	9,567	1,704	585.85
North Gwinnett	8-AAAAAAA	1-2	78.75	972,151	1.78	155,824	47,629	6,409	925	1,080.08
Cherokee	5-AAAAAAA	2-1	76.93	956,409	1.76	142,645	26,985	3,714	458	2,182.41
Norcross	7-AAAAAAA	1-2	76.47	999,758	1.70	126,979	18,732	2,943	318	3,143.65
McEachern	2-AAAAAAA	1-2	76.94	986,769	1.36	66,209	16,466	2,102	273	3,662.00
Parkview	4-AAAAAAA	1-2	76.92	755,561	1.10	54,128	13,975	1,947	227	4,404.29
Pebblebrook	2-AAAAAAA	3-0	76.39	982,561	1.33	59,411	14,052	1,689	184	5,433.78
Harrison	3-AAAAAAA	2-1	77.71	464,673	0.64	48,911	7,514	1,292	170	5,881.35
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	1-1	73.13	795,728	1.04	35,455	6,453	507	37	27,026.03
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	2-1	73.32	804,669	1.06	37,156	6,933	564	34	29,410.76
Mountain View	8-AAAAAAA	2-1	70.44	848,868	1.15	33,665	4,306	211	18	55,554.56
Alpharetta	5-AAAAAAA	1-2	70.29	795,776	1.07	27,307	2,849	168	15	66,665.67
Lambert	6-AAAAAAA	3-0	69.95	623,376	0.72	11,177	1,473	93	6	166,665.67
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAAA	2-1	69.57	316,997	0.37	3,902	455	32	3	333,332.33
Gainesville	6-AAAAAAA	1-1	69.34	567,564	0.65	8,297	975	54	2	499,999.00
Newnan	2-AAAAAAA	0-2	64.11	763,456	0.80	4,746	298	5	1	999,999.00
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAAA	0-2	66.29	45,986	0.05	442	16	2	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAAA	0-2	61.79	222,064	0.25	999	36	1	-	-
Denmark	6-AAAAAAA	1-2	62.69	163,313	0.17	356	13	1	-	-
Peachtree Ridge	8-AAAAAAA	1-1	59.00	179,137	0.20	564	13	-	-	-
Campbell	2-AAAAAAA	2-0	56.69	267,642	0.27	247	5	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAAA	1-1	59.33	71,626	0.07	43	2	-	-	-
Woodstock	5-AAAAAAA	0-3	54.85	47,097	0.05	24	2	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAAA	0-1	50.81	748,177	0.76	104	1	-	-	-
Discovery	7-AAAAAAA	0-3	46.51	445,696	0.45	21	1	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAAA	1-2	48.63	613,580	0.62	37	-	-	-	-
Dunwoody	7-AAAAAAA	1-1	41.90	192,603	0.19	1	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAAA	0-3	16.98	214	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	515,611	282,705	128,701	72,983	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Lowndes	196,244	265,048	281,341	257,367	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Camden County	186,073	262,065	284,887	266,975	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Tift County	102,072	190,182	305,071	402,675	1,000,000	-
2-AAAAAAA	East Coweta	747,641	195,314	49,038	7,579	999,572	428
2-AAAAAAA	McEachern	124,799	381,918	394,282	85,770	986,769	13,231
2-AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	121,147	383,828	387,256	90,330	982,561	17,439
2-AAAAAAA	Newnan	5,996	33,116	141,053	583,291	763,456	236,544
2-AAAAAAA	Campbell	417	5,824	28,371	233,030	267,642	732,358
3-AAAAAAA	Walton	450,461	289,706	155,485	74,843	970,495	29,505
3-AAAAAAA	North Cobb	326,959	310,784	206,750	108,318	952,811	47,189
3-AAAAAAA	Marietta	124,503	198,484	271,522	237,719	832,228	167,772
3-AAAAAAA	North Paulding	78,106	142,801	229,496	283,404	733,807	266,193
3-AAAAAAA	Harrison	19,723	56,574	128,245	260,131	464,673	535,327
3-AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	248	1,651	8,502	35,585	45,986	954,014
4-AAAAAAA	Grayson	503,453	299,954	143,040	46,550	992,997	7,003
4-AAAAAAA	Newton	281,997	325,528	262,819	104,390	974,734	25,266
4-AAAAAAA	Brookwood	180,654	282,013	338,126	158,918	959,711	40,289
4-AAAAAAA	Parkview	31,436	78,996	205,471	439,658	755,561	244,439
4-AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	2,460	13,509	50,544	250,484	316,997	683,003
5-AAAAAAA	Roswell	499,742	299,504	146,964	47,519	993,729	6,271
5-AAAAAAA	Milton	316,997	364,664	226,259	77,005	984,925	15,075
5-AAAAAAA	Cherokee	153,116	251,895	374,033	177,365	956,409	43,591
5-AAAAAAA	Alpharetta	28,735	74,384	211,320	481,337	795,776	204,224
5-AAAAAAA	Etowah	1,337	8,760	35,483	176,484	222,064	777,936
5-AAAAAAA	Woodstock	73	793	5,941	40,290	47,097	952,903
6-AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	577,956	235,917	111,596	48,255	973,724	26,276
6-AAAAAAA	North Forsyth	154,049	237,664	229,482	183,474	804,669	195,331
6-AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	150,617	235,798	225,738	183,575	795,728	204,272
6-AAAAAAA	Lambert	62,895	145,627	193,875	220,979	623,376	376,624
6-AAAAAAA	Gainesville	48,452	119,031	174,384	225,697	567,564	432,436
6-AAAAAAA	Denmark	4,985	19,929	46,152	92,247	163,313	836,687
6-AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	1,046	6,034	18,773	45,773	71,626	928,374
7-AAAAAAA	Archer	698,650	295,469	5,668	185	999,972	28
7-AAAAAAA	Norcross	300,181	672,374	25,961	1,242	999,758	242
7-AAAAAAA	Duluth	775	15,958	437,937	293,507	748,177	251,823
7-AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	260	9,934	284,062	319,324	613,580	386,420
7-AAAAAAA	Discovery	123	5,321	179,269	260,983	445,696	554,304
7-AAAAAAA	Dunwoody	11	944	67,093	124,555	192,603	807,397
7-AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	10	204	214	999,786
8-AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	576,291	390,629	30,683	2,341	999,944	56
8-AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	412,421	528,871	55,222	3,386	999,900	100
8-AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	10,273	71,033	686,595	204,250	972,151	27,849
8-AAAAAAA	Mountain View	1,008	8,969	207,208	631,683	848,868	151,132
8-AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	7	498	20,292	158,340	179,137	820,863

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAA	2-0	95.26	999,998	4.03	917,701	650,863	490,376	319,899	2.13
Westlake	4-AAAAAA	2-1	93.46	999,935	4.09	935,939	703,998	470,041	264,618	2.78
Northside (Warner Robins)	1-AAAAAA	2-0	91.35	1,000,000	3.48	841,353	389,235	250,230	128,203	6.80
Carrollton	5-AAAAAA	3-0	89.69	998,993	3.62	812,619	628,148	280,636	123,655	7.09
Rome	5-AAAAAA	2-0	88.88	998,480	3.52	791,833	593,049	248,439	102,684	8.74
Lee County	1-AAAAAA	3-0	85.15	1,000,000	3.03	690,551	235,293	105,112	30,968	31.29
Hughes	4-AAAAAA	2-1	82.92	995,788	2.91	664,809	288,345	74,843	18,640	52.65
Brunswick	2-AAAAAA	2-0	78.88	998,725	2.47	501,441	143,270	30,565	4,856	204.93
Creekview	7-AAAAAA	2-0	80.14	967,029	1.89	230,205	66,655	17,959	3,280	303.88
Johns Creek	7-AAAAAA	1-1	77.87	938,205	1.65	166,169	45,706	9,000	1,316	758.88
Douglas County	5-AAAAAA	3-0	75.38	896,439	1.48	128,648	36,031	4,548	561	1,781.53
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	1-2	73.04	960,867	1.78	199,196	33,714	3,860	302	3,310.26
Kennesaw Mountain	6-AAAAAA	3-0	72.53	959,795	1.80	161,194	32,292	2,916	259	3,860.00
River Ridge	7-AAAAAA	3-0	73.15	790,345	1.12	72,552	18,690	1,898	160	6,249.00
Houston County	1-AAAAAA	1-2	69.99	1,000,000	2.08	119,945	30,959	2,385	143	6,992.01
Lovejoy	4-AAAAAA	1-0	71.81	910,472	1.53	115,699	18,559	1,704	131	7,632.59
Pope	6-AAAAAA	2-1	70.15	924,931	1.52	100,210	15,282	1,083	72	13,887.89
Sprayberry	6-AAAAAA	1-0	70.26	839,626	1.34	87,010	13,207	1,003	62	16,128.03
Sequoyah	7-AAAAAA	2-1	70.61	656,030	0.84	39,950	9,340	686	45	22,221.22
Alexander	5-AAAAAA	1-0	70.92	708,806	0.98	41,327	6,975	554	39	25,640.03
Allatoona	6-AAAAAA	0-3	69.95	718,577	1.06	59,847	7,923	616	38	26,314.79
Richmond Hill	2-AAAAAA	0-2	68.56	956,690	1.35	70,421	8,420	536	32	31,249.00
Shiloh	8-AAAAAA	1-1	66.94	817,832	1.18	48,199	4,869	259	15	66,665.67
Glynn Academy	2-AAAAAA	1-1-1	67.64	944,993	1.27	56,827	6,180	336	12	83,332.33
Kell	6-AAAAAA	1-2	66.94	496,099	0.65	23,228	2,282	143	6	166,665.67
Riverwood	7-AAAAAA	2-0	66.21	321,628	0.36	8,927	1,570	73	2	499,999.00
North Atlanta	4-AAAAAA	3-0	63.47	604,387	0.76	22,009	1,367	47	1	999,999.00
Cambridge	7-AAAAAA	1-0	65.91	318,052	0.36	8,298	1,397	41	1	999,999.00
Evans	3-AAAAAA	3-0	60.14	996,885	1.08	41,957	4,185	62	-	-
Tucker	4-AAAAAA	0-2	61.90	483,079	0.59	13,305	715	24	-	-
Lanier	8-AAAAAA	0-2	61.59	522,520	0.65	9,722	573	10	-	-
Statesboro	2-AAAAAA	1-1	60.61	715,195	0.77	7,236	409	6	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAAA	1-1	58.95	327,791	0.39	3,389	182	6	-	-
Dalton	5-AAAAAA	1-2	61.65	148,133	0.17	1,133	59	1	-	-
South Paulding	5-AAAAAA	1-1	61.61	145,566	0.16	1,046	58	1	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAAA	1-2	56.34	181,239	0.20	1,072	47	1	-	-
Alcovy	3-AAAAAA	0-1	49.90	902,827	0.93	2,332	63	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	1-2	56.27	189,753	0.21	1,016	44	-	-	-
Paulding County	5-AAAAAA	2-1	59.15	74,953	0.08	328	15	-	-	-
Effingham County	2-AAAAAA	0-1	52.59	196,749	0.20	198	9	-	-	-
Grovetown	3-AAAAAA	0-2	44.97	745,635	0.75	349	8	-	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	3-AAAAAA	0-2	45.00	733,705	0.74	368	7	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAAA	1-2	54.62	53,933	0.06	171	4	-	-	-
South Effingham	2-AAAAAA	0-2	51.69	162,248	0.16	152	3	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	3-AAAAAA	0-2	40.07	418,741	0.42	47	-	-	-	-
East Paulding	5-AAAAAA	0-2	56.03	28,630	0.03	46	-	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAAA	1-2	51.96	5,236	0.01	11	-	-	-	-
Centennial	7-AAAAAA	0-2	50.61	3,475	0.00	5	-	-	-	-
Wheeler	6-AAAAAA	0-3	50.11	6,224	0.01	4	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	6-AAAAAA	1-2	46.53	806	0.00	3	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	3-AAAAAA	0-2	35.74	202,207	0.20	1	-	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	2-AAAAAA	0-1	44.15	25,400	0.03	1	-	-	-	-
Morrow	4-AAAAAA	1-2	41.73	6,339	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Osborne	6-AAAAAA	1-1	35.97	9	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	1-1	82.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAAA	1-2	28.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	675,825	297,207	26,968	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Lee County	309,886	587,544	102,570	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Houston County	14,289	115,249	870,462	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-AAAAAA	Brunswick	747,011	192,735	48,126	10,853	998,725	1,275
2-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	129,795	378,127	309,882	138,886	956,690	43,310
2-AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	102,752	320,482	359,443	162,316	944,993	55,007
2-AAAAAA	Statesboro	19,043	90,928	207,025	398,199	715,195	284,805
2-AAAAAA	Effingham County	878	10,053	40,722	145,096	196,749	803,251
2-AAAAAA	South Effingham	502	7,332	31,597	122,817	162,248	837,752
2-AAAAAA	Bradwell Institute	19	343	3,205	21,833	25,400	974,600
3-AAAAAA	Evans	766,112	178,386	41,126	11,261	996,885	3,115
3-AAAAAA	Alcovy	138,716	371,815	252,308	139,988	902,827	97,173
3-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	42,265	187,799	258,476	245,165	733,705	266,295
3-AAAAAA	Grovetown	40,656	179,130	265,048	260,801	745,635	254,365
3-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	10,470	63,108	127,770	217,393	418,741	581,259
3-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	1,781	19,762	55,272	125,392	202,207	797,793
4-AAAAAA	Westlake	812,391	172,489	13,777	1,278	999,935	65
4-AAAAAA	Hughes	170,994	661,338	144,538	18,918	995,788	4,212
4-AAAAAA	Lovejoy	14,538	128,232	542,564	225,138	910,472	89,528
4-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	1,427	22,554	176,790	403,616	604,387	395,613
4-AAAAAA	Tucker	650	15,384	121,521	345,524	483,079	516,921
4-AAAAAA	Morrow	-	3	810	5,526	6,339	993,661
4-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAAA	Carrollton	509,331	400,595	78,335	10,732	998,993	1,007
5-AAAAAA	Rome	453,497	438,046	92,184	14,753	998,480	1,520
5-AAAAAA	Douglas County	29,917	115,721	485,577	265,224	896,439	103,561
5-AAAAAA	Alexander	6,930	40,816	264,995	396,065	708,806	291,194
5-AAAAAA	Dalton	161	2,036	30,219	115,717	148,133	851,867
5-AAAAAA	South Paulding	119	1,996	31,992	111,459	145,566	854,434
5-AAAAAA	Paulding County	42	676	12,869	61,366	74,953	925,047
5-AAAAAA	East Paulding	3	114	3,829	24,684	28,630	971,370
6-AAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	468,670	256,801	150,337	83,987	959,795	40,205
6-AAAAAA	Pope	252,538	262,298	238,110	171,985	924,931	75,069
6-AAAAAA	Sprayberry	187,733	223,461	228,886	199,546	839,626	160,374
6-AAAAAA	Allatoona	58,817	175,379	227,431	256,950	718,577	281,423
6-AAAAAA	Kell	31,372	78,359	142,083	244,285	496,099	503,901
6-AAAAAA	Lassiter	847	3,545	12,150	37,391	53,933	946,067
6-AAAAAA	Wheeler	21	140	913	5,150	6,224	993,776
6-AAAAAA	South Cobb	2	17	90	697	806	999,194
6-AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	-	9	9	999,991
7-AAAAAA	Creekview	460,712	290,054	151,633	64,630	967,029	32,971
7-AAAAAA	Johns Creek	331,609	303,371	199,477	103,748	938,205	61,795
7-AAAAAA	River Ridge	123,216	199,420	254,993	212,716	790,345	209,655
7-AAAAAA	Sequoyah	59,771	128,888	210,785	256,586	656,030	343,970
7-AAAAAA	Riverwood	12,983	39,596	90,351	178,698	321,628	678,372
7-AAAAAA	Cambridge	11,693	38,511	91,463	176,385	318,052	681,948
7-AAAAAA	Chattahoochee	13	106	793	4,324	5,236	994,764
7-AAAAAA	Centennial	3	54	505	2,913	3,475	996,525
8-AAAAAA	Buford	951,190	47,219	1,456	133	999,998	2
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	40,531	592,210	245,131	82,995	960,867	39,133
8-AAAAAA	Shiloh	6,649	235,716	357,046	218,421	817,832	182,168
8-AAAAAA	Lanier	1,083	66,528	185,930	268,979	522,520	477,480
8-AAAAAA	Habersham Central	327	33,402	105,745	188,317	327,791	672,209
8-AAAAAA	Winder-Barrow	115	12,938	51,409	116,777	181,239	818,761
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	105	11,987	53,283	124,378	189,753	810,247

Class AAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Warner Robins	1-AAAAA	2-0	99.25	999,825	4.34	871,187	856,085	635,624	467,014	1.14
Creekside	3-AAAAA	2-0	95.70	1,000,000	3.83	793,294	773,983	413,676	240,323	3.16
Cartersville	7-AAAAA	2-0	92.02	999,998	3.31	511,835	485,945	311,129	115,109	7.69
Ware County	1-AAAAA	3-0	90.84	997,024	3.10	544,656	511,549	261,732	87,850	10.38
Coffee	1-AAAAA	2-0	89.68	995,278	2.93	500,478	465,054	215,298	65,661	14.23
Woodward Academy	3-AAAAA	3-0	85.21	999,909	2.22	349,606	309,737	88,625	18,288	53.68
Decatur	5-AAAAA	3-0	77.47	999,921	2.08	142,883	107,486	16,270	1,648	605.80
St. Pius X	5-AAAAA	2-1	77.56	999,910	2.06	140,080	105,957	15,553	1,515	659.07
Jones County	4-AAAAA	1-2	73.53	985,832	2.51	651,853	63,385	9,888	560	1,784.71
Griffin	2-AAAAA	1-1	73.62	990,185	2.42	569,439	84,175	9,553	548	1,823.82
Veterans	1-AAAAA	1-1	76.44	887,750	1.12	55,946	40,533	5,133	507	1,971.39
Calhoun	7-AAAAA	1-1	74.56	994,978	1.82	56,047	37,960	5,376	452	2,211.39
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	0-2	70.64	994,510	2.46	519,800	38,777	3,778	186	5,375.34
Dutchtown	4-AAAAA	1-2	69.95	955,292	2.12	475,856	33,378	3,061	142	7,041.25
Blessed Trinity	7-AAAAA	1-2	71.35	985,223	1.59	31,146	18,489	1,829	91	10,988.01
Eastside	8-AAAAA	1-1	67.50	981,619	2.23	388,735	21,606	1,467	54	18,517.52
Starr's Mill	2-AAAAA	2-1	66.55	911,330	1.65	263,814	13,624	820	31	32,257.06
Union Grove	4-AAAAA	2-1	64.42	818,450	1.40	200,698	7,463	304	6	166,665.67
Whitewater	2-AAAAA	2-1	63.94	832,613	1.35	173,964	6,271	279	6	166,665.67
Stockbridge	4-AAAAA	1-1	63.27	749,551	1.20	145,237	5,106	203	4	249,999.00
Loganville	8-AAAAA	1-1	62.92	939,722	1.86	222,661	6,593	236	2	499,999.00
New Manchester	6-AAAAA	1-2	59.63	971,131	1.62	137,508	3,233	92	2	499,999.00
Villa Rica	6-AAAAA	0-2	54.59	881,037	1.17	39,157	438	7	1	999,999.00
Jonesboro	3-AAAAA	1-1	63.03	905,387	0.93	1,335	428	20	-	-
Lithia Springs	6-AAAAA	1-1	55.40	898,480	1.24	51,184	645	14	-	-
Northgate	2-AAAAA	1-1	57.77	463,945	0.59	35,098	527	14	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	2-AAAAA	2-0	56.54	352,454	0.43	21,062	238	7	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	1-1	53.26	479,961	0.69	24,861	211	3	-	-
Ola	4-AAAAA	1-2	57.29	340,988	0.44	22,182	355	2	-	-
Cass	7-AAAAA	1-2	57.80	765,564	0.83	898	187	2	-	-
Harris County	2-AAAAA	0-2	56.60	368,427	0.45	22,523	277	1	-	-
Wayne County	1-AAAAA	0-2	60.77	120,123	0.12	198	64	1	-	-
Greenbrier	8-AAAAA	1-1	50.41	288,521	0.38	8,481	51	1	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	1-2	55.87	618,451	0.62	229	39	1	-	-
Eagle's Landing	4-AAAAA	2-1	52.43	110,748	0.13	2,429	14	1	-	-
Chapel Hill	6-AAAAA	0-3	50.73	726,459	0.85	11,893	72	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAAA	1-2	49.34	234,211	0.30	5,481	25	-	-	-
Maynard Jackson	6-AAAAA	0-2	48.05	516,203	0.57	4,024	20	-	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAAA	0-3	51.27	770,896	0.80	90	6	-	-	-
McIntosh	2-AAAAA	2-1	49.70	81,046	0.09	1,115	4	-	-	-
Hiram	7-AAAAA	0-3	50.30	245,207	0.25	24	3	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	5-AAAAA	2-0	47.12	522,608	0.53	22	3	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAAA	0-1	51.20	256,639	0.26	29	2	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	4-AAAAA	1-2	48.38	34,924	0.04	288	1	-	-	-
Drew	3-AAAAA	0-1	47.09	100,672	0.10	3	1	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	0-3	44.72	81,192	0.10	650	-	-	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAAA	0-3	46.47	482,707	0.49	10	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	4-AAAAA	0-3	42.42	4,215	0.00	7	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	3-AAAAA	2-0	45.18	60,947	0.06	3	-	-	-	-
M.L. King	5-AAAAA	0-3	38.93	113,439	0.11	1	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAAA	0-2	38.63	110,519	0.11	-	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	3-AAAAA	1-1	44.04	57,995	0.06	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAAA	1-2	35.63	9,030	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	6-AAAAA	0-3	28.60	6,690	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8-AAAAA	0-1	28.91	264	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	5-AAAAA	2-1	43.71	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Midtown	6-AAAAA	0-1	37.98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAAA	1-0	24.76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAAA	0-2	-13.10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Warner Robins	644,501	255,283	89,241	10,800	999,825	175
1-AAAAA	Ware County	185,759	362,980	364,583	83,702	997,024	2,976
1-AAAAA	Coffee	163,747	350,325	389,227	91,979	995,278	4,722
1-AAAAA	Veterans	5,986	30,936	152,933	697,895	887,750	112,250
1-AAAAA	Wayne County	7	476	4,016	115,624	120,123	879,877
2-AAAAA	Griffin	658,796	225,446	81,623	24,320	990,185	9,815
2-AAAAA	Starr's Mill	182,346	349,087	254,227	125,670	911,330	88,670
2-AAAAA	Whitewater	118,051	254,181	281,060	179,321	832,613	167,387
2-AAAAA	Northgate	18,720	70,559	145,979	228,687	463,945	536,055
2-AAAAA	Harris County	12,150	50,237	110,164	195,876	368,427	631,573
2-AAAAA	Northside (Columbus)	9,362	45,364	106,562	191,166	352,454	647,546
2-AAAAA	McIntosh	575	5,126	20,385	54,960	81,046	918,954
3-AAAAA	Creekside	783,207	214,366	2,381	46	1,000,000	-
3-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	215,945	748,728	33,990	1,246	999,909	91
3-AAAAA	Jonesboro	785	30,192	646,922	227,488	905,387	94,613
3-AAAAA	Banneker	57	5,662	211,935	400,797	618,451	381,549
3-AAAAA	Mundy's Mill	6	836	65,809	189,988	256,639	743,361
3-AAAAA	Drew	-	130	19,538	81,004	100,672	899,328
3-AAAAA	Forest Park	-	48	10,352	50,547	60,947	939,053
3-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	-	38	9,073	48,884	57,995	942,005
4-AAAAA	Jones County	553,877	270,185	117,552	44,218	985,832	14,168
4-AAAAA	Dutchtown	276,378	346,351	221,639	110,924	955,292	44,708
4-AAAAA	Union Grove	98,530	193,297	282,696	243,927	818,450	181,550
4-AAAAA	Stockbridge	60,442	146,250	248,873	293,986	749,551	250,449
4-AAAAA	Ola	9,565	36,268	96,361	198,794	340,988	659,012
4-AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	1,101	6,398	25,471	77,778	110,748	889,252
4-AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	106	1,177	6,843	26,798	34,924	965,076
4-AAAAA	Locust Grove	1	74	565	3,575	4,215	995,785
5-AAAAA	Decatur	522,999	462,763	13,612	547	999,921	79
5-AAAAA	St. Pius X	475,646	508,873	14,824	567	999,910	90
5-AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	971	17,356	473,952	278,617	770,896	229,104
5-AAAAA	Stone Mountain	199	5,656	229,336	287,417	522,608	477,392
5-AAAAA	Lithonia	178	4,776	204,585	273,168	482,707	517,293
5-AAAAA	Northview	4	301	31,245	78,969	110,519	889,481
5-AAAAA	M.L. King	3	275	32,446	80,715	113,439	886,561
5-AAAAA	Chamblee	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAA	New Manchester	482,271	274,232	143,503	71,125	971,131	28,869
6-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	235,649	265,411	232,998	164,422	898,480	101,520
6-AAAAA	Villa Rica	178,202	246,900	263,382	192,553	881,037	118,963
6-AAAAA	Chapel Hill	73,270	138,308	219,156	295,725	726,459	273,541
6-AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	30,596	75,031	139,966	270,610	516,203	483,797
6-AAAAA	North Springs	12	118	995	5,565	6,690	993,310
6-AAAAA	Midtown	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAAA	Cartersville	900,978	88,876	9,620	524	999,998	2
7-AAAAA	Calhoun	60,523	522,883	364,219	47,353	994,978	5,022
7-AAAAA	Blessed Trinity	37,639	361,841	483,759	101,984	985,223	14,777
7-AAAAA	Cass	822	23,391	121,136	620,215	765,564	234,436
7-AAAAA	Hiram	38	2,997	20,872	221,300	245,207	754,793
7-AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	-	12	394	8,624	9,030	990,970
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	525,964	306,196	136,811	25,539	994,510	5,490
8-AAAAA	Eastside	320,286	372,845	229,352	59,136	981,619	18,381
8-AAAAA	Loganville	141,700	261,249	398,626	138,147	939,722	60,278
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	8,166	34,200	114,893	322,702	479,961	520,039
8-AAAAA	Greenbrier	2,162	13,263	59,018	214,078	288,521	711,479
8-AAAAA	Walnut Grove	1,551	10,602	49,101	172,957	234,211	765,789
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	171	1,644	12,186	67,191	81,192	918,808
8-AAAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	1	13	250	264	999,736

Class AAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Jefferson	8-AAAA	3-0	84.85	999,542	4.06	874,991	712,559	509,523	355,303	1.81
Marist	6-AAAA	1-1	82.59	999,722	3.73	800,014	641,527	358,049	222,901	3.49
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	2-0	80.31	996,793	3.64	758,306	588,943	379,181	172,044	4.81
Bainbridge	1-AAAA	0-1	78.37	997,272	3.36	836,736	376,208	188,588	88,503	10.30
Perry	4-AAAA	2-0	76.87	992,537	2.95	558,392	374,651	179,497	65,697	14.22
Benedictine	3-AAAA	0-2	75.12	1,000,000	3.05	772,930	301,809	110,652	40,953	23.42
Cedartown	7-AAAA	1-0	72.73	999,335	2.96	602,103	281,582	107,888	27,500	35.36
Carver (Columbus)	2-AAAA	2-1	71.34	998,145	2.09	206,634	122,988	46,173	10,380	95.34
Cairo	1-AAAA	0-1	68.88	934,917	2.23	424,070	122,338	33,750	6,070	163.74
Baldwin	4-AAAA	1-1	68.93	906,642	1.74	171,449	75,341	18,908	3,591	277.47
New Hampstead	3-AAAA	3-0	65.92	1,000,000	2.11	399,552	83,068	18,425	2,401	415.49
Riverdale	5-AAAA	2-0	63.64	998,753	2.12	300,952	53,006	10,925	1,063	939.73
North Oconee	8-AAAA	1-2	64.62	825,889	1.30	105,214	35,534	5,637	596	1,676.85
Troup	2-AAAA	1-1	64.41	972,958	1.48	74,329	25,042	4,422	491	2,035.66
Stephenson	6-AAAA	3-0	64.21	870,478	1.25	83,770	27,788	4,798	448	2,231.14
Thomas County Central	1-AAAA	1-2	62.81	743,894	1.27	158,641	26,550	4,024	378	2,644.50
Hardaway	2-AAAA	1-1	63.64	966,434	1.43	65,949	20,373	3,382	366	2,731.24
Spalding	4-AAAA	2-1	64.11	717,752	1.10	52,106	16,905	2,779	312	3,204.13
LaGrange	2-AAAA	2-0	62.93	959,048	1.38	59,159	17,252	2,632	247	4,047.58
Hapeville Charter	6-AAAA	0-3	62.68	811,646	1.08	54,376	15,833	2,490	213	4,693.84
Central (Carrollton)	7-AAAA	2-0	60.48	952,493	1.83	149,795	19,199	2,271	155	6,450.61
West Laurens	4-AAAA	0-2	62.22	638,066	0.92	32,789	9,487	1,346	126	7,935.51
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-1	61.03	609,984	0.80	34,092	8,374	928	74	13,512.51
Dougherty	1-AAAA	2-0	59.11	534,811	0.77	63,745	7,288	715	42	23,808.52
Monroe	1-AAAA	1-2	58.72	488,009	0.69	54,619	5,943	599	30	33,332.33
Madison County	8-AAAA	2-0	59.43	535,743	0.67	21,699	4,672	429	30	33,332.33
Miller Grove	6-AAAA	3-0	58.48	759,232	0.91	22,984	4,692	431	29	34,481.76
Pickens	7-AAAA	1-1	57.14	890,186	1.51	85,443	7,322	579	23	43,477.26
Westside (Macon)	4-AAAA	1-0	59.78	455,572	0.61	13,723	3,447	362	22	45,453.55
McDonough	5-AAAA	2-1	53.59	970,791	1.40	46,439	2,638	156	3	333,332.33
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAAA	1-0	54.00	794,963	1.20	43,700	2,567	139	3	333,332.33
Howard	4-AAAA	2-0	57.26	289,411	0.36	5,045	1,032	90	3	333,332.33
Westover	1-AAAA	0-1	55.88	301,097	0.38	20,077	1,688	116	1	999,999.00
Mays	6-AAAA	0-2	55.36	404,731	0.44	4,438	708	50	1	999,999.00
Jenkins	3-AAAA	1-1	51.52	1,000,000	1.12	18,441	1,008	47	1	999,999.00
Fayette County	5-AAAA	1-2	48.68	880,499	1.07	11,438	357	14	-	-
Islands	3-AAAA	1-1	46.70	1,000,000	1.05	5,481	132	2	-	-
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAAA	1-2	46.09	319,160	0.39	3,616	79	2	-	-
Arabia Mountain	6-AAAA	2-1	50.20	152,347	0.16	410	30	1	-	-
Hampton	5-AAAA	0-1	42.35	571,537	0.61	1,291	20	-	-	-
Luella	5-AAAA	1-2	41.24	505,350	0.53	877	13	-	-	-
Shaw	2-AAAA	0-1	42.50	38,009	0.04	39	3	-	-	-
Chestatee	8-AAAA	1-1	45.70	30,009	0.03	48	2	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAAA	1-2	36.90	43,863	0.05	50	1	-	-	-
Spencer	2-AAAA	1-2	41.88	30,305	0.03	24	1	-	-	-
Columbus	2-AAAA	0-2	42.22	35,058	0.04	19	-	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAAA	0-2	31.72	67,702	0.07	4	-	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAAA	0-2	36.10	2,040	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAAA	0-2	22.45	5,368	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	6-AAAA	0-3	13.77	1,844	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	2-AAAA	0-2	24.08	42	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Rutland	4-AAAA	0-2	25.56	20	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	2-AAAA	0-2	16.68	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	1-2	24.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Bainbridge	748,561	199,695	39,820	9,196	997,272	2,728
1-AAAA	Cairo	185,230	434,653	220,228	94,806	934,917	65,083
1-AAAA	Thomas County Central	36,842	169,254	299,387	238,411	743,894	256,106
1-AAAA	Dougherty	13,286	88,067	186,477	246,981	534,811	465,189
1-AAAA	Monroe	12,557	75,542	162,013	237,897	488,009	511,991
1-AAAA	Westover	3,524	32,789	92,075	172,709	301,097	698,903
2-AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	565,690	261,717	114,693	56,045	998,145	1,855
2-AAAA	Troup	168,634	269,865	286,769	247,690	972,958	27,042
2-AAAA	Hardaway	142,851	244,630	293,849	285,104	966,434	33,566
2-AAAA	LaGrange	122,686	221,878	293,647	320,837	959,048	40,952
2-AAAA	Columbus	64	703	3,873	30,418	35,058	964,942
2-AAAA	Shaw	60	760	4,125	33,064	38,009	961,991
2-AAAA	Spencer	15	447	3,042	26,801	30,305	969,695
2-AAAA	Kendrick	-	-	2	40	42	999,958
2-AAAA	Jordan	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
3-AAAA	Benedictine	788,480	198,719	11,426	1,375	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	New Hampstead	199,331	674,984	105,956	19,729	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Jenkins	9,430	89,023	545,482	356,065	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Islands	2,759	37,274	337,136	622,831	1,000,000	-
4-AAAA	Perry	686,258	220,861	65,584	19,834	992,537	7,463
4-AAAA	Baldwin	197,193	357,462	230,707	121,280	906,642	93,358
4-AAAA	Spalding	54,514	176,907	254,742	231,589	717,752	282,248
4-AAAA	West Laurens	40,399	135,163	217,113	245,391	638,066	361,934
4-AAAA	Westside (Macon)	15,833	75,081	145,690	218,968	455,572	544,428
4-AAAA	Howard	5,803	34,526	86,162	162,920	289,411	710,589
4-AAAA	Rutland	-	-	2	18	20	999,980
5-AAAA	Riverdale	741,992	206,711	42,037	8,013	998,753	1,247
5-AAAA	McDonough	185,869	469,543	237,265	78,114	970,791	29,209
5-AAAA	Fayette County	57,797	216,513	388,257	217,932	880,499	119,501
5-AAAA	Hampton	8,513	60,219	176,327	326,478	571,537	428,463
5-AAAA	Luella	5,742	44,870	142,035	312,703	505,350	494,650
5-AAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	87	2,103	13,595	51,917	67,702	932,298
5-AAAA	North Clayton	-	41	484	4,843	5,368	994,632
6-AAAA	Marist	893,329	91,953	11,791	2,649	999,722	278
6-AAAA	Stephenson	49,241	344,973	293,546	182,718	870,478	129,522
6-AAAA	Hapeville Charter	32,544	263,489	289,434	226,179	811,646	188,354
6-AAAA	Miller Grove	21,256	224,894	257,127	255,955	759,232	240,768
6-AAAA	Mays	3,030	60,144	113,880	227,677	404,731	595,269
6-AAAA	Arabia Mountain	306	12,997	34,222	104,822	152,347	847,653
6-AAAA	Druid Hills	294	1,550	-	-	1,844	998,156
7-AAAA	Cedartown	784,216	175,022	32,202	7,895	999,335	665
7-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	128,904	404,153	282,540	136,896	952,493	47,507
7-AAAA	Pickens	62,194	253,302	329,654	245,036	890,186	109,814
7-AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	22,833	140,191	271,204	360,735	794,963	205,037
7-AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	1,823	26,211	76,802	214,324	319,160	680,840
7-AAAA	Ridgeland	30	1,121	7,598	35,114	43,863	956,137
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	Jefferson	665,158	302,773	28,020	3,591	999,542	458
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	318,583	569,145	95,076	13,989	996,793	3,207
8-AAAA	North Oconee	10,998	77,867	456,096	280,928	825,889	174,111
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	3,358	27,913	228,808	349,905	609,984	390,016
8-AAAA	Madison County	1,902	22,154	185,413	326,274	535,743	464,257
8-AAAA	Chestatee	1	148	6,419	23,441	30,009	969,991
8-AAAA	East Hall	-	-	168	1,872	2,040	997,960

Class AAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	1-1	83.18	996,756	4.04	929,380	664,855	477,516	333,153	2.00
Appling County	1-AAA	3-0	79.54	999,998	3.58	799,976	502,626	291,237	155,452	5.43
Oconee County	8-AAA	3-0	79.81	996,066	3.26	691,145	408,756	248,507	133,995	6.46
Stephens County	8-AAA	3-0	77.49	992,188	2.97	610,675	326,360	166,698	76,269	12.11
Peach County	2-AAA	0-2	78.04	998,843	2.89	532,855	259,117	151,345	74,486	12.43
Pierce County	1-AAA	2-1	75.18	999,991	3.20	710,713	361,832	148,642	56,519	16.69
Hart County	8-AAA	3-0	76.13	986,291	2.79	558,858	281,751	128,386	52,752	17.96
Monroe Area	8-AAA	3-0	75.32	982,226	2.67	522,320	256,320	106,288	41,118	23.32
Sandy Creek	5-AAA	2-0	73.15	930,882	2.57	523,277	235,935	87,810	26,671	36.49
Westminster (Atlanta)	5-AAA	2-1	72.27	916,863	2.44	482,011	205,578	70,953	19,769	49.58
Thomson	4-AAA	2-0	71.91	998,029	2.33	332,750	148,973	43,656	13,341	73.96
Rockmart	6-AAA	1-1	70.94	996,906	1.71	220,050	105,315	31,940	8,106	122.37
Crisp County	2-AAA	0-2	68.89	973,954	1.98	202,869	60,163	17,659	3,832	259.96
Burke County	4-AAA	1-0	67.50	990,795	1.92	188,797	65,557	13,348	2,508	397.72
Greater Atlanta Christian	5-AAA	0-3	65.89	676,867	1.31	147,908	37,744	6,785	1,034	966.12
White County	7-AAA	1-2	63.62	973,973	1.39	80,798	17,156	2,424	334	2,993.01
Mary Persons	2-AAA	2-0	62.87	859,661	1.34	66,383	13,516	2,011	216	4,628.63
North Hall	7-AAA	1-2	62.76	965,717	1.34	72,520	13,868	1,786	200	4,999.00
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AAA	1-1	63.31	456,200	0.79	62,415	12,530	1,719	175	5,713.29
Adairsville	6-AAA	2-0	58.71	835,302	0.92	14,797	1,993	162	13	76,922.08
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	2-0	53.81	995,797	1.75	62,900	4,998	237	10	99,999.00
Cherokee Bluff	7-AAA	3-0	56.81	847,602	0.98	33,205	3,263	222	9	111,110.11
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	1-1	58.02	594,999	0.76	15,485	2,039	149	8	124,999.00
Sonoraville	6-AAA	2-0	58.24	793,281	0.87	12,649	1,523	122	8	124,999.00
Dawson County	7-AAA	0-3	55.37	786,219	0.88	24,315	2,037	100	8	124,999.00
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	1-1	51.98	991,530	1.62	40,817	2,495	99	4	249,999.00
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-1	55.77	779,936	0.93	10,217	982	72	3	333,332.33
North Murray	6-AAA	1-0	56.93	764,328	0.82	8,989	928	66	3	333,332.33
Sumter County	2-AAA	1-1	54.24	313,229	0.37	3,331	309	11	2	499,999.00
Harlem	4-AAA	1-2	51.05	484,256	0.53	1,671	84	4	1	999,999.00
Morgan County	4-AAA	0-2	50.61	451,675	0.49	1,492	72	2	1	999,999.00
Liberty County	3-AAA	0-1	49.45	983,258	1.43	21,435	890	27	-	-
Ringgold	6-AAA	2-0	52.91	454,243	0.47	2,091	114	9	-	-
West Hall	7-AAA	2-0	49.27	367,942	0.38	3,678	124	5	-	-
Jackson	2-AAA	1-2	52.35	229,731	0.26	1,563	92	2	-	-
Franklin County	8-AAA	2-0	50.49	40,131	0.05	489	37	1	-	-
Tattnall County	1-AAA	1-0	42.39	903,178	1.10	3,290	37	-	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	1-1	47.64	293,674	0.31	405	15	-	-	-
Salem	5-AAA	2-0	49.03	17,227	0.02	118	8	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-AAA	0-2	37.35	724,345	0.81	898	4	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6-AAA	2-0	45.60	94,485	0.10	66	2	-	-	-
Gilmer	7-AAA	1-1	39.85	58,194	0.06	76	1	-	-	-
Douglass	5-AAA	0-2	45.13	4,603	0.01	8	1	-	-	-
Long County	1-AAA	1-2	32.44	372,488	0.40	134	-	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	0-0	35.79	603,350	0.62	103	-	-	-	-
LaFayette	6-AAA	1-1	44.22	59,120	0.06	29	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	0-2	32.56	375,286	0.38	25	-	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-AAA	0-3	43.35	17,157	0.02	13	-	-	-	-
Pike County	2-AAA	0-1	42.20	12,426	0.01	6	-	-	-	-
East Jackson	8-AAA	1-2	41.01	3,098	0.00	5	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-AAA	0-1	22.50	47,142	0.05	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-1	12.92	3,637	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6-AAA	0-1	34.81	1,902	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	0-3	28.56	1,635	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Redan	5-AAA	2-0	40.04	602	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	6-AAA	1-1	31.73	433	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lumpkin County	7-AAA	0-2	23.73	353	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
East Forsyth	7-AAA	0-3	19.38	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAA	Appling County	614,119	383,620	2,230	29	999,998	2
1-AAA	Pierce County	385,734	607,990	6,171	96	999,991	9
1-AAA	Tattnall County	113	6,192	627,665	269,208	903,178	96,822
1-AAA	Brantley County	30	1,628	265,528	457,159	724,345	275,655
1-AAA	Long County	4	570	98,406	273,508	372,488	627,512
2-AAA	Peach County	758,878	192,485	40,277	7,203	998,843	1,157
2-AAA	Crisp County	174,344	487,528	237,658	74,424	973,954	26,046
2-AAA	Mary Persons	52,916	218,180	376,448	212,117	859,661	140,339
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	10,452	65,860	192,734	325,953	594,999	405,001
2-AAA	Sumter County	2,450	22,885	89,901	197,993	313,229	686,771
2-AAA	Jackson	949	12,680	58,600	157,502	229,731	770,269
2-AAA	Central (Macon)	8	241	2,606	14,302	17,157	982,843
2-AAA	Pike County	3	141	1,776	10,506	12,426	987,574
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	452,417	318,843	193,851	30,686	995,797	4,203
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	326,213	351,306	265,676	48,335	991,530	8,470
3-AAA	Liberty County	213,932	298,486	388,239	82,601	983,258	16,742
3-AAA	Beach	5,788	21,852	99,704	476,006	603,350	396,650
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	1,632	9,286	49,524	314,844	375,286	624,714
3-AAA	Savannah	18	226	2,927	43,971	47,142	952,858
3-AAA	Groves	-	1	79	3,557	3,637	996,363
4-AAA	Thomson	650,769	291,218	47,945	8,097	998,029	1,971
4-AAA	Burke County	315,758	521,710	126,725	26,602	990,795	9,205
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	21,968	105,306	395,638	257,024	779,936	220,064
4-AAA	Harlem	5,279	34,138	173,682	271,157	484,256	515,744
4-AAA	Morgan County	5,023	34,651	164,279	247,722	451,675	548,325
4-AAA	Hephzibah	1,203	12,974	91,612	187,885	293,674	706,326
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	3	119	1,513	1,635	998,365
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	694,625	219,716	64,687	17,728	996,756	3,244
5-AAA	Sandy Creek	145,184	321,899	302,442	161,357	930,882	69,118
5-AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	127,748	307,168	306,528	175,419	916,863	83,137
5-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	24,093	104,908	205,685	342,181	676,867	323,133
5-AAA	Carver (Atlanta)	8,329	45,978	117,631	284,262	456,200	543,800
5-AAA	Salem	20	291	2,513	14,403	17,227	982,773
5-AAA	Douglass	1	40	469	4,093	4,603	995,397
5-AAA	Redan	-	-	45	557	602	999,398
6-AAA	Rockmart	780,538	161,297	42,628	12,443	996,906	3,094
6-AAA	Adairsville	79,450	287,126	265,588	203,138	835,302	164,698
6-AAA	Sonoraville	73,860	237,834	257,098	224,489	793,281	206,719
6-AAA	North Murray	52,497	222,839	253,488	235,504	764,328	235,672
6-AAA	Ringgold	12,784	78,780	141,439	221,240	454,243	545,757
6-AAA	Coahulla Creek	598	8,031	24,830	61,026	94,485	905,515
6-AAA	LaFayette	271	4,055	14,614	40,180	59,120	940,880
6-AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	1	33	275	1,593	1,902	998,098
6-AAA	Murray County	1	5	40	387	433	999,567
7-AAA	White County	421,598	316,768	162,730	72,877	973,973	26,027
7-AAA	North Hall	385,795	307,784	181,606	90,532	965,717	34,283
7-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	103,822	187,718	297,152	258,910	847,602	152,398
7-AAA	Dawson County	75,994	146,086	254,171	309,968	786,219	213,781
7-AAA	West Hall	12,501	39,690	93,329	222,422	367,942	632,058
7-AAA	Gilmer	290	1,950	10,991	44,963	58,194	941,806
7-AAA	Lumpkin County	-	4	21	328	353	999,647
7-AAA	East Forsyth	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAA	Oconee County	365,838	284,215	201,356	144,657	996,066	3,934
8-AAA	Stephens County	267,021	267,936	247,039	210,192	992,188	7,812
8-AAA	Hart County	208,953	236,932	266,518	273,888	986,291	13,709
8-AAA	Monroe Area	158,158	210,432	282,844	330,792	982,226	17,774
8-AAA	Franklin County	30	475	2,170	37,456	40,131	959,869
8-AAA	East Jackson	-	10	73	3,015	3,098	996,902

Class AA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Callaway	5-AA	3-0	78.76	999,693	3.79	731,683	651,142	417,069	246,381	3.06
Fitzgerald	1-AA	2-0	79.12	999,559	3.65	781,688	613,954	402,640	237,596	3.21
Thomasville	1-AA	3-0	77.94	999,280	3.50	740,199	586,289	360,059	193,377	4.17
Dodge County	3-AA	3-0	77.07	994,774	3.34	658,796	534,558	288,084	148,796	5.72
Rabun County	8-AA	1-1	75.12	999,999	3.41	838,289	395,468	230,708	102,819	8.73
Lovett	6-AA	2-1	69.49	999,405	3.20	798,487	321,891	99,448	28,380	34.24
Northeast	3-AA	2-0	70.16	941,625	2.02	293,659	197,082	69,190	21,036	46.54
Bleckley County	3-AA	3-0	67.37	885,585	1.58	188,141	111,667	31,209	7,438	133.44
Jeff Davis	2-AA	2-0	63.46	984,514	2.34	426,790	84,210	20,493	3,288	303.14
Heard County	5-AA	3-0	63.84	952,190	2.10	193,850	85,935	17,354	2,769	360.14
Swainsboro	2-AA	2-1	63.03	982,598	2.28	392,973	74,968	17,278	2,698	369.64
Washington County	3-AA	0-0	63.52	758,533	1.08	87,712	40,581	8,372	1,443	692.00
Cook	1-AA	1-1	62.71	933,940	1.33	87,025	43,207	7,494	1,159	861.81
Jefferson County	4-AA	0-2	59.49	999,423	1.93	276,771	47,828	6,797	773	1,292.66
Pace Academy	6-AA	0-2	58.82	933,017	1.99	332,282	50,289	6,566	637	1,568.86
Haralson County	5-AA	2-1	58.77	874,060	1.67	83,865	26,672	3,475	330	3,029.30
Putnam County	4-AA	2-0	57.67	998,597	1.75	192,259	27,952	3,172	289	3,459.21
Bremen	5-AA	2-1	58.18	832,739	1.56	73,026	22,698	2,685	251	3,983.06
Vidalia	2-AA	0-1	57.33	920,716	1.66	174,465	20,703	2,387	182	5,493.51
Elbert County	8-AA	0-1	54.89	998,676	1.69	166,209	12,741	1,405	91	10,988.01
Columbia	6-AA	1-1	54.63	809,980	1.35	136,930	12,651	1,126	73	13,697.63
Toombs County	2-AA	0-2	54.44	859,564	1.39	111,543	10,082	861	52	19,229.77
Lamar County	3-AA	3-0	57.80	416,668	0.49	16,701	4,801	577	48	20,832.33
Early County	1-AA	1-1	56.29	754,298	0.87	21,604	5,997	510	44	22,726.27
Fannin County	7-AA	1-1	53.01	976,007	1.34	22,325	5,957	454	27	37,036.04
Washington	6-AA	1-1	52.45	686,615	0.99	66,807	4,530	327	17	58,822.53
Pepperell	7-AA	0-3	49.78	929,623	1.14	9,260	1,560	88	4	249,999.00
Temple	5-AA	0-1	49.14	341,318	0.51	5,994	1,058	44	2	499,999.00
South Atlanta	6-AA	0-1	49.94	532,390	0.71	33,599	1,785	83	-	-
Laney	4-AA	1-1	46.51	910,337	1.05	16,867	470	18	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	4-AA	1-1	45.84	943,531	1.09	14,375	399	10	-	-
Worth County	1-AA	1-2	47.01	177,455	0.18	747	71	5	-	-
East Laurens	2-AA	2-1	44.73	236,770	0.28	5,723	181	4	-	-
Union County	8-AA	0-2	43.08	967,466	1.11	15,237	337	3	-	-
Chattooga	7-AA	0-1	44.39	776,585	0.85	1,738	140	2	-	-
Model	7-AA	1-2	43.56	698,183	0.75	1,161	86	2	-	-
Berrien	1-AA	1-0	45.56	135,468	0.14	348	27	1	-	-
Dade County	7-AA	2-0	41.13	569,745	0.60	474	32	-	-	-
Banks County	8-AA	0-2	31.16	634,653	0.64	241	1	-	-	-
Therrell	6-AA	0-2	36.14	22,610	0.02	59	-	-	-	-
Riverside Military Academy	8-AA	1-0	26.70	399,206	0.40	30	-	-	-	-
Bacon County	2-AA	0-2	32.32	15,838	0.02	25	-	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6-AA	0-1	34.89	15,495	0.02	22	-	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	4-AA	0-1	27.57	72,936	0.07	13	-	-	-	-
Coosa	7-AA	0-2	29.20	49,238	0.05	3	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-0	24.35	31,450	0.03	3	-	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	0-2	20.54	10,465	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Jasper County	3-AA	0-2	36.02	1,582	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-0	21.49	33,261	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest	3-AA	0-2	35.19	1,233	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-AA	0-3	15.09	619	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Towers	6-AA	0-2	26.15	485	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
McNair	6-AA	0-1	14.30	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AA	Fitzgerald	551,770	383,846	57,966	5,977	999,559	441
1-AA	Thomasville	421,066	483,698	84,501	10,015	999,280	720
1-AA	Cook	23,730	105,335	553,008	251,867	933,940	66,060
1-AA	Early County	3,338	24,711	247,547	478,702	754,298	245,702
1-AA	Worth County	68	1,495	32,268	143,624	177,455	822,545
1-AA	Berrien	28	915	24,710	109,815	135,468	864,532
2-AA	Jeff Davis	432,207	310,664	163,656	77,987	984,514	15,486
2-AA	Swainsboro	380,915	339,781	181,006	80,896	982,598	17,402
2-AA	Vidalia	114,662	197,384	329,574	279,096	920,716	79,284
2-AA	Toombs County	69,240	137,753	279,642	372,929	859,564	140,436
2-AA	East Laurens	2,960	14,233	44,393	175,184	236,770	763,230
2-AA	Bacon County	16	185	1,729	13,908	15,838	984,162
3-AA	Dodge County	645,903	244,456	77,871	26,544	994,774	5,226
3-AA	Northeast	195,971	331,249	265,840	148,565	941,625	58,375
3-AA	Bleckley County	106,995	247,637	307,220	223,733	885,585	114,415
3-AA	Washington County	43,589	136,771	245,753	332,420	758,533	241,467
3-AA	Lamar County	7,542	39,880	103,035	266,211	416,668	583,332
3-AA	Jasper County	-	7	169	1,406	1,582	998,418
3-AA	Southwest	-	-	112	1,121	1,233	998,767
4-AA	Jefferson County	556,303	332,819	93,554	16,747	999,423	577
4-AA	Putnam County	388,342	436,101	144,683	29,471	998,597	1,403
4-AA	Westside (Augusta)	43,158	143,692	429,571	327,110	943,531	56,469
4-AA	Laney	12,165	86,449	312,738	498,985	910,337	89,663
4-AA	Oglethorpe County	27	717	12,133	60,059	72,936	927,064
4-AA	Glenn Hills	4	149	4,042	27,255	31,450	968,550
4-AA	Josey	1	51	2,328	30,881	33,261	966,739
4-AA	Butler	-	22	951	9,492	10,465	989,535
5-AA	Callaway	843,831	134,398	17,066	4,398	999,693	307
5-AA	Heard County	99,140	449,243	270,496	133,311	952,190	47,810
5-AA	Haralson County	28,987	205,448	342,542	297,083	874,060	125,940
5-AA	Bremen	26,651	182,940	295,801	327,347	832,739	167,261
5-AA	Temple	1,391	27,971	74,095	237,861	341,318	658,682
6-AA	Lovett	792,231	175,986	26,506	4,682	999,405	595
6-AA	Pace Academy	147,291	401,998	251,943	131,785	933,017	66,983
6-AA	Columbia	45,373	210,860	303,396	250,351	809,980	190,020
6-AA	South Atlanta	11,754	78,462	167,659	274,515	532,390	467,610
6-AA	Washington	3,321	131,748	243,487	308,059	686,615	313,385
6-AA	Therrell	17	566	4,266	17,761	22,610	977,390
6-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	13	375	2,706	12,401	15,495	984,505
6-AA	Towers	-	5	37	443	485	999,515
6-AA	McNair	-	-	-	3	3	999,997
7-AA	Fannin County	528,585	268,445	123,537	55,440	976,007	23,993
7-AA	Pepperell	272,886	319,089	215,337	122,311	929,623	70,377
7-AA	Chattooga	92,632	180,470	258,344	245,139	776,585	223,415
7-AA	Model	69,243	136,718	220,910	271,312	698,183	301,817
7-AA	Dade County	36,280	92,909	171,142	269,414	569,745	430,255
7-AA	Coosa	374	2,365	10,674	35,825	49,238	950,762
7-AA	Gordon Central	-	4	56	559	619	999,381
8-AA	Rabun County	944,379	54,258	1,326	36	999,999	1
8-AA	Elbert County	52,083	788,530	148,073	9,990	998,676	1,324
8-AA	Union County	3,429	142,216	682,971	138,850	967,466	32,534
8-AA	Banks County	99	11,425	112,138	510,991	634,653	365,347
8-AA	Riverside Military Academy	10	3,571	55,492	340,133	399,206	600,794

Class A Public

AAAAAAA
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AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Irwin County	2-A Public	1-1	74.12	997,823	4.27	908,744	775,211	629,269	389,068	1.57
Brooks County	2-A Public	0-1	74.12	997,962	4.26	906,488	773,259	627,450	388,665	1.57
Dublin	4-A Public	0-1	66.20	998,576	3.22	690,099	541,650	196,399	76,173	12.13
Metter	3-A Public	2-0	65.04	999,101	3.15	681,398	377,663	148,470	51,973	18.24
Macon County	5-A Public	2-0	63.73	989,405	2.88	611,268	215,863	96,941	30,831	31.43
Pelham	1-A Public	2-1	60.97	999,973	2.78	644,137	197,129	74,020	18,051	54.40
Clinch County	2-A Public	0-2	61.94	904,835	2.30	460,186	243,998	66,262	17,202	57.13
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Public	2-1	59.20	990,884	2.42	449,466	155,293	38,707	8,350	118.76
Schley County	5-A Public	2-0	58.58	946,611	2.37	401,870	117,683	31,164	6,334	156.88
Bowdon	6-A Public	2-1	57.89	997,227	2.22	310,182	131,820	26,564	5,090	195.46
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Public	0-1-1	55.82	975,762	2.06	333,905	92,226	15,598	2,527	394.73
Manchester	5-A Public	1-1	54.75	856,030	1.91	260,569	59,551	10,195	1,410	708.22
Lincoln County	8-A Public	2-0	54.33	988,506	1.90	119,216	44,549	8,392	1,123	889.47
Commerce	8-A Public	1-1	54.28	987,376	1.90	116,815	43,838	8,255	1,070	933.58
Mitchell County	1-A Public	1-1	53.29	996,410	1.73	237,744	56,197	6,807	795	1,256.86
Wilcox County	4-A Public	0-2	51.83	823,193	1.06	68,296	18,879	2,215	217	4,607.29
Johnson County	4-A Public	2-0	51.80	803,443	1.03	63,137	17,473	2,067	199	5,024.13
Turner County	2-A Public	0-2	51.83	422,864	0.61	52,372	15,772	1,487	171	5,846.95
Trion	6-A Public	2-0	49.67	954,637	1.50	75,118	20,506	1,694	158	6,328.11
Chattahoochee County	5-A Public	2-0	50.04	600,250	1.16	113,071	18,557	1,644	150	6,665.67
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Public	1-1	49.52	953,465	1.55	64,454	16,511	1,616	125	7,999.00
Charlton County	2-A Public	2-0	51.44	390,888	0.55	45,192	13,299	1,240	105	9,522.81
Social Circle	8-A Public	2-1	48.46	942,513	1.46	54,850	12,297	1,010	61	16,392.44
Atkinson County	2-A Public	1-0	49.65	279,137	0.37	23,169	5,955	434	41	24,389.24
Terrell County	1-A Public	2-0	47.13	968,952	1.26	64,164	7,299	537	35	28,570.43
Hancock Central	7-A Public	0-0	46.02	995,521	1.41	72,291	9,164	535	28	35,713.29
Dooly County	4-A Public	1-1	48.48	625,084	0.71	21,884	4,331	395	21	47,618.05
Warren County	7-A Public	2-1	44.82	994,334	1.34	52,990	5,682	274	12	83,332.33
Telfair County	4-A Public	0-1	44.83	355,187	0.38	5,060	637	38	6	166,665.67
Marion County	5-A Public	1-2	44.63	408,363	0.67	36,367	3,545	164	3	333,332.33
Screven County	3-A Public	0-1	43.04	570,238	0.67	19,684	1,356	60	3	333,332.33
Greenville	5-A Public	2-0	42.71	158,220	0.24	10,449	839	38	1	999,999.00
Armuchee	6-A Public	2-0	40.83	693,321	0.83	5,149	605	20	1	999,999.00
Montgomery County	4-A Public	2-0	43.02	241,157	0.25	2,041	230	12	1	999,999.00
Mount Zion (Carroll)	6-A Public	2-1	40.77	669,085	0.80	4,564	480	15	-	-
Gordon Lee	6-A Public	1-2	38.43	501,644	0.57	1,954	170	4	-	-
Jenkins County	3-A Public	0-1	39.28	265,142	0.29	4,169	188	3	-	-
Taylor County	5-A Public	1-1	40.52	41,121	0.06	1,802	120	3	-	-
Wheeler County	4-A Public	2-0	41.04	139,630	0.14	675	60	1	-	-
Lanier County	2-A Public	1-2	34.57	6,491	0.01	20	1	1	-	-
Wilkinson County	7-A Public	1-1	32.49	919,180	0.96	1,671	44	-	-	-
Georgia Military College	7-A Public	2-0	33.11	855,714	0.89	1,431	30	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Public	0-2	36.22	149,423	0.16	1,078	22	-	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	6-A Public	1-1	32.97	184,086	0.20	159	10	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Public	1-1	31.83	110,824	0.12	169	3	-	-	-
Seminole County	1-A Public	1-2	26.77	350,020	0.35	62	3	-	-	-
Bryan County	3-A Public	1-2	31.44	48,994	0.05	104	2	-	-	-
Miller County	1-A Public	0-2	30.04	515,272	0.52	288	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	7-A Public	0-2	22.13	171,335	0.17	12	-	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Public	1-0	23.15	169,373	0.17	10	-	-	-	-
Greene County	8-A Public	1-1	24.32	17,316	0.02	4	-	-	-	-
Hawkinsville	4-A Public	1-1	33.61	13,725	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
ACE Charter	7-A Public	0-1	17.16	60,644	0.06	-	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	7-A Public	0-3	11.51	3,272	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Portal	3-A Public	0-2	18.02	456	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Public	0-2	18.44	5	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Public	1-1	24.30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Public	0-1	9.71	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	5-A Public	0-2	6.99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Glascock County	7-A Public	0-1	-0.82	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
GSIC	7-A Public	0-0	-6.97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Public	Pelham	852,704	143,109	3,001	1,159	999,973	27
1-A Public	Mitchell County	78,245	629,943	265,237	22,985	996,410	3,590
1-A Public	Terrell County	68,283	219,340	591,471	89,858	968,952	31,048
1-A Public	Miller County	629	5,272	80,924	428,447	515,272	484,728
1-A Public	Seminole County	128	1,803	41,754	306,335	350,020	649,980
1-A Public	Randolph-Clay	11	533	17,613	151,216	169,373	830,627
1-A Public	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Public	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Public	Irwin County	504,368	393,032	89,408	11,015	997,823	2,177
2-A Public	Brooks County	449,300	429,398	107,532	11,732	997,962	2,038
2-A Public	Clinch County	42,848	146,109	520,896	194,982	904,835	95,165
2-A Public	Turner County	1,494	12,761	115,076	293,533	422,864	577,136
2-A Public	Charlton County	1,402	12,174	103,797	273,515	390,888	609,112
2-A Public	Atkinson County	587	6,521	62,861	209,168	279,137	720,863
2-A Public	Lanier County	1	5	430	6,055	6,491	993,509
3-A Public	Metter	644,656	258,218	87,505	8,722	999,101	899
3-A Public	Emanuel County Institute	226,330	407,450	307,348	49,756	990,884	9,116
3-A Public	McIntosh County Academy	125,194	306,132	445,738	98,698	975,762	24,238
3-A Public	Screven County	2,916	18,778	97,633	450,911	570,238	429,762
3-A Public	Jenkins County	709	6,815	40,063	217,555	265,142	734,858
3-A Public	Claxton	189	2,340	18,324	128,570	149,423	850,577
3-A Public	Bryan County	6	267	3,380	45,341	48,994	951,006
3-A Public	Portal	-	-	9	447	456	999,544
4-A Public	Dublin	853,116	117,066	23,070	5,324	998,576	1,424
4-A Public	Wilcox County	61,090	325,753	260,924	175,426	823,193	176,807
4-A Public	Johnson County	54,852	289,117	268,136	191,338	803,443	196,557
4-A Public	Dooly County	21,297	156,312	214,519	232,956	625,084	374,916
4-A Public	Telfair County	6,408	63,738	116,141	168,900	355,187	644,813
4-A Public	Montgomery County	2,267	32,323	73,775	132,792	241,157	758,843
4-A Public	Wheeler County	955	15,043	40,597	83,035	139,630	860,370
4-A Public	Hawkinsville	15	648	2,838	10,224	13,725	986,275
4-A Public	Treutlen	-	-	-	5	5	999,995
5-A Public	Macon County	584,366	268,054	103,806	33,179	989,405	10,595
5-A Public	Schley County	263,536	347,941	230,103	105,031	946,611	53,389
5-A Public	Manchester	109,655	237,846	311,938	196,591	856,030	143,970
5-A Public	Chattahoochee County	29,666	87,815	185,766	297,003	600,250	399,750
5-A Public	Marion County	10,793	45,001	120,215	232,354	408,363	591,637
5-A Public	Greenville	1,801	11,870	40,366	104,183	158,220	841,780
5-A Public	Taylor County	183	1,473	7,806	31,659	41,121	958,879
5-A Public	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-A Public	Bowdon	716,671	226,137	43,927	10,492	997,227	2,773
6-A Public	Trion	222,066	450,149	202,167	80,255	954,637	45,363
6-A Public	Armuchee	25,549	130,601	274,252	262,919	693,321	306,679
6-A Public	Mount Zion (Carroll)	21,832	109,545	257,751	279,957	669,085	330,915
6-A Public	Gordon Lee	12,538	69,901	168,881	250,324	501,644	498,356
6-A Public	B.E.S.T. Academy	1,344	13,667	53,022	116,053	184,086	815,914
7-A Public	Hancock Central	499,428	331,069	120,896	44,128	995,521	4,479
7-A Public	Warren County	383,618	396,752	155,290	58,674	994,334	5,666
7-A Public	Wilkinson County	75,738	160,653	381,236	301,553	919,180	80,820
7-A Public	Georgia Military College	40,518	105,424	304,736	405,036	855,714	144,286
7-A Public	Crawford County	649	5,271	29,402	136,013	171,335	828,665
7-A Public	ACE Charter	49	824	8,276	51,495	60,644	939,356
7-A Public	Twiggs County	-	7	164	3,101	3,272	996,728
7-A Public	Glascock County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-A Public	GSIC	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-A Public	Lincoln County	367,527	291,741	200,500	128,738	988,506	11,494
8-A Public	Commerce	366,799	309,617	197,470	113,490	987,376	12,624
8-A Public	Washington-Wilkes	151,467	218,089	300,419	283,490	953,465	46,535
8-A Public	Social Circle	113,653	176,744	286,651	365,465	942,513	57,487
8-A Public	Towns County	538	3,601	13,429	93,256	110,824	889,176
8-A Public	Greene County	16	208	1,531	15,561	17,316	982,684

Class A Private

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-A Private	3-0	78.04	1,000,000	3.47	968,727	902,681	583,257	465,132	1.15
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-A Private	0-2	77.59	1,000,000	3.97	835,666	723,750	419,284	321,518	2.11
Fellowship Christian	6-A Private	1-1	65.80	999,979	3.39	753,044	456,769	235,588	47,530	20.04
Athens Academy	8-A Private	2-1	66.86	999,935	2.86	428,412	304,500	152,531	37,156	25.91
Wesleyan	5-A Private	2-1	67.35	998,696	2.89	646,033	251,730	97,743	31,919	30.33
Calvary Day	3-A Private	3-0	66.43	1,000,000	2.89	600,265	274,514	133,239	31,571	30.67
Prince Avenue Christian	8-A Private	2-1	65.87	999,913	2.69	363,683	244,274	109,817	25,039	38.94
Whitefield Academy	2-A Private	3-0	64.88	1,000,000	2.78	433,251	278,380	124,190	23,071	42.34
Holy Innocents	5-A Private	2-0	61.09	989,502	2.27	392,586	114,977	36,892	5,105	194.89
Stratford Academy	1-A Private	2-0	59.77	996,625	1.95	312,710	74,363	24,197	2,890	345.02
Savannah Christian	3-A Private	1-1	59.63	1,000,000	2.12	346,718	71,551	19,337	2,608	382.44
Savannah Country Day	3-A Private	2-0	59.16	1,000,000	2.09	332,214	67,284	17,595	2,202	453.13
Darlington	7-A Private	1-1	58.09	998,900	1.90	281,364	44,327	10,727	1,260	792.65
Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5-A Private	1-2	57.51	976,053	1.90	261,191	52,301	12,570	1,162	859.59
North Cobb Christian	7-A Private	2-1	56.83	998,069	1.79	235,373	33,980	7,395	803	1,244.33
Aquinas	3-A Private	2-0	56.23	1,000,000	1.83	234,498	34,760	7,156	634	1,576.29
First Presbyterian	1-A Private	2-0	54.11	980,505	1.44	123,449	13,462	2,216	159	6,288.31
Landmark Christian	2-A Private	2-1	51.66	1,000,000	1.80	115,188	24,343	3,433	145	6,895.55
Hebron Christian	5-A Private	1-1	51.02	897,319	1.31	86,893	6,707	774	34	29,410.76
St. Anne-Pacelli	4-A Private	2-0	48.19	1,000,000	1.30	39,288	6,501	561	18	55,554.56
Mount de Sales	1-A Private	2-0	49.83	933,753	1.16	44,001	3,450	361	15	66,665.67
Mount Paran Christian	7-A Private	2-1	49.14	982,702	1.23	43,792	3,629	366	13	76,922.08
George Walton Academy	8-A Private	0-2	47.20	981,413	1.46	22,279	3,445	221	6	166,665.67
Tattnall Square	1-A Private	1-0	48.18	898,687	1.07	29,026	2,060	182	4	249,999.00
Christian Heritage	7-A Private	1-2	47.73	980,236	1.17	29,132	2,150	161	3	333,332.33
Athens Christian	8-A Private	3-0	43.60	946,263	1.20	13,624	1,252	61	2	499,999.00
Brookstone	4-A Private	2-1	44.33	1,000,000	1.14	13,085	1,493	83	1	999,999.00
Mount Pisgah Christian	6-A Private	1-2	43.88	948,027	1.23	10,453	1,190	60	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	6-A Private	1-1	38.22	831,025	0.91	1,400	81	2	-	-
Heritage (Newnan)	4-A Private	0-1	35.93	1,000,000	1.02	736	31	1	-	-
St. Francis	6-A Private	0-3	37.38	778,901	0.84	1,037	44	-	-	-
Providence Christian	5-A Private	1-2	37.14	138,430	0.15	615	12	-	-	-
Deerfield-Windsor	1-A Private	1-2	34.36	139,252	0.14	129	4	-	-	-
Lakeview Academy	6-A Private	0-2	32.18	442,068	0.45	114	4	-	-	-
Loganville Christian	8-A Private	0-2	23.51	72,476	0.07	13	1	-	-	-
Strong Rock Christian	1-A Private	0-2	29.33	51,178	0.05	11	-	-	-	-
Walker	7-A Private	0-3	22.80	40,093	0.04	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Private	Stratford Academy	605,741	259,685	94,307	36,892	996,625	3,375
1-A Private	First Presbyterian	227,283	362,889	252,888	137,445	980,505	19,495
1-A Private	Mount de Sales	98,959	199,309	323,419	312,066	933,753	66,247
1-A Private	Tattnall Square	67,355	171,956	301,216	358,160	898,687	101,313
1-A Private	Deerfield-Windsor	590	5,162	21,527	111,973	139,252	860,748
1-A Private	Strong Rock Christian	72	999	6,643	43,464	51,178	948,822
2-A Private	Eagle's Landing Christian	836,488	155,458	8,054	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Whitefield Academy	155,865	699,040	145,095	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Landmark Christian	7,647	145,502	846,851	-	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Calvary Day	552,710	270,517	113,031	63,742	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Country Day	178,947	268,951	287,918	264,184	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Christian	166,235	274,833	299,361	259,571	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Aquinas	102,108	185,699	299,690	412,503	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	983,615	16,037	315	33	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	St. Anne-Pacelli	10,689	592,754	301,012	95,545	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Brookstone	5,100	323,295	480,854	190,751	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Heritage (Newnan)	596	67,914	217,819	713,671	1,000,000	-
5-A Private	Wesleyan	630,027	259,518	85,388	23,763	998,696	1,304
5-A Private	Holy Innocents	223,489	400,855	266,951	98,207	989,502	10,498
5-A Private	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	122,857	256,217	382,209	214,770	976,053	23,947
5-A Private	Hebron Christian	23,436	80,727	252,913	540,243	897,319	102,681
5-A Private	Providence Christian	191	2,683	12,539	123,017	138,430	861,570
6-A Private	Fellowship Christian	942,908	54,228	2,398	445	999,979	21
6-A Private	Mount Pisgah Christian	41,106	512,619	275,462	118,840	948,027	51,973
6-A Private	King's Ridge Christian	8,616	224,787	324,695	272,927	831,025	168,975
6-A Private	St. Francis	6,033	159,334	281,642	331,892	778,901	221,099
6-A Private	Lakeview Academy	1,337	49,032	115,803	275,896	442,068	557,932
7-A Private	Darlington	443,738	343,515	146,097	65,550	998,900	1,100
7-A Private	North Cobb Christian	399,520	348,037	168,160	82,352	998,069	1,931
7-A Private	Mount Paran Christian	97,218	175,342	343,466	366,676	982,702	17,298
7-A Private	Christian Heritage	59,519	132,871	340,715	447,131	980,236	19,764
7-A Private	Walker	5	235	1,562	38,291	40,093	959,907
8-A Private	Athens Academy	552,388	407,353	35,189	5,005	999,935	65
8-A Private	Prince Avenue Christian	434,464	509,518	48,857	7,074	999,913	87
8-A Private	George Walton Academy	8,817	55,886	581,605	335,105	981,413	18,587
8-A Private	Athens Christian	4,330	27,122	329,427	585,384	946,263	53,737
8-A Private	Loganville Christian	1	121	4,922	67,432	72,476	927,524

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 4

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