Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 10

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Oct 16, 2024

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2024 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAA	6-1	101.41	1,000,000	4.22	897,463	745,787	594,493	486,153	1.06
Carrollton	2-AAAAAA	8-0	93.90	1,000,000	3.76	769,774	715,293	332,670	188,711	4.30
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	7-0	90.84	999,803	3.67	728,356	582,500	377,065	125,455	6.97
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAA	7-0	90.60	999,999	3.31	890,047	286,489	156,189	75,614	12.23
Douglas County	2-AAAAAA	7-1	88.32	1,000,000	3.09	578,283	492,415	179,638	60,363	15.57
Grayson	4-AAAAAA	4-1	82.74	999,993	3.04	733,855	241,626	101,686	17,844	55.04
North Cobb	5-AAAAAA	7-0	83.72	999,998	2.19	268,111	191,604	79,071	14,378	68.55
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAA	7-1	82.57	1,000,000	2.16	213,637	125,025	49,241	8,144	121.79
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAA	4-3	84.17	962,189	2.03	149,525	100,046	23,825	7,254	136.85
Camden County	1-AAAAAA	6-1	83.44	987,390	2.02	144,920	98,047	21,822	6,032	164.78
Norcross	7-AAAAAA	6-1	78.28	999,993	2.76	683,515	162,210	39,956	4,605	216.16
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAA	6-2	81.13	1,000,000	1.46	107,792	60,923	18,915	2,691	370.61
Lowndes	1-AAAAAA	6-1	79.63	859,315	1.52	102,616	60,942	14,179	2,103	474.51
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAA	5-1	72.59	999,806	2.15	327,178	38,022	5,319	368	2,716.39
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAA	3-4	69.67	968,807	1.78	193,028	16,406	1,457	69	14,491.75
Walton	5-AAAAAA	5-3	71.46	999,979	1.26	15,494	9,436	392	60	16,665.67
Newton	4-AAAAAA	2-3	67.94	999,340	1.86	248,191	16,155	771	37	27,026.03
Harrison	3-AAAAAA	6-1	65.29	999,991	1.89	193,057	13,919	1,004	32	31,249.00
Westlake	2-AAAAAA	3-5	71.68	994,620	1.12	12,356	3,489	531	23	43,477.26
North Atlanta	6-AAAAAA	6-1	65.45	999,931	1.61	168,287	9,785	352	16	62,499.00
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	5-2	65.34	949,172	1.32	101,259	5,968	279	13	76,922.08
East Coweta	2-AAAAAA	3-4	70.07	986,825	1.07	7,409	1,882	234	13	76,922.08
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAA	7-0	64.49	1,000,000	1.56	118,951	6,495	330	7	142,856.14
Lambert	6-AAAAAA	4-3	64.54	994,298	1.43	94,836	5,017	223	7	142,856.14
McEachern	3-AAAAAA	4-3	64.83	1,000,000	1.43	95,325	4,355	123	4	249,999.00
Brookwood	7-AAAAAA	4-3	63.56	874,987	1.36	106,691	4,155	127	2	499,999.00
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAA	6-1	68.76	189,381	0.23	2,225	725	68	1	999,999.00
North Paulding	5-AAAAAA	4-3	60.60	602,459	0.62	808	127	6	1	999,999.00
Denmark	6-AAAAAA	3-4	59.75	987,888	1.13	25,367	743	20	-	-
Cherokee	5-AAAAAA	4-4	61.73	772,120	0.81	1,031	113	10	-	-
Archer	4-AAAAAA	0-5	54.66	911,363	1.10	12,958	201	4	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAA	4-3	55.26	129,259	0.16	4,024	50	-	-	-
Campbell	3-AAAAAA	4-3	51.59	758,419	0.78	2,695	31	-	-	-
Wheeler	5-AAAAAA	2-6	55.19	481,087	0.49	126	8	-	-	-
Parkview	7-AAAAAA	1-6	52.23	26,949	0.03	408	5	-	-	-
Mountain View	8-AAAAAA	2-6	47.73	671,789	0.67	35	4	-	-	-
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	3-4	55.13	62,268	0.06	283	2	-	-	-
Marietta	5-AAAAAA	1-7	54.74	144,257	0.15	32	-	-	-	-
Paulding County	3-AAAAAA	2-5	39.11	128,169	0.13	26	-	-	-	-
Pebblebrook	3-AAAAAA	3-4	38.38	113,313	0.11	13	-	-	-	-
Grovetown	4-AAAAAA	0-6	33.15	50,645	0.05	4	-	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	3-4	44.25	99,745	0.10	3	-	-	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	2-5	42.05	228,466	0.23	2	-	-	-	-
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	2-5	57.16	1,922	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	4-AAAAAA	2-2	30.07	27,835	0.03	1	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAA	2-5	44.97	5,676	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	2-AAAAAA	1-6	37.73	18,555	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	4-AAAAAA	3-2	27.69	11,018	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Alpharetta	6-AAAAAA	1-6	40.74	745	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Osborne	3-AAAAAA	1-6	26.47	108	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAA	2-6	45.37	100	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-5	35.27	22	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAA	1-6	42.47	6	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Discovery	8-AAAAAA	0-7	20.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAA	0-7	16.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	3-AAAAAA	0-7	11.95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	911,984	59,251	24,550	4,018	999,803	197
1-AAAAAA	Lowndes	72,159	108,642	226,184	452,330	859,315	140,685
1-AAAAAA	Colquitt County	8,581	449,662	354,979	148,967	962,189	37,811
1-AAAAAA	Camden County	6,151	376,524	373,682	231,033	987,390	12,610
1-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	1,124	5,913	20,367	161,977	189,381	810,619
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	1	8	238	1,675	1,922	998,078
2-AAAAAA	Carrollton	609,331	379,245	11,418	6	1,000,000	-
2-AAAAAA	Douglas County	390,518	609,172	310	-	1,000,000	-
2-AAAAAA	East Coweta	151	11,548	402,371	572,755	986,825	13,175
2-AAAAAA	Westlake	-	25	585,305	409,290	994,620	5,380
2-AAAAAA	Chapel Hill	-	10	596	17,949	18,555	981,445
3-AAAAAA	Harrison	700,545	262,401	36,049	996	999,991	9
3-AAAAAA	Hillgrove	258,807	343,712	397,481	-	1,000,000	-
3-AAAAAA	McEachern	40,648	393,882	565,454	16	1,000,000	-
3-AAAAAA	Paulding County	-	5	994	127,170	128,169	871,831
3-AAAAAA	Campbell	-	-	21	758,398	758,419	241,581
3-AAAAAA	Pebblebrook	-	-	1	113,312	113,313	886,687
3-AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	-	108	108	999,892
3-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AAAAAA	Grayson	721,694	225,105	49,729	3,465	999,993	7
4-AAAAAA	South Gwinnett	211,279	471,509	272,671	44,347	999,806	194
4-AAAAAA	Newton	65,611	301,045	627,138	5,546	999,340	660
4-AAAAAA	Archer	1,416	2,317	49,059	858,571	911,363	88,637
4-AAAAAA	Grovetown	-	16	795	49,834	50,645	949,355
4-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	-	8	460	27,367	27,835	972,165
4-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	-	-	148	10,870	11,018	988,982
5-AAAAAA	North Cobb	997,926	683	1,060	329	999,998	2
5-AAAAAA	Walton	1,948	907,092	89,577	1,362	999,979	21
5-AAAAAA	Cherokee	124	5,941	423,706	342,349	772,120	227,880
5-AAAAAA	Wheeler	2	544	288,074	192,467	481,087	518,913
5-AAAAAA	North Paulding	-	85,718	130,691	386,050	602,459	397,541
5-AAAAAA	Marietta	-	19	66,872	77,366	144,257	855,743
5-AAAAAA	Etowah	-	3	20	77	100	999,900
6-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	502,375	250,267	146,287	101,002	999,931	69
6-AAAAAA	Lambert	217,041	436,781	149,985	190,491	994,298	5,702
6-AAAAAA	West Forsyth	201,294	173,314	406,753	167,811	949,172	50,828
6-AAAAAA	Denmark	79,290	139,638	282,403	486,557	987,888	12,112
6-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	-	-	14,535	47,733	62,268	937,732
6-AAAAAA	Forsyth Central	-	-	28	5,648	5,676	994,324
6-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	-	-	9	736	745	999,255
6-AAAAAA	South Forsyth	-	-	-	22	22	999,978
7-AAAAAA	North Gwinnett	848,650	151,140	209	-	999,999	1
7-AAAAAA	Norcross	151,274	763,688	61,469	23,562	999,993	7
7-AAAAAA	Brookwood	76	46,074	259,069	569,768	874,987	125,013
7-AAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	-	38,961	664,853	264,993	968,807	31,193
7-AAAAAA	Duluth	-	137	7,748	121,374	129,259	870,741
7-AAAAAA	Parkview	-	-	6,652	20,297	26,949	973,051
7-AAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	-	6	6	999,994
7-AAAAAA	Meadowcreek	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAAAA	Buford	983,766	16,049	134	51	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAAA	Mill Creek	16,122	76,032	907,846	-	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAAA	Collins Hill	112	907,919	91,775	194	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	-	-	194	228,272	228,466	771,534
8-AAAAAA	Mountain View	-	-	51	671,738	671,789	328,211
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	-	-	-	99,745	99,745	900,255
8-AAAAAA	Discovery	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Lee County	2-AAAAA	7-0	108.44	1,000,000	4.63	996,355	991,219	640,372	561,522	0.78
Milton	7-AAAAA	8-0	104.28	1,000,000	4.32	988,918	956,797	377,874	302,256	2.31
Coffee	2-AAAAA	6-1	95.01	999,995	4.17	932,789	703,850	542,541	105,325	8.49
Thomas County Central	2-AAAAA	6-1	87.29	997,174	3.42	837,526	456,609	159,219	13,902	70.93
Gainesville	7-AAAAA	6-2	86.02	999,988	2.91	622,907	280,008	107,837	7,899	125.60
Hughes	3-AAAAA	6-1	84.37	1,000,000	2.85	557,737	200,436	92,003	5,558	178.92
Roswell	7-AAAAA	6-1	82.96	999,963	2.72	574,716	231,262	62,433	3,287	303.23
Brunswick	1-AAAAA	6-1	73.23	1,000,000	2.24	245,950	64,319	8,334	112	8,927.57
Houston County	2-AAAAA	6-1	73.43	999,982	2.40	562,519	39,346	2,816	60	16,665.67
Rome	5-AAAAA	4-2	72.36	999,997	2.06	102,281	20,320	3,648	45	22,221.22
Sprayberry	6-AAAAA	7-1	69.62	999,969	2.12	481,419	5,208	204	10	99,999.00
Decatur	4-AAAAA	7-0	65.88	999,959	1.90	85,300	11,525	607	8	124,999.00
Woodward Academy	4-AAAAA	5-3	66.36	1,000,000	1.91	78,879	11,624	613	6	166,665.67
Sequoyah	6-AAAAA	6-1	69.99	966,113	1.31	120,607	11,838	927	5	199,999.00
River Ridge	6-AAAAA	5-2	67.96	962,417	1.18	68,546	5,630	386	4	249,999.00
East Paulding	5-AAAAA	6-1	67.85	998,202	1.80	26,118	2,175	46	1	999,999.00
Lakeside (Evans)	1-AAAAA	6-0	62.21	999,790	1.69	104,688	2,507	65	-	-
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	6-2	63.25	1,000,000	1.30	104,024	2,089	32	-	-
Newnan	3-AAAAA	5-2	62.26	999,708	2.09	255,382	1,035	15	-	-
Seckinger	7-AAAAA	4-3	64.17	667,545	0.98	113,328	442	9	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAA	7-1	58.07	999,998	1.39	47,981	366	6	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAA	6-2	60.18	797,112	0.81	4,938	320	5	-	-
Effingham County	1-AAAAA	3-3	58.49	952,441	1.26	24,667	225	2	-	-
Dutchtown	3-AAAAA	3-4	56.15	979,487	1.21	4,825	182	2	-	-
Lovejoy	3-AAAAA	3-3	54.69	884,535	1.12	18,263	168	1	-	-
Creekview	6-AAAAA	5-3	59.43	267,845	0.27	1,092	102	1	-	-
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	4-4	52.50	994,588	1.10	3,018	100	1	-	-
Lanier	7-AAAAA	4-4	56.98	330,193	0.40	18,629	64	1	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	5-2	54.86	998,051	1.05	9,806	170	-	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	5-2	53.48	992,854	1.01	1,660	58	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAA	4-3	44.48	695,315	0.76	2,746	2	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	4-AAAAA	4-2	43.61	660,695	0.69	1,025	1	-	-	-
Glynn Academy	1-AAAAA	4-3	50.49	581,447	0.62	315	1	-	-	-
Northside (Warner Robins)	2-AAAAA	2-5	53.78	2,844	0.00	160	1	-	-	-
Northgate	3-AAAAA	2-5	39.75	98,131	0.10	13	1	-	-	-
Shiloh	4-AAAAA	1-6	43.48	355,425	0.37	569	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	1-6	38.68	194,435	0.20	83	-	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	2-3	47.39	270,376	0.28	61	-	-	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAA	2-6	42.52	76,440	0.08	59	-	-	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAA	3-5	45.27	928,894	0.93	43	-	-	-	-
Evans	1-AAAAA	2-3	48.02	190,679	0.20	38	-	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAA	4-3	48.79	1,312	0.00	12	-	-	-	-
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	1-6	35.68	17,731	0.02	3	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAA	2-4	33.53	32,994	0.03	1	-	-	-	-
Pope	6-AAAAA	3-5	50.50	6,544	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
South Paulding	5-AAAAA	2-5	40.62	5,227	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	2-5	38.32	5,065	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAA	0-7	37.88	999	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	0-5	31.60	73,174	0.07	-	-	-	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-7	29.58	6,842	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	2-4	40.02	4,634	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAA	2-5	40.00	1,977	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Effingham	1-AAAAA	0-5	33.04	423	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	1-4	34.33	210	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Alcovy	8-AAAAA	1-6	28.37	185	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	2-5	35.26	80	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAA	2-6	43.00	11	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Veterans	2-AAAAA	0-7	37.51	5	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Riverwood	6-AAAAA	1-7	31.29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	1-7	31.24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAA	2-6	28.30	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Brunswick	852,672	146,362	964	2	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	146,254	593,311	254,143	6,082	999,790	210
1-AAAAA	Effingham County	1,074	254,321	526,932	170,114	952,441	47,559
1-AAAAA	Glynn Academy	-	4,620	143,918	432,909	581,447	418,553
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	-	1,331	66,814	202,231	270,376	729,624
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	-	54	637	3,943	4,634	995,366
1-AAAAA	Evans	-	1	6,588	184,090	190,679	809,321
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	-	-	4	206	210	999,790
1-AAAAA	South Effingham	-	-	-	423	423	999,577
2-AAAAA	Lee County	998,990	997	13	-	1,000,000	-
2-AAAAA	Houston County	943	19,440	155,555	824,044	999,982	18
2-AAAAA	Thomas County Central	44	286,648	565,314	145,168	997,174	2,826
2-AAAAA	Coffee	23	692,915	279,112	27,945	999,995	5
2-AAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	-	-	6	2,838	2,844	997,156
2-AAAAA	Veterans	-	-	-	5	5	999,995
3-AAAAA	Hughes	996,107	3,881	12	-	1,000,000	-
3-AAAAA	Lovejoy	3,837	103,154	116,383	661,161	884,535	115,465
3-AAAAA	Newnan	56	877,509	104,767	17,376	999,708	292
3-AAAAA	Dutchtown	-	15,345	763,944	200,198	979,487	20,513
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	-	94	1,209	3,762	5,065	994,935
3-AAAAA	Northgate	-	16	11,535	86,580	98,131	901,869
3-AAAAA	Morrow	-	1	2,150	30,843	32,994	967,006
3-AAAAA	Banneker	-	-	-	80	80	999,920
4-AAAAA	Decatur	530,149	437,864	29,923	2,023	999,959	41
4-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	467,979	513,502	18,519	-	1,000,000	-
4-AAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	1,872	32,539	507,989	152,915	695,315	304,685
4-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	-	16,057	227,644	416,994	660,695	339,305
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	-	35	66,547	127,853	194,435	805,565
4-AAAAA	Shiloh	-	3	131,993	223,429	355,425	644,575
4-AAAAA	Dunwoody	-	-	15,301	61,139	76,440	923,560
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	-	-	2,084	15,647	17,731	982,269
5-AAAAA	Rome	960,562	32,152	7,272	11	999,997	3
5-AAAAA	New Manchester	34,926	50,062	840,494	74,516	999,998	2
5-AAAAA	East Paulding	4,507	878,407	94,889	20,399	998,202	1,798
5-AAAAA	South Paulding	4	38	84	5,101	5,227	994,773
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	1	39,341	57,239	898,007	994,588	5,412
5-AAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	-	-	22	1,955	1,977	998,023
5-AAAAA	Alexander	-	-	-	11	11	999,989
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAA	Sprayberry	829,153	23,773	132,957	14,086	999,969	31
6-AAAAA	Sequoyah	97,843	509,237	329,140	29,893	966,113	33,887
6-AAAAA	River Ridge	61,604	378,985	470,944	50,884	962,417	37,583
6-AAAAA	Woodstock	11,388	43,531	29,899	712,294	797,112	202,888
6-AAAAA	Creekview	12	44,474	36,151	187,208	267,845	732,155
6-AAAAA	Pope	-	-	909	5,635	6,544	993,456
6-AAAAA	Riverwood	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAA	Lassiter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAAA	Milton	967,624	31,379	997	-	1,000,000	-
7-AAAAA	Roswell	30,272	437,501	521,459	10,731	999,963	37
7-AAAAA	Gainesville	2,104	531,055	466,392	437	999,988	12
7-AAAAA	Lanier	-	65	10,687	319,441	330,193	669,807
7-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	-	-	378	934	1,312	998,688
7-AAAAA	Seckinger	-	-	87	667,458	667,545	332,455
7-AAAAA	Johns Creek	-	-	-	999	999	999,001
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	763,214	227,750	9,036	-	1,000,000	-
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	224,852	428,814	323,689	20,696	998,051	1,949
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	11,934	328,041	439,971	212,908	992,854	7,146
8-AAAAA	Habersham Central	-	15,088	223,216	690,590	928,894	71,106
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	-	307	3,497	69,370	73,174	926,826
8-AAAAA	Loganville	-	-	591	6,251	6,842	993,158
8-AAAAA	Alcovy	-	-	-	185	185	999,815

Class AAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Ware County	1-AAAA	3-3	94.92	999,991	4.32	911,181	803,616	607,023	488,435	1.05
Marist	5-AAAA	7-0	87.91	1,000,000	3.87	888,112	753,760	296,420	189,224	4.28
Blessed Trinity	6-AAAA	5-1	84.15	999,938	3.66	805,685	582,366	312,024	99,644	9.04
North Oconee	8-AAAA	8-0	85.06	1,000,000	3.30	585,969	438,212	284,564	93,525	9.69
Benedictine	1-AAAA	3-3	84.46	999,201	2.93	459,066	315,024	187,517	59,614	15.77
Cartersville	7-AAAA	8-0	80.42	1,000,000	3.02	746,873	269,670	117,579	29,674	32.70
Creekside	4-AAAA	4-2	79.17	1,000,000	2.60	568,157	99,146	34,999	13,330	74.02
Cambridge	6-AAAA	8-0	75.87	999,998	2.49	438,757	144,189	42,833	7,442	133.37
Warner Robins	1-AAAA	5-2	75.46	979,615	2.46	563,657	196,731	48,652	7,223	137.45
Cedartown	7-AAAA	8-0	74.50	1,000,000	2.51	554,920	120,261	29,967	4,872	204.25
Eastside	8-AAAA	7-1	77.99	1,000,000	2.15	113,932	55,006	13,752	4,804	207.16
Starr's Mill	3-AAAA	8-0	70.40	999,913	2.36	352,245	64,674	7,447	1,049	952.29
Central (Carrollton)	3-AAAA	5-2	69.87	975,487	2.08	195,592	71,893	11,113	890	1,122.60
Perry	1-AAAA	5-2	64.75	998,393	1.30	107,020	16,913	1,256	67	14,924.37
Mays	4-AAAA	5-2	63.37	1,000,000	1.60	86,576	5,533	763	44	22,726.27
St. Pius X	5-AAAA	6-2	62.18	992,288	1.30	111,305	13,127	930	34	29,410.76
Jonesboro	3-AAAA	4-3	63.41	926,872	1.46	79,900	7,573	649	34	29,410.76
Kell	6-AAAA	4-4	65.51	857,502	1.13	70,070	4,712	623	34	29,410.76
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	7-1	62.60	994,995	1.74	37,727	6,926	234	22	45,453.55
Stockbridge	2-AAAA	7-1	58.09	1,000,000	2.06	188,339	17,112	864	14	71,427.57
Harris County	3-AAAA	6-2	62.40	958,513	1.26	36,694	4,682	389	12	83,332.33
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	4-4	62.18	920,547	1.11	39,470	3,395	182	6	166,665.67
Cass	7-AAAA	4-4	59.63	751,734	0.81	11,181	2,554	134	4	249,999.00
Tucker	5-AAAA	5-2	54.30	999,851	1.02	4,091	226	6	2	499,999.00
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAA	5-3	57.59	1,000,000	1.08	16,733	1,266	53	1	999,999.00
Ola	2-AAAA	6-1	55.50	960,941	1.20	5,755	603	10	-	-
Hiram	7-AAAA	4-4	57.39	984,997	1.08	8,589	324	10	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAA	5-2	53.53	139,149	0.17	1,463	135	4	-	-
Maynard Jackson	4-AAAA	6-1	48.66	971,352	1.05	1,990	171	2	-	-
Centennial	6-AAAA	5-2	52.07	222,015	0.23	1,212	25	1	-	-
Jones County	2-AAAA	6-2	51.83	996,244	1.09	1,275	66	-	-	-
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	2-5	44.82	589,235	0.68	3,428	42	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	4-3	44.29	328,208	0.37	1,698	19	-	-	-
Hampton	2-AAAA	5-2	49.63	988,367	1.01	305	13	-	-	-
Allatoona	7-AAAA	4-4	46.52	262,023	0.27	214	12	-	-	-
New Hampstead	1-AAAA	2-4	54.07	22,768	0.02	151	8	-	-	-
Pace Academy	4-AAAA	3-5	43.02	453,967	0.47	267	6	-	-	-
Madison County	8-AAAA	2-5	43.20	80,300	0.09	255	5	-	-	-
Drew	4-AAAA	6-1	39.94	507,382	0.52	140	4	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAA	2-6	35.75	67,299	0.07	5	-	-	-	-
Union Grove	2-AAAA	3-4	42.40	51,400	0.05	1	-	-	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAA	5-2	35.65	7,861	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-7	30.08	7,262	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAA	3-5	33.69	2,261	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Dalton	7-AAAA	0-8	33.90	1,246	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	2-AAAA	2-5	32.12	782	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Griffin	3-AAAA	0-7	34.06	66	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Wayne County	1-AAAA	0-7	40.15	32	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-AAAA	1-6	28.72	5	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAA	1-6	29.57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	2-AAAA	1-6	24.95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	5-AAAA	2-5	22.58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
McDonough	2-AAAA	0-6	21.48	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Midtown	4-AAAA	2-5	20.10	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAA	0-8	15.50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	5-AAAA	1-7	13.09	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	4-AAAA	1-6	3.58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAA	1-6	3.34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAA	0-6	-13.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAA	0-7	-20.84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-6	-24.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Ware County	986,577	10,673	1,112	1,629	999,991	9
1-AAAA	Warner Robins	8,628	40,581	714,449	215,957	979,615	20,385
1-AAAA	Benedictine	2,738	923,511	65,143	7,809	999,201	799
1-AAAA	Perry	2,048	24,339	218,705	753,301	998,393	1,607
1-AAAA	New Hampstead	9	896	591	21,272	22,768	977,232
1-AAAA	Wayne County	-	-	-	32	32	999,968
2-AAAA	Stockbridge	999,882	118	-	-	1,000,000	-
2-AAAA	Ola	118	666,826	188,330	105,667	960,941	39,059
2-AAAA	Jones County	-	273,264	670,422	52,558	996,244	3,756
2-AAAA	Hampton	-	59,773	138,322	790,272	988,367	11,633
2-AAAA	Union Grove	-	19	2,918	48,463	51,400	948,600
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing	-	-	5	2,256	2,261	997,739
2-AAAA	Locust Grove	-	-	3	779	782	999,218
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing Christian	-	-	-	5	5	999,995
2-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-AAAA	McDonough	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-AAAA	Starr's Mill	766,522	129,736	98,843	4,812	999,913	87
3-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	118,429	640,051	129,932	87,075	975,487	24,513
3-AAAA	Jonesboro	112,084	81,783	530,728	202,277	926,872	73,128
3-AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	2,683	26,120	16,790	93,556	139,149	860,851
3-AAAA	Harris County	282	122,310	223,676	612,245	958,513	41,487
3-AAAA	Griffin	-	-	31	35	66	999,934
3-AAAA	Mundy's Mill	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AAAA	Creekside	998,884	934	116	66	1,000,000	-
4-AAAA	Maynard Jackson	803	376	786,357	183,816	971,352	28,648
4-AAAA	Drew	206	12,300	19,274	475,602	507,382	492,618
4-AAAA	Mays	107	986,390	12,914	589	1,000,000	-
4-AAAA	Pace Academy	-	-	181,339	272,628	453,967	546,033
4-AAAA	M.L. King	-	-	-	67,299	67,299	932,701
4-AAAA	Midtown	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AAAA	Forest Park	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Marist	996,940	3,059	1	-	1,000,000	-
5-AAAA	Tucker	3,051	73,753	130,628	792,419	999,851	149
5-AAAA	St. Pius X	9	724,578	74,235	193,466	992,288	7,712
5-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	-	198,610	795,135	6,255	1,000,000	-
5-AAAA	Lithonia	-	-	1	7,860	7,861	992,139
5-AAAA	Druid Hills	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	North Springs	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Northview	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Blessed Trinity	752,237	229,588	17,690	423	999,938	62
6-AAAA	Cambridge	234,956	653,078	73,104	38,860	999,998	2
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	12,634	26,840	713,522	167,551	920,547	79,453
6-AAAA	Centennial	159	1,212	47,082	173,562	222,015	777,985
6-AAAA	Kell	14	89,282	148,602	619,604	857,502	142,498
7-AAAA	Cartersville	612,138	370,508	17,354	-	1,000,000	-
7-AAAA	Cedartown	387,798	612,120	82	-	1,000,000	-
7-AAAA	Hiram	64	17,370	876,533	91,030	984,997	15,003
7-AAAA	Allatoona	-	2	64,060	197,961	262,023	737,977
7-AAAA	Cass	-	-	41,971	709,763	751,734	248,266
7-AAAA	Dalton	-	-	-	1,246	1,246	998,754
7-AAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	North Oconee	999,977	20	3	-	1,000,000	-
8-AAAA	Eastside	22	888,627	111,344	7	1,000,000	-
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	1	111,350	866,041	17,603	994,995	5,005
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	-	3	8,750	580,482	589,235	410,765
8-AAAA	Madison County	-	-	13,761	66,539	80,300	919,700
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	-	-	95	328,113	328,208	671,792
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	-	-	6	7,256	7,262	992,738

Class AAA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Sandy Creek	2-AAA	7-0	76.87	1,000,000	4.29	893,622	764,710	643,149	454,823	1.20
Jefferson	8-AAA	6-2	73.52	1,000,000	3.90	830,247	627,874	469,855	248,372	3.03
Peach County	1-AAA	6-1	69.82	999,942	3.57	787,702	560,439	271,150	121,438	7.23
Douglass	5-AAA	5-2	66.28	999,985	3.23	720,907	440,549	155,534	55,021	17.17
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAA	7-0	64.51	1,000,000	2.61	479,808	190,517	87,026	25,115	38.82
Cairo	1-AAA	5-2	63.73	999,862	2.68	509,842	251,315	80,399	23,394	41.75
LaGrange	2-AAA	6-2	64.41	999,997	2.60	488,538	190,301	75,616	22,904	42.66
Oconee County	8-AAA	4-3	63.87	1,000,000	2.57	461,517	219,692	73,110	21,780	44.91
Calhoun	7-AAA	4-3	61.77	999,997	2.70	538,568	240,453	66,168	16,324	60.26
Westover	1-AAA	6-1	59.91	997,345	2.04	240,894	81,157	22,796	4,761	209.04
Jenkins	3-AAA	4-2	55.75	999,983	1.97	242,761	58,038	11,214	1,488	671.04
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	4-3	55.87	998,454	1.86	205,189	63,342	9,651	1,321	756.00
Stephenson	5-AAA	4-3	54.70	974,060	1.77	187,768	52,320	7,257	920	1,085.96
Westside (Augusta)	4-AAA	6-0	51.44	999,897	1.92	227,717	57,318	6,573	569	1,756.47
North Hall	6-AAA	5-2	51.87	1,000,000	1.84	200,571	40,857	5,133	490	2,039.82
Harlem	4-AAA	4-1	50.37	998,541	1.72	156,158	34,175	3,459	279	3,583.23
Whitewater	2-AAA	3-4	53.31	761,286	1.10	82,428	13,214	1,992	227	4,404.29
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	2-5	52.62	815,419	1.18	83,448	18,661	2,087	225	4,443.44
Troup	2-AAA	4-3	53.34	506,666	0.74	57,610	12,291	1,481	164	6,096.56
Lumpkin County	6-AAA	5-2	49.45	989,211	1.51	98,967	16,998	1,511	114	8,770.93
Long County	3-AAA	6-0	49.64	999,995	1.57	89,432	14,526	1,651	113	8,848.56
Monroe Area	8-AAA	4-3	49.35	698,626	0.92	42,645	5,767	478	39	25,640.03
Spalding	2-AAA	4-4	51.90	317,289	0.44	28,399	4,261	488	38	26,314.79
Adairsville	7-AAA	5-2	47.22	903,039	1.20	49,971	7,190	425	20	49,999.00
Mary Persons	2-AAA	1-6	48.49	267,723	0.34	14,596	2,191	126	12	83,332.33
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAA	6-2	46.47	988,982	1.35	53,468	6,798	355	11	90,908.09
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAA	4-3	45.45	736,672	0.93	30,073	3,715	197	10	99,999.00
Gilmer	7-AAA	4-3	45.28	771,318	0.99	33,338	3,865	243	6	166,665.67
West Laurens	4-AAA	5-1	44.37	925,162	1.19	33,670	3,851	174	6	166,665.67
Luella	5-AAA	3-4	45.57	729,015	0.88	25,169	2,934	166	6	166,665.67
Baldwin	4-AAA	2-3	46.10	587,323	0.75	27,772	3,166	176	4	249,999.00
Monroe	1-AAA	2-5	47.21	651,812	0.73	13,533	2,058	154	3	333,332.33
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	4-2	43.75	922,949	1.13	23,312	2,333	88	2	499,999.00
White County	6-AAA	2-5	39.63	323,694	0.34	1,288	116	4	1	999,999.00
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAA	4-3	41.74	771,647	0.91	16,649	1,373	43	-	-
Howard	4-AAA	3-2	42.20	368,388	0.44	8,136	561	23	-	-
West Hall	8-AAA	4-4	43.47	302,078	0.35	6,407	476	22	-	-
Bainbridge	1-AAA	0-7	45.31	272,087	0.28	1,531	167	10	-	-
Dougherty	1-AAA	2-5	44.35	117,814	0.13	1,826	204	8	-	-
Chestatee	6-AAA	3-4	38.67	441,611	0.47	2,427	158	8	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	3-3	33.80	410,805	0.43	1,280	42	-	-	-
Liberty County	3-AAA	3-3	34.05	124,536	0.13	414	13	-	-	-
Dawson County	6-AAA	3-4	34.37	255,962	0.26	269	10	-	-	-
Pickens	6-AAA	3-4	34.35	20,478	0.02	60	2	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAA	3-5	35.97	45,154	0.05	63	1	-	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	1-5	30.68	3,370	0.00	7	1	-	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	1-5	29.06	752	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	1-5	28.80	416	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAA	3-5	30.90	466	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAA	1-7	12.61	163	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	2-4	21.62	18	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Riverdale	5-AAA	0-7	18.26	8	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-5	22.54	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	2-AAA	1-6	18.60	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
LaFayette	7-AAA	0-8	8.42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	1-5	8.31	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAA	0-6	4.19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	6-AAA	0-7	-3.68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
8-AAA	Jefferson	470,139	870,398	996,794	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Sandy Creek	408,140	996,784	999,783	1,000,000	-
8-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	100,772	467,835	968,890	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Westside (Augusta)	13,379	580,169	887,353	999,897	103
4-AAA	Harlem	4,046	324,616	806,633	998,541	1,459
3-AAA	Long County	1,863	199,504	808,613	999,995	5
1-AAA	Peach County	1,195	771,044	982,730	999,942	58
1-AAA	Cairo	325	227,719	741,039	999,862	138
8-AAA	Oconee County	110	192,557	610,754	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	LaGrange	15	133,725	783,406	999,997	3
4-AAA	West Laurens	11	42,263	182,612	925,162	74,838
1-AAA	Westover	3	73,656	588,374	997,345	2,655
5-AAA	Douglass	2	839,396	992,870	999,985	15
7-AAA	Calhoun	-	921,224	995,457	999,997	3
6-AAA	North Hall	-	669,266	873,999	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Lumpkin County	-	245,661	397,402	989,211	10,789
3-AAA	Jenkins	-	130,122	757,250	999,983	17
5-AAA	Stephenson	-	126,352	690,277	974,060	25,940
7-AAA	Gilmer	-	53,842	221,582	771,318	228,682
4-AAA	Baldwin	-	53,521	157,576	587,323	412,677
5-AAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	33,630	144,393	736,672	263,328
7-AAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	-	23,212	217,606	771,647	228,353
4-AAA	Howard	-	16,934	59,769	368,388	631,612
1-AAA	Monroe	-	2,327	10,142	651,812	348,188
7-AAA	Adairsville	-	1,725	193,865	903,039	96,961
5-AAA	Luella	-	731	51,789	729,015	270,985
2-AAA	Whitewater	-	646	6,342	761,286	238,714
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	-	632	277,432	998,454	1,546
6-AAA	Dawson County	-	295	2,691	255,962	744,038
2-AAA	Troup	-	182	3,761	506,666	493,334
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	-	14	120,878	815,419	184,581
7-AAA	Northwest Whitfield	-	9	378,935	988,982	11,018
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	-	5	63,617	922,949	77,051
1-AAA	Bainbridge	-	4	1,428	272,087	727,913
6-AAA	Chestatee	-	-	13,755	441,611	558,389
1-AAA	Dougherty	-	-	3,312	117,814	882,186
8-AAA	Monroe Area	-	-	2,877	698,626	301,374
6-AAA	White County	-	-	1,935	323,694	676,306
6-AAA	Pickens	-	-	1,340	20,478	979,522
2-AAA	Mary Persons	-	-	674	267,723	732,277
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	-	-	49	752	999,248
3-AAA	Liberty County	-	-	14	124,536	875,464
3-AAA	Beach	-	-	2	410,805	589,195
2-AAA	Spalding	-	-	-	317,289	682,711
8-AAA	West Hall	-	-	-	302,078	697,922
8-AAA	East Hall	-	-	-	45,154	954,846
4-AAA	Hephzibah	-	-	-	3,370	996,630
5-AAA	North Clayton	-	-	-	466	999,534
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	-	-	-	416	999,584
7-AAA	Ridgeland	-	-	-	163	999,837
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	-	-	18	999,982
5-AAA	Riverdale	-	-	-	8	999,992
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	-	3	999,997
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-AAA	Islands	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-AAA	Fayette County	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAA	LaFayette	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Pierce County	3-AA	6-0	74.15	1,000,000	4.39	924,267	796,456	679,942	552,489	0.81
Morgan County	2-AA	7-0	64.32	1,000,000	3.56	787,060	485,753	305,965	115,017	7.69
Burke County	4-AA	5-1	63.75	1,000,000	3.61	826,313	550,193	264,169	102,251	8.78
Appling County	3-AA	4-2	64.06	999,978	3.24	717,611	388,798	189,870	81,911	11.21
Carver (Columbus)	1-AA	6-1	61.56	1,000,000	3.27	722,380	420,937	177,669	62,555	14.99
Hapeville Charter	5-AA	3-3	59.57	999,997	2.69	491,206	230,153	83,560	24,793	39.33
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AA	5-2	59.04	1,000,000	2.64	472,631	208,896	75,495	20,876	46.90
Rockmart	7-AA	5-2	55.49	1,000,000	2.98	671,295	291,337	90,617	16,586	59.29
Callaway	2-AA	5-2	56.23	1,000,000	2.61	503,816	178,406	52,764	11,688	84.56
Sumter County	1-AA	7-0	52.48	1,000,000	2.31	362,971	90,259	21,353	3,555	280.29
Stephens County	8-AA	4-3	54.46	999,992	2.01	212,769	76,598	18,472	3,445	289.28
Columbia	6-AA	2-6	49.74	1,000,000	2.35	377,700	93,495	15,042	1,898	525.87
Thomson	4-AA	4-2	50.87	1,000,000	2.06	256,325	73,895	11,332	1,523	655.60
Hart County	8-AA	3-4	50.97	996,291	1.70	135,622	36,113	6,077	815	1,225.99
Westside (Macon)	2-AA	3-5	47.71	999,991	1.67	88,955	19,274	2,594	250	3,999.00
Cook	3-AA	3-5	46.57	999,431	1.28	62,037	10,508	1,148	103	9,707.74
Crisp County	3-AA	1-6	46.18	962,536	1.19	51,899	8,890	985	80	12,499.00
Spencer	1-AA	4-3	45.07	998,801	1.49	54,252	9,054	858	54	18,517.52
Ringgold	7-AA	5-3	43.56	1,000,000	1.56	59,612	9,718	805	48	20,832.33
East Jackson	8-AA	4-3	44.56	998,987	1.36	51,072	6,990	627	43	23,254.81
Laney	4-AA	4-2	41.39	999,998	1.49	57,450	6,804	379	13	76,922.08
North Murray	7-AA	5-2	38.53	1,000,000	1.36	32,095	2,731	137	3	333,332.33
Union County	7-AA	3-4	37.40	999,292	1.36	31,598	2,439	80	3	333,332.33
Jackson	2-AA	4-3	34.20	999,989	1.09	8,167	365	10	1	999,999.00
Shaw	1-AA	3-4	36.76	999,623	1.22	16,937	1,106	39	-	-
South Atlanta	6-AA	2-5	31.85	979,319	1.13	7,584	307	5	-	-
Washington	5-AA	3-5	30.84	186,555	0.19	786	28	2	-	-
Miller Grove	6-AA	4-4	29.80	987,528	1.14	6,003	199	1	-	-
Pike County	2-AA	4-3	29.68	997,825	1.08	4,071	120	1	-	-
Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	7-AA	3-4	30.01	829,582	0.85	2,397	96	1	-	-
Hardaway	1-AA	3-4	27.06	684,317	0.70	839	30	1	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	5-AA	2-6	31.29	210,982	0.22	944	27	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AA	3-4	29.70	55,725	0.06	186	12	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	2-3	23.89	989,527	1.01	936	11	-	-	-
Therrell	5-AA	2-6	29.89	20,156	0.02	56	2	-	-	-
Redan	6-AA	2-5	21.64	773,728	0.78	134	-	-	-	-
Sonoraville	7-AA	2-6	24.59	15,125	0.02	14	-	-	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	1-5	22.76	39,193	0.04	8	-	-	-	-
Salem	6-AA	1-4	11.28	261,503	0.26	2	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-6	-9.13	8,896	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-6	-17.51	2,021	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	0-8	15.35	1,511	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	1-AA	2-5	4.89	885	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	7-AA	1-6	10.57	711	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Columbus	1-AA	1-6	2.25	5	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	1-7	-12.99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	1-AA	0-7	-18.13	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
2-AA	Morgan County	729,179	994,479	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
3-AA	Pierce County	170,886	906,715	999,703	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Carver (Columbus)	62,046	937,235	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Sumter County	30,528	827,893	999,989	1,000,000	-
7-AA	Rockmart	7,212	975,123	999,933	1,000,000	-
4-AA	Burke County	76	862,344	992,625	1,000,000	-
2-AA	Callaway	64	448,019	989,448	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Carver (Atlanta)	8	285,460	795,139	1,000,000	-
3-AA	Appling County	1	267,313	942,007	999,978	22
6-AA	Columbia	-	996,204	999,931	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Hapeville Charter	-	291,014	755,002	999,997	3
4-AA	Thomson	-	135,004	791,959	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Murray	-	31,169	322,938	1,000,000	-
4-AA	Laney	-	25,410	264,684	999,998	2
8-AA	Stephens County	-	7,944	541,241	999,992	8
6-AA	Redan	-	3,347	14,548	773,728	226,272
3-AA	Crisp County	-	2,151	14,342	962,536	37,464
2-AA	Jackson	-	1,544	17,952	999,989	11
3-AA	Cook	-	546	56,017	999,431	569
6-AA	Salem	-	233	9,584	261,503	738,497
8-AA	East Jackson	-	213	54,443	998,987	1,013
2-AA	Westside (Macon)	-	205	671,962	999,991	9
4-AA	Butler	-	120	5,536	989,527	10,473
6-AA	Miller Grove	-	114	556,341	987,528	12,472
6-AA	South Atlanta	-	102	419,596	979,319	20,681
7-AA	Union County	-	93	229,222	999,292	708
1-AA	Shaw	-	3	110,003	999,623	377
2-AA	Pike County	-	2	6,748	997,825	2,175
7-AA	Ringgold	-	1	876,933	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Spencer	-	-	363,308	998,801	1,199
8-AA	Hart County	-	-	196,836	996,291	3,709
1-AA	Hardaway	-	-	1,876	684,317	315,683
3-AA	Tattnall County	-	-	150	39,193	960,807
5-AA	Therrell	-	-	4	20,156	979,844
7-AA	Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	-	-	-	829,582	170,418
5-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	-	-	210,982	789,018
5-AA	Washington	-	-	-	186,555	813,445
8-AA	Franklin County	-	-	-	55,725	944,275
7-AA	Sonoraville	-	-	-	15,125	984,875
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	-	8,896	991,104
4-AA	Josey	-	-	-	2,021	997,979
2-AA	Rutland	-	-	-	1,511	998,489
1-AA	Kendrick	-	-	-	885	999,115
7-AA	Coahulla Creek	-	-	-	711	999,289
1-AA	Columbus	-	-	-	5	999,995
1-AA	Jordan	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AA	Murray County	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class A Division I Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Toombs County	3-A Division I	5-0	69.87	1,000,000	4.04	911,593	669,503	473,243	333,994	1.99
Thomasville	1-A Division I	6-2	68.85	1,000,000	4.07	909,868	696,565	473,330	319,169	2.13
Dublin	2-A Division I	7-0	62.41	1,000,000	3.53	830,227	513,843	223,239	101,990	8.80
Fannin County	7-A Division I	7-0	60.93	1,000,000	3.56	793,695	515,078	300,048	98,142	9.19
Fitzgerald	1-A Division I	4-2	62.12	1,000,000	3.28	699,530	425,484	219,882	81,953	11.20
Northeast	2-A Division I	5-2	57.03	1,000,000	2.80	578,869	248,527	82,153	21,800	44.87
Worth County	1-A Division I	4-3	56.56	999,969	2.69	520,561	216,793	83,323	19,381	50.60
Dodge County	2-A Division I	7-0	54.53	1,000,000	2.69	555,267	211,643	57,869	12,490	79.06
Heard County	6-A Division I	5-2	51.11	999,870	2.50	438,076	167,518	39,971	5,617	177.03
Commerce	8-A Division I	4-3	51.84	999,992	2.22	293,432	78,515	15,258	2,770	360.01
Rabun County	8-A Division I	6-2	48.87	1,000,000	1.84	155,747	44,324	7,801	906	1,102.75
Jeff Davis	1-A Division I	5-2	47.14	999,432	1.61	120,931	24,961	3,897	395	2,530.65
Lamar County	4-A Division I	6-1	44.37	1,000,000	1.97	213,458	43,210	5,472	384	2,603.17
Elbert County	8-A Division I	4-4	47.35	1,000,000	1.56	122,176	26,338	3,746	367	2,723.80
Temple	6-A Division I	6-2	43.97	1,000,000	1.77	121,777	18,130	2,114	153	6,534.95
Vidalia	3-A Division I	3-3	44.92	945,808	1.34	79,415	14,076	1,600	135	7,406.41
Social Circle	4-A Division I	5-2	40.66	1,000,000	1.73	120,586	17,496	1,571	65	15,383.62
Gordon Lee	7-A Division I	6-2	40.90	1,000,000	1.66	113,862	16,623	1,241	53	18,866.92
Swainsboro	3-A Division I	2-5	42.71	927,747	1.10	39,347	6,007	647	48	20,832.33
ACE Charter	2-A Division I	4-3	42.68	993,481	1.46	57,377	8,458	833	43	23,254.81
Jasper County	4-A Division I	5-1	39.31	1,000,000	1.60	80,520	9,826	795	34	29,410.76
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	2-4	42.34	815,049	1.00	37,612	4,702	432	30	33,332.33
Bremen	6-A Division I	4-3	40.87	993,001	1.31	51,690	6,844	559	26	38,460.54
Bacon County	1-A Division I	4-3	41.20	920,911	1.18	42,806	5,234	447	22	45,453.55
Washington County	2-A Division I	3-4	39.71	879,820	1.11	31,863	3,614	225	16	62,499.00
Southwest	2-A Division I	2-4	38.45	816,521	1.00	24,611	2,683	138	7	142,856.14
Putnam County	4-A Division I	4-4	36.66	1,000,000	1.22	26,418	2,298	116	7	142,856.14
Chattooga	7-A Division I	5-3	33.35	999,993	1.21	13,018	899	28	2	499,999.00
McNair	4-A Division I	2-6	30.98	94,552	0.10	295	15	1	1	999,999.00
East Laurens	2-A Division I	2-4	34.14	592,149	0.66	7,664	509	14	-	-
Dade County	7-A Division I	2-5	30.91	939,125	1.05	5,562	240	7	-	-
Brantley County	1-A Division I	1-5	29.35	199,256	0.20	427	19	-	-	-
Model	6-A Division I	3-4	29.35	161,000	0.17	492	12	-	-	-
Pepperell	6-A Division I	1-7	31.72	14,955	0.02	53	5	-	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	5-A Division I	4-4	22.44	497,642	1.51	397	3	-	-	-
Towers	4-A Division I	2-4	19.31	906,669	0.92	378	2	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-A Division I	3-5	19.09	671,707	0.68	266	2	-	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	3-4	17.56	274,805	0.28	90	1	-	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	3-4	14.31	351,335	0.35	43	-	-	-	-
Haralson County	6-A Division I	1-7	21.66	4,175	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Berrien	1-A Division I	0-6	18.46	736	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-5	16.17	185	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	8-A Division I	0-7	21.82	63	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Banks County	8-A Division I	0-7	21.83	52	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-A Division I	0-6	8.03	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Utopian Academy	4-A Division I	0-7	-29.43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
7-A Division I	Fannin County	848,073	985,507	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Dublin	85,393	938,036	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Toombs County	22,561	948,989	999,787	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Thomasville	21,066	970,452	999,999	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Dodge County	20,274	496,776	999,996	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Jasper County	849	283,393	817,335	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Northeast	776	516,849	988,224	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Lamar County	698	568,334	932,708	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Fitzgerald	263	257,587	989,042	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Gordon Lee	43	30,328	994,687	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Social Circle	4	374,612	808,816	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Heard County	-	920,052	980,899	999,870	130
1-A Division I	Worth County	-	346,576	796,069	999,969	31
8-A Division I	Commerce	-	137,838	987,922	999,992	8
6-A Division I	Temple	-	64,824	836,018	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Bremen	-	53,851	119,055	993,001	6,999
8-A Division I	Rabun County	-	47,376	454,726	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Putnam County	-	33,199	127,785	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Jeff Davis	-	14,972	197,926	999,432	568
8-A Division I	Elbert County	-	8,047	78,113	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Swainsboro	-	785	16,104	927,747	72,253
1-A Division I	Bacon County	-	748	14,196	920,911	79,089
3-A Division I	Vidalia	-	667	29,214	945,808	54,192
6-A Division I	Model	-	192	1,461	161,000	839,000
1-A Division I	Brantley County	-	10	159	199,256	800,744
7-A Division I	Chattooga	-	-	431,544	999,993	7
2-A Division I	ACE Charter	-	-	261,566	993,481	6,519
2-A Division I	Washington County	-	-	51,384	879,820	120,180
7-A Division I	Dade County	-	-	45,161	939,125	60,875
2-A Division I	Southwest	-	-	35,405	816,521	183,479
2-A Division I	East Laurens	-	-	2,324	592,149	407,851
4-A Division I	Towers	-	-	1,587	906,669	93,331
7-A Division I	Coosa	-	-	350	274,805	725,195
5-A Division I	B.E.S.T. Academy	-	-	330	497,642	502,358
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	-	-	102	815,049	184,951
7-A Division I	Armuchee	-	-	6	351,335	648,665
7-A Division I	Gordon Central	-	-	-	671,707	328,293
4-A Division I	McNair	-	-	-	94,552	905,448
6-A Division I	Pepperell	-	-	-	14,955	985,045
6-A Division I	Haralson County	-	-	-	4,175	995,825
1-A Division I	Berrien	-	-	-	736	999,264
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	-	-	-	185	999,815
8-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	-	-	-	63	999,937
8-A Division I	Banks County	-	-	-	52	999,948
2-A Division I	Central (Macon)	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-A Division I	Utopian Academy	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class A Division II

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Manchester	7-A Division II	5-1	62.95	1,000,000	4.20	944,664	798,211	463,589	293,916	2.40
Brooks County	2-A Division II	4-3	62.49	999,995	4.06	885,875	746,913	496,008	285,694	2.50
Irwin County	2-A Division II	7-0	61.87	999,985	3.99	872,488	729,781	472,917	256,877	2.89
Bowdon	7-A Division II	6-2	57.55	1,000,000	3.41	779,737	415,026	264,669	99,202	9.08
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	6-0	53.81	999,238	2.58	582,202	229,309	82,503	27,123	35.87
Trion	7-A Division II	7-1	49.87	1,000,000	2.80	608,563	287,516	71,690	14,090	69.97
Clinch County	2-A Division II	5-1	50.28	956,744	2.01	357,068	166,782	40,966	8,724	113.63
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	5-1	46.94	999,945	2.32	357,927	78,571	26,585	4,230	235.41
Greene County	8-A Division II	5-1	47.12	976,587	1.70	251,808	87,220	19,700	3,345	297.95
Warren County	8-A Division II	5-2	45.77	987,935	1.61	216,155	66,949	13,804	2,030	491.61
Early County	1-A Division II	4-3	43.38	906,410	2.00	219,708	71,019	11,507	1,292	772.99
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	6-1	41.40	933,345	2.01	203,032	55,035	7,277	687	1,454.60
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	4-2	43.00	987,384	1.84	170,137	45,549	5,599	644	1,551.80
Metter	3-A Division II	5-1	42.02	988,774	1.90	203,820	34,498	4,918	545	1,833.86
Miller County	1-A Division II	5-2	40.66	866,113	1.70	122,142	27,268	3,355	339	2,948.85
Charlton County	2-A Division II	4-3	42.87	865,191	1.26	127,822	23,562	2,919	328	3,047.78
Macon County	6-A Division II	4-3	39.05	1,000,000	2.14	364,641	36,617	3,258	315	3,173.60
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	5-2	38.78	966,535	1.68	156,754	16,233	1,328	147	6,801.72
Telfair County	4-A Division II	4-2	38.09	979,958	1.50	83,035	16,242	1,502	109	9,173.31
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	4-3	37.92	976,752	1.42	78,746	11,142	1,025	71	14,083.51
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	6-1	36.71	995,480	1.46	70,777	12,217	1,015	67	14,924.37
Pelham	1-A Division II	2-5	37.71	815,225	1.42	58,649	10,301	954	67	14,924.37
Seminole County	1-A Division II	4-3	38.86	467,095	0.83	39,087	5,656	612	54	18,517.52
Johnson County	5-A Division II	4-2	36.51	999,901	1.49	36,758	5,918	956	39	25,640.03
Schley County	6-A Division II	4-4	36.00	1,000,000	1.24	63,886	9,399	641	38	26,314.79
Taylor County	6-A Division II	5-2	34.97	986,924	1.30	81,183	7,104	448	20	49,999.00
Lake Oconee Academy	8-A Division II	5-2	34.82	686,440	0.72	8,718	2,169	123	3	333,332.33
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	3-4	31.56	998,801	1.30	10,032	2,032	76	3	333,332.33
Dooly County	4-A Division II	0-6	27.21	249,578	0.27	1,523	43	1	1	999,999.00
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	4-3	32.03	708,446	0.86	25,749	1,073	36	-	-
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	3-4	29.60	349,800	0.36	1,542	232	7	-	-
Turner County	2-A Division II	1-6	30.29	175,945	0.19	2,743	116	4	-	-
Marion County	6-A Division II	3-4	24.75	998,774	1.02	3,053	90	4	-	-
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	3-4	23.89	981,287	1.08	3,646	110	3	-	-
Bryan County	3-A Division II	4-4	25.76	9,523	0.01	79	6	1	-	-
Greenville	7-A Division II	3-3	19.26	1,000,000	1.09	5,042	46	-	-	-
Portal	3-A Division II	2-4	27.33	40,112	0.05	539	38	-	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	2-4	15.80	997,387	1.03	483	4	-	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Division II	1-4	20.55	63,407	0.07	115	2	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	3-4	24.53	11,811	0.01	34	1	-	-	-
Montgomery County	4-A Division II	2-4	17.38	26,379	0.03	16	-	-	-	-
Screven County	3-A Division II	2-4	19.99	7,727	0.01	14	-	-	-	-
Lanier County	2-A Division II	1-6	24.27	2,140	0.00	8	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	2-5	0.48	21,774	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	2-5	12.40	7,577	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	6-A Division II	2-4	13.08	6,667	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	0-7	-13.02	850	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	1-5	-15.68	58	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Terrell County	1-A Division II	2-6	-6.25	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	3-6	19.46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	4-2	8.77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division II	1-7	5.62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1-A Division II	3-4	1.84	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	5-3	1.62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	1-6	-7.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	2-4	-12.43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division II	0-5	-16.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest Georgia STEM	1-A Division II	2-3	-31.61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Spring Creek	1-A Division II	1-4	-64.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	401,220	278,670	156,107	97,348	933,345	66,655
1-A Division II	Early County	376,704	221,893	188,360	119,453	906,410	93,590
1-A Division II	Miller County	150,715	238,823	260,261	216,314	866,113	133,887
1-A Division II	Pelham	64,254	140,058	261,687	349,226	815,225	184,775
1-A Division II	Seminole County	7,107	120,556	132,009	207,423	467,095	532,905
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	-	-	1,576	10,235	11,811	988,189
1-A Division II	Terrell County	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
1-A Division II	Calhoun County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Spring Creek	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Brooks County	503,969	469,949	20,998	5,079	999,995	5
2-A Division II	Irwin County	488,086	442,220	67,896	1,783	999,985	15
2-A Division II	Clinch County	6,149	68,087	650,635	231,873	956,744	43,256
2-A Division II	Charlton County	1,796	19,625	238,001	605,769	865,191	134,809
2-A Division II	Turner County	-	118	22,337	153,490	175,945	824,055
2-A Division II	Lanier County	-	1	133	2,006	2,140	997,860
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	746,700	237,558	12,664	3,023	999,945	55
3-A Division II	Metter	236,125	256,078	245,809	250,762	988,774	11,226
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	17,029	397,880	426,094	125,532	966,535	33,465
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	146	108,483	312,819	565,936	987,384	12,616
3-A Division II	Bryan County	-	1	166	9,356	9,523	990,477
3-A Division II	Portal	-	-	2,428	37,684	40,112	959,888
3-A Division II	Screven County	-	-	20	7,707	7,727	992,273
3-A Division II	Savannah	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-A Division II	Claxton	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	414,020	354,595	179,750	47,115	995,480	4,520
4-A Division II	Telfair County	373,383	384,031	181,117	41,427	979,958	20,042
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	211,927	222,374	256,039	286,412	976,752	23,248
4-A Division II	Treutlen	594	3,763	11,261	47,789	63,407	936,593
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	59	26,653	334,979	346,755	708,446	291,554
4-A Division II	Dooly County	17	8,483	33,523	207,555	249,578	750,422
4-A Division II	Montgomery County	-	101	3,331	22,947	26,379	973,621
5-A Division II	Johnson County	870,843	89,733	28,253	11,072	999,901	99
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	100,661	823,781	59,898	14,461	998,801	1,199
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	17,359	35,879	591,467	336,582	981,287	18,713
5-A Division II	Glascock County	11,133	50,194	319,439	616,621	997,387	2,613
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	4	413	930	20,427	21,774	978,226
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	-	-	13	837	850	999,150
6-A Division II	Macon County	751,538	154,831	33,476	60,155	1,000,000	-
6-A Division II	Taylor County	169,320	290,485	496,242	30,877	986,924	13,076
6-A Division II	Schley County	60,829	533,137	325,409	80,625	1,000,000	-
6-A Division II	Marion County	18,313	21,547	144,149	814,765	998,774	1,226
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	-	-	640	6,937	7,577	992,423
6-A Division II	Crawford County	-	-	84	6,583	6,667	993,333
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	-	58	58	999,942
7-A Division II	Manchester	999,871	121	8	-	1,000,000	-
7-A Division II	Bowdon	84	756,245	241,859	1,812	1,000,000	-
7-A Division II	Greenville	39	258	14,737	984,966	1,000,000	-
7-A Division II	Trion	6	243,376	743,396	13,222	1,000,000	-
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	589,962	273,791	113,892	21,593	999,238	762
8-A Division II	Greene County	204,567	359,430	326,386	86,204	976,587	23,413
8-A Division II	Warren County	199,193	337,209	402,753	48,780	987,935	12,065
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	5,590	15,141	98,274	567,435	686,440	313,560
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	688	14,429	58,695	275,988	349,800	650,200
8-A Division II	Towns County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

AAA to A Private

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
AAA to A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Savannah Christian	3-A Division I	7-0	77.79	1,000,000	4.56	979,717	864,106	714,602	502,250	0.99
Hebron Christian	8-AA	6-1	73.68	1,000,000	4.26	960,682	744,007	552,586	264,320	2.78
Prince Avenue Christian	8-AA	4-3	72.86	1,000,000	3.81	909,108	568,497	335,690	163,560	5.11
Lovett	5-AA	7-0	62.33	1,000,000	3.30	781,288	408,234	115,112	22,713	43.03
Calvary Day	3-AAA	5-1	62.47	1,000,000	3.26	793,270	380,583	91,774	20,434	47.94
Athens Academy	8-A Division I	8-0	60.21	1,000,000	3.27	805,113	377,569	88,296	14,762	66.74
Fellowship Christian	5-A Division I	6-2	58.90	1,000,000	3.98	643,076	287,587	60,008	8,695	114.01
Wesleyan	5-A Division I	7-1	54.90	1,000,000	3.66	495,204	172,327	26,539	2,620	380.68
Whitefield Academy	5-A Division I	5-2	48.87	1,000,000	3.45	423,224	63,341	6,127	289	3,459.21
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAA	3-4	48.92	1,000,000	2.16	228,160	41,913	3,750	171	5,846.95
North Cobb Christian	7-AA	6-1	46.67	1,000,000	2.15	239,345	20,925	1,571	65	15,383.62
Aquinas	4-AAA	3-2	47.01	1,000,000	2.03	173,356	22,641	1,721	64	15,624.00
Christian Heritage	7-A Division I	7-1	43.60	1,000,000	2.35	329,308	29,454	1,599	44	22,726.27
Mount Vernon	5-A Division I	4-3	42.35	1,000,000	2.70	50,082	5,894	249	5	199,999.00
Darlington	6-A Division I	4-3	39.59	1,000,000	1.62	39,940	3,248	109	4	249,999.00
Holy Innocents	5-AA	3-5	41.47	1,000,000	1.51	42,773	3,990	139	3	333,332.33
Landmark Christian	5-A Division I	6-1	37.03	1,000,000	2.69	60,056	3,040	70	1	999,999.00
Savannah Country Day	3-A Division I	2-5	38.37	1,000,000	1.36	21,439	1,319	29	-	-
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	2-AAA	1-7	37.45	1,000,000	1.18	13,600	856	18	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	5-A Division I	6-2	31.82	1,000,000	2.34	5,657	266	6	-	-
Mount Paran Christian	5-A Division I	5-2	30.84	1,000,000	2.28	4,103	192	5	-	-
Providence Christian	8-A Division I	1-6	25.66	1,000,000	1.05	1,206	10	-	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	5-A Division I	0-8	16.01	1,000,000	2.02	254	1	-	-	-
St. Francis	5-A Division I	0-8	10.01	1,000,000	2.01	39	-	-	-	-
Walker	5-A Division I	2-6	-19.34	1,000,000	2.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
3-A Division I	Savannah Christian	650,646	996,935	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Hebron Christian	229,782	969,570	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Lovett	44,388	782,775	999,999	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Academy	31,524	862,885	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Wesleyan	19,157	413,481	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Fellowship Christian	12,676	548,469	999,991	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	7,323	605,557	999,996	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Christian Heritage	3,613	846,434	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Landmark Christian	752	137,071	985,460	1,000,000	-
3-AAA	Calvary Day	132	884,337	999,939	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Prince Avenue Christian	6	502,919	998,916	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Aquinas	1	126,576	859,075	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Cobb Christian	-	218,035	986,252	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	-	93,276	750,149	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Darlington	-	11,611	364,264	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Paran Christian	-	45	483,172	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Country Day	-	24	9,906	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Vernon	-	-	802,531	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	-	-	757,897	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Holy Innocents	-	-	2,453	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Walker	-	-	-	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	-	-	-	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	-	-	-	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	St. Francis	-	-	-	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Providence Christian	-	-	-	1,000,000	-

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAA

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Playoff Projections by Team

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Class AAAAA

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Class AAAA

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Class AAA Public

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Class AA Public

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Class A Division I Public

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Class A Division II

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AAA to A Private

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