Maxwell playoff projections heading into 2021 season

Parkview receiver Jared Brown (1) celebrates after a touchdown in against Marietta, Friday, Oct. 2, 2020. Brown finished with four TD catches as the Panthers topped the Blue Devils 50-28. (Jason Getz/For the AJC)

By Loren Maxwell

Aug 18, 2021

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2021 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Grayson	4-AAAAAAA	0-0	104.02	999,741	4.09	905,625	668,351	534,809	361,850	1.76
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAAA	0-0	103.81	1,000,000	3.87	819,784	608,309	502,480	321,017	2.12
Lowndes	1-AAAAAAA	0-0	99.98	1,000,000	3.41	723,070	453,280	335,222	160,158	5.24
North Gwinnett	8-AAAAAAA	0-0	93.80	998,133	3.07	686,426	315,694	145,831	49,462	19.22
Parkview	4-AAAAAAA	0-0	91.36	980,235	2.90	615,679	345,825	119,689	30,179	32.14
Milton	5-AAAAAAA	0-0	90.46	993,517	2.98	603,279	362,171	91,173	25,037	38.94
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAAA	0-0	88.93	990,481	2.56	481,846	187,568	54,459	12,649	78.06
Archer	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	89.99	999,980	2.20	239,262	80,003	40,390	10,144	97.58
Norcross	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	88.68	999,935	2.10	196,838	66,943	31,269	6,874	144.48
North Cobb	3-AAAAAAA	0-0	87.92	894,491	1.80	274,673	136,090	31,996	6,635	149.72
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAAA	0-0	86.25	985,190	2.21	312,321	107,865	23,353	4,443	224.07
Roswell	5-AAAAAAA	0-0	84.11	947,395	2.11	311,498	128,388	19,808	3,002	332.11
McEachern	2-AAAAAAA	0-0	84.20	998,475	1.94	244,355	84,880	13,801	2,177	458.35
Camden County	1-AAAAAAA	0-0	83.65	1,000,000	1.72	189,223	66,625	9,053	1,309	762.94
Harrison	3-AAAAAAA	0-0	84.05	753,294	1.17	113,471	44,050	7,347	1,043	957.77
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAAA	0-0	83.03	726,917	1.08	92,778	34,048	5,160	695	1,437.85
East Coweta	2-AAAAAAA	0-0	80.81	994,596	1.64	151,302	39,568	4,834	519	1,925.78
Brookwood	4-AAAAAAA	0-0	81.10	840,266	1.45	144,043	36,118	4,730	478	2,091.05
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	0-0	79.93	928,959	1.54	121,491	40,262	4,906	447	2,236.14
Walton	3-AAAAAAA	0-0	82.20	674,286	0.97	75,358	26,152	3,549	437	2,287.33
Tift County	1-AAAAAAA	0-0	81.00	1,000,000	1.55	133,473	39,374	4,086	426	2,346.42
Marietta	3-AAAAAAA	0-0	82.18	646,193	0.92	68,998	23,564	3,297	361	2,769.08
Cherokee	5-AAAAAAA	0-0	79.03	854,297	1.42	116,633	33,204	3,229	285	3,507.77
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	0-0	77.75	880,677	1.33	79,494	21,358	2,122	155	6,450.61
Newton	4-AAAAAAA	0-0	78.29	661,461	1.02	73,334	15,445	1,348	115	8,694.65
Newnan	2-AAAAAAA	0-0	75.88	982,922	1.29	61,393	11,414	863	56	17,856.14
Mountain View	8-AAAAAAA	0-0	72.32	733,882	1.02	30,697	4,647	202	11	90,908.09
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAAA	0-0	74.89	518,297	0.72	31,974	4,853	266	8	124,999.00
Alpharetta	5-AAAAAAA	0-0	73.27	588,608	0.76	21,779	3,722	219	6	166,665.67
Gainesville	6-AAAAAAA	0-0	72.54	637,812	0.78	18,791	2,563	125	6	166,665.67
North Paulding	3-AAAAAAA	0-0	76.06	304,819	0.35	8,487	1,790	118	6	166,665.67
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	0-0	72.08	603,729	0.73	16,232	2,126	102	4	249,999.00
Denmark	6-AAAAAAA	0-0	71.65	569,746	0.68	13,807	1,733	101	4	249,999.00
Etowah	5-AAAAAAA	0-0	69.68	315,561	0.37	5,043	588	19	1	999,999.00
Pebblebrook	2-AAAAAAA	0-0	66.75	856,677	0.90	5,138	388	10	1	999,999.00
Woodstock	5-AAAAAAA	0-0	69.36	300,622	0.36	5,066	604	26	-	-
Peachtree Ridge	8-AAAAAAA	0-0	66.00	292,314	0.35	3,745	296	5	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAAA	0-0	66.49	249,807	0.27	1,846	102	3	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	57.48	764,695	0.79	876	25	-	-	-
Lambert	6-AAAAAAA	0-0	63.44	129,270	0.14	453	8	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	53.64	595,214	0.61	218	4	-	-	-
Discovery	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	53.51	514,368	0.52	185	1	-	-	-
Campbell	2-AAAAAAA	0-0	52.55	167,330	0.17	8	1	-	-	-
Dunwoody	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	45.07	115,190	0.12	8	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	35.06	10,618	0.01	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	573,743	374,056	44,055	8,146	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Lowndes	397,076	489,500	90,487	22,937	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Camden County	19,964	83,908	461,316	434,812	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Tift County	9,217	52,536	404,142	534,105	1,000,000	-
2-AAAAAAA	McEachern	507,424	323,458	131,994	35,599	998,475	1,525
2-AAAAAAA	East Coweta	338,789	365,348	228,302	62,157	994,596	5,404
2-AAAAAAA	Newnan	133,781	252,365	412,738	184,038	982,922	17,078
2-AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	19,858	56,911	214,901	565,007	856,677	143,323
2-AAAAAAA	Campbell	148	1,918	12,065	153,199	167,330	832,670
3-AAAAAAA	North Cobb	393,549	235,990	160,631	104,321	894,491	105,509
3-AAAAAAA	Harrison	171,109	199,765	201,230	181,190	753,294	246,706
3-AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	152,802	188,867	197,918	187,330	726,917	273,083
3-AAAAAAA	Walton	135,796	167,968	182,036	188,486	674,286	325,714
3-AAAAAAA	Marietta	121,750	156,503	175,414	192,526	646,193	353,807
3-AAAAAAA	North Paulding	24,994	50,907	82,771	146,147	304,819	695,181
4-AAAAAAA	Grayson	801,434	179,722	15,933	2,652	999,741	259
4-AAAAAAA	Parkview	173,479	573,177	182,427	51,152	980,235	19,765
4-AAAAAAA	Brookwood	14,439	132,234	415,348	278,245	840,266	159,734
4-AAAAAAA	Newton	8,157	72,043	232,227	349,034	661,461	338,539
4-AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	2,491	42,824	154,065	318,917	518,297	481,703
5-AAAAAAA	Milton	627,000	265,150	80,919	20,448	993,517	6,483
5-AAAAAAA	Roswell	255,167	360,634	233,957	97,637	947,395	52,605
5-AAAAAAA	Cherokee	88,207	236,929	335,804	193,357	854,297	145,703
5-AAAAAAA	Alpharetta	19,109	79,082	181,706	308,711	588,608	411,392
5-AAAAAAA	Etowah	5,562	27,931	83,063	199,005	315,561	684,439
5-AAAAAAA	Woodstock	4,955	30,274	84,551	180,842	300,622	699,378
6-AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	418,664	265,863	158,044	86,388	928,959	71,041
6-AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	316,427	266,213	182,618	115,419	880,677	119,323
6-AAAAAAA	Gainesville	91,523	151,567	193,527	201,195	637,812	362,188
6-AAAAAAA	North Forsyth	82,755	137,688	182,512	200,774	603,729	396,271
6-AAAAAAA	Denmark	71,716	125,461	172,160	200,409	569,746	430,254
6-AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	14,230	37,503	73,504	124,570	249,807	750,193
6-AAAAAAA	Lambert	4,685	15,705	37,635	71,245	129,270	870,730
7-AAAAAAA	Archer	581,062	411,815	6,884	219	999,980	20
7-AAAAAAA	Norcross	418,223	567,650	13,630	432	999,935	65
7-AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	464	11,828	448,954	303,449	764,695	235,305
7-AAAAAAA	Duluth	168	4,488	281,870	308,688	595,214	404,786
7-AAAAAAA	Discovery	83	3,995	213,070	297,220	514,368	485,632
7-AAAAAAA	Dunwoody	-	222	33,933	81,035	115,190	884,810
7-AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	2	1,659	8,957	10,618	989,382
8-AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	543,039	309,243	128,564	17,287	998,133	1,867
8-AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	304,184	369,600	258,756	57,941	990,481	9,519
8-AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	145,943	290,515	457,685	91,047	985,190	14,810
8-AAAAAAA	Mountain View	6,080	24,991	124,815	577,996	733,882	266,118
8-AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	754	5,651	30,180	255,729	292,314	707,686

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAA	0-0	98.02	999,912	4.09	928,248	630,324	545,000	442,161	1.26
Lee County	1-AAAAAA	0-0	95.27	1,000,000	3.84	926,337	506,275	413,201	297,128	2.37
Allatoona	6-AAAAAA	0-0	86.32	999,208	3.16	661,442	480,630	151,871	66,256	14.09
Westlake	4-AAAAAA	0-0	84.33	996,516	3.03	575,591	389,817	190,668	47,966	19.85
Carrollton	5-AAAAAA	0-0	84.62	980,365	3.01	641,598	367,886	156,939	45,263	21.09
Rome	5-AAAAAA	0-0	83.63	966,754	2.85	600,006	325,047	122,238	33,414	28.93
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	0-0	83.51	980,245	2.70	534,004	270,142	142,970	31,749	30.50
Northside (Warner Robins)	1-AAAAAA	0-0	79.22	1,000,000	2.78	531,916	218,438	84,603	12,618	78.25
Houston County	1-AAAAAA	0-0	77.39	1,000,000	2.60	448,993	164,203	55,945	7,001	141.84
Richmond Hill	2-AAAAAA	0-0	78.52	991,487	2.01	225,870	92,966	33,380	5,150	193.17
Kell	6-AAAAAA	0-0	76.01	971,264	1.81	221,053	95,010	21,063	2,691	370.61
Glynn Academy	2-AAAAAA	0-0	76.82	985,981	1.83	169,584	62,871	17,696	2,457	406.00
Creekview	7-AAAAAA	0-0	75.07	920,199	1.67	181,928	58,601	14,645	1,575	633.92
Hughes	4-AAAAAA	0-0	73.56	932,073	1.55	117,374	41,359	7,042	743	1,344.90
Brunswick	2-AAAAAA	0-0	73.30	963,908	1.56	103,682	31,610	5,745	606	1,649.17
Tucker	4-AAAAAA	0-0	72.85	904,503	1.45	97,304	31,577	5,148	541	1,847.43
Lanier	8-AAAAAA	0-0	72.96	774,813	1.20	98,538	30,806	5,883	504	1,983.13
Lovejoy	4-AAAAAA	0-0	72.85	892,194	1.43	97,195	31,510	5,284	501	1,995.01
Sprayberry	6-AAAAAA	0-0	72.15	914,767	1.37	105,947	33,111	5,634	459	2,177.65
Johns Creek	7-AAAAAA	0-0	72.14	846,260	1.34	109,131	27,243	4,646	381	2,623.67
Douglas County	5-AAAAAA	0-0	72.10	569,469	0.98	92,594	22,108	2,753	279	3,583.23
Alexander	5-AAAAAA	0-0	72.25	563,565	0.98	92,360	22,086	2,867	272	3,675.47
Sequoyah	7-AAAAAA	0-0	69.31	720,071	1.01	60,030	11,679	1,269	79	12,657.23
Dalton	5-AAAAAA	0-0	69.89	432,018	0.68	49,624	9,798	1,004	70	14,284.71
Evans	3-AAAAAA	0-0	64.19	979,234	1.17	127,564	17,113	529	32	31,249.00
Shiloh	8-AAAAAA	0-0	67.56	433,849	0.55	20,024	4,345	417	26	38,460.54
River Ridge	7-AAAAAA	0-0	66.60	535,194	0.68	28,549	4,126	319	21	47,618.05
East Paulding	5-AAAAAA	0-0	67.01	218,070	0.31	15,253	2,280	187	10	99,999.00
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAAA	0-0	66.76	351,541	0.43	14,035	2,868	230	9	111,110.11
Cambridge	7-AAAAAA	0-0	66.14	500,777	0.63	24,474	3,446	219	9	111,110.11
South Paulding	5-AAAAAA	0-0	67.14	248,160	0.36	17,933	2,748	213	9	111,110.11
Riverwood	7-AAAAAA	0-0	65.36	421,638	0.52	18,007	2,359	156	9	111,110.11
Habersham Central	8-AAAAAA	0-0	65.31	307,098	0.37	9,078	1,586	92	7	142,856.14
Statesboro	2-AAAAAA	0-0	62.66	614,562	0.71	9,699	1,310	64	2	499,999.00
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	0-0	62.07	152,542	0.17	2,212	327	23	1	999,999.00
Kennesaw Mountain	6-AAAAAA	0-0	60.62	377,152	0.40	2,238	165	14	1	999,999.00
Heritage (Conyers)	3-AAAAAA	0-0	56.61	829,708	0.88	20,102	1,215	16	-	-
North Atlanta	4-AAAAAA	0-0	59.91	240,332	0.27	2,058	169	10	-	-
Pope	6-AAAAAA	0-0	60.47	344,426	0.36	1,962	165	10	-	-
Wheeler	6-AAAAAA	0-0	60.03	266,981	0.28	1,333	98	4	-	-
Alcovy	3-AAAAAA	0-0	53.82	661,100	0.69	6,392	255	1	-	-
South Effingham	2-AAAAAA	0-0	55.75	194,330	0.21	692	53	1	-	-
Effingham County	2-AAAAAA	0-0	55.17	174,762	0.18	550	30	1	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	3-AAAAAA	0-0	52.07	596,153	0.61	3,526	122	-	-	-
Grovetown	3-AAAAAA	0-0	50.45	502,452	0.51	1,946	57	-	-	-
Rockdale County	3-AAAAAA	0-0	49.06	431,353	0.44	1,171	25	-	-	-
Paulding County	5-AAAAAA	0-0	58.20	21,599	0.03	253	13	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAAA	0-0	55.52	39,901	0.04	271	10	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAAA	0-0	55.55	114,347	0.12	159	8	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	2-AAAAAA	0-0	51.10	74,970	0.08	85	7	-	-	-
Centennial	7-AAAAAA	0-0	52.48	15,960	0.02	42	3	-	-	-
Morrow	4-AAAAAA	0-0	51.07	34,382	0.04	40	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	6-AAAAAA	0-0	48.16	11,853	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
Osborne	6-AAAAAA	0-0	28.64	2	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	0-0	90.94	1,000,000	-	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAAA	0-0	31.47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Lee County	879,275	98,899	21,826	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	66,410	502,889	430,701	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Houston County	54,315	398,212	547,473	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	-	-	-	1,000,000	-	1,000,000
2-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	455,328	306,804	184,839	44,516	991,487	8,513
2-AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	312,151	345,878	265,322	62,630	985,981	14,019
2-AAAAAA	Brunswick	216,309	288,219	338,392	120,988	963,908	36,092
2-AAAAAA	Statesboro	14,323	46,349	144,674	409,216	614,562	385,438
2-AAAAAA	South Effingham	941	5,902	29,081	158,406	194,330	805,670
2-AAAAAA	Effingham County	830	5,721	29,019	139,192	174,762	825,238
2-AAAAAA	Bradwell Institute	118	1,127	8,673	65,052	74,970	925,030
3-AAAAAA	Evans	623,464	227,234	92,259	36,277	979,234	20,766
3-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	188,119	280,096	216,042	145,451	829,708	170,292
3-AAAAAA	Alcovy	77,283	166,292	210,072	207,453	661,100	338,900
3-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	51,494	137,344	191,828	215,487	596,153	403,847
3-AAAAAA	Grovetown	34,558	104,948	157,017	205,929	502,452	497,548
3-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	25,082	84,086	132,782	189,403	431,353	568,647
4-AAAAAA	Westlake	697,284	211,744	62,898	24,590	996,516	3,484
4-AAAAAA	Hughes	113,725	292,215	298,793	227,340	932,073	67,927
4-AAAAAA	Lovejoy	95,025	230,094	287,241	279,834	892,194	107,806
4-AAAAAA	Tucker	91,193	247,188	296,145	269,977	904,503	95,497
4-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	2,691	17,906	49,720	170,015	240,332	759,668
4-AAAAAA	Morrow	82	853	5,203	28,244	34,382	965,618
4-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAAA	Carrollton	497,911	333,001	110,782	38,671	980,365	19,635
5-AAAAAA	Rome	409,687	364,556	137,737	54,774	966,754	33,246
5-AAAAAA	Douglas County	33,783	98,194	216,046	221,446	569,469	430,531
5-AAAAAA	Alexander	31,395	96,972	217,726	217,472	563,565	436,435
5-AAAAAA	Dalton	17,344	59,713	156,462	198,499	432,018	567,982
5-AAAAAA	South Paulding	5,453	25,659	85,137	131,911	248,160	751,840
5-AAAAAA	East Paulding	4,340	21,086	70,822	121,822	218,070	781,930
5-AAAAAA	Paulding County	87	819	5,288	15,405	21,599	978,401
6-AAAAAA	Allatoona	724,838	216,758	52,121	5,491	999,208	792
6-AAAAAA	Kell	181,440	427,934	287,183	74,707	971,264	28,736
6-AAAAAA	Sprayberry	88,243	290,526	386,945	149,053	914,767	85,233
6-AAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	1,935	23,073	96,776	255,368	377,152	622,848
6-AAAAAA	Pope	1,789	20,973	87,648	234,016	344,426	655,574
6-AAAAAA	Wheeler	1,543	16,338	63,937	185,163	266,981	733,019
6-AAAAAA	Lassiter	207	4,294	24,000	85,846	114,347	885,653
6-AAAAAA	South Cobb	5	104	1,390	10,354	11,853	988,147
6-AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	-	2	2	999,998
7-AAAAAA	Creekview	426,020	252,517	152,661	89,001	920,199	79,801
7-AAAAAA	Johns Creek	266,600	249,109	193,131	137,420	846,260	153,740
7-AAAAAA	Sequoyah	138,404	192,447	205,433	183,787	720,071	279,929
7-AAAAAA	River Ridge	71,030	116,977	157,052	190,135	535,194	464,806
7-AAAAAA	Cambridge	54,273	103,096	152,011	191,397	500,777	499,223
7-AAAAAA	Riverwood	42,565	81,207	125,355	172,511	421,638	578,362
7-AAAAAA	Chattahoochee	936	3,656	10,546	24,763	39,901	960,099
7-AAAAAA	Centennial	172	991	3,811	10,986	15,960	984,040
8-AAAAAA	Buford	845,815	145,010	8,363	724	999,912	88
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	142,058	629,715	162,443	46,029	980,245	19,755
8-AAAAAA	Lanier	8,712	127,905	404,809	233,387	774,813	225,187
8-AAAAAA	Shiloh	1,394	39,961	154,780	237,714	433,849	566,151
8-AAAAAA	Winder-Barrow	1,304	29,234	120,331	200,672	351,541	648,459
8-AAAAAA	Habersham Central	579	21,880	101,781	182,858	307,098	692,902
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	138	6,295	47,493	98,616	152,542	847,458

Class AAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Warner Robins	1-AAAAA	0-0	94.09	992,529	3.61	621,510	569,845	451,676	298,099	2.35
Cartersville	7-AAAAA	0-0	93.06	999,711	3.63	632,742	563,067	450,523	267,234	2.74
Blessed Trinity	7-AAAAA	0-0	92.27	999,642	3.56	616,569	541,887	424,656	236,998	3.22
Coffee	1-AAAAA	0-0	86.36	931,876	2.74	438,991	355,019	169,829	65,358	14.30
Ware County	1-AAAAA	0-0	86.05	926,299	2.72	443,158	357,092	160,205	61,062	15.38
Jones County	4-AAAAA	0-0	81.66	987,424	3.00	778,335	255,423	109,172	30,665	31.61
Calhoun	7-AAAAA	0-0	79.16	987,287	2.47	377,814	247,102	50,786	11,962	82.60
Dutchtown	4-AAAAA	0-0	76.00	924,703	2.30	526,072	143,555	30,743	5,608	177.32
St. Pius X	5-AAAAA	0-0	75.80	996,933	2.20	273,149	171,690	30,496	5,163	192.69
Starr's Mill	2-AAAAA	0-0	74.99	984,970	2.19	436,950	125,810	23,379	3,737	266.59
Veterans	1-AAAAA	0-0	77.28	594,873	1.28	166,643	101,622	18,896	3,583	278.10
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	0-0	74.06	994,512	2.51	499,942	89,374	20,797	3,064	325.37
Wayne County	1-AAAAA	0-0	75.86	554,423	1.12	135,109	77,288	12,165	2,046	487.76
Woodward Academy	3-AAAAA	0-0	73.81	994,762	1.53	133,714	75,224	10,522	1,524	655.17
Griffin	2-AAAAA	0-0	72.47	966,338	1.91	333,705	75,475	11,256	1,447	690.09
Creekside	3-AAAAA	0-0	72.03	990,871	1.39	97,883	49,937	5,812	717	1,393.70
Ola	4-AAAAA	0-0	71.10	791,848	1.55	270,752	48,858	6,266	716	1,395.65
Eastside	8-AAAAA	0-0	69.52	969,667	2.14	317,399	46,197	5,631	530	1,885.79
Stockbridge	4-AAAAA	0-0	69.02	639,468	1.13	164,364	25,806	2,601	245	4,080.63
Harris County	2-AAAAA	0-0	65.64	826,893	1.18	113,242	12,814	928	57	17,542.86
Chapel Hill	6-AAAAA	0-0	63.71	971,578	1.70	141,523	17,403	951	52	19,229.77
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-0	64.18	907,889	1.68	145,473	12,345	838	49	20,407.16
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAAA	0-0	65.31	914,361	1.13	29,202	9,759	585	39	25,640.03
Union Grove	4-AAAAA	0-0	66.20	467,720	0.73	81,852	10,068	695	32	31,249.00
Northgate	2-AAAAA	0-0	61.43	659,291	0.81	42,560	2,821	122	5	199,999.00
Decatur	5-AAAAA	0-0	61.43	809,403	0.91	9,418	2,360	101	4	249,999.00
New Manchester	6-AAAAA	0-0	59.17	906,820	1.33	57,633	3,896	133	2	499,999.00
Hiram	7-AAAAA	0-0	61.91	499,858	0.63	10,859	2,419	83	1	999,999.00
Banneker	3-AAAAA	0-0	55.75	501,817	0.51	468	61	3	1	999,999.00
Cass	7-AAAAA	0-0	60.00	434,875	0.52	6,318	1,137	34	-	-
Jonesboro	3-AAAAA	0-0	61.16	792,190	0.83	3,413	721	28	-	-
Whitewater	2-AAAAA	0-0	58.46	427,797	0.49	15,814	735	22	-	-
Greenbrier	8-AAAAA	0-0	56.19	498,231	0.71	20,237	804	18	-	-
Maynard Jackson	6-AAAAA	0-0	55.08	727,766	0.90	16,555	605	14	-	-
Locust Grove	4-AAAAA	0-0	58.20	89,989	0.11	3,939	221	9	-	-
Villa Rica	6-AAAAA	0-0	54.22	705,832	0.86	13,660	472	8	-	-
M.L. King	5-AAAAA	0-0	57.94	625,389	0.66	2,130	383	8	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	0-0	53.41	314,535	0.42	7,308	217	3	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	4-AAAAA	0-0	57.64	76,337	0.09	3,055	186	2	-	-
Lithia Springs	6-AAAAA	0-0	50.53	498,679	0.56	3,888	79	2	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAAA	0-0	53.65	345,611	0.35	296	35	1	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAAA	0-0	54.94	396,903	0.40	231	26	1	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	0-0	51.37	200,167	0.25	3,107	78	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	4-AAAAA	0-0	53.50	22,511	0.03	370	20	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAAA	0-0	48.72	114,324	0.14	1,043	18	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAAA	0-0	51.93	78,627	0.09	181	18	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAAA	0-0	52.18	287,585	0.29	164	15	-	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	2-AAAAA	0-0	51.24	97,906	0.10	788	12	-	-	-
Drew	3-AAAAA	0-0	48.50	106,741	0.11	10	1	-	-	-
Midtown	6-AAAAA	0-0	45.40	174,690	0.19	334	-	-	-	-
McIntosh	2-AAAAA	0-0	46.47	36,805	0.04	100	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	3-AAAAA	0-0	50.44	216,052	0.22	28	-	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	5-AAAAA	0-0	41.91	20,718	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	6-AAAAA	0-0	35.26	14,635	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8-AAAAA	0-0	33.08	675	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	3-AAAAA	0-0	32.55	664	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	5-AAAAA	0-0	41.80	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAAA	0-0	17.77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAAA	0-0	3.43	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Warner Robins	575,691	276,479	108,470	31,889	992,529	7,471
1-AAAAA	Coffee	210,106	311,008	272,829	137,933	931,876	68,124
1-AAAAA	Ware County	179,214	282,554	306,859	157,672	926,299	73,701
1-AAAAA	Veterans	20,684	73,845	168,050	332,294	594,873	405,127
1-AAAAA	Wayne County	14,305	56,114	143,792	340,212	554,423	445,577
2-AAAAA	Starr's Mill	483,548	317,823	137,695	45,904	984,970	15,030
2-AAAAA	Griffin	362,414	333,164	189,374	81,386	966,338	33,662
2-AAAAA	Harris County	104,153	194,111	298,133	230,496	826,893	173,107
2-AAAAA	Northgate	34,077	99,135	220,526	305,553	659,291	340,709
2-AAAAA	Whitewater	15,119	50,581	125,336	236,761	427,797	572,203
2-AAAAA	Northside (Columbus)	622	4,406	22,288	70,590	97,906	902,094
2-AAAAA	McIntosh	67	780	6,648	29,310	36,805	963,195
3-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	563,855	330,912	81,740	18,255	994,762	5,238
3-AAAAA	Creekside	384,084	456,400	121,840	28,547	990,871	9,129
3-AAAAA	Jonesboro	36,401	126,320	389,997	239,472	792,190	207,810
3-AAAAA	Banneker	8,756	42,903	180,566	269,592	501,817	498,183
3-AAAAA	Mundy's Mill	5,591	31,121	134,473	225,718	396,903	603,097
3-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	967	8,829	63,070	143,186	216,052	783,948
3-AAAAA	Drew	346	3,513	28,253	74,629	106,741	893,259
3-AAAAA	Forest Park	-	2	61	601	664	999,336
4-AAAAA	Jones County	620,376	239,504	93,789	33,755	987,424	12,576
4-AAAAA	Dutchtown	221,792	355,317	224,135	123,459	924,703	75,297
4-AAAAA	Ola	91,394	194,379	282,173	223,902	791,848	208,152
4-AAAAA	Stockbridge	42,025	125,504	208,473	263,466	639,468	360,532
4-AAAAA	Union Grove	22,776	73,496	144,811	226,637	467,720	532,280
4-AAAAA	Locust Grove	1,040	6,468	22,780	59,701	89,989	910,011
4-AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	524	4,564	19,117	52,132	76,337	923,663
4-AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	73	768	4,722	16,948	22,511	977,489
5-AAAAA	St. Pius X	763,191	178,197	44,633	10,912	996,933	3,067
5-AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	130,291	383,353	265,427	135,290	914,361	85,639
5-AAAAA	Decatur	74,860	241,699	285,452	207,392	809,403	190,597
5-AAAAA	M.L. King	21,789	119,366	211,292	272,942	625,389	374,611
5-AAAAA	Lithonia	5,337	43,681	104,256	192,337	345,611	654,389
5-AAAAA	Northview	4,505	32,987	84,920	165,173	287,585	712,415
5-AAAAA	Stone Mountain	27	717	4,020	15,954	20,718	979,282
5-AAAAA	Chamblee	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAA	Chapel Hill	515,314	268,438	131,044	56,782	971,578	28,422
6-AAAAA	New Manchester	277,820	301,207	205,733	122,060	906,820	93,180
6-AAAAA	Villa Rica	85,635	159,138	225,108	235,951	705,832	294,168
6-AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	84,057	165,988	236,512	241,209	727,766	272,234
6-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	32,279	86,149	151,746	228,505	498,679	501,321
6-AAAAA	Midtown	4,829	18,578	47,021	104,262	174,690	825,310
6-AAAAA	North Springs	66	502	2,836	11,231	14,635	985,365
7-AAAAA	Blessed Trinity	494,969	411,921	88,113	4,639	999,642	358
7-AAAAA	Cartersville	469,602	439,666	86,743	3,700	999,711	289
7-AAAAA	Calhoun	34,963	142,831	722,934	86,559	987,287	12,713
7-AAAAA	Hiram	340	3,647	55,833	440,038	499,858	500,142
7-AAAAA	Cass	124	1,822	41,293	391,636	434,875	565,125
7-AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	2	113	5,084	73,428	78,627	921,373
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	576,480	286,690	109,499	21,843	994,512	5,488
8-AAAAA	Eastside	288,223	385,933	223,730	71,781	969,667	30,333
8-AAAAA	Loganville	119,400	244,998	380,842	162,649	907,889	92,111
8-AAAAA	Greenbrier	9,615	43,739	136,754	308,123	498,231	501,769
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	3,758	22,051	77,584	211,142	314,535	685,465
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	1,943	11,625	46,256	140,343	200,167	799,833
8-AAAAA	Walnut Grove	581	4,962	25,270	83,511	114,324	885,676
8-AAAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	2	65	608	675	999,325

Class AAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Marist	6-AAAA	0-0	92.54	999,853	4.43	937,425	839,089	686,155	601,318	0.66
Jefferson	8-AAAA	0-0	83.42	999,041	3.45	769,393	545,257	251,201	135,544	6.38
Bainbridge	1-AAAA	0-0	81.74	999,410	3.48	811,988	511,412	226,066	107,638	8.29
Benedictine	3-AAAA	0-0	77.92	1,000,000	3.03	801,659	235,799	112,886	42,840	22.34
Cedartown	7-AAAA	0-0	74.97	996,079	3.03	560,710	329,402	181,668	34,050	28.37
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	0-0	74.92	980,248	2.41	429,505	257,876	117,025	22,643	43.16
Cairo	1-AAAA	0-0	73.12	987,608	2.58	501,568	231,013	92,745	16,140	60.96
Carver (Columbus)	2-AAAA	0-0	72.60	996,149	2.31	306,971	187,905	77,635	12,182	81.09
Hapeville Charter	6-AAAA	0-0	73.16	941,525	2.01	327,606	165,132	73,090	11,355	87.07
West Laurens	4-AAAA	0-0	69.29	943,925	1.92	209,330	80,457	29,972	3,301	301.94
Troup	2-AAAA	0-0	68.52	984,817	1.85	163,417	74,010	21,199	2,387	417.94
Stephenson	6-AAAA	0-0	69.11	871,478	1.45	167,526	69,610	22,090	2,325	429.11
North Oconee	8-AAAA	0-0	67.90	907,209	1.48	165,121	63,522	18,435	1,791	557.35
Perry	4-AAAA	0-0	68.00	914,653	1.71	151,120	54,272	17,195	1,783	559.85
Baldwin	4-AAAA	0-0	66.84	878,848	1.56	121,424	40,904	11,508	1,056	945.97
Riverdale	5-AAAA	0-0	64.03	995,073	2.08	292,221	76,272	17,998	1,007	992.05
Thomas County Central	1-AAAA	0-0	65.31	921,586	1.67	236,967	60,296	13,425	967	1,033.13
Mays	6-AAAA	0-0	66.02	778,616	1.10	86,841	29,000	6,938	566	1,765.78
Jenkins	3-AAAA	0-0	63.11	1,000,000	1.53	166,010	32,514	6,101	352	2,839.91
New Hampstead	3-AAAA	0-0	61.67	1,000,000	1.41	120,684	21,180	3,516	180	5,554.56
Central (Carrollton)	7-AAAA	0-0	61.24	780,579	1.47	113,864	16,985	2,577	138	7,245.38
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-0	62.91	691,302	0.86	41,624	10,400	1,984	114	8,770.93
Westside (Macon)	4-AAAA	0-0	61.87	662,292	0.95	36,504	9,358	1,560	73	13,697.63
Hardaway	2-AAAA	0-0	61.11	885,939	1.23	36,583	8,062	1,223	61	16,392.44
Islands	3-AAAA	0-0	59.43	1,000,000	1.30	81,130	11,551	1,555	57	17,542.86
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-0	59.23	728,015	1.29	81,175	9,408	1,047	42	23,808.52
Westover	1-AAAA	0-0	59.71	734,600	0.99	76,366	9,031	1,140	37	27,026.03
Howard	4-AAAA	0-0	60.18	523,285	0.71	20,969	5,021	705	24	41,665.67
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAAA	0-0	57.10	585,781	0.96	49,471	4,575	428	12	83,332.33
LaGrange	2-AAAA	0-0	57.40	747,923	0.94	16,593	2,406	298	7	142,856.14
Ridgeland	7-AAAA	0-0	55.61	515,363	0.82	35,081	2,785	233	4	249,999.00
Pickens	7-AAAA	0-0	54.60	394,183	0.60	23,311	1,733	143	3	333,332.33
Madison County	8-AAAA	0-0	57.33	363,386	0.40	7,368	1,116	125	2	499,999.00
Arabia Mountain	6-AAAA	0-0	55.77	211,208	0.23	2,674	370	30	1	999,999.00
Fayette County	5-AAAA	0-0	51.87	850,322	1.10	22,043	1,192	61	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAAA	0-0	49.52	741,448	0.89	9,458	377	17	-	-
Luella	5-AAAA	0-0	48.91	731,920	0.87	8,229	306	14	-	-
Monroe	1-AAAA	0-0	51.09	223,257	0.25	4,864	186	6	-	-
Spalding	4-AAAA	0-0	49.98	74,354	0.08	314	41	2	-	-
Columbus	2-AAAA	0-0	48.24	178,872	0.19	640	26	2	-	-
Dougherty	1-AAAA	0-0	47.96	133,539	0.14	1,534	48	1	-	-
Shaw	2-AAAA	0-0	48.29	180,060	0.20	605	31	1	-	-
Hampton	5-AAAA	0-0	44.37	435,203	0.48	1,455	39	-	-	-
Miller Grove	6-AAAA	0-0	48.90	112,217	0.12	292	20	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAAA	0-0	46.52	35,203	0.04	92	7	-	-	-
McDonough	5-AAAA	0-0	39.67	206,791	0.22	204	2	-	-	-
Chestatee	8-AAAA	0-0	45.21	23,611	0.02	42	2	-	-	-
Spencer	2-AAAA	0-0	40.30	22,909	0.02	12	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	6-AAAA	0-0	29.79	85,103	0.09	9	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAAA	0-0	33.43	39,243	0.04	8	-	-	-	-
Jordan	2-AAAA	0-0	34.54	3,117	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Rutland	4-AAAA	0-0	37.99	2,643	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	2-AAAA	0-0	27.99	214	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-0	34.94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Bainbridge	701,093	251,421	40,819	6,077	999,410	590
1-AAAA	Cairo	249,826	497,319	189,487	50,976	987,608	12,392
1-AAAA	Thomas County Central	39,425	179,371	476,691	226,099	921,586	78,414
1-AAAA	Westover	8,916	60,480	221,644	443,560	734,600	265,400
1-AAAA	Monroe	598	8,033	44,535	170,091	223,257	776,743
1-AAAA	Dougherty	142	3,376	26,824	103,197	133,539	866,461
2-AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	577,158	297,552	96,478	24,961	996,149	3,851
2-AAAA	Troup	319,669	406,949	192,158	66,041	984,817	15,183
2-AAAA	Hardaway	73,311	185,629	375,288	251,711	885,939	114,061
2-AAAA	LaGrange	27,776	93,938	251,901	374,308	747,923	252,077
2-AAAA	Columbus	1,062	7,763	40,252	129,795	178,872	821,128
2-AAAA	Shaw	1,005	7,837	40,435	130,783	180,060	819,940
2-AAAA	Spencer	18	317	3,191	19,383	22,909	977,091
2-AAAA	Jordan	1	15	288	2,813	3,117	996,883
2-AAAA	Kendrick	-	-	9	205	214	999,786
3-AAAA	Benedictine	816,416	150,615	23,974	8,995	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Jenkins	86,710	337,754	310,449	265,087	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	New Hampstead	56,124	274,186	333,069	336,621	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Islands	40,750	237,445	332,508	389,297	1,000,000	-
4-AAAA	West Laurens	400,727	269,214	175,909	98,075	943,925	56,075
4-AAAA	Perry	268,009	271,931	232,307	142,406	914,653	85,347
4-AAAA	Baldwin	221,715	247,685	237,969	171,479	878,848	121,152
4-AAAA	Westside (Macon)	68,677	123,582	192,542	277,491	662,292	337,708
4-AAAA	Howard	39,706	82,732	145,002	255,845	523,285	476,715
4-AAAA	Spalding	1,162	4,804	15,952	52,436	74,354	925,646
4-AAAA	Rutland	4	52	319	2,268	2,643	997,357
5-AAAA	Riverdale	752,047	177,765	50,303	14,958	995,073	4,927
5-AAAA	Fayette County	120,594	314,102	246,977	168,649	850,322	149,678
5-AAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	57,598	205,819	246,390	231,641	741,448	258,552
5-AAAA	Luella	52,299	196,239	249,788	233,594	731,920	268,080
5-AAAA	Hampton	14,133	78,716	136,914	205,440	435,203	564,797
5-AAAA	McDonough	3,193	25,144	60,271	118,183	206,791	793,209
5-AAAA	North Clayton	136	2,215	9,357	27,535	39,243	960,757
6-AAAA	Marist	900,719	84,077	13,356	1,701	999,853	147
6-AAAA	Hapeville Charter	55,284	422,429	306,075	157,737	941,525	58,475
6-AAAA	Stephenson	22,717	245,242	339,276	264,243	871,478	128,522
6-AAAA	Druid Hills	11,548	73,555	-	-	85,103	914,897
6-AAAA	Mays	9,412	156,698	266,716	345,790	778,616	221,384
6-AAAA	Arabia Mountain	252	13,926	45,271	151,759	211,208	788,792
6-AAAA	Miller Grove	68	4,073	29,306	78,770	112,217	887,783
7-AAAA	Cedartown	802,877	146,984	35,646	10,572	996,079	3,921
7-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	89,372	275,272	239,479	176,456	780,579	219,421
7-AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	50,866	239,348	239,036	198,765	728,015	271,985
7-AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	24,844	140,090	194,656	226,191	585,781	414,219
7-AAAA	Ridgeland	18,318	121,154	167,596	208,295	515,363	484,637
7-AAAA	Pickens	13,723	77,152	123,587	179,721	394,183	605,817
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	Jefferson	743,430	206,454	40,819	8,338	999,041	959
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	189,720	478,205	240,250	72,073	980,248	19,752
8-AAAA	North Oconee	50,937	224,943	414,552	216,777	907,209	92,791
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	13,909	67,166	208,680	401,547	691,302	308,698
8-AAAA	Madison County	1,977	22,531	86,493	252,385	363,386	636,614
8-AAAA	East Hall	16	446	5,705	29,036	35,203	964,797
8-AAAA	Chestatee	11	255	3,501	19,844	23,611	976,389

Class AAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	0-0	91.04	997,101	4.33	954,093	755,836	643,062	493,647	1.03
Peach County	2-AAA	0-0	83.87	997,860	3.22	713,926	333,432	232,382	112,365	7.90
Greater Atlanta Christian	5-AAA	0-0	82.70	970,499	3.43	769,812	506,509	288,394	110,529	8.05
Oconee County	8-AAA	0-0	82.93	999,147	3.15	609,583	353,555	209,068	87,439	10.44
Pierce County	1-AAA	0-0	81.61	1,000,000	3.35	722,962	430,877	204,595	80,348	11.45
Crisp County	2-AAA	0-0	81.24	995,400	2.90	587,081	258,310	151,393	59,081	15.93
Rockmart	6-AAA	0-0	75.85	999,789	2.79	612,696	269,294	87,817	21,256	46.05
Appling County	1-AAA	0-0	73.51	999,946	2.82	522,704	300,963	55,150	12,367	79.86
Sandy Creek	5-AAA	0-0	74.49	787,763	1.86	302,901	149,159	36,490	8,105	122.38
Westminster (Atlanta)	5-AAA	0-0	74.02	784,727	1.82	292,142	139,279	33,058	6,997	141.92
Thomson	4-AAA	0-0	70.26	985,197	2.10	348,931	132,948	19,116	3,206	310.92
Monroe Area	8-AAA	0-0	69.29	937,480	1.94	234,040	61,387	9,794	1,472	678.35
White County	7-AAA	0-0	68.31	986,387	1.47	114,650	49,380	6,243	820	1,218.51
Burke County	4-AAA	0-0	66.12	953,520	1.55	157,516	40,723	4,169	474	2,108.70
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AAA	0-0	68.45	378,591	0.70	73,315	28,770	3,586	456	2,191.98
Hart County	8-AAA	0-0	66.28	887,016	1.65	173,913	38,522	4,004	431	2,319.19
Mary Persons	2-AAA	0-0	66.06	711,427	1.21	119,589	25,374	2,589	296	3,377.38
Dawson County	7-AAA	0-0	66.06	975,500	1.31	77,319	26,124	2,764	287	3,483.32
Stephens County	8-AAA	0-0	63.36	824,581	1.34	108,772	19,391	1,463	116	8,619.69
North Hall	7-AAA	0-0	63.63	950,113	1.18	51,502	13,599	1,124	94	10,637.30
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	0-0	63.67	539,206	0.84	69,614	12,789	902	65	15,383.62
Morgan County	4-AAA	0-0	61.72	850,185	1.12	57,996	9,838	658	44	22,726.27
North Murray	6-AAA	0-0	60.34	941,717	1.35	83,595	13,281	591	30	33,332.33
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-0	60.76	824,156	1.01	36,278	5,312	353	26	38,460.54
Jackson	2-AAA	0-0	61.00	379,724	0.54	33,787	5,033	268	19	52,630.58
Liberty County	3-AAA	0-0	57.87	991,010	1.76	51,246	7,862	479	15	66,665.67
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	0-0	56.19	982,242	1.63	36,380	4,739	230	8	124,999.00
Central (Macon)	2-AAA	0-0	59.12	229,497	0.31	15,282	1,898	82	5	199,999.00
Douglass	5-AAA	0-0	60.10	80,662	0.11	4,281	961	46	2	499,999.00
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	0-0	52.96	963,172	1.41	16,989	1,469	42	-	-
Adairsville	6-AAA	0-0	54.94	785,711	0.92	14,998	1,238	38	-	-
Franklin County	8-AAA	0-0	55.28	342,060	0.43	11,047	891	22	-	-
Sumter County	2-AAA	0-0	56.28	134,187	0.17	5,537	514	15	-	-
Cherokee Bluff	7-AAA	0-0	53.22	783,364	0.81	6,098	410	10	-	-
Sonoraville	6-AAA	0-0	50.93	501,504	0.54	2,820	155	2	-	-
LaFayette	6-AAA	0-0	46.95	226,899	0.24	402	8	1	-	-
Ringgold	6-AAA	0-0	49.05	398,454	0.42	1,287	52	-	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	0-0	50.60	226,633	0.24	732	30	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-AAA	0-0	42.66	887,978	1.03	1,338	27	-	-	-
West Hall	7-AAA	0-0	47.87	240,147	0.24	606	23	-	-	-
Tattnall County	1-AAA	0-0	42.16	893,392	1.03	1,155	14	-	-	-
Harlem	4-AAA	0-0	49.19	158,852	0.16	403	12	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	0-0	41.59	572,572	0.60	319	7	-	-	-
Pike County	2-AAA	0-0	47.75	12,699	0.01	96	4	-	-	-
Gilmer	7-AAA	0-0	40.11	55,673	0.06	26	1	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	0-0	39.47	420,834	0.44	145	-	-	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6-AAA	0-0	43.37	98,113	0.10	61	-	-	-	-
Long County	1-AAA	0-0	30.33	218,684	0.23	16	-	-	-	-
East Jackson	8-AAA	0-0	38.08	9,716	0.01	8	-	-	-	-
Murray County	6-AAA	0-0	40.08	35,621	0.04	7	-	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6-AAA	0-0	36.22	12,192	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-AAA	0-0	29.68	65,944	0.07	1	-	-	-	-
East Forsyth	7-AAA	0-0	16.67	7,244	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-0	19.02	4,226	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lumpkin County	7-AAA	0-0	28.46	1,572	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	0-0	31.96	1,457	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Redan	5-AAA	0-0	42.04	657	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Salem	5-AAA	0-0	45.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAA	Pierce County	762,566	235,794	1,593	47	1,000,000	-
1-AAA	Appling County	237,070	744,477	17,705	694	999,946	54
1-AAA	Brantley County	212	10,959	448,216	428,591	887,978	112,022
1-AAA	Tattnall County	149	8,182	486,897	398,164	893,392	106,608
1-AAA	Long County	3	588	45,589	172,504	218,684	781,316
2-AAA	Peach County	601,327	331,950	55,319	9,264	997,860	2,140
2-AAA	Crisp County	370,983	512,212	95,030	17,175	995,400	4,600
2-AAA	Mary Persons	18,332	87,177	360,468	245,450	711,427	288,573
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	6,332	39,073	224,217	269,584	539,206	460,794
2-AAA	Jackson	1,936	17,571	141,734	218,483	379,724	620,276
2-AAA	Central (Macon)	772	8,479	78,765	141,481	229,497	770,503
2-AAA	Sumter County	316	3,479	41,749	88,643	134,187	865,813
2-AAA	Pike County	2	59	2,718	9,920	12,699	987,301
3-AAA	Liberty County	439,403	327,608	182,681	41,318	991,010	8,990
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	348,168	322,499	244,175	67,400	982,242	17,758
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	196,261	289,191	359,351	118,369	963,172	36,828
3-AAA	Beach	10,698	37,845	126,080	397,949	572,572	427,428
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	5,370	21,768	79,717	313,979	420,834	579,166
3-AAA	Savannah	100	1,083	7,810	56,951	65,944	934,056
3-AAA	Groves	-	6	186	4,034	4,226	995,774
4-AAA	Thomson	539,263	268,119	125,864	51,951	985,197	14,803
4-AAA	Burke County	250,476	329,394	243,751	129,899	953,520	46,480
4-AAA	Morgan County	129,761	216,026	271,968	232,430	850,185	149,815
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	74,515	157,671	270,934	321,036	824,156	175,844
4-AAA	Hephzibah	3,642	17,419	51,943	153,629	226,633	773,367
4-AAA	Harlem	2,342	11,359	35,411	109,740	158,852	841,148
4-AAA	Cross Creek	1	12	129	1,315	1,457	998,543
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	692,467	231,644	57,356	15,634	997,101	2,899
5-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	227,298	466,324	202,179	74,698	970,499	29,501
5-AAA	Sandy Creek	38,134	131,789	302,595	315,245	787,763	212,237
5-AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	36,645	132,687	313,731	301,664	784,727	215,273
5-AAA	Carver (Atlanta)	5,280	34,610	106,174	232,527	378,591	621,409
5-AAA	Douglass	176	2,945	17,928	59,613	80,662	919,338
5-AAA	Redan	-	1	37	619	657	999,343
5-AAA	Salem	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAA	Rockmart	892,784	95,350	10,256	1,399	999,789	211
6-AAA	North Murray	79,097	542,036	228,553	92,031	941,717	58,283
6-AAA	Adairsville	19,015	208,790	344,933	212,973	785,711	214,289
6-AAA	Sonoraville	5,642	73,201	176,194	246,467	501,504	498,496
6-AAA	Ringgold	2,189	47,863	132,749	215,653	398,454	601,546
6-AAA	LaFayette	1,060	24,066	69,663	132,110	226,899	773,101
6-AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	188	6,760	26,555	64,610	98,113	901,887
6-AAA	Murray County	23	1,637	8,677	25,284	35,621	964,379
6-AAA	Coahulla Creek	2	297	2,420	9,473	12,192	987,808
7-AAA	White County	446,422	294,655	179,170	66,140	986,387	13,613
7-AAA	Dawson County	300,536	319,451	250,855	104,658	975,500	24,500
7-AAA	North Hall	208,152	263,549	321,897	156,515	950,113	49,887
7-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	35,622	106,782	195,847	445,113	783,364	216,636
7-AAA	East Forsyth	6,226	1,018	-	-	7,244	992,756
7-AAA	West Hall	2,924	13,456	45,685	178,082	240,147	759,853
7-AAA	Gilmer	118	1,085	6,444	48,026	55,673	944,327
7-AAA	Lumpkin County	-	4	102	1,466	1,572	998,428
8-AAA	Oconee County	801,538	159,000	29,631	8,978	999,147	853
8-AAA	Monroe Area	97,209	394,233	286,335	159,703	937,480	62,520
8-AAA	Hart County	64,414	249,067	328,541	244,994	887,016	112,984
8-AAA	Stephens County	34,531	164,897	273,611	351,542	824,581	175,419
8-AAA	Franklin County	2,304	32,705	80,641	226,410	342,060	657,940
8-AAA	East Jackson	4	98	1,241	8,373	9,716	990,284

Class AA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Callaway	5-AA	0-0	80.04	998,202	3.96	803,320	696,503	491,530	312,551	2.20
Fitzgerald	1-AA	0-0	79.97	998,688	3.60	776,419	547,023	398,132	250,748	2.99
Rabun County	8-AA	0-0	77.68	999,989	3.65	858,527	480,502	352,952	191,987	4.21
Thomasville	1-AA	0-0	75.84	994,181	3.08	627,572	420,217	243,138	112,996	7.85
Lovett	6-AA	0-0	70.44	997,942	3.08	671,478	369,159	123,325	42,275	22.65
Jefferson County	4-AA	0-0	68.52	999,926	2.56	494,329	221,460	77,613	22,133	44.18
Dodge County	3-AA	0-0	68.65	972,733	2.06	294,974	166,779	52,372	15,360	64.10
Bremen	5-AA	0-0	66.73	916,971	2.11	290,648	140,057	39,842	9,101	108.88
Pace Academy	6-AA	0-0	65.29	987,175	2.43	443,213	170,018	39,993	8,729	113.56
Washington County	3-AA	0-0	66.99	949,681	1.78	218,950	112,407	32,229	8,101	122.44
Bleckley County	3-AA	0-0	66.16	934,009	1.64	183,346	88,065	23,984	5,477	181.58
Vidalia	2-AA	0-0	63.90	948,092	2.15	329,284	86,956	23,320	4,398	226.38
Heard County	5-AA	0-0	64.81	878,122	1.83	207,840	86,653	21,126	4,234	235.18
Jeff Davis	2-AA	0-0	61.97	912,348	1.94	263,400	59,443	13,351	2,106	473.83
Swainsboro	2-AA	0-0	61.50	919,362	1.91	250,610	55,067	11,896	1,837	543.37
Toombs County	2-AA	0-0	61.49	906,465	1.88	244,844	53,663	11,758	1,827	546.35
Northeast	3-AA	0-0	63.49	863,500	1.28	105,461	40,534	8,963	1,653	603.96
Early County	1-AA	0-0	62.51	848,689	1.30	98,332	37,332	7,271	1,183	844.31
Pepperell	7-AA	0-0	60.63	987,192	1.54	89,159	27,274	5,234	711	1,405.47
Haralson County	5-AA	0-0	60.92	780,986	1.38	100,312	30,894	5,382	700	1,427.57
Fannin County	7-AA	0-0	60.29	984,582	1.53	86,213	25,578	4,721	636	1,571.33
Cook	1-AA	0-0	60.94	788,058	1.14	73,302	24,461	3,868	530	1,885.79
Elbert County	8-AA	0-0	58.23	992,169	1.71	181,210	25,884	4,533	446	2,241.15
Union County	8-AA	0-0	56.45	986,418	1.53	122,381	15,529	2,095	183	5,463.48
Temple	5-AA	0-0	54.98	425,719	0.62	19,983	3,590	317	30	33,332.33
South Atlanta	6-AA	0-0	52.90	702,563	0.92	41,422	3,906	354	27	37,036.04
Putnam County	4-AA	0-0	51.32	966,458	1.24	31,798	3,540	193	16	62,499.00
Columbia	6-AA	0-0	51.21	596,491	0.74	23,954	1,700	145	9	111,110.11
Model	7-AA	0-0	51.04	828,158	0.95	10,729	1,523	101	6	166,665.67
Washington	6-AA	0-0	51.12	591,587	0.73	23,233	1,665	119	4	249,999.00
Worth County	1-AA	0-0	52.23	259,390	0.30	4,885	730	35	3	333,332.33
Chattooga	7-AA	0-0	48.91	727,674	0.80	5,569	640	35	2	499,999.00
Bacon County	2-AA	0-0	49.24	281,822	0.36	8,806	666	42	1	999,999.00
Lamar County	3-AA	0-0	50.53	163,126	0.17	1,436	156	22	-	-
Berrien	1-AA	0-0	47.08	110,994	0.12	716	75	3	-	-
Southwest	3-AA	0-0	48.65	91,357	0.10	521	53	3	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	4-AA	0-0	43.18	750,701	0.82	4,682	151	1	-	-
Laney	4-AA	0-0	42.16	707,460	0.76	3,813	75	1	-	-
Butler	4-AA	0-0	37.75	402,657	0.42	799	13	1	-	-
Banks County	8-AA	0-0	39.15	585,537	0.61	1,304	31	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-AA	0-0	40.05	193,799	0.20	143	7	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6-AA	0-0	39.46	60,681	0.06	147	6	-	-	-
Riverside Military Academy	8-AA	0-0	35.51	435,887	0.44	444	4	-	-	-
Coosa	7-AA	0-0	39.89	192,082	0.20	109	4	-	-	-
Therrell	6-AA	0-0	39.49	60,383	0.06	156	3	-	-	-
East Laurens	2-AA	0-0	39.42	31,911	0.03	114	3	-	-	-
Jasper County	3-AA	0-0	43.36	25,594	0.03	35	1	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	4-AA	0-0	30.76	98,110	0.10	36	-	-	-	-
Dade County	7-AA	0-0	36.49	86,513	0.09	26	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-0	28.50	49,504	0.05	14	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-0	25.62	25,184	0.03	1	-	-	-	-
Towers	6-AA	0-0	30.15	3,062	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
McNair	6-AA	0-0	22.15	116	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AA	Fitzgerald	645,101	291,503	51,567	10,517	998,688	1,312
1-AA	Thomasville	310,367	501,340	146,817	35,657	994,181	5,819
1-AA	Early County	24,526	115,164	405,191	303,808	848,689	151,311
1-AA	Cook	19,093	81,568	305,217	382,180	788,058	211,942
1-AA	Worth County	834	8,738	68,127	181,691	259,390	740,610
1-AA	Berrien	79	1,687	23,081	86,147	110,994	889,006
2-AA	Vidalia	289,888	258,338	227,675	172,191	948,092	51,908
2-AA	Jeff Davis	244,056	242,279	229,986	196,027	912,348	87,652
2-AA	Swainsboro	231,715	237,306	241,242	209,099	919,362	80,638
2-AA	Toombs County	225,166	234,131	236,778	210,390	906,465	93,535
2-AA	Bacon County	8,973	26,847	59,407	186,595	281,822	718,178
2-AA	East Laurens	202	1,099	4,912	25,698	31,911	968,089
3-AA	Dodge County	398,201	275,987	187,595	110,950	972,733	27,267
3-AA	Washington County	271,711	282,055	237,251	158,664	949,681	50,319
3-AA	Bleckley County	210,381	252,292	269,689	201,647	934,009	65,991
3-AA	Northeast	115,620	172,536	251,974	323,370	863,500	136,500
3-AA	Lamar County	2,924	11,650	33,057	115,495	163,126	836,874
3-AA	Southwest	1,057	4,775	16,668	68,857	91,357	908,643
3-AA	Jasper County	106	705	3,766	21,017	25,594	974,406
4-AA	Jefferson County	906,938	85,267	6,809	912	999,926	74
4-AA	Putnam County	71,867	579,623	230,850	84,118	966,458	33,542
4-AA	Westside (Augusta)	12,982	171,766	309,696	256,257	750,701	249,299
4-AA	Laney	6,391	115,804	277,307	307,958	707,460	292,540
4-AA	Butler	1,750	40,318	133,611	226,978	402,657	597,343
4-AA	Oglethorpe County	50	5,015	25,497	67,548	98,110	901,890
4-AA	Glenn Hills	18	1,568	11,328	36,590	49,504	950,496
4-AA	Josey	4	639	4,902	19,639	25,184	974,816
5-AA	Callaway	757,358	188,454	40,263	12,127	998,202	1,798
5-AA	Bremen	124,536	349,985	276,100	166,350	916,971	83,029
5-AA	Heard County	80,941	261,948	317,471	217,762	878,122	121,878
5-AA	Haralson County	31,414	150,287	258,635	340,650	780,986	219,014
5-AA	Temple	5,751	49,326	107,531	263,111	425,719	574,281
6-AA	Lovett	615,386	318,889	53,734	9,933	997,942	2,058
6-AA	Pace Academy	344,421	467,486	136,420	38,848	987,175	12,825
6-AA	South Atlanta	19,617	90,945	308,171	283,830	702,563	297,437
6-AA	Columbia	10,327	60,503	237,742	287,919	596,491	403,509
6-AA	Washington	10,125	59,628	234,352	287,482	591,587	408,413
6-AA	Therrell	69	1,220	14,539	44,555	60,383	939,617
6-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	55	1,318	14,592	44,716	60,681	939,319
6-AA	Towers	-	11	438	2,613	3,062	996,938
6-AA	McNair	-	-	12	104	116	999,884
7-AA	Fannin County	455,465	334,030	145,109	49,978	984,582	15,418
7-AA	Pepperell	427,997	364,264	146,679	48,252	987,192	12,808
7-AA	Model	70,550	160,478	325,231	271,899	828,158	171,842
7-AA	Chattooga	41,692	115,145	266,069	304,768	727,674	272,326
7-AA	Gordon Central	2,003	11,529	49,190	131,077	193,799	806,201
7-AA	Coosa	1,875	11,166	48,211	130,830	192,082	807,918
7-AA	Dade County	418	3,388	19,511	63,196	86,513	913,487
8-AA	Rabun County	903,482	86,471	9,565	471	999,989	11
8-AA	Elbert County	52,620	524,759	368,997	45,793	992,169	7,831
8-AA	Union County	43,205	367,572	506,541	69,100	986,418	13,582
8-AA	Banks County	576	14,825	72,898	497,238	585,537	414,463
8-AA	Riverside Military Academy	117	6,373	41,999	387,398	435,887	564,113

Class A Public

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A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Irwin County	2-A Public	0-0	82.07	998,390	4.40	899,328	847,148	690,983	461,895	1.16
Brooks County	2-A Public	0-0	80.13	996,983	4.19	859,432	790,643	605,542	337,397	1.96
Clinch County	2-A Public	0-0	73.32	971,478	3.20	671,221	544,062	229,182	81,692	11.24
Dublin	4-A Public	0-0	72.43	999,290	3.13	646,169	549,039	197,565	72,325	12.83
Metter	3-A Public	0-0	65.38	991,485	2.92	705,241	243,777	69,375	14,074	70.05
Commerce	8-A Public	0-0	66.81	999,682	2.35	220,746	160,104	60,982	14,007	70.39
Pelham	1-A Public	0-0	63.04	998,653	2.61	609,222	163,320	37,453	6,242	159.21
Mitchell County	1-A Public	0-0	59.98	998,362	2.37	509,133	107,766	19,219	2,383	418.64
Wilcox County	4-A Public	0-0	61.29	962,409	1.46	162,945	87,130	15,044	2,080	479.77
Marion County	5-A Public	0-0	59.49	901,262	2.24	445,742	67,813	15,386	1,849	539.83
Turner County	2-A Public	0-0	61.56	660,714	1.09	136,026	72,407	11,257	1,488	671.04
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Public	0-0	58.91	995,993	1.93	106,472	54,171	9,125	1,133	881.61
Macon County	5-A Public	0-0	58.59	847,380	1.99	356,614	55,806	10,531	1,107	902.34
Lincoln County	8-A Public	0-0	58.37	993,730	1.90	105,693	51,932	7,973	964	1,036.34
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Public	0-0	55.86	860,439	1.67	253,261	32,906	4,416	338	2,957.58
Manchester	5-A Public	0-0	55.43	728,016	1.53	218,451	27,378	3,595	292	3,423.66
Bowdon	6-A Public	0-0	54.08	942,007	1.59	73,738	25,398	2,414	167	5,987.02
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Public	0-0	53.77	765,889	1.31	160,684	17,708	1,926	135	7,406.41
Chattahoochee County	5-A Public	0-0	53.58	592,983	1.16	140,070	15,436	1,664	110	9,089.91
Warren County	7-A Public	0-0	52.73	999,214	1.64	154,270	20,477	1,633	88	11,362.64
Schley County	5-A Public	0-0	52.23	522,905	0.98	104,943	10,482	902	47	21,275.60
Johnson County	4-A Public	0-0	52.88	680,178	0.74	14,996	4,482	435	31	32,257.06
Gordon Lee	6-A Public	0-0	50.39	877,868	1.28	33,295	8,904	609	28	35,713.29
Taylor County	5-A Public	0-0	51.71	399,547	0.73	75,183	6,758	606	26	38,460.54
Hancock Central	7-A Public	0-0	49.39	997,153	1.45	88,201	7,823	494	23	43,477.26
Claxton	3-A Public	0-0	50.13	607,730	0.91	73,995	5,490	394	18	55,554.56
Charlton County	2-A Public	0-0	53.56	170,616	0.21	10,777	3,497	228	18	55,554.56
Screven County	3-A Public	0-0	48.75	499,736	0.69	44,407	2,812	198	13	76,922.08
Mount Zion (Carroll)	6-A Public	0-0	48.64	802,137	1.08	18,011	4,087	227	9	111,110.11
Atkinson County	2-A Public	0-0	52.80	159,933	0.19	8,256	2,546	181	9	111,110.11
Telfair County	4-A Public	0-0	51.24	604,246	0.65	10,093	2,664	226	8	124,999.00
B.E.S.T. Academy	6-A Public	0-0	46.67	686,728	0.86	8,787	1,665	72	3	333,332.33
Terrell County	1-A Public	0-0	43.90	700,296	0.83	20,414	720	28	1	999,999.00
Trion	6-A Public	0-0	45.71	664,212	0.82	7,316	1,269	57	-	-
Dooly County	4-A Public	0-0	48.19	395,940	0.41	2,697	537	24	-	-
Jenkins County	3-A Public	0-0	45.25	271,474	0.34	12,976	558	21	-	-
Miller County	1-A Public	0-0	42.47	769,297	0.90	17,431	568	16	-	-
Montgomery County	4-A Public	0-0	47.27	319,295	0.33	1,683	303	10	-	-
Lanier County	2-A Public	0-0	47.39	41,886	0.05	791	173	6	-	-
Social Circle	8-A Public	0-0	36.13	431,034	0.49	840	33	1	-	-
Wilkinson County	7-A Public	0-0	36.45	938,140	1.02	5,306	112	-	-	-
Seminole County	1-A Public	0-0	37.20	507,347	0.54	3,191	57	-	-	-
Greene County	8-A Public	0-0	34.86	367,491	0.41	534	20	-	-	-
Georgia Military College	7-A Public	0-0	30.78	692,710	0.72	1,129	13	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Public	0-0	31.70	212,070	0.23	143	2	-	-	-
Greenville	5-A Public	0-0	34.83	7,894	0.01	78	2	-	-	-
Hawkinsville	4-A Public	0-0	38.03	29,086	0.03	10	1	-	-	-
Armuchee	6-A Public	0-0	27.69	27,048	0.03	1	1	-	-	-
ACE Charter	7-A Public	0-0	21.67	176,227	0.18	30	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	7-A Public	0-0	20.39	113,006	0.11	16	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	7-A Public	0-0	20.79	83,550	0.08	8	-	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Public	0-0	21.01	26,045	0.03	2	-	-	-	-
Portal	3-A Public	0-0	27.68	2,190	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Wheeler County	4-A Public	0-0	33.12	5,583	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Public	0-0	32.34	3,973	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Bryan County	3-A Public	0-0	25.79	1,057	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	5-A Public	0-0	18.96	13	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Public	0-0	19.46	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Public	0-0	15.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Glascock County	7-A Public	0-0	12.93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
GSIC	7-A Public	0-0	-2.73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Public	Mitchell County	495,517	434,761	55,349	12,735	998,362	1,638
1-A Public	Pelham	484,175	442,784	62,865	8,829	998,653	1,347
1-A Public	Miller County	9,819	61,450	361,594	336,434	769,297	230,703
1-A Public	Terrell County	9,296	47,130	330,144	313,726	700,296	299,704
1-A Public	Seminole County	1,193	13,819	184,284	308,051	507,347	492,653
1-A Public	Randolph-Clay	-	56	5,764	20,225	26,045	973,955
1-A Public	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Public	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Public	Irwin County	545,836	318,774	118,591	15,189	998,390	1,610
2-A Public	Brooks County	338,254	407,261	222,014	29,454	996,983	3,017
2-A Public	Clinch County	110,616	245,333	477,008	138,521	971,478	28,522
2-A Public	Turner County	4,877	24,301	140,374	491,162	660,714	339,286
2-A Public	Charlton County	249	2,439	22,273	145,655	170,616	829,384
2-A Public	Atkinson County	160	1,684	16,714	141,375	159,933	840,067
2-A Public	Lanier County	8	208	3,026	38,644	41,886	958,114
3-A Public	Metter	720,675	189,373	61,225	20,212	991,485	8,515
3-A Public	McIntosh County Academy	132,992	326,745	245,069	155,633	860,439	139,561
3-A Public	Emanuel County Institute	75,624	217,837	258,864	213,564	765,889	234,111
3-A Public	Claxton	42,912	137,919	196,077	230,822	607,730	392,270
3-A Public	Screven County	19,914	88,496	157,535	233,791	499,736	500,264
3-A Public	Jenkins County	7,881	39,572	80,805	143,216	271,474	728,526
3-A Public	Portal	2	43	307	1,838	2,190	997,810
3-A Public	Bryan County	-	15	118	924	1,057	998,943
4-A Public	Dublin	820,457	153,493	21,722	3,618	999,290	710
4-A Public	Wilcox County	144,381	543,912	199,431	74,685	962,409	37,591
4-A Public	Johnson County	15,748	122,666	284,429	257,335	680,178	319,822
4-A Public	Telfair County	14,277	107,336	237,852	244,781	604,246	395,754
4-A Public	Dooly County	3,185	41,956	140,262	210,537	395,940	604,060
4-A Public	Montgomery County	1,917	29,467	108,020	179,891	319,295	680,705
4-A Public	Hawkinsville	31	1,019	6,627	21,409	29,086	970,914
4-A Public	Wheeler County	4	80	960	4,539	5,583	994,417
4-A Public	Treutlen	-	71	697	3,205	3,973	996,027
5-A Public	Marion County	424,341	226,231	149,204	101,486	901,262	98,738
5-A Public	Macon County	253,653	257,806	196,059	139,862	847,380	152,620
5-A Public	Manchester	134,886	192,477	207,598	193,055	728,016	271,984
5-A Public	Chattahoochee County	78,816	137,930	168,011	208,226	592,983	407,017
5-A Public	Schley County	60,225	113,008	148,940	200,732	522,905	477,095
5-A Public	Taylor County	48,027	72,242	128,452	150,826	399,547	600,453
5-A Public	Greenville	52	306	1,735	5,801	7,894	992,106
5-A Public	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	1	12	13	999,987
6-A Public	Bowdon	417,318	261,192	163,834	99,663	942,007	57,993
6-A Public	Gordon Lee	249,825	249,283	215,297	163,463	877,868	122,132
6-A Public	Mount Zion (Carroll)	156,499	208,048	226,486	211,104	802,137	197,863
6-A Public	B.E.S.T. Academy	90,233	142,269	197,975	256,251	686,728	313,272
6-A Public	Trion	85,914	138,097	190,969	249,232	664,212	335,788
6-A Public	Armuchee	211	1,111	5,439	20,287	27,048	972,952
7-A Public	Warren County	530,538	368,002	86,959	13,715	999,214	786
7-A Public	Hancock Central	388,827	430,936	147,165	30,225	997,153	2,847
7-A Public	Wilkinson County	73,574	160,376	524,851	179,339	938,140	61,860
7-A Public	Georgia Military College	6,816	36,297	185,450	464,147	692,710	307,290
7-A Public	ACE Charter	132	2,174	28,209	145,712	176,227	823,773
7-A Public	Crawford County	58	1,222	14,507	97,219	113,006	886,994
7-A Public	Twiggs County	55	993	12,859	69,643	83,550	916,450
7-A Public	Glascock County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-A Public	GSIC	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-A Public	Commerce	628,615	260,155	106,127	4,785	999,682	318
8-A Public	Washington-Wilkes	188,707	394,982	382,072	30,232	995,993	4,007
8-A Public	Lincoln County	181,856	336,506	431,361	44,007	993,730	6,270
8-A Public	Social Circle	418	4,119	37,508	388,989	431,034	568,966
8-A Public	Greene County	340	3,130	29,556	334,465	367,491	632,509
8-A Public	Towns County	64	1,108	13,376	197,522	212,070	787,930

Class A Private

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A Public
A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-A Private	0-0	82.54	1,000,000	3.91	711,668	630,852	575,680	410,401	1.44
Prince Avenue Christian	8-A Private	0-0	78.97	999,909	3.59	646,092	572,170	444,297	247,709	3.04
Athens Academy	8-A Private	0-0	76.23	999,700	3.20	536,754	452,944	326,571	150,815	5.63
Fellowship Christian	6-A Private	0-0	72.57	999,989	3.54	803,579	600,587	257,206	93,938	9.65
Wesleyan	5-A Private	0-0	70.39	999,218	2.82	653,168	208,017	107,530	37,940	25.36
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-A Private	0-0	65.57	1,000,000	2.17	552,471	356,835	69,735	17,361	56.60
Savannah Christian	3-A Private	0-0	66.30	1,000,000	2.57	495,029	170,768	50,192	12,256	80.59
Holy Innocents	5-A Private	0-0	64.36	994,621	2.29	433,470	123,608	30,137	6,507	152.68
Christian Heritage	7-A Private	0-0	63.08	990,451	2.34	437,709	159,995	28,640	5,515	180.32
Calvary Day	3-A Private	0-0	62.84	1,000,000	2.27	370,029	100,365	21,243	3,895	255.74
Darlington	7-A Private	0-0	61.97	986,579	2.16	371,310	127,052	20,736	3,796	262.44
North Cobb Christian	7-A Private	0-0	61.85	983,086	2.18	379,359	132,547	20,693	3,695	269.64
George Walton Academy	8-A Private	0-0	63.52	991,441	1.26	52,296	26,960	8,944	1,684	592.82
Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5-A Private	0-0	59.51	986,396	1.95	282,337	79,843	9,427	1,331	750.31
Hebron Christian	5-A Private	0-0	59.37	986,173	1.92	274,295	76,149	8,869	1,213	823.40
Whitefield Academy	2-A Private	0-0	57.95	1,000,000	1.87	72,171	28,977	5,709	599	1,668.45
Aquinas	3-A Private	0-0	57.26	1,000,000	1.84	198,186	36,784	4,014	455	2,196.80
Stratford Academy	1-A Private	0-0	57.39	928,515	1.54	156,611	26,630	3,517	365	2,738.73
Savannah Country Day	3-A Private	0-0	55.59	1,000,000	1.72	154,542	23,507	2,203	208	4,806.69
First Presbyterian	1-A Private	0-0	54.96	873,325	1.30	93,824	14,047	1,385	107	9,344.79
Mount Paran Christian	7-A Private	0-0	54.04	898,275	1.19	70,909	10,732	943	84	11,903.76
Brookstone	4-A Private	0-0	51.61	1,000,000	1.50	70,359	16,343	883	47	21,275.60
Mount Pisgah Christian	6-A Private	0-0	51.90	976,017	1.07	28,070	6,051	512	30	33,332.33
Mount de Sales	1-A Private	0-0	52.92	777,268	1.07	54,416	6,777	470	27	37,036.04
Tattnall Square	1-A Private	0-0	50.03	622,204	0.78	22,831	2,218	108	12	83,332.33
St. Anne-Pacelli	4-A Private	0-0	46.66	1,000,000	1.23	17,003	2,342	107	5	199,999.00
Heritage (Newnan)	4-A Private	0-0	47.60	1,000,000	1.28	24,308	3,832	159	4	249,999.00
Athens Christian	8-A Private	0-0	47.54	699,469	0.76	14,536	1,653	57	1	999,999.00
Deerfield-Windsor	1-A Private	0-0	47.56	466,060	0.55	9,590	736	22	-	-
Strong Rock Christian	1-A Private	0-0	44.61	332,628	0.37	3,502	199	6	-	-
Landmark Christian	2-A Private	0-0	39.47	1,000,000	1.19	5,882	268	5	-	-
Loganville Christian	8-A Private	0-0	39.81	309,481	0.32	1,705	101	-	-	-
Lakeview Academy	6-A Private	0-0	40.71	702,610	0.71	822	55	-	-	-
St. Francis	6-A Private	0-0	40.10	709,441	0.72	665	44	-	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	6-A Private	0-0	37.21	611,943	0.62	248	7	-	-	-
Walker	7-A Private	0-0	37.85	141,609	0.15	212	3	-	-	-
Providence Christian	5-A Private	0-0	31.37	33,592	0.03	42	2	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Private	Stratford Academy	419,684	254,032	164,572	90,227	928,515	71,485
1-A Private	First Presbyterian	261,298	263,014	210,717	138,296	873,325	126,675
1-A Private	Mount de Sales	169,957	204,854	218,739	183,718	777,268	222,732
1-A Private	Tattnall Square	85,662	143,051	180,596	212,895	622,204	377,796
1-A Private	Deerfield-Windsor	43,979	86,064	132,915	203,102	466,060	533,940
1-A Private	Strong Rock Christian	19,420	48,985	92,461	171,762	332,628	667,372
2-A Private	Eagle's Landing Christian	952,232	47,475	293	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Whitefield Academy	47,279	849,940	102,781	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Landmark Christian	489	102,585	896,926	-	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Christian	472,260	305,741	142,952	79,047	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Calvary Day	308,061	316,633	222,273	153,033	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Aquinas	128,539	219,986	335,496	315,979	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Country Day	91,140	157,640	299,279	451,941	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	784,636	174,520	30,147	10,697	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Brookstone	124,455	403,489	280,698	191,358	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Heritage (Newnan)	54,874	226,263	358,447	360,416	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	St. Anne-Pacelli	36,035	195,728	330,708	437,529	1,000,000	-
5-A Private	Wesleyan	599,002	261,077	93,281	45,858	999,218	782
5-A Private	Holy Innocents	219,858	365,664	253,285	155,814	994,621	5,379
5-A Private	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	100,419	186,691	310,485	388,801	986,396	13,604
5-A Private	Hebron Christian	80,712	186,316	341,825	377,320	986,173	13,827
5-A Private	Providence Christian	9	252	1,124	32,207	33,592	966,408
6-A Private	Fellowship Christian	919,772	77,314	2,545	358	999,989	11
6-A Private	Mount Pisgah Christian	71,693	654,455	196,630	53,239	976,017	23,983
6-A Private	Lakeview Academy	4,157	97,705	283,812	316,936	702,610	297,390
6-A Private	St. Francis	2,883	95,757	295,058	315,743	709,441	290,559
6-A Private	King's Ridge Christian	1,495	74,769	221,955	313,724	611,943	388,057
7-A Private	Christian Heritage	323,566	307,163	242,576	117,146	990,451	9,549
7-A Private	North Cobb Christian	317,703	285,183	236,995	143,205	983,086	16,914
7-A Private	Darlington	290,761	285,287	255,927	154,604	986,579	13,421
7-A Private	Mount Paran Christian	67,580	119,458	252,301	458,936	898,275	101,725
7-A Private	Walker	390	2,909	12,201	126,109	141,609	858,391
8-A Private	Prince Avenue Christian	534,685	395,892	66,266	3,066	999,909	91
8-A Private	Athens Academy	433,406	460,540	99,707	6,047	999,700	300
8-A Private	George Walton Academy	31,241	137,933	737,878	84,389	991,441	8,559
8-A Private	Athens Christian	649	4,963	79,371	614,486	699,469	300,531
8-A Private	Loganville Christian	19	672	16,778	292,012	309,481	690,519

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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Maxwell playoff projections heading into 2021 season

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