AJC Varsity

Which remaining teams had the lowest chances of reaching the state title games?

Gainesville quarterback Kharim Hughley (9) attempts a pass during the first half against Hughes in their quarter-final game of the GHSA Class 5A state playoffs at Langston Hughes High School, Friday, Dec. 5, 2025, in Fairburn, Ga. (Jason Getz / AJC)
Gainesville quarterback Kharim Hughley (9) attempts a pass during the first half against Hughes in their quarter-final game of the GHSA Class 5A state playoffs at Langston Hughes High School, Friday, Dec. 5, 2025, in Fairburn, Ga. (Jason Getz / AJC)
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Worth County is ranked No. 1 in Class A Division I, so it’s strange to think of the Rams’ journey to the finals as surprising. But their meeting with Toombs County next week will be the school’s first championship game appearance since 1990.

Below are the chances each team was given to reach the finals in preseason by the computer Maxwell Ratings.

54.5% - Jefferson

46.7% - Buford

45.6% - Carver (Columbus)

43.5% - Carrollton

42.7% - Bowdon

37.5% - Toombs County

36.6% - Calvary Day

30.4% - Creekside

19.0% - Hebron Christian

16.1% - Benedictine

16.0% - Thomas County Central

14.1% - Sandy Creek

10.9% - Lincoln County

10.2% - Gainesville

5.4% - Hapeville Charter

3.6% - Worth County

About the Author

Todd Holcomb covers high school sports across the state. He rejoined The Atlanta Journal-Constitution in 2025 and has worked with the AJC in varying capacities since 1985. He is a co-founder and editor of Georgia High School Football Daily.

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