AJC Varsity

How 2024 football playoff brackets would’ve looked using new GHSA model

South Georgia’s Region 1-6A would’ve hosted 5 first-round games; Grayson, Prince Avenue would’ve been seeded 10th.
If the new GHSA playoff model were used in 2024, Mac Bradley (center, behind Hebron Christian's Devon Caldwell) and eventual 3A-A runner-up Prince Avenue Christian would've been seeded 10th for the playoffs. (Hyosub Shin/AJC)
If the new GHSA playoff model were used in 2024, Mac Bradley (center, behind Hebron Christian's Devon Caldwell) and eventual 3A-A runner-up Prince Avenue Christian would've been seeded 10th for the playoffs. (Hyosub Shin/AJC)
2 hours ago

Five South Georgia football teams from Class 6A’s Region 1 would’ve earned top-12 seeds and played at home in the first round last season under the Georgia High School Association’s new playoff model approved Monday.

Playing at home — all against metro Atlanta opponents — would’ve been Camden County, Colquitt County, Lowndes, Richmond Hill and Valdosta. In 2024, only Colquitt and Lowndes played at home, and Richmond Hill missed the playoffs despite a 7-3 record.

Having all five make the playoffs would deliver on the GHSA’s intent to reward teams from stronger regions, although it won’t play out that way for all regions perceived to be stronger, according to AJC research.

Below are what the first-round matchups would’ve looked like if the GHSA’s new rules had been in effect in 2024.

And another dream of the new plan — that the state’s best teams won’t face each other until later in the playoffs — won’t always come true, either.

Grayson, the eventual Class 6A champion, and Prince Avenue Christian, the Class 3A-A runner-up, would’ve been seeded 10th in their classes using the new model.

Grayson would’ve faced a likely second-round game at Douglas County — the team the Rams defeated 35-28 in the semifinals in their closest playoff game.

Calhoun, the eventual Class 3A champion, would’ve been seeded 13th and potentially played at fourth-seeded Peach County in the second round, though both were region champions. Peach County was No. 1 in the AJC rankings at the time.

To select and seed teams beginning with the 2026-27 academic year, the GHSA will rely on a points rating model it calls the Post Season Ranking Formula. The PSR will rank teams by multiplying their winning percentage by their opponents’ winning percentage by their opponents’ opponents winning percentage, in a way similar to the RPI (ranking percentage index) sometimes used by the NCAA.

The rankings are designed to seed teams based on their statewide strength instead of their finish in their region, which might be strong or weak. Historically, the GHSA has seeded playoff brackets in all sports using region finish.

The team that would’ve benefited the most last year under the new model was Richmond Hill, which missed the playoffs because GHSA rules in Class 6A allowed only the top four region finishers to qualify. Under the new format, Richmond Hill would’ve played Lambert, the second-place finisher from Region 6, at home.

“I think they got it right,” Richmond Hill coach Matt LeZotte said. “Just because things have been done so long doesn’t mean it’s not the right thing. It’s adapting to the times. Some regions are tougher than others. This rewards teams good enough to play in the playoffs.”

Not all regions perceived to be strong would’ve benefited, however.

In Class 4A, Region 1 was rated the second-toughest region in the class by the computer Maxwell Ratings.

But using the GHSA’s PSR, that region would’ve received only one first-round home game, with Perry as the No. 16 seed. Ware County, the region runner-up, would’ve been seeded 30th. Benedictine would’ve been 26th and Warner Robins 23rd.

For playing tough out-of-region schedules, those teams did not have impressive won-lost records. But all but Ware County finished in the top 10 of the AJC’s final Class 4A rankings.

Below are the simulated 2024 first-round matchups using the GHSA’s playoff model approved this week for 2026. It shows each team’s region and region finish in parentheses, along with each team’s overall tournament seed.

Class 6A

Class 5A

Class 4A

Class 3A

Class 2A

Class A Division I

Class A Division II

Class 3A-A Private

Note: Schools in this division compete in classes 3A, 2A and A Division I in the regular season. Their classification is Class A Division I unless noted otherwise.

About the Author

Todd Holcomb has been a contributor to The Atlanta Journal-Constitution since 1985. He is currently co-founder and editor of Georgia High School Football Daily.

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