Maxwell Week 4 Summary

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association's 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 34.53%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 591 of 618 total games including 0 tie(s) (95.63%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 13.73 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. 

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 2.36

By Class

AAAAAAA AAAAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Grayson3-090.421Valdosta4-082.60
2Colquitt County2-189.712Lee County3-175.50
3Lowndes4-089.143Dacula3-073.65
4McEachern3-085.154Coffee4-070.33
5Archer2-181.905Allatoona2-169.66
6North Gwinnett1-180.786Houston County4-068.22
7Marietta3-180.097Northside (Warner Robins)2-265.60
8Mill Creek3-179.608Glynn Academy1-164.10
9Parkview1-179.119Harrison4-063.98
10Hillgrove3-078.8010Lanier3-061.73
11Milton1-277.2311Dalton3-061.47
12Roswell2-073.9912Creekview2-158.90
13Camden County3-073.7713Mays2-158.07
14Walton2-171.6014Tucker0-257.37
15North Cobb3-069.7915Richmond Hill1-156.71
AAAAA AAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Buford3-081.561Cartersville3-083.58
2Warner Robins3-077.262Marist3-080.42
3Rome2-173.293Blessed Trinity3-175.66
4Jones County4-071.574Woodward Academy3-073.14
5Stockbridge3-070.675Troup3-067.48
6Dutchtown4-069.136Flowery Branch2-065.58
7Bainbridge4-067.707Sandy Creek3-064.14
8Kell2-165.228Burke County2-160.61
9Carrollton3-064.559West Laurens3-060.13
10Wayne County2-062.5110Cairo2-159.42
11Ware County2-262.2611Thomson2-156.88
12Clarke Central3-157.7812Oconee County3-156.26
13Griffin3-056.9913Mary Persons2-255.71
14Ola3-155.6014Chapel Hill2-154.81
15Thomas County Central3-055.4315Howard3-154.77
AAA AA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Peach County2-175.521Rockmart3-064.45
2Cedar Grove2-274.942Rabun County3-064.12
3Calhoun3-068.023Hapeville Charter1-163.91
4Greater Atlanta Christian2-166.664Callaway2-163.61
5Lovett3-162.025Washington County3-060.77
6Westminster (Atlanta)1-361.506Dublin2-060.37
7Benedictine0-258.487Fitzgerald3-158.75
8Crisp County2-257.378Brooks County1-258.12
9Pace Academy2-156.749Swainsboro2-151.01
10Appling County3-056.0110Dodge County1-248.33
11Pierce County3-055.1211Thomasville1-346.92
12Hart County4-054.3212Jefferson County0-246.49
13Jefferson1-153.6913Vidalia2-144.24
14Liberty County1-052.8914Douglass3-042.60
15Dawson County3-050.4615Bremen1-241.92
A - Public A - Private
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Clinch County3-067.531Eagle's Landing Christian3-074.82
2Irwin County2-066.502Athens Academy3-058.48
3Pelham3-045.423Wesleyan3-053.89
4Marion County3-045.324Prince Avenue Christian3-149.12
5Commerce2-142.735Darlington3-044.93
6Mitchell County2-138.416Calvary Day1-043.44
7Bowdon3-034.017Savannah Christian0-241.79
8Turner County2-134.008Mount Paran Christian1-041.28
9Wilcox County3-033.669Fellowship Christian2-038.37
10Charlton County1-233.4910Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)3-037.05
11Emanuel County Institute0-333.4111Holy Innocents3-035.34
12Trion3-032.4112George Walton Academy2-134.63
13Lincoln County2-131.9813Mount Vernon Presbyterian2-134.28
14Manchester2-131.5114Savannah Country Day2-034.11
15Telfair County2-130.9215Hebron Christian Academy1-233.94

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank Team Region Rec Rating SchStr Rank
1 [1]Grayson8 - AAAAAAA3-090.4266.3722 [11]
2 [2]Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA2-189.7173.188 [6]
3 [3]Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA4-089.1454.0770 [27]
4 [4]McEachern3 - AAAAAAA3-085.1553.4672 [28]
5 [1]Cartersville5 - AAAA3-083.5817.22353 [48]
6 [1]Valdosta1 - AAAAAA4-082.6046.34121 [29]
7 [5]Archer8 - AAAAAAA2-181.9070.8510 [8]
8 [1]Buford8 - AAAAA3-081.5659.8339 [4]
9 [6]North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA1-180.7889.711 [1]
10 [2]Marist7 - AAAA3-080.4261.7633 [4]
11 [7]Marietta3 - AAAAAAA3-180.0978.114 [3]
12 [8]Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA3-179.6068.9215 [10]
13 [9]Parkview7 - AAAAAAA1-179.1179.113 [2]
14 [10]Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA3-078.8048.31109 [34]
15 [2]Warner Robins1 - AAAAA3-077.2649.5596 [15]
16 [11]Milton5 - AAAAAAA1-277.2362.8431 [15]
17 [3]Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA3-175.6663.5227 [3]
18 [1]Peach County4 - AAA2-175.5269.7812 [2]
19 [2]Lee County1 - AAAAAA3-175.5037.77204 [41]
20 [2]Cedar Grove5 - AAA2-274.9475.717 [1]
21 [1]Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A3-074.8241.94171 [3]
22 [12]Roswell4 - AAAAAAA2-073.9940.73187 [42]
23 [13]Camden County1 - AAAAAAA3-073.7758.5645 [22]
24 [3]Dacula8 - AAAAAA3-073.6558.4449 [8]
25 [3]Rome7 - AAAAA2-173.2958.8544 [5]
26 [4]Woodward Academy4 - AAAA3-073.1456.2657 [5]
27 [14]Walton4 - AAAAAAA2-171.6059.9738 [19]
28 [4]Jones County4 - AAAAA4-071.5752.4179 [10]
29 [5]Stockbridge4 - AAAAA3-070.6744.09146 [28]
30 [4]Coffee1 - AAAAAA4-070.3345.41131 [32]
31 [15]North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA3-069.7943.49153 [38]
32 [5]Allatoona6 - AAAAAA2-169.6655.9458 [12]
33 [6]Dutchtown4 - AAAAA4-069.1351.6984 [12]
34 [16]North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA3-068.5345.66129 [36]
35 [6]Houston County1 - AAAAAA4-068.2238.34201 [40]
36 [3]Calhoun6 - AAA3-068.0231.16258 [31]
37 [7]Bainbridge1 - AAAAA4-067.7048.28110 [19]
38 [17]Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA2-167.5370.1111 [9]
39 [1]Clinch County2 - A3-067.5337.43206 [8]
40 [5]Troup5 - AAAA3-067.4844.08147 [24]
41 [18]Norcross7 - AAAAAAA0-267.4376.786 [5]
42 [19]South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA3-167.3159.6741 [20]
43 [4]Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA2-166.6664.1224 [5]
44 [2]Irwin County2 - A2-066.5044.20144 [4]
45 [7]Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA2-265.6057.2154 [10]
46 [6]Flowery Branch7 - AAAA2-065.5838.92194 [34]
47 [8]Kell7 - AAAAA2-165.2258.5346 [7]
48 [20]Westlake2 - AAAAAAA2-164.6551.0387 [29]
49 [9]Carrollton7 - AAAAA3-064.5544.85136 [26]
50 [1]Rockmart7 - AA3-064.4538.46200 [20]
51 [21]Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA2-264.3662.2132 [16]
52 [7]Sandy Creek5 - AAAA3-064.1435.23221 [37]
53 [2]Rabun County8 - AA3-064.1240.15191 [16]
54 [8]Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA1-164.1022.30326 [56]
55 [9]Harrison6 - AAAAAA4-063.9835.25220 [45]
56 [3]Hapeville Charter6 - AA1-163.9158.0850 [3]
57 [4]Callaway5 - AA2-163.61-13.78416 [58]
58 [10]Wayne County2 - AAAAA2-062.511.34405 [56]
59 [11]Ware County2 - AAAAA2-262.2658.5347 [7]
60 [5]Lovett5 - AAA3-162.0257.2153 [6]
61 [22]Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA4-061.9545.88127 [35]
62 [10]Lanier8 - AAAAAA3-061.7347.03117 [25]
63 [6]Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA1-361.5068.9614 [3]
64 [11]Dalton6 - AAAAAA3-061.4734.81230 [50]
65 [23]Newton8 - AAAAAAA3-061.3938.55199 [43]
66 [5]Washington County3 - AA3-060.7743.02158 [11]
67 [8]Burke County3 - AAAA2-160.6150.5890 [12]
68 [24]West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA0-260.4071.419 [7]
69 [6]Dublin3 - AA2-060.3742.21167 [12]
70 [9]West Laurens2 - AAAA3-060.1344.13145 [23]
71 [25]Tift County1 - AAAAAAA1-359.8864.8823 [12]
72 [10]Cairo1 - AAAA2-159.4247.26115 [18]
73 [12]Creekview6 - AAAAAA2-158.9048.16111 [22]
74 [7]Fitzgerald1 - AA3-158.7538.85196 [17]
75 [2]Athens Academy8 - A3-058.4832.08250 [8]
76 [7]Benedictine3 - AAA0-258.4866.9617 [4]
77 [8]Brooks County1 - AA1-258.1259.7440 [2]
78 [26]South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA2-158.1057.1155 [23]
79 [13]Mays5 - AAAAAA2-158.0756.3156 [11]
80 [12]Clarke Central8 - AAAAA3-157.7854.4666 [9]
81 [27]Etowah4 - AAAAAAA2-257.3854.3868 [25]
82 [8]Crisp County1 - AAA2-257.3755.7263 [7]
83 [14]Tucker4 - AAAAAA0-257.3786.162 [1]
84 [13]Griffin3 - AAAAA3-056.9944.65138 [27]
85 [11]Thomson3 - AAAA2-156.8845.31133 [20]
86 [9]Pace Academy5 - AAA2-156.7451.9382 [10]
87 [15]Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA1-156.7157.6851 [9]
88 [12]Oconee County8 - AAAA3-156.2649.17102 [16]
89 [10]Appling County2 - AAA3-056.0142.88159 [14]
90 [13]Mary Persons2 - AAAA2-255.7149.8495 [15]
91 [14]Ola4 - AAAAA3-155.6049.29100 [16]
92 [15]Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA3-055.4338.24202 [34]
93 [16]Veterans1 - AAAAA3-155.4047.17116 [21]
94 [28]Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA1-355.2761.6134 [17]
95 [11]Pierce County2 - AAA3-055.1223.27318 [44]
96 [14]Chapel Hill5 - AAAA2-154.8152.8378 [8]
97 [15]Howard2 - AAAA3-154.7742.37165 [30]
98 [16]Douglas County5 - AAAAAA2-154.6149.4397 [18]
99 [16]St. Pius X8 - AAAA2-254.5550.1193 [14]
100 [12]Hart County8 - AAA4-054.3241.03183 [17]
101 [29]East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA0-353.9077.245 [4]
102 [3]Wesleyan5 - A3-053.8941.80175 [4]
103 [13]Jefferson8 - AAA1-153.6935.00226 [24]
104 [14]Liberty County2 - AAA1-052.8936.54211 [20]
105 [17]Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA2-152.6045.98125 [22]
106 [18]Statesboro2 - AAAAA2-052.2541.18181 [32]
107 [17]North Oconee8 - AAAA4-052.0631.90253 [42]
108 [19]Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA3-051.8536.93208 [35]
109 [18]Upson-Lee2 - AAAA2-251.7652.9876 [7]
110 [30]North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA2-151.1150.0994 [30]
111 [31]Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA0-351.0163.7626 [14]
112 [9]Swainsboro2 - AA2-151.0142.20169 [13]
113 [32]Newnan2 - AAAAAAA2-250.9548.97104 [31]
114 [33]Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA3-050.8631.23257 [46]
115 [15]Dawson County7 - AAA3-050.4629.59272 [35]
116 [17]Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA1-250.4550.6888 [17]
117 [18]Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA3-050.0834.20234 [51]
118 [34]Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA1-249.8658.9543 [21]
119 [19]Gainesville8 - AAAAAA2-149.8346.39120 [28]
120 [20]Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA2-149.6342.24166 [30]
121 [19]Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA2-149.4540.38189 [33]
122 [21]Harris County1 - AAAAA2-249.4252.3480 [11]
123 [20]Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA1-149.330.00409 [58]
124 [16]Jackson4 - AAA2-149.1540.88184 [18]
125 [4]Prince Avenue Christian8 - A3-149.1229.20278 [13]
126 [21]Creekside5 - AAAAAA0-248.6666.8918 [3]
127 [20]Ridgeland6 - AAAA0-348.5766.5720 [2]
128 [17]Monroe Area8 - AAA3-148.3536.34213 [21]
129 [10]Dodge County3 - AA1-248.3351.5085 [6]
130 [22]East Paulding7 - AAAAA0-248.1760.1436 [3]
131 [22]Pope7 - AAAAAA2-148.1448.52106 [21]
132 [18]Westside (Macon)4 - AAA2-247.5246.17122 [11]
133 [23]Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA2-147.0443.89148 [34]
134 [24]Brunswick2 - AAAAAA1-247.0240.58188 [38]
135 [11]Thomasville1 - AA1-346.9266.5721 [1]
136 [21]Eastside4 - AAAA1-246.8852.0181 [9]
137 [22]Westover1 - AAAA3-046.7932.47246 [41]
138 [12]Jefferson County4 - AA0-246.4955.8960 [4]
139 [23]Locust Grove4 - AAAAA0-346.4968.8316 [1]
140 [25]Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA0-246.4869.4813 [2]
141 [19]Jenkins3 - AAA2-146.3233.44239 [27]
142 [20]North Hall7 - AAA2-146.2736.29214 [22]
143 [24]South Effingham2 - AAAAA3-046.2732.13248 [38]
144 [26]South Paulding5 - AAAAAA2-145.9149.4098 [19]
145 [23]Baldwin3 - AAAA0-445.7966.6219 [1]
146 [27]Evans3 - AAAAAA2-145.4536.51212 [44]
147 [3]Pelham1 - A3-045.42-10.38414 [47]
148 [28]M.L. King4 - AAAAAA2-045.4039.41192 [39]
149 [4]Marion County4 - A3-045.3211.68379 [37]
150 [29]Stephenson4 - AAAAAA2-145.2935.20222 [46]
151 [25]Riverwood6 - AAAAA3-045.1128.66282 [46]
152 [30]Hughes5 - AAAAAA0-345.0363.0128 [4]
153 [5]Darlington6 - A3-044.9329.53273 [12]
154 [26]Jonesboro3 - AAAAA2-244.8051.1486 [13]
155 [13]Vidalia2 - AA2-144.2436.61209 [21]
156 [27]Union Grove4 - AAAAA2-144.2230.46265 [40]
157 [31]Alexander5 - AAAAAA1-243.8747.33114 [24]
158 [35]Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA1-143.6742.13170 [39]
159 [32]Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-343.4762.8530 [6]
160 [6]Calvary Day3 - A1-043.443.93398 [32]
161 [36]Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA4-043.0831.97252 [45]
162 [28]Banneker6 - AAAAA1-242.9550.4991 [14]
163 [24]Perry2 - AAAA2-242.9542.61162 [29]
164 [29]Hiram7 - AAAAA1-242.9249.25101 [17]
165 [30]Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA3-142.7529.03280 [45]
166 [5]Commerce8 - A2-142.7324.68308 [20]
167 [25]Cedartown5 - AAAA0-342.6750.5889 [12]
168 [14]Douglass6 - AA3-042.6017.63350 [49]
169 [33]Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA0-242.3954.8165 [15]
170 [26]Stephens County8 - AAAA1-342.3851.8483 [10]
171 [15]Bremen5 - AA1-241.9245.95126 [7]
172 [37]Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA0-341.8755.8061 [24]
173 [7]Savannah Christian3 - A0-241.7958.4848 [1]
174 [16]Pepperell7 - AA2-141.6438.63198 [19]
175 [21]Morgan County8 - AAA3-141.6333.09241 [28]
176 [34]Grovetown3 - AAAAAA2-241.5946.53119 [27]
177 [27]LaGrange5 - AAAA2-141.5343.36155 [26]
178 [35]Effingham County2 - AAAAAA1-241.3934.92228 [49]
179 [38]Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA1-241.2941.86173 [40]
180 [8]Mount Paran Christian6 - A1-041.281.67404 [35]
181 [39]Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA1-241.2248.36107 [32]
182 [31]Villa Rica7 - AAAAA1-240.9344.91135 [25]
183 [17]Union County8 - AA3-040.8914.27371 [53]
184 [32]Paulding County7 - AAAAA1-240.6149.08103 [18]
185 [18]Early County1 - AA3-140.5630.47264 [31]
186 [33]Riverdale3 - AAAAA3-139.9823.44315 [48]
187 [40]Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA0-339.9160.0537 [18]
188 [19]Elbert County8 - AA1-239.8844.52142 [8]
189 [36]Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA2-039.8128.00290 [54]
190 [37]Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA1-239.3341.67176 [36]
191 [28]Madison County8 - AAAA2-239.1244.61139 [21]
192 [20]Bleckley County3 - AA2-139.0230.85261 [29]
193 [38]Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA0-238.9052.9777 [16]
194 [21]Heard County5 - AA0-338.8554.9864 [5]
195 [22]Hephzibah4 - AA2-038.7622.06329 [43]
196 [39]Morrow4 - AAAAAA2-238.7345.99124 [30]
197 [29]White County7 - AAAA2-138.6028.51285 [44]
198 [23]Jeff Davis2 - AA4-038.5517.47351 [50]
199 [34]New Hampstead2 - AAAAA1-238.4442.60163 [29]
200 [6]Mitchell County1 - A2-138.4123.53314 [21]
201 [9]Fellowship Christian6 - A2-038.3714.69370 [27]
202 [30]Spalding2 - AAAA1-338.3650.1392 [13]
203 [31]Denmark7 - AAAA2-038.2015.13368 [51]
204 [40]Northgate5 - AAAAAA0-337.8349.3799 [20]
205 [35]Loganville8 - AAAAA0-337.8048.09112 [20]
206 [32]Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA3-137.6430.08266 [43]
207 [36]Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA1-337.5645.80128 [23]
208 [24]Toombs County2 - AA3-037.548.09387 [54]
209 [25]Southwest3 - AA2-137.5334.23233 [24]
210 [41]Northview7 - AAAAAA2-137.2529.30275 [53]
211 [10]Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A3-037.0523.99312 [18]
212 [42]Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA1-236.8947.34113 [23]
213 [43]Cambridge7 - AAAAAA1-236.7444.45143 [33]
214 [33]Hardaway1 - AAAA2-136.6426.64300 [45]
215 [34]Columbus1 - AAAA1-236.3948.69105 [17]
216 [26]Screven County4 - AA2-136.3532.66244 [27]
217 [35]Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA1-236.2453.0175 [6]
218 [36]Pickens6 - AAAA1-236.0633.51237 [40]
219 [22]North Murray6 - AAA2-136.0227.33296 [39]
220 [44]Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA1-235.9946.84118 [26]
221 [27]Northeast3 - AA1-235.8038.77197 [18]
222 [23]Islands3 - AAA2-035.5733.44238 [27]
223 [41]Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA0-335.5648.34108 [33]
224 [37]Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA0-435.5257.4352 [8]
225 [11]Holy Innocents5 - A3-035.3417.67349 [22]
226 [28]Chattooga7 - AA1-235.0841.41178 [15]
227 [45]Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA2-235.0336.59210 [43]
228 [46]Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA2-135.0335.15224 [47]
229 [12]George Walton Academy8 - A2-134.6328.11289 [15]
230 [13]Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A2-134.2826.82298 [16]
231 [14]Savannah Country Day3 - A2-034.1117.38352 [23]
232 [7]Bowdon6 - A3-034.0125.38305 [19]
233 [8]Turner County2 - A2-134.0027.82292 [16]
234 [15]Hebron Christian Academy8 - A1-233.9443.18157 [2]
235 [42]Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA1-133.8616.63355 [47]
236 [16]Aquinas7 - A3-033.7613.43375 [28]
237 [9]Wilcox County2 - A3-033.6610.63382 [38]
238 [47]Alcovy3 - AAAAAA1-333.5645.53130 [31]
239 [29]Spencer5 - AA2-233.5234.83229 [23]
240 [10]Charlton County2 - A1-233.4942.88160 [6]
241 [38]Cass7 - AAAAA2-133.4829.26276 [44]
242 [11]Emanuel County Institute3 - A0-333.4144.83137 [3]
243 [43]Campbell2 - AAAAAAA0-333.2663.7625 [14]
244 [30]Metter2 - AA2-133.2527.75293 [34]
245 [48]New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-133.1931.51255 [52]
246 [39]Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA2-133.0024.12310 [47]
247 [37]Shaw1 - AAAA3-032.7818.45344 [47]
248 [12]Trion6 - A3-032.416.00391 [43]
249 [40]Whitewater3 - AAAAA0-332.2361.0735 [2]
250 [49]North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA2-032.2315.77360 [57]
251 [13]Lincoln County7 - A2-131.9820.20335 [27]
252 [50]South Cobb6 - AAAAAA0-431.8859.4142 [7]
253 [51]Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA0-331.6855.7462 [14]
254 [38]Richmond Academy3 - AAAA1-231.6334.59231 [38]
255 [39]Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA2-131.6316.45357 [49]
256 [14]Manchester4 - A2-131.5122.35325 [24]
257 [17]North Cobb Christian6 - A3-031.5015.63364 [24]
258 [52]Apalachee8 - AAAAAA1-331.3941.91172 [35]
259 [41]Lithonia5 - AAAAA3-031.3813.69373 [51]
260 [24]Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA1-231.2730.73262 [33]
261 [25]Adairsville6 - AAA2-131.1226.06303 [42]
262 [40]Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA1-231.0237.06207 [36]
263 [15]Telfair County2 - A2-130.9216.68354 [30]
264 [53]Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA1-230.5337.67205 [42]
265 [26]Central (Macon)4 - AAA0-330.2953.7571 [9]
266 [18]Christian Heritage6 - A3-030.2110.72381 [30]
267 [31]Temple5 - AA3-030.1315.50366 [52]
268 [32]Lamar County5 - AA3-030.11-0.36410 [57]
269 [27]Monroe1 - AAA2-230.0129.83269 [34]
270 [28]Brantley County2 - AAA2-129.7428.64283 [36]
271 [33]Berrien1 - AA2-229.6530.51263 [30]
272 [41]Hampton4 - AAAA1-229.2743.28156 [27]
273 [29]Cook1 - AAA0-428.6344.53141 [13]
274 [16]Taylor County4 - A2-128.5422.69323 [23]
275 [17]Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A1-228.5327.89291 [15]
276 [19]Stratford Academy7 - A1-228.4432.07251 [9]
277 [42]Chestatee7 - AAAA1-228.4338.89195 [35]
278 [18]Schley County4 - A1-228.3829.25277 [12]
279 [30]Pike County4 - AAA2-128.103.13402 [54]
280 [31]Sonoraville6 - AAA1-228.0041.25180 [16]
281 [42]Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA1-327.9635.18223 [37]
282 [43]Decatur6 - AAAAA2-127.8322.11328 [49]
283 [44]Lambert5 - AAAAAAA0-427.6440.75185 [41]
284 [20]Mount de Sales7 - A2-027.393.89399 [33]
285 [44]Fayette County3 - AAAAA1-226.8732.11249 [39]
286 [43]Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA0-326.5741.29179 [31]
287 [21]Whitefield Academy6 - A1-126.2229.94268 [11]
288 [19]Macon County4 - A0-226.0840.29190 [7]
289 [32]Franklin County8 - AAA1-126.0128.34288 [38]
290 [33]Ringgold6 - AAA0-326.0145.35132 [12]
291 [54]River Ridge6 - AAAAAA0-325.8662.9929 [5]
292 [45]Duluth6 - AAAAAAA0-325.6443.86150 [37]
293 [45]Columbia5 - AAAAA1-325.6345.04134 [24]
294 [46]Discovery6 - AAAAAAA0-325.3454.2369 [26]
295 [22]First Presbyterian7 - A1-225.1735.40219 [7]
296 [20]Claxton3 - A2-125.1521.56332 [25]
297 [21]Washington-Wilkes7 - A1-225.1231.46256 [11]
298 [44]Salem4 - AAAA0-324.8944.58140 [22]
299 [55]Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-224.8141.49177 [37]
300 [34]Washington6 - AA0-324.6643.74151 [9]
301 [46]Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA0-324.5542.21168 [31]
302 [56]Drew4 - AAAAAA0-324.4355.9059 [13]
303 [35]Harlem4 - AA1-224.4224.21309 [38]
304 [34]Haralson County6 - AAA2-024.400.07408 [56]
305 [36]B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA1-224.3341.84174 [14]
306 [35]Jackson County8 - AAA2-224.2322.66324 [47]
307 [23]Brookstone4 - A1-124.163.56400 [34]
308 [47]Grady6 - AAAAA1-224.0039.10193 [33]
309 [36]Worth County1 - AAA1-323.9537.90203 [19]
310 [37]Beach3 - AAA1-123.6430.91260 [32]
311 [38]Windsor Forest3 - AAA1-223.3826.51302 [41]
312 [22]Dooly County4 - A0-323.1653.1274 [2]
313 [37]South Atlanta6 - AA2-122.604.37397 [56]
314 [24]Tattnall Square7 - A1-222.5625.00307 [17]
315 [45]McDonough4 - AAAA1-222.4134.43232 [39]
316 [48]McIntosh3 - AAAAA1-322.2629.43274 [43]
317 [39]Fannin County7 - AAA2-121.9418.01347 [50]
318 [38]Coosa7 - AA0-321.0635.96215 [22]
319 [25]Riverside Military Academy8 - A2-120.7915.20367 [25]
320 [23]Atkinson County2 - A1-220.4426.87297 [18]
321 [49]Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA1-220.2919.10340 [50]
322 [24]Johnson County3 - A2-020.226.39390 [42]
323 [26]St. Francis6 - A1-120.2023.98313 [19]
324 [40]East Hall7 - AAA1-320.0734.93227 [25]
325 [50]North Springs6 - AAAAA1-219.4829.77270 [42]
326 [41]Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA1-218.7319.19339 [48]
327 [42]Tattnall County2 - AAA0-318.7132.83242 [29]
328 [46]West Hall7 - AAAA0-418.4641.11182 [32]
329 [25]Montgomery County3 - A2-118.0714.16372 [35]
330 [26]Terrell County1 - A2-118.0119.61338 [28]
331 [47]Cross Creek3 - AAAA2-217.9815.85359 [50]
332 [27]Strong Rock Christian5 - A1-217.6135.86216 [6]
333 [39]Therrell6 - AA1-217.5832.82243 [26]
334 [43]Redan5 - AAA2-217.3722.74322 [46]
335 [40]Bacon County2 - AA0-417.3743.40154 [10]
336 [48]Dougherty1 - AAAA0-317.2343.49152 [25]
337 [27]Greene County7 - A0-217.0128.38286 [14]
338 [41]Glenn Hills4 - AA1-216.6027.64295 [35]
339 [42]Laney4 - AA1-216.4826.54301 [36]
340 [28]Jenkins County3 - A1-216.1918.13345 [29]
341 [51]Miller Grove5 - AAAAA0-316.1530.00267 [41]
342 [49]Luella4 - AAAA0-315.7342.65161 [28]
343 [29]McIntosh County Academy3 - A0-215.5653.4373 [1]
344 [28]Walker6 - A1-115.4519.96337 [21]
345 [43]Putnam County8 - AA1-215.1333.43240 [25]
346 [50]LaFayette6 - AAAA2-215.1018.47343 [46]
347 [30]Seminole County1 - A2-114.845.82392 [44]
348 [29]Pinecrest Academy6 - A0-114.6340.73186 [5]
349 [44]Westside (Augusta)4 - AA1-114.5924.06311 [39]
350 [31]Gordon Lee6 - A2-114.3012.85377 [36]
351 [32]Chattahoochee County1 - A0-313.5833.73235 [9]
352 [45]Monticello8 - AA0-313.5631.81254 [28]
353 [33]Hancock Central7 - A1-213.4120.95334 [26]
354 [34]Miller County1 - A0-313.1932.34247 [10]
355 [44]East Jackson8 - AAA3-012.701.75403 [55]
356 [51]North Clayton4 - AAAA0-312.6746.05123 [19]
357 [46]Butler4 - AA0-212.3918.02346 [48]
358 [47]Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA0-212.2133.72236 [44]
359 [57]Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-212.0935.06225 [48]
360 [30]Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A0-311.7528.58284 [14]
361 [45]Stone Mountain5 - AAA1-311.6428.36287 [37]
362 [46]Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA1-310.7732.62245 [30]
363 [52]Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA2-210.0311.55380 [53]
364 [47]Rutland4 - AAA1-29.5935.41218 [23]
365 [47]Banks County8 - AA0-39.5621.82330 [44]
366 [48]Murray County6 - AAA2-19.455.53393 [53]
367 [48]Model7 - AA0-38.8525.59304 [37]
368 [31]Athens Christian8 - A1-28.4214.87369 [26]
369 [35]Warren County7 - A2-18.10-2.54412 [46]
370 [49]KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA1-37.5423.39316 [40]
371 [49]Lumpkin County7 - AAA1-37.0218.91341 [49]
372 [50]Kendrick4 - AAA1-36.5826.75299 [40]
373 [50]Bryan County2 - AA0-26.3229.63271 [32]
374 [36]Wilkinson County7 - A0-36.3143.86149 [5]
375 [51]Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA1-16.2917.94348 [51]
376 [53]Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA1-26.276.84389 [55]
377 [51]Jordan5 - AA0-35.9222.24327 [42]
378 [48]Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA2-05.83-34.02422 [48]
379 [52]Savannah3 - AAA0-35.4142.54164 [15]
380 [52]East Laurens3 - AA1-34.6728.72281 [33]
381 [52]Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA0-34.0213.41376 [52]
382 [53]Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-13.950.55407 [54]
383 [32]King's Ridge Christian6 - A1-13.909.04385 [31]
384 [53]Long County2 - AAA0-23.7154.3967 [8]
385 [54]Coahulla Creek6 - AAA1-23.6922.92319 [45]
386 [33]Lakeview Academy8 - A0-12.4419.98336 [20]
387 [37]Lanier County2 - A1-22.4215.70361 [32]
388 [53]Dade County7 - AA0-32.0021.00333 [46]
389 [54]Gilmer6 - AAAA2-21.155.35394 [53]
390 [55]Towers5 - AAA1-30.9416.45356 [52]
391 [38]Hawkinsville4 - A0-30.7427.71294 [17]
392 [34]Pacelli4 - A3-10.40-9.53413 [37]
393 [54]Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-2-0.2235.62217 [36]
394 [39]Treutlen3 - A3-0-0.23-24.11418 [49]
395 [40]Greenville4 - A0-2-0.3729.11279 [13]
396 [35]Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-3-0.6930.92259 [10]
397 [54]Armuchee7 - AA0-3-2.0722.78321 [41]
398 [55]Social Circle8 - AA1-1-2.29-32.52421 [59]
399 [56]McNair6 - AA0-3-2.4721.80331 [45]
400 [57]Gordon Central7 - AA0-3-2.5018.76342 [47]
401 [41]Calhoun County1 - A1-2-2.659.54384 [40]
402 [36]Providence Christian8 - A1-2-2.701.15406 [36]
403 [58]Josey4 - AA0-2-5.2215.70362 [51]
404 [37]Landmark Christian5 - A0-3-5.7912.44378 [29]
405 [58]Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-3-7.0222.89320 [55]
406 [42]Portal3 - A0-3-7.397.19388 [41]
407 [43]Towns County8 - A0-3-8.5223.38317 [22]
408 [44]Baconton Charter1 - A1-2-9.1715.69363 [33]
409 [56]Groves3 - AAA0-2-9.9125.02306 [43]
410 [59]Oglethorpe County8 - AA1-2-10.725.34395 [55]
411 [45]Central (Talbotton)4 - A1-2-12.4115.99358 [31]
412 [46]Crawford County4 - A1-2-13.67-11.85415 [48]
413 [38]Georgia Military College7 - A2-1-13.69-31.94420 [38]
414 [47]Wheeler County3 - A1-2-16.494.51396 [45]
415 [48]Twiggs County7 - A0-3-18.5915.60365 [34]
416 [55]Clarkston5 - AAAAA†0-4-22.6613.68374 [52]
417 [49]Stewart County1 - A1-2-26.24-24.50419 [50]
418 [1]Glascock County7 - A†1-3-32.09-17.31417 [3]
419 [50]Randolph-Clay1 - A0-2-37.709.59383 [39]
420 [2]ACE Charter7 - A†0-4-47.003.15401 [1]
421 [3]Pataula Charter1 - A†0-3-50.92-2.02411 [2]
422 [56]Cross Keys5 - AAAAA†0-4-71.958.14386 [54]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Comp Rating Avg Rating
11 - AAAAAAA89.5778.72
23 - AAAAAAA85.2872.26
38 - AAAAAAA83.5262.97
41 - AAAAAA82.1772.34
56 - AAAAAAA78.6556.89
67 - AAAA75.2747.78
75 - AAAA75.1354.52
81 - AAAAA73.0660.64
94 - AAAAAAA72.8658.16
104 - AAAAA72.1253.04
115 - AAAAAAA71.6553.65
127 - AAAAAAA71.0848.18
138 - AAAAA69.5443.61
145 - AAA69.0845.11
157 - AAAAA68.9147.29
166 - AAAAAA68.3448.58
178 - AAAAAA66.5248.87
182 - AAAAA63.5752.47
194 - AAA62.3234.05
202 - AAAA62.1050.78
212 - A61.9134.61
222 - AAAAAAA61.8549.04
235 - A61.3931.03
242 - AAAAAA61.1949.38
253 - AA59.6342.61
265 - AAAAAA59.1343.80
271 - AA59.0047.09
288 - AAAA58.8448.97
293 - AAAA58.1843.53
304 - AAAA57.5825.36
317 - AAA56.9529.93
322 - AAA56.3137.79
334 - AAAAAA55.8139.10
341 - AAAA55.3937.82
358 - AAA54.8237.99
363 - AAAAA54.2538.93
377 - AAAAAA53.9339.88
385 - AA53.8034.87
396 - AAA52.4525.60
408 - A51.7024.29
 8-Div A - A52.1231.32
 8-Div B - A37.0118.94
418 - AA51.1518.85
427 - AA50.8218.13
436 - AA50.5623.31
443 - AAA49.6624.74
456 - AAAAA49.5031.64
462 - AA49.1433.84
473 - AAAAAA48.4238.00
481 - AAA48.3033.34
496 - A46.6826.02
 6-Div A - A43.8131.00
 6-Div B - A38.6020.93
506 - AAAA44.0425.67
513 - A42.6919.95
 3-Div A - A42.8127.51
 3-Div B - A28.5613.21
524 - AA42.3722.17
534 - A39.8916.26
 4-Div A - A37.0314.10
 4-Div B - A31.7217.89
545 - AAAAA38.8226.24
557 - A36.9817.91
 7-Div B - A32.7617.80
 7-Div A - A30.4618.04
561 - A36.628.31

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct Likelihood
08/30West HallJohnson (Gainesville)27 - 3010.7974.6%0.335
09/12StephensonMount Zion (Jonesboro)9 - 148.4069.8%0.367
09/06WoodstockCambridge20 - 227.4967.9%0.393
08/30BremenBowdon7 - 205.5563.5%0.397
08/30WaltonCollins Hill10 - 126.4365.5%0.410
08/23Toombs CountyTwiggs County14 - 058.4999.7%0.428
09/06Blessed TrinityWoodward Academy10 - 134.8962.0%0.431
09/13Peach CountyHouston County31 - 324.9462.1%0.436
09/13Colquitt CountyValdosta49 - 504.7661.7%0.439
08/30Calvary DayJohnson (Savannah)20 - 1239.5198.1%0.443
09/14CambridgeDunwoody19 - 214.0760.0%0.446
08/23Mary PersonsGainesville21 - 273.5358.7%0.447
08/30Mill CreekDacula21 - 243.5958.9%0.451
08/30Stewart CountyGlascock County56 - 603.5058.7%0.451
09/06Turner CountyTaylor County7 - 123.1057.7%0.455

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct
90.0009/27Colquitt CountyGrayson - 1.6554.1%
89.3511/01LowndesColquitt County - 1.7954.5%
85.5909/13Colquitt CountyValdosta49 - 504.7661.7%
85.2310/18GraysonArcher - 6.1764.9%
83.9609/27LowndesValdosta - 8.9070.9%
83.3208/24Colquitt CountyNorth Gwinnett17 - 68.9471.0%
82.4410/18McEachernMarietta - 2.6956.7%
81.6309/27BufordArcher - 2.0355.0%
81.5409/13GraysonMarietta28 - 1412.6978.1%
80.7509/13Mill CreekArcher10 - 70.0750.2%
80.5609/06LowndesParkview38 - 712.3977.5%
80.1510/11Mill CreekNorth Gwinnett - 1.1953.0%
80.1410/11McEachernHillgrove - 8.7170.5%
79.1111/01MariettaHillgrove - 3.6559.0%
78.9309/06BufordMilton26 - 234.3360.7%

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