Maxwell Week 2 summary

By Loren Maxwell

Sept 2, 2019

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association’s 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the player roster or coaching staff.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team’s historical performance is 52.20%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 309 of 325 total games including 0 tie(s) (95.08%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 13.87 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team’s opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 2.54

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
1	Colquitt County	1-0	95.89	1	Lee County	2-0	84.76
2	Grayson	2-0	87.52	2	Valdosta	2-0	75.85
3	Archer	1-0	85.95	3	Dacula	2-0	69.88
4	Lowndes	2-0	84.25	4	Northside (Warner Robins)	1-1	69.70
5	McEachern	2-0	82.97	5	Coffee	2-0	66.44
6	North Gwinnett	1-1	82.11	6	Allatoona	0-1	65.77
7	Parkview	1-0	81.81	7	Harrison	2-0	63.36
8	Milton	1-0	80.70	8	Glynn Academy	1-1	63.23
9	Hillgrove	2-0	78.01	9	Creekview	2-0	62.52
10	Marietta	2-0	76.77	10	Lanier	2-0	58.51
11	Camden County	2-0	75.18	11	Tucker	0-2	57.54
12	Mill Creek	1-1	72.44	12	Dalton	2-0	56.72
13	Roswell	1-0	72.22	13	Houston County	2-0	55.41
14	Walton	1-1	70.97	14	Mays	1-1	55.13
15	North Cobb	2-0	70.01	15	Stephenson	2-0	53.25

AAAAA				AAAA
1	Warner Robins	2-0	80.04	1	Cartersville	1-0	81.88
2	Buford	1-0	78.64	2	Blessed Trinity	2-0	80.87
3	Rome	0-1	71.41	3	Marist	1-0	79.91
4	Stockbridge	1-0	71.22	4	Troup	1-0	68.87
5	Bainbridge	2-0	67.59	5	St. Pius X	1-1	63.97
6	Jones County	2-0	67.33	6	Thomson	1-0	62.51
7	Dutchtown	2-0	67.32	7	Burke County	1-1	61.83
8	Ware County	1-1	65.92	8	Woodward Academy	2-0	59.18
9	Carrollton	1-0	64.39	9	Mary Persons	1-1	58.79
10	Kell	1-0	62.73	10	Cairo	1-1	58.64
11	Wayne County	1-0	59.88	11	Sandy Creek	1-0	58.36
12	Veterans	2-0	58.85	12	Flowery Branch	1-0	55.27
13	Clarke Central	2-0	55.27	13	West Laurens	2-0	54.18
14	Thomas County Central	2-0	54.48	14	Ridgeland	0-2	52.14
15	Griffin	2-0	53.91	15	Oconee County	1-1	51.99

AAA				AA
1	Cedar Grove	1-1	76.42	1	Rockmart	2-0	65.08
2	Peach County	1-0	76.27	2	Hapeville Charter	0-1	61.95
3	Calhoun	1-0	70.77	3	Brooks County	1-0	61.30
4	Greater Atlanta Christian	1-1	63.44	4	Callaway	0-1	60.79
5	Benedictine	0-1	59.93	5	Rabun County	2-0	59.70
6	Lovett	1-1	59.72	6	Washington County	2-0	59.49
7	Pierce County	2-0	56.45	7	Dublin	1-0	57.40
8	Westminster (Atlanta)	0-2	53.56	8	Fitzgerald	1-1	56.14
9	Monroe Area	2-0	53.52	9	Dodge County	1-0	55.66
10	Liberty County	1-0	52.29	10	Swainsboro	1-0	52.61
11	Pace Academy	1-1	51.44	11	Thomasville	0-2	46.36
12	Jefferson	0-1	50.79	12	Jefferson County	0-2	45.93
13	Crisp County	1-1	49.56	13	Heard County	0-1	45.37
14	Jackson	1-1	49.27	14	Douglass	2-0	43.02
15	Appling County	1-0	49.19	15	Screven County	2-0	42.95

A - Public				A - Private
1	Irwin County	2-0	65.30	1	Eagle's Landing Christian	2-0	72.85
2	Clinch County	1-0	59.70	2	Athens Academy	1-0	57.45
3	Pelham	1-0	46.69	3	Prince Avenue Christian	2-0	53.11
4	Marion County	2-0	46.16	4	Wesleyan	2-0	48.46
5	Commerce	2-0	45.72	5	Calvary Day	1-0	42.59
6	Emanuel County Institute	0-1	40.14	6	Darlington	2-0	41.92
7	Turner County	2-0	38.61	7	Savannah Christian	0-2	40.60
8	Manchester	1-0	37.05	8	Mount Paran Christian	1-0	40.36
9	Mitchell County	0-1	36.84	9	George Walton Academy	1-0	39.31
10	Schley County	1-1	34.29	10	Fellowship Christian	1-0	37.36
11	Mount Zion (Carroll)	0-1	33.85	11	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	2-0	34.04
12	Charlton County	1-1	32.79	12	Aquinas	2-0	33.89
13	Trion	1-0	32.46	13	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	1-1	32.92
14	Macon County	0-1	30.54	14	Holy Innocents	2-0	32.74
15	Bowdon	2-0	30.33	15	Savannah Country Day	1-0	30.32

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	SchStr	Rank
1 [1]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	1-0	95.89	82.11	4 [2]
2 [2]	Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	2-0	87.52	55.01	74 [21]
3 [3]	Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	1-0	85.95	60.08	49 [17]
4 [1]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	2-0	84.76	16.98	337 [53]
5 [4]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	2-0	84.25	21.30	319 [46]
6 [5]	McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	2-0	82.97	47.71	112 [32]
7 [6]	North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	1-1	82.11	95.89	1 [1]
8 [1]	Cartersville	5 - AAAA	1-0	81.88	68.31	19 [2]
9 [7]	Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	1-0	81.81	67.44	21 [9]
10 [2]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	2-0	80.87	63.69	31 [4]
11 [8]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	1-0	80.70	47.00	118 [33]
12 [1]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	2-0	80.04	56.69	64 [7]
13 [3]	Marist	7 - AAAA	1-0	79.91	62.25	37 [5]
14 [2]	Buford	8 - AAAAA	1-0	78.64	32.65	235 [34]
15 [9]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	2-0	78.01	51.85	98 [27]
16 [10]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	2-0	76.77	71.41	11 [6]
17 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	1-1	76.42	61.95	41 [4]
18 [2]	Peach County	4 - AAA	1-0	76.27	69.70	16 [1]
19 [2]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	2-0	75.85	47.03	117 [27]
20 [11]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	2-0	75.18	62.58	36 [14]
21 [1]	Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	2-0	72.85	37.88	194 [5]
22 [12]	Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	1-1	72.44	62.06	40 [15]
23 [13]	Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	1-0	72.22	33.78	229 [42]
24 [3]	Rome	7 - AAAAA	0-1	71.41	76.77	7 [1]
25 [4]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	1-0	71.22	38.20	192 [28]
26 [14]	Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	1-1	70.97	66.23	26 [11]
27 [3]	Calhoun	6 - AAA	1-0	70.77	52.14	93 [10]
28 [15]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	2-0	70.01	52.93	87 [26]
29 [3]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	2-0	69.88	46.80	120 [28]
30 [4]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	1-1	69.70	62.65	35 [12]
31 [4]	Troup	5 - AAAA	1-0	68.87	49.61	105 [17]
32 [16]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	0-2	68.30	77.94	6 [3]
33 [17]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	0-1	67.72	70.97	13 [7]
34 [5]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	2-0	67.59	36.00	209 [30]
35 [6]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	2-0	67.33	45.00	138 [18]
36 [7]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	2-0	67.32	44.09	143 [19]
37 [18]	Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	1-0	67.27	73.51	9 [4]
38 [5]	Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	2-0	66.44	38.85	188 [38]
39 [8]	Ware County	2 - AAAAA	1-1	65.92	59.30	52 [6]
40 [6]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	0-1	65.77	79.35	5 [3]
41 [19]	Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	1-1	65.66	63.67	32 [12]
42 [20]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	2-0	65.49	39.02	187 [40]
43 [21]	Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	2-0	65.46	50.42	102 [29]
44 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A	2-0	65.30	45.13	134 [5]
45 [1]	Rockmart	7 - AA	2-0	65.08	42.13	162 [16]
46 [22]	Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	1-1	64.90	63.59	33 [13]
47 [9]	Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	1-0	64.39	51.70	99 [12]
48 [5]	St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	1-1	63.97	53.44	86 [14]
49 [4]	Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	1-1	63.44	59.18	54 [7]
50 [23]	South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	1-1	63.40	61.01	46 [16]
51 [7]	Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	2-0	63.36	38.31	190 [40]
52 [8]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	1-1	63.23	26.40	281 [51]
53 [10]	Kell	7 - AAAAA	1-0	62.73	55.13	73 [8]
54 [9]	Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	2-0	62.52	42.88	154 [34]
55 [6]	Thomson	3 - AAAA	1-0	62.51	0.00	400 [51]
56 [2]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	0-1	61.95	76.42	8 [1]
57 [7]	Burke County	3 - AAAA	1-1	61.83	64.19	28 [3]
58 [3]	Brooks County	1 - AA	1-0	61.30	39.37	185 [20]
59 [24]	Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	2-0	60.98	35.33	213 [41]
60 [4]	Callaway	5 - AA	0-1	60.79	0.00	394 [58]
61 [25]	Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	2-0	60.43	51.07	100 [28]
62 [26]	West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	0-2	60.05	72.64	10 [5]
63 [5]	Benedictine	3 - AAA	0-1	59.93	61.83	42 [5]
64 [11]	Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	1-0	59.88	-0.02	401 [56]
65 [6]	Lovett	5 - AAA	1-1	59.72	69.14	17 [2]
66 [2]	Clinch County	2 - A	1-0	59.70	24.95	297 [24]
67 [5]	Rabun County	8 - AA	2-0	59.70	32.28	237 [32]
68 [6]	Washington County	3 - AA	2-0	59.49	46.57	123 [7]
69 [8]	Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	2-0	59.18	32.08	240 [31]
70 [12]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	2-0	58.85	42.65	158 [23]
71 [9]	Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	1-1	58.79	48.99	107 [18]
72 [10]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	1-1	58.64	56.98	63 [10]
73 [10]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	2-0	58.51	45.06	137 [31]
74 [11]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	1-0	58.36	23.25	308 [40]
75 [11]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	0-2	57.54	86.74	2 [1]
76 [2]	Athens Academy	8 - A	1-0	57.45	40.60	173 [4]
77 [7]	Dublin	3 - AA	1-0	57.40	42.68	156 [14]
78 [12]	Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	2-0	56.72	28.94	265 [50]
79 [7]	Pierce County	2 - AAA	2-0	56.45	19.84	325 [47]
80 [8]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	1-1	56.14	45.31	133 [10]
81 [9]	Dodge County	3 - AA	1-0	55.66	37.25	195 [23]
82 [13]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	2-0	55.41	36.95	200 [41]
83 [12]	Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	1-0	55.27	14.17	348 [45]
84 [13]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	2-0	55.27	43.88	146 [21]
85 [27]	Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	1-1	55.14	49.73	104 [30]
86 [14]	Mays	5 - AAAAAA	1-1	55.13	62.73	34 [11]
87 [14]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	2-0	54.48	41.53	168 [26]
88 [13]	West Laurens	2 - AAAA	2-0	54.18	26.03	285 [38]
89 [28]	South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	1-0	54.05	45.77	128 [34]
90 [15]	Griffin	3 - AAAAA	2-0	53.91	35.24	214 [32]
91 [16]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	2-0	53.82	45.46	131 [15]
92 [8]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	0-2	53.56	61.31	45 [6]
93 [9]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	2-0	53.52	33.90	228 [27]
94 [15]	Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	2-0	53.25	35.90	210 [43]
95 [3]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	2-0	53.11	28.21	269 [12]
96 [16]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	1-0	52.75	35.79	211 [44]
97 [10]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	1-0	52.61	43.40	150 [13]
98 [10]	Liberty County	2 - AAA	1-0	52.29	37.25	196 [25]
99 [17]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	1-1	52.27	54.92	78 [18]
100 [14]	Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	0-2	52.14	71.09	12 [1]
101 [18]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	1-0	52.05	46.60	122 [29]
102 [15]	Oconee County	8 - AAAA	1-1	51.99	55.57	70 [12]
103 [17]	Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	2-0	51.87	36.72	202 [29]
104 [29]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	0-2	51.70	68.41	18 [8]
105 [19]	Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	0-1	51.68	57.89	60 [15]
106 [11]	Pace Academy	5 - AAA	1-1	51.44	54.94	77 [9]
107 [30]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	1-1	51.42	57.69	61 [20]
108 [16]	Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	1-1	51.15	52.41	92 [16]
109 [18]	Harris County	1 - AAAAA	2-0	51.14	45.34	132 [16]
110 [31]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	1-1	51.00	48.92	108 [31]
111 [12]	Jefferson	8 - AAA	0-1	50.79	49.45	106 [13]
112 [32]	Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	0-2	50.71	66.26	25 [10]
113 [17]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	2-0	50.64	16.44	339 [42]
114 [33]	North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	1-1	50.46	54.56	81 [24]
115 [19]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	2-0	49.86	39.56	183 [27]
116 [13]	Crisp County	1 - AAA	1-1	49.56	43.94	145 [20]
117 [20]	Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	0-1	49.54	83.23	3 [2]
118 [18]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	1-1	49.38	53.63	84 [13]
119 [14]	Jackson	4 - AAA	1-1	49.27	51.93	96 [11]
120 [15]	Appling County	2 - AAA	1-0	49.19	44.16	141 [19]
121 [19]	Cedartown	5 - AAAA	0-2	49.13	58.56	59 [9]
122 [21]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-1	49.03	69.70	15 [4]
123 [22]	Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	1-1	48.70	54.62	80 [19]
124 [4]	Wesleyan	5 - A	2-0	48.46	36.56	204 [6]
125 [20]	East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	0-1	48.42	51.92	97 [11]
126 [34]	Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	0-2	48.31	58.82	56 [19]
127 [23]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	1-1	48.27	0.00	395 [58]
128 [16]	Hart County	8 - AAA	2-0	48.12	39.99	178 [23]
129 [24]	Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	0-2	47.89	66.39	24 [7]
130 [17]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	2-0	47.68	28.56	268 [36]
131 [20]	Pickens	6 - AAAA	1-0	47.44	3.64	381 [50]
132 [25]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	2-0	47.40	36.53	205 [42]
133 [21]	Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	1-1	46.85	40.68	172 [25]
134 [26]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	1-1	46.79	47.40	114 [26]
135 [3]	Pelham	1 - A	1-0	46.69	33.08	233 [15]
136 [11]	Thomasville	1 - AA	0-2	46.36	56.56	65 [2]
137 [18]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	1-1	46.36	41.59	167 [21]
138 [22]	LaGrange	5 - AAAA	1-0	46.33	47.90	111 [19]
139 [21]	Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	1-0	46.31	21.25	320 [46]
140 [27]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	1-1	46.23	54.50	82 [20]
141 [4]	Marion County	4 - A	2-0	46.16	20.41	323 [32]
142 [12]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	0-2	45.93	56.05	69 [4]
143 [22]	Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	1-1	45.74	52.01	95 [10]
144 [5]	Commerce	8 - A	2-0	45.72	17.29	335 [34]
145 [35]	Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	1-1	45.59	39.54	184 [39]
146 [28]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	0-2	45.38	63.91	30 [10]
147 [29]	Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	0-2	45.37	66.11	27 [8]
148 [13]	Heard County	5 - AA	0-1	45.37	43.79	147 [12]
149 [23]	Howard	2 - AAAA	1-1	45.34	46.43	124 [20]
150 [23]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	0-2	45.07	67.19	23 [2]
151 [30]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	1-1	44.87	17.16	336 [52]
152 [24]	Eastside	4 - AAAA	0-2	44.84	58.66	58 [8]
153 [19]	North Hall	7 - AAA	2-0	44.81	23.81	301 [42]
154 [24]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	1-1	44.79	43.99	144 [20]
155 [25]	Baldwin	3 - AAAA	0-2	44.67	62.14	39 [6]
156 [25]	Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	2-0	44.15	26.35	283 [43]
157 [20]	Morgan County	8 - AAA	2-0	43.48	32.22	238 [29]
158 [21]	Jenkins	3 - AAA	1-1	43.33	39.11	186 [24]
159 [26]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	1-0	43.07	27.79	272 [42]
160 [14]	Douglass	6 - AA	2-0	43.02	27.27	276 [34]
161 [15]	Screven County	4 - AA	2-0	42.95	33.98	227 [31]
162 [5]	Calvary Day	3 - A	1-0	42.59	-2.58	408 [35]
163 [26]	Stephens County	8 - AAAA	1-1	42.46	34.84	218 [29]
164 [36]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	2-0	42.28	23.70	303 [45]
165 [6]	Darlington	6 - A	2-0	41.92	25.23	293 [14]
166 [37]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	1-1	41.86	39.88	179 [38]
167 [38]	Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	0-2	41.82	59.55	51 [18]
168 [31]	Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	0-1	41.63	48.47	110 [25]
169 [16]	Vidalia	2 - AA	0-1	41.62	46.65	121 [6]
170 [32]	Pope	7 - AAAAAA	1-0	41.57	34.25	224 [46]
171 [33]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	1-0	41.39	29.78	258 [48]
172 [27]	Banneker	6 - AAAAA	1-1	41.19	34.16	225 [33]
173 [27]	Perry	2 - AAAA	1-1	41.06	39.59	181 [26]
174 [34]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	0-2	40.85	52.56	90 [22]
175 [28]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	2-0	40.63	22.92	310 [44]
176 [7]	Savannah Christian	3 - A	0-2	40.60	57.45	62 [1]
177 [28]	White County	7 - AAAA	1-0	40.49	-1.62	405 [53]
178 [8]	Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	1-0	40.36	3.34	384 [29]
179 [6]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	0-1	40.14	54.87	79 [4]
180 [39]	Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	1-0	40.14	-3.72	409 [47]
181 [29]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	1-0	39.90	18.09	332 [47]
182 [29]	Westover	1 - AAAA	1-0	39.87	28.69	267 [34]
183 [30]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	0-1	39.84	60.82	48 [5]
184 [35]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	0-2	39.79	56.51	66 [16]
185 [9]	George Walton Academy	8 - A	1-0	39.31	25.00	294 [15]
186 [31]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	0-2	38.78	48.50	109 [13]
187 [7]	Turner County	2 - A	2-0	38.61	27.82	271 [20]
188 [40]	Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	0-1	38.54	43.20	151 [35]
189 [17]	Union County	8 - AA	1-0	38.37	19.25	326 [43]
190 [36]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	1-1	38.33	55.28	72 [17]
191 [30]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	1-1	38.27	44.44	140 [21]
192 [32]	Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	0-2	38.20	61.55	44 [3]
193 [37]	M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	1-0	38.12	40.30	175 [37]
194 [33]	Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	1-1	37.77	32.15	239 [35]
195 [31]	Columbus	1 - AAAA	1-0	37.63	27.68	274 [35]
196 [41]	Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	2-0	37.61	28.82	266 [44]
197 [18]	Elbert County	8 - AA	1-1	37.52	34.59	220 [30]
198 [10]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A	1-0	37.36	18.19	331 [22]
199 [8]	Manchester	4 - A	1-0	37.05	20.94	321 [31]
200 [34]	Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	2-0	36.85	17.35	334 [48]
201 [9]	Mitchell County	1 - A	0-1	36.84	58.76	57 [3]
202 [42]	Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	0-2	36.78	55.00	75 [23]
203 [19]	Early County	1 - AA	1-1	36.70	37.06	198 [25]
204 [22]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	0-1	36.51	45.48	130 [17]
205 [20]	Chattooga	7 - AA	1-1	36.33	38.09	193 [22]
206 [21]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	1-1	35.92	26.68	280 [35]
207 [22]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	2-0	35.76	18.77	330 [45]
208 [32]	Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	2-0	35.32	22.82	311 [41]
209 [33]	Spalding	2 - AAAA	0-2	35.24	52.89	88 [15]
210 [35]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	1-1	35.18	52.48	91 [9]
211 [34]	Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	1-1	35.13	43.63	149 [23]
212 [36]	New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	1-1	35.05	29.92	256 [38]
213 [38]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	0-1	35.05	59.98	50 [14]
214 [23]	Bremen	5 - AA	0-2	34.88	46.28	126 [9]
215 [35]	Hardaway	1 - AAAA	1-0	34.84	3.99	380 [49]
216 [37]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	1-1	34.74	29.10	264 [41]
217 [36]	Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	2-0	34.67	15.87	340 [43]
218 [39]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	2-0	34.30	0.00	396 [58]
219 [10]	Schley County	4 - A	1-1	34.29	22.19	314 [29]
220 [24]	Berrien	1 - AA	1-1	34.12	40.68	171 [17]
221 [11]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	2-0	34.04	21.68	316 [18]
222 [40]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	0-2	33.95	42.98	153 [33]
223 [25]	Pepperell	7 - AA	0-1	33.92	44.46	139 [11]
224 [12]	Aquinas	7 - A	2-0	33.89	20.11	324 [20]
225 [11]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	0-1	33.85	35.17	215 [11]
226 [37]	Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	1-1	33.70	32.00	241 [32]
227 [41]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	1-1	33.35	38.50	189 [39]
228 [42]	Northview	7 - AAAAAA	1-0	33.35	10.46	363 [56]
229 [13]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	1-1	32.92	34.47	221 [7]
230 [43]	Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	0-2	32.84	42.01	165 [37]
231 [12]	Charlton County	2 - A	1-1	32.79	32.72	234 [16]
232 [14]	Holy Innocents	5 - A	2-0	32.74	21.66	317 [19]
233 [26]	Lamar County	5 - AA	2-0	32.64	15.75	342 [48]
234 [13]	Trion	6 - A	1-0	32.46	19.07	327 [33]
235 [38]	Salem	4 - AAAA	0-2	32.32	56.45	67 [11]
236 [43]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	0-2	32.30	67.20	22 [6]
237 [44]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	0-1	32.29	68.02	20 [5]
238 [23]	North Murray	6 - AAA	0-1	32.21	62.23	38 [3]
239 [27]	Southwest	3 - AA	0-1	32.04	46.36	125 [8]
240 [45]	New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	1-1	31.96	30.57	251 [47]
241 [38]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	2-0	31.93	12.54	354 [49]
242 [46]	Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	1-1	31.86	34.64	219 [45]
243 [39]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	0-2	31.82	42.41	160 [24]
244 [28]	Toombs County	2 - AA	2-0	31.78	-5.92	412 [59]
245 [39]	Shaw	1 - AAAA	2-0	31.53	15.80	341 [44]
246 [44]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	0-2	31.25	55.00	76 [23]
247 [24]	Monroe	1 - AAA	2-0	31.14	10.97	360 [49]
248 [40]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	1-1	30.84	47.09	116 [14]
249 [41]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	1-0	30.73	6.84	372 [53]
250 [40]	Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	1-1	30.69	26.97	278 [36]
251 [14]	Macon County	4 - A	0-1	30.54	44.16	142 [6]
252 [15]	Bowdon	6 - A	2-0	30.33	32.34	236 [17]
253 [47]	Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	0-1	30.33	45.61	129 [30]
254 [15]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A	1-0	30.32	23.56	305 [16]
255 [25]	Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	0-1	30.30	55.41	71 [8]
256 [26]	Brantley County	2 - AAA	1-0	30.18	30.25	254 [33]
257 [41]	Denmark	7 - AAAA	1-0	29.87	-4.67	411 [54]
258 [27]	Pike County	4 - AAA	1-1	29.75	5.53	374 [51]
259 [42]	Hampton	4 - AAAA	1-0	29.17	26.39	282 [37]
260 [48]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	0-2	29.01	52.08	94 [23]
261 [29]	Washington	6 - AA	0-2	28.94	54.39	83 [5]
262 [42]	Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	1-1	28.93	29.46	260 [39]
263 [30]	Northeast	3 - AA	0-2	28.84	40.09	176 [18]
264 [28]	Cook	1 - AAA	0-2	28.69	40.51	174 [22]
265 [16]	Telfair County	2 - A	1-0	28.62	-10.58	414 [47]
266 [49]	North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	1-0	28.44	15.67	343 [54]
267 [16]	Christian Heritage	6 - A	2-0	28.24	9.15	367 [28]
268 [29]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	1-1	27.72	29.88	257 [34]
269 [17]	North Cobb Christian	6 - A	1-0	27.72	11.06	359 [26]
270 [31]	Spencer	5 - AA	0-2	27.68	42.24	161 [15]
271 [43]	Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	0-1	27.62	31.53	244 [33]
272 [43]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	0-1	27.53	41.85	166 [25]
273 [17]	Claxton	3 - A	2-0	27.53	15.29	344 [35]
274 [18]	Hebron Christian Academy	8 - A	0-2	27.49	47.49	113 [2]
275 [44]	West Hall	7 - AAAA	0-2	27.41	33.47	231 [30]
276 [30]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	1-1	27.29	28.05	270 [37]
277 [31]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	0-2	27.18	46.02	127 [16]
278 [44]	Columbia	5 - AAAAA	1-1	27.01	31.93	242 [36]
279 [32]	Worth County	1 - AAA	1-1	26.94	30.71	249 [31]
280 [32]	Harlem	4 - AA	0-1	26.87	36.42	207 [28]
281 [50]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	1-1	26.85	41.19	169 [36]
282 [19]	Tattnall Square	7 - A	1-0	26.81	-1.73	406 [34]
283 [18]	Lincoln County	7 - A	1-1	26.65	0.00	397 [44]
284 [33]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	1-1	26.64	30.89	247 [30]
285 [45]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	2-0	26.29	8.41	368 [52]
286 [45]	Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	0-2	26.23	42.07	163 [36]
287 [20]	Mount de Sales	7 - A	2-0	25.88	2.43	387 [30]
288 [46]	Decatur	6 - AAAAA	2-0	25.87	10.20	364 [51]
289 [51]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	0-2	25.81	50.56	101 [24]
290 [47]	Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	0-1	25.78	60.90	47 [4]
291 [19]	Greene County	7 - A	0-1	25.66	40.94	170 [7]
292 [52]	Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	0-1	25.61	43.02	152 [32]
293 [33]	Bacon County	2 - AA	0-2	25.33	56.29	68 [3]
294 [34]	Hephzibah	4 - AA	1-1	25.29	16.93	338 [47]
295 [21]	Brookstone	4 - A	0-1	25.07	0.00	393 [32]
296 [34]	Jackson County	8 - AAA	1-1	24.44	29.53	259 [35]
297 [53]	River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	0-1	24.37	52.61	89 [21]
298 [35]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	1-0	24.10	7.49	370 [50]
299 [54]	Drew	4 - AAAAAA	0-2	23.83	61.82	43 [13]
300 [55]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	0-2	23.79	42.01	164 [35]
301 [22]	Whitefield Academy	6 - A	1-1	23.50	22.95	309 [17]
302 [20]	Taylor County	4 - A	0-1	23.48	39.59	182 [9]
303 [56]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	0-1	23.47	63.97	29 [9]
304 [35]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	1-1	23.46	25.86	287 [36]
305 [48]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	0-1	23.43	30.26	252 [37]
306 [45]	Chestatee	7 - AAAA	0-2	23.18	43.71	148 [22]
307 [46]	Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	2-0	22.88	4.32	378 [48]
308 [21]	Dooly County	4 - A	0-1	22.81	24.40	300 [27]
309 [36]	Haralson County	6 - AAA	1-0	22.69	4.34	377 [52]
310 [22]	Wilcox County	2 - A	1-0	22.21	1.46	390 [42]
311 [36]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	1-1	22.18	17.81	333 [46]
312 [37]	Coosa	7 - AA	0-2	21.61	39.73	180 [19]
313 [37]	Islands	3 - AAA	1-0	21.57	22.49	313 [45]
314 [46]	Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	0-2	21.17	53.55	85 [25]
315 [23]	Atkinson County	2 - A	1-1	21.14	24.59	299 [26]
316 [24]	Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	0-1	21.07	40.06	177 [8]
317 [23]	Stratford Academy	7 - A	0-1	21.02	27.79	273 [13]
318 [49]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-1	20.72	6.67	373 [54]
319 [47]	McDonough	4 - AAAA	0-1	20.62	42.44	159 [24]
320 [24]	First Presbyterian	7 - A	0-1	20.46	42.80	155 [3]
321 [38]	Metter	2 - AA	0-1	19.95	19.03	328 [44]
322 [38]	Fannin County	7 - AAA	2-0	19.86	3.17	385 [54]
323 [25]	Miller County	1 - A	0-1	19.65	34.16	226 [14]
324 [48]	Luella	4 - AAAA	0-1	19.59	36.58	203 [28]
325 [50]	McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	0-2	19.35	35.47	212 [31]
326 [39]	Tattnall County	2 - AAA	0-1	19.18	24.99	296 [41]
327 [26]	Johnson County	3 - A	1-0	18.68	5.03	375 [39]
328 [40]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	0-2	18.46	25.94	286 [39]
329 [39]	Laney	4 - AA	0-1	18.42	36.42	208 [28]
330 [27]	Jenkins County	3 - A	0-1	17.80	27.29	275 [21]
331 [49]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-2	16.98	59.23	53 [7]
332 [25]	Walker	6 - A	1-0	16.80	9.72	366 [27]
333 [41]	East Hall	7 - AAA	0-2	16.71	46.82	119 [15]
334 [28]	Gordon Lee	6 - A	2-0	16.56	9.94	365 [38]
335 [42]	Beach	3 - AAA	0-1	16.51	35.05	216 [26]
336 [26]	Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	1-1	16.49	13.44	352 [24]
337 [40]	Butler	4 - AA	0-1	16.49	25.42	290 [40]
338 [27]	Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	1-0	16.48	-1.19	403 [33]
339 [28]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	0-2	15.83	31.56	243 [9]
340 [41]	Therrell	6 - AA	1-1	15.80	11.50	358 [52]
341 [51]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	0-2	15.67	45.08	136 [17]
342 [43]	Redan	5 - AAA	1-1	15.55	23.48	306 [44]
343 [42]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	0-1	15.33	38.30	191 [21]
344 [29]	Montgomery County	3 - A	1-1	15.06	13.48	351 [36]
345 [52]	Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	0-2	15.02	21.98	315 [45]
346 [29]	Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	0-0	14.46	0.00	398 [32]
347 [30]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	0-1	14.35	58.99	55 [2]
348 [43]	Temple	5 - AA	1-0	14.34	1.32	391 [57]
349 [44]	Banks County	8 - AA	0-2	14.24	25.54	288 [37]
350 [31]	Hancock Central	7 - A	0-1	13.82	34.31	222 [13]
351 [30]	St. Francis	6 - A	0-1	13.60	30.25	253 [11]
352 [50]	North Clayton	4 - AAAA	0-2	13.40	37.06	199 [27]
353 [32]	Seminole County	1 - A	0-1	13.36	70.13	14 [1]
354 [33]	Terrell County	1 - A	1-1	12.21	21.37	318 [30]
355 [44]	Murray County	6 - AAA	2-0	11.74	1.52	389 [56]
356 [34]	Chattahoochee County	1 - A	0-2	11.60	29.18	263 [19]
357 [45]	Towers	5 - AAA	1-1	10.62	14.58	345 [48]
358 [47]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	0-2	10.46	30.88	248 [43]
359 [45]	Monticello	8 - AA	0-1	10.08	23.35	307 [42]
360 [51]	LaFayette	6 - AAAA	1-1	10.07	12.41	356 [46]
361 [53]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	0-1	9.69	29.43	261 [40]
362 [57]	Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	0-2	9.54	29.39	262 [49]
363 [52]	Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	0-2	9.38	23.77	302 [39]
364 [46]	Rutland	4 - AAA	1-0	9.20	2.13	388 [55]
365 [46]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	1-1	8.00	7.81	369 [54]
366 [35]	Warren County	7 - A	1-0	7.86	-4.35	410 [46]
367 [47]	Jordan	5 - AA	0-1	7.20	31.14	246 [33]
368 [31]	Athens Christian	8 - A	0-2	7.18	31.26	245 [10]
369 [48]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	0-1	6.45	37.21	197 [24]
370 [49]	Bryan County	2 - AA	0-1	6.32	24.99	295 [41]
371 [47]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	1-1	6.18	23.65	304 [43]
372 [50]	Model	7 - AA	0-2	4.96	14.55	346 [49]
373 [36]	Wilkinson County	7 - A	0-1	4.00	24.74	298 [25]
374 [51]	Putnam County	8 - AA	0-2	3.86	35.03	217 [29]
375 [48]	Long County	2 - AAA	0-2	2.52	50.26	103 [12]
376 [52]	East Laurens	3 - AA	0-2	2.50	36.43	206 [26]
377 [53]	McNair	6 - AA	0-1	2.14	10.62	361 [53]
378 [54]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	0-2	1.80	25.46	289 [38]
379 [49]	Savannah	3 - AAA	0-2	1.73	25.29	292 [40]
380 [32]	Providence Christian	8 - A	1-0	1.58	-73.07	422 [38]
381 [50]	Kendrick	4 - AAA	0-2	1.45	30.65	250 [32]
382 [55]	Dade County	7 - AA	0-2	1.43	14.02	349 [51]
383 [33]	Lakeview Academy	8 - A	0-1	1.35	19.01	329 [21]
384 [51]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	1-0	1.18	3.45	383 [53]
385 [52]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	0-2	0.92	20.83	322 [46]
386 [34]	Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-2	0.81	33.59	230 [8]
387 [37]	Lanier County	2 - A	0-2	0.76	12.52	355 [37]
388 [38]	Treutlen	3 - A	2-0	0.40	-30.36	419 [49]
389 [35]	Pacelli	4 - A	2-0	0.38	-8.15	413 [36]
390 [53]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	0-1	-0.04	45.13	135 [18]
391 [39]	Hawkinsville	4 - A	0-2	-0.41	22.56	312 [28]
392 [48]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	1-0	-1.00	-73.07	421 [48]
393 [54]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-1	-1.19	42.67	157 [22]
394 [56]	Armuchee	7 - AA	0-1	-1.28	14.28	347 [50]
395 [36]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	0-1	-1.36	13.96	350 [23]
396 [40]	Calhoun County	1 - A	0-1	-1.78	36.82	201 [10]
397 [53]	Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	1-1	-2.04	-0.92	402 [52]
398 [41]	Greenville	4 - A	0-1	-2.35	30.10	255 [18]
399 [57]	Josey	4 - AA	0-1	-2.77	25.42	291 [40]
400 [54]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	0-1	-2.78	33.23	232 [28]
401 [54]	Gilmer	6 - AAAA	1-1	-3.74	4.38	376 [47]
402 [37]	Landmark Christian	5 - A	0-2	-5.21	13.13	353 [25]
403 [58]	Social Circle	8 - AA	0-1	-5.22	3.64	382 [56]
404 [42]	Portal	3 - A	0-2	-6.88	4.13	379 [40]
405 [55]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	0-2	-7.21	26.69	279 [38]
406 [56]	Groves	3 - AAA	0-1	-7.40	47.40	115 [14]
407 [58]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-2	-7.85	11.90	357 [55]
408 [59]	Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	1-1	-10.58	6.93	371 [55]
409 [43]	Crawford County	4 - A	0-1	-11.09	2.92	386 [41]
410 [44]	Towns County	8 - A	0-2	-11.09	-1.20	404 [45]
411 [38]	Georgia Military College	7 - A	1-1	-12.42	-21.57	417 [37]
412 [45]	Wheeler County	3 - A	0-1	-13.12	26.08	284 [23]
413 [46]	Baconton Charter	1 - A	1-0	-13.17	-54.58	420 [50]
414 [47]	Twiggs County	7 - A	0-1	-20.58	34.31	223 [13]
415 [48]	Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	0-1	-22.93	27.22	277 [22]
416 [55]	Clarkston	5 - AAAAA†	0-2	-24.02	10.61	362 [50]
417 [49]	Stewart County	1 - A	0-1	-29.14	-30.02	418 [48]
418 [50]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-0	-30.34	0.00	399 [44]
419 [1]	Glascock County	7 - A†	1-1	-32.56	-20.78	416 [3]
420 [2]	Pataula Charter	1 - A†	0-2	-52.05	-10.63	415 [2]
421 [3]	ACE Charter	7 - A†	0-2	-53.83	-2.14	407 [1]
422 [56]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA†	0-2	-73.07	0.29	392 [55]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	91.45	80.68
2	3 - AAAAAAA	83.40	70.61
3	8 - AAAAAAA	83.27	59.90
4	1 - AAAAAA	81.98	70.48
5	6 - AAAAAAA	77.08	56.09
6	7 - AAAA	75.74	44.97
7	1 - AAAAA	74.73	61.90
8	5 - AAAA	74.01	54.99
9	7 - AAAAAAA	73.88	49.13
10	5 - AAAAAAA	72.44	54.21
11	4 - AAAAAAA	71.91	58.11
12	4 - AAAAA	70.32	51.17
13	7 - AAAAA	67.68	46.77
14	8 - AAAAA	67.15	44.50
15	5 - AAA	67.14	41.07
16	6 - AAAAAA	67.09	48.02
17	8 - AAAAAA	63.33	46.19
18	4 - AAA	62.68	34.01
19	2 - AAAAAAA	62.31	49.61
20	2 - AAAAA	62.20	48.45
21	3 - AAAA	60.89	45.61
22	8 - AAAA	60.63	49.28
23	2 - AAAAAA	60.02	48.93
24	1 - AA	59.10	46.83
25	2 - AAAA	59.07	47.35
26	3 - AA	59.04	40.32
27	5 - A	58.61	28.87
28	5 - AAAAAA	58.33	42.99
29	2 - A	58.17	32.56
30	4 - AAAAAA	54.65	34.43
31	2 - AAA	54.63	36.75
32	7 - AAA	54.13	25.82
33	8 - AAA	53.97	37.52
34	1 - AAAA	53.42	36.14
35	6 - AAA	53.40	23.89
36	7 - AAAAAA	53.29	38.01
37	8 - A	52.92	23.26
	8-Div A - A	53.69	34.29
	8-Div B - A	36.24	15.61
38	5 - AA	51.87	31.50
39	3 - AAAAA	50.26	34.90
40	7 - AA	50.08	17.43
41	6 - AA	49.74	23.89
42	4 - AAAA	49.52	26.43
43	3 - AAA	49.06	21.45
44	6 - AAAAA	48.17	29.77
45	6 - AAAA	47.79	26.40
46	8 - AA	47.59	16.01
47	3 - AAAAAA	47.45	36.15
48	2 - AA	47.39	30.72
49	6 - A	45.42	25.10
	6-Div A - A	42.51	30.24
	6-Div B - A	37.42	19.70
50	1 - AAA	44.05	33.47
51	3 - A	42.95	19.83
	3-Div A - A	41.69	26.70
	3-Div B - A	31.30	13.34
52	4 - AA	41.95	21.21
53	4 - A	41.95	16.83
	4-Div A - A	39.21	14.22
	4-Div B - A	33.47	18.57
54	5 - AAAAA	40.47	27.18
55	1 - A	36.57	7.52
56	7 - A	35.62	16.95
	7-Div B - A	32.11	18.01
	7-Div A - A	28.20	15.67

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct	Likelihood
08/30	St. Pius X	Dunwoody	10 - 8	40.50	98.3%	0.327
08/23	Mary Persons	Gainesville	21 - 27	7.55	68.0%	0.378
08/30	Calvary Day	Johnson (Savannah)	20 - 12	45.17	98.9%	0.399
08/30	Walton	Collins Hill	10 - 12	6.24	65.1%	0.413
08/30	Richmond Academy	Westside (Augusta)	3 - 0	30.75	95.6%	0.431
08/30	West Hall	Johnson (Gainesville)	27 - 30	3.66	59.0%	0.450
08/23	Toombs County	Twiggs County	14 - 0	54.90	99.6%	0.451
08/30	Villa Rica	M.L. King	14 - 26	2.18	55.4%	0.462
08/30	Bremen	Bowdon	7 - 20	2.01	55.0%	0.464
08/23	Lumpkin County	East Jackson	22 - 25	2.27	55.7%	0.470
08/23	Heard County	LaGrange	9 - 24	1.57	53.9%	0.471
08/23	Chattahoochee County	Terrell County	6 - 12	1.93	54.8%	0.472
08/23	Jefferson	Oconee County	20 - 21	1.34	53.3%	0.485
08/23	Greater Atlanta Christian	Lovett	29 - 30	1.18	53.0%	0.487
08/30	Metter	Islands	17 - 21	0.92	52.3%	0.488

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct
88.90	09/27	Colquitt County	Grayson	-	10.91	74.9%
88.08	11/01	Colquitt County	Lowndes	-	9.11	71.3%
86.71	10/18	Archer	Grayson	-	0.97	52.4%
84.68	08/24	Colquitt County	North Gwinnett	17 - 6	13.79	79.9%
82.42	09/06	Lowndes	Parkview	-	4.98	62.2%
81.73	09/27	Archer	Buford	-	4.78	61.7%
81.20	09/27	Milton	Parkview	-	1.43	53.6%
80.91	09/20	Colquitt County	Warner Robins	-	18.40	86.3%
80.33	11/01	Marist	Blessed Trinity	-	1.57	53.9%
79.64	09/06	Lee County	Peach County	-	5.95	64.5%
79.56	09/06	Milton	Buford	-	2.06	55.1%
79.54	10/18	McEachern	Marietta	-	3.66	59.1%
79.36	09/13	Colquitt County	Valdosta	-	17.50	85.2%
79.31	10/25	Lee County	Valdosta	-	6.37	65.4%
79.12	10/11	McEachern	Hillgrove	-	7.50	67.9%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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