Maxwell Week 6 summary

By Loren Maxwell

Sept 30, 2019

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association’s 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team’s historical performance is 20.68%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 915 of 963 total games including 0 tie(s) (95.33%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.94 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.05

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Lowndes	6-0	96.61	1	Valdosta	5-1	84.50
2	Colquitt County	4-1	92.80	2	Dacula	5-0	74.29
3	McEachern	4-0	84.82	3	Coffee	5-0	73.19
4	Grayson	4-1	83.42	4	Lee County	4-1	72.11
5	North Gwinnett	4-1	83.17	5	Harrison	6-0	72.02
6	Parkview	3-1	81.82	6	Allatoona	3-1	67.38
7	Archer	3-2	79.51	7	Dalton	4-1	63.34
8	Mill Creek	4-1	79.04	8	Lanier	5-0	61.93
9	Hillgrove	5-0	77.37	9	Glynn Academy	2-2	61.44
10	Milton	2-3	75.57	10	Houston County	4-1	59.75
11	Marietta	3-1	75.01	11	Northside (Warner Robins)	3-3	58.37
12	Camden County	4-0	72.42	12	South Paulding	4-1	56.03
13	North Paulding	4-0	68.52	13	Tucker	3-2	54.67
14	Roswell	3-1	68.51	14	Johns Creek	4-1	54.43
15	Newton	4-1	66.11	15	Mays	3-1	54.43

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Buford	5-0	83.70	1	Cartersville	5-0	80.87
2	Warner Robins	4-1	77.55	2	Marist	5-0	77.52
3	Carrollton	5-0	70.91	3	Blessed Trinity	4-1	72.82
4	Jones County	5-0	69.47	4	Woodward Academy	4-0	71.06
5	Dutchtown	5-0	69.35	5	Flowery Branch	4-0	62.93
6	Bainbridge	5-0	68.29	6	Troup	4-1	62.89
7	Ware County	3-2	67.31	7	Sandy Creek	4-0	62.81
8	Rome	3-2	67.19	8	Burke County	4-1	61.38
9	Kell	3-1	62.76	9	Cairo	4-1	60.08
10	Stockbridge	5-0	62.68	10	Oconee County	5-1	58.90
11	Griffin	5-0	62.00	11	West Laurens	4-1	58.70
12	Veterans	5-1	59.33	12	Chapel Hill	3-2	53.99
13	Wayne County	3-1	59.14	13	Howard	4-1	53.79
14	Ola	4-1	57.38	14	Denmark	4-0	50.97
15	Clarke Central	3-2	56.12	15	Thomson	2-3	50.39

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Cedar Grove	3-2	75.17	1	Dublin	4-0	66.47
2	Peach County	4-1	72.00	2	Callaway	4-1	66.31
3	Greater Atlanta Christian	4-1	64.63	3	Rabun County	5-0	64.14
4	Pierce County	5-0	61.55	4	Rockmart	5-0	63.70
5	Westminster (Atlanta)	2-3	59.28	5	Hapeville Charter	3-1	62.37
6	Crisp County	3-3	59.18	6	Fitzgerald	4-1	57.29
7	Lovett	3-2	59.16	7	Swainsboro	3-1	56.94
8	Jefferson	3-1	57.80	8	Brooks County	2-3	56.35
9	Benedictine	2-2	57.48	9	Washington County	3-1	53.29
10	Liberty County	3-0	54.68	10	Dodge County	2-3	47.93
11	Hart County	5-0	53.75	11	Bleckley County	4-1	44.42
12	Calhoun	4-1	52.22	12	Jefferson County	3-2	43.67
13	Pace Academy	3-1	52.01	13	Thomasville	2-3	43.52
14	Appling County	4-1	51.19	14	Bremen	2-2	43.20
15	North Murray	4-1	49.80	15	Vidalia	4-1	41.51

A - Public				A - Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Irwin County	4-0	69.47	1	Eagle's Landing Christian	4-1	66.95
2	Clinch County	4-1	62.13	2	Holy Innocents	5-0	62.87
3	Pelham	5-0	47.37	3	Athens Academy	4-0	56.31
4	Commerce	4-1	45.46	4	Wesleyan	4-1	49.03
5	Bowdon	4-0	40.02	5	Prince Avenue Christian	4-1	47.62
6	Mitchell County	4-1	38.12	6	Fellowship Christian	5-0	46.12
7	Wilcox County	4-1	37.92	7	Darlington	5-0	45.75
8	Manchester	3-1	36.00	8	Savannah Christian	1-2	40.36
9	Emanuel County Institute	2-3	34.01	9	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-1	38.65
10	Turner County	4-1	33.85	10	Calvary Day	3-1	36.34
11	Marion County	3-2	32.87	11	Aquinas	4-0	36.16
12	Lincoln County	3-2	30.23	12	George Walton Academy	4-1	35.68
13	Macon County	2-2	29.36	13	Mount Paran Christian	2-1	34.68
14	Telfair County	2-3	29.14	14	North Cobb Christian	4-1	34.51
15	Trion	4-1	26.49	15	Christian Heritage	4-0	33.93

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	SchStr	Rank
1 [1]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	6-0	96.61	67.99	12 [11]
2 [2]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	4-1	92.80	77.00	1 [1]
3 [3]	McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	4-0	84.82	56.73	34 [20]
4 [1]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	5-1	84.50	61.01	22 [2]
5 [1]	Buford	8 - AAAAA	5-0	83.70	67.74	13 [1]
6 [4]	Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	4-1	83.42	68.63	9 [9]
7 [5]	North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	4-1	83.17	61.54	21 [16]
8 [6]	Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	3-1	81.82	73.06	3 [3]
9 [1]	Cartersville	5 - AAAA	5-0	80.87	39.19	184 [31]
10 [7]	Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	3-2	79.51	70.26	8 [8]
11 [8]	Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	4-1	79.04	63.41	17 [14]
12 [2]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	4-1	77.55	56.87	33 [6]
13 [2]	Marist	7 - AAAA	5-0	77.52	52.54	55 [5]
14 [9]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	5-0	77.37	50.90	70 [31]
15 [10]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	2-3	75.57	71.78	4 [4]
16 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	3-2	75.17	68.60	10 [1]
17 [11]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	3-1	75.01	71.52	5 [5]
18 [2]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	5-0	74.29	51.78	64 [11]
19 [3]	Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	5-0	73.19	36.81	206 [47]
20 [3]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	4-1	72.82	55.09	42 [2]
21 [12]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	4-0	72.42	52.52	57 [28]
22 [4]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	4-1	72.11	35.86	209 [48]
23 [5]	Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	6-0	72.02	41.05	168 [39]
24 [2]	Peach County	4 - AAA	4-1	72.00	54.66	45 [5]
25 [4]	Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	4-0	71.06	43.71	134 [21]
26 [3]	Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	5-0	70.91	49.58	79 [15]
27 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A	4-0	69.47	43.29	141 [3]
28 [4]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	5-0	69.47	46.23	111 [25]
29 [5]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	5-0	69.35	50.81	71 [13]
30 [13]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	4-0	68.52	46.64	104 [37]
31 [14]	Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	3-1	68.51	41.60	163 [42]
32 [6]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	5-0	68.29	52.00	62 [11]
33 [6]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	3-1	67.38	45.58	121 [24]
34 [7]	Ware County	2 - AAAAA	3-2	67.31	61.76	20 [3]
35 [8]	Rome	7 - AAAAA	3-2	67.19	55.46	38 [8]
36 [1]	Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	4-1	66.95	44.13	129 [1]
37 [1]	Dublin	3 - AA	4-0	66.47	41.66	162 [11]
38 [2]	Callaway	5 - AA	4-1	66.31	30.43	270 [25]
39 [15]	Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	4-1	66.11	48.09	91 [34]
40 [3]	Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	4-1	64.63	50.00	75 [6]
41 [16]	South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	3-2	64.23	61.81	19 [15]
42 [3]	Rabun County	8 - AA	5-0	64.14	31.96	248 [21]
43 [4]	Rockmart	7 - AA	5-0	63.70	25.29	309 [37]
44 [7]	Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	4-1	63.34	46.24	110 [22]
45 [17]	Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	3-2	63.27	54.65	46 [24]
46 [18]	Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	2-2	62.99	68.28	11 [10]
47 [5]	Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	4-0	62.93	42.26	154 [24]
48 [6]	Troup	5 - AAAA	4-1	62.89	48.96	81 [11]
49 [2]	Holy Innocents	5 - A	5-0	62.87	33.99	227 [3]
50 [7]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	4-0	62.81	37.52	203 [34]
51 [9]	Kell	7 - AAAAA	3-1	62.76	49.89	76 [14]
52 [10]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	5-0	62.68	37.69	199 [38]
53 [5]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	3-1	62.37	27.45	289 [30]
54 [19]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	3-1	62.33	48.13	89 [33]
55 [20]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	1-3	62.23	76.63	2 [2]
56 [2]	Clinch County	2 - A	4-1	62.13	46.41	109 [1]
57 [11]	Griffin	3 - AAAAA	5-0	62.00	42.41	153 [31]
58 [8]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	5-0	61.93	43.41	138 [31]
59 [4]	Pierce County	2 - AAA	5-0	61.55	33.29	237 [27]
60 [21]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	1-4	61.49	71.39	6 [6]
61 [9]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	2-2	61.44	52.02	61 [9]
62 [8]	Burke County	3 - AAAA	4-1	61.38	45.73	116 [19]
63 [22]	Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	2-3	60.79	60.53	24 [17]
64 [9]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	4-1	60.08	42.97	145 [23]
65 [23]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	1-4	60.01	70.62	7 [7]
66 [24]	Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	4-1	59.75	47.68	95 [36]
67 [10]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	4-1	59.75	42.73	148 [35]
68 [25]	West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	1-3	59.38	55.15	41 [22]
69 [26]	Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	2-3	59.34	66.69	14 [12]
70 [12]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	5-1	59.33	48.78	83 [16]
71 [5]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	2-3	59.28	59.50	26 [3]
72 [6]	Crisp County	1 - AAA	3-3	59.18	58.06	29 [4]
73 [7]	Lovett	5 - AAA	3-2	59.16	60.01	25 [2]
74 [13]	Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	3-1	59.14	46.46	108 [24]
75 [10]	Oconee County	8 - AAAA	5-1	58.90	47.42	98 [15]
76 [11]	West Laurens	2 - AAAA	4-1	58.70	48.61	84 [13]
77 [11]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	3-3	58.37	55.55	37 [3]
78 [8]	Jefferson	8 - AAA	3-1	57.80	33.94	229 [26]
79 [9]	Benedictine	3 - AAA	2-2	57.48	33.20	238 [28]
80 [14]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	4-1	57.38	48.11	90 [19]
81 [6]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	4-1	57.29	40.05	177 [12]
82 [7]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	3-1	56.94	46.92	100 [4]
83 [27]	South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	3-2	56.74	52.16	58 [29]
84 [8]	Brooks County	1 - AA	2-3	56.35	57.20	32 [1]
85 [3]	Athens Academy	8 - A	4-0	56.31	21.56	334 [17]
86 [28]	Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	2-3	56.29	57.31	30 [18]
87 [15]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	3-2	56.12	55.64	35 [7]
88 [12]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	4-1	56.03	49.04	80 [16]
89 [29]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	3-2	55.07	52.06	60 [30]
90 [30]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	5-0	55.05	32.97	239 [45]
91 [10]	Liberty County	2 - AAA	3-0	54.68	34.66	219 [23]
92 [13]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	3-2	54.67	39.93	179 [41]
93 [14]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	4-1	54.43	34.67	218 [50]
94 [15]	Mays	5 - AAAAAA	3-1	54.43	44.98	126 [27]
95 [12]	Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	3-2	53.99	51.22	66 [6]
96 [16]	Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	3-2	53.89	45.62	118 [23]
97 [13]	Howard	2 - AAAA	4-1	53.79	40.48	172 [30]
98 [11]	Hart County	8 - AAA	5-0	53.75	35.96	208 [21]
99 [9]	Washington County	3 - AA	3-1	53.29	43.88	132 [6]
100 [16]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	4-1	53.26	46.46	107 [24]
101 [31]	Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	2-3	52.88	52.65	54 [27]
102 [17]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	3-1	52.87	46.16	112 [26]
103 [12]	Calhoun	6 - AAA	4-1	52.22	31.28	258 [33]
104 [13]	Pace Academy	5 - AAA	3-1	52.01	37.59	201 [20]
105 [17]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	2-3	51.94	54.93	43 [4]
106 [14]	Appling County	2 - AAA	4-1	51.19	39.94	178 [15]
107 [18]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	3-2	51.08	47.59	96 [17]
108 [14]	Denmark	7 - AAAA	4-0	50.97	23.12	322 [47]
109 [19]	Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	3-2	50.85	41.40	166 [38]
110 [15]	Thomson	3 - AAAA	2-3	50.39	50.17	74 [9]
111 [16]	Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	4-1	50.31	33.39	235 [41]
112 [18]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	3-2	50.26	51.07	69 [12]
113 [17]	Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	2-3	50.21	50.20	73 [8]
114 [20]	Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	2-2	50.00	41.43	165 [37]
115 [19]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	4-1	49.86	39.69	181 [34]
116 [15]	North Murray	6 - AAA	4-1	49.80	32.57	244 [29]
117 [18]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	6-0	49.72	25.39	307 [45]
118 [20]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	4-1	49.65	37.23	205 [39]
119 [16]	Jenkins	3 - AAA	4-1	49.54	25.69	302 [49]
120 [21]	Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	4-1	49.52	33.87	230 [41]
121 [19]	St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	3-3	49.43	49.62	78 [10]
122 [20]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	2-3	49.19	54.18	48 [3]
123 [4]	Wesleyan	5 - A	4-1	49.03	35.85	211 [2]
124 [21]	Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	3-1	48.66	37.97	197 [46]
125 [32]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	2-2	48.47	47.72	94 [35]
126 [22]	Harris County	1 - AAAAA	3-2	48.38	46.67	103 [22]
127 [22]	Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	2-2	48.02	51.97	63 [10]
128 [10]	Dodge County	3 - AA	2-3	47.93	48.34	86 [3]
129 [23]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	2-2	47.68	46.85	101 [19]
130 [5]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	4-1	47.62	26.54	294 [9]
131 [24]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	1-3	47.49	52.72	53 [7]
132 [3]	Pelham	1 - A	5-0	47.37	6.07	409 [46]
133 [33]	North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	3-2	47.16	43.45	137 [39]
134 [25]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	2-2	46.89	52.53	56 [8]
135 [21]	Eastside	4 - AAAA	2-2	46.64	43.22	143 [22]
136 [23]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	4-1	46.46	32.22	246 [43]
137 [24]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	2-2	46.45	48.20	88 [18]
138 [6]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A	5-0	46.12	19.01	355 [20]
139 [17]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	3-2	46.05	39.87	180 [16]
140 [25]	Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	2-3	45.88	47.77	93 [20]
141 [7]	Darlington	6 - A	5-0	45.75	22.70	328 [16]
142 [34]	Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	0-5	45.71	63.66	15 [13]
143 [4]	Commerce	8 - A	4-1	45.46	22.78	327 [20]
144 [26]	Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	5-0	45.22	25.07	311 [50]
145 [18]	Islands	3 - AAA	5-0	45.07	28.27	283 [42]
146 [19]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	4-1	45.05	27.50	288 [43]
147 [22]	Baldwin	3 - AAAA	1-5	45.00	59.21	27 [1]
148 [26]	Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	2-3	44.76	49.84	77 [15]
149 [27]	M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	4-0	44.73	34.45	222 [52]
150 [35]	Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	4-1	44.48	38.93	190 [43]
151 [11]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	4-1	44.42	32.81	242 [19]
152 [27]	East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	0-4	44.35	63.15	18 [2]
153 [23]	Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	1-3	44.28	54.12	50 [4]
154 [36]	Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	1-4	44.25	54.18	49 [26]
155 [20]	Jackson	4 - AAA	3-2	44.21	37.90	198 [18]
156 [28]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	1-4	44.16	53.02	52 [6]
157 [28]	New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	2-3	44.06	48.28	87 [17]
158 [29]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	4-1	44.00	33.99	228 [53]
159 [24]	Westover	1 - AAAA	4-1	43.93	32.21	247 [42]
160 [12]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	3-2	43.67	27.75	287 [29]
161 [29]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-2	43.65	43.32	139 [29]
162 [13]	Thomasville	1 - AA	2-3	43.52	55.56	36 [2]
163 [30]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	3-2	43.44	43.90	131 [29]
164 [21]	Morgan County	8 - AAA	4-1	43.30	31.92	249 [30]
165 [14]	Bremen	5 - AA	2-2	43.20	39.68	182 [13]
166 [31]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	2-2	43.05	42.99	144 [33]
167 [32]	Pope	7 - AAAAAA	3-2	43.03	39.50	183 [42]
168 [37]	Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	2-3	42.75	45.58	119 [38]
169 [25]	Cedartown	5 - AAAA	1-4	42.53	51.08	68 [7]
170 [26]	Perry	2 - AAAA	2-3	42.40	45.97	115 [18]
171 [30]	Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	3-2	42.34	39.12	187 [36]
172 [33]	Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	1-4	42.05	53.61	51 [5]
173 [31]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	0-4	41.93	60.71	23 [4]
174 [15]	Vidalia	2 - AA	4-1	41.51	21.71	333 [43]
175 [27]	White County	7 - AAAA	3-2	41.48	38.22	196 [32]
176 [32]	Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	4-1	41.00	22.95	325 [51]
177 [16]	Douglass	6 - AA	5-0	40.89	17.02	366 [49]
178 [17]	Union County	8 - AA	5-0	40.70	14.25	381 [54]
179 [28]	Hardaway	1 - AAAA	3-2	40.67	37.52	202 [34]
180 [22]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	3-2	40.60	35.67	212 [22]
181 [18]	Pepperell	7 - AA	4-1	40.59	26.49	295 [33]
182 [8]	Savannah Christian	3 - A	1-2	40.36	19.07	353 [19]
183 [34]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	2-2	40.06	39.06	188 [43]
184 [5]	Bowdon	6 - A	4-0	40.02	31.51	253 [9]
185 [38]	Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	1-4	39.99	54.66	44 [23]
186 [35]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	4-0	39.56	25.38	308 [58]
187 [23]	North Hall	7 - AAA	3-2	39.54	30.45	269 [36]
188 [36]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	2-2	39.02	33.49	234 [55]
189 [29]	Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	3-2	38.95	37.41	204 [35]
190 [37]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	2-3	38.94	42.89	147 [34]
191 [19]	Hephzibah	4 - AA	4-0	38.92	16.12	373 [52]
192 [20]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	5-0	38.88	16.53	371 [50]
193 [38]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	1-4	38.67	46.59	105 [21]
194 [9]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	4-1	38.65	32.60	243 [5]
195 [21]	Metter	2 - AA	4-1	38.49	25.63	303 [34]
196 [39]	Northview	7 - AAAAAA	3-2	38.48	33.67	233 [54]
197 [22]	Elbert County	8 - AA	3-2	38.37	21.73	332 [42]
198 [6]	Mitchell County	1 - A	4-1	38.12	6.69	406 [45]
199 [7]	Wilcox County	2 - A	4-1	37.92	15.89	376 [35]
200 [30]	LaGrange	5 - AAAA	2-2	37.55	40.79	169 [27]
201 [31]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	3-3	37.24	40.56	171 [28]
202 [23]	Northeast	3 - AA	2-3	37.12	38.50	193 [15]
203 [33]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	1-4	36.94	47.58	97 [21]
204 [40]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	2-3	36.79	43.30	140 [32]
205 [34]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	3-2	36.51	35.28	216 [40]
206 [41]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	2-3	36.39	38.97	189 [44]
207 [10]	Calvary Day	3 - A	3-1	36.34	17.96	364 [25]
208 [24]	Screven County	4 - AA	4-1	36.30	25.27	310 [38]
209 [11]	Aquinas	7 - A	4-0	36.16	18.39	358 [22]
210 [8]	Manchester	4 - A	3-1	36.00	24.66	314 [17]
211 [42]	North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	3-1	35.91	30.67	267 [57]
212 [12]	George Walton Academy	8 - A	4-1	35.68	7.41	403 [34]
213 [32]	Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	3-1	35.26	19.05	354 [49]
214 [25]	Southwest	3 - AA	2-3	35.16	43.58	136 [7]
215 [35]	Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	1-4	35.11	42.62	149 [30]
216 [26]	Heard County	5 - AA	1-4	34.87	45.28	124 [5]
217 [33]	Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	3-2	34.74	30.81	265 [44]
218 [34]	Stephens County	8 - AAAA	1-5	34.69	48.91	82 [12]
219 [13]	Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	2-1	34.68	6.80	405 [35]
220 [36]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	3-2	34.68	33.72	231 [42]
221 [35]	Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	2-3	34.67	41.96	158 [25]
222 [14]	North Cobb Christian	6 - A	4-1	34.51	23.72	318 [12]
223 [43]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	2-4	34.50	43.86	133 [30]
224 [39]	Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	0-4	34.02	55.25	39 [21]
225 [9]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	2-3	34.01	31.69	252 [8]
226 [15]	Christian Heritage	6 - A	4-0	33.93	15.45	377 [27]
227 [27]	Early County	1 - AA	4-2	33.89	19.59	350 [47]
228 [37]	Banneker	6 - AAAAA	1-4	33.86	42.07	155 [32]
229 [10]	Turner County	2 - A	4-1	33.85	25.51	306 [15]
230 [40]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	2-3	33.40	34.26	224 [44]
231 [41]	Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	3-1	33.40	1.85	412 [47]
232 [42]	Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	0-4	33.33	48.49	85 [32]
233 [44]	Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	0-5	33.30	51.18	67 [13]
234 [45]	Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	2-4	33.25	40.33	174 [40]
235 [43]	Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	1-4	33.25	57.30	31 [19]
236 [24]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	2-2	32.94	26.08	297 [47]
237 [11]	Marion County	4 - A	3-2	32.87	24.99	312 [16]
238 [16]	Mount de Sales	7 - A	4-0	32.84	14.16	383 [29]
239 [36]	Pickens	6 - AAAA	3-2	32.71	17.00	368 [51]
240 [38]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	0-5	32.67	45.65	117 [27]
241 [28]	Toombs County	2 - AA	3-1	32.60	15.99	375 [53]
242 [17]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	3-2	32.48	23.70	319 [13]
243 [39]	Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	0-5	32.40	58.90	28 [5]
244 [25]	Haralson County	6 - AAA	4-0	32.39	12.87	390 [55]
245 [40]	Columbia	5 - AAAAA	1-4	32.29	55.22	40 [9]
246 [37]	Spalding	2 - AAAA	1-4	32.18	46.10	113 [17]
247 [38]	Columbus	1 - AAAA	1-3	32.12	46.57	106 [16]
248 [46]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-4	32.12	51.29	65 [12]
249 [39]	Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	2-2	32.02	35.23	217 [39]
250 [47]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	0-5	31.84	63.42	16 [1]
251 [29]	Chattooga	7 - AA	3-2	31.23	25.62	304 [35]
252 [41]	Decatur	6 - AAAAA	4-1	31.06	19.97	346 [52]
253 [48]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	2-3	31.05	38.30	195 [45]
254 [49]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	1-3	31.04	45.19	125 [26]
255 [42]	Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	2-2	30.94	31.81	251 [45]
256 [18]	Hebron Christian Academy	8 - A	0-0	30.92	0.00	413 [36]
257 [50]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	2-3	30.91	34.55	221 [51]
258 [51]	New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	1-4	30.58	45.44	123 [25]
259 [26]	Brantley County	2 - AAA	3-1	30.31	25.93	299 [48]
260 [43]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	3-2	30.27	25.96	298 [49]
261 [12]	Lincoln County	7 - A	3-2	30.23	21.29	336 [24]
262 [19]	Whitefield Academy	6 - A	4-1	30.16	18.00	363 [24]
263 [30]	Lamar County	5 - AA	5-0	29.56	6.18	407 [59]
264 [40]	Hampton	4 - AAAA	2-2	29.53	35.32	215 [38]
265 [44]	Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	0-5	29.40	52.08	59 [10]
266 [13]	Macon County	4 - A	2-2	29.36	28.36	282 [12]
267 [27]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	2-2	29.21	29.83	275 [37]
268 [14]	Telfair County	2 - A	2-3	29.14	30.74	266 [10]
269 [41]	Shaw	1 - AAAA	3-1	28.85	20.07	344 [48]
270 [31]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	4-1	28.69	14.16	384 [55]
271 [20]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A	4-0	28.65	13.41	386 [30]
272 [28]	Monroe	1 - AAA	3-3	28.65	29.50	277 [39]
273 [44]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	0-4	28.61	54.44	47 [25]
274 [45]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	1-4	28.61	43.93	130 [28]
275 [52]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	1-4	28.55	41.97	157 [36]
276 [32]	Spencer	5 - AA	2-3	28.14	32.42	245 [20]
277 [53]	Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	0-4	27.83	50.29	72 [14]
278 [29]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	2-3	27.67	31.31	257 [32]
279 [30]	Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	0-5	27.14	46.09	114 [7]
280 [33]	Berrien	1 - AA	2-3	27.07	31.27	259 [23]
281 [21]	Brookstone	4 - A	3-1	26.59	8.80	402 [33]
282 [15]	Trion	6 - A	4-1	26.49	10.49	399 [43]
283 [54]	River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	2-3	26.23	47.28	99 [18]
284 [34]	Harlem	4 - AA	2-3	26.17	25.55	305 [36]
285 [16]	Taylor County	4 - A	2-2	26.11	25.87	300 [14]
286 [31]	Cook	1 - AAA	0-6	25.97	42.54	151 [11]
287 [32]	Fannin County	7 - AAA	3-1	25.85	21.10	340 [51]
288 [45]	Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	0-5	25.23	43.25	142 [40]
289 [17]	Schley County	4 - A	3-2	25.15	14.21	382 [37]
290 [18]	Charlton County	2 - A	1-4	24.58	33.69	232 [7]
291 [46]	Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	1-4	24.32	41.99	156 [41]
292 [19]	Claxton	3 - A	3-1	24.22	16.62	370 [34]
293 [33]	Pike County	4 - AAA	2-2	24.01	13.32	387 [54]
294 [34]	Beach	3 - AAA	1-2	23.99	37.68	200 [19]
295 [35]	Jackson County	8 - AAA	2-3	23.99	29.75	276 [38]
296 [35]	Temple	5 - AA	3-2	23.96	23.86	317 [41]
297 [42]	McDonough	4 - AAAA	2-3	23.60	34.33	223 [40]
298 [46]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	2-3	23.52	31.10	261 [47]
299 [22]	Stratford Academy	7 - A	1-4	23.40	33.35	236 [4]
300 [36]	Washington	6 - AA	1-4	22.96	31.44	254 [22]
301 [55]	Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	0-4	22.89	44.25	128 [28]
302 [20]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	1-3	22.85	42.42	152 [4]
303 [21]	Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	3-2	22.83	21.24	338 [26]
304 [43]	Chestatee	7 - AAAA	1-4	22.22	35.86	210 [36]
305 [44]	Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	0-5	22.16	41.84	159 [26]
306 [56]	Drew	4 - AAAAAA	1-4	22.01	46.75	102 [20]
307 [36]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	1-3	21.76	31.40	255 [31]
308 [47]	McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	1-4	21.40	31.90	250 [44]
309 [23]	Tattnall Square	7 - A	2-2	21.32	10.88	397 [32]
310 [24]	First Presbyterian	7 - A	1-3	20.98	30.30	271 [6]
311 [37]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	2-3	20.97	21.42	335 [50]
312 [38]	Worth County	1 - AAA	2-3	20.75	29.41	280 [41]
313 [25]	St. Francis	6 - A	2-2	20.37	20.11	343 [18]
314 [26]	Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	2-2	20.26	23.00	323 [14]
315 [22]	Johnson County	3 - A	3-1	19.85	9.19	401 [44]
316 [48]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	0-5	19.32	40.25	175 [33]
317 [37]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	1-4	19.31	34.56	220 [17]
318 [23]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	1-4	19.24	29.10	281 [11]
319 [27]	Walker	6 - A	2-2	18.79	24.27	315 [11]
320 [38]	Therrell	6 - AA	1-4	18.23	41.81	160 [9]
321 [24]	Terrell County	1 - A	3-2	18.21	18.94	357 [31]
322 [39]	East Hall	7 - AAA	1-4	18.15	40.72	170 [13]
323 [25]	Atkinson County	2 - A	2-3	18.07	22.05	330 [22]
324 [40]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	0-5	17.94	45.56	122 [8]
325 [49]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	1-4	17.92	29.95	273 [48]
326 [45]	LaFayette	6 - AAAA	3-2	17.74	17.30	365 [50]
327 [46]	West Hall	7 - AAAA	0-5	17.71	47.95	92 [14]
328 [41]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	0-3	17.56	34.02	226 [25]
329 [47]	Salem	4 - AAAA	0-5	17.48	35.48	214 [37]
330 [42]	Tattnall County	2 - AAA	0-4	17.38	34.07	225 [24]
331 [43]	Redan	5 - AAA	2-3	17.22	29.43	279 [40]
332 [48]	Luella	4 - AAAA	1-3	17.11	31.08	262 [43]
333 [26]	Dooly County	4 - A	0-4	16.82	41.49	164 [5]
334 [44]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	3-2	16.81	19.96	347 [52]
335 [27]	Chattahoochee County	1 - A	2-3	16.57	18.35	359 [32]
336 [49]	Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	2-3	16.54	23.44	320 [46]
337 [39]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	2-2	16.35	19.74	348 [45]
338 [50]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-5	16.24	40.48	173 [30]
339 [50]	Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	0-4	15.93	38.71	191 [37]
340 [28]	Montgomery County	3 - A	2-2	15.87	17.00	367 [33]
341 [40]	Monticello	8 - AA	0-5	15.74	41.72	161 [10]
342 [41]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	1-3	15.74	31.02	263 [24]
343 [51]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-4	15.70	39.15	186 [35]
344 [45]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	1-4	15.42	39.19	185 [17]
345 [42]	Banks County	8 - AA	3-2	15.20	9.34	400 [58]
346 [43]	Bacon County	2 - AA	0-5	14.48	42.59	150 [8]
347 [28]	Athens Christian	8 - A	2-3	14.20	14.45	380 [28]
348 [29]	Greene County	7 - A	1-3	13.99	21.24	337 [26]
349 [44]	Putnam County	8 - AA	1-4	13.92	38.71	192 [14]
350 [45]	Model	7 - AA	2-3	13.77	16.51	372 [51]
351 [46]	Coosa	7 - AA	0-5	13.74	32.91	240 [18]
352 [30]	Gordon Lee	6 - A	2-3	13.67	21.78	331 [23]
353 [29]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	1-4	13.56	27.91	285 [8]
354 [47]	Laney	4 - AA	1-4	13.16	29.46	278 [27]
355 [51]	North Clayton	4 - AAAA	0-4	12.21	45.58	120 [20]
356 [46]	Long County	2 - AAA	1-4	11.56	42.91	146 [10]
357 [31]	Lanier County	2 - A	2-3	11.14	22.87	326 [19]
358 [32]	Jenkins County	3 - A	1-4	11.10	23.27	321 [18]
359 [33]	Miller County	1 - A	1-4	10.84	27.83	286 [13]
360 [52]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	3-2	10.60	5.17	410 [56]
361 [48]	Butler	4 - AA	0-4	10.60	28.17	284 [28]
362 [47]	Rutland	4 - AAA	1-4	10.59	41.40	167 [12]
363 [57]	Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	0-5	10.57	35.60	213 [49]
364 [34]	Hancock Central	7 - A	2-3	10.46	12.03	392 [38]
365 [30]	Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	2-3	10.46	12.97	389 [31]
366 [48]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	1-3	10.07	30.63	268 [35]
367 [49]	Murray County	6 - AAA	3-2	9.79	7.11	404 [56]
368 [50]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	1-3	9.55	27.07	290 [44]
369 [51]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	1-4	8.78	26.35	296 [46]
370 [35]	Warren County	7 - A	2-3	7.95	11.88	394 [40]
371 [49]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-4	6.95	18.16	361 [48]
372 [36]	Seminole County	1 - A	3-2	6.91	-1.02	414 [47]
373 [47]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	0-5	6.33	32.83	241 [46]
374 [37]	Wilkinson County	7 - A	0-4	5.98	43.60	135 [2]
375 [48]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	3-1	5.60	-10.76	420 [48]
376 [52]	Savannah	3 - AAA	0-5	5.26	44.66	127 [9]
377 [31]	Pacelli	4 - A	4-1	5.22	-9.04	417 [37]
378 [53]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-4	4.56	19.44	351 [53]
379 [53]	Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-4	4.51	31.16	260 [34]
380 [50]	East Laurens	3 - AA	1-4	4.05	38.32	194 [16]
381 [52]	Gilmer	6 - AAAA	2-3	3.90	12.48	391 [53]
382 [38]	Greenville	4 - A	1-3	3.36	21.15	339 [27]
383 [51]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	0-5	3.12	29.84	274 [26]
384 [32]	Landmark Christian	5 - A	1-4	2.50	18.96	356 [21]
385 [52]	Jordan	5 - AA	0-5	2.22	19.71	349 [46]
386 [33]	Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	0-4	2.04	25.87	301 [10]
387 [53]	Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	2-2	1.24	6.14	408 [54]
388 [53]	Bryan County	2 - AA	0-4	0.62	26.88	291 [31]
389 [39]	Treutlen	3 - A	3-2	0.39	-4.67	416 [48]
390 [34]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	1-3	-0.09	15.99	374 [26]
391 [54]	Dade County	7 - AA	0-5	-0.59	24.10	316 [40]
392 [35]	Lakeview Academy	8 - A	0-3	-0.90	22.99	324 [15]
393 [54]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-3	-1.02	18.08	362 [53]
394 [40]	Hawkinsville	4 - A	1-4	-1.29	22.45	329 [21]
395 [54]	Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	0-5	-1.65	16.65	369 [52]
396 [54]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-4	-1.79	31.39	256 [46]
397 [55]	Towers	5 - AAA	1-4	-2.42	26.87	292 [45]
398 [36]	Providence Christian	8 - A	1-3	-4.20	18.34	360 [23]
399 [55]	Armuchee	7 - AA	0-5	-4.74	26.84	293 [32]
400 [56]	Social Circle	8 - AA	1-3	-4.91	11.21	396 [57]
401 [58]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-5	-7.44	30.84	264 [56]
402 [41]	Calhoun County	1 - A	1-4	-7.66	11.24	395 [41]
403 [37]	Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-5	-7.75	30.26	272 [7]
404 [57]	Josey	4 - AA	0-4	-7.88	20.06	345 [44]
405 [42]	Portal	3 - A	0-4	-8.38	11.92	393 [39]
406 [58]	McNair	6 - AA	0-5	-8.59	24.81	313 [39]
407 [56]	Groves	3 - AAA	0-4	-9.77	40.25	176 [14]
408 [43]	Towns County	8 - A	0-5	-10.64	36.70	207 [6]
409 [44]	Baconton Charter	1 - A	1-3	-11.05	20.63	342 [29]
410 [59]	Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	1-4	-11.51	13.90	385 [56]
411 [45]	Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	1-3	-14.52	10.50	398 [42]
412 [46]	Crawford County	4 - A	1-3	-14.96	-9.87	419 [50]
413 [38]	Georgia Military College	7 - A	2-3	-17.02	-12.59	421 [38]
414 [47]	Wheeler County	3 - A	1-3	-18.11	14.78	379 [36]
415 [48]	Twiggs County	7 - A	0-5	-18.22	19.20	352 [30]
416 [55]	Clarkston	5 - AAAAA†	0-6	-24.01	14.82	378 [54]
417 [49]	Stewart County	1 - A	1-4	-29.55	-9.65	418 [49]
418 [1]	Glascock County	7 - A†	1-4	-36.04	-19.69	422 [3]
419 [50]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-4	-38.75	20.81	341 [28]
420 [2]	ACE Charter	7 - A†	0-4	-47.60	2.53	411 [1]
421 [3]	Pataula Charter	1 - A†	1-4	-52.81	-1.86	415 [2]
422 [56]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA†	0-6	-72.42	13.32	388 [55]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	94.00	80.98
2	3 - AAAAAAA	83.01	69.26
3	1 - AAAAAA	81.18	69.45
4	8 - AAAAAAA	80.17	63.93
5	6 - AAAAAAA	78.64	55.89
6	1 - AAAAA	73.30	60.34
7	7 - AAAA	73.12	50.60
8	5 - AAAA	72.64	53.46
9	8 - AAAAA	70.27	40.51
10	7 - AAAAAAA	70.04	42.57
11	4 - AAAAA	69.72	51.37
12	5 - AAAAAAA	69.57	51.36
13	6 - AAAAAA	69.54	48.39
14	7 - AAAAA	68.10	46.62
15	4 - AAAAAAA	67.50	54.55
16	5 - AAA	67.48	42.32
17	8 - AAAAAA	66.55	48.22
18	2 - AAAAA	65.77	55.28
19	2 - AAAAAAA	62.84	50.07
20	5 - A	61.38	33.39
21	2 - A	61.02	33.44
22	3 - AA	60.22	42.97
23	2 - AAAA	59.64	48.03
24	5 - AAAAAA	59.45	43.75
25	4 - AAA	58.93	31.10
26	2 - AAAAAA	58.69	47.52
27	2 - AAA	57.85	38.52
28	8 - AAAA	57.08	45.99
29	3 - AAAAA	56.72	40.35
30	1 - AA	56.64	43.73
31	3 - AAAA	56.38	41.86
32	4 - AAAA	56.03	24.21
33	1 - AAAA	55.06	36.30
34	8 - AAA	54.80	36.34
35	5 - AA	54.36	31.96
36	4 - AAAAAA	54.20	37.66
37	7 - AAA	53.64	29.40
38	7 - AAAAAA	53.57	38.42
39	3 - AAA	51.74	26.52
40	8 - AA	50.96	19.86
41	8 - A	50.95	24.37
	8-Div A - A	50.72	32.12
	8-Div B - A	37.40	17.46
42	2 - AA	50.82	33.49
43	7 - AA	49.56	16.98
44	6 - AA	49.35	22.81
45	1 - AAA	48.92	31.36
46	6 - AAA	48.05	26.24
47	6 - A	47.95	25.62
	6-Div A - A	44.85	30.71
	6-Div B - A	39.88	20.46
48	3 - AAAAAA	47.71	37.01
49	6 - AAAAA	47.62	30.60
50	6 - AAAA	41.96	25.16
51	4 - AA	41.49	21.63
52	3 - A	40.18	18.92
	3-Div A - A	39.55	26.18
	3-Div B - A	27.71	11.47
53	5 - AAAAA	39.82	26.50
54	4 - A	37.29	15.67
	4-Div A - A	33.92	15.84
	4-Div B - A	30.03	15.53
55	1 - A	37.06	5.98
56	7 - A	36.49	16.37
	7-Div B - A	32.17	16.10
	7-Div A - A	29.80	16.69

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct	Likelihood
09/13	Peach County	Houston County	31 - 32	11.20	75.4%	0.339
09/12	Stephenson	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	9 - 14	9.73	72.6%	0.345
09/06	Woodstock	Cambridge	20 - 22	8.91	70.9%	0.371
08/30	West Hall	Johnson (Gainesville)	27 - 30	8.16	69.3%	0.379
09/06	Central (Carrollton)	Mundy's Mill	19 - 27	6.75	66.3%	0.386
09/27	Stockbridge	Columbia	38 - 37	31.45	95.9%	0.391
09/06	Turner County	Taylor County	7 - 12	6.68	66.1%	0.396
09/13	Colquitt County	Valdosta	49 - 50	7.25	67.4%	0.401
08/30	Cass	Adairsville	7 - 14	5.95	64.5%	0.403
09/27	Atkinson County	Lanier County	21 - 28	5.88	64.3%	0.404
09/13	Veterans	Statesboro	19 - 29	5.41	63.2%	0.406
09/20	Strong Rock Christian	Landmark Christian	12 - 13	6.90	66.6%	0.407
08/30	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	Gordon Lee	10 - 13	6.25	65.1%	0.410
09/14	Cambridge	Dunwoody	19 - 21	6.40	65.5%	0.411
09/27	Thomson	Grovetown	12 - 16	5.90	64.3%	0.412

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct
94.12	11/01	Lowndes	Colquitt County	-	4.86	61.9%
87.36	09/13	Colquitt County	Valdosta	49 - 50	7.25	67.4%
86.58	09/27	Lowndes	Valdosta	24 - 0	13.16	78.9%
85.77	08/24	Colquitt County	North Gwinnett	17 - 6	9.63	72.4%
85.52	09/27	Colquitt County	Grayson	31 - 7	10.44	74.0%
83.71	09/06	Lowndes	Parkview	38 - 7	15.84	83.0%
81.26	10/18	Grayson	Archer	-	2.86	57.1%
80.92	09/27	Buford	Archer	29 - 28	5.25	62.8%
80.87	10/11	North Gwinnett	Mill Creek	-	3.08	57.6%
79.39	09/20	Colquitt County	Warner Robins	31 - 14	16.31	83.6%
79.34	10/11	McEachern	Hillgrove	-	8.51	70.1%
79.27	09/13	Mill Creek	Archer	10 - 7	0.59	51.5%
78.07	10/18	McEachern	Marietta	-	8.76	70.6%
78.03	09/06	Buford	Milton	26 - 23	8.13	69.3%
78.03	09/27	Parkview	Milton	16 - 7	5.19	62.7%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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