Maxwell Week 8 summary

By Loren Maxwell

Oct 14, 2019

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association’s 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all teams’ historical performance is 9.08%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,239 of 1,306 total games including 0 tie(s) (94.87%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.71 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.16

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Lowndes	7-0	98.78	1	Valdosta	6-1	86.68
2	Colquitt County	6-1	92.44	2	Harrison	7-0	73.84
3	North Gwinnett	6-1	85.50	3	Coffee	6-1	71.53
4	McEachern	6-0	84.00	4	Dacula	6-0	71.26
5	Grayson	5-1	82.98	5	Lee County	5-1	68.00
6	Parkview	5-1	78.15	6	Dalton	6-1	63.34
7	Marietta	5-1	76.80	7	Allatoona	4-2	62.66
8	Archer	4-2	76.29	8	Houston County	4-3	59.65
9	Hillgrove	5-1	73.60	9	Lanier	6-0	58.35
10	Camden County	6-0	73.26	10	Glynn Academy	2-3	56.83
11	Mill Creek	5-2	72.67	11	Johns Creek	5-1	56.73
12	Milton	3-3	71.42	12	Northside (Warner Robins)	3-4	55.69
13	Newton	5-2	66.43	13	South Paulding	5-1	54.23
14	North Paulding	5-1	62.32	14	Mays	5-1	53.73
15	Collins Hill	4-2	62.26	15	Stephenson	5-1	52.42

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Buford	7-0	80.74	1	Marist	7-0	73.51
2	Warner Robins	6-1	75.02	2	Woodward Academy	6-0	71.05
3	Jones County	7-0	71.07	3	Cartersville	7-0	70.78
4	Carrollton	7-0	69.03	4	Sandy Creek	6-0	68.95
5	Dutchtown	6-1	65.83	5	Blessed Trinity	5-1	68.11
6	Ware County	3-3	64.89	6	West Laurens	6-1	60.82
7	Rome	5-2	63.72	7	Burke County	6-1	60.67
8	Kell	5-1	60.13	8	Flowery Branch	6-0	60.42
9	Veterans	6-1	58.94	9	Oconee County	6-1	56.77
10	Wayne County	5-1	57.34	10	Troup	4-2	56.04
11	South Effingham	6-1	57.14	11	Denmark	5-1	55.44
12	Griffin	6-1	56.34	12	Chapel Hill	3-3	51.85
13	Bainbridge	5-2	55.95	13	Carver (Columbus)	6-1	50.94
14	Stockbridge	6-1	53.69	14	Cairo	5-2	50.92
15	Ola	5-2	53.29	15	Howard	4-2	48.52

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Cedar Grove	5-2	72.62	1	Rockmart	6-0	63.19
2	Peach County	5-1	69.06	2	Dublin	6-0	63.06
3	Pierce County	6-0	63.46	3	Rabun County	6-0	62.64
4	Greater Atlanta Christian	6-1	60.10	4	Callaway	6-1	61.01
5	Jefferson	5-1	57.02	5	Hapeville Charter	5-1	60.98
6	Westminster (Atlanta)	3-3	56.45	6	Swainsboro	5-1	52.63
7	Crisp County	4-3	56.40	7	Fitzgerald	6-1	50.42
8	Lovett	5-2	55.00	8	Bleckley County	5-2	47.55
9	Jenkins	6-1	54.23	9	Washington County	4-2	46.12
10	Liberty County	4-0	53.29	10	Brooks County	3-4	44.99
11	Benedictine	4-2	52.22	11	Union County	6-0	44.28
12	North Murray	6-1	50.14	12	Dodge County	3-4	43.37
13	Hart County	5-1	49.01	13	Bremen	3-3	42.42
14	Appling County	5-1	48.74	14	Thomasville	3-4	41.34
15	Calhoun	5-1	46.52	15	Jefferson County	5-2	38.91

A - Public				A - Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Irwin County	5-0	64.39	1	Eagle's Landing Christian	6-1	66.59
2	Clinch County	5-1	55.04	2	Holy Innocents	7-0	66.48
3	Pelham	6-0	41.54	3	Athens Academy	6-0	58.19
4	Commerce	5-1	40.89	4	Wesleyan	5-2	47.87
5	Bowdon	6-0	38.44	5	Darlington	6-0	43.96
6	Wilcox County	5-1	35.72	6	Fellowship Christian	6-0	43.90
7	Manchester	5-1	32.27	7	Prince Avenue Christian	5-2	43.57
8	Mitchell County	5-1	32.16	8	Savannah Christian	3-2	40.44
9	Marion County	5-2	31.79	9	Aquinas	6-0	37.56
10	Lincoln County	4-2	31.25	10	Hebron Christian	4-2	36.86
11	Turner County	5-1	26.60	11	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	6-1	36.60
12	Johnson County	5-1	26.14	12	Christian Heritage	5-1	35.48
13	Schley County	4-2	24.08	13	Whitefield Academy	6-1	34.81
14	McIntosh County Academy	2-4	23.68	14	Savannah Country Day	6-0	32.69
15	Telfair County	2-4	22.13	15	Calvary Day	4-2	31.80

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	SchStr	Rank
1 [1]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	7-0	98.78	65.27	6 [6]
2 [2]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	6-1	92.44	71.49	2 [2]
3 [1]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	6-1	86.68	59.92	14 [1]
4 [3]	North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	6-1	85.50	61.81	12 [11]
5 [4]	McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	6-0	84.00	57.92	18 [16]
6 [5]	Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	5-1	82.98	65.39	5 [5]
7 [1]	Buford	8 - AAAAA	7-0	80.74	54.11	27 [4]
8 [6]	Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	5-1	78.15	62.21	11 [10]
9 [7]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	5-1	76.80	68.06	4 [4]
10 [8]	Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	4-2	76.29	65.18	7 [7]
11 [2]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	6-1	75.02	52.39	35 [6]
12 [2]	Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	7-0	73.84	41.69	122 [24]
13 [9]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	5-1	73.60	51.11	43 [27]
14 [1]	Marist	7 - AAAA	7-0	73.51	38.46	150 [25]
15 [10]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	6-0	73.26	52.12	37 [22]
16 [11]	Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	5-2	72.67	59.59	15 [13]
17 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	5-2	72.62	47.76	62 [3]
18 [3]	Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	6-1	71.53	40.51	130 [27]
19 [12]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	3-3	71.42	63.28	10 [9]
20 [4]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	6-0	71.26	46.97	70 [13]
21 [3]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	7-0	71.07	45.65	78 [15]
22 [2]	Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	6-0	71.05	34.83	197 [35]
23 [3]	Cartersville	5 - AAAA	7-0	70.78	36.97	171 [30]
24 [2]	Peach County	4 - AAA	5-1	69.06	46.86	71 [4]
25 [4]	Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	7-0	69.03	38.11	156 [36]
26 [4]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	6-0	68.95	41.28	124 [22]
27 [5]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	5-1	68.11	51.80	38 [3]
28 [5]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	5-1	68.00	35.97	184 [47]
29 [1]	Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	6-1	66.59	39.57	139 [1]
30 [2]	Holy Innocents	5 - A	7-0	66.48	27.79	261 [7]
31 [13]	Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	5-2	66.43	53.35	31 [21]
32 [5]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	6-1	65.83	49.65	52 [10]
33 [6]	Ware County	2 - AAAAA	3-3	64.89	64.49	8 [1]
34 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A	5-0	64.39	29.36	244 [6]
35 [7]	Rome	7 - AAAAA	5-2	63.72	41.93	118 [27]
36 [3]	Pierce County	2 - AAA	6-0	63.46	27.93	259 [35]
37 [6]	Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	6-1	63.34	35.32	191 [49]
38 [1]	Rockmart	7 - AA	6-0	63.19	25.05	282 [27]
39 [2]	Dublin	3 - AA	6-0	63.06	38.51	148 [5]
40 [7]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	4-2	62.66	47.03	68 [11]
41 [3]	Rabun County	8 - AA	6-0	62.64	24.78	284 [28]
42 [14]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	5-1	62.32	43.03	105 [38]
43 [15]	Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	4-2	62.26	54.35	26 [18]
44 [4]	Callaway	5 - AA	6-1	61.01	31.02	229 [18]
45 [5]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	5-1	60.98	29.43	243 [19]
46 [6]	West Laurens	2 - AAAA	6-1	60.82	43.71	99 [15]
47 [7]	Burke County	3 - AAAA	6-1	60.67	38.99	145 [24]
48 [16]	South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	4-2	60.58	53.64	30 [20]
49 [8]	Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	6-0	60.42	35.42	189 [31]
50 [8]	Kell	7 - AAAAA	5-1	60.13	41.17	126 [29]
51 [4]	Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	6-1	60.10	42.83	108 [6]
52 [17]	Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	4-3	60.07	50.91	45 [28]
53 [18]	Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	3-3	59.69	63.57	9 [8]
54 [8]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	4-3	59.65	54.74	25 [5]
55 [19]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	6-1	59.58	35.38	190 [44]
56 [20]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	5-1	59.44	40.58	129 [41]
57 [9]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	6-1	58.94	47.37	66 [14]
58 [21]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	3-4	58.81	59.37	16 [14]
59 [9]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	6-0	58.35	38.27	154 [34]
60 [3]	Athens Academy	8 - A	6-0	58.19	27.57	262 [8]
61 [22]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	1-5	57.80	70.21	3 [3]
62 [23]	Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	3-3	57.48	53.88	29 [19]
63 [24]	Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	3-2	57.43	39.88	134 [42]
64 [10]	Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	5-1	57.34	42.59	110 [23]
65 [11]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	6-1	57.14	42.06	115 [25]
66 [5]	Jefferson	8 - AAA	5-1	57.02	30.86	231 [26]
67 [25]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	1-5	56.90	73.01	1 [1]
68 [10]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	2-3	56.83	56.60	21 [3]
69 [9]	Oconee County	8 - AAAA	6-1	56.77	43.43	102 [17]
70 [11]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	5-1	56.73	35.26	192 [50]
71 [6]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	3-3	56.45	52.56	34 [2]
72 [7]	Crisp County	1 - AAA	4-3	56.40	52.64	33 [1]
73 [12]	Griffin	3 - AAAAA	6-1	56.34	41.92	119 [28]
74 [10]	Troup	5 - AAAA	4-2	56.04	47.54	65 [8]
75 [13]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	5-2	55.95	50.47	49 [9]
76 [12]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	3-4	55.69	57.74	19 [2]
77 [26]	Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	5-2	55.69	46.44	72 [32]
78 [11]	Denmark	7 - AAAA	5-1	55.44	25.25	279 [43]
79 [27]	Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	4-3	55.06	51.42	41 [25]
80 [2]	Clinch County	2 - A	5-1	55.04	34.73	198 [1]
81 [8]	Lovett	5 - AAA	5-2	55.00	42.14	114 [7]
82 [28]	West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	1-4	54.31	61.78	13 [12]
83 [9]	Jenkins	3 - AAA	6-1	54.23	28.68	248 [32]
84 [13]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	5-1	54.23	44.53	88 [17]
85 [14]	Mays	5 - AAAAAA	5-1	53.73	36.12	183 [46]
86 [14]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	6-1	53.69	39.62	137 [32]
87 [15]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	5-2	53.29	43.83	94 [19]
88 [10]	Liberty County	2 - AAA	4-0	53.29	24.66	286 [43]
89 [6]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	5-1	52.63	33.56	210 [14]
90 [29]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	4-2	52.49	47.06	67 [31]
91 [30]	South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	3-3	52.47	51.43	40 [24]
92 [15]	Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	5-1	52.42	37.28	168 [39]
93 [16]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	4-2	52.25	42.94	106 [22]
94 [11]	Benedictine	3 - AAA	4-2	52.22	19.55	330 [51]
95 [16]	Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	4-2	52.05	42.50	111 [23]
96 [12]	Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	3-3	51.85	52.71	32 [1]
97 [13]	Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	6-1	50.94	28.24	253 [40]
98 [14]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	5-2	50.92	37.18	170 [29]
99 [7]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	6-1	50.42	26.93	268 [24]
100 [12]	North Murray	6 - AAA	6-1	50.14	17.21	343 [53]
101 [17]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	3-3	50.12	49.83	50 [7]
102 [17]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	4-3	49.79	48.70	59 [12]
103 [18]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	3-3	49.54	51.08	44 [7]
104 [31]	Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	3-3	49.25	44.58	87 [36]
105 [19]	Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	4-3	49.09	45.60	79 [16]
106 [13]	Hart County	8 - AAA	5-1	49.01	34.58	201 [16]
107 [18]	Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	4-2	48.89	36.96	172 [40]
108 [14]	Appling County	2 - AAA	5-1	48.74	30.84	232 [27]
109 [15]	Howard	2 - AAAA	4-2	48.52	41.44	123 [21]
110 [16]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	7-0	48.23	23.12	298 [45]
111 [4]	Wesleyan	5 - A	5-2	47.87	36.49	180 [2]
112 [17]	Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	4-3	47.76	44.10	91 [13]
113 [8]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	5-2	47.55	37.78	161 [8]
114 [19]	Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	4-2	47.28	39.61	138 [30]
115 [20]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	3-4	47.19	48.45	60 [9]
116 [21]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	4-2	47.08	37.69	162 [36]
117 [20]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	4-2	47.01	39.53	141 [33]
118 [15]	Calhoun	6 - AAA	5-1	46.52	25.18	280 [41]
119 [9]	Washington County	3 - AA	4-2	46.12	35.64	188 [13]
120 [21]	New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	3-4	45.40	50.77	47 [8]
121 [22]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	5-1	45.01	23.92	291 [49]
122 [10]	Brooks County	1 - AA	3-4	44.99	45.18	82 [3]
123 [22]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	4-3	44.78	42.88	107 [21]
124 [18]	Thomson	3 - AAAA	2-4	44.75	49.75	51 [5]
125 [23]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	5-1	44.61	30.55	238 [43]
126 [24]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	3-4	44.58	49.47	53 [11]
127 [23]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	4-3	44.55	39.27	142 [32]
128 [16]	Pace Academy	5 - AAA	4-2	44.54	34.28	202 [17]
129 [19]	Cedartown	5 - AAAA	3-4	44.45	44.03	92 [14]
130 [24]	M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	5-1	44.29	36.85	174 [42]
131 [20]	St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	3-4	44.29	49.41	54 [6]
132 [11]	Union County	8 - AA	6-0	44.28	14.94	361 [50]
133 [5]	Darlington	6 - A	6-0	43.96	21.33	318 [16]
134 [6]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A	6-0	43.90	16.13	351 [25]
135 [25]	Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	3-4	43.90	48.17	61 [10]
136 [25]	Harris County	1 - AAAAA	4-3	43.87	45.16	83 [18]
137 [26]	Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	5-1	43.83	26.84	270 [46]
138 [27]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	4-3	43.58	42.05	116 [26]
139 [7]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	5-2	43.57	27.23	264 [9]
140 [26]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	3-3	43.52	45.71	77 [16]
141 [21]	Eastside	4 - AAAA	3-3	43.43	43.56	101 [16]
142 [12]	Dodge County	3 - AA	3-4	43.37	46.09	74 [2]
143 [32]	North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	4-2	43.06	37.99	160 [43]
144 [17]	Jackson	4 - AAA	4-2	42.92	33.72	206 [20]
145 [18]	Islands	3 - AAA	6-1	42.78	24.90	283 [42]
146 [33]	Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	4-2	42.68	41.74	121 [40]
147 [27]	Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	3-3	42.53	38.23	155 [35]
148 [13]	Bremen	5 - AA	3-3	42.42	38.08	157 [6]
149 [28]	Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	6-0	41.78	22.95	302 [50]
150 [22]	Perry	2 - AAAA	3-3	41.73	42.33	113 [19]
151 [3]	Pelham	1 - A	6-0	41.54	-9.51	420 [50]
152 [34]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	3-3	41.35	41.77	120 [39]
153 [14]	Thomasville	1 - AA	3-4	41.34	49.30	55 [1]
154 [19]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	5-2	41.17	26.05	274 [39]
155 [23]	Westover	1 - AAAA	5-1	40.93	26.76	271 [42]
156 [4]	Commerce	8 - A	5-1	40.89	11.74	378 [30]
157 [28]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	2-4	40.77	45.82	76 [15]
158 [29]	Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	5-1	40.61	21.35	316 [51]
159 [29]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	3-2	40.51	37.55	165 [38]
160 [8]	Savannah Christian	3 - A	3-2	40.44	11.54	381 [31]
161 [20]	Morgan County	8 - AAA	6-1	40.31	22.95	301 [46]
162 [35]	Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	1-5	40.28	51.70	39 [23]
163 [30]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	4-3	40.14	36.87	173 [41]
164 [31]	Pope	7 - AAAAAA	4-3	39.73	36.32	181 [45]
165 [36]	Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	2-5	39.69	51.22	42 [26]
166 [24]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	2-5	39.67	47.69	64 [7]
167 [25]	Baldwin	3 - AAAA	2-5	39.34	52.21	36 [2]
168 [32]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	3-4	39.27	43.62	100 [20]
169 [26]	Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	5-1	39.12	22.03	313 [50]
170 [15]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	5-2	38.91	22.67	305 [33]
171 [16]	Vidalia	2 - AA	5-1	38.85	18.34	339 [42]
172 [37]	Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	2-4	38.59	45.27	81 [33]
173 [30]	Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	3-3	38.54	39.83	135 [31]
174 [31]	Columbia	5 - AAAAA	2-4	38.44	45.54	80 [17]
175 [5]	Bowdon	6 - A	6-0	38.44	20.11	327 [15]
176 [33]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	3-4	38.27	37.62	164 [37]
177 [27]	Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	3-4	38.15	41.18	125 [23]
178 [21]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	5-2	38.01	27.03	265 [36]
179 [9]	Aquinas	7 - A	6-0	37.56	12.77	371 [29]
180 [22]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	4-3	37.38	34.71	200 [15]
181 [34]	North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	4-2	37.22	33.71	207 [53]
182 [17]	Douglass	6 - AA	6-1	36.93	13.81	367 [51]
183 [10]	Hebron Christian	8 - A	4-2	36.86	20.96	320 [18]
184 [35]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	3-3	36.84	39.54	140 [31]
185 [36]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	3-3	36.71	36.67	177 [43]
186 [23]	North Hall	7 - AAA	3-3	36.70	34.25	204 [18]
187 [28]	White County	7 - AAAA	3-3	36.65	38.32	152 [26]
188 [11]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	6-1	36.60	20.38	324 [19]
189 [32]	Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	1-6	36.35	53.99	28 [5]
190 [18]	Pepperell	7 - AA	5-1	36.30	18.90	336 [41]
191 [19]	Northeast	3 - AA	3-4	36.04	36.65	178 [11]
192 [38]	Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	1-6	35.88	55.94	23 [17]
193 [33]	East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	0-6	35.78	57.40	20 [2]
194 [6]	Wilcox County	2 - A	5-1	35.72	13.10	369 [27]
195 [37]	Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	1-6	35.53	50.62	48 [6]
196 [12]	Christian Heritage	6 - A	5-1	35.48	18.85	337 [21]
197 [38]	Northview	7 - AAAAAA	4-3	35.39	32.27	222 [56]
198 [34]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	2-5	35.17	40.30	132 [30]
199 [39]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	2-5	34.98	43.80	96 [18]
200 [40]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	2-4	34.90	46.98	69 [12]
201 [41]	Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	3-4	34.86	38.74	147 [33]
202 [13]	Whitefield Academy	6 - A	6-1	34.81	16.15	350 [24]
203 [20]	Metter	2 - AA	4-2	34.62	24.28	287 [29]
204 [42]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	3-3	34.47	34.87	196 [51]
205 [29]	Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	3-3	34.33	35.08	194 [33]
206 [43]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	4-1	34.29	30.61	236 [57]
207 [35]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	2-5	34.17	42.36	112 [24]
208 [30]	Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	2-4	33.97	42.01	117 [20]
209 [24]	Haralson County	6 - AAA	6-0	33.73	10.67	386 [55]
210 [44]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	2-4	33.63	39.65	136 [29]
211 [31]	Hardaway	1 - AAAA	3-3	33.12	32.46	219 [36]
212 [36]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	4-2	33.08	26.64	272 [47]
213 [14]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A	6-0	32.69	17.08	345 [22]
214 [21]	Elbert County	8 - AA	3-3	32.57	26.92	269 [25]
215 [37]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	0-6	32.55	55.17	24 [3]
216 [22]	Heard County	5 - AA	2-4	32.40	38.02	159 [7]
217 [32]	LaGrange	5 - AAAA	2-4	32.37	44.14	90 [12]
218 [7]	Manchester	4 - A	5-1	32.27	8.16	397 [38]
219 [8]	Mitchell County	1 - A	5-1	32.16	-4.48	417 [48]
220 [33]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	3-4	32.11	37.43	167 [27]
221 [25]	Fannin County	7 - AAA	5-1	31.81	20.53	323 [50]
222 [15]	Calvary Day	3 - A	4-2	31.80	24.28	288 [11]
223 [9]	Marion County	4 - A	5-2	31.79	19.56	329 [16]
224 [16]	North Cobb Christian	6 - A	5-1	31.79	19.12	334 [20]
225 [39]	Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	1-5	31.75	58.47	17 [15]
226 [45]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	3-4	31.63	33.14	215 [54]
227 [10]	Lincoln County	7 - A	4-2	31.25	19.52	332 [17]
228 [38]	Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	1-5	30.93	43.31	104 [21]
229 [39]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	3-4	30.69	37.64	163 [37]
230 [17]	Mount de Sales	7 - A	6-0	30.49	1.21	411 [37]
231 [46]	Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	1-6	30.38	46.44	73 [14]
232 [23]	Early County	1 - AA	4-2	30.38	15.47	358 [48]
233 [34]	Shaw	1 - AAAA	4-2	30.17	24.13	289 [44]
234 [35]	Stephens County	8 - AAAA	1-5	30.16	45.13	84 [10]
235 [40]	Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	1-5	30.14	49.00	57 [30]
236 [41]	Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	3-2	29.92	4.72	408 [48]
237 [40]	Banneker	6 - AAAAA	2-4	29.65	33.47	211 [39]
238 [18]	George Walton Academy	8 - A	5-2	29.51	8.73	394 [34]
239 [24]	Toombs County	2 - AA	5-1	29.30	6.21	404 [58]
240 [36]	Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	5-2	29.29	22.97	300 [46]
241 [19]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	3-4	29.15	31.38	226 [3]
242 [25]	Lamar County	5 - AA	6-1	29.05	10.85	384 [55]
243 [26]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	5-2	28.95	17.88	341 [43]
244 [27]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	6-1	28.89	10.02	388 [56]
245 [42]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	3-4	28.46	30.68	234 [46]
246 [28]	Screven County	4 - AA	5-1	28.43	12.83	370 [52]
247 [29]	Harlem	4 - AA	4-3	28.12	20.15	326 [38]
248 [41]	Decatur	6 - AAAAA	4-2	27.87	19.84	328 [52]
249 [30]	Southwest	3 - AA	2-4	27.40	36.29	182 [12]
250 [37]	Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	3-3	27.39	29.64	241 [38]
251 [31]	Chattooga	7 - AA	3-3	27.27	28.37	251 [20]
252 [47]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	2-4	27.22	35.88	185 [48]
253 [48]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	2-4	26.64	32.43	220 [55]
254 [11]	Turner County	2 - A	5-1	26.60	16.72	347 [21]
255 [42]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	3-3	26.27	27.88	260 [45]
256 [12]	Johnson County	3 - A	5-1	26.14	10.78	385 [34]
257 [49]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	2-5	26.11	34.72	199 [52]
258 [26]	Monroe	1 - AAA	3-4	25.89	31.11	227 [25]
259 [50]	River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	2-5	25.78	48.75	58 [8]
260 [32]	Hephzibah	4 - AA	4-2	25.57	17.75	342 [44]
261 [20]	Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	3-2	25.30	12.12	375 [30]
262 [27]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	3-3	25.28	23.51	295 [45]
263 [51]	New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	1-6	25.25	41.01	128 [26]
264 [38]	Spalding	2 - AAAA	1-6	25.17	45.90	75 [9]
265 [43]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	1-6	25.08	47.76	63 [13]
266 [28]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	3-4	25.02	29.83	240 [31]
267 [39]	Pickens	6 - AAAA	4-3	24.64	14.85	362 [51]
268 [43]	Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	0-6	24.63	44.70	86 [35]
269 [44]	Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	1-5	24.42	43.75	98 [20]
270 [13]	Schley County	4 - A	4-2	24.08	11.63	379 [31]
271 [14]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	2-4	23.68	32.87	216 [3]
272 [29]	Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	1-6	23.55	38.03	158 [12]
273 [40]	Columbus	1 - AAAA	1-5	23.42	43.36	103 [18]
274 [30]	Cook	1 - AAA	1-6	23.30	35.81	186 [14]
275 [21]	Stratford Academy	7 - A	2-4	23.15	28.79	246 [4]
276 [44]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	0-6	23.01	49.21	56 [29]
277 [41]	Chestatee	7 - AAAA	1-6	22.81	44.21	89 [11]
278 [22]	St. Francis	6 - A	3-3	22.51	22.48	308 [15]
279 [31]	Beach	3 - AAA	2-2	22.46	28.52	249 [33]
280 [23]	Brookstone	4 - A	4-2	22.43	10.62	387 [32]
281 [42]	McDonough	4 - AAAA	3-3	22.25	28.22	254 [41]
282 [15]	Telfair County	2 - A	2-4	22.13	28.15	255 [8]
283 [45]	Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	2-4	22.04	26.47	273 [48]
284 [46]	McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	2-4	21.98	29.33	245 [44]
285 [33]	Spencer	5 - AA	2-4	21.97	27.98	257 [21]
286 [34]	Temple	5 - AA	4-3	21.77	19.54	331 [39]
287 [16]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	3-4	21.62	22.05	312 [12]
288 [32]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	2-4	21.62	30.47	239 [30]
289 [33]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	2-4	21.55	25.40	277 [40]
290 [45]	Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	0-6	21.05	43.87	93 [37]
291 [43]	Hampton	4 - AAAA	3-3	20.80	22.61	306 [49]
292 [17]	Trion	6 - A	5-2	20.71	11.24	382 [33]
293 [34]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	2-5	20.64	34.03	205 [19]
294 [47]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	2-4	20.59	32.13	223 [41]
295 [35]	Jackson County	8 - AAA	2-5	20.03	30.71	233 [28]
296 [18]	Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	3-4	19.66	25.05	281 [10]
297 [52]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	1-6	19.54	56.43	22 [4]
298 [35]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	2-5	19.27	31.44	225 [16]
299 [19]	Claxton	3 - A	4-2	19.11	11.83	376 [29]
300 [36]	Brantley County	2 - AAA	3-3	19.03	22.15	310 [48]
301 [24]	First Presbyterian	7 - A	3-3	19.00	15.73	357 [27]
302 [25]	Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	4-2	18.97	6.26	403 [35]
303 [37]	Pike County	4 - AAA	3-3	18.69	15.80	356 [54]
304 [38]	Worth County	1 - AAA	2-5	18.49	33.58	209 [22]
305 [46]	Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	1-5	18.39	44.95	85 [34]
306 [44]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	1-5	18.26	34.91	195 [34]
307 [45]	LaFayette	6 - AAAA	3-4	18.14	22.81	303 [47]
308 [36]	Therrell	6 - AA	2-5	17.79	31.11	228 [17]
309 [53]	Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	0-6	17.74	43.77	97 [19]
310 [20]	Dooly County	4 - A	2-4	17.47	25.40	278 [9]
311 [54]	Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	0-6	17.43	40.13	133 [28]
312 [39]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	2-4	16.15	18.62	338 [52]
313 [55]	Drew	4 - AAAAAA	1-5	15.95	41.17	127 [25]
314 [37]	Washington	6 - AA	2-5	15.61	21.81	314 [34]
315 [56]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-6	15.48	42.64	109 [22]
316 [21]	Terrell County	1 - A	4-2	15.42	9.95	389 [35]
317 [38]	Berrien	1 - AA	2-5	14.98	27.44	263 [22]
318 [46]	North Clayton	4 - AAAA	1-5	14.62	35.18	193 [32]
319 [40]	East Hall	7 - AAA	1-6	14.53	38.76	146 [10]
320 [22]	Macon County	4 - A	3-3	14.42	12.20	374 [28]
321 [41]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	3-3	14.30	22.19	309 [47]
322 [47]	Luella	4 - AAAA	1-5	14.07	30.94	230 [37]
323 [26]	Walker	6 - A	3-3	14.05	16.16	349 [23]
324 [27]	Tattnall Square	7 - A	3-3	13.90	9.87	390 [33]
325 [42]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	0-5	13.80	39.13	143 [9]
326 [23]	Charlton County	2 - A	1-5	13.53	32.57	217 [4]
327 [43]	Redan	5 - AAA	2-4	13.50	32.51	218 [24]
328 [44]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	1-5	12.95	33.18	214 [23]
329 [24]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	1-6	12.94	28.69	247 [7]
330 [45]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	1-5	12.94	38.29	153 [11]
331 [25]	Taylor County	4 - A	3-3	12.68	13.52	368 [26]
332 [26]	Montgomery County	3 - A	4-2	12.54	6.96	400 [40]
333 [27]	Gordon Lee	6 - A	2-5	12.38	23.85	292 [11]
334 [48]	Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	0-6	12.33	38.46	149 [34]
335 [48]	Salem	4 - AAAA	1-5	12.23	28.52	250 [39]
336 [39]	Banks County	8 - AA	3-3	11.82	11.76	377 [53]
337 [40]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	3-3	11.68	11.10	383 [54]
338 [28]	Chattahoochee County	1 - A	4-3	11.56	6.04	405 [41]
339 [29]	Atkinson County	2 - A	2-4	11.51	18.19	340 [18]
340 [41]	Laney	4 - AA	2-5	11.39	25.92	276 [26]
341 [49]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	1-6	11.19	38.38	151 [35]
342 [42]	Putnam County	8 - AA	2-4	10.95	31.45	224 [15]
343 [50]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-5	10.74	35.68	187 [38]
344 [46]	Tattnall County	2 - AAA	0-6	10.70	37.50	166 [13]
345 [43]	Model	7 - AA	2-4	10.47	19.15	333 [40]
346 [51]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	4-3	10.28	9.37	392 [54]
347 [30]	Lanier County	2 - A	2-4	10.13	21.34	317 [13]
348 [28]	Athens Christian	8 - A	2-4	9.94	22.59	307 [14]
349 [29]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	2-5	9.89	23.03	299 [13]
350 [47]	Rutland	4 - AAA	2-5	9.84	26.05	275 [39]
351 [31]	Hancock Central	7 - A	3-3	9.55	5.86	407 [43]
352 [49]	Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	0-7	9.42	37.26	169 [28]
353 [32]	Warren County	7 - A	4-3	9.24	3.46	409 [44]
354 [44]	Monticello	8 - AA	0-6	9.20	36.79	176 [10]
355 [48]	Long County	2 - AAA	1-5	8.92	43.82	95 [5]
356 [49]	Murray County	6 - AAA	4-3	8.48	7.41	398 [56]
357 [45]	Coosa	7 - AA	1-5	8.41	23.64	293 [30]
358 [50]	West Hall	7 - AAAA	0-7	8.05	50.89	46 [4]
359 [46]	Butler	4 - AA	1-5	7.60	20.24	325 [37]
360 [57]	Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	0-6	6.60	36.61	179 [44]
361 [52]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	0-7	6.56	33.19	213 [40]
362 [51]	Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	2-5	6.33	22.79	304 [48]
363 [47]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	2-4	5.04	16.12	352 [46]
364 [33]	Jenkins County	3 - A	2-5	4.94	16.94	346 [20]
365 [48]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	1-5	4.93	23.57	294 [31]
366 [50]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	1-5	4.25	22.08	311 [49]
367 [30]	Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	2-5	4.17	27.97	258 [6]
368 [31]	Pacelli	4 - A	4-3	4.13	2.27	410 [36]
369 [47]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	3-3	3.58	12.22	373 [47]
370 [34]	Miller County	1 - A	2-5	2.88	15.06	360 [23]
371 [52]	Gilmer	6 - AAAA	3-3	2.44	6.42	402 [54]
372 [35]	Greenville	4 - A	2-4	2.24	15.95	353 [22]
373 [51]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	0-7	2.11	33.67	208 [21]
374 [53]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-5	1.83	19.05	335 [53]
375 [49]	East Laurens	3 - AA	1-5	1.56	39.03	144 [4]
376 [50]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-5	1.26	15.81	355 [47]
377 [51]	Bacon County	2 - AA	0-7	0.88	36.83	175 [9]
378 [36]	Treutlen	3 - A	3-4	0.87	6.02	406 [42]
379 [52]	Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-6	0.39	23.93	290 [44]
380 [37]	Wilkinson County	7 - A	0-6	-0.17	33.47	212 [2]
381 [32]	Landmark Christian	5 - A	2-5	-0.63	14.59	364 [28]
382 [38]	Seminole County	1 - A	3-3	-0.90	-0.97	413 [46]
383 [53]	Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	2-4	-1.04	12.51	372 [53]
384 [53]	Savannah	3 - AAA	1-5	-1.49	30.63	235 [29]
385 [39]	Greene County	7 - A	1-5	-1.72	14.08	366 [25]
386 [52]	Jordan	5 - AA	0-7	-2.06	21.79	315 [35]
387 [48]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	0-7	-2.62	34.25	203 [45]
388 [33]	Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	0-6	-2.96	23.41	296 [12]
389 [54]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-5	-3.80	26.94	267 [37]
390 [40]	Hawkinsville	4 - A	1-5	-3.84	20.75	322 [14]
391 [34]	Lakeview Academy	8 - A	0-5	-4.73	28.01	256 [5]
392 [54]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-5	-5.05	30.61	237 [42]
393 [53]	Bryan County	2 - AA	0-6	-5.33	26.99	266 [23]
394 [35]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	1-5	-5.88	15.88	354 [26]
395 [58]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-7	-6.40	29.55	242 [58]
396 [55]	Towers	5 - AAA	1-6	-7.97	40.46	131 [8]
397 [54]	Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	0-7	-8.24	14.14	365 [52]
398 [54]	Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	2-4	-8.75	6.68	401 [57]
399 [55]	Dade County	7 - AA	0-6	-9.00	16.32	348 [45]
400 [56]	Armuchee	7 - AA	0-6	-9.91	20.93	321 [36]
401 [36]	Providence Christian	8 - A	1-5	-10.63	21.30	319 [17]
402 [41]	Portal	3 - A	0-6	-10.68	14.81	363 [24]
403 [57]	Josey	4 - AA	0-6	-12.61	15.32	359 [49]
404 [56]	Groves	3 - AAA	0-6	-12.76	28.25	252 [34]
405 [42]	Calhoun County	1 - A	1-5	-14.11	11.57	380 [32]
406 [43]	Crawford County	4 - A	1-5	-16.06	-1.96	414 [47]
407 [44]	Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	1-5	-16.71	8.53	395 [37]
408 [58]	Social Circle	8 - AA	2-4	-17.35	-2.39	415 [59]
409 [45]	Twiggs County	7 - A	0-7	-17.64	17.20	344 [19]
410 [46]	Baconton Charter	1 - A	2-4	-18.05	0.06	412 [45]
411 [37]	Georgia Military College	7 - A	2-5	-18.88	-2.89	416 [38]
412 [59]	McNair	6 - AA	0-7	-19.65	23.29	297 [32]
413 [38]	Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-7	-21.24	24.74	285 [10]
414 [47]	Towns County	8 - A	0-7	-22.46	32.42	221 [5]
415 [48]	Wheeler County	3 - A	1-5	-23.90	9.72	391 [36]
416 [55]	Clarkston	5 - AAAAA†	0-7	-27.17	8.24	396 [56]
417 [49]	Stewart County	1 - A	1-5	-37.46	-6.99	418 [49]
418 [1]	ACE Charter	7 - A†	1-5	-41.87	-8.91	419 [1]
419 [2]	Glascock County	7 - A†	1-6	-44.92	-27.11	422 [3]
420 [50]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-6	-46.10	6.97	399 [39]
421 [3]	Pataula Charter	1 - A†	2-5	-59.91	-19.80	421 [2]
422 [56]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA†	0-8	-76.96	8.92	393 [55]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	94.98	81.45
2	3 - AAAAAAA	81.40	66.52
3	1 - AAAAAA	80.87	67.82
4	8 - AAAAAAA	79.08	63.44
5	6 - AAAAAAA	77.22	53.19
6	7 - AAAA	69.92	49.18
7	5 - AAAA	68.73	51.60
8	1 - AAAAA	68.69	55.11
9	6 - AAAAAA	68.23	44.50
10	4 - AAAAA	67.62	48.82
11	8 - AAAAA	66.60	36.91
12	7 - AAAAAAA	66.21	37.80
13	5 - AAAAAAA	65.41	47.18
14	7 - AAAAA	65.37	42.84
15	2 - AAAAA	64.85	54.86
16	5 - AAA	64.06	38.02
17	8 - AAAAAA	63.36	44.73
18	5 - A	62.19	30.85
19	4 - AAAAAAA	62.11	50.12
20	2 - AAAAAAA	59.66	46.02
21	2 - AAA	57.35	33.73
22	2 - AAAA	57.31	44.13
23	5 - AAAAAA	56.92	40.30
24	3 - AA	56.86	39.72
25	2 - AAAAAA	55.88	45.17
26	4 - AAA	55.39	26.90
27	2 - A	55.24	27.27
28	4 - AAAA	54.87	20.97
29	3 - AAAAA	54.09	39.02
30	8 - AAAA	54.07	42.27
31	3 - AAAA	53.24	36.72
32	4 - AAAAAA	52.63	36.68
33	7 - AAAAAA	52.42	35.00
34	8 - AAA	52.17	33.21
35	1 - AAAA	50.71	32.50
36	5 - AA	50.63	29.34
37	7 - AAA	50.43	29.47
38	3 - AAA	50.23	23.61
39	8 - AA	49.90	15.96
40	8 - A	49.86	22.02
	8-Div A - A	49.63	27.63
	8-Div B - A	36.77	16.36
41	1 - AA	49.33	37.31
42	7 - AA	47.76	13.32
43	6 - AA	47.38	20.07
44	2 - AA	46.20	27.81
45	1 - AAA	46.19	28.76
46	6 - A	46.16	22.96
	6-Div A - A	43.11	28.18
	6-Div B - A	37.97	17.71
47	6 - AAA	45.53	22.28
48	3 - AAAAAA	44.24	33.48
49	6 - AAAAA	43.43	26.84
50	5 - AAAAA	39.27	24.57
51	3 - A	38.45	16.78
	3-Div A - A	38.84	25.21
	3-Div B - A	23.72	8.59
52	6 - AAAA	37.58	21.40
53	4 - AA	35.34	16.41
54	7 - A	35.21	13.00
	7-Div B - A	31.76	12.91
	7-Div A - A	27.05	13.10
55	4 - A	32.84	11.23
	4-Div A - A	31.20	13.63
	4-Div B - A	23.01	9.32
56	1 - A	31.39	-0.43

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct	Likelihood
10/11	Clarke Central	Loganville	21 - 38	13.46	79.3%	0.243
09/12	Stephenson	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	9 - 14	14.15	80.5%	0.272
09/06	Turner County	Taylor County	7 - 12	12.75	78.2%	0.295
09/06	Harlem	Washington-Wilkes	14 - 26	9.62	72.4%	0.323
09/13	Veterans	Statesboro	19 - 29	8.24	69.5%	0.354
09/06	Woodstock	Cambridge	20 - 22	9.81	72.7%	0.356
09/13	Peach County	Houston County	31 - 32	8.24	69.5%	0.386
09/27	Thomson	Grovetown	12 - 16	6.75	66.3%	0.398
09/06	Harris County	Upson-Lee	14 - 27	5.36	63.1%	0.401
10/04	Jonesboro	Whitewater	20 - 21	7.07	67.0%	0.404
09/20	Richmond Hill	New Hampstead	14 - 21	5.88	64.3%	0.404
08/30	Stewart County	Glascock County	56 - 60	6.30	65.2%	0.406
08/30	Oconee County	Clarke Central	21 - 28	5.81	64.1%	0.406
10/04	Cartersville	Central (Carrollton)	16 - 14	31.47	95.9%	0.408
09/05	Perry	Westside (Macon)	13 - 33	4.35	60.7%	0.411

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct
94.24	11/01	Lowndes	Colquitt County	-	7.50	67.9%
89.04	09/13	Colquitt County	Valdosta	49 - 50	4.60	61.3%
88.70	09/27	Lowndes	Valdosta	24 - 0	13.26	79.0%
87.80	08/24	Colquitt County	North Gwinnett	17 - 6	6.94	66.7%
85.04	09/27	Colquitt County	Grayson	31 - 7	10.62	74.3%
79.50	10/18	McEachern	Marietta	-	6.04	64.7%
79.30	09/06	Lowndes	Parkview	38 - 7	21.79	89.8%
78.88	10/18	Grayson	Archer	-	5.53	63.5%
78.58	09/13	Grayson	Marietta	28 - 14	7.34	67.6%
77.74	09/27	Buford	Archer	29 - 28	5.61	63.7%
76.55	09/20	Colquitt County	Warner Robins	31 - 14	18.59	86.5%
76.03	10/18	Colquitt County	Camden County	-	18.02	85.8%
75.90	10/11	North Gwinnett	Mill Creek	45 - 3	11.68	76.3%
75.67	10/11	McEachern	Hillgrove	19 - 14	11.56	76.1%
75.28	10/25	Lowndes	Camden County	-	24.35	91.9%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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