Maxwell Week 12 summary

By Loren Maxwell

Nov 12, 2019

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association’s 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

» MORE: GHSA football playoff schedule, brackets

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team’s historical performance is 0.16%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,919 of 2,057 total games including 1 tie(s) (93.32%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 13.80 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.20

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Lowndes	10-0	102.31	1	Valdosta	8-2	83.11
2	Colquitt County	8-2	90.18	2	Lee County	9-1	78.09
3	McEachern	10-0	85.47	3	Dacula	10-0	75.44
4	North Gwinnett	9-1	83.50	4	Harrison	10-0	72.35
5	Grayson	9-1	81.11	5	Coffee	7-3	69.90
6	Marietta	8-2	78.17	6	Johns Creek	9-1	62.05
7	Mill Creek	8-2	73.43	7	Allatoona	7-2-1	61.36
8	Parkview	9-1	71.62	8	Houston County	5-5	60.08
9	Camden County	7-2	71.57	9	Lanier	9-1	58.71
10	Archer	7-3	71.41	10	Mays	9-1	56.28
11	Milton	7-3	64.78	11	Stephenson	9-1	56.17
12	Collins Hill	6-4	62.61	12	Glynn Academy	5-4	52.77
13	Newton	7-3	61.78	13	Richmond Hill	6-3	51.57
14	North Cobb	7-3	61.22	14	Dalton	7-3	51.45
15	Hillgrove	7-3	60.51	15	Northside (Warner Robins)	3-7	49.58

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Warner Robins	9-1	74.74	1	Woodward Academy	10-0	76.03
2	Carrollton	10-0	74.28	2	Marist	9-1	71.70
3	Ware County	7-3	68.51	3	Blessed Trinity	9-1	69.97
4	Buford	9-1	68.03	4	Cartersville	10-0	69.63
5	Rome	8-2	64.38	5	West Laurens	9-1	62.77
6	Dutchtown	9-1	61.33	6	Sandy Creek	9-1	62.69
7	Kell	8-2	59.40	7	Denmark	7-2	61.39
8	Wayne County	7-2	58.62	8	Oconee County	9-1	60.07
9	Veterans	8-2	58.19	9	Flowery Branch	7-3	57.48
10	Jones County	9-1	58.12	10	Burke County	8-2	53.97
11	Bainbridge	7-3	57.24	11	Carver (Columbus)	9-1	52.04
12	Griffin	9-1	54.56	12	Cairo	8-2	51.40
13	Statesboro	5-4	54.32	13	North Oconee	9-1	49.35
14	Clarke Central	7-3	53.72	14	Cedartown	5-5	48.90
15	South Effingham	6-4	53.54	15	Troup	6-4	48.79

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Cedar Grove	8-2	71.72	1	Rabun County	10-0	71.08
2	Peach County	9-1	71.00	2	Rockmart	10-0	63.29
3	Pierce County	10-0	67.92	3	Hapeville Charter	8-1-1	58.77
4	Jefferson	8-1	59.93	4	Callaway	9-1	56.15
5	Greater Atlanta Christian	9-1	58.07	5	Dublin	9-1	52.25
6	Jenkins	9-1	56.92	6	Union County	9-1	44.35
7	North Murray	9-1	55.57	7	Washington County	7-3	43.22
8	Westminster (Atlanta)	6-4	55.12	8	Brooks County	6-4	42.83
9	Crisp County	7-3	55.10	9	Pepperell	8-2	42.52
10	Appling County	8-2	53.81	10	Bremen	7-3	41.56
11	Lovett	7-3	49.81	11	Thomasville	6-4	41.24
12	Liberty County	6-2	48.27	12	Swainsboro	7-3	40.75
13	Hart County	8-2	47.43	13	Bleckley County	7-3	40.14
14	Calhoun	9-1	46.53	14	Metter	8-2	39.67
15	Benedictine	7-3	44.91	15	Fitzgerald	7-3	39.22

A - Public				A - Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Irwin County	9-0	62.93	1	Holy Innocents	10-0	75.37
2	Clinch County	9-1	52.59	2	Eagle's Landing Christian	9-1	72.18
3	Wilcox County	8-2	39.75	3	Athens Academy	10-0	67.21
4	Bowdon	8-2	38.14	4	Fellowship Christian	10-0	66.26
5	Commerce	8-2	36.22	5	Wesleyan	8-2	54.07
6	Lincoln County	8-2	33.39	6	Darlington	9-1	53.12
7	Johnson County	8-2	32.68	7	Prince Avenue Christian	8-2	48.68
8	Mitchell County	9-1	31.55	8	Christian Heritage	9-1	46.14
9	Pelham	9-1	24.30	9	Hebron Christian	6-4	43.95
10	Marion County	8-2	22.57	10	Savannah Country Day	10-0	41.35
11	Emanuel County Institute	5-5	21.97	11	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	7-3	37.56
12	Washington-Wilkes	6-4	21.88	12	Whitefield Academy	7-3	37.40
13	Turner County	6-4	21.32	13	Mount de Sales	10-0	36.33
14	Manchester	8-2	21.11	14	North Cobb Christian	7-3	34.76
15	Claxton	6-4	20.38	15	Savannah Christian	6-3	34.09

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	SchStr	Rank
1 [1]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	10-0	102.31	67.88	3 [3]
2 [2]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	8-2	90.18	71.52	1 [1]
3 [3]	McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	10-0	85.47	54.64	14 [9]
4 [4]	North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	9-1	83.50	49.42	26 [17]
5 [1]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	8-2	83.11	62.15	5 [1]
6 [5]	Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	9-1	81.11	59.10	8 [5]
7 [6]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	8-2	78.17	62.88	4 [4]
8 [2]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	9-1	78.09	50.48	23 [5]
9 [1]	Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	10-0	76.03	17.58	351 [53]
10 [3]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	10-0	75.44	41.25	95 [16]
11 [1]	Holy Innocents	5 - A	10-0	75.37	22.37	290 [16]
12 [1]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	9-1	74.74	50.90	22 [4]
13 [2]	Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	10-0	74.28	38.32	129 [25]
14 [7]	Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	8-2	73.43	54.20	15 [10]
15 [4]	Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	10-0	72.35	35.17	161 [43]
16 [2]	Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	9-1	72.18	32.60	183 [3]
17 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	8-2	71.72	41.52	92 [3]
18 [2]	Marist	7 - AAAA	9-1	71.70	47.14	43 [3]
19 [8]	Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	9-1	71.62	42.53	83 [39]
20 [9]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	7-2	71.57	58.90	9 [6]
21 [10]	Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	7-3	71.41	58.28	11 [8]
22 [1]	Rabun County	8 - AA	10-0	71.08	21.81	295 [22]
23 [2]	Peach County	4 - AAA	9-1	71.00	32.50	187 [11]
24 [3]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	9-1	69.97	48.58	30 [1]
25 [5]	Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	7-3	69.90	54.19	16 [4]
26 [4]	Cartersville	5 - AAAA	10-0	69.63	41.67	88 [16]
27 [3]	Ware County	2 - AAAAA	7-3	68.51	55.86	12 [1]
28 [4]	Buford	8 - AAAAA	9-1	68.03	43.41	75 [14]
29 [3]	Pierce County	2 - AAA	10-0	67.92	25.78	257 [38]
30 [3]	Athens Academy	8 - A	10-0	67.21	25.30	260 [11]
31 [4]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A	10-0	66.26	16.54	358 [29]
32 [11]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	7-3	64.78	48.44	33 [20]
33 [5]	Rome	7 - AAAAA	8-2	64.38	34.96	164 [32]
34 [2]	Rockmart	7 - AA	10-0	63.29	18.68	338 [35]
35 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A	9-0	62.93	21.12	308 [11]
36 [5]	West Laurens	2 - AAAA	9-1	62.77	39.85	109 [21]
37 [6]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	9-1	62.69	38.60	124 [23]
38 [12]	Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	6-4	62.61	53.92	17 [11]
39 [6]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	9-1	62.05	32.13	193 [53]
40 [13]	Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	7-3	61.78	50.12	24 [15]
41 [7]	Denmark	7 - AAAA	7-2	61.39	37.08	144 [26]
42 [7]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	7-2-1	61.36	43.64	69 [11]
43 [6]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	9-1	61.33	41.59	89 [17]
44 [14]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	7-3	61.22	47.76	41 [24]
45 [15]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	7-3	60.51	46.39	48 [29]
46 [8]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	5-5	60.08	59.62	7 [3]
47 [8]	Oconee County	8 - AAAA	9-1	60.07	39.40	116 [22]
48 [4]	Jefferson	8 - AAA	8-1	59.93	30.59	203 [17]
49 [7]	Kell	7 - AAAAA	8-2	59.40	35.66	156 [31]
50 [16]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	5-5	58.83	58.49	10 [7]
51 [3]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	8-1-1	58.77	21.24	305 [26]
52 [9]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	9-1	58.71	39.34	117 [25]
53 [8]	Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	7-2	58.62	48.07	38 [9]
54 [9]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	8-2	58.19	48.20	37 [8]
55 [10]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	9-1	58.12	41.58	90 [18]
56 [5]	Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	9-1	58.07	35.22	160 [8]
57 [9]	Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	7-3	57.48	43.74	67 [12]
58 [11]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	7-3	57.24	49.28	29 [6]
59 [6]	Jenkins	3 - AAA	9-1	56.92	25.71	258 [39]
60 [17]	Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	7-2	56.42	38.28	130 [44]
61 [10]	Mays	5 - AAAAAA	9-1	56.28	37.31	138 [36]
62 [18]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	3-7	56.26	67.99	2 [2]
63 [11]	Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	9-1	56.17	35.47	158 [42]
64 [4]	Callaway	5 - AA	9-1	56.15	19.40	323 [28]
65 [7]	North Murray	6 - AAA	9-1	55.57	23.76	277 [47]
66 [19]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	7-3	55.39	41.17	97 [41]
67 [8]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	6-4	55.12	45.84	52 [1]
68 [9]	Crisp County	1 - AAA	7-3	55.10	42.44	85 [2]
69 [12]	Griffin	3 - AAAAA	9-1	54.56	32.95	180 [36]
70 [13]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	5-4	54.32	51.48	20 [3]
71 [5]	Wesleyan	5 - A	8-2	54.07	27.95	228 [9]
72 [10]	Burke County	3 - AAAA	8-2	53.97	36.15	151 [27]
73 [10]	Appling County	2 - AAA	8-2	53.81	27.68	231 [27]
74 [14]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	7-3	53.72	44.08	64 [11]
75 [15]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	6-4	53.54	49.31	28 [5]
76 [20]	Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	6-4	53.47	48.20	36 [21]
77 [6]	Darlington	6 - A	9-1	53.12	28.54	222 [7]
78 [12]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	5-4	52.77	46.66	46 [7]
79 [2]	Clinch County	2 - A	9-1	52.59	24.28	274 [7]
80 [5]	Dublin	3 - AA	9-1	52.25	33.63	176 [8]
81 [11]	Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	9-1	52.04	27.78	229 [35]
82 [13]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	6-3	51.57	42.90	81 [12]
83 [14]	Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	7-3	51.45	32.13	192 [53]
84 [16]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	8-2	51.41	37.21	142 [28]
85 [12]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	8-2	51.40	32.20	191 [32]
86 [21]	Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	7-3	51.37	42.65	82 [38]
87 [22]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	6-4	51.22	45.17	58 [32]
88 [23]	Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	5-5	51.15	49.33	27 [18]
89 [24]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	5-5	50.87	47.25	42 [25]
90 [25]	South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	6-4	50.49	47.79	40 [23]
91 [11]	Lovett	5 - AAA	7-3	49.81	39.32	119 [5]
92 [15]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	3-7	49.58	61.83	6 [2]
93 [26]	Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	5-5	49.50	48.53	32 [19]
94 [13]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	9-1	49.35	28.09	226 [34]
95 [14]	Cedartown	5 - AAAA	5-5	48.90	45.59	54 [5]
96 [15]	Troup	5 - AAAA	6-4	48.79	43.36	76 [14]
97 [16]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	8-2	48.72	37.78	137 [35]
98 [7]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	8-2	48.68	21.16	307 [19]
99 [17]	Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	7-3	48.63	38.07	135 [34]
100 [17]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	7-3	48.50	39.81	110 [20]
101 [12]	Liberty County	2 - AAA	6-2	48.27	25.79	256 [37]
102 [18]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	9-1	47.96	19.85	319 [51]
103 [18]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	6-4	47.48	40.73	99 [18]
104 [27]	South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	4-6	47.48	51.45	21 [14]
105 [13]	Hart County	8 - AAA	8-2	47.43	29.99	209 [20]
106 [19]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	7-3	47.41	29.98	210 [40]
107 [28]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	6-4	46.71	42.94	80 [37]
108 [19]	Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	6-4	46.69	39.85	108 [22]
109 [14]	Calhoun	6 - AAA	9-1	46.53	20.99	310 [51]
110 [8]	Christian Heritage	6 - A	9-1	46.14	21.39	301 [18]
111 [20]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	5-5	46.04	42.52	84 [13]
112 [21]	Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	5-5	45.86	45.20	57 [9]
113 [22]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	6-4	45.75	41.18	96 [17]
114 [23]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	6-4	45.55	38.25	131 [32]
115 [20]	Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	7-3	45.54	36.10	153 [30]
116 [29]	Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	5-5	45.43	45.36	56 [31]
117 [30]	West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	4-5	45.19	43.61	71 [36]
118 [15]	Benedictine	3 - AAA	7-3	44.91	27.11	243 [32]
119 [16]	Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	5-5	44.91	45.86	51 [4]
120 [24]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	6-4	44.51	38.82	121 [27]
121 [31]	North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	6-4	44.44	40.20	103 [43]
122 [17]	Perry	2 - AAAA	6-4	44.43	40.03	105 [19]
123 [6]	Union County	8 - AA	9-1	44.35	11.73	380 [50]
124 [9]	Hebron Christian	8 - A	6-4	43.95	33.28	178 [2]
125 [18]	Thomson	3 - AAAA	5-5	43.93	41.30	94 [17]
126 [21]	New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	3-7	43.76	55.11	13 [2]
127 [19]	Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	5-5	43.42	44.16	63 [10]
128 [22]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	5-5	43.40	43.49	73 [13]
129 [7]	Washington County	3 - AA	7-3	43.22	34.05	173 [7]
130 [25]	Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	6-4	43.15	38.38	128 [31]
131 [8]	Brooks County	1 - AA	6-4	42.83	37.24	140 [3]
132 [32]	Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	5-5	42.76	40.55	101 [42]
133 [23]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	7-3	42.74	32.62	182 [37]
134 [24]	Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	10-0	42.69	19.95	317 [50]
135 [9]	Pepperell	7 - AA	8-2	42.52	18.87	332 [32]
136 [16]	North Hall	7 - AAA	7-3	42.41	29.71	212 [21]
137 [25]	Harris County	1 - AAAAA	5-5	42.10	46.01	50 [10]
138 [17]	Islands	3 - AAA	8-2	41.82	22.84	284 [48]
139 [18]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	7-3	41.74	27.37	239 [30]
140 [26]	Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	7-3	41.73	26.96	245 [43]
141 [10]	Bremen	5 - AA	7-3	41.56	26.14	252 [17]
142 [10]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A	10-0	41.35	17.97	347 [27]
143 [26]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	6-4	41.27	34.78	167 [47]
144 [11]	Thomasville	1 - AA	6-4	41.24	39.74	111 [2]
145 [19]	Pace Academy	5 - AAA	5-4	40.97	38.24	132 [6]
146 [12]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	7-3	40.75	29.67	213 [13]
147 [20]	Baldwin	3 - AAAA	4-6	40.75	44.65	61 [8]
148 [21]	St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	5-5	40.43	43.43	74 [13]
149 [22]	White County	7 - AAAA	5-5	40.42	39.89	107 [20]
150 [33]	Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	5-5	40.30	41.56	91 [40]
151 [13]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	7-3	40.14	29.80	211 [12]
152 [3]	Wilcox County	2 - A	8-2	39.75	14.17	365 [22]
153 [14]	Metter	2 - AA	8-2	39.67	21.54	299 [24]
154 [34]	Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	4-6	39.63	49.76	25 [16]
155 [20]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	7-3	39.59	29.03	218 [23]
156 [27]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	7-2	39.48	28.69	221 [57]
157 [28]	Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	5-5	39.35	38.74	122 [28]
158 [29]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	3-7	39.26	48.42	34 [6]
159 [15]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	7-3	39.22	26.92	247 [16]
160 [35]	Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	3-7	39.00	46.67	45 [27]
161 [30]	M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	7-3	38.98	30.89	198 [54]
162 [16]	Toombs County	2 - AA	7-2	38.89	18.51	341 [37]
163 [31]	North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	7-3	38.59	29.31	216 [56]
164 [32]	Northview	7 - AAAAAA	6-4	38.49	32.34	190 [51]
165 [27]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	5-5	38.45	38.51	126 [24]
166 [4]	Bowdon	6 - A	8-2	38.14	27.64	232 [2]
167 [28]	Columbia	5 - AAAAA	5-5	37.74	28.94	220 [41]
168 [29]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	5-5	37.73	38.12	133 [26]
169 [23]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	4-6	37.66	43.28	77 [15]
170 [11]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	7-3	37.56	26.08	253 [10]
171 [12]	Whitefield Academy	6 - A	7-3	37.40	23.06	283 [14]
172 [33]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	5-5	37.39	38.41	127 [30]
173 [24]	Howard	2 - AAAA	5-5	36.94	37.14	143 [25]
174 [25]	Eastside	4 - AAAA	7-3	36.55	19.89	318 [49]
175 [13]	Mount de Sales	7 - A	10-0	36.33	9.06	392 [34]
176 [21]	Morgan County	8 - AAA	7-3	36.28	26.88	248 [34]
177 [5]	Commerce	8 - A	8-2	36.22	11.92	377 [25]
178 [17]	Dodge County	3 - AA	4-6	35.81	40.06	104 [1]
179 [18]	Northeast	3 - AA	5-5	35.76	34.15	171 [6]
180 [26]	Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	5-5	35.69	35.81	154 [28]
181 [22]	Jackson	4 - AAA	7-3	35.36	22.69	286 [49]
182 [23]	Haralson County	6 - AAA	8-2	35.22	17.22	354 [55]
183 [27]	Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	3-7	35.12	44.41	62 [9]
184 [19]	Vidalia	2 - AA	7-3	34.98	23.19	282 [20]
185 [14]	North Cobb Christian	6 - A	7-3	34.76	22.75	285 [15]
186 [20]	Douglass	6 - AA	9-1	34.49	4.51	401 [59]
187 [21]	Elbert County	8 - AA	6-4	34.13	23.50	279 [19]
188 [15]	Savannah Christian	3 - A	6-3	34.09	19.10	329 [25]
189 [34]	Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	5-5	34.08	34.53	169 [48]
190 [28]	Hardaway	1 - AAAA	7-3	34.06	24.64	269 [41]
191 [30]	East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	4-6	34.02	41.35	93 [19]
192 [29]	Westover	1 - AAAA	6-4	33.97	27.60	233 [36]
193 [24]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	6-4	33.96	28.25	225 [25]
194 [35]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	4-6	33.78	36.42	148 [39]
195 [36]	Pope	7 - AAAAAA	5-5	33.57	35.02	162 [44]
196 [36]	Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	3-7	33.56	48.07	39 [22]
197 [6]	Lincoln County	7 - A	8-2	33.39	13.02	373 [24]
198 [22]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	8-2	33.39	13.64	370 [46]
199 [37]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	7-2	33.37	25.13	262 [58]
200 [31]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	3-7	32.69	39.68	112 [21]
201 [7]	Johnson County	3 - A	8-2	32.68	11.15	386 [30]
202 [32]	Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	7-3	32.54	21.60	297 [47]
203 [37]	Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	3-7	32.41	46.19	49 [30]
204 [16]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	5-5	32.18	29.03	219 [6]
205 [30]	Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	6-4	31.75	27.22	241 [38]
206 [31]	Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	8-2	31.73	20.90	311 [48]
207 [32]	Shaw	1 - AAAA	6-4	31.66	27.41	236 [37]
208 [38]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	5-5	31.66	30.64	202 [55]
209 [38]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	3-7	31.59	43.61	70 [36]
210 [8]	Mitchell County	1 - A	9-1	31.55	-25.86	418 [48]
211 [23]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	7-3	31.48	19.22	328 [30]
212 [39]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	3-7	31.32	38.11	134 [33]
213 [40]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	3-6	30.94	40.03	106 [21]
214 [33]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	2-8	30.80	43.54	72 [12]
215 [25]	Fannin County	7 - AAA	6-4	30.75	27.47	235 [28]
216 [33]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	4-6	30.54	37.21	141 [24]
217 [41]	Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	3-7	30.37	39.57	114 [24]
218 [17]	George Walton Academy	8 - A	6-4	29.93	17.16	355 [28]
219 [34]	Pickens	6 - AAAA	6-4	29.77	23.48	280 [43]
220 [39]	Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	4-5	29.73	27.19	242 [47]
221 [42]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	3-7	29.54	38.56	125 [29]
222 [35]	Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	7-3	29.22	21.34	302 [47]
223 [43]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	2-8	28.92	45.03	59 [10]
224 [26]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	5-5	28.66	25.97	255 [36]
225 [34]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	4-6	28.63	36.12	152 [29]
226 [35]	Decatur	6 - AAAAA	7-3	28.45	17.77	350 [53]
227 [44]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	4-6	28.44	32.71	181 [50]
228 [45]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	3-7	28.44	39.15	120 [26]
229 [18]	St. Francis	6 - A	6-4	28.23	19.70	320 [23]
230 [27]	Beach	3 - AAA	5-4	28.08	25.09	264 [41]
231 [36]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	1-8	27.96	48.20	35 [8]
232 [24]	Southwest	3 - AA	4-6	27.69	35.25	159 [5]
233 [25]	Heard County	5 - AA	4-6	27.37	31.78	195 [10]
234 [46]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	3-7	27.01	34.90	165 [46]
235 [47]	Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	2-8	26.95	42.23	86 [14]
236 [36]	LaGrange	5 - AAAA	2-8	26.91	44.81	60 [7]
237 [40]	Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	2-8	26.55	52.18	19 [13]
238 [37]	Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	2-8	26.40	43.06	79 [16]
239 [19]	Aquinas	7 - A	7-3	25.47	14.00	368 [32]
240 [26]	Harlem	4 - AA	7-3	25.46	11.49	384 [52]
241 [38]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	6-4	25.38	21.51	300 [48]
242 [39]	Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	3-7	25.22	39.45	115 [22]
243 [27]	Early County	1 - AA	5-5	24.93	21.18	306 [27]
244 [48]	River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	3-7	24.37	40.30	102 [20]
245 [9]	Pelham	1 - A	9-1	24.30	-25.91	419 [49]
246 [49]	New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	2-8	24.26	36.34	149 [40]
247 [20]	Calvary Day	3 - A	6-4	23.68	21.11	309 [20]
248 [28]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	5-5	23.59	21.61	296 [50]
249 [37]	Chestatee	7 - AAAA	2-8	23.39	43.97	65 [11]
250 [38]	Stephens County	8 - AAAA	1-9	23.26	45.39	55 [6]
251 [50]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	3-7	23.25	34.98	163 [45]
252 [28]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	7-3	23.16	9.74	391 [57]
253 [29]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	3-7	23.01	37.25	139 [7]
254 [30]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	5-5	22.59	24.37	273 [45]
255 [10]	Marion County	4 - A	8-2	22.57	5.34	398 [33]
256 [40]	McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	3-7	22.19	32.54	186 [38]
257 [11]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	5-5	21.97	18.82	334 [16]
258 [12]	Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	6-4	21.88	18.75	336 [17]
259 [41]	Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	1-9	21.73	46.75	44 [26]
260 [51]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	2-8	21.49	36.47	147 [38]
261 [41]	Banneker	6 - AAAAA	4-6	21.36	25.99	254 [46]
262 [13]	Turner County	2 - A	6-4	21.32	19.25	325 [14]
263 [31]	Cook	1 - AAA	3-7	21.29	30.21	205 [19]
264 [21]	First Presbyterian	7 - A	5-5	21.19	18.77	335 [26]
265 [29]	Model	7 - AA	5-5	21.16	18.70	337 [34]
266 [14]	Manchester	4 - A	8-2	21.11	4.13	402 [36]
267 [42]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	5-5	21.09	21.27	304 [49]
268 [39]	Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	4-5	21.08	30.20	206 [33]
269 [30]	Chattooga	7 - AA	5-5	21.05	21.31	303 [25]
270 [32]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	3-7	21.05	30.88	199 [16]
271 [43]	Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	2-8	21.00	37.82	136 [27]
272 [42]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	3-7	20.98	35.79	155 [45]
273 [33]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	4-6	20.94	24.69	268 [43]
274 [34]	Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	3-7	20.67	30.96	197 [15]
275 [31]	Hephzibah	4 - AA	7-2	20.42	6.25	394 [58]
276 [15]	Claxton	3 - A	6-4	20.38	15.47	363 [21]
277 [32]	Temple	5 - AA	6-4	20.30	16.39	359 [43]
278 [16]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	4-6	20.19	24.41	272 [6]
279 [52]	Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	2-8	20.15	35.53	157 [41]
280 [22]	Stratford Academy	7 - A	4-6	19.62	24.81	266 [12]
281 [35]	Monroe	1 - AAA	4-6	19.16	26.73	250 [35]
282 [17]	Warren County	7 - A	6-4	18.92	11.89	378 [26]
283 [33]	Screven County	4 - AA	7-3	18.68	9.99	390 [56]
284 [23]	Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	5-4	18.53	14.02	367 [31]
285 [36]	Brantley County	2 - AAA	5-5	18.08	20.27	314 [52]
286 [40]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	2-8	17.97	33.98	174 [29]
287 [37]	Jackson County	8 - AAA	3-7	17.62	29.12	217 [22]
288 [41]	Hampton	4 - AAAA	5-5	17.48	18.62	340 [51]
289 [24]	Tattnall Square	7 - A	5-5	17.11	20.17	316 [22]
290 [38]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	4-6	17.08	19.49	321 [53]
291 [34]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	4-6	16.98	23.78	275 [18]
292 [18]	Telfair County	2 - A	4-6	16.97	20.43	313 [13]
293 [42]	LaFayette	6 - AAAA	3-7	16.95	25.25	261 [40]
294 [44]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	3-7	16.47	26.95	246 [44]
295 [45]	Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	2-8	16.35	30.16	207 [39]
296 [43]	Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	0-10	16.34	43.73	68 [34]
297 [44]	Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	0-10	16.13	52.19	18 [12]
298 [43]	Spalding	2 - AAAA	1-9	16.03	41.12	98 [18]
299 [39]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	2-8	15.87	31.86	194 [13]
300 [19]	Gordon Lee	6 - A	4-6	15.77	22.66	287 [9]
301 [35]	Lamar County	5 - AA	6-4	15.61	10.64	389 [55]
302 [36]	Monticello	8 - AA	3-7	15.38	27.54	234 [15]
303 [44]	Luella	4 - AAAA	4-6	15.30	22.21	291 [46]
304 [46]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	1-9	14.87	43.08	78 [15]
305 [47]	Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	2-8	14.86	34.87	166 [33]
306 [20]	Trion	6 - A	5-5	14.85	17.55	352 [18]
307 [37]	Putnam County	8 - AA	5-5	14.78	18.87	331 [32]
308 [25]	Walker	6 - A	4-6	14.23	22.04	293 [17]
309 [38]	Washington	6 - AA	4-6	14.00	17.77	349 [41]
310 [45]	Gilmer	6 - AAAA	4-6	13.92	18.41	342 [52]
311 [48]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	4-6	13.03	18.13	345 [52]
312 [21]	Hancock Central	7 - A	5-5	12.54	11.85	379 [27]
313 [22]	Schley County	4 - A	6-4	12.42	3.78	403 [37]
314 [40]	East Hall	7 - AAA	2-8	12.36	33.94	175 [10]
315 [26]	Brookstone	4 - A	6-4	12.31	6.30	393 [35]
316 [45]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	0-10	12.13	46.48	47 [28]
317 [23]	Lanier County	2 - A	3-7	12.09	24.76	267 [5]
318 [24]	Montgomery County	3 - A	5-5	11.75	13.79	369 [23]
319 [25]	Atkinson County	2 - A	3-7	11.42	21.85	294 [10]
320 [27]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	3-7	11.15	24.52	271 [13]
321 [53]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-10	11.08	40.60	100 [19]
322 [41]	Murray County	6 - AAA	4-6	11.03	19.24	327 [54]
323 [54]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	1-9	10.74	45.72	53 [8]
324 [42]	Redan	5 - AAA	3-7	10.33	31.62	196 [14]
325 [39]	Spencer	5 - AA	3-7	10.33	22.13	292 [21]
326 [40]	Berrien	1 - AA	2-8	10.16	30.08	208 [11]
327 [26]	Macon County	4 - A	6-4	9.96	4.80	400 [35]
328 [41]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	3-7	9.70	21.56	298 [23]
329 [43]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	3-7	9.55	24.90	265 [42]
330 [28]	Athens Christian	8 - A	4-6	9.53	20.17	315 [22]
331 [49]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	1-9	9.35	34.60	168 [34]
332 [44]	Worth County	1 - AAA	2-8	9.33	27.07	244 [33]
333 [45]	Pike County	4 - AAA	4-6	9.30	14.17	364 [56]
334 [46]	McDonough	4 - AAAA	4-6	9.26	19.44	322 [50]
335 [47]	Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	1-9	8.93	32.39	188 [31]
336 [55]	Drew	4 - AAAAAA	1-9	8.56	41.91	87 [15]
337 [27]	Treutlen	3 - A	5-5	8.55	5.63	396 [31]
338 [42]	Therrell	6 - AA	3-7	8.38	18.12	346 [39]
339 [48]	Columbus	1 - AAAA	1-9	8.00	33.20	179 [30]
340 [56]	Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	0-10	7.41	39.68	113 [23]
341 [29]	Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	5-5	7.22	6.12	395 [36]
342 [28]	Wilkinson County	7 - A	2-8	6.64	25.11	263 [4]
343 [46]	Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	1-9	6.58	43.80	66 [33]
344 [29]	Dooly County	4 - A	4-6	6.56	11.62	382 [28]
345 [30]	Jenkins County	3 - A	3-7	6.39	16.18	360 [20]
346 [43]	Banks County	8 - AA	3-7	5.71	17.40	353 [42]
347 [50]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	4-6	5.70	17.03	356 [54]
348 [44]	East Laurens	3 - AA	1-9	5.55	36.75	145 [4]
349 [45]	Laney	4 - AA	4-6	5.40	13.21	372 [48]
350 [46]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	2-8	5.24	28.01	227 [26]
351 [47]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	1-9	4.93	28.29	224 [24]
352 [51]	Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	0-10	4.77	33.62	177 [35]
353 [52]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	1-8	4.59	26.77	249 [45]
354 [47]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	4-6	4.22	18.35	344 [48]
355 [30]	Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	2-8	3.88	36.19	150 [1]
356 [46]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	3-7	3.70	11.05	387 [53]
357 [31]	Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	2-8	3.70	19.28	324 [24]
358 [49]	Salem	4 - AAAA	2-8	3.63	22.62	288 [44]
359 [48]	Tattnall County	2 - AAA	1-9	3.49	34.14	172 [9]
360 [32]	Lakeview Academy	8 - A	2-7	3.48	28.49	223 [8]
361 [49]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	2-8	3.07	24.57	270 [44]
362 [31]	Taylor County	4 - A	5-5	2.49	4.94	399 [34]
363 [47]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	4-6	2.24	12.28	374 [49]
364 [50]	North Clayton	4 - AAAA	2-8	1.96	23.54	278 [42]
365 [50]	Rutland	4 - AAA	2-8	1.66	27.39	238 [29]
366 [57]	Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	1-9	1.23	34.24	170 [49]
367 [53]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	0-10	0.88	38.73	123 [23]
368 [51]	Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	2-8	0.41	26.36	251 [39]
369 [32]	Charlton County	2 - A	1-9	-0.06	30.66	201 [1]
370 [54]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-9	-0.46	27.71	230 [42]
371 [51]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	0-10	-0.54	30.53	204 [18]
372 [48]	Butler	4 - AA	2-8	-0.91	10.68	388 [54]
373 [49]	Bacon County	2 - AA	1-9	-1.11	32.57	184 [9]
374 [33]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	1-9	-1.21	23.26	281 [8]
375 [33]	Pacelli	4 - A	5-5	-2.23	-0.20	407 [38]
376 [50]	Dade County	7 - AA	2-8	-2.29	15.81	361 [44]
377 [34]	Terrell County	1 - A	7-3	-2.33	-25.01	416 [46]
378 [35]	Greenville	4 - A	4-6	-2.76	2.05	405 [38]
379 [34]	Landmark Christian	5 - A	2-8	-2.88	30.79	200 [4]
380 [52]	Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	0-10	-3.09	22.42	289 [45]
381 [51]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-8	-3.31	18.84	333 [33]
382 [53]	West Hall	7 - AAAA	0-10	-3.70	48.56	31 [2]
383 [52]	Long County	2 - AAA	1-9	-4.79	39.33	118 [4]
384 [36]	Greene County	7 - A	1-9	-4.90	20.44	312 [12]
385 [54]	Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	2-8	-6.63	11.71	381 [54]
386 [53]	Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-9	-7.59	23.77	276 [46]
387 [54]	Savannah	3 - AAA	1-9	-7.66	25.51	259 [40]
388 [37]	Portal	3 - A	1-9	-8.44	18.88	330 [15]
389 [52]	Jordan	5 - AA	0-10	-9.19	18.66	339 [36]
390 [53]	Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	2-8	-9.54	14.10	366 [45]
391 [38]	Twiggs County	7 - A	1-9	-10.06	16.92	357 [19]
392 [58]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-10	-11.07	36.72	146 [37]
393 [39]	Chattahoochee County	1 - A	6-4	-11.72	-23.40	415 [45]
394 [54]	Coosa	7 - AA	1-9	-11.93	17.94	348 [40]
395 [48]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	0-10	-12.16	32.56	185 [46]
396 [40]	Hawkinsville	4 - A	2-8	-13.72	5.52	397 [32]
397 [55]	Towers	5 - AAA	1-9	-16.48	32.37	189 [12]
398 [35]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	1-9	-17.56	15.64	362 [30]
399 [41]	Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	2-8	-18.47	0.62	406 [39]
400 [42]	Crawford County	4 - A	2-8	-19.44	-5.08	408 [40]
401 [56]	Groves	3 - AAA	0-9	-20.06	27.34	240 [31]
402 [55]	Josey	4 - AA	0-10	-20.34	11.55	383 [51]
403 [36]	Georgia Military College	7 - A	2-8	-22.40	3.64	404 [37]
404 [56]	Social Circle	8 - AA	2-8	-23.68	13.60	371 [47]
405 [43]	Seminole County	1 - A	5-5	-24.51	-20.53	414 [44]
406 [37]	Providence Christian	8 - A	2-8	-25.79	12.26	375 [33]
407 [57]	Armuchee	7 - AA	0-10	-26.73	19.24	326 [29]
408 [38]	Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-10	-26.93	29.63	214 [5]
409 [58]	Bryan County	2 - AA	0-9	-28.30	29.50	215 [14]
410 [44]	Miller County	1 - A	4-6	-28.82	-18.78	413 [43]
411 [55]	Clarkston	5 - AAAAA†	0-10	-31.45	12.21	376 [55]
412 [45]	Wheeler County	3 - A	1-9	-32.49	11.22	385 [29]
413 [59]	McNair	6 - AA	0-10	-32.65	18.36	343 [38]
414 [46]	Towns County	8 - A	0-10	-37.17	27.40	237 [3]
415 [47]	Baconton Charter	1 - A	4-6	-39.53	-28.41	420 [50]
416 [1]	ACE Charter	7 - A†	3-5	-45.38	-9.24	409 [1]
417 [48]	Calhoun County	1 - A	2-8	-51.53	-17.07	412 [42]
418 [2]	Glascock County	7 - A†	2-7	-56.61	-37.26	421 [2]
419 [49]	Stewart County	1 - A	1-9	-63.10	-25.57	417 [47]
420 [3]	Pataula Charter	1 - A†	3-7	-69.64	-51.39	422 [3]
421 [50]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-10	-69.99	-15.33	411 [41]
422 [56]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA†	0-10	-88.79	-9.64	410 [56]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	95.95	80.42
2	1 - AAAAAA	81.10	68.52
3	3 - AAAAAAA	79.97	61.50
4	6 - AAAAAAA	75.76	49.32
5	8 - AAAAAAA	75.60	59.22
6	7 - AAAA	70.36	50.70
7	5 - A	69.01	33.44
8	1 - AAAAA	68.22	53.77
9	7 - AAAAA	66.69	38.36
10	2 - AAAAA	66.36	55.70
11	8 - AAAAAA	65.70	44.69
12	5 - AAAA	65.10	48.00
13	6 - AAAAAA	64.51	40.38
14	5 - AAA	62.12	36.32
15	4 - AAAAA	60.83	43.67
16	7 - AAAAAAA	59.55	31.10
17	2 - AAA	59.54	31.71
18	8 - AAAAA	59.13	35.59
19	5 - AAAAAAA	58.53	42.44
20	4 - AAAA	57.18	14.08
21	4 - AAAAAAA	57.07	44.81
22	2 - AAAAAAA	56.60	41.85
23	6 - A	56.01	23.70
	6-Div B - A	50.53	18.65
	6-Div A - A	48.89	29.71
24	2 - AAAA	55.79	40.44
25	8 - AA	55.42	17.14
26	8 - A	55.25	20.72
	8-Div A - A	56.74	29.17
	8-Div B - A	37.39	13.21
27	4 - AAA	54.99	20.95
28	8 - AAAA	54.77	40.54
29	5 - AAAAAA	54.60	36.68
30	7 - AAAAAA	54.51	34.84
31	2 - A	53.83	24.51
32	2 - AAAAAA	53.76	42.30
33	4 - AAAAAA	53.68	35.83
34	8 - AAA	52.61	32.06
35	3 - AAAAA	51.00	34.97
36	7 - AAA	50.52	30.51
37	1 - AAAA	50.36	30.74
38	3 - AA	50.04	35.62
39	3 - AAAA	49.61	34.30
40	3 - AAA	49.12	22.40
41	7 - AA	49.11	13.20
42	6 - AAA	48.16	24.19
43	5 - AA	46.27	22.55
44	6 - AA	44.60	15.57
45	1 - AA	44.44	32.72
46	2 - AA	44.22	28.95
47	1 - AAA	43.94	23.39
48	3 - AAAAAA	40.28	29.09
49	5 - AAAAA	39.34	21.70
50	3 - A	38.82	17.24
	3-Div A - A	37.89	23.35
	3-Div B - A	27.07	11.04
51	6 - AAAAA	38.53	21.98
52	6 - AAAA	36.17	22.51
53	7 - A	35.50	15.16
	7-Div B - A	30.12	14.54
	7-Div A - A	29.89	15.81
54	4 - AA	29.62	10.18
55	4 - A	23.22	3.03
	4-Div A - A	21.52	5.90
	4-Div B - A	13.62	0.48
56	1 - A	20.27	-26.08

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct	Likelihood
09/12	Stephenson	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	9 - 14	24.84	92.3%	0.138
10/11	Clarke Central	Loganville	21 - 38	19.84	87.9%	0.154
10/18	Dooly County	Crawford County	19 - 20	24.80	92.3%	0.157
09/06	Turner County	Taylor County	7 - 12	17.63	85.4%	0.221
11/01	Carver (Atlanta)	Lithia Springs	14 - 15	18.32	86.2%	0.233
10/25	Burke County	Baldwin	30 - 44	14.42	80.9%	0.235
11/08	McIntosh County Academy	Treutlen	0 - 27	12.83	78.3%	0.236
10/03	Hampton	North Clayton	7 - 8	15.52	82.5%	0.272
09/27	Thomson	Grovetown	12 - 16	14.29	80.7%	0.275
09/05	Perry	Westside (Macon)	13 - 33	10.47	74.0%	0.289
11/08	Buford	Clarke Central	28 - 31	13.11	78.8%	0.298
11/08	Bleckley County	Southwest	11 - 16	12.45	77.6%	0.299
10/18	Aquinas	Hancock Central	14 - 22	11.73	76.4%	0.299
11/01	Westlake	Wheeler	15 - 18	11.98	76.8%	0.316
09/06	White County	Habersham Central	28 - 42	9.68	72.5%	0.317

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct
92.18	11/01	Lowndes	Colquitt County	28 - 17	13.33	79.1%
85.80	09/13	Colquitt County	Valdosta	49 - 50	5.87	64.3%
85.75	08/24	Colquitt County	North Gwinnett	17 - 6	6.68	66.1%
84.41	09/27	Lowndes	Valdosta	24 - 0	20.40	88.5%
83.14	09/27	Colquitt County	Grayson	31 - 7	10.27	73.6%
80.90	10/18	McEachern	Marietta	14 - 12	6.11	64.8%
79.65	10/25	Valdosta	Lee County	50 - 53	6.22	65.1%
79.21	09/13	Grayson	Marietta	28 - 14	4.14	60.2%
76.57	10/11	North Gwinnett	Mill Creek	45 - 3	8.87	70.8%
76.48	09/20	Colquitt County	Warner Robins	31 - 14	16.64	84.1%
74.51	10/18	Grayson	Archer	34 - 31	8.50	70.1%
74.43	10/18	Colquitt County	Camden County	34 - 17	17.41	85.1%
74.18	08/30	Dacula	Mill Creek	24 - 21	3.20	57.9%
73.69	09/06	Lee County	Peach County	17 - 40	5.89	64.3%
73.61	09/14	McEachern	Cedar Grove	29 - 7	14.95	81.7%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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