SportsZone Friday (Oct. 18, 2019)

Maxwell Week 9 summary

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association’s 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all teams’ historical performance is 4.65%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,399 of 1,484 total games including 1 tie(s) (94.31%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.76 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. 

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.44

By Class

AAAAAAA AAAAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Lowndes8-0101.711Valdosta7-189.82
2Colquitt County7-192.312Harrison8-071.68
3McEachern7-084.593Dacula7-069.87
4North Gwinnett7-183.834Coffee6-268.92
5Grayson6-182.165Lee County6-165.74
6Parkview6-175.986Allatoona4-2-160.89
7Marietta5-275.657Houston County4-358.42
8Archer4-372.468Johns Creek6-157.54
9Camden County6-170.599Lanier7-056.76
10Hillgrove6-170.5410Mays6-153.77
11Mill Creek6-270.4611Dalton6-252.25
12Milton4-368.6112South Paulding6-151.77
13Newton5-263.5113Stephenson6-151.58
14Collins Hill4-362.6714Glynn Academy2-450.79
15North Cobb6-159.4115Richmond Hill4-350.45
AAAAA AAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Buford8-077.071Marist8-073.20
2Warner Robins7-173.082Cartersville8-070.87
3Carrollton8-072.873Woodward Academy7-070.71
4Jones County7-067.534Blessed Trinity6-165.61
5Dutchtown6-162.695Sandy Creek6-164.30
6Rome6-262.686Burke County7-158.90
7Ware County4-362.687Flowery Branch6-158.55
8Veterans7-158.258West Laurens6-157.49
9Wayne County6-158.109Oconee County7-154.22
10Kell5-257.4810Denmark5-253.56
11Bainbridge5-254.4011Troup5-251.70
12South Effingham6-254.0212Carver (Columbus)7-151.05
13Griffin7-153.5913North Oconee8-050.33
14Stockbridge6-150.2914Cairo5-249.50
15Union Grove5-250.2915Chapel Hill4-348.57
AAA AA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Cedar Grove6-272.571Dublin7-062.57
2Peach County6-166.362Rabun County7-062.27
3Pierce County7-061.923Rockmart7-059.76
4Greater Atlanta Christian7-157.754Hapeville Charter5-1-159.22
5Jefferson6-154.905Callaway7-157.29
6Crisp County5-354.226Swainsboro6-152.65
7Lovett6-253.807Bleckley County6-246.70
8Westminster (Atlanta)3-453.348Washington County5-246.30
9Jenkins7-152.699Brooks County4-443.18
10Appling County6-152.5910Thomasville4-442.00
11North Murray7-150.8811Fitzgerald6-241.23
12Benedictine5-249.5112Union County7-039.33
13Liberty County4-147.4013Bremen4-338.84
14Calhoun6-143.1014Dodge County3-538.31
15Hart County5-242.0215Vidalia6-137.85
A - Public A - Private
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Irwin County6-061.271Holy Innocents7-065.27
2Clinch County6-153.242Eagle's Landing Christian6-164.65
3Pelham7-039.633Athens Academy7-056.51
4Wilcox County6-135.154Darlington7-046.41
5Bowdon6-133.785Wesleyan5-245.49
6Commerce5-233.476Fellowship Christian7-042.58
7Mitchell County6-128.257Hebron Christian5-242.14
8Marion County6-227.898Prince Avenue Christian5-240.85
9Lincoln County5-227.059Christian Heritage6-138.61
10Manchester5-225.7210Savannah Christian4-236.31
11Johnson County6-124.7111Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)6-134.91
12Turner County5-221.8112Whitefield Academy6-131.62
13McIntosh County Academy2-520.5713Savannah Country Day7-031.03
14Claxton5-220.4414North Cobb Christian6-130.09
15Emanuel County Institute4-418.1315Mount de Sales7-029.47

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank Team Region Rec Rating SchStr Rank
1 [1]Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA8-0101.7162.978 [8]
2 [2]Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA7-192.3170.911 [1]
3 [1]Valdosta1 - AAAAAA7-189.8261.019 [1]
4 [3]McEachern3 - AAAAAAA7-084.5960.3510 [9]
5 [4]North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA7-183.8360.0711 [10]
6 [5]Grayson8 - AAAAAAA6-182.1666.084 [4]
7 [1]Buford8 - AAAAA8-077.0745.9958 [11]
8 [6]Parkview7 - AAAAAAA6-175.9854.3120 [16]
9 [7]Marietta3 - AAAAAAA5-275.6569.852 [2]
10 [1]Marist7 - AAAA8-073.2039.34116 [20]
11 [2]Warner Robins1 - AAAAA7-173.0847.7446 [8]
12 [3]Carrollton7 - AAAAA8-072.8740.66105 [24]
13 [1]Cedar Grove5 - AAA6-272.5748.8538 [2]
14 [8]Archer8 - AAAAAAA4-372.4665.925 [5]
15 [2]Harrison6 - AAAAAA8-071.6834.40159 [40]
16 [2]Cartersville5 - AAAA8-070.8738.71124 [22]
17 [3]Woodward Academy4 - AAAA7-070.7127.72236 [38]
18 [9]Camden County1 - AAAAAAA6-170.5953.9523 [17]
19 [10]Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA6-170.5442.4083 [34]
20 [11]Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA6-270.4653.3824 [18]
21 [3]Dacula8 - AAAAAA7-069.8741.2295 [18]
22 [4]Coffee1 - AAAAAA6-268.9245.6861 [10]
23 [12]Milton5 - AAAAAAA4-368.6158.6314 [13]
24 [4]Jones County4 - AAAAA7-067.5341.1496 [21]
25 [2]Peach County4 - AAA6-166.3636.52139 [9]
26 [5]Lee County1 - AAAAAA6-165.7436.52138 [29]
27 [4]Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA6-165.6150.5229 [1]
28 [1]Holy Innocents5 - A7-065.2727.37238 [5]
29 [2]Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A6-164.6537.55132 [1]
30 [5]Sandy Creek5 - AAAA6-164.3041.2994 [14]
31 [13]Newton8 - AAAAAAA5-263.5150.1130 [20]
32 [5]Dutchtown4 - AAAAA6-162.6946.2355 [10]
33 [6]Rome7 - AAAAA6-262.6837.72129 [29]
34 [7]Ware County2 - AAAAA4-362.6858.5315 [1]
35 [14]Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA4-362.6758.9512 [11]
36 [1]Dublin3 - AA7-062.5733.57171 [8]
37 [2]Rabun County8 - AA7-062.2723.83272 [25]
38 [3]Pierce County2 - AAA7-061.9221.62292 [45]
39 [1]Irwin County2 - A6-061.2720.90298 [11]
40 [6]Allatoona6 - AAAAAA4-2-160.8948.3540 [6]
41 [3]Rockmart7 - AA7-059.7623.51274 [26]
42 [15]North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA6-159.4139.30117 [41]
43 [4]Hapeville Charter6 - AA5-1-159.2229.95213 [12]
44 [6]Burke County3 - AAAA7-158.9034.09163 [27]
45 [7]Flowery Branch7 - AAAA6-158.5537.12134 [24]
46 [7]Houston County1 - AAAAAA4-358.4253.9822 [4]
47 [8]Veterans1 - AAAAA7-158.2545.6463 [13]
48 [9]Wayne County2 - AAAAA6-158.1044.0970 [15]
49 [4]Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA7-157.7536.54137 [8]
50 [16]Westlake2 - AAAAAAA4-357.6356.2617 [14]
51 [8]Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA6-157.5431.82197 [52]
52 [8]West Laurens2 - AAAA6-157.4939.74113 [19]
53 [17]Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA4-357.4947.5848 [27]
54 [10]Kell7 - AAAAA5-257.4842.6882 [18]
55 [18]East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA2-557.4568.983 [3]
56 [19]Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA6-157.3933.05179 [44]
57 [20]South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA4-357.3454.7518 [15]
58 [5]Callaway5 - AA7-157.2924.25268 [23]
59 [21]Walton4 - AAAAAAA4-357.1352.0225 [19]
60 [9]Lanier8 - AAAAAA7-056.7635.25147 [35]
61 [22]Tift County1 - AAAAAAA3-556.5963.396 [6]
62 [3]Athens Academy8 - A7-056.5122.55283 [11]
63 [23]North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA5-255.9243.2976 [32]
64 [5]Jefferson8 - AAA6-154.9029.75215 [22]
65 [11]Bainbridge1 - AAAAA5-254.4048.9436 [7]
66 [9]Oconee County8 - AAAA7-154.2238.11128 [23]
67 [6]Crisp County1 - AAA5-354.2247.6447 [3]
68 [24]Norcross7 - AAAAAAA2-554.2163.127 [7]
69 [12]South Effingham2 - AAAAA6-254.0242.9579 [16]
70 [7]Lovett5 - AAA6-253.8041.0599 [5]
71 [10]Mays5 - AAAAAA6-153.7735.69144 [33]
72 [13]Griffin3 - AAAAA7-153.5935.61146 [32]
73 [10]Denmark7 - AAAA5-253.5627.38237 [39]
74 [8]Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA3-453.3454.4919 [1]
75 [25]Roswell4 - AAAAAAA4-253.2733.15176 [43]
76 [2]Clinch County2 - A6-153.2431.18201 [2]
77 [9]Jenkins3 - AAA7-152.6924.79264 [37]
78 [6]Swainsboro2 - AA6-152.6525.01262 [20]
79 [10]Appling County2 - AAA6-152.5932.18188 [13]
80 [11]Dalton6 - AAAAAA6-252.2532.39186 [49]
81 [26]Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA6-251.9441.8287 [35]
82 [12]South Paulding5 - AAAAAA6-151.7739.25119 [22]
83 [11]Troup5 - AAAA5-251.7041.04102 [15]
84 [13]Stephenson4 - AAAAAA6-151.5834.85151 [37]
85 [12]Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA7-151.0526.68244 [40]
86 [11]North Murray6 - AAA7-150.8819.52307 [50]
87 [14]Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA2-450.7954.2321 [3]
88 [15]Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA4-350.4547.1250 [8]
89 [27]Newnan2 - AAAAAAA5-250.4041.4092 [37]
90 [13]North Oconee8 - AAAA8-050.3323.20277 [44]
91 [28]South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA4-350.3147.2349 [28]
92 [14]Stockbridge4 - AAAAA6-150.2935.91141 [31]
93 [15]Union Grove4 - AAAAA5-250.2932.02191 [39]
94 [16]Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA3-549.9757.4116 [2]
95 [29]Etowah4 - AAAAAAA4-449.8549.5634 [21]
96 [16]Ola4 - AAAAA5-249.6240.11111 [25]
97 [12]Benedictine3 - AAA5-249.5122.66280 [42]
98 [14]Cairo1 - AAAA5-249.5035.12148 [25]
99 [15]Chapel Hill5 - AAAA4-348.5746.7651 [4]
100 [17]Statesboro2 - AAAAA3-448.5151.7126 [2]
101 [18]Riverdale3 - AAAAA6-148.2521.57293 [48]
102 [30]West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA2-447.4948.4839 [24]
103 [17]Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA4-347.4644.9267 [12]
104 [18]Brunswick2 - AAAAAA4-447.4543.4874 [14]
105 [13]Liberty County2 - AAA4-147.4028.82223 [25]
106 [19]Clarke Central8 - AAAAA5-347.3142.9181 [17]
107 [31]Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA4-347.2540.48108 [39]
108 [7]Bleckley County3 - AA6-246.7029.81214 [13]
109 [4]Darlington6 - A7-046.4118.86314 [17]
110 [19]Alexander5 - AAAAAA5-246.3434.25161 [41]
111 [8]Washington County3 - AA5-246.3034.64156 [6]
112 [20]Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA5-245.9434.89150 [36]
113 [20]Hiram7 - AAAAA5-245.6233.53172 [37]
114 [5]Wesleyan5 - A5-245.4933.39174 [2]
115 [21]Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA5-345.3638.98120 [28]
116 [16]Mary Persons2 - AAAA4-345.1541.4190 [13]
117 [21]Creekview6 - AAAAAA5-244.5334.09164 [43]
118 [22]New Hampstead2 - AAAAA3-444.1149.7233 [6]
119 [23]Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA6-143.8318.46319 [50]
120 [22]Creekside5 - AAAAAA4-343.8237.56131 [26]
121 [17]Perry2 - AAAA4-343.5740.58107 [16]
122 [23]Tucker4 - AAAAAA4-343.5038.16125 [25]
123 [9]Brooks County1 - AA4-443.1841.1197 [3]
124 [14]Calhoun6 - AAA6-143.1019.72306 [49]
125 [24]Riverwood6 - AAAAA7-042.8322.54284 [47]
126 [25]Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA5-242.6032.12189 [38]
127 [6]Fellowship Christian6 - A7-042.588.91387 [32]
128 [18]Thomson3 - AAAA3-442.5243.8472 [8]
129 [24]Douglas County5 - AAAAAA5-342.3436.89136 [28]
130 [7]Hebron Christian8 - A5-242.1425.46257 [8]
131 [25]M.L. King4 - AAAAAA6-142.1430.30208 [53]
132 [15]Hart County8 - AAA5-242.0231.89194 [16]
133 [19]Cedartown5 - AAAA3-442.0141.6388 [12]
134 [10]Thomasville1 - AA4-442.0046.4252 [1]
135 [16]Pace Academy5 - AAA4-341.9038.12127 [7]
136 [26]Harris County1 - AAAAA4-441.6845.6562 [12]
137 [20]Howard2 - AAAA4-341.5640.14110 [17]
138 [11]Fitzgerald1 - AA6-241.2324.74265 [22]
139 [26]Gainesville8 - AAAAAA3-441.1545.4964 [11]
140 [8]Prince Avenue Christian8 - A5-240.8523.46275 [10]
141 [27]Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA5-340.1834.23162 [42]
142 [28]Pope7 - AAAAAA5-340.1533.95167 [45]
143 [32]Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA4-340.0240.59106 [38]
144 [33]North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA5-239.8631.84195 [45]
145 [3]Pelham1 - A7-039.63-10.88418 [48]
146 [17]Islands3 - AAA6-239.5725.03261 [36]
147 [27]Jonesboro3 - AAAAA3-539.5746.3853 [9]
148 [21]St. Pius X8 - AAAA3-539.3848.3541 [2]
149 [12]Union County8 - AA7-039.3311.30373 [51]
150 [28]Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA5-339.2334.93149 [33]
151 [22]Eastside4 - AAAA4-339.1033.14177 [30]
152 [18]Monroe Area8 - AAA6-239.0527.27241 [29]
153 [29]Morrow4 - AAAAAA4-439.0238.81122 [23]
154 [30]Evans3 - AAAAAA4-238.9334.47158 [39]
155 [13]Bremen5 - AA4-338.8430.26209 [11]
156 [9]Christian Heritage6 - A6-138.6116.75331 [20]
157 [23]Westover1 - AAAA5-238.5827.73234 [37]
158 [19]Morgan County8 - AAA6-238.3326.14249 [31]
159 [14]Dodge County3 - AA3-538.3143.9371 [2]
160 [31]Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA2-538.1445.7360 [9]
161 [20]Dawson County7 - AAA5-238.0621.89289 [44]
162 [21]Jackson4 - AAA5-237.9626.11250 [32]
163 [22]North Hall7 - AAA4-337.8631.82198 [18]
164 [15]Vidalia2 - AA6-137.8518.45320 [34]
165 [16]Pepperell7 - AA5-237.8523.92271 [24]
166 [24]Upson-Lee2 - AAAA2-537.2145.1466 [6]
167 [29]Columbia5 - AAAAA3-436.9436.96135 [30]
168 [25]White County7 - AAAA4-336.8433.06178 [31]
169 [17]Jefferson County4 - AA6-236.5916.69332 [39]
170 [10]Savannah Christian3 - A4-236.3113.37355 [26]
171 [30]Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA5-236.2024.44267 [46]
172 [34]Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA3-436.1743.1677 [33]
173 [32]Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA4-335.6928.62227 [57]
174 [35]Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA1-635.6547.9044 [26]
175 [23]Westside (Macon)4 - AAA4-335.4731.56199 [19]
176 [26]Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA3-535.1939.98112 [18]
177 [4]Wilcox County2 - A6-135.159.03386 [30]
178 [33]Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA5-135.1027.37239 [58]
179 [31]East Paulding7 - AAAAA1-635.0451.6628 [4]
180 [36]Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA2-534.9746.1856 [29]
181 [27]Baldwin3 - AAAA2-634.9548.1643 [3]
182 [11]Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A6-134.9119.33311 [16]
183 [32]Paulding County7 - AAAAA3-434.7341.0598 [22]
184 [34]North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA4-334.5533.61170 [47]
185 [37]Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA2-634.3748.9137 [23]
186 [5]Bowdon6 - A6-133.7820.96297 [10]
187 [6]Commerce8 - A5-233.4714.49346 [17]
188 [33]Loganville8 - AAAAA2-633.4441.9685 [19]
189 [35]Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA3-533.3235.73143 [32]
190 [18]Northeast3 - AA3-433.2534.07165 [7]
191 [24]Haralson County6 - AAA6-133.2213.68353 [54]
192 [19]Douglass6 - AA6-133.049.56383 [54]
193 [38]Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA2-632.9849.5235 [22]
194 [36]Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA3-532.9538.72123 [24]
195 [37]Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA3-332.9232.66184 [48]
196 [20]Metter2 - AA5-232.5716.94329 [37]
197 [38]Northview7 - AAAAAA4-332.5629.34221 [56]
198 [34]Whitewater3 - AAAAA1-632.1949.9331 [5]
199 [12]Whitefield Academy6 - A6-131.6213.06359 [27]
200 [39]Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA3-431.4633.79168 [46]
201 [35]Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA2-531.3639.55115 [26]
202 [13]Savannah Country Day3 - A7-031.0311.51368 [29]
203 [28]Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA4-331.0228.13229 [35]
204 [39]Discovery6 - AAAAAAA1-631.0158.7913 [12]
205 [40]Effingham County2 - AAAAAA2-630.8742.9580 [16]
206 [41]Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA3-430.8234.06166 [44]
207 [29]Hardaway1 - AAAA4-330.7627.98231 [36]
208 [42]Hughes5 - AAAAAA1-730.6047.8745 [7]
209 [30]Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA5-230.2921.98288 [47]
210 [14]North Cobb Christian6 - A6-130.0915.66338 [21]
211 [31]Shaw1 - AAAA5-230.0620.69302 [48]
212 [36]Decatur6 - AAAAA5-229.8517.53325 [52]
213 [32]Pickens6 - AAAA5-329.4818.62318 [51]
214 [15]Mount de Sales7 - A7-029.471.01407 [37]
215 [33]Ridgeland6 - AAAA3-429.4633.26175 [29]
216 [34]LaGrange5 - AAAA2-529.4043.1578 [9]
217 [16]George Walton Academy8 - A5-229.036.88392 [33]
218 [37]Locust Grove4 - AAAAA0-629.0051.6827 [3]
219 [21]Toombs County2 - AA5-228.3910.97375 [52]
220 [43]Alcovy3 - AAAAAA2-528.3941.05100 [20]
221 [22]Elbert County8 - AA3-428.3831.11204 [10]
222 [35]Madison County8 - AAAA3-428.3533.62169 [28]
223 [7]Mitchell County1 - A6-128.25-11.90419 [49]
224 [25]Sonoraville6 - AAA4-328.2423.34276 [40]
225 [44]Northgate5 - AAAAAA1-628.2243.7673 [13]
226 [45]Grovetown3 - AAAAAA3-428.1832.00192 [51]
227 [17]Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A3-427.9430.23210 [3]
228 [46]Cambridge7 - AAAAAA3-527.9432.37187 [50]
229 [8]Marion County4 - A6-227.8911.84365 [23]
230 [18]Aquinas7 - A6-127.5510.94376 [31]
231 [26]Fannin County7 - AAA5-227.4120.66303 [48]
232 [9]Lincoln County7 - A5-227.0511.49370 [25]
233 [36]Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA6-226.9718.68317 [50]
234 [40]Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA3-326.9211.51369 [48]
235 [23]Heard County5 - AA3-426.8428.77225 [16]
236 [24]Jeff Davis2 - AA6-126.706.70393 [56]
237 [25]Harlem4 - AA5-326.7016.57334 [41]
238 [41]Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA3-426.6228.74226 [46]
239 [42]Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-625.9148.2442 [25]
240 [26]Early County1 - AA4-325.8316.44335 [42]
241 [10]Manchester4 - A5-225.7210.51379 [28]
242 [37]Stephens County8 - AAAA1-625.7044.1669 [7]
243 [19]Brookstone4 - A5-225.6313.93348 [25]
244 [27]South Atlanta6 - AA5-225.1513.94347 [45]
245 [47]Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA3-425.0430.12211 [54]
246 [48]Apalachee8 - AAAAAA2-524.9235.67145 [34]
247 [11]Johnson County3 - A6-124.713.29403 [39]
248 [38]Villa Rica7 - AAAAA1-624.6841.3693 [20]
249 [49]New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-724.5740.84104 [21]
250 [39]Cass7 - AAAAA3-524.4834.32160 [36]
251 [27]Monroe1 - AAA3-524.3333.40173 [10]
252 [28]Southwest3 - AA2-524.1137.63130 [5]
253 [50]River Ridge6 - AAAAAA2-623.8943.4675 [15]
254 [40]Lithonia5 - AAAAA4-323.7221.18296 [49]
255 [20]Calvary Day3 - A4-323.6321.42294 [13]
256 [21]First Presbyterian7 - A4-323.2817.64323 [18]
257 [29]Lamar County5 - AA6-122.905.30396 [57]
258 [51]Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA2-622.7034.72155 [38]
259 [38]Richmond Academy3 - AAAA3-422.3230.69207 [33]
260 [30]Hephzibah4 - AA5-221.9112.62360 [47]
261 [12]Turner County2 - A5-221.8115.33340 [16]
262 [22]St. Francis6 - A4-321.7017.54324 [19]
263 [41]Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA1-621.6444.5468 [14]
264 [31]Screven County4 - AA5-221.4412.41362 [49]
265 [42]Grady6 - AAAAA3-421.1225.77255 [45]
266 [28]Central (Macon)4 - AAA2-621.0331.36200 [20]
267 [43]Banneker6 - AAAAA2-521.0229.57217 [41]
268 [29]Cook1 - AAA2-620.6831.15202 [21]
269 [13]McIntosh County Academy3 - A2-520.5730.90206 [4]
270 [39]Spalding2 - AAAA1-620.5241.8886 [11]
271 [14]Claxton3 - A5-220.4411.40371 [26]
272 [30]Beach3 - AAA2-320.4132.88180 [11]
273 [44]Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA1-620.3739.26118 [27]
274 [31]Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA3-520.3527.74233 [27]
275 [45]McIntosh3 - AAAAA2-520.2831.12203 [40]
276 [43]Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA0-720.1846.0357 [30]
277 [46]Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA4-319.9316.97328 [53]
278 [47]Fayette County3 - AAAAA2-519.1327.72235 [44]
279 [40]Chestatee7 - AAAA1-619.0742.0484 [10]
280 [52]Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA1-619.0735.93140 [30]
281 [32]Windsor Forest3 - AAA3-418.9122.56282 [43]
282 [33]Jackson County8 - AAA2-518.7329.50219 [24]
283 [34]Adairsville6 - AAA3-518.6225.90252 [34]
284 [32]Chattooga7 - AA3-418.4922.68279 [27]
285 [23]Stratford Academy7 - A2-518.4926.23248 [7]
286 [15]Emanuel County Institute3 - A4-418.1313.79351 [19]
287 [35]Brantley County2 - AAA4-317.9717.04327 [52]
288 [41]Hampton4 - AAAA3-417.8924.57266 [43]
289 [42]Dougherty1 - AAAA1-617.3432.72183 [32]
290 [36]Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA2-417.1620.80299 [46]
291 [24]Mount Paran Christian6 - A3-317.1011.31372 [30]
292 [37]Stone Mountain5 - AAA2-517.0427.35240 [28]
293 [16]Washington-Wilkes7 - A4-416.9118.72316 [12]
294 [17]Trion6 - A5-316.7910.93377 [27]
295 [33]Temple5 - AA4-416.6017.99321 [35]
296 [34]Model7 - AA3-416.3019.04313 [32]
297 [43]Columbus1 - AAAA1-616.0238.97121 [21]
298 [44]LaFayette6 - AAAA3-515.9222.49285 [46]
299 [44]Campbell2 - AAAAAAA0-715.8545.1665 [31]
300 [25]Walker6 - A4-315.6914.98341 [22]
301 [45]McDonough4 - AAAA3-415.4322.63281 [45]
302 [46]Luella4 - AAAA2-515.2825.43258 [42]
303 [35]Spencer5 - AA2-515.0725.62256 [18]
304 [45]Lambert5 - AAAAAAA0-715.0540.47109 [40]
305 [36]B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA2-514.9927.14242 [17]
306 [18]Hancock Central7 - A4-314.959.07385 [29]
307 [38]Franklin County8 - AAA1-614.2931.83196 [17]
308 [39]Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA3-413.7513.20356 [55]
309 [46]Duluth6 - AAAAAAA1-613.5441.4589 [36]
310 [53]Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-713.1241.4091 [17]
311 [37]Berrien1 - AA2-512.9325.05260 [19]
312 [19]Telfair County2 - A2-512.8322.00287 [8]
313 [20]Schley County4 - A4-312.755.27397 [34]
314 [38]Washington6 - AA2-512.5718.82315 [33]
315 [54]South Cobb6 - AAAAAA1-712.5149.9332 [5]
316 [55]Drew4 - AAAAAA1-612.1441.05101 [20]
317 [21]Atkinson County2 - A3-412.0515.70337 [14]
318 [40]Pike County4 - AAA3-412.0413.93349 [53]
319 [39]Therrell6 - AA2-511.9624.97263 [21]
320 [41]Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA2-511.2729.62216 [23]
321 [40]Banks County8 - AA3-411.2514.96342 [43]
322 [22]Montgomery County3 - A5-211.234.85399 [36]
323 [23]Macon County4 - A4-311.017.32391 [33]
324 [42]Worth County1 - AAA2-610.8925.92251 [33]
325 [56]Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-710.8637.43133 [27]
326 [47]North Clayton4 - AAAA2-510.6328.26228 [34]
327 [24]Terrell County1 - A5-210.61-2.07413 [44]
328 [25]Gordon Lee6 - A2-510.4121.70291 [9]
329 [43]East Jackson8 - AAA3-410.3619.48309 [51]
330 [26]Lanier County2 - A2-510.2625.78254 [7]
331 [26]Athens Christian8 - A2-59.6327.85232 [4]
332 [27]Charlton County2 - A1-69.4732.86181 [1]
333 [27]Tattnall Square7 - A3-49.3712.10364 [28]
334 [48]Miller Grove5 - AAAAA0-79.0540.95103 [23]
335 [44]Long County2 - AAA1-69.0246.2954 [4]
336 [45]Redan5 - AAA2-58.6126.84243 [30]
337 [41]Putnam County8 - AA3-48.5620.45304 [30]
338 [42]Westside (Augusta)4 - AA3-48.379.38384 [55]
339 [49]Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA2-58.1317.73322 [51]
340 [28]Taylor County4 - A4-37.965.09398 [35]
341 [28]Riverside Military Academy8 - A4-37.791.23406 [36]
342 [46]East Hall7 - AAA1-77.6832.46185 [12]
343 [47]Murray County6 - AAA4-47.4910.79378 [56]
344 [43]Laney4 - AA2-57.4721.19295 [28]
345 [47]Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA3-46.6821.84290 [47]
346 [29]Warren County7 - A4-36.641.00408 [41]
347 [44]Monticello8 - AA1-66.6029.56218 [14]
348 [29]Pacelli4 - A5-36.462.11405 [35]
349 [50]Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA1-66.1534.81152 [34]
350 [30]Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A2-56.1119.52308 [15]
351 [45]Gordon Central7 - AA2-56.1016.66333 [40]
352 [48]Salem4 - AAAA1-65.9426.55245 [41]
353 [49]Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA0-85.8634.73154 [26]
354 [51]Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA4-45.747.93390 [55]
355 [31]Strong Rock Christian5 - A2-55.7426.25247 [6]
356 [48]Rutland4 - AAA2-64.8328.03230 [26]
357 [30]Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A1-74.7625.81253 [6]
358 [57]Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-74.3735.80142 [31]
359 [49]Tattnall County2 - AAA0-74.2931.95193 [15]
360 [31]Chattahoochee County1 - A4-44.204.30401 [37]
361 [46]Butler4 - AA2-53.9113.69352 [46]
362 [50]Gilmer6 - AAAA3-43.9010.20381 [53]
363 [32]Dooly County4 - A2-53.0613.41354 [20]
364 [50]Lumpkin County7 - AAA1-62.9425.15259 [35]
365 [51]Cross Creek3 - AAAA2-52.8419.30312 [49]
366 [32]Lakeview Academy8 - A1-51.9924.09270 [9]
367 [52]Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA0-81.9234.56157 [35]
368 [33]Jenkins County3 - A2-61.0913.83350 [18]
369 [47]Glenn Hills4 - AA2-50.9316.87330 [38]
370 [51]Ringgold6 - AAA0-70.8932.06190 [14]
371 [53]North Springs6 - AAAAA1-60.2528.82224 [43]
372 [33]Landmark Christian5 - A2-5-0.1814.83343 [23]
373 [34]Greenville4 - A2-5-0.2211.73367 [24]
374 [52]West Hall7 - AAAA0-8-0.3145.8959 [5]
375 [48]East Laurens3 - AA1-6-1.6339.66114 [4]
376 [35]Treutlen3 - A3-4-1.983.05404 [40]
377 [52]Kendrick4 - AAA1-7-3.2223.79273 [39]
378 [36]Wilkinson County7 - A1-6-3.3026.27246 [5]
379 [54]Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-6-3.3228.96222 [42]
380 [49]Dade County7 - AA1-6-3.3212.43361 [48]
381 [50]KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA2-5-3.3610.29380 [53]
382 [53]Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-5-3.439.90382 [54]
383 [34]Pinecrest Academy6 - A0-7-3.9822.30286 [12]
384 [37]Greene County7 - A1-6-4.1016.17336 [13]
385 [53]Savannah3 - AAA1-6-4.1622.95278 [41]
386 [51]Bacon County2 - AA0-8-4.4332.85182 [9]
387 [52]Jordan5 - AA0-8-5.1820.77300 [29]
388 [38]Miller County1 - A3-5-5.613.31402 [38]
389 [54]Coahulla Creek6 - AAA1-6-5.7420.73301 [47]
390 [53]Coosa7 - AA1-6-6.7114.52345 [44]
391 [54]Bryan County2 - AA0-7-8.6229.43220 [15]
392 [48]Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA0-8-8.9134.77153 [42]
393 [54]Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA0-7-9.3413.09358 [52]
394 [39]Hawkinsville4 - A1-6-9.7412.13363 [22]
395 [40]Seminole County1 - A3-4-9.90-1.15411 [42]
396 [41]Crawford County4 - A2-5-10.59-2.64415 [45]
397 [58]Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-8-10.6530.02212 [55]
398 [55]Oglethorpe County8 - AA2-5-10.674.50400 [58]
399 [55]Towers5 - AAA1-6-10.8338.14126 [6]
400 [35]King's Ridge Christian6 - A1-6-11.7914.61344 [24]
401 [42]Portal3 - A0-7-14.5415.34339 [15]
402 [43]Central (Talbotton)4 - A1-6-14.728.82388 [31]
403 [56]Josey4 - AA0-7-15.7511.78366 [50]
404 [56]Groves3 - AAA0-7-16.3024.11269 [38]
405 [44]Twiggs County7 - A0-8-18.2713.12357 [21]
406 [36]Providence Christian8 - A2-5-18.696.53395 [34]
407 [57]Armuchee7 - AA0-7-19.2417.10326 [36]
408 [37]Georgia Military College7 - A2-6-21.23-0.25410 [38]
409 [38]Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-7-21.9420.12305 [14]
410 [58]Social Circle8 - AA2-5-22.090.05409 [59]
411 [59]McNair6 - AA0-7-23.2519.46310 [31]
412 [45]Baconton Charter1 - A2-5-25.11-3.17416 [46]
413 [46]Calhoun County1 - A2-5-25.76-1.71412 [43]
414 [47]Towns County8 - A0-7-25.9331.09205 [3]
415 [48]Wheeler County3 - A1-6-28.068.13389 [32]
416 [55]Clarkston5 - AAAAA†0-8-30.5611.04374 [54]
417 [49]Stewart County1 - A1-6-43.68-12.24420 [50]
418 [1]ACE Charter7 - A†1-6-46.68-2.15414 [1]
419 [50]Randolph-Clay1 - A0-7-49.80-6.49417 [47]
420 [2]Glascock County7 - A†1-7-50.10-26.95422 [3]
421 [3]Pataula Charter1 - A†2-6-64.37-24.98421 [2]
422 [56]Cross Keys5 - AAAAA†0-8-80.946.55394 [56]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Comp Rating Avg Rating
11 - AAAAAAA96.2780.73
21 - AAAAAA81.3165.66
33 - AAAAAAA80.2664.15
48 - AAAAAAA76.8960.90
56 - AAAAAAA75.5951.53
67 - AAAA68.5147.57
71 - AAAAA67.0753.52
85 - AAAA66.2048.46
97 - AAAAA65.5839.95
104 - AAAAA64.3845.70
116 - AAAAAA64.3340.32
127 - AAAAAAA63.6134.79
132 - AAAAA63.3953.49
148 - AAAAA63.1233.82
155 - AAA62.9336.35
165 - AAAAAAA61.7942.92
178 - AAAAAA61.6542.39
185 - A60.5329.61
194 - AAAAAAA58.8246.39
202 - AAAAAAA57.9743.05
212 - AAA56.0932.17
223 - AA55.6637.41
235 - AAAAAA54.8437.71
242 - AAAA54.2841.33
254 - AAAA53.4817.34
262 - AAAAAA53.3742.71
272 - A52.7123.95
283 - AAAAA52.5737.32
294 - AAA52.3222.89
308 - AAAA52.2939.56
317 - AAAAAA51.5532.72
324 - AAAAAA51.2534.89
333 - AAAA50.8033.04
348 - AAA49.4131.28
351 - AAAA49.2930.10
367 - AAA48.3427.13
378 - A48.2919.39
 8-Div A - A47.7926.33
 8-Div B - A35.3512.60
388 - AA47.9313.54
393 - AAA47.8420.84
405 - AA46.4423.90
411 - AA45.4733.92
422 - AA45.3526.12
437 - AA45.3211.01
446 - A45.2520.25
 6-Div A - A43.0226.13
 6-Div B - A35.5614.98
456 - AA44.7315.86
466 - AAA44.5420.66
471 - AAA43.7825.32
483 - AAAAAA41.1030.26
496 - AAAAA39.6722.58
505 - AAAAA37.4522.07
513 - A35.1914.09
 3-Div A - A35.2322.09
 3-Div B - A21.405.88
526 - AAAA34.2619.69
534 - AA32.0112.63
547 - A31.8311.21
 7-Div B - A26.8011.21
 7-Div A - A25.9611.20
554 - A28.417.04
 4-Div A - A28.5912.87
 4-Div B - A14.852.70
561 - A27.83-8.40

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct Likelihood
09/12StephensonMount Zion (Jonesboro)9 - 1418.2686.1%0.213
10/11Clarke CentralLoganville21 - 3812.4277.6%0.260
09/06HarlemWashington-Wilkes14 - 2611.2475.5%0.294
09/27ThomsonGrovetown12 - 1612.9078.4%0.297
09/06Turner CountyTaylor County7 - 1212.4077.6%0.300
10/18AquinasHancock Central14 - 2211.1675.3%0.309
10/04Macon CountyDooly County8 - 269.3971.9%0.313
10/18Dooly CountyCrawford County19 - 2012.2177.2%0.323
09/05PerryWestside (Macon)13 - 338.1069.2%0.334
10/18Maynard JacksonLithia Springs25 - 2810.3573.8%0.343
10/18GrovetownGreenbrier19 - 2010.5574.2%0.349
09/13VeteransStatesboro19 - 298.3069.6%0.353
09/06WoodstockCambridge20 - 229.1671.4%0.367
09/20Richmond HillNew Hampstead14 - 217.7968.5%0.371
10/04CartersvilleCentral (Carrollton)16 - 1434.2496.8%0.382

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct
94.2311/01LowndesColquitt County - 10.8474.7%
91.7009/27LowndesValdosta24 - 013.3479.1%
91.0409/13Colquitt CountyValdosta49 - 501.0552.6%
86.3308/24Colquitt CountyNorth Gwinnett17 - 68.4870.0%
84.0809/27Colquitt CountyGrayson31 - 711.6076.1%
78.7510/18McEachernMarietta14 - 127.4967.9%
77.3709/13GraysonMarietta28 - 147.9568.9%
76.4009/06LowndesParkview38 - 727.1893.8%
75.6610/18GraysonArcher34 - 318.2669.5%
74.4409/14McEachernCedar Grove29 - 713.4679.4%
74.2309/20Colquitt CountyWarner Robins31 - 1420.6788.8%
73.8609/27BufordArcher29 - 286.0664.7%
73.8310/11North GwinnettMill Creek45 - 311.9276.7%
73.2210/18Colquitt CountyCamden County34 - 1720.2888.4%
72.2710/11McEachernHillgrove19 - 1415.4982.5%

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