Sports
Maxwell Week 1 Projections
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Aug 17
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64.00 | AAAAAA | Lee County | 76.2% | 12 | Mary Persons | AAAA |
| 63.35 | AAAAAA | Houston County | 73.5% | 10 | Jones County | AAAAA |
| 56.20 | AAAAA | Carrollton | 78.4% | 13 | Newnan | AAAAAAA |
| 50.95 | AAAAAAA | Newton | 82.2% | 15 | Drew | AAAAAA |
| 30.52 | AAAA | Troup | 85.8% | 18 | Hardaway | AAAA |
Aug 18
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80.81 | AAAAAA | Valdosta | 56.3% | 3 | Lowndes | AAAAAAA |
| 72.49 | AAAA | Cartersville | 81.9% | 15 | Allatoona | AAAAAA |
| 72.47 | AA | Benedictine | 65.9% | 7 | Glynn Academy | AAAAAA |
| 70.18 | AAAAAAA | Peachtree Ridge | 63.2% | 6 | Parkview | AAAAAAA |
| 67.27 | AAAAA | Buford | 85.5% | 18 | Hillgrove | AAAAAAA |
| 66.73 | AAAAAAA | North Cobb | 70.9% | 9 | Cherokee | AAAAAAA |
| 65.49 | AAAAAA | Stephenson | 51.9% | 1 | Cedar Grove | AAA |
| 64.81 | AAAAAAA | Roswell | 93.7% | 27 | South Forsyth | AAAAAAA |
| 63.44 | AAA | Westminster (Atlanta) | 50.1% | 0 | Blessed Trinity | AAAA |
| 62.21 | AAA | Greater Atlanta Christian | 69.7% | 9 | Lovett | AAA |
| 61.75 | AAAAAAA | West Forsyth | 52.5% | 1 | Woodstock | AAAAAAA |
| 61.60 | AAAAAAA | East Coweta | 56.7% | 3 | Lovejoy | AAAAAA |
| 60.69 | AAAA | Sandy Creek | 71.1% | 9 | Creekside | AAAAAA |
| 59.44 | AAAAAAA | South Gwinnett | 68.7% | 8 | Central Gwinnett | AAAAAAA |
| 56.53 | AAAAAA | Coffee | 82.0% | 15 | Effingham County | AAAAAA |
| 56.22 | AAAAAAA | Milton | 66.7% | 7 | Alpharetta | AAAAAA |
| 54.47 | AAAAAA | Harrison | 83.0% | 16 | East Paulding | AAAAA |
| 54.31 | AAAAAAA | Collins Hill | 54.8% | 2 | Shiloh | AAAAAAA |
| 53.81 | AAAAAA | Northside (Warner Robins) | 91.8% | 24 | Warner Robins | AAAAA |
| 53.71 | AAAAAAA | Wheeler | 59.9% | 4 | Marietta | AAAAAAA |
| 51.18 | AAAAAAA | Lassiter | 78.7% | 13 | Johns Creek | AAAAAA |
| 51.04 | AAAAA | Thomas County Central | 64.9% | 6 | Worth County | AAA |
| 48.50 | AAAAAAA | North Paulding | 84.0% | 17 | Paulding County | AAAAA |
| 47.54 | AAAAAA | Northgate | 88.0% | 20 | Veterans | AAAAA |
| 44.76 | AAAAAA | Sequoyah | 69.8% | 9 | North Forsyth | AAAAAAA |
| 44.73 | AA | Callaway | 80.0% | 14 | LaGrange | AAAA |
| 44.60 | AA | Brooks County | 73.2% | 10 | Cook | AAA |
| 44.10 | A-Private | Eagle's Landing Christian | 92.3% | 25 | Eagle's Landing | AAAAA |
| 43.76 | AA | Fitzgerald | 91.6% | 24 | Hapeville Charter | AA |
| 43.12 | A-Private | Prince Avenue Christian | 76.9% | 12 | Aquinas | A-Private |
| 42.97 | AA | Vidalia | 59.2% | 4 | Dodge County | AA |
| 42.51 | AAAA | Cairo | 82.4% | 16 | Thomasville | AA |
| 42.31 | AAAAA | Clarke Central | 60.8% | 5 | Winder-Barrow | AAAAAA |
| 41.03 | AAAAAA | Gainesville | 83.9% | 17 | West Hall | AAAA |
| 40.67 | AAAA | Carver (Columbus) | 79.7% | 14 | Harris County | AAAAA |
| 40.49 | AAAAA | Hiram | 58.5% | 4 | Kennesaw Mountain | AAAAAAA |
| 40.24 | AAAAAA | Hughes | 93.3% | 26 | Mundy's Mill | AAAAAA |
| 40.00 | AAAAAA | Lanier | 86.3% | 18 | Northview | AAAAAA |
| 39.53 | AA | Jefferson County | 67.9% | 8 | Savannah Christian | A-Private |
| 38.57 | AAAAAA | Chattahoochee | 51.1% | 1 | Pickens | AAAA |
| 38.27 | AAAA | Ridgeland | 63.6% | 6 | Adairsville | AAA |
| 37.42 | AAAAA | Carver (Atlanta) | 82.2% | 15 | Lithonia | AAAAA |
| 37.30 | AAA | Crisp County | 80.9% | 15 | Dooly County | A-Public |
| 37.13 | AAAA | Cedartown | 66.4% | 7 | Rockmart | AA |
| 35.69 | AAAAAAA | Pebblebrook | 66.5% | 7 | South Cobb | AAAAAA |
| 35.62 | AAAA | Thomson | 95.9% | 31 | Laney | AA |
| 34.86 | A-Public | McIntosh County Academy | 63.4% | 6 | Brantley County | AAA |
| 34.28 | AAAAAAA | Tift County | 96.6% | 32 | South Effingham | AAAAA |
| 34.02 | AAAAAA | Heritage (Conyers) | 63.3% | 6 | Salem | AAAA |
| 34.00 | AAAA | Burke County | 90.3% | 22 | Grovetown | AAAAAA |
| 32.88 | AAAAA | Villa Rica | 77.7% | 13 | Central (Carrollton) | AAAA |
| 31.26 | AAAAA | Ola | 81.2% | 15 | Pike County | AAA |
| 31.23 | AAAA | Northwest Whitfield | 82.4% | 16 | Ringgold | AAA |
| 31.20 | AAAA | Westover | 72.7% | 10 | Pelham | A-Public |
| 30.48 | AAA | Calhoun | 97.2% | 34 | Douglass | AA |
| 29.94 | AAAAAA | Jonesboro | 86.9% | 19 | Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | AAAAAA |
| 29.66 | AAA | Jackson | 87.0% | 19 | Swainsboro | AA |
| 29.33 | AA | Dublin | 72.3% | 10 | Tattnall County | AAA |
| 29.31 | AAAAA | Riverdale | 74.9% | 11 | North Clayton | AAAA |
| 29.23 | A-Private | Landmark Christian | 85.4% | 18 | B.E.S.T. Academy | AA |
| 29.09 | A-Private | Mount Pisgah Christian | 70.5% | 9 | Holy Innocents | A-Private |
| 28.59 | AAAAA | Woodland (Stockbridge) | 95.7% | 30 | Union Grove | AAAAA |
| 28.52 | AAA | Westside (Macon) | 87.2% | 19 | Howard | AAAA |
| 28.16 | AAAAA | Southwest DeKalb | 84.1% | 17 | Redan | AAA |
| 27.76 | AA | Elbert County | 80.2% | 14 | Hart County | AAA |
| 26.63 | AAAAA | McIntosh | 65.5% | 7 | Decatur | AAAAA |
| 26.61 | AAAAAA | Habersham Central | 64.2% | 6 | East Hall | AAA |
| 24.27 | A-Public | Irwin County | 91.9% | 24 | Berrien | AA |
| 24.18 | AAAAA | Grady | 95.0% | 29 | North Atlanta | AAAAAA |
| 23.79 | AAAA | Jefferson | 98.3% | 37 | Discovery | AAAAAAA |
| 23.70 | AAAAAA | River Ridge | 65.7% | 7 | Woodland (Cartersville) | AAAAA |
| 23.61 | AAAAAAA | Lakeside (Atlanta) | 69.9% | 9 | Dunwoody | AAAAAA |
| 22.83 | AAAAAAA | Etowah | 99.0% | 39 | Campbell | AAAAAAA |
| 22.80 | AAA | North Hall | 81.0% | 15 | Chestatee | AAAA |
| 22.66 | AAAA | White County | 60.2% | 4 | Franklin County | AAA |
| 22.41 | A-Public | Turner County | 85.6% | 18 | Dougherty | AAA |
| 21.40 | A-Public | Taylor County | 72.6% | 10 | Terrell County | A-Public |
| 20.76 | AAA | Jackson County | 58.9% | 4 | Banks County | AA |
| 20.66 | A-Private | Athens Academy | 83.5% | 16 | Walker | A-Private |
| 19.67 | A-Private | Wesleyan | 96.0% | 31 | Therrell | AA |
| 18.83 | AAAAAAA | Duluth | 57.0% | 3 | Alcovy | AAAAAA |
| 18.79 | AAAA | Northside (Columbus) | 88.1% | 20 | Kendrick | AAA |
| 18.73 | A-Public | Emanuel County Institute | 95.4% | 30 | Metter | AA |
| 18.52 | A-Private | Mount Paran Christian | 96.0% | 31 | Our Lady of Mercy | A-Private |
| 18.01 | A-Private | Fellowship Christian | 92.9% | 25 | Atkinson County | A-Public |
| 17.12 | AAAA | Druid Hills | 67.3% | 7 | Chamblee | AAAAA |
| 16.55 | AAA | Jenkins | 91.1% | 23 | New Hampstead | AAAAA |
| 16.24 | AAAA | Baldwin | 81.0% | 15 | Hancock Central | A-Public |
| 15.46 | A-Public | Gordon Lee | 50.7% | 1 | Dade County | AA |
| 15.28 | AA | Heard County | 92.0% | 24 | South Atlanta | AA |
| 14.38 | AAAAAAA | Mountain View | 98.8% | 39 | Osborne | AAAAAA |
| 13.18 | AAA | North Murray | 80.6% | 14 | Christian Heritage | A-Private |
| 12.76 | AAAAA | Morrow | 51.7% | 1 | Hampton | AAAAA |
| 12.75 | A-Public | Clinch County | 97.6% | 35 | Bleckley County | AA |
| 12.55 | A-Private | Brookstone | 75.4% | 11 | Jordan | AA |
| 12.35 | AAA | Fannin County | 56.4% | 3 | Gilmer | AAAA |
| 10.55 | A-Private | Hebron Christian Academy | 66.3% | 7 | East Jackson | AAA |
| 9.34 | A-Public | Warren County | 58.4% | 4 | Putnam County | AA |
| 6.63 | AAAA | Cross Creek | 79.7% | 14 | Butler | AA |
| 5.81 | A-Public | Marion County | 93.7% | 27 | Schley County | A-Public |
| 3.04 | A-Public | Treutlen | 78.6% | 13 | Georgia Military College | A-Other |
| 2.60 | A-Private | Calvary Day | 98.6% | 38 | Islands | AAA |
| 1.18 | AAAA | LaFayette | 72.1% | 10 | Armuchee | AA |
| 0.65 | A-Private | Mount de Sales | 68.3% | 8 | Pacelli | A-Private |
| 0.18 | AAAAAAA | Rockdale County | 96.6% | 32 | Berkmar | AAAAAAA |
| -0.31 | AAAAA | Johnson (Gainesville) | 65.2% | 7 | Social Circle | AA |
| -1.23 | AAAAA | Arabia Mountain | 99.1% | 40 | Stone Mountain | AAA |
| -3.34 | A-Public | Manchester | 99.0% | 39 | Greenville | A-Public |
| -6.62 | A-Public | Wheeler County | 83.4% | 16 | Central (Talbotton) | A-Public |
| -9.43 | A-Private | Strong Rock Christian | 83.1% | 16 | Providence Christian | A-Private |
| -10.12 | A-Public | Jenkins County | 89.5% | 21 | Hephzibah | AAAA |
| -12.07 | AAAA | Heritage (Ringgold) | 98.9% | 39 | Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | AAA |
| -18.37 | AAAAA | Miller Grove | 99.2% | 40 | Clarkston | AAAAA |
| -19.44 | AAA | Murray County | 96.1% | 31 | Gordon Central | AA |
| -22.72 | A-Private | King's Ridge Christian | 95.8% | 31 | Glascock County | A-Other |
| -39.96 | A-Public | Baconton Charter | 91.1% | 23 | Pataula Charter | A-Other |
Aug 19
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87.70 | AAAAAAA | Mill Creek | 63.3% | 6 | McEachern | AAAAAAA |
| 79.00 | AAAAAAA | Colquitt County | 85.6% | 18 | Norcross | AAAAAAA |
| 72.14 | AAAAAA | Tucker | 73.7% | 11 | Kell | AAAAA |
| 69.71 | AAAAAAA | Archer | 71.2% | 9 | Brookwood | AAAAAAA |
| 67.13 | AAAAAAA | North Gwinnett | 57.3% | 3 | Walton | AAAAAAA |
| 39.04 | AAAA | Eastside | 74.8% | 11 | Luella | AAAA |
| 27.92 | AAAAAA | M.L. King | 69.1% | 8 | Columbia | AAAAA |
| 10.83 | AA | Toombs County | 82.8% | 16 | East Laurens | AA |
| 5.83 | AAA | Towers | 86.1% | 18 | Forest Park | AAAAAA |
| -17.96 | AAAA | Southeast Whitfield | 97.7% | 35 | Coahulla Creek | AAA |
