Sports
Maxwell Week 3 Projections
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Aug 31
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.16 | AAAAAA | Houston County | 76.2% | 12 | Eagle's Landing | AAAAA |
| 39.84 | AA | Spencer | 60.2% | 4 | Northside (Columbus) | AAAA |
| 26.61 | AAA | Central (Macon) | 60.8% | 5 | Howard | AAAA |
| -1.02 | AAA | Savannah | 89.3% | 21 | Claxton | A-Public |
Sep 1
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86.49 | AAAAAAA | Grayson | 83.8% | 17 | McEachern | AAAAAAA |
| 82.04 | AAAAAAA | Colquitt County | 79.7% | 14 | Tucker | AAAAAA |
| 77.51 | AAAAAAA | Lowndes | 75.1% | 11 | Parkview | AAAAAAA |
| 70.49 | AAAA | Sandy Creek | 50.3% | 1 | Allatoona | AAAAAA |
| 70.15 | AAAA | Cartersville | 87.6% | 20 | Calhoun | AAA |
| 69.98 | AAAAAAA | Roswell | 72.9% | 10 | Central Gwinnett | AAAAAAA |
| 68.97 | AAAAAAA | North Cobb | 72.7% | 10 | Harrison | AAAAAA |
| 68.94 | AAAAAA | Glynn Academy | 60.5% | 5 | Tift County | AAAAAAA |
| 65.76 | AAAAAA | Mays | 66.2% | 7 | Peachtree Ridge | AAAAAAA |
| 65.75 | AAAAAA | Coffee | 65.8% | 7 | Ware County | AAAAA |
| 65.62 | AAAAA | Kell | 65.3% | 7 | Lassiter | AAAAAAA |
| 65.53 | AAAAAAA | North Gwinnett | 62.5% | 5 | Hillgrove | AAAAAAA |
| 65.45 | AAAA | Thomson | 54.2% | 2 | Jefferson | AAAA |
| 65.21 | AAA | Peach County | 55.7% | 3 | Warner Robins | AAAAA |
| 64.26 | AAAAAAA | Brookwood | 55.0% | 2 | South Gwinnett | AAAAAAA |
| 63.66 | AAAA | Blessed Trinity | 67.4% | 7 | Marietta | AAAAAAA |
| 62.09 | AAAAAA | Northgate | 65.5% | 7 | Starr's Mill | AAAAA |
| 61.64 | AAAAAAA | Camden County | 62.1% | 5 | Fitzgerald | AA |
| 61.63 | AAAAAAA | Mill Creek | 95.7% | 30 | Dacula | AAAAAA |
| 58.59 | AAAA | Woodward Academy | 83.1% | 16 | Westminster (Atlanta) | AAA |
| 57.70 | AAAAAA | Sequoyah | 50.7% | 1 | Woodstock | AAAAAAA |
| 57.34 | AAAAAAA | Collins Hill | 71.1% | 9 | Lambert | AAAAAAA |
| 53.77 | AAAAAA | Alexander | 73.8% | 11 | Carver (Atlanta) | AAAAA |
| 53.62 | AA | Brooks County | 57.0% | 3 | Clinch County | A-Public |
| 53.58 | AAAAAA | Creekview | 60.0% | 4 | Cherokee | AAAAAAA |
| 53.37 | AA | Hapeville Charter | 52.3% | 1 | Pace Academy | AAA |
| 52.86 | AAAAAAA | North Paulding | 82.1% | 15 | East Paulding | AAAAA |
| 52.58 | AA | Benedictine | 95.7% | 30 | St. Pius X | AAAA |
| 51.05 | AAAAA | Thomas County Central | 51.8% | 1 | Cairo | AAAA |
| 50.70 | AAAAAAA | Westlake | 85.6% | 18 | Shiloh | AAAAAAA |
| 49.45 | AAAAAAA | South Forsyth | 92.9% | 25 | Centennial | AAAAAA |
| 49.44 | AA | Rabun County | 71.3% | 9 | Stephens County | AAAA |
| 48.77 | AAAAAAA | Milton | 84.0% | 17 | Cambridge | AAAAAA |
| 48.48 | AAAAAA | Valdosta | 95.2% | 29 | Wayne County | AAAAA |
| 48.39 | AAAAA | Rome | 94.3% | 28 | Drew | AAAAAA |
| 47.96 | AAAAAA | Creekside | 73.6% | 10 | Southwest DeKalb | AAAAA |
| 47.42 | AAAAAA | Gainesville | 59.4% | 4 | Clarke Central | AAAAA |
| 47.34 | A-Public | Macon County | 72.3% | 10 | Irwin County | A-Public |
| 46.83 | AAAA | Spalding | 62.7% | 5 | Jonesboro | AAAAAA |
| 45.92 | AAAAAA | Dalton | 87.2% | 19 | Northwest Whitfield | AAAA |
| 45.22 | AAAAAA | Sprayberry | 56.6% | 3 | Kennesaw Mountain | AAAAAAA |
| 45.19 | AAAA | Ridgeland | 73.7% | 10 | Darlington | A-Private |
| 45.11 | AA | Thomasville | 85.2% | 18 | Monroe | AAA |
| 44.79 | AA | Dodge County | 54.2% | 2 | West Laurens | AAAA |
| 43.64 | AAA | Crisp County | 74.9% | 11 | Turner County | A-Public |
| 42.52 | AAAA | Burke County | 79.7% | 14 | Washington County | AA |
| 42.10 | AAAAAA | Brunswick | 72.1% | 10 | Cook | AAA |
| 41.82 | A-Public | Manchester | 66.1% | 7 | Southwest | AA |
| 41.71 | AAAA | Pickens | 61.8% | 5 | Pepperell | AA |
| 41.36 | AAAAA | Ola | 50.4% | 1 | Heritage (Conyers) | AAAAAA |
| 41.12 | AAAAAAA | North Forsyth | 74.5% | 11 | Loganville | AAAAA |
| 41.05 | AAAAAA | Douglas County | 81.6% | 15 | Carver (Columbus) | AAAA |
| 40.24 | AAAAAA | Winder-Barrow | 73.5% | 10 | Northview | AAAAAA |
| 40.15 | AAAAAA | New Manchester | 65.4% | 7 | Heard County | AA |
| 40.11 | AAAAAA | South Paulding | 66.9% | 7 | Hiram | AAAAA |
| 40.02 | AAAAA | Veterans | 71.8% | 10 | Worth County | AAA |
| 39.76 | AAA | Dawson County | 61.0% | 5 | Chattooga | AA |
| 39.68 | A-Private | Mount Paran Christian | 78.0% | 13 | Bremen | AAA |
| 39.63 | AAAAAA | Northside (Warner Robins) | 94.0% | 27 | Westside (Macon) | AAA |
| 38.28 | AAAAA | Griffin | 92.9% | 26 | LaGrange | AAAA |
| 37.64 | AAAAAA | Lee County | 97.6% | 35 | Hardaway | AAAA |
| 36.99 | AAA | Morgan County | 53.4% | 2 | North Oconee | AAAA |
| 36.68 | AAA | Sonoraville | 68.4% | 8 | Cass | AAAAA |
| 36.63 | A-Public | Charlton County | 53.1% | 2 | Appling County | AAA |
| 36.57 | AAAA | West Hall | 50.9% | 1 | Washington-Wilkes | A-Public |
| 36.22 | AAA | Lovett | 87.6% | 20 | B.E.S.T. Academy | AA |
| 35.97 | AAA | Adairsville | 63.3% | 6 | Model | AA |
| 35.78 | AAAA | Americus-Sumter | 57.6% | 3 | Dooly County | A-Public |
| 35.74 | AAAA | Upson-Lee | 81.3% | 15 | Columbus | AAAA |
| 35.37 | AAAAAAA | Walton | 97.7% | 35 | Pope | AAAAAA |
| 34.92 | AAAAAA | Habersham Central | 55.1% | 2 | White County | AAAA |
| 34.53 | AAAAAAA | Wheeler | 88.2% | 20 | South Cobb | AAAAAA |
| 33.11 | AAAAAA | River Ridge | 55.3% | 2 | Forsyth Central | AAAAAAA |
| 32.87 | AA | Bacon County | 56.1% | 3 | Telfair County | A-Public |
| 32.54 | AAAAA | Fayette County | 54.2% | 2 | Banneker | AAAAA |
| 31.89 | AAAAA | Arabia Mountain | 85.1% | 18 | Redan | AAA |
| 31.89 | AAAAAA | Evans | 72.5% | 10 | Laney | AA |
| 31.78 | AAAA | Central (Carrollton) | 68.0% | 8 | North Clayton | AAAA |
| 31.78 | AAAA | Mary Persons | 95.8% | 30 | Washington | AA |
| 31.76 | A-Private | Prince Avenue Christian | 92.3% | 25 | Athens Christian | A-Private |
| 31.72 | AAAAAAA | East Coweta | 94.2% | 28 | Maynard Jackson | AAAAA |
| 30.94 | AAAAAA | Bradwell Institute | 76.8% | 12 | Southeast Bulloch | AAA |
| 30.82 | AAA | Jackson | 78.2% | 13 | Lamar County | AA |
| 30.42 | A-Public | Lincoln County | 67.7% | 8 | Grovetown | AAAAAA |
| 30.16 | AAA | Liberty County | 79.2% | 14 | Statesboro | AAAAA |
| 29.73 | A-Private | Stratford Academy | 79.9% | 14 | Landmark Christian | A-Private |
| 29.70 | AAAA | Troup | 86.9% | 19 | Bowdon | A-Public |
| 29.43 | AAAA | Luella | 61.6% | 5 | Lithonia | AAAAA |
| 29.42 | AAAAA | Carrollton | 98.2% | 37 | Riverdale | AAAAA |
| 29.32 | AAAAA | Miller Grove | 53.5% | 2 | M.L. King | AAAAAA |
| 29.01 | AAAAAA | Richmond Hill | 85.0% | 17 | Brantley County | AAA |
| 28.51 | AAAA | Oconee County | 79.6% | 14 | Walnut Grove | AAAAA |
| 28.31 | AAAAA | Cedar Shoals | 60.3% | 4 | Decatur | AAAAA |
| 26.46 | AAAAA | Riverwood | 85.6% | 18 | Holy Innocents | A-Private |
| 24.49 | AAAAA | Flowery Branch | 85.7% | 18 | Chestatee | AAAA |
| 24.19 | AA | Elbert County | 67.5% | 8 | Madison County | AAAA |
| 24.01 | A-Private | Pinecrest Academy | 81.3% | 15 | Discovery | AAAAAAA |
| 22.17 | AA | Berrien | 52.3% | 1 | Dougherty | AAA |
| 21.74 | AAA | North Murray | 66.3% | 7 | Coosa | AA |
| 21.29 | AAAAA | North Springs | 73.0% | 10 | Towers | AAA |
| 20.77 | A-Public | Greene County | 64.4% | 6 | Putnam County | AA |
| 20.67 | AA | Rockmart | 90.7% | 23 | Woodland (Cartersville) | AAAAA |
| 20.22 | AAAAAA | Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | 68.0% | 8 | Morrow | AAAAA |
| 20.09 | AAA | Ringgold | 72.9% | 10 | Fannin County | AAA |
| 19.87 | AAA | Jackson County | 74.8% | 11 | Lumpkin County | AAA |
| 19.61 | A-Public | Commerce | 91.5% | 24 | Hebron Christian Academy | A-Private |
| 19.60 | AA | Early County | 68.6% | 8 | Seminole County | A-Public |
| 18.95 | AAAA | Salem | 77.9% | 13 | Therrell | AA |
| 18.94 | AAAAA | Union Grove | 78.1% | 13 | Apalachee | AAAAAA |
| 18.71 | AAAA | Shaw | 74.2% | 11 | Kendrick | AAA |
| 18.63 | AAA | Pierce County | 86.1% | 18 | Beach | AAA |
| 18.44 | AAAAAA | Dunwoody | 77.7% | 13 | Chamblee | AAAAA |
| 18.33 | AAAAAA | North Atlanta | 88.0% | 20 | KIPP Atlanta Collegiate | AA |
| 18.33 | AA | Northeast | 76.4% | 12 | Rutland | AAA |
| 18.04 | AAAAA | McIntosh | 90.5% | 22 | Henry County | AAAA |
| 17.80 | AAAA | Eastside | 95.0% | 29 | Alcovy | AAAAAA |
| 17.56 | AAAA | Chapel Hill | 94.7% | 28 | Lithia Springs | AAAAA |
| 17.28 | AA | Dublin | 89.2% | 21 | Wilkinson County | A-Public |
| 17.14 | A-Private | Walker | 51.3% | 1 | Mount Vernon Presbyterian | A-Private |
| 17.13 | AAAAAAA | Pebblebrook | 86.6% | 19 | Osborne | AAAAAA |
| 16.94 | AA | Douglass | 88.5% | 20 | South Atlanta | AA |
| 16.89 | A-Private | First Presbyterian | 87.8% | 20 | Brookstone | A-Private |
| 16.22 | AAAAAAA | Meadowcreek | 70.2% | 9 | Duluth | AAAAAAA |
| 16.12 | A-Public | Trion | 84.4% | 17 | Dade County | AA |
| 15.94 | A-Public | Pelham | 78.5% | 13 | Terrell County | A-Public |
| 15.24 | AAA | Pike County | 80.1% | 14 | Monticello | AA |
| 14.69 | AAAAA | New Hampstead | 80.7% | 14 | Islands | AAA |
| 13.81 | AAAA | Southeast Whitfield | 64.5% | 6 | Murray County | AAA |
| 12.44 | AA | Jeff Davis | 74.2% | 11 | Long County | AAA |
| 12.08 | AA | Bleckley County | 76.4% | 12 | Treutlen | A-Public |
| 11.91 | AAAAAA | Greenbrier | 83.8% | 17 | Josey | AA |
| 11.84 | A-Private | Athens Academy | 92.9% | 26 | Lakeview Academy | A-Private |
| 11.15 | AAAAA | Whitewater | 97.2% | 34 | Hampton | AAAAA |
| 10.20 | A-Public | Gordon Lee | 57.9% | 3 | LaFayette | AAAA |
| 9.75 | A-Public | Hawkinsville | 54.0% | 2 | Wilcox County | A-Public |
| 9.60 | AA | Bryan County | 59.4% | 4 | Windsor Forest | AAA |
| 8.59 | A-Public | Wheeler County | 69.6% | 8 | Jenkins County | A-Public |
| 7.64 | AA | East Laurens | 61.3% | 5 | Montgomery County | A-Public |
| 7.58 | AA | Harlem | 51.9% | 1 | Warren County | A-Public |
| 5.43 | AAA | Monroe Area | 95.3% | 29 | Social Circle | AA |
| 5.41 | AAAA | Cross Creek | 76.3% | 12 | Glenn Hills | AA |
| 5.25 | A-Private | George Walton Academy | 92.0% | 24 | Towns County | A-Public |
| 4.26 | A-Public | Mount Zion (Carroll) | 97.4% | 34 | Haralson County | AAA |
| 4.20 | A-Private | Savannah Country Day | 82.7% | 16 | Lanier County | A-Public |
| 3.60 | AAAA | Cedartown | 98.7% | 38 | Gilmer | AAAA |
| 3.35 | AAAAA | Locust Grove | 98.9% | 39 | Forest Park | AAAAAA |
| 3.04 | A-Private | Mount Pisgah Christian | 96.5% | 32 | Whitefield Academy | A-Private |
| 1.69 | A-Private | King's Ridge Christian | 68.8% | 8 | Strong Rock Christian | A-Private |
| 1.61 | A-Public | Emanuel County Institute | 97.4% | 34 | Portal | A-Public |
| -0.11 | A-Private | St. Francis | 54.8% | 2 | North Cobb Christian | A-Private |
| -2.26 | A-Public | Taylor County | 97.3% | 34 | Greenville | A-Public |
| -2.84 | AA | Banks County | 91.1% | 23 | Johnson (Gainesville) | AAAAA |
| -4.22 | A-Public | Johnson County | 93.3% | 26 | Groves | AAA |
| -5.00 | AA | Metter | 93.7% | 27 | Johnson (Savannah) | AAA |
| -5.62 | A-Public | Randolph-Clay | 71.4% | 9 | Calhoun County | A-Public |
| -8.61 | AAAAAAA | Mountain View | 99.9% | 42 | Berkmar | AAAAAAA |
| -9.47 | AA | Temple | 93.6% | 27 | Oglethorpe County | AA |
| -11.44 | A-Private | Riverside Military Academy | 84.3% | 17 | Providence Christian | A-Private |
| -11.75 | AA | Westside (Augusta) | 69.3% | 8 | Hephzibah | AAAA |
| -16.00 | A-Public | Chattahoochee County | 93.9% | 27 | Baconton Charter | A-Public |
| -18.30 | AAAA | Heritage (Ringgold) | 99.5% | 41 | Coahulla Creek | AAA |
| -21.20 | A-Public | Mitchell County | 99.3% | 40 | Stewart County | A-Public |
| -22.60 | A-Public | Crawford County | 97.4% | 34 | Glascock County | A-Other |
| -37.07 | AAA | McNair | 99.2% | 40 | Cross Keys | AAAAA |
Sep 2
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68.85 | AAAAA | Stockbridge | 73.6% | 10 | Lovejoy | AAAAAA |
| 38.52 | AAAAA | Dutchtown | 84.8% | 17 | Columbia | AAAAA |
| 26.41 | AAAAA | Woodland (Stockbridge) | 96.0% | 31 | Tri-Cities | AAAAAA |
| -16.17 | AAA | Stone Mountain | 84.6% | 17 | Clarkston | AAAAA |
