Sports
Maxwell Week 4 Projections
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Sep 7
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.26 | AAAAA | Thomas County Central | 60.8% | 5 | Monroe | AAA |
| 40.88 | AAA | Jenkins | 60.9% | 5 | Liberty County | AAA |
| 29.53 | AAAA | Troup | 89.1% | 21 | Lamar County | AA |
| 19.25 | AA | Washington | 82.1% | 15 | Lithia Springs | AAAAA |
Sep 8
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82.43 | AAAAAAA | Mill Creek | 76.4% | 12 | Archer | AAAAAAA |
| 80.56 | AAAAAAA | Colquitt County | 83.0% | 16 | Roswell | AAAAAAA |
| 73.40 | AAAAAAA | Norcross | 69.7% | 9 | North Gwinnett | AAAAAAA |
| 71.57 | AAAAAA | Mays | 55.0% | 2 | Hughes | AAAAAA |
| 70.81 | AAAA | Cartersville | 87.3% | 19 | Westlake | AAAAAAA |
| 69.53 | AAAAAAA | Tift County | 61.7% | 5 | Valdosta | AAAAAA |
| 68.40 | AAAAA | Rome | 73.7% | 10 | Kell | AAAAA |
| 67.05 | AAAAAA | Glynn Academy | 54.3% | 2 | Camden County | AAAAAAA |
| 66.03 | AAAAAAA | Collins Hill | 51.4% | 1 | Central Gwinnett | AAAAAAA |
| 63.49 | AAAAAAA | South Forsyth | 78.2% | 13 | South Gwinnett | AAAAAAA |
| 62.79 | AAAAAAA | West Forsyth | 60.6% | 5 | Hillgrove | AAAAAAA |
| 62.00 | AAAAAAA | Newton | 61.4% | 5 | Peachtree Ridge | AAAAAAA |
| 60.90 | AAAA | Blessed Trinity | 66.4% | 7 | Creekview | AAAAAA |
| 57.98 | AAAAA | Bainbridge | 57.2% | 3 | Cairo | AAAA |
| 55.65 | AAAAAA | Stephenson | 73.0% | 10 | Southwest DeKalb | AAAAA |
| 55.30 | AAAAA | Stockbridge | 92.6% | 25 | Dutchtown | AAAAA |
| 55.10 | AAAAAA | Northside (Warner Robins) | 78.2% | 13 | Lanier | AAAAAA |
| 54.44 | AAAA | Marist | 78.2% | 13 | St. Pius X | AAAA |
| 54.29 | AAAAA | Wayne County | 72.7% | 10 | Brunswick | AAAAAA |
| 54.23 | AA | Hapeville Charter | 67.7% | 8 | Wesleyan | A-Private |
| 54.07 | AAAAAA | Northgate | 75.3% | 11 | Douglas County | AAAAAA |
| 53.22 | AAAAA | Griffin | 73.9% | 11 | Upson-Lee | AAAA |
| 52.21 | AAAAA | Jones County | 79.6% | 14 | Locust Grove | AAAAA |
| 52.15 | AAAAAAA | Woodstock | 76.1% | 12 | Kennesaw Mountain | AAAAAAA |
| 51.70 | AAAAAA | Dacula | 79.6% | 14 | Arabia Mountain | AAAAA |
| 51.44 | AAAAAAA | Etowah | 79.5% | 14 | Newnan | AAAAAAA |
| 50.72 | AAAAAA | Alpharetta | 64.7% | 6 | Centennial | AAAAAA |
| 50.43 | AAAAA | Villa Rica | 53.5% | 2 | East Paulding | AAAAA |
| 50.09 | AAAAAAA | McEachern | 97.3% | 34 | Jonesboro | AAAAAA |
| 49.19 | AAAA | Thomson | 90.1% | 22 | Pace Academy | AAA |
| 48.87 | AAAAAAA | Lambert | 64.5% | 6 | Cherokee | AAAAAAA |
| 48.12 | AA | Fitzgerald | 84.1% | 17 | Macon County | A-Public |
| 46.67 | AAAAAA | Houston County | 52.9% | 2 | Veterans | AAAAA |
| 46.39 | AAAAAAA | Lowndes | 98.1% | 36 | Shiloh | AAAAAAA |
| 44.79 | AAAAAA | Lovejoy | 90.1% | 22 | Spalding | AAAA |
| 44.42 | AAAAA | Starr's Mill | 90.4% | 22 | Chapel Hill | AAAA |
| 44.41 | AA | Pepperell | 61.8% | 5 | Cedartown | AAAA |
| 43.78 | AAAA | West Laurens | 60.9% | 5 | Vidalia | AA |
| 43.71 | AAAA | Woodward Academy | 94.4% | 28 | Riverwood | AAAAA |
| 42.92 | AAAAAA | Dalton | 88.7% | 21 | Sonoraville | AAA |
| 42.90 | AAAA | Stephens County | 53.8% | 2 | Flowery Branch | AAAAA |
| 41.63 | AAAA | Oconee County | 52.8% | 1 | Morgan County | AAA |
| 41.48 | A-Private | Calvary Day | 61.8% | 5 | Aquinas | A-Private |
| 41.46 | AAAAAA | Creekside | 70.0% | 9 | New Manchester | AAAAAA |
| 41.30 | AA | Heard County | 62.4% | 5 | Darlington | A-Private |
| 41.22 | AAAAAA | Lee County | 97.0% | 33 | Americus-Sumter | AAAA |
| 40.59 | AAAAA | Ware County | 91.2% | 23 | Grady | AAAAA |
| 40.55 | AAAAA | Hiram | 63.3% | 6 | Paulding County | AAAAA |
| 40.21 | AA | Rabun County | 88.0% | 20 | White County | AAAA |
| 39.60 | AAAA | Eastside | 67.1% | 7 | Loganville | AAAAA |
| 39.02 | AA | Swainsboro | 64.3% | 6 | Dublin | AA |
| 38.86 | AAAAAA | Cambridge | 72.9% | 10 | Chattahoochee | AAAAAA |
| 38.68 | AAAAA | Whitewater | 66.1% | 7 | Banneker | AAAAA |
| 38.27 | AAAAAAA | Marietta | 94.6% | 28 | Pebblebrook | AAAAAAA |
| 37.89 | AAAAAA | Johns Creek | 61.0% | 5 | Pope | AAAAAA |
| 37.79 | AAAAAA | Alexander | 91.7% | 24 | South Paulding | AAAAAA |
| 37.41 | AAAAAAA | East Coweta | 90.1% | 22 | LaGrange | AAAA |
| 36.94 | AAAAAA | Richmond Hill | 77.2% | 12 | Pierce County | AAA |
| 36.49 | AA | Jefferson County | 79.5% | 14 | Washington-Wilkes | A-Public |
| 35.68 | AAAA | Ridgeland | 92.3% | 25 | Chattooga | AA |
| 35.63 | AAAAAA | Sprayberry | 73.6% | 10 | Campbell | AAAAAAA |
| 35.41 | AA | Washington County | 62.6% | 5 | Baldwin | AAAA |
| 35.39 | AAA | Peach County | 93.7% | 27 | Perry | AAAA |
| 35.27 | AA | Dodge County | 84.5% | 17 | Appling County | AAA |
| 35.21 | AAA | Cedar Grove | 97.7% | 35 | Columbia | AAAAA |
| 34.94 | AAA | Bremen | 73.1% | 10 | Trion | A-Public |
| 34.42 | AA | Douglass | 59.0% | 4 | B.E.S.T. Academy | AA |
| 34.32 | AAAA | Northwest Whitfield | 79.7% | 14 | Model | AA |
| 33.83 | A-Private | Athens Academy | 57.8% | 3 | Athens Christian | A-Private |
| 33.81 | AAAA | Burke County | 90.5% | 22 | Lakeside (Evans) | AAAAAA |
| 33.48 | AAAAA | Cedar Shoals | 63.7% | 6 | North Oconee | AAAA |
| 33.43 | AAAAAA | Effingham County | 90.8% | 23 | South Effingham | AAAAA |
| 32.91 | AA | Callaway | 94.1% | 27 | Columbus | AAAA |
| 32.08 | AAAAAA | Mundy's Mill | 76.3% | 12 | Fayette County | AAAAA |
| 31.97 | AA | Screven County | 84.7% | 17 | Statesboro | AAAAA |
| 31.91 | AAAAAA | North Atlanta | 63.9% | 6 | Dunwoody | AAAAAA |
| 31.74 | AAAAAA | Heritage (Conyers) | 85.4% | 18 | Rockdale County | AAAAAAA |
| 31.19 | AAAA | West Hall | 77.0% | 12 | Jackson County | AAA |
| 30.97 | AAAAA | McIntosh | 67.2% | 7 | Luella | AAAA |
| 30.35 | AAAAA | Eagle's Landing | 91.8% | 24 | Union Grove | AAAAA |
| 30.04 | AAAAA | Harris County | 73.7% | 11 | Shaw | AAAA |
| 29.93 | AAAAA | Maynard Jackson | 60.0% | 4 | North Clayton | AAAA |
| 29.89 | AA | Benedictine | 99.4% | 40 | Southeast Bulloch | AAA |
| 29.72 | AA | Bacon County | 74.5% | 11 | Berrien | AA |
| 28.64 | AAA | Worth County | 68.5% | 8 | Early County | AA |
| 28.48 | AAAAA | Cass | 73.4% | 10 | Woodland (Cartersville) | AAAAA |
| 28.44 | AAAAAAA | Forsyth Central | 59.1% | 4 | Meadowcreek | AAAAAAA |
| 28.07 | A-Public | Telfair County | 52.3% | 1 | Toombs County | AA |
| 27.80 | A-Public | Charlton County | 80.8% | 15 | Savannah Christian | A-Private |
| 27.78 | A-Public | Mount Zion (Carroll) | 81.3% | 15 | Coosa | AA |
| 27.44 | AAA | Monroe Area | 72.2% | 10 | Walnut Grove | AAAAA |
| 27.19 | AAAA | Salem | 68.4% | 8 | Miller Grove | AAAAA |
| 26.22 | AA | Southwest | 80.7% | 14 | Central (Macon) | AAA |
| 25.71 | AAAA | Westover | 79.4% | 14 | Dougherty | AAA |
| 24.16 | AAAA | Heritage (Ringgold) | 78.5% | 13 | North Murray | AAA |
| 23.94 | A-Private | Landmark Christian | 56.0% | 3 | Brookstone | A-Private |
| 23.85 | AAAA | Sandy Creek | 99.2% | 40 | Morrow | AAAAA |
| 23.62 | AAA | Brantley County | 60.9% | 5 | Jeff Davis | AA |
| 23.56 | A-Private | Fellowship Christian | 76.3% | 12 | Our Lady of Mercy | A-Private |
| 23.15 | AAAAAA | Habersham Central | 76.9% | 12 | Franklin County | AAA |
| 21.97 | AAAA | Pickens | 90.1% | 22 | North Hall | AAA |
| 21.81 | AAAA | Northside (Columbus) | 90.4% | 22 | Jordan | AA |
| 21.40 | AA | Northeast | 75.7% | 12 | Twiggs County | A-Public |
| 20.99 | A-Public | Miller County | 56.6% | 3 | Mitchell County | A-Public |
| 20.25 | A-Private | Eagle's Landing Christian | 99.1% | 40 | Hart County | AAA |
| 18.64 | AAA | Tattnall County | 71.6% | 9 | Beach | AAA |
| 18.49 | AAAAAAA | Discovery | 79.0% | 13 | Apalachee | AAAAAA |
| 17.99 | AAAAAA | Alcovy | 50.4% | 1 | Henry County | AAAA |
| 17.56 | AA | Spencer | 90.7% | 23 | Kendrick | AAA |
| 17.19 | AA | Bleckley County | 69.8% | 9 | Wilcox County | A-Public |
| 17.10 | AAAA | Madison County | 53.8% | 2 | Lumpkin County | AAA |
| 16.99 | AAAAA | Woodland (Stockbridge) | 97.7% | 35 | Hampton | AAAAA |
| 16.69 | AAAA | Chestatee | 67.1% | 7 | Fannin County | AAA |
| 16.39 | A-Public | Johnson County | 65.1% | 6 | Wilkinson County | A-Public |
| 15.98 | AAAA | Howard | 81.2% | 15 | Rutland | AAA |
| 15.77 | AAAAAAA | Lakeside (Atlanta) | 74.6% | 11 | Druid Hills | AAAA |
| 15.12 | A-Private | Mount Pisgah Christian | 90.5% | 22 | Walker | A-Private |
| 15.02 | AAAAAA | Greenbrier | 82.9% | 16 | Harlem | AA |
| 14.23 | AA | KIPP Atlanta Collegiate | 64.1% | 6 | Osborne | AAAAAA |
| 14.12 | A-Public | Greene County | 70.1% | 9 | Monticello | AA |
| 13.41 | AAAAAA | Evans | 95.2% | 29 | Glenn Hills | AA |
| 12.90 | AA | Therrell | 64.0% | 6 | McNair | AAA |
| 11.33 | A-Private | First Presbyterian | 83.8% | 17 | Hawkinsville | A-Public |
| 10.83 | AAAA | Richmond Academy | 69.9% | 9 | Josey | AA |
| 10.53 | A-Public | Seminole County | 71.2% | 9 | Chattahoochee County | A-Public |
| 10.48 | A-Private | Stratford Academy | 96.8% | 33 | Atkinson County | A-Public |
| 10.16 | A-Public | Commerce | 95.8% | 31 | Lakeview Academy | A-Private |
| 10.16 | A-Public | Montgomery County | 65.5% | 7 | Wheeler County | A-Public |
| 8.86 | AAA | Windsor Forest | 72.9% | 10 | Long County | AAA |
| 8.71 | A-Public | McIntosh County Academy | 95.0% | 29 | Bryan County | AA |
| 6.13 | AAA | Murray County | 62.8% | 5 | Christian Heritage | A-Private |
| 5.96 | A-Private | Mount de Sales | 65.9% | 7 | Social Circle | AA |
| 5.84 | A-Private | Tattnall Square | 98.2% | 37 | East Laurens | AA |
| 5.42 | AAA | Pike County | 91.8% | 24 | Strong Rock Christian | A-Private |
| 4.93 | A-Private | Prince Avenue Christian | 99.3% | 40 | Towns County | A-Public |
| 4.45 | AAAA | Mary Persons | 99.7% | 41 | Forest Park | AAAAAA |
| 3.82 | AAAAAA | Bradwell Institute | 97.5% | 35 | Warren County | A-Public |
| 2.53 | A-Public | Jenkins County | 82.8% | 16 | Portal | A-Public |
| 2.51 | A-Public | Schley County | 69.5% | 8 | Georgia Military College | A-Other |
| 2.02 | AA | Metter | 88.6% | 21 | Claxton | A-Public |
| 1.61 | A-Private | Whitefield Academy | 63.4% | 6 | King's Ridge Christian | A-Private |
| 0.71 | A-Private | Mount Vernon Presbyterian | 90.3% | 22 | North Cobb Christian | A-Private |
| -0.71 | AA | Temple | 88.0% | 20 | Armuchee | AA |
| -0.74 | A-Public | Bowdon | 94.9% | 29 | Greenville | A-Public |
| -1.76 | AA | Butler | 82.8% | 16 | Hephzibah | AAAA |
| -2.80 | A-Private | George Walton Academy | 95.0% | 29 | Riverside Military Academy | A-Private |
| -3.81 | AAA | East Hall | 95.5% | 30 | Johnson (Gainesville) | AAAAA |
| -4.28 | A-Public | Lanier County | 68.4% | 8 | Groves | AAA |
| -5.81 | A-Private | Savannah Country Day | 93.9% | 27 | Johnson (Savannah) | AAA |
| -5.89 | A-Private | Hebron Christian Academy | 94.3% | 28 | Providence Christian | A-Private |
| -9.08 | AAA | East Jackson | 79.5% | 14 | Oglethorpe County | AA |
| -10.50 | A-Public | Taylor County | 98.6% | 38 | Central (Talbotton) | A-Public |
| -11.60 | A-Public | Gordon Lee | 94.7% | 28 | Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | AAA |
| -11.86 | A-Public | Marion County | 98.2% | 37 | Pacelli | A-Private |
| -12.57 | AAAA | Cross Creek | 91.2% | 23 | Westside (Augusta) | AA |
| -16.25 | AAAA | LaFayette | 90.6% | 23 | Gordon Central | AA |
| -22.27 | A-Public | Stewart County | 51.2% | 1 | Glascock County | A-Other |
Sep 9
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -19.15 | AA | South Atlanta | 97.1% | 34 | Clarkston | AAAAA |
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