Sports
Maxwell Week 12 Projections
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.
Nov 03
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.69 | AAAA | Carver (Columbus) | 65.3% | 7 | Hardaway | AAAA |
| 33.87 | AAAAAA | Drew | 55.4% | 2 | Jonesboro | AAAAAA |
| 21.58 | AAAA | Westover | 84.3% | 17 | Shaw | AAAA |
| 15.10 | AAAAA | Ware County | 99.1% | 40 | New Hampstead | AAAAA |
| 5.28 | A - Private | Mount de Sales | 56.0% | 3 | Montgomery County | A - Public |
| 2.63 | AAA | Lovett | 99.4% | 40 | McNair | AAA |
Nov 04
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71.64 | AAAAAA | Valdosta | 78.2% | 13 | Houston County | AAAAAA |
| 70.84 | AAAAAAA | Grayson | 96.3% | 32 | South Gwinnett | AAAAAAA |
| 68.83 | AAAAAA | Mays | 73.8% | 11 | Northgate | AAAAAA |
| 67.68 | AAAAAAA | Roswell | 94.1% | 27 | Cherokee | AAAAAAA |
| 67.17 | AAAAAA | Lee County | 60.4% | 5 | Coffee | AAAAAA |
| 67.12 | AAAAAA | Dalton | 81.7% | 15 | Allatoona | AAAAAA |
| 64.02 | AAAAAAA | South Forsyth | 57.0% | 3 | West Forsyth | AAAAAAA |
| 63.08 | AAAAAAA | McEachern | 91.6% | 24 | Hillgrove | AAAAAAA |
| 62.33 | AAAAAAA | Woodstock | 60.3% | 4 | Walton | AAAAAAA |
| 61.83 | AAAAAA | Alexander | 76.4% | 12 | Douglas County | AAAAAA |
| 60.53 | AAAAAAA | Lassiter | 72.9% | 10 | Etowah | AAAAAAA |
| 57.62 | AAAA | Cartersville | 95.0% | 29 | Troup | AAAA |
| 54.61 | A - Public | Macon County | 51.8% | 1 | Manchester | A - Public |
| 53.62 | AAAAAA | Harrison | 91.9% | 24 | Creekview | AAAAAA |
| 53.49 | AAAA | Jefferson | 71.2% | 9 | Oconee County | AAAA |
| 52.89 | AAAAAA | Tucker | 84.1% | 17 | Stephenson | AAAAAA |
| 52.64 | AAAAAAA | Parkview | 85.6% | 18 | Central Gwinnett | AAAAAAA |
| 52.49 | A - Private | Eagle's Landing Christian | 64.8% | 6 | Landmark Christian | A - Private |
| 52.30 | AAAAAAA | Tift County | 80.9% | 15 | Camden County | AAAAAAA |
| 51.96 | AAAAAAA | North Paulding | 84.6% | 17 | Marietta | AAAAAAA |
| 51.94 | AAAAAAA | Milton | 59.2% | 4 | North Forsyth | AAAAAAA |
| 51.53 | AAAAA | Woodland (Stockbridge) | 86.2% | 18 | Locust Grove | AAAAA |
| 51.31 | AAAAA | Jones County | 67.5% | 8 | Dutchtown | AAAAA |
| 50.20 | A - Private | Fellowship Christian | 59.0% | 4 | Mount Zion (Carroll) | A - Public |
| 49.97 | AAA | Peach County | 76.1% | 12 | Jackson | AAA |
| 49.40 | AAAAAA | Sprayberry | 51.1% | 1 | Sequoyah | AAAAAA |
| 48.72 | AAAAAA | Lanier | 71.2% | 9 | Gainesville | AAAAAA |
| 48.00 | AAAA | Cedartown | 63.6% | 6 | Chapel Hill | AAAA |
| 47.92 | AAAA | Spalding | 53.3% | 2 | Upson-Lee | AAAA |
| 47.91 | AAAAA | Bainbridge | 60.7% | 5 | Warner Robins | AAAAA |
| 47.52 | AAA | Greater Atlanta Christian | 90.9% | 23 | Dawson County | AAA |
| 47.44 | AAAAAAA | Archer | 91.5% | 24 | Shiloh | AAAAAAA |
| 47.30 | AAAAAAA | Wheeler | 65.5% | 7 | Pebblebrook | AAAAAAA |
| 47.25 | AAAAAAA | East Coweta | 86.0% | 18 | Newnan | AAAAAAA |
| 46.21 | AAAAAAA | Peachtree Ridge | 86.7% | 19 | Collins Hill | AAAAAAA |
| 46.20 | AAA | Crisp County | 78.6% | 13 | Worth County | AAA |
| 45.43 | AA | Fitzgerald | 90.1% | 22 | Thomasville | AA |
| 45.32 | AAAAAA | Effingham County | 74.2% | 11 | Richmond Hill | AAAAAA |
| 44.57 | A - Private | Mount Paran Christian | 55.6% | 3 | Darlington | A - Private |
| 44.19 | AAA | Liberty County | 65.3% | 7 | Pierce County | AAA |
| 42.72 | AAAAA | Griffin | 85.5% | 18 | Riverdale | AAAAA |
| 42.30 | AAAA | Blessed Trinity | 84.9% | 17 | West Hall | AAAA |
| 42.27 | AAAAA | Kell | 91.3% | 23 | Hiram | AAAAA |
| 41.02 | AAAAA | East Paulding | 58.4% | 4 | Paulding County | AAAAA |
| 39.73 | AAAA | Cairo | 88.4% | 20 | Northside (Columbus) | AAAA |
| 39.40 | AAAAAA | Alpharetta | 82.1% | 15 | Chattahoochee | AAAAAA |
| 39.25 | AAAAAA | Dacula | 85.8% | 18 | Winder-Barrow | AAAAAA |
| 38.79 | AAAAAAA | North Cobb | 97.3% | 34 | Kennesaw Mountain | AAAAAAA |
| 38.67 | AAAAA | Starr's Mill | 79.8% | 14 | Fayette County | AAAAA |
| 38.55 | AA | Model | 57.3% | 3 | Rockmart | AA |
| 38.40 | AAAAAA | Evans | 51.7% | 1 | Heritage (Conyers) | AAAAAA |
| 36.35 | A - Private | Prince Avenue Christian | 83.4% | 16 | Athens Academy | A - Private |
| 36.27 | AAAA | St. Pius X | 63.2% | 6 | Madison County | AAAA |
| 36.12 | A - Public | Bowdon | 52.1% | 1 | Pinecrest Academy | A - Private |
| 36.02 | A - Public | Irwin County | 63.2% | 6 | Turner County | A - Public |
| 35.98 | A - Private | Tattnall Square | 85.6% | 18 | Washington-Wilkes | A - Public |
| 35.97 | AAAAAA | Creekside | 87.9% | 20 | South Paulding | AAAAAA |
| 35.91 | AAAA | Americus-Sumter | 67.5% | 8 | Columbus | AAAA |
| 35.91 | A - Private | Stratford Academy | 62.2% | 5 | Aquinas | A - Private |
| 35.89 | AA | Pepperell | 85.7% | 18 | Chattooga | AA |
| 35.61 | A - Public | Twiggs County | 74.8% | 11 | Greene County | A - Public |
| 34.79 | AAAAA | Thomas County Central | 92.0% | 24 | Harris County | AAAAA |
| 34.69 | AAAAA | Grady | 94.1% | 27 | Banneker | AAAAA |
| 34.59 | AAA | Cook | 61.6% | 5 | Monroe | AAA |
| 34.23 | AAAAA | Carrollton | 96.5% | 32 | Cass | AAAAA |
| 34.07 | AAAA | West Laurens | 76.2% | 12 | Perry | AAAA |
| 33.92 | A - Public | Commerce | 67.7% | 8 | George Walton Academy | A - Private |
| 32.76 | AAAAAAA | Newton | 95.3% | 29 | Rockdale County | AAAAAAA |
| 32.24 | AA | Washington County | 80.9% | 15 | Dublin | AA |
| 31.51 | AA | Jefferson County | 89.0% | 21 | Screven County | AA |
| 31.24 | A - Public | Lincoln County | 51.1% | 1 | First Presbyterian | A - Private |
| 31.23 | AAAAAAA | Lambert | 95.2% | 29 | Forsyth Central | AAAAAAA |
| 30.66 | A - Public | Mitchell County | 51.0% | 1 | Pelham | A - Public |
| 30.64 | AA | Hapeville Charter | 78.2% | 13 | K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate | AA |
| 30.46 | A - Public | Dooly County | 62.6% | 5 | Marion County | A - Public |
| 30.20 | AAAAAAA | Brookwood | 98.4% | 37 | Lakeside (Atlanta) | AAAAAAA |
| 29.88 | AAAAAA | Glynn Academy | 98.3% | 37 | Bradwell Institute | AAAAAA |
| 29.81 | AAAAAA | Pope | 62.4% | 5 | Northview | AAAAAA |
| 29.38 | AAAAAA | River Ridge | 54.1% | 2 | South Cobb | AAAAAA |
| 28.87 | AAAAA | Whitewater | 88.6% | 20 | McIntosh | AAAAA |
| 28.59 | A - Private | Calvary Day | 90.0% | 22 | Savannah Christian | A - Private |
| 27.69 | AAAAAA | Lakeside (Evans) | 56.2% | 3 | Grovetown | AAAAAA |
| 27.63 | A - Private | Mount Pisgah Christian | 62.7% | 5 | Trion | A - Public |
| 27.47 | AAAAA | Buford | 99.2% | 40 | Flowery Branch | AAAAA |
| 27.25 | AAAAA | Walnut Grove | 57.7% | 3 | Cedar Shoals | AAAAA |
| 27.23 | A - Public | Clinch County | 92.4% | 25 | Telfair County | A - Public |
| 27.13 | AAAA | Eastside | 92.3% | 25 | North Clayton | AAAA |
| 26.89 | AAAA | Pickens | 80.4% | 14 | Heritage (Ringgold) | AAAA |
| 24.53 | AAA | Appling County | 67.3% | 7 | Tattnall County | AAA |
| 24.51 | AAAAAAA | Westlake | 97.6% | 35 | Campbell | AAAAAAA |
| 24.09 | A - Public | Terrell County | 53.0% | 2 | Randolph-Clay | A - Public |
| 24.08 | AAAAAA | Habersham Central | 77.7% | 13 | Apalachee | AAAAAA |
| 24.01 | AAAAA | Stockbridge | 99.4% | 41 | Union Grove | AAAAA |
| 23.86 | AAAAA | Riverwood | 84.0% | 17 | Maynard Jackson | AAAAA |
| 23.46 | A - Private | Athens Christian | 71.1% | 9 | Hebron Christian Academy | A - Private |
| 23.00 | AAA | Union County | 77.0% | 12 | Lumpkin County | AAA |
| 22.95 | AAA | Adairsville | 55.1% | 2 | North Murray | AAA |
| 22.89 | AA | Brooks County | 93.0% | 26 | Berrien | AA |
| 22.55 | AAAAAAA | North Gwinnett | 99.0% | 39 | Discovery | AAAAAAA |
| 21.81 | AAAAAA | Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | 75.3% | 11 | M.L. King | AAAAAA |
| 21.49 | AAA | Sonoraville | 89.0% | 21 | Ringgold | AAA |
| 20.87 | AA | Toombs County | 79.9% | 14 | Swainsboro | AA |
| 20.69 | AAAAAA | New Manchester | 63.6% | 6 | Tri-Cities | AAAAAA |
| 20.08 | AAAAAA | Cambridge | 95.2% | 29 | North Atlanta | AAAAAA |
| 19.63 | A - Private | Holy Innocents | 65.9% | 7 | Our Lady of Mercy | A - Private |
| 19.51 | AAAAAA | Johns Creek | 98.0% | 36 | Dunwoody | AAAAAA |
| 19.47 | AAAAA | Ola | 95.4% | 30 | Hampton | AAAAA |
| 19.14 | AA | Therrell | 54.0% | 2 | Washington | AA |
| 18.44 | AAA | Pace Academy | 95.0% | 29 | Towers | AAA |
| 18.37 | AA | Lamar County | 88.7% | 21 | Temple | AA |
| 18.30 | A - Public | Miller County | 75.5% | 11 | Seminole County | A - Public |
| 18.27 | AAAA | Mary Persons | 98.5% | 38 | Howard | AAAA |
| 17.17 | A - Public | Taylor County | 92.5% | 25 | Brookstone | A - Private |
| 17.08 | AAA | Bremen | 87.6% | 20 | Murray County | AAA |
| 17.04 | AAAA | Sandy Creek | 99.3% | 40 | Central (Carrollton) | AAAA |
| 16.95 | AAA | Franklin County | 58.4% | 4 | Monroe Area | AAA |
| 16.70 | AAA | Pike County | 88.3% | 20 | Rutland | AAA |
| 16.54 | AAAA | Marist | 97.8% | 35 | White County | AAAA |
| 16.19 | AAAA | Baldwin | 70.7% | 9 | Cross Creek | AAAA |
| 16.12 | AAAAA | Rome | 99.5% | 41 | Woodland (Cartersville) | AAAAA |
| 16.09 | AAAAAA | Greenbrier | 67.2% | 7 | Alcovy | AAAAAA |
| 15.45 | AA | Elbert County | 87.4% | 19 | Banks County | AA |
| 14.70 | A - Public | McIntosh County Academy | 93.3% | 26 | Savannah Country Day | A - Private |
| 14.54 | A - Public | Gordon Lee | 55.4% | 2 | Walker | A - Private |
| 13.63 | AA | Vidalia | 93.6% | 26 | Bryan County | AA |
| 13.22 | AAA | Westside (Macon) | 94.0% | 27 | Kendrick | AAA |
| 13.21 | AAA | Morgan County | 93.0% | 26 | Jackson County | AAA |
| 12.89 | AA | Early County | 63.8% | 6 | Albany | AA |
| 12.41 | AAAA | Stephens County | 98.4% | 37 | North Oconee | AAAA |
| 12.40 | AAAAA | Wayne County | 85.2% | 18 | Statesboro | AAAAA |
| 11.60 | AAAA | Ridgeland | 97.2% | 34 | Southeast Whitfield | AAAA |
| 11.03 | AA | Rabun County | 99.5% | 41 | Monticello | AA |
| 10.90 | AAAAA | North Springs | 90.2% | 22 | Lithia Springs | AAAAA |
| 10.57 | AAA | Hart County | 56.0% | 3 | East Jackson | AAA |
| 10.32 | AAAA | Salem | 84.9% | 17 | Druid Hills | AAAA |
| 10.15 | AAAAA | Carver (Atlanta) | 97.9% | 36 | Decatur | AAAAA |
| 9.84 | AAAA | Thomson | 99.8% | 41 | Richmond Academy | AAAA |
| 9.83 | AA | Benedictine | 99.8% | 41 | Jeff Davis | AA |
| 9.51 | AAAAAAA | Mill Creek | 100.0% | 42 | Duluth | AAAAAAA |
| 9.51 | AA | Metter | 54.6% | 2 | Bacon County | AA |
| 9.14 | AAA | Brantley County | 91.9% | 24 | Long County | AAA |
| 9.09 | AAAAA | Miller Grove | 60.3% | 4 | Chamblee | AAAAA |
| 9.06 | A - Public | Warren County | 83.0% | 16 | Wilkinson County | A - Public |
| 8.09 | AAA | East Hall | 77.2% | 12 | Fannin County | AAA |
| 7.54 | AAAAAA | Brunswick | 97.8% | 35 | Osborne | AAAAAA |
| 7.33 | A - Public | Hancock Central | 72.6% | 10 | Johnson County | A - Public |
| 6.37 | AAAAA | Southwest DeKalb | 95.7% | 30 | Columbia | AAAAA |
| 6.19 | AA | Laney | 88.5% | 20 | Josey | AA |
| 6.07 | AA | Northeast | 70.7% | 9 | East Laurens | AA |
| 4.38 | AA | Southwest | 95.6% | 30 | Bleckley County | AA |
| 4.14 | A - Private | Lakeview Academy | 63.9% | 6 | Riverside Military Academy | A - Private |
| 3.32 | A - Public | Treutlen | 71.5% | 9 | Windsor Forest | AAA |
| 3.19 | A - Public | Emanuel County Institute | 97.7% | 35 | Jenkins County | A - Public |
| 2.61 | AA | Callaway | 99.8% | 41 | Jordan | AA |
| 2.20 | A - Public | Atkinson County | 79.9% | 14 | Wilcox County | A - Public |
| 1.97 | AAAA | LaFayette | 50.4% | 1 | Gilmer | AAAA |
| 0.59 | AA | Butler | 58.4% | 4 | Glenn Hills | AA |
| -0.37 | A - Public | Charlton County | 88.2% | 20 | Lanier County | A - Public |
| -1.29 | AAAAAAA | Norcross | 100.0% | 42 | Meadowcreek | AAAAAAA |
| -1.41 | AAAA | Luella | 97.2% | 34 | Henry County | AAAA |
| -1.71 | A - Private | King's Ridge Christian | 55.0% | 2 | Christian Heritage | A - Private |
| -2.59 | AA | Putnam County | 71.1% | 9 | Social Circle | AA |
| -3.28 | AA | Dade County | 77.2% | 12 | Armuchee | AA |
| -3.42 | A - Public | Towns County | 77.0% | 12 | Providence Christian | A - Private |
| -5.66 | AAA | Islands | 71.3% | 9 | Groves | AAA |
| -7.35 | AAA | Jenkins | 98.6% | 38 | Beach | AAA |
| -7.79 | AAA | Westminster (Atlanta) | 99.9% | 42 | Stone Mountain | AAA |
| -8.50 | A - Public | Claxton | 60.8% | 5 | Portal | A - Public |
| -8.75 | A - Public | Crawford County | 92.1% | 24 | Greenville | A - Public |
| -8.81 | AAAAA | Loganville | 99.8% | 41 | Johnson (Gainesville) | AAAAA |
| -10.33 | A - Public | Schley County | 86.7% | 19 | Central (Talbotton) | A - Public |
| -11.39 | A - Public | Chattahoochee County | 85.2% | 18 | Stewart County | A - Public |
| -12.59 | AA | Harlem | 84.1% | 17 | Westside (Augusta) | AA |
| -13.26 | A - Private | Whitefield Academy | 68.2% | 8 | North Cobb Christian | A - Private |
| -14.03 | A - Public | Hawkinsville | 93.1% | 26 | Pacelli | A - Private |
| -15.38 | AAA | Calhoun | 99.9% | 42 | Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | AAA |
| -16.19 | A - Private | St. Francis | 52.5% | 1 | Oglethorpe County | AA |
| -18.25 | A - Public | Calhoun County | 80.0% | 14 | Baconton Charter | A - Public |
| -23.89 | AAAA | Burke County | 99.9% | 42 | Hephzibah | AAAA |
| -24.98 | AA | Coosa | 97.9% | 36 | Gordon Central | AA |
| -26.24 | A - Private | Wesleyan | 99.9% | 42 | Fulton Leadership Academy | A - Public |
| -31.07 | AAA | Haralson County | 98.2% | 37 | Coahulla Creek | AAA |
| -31.25 | AA | Douglass | 99.8% | 41 | Clarkston | AAAAA |
| -45.44 | A - Other | Glascock County | 89.7% | 22 | Pataula Charter | A - Other |
Nov 05
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.32 | AA | Spencer | 78.0% | 13 | Heard County | AA |
| 25.79 | AAAAA | Arabia Mountain | 94.0% | 27 | Lithonia | AAAAA |
| 19.43 | AAA | Cedar Grove | 97.7% | 35 | Redan | AAA |
| 6.36 | A - Private | Mount Vernon Presbyterian | 86.2% | 18 | Strong Rock Christian | A - Private |
| -19.96 | AAA | Savannah | 98.9% | 39 | Johnson (Savannah) | AAA |

