Sports
Maxwell Week 4 Projections
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.
Sep 11
| Game Rate | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.25 | Perry | 71.4% | 9 | Macon County |
| 29.33 | Spalding | 56.6% | 3 | Walnut Grove |
| 22.48 | Toombs County | 77.5% | 13 | Beach |
| 14.33 | Henry County | 79.5% | 14 | Mount Zion (Jonesboro) |
| 10.38 | Riverdale | 96.3% | 32 | Hampton |
Sep 12
| Game Rate | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80.45 | Peachtree Ridge | 53.3% | 2 | McEachern |
| 79.31 | Lovejoy | 57.3% | 3 | Hillgrove |
| 75.42 | Grayson | 81.9% | 15 | Archer |
| 73.06 | Ware County | 59.8% | 4 | Coffee |
| 67.36 | Brookwood | 57.3% | 3 | Parkview |
| 66.28 | Sandy Creek | 90.3% | 22 | Newnan |
| 65.59 | East Coweta | 63.3% | 6 | Whitewater |
| 63.97 | Lassiter | 60.9% | 5 | Woodstock |
| 63.83 | South Gwinnett | 64.8% | 6 | Central Gwinnett |
| 63.71 | East Paulding | 68.5% | 8 | South Paulding |
| 63.47 | Woodward Academy | 71.2% | 9 | Lovett |
| 61.73 | Walton | 88.4% | 20 | Roswell |
| 61.37 | Flowery Branch | 66.1% | 7 | Lanier |
| 61.04 | Cartersville | 66.3% | 7 | North Paulding |
| 60.34 | Camden County | 94.5% | 28 | Brunswick |
| 59.74 | Marietta | 80.7% | 14 | South Cobb |
| 58.08 | Westminster (Atlanta) | 66.9% | 7 | Elbert County |
| 57.38 | Hart County | 53.0% | 2 | Thomson |
| 57.38 | Newton | 54.4% | 2 | Westlake |
| 57.02 | Troup | 67.2% | 7 | Harris County |
| 56.33 | Lamar County | 56.7% | 3 | Mary Persons |
| 55.76 | West Forsyth | 71.2% | 9 | Chattahoochee |
| 55.02 | Cherokee | 71.6% | 9 | Wheeler |
| 53.92 | New Manchester | 56.4% | 3 | Villa Rica |
| 53.87 | Northside (Warner Robins) | 95.4% | 30 | Lakeside (Evans) |
| 53.70 | Tift County | 84.5% | 17 | Baldwin |
| 53.21 | Tucker | 93.7% | 27 | M. L. King |
| 51.60 | Griffin | 96.3% | 32 | Eastside |
| 51.27 | Lowndes | 96.9% | 33 | Rockdale County |
| 50.98 | Kell | 94.4% | 28 | Sequoyah |
| 50.57 | North Hall | 68.4% | 8 | West Hall |
| 49.94 | Union Grove | 51.0% | 1 | Mundy's Mill |
| 48.96 | Westside (Macon) | 79.5% | 14 | West Laurens |
| 48.89 | Washington-Wilkes | 66.5% | 7 | Jefferson County |
| 48.58 | Northview | 58.8% | 4 | North Forsyth |
| 48.51 | Ringgold | 75.8% | 12 | Adairsville |
| 48.27 | Marist | 94.0% | 27 | Arabia Mountain |
| 47.19 | Bainbridge | 69.9% | 9 | Monroe |
| 46.51 | Eagle's Landing | 75.6% | 11 | Jonesboro |
| 46.05 | Valdosta | 97.2% | 34 | Thomasville |
| 45.98 | Dacula | 97.7% | 35 | Berkmar |
| 45.84 | Rome | 69.6% | 8 | Cambridge |
| 45.76 | Loganville | 62.7% | 5 | Heritage (Conyers) |
| 45.65 | Benedictine | 82.1% | 15 | Liberty County |
| 45.63 | Blessed Trinity | 92.2% | 25 | Creekview |
| 45.31 | Kennesaw Mountain | 61.7% | 5 | Douglas County |
| 44.50 | Marion County | 56.9% | 3 | Dooly County |
| 43.97 | Stephenson | 92.4% | 25 | Banneker |
| 43.85 | Etowah | 96.5% | 32 | Pope |
| 43.80 | Clarke Central | 72.8% | 10 | Cedar Shoals |
| 43.70 | Carver (Atlanta) | 78.5% | 13 | Dunwoody |
| 43.34 | Alpharetta | 96.0% | 31 | Johns Creek |
| 43.27 | Lambert | 82.8% | 16 | Centennial |
| 42.54 | Hiram | 59.0% | 4 | Paulding County |
| 42.51 | St. Pius X | 87.2% | 19 | Lithonia |
| 41.30 | Crisp County | 50.1% | 0 | Worth County |
| 40.87 | Northgate | 81.2% | 15 | Woodland (Stockbridge) |
| 40.87 | Pebblebrook | 57.0% | 3 | Alcovy |
| 40.81 | Dutchtown | 66.1% | 7 | Starr's Mill |
| 40.65 | Bowdon | 63.5% | 6 | Cedartown |
| 40.54 | Thomas County Central | 94.6% | 28 | Americus-Sumter |
| 39.74 | Forsyth Central | 56.5% | 3 | Cass |
| 39.24 | Pierce County | 70.5% | 9 | Cook |
| 38.73 | Effingham County | 81.5% | 15 | South Effingham |
| 37.60 | Eagle's Landing Christian | 79.5% | 14 | Mount Pisgah Christian |
| 37.16 | Upson-Lee | 72.1% | 10 | Northeast |
| 36.89 | North Cobb | 98.5% | 38 | Monroe Area |
| 36.60 | Creekside | 97.4% | 34 | Druid Hills |
| 35.84 | White County | 76.1% | 12 | Pace Academy |
| 35.76 | Appling County | 70.8% | 9 | Tattnall County |
| 35.70 | Washington County | 98.9% | 39 | Veterans |
| 35.17 | Washington | 72.1% | 10 | Maynard Jackson |
| 34.85 | Evans | 80.7% | 14 | Grovetown |
| 34.77 | Sprayberry | 69.2% | 8 | Woodland (Cartersville) |
| 34.67 | McIntosh | 83.1% | 16 | Ola |
| 33.79 | Locust Grove | 70.5% | 9 | Pike County |
| 33.76 | Charlton County | 81.8% | 15 | Bacon County |
| 33.70 | Columbia | 90.4% | 22 | Stone Mountain |
| 33.48 | Gainesville | 98.4% | 37 | Winder-Barrow |
| 33.29 | Allatoona | 98.3% | 37 | Lithia Springs |
| 32.76 | Richmond Hill | 92.5% | 25 | Bradwell Institute |
| 32.46 | Clinch County | 74.8% | 11 | Berrien |
| 32.11 | Westover | 91.2% | 23 | Northside (Columbus) |
| 32.05 | Ridgeland | 66.2% | 7 | Dade County |
| 31.69 | Prince Avenue Christian | 78.7% | 13 | George Walton Academy |
| 31.51 | Jefferson | 97.4% | 34 | Commerce |
| 31.48 | Aquinas | 90.6% | 23 | Our Lady of Mercy |
| 31.46 | Kendrick | 65.0% | 6 | Jackson |
| 30.88 | Drew | 88.2% | 20 | North Clayton |
| 30.67 | Model | 65.2% | 7 | Bremen |
| 29.96 | Alexander | 92.7% | 25 | Chapel Hill |
| 29.94 | Harrison | 95.8% | 31 | Osborne |
| 29.80 | Rutland | 53.7% | 2 | Howard |
| 29.20 | Chestatee | 80.2% | 14 | Pepperell |
| 28.89 | Seminole County | 67.2% | 7 | Mitchell County |
| 28.62 | Peach County | 97.9% | 36 | Southwest |
| 28.29 | Hawkinsville | 84.5% | 17 | Taylor County |
| 28.22 | Jackson County | 57.7% | 3 | Rabun County |
| 27.31 | Salem | 85.7% | 18 | Apalachee |
| 26.09 | Coosa | 51.4% | 1 | Rockmart |
| 26.09 | Lincoln County | 84.0% | 17 | Westside (Augusta) |
| 25.63 | Campbell | 92.6% | 25 | Lakeside (Atlanta) |
| 24.82 | Manchester | 79.1% | 13 | Columbus |
| 24.79 | Jones County | 95.0% | 29 | Greenbrier |
| 24.30 | Trion | 68.3% | 8 | LaFayette |
| 23.50 | Sonoraville | 64.6% | 6 | North Murray |
| 23.40 | Johnson County | 61.2% | 5 | Wilkinson County |
| 23.30 | Pelham | 74.8% | 11 | Miller County |
| 22.62 | Bryan County | 53.6% | 2 | Southeast Bulloch |
| 22.43 | Stockbridge | 98.4% | 37 | Morrow |
| 22.39 | Whitefield Academy | 55.3% | 2 | Mount Zion (Carroll) |
| 21.46 | Walker | 56.7% | 3 | Pinecrest Academy |
| 21.18 | Darlington | 86.7% | 19 | King's Ridge Christian |
| 21.01 | Laney | 96.2% | 31 | Albany |
| 20.60 | B.E.S.T. Academy | 92.8% | 25 | Therrell |
| 20.48 | Wilcox County | 76.9% | 12 | Calhoun County |
| 20.28 | Heard County | 92.5% | 25 | South Atlanta |
| 20.10 | First Presbyterian | 84.8% | 17 | Monticello |
| 19.44 | South Forsyth | 95.8% | 30 | Habersham Central |
| 19.25 | Luella | 96.5% | 32 | Forest Park |
| 19.24 | Emanuel County Institute | 95.7% | 30 | Portal |
| 19.08 | Central (Macon) | 68.5% | 8 | Jordan |
| 18.53 | Dawson County | 83.4% | 16 | Heritage (Ringgold) |
| 17.99 | Morgan County | 89.2% | 21 | Greene County |
| 17.82 | Metter | 88.7% | 21 | Long County |
| 17.76 | Oconee County | 78.9% | 13 | Putnam County |
| 17.42 | Christian Heritage | 61.7% | 5 | Gordon Lee |
| 17.07 | Dodge County | 91.9% | 24 | Savannah |
| 15.61 | East Laurens | 71.9% | 10 | Jenkins County |
| 15.46 | Savannah Christian | 97.0% | 33 | Savannah Country Day |
| 15.32 | Warner Robins | 99.1% | 40 | Cross Creek |
| 15.22 | Dalton | 98.9% | 39 | North Atlanta |
| 15.01 | Lumpkin County | 68.5% | 8 | Johnson (Gainesville) |
| 14.39 | Turner County | 83.3% | 16 | Randolph-Clay |
| 13.87 | Tattnall Square | 92.4% | 25 | Strong Rock Christian |
| 13.60 | McNair | 65.9% | 7 | Douglass |
| 13.29 | Greenville | 79.3% | 14 | Schley County |
| 13.24 | Grady | 97.5% | 35 | Redan |
| 13.09 | Central (Carrollton) | 98.7% | 38 | Hardaway |
| 11.72 | River Ridge | 87.8% | 20 | North Springs |
| 11.48 | Meadowcreek | 70.3% | 9 | Clarkston |
| 11.42 | Fellowship Christian | 52.8% | 1 | Chattooga |
| 11.29 | Telfair County | 81.7% | 15 | Treutlen |
| 11.22 | Riverside Military Academy | 68.9% | 8 | Hapeville |
| 10.98 | Mount de Sales | 78.4% | 13 | Georgia Military College |
| 7.89 | Hancock Central | 88.2% | 20 | Josey |
| 7.54 | Banks County | 75.1% | 11 | East Jackson |
| 6.26 | Fannin County | 84.0% | 17 | Armuchee |
| 6.19 | Groves | 80.0% | 14 | Windsor Forest |
| 6.08 | Athens Academy | 83.9% | 17 | Oglethorpe County |
| 3.33 | Jeff Davis | 68.4% | 8 | Montgomery County |
| 2.69 | Calhoun | 99.9% | 42 | Gordon Central |
| 0.88 | Harlem | 65.5% | 7 | Warren County |
| -1.94 | Dublin | 98.7% | 38 | Twiggs County |
| -3.04 | Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | 73.5% | 10 | Coahulla Creek |
| -5.06 | New Hampstead | 73.8% | 11 | Islands |
| -7.49 | Atkinson County | 92.0% | 24 | Baconton |
| -8.79 | Hephzibah | 83.6% | 16 | Glascock County |
| -8.92 | Wheeler County | 79.5% | 14 | Mount Vernon Presbyterian |
| -9.62 | Lakeview Academy | 66.7% | 7 | Towns County |
| -10.82 | Pacelli | 99.1% | 40 | Central (Talbotton) |
| -14.72 | Crawford County | 64.3% | 6 | Stewart County |
| -16.19 | Temple | 89.9% | 22 | Social Circle |
| -19.54 | K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate | 80.6% | 14 | North Cobb Christian |
Sep 13
| Game Rate | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.02 | Cedar Grove | 65.6% | 7 | Miller Grove |
| 32.09 | Houston County | 92.4% | 25 | Richmond Academy |
| 28.84 | Decatur | 84.8% | 17 | Towers |
