Sports

Maxwell Week 8 Projections

By Loren Maxwell
Oct 6, 2016

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Oct 06

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
0.60 AAA Jenkins 97.8% 35 Islands AAA
-13.47 A - Public Randolph-Clay 98.5% 38 Baconton Charter A - Public

Oct 07

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
82.29 AAAAAA Valdosta 51.2% 1 Northside (Warner Robins) AAAAAA
76.26 AAAAAAA Roswell 90.6% 23 Lassiter AAAAAAA
73.47 AAAAAAA McEachern 79.2% 14 North Cobb AAAAAAA
72.56 AAAAAA Lee County 57.5% 3 Houston County AAAAAA
69.94 AAAAAAA Archer 69.3% 8 Newton AAAAAAA
67.98 AAAAA Stockbridge 67.7% 8 Woodland (Stockbridge) AAAAA
65.11 AAAAAAA Westlake 50.4% 1 East Coweta AAAAAAA
63.41 AAAAAAA North Paulding 67.9% 8 Hillgrove AAAAAAA
63.17 AAAAAAA Walton 64.8% 6 Cherokee AAAAAAA
63.01 AAAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 71.6% 9 Mountain View AAAAAAA
61.98 AAAAAAA West Forsyth 63.9% 6 Milton AAAAAAA
61.09 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 60.3% 4 Pace Academy AAA
61.06 AAAAAAA Etowah 62.7% 5 Woodstock AAAAAAA
60.08 AAAAAA Mays 84.2% 17 Douglas County AAAAAA
57.68 AAAAAAA South Forsyth 76.0% 12 Lambert AAAAAAA
56.88 AAAAAA Glynn Academy 84.8% 17 Effingham County AAAAAA
56.46 AAAAAA Allatoona 65.8% 7 Creekview AAAAAA
53.97 AAAAAAA Newnan 59.4% 4 Wheeler AAAAAAA
52.46 AAAAAAA Grayson 98.1% 37 Shiloh AAAAAAA
52.17 AAAA Stephens County 53.2% 2 St. Pius X AAAA
51.94 AAAAA Dutchtown 51.8% 1 Locust Grove AAAAA
51.31 AAAAAA Harrison 92.0% 24 Sprayberry AAAAAA
49.88 AAAAA Thomas County Central 78.8% 13 Warner Robins AAAAA
48.89 AAAAA Rome 89.0% 21 Hiram AAAAA
48.42 AAAAA Loganville 67.5% 8 Clarke Central AAAAA
48.01 AAAA Spalding 73.2% 10 West Laurens AAAA
47.17 AAAAA Bainbridge 65.7% 7 Veterans AAAAA
46.65 AAAAA Carrollton 85.8% 18 Villa Rica AAAAA
46.49 AAAAA Cass 51.1% 1 East Paulding AAAAA
46.26 AAAA Mary Persons 79.6% 14 Upson-Lee AAAA
44.40 AAA Cook 59.8% 4 Worth County AAA
44.39 AAAA Cartersville 98.2% 37 LaGrange AAAA
44.12 AAAAAAA Marietta 73.5% 10 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAAA
43.61 AAAAA Starr's Mill 78.3% 13 Whitewater AAAAA
43.32 AAAA Sandy Creek 89.3% 21 Chapel Hill AAAA
43.20 AAAAA Ola 51.1% 1 Eagle's Landing AAAAA
42.42 A - Public Twiggs County 53.8% 2 Stratford Academy A - Private
41.90 AAAAAA Hughes 94.2% 27 South Paulding AAAAAA
41.77 AAAAAA Lanier 90.0% 22 Winder-Barrow AAAAAA
41.37 AAAAAA Gainesville 78.0% 13 Habersham Central AAAAAA
41.32 AA Callaway 88.8% 21 Lamar County AA
40.66 AAAAAA Alpharetta 85.2% 18 Pope AAAAAA
40.37 AAA Jackson 63.3% 6 Pike County AAA
40.23 AAAAAA Johns Creek 84.8% 17 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
39.34 AAAAAAA Parkview 96.7% 32 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAAA
39.20 AAAAAAA North Forsyth 79.5% 14 Forsyth Central AAAAAAA
38.90 AAAAAA Alexander 95.1% 29 Tri-Cities AAAAAA
37.71 AAAAAA Centennial 89.3% 21 Northview AAAAAA
37.71 AAAAAA Heritage (Conyers) 66.1% 7 Grovetown AAAAAA
37.70 AAA Peach County 90.4% 22 Central (Macon) AAA
37.42 AAAAA Fayette County 62.0% 5 McIntosh AAAAA
36.84 AAA Calhoun 91.3% 23 Adairsville AAA
36.60 AAAAAA Northgate 95.4% 30 New Manchester AAAAAA
36.28 AA Dublin 66.2% 7 Dodge County AA
35.13 AAA Dawson County 68.6% 8 Union County AAA
34.93 AAAAAAA South Gwinnett 97.0% 33 Rockdale County AAAAAAA
34.58 AAAAAA Sequoyah 83.8% 17 South Cobb AAAAAA
33.05 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 74.6% 11 Heritage (Ringgold) AAAA
32.36 AAAAA Columbia 55.4% 2 Lithonia AAAAA
31.01 AAAAAA Evans 78.4% 13 Alcovy AAAAAA
30.62 AAAAA Arabia Mountain 92.6% 25 Miller Grove AAAAA
30.50 AAAA West Hall 78.5% 13 Chestatee AAAA
30.29 AAA Liberty County 88.7% 21 Tattnall County AAA
30.24 AAA North Hall 69.4% 8 Lumpkin County AAA
30.16 AAA Pierce County 84.9% 17 Brantley County AAA
29.52 AA Thomasville 81.2% 15 Berrien AA
29.06 AAAAA Wayne County 70.9% 9 South Effingham AAAAA
29.00 AAAA Woodward Academy 98.7% 38 North Clayton AAAA
28.93 AAAAAA Dalton 98.3% 37 River Ridge AAAAAA
28.84 AAAAAA Cambridge 91.1% 23 Dunwoody AAAAAA
28.19 AAAAAA Brunswick 93.9% 27 Bradwell Institute AAAAAA
28.12 AAAAAAA Collins Hill 90.1% 22 Duluth AAAAAAA
27.93 AAAA Perry 70.1% 9 Howard AAAA
27.87 AA Hapeville Charter 73.3% 10 Washington AA
27.82 AAAAAA Greenbrier 62.9% 6 Lakeside (Evans) AAAAAA
27.25 A - Public Marion County 60.1% 4 Brookstone A - Private
26.80 AAAA Cedartown 93.9% 27 Central (Carrollton) AAAA
26.73 AAAAAAA Camden County 96.5% 32 Charlton County A - Public
26.28 A - Public Greene County 69.1% 8 Washington-Wilkes A - Public
25.78 A - Private Aquinas 83.2% 16 Warren County A - Public
25.49 AAAA Blessed Trinity 97.5% 35 White County AAAA
25.18 AAAA Baldwin 66.6% 7 Richmond Academy AAAA
25.13 A - Public Mount Zion (Carroll) 88.6% 21 Gordon Lee A - Public
24.75 A - Private Eagle's Landing Christian 97.6% 35 Our Lady of Mercy A - Private
24.55 AAAAAAA Pebblebrook 84.9% 17 Campbell AAAAAAA
24.22 AAAA Luella 83.1% 16 Druid Hills AAAA
23.93 AAA Greater Atlanta Christian 99.2% 40 East Hall AAA
23.73 A - Private Athens Christian 72.5% 10 George Walton Academy A - Private
23.72 AAAA Oconee County 94.3% 28 North Oconee AAAA
23.30 AAA Westside (Macon) 86.3% 18 Rutland AAA
23.24 AAAAA Flowery Branch 87.5% 19 Walnut Grove AAAAA
23.10 A - Public Lincoln County 82.9% 16 Hancock Central A - Public
22.94 AAA Franklin County 69.1% 8 Jackson County AAA
22.82 AAAAAAA Mill Creek 99.9% 42 Discovery AAAAAAA
22.58 AA Brooks County 97.6% 35 Early County AA
21.89 AAAAA Union Grove 54.5% 2 Hampton AAAAA
21.75 A - Private Calvary Day 93.4% 26 Savannah Country Day A - Private
21.70 AA Southwest 80.4% 14 Northeast AA
21.50 AAAA Eastside 95.9% 31 Henry County AAAA
21.15 AAAAA Southwest DeKalb 90.7% 23 Chamblee AAAAA
19.77 AAAAAA Dacula 97.8% 35 Apalachee AAAAAA
19.46 A - Private Tattnall Square 87.1% 19 Mount de Sales A - Private
19.18 AA Therrell 62.2% 5 South Atlanta AA
18.90 AAA Ringgold 77.4% 13 Murray County AAA
18.66 A - Public Dooly County 85.9% 18 Hawkinsville A - Public
18.10 AAAA Burke County 97.3% 34 Cross Creek AAAA
17.22 AAAAA Statesboro 80.3% 14 New Hampstead AAAAA
17.14 A - Private Athens Academy 87.0% 19 Hebron Christian Academy A - Private
17.14 AA Spencer 89.2% 21 Jordan AA
16.17 AAAAA Paulding County 95.6% 30 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
16.06 A - Public Macon County 97.4% 34 Crawford County A - Public
16.01 AA Rabun County 98.4% 37 Putnam County AA
15.70 A - Private Wesleyan 97.3% 34 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A - Private
15.59 AAAAAAA Brookwood 99.6% 41 Meadowcreek AAAAAAA
15.43 AAAA Pickens 92.2% 24 Southeast Whitfield AAAA
14.96 AAA Cedar Grove 98.5% 38 Towers AAA
14.81 AAA Appling County 93.9% 27 Long County AAA
13.68 A - Public Johnson County 53.6% 2 Jenkins County A - Public
13.44 AAAAA Griffin 99.1% 40 Morrow AAAAA
12.42 A - Private Mount Paran Christian 96.5% 32 Walker A - Private
11.72 AAAAAA Mundy's Mill 96.2% 31 Osborne AAAAAA
11.67 A - Private First Presbyterian 93.1% 26 Wilkinson County A - Public
11.54 A - Public Emanuel County Institute 95.7% 30 Wheeler County A - Public
11.50 A - Private Holy Innocents 81.9% 15 Strong Rock Christian A - Private
11.48 AAA Savannah 70.9% 9 Windsor Forest AAA
11.39 A - Public Taylor County 86.7% 19 Schley County A - Public
9.76 AA Jefferson County 98.4% 37 Harlem AA
9.38 AAA Monroe Area 56.8% 3 East Jackson AAA
9.18 AAA Redan 92.6% 25 McNair AAA
9.12 AA Douglass 91.7% 24 Forest Park AAAAAA
8.75 A - Private Pinecrest Academy 94.5% 28 King's Ridge Christian A - Private
8.26 AA Fitzgerald 99.6% 41 Albany AA
7.21 AAAA Ridgeland 98.6% 38 LaFayette AAAA
6.99 AA Washington County 97.7% 35 Bleckley County AA
6.92 AAAAAAA Central Gwinnett 99.2% 40 Berkmar AAAAAAA
5.47 A - Public Miller County 75.4% 11 Chattahoochee County A - Public
5.22 A - Public Bowdon 96.8% 33 Christian Heritage A - Private
4.31 AA Monticello 71.8% 10 Social Circle AA
2.74 A - Private Fellowship Christian 98.1% 36 Whitefield Academy A - Private
2.56 AAA Sonoraville 98.4% 37 Haralson County AAA
0.83 A - Public Manchester 99.2% 40 Pacelli A - Private
0.03 AAA Lovett 99.6% 41 Stone Mountain AAA
-0.14 A - Private Savannah Christian 96.9% 33 Claxton A - Public
-0.25 A - Private Prince Avenue Christian 99.3% 40 Lakeview Academy A - Private
-0.90 A - Public McIntosh County Academy 98.5% 37 Portal A - Public
-1.05 AAAAA Buford 100.0% 42 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAAA
-2.05 A - Private Mount Pisgah Christian 97.4% 34 St. Francis A - Private
-4.15 A - Public Treutlen 87.3% 19 Montgomery County A - Public
-4.71 A - Public Greenville 76.7% 12 Central (Talbotton) A - Public
-6.43 A - Private Darlington 99.4% 40 North Cobb Christian A - Private
-6.96 A - Public Seminole County 91.7% 24 Calhoun County A - Public
-8.56 AA Elbert County 99.4% 41 Oglethorpe County AA
-10.43 AAAA Thomson 100.0% 42 Hephzibah AAAA
-14.84 A - Public Commerce 99.2% 40 Providence Christian A - Private
-16.60 AAA Coahulla Creek 67.9% 8 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
-21.08 A - Public Terrell County 97.7% 35 Stewart County A - Public
-28.95 A - Private Landmark Christian 100.0% 42 Fulton Leadership Academy A - Public
-29.81 AAAAA North Springs 99.7% 41 Cross Keys AAAAA

Oct 08

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
20.41 AAA Monroe 93.4% 26 Dougherty AAA
9.17 AA Laney 91.5% 24 Glenn Hills AA
-6.38 AAA Southeast Bulloch 97.8% 35 Johnson (Savannah) AAA

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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