Prep Zone

Atlanta high school sports news from The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Maxwell Week 9 projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50 percent of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

 All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. 

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here. 

Oct 11

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Game Rate Class Team Pct Proj Team Class
32.32AAVidalia85.7%18Toombs CountyAA
31.49AAAAAAAlcovy60.4%4Lakeside (Evans)AAAAAA
27.55AACallaway97.4%34SpencerAA
24.73AAAAAAMorrow68.1%8DrewAAAAAA
23.76AAAAColumbus85.7%18ShawAAAA
17.48AAABenedictine99.3%40IslandsAAA

Oct 12

Game Rate Class Team Pct Proj Team Class
84.11AAAAAAAGrayson58.7%4ArcherAAAAAAA
74.75AAAAAAALowndes71.4%9Tift CountyAAAAAAA
73.36AAAAAAAMcEachern66.2%7MariettaAAAAAAA
70.98AAAAAAAColquitt County95.5%30Camden CountyAAAAAAA
69.69AAAAAALee County77.0%12Northside (Warner Robins)AAAAAA
68.25AAAAAAAMilton64.4%6South ForsythAAAAAAA
66.25AAHapeville Charter68.1%8AllatoonaAAAAAA
64.00AAAAAAANorth Cobb56.6%3North PauldingAAAAAAA
63.89AAACedar Grove70.5%9Westminster (Atlanta)AAA
63.70AAAACartersville77.7%13Sandy CreekAAAA
63.43AAAAAAValdosta53.6%2CoffeeAAAAAA
58.22AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett93.5%26Collins HillAAAAAAA
57.76AAAAACarrollton69.9%9KellAAAAA
57.03AAAABlessed Trinity94.1%27Flowery BranchAAAA
56.54AAWashington County50.2%0Dodge CountyAA
56.37AAAAAWarner Robins89.3%21Thomas County CentralAAAAA
54.32AAAAAAAWestlake82.7%16PebblebrookAAAAAAA
53.82AAAAAAAWalton95.3%29EtowahAAAAAAA
52.77AAAAAAGlynn Academy61.7%5Richmond HillAAAAAA
52.68AAAAAAAWheeler61.7%5East CowetaAAAAAAA
52.07AAThomasville63.0%6FitzgeraldAA
49.52AAAAAAABrookwood89.2%21Central GwinnettAAAAAAA
49.35AAAPace Academy51.0%1LovettAAA
49.00AAAAAAACherokee54.9%2WoodstockAAAAAAA
48.68AAAAAAAHillgrove96.2%31Kennesaw MountainAAAAAAA
48.67AABrooks County70.8%9Early CountyAA
48.09AAAAAAMays69.9%9CreeksideAAAAAA
46.83AAAAOconee County54.7%2Stephens CountyAAAA
45.81AAAABurke County80.6%14Richmond AcademyAAAA
45.52AAAAThomson53.7%2BaldwinAAAA
43.76AAALiberty County67.4%7Appling CountyAAA
42.70AAAAAAStephenson75.6%12Mundy's MillAAAAAA
42.52AAAAAADalton73.2%10SprayberryAAAAAA
42.34AAAAAAHughes53.3%2AlexanderAAAAAA
42.24AAAAAWare County89.9%22StatesboroAAAAA
41.51AAAASt. Pius X96.3%32North OconeeAAAA
41.22AAAAAVeterans83.8%17Harris CountyAAAAA
40.63AAAAAABrunswick55.4%2Effingham CountyAAAAAA
40.58AAAAABuford96.8%33LoganvilleAAAAA
40.53AAAAAHiram65.9%7Villa RicaAAAAA
40.05AAAAAAARoswell95.1%29LassiterAAAAAAA
40.05AAAAAAAWest Forsyth83.6%16Forsyth CentralAAAAAAA
39.84AAAAAAANewnan83.8%17CampbellAAAAAAA
39.82AAAAPickens63.2%6Northwest WhitfieldAAAA
39.60AAAAAAALambert57.2%3North ForsythAAAAAAA
36.48AARabun County87.7%20Elbert CountyAA
36.47AAAAAJonesboro53.3%2RiverdaleAAAAA
35.89AAAACarver (Columbus)79.0%13WestoverAAAA
35.47AAAAChapel Hill87.9%20Central (Carrollton)AAAA
35.31AADublin90.8%23SouthwestAA
34.70AAAAEastside94.2%27SalemAAAA
34.52AAAAAAGrovetown54.4%2GreenbrierAAAAAA
34.42AAAAAAJohns Creek86.0%18CambridgeAAAAAA
33.87ACommerce80.5%14Hebron Christian AcademyA
33.54AAAJefferson86.3%18Morgan CountyAAA
33.54AAAAMarist97.2%34DenmarkAAAA
33.50AAAMonroe Area94.3%28Hart CountyAAA
33.46AAAATroup98.7%38LaGrangeAAAA
32.67AAAAAClarke Central83.9%17Walnut GroveAAAAA
32.52AAAPike County69.4%8Central (Macon)AAA
32.01AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett86.9%19Rockdale CountyAAAAAAA
31.87AAAAAASequoyah95.3%29South CobbAAAAAA
31.57AAAAWest Hall72.9%10White CountyAAAA
31.44AAAAAAPope62.2%5North AtlantaAAAAAA
31.16AAAAAAHeritage (Conyers)59.4%4EvansAAAAAA
31.12AAAAAmericus-Sumter58.9%4Northside (Columbus)AAAA
30.99AAAAAASouth Paulding67.7%8New ManchesterAAAAAA
30.81AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge58.8%4DuluthAAAAAAA
30.56AAAAWoodward Academy88.8%21HamptonAAAA
29.98AAAAAAAMill Creek98.4%37DiscoveryAAAAAAA
29.67AAScreven County54.4%2HarlemAA
29.48AAAAABanneker90.5%23DecaturAAAAA
29.22AClinch County92.7%25Turner CountyA
28.99AAAAAACreekview97.8%36River RidgeAAAAAA
28.77AAAAARome99.6%41Paulding CountyAAAAA
28.55AAAAAEast Paulding92.0%24CassAAAAA
28.46AMount Zion (Carroll)73.8%11North Cobb ChristianA
27.97ACharlton County77.7%13Wilcox CountyA
27.85AAAAAADouglas County95.8%30Tri-CitiesAAAAAA
27.80AAAAAALovejoy81.8%15Mount Zion (Jonesboro)AAAAAA
26.42ASchley County76.4%12Macon CountyA
26.28ABrookstone51.9%1ManchesterA
25.99ACalvary Day79.1%13ClaxtonA
25.92ADarlington77.8%13TrionA
23.43AAAAAWayne County98.1%36South EffinghamAAAAA
23.31AAANorth Murray61.5%5Haralson CountyAAA
22.92AAAAAArabia Mountain88.8%21ColumbiaAAAAA
22.69AAtkinson County52.2%1Telfair CountyA
21.82AAAAAStarr's Mill94.4%28McIntoshAAAAA
21.41AAquinas86.3%18Hancock CentralA
21.32AMount de Sales68.4%8Tattnall SquareA
20.65AAAAANorth Springs64.9%6GradyAAAAA
20.25AAAALuella50.9%1Henry CountyAAAA
20.09APelham83.2%16Chattahoochee CountyA
19.86AAACrisp County97.6%35MonroeAAA
19.64AAAAAAAlpharetta96.4%32ChattahoocheeAAAAAA
19.49AJenkins County57.7%3Montgomery CountyA
19.47AAMetter78.2%13Bacon CountyAA
19.08AGreene County65.1%6Lincoln CountyA
18.63AAAAdairsville65.1%6SonoravilleAAA
18.25AAAAAAANorcross99.0%39Lakeside (Atlanta)AAAAAAA
17.76AAAARidgeland98.4%37LaFayetteAAAA
17.23AAAAAACentennial97.7%35DunwoodyAAAAAA
16.97AAAAACedar Shoals95.3%29Johnson (Gainesville)AAAAA
16.48AAAAAGriffin95.8%30Fayette CountyAAAAA
16.00AAATattnall County55.3%2Brantley CountyAAA
14.59AStratford Academy58.2%4First PresbyterianA
14.19AAAAAAM.L. King84.2%17Forest ParkAAAAAA
13.65AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe78.4%13Coahulla CreekAAA
13.41AAACook89.6%22Worth CountyAAA
12.07AAAAHardaway87.8%20DoughertyAAAA
11.29APinecrest Academy76.3%12St. FrancisA
10.61AAUnion County94.8%29Banks CountyAA
10.60AChristian Heritage84.5%17BowdonA
10.32AAANorth Hall97.7%35Fannin CountyAAA
9.84AAthens Academy99.3%40Athens ChristianA
7.78AAAGreater Atlanta Christian99.5%41Lumpkin CountyAAA
7.59ASavannah Christian97.5%34McIntosh County AcademyA
7.34ATaylor County60.0%4HawkinsvilleA
7.31AABleckley County91.7%24East LaurensAA
6.92AAAAAMaynard Jackson96.0%31Lithia SpringsAAAAA
6.69AAAANorth Clayton61.0%5Druid HillsAAAA
6.10AAAAALithonia88.0%20ChambleeAAAAA
5.99AASwainsboro98.4%37Bryan CountyAA
5.86AAJefferson County98.2%37Glenn HillsAA
3.89ASavannah Country Day90.6%23PortalA
3.37AAHeard County98.7%38JordanAA
0.80AAPutnam County73.0%10Social CircleAA
0.74AAHephzibah96.2%31Westside (Augusta)AA
-0.21AABremen99.6%41TempleAA
-0.56AAAPierce County99.0%39Long CountyAAA
-0.78AAAAAAHarrison99.8%41OsborneAAAAAA
-2.28AFellowship Christian99.0%39King's Ridge ChristianA
-3.01ARiverside Military Academy82.3%16Lakeview AcademyA
-3.84AWashington-Wilkes91.0%23Georgia Military CollegeA
-4.38AAAJohnson (Savannah)55.3%2SavannahAAA
-4.55AIrwin County99.9%42Lanier CountyA
-6.08AAButler95.1%29JoseyAA
-6.48AAAWindsor Forest95.8%30GrovesAAA
-6.85AGreenville82.9%16PacelliA
-6.89AEmanuel County Institute98.0%36Wheeler CountyA
-6.99AAAJackson99.4%40KendrickAAA
-7.01AMount Paran Christian99.1%40WalkerA
-9.81AAAFranklin County95.6%30East JacksonAAA
-10.42AAAAAAAParkview100.0%42BerkmarAAAAAAA
-10.93AAAPeach County100.0%42RutlandAAA
-11.56ATerrell County76.5%12Baconton CharterA
-12.34AAACalhoun100.0%42Murray CountyAAA
-12.40AAAEast Hall93.4%26Cherokee BluffAAA
-15.41ADooly County99.0%39Crawford CountyA
-15.83AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)97.5%35GilmerAAAA
-19.76AAMonticello96.9%33Oglethorpe CountyAA
-24.83AWilkinson County94.4%28Twiggs CountyA
-25.03AMiller County96.7%33Stewart CountyA
-25.90AJohnson County98.0%36ACE CharterA
-26.36AAAAAUnion Grove99.9%41ClarkstonAAAAA
-27.43AMarion County99.9%42Central (Talbotton)A
-36.02ACalhoun County94.5%28Randolph-ClayA
-43.91AProvidence Christian98.3%37Glascock CountyA

Oct 13

Game Rate Class Team Pct Proj Team Class
38.48AAAAACarver (Atlanta)54.0%2RiverwoodAAAAA
21.94AAAAASouthwest DeKalb96.9%33Miller GroveAAAAA
12.18AAAJenkins88.9%21BeachAAA
6.39AMitchell County93.8%27Seminole CountyA
-8.60AAARedan87.6%20Stone MountainAAA

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