Sports

Maxwell Week 6 Projections

By Loren Maxwell
Sept 24, 2015

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Sep 24

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
45.14 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 87.0% -19 Columbus AAAAA
26.47 AAAA Riverdale 57.0% -3 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAA
19.54 AAA North Clayton 72.4% -10 McNair AAA
15.75 AAAAA LaGrange 97.9% -36 Hardaway AAAAA

Sep 25

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
78.48 AAAAAA Mill Creek 76.8% -12 North Gwinnett AAAAAA
73.11 AAAAAA Archer 85.5% -18 Parkview AAAAAA
67.38 AAAAAA Roswell 83.5% -16 Milton AAAAAA
65.61 AAAAA Mays 74.6% -11 Lovejoy AAAAAA
64.73 AAAA Woodward Academy 76.5% -12 Eagle's Landing Christian A
64.23 AAAAAA South Gwinnett 54.7% -2 Brookwood AAAAAA
62.29 AAAAA Mundy's Mill 51.9% -1 Northgate AAAAA
60.86 AAAAAA Hillgrove 72.6% -10 Marietta AAAAAA
60.51 AAAAA East Paulding 71.0% -9 New Manchester AAAAA
58.01 AAAAA Lanier 68.0% -8 Loganville AAAAA
57.62 AAAAA Creekview 53.6% -2 Cass AAAAA
57.32 AAAAA Houston County 82.4% -16 Lakeside (Evans) AAAAA
54.83 AAA Elbert County 75.0% -11 Hart County AAA
54.59 AAAAA Coffee 89.4% -21 Effingham County AAAAA
54.49 AAAAAA Newnan 78.5% -13 South Cobb AAAAAA
54.40 AAAAAA Dacula 93.0% -26 Shiloh AAAAAA
53.80 AAAA Jonesboro 73.2% -10 Griffin AAAA
53.05 AAAA Cairo 59.6% -4 Worth County AAAA
52.82 AAAAAA Tucker 93.4% -26 M. L. King AAAAA
52.77 AAAAA Dalton 64.6% -6 Sequoyah AAAAA
52.29 AAAAAA West Forsyth 60.8% -5 Northview AAAAAA
51.45 AAAA West Laurens 69.8% -9 Howard AAAA
51.20 AAAA Wayne County 63.6% -6 Liberty County AAAA
51.10 AAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 96.2% -31 Mountain View AAAAAA
49.94 AAAA Baldwin 60.0% -4 Upson-Lee AAAA
49.37 AAAAA Kell 86.6% -19 Cambridge AAAAA
49.28 AA Pace Academy 64.4% -6 Wesleyan AA
48.96 AAAAA Paulding County 60.6% -5 Villa Rica AAAAA
48.13 AAAAAA Johns Creek 67.1% -7 Centennial AAAAAA
47.94 AAAAA Salem 65.9% -7 Winder-Barrow AAAAA
47.58 AAAAAA Hughes 88.1% -20 Douglas County AAAAAA
46.85 AA Fitzgerald 90.3% -22 Early County AA
46.84 AAAA Stephens County 68.4% -8 North Hall AAAA
46.65 AAAA St. Pius X 90.3% -22 Grady AAAA
46.64 AAA Central (Carrollton) 73.7% -10 Landmark Christian A
46.31 AAAAA Riverwood 60.0% -4 Forsyth Central AAAAA
46.18 AAAA Westover 55.5% -3 Monroe AAAA
45.72 AAAAA Glynn Academy 87.4% -19 Richmond Hill AAAAA
45.22 AAAA Lithonia 53.9% -2 Columbia AAAA
44.85 AAAAA Jones County 85.1% -18 Grovetown AAAAA
44.37 AAAAA Brunswick 71.1% -9 Statesboro AAAAA
44.25 AAAAAA Norcross 97.8% -35 Duluth AAAAAA
43.96 AA Macon County 66.2% -7 Heard County AA
43.14 A Charlton County 74.3% -11 Turner County A
42.91 AAAAAA Grayson 99.4% -40 Berkmar AAAAAA
42.00 AA Jefferson County 58.6% -4 Screven County AA
41.42 AAAA Mary Persons 91.2% -23 Perry AAAA
41.35 AAAAAA Lambert 89.6% -21 North Forsyth AAAAAA
41.02 AAA Jefferson 94.8% -28 Jackson County AAA
40.73 AAA Callaway 81.7% -15 Troup AAAA
40.66 AAAAAA Westlake 92.2% -25 Pebblebrook AAAAAA
39.67 A Mount Paran Christian 84.7% -17 Pinecrest Academy A
38.99 AAAA Pickens 72.9% -10 Ridgeland AAAA
38.23 AAAA Bainbridge 94.4% -28 Crisp County AAAA
37.10 A Lincoln County 72.6% -10 First Presbyterian A
36.66 AAA Calhoun 98.4% -37 Ringgold AAA
36.63 AAA Cook 78.1% -13 Brantley County AAA
36.34 AAAA Locust Grove 83.7% -16 Walnut Grove AAAA
36.17 AAAA Marist 97.4% -34 Redan AAAA
35.42 AAA Pepperell 70.8% -9 Coosa AA
35.37 AAAA Carrollton 92.1% -24 Banneker AAAAA
35.36 AAA Dodge County 85.9% -18 Tattnall County AAA
35.12 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 98.2% -37 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
34.94 AAAAAA South Forsyth 93.1% -26 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
34.83 AAA Decatur 74.9% -11 Washington AAA
34.14 A Greenville 53.4% -2 Brookstone A
34.12 AA Model 72.0% -10 Dade County AA
34.03 AAA Adairsville 87.0% -19 Sonoraville AAA
33.93 AA Dublin 87.9% -20 Metter AA
33.91 AA Brooks County 88.7% -21 Pelham AA
33.48 AAA West Hall 71.0% -9 Dawson County AAA
33.37 AAAAA Flowery Branch 85.2% -18 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
33.31 AAA Central (Macon) 74.6% -11 Spencer AAA
33.17 A Dooly County 56.1% -3 Pacelli A
33.00 AAAAAA East Coweta 97.8% -35 Campbell AAAAAA
32.40 AAAA Cartersville 99.0% -39 Gilmer AAAA
32.18 A Mount Pisgah Christian 74.9% -11 Christian Heritage A
31.98 AAAAA Shaw 74.8% -11 Northside (Columbus) AAAAA
31.93 AAAAA Gainesville 97.8% -35 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAA
31.79 AAAAAA Collins Hill 97.8% -35 Meadowcreek AAAAAA
31.06 AA Bleckley County 71.3% -9 Berrien AA
30.11 AA Thomasville 85.0% -17 Seminole County AA
30.03 AAA Lumpkin County 60.0% -4 East Hall AAA
29.97 AAAAA Ware County 99.3% -40 Bradwell Institute AAAAA
29.56 AAAA Heritage (Ringgold) 59.0% -4 Southeast Whitfield AAAA
29.47 AAA Cedar Grove 97.1% -34 Maynard Jackson AAA
28.89 AAAA Fayette County 72.4% -10 Cedartown AAA
28.85 AAAAA Tri-Cities 93.2% -26 Druid Hills AAAAA
27.51 A Commerce 75.6% -12 Athens Christian A
27.36 AAAAA Evans 85.2% -18 Cross Creek AAAAA
26.81 AAAAA Alexander 97.3% -34 Lithia Springs AAAAA
26.53 AAAAA Clarke Central 90.2% -22 Apalachee AAAAA
26.07 AAA Peach County 95.2% -29 Rutland AAA
25.95 AAAAAA Alpharetta 97.4% -34 Habersham Central AAAAAA
25.83 AAA Westside (Macon) 97.0% -33 Kendrick AAA
25.67 AA Lamar County 91.8% -24 Alcovy AAAAAA
25.55 A Irwin County 93.5% -26 Telfair County A
24.86 AAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 99.6% -41 Greenbrier AAAAA
24.46 AAA Franklin County 61.5% -5 Banks County AAA
24.39 AAAA North Oconee 96.4% -32 Chestatee AAAA
24.11 AAA Blessed Trinity 99.5% -41 Douglass AAA
23.91 AAAAA Sprayberry 95.7% -30 North Atlanta AAAAA
23.88 AA Bacon County 88.8% -21 Long County AA
23.44 AAAA Spalding 96.8% -33 Pike County AAAA
23.06 AA McIntosh County Academy 78.8% -13 Jeff Davis AA
22.93 AA Putnam County 78.1% -13 Monticello AA
22.80 AAAA Monroe Area 88.0% -20 Madison County AAAA
22.78 AA Manchester 73.6% -10 Northeast AA
22.72 A Clinch County 93.0% -26 Wilcox County A
22.65 AAAAA Woodland (Cartersville) 68.2% -8 River Ridge AAAAA
22.61 A Emanuel County Institute 88.6% -21 Savannah Country Day A
22.17 AAAAA Drew 97.1% -34 Forest Park AAAAA
21.69 AAA Appling County 91.5% -24 Toombs County AAA
21.38 AA Benedictine 99.6% -41 Bryan County AA
21.25 A Our Lady of Mercy 64.2% -6 Terrell County A
21.07 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 96.8% -33 Therrell AAA
20.46 AAAAA McIntosh 84.5% -17 Morrow AAAAA
20.07 AAA Jackson 93.3% -26 Jordan AAA
19.66 AA Darlington 93.5% -26 Gordon Lee AA
18.96 A Trion 80.0% -14 King's Ridge Christian A
18.68 AAAAAA Lee County 99.6% -41 Mitchell County A
17.12 A Aquinas 95.2% -29 Mount de Sales A
16.28 A Claxton 78.0% -13 Treutlen A
15.87 AAA North Murray 52.5% -1 Murray County AAA
15.08 AAA Washington County 96.3% -32 Glenn Hills AAA
13.47 A Prince Avenue Christian 98.0% -36 Hebron Christian Academy A
12.97 AAAA Chamblee 84.3% -17 Stone Mountain AAAA
12.80 A Hawkinsville 88.8% -21 Central (Talbotton) A
12.26 AAA Towers 84.5% -17 South Atlanta AAA
12.23 AAA Westside (Augusta) 85.6% -18 Butler AAA
11.39 AAAA Johnson (Gainesville) 75.8% -12 Riverside Military Academy AA
11.16 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 92.3% -25 LaFayette AAAA
11.10 AAA Josey 62.3% -5 Hephzibah AAA
10.93 A Randolph-Clay 53.7% -2 Chattahoochee County AA
10.88 A Calvary Day 98.1% -36 Wheeler County A
9.85 A Johnson County 87.9% -20 Portal A
9.52 AA Union County 94.5% -28 Social Circle AA
7.94 AA Crawford County 60.8% -5 Temple AA
6.91 A Atkinson County 75.6% -11 Lanier County A
6.71 A Stratford Academy 94.4% -28 Georgia Military College A
6.38 A Walker 84.7% -17 St. Francis A
6.32 AAA Oconee County 95.9% -31 East Jackson AAA
6.25 AA Swainsboro 95.5% -30 Harlem AA
6.23 A Hancock Central 90.3% -22 Twiggs County A
5.00 AAAA Henry County 96.1% -31 Hampton AAAA
3.86 AAAA New Hampstead 84.9% -17 Islands AAA
3.59 AA Greene County 93.0% -26 Oglethorpe County AA
2.26 AA Chattooga 96.1% -31 Armuchee AA
0.87 AA Lovett 99.5% -41 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA
0.33 AA Vidalia 98.7% -38 Groves AA
-0.94 A Marion County 99.2% -40 Schley County A
-1.57 A Miller County 92.7% -25 Baconton A
-1.89 A George Walton Academy 90.0% -22 Towns County A
-3.64 A Savannah Christian 99.1% -40 Montgomery County A
-6.44 AAA Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe 54.3% -2 Gordon Central AAA
-20.97 AA Bremen 99.2% -40 Stewart County A
-24.22 A Lakeview Academy 93.3% -26 Providence Christian A

Sep 26

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
53.34 AAAA Eagle's Landing 57.3% -3 Eastside AAAA
33.07 AAAAA Warner Robins 95.2% -29 Richmond Academy AAAAA
31.60 AA Hapeville 63.2% -6 Holy Innocents AA
14.59 AAAA Dougherty 74.5% -11 Albany AAAA

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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