Maxwell Second Round summary

By Loren Maxwell

Nov 25, 2019

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association’s 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

» MORE: GHSA football playoff schedule, brackets

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team’s historical performance is 0.07%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 2,067 of 2,233 total games including 1 tie(s) (92.59%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 13.62 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 0.96

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Lowndes	12-0	98.96	1	Valdosta	10-2	80.26
2	Colquitt County	9-3	84.27	2	Lee County	11-1	77.55
3	McEachern	12-0	84.22	3	Dacula	12-0	76.04
4	North Gwinnett	11-1	83.61	4	Harrison	12-0	72.67
5	Parkview	11-1	82.40	5	Coffee	9-3	69.68
6	Grayson	11-1	80.13	6	Allatoona	9-2-1	63.74
7	Marietta	10-2	80.11	7	Johns Creek	10-2	63.17
8	Mill Creek	10-2	76.11	8	Houston County	7-5	60.19
9	Archer	9-3	72.94	9	Mays	10-2	54.69
10	Camden County	7-3	68.38	10	Lanier	10-2	54.48
11	Milton	8-4	66.47	11	Richmond Hill	8-3	53.22
12	Collins Hill	6-5	63.78	12	Glynn Academy	6-5	52.77
13	North Cobb	7-4	61.20	13	Dalton	7-4	51.74
14	Hillgrove	7-4	60.78	14	Northside (Warner Robins)	3-7	50.29
15	Newton	7-4	60.66	15	Stephenson	10-2	50.16

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Warner Robins	11-1	73.37	1	Cartersville	12-0	71.66
2	Buford	11-1	72.36	2	Woodward Academy	12-0	71.58
3	Carrollton	12-0	71.12	3	Marist	11-1	68.54
4	Ware County	8-4	63.52	4	Blessed Trinity	11-1	67.87
5	Dutchtown	11-1	63.24	5	Sandy Creek	11-1	67.45
6	Rome	9-3	61.34	6	Oconee County	11-1	62.16
7	Griffin	11-1	59.71	7	West Laurens	11-1	61.89
8	Jones County	11-1	59.35	8	Denmark	7-3	57.76
9	Veterans	9-3	58.25	9	Flowery Branch	7-4	56.40
10	Bainbridge	7-4	57.23	10	Carver (Columbus)	10-2	52.56
11	Clarke Central	9-3	56.06	11	North Oconee	10-2	49.53
12	Wayne County	8-3	54.71	12	Cairo	8-3	49.25
13	Kell	9-3	52.60	13	Burke County	8-3	48.50
14	Starr's Mill	9-3	52.01	14	Troup	6-5	48.09
15	Statesboro	5-5	50.50	15	Cedartown	5-6	46.71

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Peach County	11-1	70.24	1	Rabun County	12-0	64.36
2	Cedar Grove	10-2	68.94	2	Hapeville Charter	10-1-1	61.53
3	Jefferson	10-1	62.47	3	Callaway	11-1	56.44
4	Crisp County	9-3	57.60	4	Dublin	11-1	53.71
5	Jenkins	11-1	56.52	5	Brooks County	8-4	51.22
6	Greater Atlanta Christian	11-1	55.80	6	Rockmart	11-1	47.59
7	Pierce County	11-1	55.70	7	Thomasville	8-4	46.25
8	North Murray	11-1	53.03	8	Fitzgerald	8-4	44.25
9	Hart County	10-2	52.06	9	Washington County	7-4	42.03
10	Appling County	9-3	47.75	10	Douglass	11-1	41.97
11	Westminster (Atlanta)	6-5	46.34	11	Swainsboro	8-4	39.61
12	Calhoun	10-2	45.53	12	Bleckley County	7-4	38.71
13	Dawson County	8-4	44.33	13	Metter	10-2	38.47
14	North Hall	8-4	43.13	14	Bremen	8-4	37.65
15	Benedictine	8-4	43.08	15	Union County	10-2	36.36

A - Public				A - Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Irwin County	10-0	64.17	1	Holy Innocents	11-0	69.15
2	Clinch County	10-1	54.65	2	Athens Academy	11-0	67.30
3	Mitchell County	10-1	45.91	3	Eagle's Landing Christian	10-1	64.94
4	Pelham	10-1	41.15	4	Fellowship Christian	11-0	54.41
5	Wilcox County	9-3	37.54	5	Wesleyan	10-2	49.92
6	Lincoln County	9-2	35.25	6	Prince Avenue Christian	9-3	47.40
7	Commerce	9-3	34.99	7	Hebron Christian	8-4	45.35
8	Manchester	10-2	30.86	8	Darlington	9-2	39.65
9	Marion County	9-2	30.24	9	Christian Heritage	9-2	37.12
10	Bowdon	8-3	28.53	10	Savannah Christian	8-3	35.42
11	Johnson County	8-3	25.96	11	Savannah Country Day	10-1	34.19
12	Turner County	7-5	23.39	12	Mount de Sales	10-1	32.58
13	Warren County	8-4	23.07	13	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	7-4	31.33
14	Schley County	7-5	20.80	14	Whitefield Academy	7-4	31.06
15	McIntosh County Academy	5-6	20.76	15	North Cobb Christian	8-4	30.67

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	SchStr	Rank
1 [1]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	12-0	98.96	64.52	3 [3]
2 [2]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	9-3	84.27	70.61	1 [1]
3 [3]	McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	12-0	84.22	52.93	16 [12]
4 [4]	North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	11-1	83.61	51.50	23 [17]
5 [5]	Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	11-1	82.40	47.20	49 [32]
6 [1]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	10-2	80.26	59.04	7 [2]
7 [6]	Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	11-1	80.13	56.85	11 [9]
8 [7]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	10-2	80.11	63.70	4 [4]
9 [2]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	11-1	77.55	47.75	44 [7]
10 [8]	Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	10-2	76.11	56.49	12 [10]
11 [3]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	12-0	76.04	43.39	79 [13]
12 [1]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	11-1	73.37	51.24	26 [4]
13 [9]	Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	9-3	72.94	58.47	8 [6]
14 [4]	Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	12-0	72.67	37.05	142 [37]
15 [2]	Buford	8 - AAAAA	11-1	72.36	45.18	66 [12]
16 [1]	Cartersville	5 - AAAA	12-0	71.66	43.50	77 [14]
17 [2]	Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	12-0	71.58	21.05	301 [47]
18 [3]	Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	12-0	71.12	36.63	145 [30]
19 [1]	Peach County	4 - AAA	11-1	70.24	32.50	188 [13]
20 [5]	Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	9-3	69.68	51.05	29 [5]
21 [1]	Holy Innocents	5 - A	11-0	69.15	22.30	288 [16]
22 [2]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	10-2	68.94	36.02	149 [5]
23 [3]	Marist	7 - AAAA	11-1	68.54	45.21	65 [10]
24 [10]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	7-3	68.38	62.47	5 [5]
25 [4]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	11-1	67.87	46.58	53 [4]
26 [5]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	11-1	67.45	40.19	113 [21]
27 [2]	Athens Academy	8 - A	11-0	67.30	24.72	260 [10]
28 [11]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	8-4	66.47	49.12	35 [24]
29 [3]	Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	10-1	64.94	31.31	202 [3]
30 [1]	Rabun County	8 - AA	12-0	64.36	20.74	306 [25]
31 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A	10-0	64.17	20.13	318 [11]
32 [12]	Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	6-5	63.78	57.87	10 [8]
33 [6]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	9-2-1	63.74	45.04	67 [10]
34 [4]	Ware County	2 - AAAAA	8-4	63.52	54.23	15 [1]
35 [5]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	11-1	63.24	42.82	85 [18]
36 [7]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	10-2	63.17	33.81	171 [44]
37 [3]	Jefferson	8 - AAA	10-1	62.47	31.86	196 [16]
38 [6]	Oconee County	8 - AAAA	11-1	62.16	39.76	115 [22]
39 [7]	West Laurens	2 - AAAA	11-1	61.89	37.56	137 [26]
40 [2]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	10-1-1	61.53	22.92	277 [21]
41 [6]	Rome	7 - AAAAA	9-3	61.34	34.37	165 [33]
42 [13]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	7-4	61.20	51.23	27 [20]
43 [14]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	7-4	60.78	49.84	31 [21]
44 [15]	Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	7-4	60.66	52.25	20 [16]
45 [8]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	7-5	60.19	55.58	14 [3]
46 [7]	Griffin	3 - AAAAA	11-1	59.71	37.12	140 [28]
47 [8]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	11-1	59.35	42.91	84 [17]
48 [9]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	9-3	58.25	49.34	34 [6]
49 [8]	Denmark	7 - AAAA	7-3	57.76	40.97	104 [18]
50 [16]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	6-6	57.69	58.16	9 [7]
51 [4]	Crisp County	1 - AAA	9-3	57.60	41.75	98 [2]
52 [17]	Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	8-3	57.57	41.28	100 [44]
53 [10]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	7-4	57.23	51.94	21 [2]
54 [18]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	3-7	56.67	68.21	2 [2]
55 [5]	Jenkins	3 - AAA	11-1	56.52	24.68	261 [41]
56 [3]	Callaway	5 - AA	11-1	56.44	20.52	309 [26]
57 [9]	Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	7-4	56.40	46.28	58 [6]
58 [11]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	9-3	56.06	43.24	80 [15]
59 [19]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	6-6	55.95	52.85	17 [13]
60 [6]	Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	11-1	55.80	32.66	183 [12]
61 [7]	Pierce County	2 - AAA	11-1	55.70	26.16	248 [36]
62 [20]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	7-4	54.88	44.04	71 [37]
63 [12]	Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	8-3	54.71	46.57	54 [10]
64 [9]	Mays	5 - AAAAAA	10-2	54.69	39.04	124 [28]
65 [2]	Clinch County	2 - A	10-1	54.65	24.51	263 [3]
66 [10]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	10-2	54.48	41.22	101 [17]
67 [4]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A	11-0	54.41	17.44	348 [29]
68 [21]	Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	8-4	54.12	46.39	56 [33]
69 [4]	Dublin	3 - AA	11-1	53.71	33.27	176 [9]
70 [11]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	8-3	53.22	41.17	102 [18]
71 [8]	North Murray	6 - AAA	11-1	53.03	24.13	267 [43]
72 [12]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	6-5	52.77	47.83	43 [6]
73 [22]	Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	5-6	52.62	56.28	13 [11]
74 [13]	Kell	7 - AAAAA	9-3	52.60	36.06	147 [31]
75 [10]	Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	10-2	52.56	30.12	215 [35]
76 [9]	Hart County	8 - AAA	10-2	52.06	32.19	193 [15]
77 [14]	Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	9-3	52.01	38.92	125 [25]
78 [13]	Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	7-4	51.74	35.76	153 [39]
79 [23]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	6-5	51.66	48.89	37 [26]
80 [5]	Brooks County	1 - AA	8-4	51.22	42.46	93 [1]
81 [24]	Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	6-6	51.08	51.44	24 [18]
82 [15]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	5-5	50.50	50.26	30 [5]
83 [14]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	3-7	50.29	61.68	6 [1]
84 [15]	Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	10-2	50.16	32.05	194 [51]
85 [5]	Wesleyan	5 - A	10-2	49.92	26.56	243 [8]
86 [25]	Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	6-5	49.79	48.39	39 [27]
87 [11]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	10-2	49.53	30.34	211 [34]
88 [16]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	8-3	49.25	38.46	128 [26]
89 [12]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	8-3	49.25	35.11	160 [30]
90 [26]	South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	6-5	49.21	48.96	36 [25]
91 [17]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	6-5	48.94	47.65	45 [8]
92 [13]	Burke County	3 - AAAA	8-3	48.50	36.10	146 [28]
93 [16]	Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	7-5	48.43	42.46	92 [16]
94 [18]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	7-4	48.35	42.00	97 [20]
95 [17]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	9-3	48.27	39.24	122 [27]
96 [14]	Troup	5 - AAAA	6-5	48.09	45.30	64 [9]
97 [10]	Appling County	2 - AAA	9-3	47.75	29.81	219 [23]
98 [6]	Rockmart	7 - AA	11-1	47.59	18.06	344 [37]
99 [19]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	7-3	47.45	29.85	218 [41]
100 [6]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	9-3	47.40	21.86	291 [18]
101 [27]	South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	4-6	47.36	51.41	25 [19]
102 [18]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	6-6	47.32	44.44	68 [11]
103 [15]	Cedartown	5 - AAAA	5-6	46.71	45.54	62 [8]
104 [11]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	6-5	46.34	42.72	87 [1]
105 [7]	Thomasville	1 - AA	8-4	46.25	40.75	107 [2]
106 [28]	Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	5-6	45.92	47.34	47 [30]
107 [3]	Mitchell County	1 - A	10-1	45.91	-5.19	415 [47]
108 [29]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	6-5	45.84	43.76	72 [38]
109 [20]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	8-4	45.82	36.75	144 [29]
110 [19]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	6-5	45.76	42.94	82 [14]
111 [12]	Calhoun	6 - AAA	10-2	45.53	22.40	287 [48]
112 [30]	North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	7-5	45.48	42.48	91 [42]
113 [31]	West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	4-6	45.41	47.99	40 [28]
114 [7]	Hebron Christian	8 - A	8-4	45.35	31.91	195 [2]
115 [16]	Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	5-5	45.18	46.40	55 [5]
116 [20]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	6-5	44.98	40.30	111 [20]
117 [21]	Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	5-6	44.85	46.93	52 [8]
118 [17]	Thomson	3 - AAAA	6-6	44.83	42.80	86 [15]
119 [13]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	8-4	44.33	31.83	197 [17]
120 [8]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	8-4	44.25	33.80	172 [8]
121 [18]	Baldwin	3 - AAAA	5-7	44.04	47.15	51 [3]
122 [21]	Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	7-4	44.03	31.61	198 [38]
123 [22]	Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	7-4	43.59	37.28	138 [35]
124 [19]	Perry	2 - AAAA	7-5	43.50	39.59	119 [23]
125 [23]	Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	6-4	43.30	38.38	130 [31]
126 [14]	North Hall	7 - AAA	8-4	43.13	33.35	174 [9]
127 [15]	Benedictine	3 - AAA	8-4	43.08	27.44	239 [31]
128 [16]	Lovett	5 - AAA	7-4	42.91	36.84	143 [4]
129 [32]	Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	5-6	42.62	42.72	88 [40]
130 [22]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	6-6	42.40	43.64	75 [14]
131 [9]	Washington County	3 - AA	7-4	42.03	35.90	150 [4]
132 [10]	Douglass	6 - AA	11-1	41.97	11.00	390 [54]
133 [23]	Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	11-1	41.67	22.49	283 [48]
134 [24]	Harris County	1 - AAAAA	5-6	41.58	47.37	46 [9]
135 [20]	St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	6-6	41.42	43.68	74 [12]
136 [24]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	6-5	41.37	38.18	131 [32]
137 [25]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	5-5	41.28	41.50	99 [21]
138 [4]	Pelham	1 - A	10-1	41.15	-5.45	416 [48]
139 [26]	New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	3-7	41.01	51.84	22 [3]
140 [27]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	9-2	40.22	19.45	327 [53]
141 [21]	Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	6-6	40.22	41.02	103 [17]
142 [25]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	3-8	40.11	51.10	28 [4]
143 [26]	Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	5-5	39.96	39.32	121 [26]
144 [17]	Islands	3 - AAA	8-2	39.76	20.27	314 [52]
145 [8]	Darlington	6 - A	9-2	39.65	22.92	276 [13]
146 [28]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	5-6	39.63	43.02	81 [16]
147 [11]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	8-4	39.61	30.13	214 [14]
148 [22]	Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	6-6	39.54	40.95	105 [19]
149 [33]	Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	3-7	39.39	47.32	48 [31]
150 [34]	Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	4-6	39.38	49.53	33 [23]
151 [18]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	7-4	39.33	31.50	199 [18]
152 [23]	White County	7 - AAAA	5-5	39.15	38.74	126 [24]
153 [19]	Liberty County	2 - AAA	6-3	39.12	27.11	241 [33]
154 [20]	Jackson	4 - AAA	8-4	38.78	27.90	235 [29]
155 [35]	Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	5-6	38.71	42.66	89 [41]
156 [12]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	7-4	38.71	32.42	189 [11]
157 [27]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	7-3	38.70	30.40	209 [52]
158 [13]	Metter	2 - AA	10-2	38.47	20.77	305 [24]
159 [28]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	6-5	38.09	35.45	154 [40]
160 [24]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	4-7	37.95	45.88	60 [7]
161 [14]	Bremen	5 - AA	8-4	37.65	25.45	251 [18]
162 [5]	Wilcox County	2 - A	9-3	37.54	14.61	366 [22]
163 [29]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	5-5	37.44	38.44	129 [30]
164 [9]	Christian Heritage	6 - A	9-2	37.12	19.74	323 [22]
165 [25]	Howard	2 - AAAA	5-5	36.87	37.16	139 [27]
166 [15]	Union County	8 - AA	10-2	36.36	14.05	371 [45]
167 [21]	Pace Academy	5 - AAA	5-5	36.35	37.84	133 [3]
168 [26]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	6-6	36.21	37.70	134 [25]
169 [16]	Toombs County	2 - AA	8-3	36.01	20.08	320 [30]
170 [30]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	6-4	35.98	29.98	216 [54]
171 [31]	Northview	7 - AAAAAA	6-5	35.90	32.77	181 [47]
172 [22]	Morgan County	8 - AAA	7-4	35.81	30.24	213 [22]
173 [17]	Northeast	3 - AA	5-5	35.67	34.00	169 [7]
174 [32]	North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	7-4	35.58	29.36	225 [56]
175 [18]	Dodge County	3 - AA	4-7	35.43	40.49	110 [3]
176 [10]	Savannah Christian	3 - A	8-3	35.42	18.93	333 [26]
177 [27]	Westover	1 - AAAA	6-4	35.33	29.10	227 [36]
178 [6]	Lincoln County	7 - A	9-2	35.25	14.69	365 [21]
179 [7]	Commerce	8 - A	9-3	34.99	14.54	368 [23]
180 [19]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	9-3	34.29	17.28	349 [39]
181 [20]	Pepperell	7 - AA	9-3	34.21	18.28	341 [35]
182 [11]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A	10-1	34.19	16.90	354 [31]
183 [33]	M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	7-4	34.16	29.09	228 [57]
184 [23]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	6-5	33.97	31.45	201 [19]
185 [28]	Hardaway	1 - AAAA	7-4	33.75	28.35	233 [37]
186 [36]	Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	3-7	33.44	47.85	42 [29]
187 [29]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	3-8	33.22	40.91	106 [22]
188 [29]	Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	3-7	33.13	42.17	96 [16]
189 [30]	Eastside	4 - AAAA	7-4	33.04	21.46	294 [44]
190 [37]	Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	3-8	32.91	49.64	32 [22]
191 [34]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	7-3	32.83	28.58	231 [58]
192 [30]	Columbia	5 - AAAAA	5-6	32.77	29.51	221 [42]
193 [12]	Mount de Sales	7 - A	10-1	32.58	10.28	395 [35]
194 [31]	East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	4-6	32.43	39.69	117 [23]
195 [31]	Shaw	1 - AAAA	6-4	32.34	28.15	234 [38]
196 [24]	Haralson County	6 - AAA	8-3	31.68	16.92	352 [54]
197 [35]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	4-6	31.62	34.44	164 [43]
198 [36]	Pope	7 - AAAAAA	5-5	31.40	32.88	179 [45]
199 [13]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	7-4	31.33	25.42	252 [9]
200 [14]	Whitefield Academy	6 - A	7-4	31.06	22.45	285 [15]
201 [32]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	2-8	30.87	43.68	73 [13]
202 [8]	Manchester	4 - A	10-2	30.86	11.83	383 [31]
203 [37]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	5-6	30.85	32.80	180 [46]
204 [38]	Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	3-7	30.84	40.23	112 [21]
205 [39]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	3-7	30.80	39.44	120 [25]
206 [33]	Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	7-4	30.77	22.87	278 [47]
207 [15]	North Cobb Christian	6 - A	8-4	30.67	22.29	289 [17]
208 [16]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	5-6	30.56	30.48	207 [4]
209 [9]	Marion County	4 - A	9-2	30.24	14.48	369 [24]
210 [21]	Vidalia	2 - AA	7-4	30.18	23.27	275 [20]
211 [38]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	3-7	30.06	42.41	94 [43]
212 [40]	Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	5-5	29.88	30.37	210 [53]
213 [41]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	3-7	29.41	39.67	118 [24]
214 [25]	Fannin County	7 - AAA	6-5	29.19	28.54	232 [28]
215 [22]	Elbert County	8 - AA	6-5	29.19	23.83	269 [19]
216 [23]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	7-3	29.08	17.26	350 [40]
217 [39]	Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	4-5	28.88	26.28	245 [47]
218 [42]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	3-7	28.79	39.99	114 [22]
219 [10]	Bowdon	6 - A	8-3	28.53	23.43	273 [5]
220 [34]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	1-8	28.46	48.46	38 [7]
221 [24]	Early County	1 - AA	5-6	28.35	28.89	230 [16]
222 [17]	St. Francis	6 - A	7-5	28.29	22.64	281 [14]
223 [35]	Decatur	6 - AAAAA	7-4	27.96	20.18	317 [52]
224 [36]	Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	2-8	27.94	45.32	63 [11]
225 [43]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	4-6	27.92	32.38	190 [50]
226 [25]	Southwest	3 - AA	4-6	27.79	35.13	159 [6]
227 [44]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	2-8	27.55	43.41	78 [12]
228 [45]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	3-7	27.45	34.82	161 [42]
229 [18]	George Walton Academy	8 - A	6-5	27.31	19.03	331 [24]
230 [32]	Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	6-5	27.26	25.32	253 [39]
231 [46]	Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	2-8	27.08	42.51	90 [15]
232 [37]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	4-6	26.70	34.00	170 [35]
233 [40]	Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	2-8	26.47	52.69	18 [14]
234 [33]	Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	8-3	26.25	18.74	336 [50]
235 [11]	Johnson County	3 - A	8-3	25.96	10.16	397 [34]
236 [34]	LaGrange	5 - AAAA	2-8	25.91	44.32	69 [11]
237 [35]	Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	7-4	25.68	20.47	310 [49]
238 [26]	Beach	3 - AAA	5-4	25.59	22.59	282 [47]
239 [36]	Pickens	6 - AAAA	6-5	25.50	21.85	292 [43]
240 [37]	Stephens County	8 - AAAA	1-9	25.42	47.19	50 [2]
241 [26]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	7-4	25.03	14.23	370 [44]
242 [27]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	5-6	24.75	25.13	255 [38]
243 [47]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	3-7	24.68	32.52	187 [49]
244 [27]	Heard County	5 - AA	4-7	24.58	30.61	206 [13]
245 [28]	Cook	1 - AAA	4-8	24.36	33.02	178 [10]
246 [48]	River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	3-7	24.28	40.68	108 [19]
247 [19]	Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	7-4	23.95	17.25	351 [30]
248 [49]	New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	2-8	23.94	35.78	152 [38]
249 [38]	Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	3-7	23.63	37.64	136 [27]
250 [28]	Harlem	4 - AA	7-4	23.43	12.91	375 [47]
251 [12]	Turner County	2 - A	7-5	23.39	21.98	290 [7]
252 [13]	Warren County	7 - A	8-4	23.07	12.24	379 [29]
253 [20]	Aquinas	7 - A	7-4	22.88	14.60	367 [33]
254 [38]	Chestatee	7 - AAAA	2-8	22.66	43.54	76 [13]
255 [39]	McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	3-7	22.43	33.36	173 [36]
256 [21]	First Presbyterian	7 - A	5-6	22.40	21.80	293 [19]
257 [22]	Brookstone	4 - A	7-5	22.35	17.51	345 [28]
258 [40]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	6-5	21.67	21.27	298 [49]
259 [29]	Monroe	1 - AAA	4-7	21.66	31.17	203 [20]
260 [30]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	3-7	21.61	35.78	151 [6]
261 [31]	Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	3-8	21.55	34.48	163 [7]
262 [41]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	3-7	21.14	36.04	148 [45]
263 [42]	Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	1-9	21.00	46.37	57 [34]
264 [14]	Schley County	4 - A	7-5	20.80	12.60	376 [27]
265 [50]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	3-7	20.79	32.71	182 [48]
266 [41]	Banneker	6 - AAAAA	4-6	20.79	25.15	254 [45]
267 [15]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	5-6	20.76	20.62	308 [9]
268 [23]	Calvary Day	3 - A	6-5	20.67	20.32	312 [21]
269 [39]	Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	4-6	20.62	33.25	177 [33]
270 [42]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	5-5	20.52	20.72	307 [50]
271 [29]	Hephzibah	4 - AA	7-3	20.49	8.28	400 [59]
272 [51]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	2-8	20.48	35.32	156 [41]
273 [32]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	5-6	20.15	20.04	321 [53]
274 [16]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	6-6	20.12	18.06	343 [16]
275 [52]	Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	2-9	19.93	37.84	132 [33]
276 [30]	Temple	5 - AA	6-5	19.34	18.15	342 [36]
277 [40]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	2-8	19.29	35.18	158 [29]
278 [33]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	5-6	19.25	23.94	268 [44]
279 [43]	Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	2-8	18.90	35.18	157 [32]
280 [31]	Screven County	4 - AA	7-4	18.45	11.85	382 [49]
281 [32]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	4-7	18.41	29.21	226 [15]
282 [17]	Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	6-5	18.08	16.91	353 [18]
283 [34]	Jackson County	8 - AAA	3-7	17.44	29.48	222 [25]
284 [35]	Brantley County	2 - AAA	5-6	17.43	22.67	280 [46]
285 [36]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	4-6	17.31	21.04	303 [51]
286 [24]	Stratford Academy	7 - A	4-7	17.19	24.34	264 [11]
287 [44]	Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	2-8	17.06	31.46	200 [39]
288 [37]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	3-7	16.95	26.24	246 [35]
289 [33]	Model	7 - AA	5-6	16.77	17.50	347 [38]
290 [18]	Telfair County	2 - A	4-6	16.72	20.25	315 [10]
291 [41]	Hampton	4 - AAAA	5-6	16.44	20.89	304 [48]
292 [25]	Tattnall Square	7 - A	5-5	16.11	19.02	332 [25]
293 [34]	Chattooga	7 - AA	5-6	16.10	20.28	313 [27]
294 [38]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	2-8	15.98	32.66	184 [12]
295 [45]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	3-7	15.94	26.04	249 [44]
296 [35]	Lamar County	5 - AA	6-4	15.65	11.15	389 [53]
297 [19]	Claxton	3 - A	6-5	15.42	13.77	372 [25]
298 [42]	Spalding	2 - AAAA	1-9	15.36	40.63	109 [20]
299 [43]	Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	0-10	15.28	42.93	83 [39]
300 [44]	Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	0-10	15.14	52.68	19 [15]
301 [36]	Washington	6 - AA	4-6	15.00	19.11	330 [34]
302 [39]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	4-7	14.99	21.28	297 [49]
303 [20]	Macon County	4 - A	6-5	14.93	12.51	377 [28]
304 [46]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	1-9	14.53	42.27	95 [19]
305 [43]	Luella	4 - AAAA	4-7	14.28	24.19	266 [41]
306 [26]	Walker	6 - A	4-6	13.79	21.05	302 [20]
307 [21]	Dooly County	4 - A	4-6	13.29	18.36	340 [15]
308 [44]	LaFayette	6 - AAAA	3-7	13.07	21.12	300 [46]
309 [40]	Worth County	1 - AAA	2-8	12.89	30.45	208 [21]
310 [47]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	4-7	12.80	20.42	311 [51]
311 [22]	Trion	6 - A	5-6	12.75	17.50	346 [17]
312 [23]	Gordon Lee	6 - A	4-6	12.42	18.36	339 [15]
313 [24]	Hancock Central	7 - A	5-5	12.41	11.45	387 [32]
314 [25]	Chattahoochee County	1 - A	7-5	12.13	1.88	409 [41]
315 [37]	Putnam County	8 - AA	5-6	12.07	20.24	316 [28]
316 [48]	Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	2-9	11.81	34.15	166 [34]
317 [38]	Monticello	8 - AA	3-7	11.57	22.46	284 [23]
318 [39]	Berrien	1 - AA	2-8	11.49	32.64	185 [10]
319 [40]	Spencer	5 - AA	3-7	11.27	22.70	279 [22]
320 [26]	Lanier County	2 - A	3-7	11.18	24.26	265 [4]
321 [41]	Pike County	4 - AAA	4-6	11.06	15.77	360 [56]
322 [42]	East Hall	7 - AAA	2-8	10.94	32.34	191 [14]
323 [27]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	3-7	10.84	23.66	271 [12]
324 [27]	Atkinson County	2 - A	3-7	10.83	21.43	295 [8]
325 [45]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	0-10	10.51	45.72	61 [35]
326 [53]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	1-9	10.37	45.93	59 [9]
327 [45]	Gilmer	6 - AAAA	4-6	10.20	14.69	364 [53]
328 [46]	Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	1-9	9.96	33.28	175 [32]
329 [28]	Terrell County	1 - A	7-4	9.89	-3.86	414 [46]
330 [41]	Therrell	6 - AA	3-7	9.44	19.50	326 [32]
331 [28]	Athens Christian	8 - A	4-6	9.21	19.50	325 [23]
332 [43]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	3-7	9.13	25.67	250 [37]
333 [47]	Columbus	1 - AAAA	1-9	9.11	34.06	168 [31]
334 [54]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-10	8.60	38.63	127 [29]
335 [48]	McDonough	4 - AAAA	4-6	8.25	18.46	338 [52]
336 [29]	Taylor County	4 - A	5-6	8.13	13.31	374 [26]
337 [30]	Montgomery County	3 - A	5-5	7.75	10.01	398 [35]
338 [55]	Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	0-10	7.75	39.73	116 [23]
339 [44]	Murray County	6 - AAA	4-6	7.57	15.80	359 [55]
340 [49]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	1-9	7.37	32.54	186 [37]
341 [45]	Redan	5 - AAA	3-7	6.66	26.40	244 [34]
342 [46]	Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	1-9	6.57	44.13	70 [36]
343 [29]	Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	5-5	6.27	5.09	405 [37]
344 [42]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	3-7	5.52	16.53	355 [41]
345 [31]	Wilkinson County	7 - A	2-8	5.29	23.31	274 [6]
346 [47]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	4-6	4.68	18.92	334 [48]
347 [50]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	4-6	4.65	16.47	356 [54]
348 [43]	Laney	4 - AA	4-6	4.57	12.37	378 [48]
349 [56]	Drew	4 - AAAAAA	1-9	4.50	37.66	135 [34]
350 [46]	Rutland	4 - AAA	2-8	4.11	28.91	229 [27]
351 [44]	Banks County	8 - AA	3-7	3.82	15.30	362 [42]
352 [30]	Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	2-8	3.70	34.54	162 [1]
353 [45]	East Laurens	3 - AA	1-9	3.61	35.34	155 [5]
354 [47]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	1-9	3.57	27.49	238 [30]
355 [31]	Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	2-8	3.39	18.75	335 [27]
356 [32]	Pacelli	4 - A	5-5	3.12	5.23	404 [36]
357 [46]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	3-7	2.94	10.40	394 [56]
358 [48]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	2-8	2.73	24.84	258 [40]
359 [49]	Salem	4 - AAAA	2-8	2.63	21.35	296 [45]
360 [33]	Lakeview Academy	8 - A	2-7	2.55	27.61	237 [7]
361 [32]	Greenville	4 - A	4-6	1.74	6.68	402 [37]
362 [51]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	1-8	1.71	23.66	270 [46]
363 [52]	Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	0-10	1.60	30.77	205 [40]
364 [47]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	4-6	1.52	11.49	385 [52]
365 [49]	Tattnall County	2 - AAA	1-9	1.17	29.73	220 [24]
366 [33]	Jenkins County	3 - A	3-7	1.16	12.16	380 [30]
367 [50]	North Clayton	4 - AAAA	2-8	0.91	22.40	286 [42]
368 [53]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	0-10	0.06	39.22	123 [24]
369 [50]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	2-8	-0.30	21.17	299 [50]
370 [51]	Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	2-8	-0.59	24.76	259 [40]
371 [54]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-9	-0.99	26.68	242 [43]
372 [34]	Charlton County	2 - A	1-9	-1.08	29.94	217 [1]
373 [48]	Bacon County	2 - AA	1-9	-1.21	30.97	204 [12]
374 [34]	Landmark Christian	5 - A	2-8	-1.42	27.74	236 [6]
375 [49]	Butler	4 - AA	2-8	-2.09	9.55	399 [58]
376 [57]	Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	1-9	-2.60	29.37	224 [55]
377 [50]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-8	-2.63	19.96	322 [31]
378 [35]	Treutlen	3 - A	4-6	-3.18	2.08	408 [40]
379 [36]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	1-9	-3.24	19.52	324 [12]
380 [51]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	0-10	-4.04	27.13	240 [32]
381 [52]	West Hall	7 - AAAA	0-10	-4.56	47.89	41 [1]
382 [52]	Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-9	-5.65	24.61	262 [42]
383 [51]	Dade County	7 - AA	2-8	-5.82	11.82	384 [50]
384 [37]	Greene County	7 - A	1-9	-6.17	19.41	329 [13]
385 [53]	Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	0-10	-6.49	18.59	337 [51]
386 [53]	Long County	2 - AAA	1-9	-6.60	34.12	167 [8]
387 [52]	Jordan	5 - AA	0-10	-7.03	20.13	319 [29]
388 [54]	Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	2-8	-7.71	10.86	392 [54]
389 [38]	Seminole County	1 - A	5-6	-7.78	3.42	406 [39]
390 [39]	Hawkinsville	4 - A	2-8	-8.81	10.59	393 [33]
391 [54]	Savannah	3 - AAA	1-9	-10.05	23.51	272 [45]
392 [58]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-10	-10.59	37.06	141 [36]
393 [53]	Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	2-8	-11.47	11.49	386 [52]
394 [48]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	0-10	-12.20	32.34	192 [46]
395 [40]	Twiggs County	7 - A	1-9	-12.73	16.03	358 [20]
396 [41]	Miller County	1 - A	4-6	-13.21	-2.39	413 [45]
397 [42]	Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	2-8	-13.38	6.20	403 [38]
398 [43]	Portal	3 - A	1-9	-13.97	16.29	357 [19]
399 [44]	Crawford County	4 - A	2-8	-14.40	0.36	411 [43]
400 [54]	Coosa	7 - AA	1-9	-15.05	13.53	373 [46]
401 [35]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	1-9	-17.65	15.67	361 [32]
402 [55]	Towers	5 - AAA	1-9	-18.02	29.44	223 [26]
403 [55]	Josey	4 - AA	0-10	-21.15	10.92	391 [55]
404 [56]	Groves	3 - AAA	0-9	-22.43	25.07	256 [39]
405 [36]	Georgia Military College	7 - A	2-8	-24.45	2.45	407 [38]
406 [56]	Social Circle	8 - AA	2-8	-25.46	10.18	396 [57]
407 [37]	Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-10	-25.50	30.26	212 [5]
408 [38]	Providence Christian	8 - A	2-8	-25.55	11.22	388 [34]
409 [45]	Baconton Charter	1 - A	4-6	-25.94	-12.61	419 [50]
410 [57]	Bryan County	2 - AA	0-9	-29.55	26.19	247 [17]
411 [58]	Armuchee	7 - AA	0-10	-29.80	14.98	363 [43]
412 [55]	Clarkston	5 - AAAAA†	0-10	-33.16	12.00	381 [55]
413 [59]	McNair	6 - AA	0-10	-33.58	19.42	328 [33]
414 [46]	Wheeler County	3 - A	1-9	-35.69	7.00	401 [36]
415 [47]	Towns County	8 - A	0-10	-38.04	25.05	257 [2]
416 [48]	Calhoun County	1 - A	2-8	-40.11	-0.59	412 [44]
417 [1]	ACE Charter	7 - A†	3-5	-44.52	-14.72	420 [1]
418 [2]	Glascock County	7 - A†	2-7	-54.13	-37.00	421 [2]
419 [49]	Stewart County	1 - A	1-9	-55.08	-9.84	417 [49]
420 [50]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-10	-60.95	0.95	410 [42]
421 [3]	Pataula Charter	1 - A†	3-7	-69.01	-46.66	422 [3]
422 [56]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA†	0-10	-87.97	-10.34	418 [56]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	91.90	76.79
2	3 - AAAAAAA	80.11	61.81
3	1 - AAAAAA	79.83	67.96
4	6 - AAAAAAA	76.91	50.30
5	8 - AAAAAAA	75.41	58.95
6	7 - AAAA	67.83	48.68
7	1 - AAAAA	67.65	54.02
8	7 - AAAAAAA	67.59	32.01
9	5 - AAAA	67.07	47.76
10	6 - AAAAAA	65.35	40.74
11	8 - AAAAAA	65.07	44.25
12	7 - AAAAA	63.12	36.15
13	5 - A	62.79	29.88
14	8 - AAAAA	62.57	37.28
15	2 - AAAAA	62.03	51.67
16	4 - AAAAA	61.41	43.64
17	5 - AAAAAAA	59.19	42.40
18	4 - AAAAAAA	58.50	45.93
19	5 - AAA	57.29	30.80
20	8 - AAAA	56.46	42.72
21	3 - AAAAA	55.25	37.47
22	8 - A	55.04	19.67
	8-Div A - A	56.32	27.50
	8-Div B - A	37.65	12.39
23	8 - AAA	54.95	32.55
24	4 - AAA	54.93	22.48
25	2 - A	54.89	24.43
26	2 - AAAAAAA	54.75	40.10
27	2 - AAAA	54.68	39.34
28	2 - AAAAAA	54.40	42.34
29	5 - AAAAAA	54.31	36.71
30	7 - AAAAAA	53.06	32.22
31	4 - AAAA	53.04	12.87
32	1 - AAAA	50.69	31.84
33	1 - AA	50.45	37.74
34	7 - AAA	50.04	30.02
35	3 - AA	50.03	35.17
36	2 - AAA	49.99	26.79
37	8 - AA	48.79	13.66
38	3 - AAAA	48.43	34.37
39	6 - AA	48.24	17.33
40	4 - AAAAAA	48.07	30.77
41	3 - AAA	47.73	19.93
42	6 - A	46.81	20.97
	6-Div B - A	42.61	18.66
	6-Div A - A	39.39	23.44
43	1 - AAA	46.53	26.34
44	6 - AAA	45.75	20.80
45	5 - AA	45.15	21.53
46	2 - AA	41.97	26.45
47	3 - AAAAAA	39.61	28.45
48	6 - AAAAA	37.59	21.29
49	7 - AA	37.18	8.63
50	1 - A	35.91	-10.22
51	3 - A	35.17	13.12
	3-Div A - A	34.94	20.78
	3-Div B - A	21.87	5.07
52	7 - A	34.69	14.31
	7-Div B - A	30.31	14.12
	7-Div A - A	27.96	14.50
53	5 - AAAAA	33.52	17.83
54	6 - AAAA	31.80	18.34
55	4 - A	31.13	9.44
	4-Div A - A	30.10	13.07
	4-Div B - A	20.16	6.48
56	4 - AA	29.36	9.49

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct	Likelihood
10/11	Clarke Central	Loganville	21 - 38	21.87	89.9%	0.132
10/18	Dooly County	Crawford County	19 - 20	26.72	93.5%	0.138
09/12	Stephenson	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	9 - 14	22.71	90.6%	0.159
11/22	Darlington	Mount Paran Christian	13 - 16	16.67	84.1%	0.245
09/27	Thomson	Grovetown	12 - 16	15.96	83.1%	0.250
11/01	Carver (Atlanta)	Lithia Springs	14 - 15	17.00	84.6%	0.251
11/08	Buford	Clarke Central	28 - 31	15.34	82.3%	0.264
09/06	Turner County	Taylor County	7 - 12	14.29	80.7%	0.270
10/03	Hampton	North Clayton	7 - 8	15.52	82.5%	0.272
09/27	Richmond Hill	Liberty County	23 - 31	13.14	78.8%	0.276
09/20	Richmond Hill	New Hampstead	14 - 21	13.18	78.9%	0.279
09/27	Starr's Mill	Jonesboro	14 - 21	12.38	77.5%	0.292
09/20	Lincoln County	Aquinas	7 - 10	13.33	79.1%	0.295
09/20	West Laurens	South Effingham	30 - 31	13.92	80.1%	0.296
10/11	Warren County	Georgia Military College	37 - 33	48.48	99.2%	0.300

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct
86.22	11/01	Lowndes	Colquitt County	28 - 17	15.65	82.7%
84.16	09/06	Lowndes	Parkview	38 - 7	17.52	85.2%
83.93	08/24	Colquitt County	North Gwinnett	17 - 6	0.66	51.6%
83.85	11/29	McEachern	North Gwinnett	-	1.57	53.9%
83.31	11/22	Colquitt County	Parkview	21 - 40	0.91	52.3%
82.04	09/13	Colquitt County	Valdosta	49 - 50	3.04	57.5%
81.91	10/18	McEachern	Marietta	14 - 12	3.15	57.8%
81.77	09/27	Lowndes	Valdosta	24 - 0	19.65	87.7%
81.62	11/29	Lowndes	Grayson	-	19.79	87.9%
81.56	09/27	Colquitt County	Grayson	31 - 7	5.10	62.5%
80.09	09/13	Grayson	Marietta	28 - 14	0.99	52.5%
78.81	10/11	North Gwinnett	Mill Creek	45 - 3	6.54	65.8%
78.57	10/25	Valdosta	Lee County	50 - 53	3.68	59.1%
77.50	11/29	Marietta	Mill Creek	-	4.96	62.2%
76.64	11/29	Lee County	Dacula	-	2.47	56.1%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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