High School Sports Blog

Maxwell 2018 preseason playoff projections

By Loren Maxwell
Updated Aug 14, 2018

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2017 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Grayson8 - AAAAAAA0-094.23999,9744.27841,044646,902477,047330,7652.02
Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA0-092.34999,2013.95822,809557,462403,900247,5743.04
Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA0-087.34996,3013.27706,859378,148224,952102,9278.72
McEachern3 - AAAAAAA0-085.78996,9523.29652,207421,254180,57581,08911.33
Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA0-085.24998,0093.04647,861329,380163,56268,56713.58
North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA0-084.49996,9422.96628,073307,627149,55559,27015.87
Archer8 - AAAAAAA0-083.81999,1973.04585,357361,115159,32955,63816.97
Tift County1 - AAAAAAA0-078.65963,7942.18364,244141,82441,94611,63384.96
Walton4 - AAAAAAA0-077.98982,0242.14357,407151,87244,61211,23088.05
Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA0-078.29997,2802.14273,652135,49241,32410,90790.68
Norcross7 - AAAAAAA0-076.07994,4121.94219,71193,19624,3055,567178.63
Parkview7 - AAAAAAA0-075.03993,4701.85198,43277,63918,7544,083243.92
Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA0-073.34926,9232.03258,34679,58917,1213,153316.16
Roswell4 - AAAAAAA0-072.20933,2261.48154,89945,0468,9121,525654.74
South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA0-071.59990,6031.80171,93046,4698,5691,463682.53
North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA0-071.10854,5701.75187,82248,5148,9961,325753.72
Milton5 - AAAAAAA0-070.46986,2581.69141,14635,5996,3519311,073.11
North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA0-069.76820,0921.61153,17635,3915,9778171,222.99
Newton8 - AAAAAAA0-068.82972,4511.59111,31024,6584,0995411,847.43
Westlake2 - AAAAAAA0-066.92987,9391.5279,83911,6022,0192044,900.96
Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA0-067.29863,9641.2059,08012,5811,6341875,346.59
Etowah4 - AAAAAAA0-067.22769,9071.0057,50111,2141,5731845,433.78
Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA0-066.35772,7350.9851,9549,3601,1981297,750.94
West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA0-065.23960,2421.3157,14510,8351,3061188,473.58
Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA0-065.02724,3370.8938,4656,2267316116,392.44
Marietta3 - AAAAAAA0-063.73553,7270.9145,6316,2426725318,866.92
South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA0-061.42853,4191.1433,1383,9482862147,618.05
Camden County1 - AAAAAAA0-061.87480,4000.6225,7453,4782361376,922.08
Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA0-061.28657,7760.7915,8472,4181821099,999.00
Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA0-058.27822,7310.9214,7301,224825199,999.00
Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA0-057.78520,0650.606,954900515199,999.00
East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA0-058.23900,9041.1119,1951,6941034249,999.00
Newnan2 - AAAAAAA0-053.42764,5780.867,216471151999,999.00
Lambert5 - AAAAAAA0-053.40622,5960.663,17325011--
Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA0-050.74620,2820.683,5541969--
Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA0-048.49551,9640.591,933763--
North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA0-049.92455,4910.471,164653--
Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA0-046.01190,0230.2158519---
Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA0-044.37203,5990.2131911---
Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA0-048.2945,9980.0635310---
Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA0-043.7129,9640.03452---
Campbell2 - AAAAAAA0-040.64179,6960.181421---
Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA0-034.2920,3830.025----
Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA0-033.8130,0540.032----
Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA0-027.7610,9540.01-----
Duluth6 - AAAAAAA0-029.453,8960.00-----
Discovery6 - AAAAAAA0-021.076800.00-----
Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA0-0-4.16170.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAAAAAAColquitt County595,192296,49397,164-10,352799
1 - AAAAAAALowndes310,795465,529196,715-23,2623,699
1 - AAAAAAATift County90,284221,136548,804-103,57036,206
1 - AAAAAAACamden County3,72916,842157,317-302,512519,600
2 - AAAAAAAWestlake655,731221,97080,25529,37061312,061
2 - AAAAAAAEast Coweta188,548345,278234,332131,92682099,096
2 - AAAAAAANewnan76,024190,995264,303230,9762,280235,422
2 - AAAAAAAPebblebrook48,706128,057197,397245,261861379,718
2 - AAAAAAAWheeler27,36995,046175,992252,821736448,036
2 - AAAAAAACampbell3,62218,65447,721109,64653820,304
3 - AAAAAAAMcEachern682,642216,77068,44525,4123,6833,048
3 - AAAAAAAHillgrove138,647280,593265,039192,53250,11273,077
3 - AAAAAAANorth Cobb95,416224,235259,605234,08441,230145,430
3 - AAAAAAANorth Paulding65,795200,682253,464253,60746,544179,908
3 - AAAAAAAMarietta17,32675,862144,510263,41952,610446,273
3 - AAAAAAAKennesaw Mountain1741,8588,93730,9464,083954,002
4 - AAAAAAAWalton546,965251,960117,30057,4378,36217,976
4 - AAAAAAARoswell225,137300,365228,308148,22031,19666,774
4 - AAAAAAAEtowah87,642167,587225,609249,93539,134230,093
4 - AAAAAAAWoodstock82,157150,255217,737256,10966,477227,265
4 - AAAAAAALassiter57,938128,744205,491267,32264,842275,663
4 - AAAAAAACherokee1611,0895,55520,9772,182970,036
5 - AAAAAAASouth Forsyth464,989311,589163,50447,8452,6769,397
5 - AAAAAAAMilton357,695354,946208,59061,2503,77713,742
5 - AAAAAAAWest Forsyth154,990259,440390,321144,37711,11439,758
5 - AAAAAAALambert15,50846,992141,768398,13420,194377,404
5 - AAAAAAANorth Forsyth6,75926,56291,842323,3107,018544,509
5 - AAAAAAAForsyth Central594713,97525,084465969,946
6 - AAAAAAAMill Creek468,131420,44191,36216,7601,3151,991
6 - AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett483,221391,75198,17421,8991,8973,058
6 - AAAAAAAMountain View35,932118,912419,829270,59118,700136,036
6 - AAAAAAACollins Hill8,87744,017234,222366,5134,147342,224
6 - AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge3,83924,869155,873320,26915,215479,935
6 - AAAAAAADuluth-94913,33858996,104
6 - AAAAAAADiscovery-149630-999,320
7 - AAAAAAABrookwood412,438318,941213,58251,4968232,720
7 - AAAAAAANorcross310,446325,432290,48766,8101,2375,588
7 - AAAAAAAParkview262,614313,978324,12891,1551,5956,530
7 - AAAAAAACentral Gwinnett14,20439,287156,585604,7467,909177,269
7 - AAAAAAAMeadowcreek2962,34714,799175,49010,667796,401
7 - AAAAAAALakeside (Atlanta)21541910,286232989,046
7 - AAAAAAABerkmar---17-999,983
8 - AAAAAAAGrayson760,692214,12621,9623,1227226
8 - AAAAAAAArcher217,294628,325132,13320,638807803
8 - AAAAAAANewton17,489122,273580,093242,9979,59927,549
8 - AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett4,47333,503239,844564,18511,414146,581
8 - AAAAAAAShiloh521,70323,512151,36213,394809,977
8 - AAAAAAARockdale County-702,45617,696161979,617

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Lee County1 - AAAAAA0-079.15960,6273.64690,900547,473363,874233,1743.29
Tucker4 - AAAAAA0-078.04999,9273.20581,698481,272300,682181,8534.50
Coffee1 - AAAAAA0-075.32910,8792.88545,356390,163215,784110,1418.08
Mays5 - AAAAAA0-074.42989,2113.30687,589385,033216,395106,7458.37
Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA0-074.05998,1713.10482,180365,186198,77394,8519.54
Valdosta1 - AAAAAA0-074.60893,5222.74518,389363,512193,38894,1109.63
Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA0-074.47887,6282.70510,334355,839187,92791,3769.94
Allatoona6 - AAAAAA0-068.40959,2762.61515,176195,52678,60827,61735.21
Harrison6 - AAAAAA0-067.32941,6342.47475,011168,41063,57720,80947.06
Dalton6 - AAAAAA0-064.91909,8012.20394,078120,31939,02110,92790.52
Dacula8 - AAAAAA0-062.63995,2492.00314,45681,74123,0075,417183.60
Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA0-061.24992,2471.92297,89672,72218,3844,148240.08
Brunswick2 - AAAAAA0-061.38955,2312.01165,56769,94517,5483,727267.31
Hughes5 - AAAAAA0-061.35799,5981.66244,02058,07014,5923,136317.88
Alexander5 - AAAAAA0-060.73741,5481.49212,22847,27711,3862,288436.06
Effingham County2 - AAAAAA0-059.28943,2091.88133,95949,05810,5711,926518.21
Stephenson4 - AAAAAA0-060.23988,4461.35112,40638,8919,0421,739574.04
Douglas County5 - AAAAAA0-059.37724,0301.40185,79637,9998,1131,452687.71
Houston County1 - AAAAAA0-061.37347,3440.5765,57826,7066,4021,386720.50
Northgate5 - AAAAAA0-058.86673,4981.27162,00531,6766,5121,187841.46
Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA0-055.27889,1321.6283,09122,2353,4534292,330.00
Creekview6 - AAAAAA0-055.89574,8471.00106,47516,7922,6923672,723.80
Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-055.05950,2711.42118,95317,8672,8213632,753.82
Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA0-055.20516,5720.8887,54813,0862,0072953,388.83
Lanier8 - AAAAAA0-053.89963,7871.3794,55713,1221,9502374,218.41
Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA0-054.33956,4711.1135,0988,5241,3181556,450.61
Evans3 - AAAAAA0-050.67964,7481.3335,1276,6417885817,240.38
Gainesville8 - AAAAAA0-050.89925,4761.2053,9385,9096484820,832.33
Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA0-048.91948,7411.2524,7384,2764323033,332.33
Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA0-045.73833,9110.9617,4481,247903333,332.33
Cambridge7 - AAAAAA0-046.18732,6090.8617,8841,3121062499,999.00
Grovetown3 - AAAAAA0-043.49857,9161.007,188869462499,999.00
Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA0-041.43462,9030.514,601239171999,999.00
Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA0-040.02214,2570.282,560170101999,999.00
Drew4 - AAAAAA0-043.40642,8740.673,34331114--
Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA0-041.61452,8930.504,6922169--
Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA0-038.15661,7750.721,7651194--
Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA0-042.4560,0800.071,690884--
Pope7 - AAAAAA0-038.45262,6170.281,462502--
Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-041.0527,7880.03537171--
South Cobb6 - AAAAAA0-038.1122,3720.0326061--
Creekside5 - AAAAAA0-038.6815,3290.0221461--
New Manchester5 - AAAAAA0-040.6124,5130.0344418---
M.L. King4 - AAAAAA0-034.81207,6430.2123718---
Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA0-034.01259,6270.2754515---
Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA0-033.11366,5080.3832113---
Northview7 - AAAAAA0-034.28117,2320.122818---
River Ridge6 - AAAAAA0-036.9115,4180.021755---
Alcovy3 - AAAAAA0-028.21200,3120.21681---
Morrow4 - AAAAAA0-028.6658,0580.06261---
South Paulding5 - AAAAAA0-034.964,4850.00261---
Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA0-031.04112,4930.1164----
North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA0-026.7217,8280.029----
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA0-025.9533,6820.037----
Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA0-025.1211,4000.014----
Apalachee8 - AAAAAA0-019.4121,9500.022----
Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-011.614060.00-----
Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-03.95-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAALee County378,562270,690187,993123,38239,373
1 - AAAAAACoffee213,074233,483246,897217,42589,121
1 - AAAAAAValdosta199,621236,023245,906211,972106,478
1 - AAAAAANorthside (Warner Robins)197,137225,087243,115222,289112,372
1 - AAAAAAHouston County11,60634,71776,089224,932652,656
2 - AAAAAAGlynn Academy717,507208,79153,16518,7081,829
2 - AAAAAABrunswick140,096340,347296,172178,61644,769
2 - AAAAAAEffingham County95,496278,576324,641244,49656,791
2 - AAAAAARichmond Hill45,742161,142292,519389,729110,868
2 - AAAAAABradwell Institute1,15911,14433,503168,451785,743
3 - AAAAAAEvans443,247281,620165,56074,32135,252
3 - AAAAAAHeritage (Conyers)331,343319,896201,12096,38251,259
3 - AAAAAAGrovetown151,386223,976288,082194,472142,084
3 - AAAAAALakeside (Evans)55,468114,067199,496292,744338,225
3 - AAAAAAGreenbrier14,64443,88498,900209,080633,492
3 - AAAAAAAlcovy3,91216,55746,842133,001799,688
4 - AAAAAATucker836,885143,49217,8521,69873
4 - AAAAAAStephenson124,318541,826259,13363,16911,554
4 - AAAAAALovejoy35,139262,701502,476156,15543,529
4 - AAAAAADrew3,42144,160159,154436,139357,126
4 - AAAAAAM.L. King1765,13634,516167,815792,357
4 - AAAAAAMundy's Mill521,70416,18794,550887,507
4 - AAAAAAMorrow57006,96750,386941,942
4 - AAAAAAMount Zion (Jonesboro)42813,69629,701966,318
4 - AAAAAAForest Park--19387999,594
5 - AAAAAAMays693,384195,05272,13928,63610,789
5 - AAAAAAHughes96,564247,949244,230210,855200,402
5 - AAAAAAAlexander73,362198,592232,899236,695258,452
5 - AAAAAADouglas County75,967194,999225,925227,139275,970
5 - AAAAAANorthgate60,321159,561209,238244,378326,502
5 - AAAAAATri-Cities1811,6326,21819,757972,212
5 - AAAAAANew Manchester1561,4025,51417,441975,487
5 - AAAAAACreekside616493,01111,608984,671
5 - AAAAAASouth Paulding41648263,491995,515
6 - AAAAAAAllatoona382,596291,414193,98491,28240,724
6 - AAAAAAHarrison325,552281,857218,838115,38758,366
6 - AAAAAADalton222,098264,589266,269156,84590,199
6 - AAAAAACreekview38,73384,803160,547290,764425,153
6 - AAAAAASequoyah30,35173,562142,587270,072483,428
6 - AAAAAASprayberry5292,74411,61645,191939,920
6 - AAAAAASouth Cobb986413,70717,926977,628
6 - AAAAAARiver Ridge433902,45212,533984,582
6 - AAAAAAOsborne----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAAlpharetta660,380244,41268,09119,3647,753
7 - AAAAAACentennial252,550421,661193,52482,53649,729
7 - AAAAAACambridge52,167167,808298,241214,393267,391
7 - AAAAAAJohns Creek14,38966,358159,876222,280537,097
7 - AAAAAAChattahoochee14,13563,992156,054218,712547,107
7 - AAAAAAPope5,17926,62283,691147,125737,383
7 - AAAAAANorthview1,1518,30234,11573,664882,768
7 - AAAAAANorth Atlanta345793,96713,248982,172
7 - AAAAAADunwoody152662,4418,678988,600
8 - AAAAAADacula627,073248,73688,49330,9474,751
8 - AAAAAALanier193,857351,326271,934146,67036,213
8 - AAAAAAGainesville130,958252,075327,979214,46474,524
8 - AAAAAAWinder-Barrow45,442131,343258,684398,442166,089
8 - AAAAAAHabersham Central2,64616,18949,958190,834740,373
8 - AAAAAAApalachee243312,95218,643978,050

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Rome7 - AAAAA0-091.93999,9795.13956,903836,111788,418550,6610.82
Buford8 - AAAAA0-087.381,000,0004.79891,472816,604734,998350,5151.85
Stockbridge4 - AAAAA0-077.04995,5173.32832,855317,071171,79555,40217.05
Warner Robins1 - AAAAA0-068.88998,6552.81575,162384,21165,73413,58072.64
Jones County4 - AAAAA0-067.80947,2172.60547,949259,87259,9579,805100.99
Ware County2 - AAAAA0-065.48999,2642.56508,060143,83238,3415,475181.65
Carrollton7 - AAAAA0-064.47940,5552.36371,092173,61934,9394,309231.07
Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA0-062.54991,8522.41345,029184,32826,0302,951337.87
Kell7 - AAAAA0-062.62889,7292.25407,052173,92925,8582,801356.02
Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA0-058.09995,2532.26475,047178,63711,9451,128885.52
Bainbridge1 - AAAAA0-060.18987,5041.89266,98189,20410,9981,121891.06
Griffin3 - AAAAA0-058.13973,8192.04221,76989,6669,3617971,253.71
Wayne County2 - AAAAA0-057.31992,3922.02247,74779,6437,0405901,693.92
Dutchtown4 - AAAAA0-057.37640,2331.10126,39041,6133,8923173,153.57
Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA0-055.86543,0000.8887,52027,7092,1671526,577.95
East Paulding7 - AAAAA0-052.86536,3611.05171,62340,7382,0121218,263.46
Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA0-054.04422,3180.6454,84116,6091,1307014,284.71
Clarke Central8 - AAAAA0-050.30979,6671.8490,32517,2181,0584721,275.60
Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA0-047.17985,8071.84181,23931,3181,0574621,738.13
Whitewater3 - AAAAA0-050.22863,3291.3572,20218,5389034223,808.52
Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA0-045.68980,0731.74145,99622,3566551376,922.08
Paulding County7 - AAAAA0-048.84275,7530.4865,24111,6323941283,332.33
Ola4 - AAAAA0-051.00252,0710.3521,7755,6852711283,332.33
Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA0-047.62841,5661.0234,4746,8942821099,999.00
Locust Grove4 - AAAAA0-049.29190,2290.2512,8443,1261127142,856.14
Villa Rica7 - AAAAA0-046.37182,2660.2933,7045,0061415199,999.00
Loganville8 - AAAAA0-042.71921,2011.4768,1627,5091583333,332.33
Harris County1 - AAAAA0-040.57595,1660.646,429646203333,332.33
Hiram7 - AAAAA0-046.34161,2810.2630,2004,4551142499,999.00
Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA0-039.86676,0810.7618,3661,623331999,999.00
South Effingham2 - AAAAA0-040.14821,3880.9811,0211,248281999,999.00
Riverwood6 - AAAAA0-036.48510,5550.556,73045581999,999.00
Banneker6 - AAAAA0-040.50734,1540.8425,5572,54548--
Grady6 - AAAAA0-039.72667,6340.7518,0821,65930--
Jonesboro3 - AAAAA0-041.80496,6110.609,8741,00624--
Veterans1 - AAAAA0-039.35577,1090.615,05843713--
Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA0-035.78789,4041.0725,1951,50612--
McIntosh3 - AAAAA0-037.92293,0500.343,0322436--
Statesboro2 - AAAAA0-035.57647,9800.723,8373665--
Lithonia5 - AAAAA0-032.42723,7660.835,7912525--
New Hampstead2 - AAAAA0-033.18538,9760.592,0361633--
Columbia5 - AAAAA0-032.13714,8130.825,5682542--
Fayette County3 - AAAAA0-037.84279,0850.322,7352112--
Miller Grove5 - AAAAA0-029.19559,2920.611,987741--
Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA0-026.95308,6160.362,41374---
North Springs6 - AAAAA0-032.86272,0340.281,51259---
Cass7 - AAAAA0-033.698,2830.0129815---
Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA0-032.825,7930.0117410---
Decatur6 - AAAAA0-028.73129,0790.132678---
Union Grove4 - AAAAA0-035.899,4150.01578---
Riverdale3 - AAAAA0-031.68102,2540.113235---
Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA0-019.5115,2100.023----
Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-09.8236,2490.041----
Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA0-0-5.561,1120.00-----
Clarkston5 - AAAAA0-0-18.90-------
Cross Keys5 - AAAAA0-0-53.47-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAWarner Robins710,736237,49341,8758,5511,345
1 - AAAAABainbridge239,004529,566177,85141,08312,496
1 - AAAAAThomas County Central37,620149,670400,302253,974158,434
1 - AAAAAHarris County7,60745,496196,470345,593404,834
1 - AAAAAVeterans5,03337,775183,502350,799422,891
2 - AAAAAWare County668,434291,90033,7185,212736
2 - AAAAAWayne County305,856543,605117,91425,0177,608
2 - AAAAASouth Effingham16,83087,638423,845293,075178,612
2 - AAAAAStatesboro5,78746,984249,080346,129352,020
2 - AAAAANew Hampstead3,09329,873175,443330,567461,024
3 - AAAAAStarr's Mill541,531308,435115,50426,3828,148
3 - AAAAAGriffin337,863378,823195,62561,50826,181
3 - AAAAAWhitewater100,483216,358358,281188,207136,671
3 - AAAAAJonesboro11,13947,951151,271286,250503,389
3 - AAAAAMcIntosh4,21422,88782,038183,911706,950
3 - AAAAAFayette County4,29021,59373,857179,345720,915
3 - AAAAARiverdale4803,95323,42474,397897,746
4 - AAAAAStockbridge701,556233,16548,94711,8494,483
4 - AAAAAJones County239,568451,187179,41677,04652,783
4 - AAAAADutchtown25,679120,894266,292227,368359,767
4 - AAAAAEagle's Landing16,26285,858208,351232,529457,000
4 - AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)10,24161,152150,196200,729577,682
4 - AAAAAOla4,24828,62682,860136,337747,929
4 - AAAAALocust Grove2,43718,91261,983106,897809,771
4 - AAAAAUnion Grove92061,9557,245990,585
5 - AAAAAArabia Mountain493,887334,375117,14940,39614,193
5 - AAAAASouthwest DeKalb404,148374,736147,42553,76419,927
5 - AAAAALithonia41,327112,593276,071293,775276,234
5 - AAAAAColumbia41,247112,915267,582293,069285,187
5 - AAAAAMiller Grove19,29964,524184,225291,244440,708
5 - AAAAAChamblee928577,54827,752963,751
5 - AAAAAClarkston----1,000,000
5 - AAAAACross Keys----1,000,000
6 - AAAAACarver (Atlanta)808,798138,64736,77711,0314,747
6 - AAAAABanneker68,466256,611226,544182,533265,846
6 - AAAAAMaynard Jackson45,213208,177220,838201,853323,919
6 - AAAAAGrady47,626204,908217,577197,523332,366
6 - AAAAARiverwood21,121125,721169,407194,306489,445
6 - AAAAANorth Springs6,99047,96186,436130,647727,966
6 - AAAAADecatur1,75617,07038,91571,338870,921
6 - AAAAALithia Springs309053,50610,769984,790
7 - AAAAARome937,79357,5594,23838921
7 - AAAAACarrollton33,859494,558297,989114,14959,445
7 - AAAAAKell25,514328,658362,705172,852110,271
7 - AAAAAEast Paulding1,91469,783168,063296,601463,639
7 - AAAAAPaulding County58126,78778,708169,677724,247
7 - AAAAAVilla Rica15811,63944,961125,508817,734
7 - AAAAAHiram18110,81941,432108,849838,719
7 - AAAAACass-1251,1686,990991,717
7 - AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)-727364,985994,207
8 - AAAAABuford977,25422,19948364-
8 - AAAAAClarke Central16,438646,665248,17568,38920,333
8 - AAAAALoganville4,876226,355439,656250,31478,799
8 - AAAAACedar Shoals1,34386,718253,215448,128210,596
8 - AAAAAWalnut Grove8918,06158,346232,120691,384
8 - AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)-2125985998,888

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Cartersville5 - AAAA0-086.65999,8795.19952,485868,129745,467633,6580.58
Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA0-074.77999,0183.91800,982618,214382,464149,8655.67
Marist7 - AAAA0-072.92998,1413.66753,307562,539287,942105,5338.48
Thomson3 - AAAA0-067.32999,9282.89688,079177,760100,52529,30533.12
Woodward Academy4 - AAAA0-065.32999,9232.78540,248184,634120,74422,47743.49
Mary Persons2 - AAAA0-064.60994,6323.12764,607349,10180,76821,69345.10
Burke County3 - AAAA0-063.78999,8182.60538,091139,69571,27114,23969.23
Sandy Creek5 - AAAA0-060.38906,9632.14320,038185,70951,8706,595150.63
St. Pius X8 - AAAA0-061.04998,7252.00208,074111,83122,1134,739210.01
Ridgeland6 - AAAA0-057.01995,6612.17284,591166,12837,0183,631274.41
Cairo1 - AAAA0-054.65974,4692.43423,240163,83129,2302,386418.11
Cedartown5 - AAAA0-057.26832,2991.69195,42098,11021,9062,242445.03
Troup5 - AAAA0-056.72834,7791.65179,68288,21318,9751,867534.62
West Laurens2 - AAAA0-051.97887,2601.69252,82869,0458,7576641,505.02
Flowery Branch7 - AAAA0-051.37809,3821.3777,54327,9693,4742713,689.04
Spalding2 - AAAA0-049.71836,3381.38159,42636,7604,1252124,715.98
Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA0-048.23881,2751.67172,13836,4603,6362044,900.96
Eastside4 - AAAA0-048.47988,5501.72120,88510,5081,5149110,988.01
Stephens County8 - AAAA0-047.54964,2131.2746,74113,5051,4197613,156.89
Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA0-045.16772,5851.2789,07713,6841,0764124,389.24
Oconee County8 - AAAA0-046.42953,9061.2241,93811,7291,0803528,570.43
Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA0-044.95931,9151.2029,5037,8736513429,410.76
Upson-Lee2 - AAAA0-045.10654,4500.9166,00710,5177903132,257.06
Chapel Hill5 - AAAA0-047.15354,4380.5120,7695,9445712737,036.04
West Hall7 - AAAA0-045.01604,8940.8729,7407,9945962638,460.54
Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA0-042.98918,6571.1220,5104,7163411566,665.67
Baldwin3 - AAAA0-041.60973,0591.2969,54710,3725941376,922.08
White County7 - AAAA0-044.19518,3730.7323,5846,0403831376,922.08
Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA0-042.99643,5670.9750,9456,3804347142,856.14
Pickens6 - AAAA0-040.63853,1600.9810,9771,9931097142,856.14
Perry2 - AAAA0-039.06365,5890.4312,6021,148531999,999.00
Howard2 - AAAA0-037.49261,7310.306,902572211999,999.00
Salem4 - AAAA0-034.24767,2020.9415,459909171999,999.00
Hardaway1 - AAAA0-037.44342,4440.4410,37081039--
Westover1 - AAAA0-035.99252,4030.315,79538715--
Madison County8 - AAAA0-033.24620,3100.642,2162047--
Columbus1 - AAAA0-031.79113,7710.131,121503--
Richmond Academy3 - AAAA0-027.86786,5400.835,3521611--
North Clayton4 - AAAA0-026.99395,4080.442,637861--
Hampton4 - AAAA0-027.14389,8900.432,65990---
Luella4 - AAAA0-025.35313,1400.341,52556---
North Oconee8 - AAAA0-029.50462,8460.4775244---
Chestatee7 - AAAA0-031.5169,4560.0844739---
Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA0-035.0845,6720.0530332---
LaGrange5 - AAAA0-033.2625,9700.0315413---
Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA0-027.89292,0030.3024411---
Henry County4 - AAAA0-019.98132,3240.142602---
Cross Creek3 - AAAA0-015.32240,6550.241702---
Dougherty1 - AAAA0-022.959,9240.01161---
Shaw1 - AAAA0-022.929,5620.019----
Druid Hills4 - AAAA0-010.7413,5630.015----
LaFayette6 - AAAA0-07.378,3650.01-----
Denmark7 - AAAA0-08.067360.00-----
Gilmer6 - AAAA0-0-8.082390.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAACairo579,346239,416108,30047,40725,531
1 - AAAAAmericus-Sumter212,363310,202221,882136,828118,725
1 - AAAACarver (Columbus)110,638210,326250,967200,654227,415
1 - AAAANorthside (Columbus)68,292140,760203,692230,823356,433
1 - AAAAHardaway16,45853,365104,605168,016657,556
1 - AAAAWestover10,33833,59674,859133,610747,597
1 - AAAAColumbus2,46211,49931,82867,982886,229
1 - AAAADougherty574151,9897,463990,076
1 - AAAAShaw464211,8787,217990,438
2 - AAAAMary Persons714,499202,80759,48817,8385,368
2 - AAAAWest Laurens150,605333,323253,794149,538112,740
2 - AAAASpalding82,116246,735296,478211,009163,662
2 - AAAAUpson-Lee40,778140,496214,218258,958345,550
2 - AAAAPerry7,81347,450104,313206,013634,411
2 - AAAAHoward4,18929,18971,709156,644738,269
3 - AAAAThomson623,739345,17829,0461,96572
3 - AAAABurke County363,085562,33470,4563,943182
3 - AAAABaldwin12,35883,762696,827180,11226,941
3 - AAAARichmond Academy7987,972177,031600,739213,460
3 - AAAACross Creek2075426,640213,241759,345
4 - AAAAWoodward Academy866,117125,5937,55465977
4 - AAAAEastside123,187688,157143,91933,28711,450
4 - AAAASalem7,757110,226415,261233,958232,798
4 - AAAANorth Clayton1,15327,869140,242226,144604,592
4 - AAAAHampton1,18127,673139,067221,969610,110
4 - AAAALuella53416,518112,402183,686686,860
4 - AAAAHenry County713,86539,00989,379867,676
4 - AAAADruid Hills-992,54610,918986,437
5 - AAAACartersville912,88678,1997,2801,514121
5 - AAAASandy Creek44,057386,736289,853186,31793,037
5 - AAAACedartown23,761250,745287,962269,831167,701
5 - AAAATroup17,344236,999302,021278,415165,221
5 - AAAAChapel Hill1,91944,56598,556209,398645,562
5 - AAAACentral (Carrollton)241,8269,34334,479954,328
5 - AAAALaGrange99304,98520,046974,030
6 - AAAARidgeland674,096222,66770,71128,1874,339
6 - AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)135,952317,254284,478194,23168,085
6 - AAAANorthwest Whitfield114,181253,443309,145241,88881,343
6 - AAAAPickens71,916183,510273,699324,035146,840
6 - AAAASoutheast Whitfield3,85323,03860,993204,119707,997
6 - AAAALaFayette2879627,314991,635
6 - AAAAGilmer-112226999,761
7 - AAAABlessed Trinity572,736373,46146,8955,926982
7 - AAAAMarist409,580513,32966,5428,6901,859
7 - AAAAFlowery Branch12,84568,622441,520286,395190,618
7 - AAAAWest Hall2,61823,090238,146341,040395,106
7 - AAAAWhite County2,18120,670190,385305,137481,627
7 - AAAAChestatee4082816,46452,124930,544
7 - AAAADenmark--48688999,264
8 - AAAASt. Pius X730,614205,13052,03910,9421,275
8 - AAAAStephens County135,654400,790324,924102,84535,787
8 - AAAAOconee County121,001316,167379,615137,12346,094
8 - AAAAMadison County9,46150,659151,160409,030379,690
8 - AAAANorth Oconee3,27027,25492,262340,060537,154

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Benedictine3 - AAA0-079.951,000,0004.85942,371764,835670,125476,9691.10
Calhoun6 - AAA0-072.331,000,0003.98779,427690,797370,740160,3605.24
Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA0-073.34999,9993.87836,615556,985336,021153,6345.51
Peach County4 - AAA0-069.68999,9563.48826,049397,279211,38477,73211.86
Cedar Grove5 - AAA0-069.56999,6193.26744,347298,126182,50077,00111.99
Jefferson8 - AAA0-063.96999,9333.00614,811498,754116,70636,91626.09
Lovett5 - AAA0-058.29988,8582.19293,393119,15827,0445,340186.27
Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA0-057.76983,8532.16296,712115,48925,9264,767208.78
Crisp County1 - AAA0-055.01993,4892.58613,728141,74722,6243,226308.98
Liberty County2 - AAA0-052.03997,8302.60547,576163,35616,0062,052486.33
Pace Academy5 - AAA0-052.92967,9921.78189,85574,3359,2961,245802.21
Westside (Macon)4 - AAA0-047.52967,6801.79170,20830,5522,9012444,097.36
Jenkins3 - AAA0-047.07996,7791.93161,76519,0892,4661845,433.78
Dawson County7 - AAA0-044.74989,4621.84116,71636,0171,8931267,935.51
Cook1 - AAA0-044.19955,3731.71203,49331,2511,7481029,802.92
Pike County4 - AAA0-042.15916,6501.45111,43013,0807263429,410.76
Pierce County2 - AAA0-040.70968,0541.67156,55016,2556813330,302.03
Jackson4 - AAA0-040.44864,3401.3189,5559,1294021471,427.57
North Hall7 - AAA0-036.09927,1221.3027,2933,1381056166,665.67
Adairsville6 - AAA0-035.47899,5691.2121,9302,158995199,999.00
Morgan County8 - AAA0-039.53905,4561.0419,3142,9261563333,332.33
Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA0-035.97941,0531.3662,7033,4031063333,332.33
Monroe Area8 - AAA0-039.16908,1521.0417,2552,4171132499,999.00
Appling County2 - AAA0-033.22825,5301.0630,3871,609431999,999.00
Savannah3 - AAA0-027.52793,6440.9313,82550151999,999.00
Monroe1 - AAA0-034.93777,5601.0330,5782,46167--
East Hall7 - AAA0-033.53877,5681.1516,3031,49937--
Sonoraville6 - AAA0-032.51863,0531.0712,25193018--
Hart County8 - AAA0-033.41743,2100.807,15141116--
Ringgold6 - AAA0-031.45778,6820.948,82472215--
North Murray6 - AAA0-030.95784,4890.927,34753713--
Tattnall County2 - AAA0-030.47760,5430.9114,91855712--
Central (Macon)4 - AAA0-028.89268,0820.316,0742002--
Towers5 - AAA0-027.5481,8610.09648632--
Brantley County2 - AAA0-024.11431,8110.472,142532--
Worth County1 - AAA0-026.77309,6560.362,58299---
Jackson County8 - AAA0-027.13402,5880.421,65433---
Redan5 - AAA0-025.9548,8590.0531425---
Beach3 - AAA0-018.05200,1170.2172214---
Windsor Forest3 - AAA0-017.31213,8110.235705---
Franklin County8 - AAA0-022.47185,9620.193573---
Lumpkin County7 - AAA0-018.00194,9600.201171---
Kendrick4 - AAA0-014.8120,4340.02581---
Rutland4 - AAA0-013.8416,5160.0228----
Murray County6 - AAA0-013.3965,9020.0720----
Islands3 - AAA0-08.4033,5890.0314----
Fannin County7 - AAA0-010.6251,2260.0510----
Long County2 - AAA0-010.5550,2070.057----
Haralson County6 - AAA0-08.8726,1200.032----
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA0-08.4118,3120.021----
East Jackson8 - AAA0-00.391,9840.00-----
Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA0-0-5.391,8590.00-----
Groves3 - AAA0-0-8.293400.00-----
Stone Mountain5 - AAA0-00.112440.00-----
Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA0-0-12.41610.00-----
Coahulla Creek6 - AAA0-0-16.8010.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAACrisp County750,957204,54435,653-2,3356,511
1 - AAACook189,198520,364228,235-17,57644,627
1 - AAAMonroe48,456223,141495,419-10,544222,440
1 - AAAWorth County11,38951,951240,693-5,623690,344
2 - AAALiberty County700,615226,11554,95715,4966472,170
2 - AAAPierce County203,781417,628234,649100,96611,03031,946
2 - AAAAppling County56,651185,859307,638267,0508,332174,470
2 - AAATattnall County32,792124,676273,872324,4374,766239,457
2 - AAABrantley County6,07944,239118,156254,1459,192568,189
2 - AAALong County821,48310,72837,9068949,793
3 - AAABenedictine962,50736,75869540--
3 - AAAJenkins33,788726,165195,57637,8883,3623,221
3 - AAASoutheast Bulloch3,157177,499502,414237,84420,13958,947
3 - AAASavannah51151,011226,865427,52087,737206,356
3 - AAAWindsor Forest123,94034,816132,94242,101786,189
3 - AAABeach254,42236,048138,34621,276799,883
3 - AAAIslands-2043,56925,0884,728966,411
3 - AAAGroves-11327848999,660
3 - AAAJohnson (Savannah)--4543999,939
4 - AAAPeach County889,41997,12010,7722,5757044
4 - AAAWestside (Macon)58,863436,857299,312162,25010,39832,320
4 - AAAPike County29,286242,279323,357295,18826,54083,350
4 - AAAJackson21,749204,152303,520324,79710,122135,660
4 - AAACentral (Macon)67818,98457,951184,6225,847731,918
4 - AAAKendrick33312,84216,823435979,566
4 - AAARutland22772,24613,745246983,484
5 - AAACedar Grove640,864240,53882,21035,128879381
5 - AAALovett139,213304,731322,175216,5166,22311,142
5 - AAAWestminster (Atlanta)153,972293,180298,558230,5917,55216,147
5 - AAAPace Academy65,854159,847287,883431,07423,33432,008
5 - AAATowers661,0965,68652,27922,734918,139
5 - AAARedan316083,48434,18110,555951,141
5 - AAAStone Mountain--42319999,756
6 - AAACalhoun971,10927,5751,1391716-
6 - AAAAdairsville13,323352,608272,610201,16459,864100,431
6 - AAASonoraville6,025261,268262,739232,490100,531136,947
6 - AAARinggold5,393199,152236,303251,23986,595221,318
6 - AAANorth Murray4,145155,643211,256265,567147,878215,511
6 - AAAMurray County52,66110,73529,85522,646934,098
6 - AAAHaralson County-6272,88310,72511,885973,880
6 - AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe-4662,3358,7886,723981,688
6 - AAACoahulla Creek---1-999,999
7 - AAAGreater Atlanta Christian949,59947,9152,12835161
7 - AAADawson County36,396599,244255,14894,2684,40610,538
7 - AAANorth Hall9,163188,602382,883339,3217,15372,878
7 - AAAEast Hall4,770156,980319,927384,25911,632122,432
7 - AAALumpkin County666,32732,202140,73815,627805,040
7 - AAAFannin County69247,61139,3423,343948,774
7 - AAACherokee Bluff-81011,72129998,141
8 - AAAJefferson898,37789,32710,0412,00718167
8 - AAAMonroe Area39,304362,158303,207186,24617,23791,848
8 - AAAMorgan County47,364331,124307,922194,84524,20194,544
8 - AAAHart County12,079161,795236,378293,58539,373256,790
8 - AAAJackson County2,35240,55496,736206,39556,551597,412
8 - AAAFranklin County52415,01045,524115,2009,704814,038
8 - AAAEast Jackson-321921,72238998,016

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Hapeville Charter6 - AA0-073.10999,9964.60876,223701,178612,271425,3631.35
Rabun County8 - AA0-069.83999,9994.47907,741722,332564,239313,7642.19
Brooks County1 - AA0-063.24999,1413.35807,725313,840202,68288,04010.36
Fitzgerald1 - AA0-059.68998,2212.95683,778251,420125,64142,69522.42
Callaway5 - AA0-058.04996,9152.99575,852332,019114,28834,48028.00
Screven County4 - AA0-057.08999,9172.90593,620408,426103,44032,31929.94
Thomasville1 - AA0-056.55995,7382.61566,654190,39173,23520,33048.19
Heard County5 - AA0-055.59994,3152.74494,608254,62574,70319,41150.52
Dodge County3 - AA0-053.05987,9022.34340,266163,94036,4607,993124.11
Jefferson County4 - AA0-051.76999,5882.21381,109209,49036,9547,990124.16
Vidalia2 - AA0-049.24975,1521.95200,53545,91811,7811,983503.29
Pepperell7 - AA0-046.21994,6252.25310,879105,16712,9381,870533.76
Rockmart7 - AA0-046.48993,1642.22292,48899,36112,9091,856537.79
Elbert County8 - AA0-043.40997,5511.83230,93663,0365,6636091,641.04
Toombs County2 - AA0-045.39938,0941.68126,03226,5114,4565641,772.05
Washington County3 - AA0-043.23893,4031.51100,21529,2842,8623382,957.58
Bremen5 - AA0-040.45846,7681.30105,09622,1941,7441546,492.51
Dublin3 - AA0-040.79804,4651.2560,01913,6491,1088611,626.91
Swainsboro2 - AA0-039.88812,0321.2251,44110,4937765119,606.84
Spencer5 - AA0-037.03717,3710.9447,1277,5624563330,302.03
Douglass6 - AA0-036.26895,5211.4057,1267,9844692245,453.55
Bacon County2 - AA0-036.72689,5090.9527,1704,5852661662,499.00
Southwest3 - AA0-036.84660,1700.9226,0174,0852371376,922.08
B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA0-032.89794,7341.1230,2503,3541494249,999.00
Bleckley County3 - AA0-033.03450,3180.579,3461,014524249,999.00
Union County8 - AA0-029.61949,1091.0814,9731,274403333,332.33
Jeff Davis2 - AA0-031.92404,9580.507,070905283333,332.33
Chattooga7 - AA0-030.99826,2831.1022,1132,045712499,999.00
Berrien1 - AA0-029.95610,7530.679,2501,247251999,999.00
Coosa7 - AA0-028.24727,7950.9011,499824201999,999.00
Early County1 - AA0-024.91396,1470.422,44023561999,999.00
Laney4 - AA0-025.86793,4800.823,68312821999,999.00
Lamar County5 - AA0-029.25298,6500.345,60246812--
Washington6 - AA0-025.69440,6450.535,6433424--
South Atlanta6 - AA0-024.63379,7540.454,3042204--
Northeast3 - AA0-027.63200,5140.231,6131103--
Therrell6 - AA0-022.84280,2710.322,325963--
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA0-020.17176,9920.20911401--
Model7 - AA0-020.00317,3570.34916241--
Harlem4 - AA0-020.28514,1210.52759101--
Banks County8 - AA0-019.38662,7320.692,36577---
Metter2 - AA0-025.70155,3290.1786364---
Temple5 - AA0-021.8580,3170.0840014---
Jordan5 - AA0-020.4365,6640.072597---
Glenn Hills4 - AA0-015.60275,8450.281993---
Dade County7 - AA0-014.62133,6180.141512---
Hephzibah4 - AA0-013.88193,3960.20922---
Bryan County2 - AA0-017.0424,9260.03282---
Putnam County8 - AA0-08.01158,2310.16871---
Butler4 - AA0-013.40197,4920.20741---
McNair6 - AA0-013.2232,0870.03471---
Monticello8 - AA0-08.10176,7770.1877----
Social Circle8 - AA0-02.1254,5280.052----
Josey4 - AA0-02.9914,7050.011----
East Laurens3 - AA0-08.333,2280.001----
Westside (Augusta)4 - AA0-01.8311,4560.01-----
Armuchee7 - AA0-00.786,0640.01-----
Gordon Central7 - AA0-0-5.851,0940.00-----
Oglethorpe County8 - AA0-0-14.061,0730.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AABrooks County527,446300,267159,51611,912859
1 - AAFitzgerald276,989369,850330,10321,2791,779
1 - AAThomasville194,130322,390439,14940,0694,262
1 - AABerrien1,1785,62651,305552,644389,247
1 - AAEarly County2571,86719,927374,096603,853
2 - AAVidalia493,003286,522138,06257,56524,848
2 - AAToombs County319,255320,305197,057101,47761,906
2 - AASwainsboro104,136192,148280,547235,201187,968
2 - AABacon County62,979132,906225,233268,391310,491
2 - AAJeff Davis17,54354,102114,552218,761595,042
2 - AAMetter2,94713,00739,59899,777844,671
2 - AABryan County1371,0104,95118,828975,074
3 - AADodge County649,403221,47986,08730,93312,098
3 - AAWashington County168,863333,119246,866144,555106,597
3 - AADublin108,341218,282263,880213,962195,535
3 - AASouthwest51,607135,625212,095260,843339,830
3 - AABleckley County18,06470,231137,011225,012549,682
3 - AANortheast3,71921,18653,653121,956799,486
3 - AAEast Laurens3784082,739996,772
4 - AAScreven County611,139372,66515,28982483
4 - AAJefferson County384,867573,22938,4903,002412
4 - AALaney3,11436,059514,288240,019206,520
4 - AAHarlem63511,360210,069292,057485,879
4 - AAGlenn Hills1233,11991,238181,365724,155
4 - AAButler601,55763,270132,605802,508
4 - AAHephzibah611,97462,677128,684806,604
4 - AAJosey-252,69211,988985,295
4 - AAWestside (Augusta)1121,9879,456988,544
5 - AACallaway522,543377,86880,40916,0953,085
5 - AAHeard County426,899420,643119,68727,0865,685
5 - AABremen35,334125,271417,520268,643153,232
5 - AASpencer13,21659,678267,287377,190282,629
5 - AALamar County1,77313,66285,222197,993701,350
5 - AATemple1481,78816,58261,799919,683
5 - AAJordan871,09013,29351,194934,336
6 - AAHapeville Charter977,40021,951592534
6 - AADouglass15,290483,260265,175131,796104,479
6 - AAB.E.S.T. Academy5,517295,009304,643189,565205,266
6 - AAWashington88778,512150,710210,536559,355
6 - AASouth Atlanta52461,462127,144190,624620,246
6 - AATherrell25138,86590,106151,049719,729
6 - AAKIPP Atlanta Collegiate13019,24854,102103,512823,008
6 - AAMcNair11,6937,52822,865967,913
7 - AAPepperell499,752372,64098,48923,7445,375
7 - AARockmart441,257410,347112,88828,6726,836
7 - AAChattooga34,092113,741378,214300,236173,717
7 - AACoosa21,77381,776290,405333,841272,205
7 - AAModel2,70517,34586,508210,799682,643
7 - AADade County4164,12632,74596,331866,382
7 - AAArmuchee5256525,382993,936
7 - AAGordon Central--99995998,906
8 - AARabun County943,60754,7921,518821
8 - AAElbert County51,603761,080163,18921,6792,449
8 - AAUnion County4,244152,276601,152191,43750,891
8 - AABanks County52828,165171,930462,109337,268
8 - AAMonticello121,88131,207143,677823,223
8 - AAPutnam County61,53824,854131,833841,769
8 - AASocial Circle-2676,10448,157945,472
8 - AAOglethorpe County-1461,026998,927

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Clinch County2 - A0-054.64999,978866,059676,199479,952323,0242.10
Irwin County2 - A0-051.46999,756816,455563,919346,696193,4514.17
Macon County4 - A0-051.63989,215742,706523,822322,222179,3564.58
Emanuel County Institute3 - A0-049.41999,761786,877520,497310,922148,5265.73
Manchester4 - A0-047.03946,281545,632323,844158,12667,23413.87
Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A0-042.43995,418569,733266,656105,31332,55829.71
Commerce8 - A0-038.80981,414440,384171,45354,10813,22774.60
Charlton County2 - A0-038.68991,030457,456177,46654,37113,12075.22
Lincoln County7 - A0-037.86995,598445,456166,58949,44811,28087.65
Turner County2 - A0-034.52925,745251,85479,23118,0433,113320.23
Dooly County4 - A0-036.53555,215141,16349,56213,2022,736364.50
Marion County4 - A0-035.26765,675174,36257,92313,9012,610382.14
Washington-Wilkes7 - A0-033.38964,946254,72473,92015,8342,551391.00
Mitchell County1 - A0-030.22999,838391,533111,49719,7612,310431.90
Trion6 - A0-032.91944,463211,98160,31212,3951,953511.03
Telfair County2 - A0-031.30840,824149,64438,3666,8839691,030.99
Pelham1 - A0-027.27999,556316,32170,6899,8539191,087.14
Taylor County4 - A0-032.75506,14189,09424,5774,8247391,352.18
McIntosh County Academy3 - A0-028.34710,44286,48318,2482,5742474,047.58
Miller County1 - A0-017.43985,88489,6588,8495372049,999.00
Schley County4 - A0-024.68181,91513,2602,0952092049,999.00
Jenkins County3 - A0-021.63648,27136,4774,7233811566,665.67
Bowdon6 - A0-020.24435,62617,9982,0081331099,999.00
Montgomery County3 - A0-018.13472,24315,5541,491954249,999.00
Seminole County1 - A0-013.52939,54532,4532,216763333,332.33
Johnson County3 - A0-018.03152,1574,640400272499,999.00
Chattahoochee County1 - A0-013.22921,52329,7312,051701999,999.00
Atkinson County2 - A0-016.25186,3194,483357101999,999.00
Wilkinson County7 - A0-015.51110,6542,44619481999,999.00
Greene County7 - A0-014.29296,8015,29937212--
Hancock Central7 - A0-010.31142,9461,414685--
Gordon Lee6 - A0-012.09200,3262,5551414--
Claxton3 - A0-013.5757,365951582--
Terrell County1 - A0-04.64517,2112,431821--
Towns County8 - A0-010.00132,8231,241561--
Wilcox County2 - A0-012.4760,852818541--
Randolph-Clay1 - A0-0-1.75316,0363999---
Lanier County2 - A0-03.2728,065932---
Portal3 - A0-05.6512,921542---
Hawkinsville4 - A0-010.714,577472---
Calhoun County1 - A0-0-7.0466,08928----
Treutlen3 - A0-05.445,96227----
Wheeler County3 - A0-06.652,72318----
Warren County7 - A0-0-0.538,2158----
Baconton Charter1 - A0-0-15.46890-----
Twiggs County7 - A0-0-7.88546-----
Greenville4 - A0-0-2.99110-----
Central (Talbotton)4 - A0-0-8.78101-----
Stewart County1 - A0-0-25.918-----
Crawford County4 - A0-0-6.77------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
1 - AMitchell County508,833793,168206,670162
1 - APelham378,746718,941280,615444
1 - AMiller County61,515326,489659,39514,116
1 - ASeminole County24,978102,087837,45860,455
1 - AChattahoochee County24,14395,356826,16778,477
1 - ATerrell County1,6685,642511,569482,789
1 - ARandolph-Clay111903315,133683,964
1 - ACalhoun County62466,065933,911
1 - ABaconton Charter--890999,110
1 - AStewart County--8999,992
2 - AClinch County571,678926,17173,80722
2 - AIrwin County351,143833,485166,271244
2 - ACharlton County48,687417,753573,2778,970
2 - ATurner County20,696149,341776,40474,255
2 - ATelfair County7,74158,848781,976159,176
2 - AAtkinson County38451185,868813,681
2 - AWilcox County174860,804939,148
2 - ALanier County-728,058971,935
3 - AEmanuel County Institute610,978862,076137,685239
3 - AMcIntosh County Academy6,51527,233683,209289,558
3 - AJenkins County3,86615,338632,933351,729
3 - AMontgomery County1,3094,040468,203527,757
3 - AJohnson County1,5101,533150,624847,843
3 - AClaxton518357,282942,635
3 - APortal1212,919987,079
3 - ATreutlen17175,945994,038
3 - AWheeler County31312,692997,277
4 - AMacon County549,172570,899418,31610,785
4 - AManchester325,049326,912619,36953,719
4 - AMarion County51,15552,846712,829234,325
4 - ADooly County50,63752,124503,091444,785
4 - ATaylor County19,45920,317485,824493,859
4 - ASchley County2,4802,554179,361818,085
4 - AHawkinsville16164,561995,423
4 - AGreenville--110999,890
4 - ACentral (Talbotton)--101999,899
4 - ACrawford County---1,000,000
6 - AMount Zion (Carroll)148,658509,261486,1574,582
6 - ATrion17,71898,987845,47655,537
6 - ABowdon4932,566433,060564,374
6 - AGordon Lee19312200,014799,674
7 - ALincoln County152,221435,108560,4904,402
7 - AWashington-Wilkes62,227187,399777,54735,054
7 - AGreene County290928295,873703,199
7 - AHancock Central56107142,839857,054
7 - AWilkinson County425490110,164889,346
7 - AWarren County--8,215991,785
7 - ATwiggs County--546999,454
8 - ACommerce185,501399,610581,80418,586
8 - ATowns County330497132,326867,177

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A0-075.831,000,000988,839949,773902,631846,0030.18
Mount Paran Christian6 - A0-051.61999,927824,974525,156254,81741,30923.21
Prince Avenue Christian8 - A0-051.39999,938797,775462,112231,60136,22926.60
Athens Academy8 - A0-049.36999,890759,637396,652176,02924,15040.41
Wesleyan5 - A0-049.49999,970797,778451,617126,54723,79241.03
Calvary Day3 - A0-046.57999,949707,820324,219109,42313,18074.87
Stratford Academy7 - A0-043.48999,000643,492272,80277,6437,146138.94
Darlington6 - A0-041.47998,935542,132179,63445,5313,786263.13
Aquinas7 - A0-039.11999,143483,820141,62231,5062,030491.61
Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A0-038.45992,172320,72985,84917,6531,176849.34
Savannah Christian3 - A0-036.00990,439244,40657,6218,9144722,117.64
Tattnall Square7 - A0-034.37931,252181,60741,5765,5272813,557.72
Fellowship Christian6 - A0-033.51978,224188,27236,7595,1912024,949.50
First Presbyterian7 - A0-032.77935,322154,96931,5533,7231536,534.95
Savannah Country Day3 - A0-029.84912,29985,70213,8821,4325119,606.84
George Walton Academy8 - A0-027.21882,77253,5537,2245771376,922.08
Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-025.29819,15736,8544,2142791190,908.09
Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A0-025.29819,32537,5854,2072875199,999.00
Holy Innocents5 - A0-023.41726,97524,5572,3501325199,999.00
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A0-024.63730,64331,1673,1961873333,332.33
Whitefield Academy6 - A0-023.00805,48922,0342,107861999,999.00
Walker6 - A0-022.77738,62419,6591,849841999,999.00
Athens Christian8 - A0-022.82651,78616,6321,464811999,999.00
Hebron Christian Academy8 - A0-021.29622,92713,7481,10146--
Brookstone4 - A0-022.01532,14010,82589146--
Mount de Sales7 - A0-017.71492,5805,39830913--
Landmark Christian5 - A0-015.82383,6953,0501489--
Strong Rock Christian5 - A0-015.60240,7461,793893--
St. Francis6 - A0-010.18176,652465121--
Riverside Military Academy8 - A0-05.51271,96932581--
North Cobb Christian6 - A0-07.2295,5051372---
Christian Heritage6 - A0-05.71133,4861511---
Lakeview Academy8 - A0-04.6577,098781---
King's Ridge Christian6 - A0-02.0146,67632----
Pinecrest Academy6 - A0-00.4711,3805----
Providence Christian8 - A0-0-5.823,835-----
Georgia Military College7 - A0-0-3.0780-----
Pacelli4 - A0-0-30.68------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
3 - ACalvary Day320,354741,810258,13951
3 - ASavannah Christian44,771200,619789,8209,561
3 - ASavannah Country Day10,59751,566860,73387,701
4 - ABrookstone2,0322,187529,953467,860
4 - APacelli---1,000,000
5 - AEagle's Landing Christian930,609999,96238-
5 - AWesleyan68,432904,30495,66630
5 - AMount Vernon Presbyterian26824,796794,529180,675
5 - AOur Lady of Mercy32622,655796,502180,843
5 - ATrinity Christian (Sharpsburg)20324,685705,958269,357
5 - AHoly Innocents15016,511710,464273,025
5 - ALandmark Christian41,309382,386616,305
5 - AStrong Rock Christian8466240,280759,254
6 - AMount Paran Christian603,276831,239168,68873
6 - ADarlington140,032617,663381,2721,065
6 - AMount Pisgah Christian65,708254,910737,2627,828
6 - AFellowship Christian22,284177,370800,85421,776
6 - AWhitefield Academy9917,809797,680194,511
6 - AWalker8136,971731,653261,376
6 - ASt. Francis544176,608823,348
6 - AChristian Heritage142133,444866,514
6 - ANorth Cobb Christian23095,475904,495
6 - AKing's Ridge Christian-246,674953,324
6 - APinecrest Academy--11,380988,620
7 - AStratford Academy430,533721,775277,2251,000
7 - AAquinas199,896594,220404,923857
7 - ATattnall Square81,302146,126785,12668,748
7 - AFirst Presbyterian72,150135,742799,58064,678
7 - AMount de Sales9002,114490,466507,420
7 - AGeorgia Military College--80999,920
8 - APrince Avenue Christian432,298739,085260,85362
8 - AAthens Academy369,050729,619270,271110
8 - AGeorge Walton Academy4,67229,394853,378117,228
8 - AAthens Christian1,4385,197646,589348,214
8 - AHebron Christian Academy6,5989,547613,380377,073
8 - ARiverside Military Academy53158271,811728,031
8 - ALakeview Academy597277,026922,902
8 - AProvidence Christian113,834996,165

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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