Sports
Maxwell playoff projections after Week 7
Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.
The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2016 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.
While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.
All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).
Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) classification record, and 4) random tie breaker.
NOTE: This week's simulation contains an error in the Region 6-AAA play-in games which affects the seeding. The simulation used a 1-1, 2-3 format although the correct format is 1-4, 2-3 elimination. Previous playoff projections have the correct format and future playoff projections will have the correct format.
Special thanks to Charles Wilson of the Bartow Sports Zone for researching the format and alerting me.
Class AAAAAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 4 - AAAAAAA | 191,504 | 808,496 | 113,496 | 3,879 | 39 | 359,871 | 640,129 | 12,529 | 426,295 | 1.35 |
| 6 - AAAAAAA | 330,155 | 669,845 | 61,168 | 1,723 | 11 | 563,872 | 436,128 | 4,681 | 221,684 | 3.51 |
| 8 - AAAAAAA | 328,588 | 671,412 | 122,931 | 4,353 | 43 | 632,349 | 367,651 | 8,350 | 174,262 | 4.74 |
| 7 - AAAAAAA | 420,804 | 579,196 | 61,054 | 1,736 | 11 | 775,974 | 224,026 | 3,059 | 88,365 | 10.32 |
| 1 - AAAAAAA | 557,648 | 442,352 | 68,458 | 1,928 | 9 | 830,225 | 169,775 | 4,972 | 53,669 | 17.63 |
| 3 - AAAAAAA | 710,301 | 289,699 | 24,302 | 510 | 3 | 881,596 | 118,404 | 1,061 | 35,027 | 27.55 |
| 5 - AAAAAAA | 962,793 | 37,207 | 401 | 1 | - | 994,404 | 5,596 | 2 | 471 | 2,122.14 |
| 2 - AAAAAAA | 964,588 | 35,412 | 333 | 1 | - | 996,363 | 3,637 | - | 227 | 4,404.29 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roswell | 4 - AAAAAAA | 5-0 | 97.05 | 999,961 | 881,705 | 801,790 | 626,662 | 422,520 | 1.37 |
| Mill Creek | 6 - AAAAAAA | 6-0 | 93.43 | 1,000,000 | 788,699 | 647,407 | 426,245 | 219,895 | 3.55 |
| Grayson | 8 - AAAAAAA | 4-1 | 91.56 | 999,982 | 859,093 | 643,059 | 345,454 | 169,314 | 4.91 |
| Norcross | 7 - AAAAAAA | 6-0 | 87.32 | 1,000,000 | 689,375 | 537,576 | 207,677 | 85,856 | 10.65 |
| Colquitt County | 1 - AAAAAAA | 3-4 | 85.14 | 995,331 | 618,298 | 314,157 | 123,886 | 42,735 | 22.40 |
| McEachern | 3 - AAAAAAA | 4-1 | 84.05 | 999,417 | 670,972 | 242,603 | 106,255 | 33,441 | 28.90 |
| Lowndes | 1 - AAAAAAA | 6-1 | 78.80 | 993,238 | 410,830 | 169,771 | 46,274 | 10,482 | 94.40 |
| Archer | 8 - AAAAAAA | 1-4 | 75.39 | 967,670 | 309,750 | 106,686 | 23,542 | 4,242 | 234.74 |
| Lassiter | 4 - AAAAAAA | 5-0 | 74.85 | 981,128 | 207,449 | 87,596 | 21,817 | 3,460 | 288.02 |
| Parkview | 7 - AAAAAAA | 3-2 | 72.59 | 995,758 | 261,896 | 54,608 | 10,831 | 1,501 | 665.22 |
| North Gwinnett | 6 - AAAAAAA | 3-3 | 71.76 | 993,742 | 161,400 | 47,317 | 9,116 | 1,222 | 817.33 |
| North Cobb | 3 - AAAAAAA | 4-1 | 71.09 | 991,186 | 262,337 | 44,379 | 9,038 | 1,173 | 851.51 |
| Brookwood | 7 - AAAAAAA | 3-2 | 70.79 | 993,040 | 235,356 | 47,962 | 8,454 | 1,001 | 998.00 |
| Peachtree Ridge | 6 - AAAAAAA | 2-3 | 69.47 | 968,358 | 138,717 | 33,807 | 5,146 | 556 | 1,797.56 |
| Tift County | 1 - AAAAAAA | 5-2 | 68.59 | 906,331 | 183,462 | 27,146 | 4,452 | 447 | 2,236.14 |
| North Paulding | 3 - AAAAAAA | 5-0 | 68.32 | 970,137 | 150,168 | 23,874 | 3,870 | 392 | 2,550.02 |
| Newton | 8 - AAAAAAA | 4-1-1 | 67.69 | 981,916 | 126,670 | 27,919 | 3,860 | 391 | 2,556.54 |
| South Gwinnett | 8 - AAAAAAA | 4-2 | 68.79 | 911,920 | 87,877 | 20,987 | 3,139 | 314 | 3,183.71 |
| South Forsyth | 5 - AAAAAAA | 3-2 | 66.79 | 984,852 | 161,026 | 18,277 | 2,994 | 269 | 3,716.47 |
| Walton | 4 - AAAAAAA | 3-2 | 67.34 | 790,043 | 102,892 | 21,183 | 2,824 | 233 | 4,290.85 |
| West Forsyth | 5 - AAAAAAA | 4-1 | 65.85 | 983,904 | 145,710 | 15,444 | 2,307 | 190 | 5,262.16 |
| Westlake | 2 - AAAAAAA | 2-3 | 64.98 | 988,419 | 108,034 | 17,289 | 1,830 | 117 | 8,546.01 |
| East Coweta | 2 - AAAAAAA | 4-1 | 65.24 | 991,093 | 100,589 | 16,726 | 1,702 | 106 | 9,432.96 |
| Etowah | 4 - AAAAAAA | 4-2 | 64.53 | 582,419 | 58,222 | 7,996 | 803 | 49 | 20,407.16 |
| Cherokee | 4 - AAAAAAA | 3-3 | 60.83 | 684,088 | 46,090 | 5,307 | 431 | 26 | 38,460.54 |
| Hillgrove | 3 - AAAAAAA | 2-3 | 61.25 | 719,488 | 32,793 | 3,519 | 299 | 21 | 47,618.05 |
| Mountain View | 6 - AAAAAAA | 5-1 | 60.65 | 834,395 | 33,378 | 4,167 | 301 | 11 | 90,908.09 |
| Milton | 5 - AAAAAAA | 2-3 | 59.71 | 849,886 | 37,657 | 3,075 | 254 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| Central Gwinnett | 7 - AAAAAAA | 2-4 | 55.81 | 972,142 | 44,151 | 1,852 | 123 | 7 | 142,856.14 |
| Woodstock | 4 - AAAAAAA | 3-2 | 58.92 | 416,294 | 21,499 | 2,037 | 121 | 7 | 142,856.14 |
| Camden County | 1 - AAAAAAA | 2-4 | 58.96 | 374,679 | 27,289 | 1,671 | 135 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| Newnan | 2 - AAAAAAA | 2-3 | 56.46 | 889,013 | 12,937 | 1,371 | 90 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Lambert | 5 - AAAAAAA | 2-3 | 54.81 | 703,369 | 11,309 | 694 | 40 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Shiloh | 8 - AAAAAAA | 1-4 | 52.32 | 202,168 | 1,130 | 85 | 6 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Wheeler | 2 - AAAAAAA | 2-3 | 52.21 | 853,216 | 4,744 | 358 | 15 | - | - |
| Marietta | 3 - AAAAAAA | 2-3 | 51.47 | 319,451 | 2,499 | 134 | 3 | - | - |
| North Forsyth | 5 - AAAAAAA | 3-2 | 49.94 | 493,527 | 2,712 | 120 | 3 | - | - |
| Collins Hill | 6 - AAAAAAA | 1-5 | 48.28 | 211,995 | 982 | 48 | 1 | - | - |
| Kennesaw Mountain | 3 - AAAAAAA | 2-3 | 41.71 | 53,738 | 55 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Pebblebrook | 2 - AAAAAAA | 3-2 | 39.74 | 276,231 | 102 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Lakeside (Atlanta) | 7 - AAAAAAA | 4-2 | 38.49 | 63,613 | 115 | - | - | - | - |
| Forsyth Central | 5 - AAAAAAA | 3-1 | 36.82 | 88,549 | 29 | - | - | - | - |
| Rockdale County | 8 - AAAAAAA | 2-4 | 34.56 | 11,216 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Duluth | 6 - AAAAAAA | 2-3 | 26.64 | 2,624 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Campbell | 2 - AAAAAAA | 0-5 | 22.06 | 9,360 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Meadowcreek | 7 - AAAAAAA | 1-5 | 15.73 | 510 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Discovery | 6 - AAAAAAA | 1-5 | 23.02 | 411 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Berkmar | 7 - AAAAAAA | 0-6 | 6.55 | 192 | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAAAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 1 - AAAAAA | 52,566 | 947,434 | 685,740 | 273,025 | 41,956 | 154,571 | 845,429 | 338,860 | 685,965 | 0.46 |
| 6 - AAAAAA | 473,998 | 526,002 | 88,763 | 3,508 | 39 | 763,814 | 236,186 | 9,889 | 95,584 | 9.46 |
| 4 - AAAAAA | 626,370 | 373,630 | 29,268 | 513 | 2 | 807,712 | 192,288 | 959 | 88,772 | 10.26 |
| 5 - AAAAAA | 514,349 | 485,651 | 107,477 | 10,472 | 362 | 775,692 | 224,308 | 11,468 | 85,232 | 10.73 |
| 2 - AAAAAA | 714,706 | 285,294 | 17,215 | 173 | - | 884,751 | 115,249 | 362 | 40,326 | 23.80 |
| 8 - AAAAAA | 906,173 | 93,827 | 2,293 | 10 | - | 978,869 | 21,131 | 41 | 3,703 | 269.05 |
| 7 - AAAAAA | 973,487 | 26,513 | 236 | 1 | - | 996,195 | 3,805 | 4 | 415 | 2,408.64 |
| 3 - AAAAAA | 999,407 | 593 | - | - | - | 999,979 | 21 | - | 3 | 333,332.33 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northside (Warner Robins) | 1 - AAAAAA | 6-0 | 82.26 | 972,920 | 801,437 | 665,736 | 472,393 | 299,860 | 2.33 |
| Valdosta | 1 - AAAAAA | 5-1 | 82.32 | 965,993 | 791,131 | 650,998 | 463,081 | 294,380 | 2.40 |
| Tucker | 4 - AAAAAA | 5-1 | 76.24 | 999,982 | 652,154 | 359,254 | 187,039 | 88,088 | 10.35 |
| Harrison | 6 - AAAAAA | 5-0 | 74.54 | 996,950 | 680,932 | 380,578 | 172,254 | 74,602 | 12.40 |
| Lee County | 1 - AAAAAA | 5-0 | 74.08 | 836,966 | 532,903 | 325,842 | 143,515 | 57,768 | 16.31 |
| Mays | 5 - AAAAAA | 4-1 | 74.72 | 977,465 | 447,507 | 260,910 | 126,032 | 54,777 | 17.26 |
| Glynn Academy | 2 - AAAAAA | 5-1 | 71.54 | 999,482 | 679,562 | 269,898 | 111,398 | 39,875 | 24.08 |
| Houston County | 1 - AAAAAA | 6-0 | 71.50 | 755,159 | 432,932 | 234,749 | 88,314 | 30,322 | 31.98 |
| Dalton | 6 - AAAAAA | 5-0 | 69.01 | 996,830 | 479,355 | 192,276 | 65,630 | 19,685 | 49.80 |
| Hughes | 5 - AAAAAA | 5-1 | 68.82 | 985,545 | 266,700 | 141,186 | 49,227 | 14,820 | 66.48 |
| Alexander | 5 - AAAAAA | 5-0 | 67.47 | 908,210 | 238,225 | 111,890 | 35,748 | 9,767 | 101.39 |
| Northgate | 5 - AAAAAA | 5-1 | 65.72 | 944,241 | 176,878 | 84,201 | 23,794 | 5,732 | 173.46 |
| Coffee | 1 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 64.42 | 468,962 | 186,138 | 70,830 | 16,986 | 3,635 | 274.10 |
| Lanier | 8 - AAAAAA | 3-2 | 62.31 | 994,288 | 336,053 | 66,686 | 16,710 | 3,158 | 315.66 |
| Allatoona | 6 - AAAAAA | 1-4 | 60.56 | 778,538 | 191,830 | 36,000 | 7,226 | 1,209 | 826.13 |
| Dacula | 8 - AAAAAA | 1-4 | 56.93 | 971,946 | 174,457 | 23,931 | 3,902 | 498 | 2,007.03 |
| Lovejoy | 4 - AAAAAA | 4-3 | 55.96 | 999,994 | 122,518 | 21,592 | 3,018 | 357 | 2,800.12 |
| Stephenson | 4 - AAAAAA | 3-3 | 55.70 | 965,938 | 179,298 | 20,576 | 3,077 | 323 | 3,094.98 |
| Effingham County | 2 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 54.81 | 961,635 | 123,739 | 15,105 | 2,064 | 220 | 4,544.45 |
| Brunswick | 2 - AAAAAA | 3-2 | 54.52 | 958,731 | 115,784 | 14,071 | 1,844 | 207 | 4,829.92 |
| Centennial | 7 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 56.87 | 993,067 | 34,028 | 11,094 | 1,689 | 194 | 5,153.64 |
| Creekside | 5 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 60.29 | 112,173 | 11,261 | 4,125 | 720 | 112 | 8,927.57 |
| Alpharetta | 7 - AAAAAA | 3-2 | 55.68 | 928,430 | 27,034 | 6,841 | 1,026 | 111 | 9,008.01 |
| Johns Creek | 7 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 55.33 | 971,440 | 27,197 | 6,593 | 896 | 101 | 9,899.99 |
| Creekview | 6 - AAAAAA | 2-3 | 54.45 | 298,942 | 44,965 | 4,782 | 591 | 68 | 14,704.88 |
| Gainesville | 8 - AAAAAA | 2-3 | 51.64 | 887,626 | 54,407 | 5,213 | 550 | 47 | 21,275.60 |
| Richmond Hill | 2 - AAAAAA | 5-0 | 48.90 | 938,136 | 50,391 | 3,611 | 305 | 24 | 41,665.67 |
| Douglas County | 5 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 57.54 | 71,494 | 5,276 | 1,651 | 255 | 24 | 41,665.67 |
| Sequoyah | 6 - AAAAAA | 2-3 | 48.41 | 589,945 | 42,844 | 2,680 | 198 | 12 | 83,332.33 |
| Cambridge | 7 - AAAAAA | 3-3 | 50.79 | 963,659 | 13,401 | 2,215 | 198 | 9 | 111,110.11 |
| Sprayberry | 6 - AAAAAA | 4-1 | 49.67 | 334,439 | 28,332 | 1,997 | 176 | 8 | 124,999.00 |
| Drew | 4 - AAAAAA | 2-4 | 46.66 | 699,954 | 30,318 | 1,725 | 104 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Evans | 3 - AAAAAA | 3-2 | 41.51 | 935,068 | 3,132 | 247 | 13 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Mundy's Mill | 4 - AAAAAA | 1-5 | 43.48 | 265,358 | 4,988 | 257 | 9 | - | - |
| Heritage (Conyers) | 3 - AAAAAA | 2-3 | 41.94 | 943,187 | 3,448 | 301 | 8 | - | - |
| Winder-Barrow | 8 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 39.85 | 656,189 | 4,915 | 185 | 5 | - | - |
| Habersham Central | 8 - AAAAAA | 4-1 | 38.53 | 484,926 | 2,741 | 116 | 5 | - | - |
| Grovetown | 3 - AAAAAA | 3-3 | 35.67 | 882,197 | 891 | 35 | - | - | - |
| Greenbrier | 3 - AAAAAA | 5-0 | 31.38 | 622,850 | 230 | 5 | - | - | - |
| Alcovy | 3 - AAAAAA | 4-2 | 28.17 | 344,602 | 78 | 4 | - | - | - |
| M.L. King | 4 - AAAAAA | 2-4 | 37.67 | 14,572 | 135 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Pope | 7 - AAAAAA | 1-4 | 38.63 | 47,311 | 60 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Jonesboro | 4 - AAAAAA | 0-6 | 34.92 | 26,765 | 102 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | 4 - AAAAAA | 2-4 | 31.89 | 27,437 | 86 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Chattahoochee | 7 - AAAAAA | 3-3 | 37.73 | 66,256 | 60 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Lakeside (Evans) | 3 - AAAAAA | 0-5 | 25.65 | 272,096 | 24 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Northview | 7 - AAAAAA | 1-4 | 36.12 | 29,139 | 24 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Bradwell Institute | 2 - AAAAAA | 2-2-1 | 26.84 | 142,016 | 72 | - | - | - | - |
| South Cobb | 6 - AAAAAA | 1-4 | 32.43 | 2,700 | 19 | - | - | - | - |
| Tri-Cities | 5 - AAAAAA | 0-5 | 38.19 | 582 | 4 | - | - | - | - |
| River Ridge | 6 - AAAAAA | 2-3 | 28.81 | 1,656 | 3 | - | - | - | - |
| South Paulding | 5 - AAAAAA | 0-5 | 40.60 | 262 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Apalachee | 8 - AAAAAA | 2-3-1 | 19.55 | 5,025 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dunwoody | 7 - AAAAAA | 2-3 | 27.08 | 690 | - | - | - | - | - |
| New Manchester | 5 - AAAAAA | 0-6 | 35.94 | 28 | - | - | - | - | - |
| North Atlanta | 7 - AAAAAA | 1-5 | 26.36 | 8 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Osborne | 6 - AAAAAA | 0-6 | 10.78 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Forest Park | 4 - AAAAAA | 1-6 | 7.44 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 8 - AAAAA | 214,527 | 785,473 | 50,998 | 607 | 2 | 310,203 | 689,797 | 5,059 | 553,689 | 0.81 |
| 7 - AAAAA | 275,361 | 724,639 | 235,587 | 29,051 | 925 | 544,929 | 455,071 | 42,205 | 186,032 | 4.38 |
| 4 - AAAAA | 175,543 | 824,457 | 300,297 | 16,148 | 228 | 553,348 | 446,652 | 34,959 | 174,219 | 4.74 |
| 2 - AAAAA | 673,460 | 326,540 | 1,051 | - | - | 821,761 | 178,239 | - | 50,440 | 18.83 |
| 6 - AAAAA | 681,985 | 318,015 | 14,222 | 35 | - | 930,191 | 69,809 | 380 | 23,439 | 41.66 |
| 3 - AAAAA | 807,100 | 192,900 | 11,504 | 164 | - | 959,626 | 40,374 | 170 | 6,232 | 159.46 |
| 1 - AAAAA | 911,088 | 88,912 | 2,722 | 31 | - | 975,953 | 24,047 | 50 | 4,560 | 218.30 |
| 5 - AAAAA | 925,271 | 74,729 | 759 | - | - | 986,814 | 13,186 | 2 | 1,389 | 718.94 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buford | 8 - AAAAA | 4-1 | 84.37 | 999,996 | 912,346 | 792,436 | 687,020 | 552,990 | 0.81 |
| Kell | 7 - AAAAA | 5-1 | 73.23 | 999,921 | 857,705 | 558,011 | 353,193 | 136,977 | 6.30 |
| Stockbridge | 4 - AAAAA | 5-0 | 72.81 | 999,868 | 788,125 | 656,189 | 338,187 | 136,400 | 6.33 |
| Ware County | 2 - AAAAA | 2-3 | 68.52 | 999,998 | 698,931 | 327,182 | 178,224 | 50,440 | 18.83 |
| Rome | 7 - AAAAA | 3-2 | 67.72 | 994,693 | 730,847 | 190,225 | 90,900 | 36,274 | 26.57 |
| Woodland (Stockbridge) | 4 - AAAAA | 5-1 | 65.83 | 989,714 | 577,442 | 399,074 | 122,264 | 34,009 | 28.40 |
| Grady | 6 - AAAAA | 5-1 | 65.57 | 999,907 | 443,781 | 290,962 | 63,627 | 22,851 | 42.76 |
| Carrollton | 7 - AAAAA | 4-1 | 62.67 | 940,681 | 585,540 | 225,610 | 51,905 | 12,706 | 77.70 |
| Griffin | 3 - AAAAA | 5-1 | 59.83 | 976,413 | 375,445 | 120,860 | 30,156 | 5,036 | 197.57 |
| Thomas County Central | 1 - AAAAA | 4-2 | 60.61 | 990,086 | 283,748 | 58,742 | 20,204 | 4,251 | 234.24 |
| Jones County | 4 - AAAAA | 4-2 | 59.67 | 930,818 | 165,194 | 70,474 | 18,607 | 3,585 | 277.94 |
| Arabia Mountain | 5 - AAAAA | 4-1 | 54.74 | 997,691 | 308,979 | 71,707 | 13,001 | 1,379 | 724.16 |
| Starr's Mill | 3 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 54.02 | 973,051 | 258,929 | 58,733 | 7,106 | 935 | 1,068.52 |
| Loganville | 8 - AAAAA | 4-1 | 53.16 | 968,743 | 142,306 | 33,649 | 6,819 | 648 | 1,542.21 |
| Carver (Atlanta) | 6 - AAAAA | 4-2 | 52.60 | 996,886 | 104,745 | 40,190 | 6,506 | 587 | 1,702.58 |
| Riverdale | 3 - AAAAA | 5-1 | 50.87 | 965,015 | 133,761 | 23,694 | 3,189 | 258 | 3,874.97 |
| Bainbridge | 1 - AAAAA | 1-4 | 51.25 | 918,902 | 113,889 | 18,190 | 2,704 | 253 | 3,951.57 |
| Dutchtown | 4 - AAAAA | 3-2 | 52.52 | 375,682 | 36,304 | 7,739 | 1,353 | 130 | 7,691.31 |
| Locust Grove | 4 - AAAAA | 4-2 | 51.37 | 382,651 | 36,240 | 6,772 | 1,102 | 92 | 10,868.57 |
| Clarke Central | 8 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 46.29 | 973,638 | 46,316 | 8,743 | 885 | 45 | 22,221.22 |
| Cass | 7 - AAAAA | 3-2 | 46.94 | 408,915 | 64,258 | 7,872 | 664 | 44 | 22,726.27 |
| Warner Robins | 1 - AAAAA | 1-5 | 47.05 | 778,133 | 66,280 | 8,078 | 699 | 37 | 27,026.03 |
| Veterans | 1 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 45.16 | 774,729 | 51,431 | 5,411 | 435 | 18 | 55,554.56 |
| Villa Rica | 7 - AAAAA | 4-2 | 44.25 | 397,762 | 43,013 | 4,266 | 281 | 14 | 71,427.57 |
| Southwest DeKalb | 5 - AAAAA | 2-3 | 42.13 | 953,483 | 41,436 | 3,501 | 181 | 9 | 111,110.11 |
| Paulding County | 7 - AAAAA | 2-4 | 45.99 | 130,779 | 17,888 | 2,045 | 150 | 7 | 142,856.14 |
| Flowery Branch | 8 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 40.89 | 925,067 | 16,757 | 2,233 | 131 | 6 | 166,665.67 |
| Hiram | 7 - AAAAA | 4-2 | 47.27 | 69,060 | 10,750 | 1,309 | 117 | 6 | 166,665.67 |
| East Paulding | 7 - AAAAA | 0-5 | 46.05 | 58,189 | 7,209 | 864 | 66 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Ola | 4 - AAAAA | 2-3 | 43.65 | 272,373 | 8,843 | 762 | 87 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Whitewater | 3 - AAAAA | 4-2 | 40.77 | 533,997 | 12,688 | 730 | 47 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Harris County | 1 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 39.97 | 538,150 | 17,437 | 1,245 | 55 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Fayette County | 3 - AAAAA | 2-2-1 | 40.68 | 375,244 | 8,793 | 508 | 43 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Banneker | 6 - AAAAA | 4-2 | 36.81 | 856,528 | 9,746 | 654 | 28 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Columbia | 5 - AAAAA | 2-3 | 33.77 | 725,753 | 4,757 | 181 | 5 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Riverwood | 6 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 38.80 | 735,920 | 5,295 | 450 | 27 | - | - |
| Wayne County | 2 - AAAAA | 0-6 | 35.21 | 958,457 | 3,469 | 308 | 14 | - | - |
| Eagle's Landing | 4 - AAAAA | 2-4 | 42.77 | 48,860 | 1,501 | 120 | 11 | - | - |
| McIntosh | 3 - AAAAA | 3-2 | 35.35 | 175,524 | 1,554 | 46 | 3 | - | - |
| Statesboro | 2 - AAAAA | 0-6 | 28.51 | 874,927 | 1,083 | 64 | 1 | - | - |
| Miller Grove | 5 - AAAAA | 2-3 | 29.07 | 580,520 | 1,405 | 37 | 1 | - | - |
| Cedar Shoals | 8 - AAAAA | 3-3 | 33.40 | 92,575 | 252 | 17 | 1 | - | - |
| North Springs | 6 - AAAAA | 3-2 | 28.14 | 395,008 | 513 | 16 | 1 | - | - |
| Lithonia | 5 - AAAAA | 1-4 | 31.18 | 608,343 | 2,215 | 61 | - | - | - |
| South Effingham | 2 - AAAAA | 0-6 | 26.73 | 831,163 | 746 | 35 | - | - | - |
| New Hampstead | 2 - AAAAA | 1-4-1 | 14.88 | 335,455 | 37 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Chamblee | 5 - AAAAA | 1-4 | 19.76 | 134,210 | 43 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Walnut Grove | 8 - AAAAA | 2-4 | 21.01 | 39,927 | 23 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Maynard Jackson | 6 - AAAAA | 1-5 | 22.61 | 11,389 | 3 | - | - | - | - |
| Decatur | 6 - AAAAA | 1-5 | 22.39 | 2,532 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Union Grove | 4 - AAAAA | 0-4-1 | 23.09 | 28 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Lithia Springs | 6 - AAAAA | 0-6 | 15.27 | 1,830 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Morrow | 3 - AAAAA | 1-5 | 13.47 | 756 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Johnson (Gainesville) | 8 - AAAAA | 0-6 | -0.84 | 54 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Hampton | 4 - AAAAA | 1-5 | 20.86 | 6 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Woodland (Cartersville) | 7 - AAAAA | 0-6 | 15.55 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clarkston | 5 - AAAAA | 0-7 | -21.12 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Cross Keys | 5 - AAAAA | 1-1 | -30.09 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 5 - AAAA | 172,054 | 827,946 | 299,979 | 42,966 | 2,037 | 243,874 | 756,126 | 76,075 | 615,835 | 0.62 |
| 3 - AAAA | 369,520 | 630,480 | 24,919 | 59 | - | 503,344 | 496,656 | 2,657 | 177,701 | 4.63 |
| 4 - AAAA | 672,474 | 327,526 | 29,247 | 243 | 1 | 757,034 | 242,966 | 4,246 | 122,845 | 7.14 |
| 7 - AAAA | 502,695 | 497,305 | 78,273 | 447 | - | 867,403 | 132,597 | 3,897 | 34,723 | 27.80 |
| 8 - AAAA | 535,706 | 464,294 | 76,691 | 3,188 | 28 | 857,477 | 142,523 | 1,849 | 27,151 | 35.83 |
| 2 - AAAA | 634,948 | 365,052 | 41,849 | 930 | 2 | 925,476 | 74,524 | 1,008 | 13,537 | 72.87 |
| 1 - AAAA | 768,456 | 231,544 | 12,030 | 61 | - | 945,366 | 54,634 | 91 | 7,430 | 133.59 |
| 6 - AAAA | 957,459 | 42,541 | 363 | 1 | - | 989,850 | 10,150 | 1 | 778 | 1,284.35 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cartersville | 5 - AAAA | 6-0 | 83.75 | 999,919 | 924,689 | 763,068 | 706,039 | 590,371 | 0.69 |
| Thomson | 3 - AAAA | 5-0 | 72.25 | 999,997 | 723,476 | 611,606 | 486,080 | 176,011 | 4.68 |
| Woodward Academy | 4 - AAAA | 5-1 | 72.13 | 999,976 | 841,351 | 283,914 | 225,602 | 120,712 | 7.28 |
| Jefferson | 8 - AAAA | 5-1 | 61.47 | 994,556 | 621,263 | 339,397 | 108,614 | 22,968 | 42.54 |
| Blessed Trinity | 7 - AAAA | 4-2 | 62.07 | 999,527 | 510,612 | 336,481 | 79,972 | 22,586 | 43.28 |
| Sandy Creek | 5 - AAAA | 3-2 | 63.00 | 890,719 | 399,636 | 256,916 | 90,824 | 21,350 | 45.84 |
| Marist | 7 - AAAA | 4-2 | 59.59 | 998,952 | 392,995 | 235,400 | 56,013 | 12,113 | 81.56 |
| Mary Persons | 2 - AAAA | 4-2 | 57.50 | 995,632 | 537,802 | 255,652 | 37,639 | 9,017 | 109.90 |
| Cairo | 1 - AAAA | 5-1 | 56.57 | 997,624 | 390,458 | 201,904 | 51,457 | 7,202 | 137.85 |
| Spalding | 2 - AAAA | 3-3 | 55.64 | 964,446 | 348,227 | 123,959 | 34,568 | 4,342 | 229.31 |
| Troup | 5 - AAAA | 5-1 | 53.53 | 924,183 | 170,700 | 77,834 | 21,062 | 2,409 | 414.11 |
| Stephens County | 8 - AAAA | 4-1 | 53.06 | 896,228 | 301,170 | 93,926 | 16,640 | 2,183 | 457.09 |
| Eastside | 4 - AAAA | 4-1-1 | 52.51 | 999,064 | 335,230 | 65,624 | 21,136 | 2,120 | 470.70 |
| Burke County | 3 - AAAA | 4-1 | 53.39 | 998,319 | 111,003 | 43,232 | 13,223 | 1,690 | 590.72 |
| Cedartown | 5 - AAAA | 4-2 | 52.83 | 896,706 | 159,754 | 70,617 | 14,002 | 1,683 | 593.18 |
| St. Pius X | 8 - AAAA | 0-5 | 51.36 | 802,076 | 217,272 | 53,973 | 9,802 | 1,056 | 945.97 |
| Oconee County | 8 - AAAA | 4-1 | 50.96 | 817,375 | 211,128 | 50,729 | 8,641 | 903 | 1,106.42 |
| Ridgeland | 6 - AAAA | 4-0 | 49.98 | 999,293 | 204,364 | 34,161 | 9,633 | 753 | 1,327.02 |
| Carver (Columbus) | 1 - AAAA | 3-3 | 46.59 | 800,582 | 68,907 | 20,225 | 2,032 | 153 | 6,534.95 |
| West Laurens | 2 - AAAA | 4-2 | 45.18 | 864,956 | 102,245 | 16,310 | 2,056 | 115 | 8,694.65 |
| Upson-Lee | 2 - AAAA | 3-2 | 43.46 | 820,927 | 79,741 | 11,676 | 1,262 | 63 | 15,872.02 |
| Westover | 1 - AAAA | 4-2 | 43.04 | 832,776 | 69,342 | 16,178 | 948 | 59 | 16,948.15 |
| Madison County | 8 - AAAA | 5-1 | 43.36 | 464,456 | 50,821 | 6,177 | 675 | 41 | 24,389.24 |
| West Hall | 7 - AAAA | 4-2 | 41.08 | 929,259 | 18,941 | 4,101 | 504 | 24 | 41,665.67 |
| Northwest Whitfield | 6 - AAAA | 3-3 | 41.40 | 977,441 | 40,384 | 5,167 | 324 | 21 | 47,618.05 |
| LaGrange | 5 - AAAA | 2-4 | 44.25 | 170,791 | 13,057 | 3,343 | 230 | 18 | 55,554.56 |
| Salem | 4 - AAAA | 4-2 | 39.45 | 916,217 | 45,355 | 5,317 | 426 | 13 | 76,922.08 |
| Americus-Sumter | 1 - AAAA | 2-4 | 39.97 | 384,025 | 12,059 | 2,215 | 100 | 7 | 142,856.14 |
| Hardaway | 1 - AAAA | 3-2 | 39.54 | 425,729 | 8,426 | 1,528 | 106 | 5 | 199,999.00 |
| Pickens | 6 - AAAA | 2-3 | 38.45 | 975,712 | 30,889 | 3,089 | 184 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Northside (Columbus) | 1 - AAAA | 4-2 | 37.10 | 521,285 | 10,338 | 1,556 | 82 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Chapel Hill | 5 - AAAA | 2-2-1 | 41.31 | 115,133 | 5,973 | 1,151 | 44 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Luella | 4 - AAAA | 2-4 | 37.49 | 517,373 | 15,509 | 1,950 | 42 | - | - |
| Baldwin | 3 - AAAA | 2-3 | 30.02 | 865,247 | 6,854 | 550 | 10 | - | - |
| Heritage (Ringgold) | 6 - AAAA | 5-1 | 30.20 | 978,205 | 8,306 | 486 | 10 | - | - |
| Perry | 2 - AAAA | 2-3 | 33.73 | 305,619 | 4,516 | 232 | 7 | - | - |
| North Clayton | 4 - AAAA | 3-2 | 28.97 | 477,153 | 3,972 | 202 | 6 | - | - |
| Chestatee | 7 - AAAA | 3-3 | 27.67 | 607,216 | 668 | 36 | 4 | - | - |
| White County | 7 - AAAA | 1-5 | 24.80 | 465,046 | 270 | 8 | 1 | - | - |
| Richmond Academy | 3 - AAAA | 2-2 | 22.68 | 668,490 | 1,234 | 58 | - | - | - |
| Columbus | 1 - AAAA | 2-4 | 32.37 | 29,008 | 291 | 27 | - | - | - |
| Cross Creek | 3 - AAAA | 4-2 | 17.80 | 463,245 | 293 | 12 | - | - | - |
| Henry County | 4 - AAAA | 0-5 | 20.51 | 62,129 | 122 | 6 | - | - | - |
| Howard | 2 - AAAA | 1-5 | 25.64 | 48,420 | 134 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Druid Hills | 4 - AAAA | 2-4 | 22.03 | 28,088 | 63 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Southeast Whitfield | 6 - AAAA | 4-2 | 14.24 | 52,151 | 28 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Shaw | 1 - AAAA | 1-5 | 25.66 | 8,971 | 11 | 1 | - | - | - |
| North Oconee | 8 - AAAA | 0-5 | 22.45 | 25,309 | 105 | - | - | - | - |
| Central (Carrollton) | 5 - AAAA | 0-6 | 25.89 | 2,549 | 13 | - | - | - | - |
| Gilmer | 6 - AAAA | 0-6 | 12.25 | 7,425 | 3 | - | - | - | - |
| LaFayette | 6 - AAAA | 2-4 | 6.73 | 9,773 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Hephzibah | 3 - AAAA | 0-6 | -10.65 | 4,702 | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AAA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 7 - AAA | 289,665 | 710,335 | 30,857 | 199 | - | 428,427 | 571,573 | 1,530 | 461,785 | 1.17 |
| 5 - AAA | 125,049 | 874,951 | 503,984 | 138,394 | 9,555 | 361,320 | 638,680 | 121,047 | 322,506 | 2.10 |
| 6 - AAA | 588,282 | 411,718 | 31,585 | 628 | 3 | 766,820 | 233,180 | 1,204 | 78,246 | 11.78 |
| 4 - AAA | 564,037 | 435,963 | 49,022 | 1,421 | 9 | 840,834 | 159,166 | 2,004 | 67,561 | 13.80 |
| 1 - AAA | 548,078 | 451,922 | 65,255 | 3,624 | 68 | 798,067 | 201,933 | 3,663 | 58,743 | 16.02 |
| 2 - AAA | 798,481 | 201,519 | 13,401 | 307 | 2 | 943,828 | 56,172 | 506 | 10,409 | 95.07 |
| 8 - AAA | 948,624 | 51,376 | 599 | 2 | - | 992,749 | 7,251 | 9 | 628 | 1,591.36 |
| 3 - AAA | 986,728 | 13,272 | 26 | - | - | 997,918 | 2,082 | - | 122 | 8,195.72 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greater Atlanta Christian | 7 - AAA | 5-1 | 72.36 | 999,996 | 777,393 | 720,988 | 570,065 | 461,529 | 1.17 |
| Westminster (Atlanta) | 5 - AAA | 3-2 | 63.41 | 999,795 | 777,481 | 574,064 | 300,154 | 164,869 | 5.07 |
| Pace Academy | 5 - AAA | 4-1 | 59.64 | 998,103 | 633,932 | 436,712 | 229,880 | 87,916 | 10.37 |
| Calhoun | 6 - AAA | 4-2 | 58.65 | 987,846 | 744,744 | 389,052 | 224,567 | 77,000 | 11.99 |
| Peach County | 4 - AAA | 4-1 | 58.31 | 998,954 | 784,937 | 391,019 | 144,192 | 65,576 | 14.25 |
| Crisp County | 1 - AAA | 6-0 | 57.18 | 997,846 | 441,279 | 342,220 | 166,119 | 52,277 | 18.13 |
| Cedar Grove | 5 - AAA | 3-2 | 56.53 | 979,218 | 559,613 | 358,281 | 164,735 | 48,455 | 19.64 |
| Lovett | 5 - AAA | 3-2 | 55.60 | 917,345 | 232,207 | 157,507 | 64,927 | 21,264 | 46.03 |
| Liberty County | 2 - AAA | 4-1 | 49.25 | 990,941 | 469,593 | 112,322 | 34,349 | 7,271 | 136.53 |
| Cook | 1 - AAA | 3-3 | 46.56 | 971,626 | 164,098 | 73,153 | 17,314 | 3,014 | 330.79 |
| Pierce County | 2 - AAA | 3-2 | 45.42 | 977,953 | 344,054 | 70,430 | 16,946 | 2,557 | 390.08 |
| Monroe | 1 - AAA | 2-2 | 45.83 | 966,085 | 153,742 | 65,064 | 14,678 | 2,457 | 406.00 |
| Jackson | 4 - AAA | 4-2 | 43.60 | 969,393 | 272,374 | 58,821 | 11,880 | 1,568 | 636.76 |
| Sonoraville | 6 - AAA | 4-2 | 43.00 | 889,414 | 283,614 | 42,585 | 8,767 | 1,205 | 828.88 |
| Worth County | 1 - AAA | 3-3 | 43.02 | 946,341 | 118,075 | 40,413 | 7,484 | 995 | 1,004.03 |
| Appling County | 2 - AAA | 3-1 | 41.25 | 921,001 | 184,208 | 30,366 | 5,306 | 580 | 1,723.14 |
| Hart County | 8 - AAA | 1-4-1 | 39.76 | 997,555 | 222,295 | 32,253 | 5,119 | 452 | 2,211.39 |
| Pike County | 4 - AAA | 4-1 | 38.59 | 891,947 | 148,980 | 20,245 | 2,783 | 218 | 4,586.16 |
| Dawson County | 7 - AAA | 3-1 | 40.32 | 953,842 | 39,428 | 14,366 | 2,433 | 206 | 4,853.37 |
| Morgan County | 8 - AAA | 4-2 | 37.35 | 993,523 | 152,950 | 17,254 | 2,028 | 170 | 5,881.35 |
| Westside (Macon) | 4 - AAA | 2-4 | 39.37 | 629,159 | 100,087 | 11,777 | 1,824 | 166 | 6,023.10 |
| Jenkins | 3 - AAA | 4-1 | 38.09 | 999,807 | 54,073 | 11,318 | 1,976 | 119 | 8,402.36 |
| North Hall | 7 - AAA | 4-2 | 36.19 | 717,701 | 19,119 | 3,799 | 421 | 40 | 24,999.00 |
| Adairsville | 6 - AAA | 2-3 | 35.54 | 522,105 | 71,991 | 6,772 | 743 | 35 | 28,570.43 |
| Central (Macon) | 4 - AAA | 5-1 | 36.27 | 458,595 | 50,325 | 4,548 | 491 | 33 | 30,302.03 |
| Union County | 7 - AAA | 5-1 | 32.92 | 727,674 | 10,949 | 1,836 | 168 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| Franklin County | 8 - AAA | 1-5 | 28.77 | 919,219 | 39,335 | 2,260 | 108 | 6 | 166,665.67 |
| Bremen | 6 - AAA | 3-3 | 32.44 | 264,641 | 23,329 | 1,811 | 148 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Southeast Bulloch | 3 - AAA | 2-3 | 31.32 | 998,644 | 12,249 | 1,929 | 105 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Redan | 5 - AAA | 1-4 | 32.97 | 101,300 | 1,350 | 319 | 31 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Ringgold | 6 - AAA | 3-3 | 28.81 | 617,003 | 35,430 | 2,268 | 114 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Tattnall County | 2 - AAA | 3-2 | 28.20 | 590,959 | 20,457 | 1,261 | 53 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| North Murray | 6 - AAA | 4-2 | 26.27 | 649,324 | 27,811 | 1,443 | 45 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Brantley County | 2 - AAA | 3-1 | 27.68 | 462,310 | 14,791 | 847 | 24 | - | - |
| Lumpkin County | 7 - AAA | 3-2 | 27.55 | 533,891 | 3,413 | 388 | 15 | - | - |
| Jackson County | 8 - AAA | 2-4 | 20.27 | 797,056 | 7,267 | 201 | 5 | - | - |
| Savannah | 3 - AAA | 4-1 | 17.64 | 970,494 | 796 | 47 | 1 | - | - |
| Dougherty | 1 - AAA | 1-4 | 18.98 | 118,102 | 543 | 21 | 1 | - | - |
| East Hall | 7 - AAA | 2-4 | 23.55 | 44,157 | 131 | 13 | 1 | - | - |
| Rutland | 4 - AAA | 2-4 | 21.38 | 48,852 | 529 | 7 | - | - | - |
| Windsor Forest | 3 - AAA | 3-2 | 9.16 | 853,158 | 109 | 5 | - | - | - |
| Monroe Area | 8 - AAA | 1-5 | 10.71 | 110,970 | 142 | 4 | - | - | - |
| Murray County | 6 - AAA | 3-3 | 16.04 | 68,757 | 398 | 3 | - | - | - |
| East Jackson | 8 - AAA | 2-3 | 8.42 | 181,677 | 178 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Long County | 2 - AAA | 1-1-2 | 13.47 | 56,836 | 162 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Fannin County | 7 - AAA | 2-4 | 16.17 | 22,739 | 19 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Kendrick | 4 - AAA | 0-6 | 16.78 | 3,100 | 19 | - | - | - | - |
| Islands | 3 - AAA | 1-4 | -0.05 | 143,021 | 1 | - | - | - | - |
| Beach | 3 - AAA | 1-5 | 2.91 | 24,512 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Johnson (Savannah) | 3 - AAA | 0-4 | -7.02 | 9,916 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Towers | 5 - AAA | 1-4 | 14.89 | 3,874 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Coahulla Creek | 6 - AAA | 0-5 | -11.25 | 608 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Groves | 3 - AAA | 1-5 | -2.01 | 448 | - | - | - | - | - |
| McNair | 5 - AAA | 3-2 | 8.07 | 350 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Haralson County | 6 - AAA | 1-4 | 2.45 | 243 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | 6 - AAA | 0-6 | -19.19 | 59 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Stone Mountain | 5 - AAA | 1-4 | 0.17 | 15 | - | - | - | - | - |
Class AA
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Region
Each region is shown with the number of times it has teams represented in the semifinals and the finals and the number of times a representative of the region won the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Teams in Semifinals | Teams in Finals | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region | Eliminated | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4 | Eliminated | 1+ | 2 | Champion | Odds |
| 2 - AA | 182,889 | 817,111 | 114,743 | 3,581 | 21 | 313,340 | 686,660 | 18,137 | 554,534 | 0.80 |
| 1 - AA | 307,936 | 692,064 | 173,975 | 12,393 | 265 | 438,101 | 561,899 | 53,456 | 248,262 | 3.03 |
| 5 - AA | 347,621 | 652,379 | 129,484 | 2,448 | 5 | 772,719 | 227,281 | 3,856 | 103,748 | 8.64 |
| 8 - AA | 659,702 | 340,298 | 9,800 | 26 | - | 746,575 | 253,425 | 900 | 63,377 | 14.78 |
| 4 - AA | 546,761 | 453,239 | 68,026 | 160 | - | 910,594 | 89,406 | 994 | 18,776 | 52.26 |
| 7 - AA | 836,148 | 163,852 | 6,712 | 91 | - | 947,473 | 52,527 | 240 | 7,113 | 139.59 |
| 3 - AA | 751,656 | 248,344 | 9,913 | 50 | - | 957,218 | 42,782 | 81 | 3,853 | 258.54 |
| 6 - AA | 900,730 | 99,270 | 1,749 | 4 | - | 991,646 | 8,354 | 2 | 337 | 2,966.36 |
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benedictine | 2 - AA | 6-0 | 73.46 | 1,000,000 | 942,403 | 797,367 | 676,559 | 552,389 | 0.81 |
| Fitzgerald | 1 - AA | 4-1 | 64.07 | 999,656 | 820,946 | 507,678 | 411,537 | 180,662 | 4.54 |
| Callaway | 5 - AA | 5-0 | 60.40 | 999,686 | 778,874 | 627,559 | 208,939 | 102,228 | 8.78 |
| Brooks County | 1 - AA | 4-1 | 58.78 | 998,492 | 702,629 | 301,772 | 195,519 | 66,781 | 13.97 |
| Rabun County | 8 - AA | 4-0 | 57.08 | 999,982 | 695,297 | 318,180 | 242,700 | 62,174 | 15.08 |
| Jefferson County | 4 - AA | 6-0 | 50.74 | 999,976 | 786,669 | 356,520 | 69,239 | 17,230 | 57.04 |
| Model | 7 - AA | 5-1 | 46.66 | 997,179 | 213,486 | 105,026 | 37,672 | 4,520 | 220.24 |
| Washington County | 3 - AA | 3-2 | 43.83 | 989,621 | 275,585 | 150,931 | 28,278 | 2,805 | 355.51 |
| Pepperell | 7 - AA | 4-1 | 47.21 | 999,718 | 245,256 | 39,334 | 12,842 | 2,493 | 400.12 |
| Vidalia | 2 - AA | 4-2 | 42.27 | 987,557 | 268,965 | 87,628 | 22,186 | 1,864 | 535.48 |
| Screven County | 4 - AA | 5-1 | 39.60 | 999,662 | 445,716 | 162,273 | 20,549 | 1,525 | 654.74 |
| Elbert County | 8 - AA | 4-1-1 | 42.67 | 999,468 | 142,158 | 31,022 | 11,613 | 1,203 | 830.26 |
| Dublin | 3 - AA | 6-0 | 40.52 | 980,345 | 182,908 | 84,690 | 12,327 | 960 | 1,040.67 |
| Thomasville | 1 - AA | 1-3 | 41.40 | 939,269 | 166,066 | 61,328 | 7,904 | 805 | 1,241.24 |
| Heard County | 5 - AA | 5-1 | 39.75 | 974,853 | 168,237 | 71,866 | 10,607 | 768 | 1,301.08 |
| Lamar County | 5 - AA | 3-2 | 39.25 | 953,278 | 150,869 | 61,586 | 8,748 | 593 | 1,685.34 |
| Toombs County | 2 - AA | 5-1 | 35.83 | 986,848 | 174,032 | 47,274 | 5,971 | 280 | 3,570.43 |
| Hapeville Charter | 6 - AA | 2-3 | 35.56 | 922,404 | 204,107 | 58,631 | 5,716 | 266 | 3,758.40 |
| Spencer | 5 - AA | 3-2 | 36.68 | 897,591 | 78,362 | 23,300 | 2,843 | 159 | 6,288.31 |
| Rockmart | 7 - AA | 5-1 | 32.93 | 988,819 | 80,620 | 24,920 | 2,217 | 99 | 10,100.01 |
| Southwest | 3 - AA | 2-3 | 33.44 | 951,855 | 57,209 | 15,097 | 1,187 | 45 | 22,221.22 |
| Dodge County | 3 - AA | 2-4 | 34.24 | 922,168 | 32,163 | 7,569 | 1,071 | 43 | 23,254.81 |
| Douglass | 6 - AA | 3-2 | 31.85 | 837,121 | 90,119 | 17,473 | 1,266 | 41 | 24,389.24 |
| Laney | 4 - AA | 1-5 | 31.28 | 962,517 | 32,360 | 2,620 | 612 | 21 | 47,618.05 |
| K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate | 6 - AA | 5-1 | 29.47 | 847,642 | 73,346 | 12,373 | 738 | 15 | 66,665.67 |
| B.E.S.T. Academy | 6 - AA | 2-5 | 28.94 | 777,130 | 67,408 | 10,536 | 548 | 13 | 76,922.08 |
| Berrien | 1 - AA | 3-2 | 27.22 | 963,400 | 35,946 | 7,714 | 387 | 12 | 83,332.33 |
| Washington | 6 - AA | 2-4 | 25.04 | 498,522 | 18,853 | 1,956 | 85 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Early County | 1 - AA | 0-5-1 | 22.32 | 68,764 | 1,237 | 202 | 8 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Bryan County | 2 - AA | 2-3 | 25.84 | 642,366 | 27,431 | 2,256 | 48 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Chattooga | 7 - AA | 3-3 | 24.86 | 800,928 | 8,781 | 1,357 | 36 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Swainsboro | 2 - AA | 1-5 | 24.67 | 181,417 | 7,326 | 750 | 30 | - | - |
| Banks County | 8 - AA | 2-4 | 16.33 | 877,001 | 10,131 | 499 | 7 | - | - |
| Putnam County | 8 - AA | 1-5 | 15.48 | 688,585 | 7,138 | 355 | 5 | - | - |
| Bacon County | 2 - AA | 1-4 | 20.85 | 161,358 | 3,181 | 171 | 3 | - | - |
| Therrell | 6 - AA | 2-4 | 22.07 | 96,088 | 1,080 | 53 | 3 | - | - |
| Monticello | 8 - AA | 0-5 | 11.31 | 287,135 | 1,413 | 63 | - | - | - |
| Northeast | 3 - AA | 1-5 | 18.92 | 122,352 | 272 | 20 | - | - | - |
| Dade County | 7 - AA | 2-4 | 13.31 | 154,712 | 200 | 12 | - | - | - |
| Josey | 4 - AA | 3-3 | 12.46 | 423,002 | 273 | 9 | - | - | - |
| Jeff Davis | 2 - AA | 1-4 | 13.47 | 33,158 | 204 | 7 | - | - | - |
| Coosa | 7 - AA | 2-4 | 11.95 | 57,134 | 103 | 7 | - | - | - |
| Social Circle | 8 - AA | 2-4 | 1.52 | 145,861 | 112 | 4 | - | - | - |
| Jordan | 5 - AA | 0-5 | 15.12 | 91,111 | 141 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Albany | 1 - AA | 0-5 | 7.97 | 30,419 | 37 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Glenn Hills | 4 - AA | 2-4 | 7.90 | 228,833 | 40 | 2 | - | - | - |
| Metter | 2 - AA | 1-4 | 15.36 | 7,296 | 70 | 1 | - | - | - |
| South Atlanta | 6 - AA | 2-5 | 17.52 | 21,093 | 69 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Temple | 5 - AA | 5-1 | 12.80 | 83,481 | 67 | 1 | - | - | - |
| East Laurens | 3 - AA | 1-5 | 8.09 | 20,613 | 4 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Butler | 4 - AA | 2-4 | 8.93 | 181,431 | 53 | - | - | - | - |
| Harlem | 4 - AA | 2-4 | 9.22 | 196,748 | 46 | - | - | - | - |
| Bleckley County | 3 - AA | 1-5 | 6.75 | 13,046 | 2 | - | - | - | - |
| Westside (Augusta) | 4 - AA | 1-5 | -1.66 | 7,831 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Oglethorpe County | 8 - AA | 0-5 | -8.45 | 1,968 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Armuchee | 7 - AA | 1-5 | -6.27 | 1,502 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Gordon Central | 7 - AA | 0-6 | -16.63 | 8 | - | - | - | - | - |
Class A-Public
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinch County | 2 - A | 5-1 | 51.75 | 1,000,000 | 829,183 | 659,331 | 442,194 | 294,648 | 2.39 |
| Macon County | 4 - A | 3-2 | 52.00 | 999,335 | 750,876 | 573,950 | 398,636 | 263,587 | 2.79 |
| Manchester | 4 - A | 6-0 | 48.39 | 999,986 | 658,267 | 436,788 | 265,368 | 143,939 | 5.95 |
| Mount Zion (Carroll) | 6 - A | 5-0 | 43.54 | 999,899 | 632,633 | 347,308 | 173,595 | 69,419 | 13.41 |
| Twiggs County | 7 - A | 4-1 | 43.03 | 999,664 | 579,752 | 307,706 | 148,721 | 57,909 | 16.27 |
| Emanuel County Institute | 3 - A | 6-0 | 41.85 | 999,982 | 594,394 | 293,442 | 132,507 | 48,136 | 19.77 |
| McIntosh County Academy | 3 - A | 4-1 | 40.55 | 999,999 | 601,661 | 286,171 | 118,443 | 39,352 | 24.41 |
| Irwin County | 2 - A | 3-3 | 41.08 | 997,089 | 492,340 | 245,327 | 101,049 | 34,979 | 27.59 |
| Bowdon | 6 - A | 4-2 | 38.40 | 996,226 | 371,396 | 167,336 | 59,254 | 17,157 | 57.29 |
| Lincoln County | 7 - A | 3-1-1 | 36.23 | 986,530 | 354,974 | 134,155 | 42,638 | 10,439 | 94.79 |
| Commerce | 8 - A | 3-2 | 33.23 | 999,786 | 407,173 | 125,566 | 32,216 | 6,340 | 156.73 |
| Turner County | 2 - A | 4-2 | 34.24 | 920,061 | 220,842 | 77,943 | 21,723 | 4,661 | 213.55 |
| Greene County | 7 - A | 4-1 | 32.09 | 943,767 | 210,193 | 63,227 | 14,994 | 2,746 | 363.17 |
| Dooly County | 4 - A | 2-3 | 34.81 | 545,915 | 106,712 | 36,421 | 10,721 | 2,407 | 414.45 |
| Randolph-Clay | 1 - A | 5-0 | 28.01 | 999,996 | 360,250 | 101,290 | 17,564 | 2,064 | 483.50 |
| Mitchell County | 1 - A | 5-1 | 25.17 | 999,989 | 270,660 | 49,268 | 7,159 | 715 | 1,397.60 |
| Marion County | 4 - A | 4-2 | 29.51 | 627,903 | 75,612 | 18,865 | 3,790 | 597 | 1,674.04 |
| Taylor County | 4 - A | 4-1 | 27.78 | 785,600 | 84,568 | 19,657 | 3,452 | 440 | 2,271.73 |
| Trion | 6 - A | 4-2 | 25.77 | 562,074 | 50,824 | 10,228 | 1,510 | 141 | 7,091.20 |
| Pelham | 1 - A | 6-1 | 20.24 | 999,999 | 137,911 | 18,533 | 1,764 | 118 | 8,473.58 |
| Gordon Lee | 6 - A | 4-2 | 23.46 | 659,854 | 40,072 | 6,876 | 847 | 69 | 14,491.75 |
| Telfair County | 2 - A | 2-3 | 22.81 | 521,693 | 36,301 | 6,207 | 662 | 57 | 17,542.86 |
| Warren County | 7 - A | 3-2 | 23.16 | 364,422 | 23,961 | 4,028 | 479 | 40 | 24,999.00 |
| Charlton County | 2 - A | 1-4 | 26.27 | 46,924 | 4,202 | 761 | 110 | 13 | 76,922.08 |
| Terrell County | 1 - A | 3-3 | 16.22 | 962,514 | 30,670 | 3,161 | 191 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| Seminole County | 1 - A | 2-2-1 | 15.37 | 751,529 | 21,835 | 1,801 | 122 | 4 | 249,999.00 |
| Miller County | 1 - A | 3-2 | 13.80 | 916,307 | 23,163 | 1,796 | 97 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Atkinson County | 2 - A | 2-4 | 19.88 | 81,272 | 3,557 | 414 | 41 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Johnson County | 3 - A | 4-2 | 14.67 | 344,313 | 6,342 | 519 | 28 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Hancock Central | 7 - A | 3-2 | 20.89 | 150,935 | 6,995 | 992 | 84 | 2 | 499,999.00 |
| Jenkins County | 3 - A | 3-2 | 12.79 | 713,528 | 10,680 | 760 | 29 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Washington-Wilkes | 7 - A | 0-5 | 23.61 | 1,441 | 295 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 999,999.00 |
| Treutlen | 3 - A | 3-3 | 13.28 | 45,415 | 727 | 56 | 4 | - | - |
| Hawkinsville | 4 - A | 3-2 | 16.27 | 14,361 | 376 | 37 | 3 | - | - |
| Crawford County | 4 - A | 3-1 | 15.34 | 13,415 | 304 | 32 | 1 | - | - |
| Wheeler County | 3 - A | 5-1 | 10.50 | 11,558 | 205 | 10 | - | - | - |
| Chattahoochee County | 1 - A | 1-5 | 3.03 | 7,087 | 19 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Towns County | 8 - A | 2-4 | 2.39 | 28,211 | 75 | - | - | - | - |
| Calhoun County | 1 - A | 1-4 | -8.21 | 1,362 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Wilcox County | 2 - A | 1-5 | 6.28 | 20 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Lanier County | 2 - A | 1-5 | 2.89 | 18 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Wilkinson County | 7 - A | 0-5 | 10.63 | 7 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Stewart County | 1 - A | 1-4 | -21.74 | 6 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Baconton Charter | 1 - A | 1-4 | -13.99 | 4 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Schley County | 4 - A | 2-3 | 9.50 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Claxton | 3 - A | 0-5 | -0.53 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Greenville | 4 - A | 0-6 | 4.79 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Portal | 3 - A | 0-5 | -1.42 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Montgomery County | 3 - A | 0-6 | -6.41 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Central (Talbotton) | 4 - A | 0-5 | -7.57 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Fulton Leadership Academy | 5 - A | 0-6 | -28.75 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Class A-Private
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Record | Rating | Playoffs | Qtrfinals | Semifinals | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagle's Landing Christian | 5 - A | 6-0 | 61.57 | 1,000,000 | 930,442 | 806,350 | 676,245 | 551,035 | 0.81 |
| Wesleyan | 5 - A | 5-1 | 50.94 | 1,000,000 | 799,100 | 528,113 | 280,195 | 125,290 | 6.98 |
| Prince Avenue Christian | 8 - A | 6-0 | 48.53 | 1,000,000 | 792,424 | 511,757 | 284,866 | 96,141 | 9.40 |
| Landmark Christian | 5 - A | 6-0 | 47.52 | 1,000,000 | 742,361 | 415,232 | 184,204 | 67,708 | 13.77 |
| Calvary Day | 3 - A | 5-0 | 47.32 | 1,000,000 | 618,754 | 345,174 | 148,710 | 53,883 | 17.56 |
| Mount Paran Christian | 6 - A | 4-1 | 44.59 | 1,000,000 | 587,826 | 245,556 | 98,644 | 29,837 | 32.52 |
| Darlington | 6 - A | 4-2 | 44.07 | 1,000,000 | 564,233 | 226,527 | 87,752 | 25,973 | 37.50 |
| Fellowship Christian | 6 - A | 5-0 | 41.72 | 1,000,000 | 534,455 | 213,025 | 67,058 | 16,807 | 58.50 |
| Stratford Academy | 7 - A | 4-1 | 41.93 | 1,000,000 | 426,968 | 175,346 | 56,664 | 14,423 | 68.33 |
| Aquinas | 7 - A | 3-2 | 39.56 | 998,846 | 298,890 | 114,028 | 32,630 | 6,682 | 148.66 |
| Athens Academy | 8 - A | 5-0 | 34.33 | 1,000,000 | 412,383 | 101,018 | 20,261 | 2,717 | 367.05 |
| First Presbyterian | 7 - A | 4-1 | 36.24 | 999,984 | 231,657 | 68,025 | 15,468 | 2,631 | 379.08 |
| Pinecrest Academy | 6 - A | 3-2 | 36.02 | 999,993 | 239,988 | 67,555 | 14,488 | 2,442 | 408.50 |
| Tattnall Square | 7 - A | 5-0 | 36.31 | 999,979 | 181,157 | 57,752 | 12,980 | 2,115 | 471.81 |
| Savannah Christian | 3 - A | 3-2 | 33.50 | 999,941 | 130,137 | 34,531 | 6,415 | 840 | 1,189.48 |
| Mount Pisgah Christian | 6 - A | 4-1 | 33.31 | 999,929 | 118,304 | 30,414 | 5,475 | 716 | 1,395.65 |
| Athens Christian | 8 - A | 3-2 | 30.64 | 999,999 | 244,003 | 45,469 | 6,884 | 711 | 1,405.47 |
| Brookstone | 4 - A | 3-2 | 25.83 | 544,866 | 21,692 | 2,339 | 248 | 22 | 45,453.55 |
| Our Lady of Mercy | 5 - A | 2-4 | 24.07 | 883,016 | 25,605 | 3,011 | 267 | 10 | 99,999.00 |
| George Walton Academy | 8 - A | 4-1 | 21.35 | 999,990 | 41,320 | 3,762 | 225 | 8 | 124,999.00 |
| Savannah Country Day | 3 - A | 4-1 | 20.33 | 995,432 | 16,419 | 1,501 | 84 | 6 | 166,665.67 |
| Holy Innocents | 5 - A | 2-4 | 23.89 | 875,373 | 24,809 | 2,569 | 198 | 3 | 333,332.33 |
| Mount Vernon Presbyterian | 5 - A | 4-2 | 15.39 | 996,720 | 6,997 | 408 | 18 | - | - |
| Hebron Christian Academy | 8 - A | 4-1 | 14.86 | 992,455 | 7,775 | 431 | 16 | - | - |
| Mount de Sales | 7 - A | 2-3 | 17.62 | 137,436 | 1,438 | 84 | 5 | - | - |
| Strong Rock Christian | 5 - A | 3-3 | 9.24 | 279,067 | 619 | 19 | - | - | - |
| King's Ridge Christian | 6 - A | 2-3 | 7.95 | 18,855 | 41 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Walker | 6 - A | 1-5 | 11.95 | 23,727 | 99 | 1 | - | - | - |
| Lakeview Academy | 8 - A | 1-4 | -0.18 | 190,478 | 62 | - | - | - | - |
| Whitefield Academy | 6 - A | 2-3 | 2.59 | 61,952 | 42 | - | - | - | - |
| St. Francis | 6 - A | 1-4 | -2.34 | 861 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Providence Christian | 8 - A | 1-4 | -14.78 | 725 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Christian Heritage | 6 - A | 0-5 | 4.81 | 267 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Riverside Military Academy | 8 - A | 1-5 | -4.72 | 105 | - | - | - | - | - |
| North Cobb Christian | 6 - A | 0-5 | -6.33 | 4 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Pacelli | 4 - A | 1-5 | 0.89 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
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