High School Sports Blog

Maxwell playoff projections after Week 4

By Loren Maxwell
Updated Sept 18, 2019

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2019 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Grayson8 - AAAAAAA3-090.20999,9483.95862,957533,235387,359252,9442.95
Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA2-190.14998,4073.55699,781471,895341,805211,9933.72
Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA4-088.94998,4213.41679,780439,240306,743176,5104.67
McEachern3 - AAAAAAA3-084.96995,6062.95584,768385,489178,28888,52110.30
North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA2-183.02999,4163.24705,480415,487173,84878,12111.80
Archer8 - AAAAAAA2-181.17998,1432.92666,201283,805146,39252,84317.92
Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA3-178.98997,6492.74569,198275,90293,11931,48030.77
Parkview7 - AAAAAAA1-178.85999,7522.54343,899172,94285,57827,25335.69
Marietta3 - AAAAAAA3-179.78986,0352.18374,846198,23969,66225,12438.80
Milton5 - AAAAAAA1-277.02999,5132.62409,268214,15372,54420,60347.54
Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA3-078.59987,8201.96300,806148,76549,84716,20860.70
Roswell4 - AAAAAAA2-073.76994,7122.45364,415138,84437,0898,483116.88
Camden County1 - AAAAAAA3-073.55964,8651.56172,97463,54314,9683,382294.68
Walton4 - AAAAAAA2-170.73989,6952.21262,20379,13316,2013,034328.60
South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA3-167.09994,3821.83132,30333,8684,8526981,431.66
North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA3-069.59798,3891.0573,65819,7423,6986571,521.07
Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA2-167.12971,2691.39132,62626,0724,2096001,665.67
Westlake2 - AAAAAAA2-164.89990,7171.78131,01621,1304,2284612,168.20
North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA3-068.29767,8900.9862,28515,5152,4093742,672.80
Norcross7 - AAAAAAA0-365.22991,2271.6880,51416,1772,6813313,020.15
Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA2-264.13950,4841.2280,39611,8581,5181685,951.38
Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA4-061.74934,0391.6281,80011,1191,1821049,614.38
West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA0-260.22974,4511.4545,4817,0105664422,726.27
Newton8 - AAAAAAA3-061.22825,1651.0043,1655,5975022737,036.04
Etowah4 - AAAAAAA2-257.19859,2071.3138,3713,2422621283,332.33
Tift County1 - AAAAAAA1-359.72239,1170.276,480995837142,856.14
South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA2-157.88757,0100.8723,9722,2731586166,665.67
East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA0-353.66895,4341.1619,0921,237743333,332.33
Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA1-355.05932,6341.1915,9061,476673333,332.33
Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA0-350.74884,2521.025,970408192499,999.00
Newnan2 - AAAAAAA2-250.73834,3991.0110,162544172499,999.00
Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA1-249.61818,9920.967,478345111999,999.00
North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA2-150.84845,4190.985,20033491999,999.00
Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA3-052.38476,3950.515,49733912--
Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA4-044.24183,0450.1948318---
Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA1-241.61352,6340.3866313---
Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA0-341.52145,5190.1748310---
Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA1-241.0367,7640.07943---
Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA0-339.6592,1810.102142---
Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA1-235.45190,1910.20581---
Campbell2 - AAAAAAA0-333.02108,0060.1134----
Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA1-133.58142,3400.1517----
Discovery6 - AAAAAAA1-333.5814,3590.013----
Lambert5 - AAAAAAA0-427.4945,5680.051----
Duluth6 - AAAAAAA1-325.183,3130.001----
Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA0-335.362,2590.001----
Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA0-38.821,2600.00-----
Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA2-05.537070.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAAAAAALowndes485,961382,788112,713-16,9591,579
1 - AAAAAAAColquitt County447,221426,777114,295-10,1141,593
1 - AAAAAAACamden County62,696171,134565,525-165,51035,135
1 - AAAAAAATift County4,12219,301207,467-8,227760,883
2 - AAAAAAAWestlake638,842235,65884,67431,452919,283
2 - AAAAAAAEast Coweta172,575296,955254,233171,6647104,566
2 - AAAAAAANewnan108,577221,957262,070241,74253165,601
2 - AAAAAAAPebblebrook67,647193,660281,925275,72931181,008
2 - AAAAAAAWheeler11,59045,17593,781202,088-647,366
2 - AAAAAAACampbell7696,59523,31777,325-891,994
3 - AAAAAAAMcEachern487,074287,969141,62360,81418,1264,394
3 - AAAAAAAMarietta271,982283,204228,350137,63764,86213,965
3 - AAAAAAAHillgrove176,790272,517307,706164,50866,29912,180
3 - AAAAAAANorth Cobb35,16387,151183,145346,772146,158201,611
3 - AAAAAAANorth Paulding28,99069,139138,904288,323242,534232,110
3 - AAAAAAAKennesaw Mountain1202721,94620997,741
4 - AAAAAAARoswell547,976293,749116,59135,9894075,288
4 - AAAAAAAWalton320,612401,990191,78374,32298810,305
4 - AAAAAAACherokee94,977195,035384,582245,66313,78265,961
4 - AAAAAAAEtowah35,421101,072265,963456,583168140,793
4 - AAAAAAAWoodstock6204,97624,816115,1052854,481
4 - AAAAAAALassiter3943,17816,26572,3386907,819
5 - AAAAAAAMilton715,959218,74654,72710,05130487
5 - AAAAAAASouth Forsyth176,661441,474284,55290,8428535,618
5 - AAAAAAAWest Forsyth94,718261,804406,801211,122625,549
5 - AAAAAAANorth Forsyth12,56375,778236,008520,287783154,581
5 - AAAAAAAForsyth Central841,82813,305127,1221857,660
5 - AAAAAAALambert153704,60740,576-954,432
6 - AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett537,534356,26883,23522,191188584
6 - AAAAAAAMill Creek384,235405,167152,81854,5718582,351
6 - AAAAAAACollins Hill52,038145,652392,590378,4242,56528,731
6 - AAAAAAAMountain View26,14592,003363,858467,85862049,516
6 - AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge458286,28960,58121932,236
6 - AAAAAAADiscovery3771,06913,2082985,641
6 - AAAAAAADuluth-51413,167-996,687
7 - AAAAAAAParkview768,037202,08424,9924,62316248
7 - AAAAAAANorcross188,938486,582230,32485,38218,773
7 - AAAAAAABrookwood30,642211,004433,372257,615167,366
7 - AAAAAAACentral Gwinnett12,11795,359281,891494,885-115,748
7 - AAAAAAAMeadowcreek2664,97129,310155,6404809,809
7 - AAAAAAALakeside (Atlanta)--811,179-998,740
7 - AAAAAAABerkmar--306761999,293
8 - AAAAAAAGrayson674,635300,45122,3242,25828052
8 - AAAAAAAArcher311,721566,531100,37417,1862,3311,857
8 - AAAAAAANewton8,11664,865379,223315,56657,395174,835
8 - AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett4,32650,202329,661331,28841,533242,990
8 - AAAAAAAShiloh1,14816,025128,773231,51598,934523,605
8 - AAAAAAARockdale County541,92639,645102,18739,233816,955

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Valdosta1 - AAAAAA4-082.76986,5724.84943,383782,999649,558500,2531.00
Lee County1 - AAAAAA3-175.24930,7423.85828,256607,825392,341180,3974.54
Dacula8 - AAAAAA3-073.40999,3973.17717,195310,270202,75095,7549.44
Allatoona6 - AAAAAA2-169.31991,0173.27747,427443,638163,80161,70815.21
Coffee1 - AAAAAA4-070.15818,0662.90658,327414,735175,96361,68415.21
Houston County1 - AAAAAA4-068.05713,9132.39542,232315,666113,51535,28027.34
Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA2-265.35550,7071.71384,454197,88656,97215,15464.99
Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA1-163.88996,2222.55443,483147,06662,34614,77466.69
Harrison6 - AAAAAA4-063.75931,6682.31472,601199,16358,24314,43768.27
Dalton6 - AAAAAA3-061.29917,8331.96353,616124,98331,2886,463153.73
Lanier8 - AAAAAA3-061.49984,2131.97326,07987,70830,0606,124162.29
Mays5 - AAAAAA2-157.82967,7392.08210,40187,80318,7102,753362.24
Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA1-156.50972,2712.00222,59946,03210,8851,424701.25
Creekview6 - AAAAAA3-158.01701,5461.15145,45134,9337,9581,252797.72
Tucker4 - AAAAAA1-253.95953,8031.85195,27848,2337,8178871,126.40
Douglas County5 - AAAAAA2-154.46914,5931.77135,16243,1516,7308471,179.64
Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA3-049.87918,1921.55108,16820,3312,3031915,234.60
Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA2-150.47931,2981.5158,33613,2732,1151656,059.61
Creekside5 - AAAAAA1-250.13787,2001.3360,39713,7591,6391486,755.76
Gainesville8 - AAAAAA2-149.59867,1671.1167,27810,3061,0977213,887.89
Pope7 - AAAAAA2-147.90924,4451.4141,6337,7449145817,240.38
Brunswick2 - AAAAAA1-246.84872,7841.3356,5737,2605474422,726.27
Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA1-250.25250,4600.3217,6442,2922752539,999.00
Evans3 - AAAAAA2-145.23936,4761.0529,4835,0593072441,665.67
Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA0-246.29794,9541.1427,4974,5714161855,554.56
South Paulding5 - AAAAAA2-145.75623,1500.9423,2123,7763081855,554.56
M.L. King4 - AAAAAA2-045.16701,0270.9833,7404,1783001566,665.67
Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-343.22576,5260.7511,8431,633968124,999.00
Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA2-147.02205,0210.2511,3471,2701236166,665.67
Stephenson4 - AAAAAA2-145.07477,5560.6418,9512,1511375199,999.00
Hughes5 - AAAAAA0-344.86363,4200.5310,3151,4381033333,332.33
Grovetown3 - AAAAAA2-241.36840,5210.9011,7661,541682499,999.00
Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA2-039.37756,8760.797,053755332499,999.00
Effingham County2 - AAAAAA1-241.25610,0340.8117,0941,368711999,999.00
Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA0-343.31631,4340.7118,3121,877661999,999.00
Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA0-238.65548,6890.6910,072608241999,999.00
Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA1-239.18395,6110.435,728464191999,999.00
Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA1-236.25642,4360.663,20027371999,999.00
Alexander5 - AAAAAA1-243.62239,1930.345,83877453--
Morrow4 - AAAAAA2-238.62453,3990.546,39441315--
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA1-236.67430,1380.504,2442418--
Northview7 - AAAAAA2-136.82334,4860.392,3801996--
Northgate5 - AAAAAA0-337.7189,3100.11733594--
Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA0-331.48409,2400.42756394--
Alcovy3 - AAAAAA1-333.62414,4510.421,151722--
Cambridge7 - AAAAAA1-236.40124,8980.14786642--
Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA2-134.70229,8080.261,180821--
Apalachee8 - AAAAAA1-331.44122,1780.1346422---
Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA2-234.8156,7360.062466---
North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA2-131.3551,7200.061346---
Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA1-230.2731,8650.03685---
New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-230.9812,1760.0120----
Drew4 - AAAAAA0-324.229,0620.0110----
South Cobb6 - AAAAAA0-431.701,6860.005----
Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-224.633,2190.004----
River Ridge6 - AAAAAA0-325.657690.001----
Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-313.17870.00-----
Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-4-6.74-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAAValdosta609,989243,61792,06340,90313,428
1 - AAAAAALee County209,628354,607237,153129,35469,258
1 - AAAAAACoffee101,630185,999279,869250,568181,934
1 - AAAAAAHouston County51,529138,355232,090291,939286,087
1 - AAAAAANorthside (Warner Robins)27,22477,422158,825287,236449,293
2 - AAAAAAGlynn Academy614,979296,15567,34417,7443,778
2 - AAAAAARichmond Hill308,107420,418176,72367,02327,729
2 - AAAAAABrunswick47,815163,843417,253243,873127,216
2 - AAAAAAEffingham County20,08971,048185,251333,646389,966
2 - AAAAAABradwell Institute9,01048,536153,429337,714451,311
3 - AAAAAAEvans469,196243,566145,61478,10063,524
3 - AAAAAAGrovetown214,399252,614219,555153,953159,479
3 - AAAAAALakeside (Evans)150,714208,976212,739184,447243,124
3 - AAAAAAHeritage (Conyers)98,027148,394186,934209,081357,564
3 - AAAAAAAlcovy37,61476,549117,077183,211585,549
3 - AAAAAAGreenbrier30,05069,901118,081191,208590,760
4 - AAAAAATucker491,996265,278133,35763,17246,197
4 - AAAAAALovejoy305,811311,849192,414108,11881,808
4 - AAAAAAM.L. King103,558176,840228,799191,830298,973
4 - AAAAAAStephenson43,28395,855146,773191,645522,444
4 - AAAAAAMorrow29,70276,842142,664204,191546,601
4 - AAAAAAMount Zion (Jonesboro)25,25570,062139,703195,118569,862
4 - AAAAAAMundy's Mill3693,02914,54138,797943,264
4 - AAAAAADrew262421,7437,051990,938
4 - AAAAAAForest Park-3678999,913
5 - AAAAAAMays510,231263,537134,91559,05632,261
5 - AAAAAADouglas County277,958321,069202,500113,06685,407
5 - AAAAAACreekside134,323202,696251,437198,744212,800
5 - AAAAAASouth Paulding53,962119,742202,604246,842376,850
5 - AAAAAAAlexander11,72431,76767,149128,553760,807
5 - AAAAAAHughes10,59654,676115,900182,248636,580
5 - AAAAAANorthgate1,1466,04922,88659,229910,690
5 - AAAAAANew Manchester553772,0589,686987,824
5 - AAAAAATri-Cities5875512,576996,781
6 - AAAAAAAllatoona590,719268,978106,43824,8828,983
6 - AAAAAAHarrison219,028336,703248,924127,01368,332
6 - AAAAAADalton165,038238,430303,126211,23982,167
6 - AAAAAACreekview16,635118,525239,223327,163298,454
6 - AAAAAASequoyah4,30917,50250,650177,999749,540
6 - AAAAAASprayberry4,26919,84951,436129,467794,979
6 - AAAAAASouth Cobb2121471,525998,314
6 - AAAAAARiver Ridge-156712999,231
6 - AAAAAAOsborne----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAJohns Creek391,843275,825169,18194,44968,702
7 - AAAAAAPope352,446290,562190,63890,79975,555
7 - AAAAAAAlpharetta174,624222,132226,173172,025205,046
7 - AAAAAACentennial42,531108,454191,148234,393423,474
7 - AAAAAANorthview23,63753,30699,906157,637665,514
7 - AAAAAADunwoody9,58228,85366,298125,075770,192
7 - AAAAAACambridge4,24114,76735,75170,139875,102
7 - AAAAAAChattahoochee5752,5198,00220,769968,135
7 - AAAAAANorth Atlanta5213,58212,90334,714948,280
8 - AAAAAADacula733,731231,78429,4754,407603
8 - AAAAAALanier230,350516,367189,82447,67215,787
8 - AAAAAAGainesville26,046170,525418,809251,787132,833
8 - AAAAAAWinder-Barrow7,71051,654224,512347,558368,566
8 - AAAAAAHabersham Central1,96825,628110,657257,358604,389
8 - AAAAAAApalachee1954,04226,72391,218877,822

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Buford8 - AAAAA3-081.35999,9944.30835,297600,133498,707372,7991.68
Warner Robins1 - AAAAA3-077.04997,7433.60729,336410,785303,279187,0044.35
Rome7 - AAAAA2-173.06999,0103.50654,263454,160283,875124,1677.05
Jones County4 - AAAAA4-071.37992,6553.16603,055443,581202,02087,19810.47
Stockbridge4 - AAAAA3-070.46991,9063.11598,806435,008189,91376,76712.03
Dutchtown4 - AAAAA4-069.13992,3183.04586,178419,952171,32963,06514.86
Bainbridge1 - AAAAA4-067.47970,4892.66473,699216,097100,67231,68530.56
Carrollton7 - AAAAA3-064.32979,6842.68488,313200,10060,74016,83058.42
Kell7 - AAAAA2-164.96978,5632.63472,969180,19352,23916,58959.28
Ware County2 - AAAAA2-262.06988,8951.94292,46399,64035,6487,586130.82
Wayne County2 - AAAAA2-062.30988,9101.89269,03094,40033,1167,272136.51
Clarke Central8 - AAAAA3-157.47994,0822.15265,31172,38318,0152,661374.80
Griffin3 - AAAAA3-056.77990,7191.90275,25982,93013,2732,283437.02
Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA3-055.22805,2761.57224,04851,5398,2731,049952.29
Veterans1 - AAAAA3-155.19727,5321.40189,67443,5376,8198841,130.22
Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA2-152.38993,0771.84134,94546,4585,0126191,614.51
Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA3-051.91978,7501.79133,57030,9384,6984292,330.00
Ola4 - AAAAA3-155.53648,9600.9993,58317,9413,5274292,330.00
Statesboro2 - AAAAA2-052.10910,6131.1665,75117,0032,1142334,290.85
Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA2-149.47957,2851.39118,72120,5972,0971725,812.95
Harris County1 - AAAAA2-249.25498,9600.8071,32410,8259608811,362.64
East Paulding7 - AAAAA0-247.94456,0720.8788,82411,6901,0596116,392.44
Riverwood6 - AAAAA3-044.91953,7041.3642,2478,2455304223,808.52
Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA3-142.54993,9551.4181,9568,6886482539,999.00
South Effingham2 - AAAAA3-046.29774,6710.8722,4464,7003332049,999.00
Banneker6 - AAAAA1-242.75949,8191.2829,8204,8712811662,499.00
Jonesboro3 - AAAAA2-244.61849,4541.0339,7444,4893619111,110.11
Hiram7 - AAAAA1-242.72361,9370.6139,6533,4681929111,110.11
Locust Grove4 - AAAAA0-346.23203,5730.258,720692553333,332.33
Riverdale3 - AAAAA3-139.76697,0340.7712,229958512499,999.00
New Hampstead2 - AAAAA1-238.24336,9110.352,373308152499,999.00
Villa Rica7 - AAAAA1-240.77122,8700.2010,318729331999,999.00
Union Grove4 - AAAAA2-144.00122,7620.143,781258281999,999.00
Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA0-435.30965,2381.1016,28596732--
Loganville8 - AAAAA0-337.57801,3231.019,88389524--
Paulding County7 - AAAAA1-240.3467,0680.115,47638416--
Lithonia5 - AAAAA3-031.28922,8880.995,0732277--
Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA2-132.80552,7930.591,598945--
Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA1-337.7246,8710.05565282--
Cass7 - AAAAA2-133.2234,5760.05990351--
Whitewater3 - AAAAA0-332.08319,2760.33922331--
Columbia5 - AAAAA1-325.41791,0890.8177720---
Decatur6 - AAAAA2-127.00318,2500.3328210---
Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA0-324.32209,2870.232269---
Fayette County3 - AAAAA1-226.63139,1900.141172---
Grady6 - AAAAA1-223.73145,5390.1553----
Miller Grove5 - AAAAA0-315.78306,8170.3120----
North Springs6 - AAAAA1-219.4984,1640.0812----
McIntosh3 - AAAAA1-322.0447,0420.059----
Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA1-327.909550.003----
Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA2-210.0316,5640.022----
Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA1-220.092200.001----
Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-2-0.4520,0130.02-----
Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA1-25.782,6540.00-----
Clarkston5 - AAAAA0-4-22.90-------
Cross Keys5 - AAAAA0-4-72.17-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAWarner Robins669,380266,24449,80712,3122,257
1 - AAAAABainbridge265,281450,311185,52169,37629,511
1 - AAAAAVeterans33,446117,208264,353312,525272,468
1 - AAAAAThomas County Central25,155117,742352,400309,979194,724
1 - AAAAAHarris County6,73848,495147,919295,808501,040
2 - AAAAAWare County465,472326,223147,09650,10411,105
2 - AAAAAWayne County400,544376,119157,27654,97111,090
2 - AAAAAStatesboro96,388186,000369,948258,27789,387
2 - AAAAASouth Effingham34,31794,641258,363387,350225,329
2 - AAAAANew Hampstead3,27917,01767,317249,298663,089
3 - AAAAAGriffin573,567274,055108,06635,0319,281
3 - AAAAAStarr's Mill271,521346,504229,665109,59542,715
3 - AAAAAJonesboro100,602217,050310,461221,341150,546
3 - AAAAARiverdale47,415124,406221,987303,226302,966
3 - AAAAAWhitewater5,67728,39287,628197,579680,724
3 - AAAAAFayette County1,0247,63832,19598,333860,810
3 - AAAAAMcIntosh1941,9559,99834,895952,958
4 - AAAAADutchtown351,255330,315277,15433,5947,682
4 - AAAAAStockbridge331,613319,810281,57858,9058,094
4 - AAAAAJones County312,321320,693300,53259,1097,345
4 - AAAAAOla4,25623,802102,878518,024351,040
4 - AAAAALocust Grove2602,48018,811182,022796,427
4 - AAAAAUnion Grove2332,27214,104106,153877,238
4 - AAAAAEagle's Landing626264,90741,276953,129
4 - AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)-236917999,045
5 - AAAAASouthwest DeKalb593,313266,31599,90634,4216,045
5 - AAAAAArabia Mountain237,770354,548252,828120,09234,762
5 - AAAAALithonia124,245246,183338,404214,05677,112
5 - AAAAAColumbia40,837112,018243,041395,193208,911
5 - AAAAAMiller Grove3,81020,61863,148219,241693,183
5 - AAAAAChamblee253182,67316,997979,987
5 - AAAAAClarkston----1,000,000
5 - AAAAACross Keys----1,000,000
6 - AAAAACarver (Atlanta)565,155275,797122,66429,4616,923
6 - AAAAARiverwood231,657315,290294,191112,56646,296
6 - AAAAABanneker181,861322,468324,493120,99750,181
6 - AAAAAMaynard Jackson15,90455,901144,254336,734447,207
6 - AAAAADecatur4,12421,35171,423221,352681,750
6 - AAAAAGrady9766,58328,766109,214854,461
6 - AAAAANorth Springs3192,59714,00467,244915,836
6 - AAAAALithia Springs4132052,432997,346
7 - AAAAARome716,524203,75970,5688,159990
7 - AAAAACarrollton199,752320,699371,18188,05220,316
7 - AAAAAKell77,632438,307383,22279,40221,437
7 - AAAAAEast Paulding4,77924,18793,645333,461543,928
7 - AAAAAHiram1,09510,41556,463293,964638,063
7 - AAAAAVilla Rica1321,36812,962108,408877,130
7 - AAAAAPaulding County719608,76957,268932,932
7 - AAAAACass153053,18831,068965,424
7 - AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)--2218999,780
8 - AAAAABuford904,37988,6766,4105296
8 - AAAAAClarke Central71,976522,117328,46071,5295,918
8 - AAAAACedar Shoals22,112338,940468,989148,70921,250
8 - AAAAALoganville1,48247,474173,533578,834198,677
8 - AAAAAWalnut Grove512,75321,556184,927790,713
8 - AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)-401,05215,472983,436

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Cartersville5 - AAAA3-083.30999,7674.51904,657736,067525,213391,5131.55
Marist7 - AAAA3-080.20999,8704.27831,749765,948480,068302,9852.30
Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA3-175.42999,4723.65701,094615,897376,794156,4685.39
Woodward Academy4 - AAAA3-072.89999,9973.32846,940326,519158,69973,51512.60
Troup5 - AAAA3-067.30972,2782.17347,114246,030105,40224,80339.32
Flowery Branch7 - AAAA3-064.26991,6861.99283,741204,85065,61312,43279.44
Sandy Creek5 - AAAA3-063.91963,4681.75226,772150,18653,4599,778101.27
Burke County3 - AAAA2-160.37999,3572.32239,251157,96252,2627,328135.46
West Laurens2 - AAAA3-059.89966,3062.60603,783147,80036,7346,068163.80
Cairo1 - AAAA2-159.21995,0812.22193,615120,18242,1225,559178.89
Oconee County8 - AAAA3-155.97973,7482.31389,39976,27318,9371,942513.93
Thomson3 - AAAA2-156.74998,7001.98128,02965,43115,9621,754569.13
Mary Persons2 - AAAA2-255.50897,3482.08413,98679,41016,0611,714582.43
Howard2 - AAAA3-154.54862,3441.85340,36762,51312,3041,182845.02
St. Pius X8 - AAAA2-254.22957,7352.18336,14158,62313,1261,171852.97
North Oconee8 - AAAA4-051.86922,3101.97260,35437,8487,0705281,892.94
Upson-Lee2 - AAAA2-251.54792,7491.50230,33834,3395,3794072,456.00
Chapel Hill5 - AAAA2-154.61752,6910.9143,04619,0303,0833233,094.98
Ridgeland6 - AAAA0-348.37997,5961.83214,77834,6565,2452454,080.63
Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA2-149.23953,8581.5243,58114,4422,0301119,008.01
Eastside4 - AAAA1-246.74991,7621.56178,25022,1362,6191049,614.38
Westover1 - AAAA3-046.55911,8381.3224,1496,4656563727,026.03
Baldwin3 - AAAA0-445.53987,3761.4223,4355,8085002245,453.55
Perry2 - AAAA2-242.78338,6320.4731,4192,2891636166,665.67
Madison County8 - AAAA2-238.98539,4740.7931,6211,668902499,999.00
Stephens County8 - AAAA1-341.44606,7330.9550,0533,2612211999,999.00
White County7 - AAAA2-138.42474,1210.491,487117101999,999.00
Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA2-131.43903,0881.017,97520971999,999.00
Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA3-137.38962,9681.2230,1261,63792--
Pickens6 - AAAA1-235.80960,1951.1619,67983028--
Spalding2 - AAAA1-338.11142,6210.186,55332513--
Cedartown5 - AAAA0-342.38187,1800.191,48731211--
Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA1-236.07422,5600.481,5862028--
Denmark7 - AAAA2-038.14411,2900.421,2201345--
LaGrange5 - AAAA2-141.32106,1890.116871324--
Hardaway1 - AAAA2-136.44272,7000.309031103--
Columbus1 - AAAA1-236.17223,3540.25738923--
Richmond Academy3 - AAAA1-231.44846,4470.921,173843--
Hampton4 - AAAA1-229.08811,4540.875,6561171--
Shaw1 - AAAA3-032.54205,7310.2238336---
Salem4 - AAAA0-324.90605,1370.631,81522---
McDonough4 - AAAA1-222.23368,6400.386274---
Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA1-230.8618,4270.02192---
Chestatee7 - AAAA1-228.26108,1820.11611---
Cross Creek3 - AAAA2-217.74168,1200.17161---
Luella4 - AAAA0-315.54145,4740.1569----
LaFayette6 - AAAA2-214.92143,5040.1561----
North Clayton4 - AAAA0-312.5067,4380.0710----
Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA0-326.3514,6940.027----
Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA0-33.7423,6460.02-----
West Hall7 - AAAA0-418.4415,3790.02-----
Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-13.7310,0980.01-----
Gilmer6 - AAAA2-21.179,0030.01-----
Dougherty1 - AAAA0-317.051840.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAACairo691,202219,39568,29516,1894,919
1 - AAAACarver (Columbus)190,061395,597273,19895,00246,142
1 - AAAAWestover102,226297,428361,420150,76488,162
1 - AAAAAmericus-Sumter10,07746,416122,267243,800577,440
1 - AAAAHardaway2,29813,59070,648186,164727,300
1 - AAAAColumbus2,19111,39746,674163,092776,646
1 - AAAAShaw1,94215,75154,668133,370794,269
1 - AAAANorthside (Columbus)34242,80111,466985,306
1 - AAAADougherty-229153999,816
2 - AAAAWest Laurens457,593276,555156,39675,76233,694
2 - AAAAMary Persons259,275265,129221,944151,000102,652
2 - AAAAHoward164,279227,322256,904213,839137,656
2 - AAAAUpson-Lee101,574176,104246,621268,450207,251
2 - AAAAPerry14,08942,42785,612196,504661,368
2 - AAAASpalding3,19012,46332,52394,445857,379
3 - AAAABurke County621,355289,63975,88312,480643
3 - AAAAThomson304,771470,298201,14422,4871,300
3 - AAAABaldwin69,263221,104574,358122,65112,624
3 - AAAARichmond Academy4,53717,825137,367686,718153,553
3 - AAAACross Creek741,13411,248155,664831,880
4 - AAAAWoodward Academy937,52461,1531,244763
4 - AAAAEastside59,389762,238141,02629,1098,238
4 - AAAAHampton1,896101,413453,468254,677188,546
4 - AAAASalem87048,291226,678329,298394,863
4 - AAAALuella384,15338,413102,870854,526
4 - AAAANorth Clayton31,14616,38349,906932,562
4 - AAAADruid Hills-441,5818,473989,902
4 - AAAAHenry County----1,000,000
5 - AAAACartersville817,508153,48425,0393,736233
5 - AAAATroup114,057432,335304,829121,05727,722
5 - AAAASandy Creek59,644327,353418,450158,02136,532
5 - AAAAChapel Hill8,38377,660201,997464,651247,309
5 - AAAACedartown2566,15530,957149,812812,820
5 - AAAALaGrange1502,81416,75086,475893,811
5 - AAAACentral (Carrollton)21991,97816,248981,573
6 - AAAARidgeland657,067241,63673,81825,0752,404
6 - AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)187,634324,161267,391183,78237,032
6 - AAAAPickens104,676271,718349,647234,15439,805
6 - AAAANorthwest Whitfield49,819155,567283,170414,53296,912
6 - AAAALaFayette7806,52022,655113,549856,496
6 - AAAASoutheast Whitfield182862,38020,962976,354
6 - AAAAGilmer61129397,946990,997
7 - AAAAMarist618,913289,43488,4903,033130
7 - AAAABlessed Trinity313,919507,687170,1137,753528
7 - AAAAFlowery Branch66,808198,212661,04965,6178,314
7 - AAAAWhite County1822,36334,700436,876525,879
7 - AAAADenmark1762,14539,235369,734588,710
7 - AAAAChestatee21546,111101,915891,818
7 - AAAAWest Hall-530215,072984,621
8 - AAAAOconee County363,883316,747214,05579,06326,252
8 - AAAASt. Pius X327,878290,390230,608108,85942,265
8 - AAAANorth Oconee257,155263,862254,381146,91277,690
8 - AAAAStephens County33,57478,926168,304325,929393,267
8 - AAAAMadison County17,51050,075132,652339,237460,526

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Peach County4 - AAA2-175.301,000,0004.30910,736589,176477,702343,2071.91
Cedar Grove5 - AAA2-274.70999,9574.10886,975532,151424,037296,5022.37
Calhoun6 - AAA3-067.811,000,0003.72758,384509,255379,339149,1215.71
Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA2-166.40999,9983.09626,657495,699175,38987,09310.48
Lovett5 - AAA3-161.86999,6162.59506,250237,69499,93529,63332.75
Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA1-361.27997,8602.50469,381228,34488,24225,40338.37
Crisp County1 - AAA2-257.26998,8472.75448,357283,44589,76318,03854.44
Benedictine3 - AAA0-258.27999,4812.54382,096134,99567,78614,71066.98
Appling County2 - AAA3-055.86999,7932.37407,798159,59435,7287,815126.96
Pace Academy5 - AAA2-156.48994,4081.95297,340129,20530,3166,603150.45
Pierce County2 - AAA3-054.91999,5192.32395,546147,11329,8776,277158.31
Hart County8 - AAA4-053.95999,1262.40384,035139,50631,0255,237189.95
Jefferson8 - AAA1-153.50994,0712.34353,161122,30925,2434,194237.44
Liberty County2 - AAA1-052.69998,0612.13322,694104,43618,3473,186312.87
Dawson County7 - AAA3-050.29999,0051.42111,52240,5136,5478441,183.83
Monroe Area8 - AAA3-148.13977,6661.87181,65343,3966,0947231,382.13
Jackson4 - AAA2-148.93985,5011.53110,96525,0415,0465391,854.29
Jenkins3 - AAA2-146.15982,7571.87106,01020,3622,7322893,459.21
Westside (Macon)4 - AAA2-247.32976,7391.4496,09719,4913,1902833,532.57
North Hall7 - AAA2-146.14995,4811.2355,01413,8151,7821616,210.18
Islands3 - AAA3-043.27994,9671.8482,09714,0541,1769610,415.67
Morgan County8 - AAA3-141.42916,3671.3148,9216,6565804422,726.27
North Murray6 - AAA2-135.81971,7251.2114,5711,115632499,999.00
Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA1-233.33727,7750.898,48780922--
Cook1 - AAA0-428.39718,8910.874,7593489--
Monroe1 - AAA2-229.77716,2170.885,9444488--
Adairsville6 - AAA2-130.84854,8030.966,4503257--
Central (Macon)4 - AAA0-330.08559,8750.604,5432383--
Brantley County2 - AAA2-129.61791,5420.822,444873--
Sonoraville6 - AAA1-227.81676,2360.732,7291012--
Worth County1 - AAA1-323.76567,4750.641,511632--
Ringgold6 - AAA0-325.75488,3650.521,343472--
Pike County4 - AAA2-127.82469,1930.502,636931--
Beach3 - AAA1-123.47330,4140.37741261--
Haralson County6 - AAA2-024.17434,1630.46813231--
Windsor Forest3 - AAA1-223.28108,4560.1221611---
Jackson County8 - AAA2-225.01170,0300.183429---
Fannin County7 - AAA2-121.75471,7170.483546---
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA1-218.52158,3010.161081---
East Hall7 - AAA1-319.93409,3870.41177----
Tattnall County2 - AAA0-318.73191,4990.1970----
Franklin County8 - AAA0-218.2633,0110.0330----
Redan5 - AAA2-217.1314,2090.0110----
Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA1-311.08119,0770.129----
East Jackson8 - AAA3-015.0543,9540.048----
Long County2 - AAA1-210.3157,9130.065----
Kendrick4 - AAA1-36.3916,4540.024----
Lumpkin County7 - AAA1-37.6746,4080.053----
Stone Mountain5 - AAA1-311.394,2960.003----
Rutland4 - AAA1-29.3218,9580.021----
Murray County6 - AAA2-19.248,4100.01-----
Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA1-15.926,4350.01-----
Savannah3 - AAA0-35.233,0720.00-----
Coahulla Creek6 - AAA1-23.492,0630.00-----
Towers5 - AAA1-30.724500.00-----
Groves3 - AAA0-2-10.1760.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAACrisp County916,04976,4125,860-5261,153
1 - AAACook37,661353,018328,176-36281,109
1 - AAAMonroe33,719342,997338,649-852283,783
1 - AAAWorth County12,571227,573327,315-16432,525
2 - AAAPierce County355,438330,031283,63428,4861,930481
2 - AAAAppling County330,530339,265302,67826,0401,280207
2 - AAALiberty County311,009318,376317,76549,3211,5901,939
2 - AAABrantley County2,89511,14383,883660,20833,413208,458
2 - AAATattnall County1171,0499,706180,54780808,501
2 - AAALong County111362,33455,39834942,087
3 - AAABenedictine733,949201,32653,14410,558504519
3 - AAAJenkins154,839390,515313,711111,47212,22017,243
3 - AAAIslands102,598370,765446,82560,68914,0905,033
3 - AAASoutheast Bulloch7,53023,775120,480514,82361,167272,225
3 - AAABeach94811,62451,884242,23023,728669,586
3 - AAAWindsor Forest1361,96313,52752,89939,931891,544
3 - AAAJohnson (Savannah)-243134,6801,418993,565
3 - AAASavannah-81162,643305996,928
3 - AAAGroves---6-999,994
4 - AAAPeach County929,11765,3245,2013499-
4 - AAAJackson36,687489,827378,15476,5724,26114,499
4 - AAAWestside (Macon)32,999400,703436,922102,9733,14223,261
4 - AAACentral (Macon)79423,73998,739436,233370440,125
4 - AAAPike County40220,28778,522351,13918,843530,807
4 - AAARutland1741,45117,33993981,042
4 - AAAKendrick-461,01115,3952983,546
5 - AAACedar Grove657,197240,45172,13430,05611943
5 - AAALovett165,285316,390286,354228,5813,006384
5 - AAAWestminster (Atlanta)120,865285,880343,355246,4511,3092,140
5 - AAAPace Academy56,652157,223297,739477,3425,4525,592
5 - AAARedan14932812,986845985,791
5 - AAAStone Mountain-7884,13665995,704
5 - AAATowers--2448-999,550
6 - AAACalhoun972,44126,586896743-
6 - AAANorth Murray20,398577,497241,08999,54433,19728,275
6 - AAAAdairsville5,703221,790320,209215,18491,917145,197
6 - AAAHaralson County72543,83092,064145,415152,129565,837
6 - AAARinggold50322,133127,474221,787116,468511,635
6 - AAASonoraville12895,530181,039237,023162,516323,764
6 - AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe10212,49636,21376,88532,605841,699
6 - AAAMurray County-1298873,1424,252991,590
6 - AAACoahulla Creek-9129946979997,937
7 - AAAGreater Atlanta Christian799,702168,27430,7541,236322
7 - AAADawson County139,441460,837371,38225,7681,577995
7 - AAANorth Hall60,392362,649512,22357,1223,0954,519
7 - AAAFannin County2914,98446,902384,70934,831528,283
7 - AAAEast Hall1692,83930,570374,897912590,613
7 - AAACherokee Bluff43225,660112,465626880,923
7 - AAALumpkin County1952,50943,803-953,592
8 - AAAHart County408,700296,169193,14592,7488,364874
8 - AAAJefferson335,400332,633230,31291,9743,7525,929
8 - AAAMonroe Area199,007250,750299,485209,10919,31522,334
8 - AAAMorgan County56,184115,520251,215438,17255,27683,633
8 - AAAJackson County6234,20920,567120,52824,103829,970
8 - AAAFranklin County645343,61428,456343966,989
8 - AAAEast Jackson221851,66219,01323,072956,046

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Rockmart7 - AA3-064.20999,9963.83716,157585,683363,056204,0303.90
Rabun County8 - AA3-063.73999,9874.01885,036605,754342,030189,8624.27
Hapeville Charter6 - AA1-163.68999,9753.99898,906581,542339,449186,7304.36
Callaway5 - AA2-163.36999,4733.73679,149565,134332,389178,4744.60
Washington County3 - AA3-060.45989,8902.81509,613305,436149,70268,12013.68
Dublin3 - AA2-060.21991,4152.84534,008307,067149,14867,28213.86
Fitzgerald1 - AA3-158.49993,1852.70510,593269,567116,85747,68819.97
Brooks County1 - AA1-257.89991,7802.48420,965228,10395,99037,79625.46
Swainsboro2 - AA2-150.62979,6792.51488,050141,71543,07310,00998.91
Jefferson County4 - AA1-246.14997,5372.12334,41671,60116,1342,761361.19
Dodge County3 - AA1-248.14859,8811.36116,51142,7189,4111,855538.08
Thomasville1 - AA1-346.71931,4581.39107,29835,5497,1891,343743.60
Vidalia2 - AA2-144.25884,9391.73200,40038,6517,0991,036964.25
Douglass6 - AA3-042.39994,4642.01316,22347,2787,4568451,182.43
Union County8 - AA3-040.65990,0481.93254,81033,8254,6534872,052.39
Bremen5 - AA1-241.68875,0681.4790,03019,6322,8183402,940.18
Elbert County8 - AA1-239.66986,3351.78211,44225,0613,0593153,173.60
Pepperell7 - AA2-141.44995,5561.70110,89520,5502,6593123,204.13
Hephzibah4 - AA2-038.82992,1741.64116,25815,1021,8282024,949.50
Jeff Davis2 - AA4-038.38736,0841.2088,80610,7321,2541218,263.46
Early County1 - AA3-140.32784,7060.9740,0957,7759599410,637.30
Heard County5 - AA0-338.72809,5271.2353,5628,5699098312,047.19
Screven County4 - AA2-136.81928,3481.3156,6266,5246014820,832.33
Toombs County2 - AA3-036.97688,5241.0664,8266,8636954721,275.60
Metter2 - AA2-135.29669,2581.0053,7154,9484273627,776.78
Bleckley County3 - AA2-138.80518,8090.6322,7113,9023883528,570.43
Chattooga7 - AA1-234.68981,7371.3940,4714,4583602049,999.00
Southwest3 - AA2-137.32364,9330.4313,0021,8711441099,999.00
Spencer5 - AA2-233.30506,7370.6412,3871,3911049111,110.11
Northeast3 - AA1-235.56274,2680.317,797985799111,110.11
Temple5 - AA3-029.89373,9330.444,924415161999,999.00
Lamar County5 - AA3-029.93432,8520.515,79749026--
Berrien1 - AA2-229.45298,8710.322,83020011--
B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA1-224.11645,0680.728,3072719--
Harlem4 - AA1-224.24718,5590.818,1232428--
Washington6 - AA0-324.43583,5520.646,4041905--
South Atlanta6 - AA2-122.37500,2770.544,4461174--
Coosa7 - AA0-320.85796,1620.841,191471--
Therrell6 - AA1-217.43255,1850.2782915---
Banks County8 - AA1-214.76414,0410.425487---
Monticello8 - AA0-313.35240,6470.252355---
Putnam County8 - AA1-214.92354,0930.365504---
Glenn Hills4 - AA1-216.3864,2880.072094---
Westside (Augusta)4 - AA1-114.39191,3980.204233---
Laney4 - AA1-216.2262,3710.071923---
Model7 - AA0-38.70149,1540.15101---
Bacon County2 - AA0-417.1740,6930.04139----
Butler4 - AA0-312.0744,7710.0578----
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA1-37.3318,6590.023----
Dade County7 - AA0-31.8343,3290.042----
Armuchee7 - AA0-3-2.3020,3350.021----
Jordan5 - AA0-35.672,4100.001----
Gordon Central7 - AA0-3-2.5713,7310.01-----
Social Circle8 - AA1-1-2.4813,5800.01-----
McNair6 - AA0-3-2.692,8200.00-----
Oglethorpe County8 - AA1-2-10.701,2690.00-----
Bryan County2 - AA0-30.958230.00-----
East Laurens3 - AA1-34.508040.00-----
Josey4 - AA0-2-5.445540.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAFitzgerald520,750320,747113,54138,1476,815
1 - AABrooks County362,594392,515177,87858,7938,220
1 - AAThomasville81,152185,357403,409261,54068,542
1 - AAEarly County33,83491,043255,736404,093215,294
1 - AABerrien1,67010,33849,436237,427701,129
2 - AASwainsboro584,004241,087105,87748,71120,321
2 - AAVidalia191,004290,924238,321164,690115,061
2 - AAJeff Davis96,745172,488223,303243,548263,916
2 - AAMetter65,377141,605207,542254,734330,742
2 - AAToombs County62,638152,205216,420257,261311,476
2 - AABacon County2321,6808,45730,324959,307
2 - AABryan County-1180732999,177
3 - AADublin493,182340,293129,57928,3618,585
3 - AAWashington County421,291408,737129,79230,07010,110
3 - AADodge County69,731170,952405,152214,046140,119
3 - AABleckley County9,42042,801164,809301,779481,191
3 - AASouthwest4,01022,28097,316241,327635,067
3 - AANortheast2,36614,93773,320183,645725,732
3 - AAEast Laurens--32772999,196
4 - AAJefferson County625,924242,107109,87519,6312,463
4 - AAHephzibah293,519542,360123,75232,5437,826
4 - AAScreven County68,848151,468504,326203,70671,652
4 - AAHarlem10,71253,863196,137457,847281,441
4 - AAWestside (Augusta)4755,12235,688150,113808,602
4 - AAGlenn Hills2632,17211,39850,455935,712
4 - AALaney2392,00511,74248,385937,629
4 - AAButler209017,05936,791955,229
4 - AAJosey-223529999,446
5 - AACallaway879,614103,91613,2562,687527
5 - AABremen71,778370,646277,897154,747124,932
5 - AAHeard County31,630299,867285,028193,002190,473
5 - AASpencer8,71699,788167,653230,580493,263
5 - AALamar County4,55067,466138,611222,225567,148
5 - AATemple3,71258,277117,274194,670626,067
5 - AAJordan-402812,089997,590
6 - AAHapeville Charter897,05698,8683,75629525
6 - AADouglass98,182772,095106,46717,7205,536
6 - AAB.E.S.T. Academy2,20865,892299,540277,428354,932
6 - AASouth Atlanta1,19239,990207,582251,513499,723
6 - AAWashington1,14010,796289,853281,763416,448
6 - AATherrell22212,16489,509153,290744,815
6 - AAKIPP Atlanta Collegiate-1842,87215,603981,341
6 - AAMcNair-114212,388997,180
7 - AARockmart912,12880,0787,3094814
7 - AAPepperell55,957547,141329,44263,0164,444
7 - AAChattooga30,768336,134494,466120,36918,263
7 - AACoosa1,12234,662146,755613,623203,838
7 - AAModel231,70417,146130,281850,846
7 - AADade County22042,98540,138956,671
7 - AAArmuchee-491,12519,161979,665
7 - AAGordon Central-2877212,931986,269
8 - AARabun County862,755119,88716,82552013
8 - AAUnion County79,431498,286362,01150,3209,952
8 - AAElbert County57,399363,281496,36269,29313,665
8 - AABanks County1627,10946,898359,872585,959
8 - AAPutnam County1607,82648,772297,335645,907
8 - AAMonticello933,57728,586208,391759,353
8 - AASocial Circle-3251113,037986,420
8 - AAOglethorpe County-2351,232998,731

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Clinch County2 - A3-067.261,000,000977,864933,080607,786483,5111.07
Irwin County2 - A2-066.301,000,000976,040929,050577,689440,6271.27
Pelham1 - A3-045.181,000,000840,103548,821297,42533,26429.06
Marion County4 - A3-045.14997,774729,703420,538191,83722,06344.32
Commerce8 - A2-142.59996,981606,041235,13990,0698,780112.90
Mitchell County1 - A2-138.211,000,000710,998273,52899,0716,050164.29
Bowdon6 - A3-033.82997,623459,880106,49427,8131,266788.89
Emanuel County Institute3 - A0-333.98939,635304,03488,03915,4617901,264.82
Turner County2 - A2-133.76984,497312,31768,60416,6837471,337.69
Wilcox County2 - A3-033.50984,072310,35665,26315,3367061,415.43
Lincoln County7 - A2-131.79989,945346,73977,36515,9126391,563.95
Trion6 - A3-032.22969,338294,69759,42412,7904842,065.12
Charlton County2 - A1-233.31940,902206,96849,33010,8854652,149.54
Manchester4 - A2-131.31801,992158,73540,4707,4642314,328.00
Telfair County2 - A2-130.72843,713131,89826,0114,6131656,059.61
Taylor County4 - A2-128.32549,03374,10414,6102,1585817,240.38
Schley County4 - A1-228.16301,21855,32610,5171,4455219,229.77
Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A1-228.29652,12579,27813,5501,9704920,407.16
Washington-Wilkes7 - A1-224.86834,77479,55911,5721,1901471,427.57
Claxton3 - A2-124.19712,60748,7706,7107231376,922.08
Macon County4 - A0-225.88135,62224,5454,1574891099,999.00
Terrell County1 - A2-117.78998,425108,0936,3704826166,665.67
Dooly County4 - A0-323.0048,8688,0591,1241154249,999.00
Greene County7 - A0-216.76309,5688,540591323333,332.33
Johnson County3 - A2-020.01574,59625,7142,5111591999,999.00
Atkinson County2 - A1-220.19252,29910,095828741999,999.00
Chattahoochee County1 - A0-313.41878,73413,182678281999,999.00
Seminole County1 - A2-114.61994,53355,3772,939179--
Montgomery County3 - A2-117.65462,11014,7601,15364--
Jenkins County3 - A1-216.43274,6348,01950122--
Miller County1 - A0-313.01819,20011,35458118--
Gordon Lee6 - A2-114.08184,6982,9731599--
Hancock Central7 - A1-213.14187,9132,8691396--
McIntosh County Academy3 - A0-215.33100,9262,0891342--
Warren County7 - A2-17.8798,897660181--
Wilkinson County7 - A0-36.0913,5291102---
Calhoun County1 - A1-2-2.87155,885143----
Lanier County2 - A1-22.184,0865----
Treutlen3 - A3-0-0.362,6373----
Baconton Charter1 - A1-2-9.396,172-----
Greenville4 - A0-2-0.58395-----
Central (Talbotton)4 - A1-2-12.5622-----
Towns County8 - A0-3-8.6611-----
Hawkinsville4 - A0-30.5510-----
Stewart County1 - A1-2-26.471-----
Portal3 - A0-3-7.52------
Crawford County4 - A1-2-13.87------
Wheeler County3 - A1-2-16.67------
Twiggs County7 - A0-3-18.81------
Randolph-Clay1 - A0-2-37.87------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
1 - APelham658,035994,2315,769-
1 - AMitchell County323,309931,08868,912-
1 - ATerrell County14,088285,481712,9441,575
1 - ASeminole County4,553174,242820,2915,467
1 - AMiller County84,454814,746180,800
1 - AChattahoochee County76,696872,038121,266
1 - ACalhoun County-38155,847844,115
1 - ABaconton Charter--6,172993,828
1 - AStewart County--1999,999
1 - ARandolph-Clay---1,000,000
2 - AIrwin County537,136999,659341-
2 - AClinch County460,015999,727273-
2 - ATurner County920212,038772,45915,503
2 - ACharlton County78478,551862,35159,098
2 - AWilcox County696216,947767,12515,928
2 - ATelfair County44337,250806,463156,287
2 - AAtkinson County6616251,683747,701
2 - ALanier County--4,086995,914
3 - AEmanuel County Institute289,813290,965648,67060,365
3 - AJohnson County18,75320,548554,048425,404
3 - AClaxton15,03119,211693,396287,393
3 - AMontgomery County11,56813,425448,685537,890
3 - AJenkins County7,5917,640266,994725,366
3 - AMcIntosh County Academy799884100,042899,074
3 - ATreutlen32322,605997,363
3 - APortal---1,000,000
3 - AWheeler County---1,000,000
4 - AMarion County656,706689,493308,2812,226
4 - AManchester136,669136,714665,278198,008
4 - ASchley County65,02365,023236,195698,782
4 - ATaylor County59,97259,972489,061450,967
4 - AMacon County39,20039,20096,422864,378
4 - ADooly County16,43716,43732,431951,132
4 - AGreenville99386999,605
4 - AHawkinsville882999,990
4 - ACentral (Talbotton)--22999,978
4 - ACrawford County---1,000,000
6 - ABowdon45,591523,494474,1292,377
6 - ATrion35,983258,933710,40530,662
6 - AMount Zion (Carroll)11,37728,685623,440347,875
6 - AGordon Lee35403184,295815,302
7 - ALincoln County229,302370,716619,22910,055
7 - AWashington-Wilkes52,00566,428768,346165,226
7 - AGreene County4,6945,471304,097690,432
7 - AHancock Central1,8132,017185,896812,087
7 - AWilkinson County40340413,125986,471
7 - AWarren County18821598,682901,103
7 - ATwiggs County---1,000,000
8 - ACommerce198,921442,655554,3263,019
8 - ATowns County--11999,989

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A3-074.631,000,000985,771945,365895,094802,0050.25
Athens Academy8 - A3-058.12999,998903,951661,263496,565116,4327.59
Wesleyan5 - A3-052.241,000,000861,667616,449176,54440,93423.43
Prince Avenue Christian8 - A3-148.54999,972665,304296,599126,90917,10457.47
Darlington6 - A3-044.74999,996736,528387,508132,59211,74384.16
Savannah Christian3 - A0-241.54907,303398,597190,52726,1613,006331.67
Mount Paran Christian6 - A1-041.06991,506418,095164,37534,5692,767360.40
Fellowship Christian6 - A3-039.30999,399476,476151,55934,0802,199453.75
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A3-036.85999,970430,120101,88719,1841,113897.47
Calvary Day3 - A1-135.69979,239245,64879,0249,9735781,729.10
Aquinas7 - A3-033.59999,163328,73182,10610,7984832,069.39
Holy Innocents5 - A3-034.98999,376277,47561,2719,7284652,149.54
Savannah Country Day3 - A2-033.54991,734216,56055,2006,4063093,235.25
Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A2-133.80996,411191,01540,8715,2922444,097.36
George Walton Academy8 - A2-134.39987,442112,19130,2844,1521955,127.21
Hebron Christian Academy8 - A1-233.70955,952115,30829,7673,4641715,846.95
North Cobb Christian6 - A3-031.23987,825157,59328,7553,2761148,770.93
Christian Heritage6 - A3-030.01988,657136,23022,4872,2395617,856.14
Stratford Academy7 - A1-228.10813,30393,39317,4959972737,036.04
Mount de Sales7 - A2-027.18866,74091,56116,3578902539,999.00
Whitefield Academy6 - A2-127.62917,91950,6518,2635601566,665.67
First Presbyterian7 - A1-224.81624,24641,4175,9382621099,999.00
Tattnall Square7 - A1-222.36566,32824,2322,7341172499,999.00
Riverside Military Academy8 - A2-120.62786,39712,7131,034452499,999.00
Brookstone4 - A1-123.96258,08913,8831,902731999,999.00
St. Francis6 - A2-120.04574,0458,80365626--
Walker6 - A1-215.42285,0851,800883--
Strong Rock Christian5 - A1-217.25457,7334,1562331--
Athens Christian8 - A2-212.1532,6811083---
King's Ridge Christian6 - A1-13.6916,36910----
Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A0-49.913,9217----
Pinecrest Academy6 - A0-23.144,3553----
Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-3-0.907,5212----
Pacelli4 - A3-10.574421----
Landmark Christian5 - A0-3-5.07692-----
Lakeview Academy8 - A0-21.34114-----
Providence Christian8 - A1-2-2.8777-----
Georgia Military College7 - A2-1-13.84------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
3 - ASavannah Christian372,918373,107534,19692,697
3 - ACalvary Day167,116208,370770,86920,761
3 - ASavannah Country Day116,379193,114798,6208,266
4 - ABrookstone25,96725,967232,122741,911
4 - APacelli99433999,558
5 - AEagle's Landing Christian921,180999,9991-
5 - AWesleyan67,191996,1423,858-
5 - ATrinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5,868554,823445,14730
5 - AMount Vernon Presbyterian3,139125,369871,0423,589
5 - AHoly Innocents2,613262,655736,721624
5 - AStrong Rock Christian9210457,523542,267
5 - AOur Lady of Mercy--7,521992,479
5 - ALandmark Christian--692999,308
6 - ADarlington434,558921,02378,9734
6 - AMount Paran Christian211,179314,998676,5088,494
6 - AFellowship Christian205,326522,536476,863601
6 - ANorth Cobb Christian27,622148,400839,42512,175
6 - AChristian Heritage15,835138,210850,44711,343
6 - AWhitefield Academy10,54018,252899,66782,081
6 - ASt. Francis1,9072,448571,597425,955
6 - AWalker4246285,039714,915
6 - AMount Pisgah Christian333,918996,079
6 - AKing's Ridge Christian2216,367983,631
6 - APinecrest Academy--4,355995,645
7 - AAquinas285,253437,798561,365837
7 - AMount de Sales151,302154,621712,119133,260
7 - AStratford Academy147,950150,110663,193186,697
7 - AFirst Presbyterian77,49577,688546,558375,754
7 - ATattnall Square49,59549,616516,712433,672
7 - AGeorgia Military College---1,000,000
8 - AAthens Academy576,398853,922146,0762
8 - APrince Avenue Christian181,621420,285579,68728
8 - AHebron Christian Academy32,95936,045919,90744,048
8 - AGeorge Walton Academy8,40212,348975,09412,558
8 - ARiverside Military Academy1,6771,862784,535213,603
8 - AAthens Christian131332,668967,319
8 - ALakeview Academy99105999,886
8 - AProvidence Christian--77999,923

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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