High School Sports Blog

Maxwell playoff projections after Week 7

By Loren Maxwell
Oct 2, 2018

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2018 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA7-0101.321,000,0005.16955,254838,588734,085638,5410.57
Grayson8 - AAAAAAA3-286.13999,9133.54717,356488,075282,99591,7579.90
Archer8 - AAAAAAA4-184.77999,9143.26643,030407,927199,01462,02515.12
North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA4-284.35999,9543.18806,117247,350131,14951,55518.40
Walton4 - AAAAAAA5-083.71999,8332.83584,256326,26693,03037,41225.73
McEachern3 - AAAAAAA4-181.82991,1843.01553,697353,460149,16135,49827.17
Parkview7 - AAAAAAA5-083.11999,9822.79472,493286,27382,92532,41129.85
Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA6-180.99985,9032.85602,478270,071138,85828,07334.62
Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA5-075.81984,0322.31325,329144,37640,8366,717147.88
Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA4-274.36999,5442.30414,330132,31337,8475,216190.72
Milton5 - AAAAAAA3-272.18998,3092.35368,924125,36132,9353,696269.56
Tift County1 - AAAAAAA4-271.88834,4311.49182,22456,01413,2711,433696.84
Camden County1 - AAAAAAA5-171.49928,3251.64195,48058,68613,4721,380723.64
Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA4-170.82986,1401.81165,76353,76512,2501,272785.16
Roswell4 - AAAAAAA4-169.95986,2241.60148,73351,1259,6358691,149.75
Westlake2 - AAAAAAA3-268.30990,4181.66127,71326,1517,5296131,630.32
Marietta3 - AAAAAAA1-468.42753,3941.38101,82024,4544,4253952,530.65
South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA3-265.11986,1591.76154,56028,5014,3883003,332.33
North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA5-067.32741,4721.2884,78118,1013,0772783,596.12
Norcross7 - AAAAAAA2-466.10992,4131.53105,70224,1844,1012573,890.05
North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA5-066.63699,4721.1875,47815,5732,4851875,346.59
Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA5-062.55963,7731.3239,2525,4148114721,275.60
Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA4-262.72984,5431.2945,6658,3471,0314024,999.00
Newton8 - AAAAAAA3-358.95990,9691.3738,8382,3001711283,332.33
Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA1-458.16936,7101.1120,6212,1851808124,999.00
West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA1-457.99939,7961.1930,2812,9212337142,856.14
South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA2-449.67774,2840.888,126448221999,999.00
Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA2-354.63682,7030.737,05754030--
Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA3-351.60796,3350.844,97030216--
East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA0-551.66674,2560.753,93027413--
Etowah4 - AAAAAAA2-452.35326,6190.341,567979--
Newnan2 - AAAAAAA2-350.18620,9200.672,8231846--
Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA6-048.91599,8420.633,8571075--
Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA2-348.72506,7430.541,734973--
Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA4-150.5966,0110.08716242--
Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA2-449.16431,5690.452,63461---
North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA2-344.88538,7110.5692943---
Lambert5 - AAAAAAA3-244.95471,1360.4984828---
Campbell2 - AAAAAAA1-442.34245,7620.252606---
Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-444.00211,4040.212445---
Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA2-433.35173,3230.18902---
Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA2-432.6661,6390.06231---
Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA4-132.2066,5760.0710----
Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA0-635.4644,0070.046----
Discovery6 - AAAAAAA1-430.2829,9040.031----
Duluth6 - AAAAAAA2-428.315,4330.01-----
Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA1-519.68140.00-----
Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA2-4-8.0920.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAAAAAAColquitt County887,360100,7579,266-2,617-
1 - AAAAAAALowndes79,153593,725232,449-80,57614,097
1 - AAAAAAACamden County14,270162,040405,378-346,63771,675
1 - AAAAAAATift County19,217143,478352,907-318,829165,569
2 - AAAAAAAWestlake640,951252,32474,82822,305109,582
2 - AAAAAAAWheeler269,870430,842191,20069,9991,86236,227
2 - AAAAAAAEast Coweta39,869133,980256,126244,281-325,744
2 - AAAAAAANewnan24,75791,306228,435276,422-379,080
2 - AAAAAAAPebblebrook20,52670,299175,574240,344-493,257
2 - AAAAAAACampbell4,02721,24973,837146,649-754,238
3 - AAAAAAAMcEachern554,864274,009108,54544,4679,2998,816
3 - AAAAAAAHillgrove274,636315,423207,395121,51665,06215,968
3 - AAAAAAAMarietta66,273158,612265,327262,854328246,606
3 - AAAAAAANorth Paulding52,194132,469215,749266,51874,542258,528
3 - AAAAAAANorth Cobb51,545116,034188,863260,46382,567300,528
3 - AAAAAAAKennesaw Mountain4883,45314,12144,1823,767933,989
4 - AAAAAAAWalton821,109158,92216,8012,779222167
4 - AAAAAAARoswell156,412642,559149,36534,9952,89313,776
4 - AAAAAAACherokee9,83682,841374,058329,5973203,665
4 - AAAAAAAWoodstock10,73278,971305,573287,427-317,297
4 - AAAAAAAEtowah1,48527,45487,538210,142-673,381
4 - AAAAAAALassiter4269,25366,665135,060-788,596
5 - AAAAAAAMilton606,233297,28580,24413,8786691,691
5 - AAAAAAASouth Forsyth309,813431,989197,09647,2431813,841
5 - AAAAAAAWest Forsyth74,194215,944489,565160,093-60,204
5 - AAAAAAANorth Forsyth5,37626,126116,921390,288-461,289
5 - AAAAAAALambert4,30227,314104,490335,030-528,864
5 - AAAAAAAForsyth Central821,34211,68453,468-933,424
6 - AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett790,125195,02112,5722,236-46
6 - AAAAAAAMill Creek191,173568,112186,55553,7022456
6 - AAAAAAAMountain View3,029158,949465,543356,9299315,457
6 - AAAAAAACollins Hill15,67377,774331,367511,896-63,290
6 - AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge-301,20642,771-955,993
6 - AAAAAAADiscovery-1112,49327,300-970,096
6 - AAAAAAADuluth-32645,166-994,567
7 - AAAAAAAParkview816,385173,8026,4283,14622118
7 - AAAAAAABrookwood172,781455,536303,04654,7156213,860
7 - AAAAAAANorcross7,595344,432557,38283,00047,587
7 - AAAAAAAMeadowcreek1,95121,07198,759468,3879,674400,158
7 - AAAAAAACentral Gwinnett1,2885,15934,381390,7401568,431
7 - AAAAAAALakeside (Atlanta)--410-999,986
7 - AAAAAAABerkmar---2-999,998
8 - AAAAAAAGrayson584,279385,89327,5862,149687
8 - AAAAAAAArcher408,291548,55940,8552,1733686
8 - AAAAAAANewton6,99161,971876,48445,523-9,031
8 - AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett4232,86919,858751,134-225,716
8 - AAAAAAARockdale County1666828,083144,556-826,677
8 - AAAAAAAShiloh-407,13454,465-938,361

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Lee County1 - AAAAAA6-080.12998,0194.86922,634775,956668,302525,0680.90
Coffee1 - AAAAAA6-072.63987,0993.91808,204602,956416,461195,2984.12
Creekview6 - AAAAAA6-068.43999,8373.31747,252331,479207,12289,36110.19
Harrison6 - AAAAAA6-065.76998,7262.94620,641287,970138,76649,04719.39
Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA3-364.16919,0162.60549,577319,289114,99034,62627.88
Valdosta1 - AAAAAA3-363.28914,3322.51524,430293,81199,61528,24834.40
Tucker4 - AAAAAA4-260.21999,7962.10370,749214,17053,58414,40068.44
Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA4-161.16951,4232.28420,844178,18152,18313,67172.15
Dacula8 - AAAAAA4-259.08998,5002.45427,064158,53152,28211,54385.63
Allatoona6 - AAAAAA3-260.53892,6202.08375,414153,04043,03510,76091.94
Mays5 - AAAAAA3-259.49987,4882.39350,083136,98746,63110,67692.67
Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA2-456.59977,6382.20214,25692,88527,6035,098195.16
Douglas County5 - AAAAAA5-156.21994,6122.22274,92188,91525,0184,546218.97
Centennial7 - AAAAAA3-254.43998,9321.69216,26278,75213,1872,456406.17
Stephenson4 - AAAAAA4-152.38992,3481.42147,62850,4308,3051,175850.06
Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA3-253.96985,0151.45133,75836,0187,6601,173851.51
Lanier8 - AAAAAA4-251.23986,4501.84195,54853,4387,4259641,036.34
Brunswick2 - AAAAAA3-351.26915,0111.85134,21640,4836,6508411,188.06
Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA2-348.36882,8421.69103,36325,4183,1103053,277.69
Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA4-148.67984,7231.2771,05715,8231,9762094,783.69
Effingham County2 - AAAAAA4-247.11849,8081.5987,74519,4422,1482084,806.69
Dalton6 - AAAAAA3-351.39118,2800.1921,6096,0096168212,194.12
Creekside5 - AAAAAA3-346.65633,4790.9447,8568,0808307313,697.63
Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA3-345.02981,0761.1032,7945,6686955717,542.86
Northgate5 - AAAAAA3-346.01627,0040.9043,4587,5666225119,606.84
Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA5-242.46890,3240.9412,0601,3671541566,665.67
Houston County1 - AAAAAA2-443.54181,5340.2313,8582,4671591376,922.08
Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA2-340.65918,4991.2631,1084,4233151099,999.00
Alexander5 - AAAAAA2-343.36404,8500.5417,5562,3731629111,110.11
Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA2-437.27374,7010.5711,6291,074526166,665.67
Hughes5 - AAAAAA1-542.57204,5080.256,662802585199,999.00
Alcovy3 - AAAAAA2-337.82869,9781.1117,3471,947842499,999.00
Evans3 - AAAAAA0-536.40803,3031.0012,0191,215602499,999.00
Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA2-439.72476,1460.578,795962541999,999.00
South Paulding5 - AAAAAA1-438.97144,6930.183,11329291999,999.00
Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA3-336.86555,6270.634,52632818--
Grovetown3 - AAAAAA1-432.99701,0430.824,96438715--
Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA1-442.5236,8550.052,27336715--
Pope7 - AAAAAA2-437.31453,6640.482,90013612--
Gainesville8 - AAAAAA0-635.82471,5080.533,81630111--
Northview7 - AAAAAA4-236.08460,8760.482,6061092--
Apalachee8 - AAAAAA3-330.73511,7690.551,747812--
Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA0-526.41330,9000.36535231--
Drew4 - AAAAAA1-431.2699,0980.10165101--
Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA2-226.81376,2770.4168229---
Cambridge7 - AAAAAA2-428.9381,4690.081204---
South Cobb6 - AAAAAA1-534.491,7970.00404---
North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA3-229.4935,3120.04661---
M.L. King4 - AAAAAA1-429.4427,1700.03271---
Morrow4 - AAAAAA1-530.079,4530.0110----
Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-528.211,7850.005----
New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-529.611,5810.005----
River Ridge6 - AAAAAA1-530.074620.003----
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA1-522.777290.00-----
Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-512.8660.00-----
Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA0-622.5950.00-----
Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA1-518.8040.00-----
Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-60.75-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAWarner Robins834,813139,33220,5014,864490
1 - AAAAAVeterans102,042490,675267,296105,72734,260
1 - AAAAAThomas County Central47,742228,562379,080230,807113,809
1 - AAAAABainbridge12,769112,897243,560397,910232,864
1 - AAAAAHarris County2,63428,53489,563260,692618,577
2 - AAAAAWare County506,533434,92649,7827,7181,041
2 - AAAAAWayne County469,807435,50276,94816,1021,641
2 - AAAAAStatesboro11,49859,640390,360402,133136,369
2 - AAAAANew Hampstead11,73563,777415,938352,609155,941
2 - AAAAASouth Effingham4276,15566,972221,438705,008
3 - AAAAAStarr's Mill883,72396,02316,4642,3221,468
3 - AAAAAGriffin27,291513,637298,191138,59822,283
3 - AAAAAJonesboro9,088208,460363,773351,66267,017
3 - AAAAARiverdale79,231177,389299,216362,30081,864
3 - AAAAAWhitewater2531,90611,84682,587903,408
3 - AAAAAMcIntosh3352,1418,14845,805943,571
3 - AAAAAFayette County794442,36216,726980,389
4 - AAAAAJones County468,045340,097190,1741,58599
4 - AAAAAStockbridge359,269387,215245,9246,795797
4 - AAAAADutchtown172,686269,439447,129109,874872
4 - AAAAALocust Grove-2,939111,297634,748251,016
4 - AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)-2203,377146,556849,847
4 - AAAAAUnion Grove-891,72887,296910,887
4 - AAAAAOla--30610,899988,795
4 - AAAAAEagle's Landing-1652,247997,687
5 - AAAAASouthwest DeKalb798,629185,68713,6411,828215
5 - AAAAAArabia Mountain189,314678,637115,23213,7083,109
5 - AAAAALithonia8,908102,961480,928272,429134,774
5 - AAAAAMiller Grove1,5509,876260,940353,535374,099
5 - AAAAAColumbia1,59622,196117,153322,426536,629
5 - AAAAAChamblee364312,10636,074951,174
5 - AAAAAClarkston----1,000,000
5 - AAAAACross Keys----1,000,000
6 - AAAAABanneker847,840137,04712,7182,087308
6 - AAAAACarver (Atlanta)134,095478,594285,87076,28925,152
6 - AAAAARiverwood14,424320,479380,385218,14966,563
6 - AAAAAMaynard Jackson10345,098250,146484,414220,239
6 - AAAAADecatur3,49118,22061,667177,316739,306
6 - AAAAANorth Springs414755,76526,840966,879
6 - AAAAAGrady6853,42614,371982,112
6 - AAAAALithia Springs-223534999,441
7 - AAAAARome981,64116,0152,1621802
7 - AAAAACarrollton1,468787,91899,41086,21324,991
7 - AAAAAEast Paulding15,93955,829742,356121,40664,470
7 - AAAAAKell-117,29183,638461,949337,122
7 - AAAAAHiram92221,39137,477244,571695,639
7 - AAAAAVilla Rica3054427,03969,495902,892
7 - AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)-1,0127,91016,138974,940
7 - AAAAACass--848999,944
7 - AAAAAPaulding County----1,000,000
8 - AAAAABuford935,70659,9203,6966717
8 - AAAAACedar Shoals46,721715,203165,38054,66618,030
8 - AAAAAClarke Central11,126101,827570,700251,52464,823
8 - AAAAALoganville6,393115,830230,112555,82491,841
8 - AAAAAWalnut Grove536,67326,295110,635856,344
8 - AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)15473,81726,680968,955

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Rome7 - AAAAA6-083.24999,9984.81953,777778,282620,764462,9251.16
Buford8 - AAAAA4-276.88999,9934.11809,177614,970477,643215,0163.65
Warner Robins1 - AAAAA5-174.83999,5103.57713,119613,298241,236131,2566.62
Jones County4 - AAAAA6-071.19999,9013.25766,999365,520178,82266,17014.11
Stockbridge4 - AAAAA6-070.53999,2033.19728,852371,860173,64959,62015.77
Dutchtown4 - AAAAA6-066.98999,1282.60524,582244,58990,89923,94440.76
Ware County2 - AAAAA4-265.17998,9592.60405,171189,78661,08515,22564.68
Wayne County2 - AAAAA6-063.14998,3592.46354,395154,16042,4739,448104.84
Carrollton7 - AAAAA5-163.68975,0092.31280,118112,96242,4768,438117.51
Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA6-056.96999,7852.61549,041173,30830,9623,636274.03
Veterans1 - AAAAA6-057.77965,7401.47140,35552,9459,1701,278781.47
Kell7 - AAAAA3-256.83662,8781.42245,97353,5426,2299391,063.96
East Paulding7 - AAAAA2-353.56935,5302.00317,35068,5218,4277311,366.99
Banneker6 - AAAAA5-152.77999,6921.94344,55064,9175,0915881,699.68
Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA3-349.06998,5321.92120,79044,2314,4852763,622.19
Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA4-152.07886,1911.1366,57918,9692,1161965,101.04
Locust Grove4 - AAAAA2-452.91748,9840.9337,67614,2631,0731228,195.72
Clarke Central8 - AAAAA3-347.09935,1771.57137,79514,7297304621,738.13
Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA4-245.74981,9701.8159,3096,3686314621,738.13
Griffin3 - AAAAA3-346.93977,7171.4646,4264,7813812737,036.04
Bainbridge1 - AAAAA2-446.43767,1360.8625,8563,7612722049,999.00
Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA3-343.37996,8911.67139,66313,4655271952,630.58
Hiram7 - AAAAA3-247.85304,3610.5056,4126,1473241758,822.53
Statesboro2 - AAAAA2-440.89863,6311.1718,8192,121884249,999.00
Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA3-339.65974,8481.1837,4892,968993333,332.33
New Hampstead2 - AAAAA3-240.61844,0591.1517,8711,823543333,332.33
Riverwood6 - AAAAA4-240.37933,4371.0721,3991,904812499,999.00
Riverdale3 - AAAAA5-138.97918,1361.1211,3011,160482499,999.00
Harris County1 - AAAAA2-439.36381,4230.404,413302132499,999.00
Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA2-440.60150,1530.161,02021171999,999.00
Jonesboro3 - AAAAA3-341.88932,9831.1514,5701,36963--
Loganville8 - AAAAA3-337.76908,1591.2031,2881,72748--
Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA3-337.85779,7610.824,00426715--
Villa Rica7 - AAAAA3-240.2997,1080.137,84849111--
Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA4-237.1625,0600.031,291723--
Union Grove4 - AAAAA3-238.0989,1130.09424722--
Lithonia5 - AAAAA4-225.88865,2260.941,719441--
Decatur6 - AAAAA2-328.33260,6940.2739591--
Columbia5 - AAAAA1-523.64463,3710.4829161--
South Effingham2 - AAAAA2-427.92294,9920.3361639---
Ola4 - AAAAA1-539.0111,2050.016416---
Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA1-526.35143,6560.1675215---
Miller Grove5 - AAAAA1-424.22625,9010.663307---
Whitewater3 - AAAAA0-628.1396,5920.10731---
North Springs6 - AAAAA1-424.1533,1210.03181---
Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA1-535.732,3130.0031---
McIntosh3 - AAAAA1-423.5856,4290.0621----
Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-63.9748,8260.05-----
Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA4-213.8231,0450.037----
Fayette County3 - AAAAA0-519.2319,6110.025----
Grady6 - AAAAA1-519.6717,8880.023----
Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA2-47.765590.00-----
Cass7 - AAAAA1-526.39560.001----
Paulding County7 - AAAAA0-630.09-------
Clarkston5 - AAAAA0-6-23.15-------
Cross Keys5 - AAAAA0-7-68.33-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAWarner Robins813,997153,54825,6176,153685
1 - AAAAAVeterans116,445482,523264,540105,66230,830
1 - AAAAAThomas County Central52,529227,407383,246231,917104,901
1 - AAAAABainbridge14,806112,778248,873409,164214,379
1 - AAAAAHarris County2,22323,74477,724247,104649,205
2 - AAAAAWayne County503,668418,48964,46412,3421,037
2 - AAAAAWare County475,360465,12951,0257,594892
2 - AAAAAStatesboro10,17954,341400,404410,008125,068
2 - AAAAANew Hampstead10,52057,398426,517363,139142,426
2 - AAAAASouth Effingham2734,64357,590206,917730,577
3 - AAAAAGriffin684,354229,69264,68018,1673,107
3 - AAAAAStarr's Mill236,019491,590185,17057,07330,148
3 - AAAAARiverdale52,159159,514310,459278,486199,382
3 - AAAAAJonesboro24,02362,291293,972341,563278,151
3 - AAAAAWhitewater2,74050,981120,737220,947604,595
3 - AAAAAFayette County4974,17116,92047,110931,302
3 - AAAAAMcIntosh2081,7618,06236,654953,315
4 - AAAAAStockbridge515,019328,028144,93610,5901,427
4 - AAAAAJones County310,087338,353257,32287,3416,897
4 - AAAAADutchtown168,195279,580387,337147,64717,241
4 - AAAAALocust Grove6,48751,752187,558525,721228,482
4 - AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)1831,87817,787162,621817,531
4 - AAAAAEagle's Landing21983,08129,455967,264
4 - AAAAAUnion Grove-1034420,452979,194
4 - AAAAAOla272011,63516,173981,964
5 - AAAAASouthwest DeKalb769,177201,87224,4134,048490
5 - AAAAAArabia Mountain199,541577,692165,86642,17514,726
5 - AAAAAColumbia21,170116,455388,895281,150192,330
5 - AAAAALithonia5,87257,714225,210331,712379,492
5 - AAAAAMiller Grove4,23145,727187,656312,750449,636
5 - AAAAAChamblee95407,96028,165963,326
5 - AAAAAClarkston----1,000,000
5 - AAAAACross Keys----1,000,000
6 - AAAAABanneker786,601190,33819,0703,263728
6 - AAAAACarver (Atlanta)190,963498,462227,37260,60122,602
6 - AAAAARiverwood13,153228,785357,649231,604168,809
6 - AAAAAMaynard Jackson12632,050245,425366,855355,544
6 - AAAAADecatur8,34343,731101,671205,357640,898
6 - AAAAANorth Springs7025,10041,055109,433843,710
6 - AAAAAGrady1121,5307,71622,349968,293
6 - AAAAALithia Springs-442538999,416
7 - AAAAARome985,56912,4881,68724511
7 - AAAAACarrollton2,362773,964138,32062,87022,484
7 - AAAAAEast Paulding8,85646,543507,017224,811212,773
7 - AAAAAKell6112,448141,410352,074394,062
7 - AAAAAHiram3,16652,276169,142257,307518,109
7 - AAAAAVilla Rica271,00134,26680,656884,050
7 - AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)141,2808,11221,843968,751
7 - AAAAACass--29102999,869
7 - AAAAAPaulding County--1792999,891
8 - AAAAABuford937,12859,1923,1595174
8 - AAAAAClarke Central48,562671,084211,64157,03111,682
8 - AAAAACedar Shoals9,599169,872452,817297,59270,120
8 - AAAAALoganville4,63291,740296,819472,518134,291
8 - AAAAAWalnut Grove798,02733,422160,247798,225
8 - AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)-852,14212,095985,678

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA5-083.76999,9924.91903,822834,940667,805504,7070.98
Cartersville5 - AAAA6-075.63997,5454.00803,929705,328371,606167,9204.96
Troup5 - AAAA6-074.66999,8154.01831,266726,441340,221149,4125.69
Mary Persons2 - AAAA6-072.93999,1593.74898,883520,008263,43693,6009.68
St. Pius X8 - AAAA5-171.37999,8982.85517,433296,019145,77245,49420.98
Marist7 - AAAA5-167.45999,0722.75442,676239,61495,35623,05942.37
Burke County3 - AAAA4-260.33999,5262.47538,111118,69130,7274,708211.40
Eastside4 - AAAA5-059.04999,8472.64601,71295,74226,2674,442224.12
Ridgeland6 - AAAA3-256.59999,9822.09172,008108,66715,2162,238445.83
Woodward Academy4 - AAAA3-253.57998,2312.32422,29247,7438,3698961,115.07
Sandy Creek5 - AAAA3-257.35726,7321.1867,41431,9345,4488291,205.27
Flowery Branch7 - AAAA5-055.57986,5761.89117,08446,7897,5047841,274.51
Chapel Hill5 - AAAA4-156.27754,1041.2159,14127,1024,3465911,691.05
Upson-Lee2 - AAAA4-252.75928,4941.91326,64049,3335,8235361,864.67
Cairo1 - AAAA4-248.62999,7952.16289,75541,2623,2622324,309.34
Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA6-048.41997,3952.06241,95332,8292,6831895,290.01
Howard2 - AAAA4-248.74816,4251.44181,86419,3771,6381138,848.56
West Laurens2 - AAAA4-250.68582,1910.99119,39912,6661,3598711,493.25
Cedartown5 - AAAA3-350.98489,0970.6719,9526,4806255119,606.84
Oconee County8 - AAAA4-248.04955,3271.1821,9566,6635963925,640.03
Richmond Academy3 - AAAA6-045.00978,2541.40103,4687,0495002934,481.76
Thomson3 - AAAA2-445.65979,5381.43113,9868,3225781855,554.56
Stephens County8 - AAAA4-244.70935,0001.0712,8033,4602277142,856.14
Perry2 - AAAA4-245.55392,1550.5740,9712,5992017142,856.14
Pickens6 - AAAA6-041.98986,8571.2615,5483,9551996166,665.67
Spalding2 - AAAA3-341.25281,5760.3718,450898322499,999.00
Baldwin3 - AAAA1-538.59920,7911.0728,6081,290451999,999.00
Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA2-338.80646,0130.8325,0301,060391999,999.00
Salem4 - AAAA3-235.94964,9751.2222,857801231999,999.00
North Oconee8 - AAAA5-138.70836,2970.884,157732201999,999.00
West Hall7 - AAAA2-438.27863,3631.057,1281,29640--
Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA3-236.27939,4191.023,01833714--
Columbus1 - AAAA2-336.34616,7650.7112,85528914--
Hardaway1 - AAAA3-333.98326,8020.364,353785--
Hampton4 - AAAA2-327.23413,7740.462,804471--
Luella4 - AAAA2-326.46487,4760.532,403401--
Westover1 - AAAA2-331.95195,1630.221,956391--
Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA2-431.03151,4610.161,254221--
Denmark7 - AAAA4-232.4851,7760.0617825---
White County7 - AAAA1-529.1294,4280.1013013---
Madison County8 - AAAA2-427.72273,4780.2816810---
Shaw1 - AAAA3-226.2266,1000.072244---
Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA2-422.43752,4950.761092---
Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA2-433.1529,5830.03532---
North Clayton4 - AAAA0-516.7133,7780.04261---
Cross Creek3 - AAAA3-215.32121,8910.12251---
Henry County4 - AAAA0-518.1598,0100.10121----
LaFayette6 - AAAA4-218.73255,0980.2619----
LaGrange5 - AAAA1-433.663,1240.007----
Chestatee7 - AAAA1-515.194,7930.001----
Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA2-411.2465,8520.07-----
Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-37.873,9090.00-----
Dougherty1 - AAAA0-513.775060.00-----
Gilmer6 - AAAA0-5-17.172970.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAACairo557,387393,63446,3392,435205
1 - AAAACarver (Columbus)417,474490,33879,5979,9862,605
1 - AAAAAmericus-Sumter24,68297,732279,016244,583353,987
1 - AAAAColumbus248,399331,127277,215383,235
1 - AAAAHardaway-499140,183186,120673,198
1 - AAAAWestover2917,99756,761130,114804,837
1 - AAAANorthside (Columbus)-9950,579100,783848,539
1 - AAAAShaw1421,30216,35348,303933,900
1 - AAAADougherty--45461999,494
2 - AAAAMary Persons848,028125,67420,2385,219841
2 - AAAAUpson-Lee93,017411,516283,995139,96671,506
2 - AAAAHoward36,695302,304282,928194,498183,575
2 - AAAAWest Laurens17,60589,108190,194285,284417,809
2 - AAAAPerry4,14432,079133,826222,106607,845
2 - AAAASpalding51139,31988,819152,927718,424
3 - AAAABurke County728,559202,00750,48118,479474
3 - AAAAThomson131,392326,267339,356182,52320,462
3 - AAAARichmond Academy105,474357,096337,482178,20221,746
3 - AAAABaldwin34,474111,873261,678512,76679,209
3 - AAAACross Creek1012,75711,003108,030878,109
4 - AAAAEastside597,668363,31836,6132,248153
4 - AAAAWoodward Academy383,607515,96987,37011,2851,769
4 - AAAASalem17,562103,013668,104176,29635,025
4 - AAAALuella2219,553160,501317,201512,524
4 - AAAAHampton9427,81634,798370,218586,226
4 - AAAAHenry County-1104,61993,281901,990
4 - AAAANorth Clayton-2187,66925,891966,222
4 - AAAADruid Hills-33263,580996,091
5 - AAAATroup450,052523,90923,7662,088185
5 - AAAACartersville539,589358,16180,06319,7322,455
5 - AAAAChapel Hill2,71946,134387,534317,717245,896
5 - AAAASandy Creek5,20550,565332,837338,125273,268
5 - AAAACedartown2,43420,995168,815296,853510,903
5 - AAAACentral (Carrollton)12316,82822,523970,417
5 - AAAALaGrange-51572,962996,876
6 - AAAARidgeland825,166166,2358,44813318
6 - AAAAPickens165,336488,127277,11856,27613,143
6 - AAAANorthwest Whitfield9,011294,596456,229179,58360,581
6 - AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)15538,493192,966520,881247,505
6 - AAAALaFayette33212,50056,498185,768744,902
6 - AAAASoutheast Whitfield-498,72757,076934,148
6 - AAAAGilmer--14283999,703
7 - AAAABlessed Trinity853,993132,56113,3311078
7 - AAAAMarist125,614685,984174,85212,622928
7 - AAAAFlowery Branch20,335169,476652,757144,00813,424
7 - AAAAWest Hall5611,108147,224704,975136,637
7 - AAAAWhite County-992593,494905,572
7 - AAAADenmark286210,78340,129948,224
7 - AAAAChestatee--1284,665995,207
8 - AAAASt. Pius X890,72798,4598,9471,765102
8 - AAAAOconee County69,130437,730310,783137,68444,673
8 - AAAAStephens County30,125316,131361,079227,66565,000
8 - AAAANorth Oconee9,276129,955270,696426,370163,703
8 - AAAAMadison County74217,72548,495206,516726,522

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Cedar Grove5 - AAA5-173.061,000,0004.13841,726542,963457,216302,2802.31
Calhoun6 - AAA5-070.581,000,0004.14763,425670,495468,833247,8463.03
Benedictine3 - AAA4-170.561,000,0004.03893,440492,159413,038240,3743.16
Peach County4 - AAA4-264.79999,9583.63813,169508,983230,86091,9049.88
Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA4-262.371,000,0003.26686,724395,421145,53751,60918.38
Monroe Area8 - AAA6-058.85999,9892.46408,689288,04171,60921,83044.81
Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA3-259.33999,3952.37333,589162,24664,24918,57952.82
Crisp County1 - AAA4-354.47999,3622.67644,902143,02643,0278,964110.56
Dawson County7 - AAA6-051.34999,9992.38302,968152,29821,1863,678270.89
Pace Academy5 - AAA4-253.34998,9771.86191,07583,97417,8043,466287.52
Jefferson8 - AAA5-152.18999,5881.80193,523100,48015,7472,943338.79
Liberty County2 - AAA3-149.54998,6792.53477,829151,00319,6132,914342.17
Lovett5 - AAA2-450.66992,9111.60122,53657,3567,5811,168855.16
Jackson4 - AAA3-246.27997,2352.09243,53553,8736,5267181,391.76
North Hall7 - AAA5-147.45999,0711.92131,50947,5135,6697131,401.52
Pierce County2 - AAA5-044.53996,1172.14297,71561,5195,3275301,885.79
Westside (Macon)4 - AAA4-244.23986,0041.90213,66841,1963,5223452,897.55
Appling County2 - AAA2-340.40990,0131.83173,56024,9881,5469710,308.28
Pike County4 - AAA4-138.89863,0191.3393,39310,8345482638,460.54
North Murray6 - AAA4-237.30998,0761.3016,6261,5791697142,856.14
Jenkins3 - AAA4-134.89999,0731.3942,6532,6111654249,999.00
Cook1 - AAA2-532.37941,6571.2447,5454,1541172499,999.00
Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA4-032.97998,9461.3033,8671,847652499,999.00
Hart County8 - AAA2-332.05903,6510.963,033284191999,999.00
Central (Macon)4 - AAA1-531.58219,4360.266,60026613--
Monroe1 - AAA3-422.11765,2390.843,9921365--
Ringgold6 - AAA2-428.88773,2670.813,4452384--
Morgan County8 - AAA2-427.28698,0010.721,170453--
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA4-224.04880,8460.931,7751192--
Windsor Forest3 - AAA2-223.49790,9880.877,413226---
Adairsville6 - AAA3-324.31396,6240.4199446---
Islands3 - AAA1-417.53267,6870.2898024---
East Hall7 - AAA1-524.06763,4880.7846418---
Sonoraville6 - AAA2-320.43300,4630.3135212---
Haralson County6 - AAA4-117.85490,3520.5038910---
Brantley County2 - AAA1-417.70472,6180.495545---
Tattnall County2 - AAA0-517.26495,1120.515155---
Worth County1 - AAA1-514.72294,0320.313215---
Franklin County8 - AAA1-423.00370,7270.382992---
Jackson County8 - AAA2-420.1332,2550.0314----
Beach3 - AAA0-410.4015,6460.029----
Redan5 - AAA0-610.488,9040.016----
Long County2 - AAA0-52.7053,9460.054----
Fannin County7 - AAA2-36.47107,2590.113----
Lumpkin County7 - AAA2-37.49130,5190.132----
Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA1-3-4.344,7090.00-----
Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA0-6-11.001,5310.00-----
Towers5 - AAA0-62.691,3950.00-----
Kendrick4 - AAA1-5-1.421,3120.00-----
East Jackson8 - AAA1-5-7.781,0250.00-----
Savannah3 - AAA0-5-7.614330.00-----
Rutland4 - AAA0-6-4.661850.00-----
Stone Mountain5 - AAA0-5-12.561080.00-----
Groves3 - AAA1-5-8.51920.00-----
Coahulla Creek6 - AAA1-4-4.10780.00-----
Murray County6 - AAA0-6-11.2930.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAACrisp County917,29277,0544,727-289638
1 - AAACook65,527632,485243,644-158,343
1 - AAAMonroe13,344237,799514,096--234,761
1 - AAAWorth County3,83752,662237,533--705,968
2 - AAALiberty County491,333320,708171,27415,1402241,321
2 - AAAPierce County310,495358,407291,59534,5071,1133,883
2 - AAAAppling County195,067302,438413,56173,7995,1489,987
2 - AAATattnall County1,5978,54060,258424,717-504,888
2 - AAABrantley County1,5039,77560,046401,294-527,382
2 - AAALong County51323,26650,543-946,054
3 - AAABenedictine966,28232,3021,317972-
3 - AAAJenkins24,126591,605345,10337,496743927
3 - AAASoutheast Bulloch9,002345,340468,943158,49217,1691,054
3 - AAAWindsor Forest59030,726163,753543,66952,250209,012
3 - AAAIslands-1018,836244,5834,258732,313
3 - AAABeach-51,78210,9242,935984,354
3 - AAAJohnson (Savannah)-122494,231217995,291
3 - AAASavannah--11422-999,567
3 - AAAGroves--686-999,908
4 - AAAPeach County836,486143,97617,5171,84313642
4 - AAAJackson112,752452,219301,497129,0841,6832,765
4 - AAAWestside (Macon)49,061274,888401,307260,16658213,996
4 - AAAPike County1,698128,304263,688404,58364,746136,981
4 - AAACentral (Macon)361115,885202,9352780,564
4 - AAAKendrick-21061,204-998,688
4 - AAARutland---185-999,815
5 - AAACedar Grove763,917203,12629,2183,7336-
5 - AAAWestminster (Atlanta)165,228436,766260,082136,2761,043605
5 - AAAPace Academy67,066224,870351,472354,9376321,023
5 - AAALovett3,789135,220359,031494,86297,089
5 - AAARedan-171818,706-991,096
5 - AAATowers-1161,378-998,605
5 - AAAStone Mountain---108-999,892
6 - AAACalhoun999,0269154910--
6 - AAANorth Murray109846,962126,11919,6495,2371,924
6 - AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe812116,364472,831206,26484,575119,154
6 - AAARinggold-2,230159,105404,876207,056226,733
6 - AAAHaralson County5113,46254,539169,914252,386509,648
6 - AAAAdairsville21,441138,157102,948154,076603,376
6 - AAASonoraville-18,62649,18396,297136,357699,537
6 - AAACoahulla Creek--173922999,922
6 - AAAMurray County---3-999,997
7 - AAAGreater Atlanta Christian835,133160,3104,510461-
7 - AAADawson County159,814560,721278,2341,1101201
7 - AAANorth Hall5,045278,534648,36665,4751,651929
7 - AAAEast Hall-28562,736700,37394236,512
7 - AAALumpkin County4152,905127,595-869,481
7 - AAAFannin County41353,248103,8711892,741
7 - AAACherokee Bluff--11,530-998,469
8 - AAAMonroe Area624,621345,20428,8061,21114711
8 - AAAJefferson361,642547,91477,06311,5351,434412
8 - AAAHart County12,62275,382533,134282,00850596,349
8 - AAAMorgan County70827,006242,553427,71321301,999
8 - AAAFranklin County4014,396117,498248,307125629,273
8 - AAAJackson County69889728,2503,004967,745
8 - AAAEast Jackson--49976-998,975

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Hapeville Charter6 - AA5-072.73999,9994.93902,474800,374671,836559,0910.79
Callaway5 - AA5-160.77999,9093.68740,567492,266352,811125,5016.97
Rockmart7 - AA6-059.76999,9943.56758,653568,341175,54398,4959.15
Dodge County3 - AA6-058.89999,8353.35736,524380,376217,35075,87012.18
Thomasville1 - AA4-256.88975,9982.96660,756245,547117,69542,37822.60
Rabun County8 - AA5-153.981,000,0003.18671,109428,250172,87739,78924.13
Washington County3 - AA5-051.88977,6392.51493,430164,09450,34812,84776.84
Fitzgerald1 - AA4-251.06922,6132.36428,085146,49748,37810,40795.09
Bremen5 - AA4-153.01997,3152.14190,37799,06532,23510,29796.12
Vidalia2 - AA5-048.66996,1212.22342,491143,61642,9256,768146.75
Brooks County1 - AA4-249.50879,7712.14367,176112,55033,4446,555151.56
Heard County5 - AA3-247.47996,3211.96176,41168,48117,4103,226308.98
Dublin3 - AA5-147.16957,5162.00298,82570,91316,5652,909342.76
Douglass6 - AA5-146.16999,4592.10186,23058,73918,9422,375420.05
Early County1 - AA5-145.34794,3971.65212,41552,72811,0191,519657.33
Jefferson County4 - AA4-242.21999,9331.64157,58632,3803,0055721,747.25
Washington6 - AA5-239.92987,5511.84160,24740,9775,7354342,303.15
Swainsboro2 - AA3-241.43989,5911.58130,65526,5224,5374272,340.92
Union County8 - AA6-039.69999,9851.54109,84532,8334,2313642,746.25
Berrien1 - AA5-138.41427,2210.7151,0197,9159506216,128.03
Southwest3 - AA2-337.30648,3130.9248,5737,4517755318,866.92
Elbert County8 - AA4-235.55984,4821.1618,8003,8894182441,665.67
Pepperell7 - AA4-230.25999,5961.2930,6523,9882361190,908.09
Chattooga7 - AA4-231.61989,0751.2628,9873,9542891099,999.00
Harlem4 - AA4-230.55985,5651.1316,3531,5761324249,999.00
Toombs County2 - AA4-229.90958,4311.1120,2481,581844249,999.00
Northeast3 - AA2-430.49351,8960.439,556994534249,999.00
Hephzibah4 - AA4-227.10968,5581.079,626771484249,999.00
Spencer5 - AA1-527.77942,8771.0518,6011,81079--
Screven County4 - AA4-227.42827,7930.908,29747116--
Metter2 - AA4-228.50442,2730.473,97320214--
South Atlanta6 - AA4-228.03893,0770.966,11560413--
Jeff Davis2 - AA5-125.34340,6330.362,345974--
Bleckley County3 - AA2-428.1161,7550.079951031--
Bacon County2 - AA1-519.92258,0780.27586121--
B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA1-519.6833,0030.04194101--
Butler4 - AA2-320.90168,4720.174216---
Monticello8 - AA2-414.87673,5340.683806---
Lamar County5 - AA3-318.8627,0230.031023---
Coosa7 - AA1-515.95498,1530.50812---
Laney4 - AA3-315.6146,1950.05592---
Banks County8 - AA3-310.32274,9310.28552---
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA2-414.7954,5730.06242---
Model7 - AA2-411.01468,3170.4736----
Therrell6 - AA1-515.8315,1800.0230----
Putnam County8 - AA1-57.9064,2310.0614----
Jordan5 - AA2-45.2024,8300.039----
McNair6 - AA2-412.8717,1580.026----
Bryan County2 - AA1-49.6214,8730.023----
East Laurens3 - AA1-58.743,0460.002----
Temple5 - AA1-53.9911,7250.011----
Westside (Augusta)4 - AA1-40.935930.001----
Dade County7 - AA1-50.7628,4020.03-----
Gordon Central7 - AA1-5-1.7216,0690.02-----
Glenn Hills4 - AA0-55.122,8480.00-----
Oglethorpe County8 - AA1-5-11.862,8010.00-----
Armuchee7 - AA1-5-2.833940.00-----
Josey4 - AA0-5-4.03430.00-----
Social Circle8 - AA2-3-8.14360.00-----

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAThomasville508,395269,364133,00165,23824,002
1 - AAFitzgerald202,298286,528265,806167,98177,387
1 - AABrooks County193,380242,788246,702196,901120,229
1 - AAEarly County77,240150,438248,335318,384205,603
1 - AABerrien18,68750,882106,156251,496572,779
2 - AAVidalia674,270240,63967,76413,4483,879
2 - AASwainsboro254,912488,541209,64536,49310,409
2 - AAToombs County65,992225,518528,467138,45441,569
2 - AAMetter2257,09842,620392,330557,727
2 - AAJeff Davis3,08928,551115,913193,080659,367
2 - AABacon County1,5119,47232,817214,278741,922
2 - AABryan County11812,77411,917985,127
3 - AADodge County641,086268,83685,5684,345165
3 - AAWashington County227,610422,680255,72171,62822,361
3 - AADublin128,136246,979407,653174,74842,484
3 - AASouthwest2,68345,920182,217417,493351,687
3 - AANortheast45015,24864,048272,150648,104
3 - AABleckley County353374,76756,616938,245
3 - AAEast Laurens--263,020996,954
4 - AAJefferson County954,47641,0023,79865767
4 - AAHarlem4,998482,670299,245198,65214,435
4 - AAHephzibah3,895380,561455,242128,86031,442
4 - AAScreven County36,55995,253217,895478,086172,207
4 - AAButler-3613,769154,667831,528
4 - AALaney714679,95935,698953,805
4 - AAGlenn Hills--52,843997,152
4 - AAWestside (Augusta)11083499999,407
4 - AAJosey-1438999,957
5 - AACallaway817,980143,37634,7403,81391
5 - AABremen58,023567,399337,34434,5492,685
5 - AAHeard County123,169282,474569,61321,0653,679
5 - AASpencer8015,43951,677884,96057,123
5 - AALamar County261,2915,28520,421972,977
5 - AAJordan1161,18023,633975,170
5 - AATemple-516111,559988,275
6 - AAHapeville Charter986,88711,9269881981
6 - AADouglass613873,542104,45320,851541
6 - AAWashington11,69797,852848,54329,45912,449
6 - AASouth Atlanta80316,66428,368847,242106,923
6 - AAKIPP Atlanta Collegiate-1156953,993945,427
6 - AAB.E.S.T. Academy-513,42819,570966,997
6 - AAMcNair--10017,058982,842
6 - AATherrell--3,55111,629984,820
7 - AARockmart964,61134,6775121946
7 - AAPepperell34,609518,735442,5953,657404
7 - AAChattooga650445,017504,65938,74910,925
7 - AACoosa14812,836485,268501,847
7 - AAModel1291,18335,062431,943531,683
7 - AADade County-3264,26723,809971,598
7 - AAGordon Central---16,069983,931
7 - AAArmuchee-1469311999,606
8 - AARabun County804,510168,75426,70135-
8 - AAUnion County159,956768,69169,2082,13015
8 - AAElbert County35,52159,603784,182105,17615,518
8 - AAMonticello-6475,166598,304326,466
8 - AABanks County132,88736,815235,216725,069
8 - AAPutnam County--7,92556,306935,769
8 - AAOglethorpe County-132,797997,199
8 - AASocial Circle---36999,964

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Irwin County2 - A6-062.511,000,000978,910915,426768,464672,1430.49
Clinch County2 - A5-152.421,000,000926,688751,487295,213169,3034.91
Commerce8 - A5-045.501,000,000840,239462,347279,15165,46714.27
Marion County4 - A6-042.831,000,000754,017434,602209,32341,62423.02
Pelham1 - A6-036.931,000,000758,411380,787151,26816,99557.84
Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A5-138.691,000,000643,209223,92989,32113,52272.95
Charlton County2 - A4-237.641,000,000613,122214,46878,76810,79291.66
Mitchell County1 - A4-130.791,000,000600,771182,79648,5373,302301.85
Schley County4 - A4-133.37977,546335,651118,56829,4782,916341.94
Emanuel County Institute3 - A3-332.57997,339356,614109,00919,8812,149464.33
Dooly County4 - A2-330.73667,698114,62629,2445,8124832,069.39
Turner County2 - A4-228.50992,584128,15731,0895,3643772,651.52
Claxton3 - A4-126.25995,990134,86628,0904,3942074,829.92
Wilcox County2 - A4-226.78987,053113,17723,4883,6201925,207.33
Hancock Central7 - A4-124.35985,232123,89623,2182,9311307,691.31
Macon County4 - A2-328.73118,25936,2938,2131,5221168,619.69
Atkinson County2 - A3-324.63901,06682,04615,4102,0749510,525.32
Manchester4 - A3-228.46323,31846,9089,2341,6939410,637.30
Chattahoochee County1 - A4-216.851,000,000159,03811,3109012343,477.26
Greene County7 - A3-220.17885,58353,3587,0146391855,554.56
Trion6 - A4-220.67899,01942,3925,7494951758,822.53
Telfair County2 - A2-422.98337,24826,1373,2643621662,499.00
Washington-Wilkes7 - A2-419.94522,57128,7553,4222491190,908.09
Montgomery County3 - A3-218.12597,19524,8192,5561994249,999.00
Jenkins County3 - A3-318.47607,27123,8582,4021903333,332.33
Lincoln County7 - A2-416.26362,19311,364897581999,999.00
Miller County1 - A2-310.69998,25628,4681,26460--
Johnson County3 - A3-216.06164,4414,62434620--
Seminole County1 - A4-26.39997,4896,3722485--
Taylor County4 - A2-315.333,552454385--
Warren County7 - A3-38.93109,6501,329562--
Gordon Lee6 - A2-49.1830,010326111--
Terrell County1 - A1-5-2.18424,52486010---
McIntosh County Academy3 - A0-59.557,3651104---
Wilkinson County7 - A0-54.901,312382---
Bowdon6 - A0-58.611,478211---
Towns County8 - A2-4-0.184,701191---
Calhoun County1 - A1-4-8.8291,44041----
Hawkinsville4 - A2-37.072859----
Greenville4 - A1-46.075515----
Baconton Charter1 - A2-3-14.247,2061----
Portal3 - A1-40.264781----
Stewart County1 - A2-4-23.9737-----
Lanier County2 - A0-6-3.3836-----
Randolph-Clay1 - A0-5-32.7323-----
Wheeler County3 - A1-4-4.341-----
Treutlen3 - A2-4-9.51------
Crawford County4 - A2-3-11.87------
Central (Talbotton)4 - A0-5-21.96------
Twiggs County7 - A0-6-23.49------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
3 - ACalvary Day406,234624,772375,228-
3 - ASavannah Christian238,909483,131516,869-
3 - ASavannah Country Day10,98322,322977,045633
4 - ABrookstone25,42225,422910,76463,814
4 - APacelli---1,000,000
5 - AEagle's Landing Christian955,793999,794206-
5 - AMount Vernon Presbyterian43,986399,212600,788-
5 - ATrinity Christian (Sharpsburg)-332,570667,4291
5 - AWesleyan1259,911986,4233,666
5 - AHoly Innocents--840,080159,920
5 - AStrong Rock Christian9696543,291456,613
5 - ALandmark Christian--31,158968,842
5 - AOur Lady of Mercy--6999,994
6 - AFellowship Christian583,451786,083213,917-
6 - AChristian Heritage74,395302,215697,77114
6 - ADarlington64,906719,516280,484-
6 - AWhitefield Academy64,30568,699931,26338
6 - AMount Paran Christian43,88043,880952,2273,893
6 - ANorth Cobb Christian3,43934,337965,65112
6 - APinecrest Academy11804,394195,605
6 - AMount Pisgah Christian--156,029843,971
6 - ASt. Francis--23,655976,345
6 - AWalker--46999,954
6 - AKing's Ridge Christian---1,000,000
7 - AAquinas485,144745,137254,863-
7 - AMount de Sales328,871371,703628,28413
7 - AStratford Academy27,34427,344736,015236,641
7 - ATattnall Square26,52326,523203,057770,420
7 - AFirst Presbyterian13,96013,960151,309834,731
7 - AGeorgia Military College---1,000,000
8 - AAthens Academy663,769991,8958,105-
8 - APrince Avenue Christian80,692734,381265,619-
8 - AGeorge Walton Academy36,465225,878774,122-
8 - AHebron Christian Academy10,89711,169984,6034,228
8 - AAthens Christian2323231,340768,637
8 - ARiverside Military Academy2626257,087742,887
8 - AProvidence Christian--30,834969,166
8 - ALakeview Academy--38999,962

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A5-161.621,000,000958,748869,807749,548553,2650.81
Athens Academy8 - A5-056.231,000,000918,651765,062556,931271,7962.68
Prince Avenue Christian8 - A5-151.071,000,000821,939479,597249,97692,8869.77
Fellowship Christian6 - A5-044.121,000,000717,061405,022125,96830,74931.52
Calvary Day3 - A5-041.191,000,000611,773273,98273,59214,59267.53
George Walton Academy8 - A6-040.681,000,000465,695184,08543,6188,850111.99
Savannah Christian3 - A4-138.831,000,000506,755180,94542,9457,208137.73
Darlington6 - A5-137.561,000,000537,992186,18640,7875,859169.68
Aquinas7 - A5-035.841,000,000523,470187,56035,9954,558218.39
Mount Paran Christian6 - A3-239.33996,107230,30897,49124,2314,156239.62
Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A5-135.221,000,000383,32491,74418,7912,438409.17
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A4-234.46999,999332,46081,23515,2141,812550.88
Christian Heritage6 - A4-131.00999,986249,03351,3317,0786421,556.63
Whitefield Academy6 - A5-131.18999,962114,04630,0943,9513622,761.43
Wesleyan5 - A2-431.02996,334102,47923,1193,2942863,495.50
Mount de Sales7 - A5-027.99999,987218,38844,2524,0122853,507.77
Hebron Christian Academy8 - A3-228.93995,77263,45513,5271,5641079,344.79
Savannah Country Day3 - A4-127.32999,36762,11911,8911,1218212,194.12
Brookstone4 - A4-126.05936,18649,9548,1485633429,410.76
North Cobb Christian6 - A5-023.50999,98847,8026,0664362147,618.05
Stratford Academy7 - A1-422.97763,35929,5683,7821824249,999.00
Holy Innocents5 - A2-421.93840,08020,0782,179954249,999.00
Pinecrest Academy6 - A2-321.24804,39517,0141,743702499,999.00
Strong Rock Christian5 - A3-315.97543,3874,670292111999,999.00
St. Francis6 - A2-311.5823,655108711999,999.00
Tattnall Square7 - A3-316.49229,5806,70055813--
First Presbyterian7 - A1-414.90165,2693,2392119--
Athens Christian8 - A2-313.78231,3631,409313--
Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A2-415.38156,0291,254501--
Riverside Military Academy8 - A2-37.34257,1134592---
Landmark Christian5 - A2-45.3231,158441---
Providence Christian8 - A2-3-1.1830,8345----
Walker6 - A0-53.6846-----
Lakeview Academy8 - A0-5-4.1838-----
Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-6-5.106-----
Georgia Military College7 - A3-3-0.12------
King's Ridge Christian6 - A0-5-4.89------
Pacelli4 - A3-3-6.36------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
1 - APelham638,119990,7479,253-
1 - AMitchell County347,526918,62581,375-
1 - AMiller County-41,197957,0591,744
1 - AChattahoochee County13,066490,248509,752-
1 - ASeminole County1,2894,385993,1042,511
1 - ATerrell County--424,524575,476
1 - ACalhoun County--91,440908,560
1 - ABaconton Charter--7,206992,794
1 - ARandolph-Clay--23999,977
1 - AStewart County--37999,963
2 - AIrwin County996,1211,000,000--
2 - AClinch County1,989995,9424,058-
2 - ACharlton County324605,237394,763-
2 - ATurner County9504,596987,9887,416
2 - AAtkinson County-2,461898,60598,934
2 - AWilcox County6169,619977,43412,947
2 - ATelfair County--337,248662,752
2 - ALanier County--36999,964
3 - AEmanuel County Institute309,335309,348687,9912,661
3 - AClaxton24,11035,432960,5584,010
3 - AJenkins County647647606,624392,729
3 - AJohnson County9999164,342835,559
3 - AMontgomery County9,6679,668587,527402,805
3 - AMcIntosh County Academy15157,350992,635
3 - APortal--478999,522
3 - AWheeler County11-999,999
3 - ATreutlen---1,000,000
4 - AMarion County645,352690,017309,983-
4 - ASchley County271,961271,967705,57922,454
4 - AMacon County41,65541,65576,604881,741
4 - AManchester2,2492,249321,069676,682
4 - ADooly County12,02312,023655,675332,302
4 - ATaylor County1,3261,3262,226996,448
4 - AGreenville--551999,449
4 - AHawkinsville1212273999,715
4 - ACrawford County---1,000,000
4 - ACentral (Talbotton)---1,000,000
6 - AMount Zion (Carroll)165,595571,742428,258-
6 - ATrion2499898,920100,981
6 - ABowdon111,477998,522
6 - AGordon Lee3330,007969,990
7 - AWashington-Wilkes15,73915,739506,832477,429
7 - ALincoln County--362,193637,807
7 - AGreene County30,48233,131852,452114,417
7 - AWarren County4343109,607890,350
7 - AHancock Central71,71084,139901,09314,768
7 - AWilkinson County1841841,128998,688
7 - ATwiggs County---1,000,000
8 - ACommerce208,127857,402142,598-
8 - ATowns County114,700995,299

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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